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Week 14 2025 College Football Predictions for 14 More Games! · Winning Cures Everything | College Football

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's week fourteen. We got fourteen more games that we're
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: going to make predictions on and these are all on
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: Saturday A by the cars.
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  Speaker 2: Please please fresh if anything of counts right now, this
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  Speaker 1: Welcome in Winning Cures Everything. It's a college football podcast.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: I'm your host, Gary Seekers at Gary WCEE on all
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  Speaker 1: long today. We're not gonna do a Wednesday show. Only
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  Speaker 1: gonna have Monday and Tuesday, and then of course three
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• 1:51
  Speaker 1: With that said, let's not waste time. Let's get to it.
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Game number one This one on Saturday, two thirty pm
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  Speaker 1: Central Time, God's time zone on FS one, Wisconsin travels
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: to Minnesota. Yeah, they're gonna fight for the trophy. We
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: know what's up with this rivalry game. It's it's been
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  Speaker 1: a lot of fun over the past few years, really
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: over the past forever. I mean, it's just a good,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: good Big ten rivalry. Minnesota a one to one and
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  Speaker 1: a half point favorite depending on the book total is
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  Speaker 1: thirty seven and a half, so we are talking about
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: a very very low total. This one opened, as you
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: can see, at Minnesota minus two and a half with
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: a total of thirty eight and a half on it.
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: Go ahead and tell you my number has Minnesota by
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: four point nine. My power rating has Minnesota minus two
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  Speaker 1: point one. Over the last four weeks, though it would
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: have Wisconsin favored Wisconsin multiple ranked wins in a row.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: They are looking better. They went with kind of the
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: youth movement, and it's looking better for Luke Fickle. He's
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  Speaker 1: going to be around next year. They've already said that
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  Speaker 1: that's a good thing. Now these are season long stats.
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin has been playing significantly better on defense. They're really
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: really good against the run. Minnesota throws the ball a lot,
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  Speaker 1: but they're not good at it. Number one ten in
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  Speaker 1: yards per attempt, number eighty five in QBR, number one
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  Speaker 1: fifteen in passing explosiveness, but this Wisconsin defense not good
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  Speaker 1: against the pass number one thirteen and PPA allowed per
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  Speaker 1: pass number one eleven and yards per attempt but when
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  Speaker 1: it comes to run on the football, Minnesota is the
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  Speaker 1: most dangerous when they've got Darius Taylor available. I don't
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  Speaker 1: know the status on that. Some games he's in, some
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: games he's out. It is what it is. But Wisconsin
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  Speaker 1: is really good against the run. Number twenty one in
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  Speaker 1: yards allowed per rush, Number twenty four in rushing explosiveness allowed,
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  Speaker 1: number forty nine in offensive line yards allowed, number thirty
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  Speaker 1: in stuff Right, they are a really good running defense.
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  Speaker 1: Even though they're number one nineteen in rushing success allowed.
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  Speaker 1: All of the other metrics tend to go their way.
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin number one in the country in current strength to schedule.
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  Speaker 1: I mean, it's brutal what they've had to go through.
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  Speaker 1: They are four and seven and the way that this
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  Speaker 1: season started, would have never imagined them getting a four
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  Speaker 1: wins never would And they've got a chance at a
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  Speaker 1: fifth here because it's not like they're outmanned in this game.
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  Speaker 1: They're actually more talented overall than Minnesota. Is kind of surprising.
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin three and one against the spread on the road
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  Speaker 1: this year plus four point nine, Minnesota two three and
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  Speaker 1: one against the spread at home this year plus seven. Now,
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  Speaker 1: they were much better at home against the number last year.
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  Speaker 1: This year not so much. It's just been kind of even,
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  Speaker 1: kind of whatever. Now the plus seven certainly looks nice,
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  Speaker 1: but Wisconsin ain't scared of going on the road. They
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  Speaker 1: are used to this as far as who can finish drives.
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin's offense number one thirty five in points per scoring opportunity,
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  Speaker 1: so they have to get it done elsewhere. They're not
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  Speaker 1: great at generating turnovers giveaways for all that. It's just
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  Speaker 1: that they've been so much better lately. Right Minnesota, Eh,
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  Speaker 1: this has not been a grand year by any stretch
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  Speaker 1: of the imagination, but it does feel like PJ. Fleck
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  Speaker 1: tends to get his guys up for these games. Wisconsin, though,
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  Speaker 1: is on a roll. Like there's not a number here
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  Speaker 1: that I can tell you other than the fact that
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  Speaker 1: both of these are inside the top four in penalties
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  Speaker 1: per game. That's about the only metric that they're both
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  Speaker 1: pretty good at. Because Minnesota's defense has not been good,
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  Speaker 1: Minnesota's offense overall, down to down basis not been good.
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  Speaker 1: Minnesota is number fifty seven in points per scoring opportunity.
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin's defense is number twenty eight, though, but Minnesota is
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  Speaker 1: number one eleven in scoring opportunities per game. They don't
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  Speaker 1: get down there much. They don't get a first down
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  Speaker 1: inside the opponent forty very often. I'm gonna go with
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin here because they have just been significantly better. They
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: made quarterback changes, they went with younger players, they seem
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  Speaker 1: like they're having fun, and this team looks bought. In
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  Speaker 1: Minnesota last week, you know you've got a big eat
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: on Northwestern and then the Wildcats find a way to
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  Speaker 1: come back and win the ball game. Maybe it changes
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  Speaker 1: because you're at home, but they haven't played a whole
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  Speaker 1: lot better at home this year. So I will take
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  Speaker 1: Wisconsin plus. The best number I can give is one
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  Speaker 1: and a half, but I think Wisconsin wins the game outright,
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  Speaker 1: So give me the Badgers plus the one and a half.
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  Speaker 1: Game number two. Oh yes, three thirty pm Central Time
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  Speaker 1: on ESPN two. Florida State goes to Florida Right now.
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  Speaker 1: Florida State a one and a half point favorite at
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  Speaker 1: some books. Florida is a one and a half point
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  Speaker 1: favorite at some books. I mean, this thing is all
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  Speaker 1: over the place, fifty and a half to fifty one
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  Speaker 1: and a half, depending on the book that's come down
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  Speaker 1: from the fifty two and a half that it opened.
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  Speaker 1: It opened as Florida a two and a half point favorite.
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  Speaker 1: This thing is just all over the place. How how
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  Speaker 1: you could wager on Florida State on the road, I
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  Speaker 1: have no idea. They're zero to four against the spreads
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  Speaker 1: far this season minus seventeen point one. Since last season,
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  Speaker 1: they are zero to seven and one, sorry, seven and
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  Speaker 1: one against the spread on the road minus fourteen point six. Now,
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  Speaker 1: Florida has not played that much better at home two
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  Speaker 1: and three against the spread at home minus four point six,
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  Speaker 1: but that is a tidgs better than what Florida State
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  Speaker 1: has done thus far. Florida State in eleven or sorry,
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  Speaker 1: in ten of the eleven games that they have played
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  Speaker 1: thus far this season, they have outgained their opponent by
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  Speaker 1: more than forty yards and they just keep losing games.
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  Speaker 1: I mean, make it make sense. They are number one
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  Speaker 1: oh four in giveaways per game. Well, Florida is also
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  Speaker 1: number one oh four in giveaways per game, but Florida
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  Speaker 1: is number forty nine and takeaway, so they generate more turnovers.
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  Speaker 1: Florida State number seventy five in takeaways per game, so
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  Speaker 1: they're not great at it. Florida significantly better in special teams,
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  Speaker 1: the ranked inside the top twenty. Florida State number seventy
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  Speaker 1: nine in special team's efficiency. To look at who can
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  Speaker 1: finish drives, Florida State number ninety three in points per
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  Speaker 1: scoring opportunity, which is insane because they're number twelve in
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  Speaker 1: PPA per drive. They are number twenty one in offensive
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  Speaker 1: success rate. But make it make sense. I don't understand it.
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  Speaker 1: I you know, I don't get it. They're number ninety
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  Speaker 1: three at defending a points allowed per scoring opportunity. Florida
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  Speaker 1: is number seventy two, So Florida is not great at that.
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  Speaker 1: Florida State on offense number forty two in points for
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  Speaker 1: scoring opportunity, number sixty in points for scoring opportunity for
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  Speaker 1: Florida's defense, and overall, on the season, on a down
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  Speaker 1: to down basis, Florida State has been way better than Florida.
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  Speaker 1: They are five and six. Florida State needs this one
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  Speaker 1: to get to a bowl game. And if you're Mike Norville,
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  Speaker 1: you need a bowl game like humans need air. I mean,
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  Speaker 1: it's just that you need that so badly. There's gonna
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  Speaker 1: be staff changers, there's gonna be all kind of that.
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  Speaker 1: Mike Mike offered already offered the ad there said that
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  Speaker 1: he's coming back next year. But is that just a
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  Speaker 1: one year thing or is it because and I imagine
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  Speaker 1: it's just because they don't have that kind of money
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  Speaker 1: to fire the coaching staff and whatnot. So we'll see
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  Speaker 1: what ends up happening. But man, you need to be
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  Speaker 1: taking advantage of the fact that Florida is down down
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  Speaker 1: before they go and get a new coach, because you're
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  Speaker 1: about to spring a whole lot of hope into that
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  Speaker 1: Gainesville program. Tallahass He don't need that right now. They
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  Speaker 1: got to figure out a way to sell this program
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  Speaker 1: to recruits, and they've not been good at it anyway.
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  Speaker 1: Florida's defense number eighty one and PPA allowed per pass.
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  Speaker 1: There are number sixty three in PPA allowed per rush,
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  Speaker 1: So maybe maybe they'll be able to do something here.
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  Speaker 1: Like they certainly match up, you know, player to player
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  Speaker 1: with Florida State. The issue is do they care at all?
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  Speaker 1: I mean, they just got demolished by Tennessee, they got
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: demolished by Kentucky. They got but they were in games
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  Speaker 1: with Georgia and Ole Miss, So like, again, are they
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  Speaker 1: up for this game or are they not? This is
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  Speaker 1: your last chance to go out and do something. Do
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  Speaker 1: they play hard? Do they not? And it's kind of
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: the same thing with Florida State. Can you coach bad
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: decisions out of them? I don't know that you can.
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  Speaker 1: And I think that Florida has shown more quit to
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  Speaker 1: me than Florida State. Right Florida State just hurts themselves
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  Speaker 1: over and over and over again. Florida. There's one a
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  Speaker 1: whole lot there. And I know that people don't like
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: using the word to quit. I understand that, but man,
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: my projected stat spread has Florida State by four point
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: eight four. My power rating has Florida State by one.
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: My last four weeks, even with the blowout losses and whatnot,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: has Florida minus sixteen point eighty seven. That is wild
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: to me, absolutely wild, and I don't agree with it.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with the projected stat spread. I think
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: Florida State is gonna win this game. I think they
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: are going to make a bowl game and then we'll
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: let the chips fall where they may. I think this
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: Florida State team is better than Florida at this current point.
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  Speaker 1: I think Florida this season is wrapped up. We're done.
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  Speaker 1: So best number I can get out there Florida State
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  Speaker 1: plus one and a half, and I think they win
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: the game outright. Game number three Missouri heads two Arkansas
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  Speaker 1: three pm Central time, God's time zone on the SEC network,
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: of course, and Missouri right now a two and a
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  Speaker 1: half point road favorite total of fifty eight and a half.
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  Speaker 1: My stats projected spread has Missouri by three point seventy five.
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  Speaker 1: My power rating has Missouri minus one point six. My
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: last weeks has Missouri by almost a touchdown. Let's start
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: with Arkansas's side of the ball. When they've got the football,
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: they're number thirteen in PPA per drive. Excuse me, they
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: are really good at throwing the football. Their problem is,
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: of course, interceptions. Well, Missouri does not generate a ton
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: of interceptions, so they should be fine. They are number
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: one twenty eight and fumbles lost per rush and Missouri
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  Speaker 1: is number eighty eight and it fumbles gained per rushing
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  Speaker 1: attempt defended. So you don't have too much to worry
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  Speaker 1: about because Missouri doesn't exactly generate a ton of turnovers here,
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  Speaker 1: but Missouri's defense is still really good. They are number
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  Speaker 1: to number five and havoc. Arkansas's offense is number eighty
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  Speaker 1: seven and havoc allowed. Missouri number thirty four in offensive
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  Speaker 1: line yards allowed. They are number twenty two in rushing
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: yards are yards allowed per rush? Yeah, Missouri's defense should
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: be able to hold up here somewhat. But Arkansas has
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: scored on everybody other than Notre Dame, and some of
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: that had to do with turnovers, et cetera. But still,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: this Arkansas team is explosive. They are going to put
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: up points, period. It's the defense that is so bad
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: for Arkansas. Just overall there are number one twenty five
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  Speaker 1: and defensive success rate allowed, number one twenty eight in
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  Speaker 1: defense PPA excuse me a predicted points to add it
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  Speaker 1: allowed per drive. Missouri overall just a significantly better football
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  Speaker 1: team when it comes right down to it. I mean
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  Speaker 1: number thirty and five factors rank Arkansas's number seventy eight.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: I am curious, Missouri is number eighteen and overall talent
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: rank Arkansas's number twenty nine. Arkansas number eleven. In special
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: team sufficiency, Missouri number one fifteen, So that is something
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: that could certainly come back to haunt them. Missouri number
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: thirty seven. The penalties per game Arkansas one O two.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: I Thinkssouri's going to be able to move the football
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: in Arkansas. That should not be a problem at all.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: But even still, I think Arkansas is gonna put up
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: points even on this Missouri defense. Like there's a world
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: of difference from defending Oklahoma to defending Arkansas. Now, Missouri's
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: defense was able to hold Vanderbilt at bay. They were
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: able to hold Alabama at bay for most of that game.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Missouri has done some pretty good things. But I mean,
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: with this thing being two and a half, I Arkansas
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: has found a way to lose all the games by
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: very tiny margins. If all I got to do is
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: take Missouri minus two and a half, I feel like
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: that's kind of cheating. So the line kind of screams
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: at me because Bobby Petrino has not gotten a win yet.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: You know, he and those want a win. They're at home.
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I still can't do it. I can't trust them. I
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: feel like they're going to turn the ball over. Even
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: though Missouri doesn't generate turnovers. I still think they're gonna
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: find a way for Arkansas to give them the football
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: at some point. And I like Missouri's defensive line a lot,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: so I feel like, you know, now they've got boat
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Pribulah back again. I think they're going to be ready
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: for this one. I think they can win by at
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: least a field goal, but probably more so. I will
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: take Missouri minus the two and a half on the road.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Game number four, six thirty pm Central Time, Guide's time
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Zone on ABC, The Iron Bowl, Alabama going to Jordan
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Hair and good gracious Auburn. They are currently a five
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: and a half point home dog to the Tide. At
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: forty seven and a half is our total. So the
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: total has come down from forty eight and a half.
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: The opening spread was four and a half, went down
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: to three and a half for a little bit on Sunday,
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: came back up. It's now sitting at five and a
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: half and has sat there for hours on end at
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: this point, and you could not put bigger steaks on
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: a football game. Auburn needs this to go to a
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: bowl game, and Alabama needs this one to go to
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: the playoff, the SEC Championship game, all kinds of things.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: If Alabama loses this, you're out of the playoff, You're
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: out of the SEC Title game. Kaylin de Boor has
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: another nine win season, does he end up leaving for
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: another job, because there is there's some chatter about him
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: maybe wanting to go to Penn State. And it's not
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: like we haven't seen this before. Dennis Franchoni did the
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: same thing, had a great second year in two thousand
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: and one at Alabama. Now the circumstances were significantly different,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: but yeah or sorry, two thousand and two he had
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: a great season and then left to go to Texas
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: A and M not saying that that's gonna happen, but
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: it's not like we haven't seen it before. That the
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: pressure of this job is immense. So let's take a
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: look at the numbers. Let's see what we got. My
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: projected stat spread has Bama by eight point two eight.
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: My power rating has Bama minus six. My last four
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: weeks has Bama by fourteen, and yet the spread is
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: way way down there Auburn. None of these offensive numbers matter,
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: not a single thing. They can run the football. Bama
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: has actually been pretty good against the run. Early in
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: the season, they could not stop the run for anything,
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: but now their number fifteen and rushing success allowed, number
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: forty eight in yards allowed per rush. They are still
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: number sixty four in rushing explosiveness allowed. But the number
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: twenty in offensive line yards allowed, number fifty in stuff rate.
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: They're getting better. This is the defense is getting better,
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: especially against the run, and Auburn could have trouble with that.
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: Auburn played Deuce Night at quarterback last week. I expect
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: to see him in this game. I don't think they're
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: gonna start Ashton Daniels. I don't think you're gonna start
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: Jackson Arnold. I think DJ Durkin has said, this is
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: who I'm pitching my wagon to. Kid had crazy numbers
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: and no grantity was against Mercer and now. The only
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: other game that he played was like the FCS game.
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: So Deuce Knight hasn't seen players like he'll see with Alabama.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: He hasn't seen pressures like what Pierre and that bunch
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: are gonna bring in this game. So I'm curious about it.
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: One thing that you do have to worry about is
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: have it allowed Alburn number ninety five, that offensive line
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: still can't pass block and Bama's number twenty two, and
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: have it created something to pay attention to scoring opportunities
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: per game? Auburn number one seventeen, but they are number
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: thirty four in points per scoring opportunity. So if you
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: look offensive red zone conversion percentage, they are number fifty three.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: So they have to hit explosive plays because their number
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: one twenty four an offensive red zone touchdown rate. When
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: they get down there, they can't put the ball in
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: the end zone. Now, we don't know what duce Knight's
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: gonna do, but we'll see. We will see on the
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: other side of the ball. And one thing that could
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: end up killing Alabama here number one h two in
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: special teams efficiency, Alburn is number fifty nine. It's not
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: that Alburn's great, but it's just that Bama can be
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: really bad in this spot. Oh. Bbama, by the way,
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: number thirty seven in points allowed per scoring opportunity, number
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: twenty in scoring opportunities allowed per game. So that is
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: something to pay attention to. On the other side, Bama,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: I think everybody understands at this point and the schemes
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: are just atrocious. Saw an interesting tweet today about the
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: fact that jam Miller, once he had his concussion against Missouri,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: after that game he has been averaging like two point
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: one yards per carry. Before that, he was averaging four
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: point six. Do you just roll with Daniel Hill? I
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: mean there's all kinds of questions there, but obviously I
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna change anything at this point. We're
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: twelve games in, so Bama throws the football and they
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: throw it a lot. They're number thirty two in pass rate,
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: almost fifty three percent of the time they're gonna throw
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: the ball on offense. They are number twelve in passing
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: success number twenty seven in passing explosiveness, although they have
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: not been as explosive as of late, but they are
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: number twelve in PPA per pass. That's what they do.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: They generate a running game by throwing to the flat,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: throwing to the tight end, all that kind of stuff.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Auburn is not good at defending it. They are number
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: seventy seven in passing down PPA. They're number eighty eight
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: and passing down success rate. Bama's number twelve in passing
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: down success rate, Auburn number ninety nine and PPA allowed
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: to pass, number ninety six in the yards allowed pass
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: attempt number ninety or sorry one of three in passing
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: success rate, number ninety two in passing explosiveness allowed. So yeah,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: Auburn can absolutely defend the run. But Bama's number one
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: oh three in rush rate. They run the ball a
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: little over forty six percent of the time. They're number
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: one eleven in yards per rush. Auburn's defense is number
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: five in yards allowed per rush. But if they don't
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: ever do it, what does it matter? Right? Bama is
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: number twenty nine and points per scoring opportunity Auburn's defense
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: number thirty nine. Bama number twenty one in scoring opportunities
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: per game, so six point seven to three drives per
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: game where they get a first down inside of the opponent
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: forty Auburn number fifty four in scoring opportunities per game
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: are allowed per game. Excuse me, five point four to
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: five drives they allow per game, so Bama number thirteen
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: and five factors rank Auburn number fifty four. And this
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: is interesting when you look at it. Auburn doesn't turn
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: the football over number three and give aways per game,
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: but can that change with a new quarterback? Obviously we'll
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: see Bama numbers thirty four and takeaways per game at
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: number twenty six and giveaways per game, but they have
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: been turning the ball over much more recently. Can Auburn
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: generate some kind of pressure on Tys Simpson to make
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: him uncomfortable to where he drops the football again. We
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: shall see, we shall see. I think if you've watched
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: this show long enough, you understand that I am in
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: full belief that Jordenhair Stadium was built on like an
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: ancient voodoo burial ground. It was built on top of it.
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: So there is crazy stuff that happens in that stadium.
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: Auburn at home one and five against the spread. The
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: only spread that they covered at home this year was
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: last week against Mercer. They are minus three point nine
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: at home. Bama is one two and one against the spread.
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: On the road, the only game that they covered was
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: in Athens against Georgia, and they've got some kind of
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: voodoo hecks on Georgia. However, usually when Bama goes on
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: the road, they are a double digit favorite. When they're
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: a double digit favorite, they don't cover, they lose, They
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: don't do well. In this case, it's less than a touchdown,
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: and my numbers say that this should be significantly more. Now.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: If Alabama lets the pressure of the situation get to them,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: then absolutely they will fold like a cheap folding chair.
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's gonna be ridiculous. However, you come out
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: and play the way that they know how to play,
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: that they have done for most of the season. They've
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: got the better players, they've got the more experienced quarterback.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: They've got a defense that can get after a freshman quarterback,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: even at home. You should be able to make something
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: happen here. I think five and a half, I'm gonna
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: say it's too little. I'm gonna go with Bama to cover.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: I do not feel great about it. I will go
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: ahead and tell you that because I still believe in curse.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: This is the first time in twenty years that Alabama
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: has a different coach than Nick Saban on the sideline
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: in Jordenhair Stadium two thousand and five. It was Alabama
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: at Auburn when Mike Shula was the coach and that
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: did not go well. So yeah, before Saban, very very
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: little success in Jurdenhair, And even with Shula or even
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: with Saban, excuse me, uh, still not a lot of success.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: And yet Kaylin de Boor seems to know how to
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: win these kinds of games. He always has. I gotta
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: trust the coaching staff here. Give me Bama. My is
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: five and a half game Number five in Northwestern is
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: headed to Champagne to take on the fighting A Lione
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: I of Illinois this one six thirty pm Central Time
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: on Fox and Illinois is six and a half to
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: seven point favorite total forty seven and a half on
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: this one. Good gracious. Illinois did not look good against
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin last week, not in the slightest and yet when
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: they play at home five and one against the spread
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: plus four point six. They are nine three and one
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: against the spread over the last two seasons at home.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Northwestern three five and one against the spread on the
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: road in the last two seasons, one two and one
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: this year, so not great. You've got an Illinois team
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: that seems to play significantly better at home. Let's dive
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: into the numbers. My projected stat spread has Illinois by
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: five point eight. It's almost six points. Power raiding has
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Illinois by five. If you just take the stats from
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: the last four weeks, it would have Northwestern favored by
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: almost a touchdown. Very very interesting. Both of these teams
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: already Bowl eligible, so you don't have to worry about
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: making a bowl game here. That's certainly a good thing.
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: But when you dive into it, we'll start with Illinois
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: on offense. They can't run the football, which is good
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: for Northwestern because Northwestern can't defend the run. Northwestern number
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: one twenty five and rushing success allowed. Illinois is number
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: forty in rushing success rate, but the number one hundred
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: yards per rush number ninety seven and PBA per rush
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: number one oh nine and stuff right allowed number seventy
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: two in offensive line yards. I mean, it's just how
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: we get to a forty percent or forty six point
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: thirty three percent rushing success rate. I have no idea
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: because they're just not good at it's it's pretty wild.
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: But throwing the football is a different matter. Illinois number
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: nineteen in PBA per pass Illinois or Northwesterns defense ecuse me,
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: number seventy and PPA allowed per pass Northwestern's defense. This
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: is not what you were used to seeing out of
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: Pat Fitzgerald. This defense is EH at best. Northwestern, by
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: the way, second slowest pace in the entire country, number
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: one thirty five. Just wild. They run a play or sorry,
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: they run one point nine to seven plays every minute,
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: so they are using that clock just doing what they can.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: So the Northwestern defense, I don't necessarily believe in them,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: but you know they find ways to get it done.
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: Both teams, by the way, top twenty five in special
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: teams efficiency. Okay, Illinois number sixty six and five factors rank,
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: Northwestern number eighty eight. Northwestern's offense pretty good at running
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: the football. That happens to be what Illinois is best
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: at defending. Illinois is number fifty four and rushing success
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: allowed number twenty three and rushing explosiveness allowed number fifty six.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: In yards per rush, Northwestern number thirty five in yards
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: per rush, number forty eight and rushing success they are
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: number eighty one and rushing explosiveness number sixty three in
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: offensive line yards, forty third in stuff rate allowed. And
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: they're not great at throwing the football, but they are
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: better at it than Illinois is at defending it. So
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: this feels like it's going to be a tight ballgame.
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: You look at penalties per game, both are inside the
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: top twenty one, turnover margin both outside the top sixty.
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: Northwestern gives it way more, but they are better at
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: generating turnovers. Illinois number fourteen and giveaways per game. They
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: don't turn the ball over, but they're number one on
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: one in takeaways, so they don't generate turnovers. So what
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: is that going to mean, who knows. At this point,
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Northwestern finds a way to cover games. They are six
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: and three against the spread. This year, Illinois is seven
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: and three, but man Illinois has not looked good as
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: of late. That game against Wisconsin really threw me. Last week,
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: Northwestern found a way to come back, fought, won the
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: game against Minnesota. They got to bowl eligibility. I think
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: Northwestern hangs around here. This feels like a fuel goal
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: kind of game. It could be thirty one to twenty seven.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: It could be a hell I mean, it could be
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: lower scoring. It could be twenty one to seventeen, something
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: like that. I think it falls within six and a
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: half to seven. So if I'm getting a touchdown with Northwestern,
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: I will gladly take that. Give me the Wildcats plus
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• 31:14
  Speaker 1: You haven't already subscribed to the channel. Of course, like
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: the video and do me a favor. Jump in the
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: comments let me know your picks. This week have had
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: multiple people already jump out and give me some picks.
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: The board is kind of gross right now. I feel
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: like I'm pretty close in a lot of these numbers,
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: So give me, give me some thoughts, tell me what
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: you are seeing with these, and jump in the comments
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: with that. But first subscribe because there's still over fifty
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: percent of you that are watching that are not subscribed
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: to the channel. And like the video and press whatever
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: the hype button is thing. If you see a hype button,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: I still don't really know what that means, but press
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: it and help me out. I guess yeah, who knows?
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: Game number six nine thirty p Central Time, God's time
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: zone on ESPN, Notre Dame heads two Stamford and currently
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: the Fighting Irish are a thirty two and a half
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: point favorite total of fifteen and a half to fifty
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: one and a half and Hugh, my numbers don't get
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: there now. My last four weeks numbers, it has Notre
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: Dame by more than five touchdowns minus thirty six point
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: five to two, the beating that they put on Syracuse
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: last week. They scored twenty one points on Syracuse before
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: they ever even touched the ball on offense. I don't
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna see the same thing here against Stanford,
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: but man, Stanford's numbers would bear it out that I mean,
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: it is a possibility. Stanford is number ninety six in
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: turnover margin, number ninety three and giveaways per game, the
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: number one twenty six and special teams. I mean it's possible.
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: And certainly after the way that they the way they
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: demolished Cal and got Justin Wilcox fired last week, you
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: feel like there might be some regression to the mean
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: with this man. That's insane. And my projected SAT spread
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: has Notre Dame by a little more than twenty five
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: and a half points. My power rating only has Notre
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: Dame by twenty one and a half. The offense for
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: Stanford is atrocious. They are really bad. Number one twenty
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: six in finishing drives. They are number one twenty in
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: rushing success rate, number one twenty two in passing success rate.
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: They don't really do anything well in this Notre Dame
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: defense has certainly improved from where they were after the
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: first two games of the year. They are now number
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: ten and PPA allowed per drive. They are number thirty
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: four in current strength to schedule. Now that strength to
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: schedule is I mean, you want to talk about so
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: much pressure. They have put so much of the weight
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: of their schedule on USC, Texas A and m and Miami,
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: and that's basically it. Everybody else has just kind of
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: been yeah. Right, So Stanford number thirty two in current
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: strength the schedule and they play in the ACC and
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: it's not like they've played a murder's row by any
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: stretch of the imagination. Stanford pretty good on defense at
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: defending the rush, number nine in PPA allowed per rush.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: That is what Notre Dame wants to do. Their number
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: thirty five in rush rate. Over fifty five percent of
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: their offensive snaps are running the football, so they're gonna
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: feed it to Jeremiah Love a lot along with Price.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: Their number two in rushing explosiveness. But Stanford's defense number
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: twenty seven and rushing explosiveness allowed. Kind of curious about that.
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: So some of this game, I have no doubt that
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: they will be able to run the football. But I
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna have to rely on CJ. Car to
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: throw the football sum and he has certainly proven capable
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: of doing that. They're number twenty one in PPA per pass,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: number four in yards per pass attempt, number five in QBR.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is fantastic for a freshman quarterback. Stanford's
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: defense is awful against the pass one oh five and
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: PPA allowed per pass one oh two in yards allowed
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: per attempt number one oh nine and QBR allowed. I mean,
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: is what it is? Is what it is? Uh? Notre
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: Dame number nine in points per scoring opportunity, Stanford number
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: twenty seven in points allowed for scoring opportunity. So the
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: Stanford defense has been good. I think Stanford can slow
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: down Notre Dame enough. I don't know how many points
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be able to score, but if you get
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: to ten, can I keep Notre Dame to forty two?
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go with Yeah, why not. I'll take Stanford
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: at home plus thirty two and a half. I mean,
• 35:44
  Speaker 1: this number just feels outlandish, and it feels inflated because
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame just wiped the floor with Syracuse last week.
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: I gotta go back the other way. Give me the
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: cardinal at home plus thirty two and a half. The
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: fighting Andrew Lux find a way to get that cover
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: Game number seven, eleven am Central Time, God's time Zone
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: on ABC, the Miami Hurricanes travel up north to take
• 36:08
  Speaker 1: on the Pitt Panthers, who ballgame gonna be in the thirties.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: One of them Florida boys know about thirty degree whether
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: probably not a lot, I would imagine. Miami is six
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: and a half to seven point favorite on the road
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: total of fifty and a half to fifty one, and
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: Mario Cristobal has not been good at covering spreads in November.
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: They did not cover against Virginia Tech last week. Granted
• 36:35
  Speaker 1: that was by half a point. If you got the
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: opening line, you covered, but even still Miami one and
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: two against the spread on the road this season minus
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: four point two. Their turnover margin is really good right now,
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: number fourteen, but on the road, especially against SMU, turnovers
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: bid them. They certainly bid them. Miami number fifteen and
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: special teams of fishing Pitt is number forty Pitt the
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: last time that they went up in competition like this,
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: and Georgia Tech I don't believe is up in competition.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: The last time they played a team this talented was
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: against Notre Dame and they just got the floor wiped
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: with them. I think Miami is certainly on the same
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: level as Notre Dame. Obviously they beat them head ahead,
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: and that was back in Week one. Teams can go
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: a myriad of different directions, because we saw Florida State
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: just demolish Alabama, and Alabama is a top ten team
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: now Florida State fighting to make a bowl game. So
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: you look at defensive success rate PIT number eight in
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: that they are really good against the run. Miami is
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: capable of doing any number of things. Let's start with
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: the Hurricanes on offense. Right, Hurricanes are number eight in
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: PPAPRI pass there are number seventy five in pp APRIL rush.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Running is what PIT hopes that they do because Pitt
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: is great against the runs US number six and rushing
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: success allowed. They are number six in yards allowed per
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: rush number ten and PBA per rush number three. In
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: offensive line yards allowed number six and stuff right allowed.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: Miami is probably gonna have to rely on Carson Beck
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: and if they do that number seventy six and interceptions
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: thrown per pass attempt, Pitt is number nineteen in interceptions
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: gained per pass attempt defended. So I have the feeling
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: Carson Beck is going to throw the ball to the
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: wrong colored shirt at some point. Now, when that happens
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: in the game, who knows. You just got to hope
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: if you're Miami, that it's not at one of the
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: most crucial points of the ball game. Pitt is four
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: and two against the spread at home this year. By
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: the way, plus nine point one, they play significantly better.
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: They're granted. The Notre Dame game is weird for Pitt
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: because Nordoosey came out and said beforehand, this game means
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: nothing because if Pitt wins the game, they need some
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: other things to happen. But they are right there with
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: only one acc loss. They could be going to the
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: SEC championship game. You could certainly with your new quarterback,
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: find a way to go, get that done, get to
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: the playoff. Pitt defense is not as good against the
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: pass as they are against the run, but they're still
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: pretty good number twenty four and passing success allowed number twelve,
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: and havoc Miami's offense is number eight. I think Miami
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: has an advantage on the line's scrimmage, certainly, But can
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: Carson Beck play mistake free football? I don't know that
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: that's possible. On the other side of the ball, Miami's
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: defense really really good. This pit offense with Mason Heinchel
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: at quarterback. They are number twenty one in pass right.
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, this Kate Bell offense is serious. They throw
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: the football almost fifty five percent of the time, partially
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: because they're not good running it. Number one oh nine
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: in yards per rush, number one fourteen in rush rate
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: so less than forty four percent of the time, number
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: eighty eight, and rushing success number seventy nine and rushing
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: explosiveness number ninety nine on offensive line yards blah blah.
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: Miami's defense will crush them if they try to run
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: the ball a whole lot. But can they pass it?
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: Number forty one in PPA per pass, Miami's defense number
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: thirty four, number forty six in QBR, Miami's defense number nineteen,
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: passing explosiveness number thirty eight, Miami's defense number twenty two.
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: So Corey Heatherman, who came in from Minnesota, I think
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: that he can do some things with this Miami defense
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: and they will be able to play a tighter game
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: against Pitt's offense. My projected stat spread has Miami minus
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: seven point two four. My power rating has Miami minus
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: six point four. My last four weeks has Pit favored
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: by one point sixty five. There is a seven on
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: the board. I don't trust crystal ball, especially in November
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: on the road when it's cold. Second straight back to
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: back road game, second straight back to back, second straight
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: road game, so back to back road games for the Hurricanes,
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: and there is a lot of pressure here. I think
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: Miami feels good that if they just win the game,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be all right. I will take Pitt to cover.
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: Pitt plus seven give me an interesting ballgame in Pittsburgh,
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: So give me the Panthers plus seven. Game number eight,
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: two thirty pm Central Time, God's time Zone on CBS,
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: and the Oregon Ducks are headed to the Washington Huskies.
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: And oh boy, you got another fun matchup with Oregon
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: having to go to Seattle. And we remember Dan Lanning
• 41:50
  Speaker 1: kind of took it out on Washington last year. This
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: one might be a little more difficult. You got two
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: top ten teams as far as PPA margin is concerned,
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: very interesting, both of them. Way slower pace of play
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: than you would think for these two teams when they
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: were in the back twelve. Both of them are fast
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: now number one twelve in pace of play for Washington,
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: number one seventeen for Oregon. And you're looking at Washington
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: number eight in PPA margin, Oregon number two in PPA margin.
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: The spread on this game, by the way, is Oregon
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: minus six and a half total of fifty one and
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: a half to fifty two and a half depending on
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: the book. Very interesting, right, very interesting looking at Let's
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: start with Oregon on offense first, number twenty two in
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: points for scoring opportunity, Washington's defense number twenty two in
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: points allowed for scoring opportunities. So both really good at
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: Washington good at not allowing teams to finish drives, Oregon
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: really good at finishing drives. Oregon way better as far
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: as field position is concerned. And on the other side,
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: when Oregon's on defense, way better at field position, which
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: is why you see Oregon number six and five factors rank,
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: Washington number thirty three. So that's what you're saying. So
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: Oregon on offense, they want to run the football. They
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: run it almost fifty five percent of the time offensive
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: line yards their number nine Washington's defense is number seventy.
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: They're number thirty one and stuff rate allowed. Washington's defense
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: number ninety four and stuff rate, but Washington is number
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: twenty one and rushing success allowed. Oregon is number two
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: on offense, Oregon number three in yards per rush, Washington's
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: defense number twenty five, so Washington may be able to
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: slow them down some. Because I also don't believe that
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: Washington has faced a line of scrimmage quite like this one.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Washington's defensive line is rated number sixty eight. The Oregon
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: offensive line is number two. Very interesting. But on the
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: other side, when Washington had the ball, Washington's offensive line
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: number thirty four. Oregon's defensive line number forty seven. Now
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: they have improved from earlier this year, but Washington interesting,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: very interesting. So when Oregon's on defense, they are not
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: that great against the run. Demon Williams will be able
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: to run the football on this Oregon defense. The question
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: is how often can he do it? They are number
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: fourteen in rushing success Oregon number twenty four in rushing
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: success allowed. Oregon is number two in rushing explosiveness, Washington
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: number twenty four. There, so Oregon doesn't allow a ton
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: with that. Washington number thirty in offensive line yards, Oregon's
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: defensive line number twenty five in offensive lineyards allowed. Oregon
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: doesn't stuff the run, number one thirteen in stuff rate,
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: Washington number forty two and stuff rate allowed. You've got
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: a really good defense here in Oregon number five. PBA
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: allowed per drive, Washington's offense is number nine, Oregon's offense
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: number one in PPA per drive, Washington's defense number twenty eight.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: My status projected spread has got Oregon minus eight point
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: twenty five. My power rating has Oregon minus six point eight,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: but my last four weeks has Washington favored by four. Now,
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: how we got to that, since we're including a loss
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: at Wisconsin in this, I'm not totally certain, but I
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: do know that Oregon finds a way to win these games.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: They always do. Washington has not played when they do
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: step up in competition, they have not looked good. And
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: I think that Oregon is closer to Ohio State than
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: maybe back to somebody that Washington was able to kind
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: of play with. Right, let's look at against the spread.
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: Washington four and two against the spread at home plus
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: ten point eight, Oregon two and two against the spread
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: on the Road at plus seven point five, So I
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: don't think that Seattle is necessarily going to mess with
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: them too much. I like the Ducks. I know they're
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: coming off the big win over USC Dan Lanning does
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: not let them get complacent, and I trust Landing more
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: so than I trust Jetfish. I think Jetfish could be
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: headed to Florida. Don't know that totally, but if Lane
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: ain't going to Florida, who's the next call you make.
• 46:39
  Speaker 5: For me?
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: It'd probably be Jetfish. Anyway, I will take Oregon to cover.
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: This thing is less than a touchdown. Give me the
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: Ducks minus six and a half. Game number nine, seven
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: pm Central Time, God's time zone on ESBN two. SMU
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: goes two Cow SMU right now a thirteen and a
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: half point favorite. That is up from the ten and
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: a half that had opened on Sunday fifty two and
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: a half to fifty three and a half. So the
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: total is going up a little bit. And typically in
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: a spot like this, you know I would take Justin
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: Wilcox in the points because Justin Wilcox was a beast
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: at covering double digit spreads as an underdog, and yet
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: here we are no Justin Wilcox they still got Jks.
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: I suppose, not that it's done them a whole lot
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: of good because they can't run the football. Nick Rolovich
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: is going to be the acting head coach. What does
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: that mean? We'll see, We'll see this cow job looks
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: like it's going to be a toached little poise. Who
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: is an Oregon's defensive coordinator. I mean, obviously it's still
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: early in that they'll figure out what they're gonna do,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: but I don't think they necessarily had a plan in
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: place for firing Wilcox. Either way, the offense has been atrocious.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: Number one fifteen in ppaper drive. And I know the
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: Jks is awesome, right. It's not that he's played awesome,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: it's just you can see the potential is there for
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: him to develop into something fantastic, right, I mean, he's
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: he can be really, really good, and he has made
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: some absolute dime throws this year. The issue is you
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: gotta be consistent with it, and they are certainly trying.
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: I mean they're throwing the ball over sixty percent of
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: the time. They are number sixty five in passing success right,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: number thirty five in passing explosiveness. SMU is number eighty
• 48:28
  Speaker 1: three and explosiveness allowed. They are SMU's defense number thirty
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: six and PPA allowed per pass, number sixty one in
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: yards per attempt, number forty six in QBR Well, Cal
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: is one hundred, number eighty eight and number eighty nine
• 48:42
  Speaker 1: in those metrics. Their bread and butter is made by
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: defending the run. They got a good defensive line, but
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: Cal runs the ball less than forty percent of the time.
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna have to worry about the
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: run much here, so SMU is gonna have to sell
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: out to stop the pass. And they are pretty good
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: at getting interceptions, and that is not a good thing
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: for Cal. Cal is number eighty one and giveaways per
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: game SMU number one, and takeaways per game there are
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: number seventeen and interceptions gained per pasitem defended. Cal is
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: not awful at throwing interceptions, but my gosh, they throw
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: the most backbreaking, horrible interceptions you've ever seen. They also
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: fumble the ball a lot when they're on offense number
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: one oh two and fumbles loss per rush SMU is
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: number five and fumbles gained it per rush defended. So
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know that Cal is going to have a
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: lot of success trying to score on the SMU team.
• 49:40
  Speaker 1: When SMU has the ball, they're not great a running
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: the football, which is the weakness of the CAL defense.
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: And if they're trying to throw it, well, CAL is
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: pretty good at defending that, but Justin Wilcox typically is
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: the mastermind behind that defense. And as you see, I mean,
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: the DC role was vake. So now you've got to
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: come up with who the DC is going to be
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: and who's going to call the defense. And I don't
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: know who that's going to be. So SMU can't run
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: the football, but they can throw it. Cal had been
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: pretty good at defending the past. They're number twenty in
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: past success allowed, number twenty two in PBA allowed for
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: pass number twenty five in QB are allowed. Okay, you know,
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: number fifty seven in passing explosiveness. I still think SMU
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: is going to score some I just don't know how much.
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: And there's a part of me that thinks that CAL
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: like firing the coach right before the last game of
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: the season, especially when it was unexpected like this. Like
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: to be fair, Cal is six and five. They're going
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: to a bowl game. They're one and four against the
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: spread at home, by the way, they don't cover at
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: home for whatever reason. SMU two and three against the
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: spread on the road, but they like it. It was
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: very reactionary to just getting demolished by Stanford, even though
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: Cayl had the better success rate, and when it was
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: turnovers that killed them, turnovers they got returned for touchdowns.
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: I mean, it was a whole thing, block punt and
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff, which also leads to special
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: team sufficiency. SMU number ninety five and special team sufficiency
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: CAL is number seventy two, so not as much of
• 51:24
  Speaker 1: an advantage for SMU here. And yet I still think
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: that Cal is the team that could just fold up shop.
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna I'm gonna bank on that. I guess
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna bet this game. This thing opened to
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: ten and a half, it's out to thirteen and a
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: half now. My projected stat spread has SMU minus thirteen
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: point five four. My power rating has SMU minus ten
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: and a half. My last four weeks, though, has SMU
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: minus twenty seven point four one. I think SMU knows
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: we get this win, we're going to the SEC title game.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: We win that, we're going to the playoff again. They
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: got a talented roster. They got dudes that find a
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: way to get it done at the most important times.
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: I'll take SMU, give me the Mustangs minus thirteen and
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: a half on the road, game number ten, six thirty
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: pm Central Time on nbc USC at home, they are
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: hosting UCLA coming off of you know, USC coming off
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: of a loss to Oregon that knocked him out of
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: the playoff and all that kind of mess. USC favored
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: by twenty one and a half to twenty two and
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: a half. Total is fifty nine and a half to
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: sixty and a half. So it's gone up at some
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: of the different places. This thing opened at nineteen and
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: a half. It's all the way out to some books.
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: Twenty two and a half not all that surprising. USC
• 52:41
  Speaker 1: has been playing better as of late, and Ucla, I mean,
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: this is just a corpse of a football team just
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: has not looked good really at all. They are two
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: and three against the spread on the road this year.
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: USC four and two against the spread at home plus
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: eight point one. So USC much better at home. Looking
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: at five fact rank USC number thirty nine, UCLA number
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: one thirty. I mean, there was that blip in the
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: middle of the year where it looked like UCLA had
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: things back on track. Notin aetymore. This team is dreadful
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: on defense, and that ain't good for you or for UCLA.
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: Because USC's offense is number five in PPA per drive,
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: UCLA's defense number one thirty one in PPA allowed per drive.
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: USC is gonna be able to do whatever they want
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: to here. I mean, it's just insane to look at
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: USC number eleven in QBR, UCLA number one eleven, USC
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: number four and PPA per pass UCLA number one oh
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: six when you're trying to run the ball. Number nineteen
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: in PPA per rush for USC number one thirty two
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: for UCLA's defense number fifteen in yards per rush, UCLA's
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: defense number one twenty eight. Rushing success USC is top thirty,
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: UCLA next to last. Just anything they want to do,
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: USC is going to be able to do it. It's
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: kind of a name your score kind of situation. Now,
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: the USC defense not great and they're not good against
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: the run number one twenty nine and rushing success allowed
• 54:18
  Speaker 1: UCLA is number sixty three, and rushing success rate USC
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: is number one eleven, and rushing explosiveness allowed UCLA is
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: number forty. USC is number one twenty six offensive line
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: yards allowed, UCLA is number sixty two, So there is
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: a way for UCLA to hold onto the football for
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: a little while. The issue that they run into so
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: USC on offense number seven in points per scoring opportunity.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: That's how many points do you score on average when
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: you get a first down inside of the opponent forty
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: UCLA is number one thirty five. UCLA gives up a
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: ton of points. On the other side, Ucla number one
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: twenty one in points per scoring opportunity. The defense is
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: number fifty five. So I don't believe that UCLA is
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to put up a ton of points here.
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: I mean it's when you're looking at just overall offensive
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: points per game, UCLA is number one twenty three eighteen
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: point nine points per game. Their defense is number one
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: twenty four thirty three point six or third thirty three
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: point eight. Excuse me. USC is number thirteen in offensive
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: points per game at thirty seven point two. Their defense
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: is number sixty twenty three point five zero. I'm not
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: getting there. I'm not seeing I don't think UCLA can
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: hang around in this game. I think UCLA wrote this
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: season off a while ago. And USC. Yeah, losing last
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: week stung, but they also understand that they're trying to
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: build something there, and you're gonna have kids that are
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: still pushing for that ninth wind because then in the
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: bowl game you can get to ten wins. I think
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: USC names their score. My projected stat spread again, USC
• 56:13
  Speaker 1: by twenty four last four weeks is at USC by
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: twenty six. If this thing's under twenty four, yeah, give
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: me the Trojans. I'll take USC. Best number I can
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: get right now is minus twenty one and a half.
• 56:27
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• 58:15
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• 58:26
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  Speaker 1: coffee dot Com slash Winning Cures. Conference USA Action one
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: pm Central Time on the streamer ESPN Plus. For this one,
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky goes to Jacksonville State and we are fighting
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: for a birth in the Conference USA Championship game. For
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: this one, Western Kentucky had two and a half to
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: three point favorite on the road total fifty four and
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: a half to fifty five and a half. So that
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: total has come down at some spots, but still a
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: lot of love for Western Kentucky here. Not totally sure
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: that I understand why. I guess you know, Tyson Hilton
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: is a good good coach, and they certainly put up
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: a fight against LSU last week. But man, I am
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: so curious what this Jacksonville State team is going to
• 59:34
  Speaker 1: look like. They are not great overall. I will say
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: that they're certainly not good against the pass, and that
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: is not a good matchup going against Western Kentucky. But
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: they can run the football really well. And Western Kentucky's
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: defense is good against the run in some cases. But
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: there are some things like number ten and rushing explosive
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: this Western Kentucky number eighty nine that'll scare you right like,
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: this is very interesting. Western Kentucky number twenty nine and
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: rushing success rate, but they are number one eighteen in
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: yards allowed per rush. Jacksonville State number thirteen in yards
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: per rush. Jacksonville State number nineteen and rushing success number
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: ten and rushing explosive number twenty five in offensive lineyards.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State can run the football and they run it
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: almost sixty four percent of the time. Gonna be interesting,
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: very interesting there. Jacksonville State number fifty three in points
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: per scoring opportunity. Western Kentucky's defense is number ten. Western
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: Kentucky also much better in special teams efficiency. They are
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: ranked inside the top twenty. Jacksonville State ranked outside the
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: top one twenty, so that should give you an idea there.
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State through number fifteen in turnover margin, Western Kentucky
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: number one oh three in turnover margin. That will certainly
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: play a big factor in this game if Jacksonville State
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 1: is to win it. Penalties per game pretty average for both.
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: Number forty seven for Jacksonville State, number sixty two for
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. Western Kentucky throwing the football, they throw it
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: over fifty seven percent of the time. Number thirty in
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: passing success Jacksonville State's defense number eighty there, number seventy
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: eight m PPA allowed per pass, Western Kentucky number sixty
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: three in PPA per pass. Western is eight and three
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: overall in the season, Jacksonville State seven and four, and
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: Western pretty good against the spread on the road four
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: and one against the spread on the road plus three
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 1: point three, but Jacksonville State three and one against the
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: spread at home plus ten point eight. So Charles Kelly
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: has done a pretty good job with this team. Clinton
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: Tricket especially running the football, keeping kind of the same
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: Rich Rodriguez thing going on here. They are number eighty
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 1: eight in points per scoring opportunity. Jacksonville State in points
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: allowed per scoring opportunity, Western Kentucky number forty four, but
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State doesn't allow you to get down there a
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 1: whole lot, number thirty nine. In scoring opportunities allowed per game,
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky is number fifty. There is Western the better
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: football team overall? Yeah? Probably? I mean this is a
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: fun pace matchup, right Jacksonville State number ninety seven in
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: pace of play, Western Kentucky number fifteen. Jacksonville State always
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: finds a way to get it done at home. Way
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: too much love for Western Kentucky in the market right now,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: especially considering what I'm looking at, which is Western by
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: half a point. And if you've got a coin flip
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: in a big time decision game, Jacksonville States has played
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: well enough to prove to me this year that they
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: are a pretty good football team. Give me the game.
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: Cocks at home. Best number I can get his three,
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: I will take it. Jacksonville State plus three at home,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: six pm Central Time on ESPN. Virginia Tech goes to
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: Virginia and Virginia right now favored by ten to ten
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: and a half depending on the book total of fifty
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: two and a half on this one, this spread was
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: Virginia minus eleven and a half. The total was fifty
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: two and a half, and it is still sitting in
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: fifty two and a half. Let's look at some numbers.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: I've got Virginia by fifteen and a half based on
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: the last four weeks of numbers, power rating Virginia minus
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: eleven point three projected stat spread. I've got Virginia by
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: two touchdowns. And yet this Wahoo's team has only beaten
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech what twice in like a quarter of a century.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: They never beat Virginia Tech. Now, typically this Virginia team
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: is way way worse than this, But even when they
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: were good under Bronco, they couldn't beat Virginia Tech. So
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: now Virginia Tech's got some life. They did put up
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: a fight against Miami. I don't feel like Miami was
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: ever in doubt of losing that game, per se. But yeah,
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: it is what it is. So okay, there's no number
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: that I can give you that would make you want
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: to bet on Virginia Tech. Here. The defense is really
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: bad and Virginia's offense is serviceable number fifty three in
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: PPA per drive On offense, they're really good running the
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: football number I say, really good. They're number twenty seven
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: in p peper rush, number thirty seven in yards per rush,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: number sixty four in rushing success. But Virginia Tech is
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: outside the top ninety in basically everything other than yards
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: per rush, and they're number eighty one there. As far
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: as stopping the pass if Chandler Morris gets that thing going,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: Tech is outside the top one ten in every category
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: in defensive passing. Let's look at points sports scoring opportunity.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: I think that's the biggest thing. Can you finish drives
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: or not? Virginia number seventy one in points per scoring opportunity,
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech number one twenty nine. Virginia number fourteen in
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: scoring opportunities per game, So that's when you get a
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: first down inside of the opponent forty Virginia Tech number
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: ninety seven in scoring opportunities allowed per game. Virginia will
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: be able to do whatever they want you here, or
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 1: at least they should theoretically. On defense, Virginia surprisingly good
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: this year. I don't understand. It doesn't make any sense
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: to me. Virginia Tech throws the ball just over forty
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: four percent of the time, so that also means not
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: a lot. And I can't find anything there that would
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: make any kind of sense. For I mean turnover margin
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: number one eleven for Virginia Tech number twenty four to
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: for Virginia number one thirteen in penalties per game four
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech number thirty for the Who's I just did?
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Unless Virginia Tech runs the ball insanely well, and this
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 1: is a good defense against the run, Virginia is number
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: nineteen in yards allowed per rush number fifty four and
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: rushing success allowed number twenty and rushing explosiveness allowed. Virginia
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: is more than serviceable stopping the run, and that's the
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 1: only thing in Virginia Tech can do on offense number
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: thirty two in PPA per rush number thirty one, in
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: yards per rush number sixteen and rushing success rate number
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: twenty three and rushing explosiveness number thirteen in offensive line yards,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: et cetera. But they are number eighty one in standardowns PPA.
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: I just I'm not saying it. Tech is number sixty
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: eight in points per scoring opportunity, but they're number one
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: oh eight in drives to get inside of the opponent
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: forty Well, Virginia's defense is number twenty nine in points
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: allowed per scoring opportunity and number twenty six and scoring
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: opportunities allowed per game. I mean, you've got a team
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: that's top thirty in five factors in a team that
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: is number one twenty in five factors. So everybody is
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: betting Virginia Tech here because history would tell you you
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: gotta bet Virginia Tech here. And boy, it would be
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 1: hilarious for Virginia to have the best season that they've had,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: maybe ever, a chance to go to the a SEC
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: Championship game, all that, and then Virginia Tech finds a
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: way to screw it all up by winning again. Even
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: though they're not going to a bowl game. They got
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: nothing to play for other than pride. Virginia is nine
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: and two, Virginia Tech is three and eight, and yet
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: you got people betting the dog like they know the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: final score. I don't think I'm gonna buy it. I
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: gotta trust numbers here. At some point I'll take the
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: Who's And the best number I can get right now
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: is ten. I bet this thing gets down to nine
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: and a half or nine by game day. It is
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 1: a lot of pressure, I will say that. But Virginia
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: is at home I think they're going to be fine.
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: Give me Virginia minus ten staying in the ACC. Wake
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 1: Forest heads to Duke this one two thirty pm Central Time,
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: God's time Zone on the ACC Network. Duke is a
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: one to one and a half point favorite, depending on
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: the book, and the total is fifty four and a
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: half to fifty five and a half on this one.
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: And this opened at three and a half and it
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: has come down. Duke still has a shot a rather well,
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: I won't say realistic, but they got a good shot
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: of getting to the a SEC Championship game if a
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: couple of things go their way right. You also got
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: to win this game. This is a five lost team
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: right now and they could play for an AEC championship game.
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: That is mind blowing to me. Okay, nobody has paid
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: attention to the fact that wake Forest is eight and
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: three on the season. Wake Forest three and one against
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: the spread on the road this year plus six point five.
• 1:09:09
  Speaker 1: They are six and two against the spread on the
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: road the last two seasons. Duke is one and four
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: against the spread at home minus eleven point three. They
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: don't play well at home. They just don't. Let's start
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: with Duke on offense. They can throw the football. They
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: can absolutely throw the football. The issue that they've got
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: is that wake Forest is good against everything, especially against
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: the pass. Number three in the yards allowed per attempt,
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: number twelve in PPA allowed for pass, number twelve in
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: QBR allowed, and Duke is number twenty five at number
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: thirty four and number twenty three in those metrics. Duke
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: number twenty seven in passing success rate. Wake Forest defense
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: number five. This Jake Dickard defense is so serious, man.
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: They are number nine in defensive six that's rate allowed overall,
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: number five against the pass, number twenty seven against the rush.
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think you're going to score a lot of
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: points here. And the problem that Duke has is they
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 1: don't run the ball a ton, but when they do,
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: they typically turn it over. They are number one twenty
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: seven and fumbles lost per rush attempt. Wake Forest is
• 1:10:22
  Speaker 1: number four and fumbles gained per rush attempt defended. So
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: that is something to pay attention to. Duke runs the
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: ball less than forty four percent of the time, but
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: you're gonna have to try something different because I don't
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be able to throw it on this
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: wake Force defense. We'll see points were scoring opportunity. Duke's
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: offense number thirty two, wake Forest defense number thirteen. I
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: mean this team is serious. They are really really good
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: on the other side of the ball. When wake Forest
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: has the ball, they're not very good on this side.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: They are number ninety four in PPA per drive on offense,
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: UK's defense is number one twenty four, So the Duke
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: defense is atrocious, but they are more atrocious on against
• 1:11:08
  Speaker 1: the pass. Number one twenty eight in PBA allowed per pass,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: number one twenty seven in yards per pass attempt. The
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: issue for wake Forest is they don't throw it that
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: much forty seven percent of the time. It's number seventy
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: eight in pass rate, and they're number eighty four in
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: interceptions thrown per pass. Duke's number forty five and interceptions
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 1: gained per pass attempt. So while they're not wake Forest
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: isn't good at throwing it, dukedn't good at defending it.
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: Wake Forest is also not very good at running the football,
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: number fifty six in yards per rush, number fifty six
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: in rush rate, number one seventeen in rushing success, number
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: seventy eight in rushing explosive Duke is number seventy eight
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: in ppa per rush number sixty one, in yards allowed
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: per rush number sixty eight, and rushing success allowed number
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: seventy three in rushing explosiveness. And when you look at
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 1: the lines of scrimmage, wake Forest number one sixteen and
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: I five of lineyards number one hundred and stuff rate allowed,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Duke is number twenty three and number seven in those.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: Another one to pay attention to Duke number thirty six
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: and have a great wake Forest offensive line is number
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: seventy three and have it allowed. So I don't think
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: Wake is gonna score a bunch of points, but also
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: don't think they're gonna let Duke score a bunch of points.
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: So the fifty four and a half, that thing's gone
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: up to fifty five and a half I think now,
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: granted turnovers certainly have led to some higher scoring games,
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: and whatnot, what would I total be, Yeah, forty five,
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: so almost forty six points. I'd probably look at it
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: under if that thing's to fifty five and a half,
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: so it was three and a half, it's come down
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: to one and a half to one. I've got Duke
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: minus two point three six. My power rating has Duke
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: minus three. My last four weeks has wake Forest minus eleven.
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: If Jake Dickert wins this game, he's got nine wins.
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: I am shocked we have not heard his name for
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: other jobs because I don't think wake Forest signed him
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: to like some huge deal. It was kind of like
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: a lifeline if you want, you want to get out
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: of Washington State. Here, come on, we got we got
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit of money. Wake Forest is just a good,
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: well coached football team. I think they're gonna win the
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: game outright. So the fact that I'm getting any kind
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: of points here, I'll take it. Give me wake Forest
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half to win the game and
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: knock Duke out of the ACC contenders field last game
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: of the night, and of course we got to go
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: back out to the Islands when last time, Wyoming heads
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 1: to Hawaii, this one on Spectrum or the Mountain West
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: Network ten pm Central time. Of course, Hawaii is a
• 1:13:59
  Speaker 1: seven and a hal half point favorite to a nine
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, depending on the book. And
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: this thing has come down a lot total of forty
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: four and a half on this one total to stay
• 1:14:11
  Speaker 1: in the same But this thing opened to eleven and
• 1:14:13
  Speaker 1: a half and it's dropped down to seven and a half.
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: Hawaii's got a list of injuries. I can't even begin
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: to name them all. I mean, it's just a ton
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: of them. And they got demolished by UNLV last week,
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: just smoked. But they are still a seven and four
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: football team, and Wyoming just lost the opportunity to go
• 1:14:36
  Speaker 1: to a bowl game. Hawaii five and zero against the
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: spread at home this year. They are eleven and one
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: against the spread at home over the last two years.
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: Wyoming two and three this year, five and six over
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: all the last two years, minus four point nine this season,
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is plus fourteen at home. Is Michael Alohado playing? Yes,
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: okay cool. Hawaii throws the ball the second most in
• 1:15:05
  Speaker 1: the entire country. They threw it over sixty two percent
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: of the time. They are number sixty eight in QBR
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: number sixty six and PBA per pass number eighty eight
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: yards per attempt. They are number twenty nine in passing
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: success rate number thirty four, and have it allowed number
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: thirty four in passing down PPA blah blah blah blah.
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: Wyoming's defense the pass is the only thing they're good at.
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: Defending number twenty four and PPA allowed for pass number
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: eight in yards allowed for attempt number fifteen and QBR
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: allowed number twenty two, and pass rate number twenty six
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: and passing success rate blah blah blah. People see these
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: stats and they start to try and talk themselves into
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: this Wyoming team being able to stop the pass. You
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: know who else had really good passing numbers, San Diego State,
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: and do you know what Hawaii did to them thirty
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: eight to six. Wyoming has not played a real passing attack,
• 1:16:01
  Speaker 1: and it's not the Hawaii is good, I mean, they're
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: very serviceable. But aside from that, like what are we
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: talking about, Hawaii is not gonna run the football. They're
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: not good at it. Number one eighteen and pp April
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: rush points per scoring opportunity Hawaii number seventy nine, Wyoming
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: number eleven scoring opportunities per game. Though Hawaii number sixty
• 1:16:28
  Speaker 1: three on offense, Wyoming's defense number one hundred. Now, on
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: the other side, Wyoming has scored a grand total of
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: I want to say, ten points. It might be six.
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: They might have just put up a field goal on
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: each of the games. But against San Diego State and
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: against Fresno they scored nothing. I mean at ten points
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: in the last two games. Is not great at all,
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: and there's not a single number here like it's not
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: the Hawaii's defense is good, the number sixty eight and
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: PPA allowed per drive, but Wyoming is number one twenty
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: one in offensive PPA per drive. That's predicted point to
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: add it in case you don't know. So Wyoming, I'm
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: not expecting them to be able to score. They are
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: number one to twenty en points per scoring opportunity and
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: their number one twenty nine at getting first downs inside
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: the opponents forty. Hawaii number fifty six in points allowed
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: for scoring opportunity, Hawaiian number twenty two and special teams deficiency.
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: Wyoming is number one twenty four there turnover margin, both
• 1:17:28
  Speaker 1: of them are outside the top ninety five penalties per game,
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: both are outside the top ninety and yet Hawaii at
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: home just plays like such a completely different team. I
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: understand all the injuries, and I understand watching this team
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: go and just get boat raced by UNLV last week.
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: But you're back on the island now, we're not going
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: to Laramie. I think Wyoming's going to be in a
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: whole world heard here. They're not making a bowl game anymore.
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: What do you have left to play? For probably not much.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: I think the number got too small. So now my
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: numbers would tell you Hawaii minus six for the projected
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: SAT spread, the power rating minus six the last four weeks,
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: Hawaii minus three point three. But I have not tossed
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: in these against the spread numbers for being at home
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: and Hawaii being a plus fourteen five oh against the
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: spread at home. I think that's worth something because you're
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: talking about the fact that Wyoming on average plays five
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: points worse on the road, Hawaii plays fourteen points better
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: at home. I mean you're talking about a nineteen point
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: difference there. I mean, this thing's just a hair over
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: a touchdown. Give me the Rainbow Warriors. We'll go with
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: the favorites. I'm good with it. Hawaii minus seven and
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: a half to close out the night. All right, let's
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: recap this sucker right quick. Wisconsin plus one and a half,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: Florida State plus one and a half, Missouri minus two
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: and a half, Alabama minus five and a half, Northwestern
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: plus seven, Stanford plus thirty two and a half, Pit
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: plus seven, Oregon minus six and a half, SMU minus
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: thirteen and a half, USC minus twenty one and a half,
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State plus three, Virginia minus ten, Wake plus one
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: and a half, and Hawaii minus seven and a half.
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: I hope you all have wonderful thanksgivings. Thank you so
• 1:19:33
  Speaker 1: much for supporting this show through this regular season. We
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: got the championship games coming up next week, but obviously
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: there's only gonna be what nine games to cover next week,
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: So it's gonna be interesting, very different for us on
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: the channel because all we do is talk about the games.
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'll dive into some of this trendy coach gossip
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: crap that everybody else you know, deals in, right, I'm
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: sure you guys would love for me to talk about
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: lane Keifvin we'll know an answer on Saturday. We'll have
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: something to talk about it, I imagine, but we'll be
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: that much closer to figuring out who's going to the
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: playoff who's not. We can start talking about hypothetical matchups
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: that could be fun. We might do that. You can
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: get all the numbers, by the way over at buy
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: Me a Coffee dot com slash Winning Cures. It's five
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: bucks a month, fifty bucks for the year, and you
• 1:20:26
  Speaker 1: can also subscribe to the channel. Got a sneeze coming
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: on here to close out the show. Well, better way
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: to close out a show for me. I mean, that's
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: the allergy has been a big part of my recording career.
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: That's the way it goes. All Right, you guys have
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: been absolutely awesome. Thank you again for supporting the show,
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: for subscribing, for liking the video. It doesn't cost you
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: anything to do that. It just helps me out press.
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: Whatever the hype button is, I've heard people talking about
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: that on other shows. I don't know what the hell
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: it is, but if it helps, I would appreciate it.
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: Jump in the comments, let me know your picks on
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: these games along with there's a whole bunch of them
• 1:21:05
  Speaker 1: that we didn't go over. You can get all the
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: stat sheets for those over it buy me Coffee dot com,
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: slash winning cures. But if you would toss me what
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: games you like, I gotta make some picks. I gotta
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: make official plays this week. I gotta dive into more
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: of these numbers, and I am just not seeing it
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: with some of them, Like these numbers are pretty sharp,
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: and the ones that are moving, I don't know how
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: much I can trust them either way. All Right, I'll
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: stop wasting your time. You guys are fantastic. Ah. With
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 1: that said, take care of yourself, take care of each other.
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: God bless college football and hopefully all of your tickets
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: cash this week. Thanks for listening to Winning Cures Everything, Subscribe,
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: leave a review or comment, follow at Gary wc on
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: X and check out the web store.
• 1:21:57
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