Latest / Financial Survival Network / The Credit Bust is Here -- Gordon T. Long #5809
Transcript
- 0:00Rates may come down in some trading function. The longer term is there because
- 0:04of repricing of risk. And if the fete wants to do it, he'll
- 0:08kill a dollar and maybe they'll sacrifice the dollar they bring. If they charge
- 0:12down these rates, inflation will be back because it takes a while to kill
- 0:16it. And if inflation comes back, what are they going to do?
- 0:19And if they drive them down, the dollar will go down and they don't
- 0:21want that. You're listening to carry Lets's Financial Survival Network where you get valuable
- 0:27information you just can't find anywhere else to thrive in today's trying times. You
- 0:32need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Go to Financial Survival and
- 0:38Network dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial Survival Network now
- 0:45more than ever. And welcome you are watching listening to the Financial Survival Network.
- 0:54I'm your host, Harry Lutz. Well, we've got Gordon too Long
- 0:57on with us now. Gordon, we've been talking about collateral, the quality
- 1:00of collateral, or what the banks will take, what the federal take,
- 1:04and why you should care about it basically, and we're having this banking crisis,
- 1:11banking collapse. U. Some of my guests say that the banking system
- 1:15as we know it is going extinct. This is an extinction event or the
- 1:21system. What is your take on it. I would lean towards what they're
- 1:26what they're saying. I'm not maybe it quite as negative that, but this
- 1:30is an unusual situation that we're in and it keeps cascading, and it's like
- 1:37shocks and shock waves that are that are coming at us. So we're still
- 1:41in the early stages. Off you and you would call two thousand and eight
- 1:45when we first when when bear Stearns hit. We went on for close to
- 1:48a year with little failures all of the lending operation before finally Lehman collapsed and
- 1:53AIG was collapsed and we but it just kept getting worse and worse and then
- 1:59suddenly collapse. It's like uh uh famous writer in a prin Key West,
- 2:05he said, you know, going bankruptcy. Bankruptcy was was slow at first
- 2:08and then sudden at last, or suddenly and first then quickly and then quick
- 2:15that and and that's kind of what I sense. We're it's going the same
- 2:19thing. We got these serious shocks that are hitting um that are like a
- 2:24waterfall, and they but they keep expanding, they keep growing, you know
- 2:29right now, they're they're in the banks, they're in the lenders that are
- 2:32supporting out there that are not banks but still lenders. We're seeing it in
- 2:37the credit and the commercial real estate market. Um, and now it's moving
- 2:42into other areas like the zombies the bonds, not the sovereign debt, which
- 2:49is not a discussion we'll get into, but the zombies we're seeing. A
- 2:53small business has got a problem, and I see just here in the last
- 2:57week shipping and packaging company. They're starting to feel it. So it just
- 3:01keeps, it's broadening, and it's getting it's getting worse. So there's some
- 3:07major concerns here. And the FED reducing the interest rates, which everybody thinks
- 3:12is the panacea, I don't. I don't see it as being the panacea,
- 3:16as actually could see it accelerating the problems. Initially there may be you
- 3:20know, a lot of excitement, but then it starts to break down.
- 3:23Her not to go on. But the problem we're facing is we have a
- 3:29systemic, long term structural problem that we failed to address. We kind of
- 3:35nibbled at OFTO two thousand and eight. We've been we've excess leverage and have
- 3:42easy credit. We know the story, I mean all your listeners eat know
- 3:45the story. But we've changed. I call it the Great Moderation others due
- 3:50to that. We had forty fifty years where we had globalization that reduced costs,
- 3:57so you know, labor arbitrage. We had financialization which took interest rates
- 4:02down, made so made interest rates cheap to finance products zero bound. And
- 4:08then we had mercantilism you remember that with Japan and serving with China, where
- 4:12they take all their profits money, send it back to America buyer bonds,
- 4:17drive our interest rates down, drive the value of the dollar up, and
- 4:21they win and we become a seventy percent So all consumption kind of all that
- 4:27is now changed, and it hasn't ended, but it's slowed. And that
- 4:31shift that we're going into brings with it a whole series of new things,
- 4:38and that for example, stagnation I can talk about it, but there's a
- 4:42change in risk premiums, risk cremiums that are in the process of changing of
- 4:46a repricing risk of risk premiums associated with the bonds, primarily the bonds you're
- 4:55seeing it, but also it's going to come in intiquities and with those changing
- 5:00because we've had that. COVID was a destabilizing event. Ukraine was a destabilizing
- 5:05event, but from not from the Ukraine stuffook from the sanctions that we're opposed.
- 5:11And then we've had the most craziest period in history of a policy,
- 5:15this goal public monetary policy that frankly just is bizarre. And so then that's
- 5:21what's created the shock of shock waves COVID, Then we had the supply shock,
- 5:28that we had the inflation shock, then we had a credit shock.
- 5:31Now we're in the middle of a banking shock. I think the liquidity one
- 5:36is just only beginning. And then after that and the one that terrifies me,
- 5:41as we just said at the beginning, a collateral shock, almost a
- 5:45reverse wealth effect. Your comments, you am, I you're with me on
- 5:48this. So the question is, like all these countries around the world,
- 5:54all these industry they borrowed in dollars expecting the dollar to lose its value.
- 5:59The exact opposite happened. That's led to massive insolvencies in China, all over
- 6:04the place, and it seems to just be getting worse. It is and
- 6:10it will get worse. You know. The dollars. If you travel in
- 6:13the world and say, the dollar is so overvalued relative to what you can
- 6:19get when you travel, so it seems like you can't buy anything with it
- 6:24here in the States. But it's so overvalued. That does not mean the
- 6:28bottom is going to follow. I've been writing about dedollarization, etc. But
- 6:31that does not mean it's imminent. A matter of fact, I can see
- 6:35some serious strengthening of the dollar only because the problems in Europe are as bad
- 6:43or worse in our specifically in their banking industry, their pension system. The
- 6:47issues in Japan are only getting going. I don't mean to get negative,
- 6:50and China is just not coming out of this lockdowns the way we were everybody
- 6:58was anticipating. So it's irrelative. The dollar looks still look like a currently
- 7:04a safe havens longer term, that's a whole different story on the dollar.
- 7:10So let's let's bring this to the Big MAC index, all right, Yeah,
- 7:15they're a good example. There are two indexes that I like to follow.
- 7:18Number one is the cost of a Thanksgiving meal, because I find that
- 7:23to be a much better indication or indicator of food inflation than anything the government
- 7:30releases, and because it's a consistent basket. It's not like one Thanksgiving the
- 7:36price of cranberries goes up so they substitute blueberries. It's the same basket every
- 7:43single year. There's no substitution. And the Big Mac Index, which basically
- 7:49measures the relative cost of a big Mac in dollars country by country. Interestingly
- 7:56enough, the latest one as of January twenty twenty three, the most expensive
- 8:01big Mac was in Switzerland for seven dollars and twenty six cents, and the
- 8:07cheapest big Mac was in Venezuela or a dollar seventy six. So if you
- 8:13could kind of arbitrage Big Max, you could really make a tidy profit here,
- 8:18couldn't you, Gordon, Yeah, well, just substitute Big Max for
- 8:24other things. And there's there is a lot of that going on. Yeah,
- 8:28arbitrage. Yeah, and it is being arbitrage, make no doubt about
- 8:33it. You know, at the end of the game, at the end
- 8:35of the day. You know, things like equities are like the tail and
- 8:39the dog. The money. The money is first in the credit and the
- 8:41second in the dollar in the bombs, and and that's a that's a game
- 8:46of arbitrage between countries right now. Just we're getting a little off track.
- 8:50But that's that's what I see it. But we have inflation is still with
- 8:54us. You know, we keep saying, well, it's down, it's
- 8:56falling. CPI is coming down, cores, not CPI is coming down.
- 9:01Well just a minute, Okay, it was eight percent and six percent.
- 9:03Now we're you know, down, getting into the five percent era. Whoa
- 9:07on core? Oh, whoa, just a minute. It doesn't mean inflace
- 9:11showing away. It's just another five percent on top of five percent. And
- 9:15so pete the consumer in America in a seventy percent consumption economy, it's it
- 9:20just can't can't keep absorbing this. They just can't. And now carry what
- 9:26I saw on the conference calls. The corporations can't pass it on. They
- 9:31pushed, they've tried. They can't pass it on because people are substituting.
- 9:35They're they're they're moving away from brands. I mean you know this, well,
- 9:39they're they're moving away from brands. They're going to know names, they're
- 9:43they're they're they're stopping. I mean, look at Tyson Foods. They're the
- 9:46biggest supplier of protein, of meat, and they got serious financial problems.
- 9:50The costs that they have to cut. They have to get their costs down
- 9:54because their costs are going up. But they can't. They can't raise the
- 9:58price. But the they're not losing share, just the product isn't moving,
- 10:03So that says people can't afford meat. That's an example of it. But
- 10:07you know, you made a really good point carry about the numbers, the
- 10:11government numbers versus the big mac The government numbers have always been this leading,
- 10:16especially in inflation. You know, substitution. You mentioned we have imputation,
- 10:20we have hedonics, we have substance. There's so many games and they keep
- 10:26going on. But I have never seen since January, and Frankly, the
- 10:31Secretary of Labor resigned. He was the former Boston mayor. He was only
- 10:35there briefly. I gotta believe he just wasn't going along with it. But
- 10:39we the BLS, the numbers that they keep putting out make no sense.
- 10:43If you spend any time looking at the labor numbers, unemployment, employment rates,
- 10:50labor rates that are coming out, they're just I mean, it's not
- 10:54just me Goldman screaming about it, Morgan, all the major players are saying
- 10:58this. They don't still make any sense. But they're buying. They're using
- 11:03these numbers to buy time, and that's that's a whole discussion to sell.
- 11:07But I you're better to use a big mach I agree with you. So
- 11:11how high our interest rate's gonna go, where they're going to dip for a
- 11:16little bit because it's safe to go outside or what? You know? Curry
- 11:22that that that is the question right now. And you know, and I'm
- 11:26a year ago I decided personally, we came to the conclusion at three and
- 11:31a half percent on the long bond or the Daniere was was where we were
- 11:37going to be, and we're going to be there for we didn't know how
- 11:39long, but we're going to stabilize in there. And so we we've been
- 11:41playing a game. And actually, and I accredited this to Googen, I'm
- 11:46Scott Mitritt, who subsequently died not a lot after um. He was very
- 11:50strong in that three and a half percent and he and he pretty well convinced
- 11:54me in our study that this is where we needed to be. So we've
- 11:58been trading. If it gets up to three point six five, we're out,
- 12:03or rather we're in. If it gets down to three point to three
- 12:05five fifteen percent bandwidth we get in. So we've been finding ourselves that has
- 12:11been really, really effective. So they answer your question, where's it going?
- 12:15We think the risk premiums on bonds are only going to go up.
- 12:20We think that it's going to take us up to four. We think we're
- 12:22going to have to get into the four percent range because right now that Fed
- 12:26funds rate with the core come that the PCPI is down just a little hair
- 12:31below now the Fed Funds rate, but it's that core, and I don't
- 12:35know how much more time they can. They need more time to buy it
- 12:39to get inflation to fall down. They won't. I think we've stopped with
- 12:41rates going up, but I think the premiums will push it up now.
- 12:45Having said that, you know, when the set FED starts to signal and
- 12:50starts to come in the bond, you know the yield will drop and prices
- 12:52will go up. But but sure a little bit longer after that, you
- 12:56know, it depends how they do it. Think we still think we'll see
- 13:01four percent for a protracted period on the ten year and a shorter termed a
- 13:05whole different game. Right now we're two years. This morning was trading over
- 13:09four percent as usual did I answer the question there for you or I think
- 13:15so? So it could stove up. The rates are not coming. Rates
- 13:20may come down in some trading function. The longer term is there because of
- 13:24repricing of risk. And if the fete wants to do it, it'll kill
- 13:28a dollar, and maybe they'll sacrifice the dollar they bring. If they charged
- 13:31down these rates, inflation will be back because it takes a while to kill
- 13:35it. And if inflation comes back, what are they going to do?
- 13:39And if they drive them down, the dollar will go down, and they
- 13:41don't want that because the issue is right now the debt. That's not the
- 13:46debt ceiling, it's the absolute value of the debt. So the interest rates,
- 13:50they want them down, but they also you know, it's it's a
- 13:52dollar value of it. They can't kill a dollar. It's the golden boose.
- 13:58Yeah, So so they're op bacts gold by the way, so they're
- 14:01opting to destroy the economy, the global economy, rather than the dollar more
- 14:07or less, because they are just it is destroying them. They're they're trying
- 14:11to get as far as far along as they possibly can. They're the damage
- 14:16is as I just said, with cascading and these these shockwaves is going on.
- 14:22They just they just got to be able to get conflation under somewhat under
- 14:26control. And they know that they're going to damage the economy. They they've
- 14:31already they know that, but they don't want to. If unemployment starts shooting
- 14:35up, Andy, it will Congress will be screaming beyond belief and demanding it.
- 14:41So they'll have to confitul them. So they're buying a little bit of
- 14:43time. They got to kill the village to save it. Yeah, more
- 14:48or less, that's what they have to do. Well, they've known that
- 14:50right from the get go. Yeah, that they were going to have to
- 14:52take us into a recession. I guess the point I'm trying to make is
- 14:56they're hoping it will be a decent recession, not a hard landing. And
- 15:01I would have went along with that as a possibility maybe four months ago,
- 15:05in spite of the hall of negative I see if China had come back stronger.
- 15:11But China is just not. It's not China. Their their imports are
- 15:15way way down. It they just don't have the demand. There's no global
- 15:20there's not enough global demand. Look at Wales down. The commodities are down.
- 15:24The demand isn't there, and it's slowing up dramatically. I just read
- 15:28the empire Um empire fed numbers here a few months ago. It's like,
- 15:33whoa, what's going on here? Was it? Dude? There's a complete
- 15:37collapse now that's manufacturing. No, let's face it, in the United States
- 15:43is not really the leader in manufacturing anymore. We have clearly we have a
- 15:48presence, but it's it's still it is reflective a slowing economy. I see
- 15:54it up here in the Northeast. There's just no question things are slowing.
- 15:58Sure, yeah, you can tell a little not so much here in Florida,
- 16:00although there's a little bit more inventory in the real estate market. But
- 16:06but the houses are selling because people are still fleeing, uh your neck of
- 16:11the woods to come here. Oh, yes, very much so. And
- 16:14even up here, by the way, the housing is still moving. I
- 16:18see listings and the houses within days are gone, maybe weeks, but they're
- 16:23if they're not staying on the market that long, they're moving, even at
- 16:27the higher rates. And I've new construction still going, so that's not that's
- 16:34not an indicator where the credits coming from. They're still building is still quite
- 16:40evident. But I do see, you know, I've seen rams on residential
- 16:45apartment rents which were through the roof. They are starting to weaken because I
- 16:51think up here they overbuilt yea. So it's there are so many mixed signals
- 16:56out there right now, and I think we have to carry get up to
- 17:00a higher plane and see. And it's like you don't see an iceberg move,
- 17:06but it moves. And so we're just gradually just keep moving and moving
- 17:10and moving it and things keep getting more difficult. And because the economy,
- 17:15because the market, which is but the only thing that looks good, has
- 17:18been holding up. We think things are fine, but if you take the
- 17:22market out, everything is serious problems. So if the markets suddenly drop,
- 17:29you know, down to maybe thirty two hundred thirty six hundred on the s
- 17:33and p all of a sudden, we have a whole different view of things.
- 17:36And you know, and as you well know too, with the you
- 17:38know, we've got eight stocks holding up the market, eat stocks literally literally.
- 17:44And then why that's the other Why are they holding it up? Why
- 17:47are people flooding it in, you know, fear of missing out. We
- 17:49can you know, we all understand it. But I learned on the conference
- 17:53calls, they're all pushing, they're all going to artificial intelligence. They really
- 17:59believe it's the big productivity hit that they can get because they got to figure
- 18:03out how to solve their margins. Yeah, and I sensed on the conference
- 18:07call that the analysts are all buying into it, especially when IBM came out.
- 18:12You probably saw their headlines. They're going to get rid of They're not
- 18:15They're going to get rid of six thousand people by avoidance of hiring the artificial
- 18:21intelligence. That's what they think, Gordon, Let's say, Oh, it
- 18:25just that's what they think they're going to table And that's the perception and others
- 18:30from Amazon through from the analysts and therefore these eight companies. A big part
- 18:36of it is this this Belwie is giving people enough confidence and you know,
- 18:41fear of missing out are in the market. If something punctures at Balloon,
- 18:47there's no breath in the market. There's just no breath. Have we been
- 18:51here before? Remember the fifty fifties, I remember what it was like in
- 18:53two thousand. I guess I'm getting here and I've been through this so many
- 18:56times before. When the market gets this narial with just the generals get to
- 19:03be fewer and fewer of them out there. Suddenly one of the one of
- 19:07the general's fails and everything comes down. Hey that's what I'm looking at.
- 19:11Fifty stocks Xerox, where are they now? Yip? Exactly? Go through
- 19:17them and hey, where's a Kodak? Right, yes, where's Kodak?
- 19:22Now? I haven't heard much about them lately, have you? Well,
- 19:26actually we did, but it was basically some scam thing, right, I
- 19:30haven't haven't heard anything out. My former boss, George Fisher left us at
- 19:37Motorola to take it over. He had these great designs of what he was
- 19:41going to do with digital, digital technology and getting out of the yellow box
- 19:45business. I haven't seen a yellow box in years. It's all digital.
- 19:48But Kodaks never did it right. They owned it, remember when they own
- 19:52Oh god, yeah they have them market and yeah rocks about an all but
- 19:57franchise. Well, look at IBM, and IBM owned the market. I
- 20:03worked at IBM, you know, and then in the seventies we owned the
- 20:07market. Now they're fighting for their life and it wasn't for buy backs and
- 20:11borrowing money to pay dividends. There's nothing, I believe, there's no value
- 20:15in the stock. No, it's it's just a melk cash cow game that's
- 20:19going on institutions. Mind, I don't mean to be that negative. I
- 20:22mean it's great company, great ploys, is bad strategy more. Yeah,
- 20:29they were shortsighted they could stop their profit per share of profit by buy backs.
- 20:34Well, it was here, it was, it was, It was
- 20:37a having been. It was a tough game we were making. The margins
- 20:41were so good on mainframe, why would you come out and start selling smaller
- 20:47products. So we enibbled in the pcason but there's no margins and it's all
- 20:51volume. So you play a game, you keep dragging it out, but
- 20:52other guys come in and take the business. We didn't believe that. Senior
- 20:57people did not believe there was money in the in the in the software business.
- 21:02So this little guy, Bill Gates suddenly owns the operating system in the
- 21:06PC. Restless history Microscott, Microsoft's market kapit is compared to IBM one,
- 21:12yeah, double trimple four times. Yeah, and look at and look at
- 21:18Google, you know, and Apple and all of them, you know.
- 21:22Well, being a kind of negative fun on this movement to artificial intelligence.
- 21:26But the movement where potential that we see there. I see two is stunning.
- 21:33It's not going to be as fast, it's going to be a little
- 21:36different. And I actually when you you were the first one at actually with
- 21:40chat GDP a GPT that you were playing around with it. I remember the
- 21:45last time we talked, we had five hundred million people bring down BATA.
- 21:49There's one point six billion using it now. Is it riddle full of problem?
- 21:55Without question? But you know that's what happens to pioneers. I get
- 21:59arrows in the baggage. But when this app market, the people that developed
- 22:03the apps for the bones and they depablet, they start to take that technology
- 22:08and the next generation and target it and clean it up. It's I just
- 22:15put out a video called the the End of the Cubicle Class. Yeah,
- 22:21I saw that. I enjoyed that too, And I may be over exaggerating
- 22:26it, but there's just so many I mean, you're a lawyer, just
- 22:30think of what you can do in you know, it's just putting briefs together,
- 22:34doing the just pulling it out of the database, putting that GMPT,
- 22:37write the thing just about exactly. I had an I had a recommendation letter
- 22:45I needed to write for somebody, and I said, you know, I'm
- 22:48a total nitpicker over how I do this stuff. And I said, well,
- 22:55let's try to shut GPT. See how it will actually write a recommendation
- 23:00letter. And it was about eighty five percent as good as what I can
- 23:04write, which in this case was enough, and it saved me a half
- 23:08hour of editing, basically perfect. It's better to be able to pay somebody
- 23:14to prove something than writing it from scratch when it's just donkey work anyway,
- 23:18right, you know, there was an article in Kenya that is like the
- 23:22number one the epicenter of cheats for hire for like, yeah, you know,
- 23:32papers, term papers, college, the thesis and all that. I
- 23:36don't know that people really do their master's thesis with them, but they do
- 23:41papers. And they were bemoaning the fact that chat GPT had cut their earnings
- 23:45by two thirds for these professional cheaters, and Kenya as to them, what
- 23:51does it mean, right, it's an income source. They don't care about
- 23:55the academic dishonesty. You know, they've got to eat. And I don't
- 24:00blame them, but but you know that's an unintended consequence here, Gordon Kerry,
- 24:06I did a lot of work on productivity and as you know, the
- 24:10productivity and not only America but in the development is in free fall, has
- 24:15been here for a year and a half. It's a major issue. And
- 24:18the squeeze that are on the corporations right now that's centered from inflation, also
- 24:23going to be about money being tighter to get it on, not whole on
- 24:26highly leveraged balance sheets. Not having invested in the future is going to force
- 24:34them to chase As I said, this artificial intelligence and derivatives from it in
- 24:40a massive way. And if Goldman Sachs who said they thought there was going
- 24:44to be upwards of three hundred million people that were going to lose their jobs,
- 24:48don't believe that. But you know, twenty five thirty forty million people
- 24:53over the next three four years, high paying jobs. That's the issue.
- 25:00They're not hourly workers. They're they're they're they're they're higher middle income workers and
- 25:06higher the skill That is going to be incredibly a big hit to an economy
- 25:11that's going into stagulation. That's that's the problem there, But it's it's coming.
- 25:15So picking the winners in this in this arena, which is always difficult.
- 25:19Um you know, there's a there's a new there's another Google, there's
- 25:25another Amazon, there's another Microsoft in that crowd. Yeah, Well, interestingly,
- 25:29enough is watching a video of two pilots discussing AI. Can it replace
- 25:34a pilot? And the thing is like, but they say, AI does?
- 25:40Is? It guesses? And the quality of the guess is like you
- 25:45ask it a question and then it follows it with words. It's about eighty
- 25:48percent correct, but you come up with some ridiculous results that are inaccurate and
- 25:53untrue. And the thing is, it's not self aware. It doesn't know
- 25:59that it's making the mistakes. It doesn't even know what it's doing. My
- 26:03brother once said, you know, you could teach a monkey to play Beethoven
- 26:07on an organ, but it's never going to know that it's playing Beethoven.
- 26:11And I think AI at its current phase is very useful, don't get me
- 26:17wrong. Especially the ability to analyze huge amounts of data, almost unimaginable amounts,
- 26:23at a rapid clip, and then come up with an answer to a
- 26:27question. There's definitely an application for it. It's way better than what we
- 26:32have now. But phil it becomes self aware, it's going to be it's
- 26:37going to have its limits. It's not replacing pilots. Maybe it can augment
- 26:42or mostly supplant drivers and cars. I mean, I love my Tesla so
- 26:48called full full self driving beta. It's not there yet. I mean,
- 26:53it makes a lot of mistakes. When it first came out, I said
- 26:57it was the equivalent to a sixteen year old who just got their license.
- 27:06It had the confidence of a sixteen year old who just got her license,
- 27:10but not the actual judgment. You know. And it's gotten a lot better,
- 27:15I'll say that, But you can't trust the thing. And you can't
- 27:19trust these things either at the current point. Not that you won't be able
- 27:23to later. Well, it's it's always exactly. It's always like that.
- 27:29My days at IBM, Mike was convinced we did beta sites by selling the
- 27:33equipment and putting it out there and in fixing the problems when the customers site.
- 27:37Um there was the mainframe rare was there were so many problems you just
- 27:44could You couldn't believe it, but you had to saw You saw them after
- 27:48the fact, and then you got better and better and better at it.
- 27:51Yeah, and that's that's what comes with new technology. So I'm not trying
- 27:56to in no way. I'm saying there's going to be changed with it,
- 27:59and there's going to be some real winners in it. Uh, and it
- 28:02is going to make its mark. But it's not a panacea tomorrow, next,
- 28:07next, twenty four forty eight months. But I do see in it
- 28:11though, Kerry Is, I've been watched looking at patents and and I don't
- 28:15know if you've been well, the number of patents that are being produced in
- 28:19America. It's just we're not doing it. They're just plummeted. They're coming
- 28:22in China, they're coming in India, they're coming in all other countries right
- 28:27across the board. Not just in technology. We're not investing in newer technologies.
- 28:33Now AI who's going to be the leader in it, will say wow,
- 28:37Google, and we'll need some players. They'll be some American player.
- 28:40This the bigger players could come out of will come out of other countries.
- 28:45And so where is the investment for America? And this could end up being
- 28:48a believed for us where it gives us some productivity advantages. But our company,
- 28:53our company is going to survive. It's it's it's like it's like batteries.
- 28:57It's like batteries. On the av We're gonna go to electoral bolt.
- 29:00What was making to make all the money on evs in China? They own
- 29:04the lithium mines, they own the cobalt lines. They got a lock on
- 29:08it. So always just said, well we'll bv be hydrogen. They got
- 29:11a lock on that. So you know, where's our leadership that That's the
- 29:17thing that I spent a lot of time at trying to figure out where a
- 29:18sustaining competitive advantage is. And it's getting narrower and narrower. And I see
- 29:23it again because I said on patents, I see it on these spacks.
- 29:29You know, you know they ad the legitimate I used to be in private
- 29:32equity and you know we you know, take a company public is a very
- 29:36complex process through the financing bro We don't do that anymore because Sarbanes oxy we
- 29:41get around it with spacks. I'm seeing unicorns, but they're not producing,
- 29:45they don't sustain, and then they're getting taken off shore. How many IPOs
- 29:48are we doing anymore? So that's worrying me in a big way too right
- 29:53now of really trying to sustain our economy. And the goals goes back to
- 29:57we're talking about the beginning. I'm a really positive guy here today. All
- 30:00right, You're a breath of fresh air. That's because I spend so much
- 30:06time in the credit our case. You gotta stop looking at though, gotta
- 30:10stop looking well exactly that. I think you've given us a lot to chew
- 30:14over here. Just tell us where we find your work. How we subscribe
- 30:18to you? Yeah, thank you very much, Kerry. Yeah. I
- 30:22exclusively put over all our research up at Matta mattasii dot com. That's m
- 30:26Apa SII dot com. Videos, newsletters, and we do them more as
- 30:36part of our research process, and they're there. There is part they're free.
- 30:41There is a subscription business for other unique pieces. But I can encourage
- 30:44everybody to join us. The only thing we ask is feedback on it because
- 30:48we learn a lot from from Frankly, the people that are reading our work.
- 30:52All right, well that's what we'd like to hear. I've got a
- 30:55questions recording myself k l at krylods dot com. Write your comments on the
- 30:59YouTube channel below. Subscribe to our newsletter at Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 31:04Gordon, always a pleasure, Thanks for coming on back to you again,
- 31:07Karrie. Thank you Bye, thanks for listening to Carrie Lets's Financial Survival Network,
- 31:12your solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial
- 31:18Survival Network dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever,