Latest / Simply Bitcoin / British Hodl | One Bitcoin is Enough | Simply Bitcoin IRL
Transcript
- 0:00Yeah. Welcome to another episode of
- 0:01simply Bitcoin IRL. Today we have a very special
- 0:05show for you guys. We have British huddle.
- 0:08He's absolutely crushing the game on Bitcoin Twitter and also
- 0:12Bitcoin YouTube as well and really been looking forward to
- 0:15this episode. I love the message of try do
- 0:18whatever you can to try to get to 1 Bitcoin.
- 0:21So we're going to explore those topics today.
- 0:23I've been looking forward to this conversation all day.
- 0:26But before we get started, I do want to give a very special
- 0:29shout out to Simply Bitcoin's lead sponsor.
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- 1:01everybody no more delay. Let me bring up British huddle
- 1:04on stage. How you doing man?
- 1:05How's life I'm doing? Listen, life is great.
- 1:08I'm doing well. Thank you for having me.
- 1:10Firstly, I think you guys have one of, if not the best Bitcoin,
- 1:14you know, channel on on YouTube. And I'm glad we survived the
- 1:17assassination attempt. You got clipped in the air, but
- 1:20we're back and we're we're fighting, so that's good.
- 1:24Yeah, man, it was it was it was a quite, a quite a busy weekend
- 1:28it was. I did not stop either on Twitter
- 1:31or on the phone texting and just kind of figuring out what the
- 1:34situation is, but super grateful for for the entire Bitcoin
- 1:38community that had our back and of course, team YouTube that,
- 1:42you know, fixed the issue pretty quickly.
- 1:45Anyways, Otto, I think you've like made the phrase famous,
- 1:49right? Get to one Bitcoin.
- 1:51It's obviously clearly resonated with a lot of people.
- 1:54So I want to start off the conversation with that.
- 1:57Why is it so important for people to get to 1 Bitcoin?
- 2:03Look, we're dealing with an asset that finally in in the
- 2:09entirety of human history, we finally have an asset where
- 2:14there is actually a limited supply.
- 2:16This is the first time in human history that we've ever seen
- 2:19anything like this. And what that tells you is, is
- 2:21that you can't just get to this whenever you want to.
- 2:26You can't just find Bitcoin whenever you're ready for it and
- 2:30hope that you know the future generations will be able to get
- 2:33enough of it because there is only 21 million of it.
- 2:36So there is a race on and if you're not at one Bitcoin yet,
- 2:40in my opinion, you're losing the race and you're going to be
- 2:43irrelevant in a future Bitcoin world.
- 2:45You have to get to 1 Bitcoin. And I and I think the supply,
- 2:49the, the, the, the limited supply of Bitcoin dictates that
- 2:53you must have at least one Bitcoin.
- 2:55And right now you have a chance of getting that anywhere in the
- 2:58West. And after we go on this next
- 3:00little run up, I think that's going to be completely priced
- 3:03away from a lot of people. Absolutely.
- 3:07I mean, I, I feel like it already is in a way like
- 3:09$59,204.00. Like what is that?
- 3:13I think that's a little bit low, a little bit less than the
- 3:15average salary for an American, and definitely a lot higher than
- 3:19the average salary of most countries worldwide.
- 3:22So, yeah. And I remember in the early days
- 3:25I did whatever, not in the early days of Bitcoin, but my early
- 3:28days in Bitcoin around 2016, I did whatever it took.
- 3:31I think like I took 80% of my salary of what I was making at
- 3:34the time and I just dumped it into Bitcoin.
- 3:38I, I had no idea about where Bitcoin was going in the future.
- 3:41I think I did it out of desperation because I didn't
- 3:43like my current life situation. But looking, looking past, I
- 3:46think that was one of the best decisions I've made in my life.
- 3:49And I know what a lot of people are thinking because at that
- 3:53time back in 2017, I thought, holy cow, you know, I think my
- 3:59first Bitcoin price was around $600.00.
- 4:02I was like, this is this is insane.
- 4:04Like this is very expensive. Just hearing the stories of
- 4:07people getting sub $100 Bitcoin and I'm like, I'm buying this at
- 4:11$600.00, I'm buying this at 1000, I'm buying this at 3500.
- 4:15I'm buying this at 10K. I've missed the boat completely.
- 4:18Looking back, I'm like, why didn't I do more to accumulate
- 4:22more Bitcoin at those prices? I think the same thing is going
- 4:26to happen 510 years from now. People are going to be looking
- 4:30at the days where you can get sub 100K Bitcoin and being like,
- 4:34what was I? What like, why was I?
- 4:36Why was I not doing enough? What would you think of that
- 4:39British huddle? Yeah, I mean, right now
- 4:41everyone's sitting around doing what they're doing, thinking,
- 4:44you know, they've got enough Bitcoin for the future.
- 4:46They've got enough Bitcoin for their children.
- 4:47They've got enough Bitcoin for their progeny that for whoever
- 4:50comes after them to carry their last name.
- 4:52And they're going to one day realize that instead of fucking
- 4:54around on on Twitter or whatever else that they're doing, what
- 4:58they should have been doing is accumulating Bitcoin to get to
- 5:01that minimum of one Bitcoin, if not more.
- 5:03I'm not saying stop at one Bitcoin, but I'm saying you've
- 5:05got to get to that one Bitcoin. Whatever.
- 5:08If you're not at one Bitcoin, whatever you're doing today, you
- 5:11are going to regret in five years.
- 5:13I don't care what it is. I don't care how happy it makes
- 5:15you feel. I don't care how much of A happy
- 5:17hippie you are. I don't care how many hugs you
- 5:19got, how many people told you you're a wonderful person, if
- 5:22you don't have one Bitcoin in five years, you're going to
- 5:24regret it. 100% Now let's talk about the potential of one
- 5:30Bitcoin right. I think a lot of people are
- 5:32saying what do you mean like $59,000, you know, worth of
- 5:37purchasing powers is enough. Like what are you talking about?
- 5:40And I remember the the price estimations that Sailor gave in
- 5:46his most recent talk from from Bitcoin 2024.
- 5:50The bull case was 49 million in 21 years.
- 5:54The base case was, I believe, 13 million and the bear case was 3
- 6:00million. Is that what you're
- 6:03anticipating? Like when you say 1 Bitcoin, is
- 6:06this one Bitcoin for someone that lives in the West?
- 6:08Is this one Bitcoin for someone that lives in the developing
- 6:12world where you know, $59,000 is going to take you a very, very
- 6:17long way if you're in Argentina or if you're in Venezuela or in
- 6:21Southeast Asia. But you know, $59,000 isn't
- 6:24going to exactly take you a very long way if you're, you know, in
- 6:27the United States, Europe, etcetera, etcetera.
- 6:30So what do you mean that what, what are your expectations and
- 6:33what is the time frame here? British huddle, Because I think
- 6:36a lot of people, you know, they, they, they want to escape the
- 6:40rat race now, right? So what do you have to say about
- 6:43that? Yeah, Look, at the end of the
- 6:45day, a lot of people want, you know, and I'm really, I don't
- 6:47know if you know my history about price predictions, but
- 6:50they're absolutely amazing. I thought I said we were going
- 6:52to get to $100,000 by May 7th and one of these May sevenths we
- 6:56will get to $100,000 by May 7th, right.
- 6:59So my, my short term price predictions are absolute total
- 7:02garbage, but I find them entertaining and that's why I
- 7:05keep putting them out there. The main point is this, I come
- 7:09from the United Kingdom. Anyone in the United Kingdom or
- 7:12the US or AG7 nation should have their sights set on a minimum of
- 7:17one Bitcoin. Completely understand if someone
- 7:20you know in the rural heartlands of Indonesia can't get to one
- 7:24Bitcoin because that's just not how it works.
- 7:26And there's probably some adjustment of get to X amount of
- 7:29Bitcoin that that person needs to do, but I don't talk to that
- 7:32person. That person manages to benefit
- 7:34from the things that I say and that's fine.
- 7:36But I'm trying to create the North Star for the most amount
- 7:39of people that I speak to, right?
- 7:43And I think that is one Bitcoin, you know, and and of course,
- 7:46there's different conversations being had in Bitcoin.
- 7:48The beautiful thing about Bitcoin is, no matter who you
- 7:51are, you can have the conversation that you want to
- 7:52have. And for me, the conversation
- 7:54that I want to have is the for the people like my parents who
- 7:57have done the right thing, quote, UN quote for 40 years,
- 8:01immigrated to the United Kingdom, bought property in the
- 8:03UK, invested, spent time, raised two children, done the right
- 8:07thing, sacrifice. And are now finding out that all
- 8:10of that hard work was basically, you know, drained away because
- 8:14of the amount of money printing that's happened.
- 8:16And the and the value of the properties has not gone up as
- 8:18much as it should have. That is who I speak to.
- 8:21So if someone who's not got a pot to piss in has a problem
- 8:25with me saying get to one Bitcoin, I'm not the person
- 8:27you're you're looking for, you might need to go look for
- 8:30someone else who can give you a more encouraging message.
- 8:33For me, the people that I speak to, what they need to hear is
- 8:37this is the hardest asset, most secure asset, the most limited
- 8:40asset humanity has ever created. And you better, we better pivot
- 8:44some of that real estate, you better pivot some of that stock
- 8:46portfolio and you better get to one Bitcoin right now.
- 8:49Because if you don't, you're going to be left behind just
- 8:51like you always are. Because now that Blackrock's in
- 8:54the game, now that Fidelity's in the game, now that all these
- 8:57wire houses are coming down the pipeline, now that Morgan
- 9:00Stanley's in the game, they're skipping everyone between
- 9:03500,000 and $30 million net worth.
- 9:06All of those majority real estate owners are getting
- 9:08completely skipped over. It's the, it's the multi 100
- 9:11millionaires that are being called right now to get into
- 9:14Bitcoin. So my message is for the people
- 9:16who've got that 500,000 to $30 million net worth and the
- 9:20urgency of getting to one Bitcoin.
- 9:22And if anyone else hears my message and gets the benefit of
- 9:24it too, that's absolutely great. But my main point is for people
- 9:27like my parents who need to wake up now.
- 9:31Yeah, absolutely. And let me let's talk about that
- 9:34a little bit more, right, which is just and, and, and there's
- 9:38something also like huddle that you were mentioning that, you
- 9:41know, again, I'm I come from a different perspective, right,
- 9:45which is I, I, I believe that Bitcoin is for everyone.
- 9:48But realistically, I think, you know, we're going to get to a
- 9:51point where the fees on chain are going to be so expensive to
- 10:00a point that I think the majority of people that use
- 10:04Bitcoin in the future are actually going to be using it on
- 10:06the second and third layers. But I believe right now people
- 10:11do have a small window where, you know, they can get into
- 10:16Bitcoin and accumulate enough Bitcoin where in the future,
- 10:20even with the increase in fees, they'll be able to transact
- 10:25using the using the main chain. So, but I think it is like kind
- 10:29of like an exclusive message in a way, basically saying that,
- 10:33you know, your messaging isn't for everyone like you, you
- 10:39double down on that and you just say, you know what, like this is
- 10:42just my audience who I'm talking to.
- 10:44I'm talking to a relatively wealthier, older individual that
- 10:48has time to, has had time to accumulate wealth.
- 10:52You know, they're diversified, whether it's in equities or in
- 10:55real estate, and you're advising them to transfer some of that
- 10:58wealth into Bitcoin. That's your target audience.
- 11:01That's what you're saying. Yeah, look, at the end of the
- 11:04day, Bitcoin is for everyone. This is the first time we've got
- 11:07an asset that a multi billionaire like Michael Saylor
- 11:10or you know, a multi 100 millionaire or a multi deca
- 11:14millionaire or a multi single digit millionaire or someone
- 11:18who's worth a few, a few 100,000 or someone who's worth, you
- 11:21know, a few thousand or someone who's absolutely broke can buy
- 11:25the exact same asset at the same cost.
- 11:28This is the first time in human history that we've ever
- 11:30experienced that I'm not, you know, ignoring that absolute
- 11:35magic about Bitcoin. The the fact that Michael Sayler
- 11:38can buy Bitcoin at the same price that I buy Bitcoin and I
- 11:41buy Bitcoin maybe 1% of a difference compared to what
- 11:46Michael Sayler gets in terms of transaction fees because of the
- 11:48volume of purchasing is unbelievable.
- 11:51That doesn't happen in real estate.
- 11:52That doesn't happen in equities. It doesn't happen in any other
- 11:55market. This is the first.
- 11:56It doesn't happen in gold. In gold, people who are people
- 12:00who are poorer are forced to pay up to 40% premiums on their
- 12:04gold. And I was in the gold industry,
- 12:06right? So I know how I know how this
- 12:07works. They're, they're being for if
- 12:09you buy a gram of gold versus an ounce of gold, the premiums on
- 12:13the gram of gold are unbelievable.
- 12:15These people are paying 40. It's like handing over $100 bill
- 12:19and getting back $60 worth of gold, which means that gold has
- 12:22to go up $40 per gram before you break even.
- 12:26That's the trap that normally poorer people are placed into,
- 12:30but now you can do that with Bitcoin.
- 12:33Now, saying that while I appreciate that my specific
- 12:37message and the audience that I'm speaking to are the people
- 12:40like my parents and that's who I choose to focus on, but that
- 12:42doesn't mean Bitcoin's not for everyone.
- 12:45Yeah, absolutely, absolutely. And OK, I hear you.
- 12:49I hear you. All right, So let's talk about
- 12:51that because you're talking about essentially how difficult
- 12:55it, it would be for gold to essentially double or triple
- 12:58from its current market cap, not to mention the fact that gold
- 13:02has a baked in inflation, right? I think it's about roughly, I
- 13:05think 2 or 3%. And bitcoins inflation rate is
- 13:09destined to essentially go down to zero.
- 13:11I believe right now it's at 1.42% or 1.43%.
- 13:16So let's talk about that, right? Because one of the main themes
- 13:20this cycle is the idea of diminishing returns.
- 13:23Now I have my own perspective on this.
- 13:26I think a lot of people have PTSD from the prior cycle and I
- 13:30think the prior cycle was heavily affected by the China
- 13:33mining ban that literally happened in the middle of the
- 13:37run up last time. And you literally see the hash
- 13:40rate falling off a Cliff, the price following, obviously,
- 13:44because all those miners had to sell Bitcoin in order to
- 13:46relocate to more favourable jurisdictions.
- 13:49I don't think that's going to be the case this time as most of
- 13:52Bitcoin mining is, is is located in a very more friendly
- 13:56jurisdiction. Of course, I'm talking about the
- 13:58state of Texas. A big portion of Bitcoin mining
- 14:00is located there. And it's the, the central, the,
- 14:03the hash rate is, is more decentralized that it was back
- 14:07then. So my question to you is, what
- 14:10would you say about people talking about this, this whole
- 14:13aspects of diminishing returns, right?
- 14:15So, you know, a lot of people are saying, you know, bitcoins
- 14:17going to top out at 100K, you know, 120K Max this cycle.
- 14:22Personally, I'm a little bit more biased, but I, I, I do see
- 14:26that's the general consensus. This trend, just like last
- 14:30cycle, the general trend was, oh, we're going to break 100K
- 14:35guaranteed and we only peaked out at I think it was like
- 14:3869,000 or something like that. So what would, what's your take?
- 14:41What's your opinion on the whole diminishing returns
- 14:45conversation? Yeah.
- 14:46Look, there's one, you know, quote, UN quote model that has
- 14:50been great gaining traction on the idea of diminishing returns.
- 14:53And before I have to grab the spaghetti, one thing I will say.
- 14:58Where is the spaghetti British huddle?
- 14:59Where is it I? Can get, I can get the spaghetti
- 15:01if you want me to, but I don't want to be insulting.
- 15:03So we'll, we'll leave that for, for, for uncle, Uncle Giuseppe.
- 15:08But look, the point is this. Everyone can come up with their
- 15:13ideas about diminishing returns or not or or whatever else.
- 15:17Just think about this logically. Forget whoever's right, forget
- 15:21how many math degrees someone has.
- 15:23Let's just simplify this to the bare bones.
- 15:26You have an asset that has a 21 million Bitcoin cap.
- 15:32That's it. The thing that's buying it, the
- 15:36thing that's trying to escape energy from one thing to to into
- 15:40this thing that's absolutely limited is completely unlimited.
- 15:44There is an unlimited amount of Fiat money in the world, right?
- 15:48Just because just right now they've they've they've, they've
- 15:51multiplied the amount of money that they've created through
- 15:54derivatives and everything else. There were $900 trillion U.S.
- 15:58dollar empire, right? There is an unlimited amount of
- 16:01money in the world. And then when you take into
- 16:03account the studies that Bank of America and all these other
- 16:05people have done on the supply dynamics of Bitcoin, that when
- 16:09things start getting tight, the multiplier effect, the bull
- 16:14market multiplier effect, as Bank of America put out last
- 16:17time, is $118 to one, which has never ever been seen on any
- 16:21other asset humanity has ever seen before.
- 16:24To put that into what I mean by that is for every 118, for every
- 16:27dollar that goes into Bitcoin, the market cap goes up by 118
- 16:31dollars because of the supply dynamics.
- 16:33It's like, it's like, let's say I got this cigar lighter, right?
- 16:38This cigar lighter. There's ten of these cigar
- 16:40lighters, but the true market price of this cigar lighter is
- 16:43not based on the full 10 because eight people are never going to
- 16:46sell it. So it's based on the two.
- 16:48It's based on how much money is chasing the two remaining
- 16:51lighters. That's the issue with Bitcoin.
- 16:53You can't just create more out of thin air like you can do with
- 16:56real estate. You can't just create more
- 16:57unicorns by by creating venture capital incentives.
- 17:01You can't just create more gold by digging more gold out of the
- 17:04ground. And now you've got people like
- 17:05BlackRock. Black Rocks I think has had one
- 17:08day of net outflows from their ETF since inception in January.
- 17:15Every single time the market goes down, they buy.
- 17:17Yesterday they bought 3 1/2 thousand coins.
- 17:20The day before that they bought 4000 coins.
- 17:22This is a behemoth that has come into this game and I've been
- 17:27shouting about this for a year on my YouTube channel that
- 17:30BlackRock is coming for everything.
- 17:32They want all the coins because that's the only way in a
- 17:35monetary network that you can actually control the network.
- 17:39You have to control it by owning as by owning a lot of it.
- 17:42That doesn't mean they can screw around with the network, but in
- 17:44order to have influence, in order to have power in this new
- 17:46emerging world, you want to own as much of it as possible.
- 17:49It's like the first person that discovered that property could
- 17:52be built on top of land. Their main goal should be to
- 17:55acquire as much land as as possible because that property
- 17:58is going to be built on top of it.
- 17:59So not only do you have the Bank of America multiple, which is
- 18:03getting tighter and tighter as people like BlackRock and
- 18:06everyone else keeps buying these assets.
- 18:08And another thing I've been shouting about for a year is
- 18:10that there will be a rotation of owners.
- 18:13And that's what's going on this year. 2024 will be known as the
- 18:16year where the Bitcoin owners rotated from the lettuce hands
- 18:21to the diamond hands. And the diamond hands.
- 18:24We all thought we knew what diamond hands were.
- 18:26The real diamond hands are the ones that are in the BlackRock
- 18:29ETF, are in the Fidelity TETF, are in all these institutional
- 18:33funds because they never, ever need to sell.
- 18:36They already got the yacht, they already got the two houses.
- 18:38The kids have already been to school.
- 18:40They already got enough money to do whatever else they want to
- 18:43do. They have to own this to protect
- 18:45the wealth that they've already accumulated.
- 18:47And now they're here. That's the real diamond hands.
- 18:50Those are the BlackRock boys are the real diamond hands.
- 18:53And they're going to come here to try and take as much Bitcoin
- 18:55as possible. And every time the Bitcoin price
- 18:58slides, they're going to buy Bitcoin and they're never, ever
- 19:00going to going to let it go. And that's going to cause the
- 19:02multiplier effect to tighten up. And the price is just going to
- 19:05continue going up and up and up. So as far as anyone believing in
- 19:08diminishing returns go, maybe. But there will be a cycle where
- 19:12those diminishing returns, the idea of diminishing returns gets
- 19:16completely turned on its head simply because of the supply
- 19:20cap. There is a supply cap and
- 19:22there's an unlimited amount of Fiat money and that will cause a
- 19:25squeeze at some point. I absolutely love that man.
- 19:28That's a great description. Now going back to the, the
- 19:32BlackRock conversation, right? How much did that change the
- 19:36game when BlackRock entered, you know, and I, I, I truly believe
- 19:40they, they definitely influence. You see the way that Gary
- 19:43Gensler reacted to it and current administration isn't,
- 19:46isn't exactly the friendliest towards the industry, you know,
- 19:50and of course, BlackRock has this tremendous amount of
- 19:52influence, political influence. And you could see that they
- 19:56essentially forced the acceptance of the ETF.
- 20:01And what I would say is like, what is the significance of
- 20:04that? Like what is the significance of
- 20:06BlackRock putting essentially the stamp of approval on Bitcoin
- 20:11as an asset? And you see Larry Fink going on
- 20:14the legacy financial media and he's using a lot of the vocab, a
- 20:18lot of the vocab that US Bitcoiners use on Bitcoin
- 20:21Twitter and Bitcoin shows as well.
- 20:23What was the? Significance of that huddle?
- 20:26How did that change the game? Yeah.
- 20:28Look, a lot of people don't realize, right?
- 20:30A lot of people in retail finance don't understand how big
- 20:32the institutional financial world is.
- 20:34The top 500 asset managers in the world could control $150
- 20:38trillion of assets. To put that into perspective,
- 20:41around 20% of the volume on the US markets is retail, right?
- 20:45So 80% is institutional. All of those 500 asset managers
- 20:49and every single person that works in every single office of
- 20:52each one of those financial of asset managers takes direction
- 20:57from BlackRock. So for, for the fact that Larry
- 20:59Fink is out here saying Bitcoin is a flight to quality, we're
- 21:03seeing people, you know, move towards a one to 3% allocation,
- 21:06etcetera, etcetera. This is this is where the world
- 21:09is going. It's the the 2nd that BlackRock
- 21:12filed that application. If you want to go back and look
- 21:14at the history on my YouTube channel, the second they filed
- 21:17that I started screaming this is happening because I think they
- 21:20they had about 566 or 567. I can't remember the exact
- 21:26number. But just to put this into
- 21:27context, let's say they had 567 applications for an ETF.
- 21:33There was only one denied and the one that was denied.
- 21:36The entire industry was denied and no one ever applied for an
- 21:38ETF ever again. So they've got a pretty solid
- 21:41track record on things happening.
- 21:43So as soon as they applied and knew it was happening, right?
- 21:46And by the way, the ETF was my main, main goal when I first
- 21:49understood Bitcoin because I thought it was a scam right from
- 21:52the start, right? I thought this whole thing was a
- 21:54scam. It doesn't make any sense.
- 21:55I'm in gold, etcetera, etcetera. And then one time I was
- 21:59listening to the Bitcoin standard and he mentions the
- 22:02idea of stock to flow. And with my gold experience, the
- 22:05moment he said stock to flow, I don't mean the price model or
- 22:08anything like that, just the idea of stock to flow, it was
- 22:11like the matrix just opened up for me.
- 22:12I could finally understand what was going on here.
- 22:14And I realized I was looking at Bitcoin like an equity when I
- 22:17shouldn't have, when I should have been looking at it like a
- 22:20commodity. And the moment that happened,
- 22:22everything sort of made sense for me.
- 22:23And I bought my first Bitcoin walking from where I heard where
- 22:27I heard that, that that message to home.
- 22:29I'd already owned my first Bitcoin because it was like the
- 22:32light bulb just went on. But the point is this, BlackRock
- 22:37is the difference maker. BlackRock is the thing that's
- 22:41going to open the floodgates. BlackRock wrote a letter to all
- 22:44of their companies that they invest in, by the way, they own
- 22:46every single piece of every single company in the world,
- 22:49pretty much. They wrote a letter to them and
- 22:51they said, right, you now have to start caring about the
- 22:54weather, right? And guess what?
- 22:57Every company in the world started caring about the
- 22:59weather. So guess what happens in the
- 23:01next letter when they say you now have to start caring about
- 23:04the environment and the only way you care about the environment
- 23:06is to support Bitcoin mining. Every company in the world
- 23:10starts caring about Bitcoin mining.
- 23:11What happens when Black Rock says in order for you to care
- 23:14about the environment now, you now need to own some Bitcoin on
- 23:17your treasury? Every company in the world
- 23:19starts owning Bitcoin on their treasury.
- 23:22This is the power of BlackRock, that they understand how to move
- 23:25capital to get things done in the world.
- 23:27In addition to that, Larry Fink has a very, very long history of
- 23:31taking assets that were like Bitcoin were just properties,
- 23:35securitizing them and building debt markets on top of them like
- 23:38you did with mortgage-backed securities in the 70s.
- 23:41So this is all coming. The game plan is very clear.
- 23:43In fact, when they said that, I said we're three months away
- 23:46from a major publication saying that Bitcoin is now good for the
- 23:50environment. Three weeks after they did that,
- 23:53KPMG put out the report saying Bitcoin may be good for the
- 23:56environment because this is how the game works.
- 23:59They knew they were going to do this.
- 24:00They knew it in 20, 2018. They knew it in 2021 and of
- 24:04course when they filed, they knew exactly they were ready to
- 24:06go. So that's who you're competing
- 24:08with at this point. You're no longer competing with
- 24:10the morons on Twitter, right? You're no longer competing with
- 24:13the people like me and Nico shouting at you to get Bitcoin.
- 24:16You're competing with the people that are going to ring their
- 24:18multi billion dollar clients up and say, hey, Larry wants you to
- 24:21get a one to 3% allocation in Bitcoin and they're going to
- 24:24say, OK, that's the end of the conversation.
- 24:27That's who we're competing with. And that's how important and
- 24:31revolutionary and and impactful Black Rock has been to Bitcoin.
- 24:35Yeah, absolutely. I just want to emphasize YouTube
- 24:37when he says more on, of course he's he's referring.
- 24:40He's he's saying it metaphorically, I'm talking.
- 24:42About. Myself too, so but OK, so yes, I
- 24:46completely agree. I don't think it's a coincidence
- 24:49that when the when the they just dropped the whole ESG thing,
- 24:55which is just hilarious. No, Bitcoin is.
- 24:58Bitcoin is ESG 2.0. I guarantee you that Bitcoin is
- 25:02ESG 2.0. Mark my words.
- 25:04Within the next half a decade to a decade, Bitcoin will become
- 25:08ESG 2.0 guaranteed. So and I, I kind of want to
- 25:12focus on an aspect, right? It was just you.
- 25:15Your focus was on BlackRock. BlackRock entering the game.
- 25:18I completely agree with you. It was extremely influential,
- 25:21especially from the institutional aspect, right?
- 25:23You had Goldman Sachs that came out recently that they have
- 25:27exposure to Bitcoin via the ETF multiple banks, I believe it is
- 25:32Wells Fargo. You have the Wisconsin pension
- 25:34fund, the second largest bank in in Europe, PNB Perabias.
- 25:39Forgive me for the there you go. Forgive me for the
- 25:42pronunciation. So you have and and that's just
- 25:45the name of fuse. So you definitely have major
- 25:46exposure from these traditional financial institutions and
- 25:51they're all going through BlackRock.
- 25:53Now, from a Bitcoiners perspective, and I understand
- 25:56British Huddle, you, you, you don't take this angle, but we do
- 25:59here at simply Bitcoin because we're we're focusing on Bitcoin
- 26:03more so from the revolutionary aspect, the separation of money
- 26:05and state. What would be your opinion on
- 26:08the centralization of this amount of Bitcoin in custody?
- 26:13So not only is coin, not only is BlackRock using Coinbase as a
- 26:19custodian, but actually eight out of the 9 ETFs that were
- 26:23approved are using Coinbase as well.
- 26:26I think the only one that isn't is Fidelity.
- 26:29So and and of course, you know, if you take a look at American
- 26:32history back in the late 1920s, early 1930s, you have the
- 26:36infamous six one O 2 order that of course, you know, all
- 26:40Bitcoiners know this. And you had essentially the
- 26:43seizure of gold, you know, by the US government basically
- 26:47making it illegal for Americans to hold gold.
- 26:49And then Americans were given, you know, paper instead.
- 26:51Fort Knox was built for this for for this entire region, for this
- 26:55entire purpose. What would be your response to
- 26:58that? Like in the way that I'm seeing
- 27:00it from a Bitcoiners perspective is like this is a giant honeypot
- 27:04potentially for future governments to potentially
- 27:07seize, especially if they find themselves in a pickle.
- 27:11Yeah. The good news about America is
- 27:13that it's all, it's not run by the government, right?
- 27:15Anyone thinks America's run by the president should have
- 27:17learned by now in the last six months that it that it clearly
- 27:21isn't. So America is run by its
- 27:25financial markets. And the one thing that you don't
- 27:28see happen in America is asset seizures.
- 27:32The gold thing, Yes, it happened.
- 27:34However, what you've got to realize is only 12, only about
- 27:3712% of the gold was actually handed over to the government,
- 27:40right? So am I worried about that?
- 27:42No, I think it would be. I think it would.
- 27:46You would have to get to literally the end of the world
- 27:49before America decided to seize Bitcoin or seize any assets from
- 27:55an exchange traded fund. That is, that is the foundation
- 28:00of America. America is its capital markets
- 28:02And so I don't think that happens.
- 28:04However, I will say if you're very, very comfortable with self
- 28:07custody, that's the first route that you should take.
- 28:09I think that everyone should have an element of a mixture,
- 28:13right? I, that's, that's my, that's my
- 28:15standard, standard thinking. I think everyone should have a
- 28:17mixture. Everyone should have a certain
- 28:19percentage in self custody that you completely control.
- 28:22And then maybe a certain percentage or in a retirement
- 28:25account or whatever else in an ETF.
- 28:27And as far as the ETF's all using Coinbase, that is A cause
- 28:30of concern. And So what I do is I have my
- 28:33GB, I split up my GBTC position into the IBIT fund, which is
- 28:37BlackRock and FBTC, which is Fidelity.
- 28:40I would split up your ownership of the ETF based on the
- 28:44custodian, not on the company that's promoting the ETF.
- 28:47And so that's what I decided to do.
- 28:48My GBTC positions got evenly split between IBIT and FBTC and
- 28:54of course myself. Custody Bitcoin is secured by
- 28:57multi sig in three different jurisdictions.
- 29:00Yeah. And I, I think that's the way to
- 29:01do it. I, I, I completely agree.
- 29:02As a Bitcoiner, you have to leverage multi sig.
- 29:05And yes, if you do geographically separate your
- 29:09seeds, you put yourself in a you essentially become a sovereign,
- 29:13sovereign individual. Really.
- 29:15So, yeah. So let me kind of go back to
- 29:19this, this idea of mixture, which I would say is is
- 29:22unpopular with certain Bitcoiners, but I would say is
- 29:27more popular with the older generation, specifically high
- 29:31net worth individuals that are kind of like in the boomer,
- 29:35boomer Gen. X generation.
- 29:37I would say if you're younger, I younger people in general go
- 29:42down the full self custody aspect like myself because we
- 29:46see it from a different perspective.
- 29:48I think the older generation sees it more from an investing
- 29:51perspective rather than the younger generation where they
- 29:54kind of see it a little bit more from a revolutionary
- 29:56perspective. So I kind of want to talk about
- 29:58that a little bit. And I know that this is
- 30:00something that perhaps you don't cover a lot about on your show.
- 30:03What do you think about the idea of the separation of money and
- 30:06state? Because I think a lot of the
- 30:09hurt that people are going through, specifically the
- 30:12younger generations, is literally caused by the
- 30:17government's ability to just create money out of thin air.
- 30:20And as you know, British Huddle, anyone who owns assets gets
- 30:24wealthier on paper, not actually wealthier purchasing power
- 30:28terms. And anyone who doesn't own
- 30:30assets, they save and earn in Fiat.
- 30:32Like they just get absolutely demolished.
- 30:36And this is one of the reasons that Bitcoin was created.
- 30:38It's in the genesis block, right?
- 30:40Chancellor on the brink of the 2nd bailout for banks.
- 30:43So what do you think about the peaceful revolution, the
- 30:46separation of money and state? British Huddle.
- 30:49I think it's absolutely essential.
- 30:50I think that you have to have the perspective that, yeah, I
- 30:55can't trust the system 100%. I think it's absolutely.
- 30:58That's why I said I have a percentage of my Bitcoin in self
- 31:01custody in three different jurisdictions and then I have
- 31:04some in the system. Now, why do I have it in the
- 31:07system? Because there's going to be
- 31:08things that show up that are advantageous to have Bitcoin in
- 31:12the system. For example, if you want to go
- 31:14and take a loan against your Bitcoin and you've got, you
- 31:17know, self custody Bitcoin, you're going to have to pay an
- 31:20interest rate that's orders of magnitudes above what you can
- 31:23borrow, borrow against on an ETF.
- 31:25You'll be able to borrow against an ETF at 50 basis points higher
- 31:28than Fed rates, whereas you're going to have to probably pay,
- 31:32you know, 10% above Fed rates just to get a loan against your
- 31:37Bitcoin. So it depends what you want to
- 31:38do with that, right? The other advantage is once you
- 31:41have the ETF, experienced investors will understand a
- 31:44simple covered call strategy, which means that now every
- 31:47Bitcoin that you own through an ETF turns into an income
- 31:49generating asset. And then every four years that
- 31:52income compounds because the price goes up, but the
- 31:55percentages stay the same. So now let's say you got
- 31:57$1,000,000 a Bitcoin, you're making 1% a month.
- 32:00You're now known, you know, in four years you're, you're,
- 32:03you're $10,000 a month goes up to $40,000 a month.
- 32:06And that's going to be very attractive to a certain type of
- 32:09investor, not saying to everyone, but to a certain type
- 32:12of investor. So all these things are coming
- 32:14down the line for Bitcoin. And I think that the smartest
- 32:16thing to do is have exposure to everything so that you can take
- 32:19advantage of everything. I don't.
- 32:20And if, if what you feel comfortable with is pure self
- 32:23custody and selling off a little bit of your Bitcoin every month
- 32:26to live on, if you don't have a job or you plan to retire or
- 32:29whatever else, that's your prerogative.
- 32:31But for me, I think with the skills that I have, with the 18
- 32:34years of, of investing experience that I have and, and
- 32:37the work that I've done and the people that I've worked with and
- 32:39the lessons that I've learned and everything else, I think for
- 32:42me, it's advantageous to have a vehicle that allows me to
- 32:46generate a cash flow on a monthly basis, allows me to take
- 32:49loans, you know, very, very cheaply.
- 32:52Because if I can take a loan at 3% and you're taking a loan at
- 32:5515%, I'm five times ahead of you.
- 32:57And that's just the bottom line, right?
- 32:59Everything comes down to your competitiveness at the end of
- 33:02the day. So, you know, I think there's
- 33:03going to be this transitionary period.
- 33:05And in that transitionary period, people that have
- 33:07exposure to a little bit of the Bitcoin quote, UN quote in the
- 33:11system are going to do much better off.
- 33:14And so that's what I choose to take advantage of.
- 33:17Yeah. And I want to talk a bit a
- 33:18little bit about that, right, which is, and this is actually
- 33:21something that I've heard sailors say in the past, which
- 33:25is this idea that in the future you won't have to sell your
- 33:30Bitcoin. You'll you can borrow against
- 33:32it. Now I'm going to say this with a
- 33:33giant caveat to everybody. Be careful when you take loans
- 33:39and you use Bitcoin as collateral because Bitcoin is
- 33:42extremely volatile and you will get margin called at one point.
- 33:47So I think if you, if you approach it with a tremendous
- 33:51amount of responsibility and a very small percentage of your
- 33:55stack potentially could be beneficial.
- 33:57But I think that there's going to be more offerings in the
- 34:00future huddle in terms of people leveraging their Bitcoin without
- 34:06really having, having to sell it and being able to get cash out
- 34:10of it in the process. I love the products that are
- 34:14currently offered. The interest rates are quite
- 34:17high, but I I think that has to do more so with with with the
- 34:20Fed I. Think, I think it's to do with
- 34:24insurance, right? I don't know how you insure.
- 34:26I don't know how you insure a self custody product to the
- 34:29point where you can get, you know, interest rates at 50 basis
- 34:32points plus fed plus 50 basis points.
- 34:35I just it doesn't the maths doesn't work out in order for
- 34:38you to do that. It will always be more expensive
- 34:41if it's a self custody product right?
- 34:43It's the same thing your insurance premiums are always
- 34:46higher on. Things well, but but hold on,
- 34:48it's not exactly full self custody.
- 34:51The way that Unchained and Lend I believe do it is they'll do a
- 34:56collaborative custody where the client has one key, Unchained,
- 35:01Lend has one key and then. Anyway, I agree with you.
- 35:06But they. That's my it's not even self
- 35:09custody anyway, right? So then why don't you take
- 35:11advantage? Experienced investors are going
- 35:13to look at that and go, well, I don't even have custody of my
- 35:16asset anyway, so I might as well use the best interest rate
- 35:19product. Why do you think all these
- 35:20companies are struggling? I said this a year.
- 35:22No, no, no. But wait, wait, wait, wait.
- 35:24Hold on. The downside of that is the
- 35:25rehypothecation risk though, right?
- 35:28Like that's why people are willing to pay the premium.
- 35:30Well, what with with an ETF, what's the what's the
- 35:32rehypothecation risk? OK.
- 35:34So could you so explain that right?
- 35:37So in with an ETF, how would you leverage your position in having
- 35:41exposure to a Bitcoin ETF to can you borrow against your
- 35:46position? Yeah.
- 35:47So you borrow against your ETF shares, right?
- 35:50But the actual ETF has to own the underlying asset.
- 35:54So a lot of people have this delusion around how an ETF
- 35:56works. And what they're really getting
- 35:57confused with is futures. Futures are completely different
- 36:01to an ETF. An ETF is one of the best
- 36:03products out there for a quote UN quote synthetic ownership or
- 36:06synthetic control of an asset in that in essence, as soon as the
- 36:10ETF turns into, you know, an in kind product, which it will at
- 36:15some point, you'll be able to call BlackRock up and say I want
- 36:18my Bitcoin and they'll be able to deliver it to you.
- 36:21So the rehypothecation risk is so overblown when it comes to
- 36:25ETFs. A lot of people talk about that
- 36:26with the gold ETF and this that and the other and, and, and it's
- 36:29really not that much. It's not a problem.
- 36:32The the issue comes with the futures.
- 36:34The futures is where all the manipulation happens.
- 36:36The futures is where all these people start causing issues with
- 36:39price action and movement and this, that and the other.
- 36:42So an ETF is a is a revolution on, on investing.
- 36:45It is a revolutionary product when it comes to investing for
- 36:49trad 5 markets. That doesn't mean, you know, you
- 36:51shouldn't be skeptical of of trying to find markets.
- 36:54I'm not saying that. But to lie about what an ETF is
- 36:58and how it works and the rehypothecation risks and all
- 37:00this other stuff that that's, that's a bit, you know, a little
- 37:05bit hyperbolic, let's say. OK.
- 37:07So let's talk a little bit about the the ETF, right, because
- 37:10obviously you're a fan of it, you know, you have figured out
- 37:13ways to leverage the ETF to your advantage.
- 37:17Question for you. So I've had Caitlin Long and Ley
- 37:22Lappard on my show in the past and it's funny because I had two
- 37:27episodes, one with James Lavish and Greg Foss.
- 37:31By the way, we miss you Fosse, please come back.
- 37:35And I had another episode with Caitlin Long and Ley Lappard.
- 37:39And it's funny because both both parties had different takes on
- 37:44this. Larry Leppard and Caitlin Long
- 37:47came from the came from the camp of the potential re
- 37:51hypothecation risks with the introduction of an ETF and the
- 37:56potential downward sell pressure because of the sale of paper
- 38:02Bitcoin. And a lot of people and you have
- 38:05experience in the gold markets British huddle.
- 38:07So a lot of people speculate that in gold, this is how they
- 38:11suppress the price of gold, right?
- 38:12This idea of re hypothecation, do you not believe that that
- 38:17could be, you know that could potentially be a risk in in
- 38:20Bitcoin? I think that, you know, there's
- 38:22always going to be shorting in the markets, right?
- 38:24And the, and the issue is, is that futures have always been
- 38:27around. You've always been able to short
- 38:29Bitcoin by the futures markets. And so you know, is that a risk?
- 38:34Sure. Is that more of a risk?
- 38:36Hold on. I just, I just want to like
- 38:39clarify for the audience, what does futures have to do with
- 38:42rehypothecation? Well.
- 38:43The point I'm trying to make is that a lot of people can try and
- 38:46confuse and convolute these two things, but they're two separate
- 38:49products, right? Re hypothecation can happen on
- 38:52both sides of the market, but a futures product and an ETF
- 38:55product are completely different, you know?
- 38:57And by the way, if you look at the biggest, baddest lawsuit
- 39:01that happened against JP Morgan for the gold and silver markets,
- 39:07what you find is that really the only manipulation that they were
- 39:10doing was quote UN quote spoofing.
- 39:12Now what that is spoofing is let's say the gold price is
- 39:15$1500 and they put a bunch of sell orders in there at 1400
- 39:19dollars and as the price comes down from 1500 to 1400, they
- 39:23withdraw their orders from the market.
- 39:25That's called spoofing the market.
- 39:27That was it. They have never found an immense
- 39:31amount of manipulation like the gold salespeople want to tell
- 39:33you. It's never happened.
- 39:34I was in the gold space and I like this is this has been my
- 39:38this has been my world for a number of years.
- 39:40So the, and I'm again, I will, I will reiterate what I'm saying
- 39:46does not mean that you have to trust the trade fry markets and
- 39:50the self custody is the primary option for most people.
- 39:53However, you have to be careful about what you believe and what
- 39:57you see versus what has been proven.
- 40:00And so that's that's my perspective on it.
- 40:01I'm not that concerned by it. I'm not that I'm not concerned
- 40:04that BlackRock, the biggest asset manager in the entire
- 40:07world, is going to blow up one of their products because
- 40:09they've got a reputation to protect.
- 40:11I'm more comfortable with BlackRock than I am with block
- 40:14fry, Celsius or any other quote UN quote, Bitcoin or crypto
- 40:18company. OK.
- 40:21All right. So what about what's your take
- 40:23on the so right now? And I think I saw a graphic from
- 40:28River Financial where they really kind of laid it out.
- 40:31And one of the unique things about Bitcoin, I think you were
- 40:34mentioning this earlier, is the fact that the vast majority of
- 40:38supply, and this is due to Bitcoins essentially Immaculate
- 40:41Conception and it really being a grassroots movement,
- 40:44specifically in the beginning, the vast majority of its supply,
- 40:48about 11,000,000 Bitcoin are still held by individuals.
- 40:51So now we're starting to see institutions come in.
- 40:54Of course. I think BlackRock holds about
- 40:55350,000 plus or so, give or take.
- 41:00Michael Saylor holds about 200 and 200 and 2200 and 10,000,
- 41:06give or take. Haven't seen the latest numbers,
- 41:10but what would your perspective be?
- 41:12Because I I think that it's a good thing that the vast
- 41:15majority of the supply is held by individuals and is not held
- 41:19by government. It's not held by large
- 41:22institutions like BlackRock. It's not held by public
- 41:25companies. Me too.
- 41:27I I completely agree with you. I think that's that's the way
- 41:29that it should be and I hope that that's the way that it
- 41:31stays. And I would warn that these
- 41:33companies are going to create incentives to inspire people to
- 41:36put their Bitcoin into their products.
- 41:39I guarantee you that MicroStrategy is being spoken to
- 41:42by BlackRock to create incentives for MicroStrategy to
- 41:45put their Bitcoin into the BlackRock product as soon as it
- 41:49becomes an in kind product. I guarantee that's happening.
- 41:52But I agree with you, I think it's much better if real people
- 41:55hold their actual Bitcoin versus putting it into putting it all
- 41:59into institutional hands. But that won't stop them trying
- 42:02to create incentives to to pull the Bitcoin into the funds.
- 42:06So it just is what it is, right? That's what's going to happen.
- 42:09Do I think that's what should happen or it doesn't matter?
- 42:12What I think doesn't matter. This is what is going to happen
- 42:15based on how this game is played.
- 42:16Either you can accept that that's how the game is played
- 42:19and try and fight it, or you're just going to sit there, shout
- 42:22at the wind and you know it's going to come back and hit you
- 42:25in the face. Like it just, it just is what it
- 42:27is. That's how the game is played.
- 42:29Yeah, of course. And YouTube when he says hit you
- 42:31in the face, it's metaphorical of course.
- 42:34But I, I, I do want to, I do want to talk about the, some of
- 42:40the ideas that we were talking about earlier, which is this
- 42:43idea of one Bitcoin. It has become your tagline.
- 42:46It's like me, I say Bitcoin or slavery.
- 42:48British huddle says get to one Bitcoin.
- 42:50What's the rest of the thing that you say?
- 42:51It's hilarious. Listen, there's only three rules
- 42:54to Bitcoin. There we go.
- 42:56Yes, you. Want me to go through that?
- 42:58Yes, of course. Hit it, man.
- 42:59So. Look, there's only three rules
- 43:01to Bitcoin. Tame, Tame it.
- 43:02Tame it a little bit. Tame it a little bit.
- 43:05Step number one, you buy Bitcoin, step #2 shut the hell
- 43:08up and step #3 you get fabulously wealthy.
- 43:11It doesn't sound so good when you say shut the hell up instead
- 43:13of what it's meant to be, right? Yeah, no, of course it doesn't
- 43:18sound that the other one has more punch for sure.
- 43:22So, OK, so let's talk about that, right.
- 43:24So I think a lot of the a lot of people right now, I think you
- 43:31know, kind of a little bit bored, the markets going
- 43:33sideways, we're chopping. I've been saying on the show for
- 43:36a long time now, if you're selling right now, you're
- 43:38selling to either a nation state or BlackRock.
- 43:41Don't do that. Definitely, you know, don't sell
- 43:44your sats. Hold on to them for as long as
- 43:46you can. But I think a lot of people are
- 43:49anticipating a crazy 2025 S for someone who has reached that one
- 43:55goal that that goal of, of of of whole coiner status.
- 43:59Or perhaps they're, you know, they've reached the goal of of
- 44:02half a coin status. What are what should they be
- 44:06expecting in 2025? And without naming any names, I
- 44:11think some people are even advocating for potentially
- 44:14selling when they believe that we reach a top in 2025.
- 44:20What would you say to that? I'll go grab my spaghetti right
- 44:24now. I know without mentioning any
- 44:26names, everyone know who the hell we're talking about right
- 44:28So look, I think 2024 I think we're sideways until the
- 44:35election. I think that that's the.
- 44:38Why? Why are we sideways till the
- 44:40election? Every every look, every country
- 44:44has a circus, right? And now we have the biggest,
- 44:47baddest circus in town, and that's the American politics.
- 44:50We had the British politics, French politics, and now we've
- 44:53got the American politics, which is the biggest circus that you
- 44:56can find, right? And it's in town.
- 44:58And what that means is everyone's emotions are going to
- 45:00get drummed up. Right now.
- 45:02The based on the historical 30 year average of how much cash is
- 45:06on the sidelines, we're double that right now.
- 45:09There's double the amount of cash on the sidelines than the
- 45:1230 year average in markets. And So what that means is that
- 45:16everyone just doesn't know what the hell to do because nobody
- 45:18knows what's going to happen. And that's the job of the
- 45:20politicians. The politicians are designed,
- 45:24they're their whole demeanor is to scare you, is to be there, to
- 45:28cause fear, to drive you to the polls, etcetera, etcetera.
- 45:32And when that's going on, nobody wants to invest because you
- 45:35don't know which way the market is going to go is, are we going
- 45:37to get a right leaning person? Are we going to get a
- 45:39left-leaning person? What's the policy is going to be
- 45:41for the markets, etcetera, etcetera.
- 45:43So after the election certainty comes back and certainty drives
- 45:47investment. So that's what that's what I'm
- 45:49waiting for. I think that's the safest mind
- 45:51state to be in sideways until November.
- 45:55Saying that what is happening right now in the underbelly of
- 45:58the market is that there is a rotation happening of owners.
- 46:01And I've been shouting about this for a year.
- 46:03As soon as these ETFs come out, the owners that think they're
- 46:06trading, that think they're holding, that think they were
- 46:08diamond hands, that think they want to take some money off the
- 46:10table, they're going to give up their Bitcoin and it's going to
- 46:13get sucked up by people that are the real diamond hands that
- 46:16never ever need to sell their assets.
- 46:18And that's what's going on right now.
- 46:20That's 2024-2025. I think we're going to, it's
- 46:23going to get weird right in 2025.
- 46:25You're going to start seeing Morgan Stanley is obviously, you
- 46:28know, their advisors are now selling.
- 46:31I think it's like 15,000 advisors are calling people
- 46:34actively to sell Bitcoin. I think by the end of the year
- 46:37that goes up to 50,000 people and there's 330,000 financial
- 46:41advisors in the USA alone. So 2025 is going to be
- 46:46institutional bowls to the wall selling of Bitcoin going on.
- 46:51And I and I think that's going to get extremely weird.
- 46:53You've seen, you know, in little time periods, little snapshots
- 46:57like the ETF couple days ago when we saw the big price run
- 47:00up. You know, obviously today we're
- 47:02seeing a price rundown. But a few days ago, price run up
- 47:05that was caused by around about 250 to $400 million worth of
- 47:09purchasing and it added $77 billion to the market cap of
- 47:13Bitcoin. That is a 300 to one approximate
- 47:17multiplier on the price. Now, what happens once the
- 47:19rotation is done and these people stop selling, right?
- 47:23What happens once all the selling just turns into holding?
- 47:26What happens when the miners don't need to to go to the to go
- 47:30to sell their Bitcoin to generate, you know, to generate
- 47:35revenues and money to to for their expenses?
- 47:37What happens when they don't need to sell?
- 47:39So there's a lot that's going to change here.
- 47:41And I think 2025 is going to get very, very weird.
- 47:43If I was anyone in the year that we went from a year, even I
- 47:48right, looking at it going Blackrock's going to come in and
- 47:50change the game. Even I didn't think that in the
- 47:53space of one year we would go from Bitcoin is for drug dealers
- 47:57to a Bitcoin house, a Bitcoin Senate, Bitcoin president, a
- 48:00Bitcoin vice president, everyone in the United States going bulls
- 48:03to the wall on Bitcoin. Even I didn't expect that.
- 48:06I didn't expect the the president of, you know,
- 48:09potential president of the most powerful capital markets in the
- 48:11world to say that we're going to launch a national strategic
- 48:14reserve of Bitcoin, right? So what happens if you decide
- 48:18and you listen to these morons? You know these shame.
- 48:21Metaphorically. Yeah, yeah.
- 48:23They listen to these shame moles that are basically saying, OK,
- 48:25you got to, it's got to hit some proverbial line and then I'm
- 48:29going to dump my bitcoins so we can multiply our bitcoins, which
- 48:33was the tweet that retweeted, right.
- 48:36And then suddenly the America starts, you know, its mission of
- 48:39buying a million, 2,000,000, three million Bitcoin.
- 48:42You're completely finished. So I personally don't think that
- 48:46anyone should take that risk. I certainly won't be taking that
- 48:49risk. Does that make sense?
- 48:52That's. My opinion, it makes absolute
- 48:54sense. Do you think the cycle theory is
- 48:56still alive and well? We're going to see, I don't
- 49:00know, I'm having less and less faith in the cycle theory based
- 49:04on America, not anyone else. America's.
- 49:07I didn't really think El Salvador was that significant,
- 49:10right? I said that a few years ago,
- 49:12based on America coming in and starting to try and build a
- 49:15strategic reserve. We got the lowest amount of
- 49:17Bitcoin on exchanges right now. The other day Binance had to
- 49:20send 30,000 Bitcoin from their own personal stash just to
- 49:24maintain liquidity levels, right, Based on America coming
- 49:27in and saying we're going to buy 123 whatever million Bitcoin for
- 49:31America. I don't know.
- 49:33I don't know. I'm losing let I'm losing faith
- 49:36on cycle theories. I'm losing faith and all that.
- 49:38The only thing that seems to make sense is the S curve and as
- 49:42a theory, not even as a price model.
- 49:44So I don't know what's going to happen.
- 49:46All I know is it's going to get weird and you better have
- 49:48strapped in by then. Yeah, 100%.
- 49:51I, I, I, I agree. And yeah, it's definitely going
- 49:55to be not only an interesting Q4, right, which we're about to
- 50:00enter in a couple of days, but it's definitely going to be an
- 50:03interesting 2025. What's your take on the upcoming
- 50:09FOMC meeting? I think we, I think, you know,
- 50:12Jerome Powell has basically pivoted the conversation at
- 50:14Jackson Hole. I think we've now been on a rate
- 50:17hiking cycle for a couple years and now it's time for a rate
- 50:22lowering cycle. The way I like to look at the
- 50:24Federal Reserve, the analogy that I use is it's like there's
- 50:28a plane in the sky and it's flying.
- 50:30It has no real destination and a new pilot gets dropped in every
- 50:34few years and his job is just basically to keep the thing in
- 50:36the air, right? That is what the Federal
- 50:39Reserve's doing. And so sometimes it veers
- 50:41slightly to the left and then it needs to veer slightly to the
- 50:43right. And that's what's going on right
- 50:45now. If anyone wants to understand
- 50:46what's going to go, what's going to happen with the Federal
- 50:48Reserve, all you got to do is watch the US two year chart,
- 50:51zoom out to a 40 years, see the trend line and understand that
- 50:55that's the that's the trend line that we're following.
- 50:57So I think we're going to accelerate over the next, I
- 51:00would say 18 months, maybe two years, we're going to accelerate
- 51:03down to two to 2.5, two .75%. And then a few years after that,
- 51:08we're going to go back down to the trend line of 0.5%.
- 51:11Got you. Interesting.
- 51:13Interesting. What do you think about the
- 51:15current debt situation? James Lash, James Lavish calls
- 51:18it the debt spiral. What's what's your opinion on
- 51:22that and how could people protect themselves?
- 51:24The obvious answer is Bitcoin, but what's your take?
- 51:28Yeah, listen, look, there's this one book that I think everyone
- 51:30should read and it's called Lords of Easy Money.
- 51:33And I think that you should maybe even get Christopher
- 51:35Leonard, who wrote the book on the channel to explain what's
- 51:39happened. That book summarizes well.
- 51:41So I went, I completely screwed up 2008, right?
- 51:44I completely didn't understand how the market was going to
- 51:46work. It was my first ever quote UN
- 51:48quote recession, which was a good training ground for that
- 51:51being in right. I completely and utterly messed
- 51:54that up in terms of opportunity. It took me 12 years of business
- 51:57and preparation and cash flow and everything else to get ready
- 52:00for 2020. Soon as 2020 hit 12X my net
- 52:04worth based on what I knew was going to happen based on 2008
- 52:07and then discovered Bitcoin. So the, the that book summarizes
- 52:13everything I learned self analyzing over that 12 year
- 52:17period about what happened in 2008 and then what's going to
- 52:20happen in the future to put a summary on it.
- 52:23They're going to print the shit out of the US dollar, simple as
- 52:26that. So if you want to protect
- 52:28yourself from that, you need to own hard assets.
- 52:31The main way to protect yourself is to own assets that go up in
- 52:36price by as much as the inflation that happens to the
- 52:41underlying base currency. I had people in 2020 telling me
- 52:45that their Morgan Stanley advisors have done a great job
- 52:47that year because their portfolios were up 30%.
- 52:50And that's a congratulations because they printed 40% of all
- 52:54the US dollars in existence. You're actually down.
- 52:56You're actually -10% and they couldn't believe what I was
- 52:59saying. But that's the reality of it.
- 53:01And the only way to do that, the stock market isn't doing that.
- 53:04Well, you know, the stock market's not doing that when the
- 53:06ultra wealthy are doing private equity.
- 53:08The the stock market is exit liquidity for, for, for the
- 53:12ultra wealthy. So Bitcoin is the only thing
- 53:16that will protect against that because of its supply cap.
- 53:19And that's the one thing that you should have some exposure
- 53:21to. I'm not here to tell you what
- 53:23your exposure should be, but you need to understand this, you
- 53:26need to learn this, and you've got a very, very short period of
- 53:29time to do this while we're range bound for the next few
- 53:31months. So when you talk about and, and
- 53:34again, kind of circling it back to just the general, your
- 53:38general motto, your catch phrase that, you know, it's basically
- 53:42gone viral at this point, the window of opportunity is
- 53:46closing. So what do you mean by that
- 53:49exactly? And what's at stake if someone
- 53:52misses that window? Look, let's say Bitcoin goes to
- 53:56$100,000. Let's not, let's not even
- 53:58imagine the three, four, $500,000 price point, just
- 54:01$100,000. You know how many people have
- 54:04just a random $100,000 sitting around to buy, to buy something
- 54:09that they don't even understand? It ain't that many people,
- 54:12right? They've got property that
- 54:14majority of those people are going to be in the 500,000 to
- 54:17$30 million net worth range. Those people are primarily in
- 54:21real estate. So now to generate $100,000,
- 54:24yeah, somebody with a $30 million portfolio might be able
- 54:27to do that, but somebody with a $5,000,000 portfolio probably
- 54:31needs to sell a house in order to generate that liquidity.
- 54:34It's not going to take you three or six months to sell that damn
- 54:36thing in order to maintain generate that liquidity.
- 54:39And that's for an asset that you're not you just discovered,
- 54:42right? No one's going to go through the
- 54:44bull lake of doing that. So that's what I'm saying.
- 54:47Now is the time. You've got a limited amount of
- 54:50time. We've priced out, we've priced
- 54:52already priced out the poor. We've already priced out the
- 54:55middle class worldwide. We're now pricing out the upper
- 54:58middle class worldwide. And soon we're going to price
- 55:01out the lower multi millionaire worldwide because a multi
- 55:05millionaire who's got a four or $5,000,000 net worth does not
- 55:08have two or $300,000 lying around in cash, right?
- 55:11Most people don't understand that because they don't they've
- 55:13never really touched any wealth. They don't, they don't know that
- 55:17somebody who's can be worth 4 or $5,000,000 and not have a
- 55:20hundred, a hundred, 150, two, $100,000 in the bank because
- 55:23it's in assets. Those are the people that need
- 55:26to get their head straight right now because you are walking into
- 55:29a mess here. You're going to walk into an
- 55:31environment where your property portfolio is not going to keep
- 55:34up with the amount of money that's being printed.
- 55:36Your stock portfolio is not going to keep up with the amount
- 55:38of money that's being printed. The gold is definitely not going
- 55:42to keep up with the amount of money that's being printed
- 55:44because the supply cap is the most important thing.
- 55:47And it's now is the time to understand Bitcoin.
- 55:50Whether you execute at this very day or not.
- 55:53That's not what I'm here to do. What I'm here to tell you is
- 55:55Start learning. Get serious.
- 55:58The fact that you got to be one egotistical SOB to say that
- 56:03Larry Fink and BlackRock are in this asset on TV talking about
- 56:07it, but I don't want to learn about it.
- 56:09If that's your mindset, you deserve to be poor.
- 56:14Yeah, I mean, oh, that's a very strong statement.
- 56:17But let's just say that the the writing is on the wall for you.
- 56:22I mean, it, this is something, you know, especially if if
- 56:25you've been in Bitcoin for a little bit.
- 56:27It's my eighth year at this point.
- 56:29And just from personal experience, what I've seen is
- 56:34I've, you know, most people I eventually convince, not the
- 56:39first year, maybe not the second year, but eventually because of
- 56:42NGU technology. NGU technology is beautiful like
- 56:45that, right? It humbles everyone eventually
- 56:48because they might not believe in the asset at first, but when
- 56:52you've been telling someone to buy Bitcoin since it's been
- 56:55$1000 and now it's at $59,000, they, they start to tend to
- 57:00start listening to you, right? What is that like a 59 X?
- 57:04And so yeah, I I I I I completely agree.
- 57:07I think that it's it's the window is closing to be a whole
- 57:11coiner. I think there's all it's always
- 57:13going to be a good idea to buy Bitcoin.
- 57:15I think Bitcoin is a superior asset.
- 57:17Max Keiser says that everything trends to 0 as it relates to
- 57:20Bitcoin. I completely agree with that.
- 57:22It is a superior money. But I would say the opportunity,
- 57:26right, the opportunity for the opportunity for you to, to
- 57:33really benefit right before this thing becomes financially
- 57:37mainstream. I, I do believe that window is
- 57:40closing. I, I, but on record, I think
- 57:43everyone could buy Bitcoin. It's a good opportunity for
- 57:46everyone, but for the specific sub sect of people and, and I
- 57:50know who you're talking about British huddle.
- 57:53Yes, it's it's like the older people, older generation, boomer
- 57:57generation, you know, they have the traditional portfolio
- 58:00between real estate and equities.
- 58:02I don't think they understand how much of A superior asset
- 58:07Bitcoin is. And you know, it's hopefully
- 58:10they, they, they, they get on the train before it leaves the
- 58:14station, so to speak. Anyways, we are getting to the
- 58:17top of the hour and I do want to be respectful of your time.
- 58:19So I do want to give you the opportunity to leave a last
- 58:23message with the audience. Well, look, firstly before I
- 58:27talk to the audience, Nico team, everyone, thanks for having me.
- 58:30It's been a pleasure. You know, my mom watches your
- 58:33watches your channel. So hi, mom, I guess look at the
- 58:38end of the day, it's now time to get serious.
- 58:40All of this, all of this, you know, BS that we all do, talking
- 58:43on Twitter all day, YouTube all day, Everything else is not
- 58:46relevant. Your progeny, your children,
- 58:49your grandchildren, whoever's carrying your last name 30 years
- 58:52from now is not going to care that you were here to watch a
- 58:55YouTube video. What they're going to care about
- 58:57is how much Bitcoin you have because it is a monetary
- 59:00network. It's not a human network.
- 59:02So the amount of Bitcoin one owns is the most important
- 59:05thing, not the amount of people that are into it.
- 59:07So get to one Bitcoin, make that your North Star and if you are
- 59:11at there, get to a certain amount that's a percentage of
- 59:15your net worth and and and protected at all costs.
- 59:18Of course, the primary objective is self custody, but then don't
- 59:21be shy to look at these other opportunities that are coming in
- 59:25to the world right now as a result of how much progress
- 59:28Bitcoin has made into this world.
- 59:30The main point is the sharks are now here.
- 59:33Pull your head out of your backside.
- 59:35If you're sitting there calm, relaxed about this, start
- 59:38getting urgent. Start feeling the panic.
- 59:40Understand that your time is running out and understand that
- 59:43you must get to one Bitcoin. And ultimately, there are always
- 59:47only three rules to Bitcoin. Step number one, you buy
- 59:49Bitcoin, step #2 you shut the hell up.
- 59:52And step #3 you get fabulously wealthy.
- 59:54Nico team, thank you so much for having me.
- 59:55It's been an honor. Well, British Arnold, thank you
- 59:57so much for joining us on Simply Bitcoin IRL.
- 1:00:01Really enjoyed this conversation.
- 1:00:02Definitely have to get you on the live show.
- 1:00:04Man, this has been great. I think that's a very solid
- 1:00:07message. And yes, I think everyone should
- 1:00:10strive to get to 1 Bitcoin at least.
- 1:00:14We've been telling you for many years now to, you know, to, to
- 1:00:18definitely stack, right? So yes, I think the window of,
- 1:00:21of, of opportunity to becoming a whole coiner is definitely
- 1:00:25closing. By the way, it's not only me
- 1:00:26saying that, it's not only British huddle saying that.
- 1:00:29I think Adam back was saying that too, right?
- 1:00:31Like we're reaching the very peak of the amount of people
- 1:00:33that are going to be able to afford to become whole coiners.
- 1:00:36Six, $59,000 is a lot of money from a liquidity aspect like you
- 1:00:41said. Anyways, guys, if you enjoyed
- 1:00:44the show, there's about 2071 of you guys watching live between
- 1:00:47YouTube and X and about 50 or 60 of you guys watching live on
- 1:00:51Rumble. If you guys enjoyed the show,
- 1:00:52make sure to smash the like button, share the video and of
- 1:00:57course, TuneIn tomorrow to the live show at 12:15 PM Eastern
- 1:01:00Standard Time. I'm your host, Nico.
- 1:01:02Our guest for today is British Huddle.
- 1:01:04British Huddle. Why don't you tell everybody
- 1:01:06where they can find you on the interwebs?
- 1:01:08Just go to youtube.com, type in British Huddle and you should
- 1:01:11see the space pop up. Go to Twitter, type in at
- 1:01:14British Huddle or X sorry, type in at British huddle.
- 1:01:17You should be able to follow me on there, but follow these guys
- 1:01:19as well. They've been attacked by
- 1:01:21YouTube. We want to stop that.
- 1:01:23YouTube needs to bend the knee to Bitcoin.
- 1:01:25I think they are the first ones that they've done that too.
- 1:01:27So hopefully I'm safe now too. So thank you for taking the
- 1:01:29first ear clip for all of us. I appreciate you joining us,
- 1:01:33man, and again, thank you, YouTube team, for reinstating
- 1:01:36our channel. Appreciate it, guys.
- 1:01:38And we'll see you tomorrow on the live show.
- 1:01:43So it was brought to you by bitcoinwell.com on a mission to
- 1:01:47enable independence.