Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / WOR meteorologist Ray Stagich interview

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WOR meteorologist Ray Stagich interview · Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Well, we had downpours yesterday. It was like buckets coming
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: down and I thought, oh my god, everything is gonna flood.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: And then it was over. But that was just a
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: prelude of what is to come. Let's get the latest
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: now from Ray Stage, a woor Weather Channel meteorologist who
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: was kind enough to give us an extended forecast today. Yeah, yesterday,
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: when that was coming down, I'm thinking to myself, Man,
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: I hope this doesn't last a long time. And it didn't.
• 0:30
  Speaker 1: But that sounds like that was just the opening act.
• 0:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah, it was, and I don't think we'll be a
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: wind severe weather threat now because you gotta kind of
• 0:40
  Speaker 2: separate the two. Yesterday was more wind, localized heavy downpours
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: and even a couple of severe weather reports trickle in
• 0:48
  Speaker 2: Rockland County. One of the reports parts of Jersey Bergen County,
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: a little bit of tree damage but nothing too widespread.
• 0:57
  Speaker 2: Now we kind of shift the focus from a severe thunderstorm,
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: which there may be a couple in the next couple
• 1:02
  Speaker 2: of days, but that would mean wind, hail, isolated tornadoes too,
• 1:06
  Speaker 2: more of a flood threat. Thus the flood watches in place,
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: So they're kind of two separate ensities. You get flash
• 1:13
  Speaker 2: flood warnings when you got heavy rain and flooding, and
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: then you get severe thunderstorm warnings when you get wind, hail,
• 1:19
  Speaker 2: and maybe even tornadoes when you go to tornado warnings.
• 1:21
  Speaker 2: So I think our focus ship's more to a heavy
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: rain threat with isolated wind. Then it's going to be
• 1:28
  Speaker 2: more widespread wind. I think that kind of makes sense, right, So.
• 1:33
  Speaker 3: Basically, Ray, let me break it down. Break out the
• 1:36
  Speaker 3: gondolas again, because if you're in a locally, you're in
• 1:40
  Speaker 3: a low lying area and you're prone to get flooded,
• 1:43
  Speaker 3: even when there's a little sprints in the air. Get
• 1:46
  Speaker 3: those sand bags. Stop filling those sandbags. Now that's what
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: you're saying.
• 1:52
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's what I'm saying. We'll see some of the
• 1:54
  Speaker 2: images of the water and the subways, et cetera, et cetera.
• 1:58
  Speaker 2: I think it's not going to be widespread, will be
• 2:01
  Speaker 2: enough to be what do we want to call it
• 2:03
  Speaker 2: these days? Dramatic probably and life threatening probably two for some.
• 2:09
  Speaker 2: Because if you get it in areas that aren't usually
• 2:12
  Speaker 2: prone to flooding in an unexpected area, those would be
• 2:15
  Speaker 2: the ones that be surprised. So I say, everybody with
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: a flood watch that means the potential for flooding in
• 2:19
  Speaker 2: and around the watch area that covers an entire Try state.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: We all got that risk for some flesh flooding. Now
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: there is a secondary threat, as I'd said, of some
• 2:28
  Speaker 2: gusty winds and maybe small hail tertiar area. I don't
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: think it's a tornado profile, but you always say thunderstorms.
• 2:37
  Speaker 2: They all do rotate. The question is do they rotate
• 2:39
  Speaker 2: enough to spin up a tornado? And I don't think
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: that's likely. The chance is never zero percent. But I
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: really think it's a rain and a water risk first,
• 2:48
  Speaker 2: a lot of it coming later. Today's like the heaviest
• 2:50
  Speaker 2: of it. And hopefully we can escape overnight flooding because
• 2:53
  Speaker 2: most people do what they go to bed, and you
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: get flooding at night and you're not ready for it.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: You really can't hide from it. You can hide from
• 3:01
  Speaker 2: the wind, but you can't hide for the water.
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: So the fact that we got so much rain areas
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: sorry ray. The fact that we got so much rain
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: yesterday and a short amount of time, and maybe you
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: can tell us how much it was yesterday. So the
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: ground is saturated and we are probably more prone to
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: a flood at that point. If it rains a whole
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: lot today.
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, especially if it was in the areas where we
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: saw the heaviest rain yesterday. So it's not you'll guaranteed
• 3:29
  Speaker 2: that that'll fall where some of the heavier storms where
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: it means about quarter of an inch in Central Park,
• 3:34
  Speaker 2: but out across parts of North Jersey. Hasburg Heights had
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: almost an inch of rain, but if you go north
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: of that in Bergenfield, two point two inches of rain,
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: one and a half inches across the river from r
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: Yonkers at Grant Elementary School close to it. So where
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: we saw those one to two inches totals, the ground
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: saturated and now already starting to see the showers thunderstorms
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: coming out of Eastern PA heading into Scranton and Allentown
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: in through the pocados. So over the next several hours
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: that line should weaken a bit, but the chance is
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: going to go up later this morning. I do think
• 4:07
  Speaker 2: the bulk of the rain comes later today and into
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: the nighttime hours tonight, maybe one to three inches of rain,
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: not for everybody, but for the areas that get hit
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: multiple times, so the floodwatch would be in place. I
• 4:20
  Speaker 2: had that chance of some heavier rainfall and then the
• 4:21
  Speaker 2: low kind of sticks around a couple of days. I think,
• 4:24
  Speaker 2: scattered stuff through tonight, tomorrow and even Thursday before the
• 4:28
  Speaker 2: sun comes back. And we gave you that extended forecast
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: because everybody's kind of saying, you know, when do we
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: get out of this mess, and I think it's not
• 4:35
  Speaker 2: going to be till Friday, till the sun returns.
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: I noticed a lot of people doing home redpayers up
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: on their roofs, trying to lay the tar and new
• 4:44
  Speaker 3: tar paper and fill in where the leaks are coming in.
• 4:48
  Speaker 3: That's a little dangerous when you're an amateur. It's hard
• 4:51
  Speaker 3: enough for rufus to do it. But with this incessant
• 4:55
  Speaker 3: heat and humidity and then the water, the rain that
• 4:58
  Speaker 3: comes down and buck it falls, it really does take
• 5:02
  Speaker 3: its toll on buildings and especially roofs. So I would
• 5:07
  Speaker 3: just advise folks, if you're not a skilled roofer, don't
• 5:11
  Speaker 3: even try it, because that's how people fall off their roof.
• 5:14
  Speaker 3: That's how all of the sacrilet goes out.
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: Low roof.
• 5:18
  Speaker 3: No hell going up on the roof, no for you.
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: I'm finding out a roof ray.
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: Yesterday during these storms when we were talking about localized.
• 5:30
  Speaker 4: I never saw something so localized in my life than yesterday.
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: My daughter comes home. She was about four minute drive,
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: about a mile away from the house at a workout class.
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: She comes in, she goes, oh, my gosh, that rain.
• 5:45
  Speaker 4: I'm like, what are you talking about? She goes, it
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: was coming down in buckets.
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: I was like, it didn't even we did not have
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: a drop a mile away.
• 5:53
  Speaker 4: Wow, I've never experienced anything like that. Is that what
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: we're going to be looking at today, that localized or
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: is this more whitespread?
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: I think it's going to be more widespread. I think
• 6:03
  Speaker 2: everybody gets rain. The question is going to be between today,
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: tonight tomorrow, where does the heaviest fall. And you know
• 6:09
  Speaker 2: that's always a difficult question. The guy that says where
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: the floodwatch is. There could be multiple rounds of rain
• 6:14
  Speaker 2: and thunderstorms with the tropical downpours of blinding visibility, so
• 6:19
  Speaker 2: gonna be tough to see on the roadways. You know,
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: obviously headlights on high speed, wipers, low speed travel when
• 6:24
  Speaker 2: you get into the rain. But certainly more widespread rain.
• 6:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not gonna go out on the limit and say
• 6:29
  Speaker 2: widespread flooding, but there will be some and when you
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: get those warnings or advisories for flooding, that means take action,
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: flooding eminent or actually a turn.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Hey, we had a really destructive tornado in Wisconsin yesterday
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: and within the week we had three they were they
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: were one in zero, but there was three tornadoes in
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. Is this an aberration? Are we seeing more
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: tornadoes in different areas?
• 6:59
  Speaker 2: That's the million question? And I think the statistics would
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: say yes, right, but you know, kind of lying underneath
• 7:06
  Speaker 2: there is that? Is that? Because yeah, obviously there's more
• 7:09
  Speaker 2: sightings because there's a greater population than there was X
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: amount of years ago. There's more social media, so there's
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: more people out there actually, you know, taking picture of
• 7:18
  Speaker 2: the tornadoes. Are they coming in going in through rural
• 7:21
  Speaker 2: areas where they're not getting reported, or are they coming
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: into more metropolitan areas they I'll tell you this, the
• 7:25
  Speaker 2: numbers certainly say that. And even in Cook County yesterday,
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: if you don't know the state of Illinois, that's downtown Chicago. Yeah,
• 7:34
  Speaker 2: they had a couple of reports of tornadoes and that
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: was that same complex they came out of Wisconsin where
• 7:41
  Speaker 2: there was some fairly significant damage. So in case you
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: didn't know, Now the Weather Service go out assess the
• 7:46
  Speaker 2: damage and they'll sign an EF rating to that storm.
• 7:48
  Speaker 2: But yeah, Larry, there's been at least statistically more tornadoes
• 7:54
  Speaker 2: reported over the last several years. The question is, you know,
• 7:57
  Speaker 2: is that a function of what's going on with the
• 7:58
  Speaker 2: climate or is just a function of you'll more people seeing.
• 8:01
  Speaker 3: Them now ray no matter where the extreme weather is.
• 8:04
  Speaker 3: Europe burning up and they expect one hundred degree whether
• 8:07
  Speaker 3: to return. With all those funnel fires, Asia getting deluged
• 8:12
  Speaker 3: with rain, they're claiming it's all the result of Eino,
• 8:18
  Speaker 3: uh including ours.
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: What does that mean?
• 8:20
  Speaker 3: Though? To the average person they hear el Nino, it's
• 8:22
  Speaker 3: sort of like, well, what does that mean?
• 8:25
  Speaker 2: Well, it's basically means there's certain things that happen when
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: there is an El Nino climatologically. On average for a season,
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: So let's say for the summer season, it would mean
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: in places like the northeast to winngling, maybe a little wetter,
• 8:41
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit cooler, and for the winter maybe
• 8:44
  Speaker 2: average or above average precipitation and maybe even above average temperatures.
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: The question is how far above average would that be?
• 8:51
  Speaker 2: Is that have a degree is a degree because everybody,
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: I think says, well, if we're gonna have an El
• 8:55
  Speaker 2: Nino winter in the Northeast, they think, well, maybe there's
• 8:58
  Speaker 2: not going to be any snow. That's certainly not the case.
• 9:02
  Speaker 2: The question is going to be, you know, are we
• 9:04
  Speaker 2: above average by a degree or five degrees and then
• 9:07
  Speaker 2: we don't get a lot of snow or so. It's
• 9:09
  Speaker 2: basically more about climatology and what typically happens when we
• 9:12
  Speaker 2: have in Elino. It's basically a pattern shift across the
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: globe due to cooling and or warming El Nino La
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: Nina in the Pacific Ocean.
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: Ray stage jic wol Our Weather Channel meteorologist. Ray, thanks
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: for spending time with us. Appreciate it all right,