Latest / Winning Cures Everything | College Football / CFB Power Rankings #10-6 + Win Total Bets To Make
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: On today's show, I'm previewing my power rated teams number
- 0:03Speaker 1: ten through number six and that's Penn State, Texas, A
- 0:06Speaker 1: and m Alabama, Georgia and Texas and I'm giving you
- 0:09Speaker 1: my win total picks for each one heading into the
- 0:11Speaker 1: twenty twenty.
- 0:12Speaker 2: Six college football season. Welcome in.
- 0:17Speaker 1: This is Winning Cures Everything. It's a college football podcast
- 0:20Speaker 1: and I'm your host, Gary Seekers at Gary WCE on
- 0:23Speaker 1: all the different socials.
- 0:25Speaker 2: This is the Monday, June eighth edition of the show.
- 0:28Speaker 1: And another reminder, we are doing at least one show
- 0:31Speaker 1: a week through late July, and then of course the
- 0:33Speaker 1: content ramps up, way way up as we get closer
- 0:36Speaker 1: to kick off. So if you haven't already, hit the
- 0:39Speaker 1: subscribe button, hit the like button, and jump in the comments.
- 0:43Speaker 1: Give me your takes on these teams as well. Also
- 0:46Speaker 1: jump in the comments. I got a brand new hat today.
- 0:48Speaker 1: I'm sure some of you will comment on this, but
- 0:51Speaker 1: tell me who you think this is.
- 0:54Speaker 2: It's a team. I'm curious your thoughts.
- 0:56Speaker 1: I'm gonna bet the majority of you will not be
- 0:58Speaker 1: able to get it, but there may be a few
- 1:01Speaker 1: ogs that know what's up. All right, let's not waste
- 1:04Speaker 1: time Let's get to the teams, all right.
- 1:07Speaker 2: My number ten team going.
- 1:08Speaker 1: Into the twenty twenty six football season is Penn State,
- 1:12Speaker 1: and one of the more fascinating teams heading into this season,
- 1:16Speaker 1: not because they lack talent, not because they lack a
- 1:18Speaker 1: proven coach. It's more because this whole thing feels like
- 1:23Speaker 1: an experiment to see if they can replicate what Indiana did.
- 1:26Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:27Speaker 1: Matt Campbell takes over after James Franklin was fired midseason
- 1:30Speaker 1: and instead of slowly rebuilding, Campbell basically uprooted the chunk
- 1:36Speaker 1: of Iowa State and just transplanted it over to Happy Valley. Quarterback,
- 1:40Speaker 1: running backs, tight ends, receivers, linebackers, assistant coaches. I mean,
- 1:44Speaker 1: half of this roster is from Ames. So the question
- 1:47Speaker 1: isn't whether Matt Campbell can coach, Obviously he can. The
- 1:50Speaker 1: questions whether Iowa State football can win at Penn State,
- 1:54Speaker 1: if what he brought in can win in the Big Ten,
- 1:57Speaker 1: which is by all measures a better conference than the
- 2:03Speaker 1: Big Twelve, Right, And I think that's the most interesting
- 2:06Speaker 1: storyline in the Big Ten this year. Penn State finished
- 2:09Speaker 1: seven and six last season, but the number of under
- 2:12Speaker 1: cells kind of how weird The year was they opened
- 2:14Speaker 1: three to zero, fell apart, of course, the overtime loss
- 2:17Speaker 1: to Oregon. Then you had a bad loss to Northwestern.
- 2:21Speaker 1: There was a loss to Ucla. There Franklin gets fired,
- 2:25Speaker 1: and then they actually finished pretty strong. They won three
- 2:28Speaker 1: of their final or not, I guess they won their
- 2:30Speaker 1: final three that included a Bowl win over Clemson and
- 2:32Speaker 1: the Penstripe Bowl. Campbell inherits a roster that is not broken,
- 2:37Speaker 1: it's just being completely redirected.
- 2:39Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:40Speaker 1: The centerpiece of the whole transition is a quarterback. Rock
- 2:42Speaker 1: Obeck comes over from Iowa State. He's got thirty nine
- 2:45Speaker 1: career starts, twenty six wins over twenty five hundred snaps
- 2:49Speaker 1: in Campbell's system. And that is an enormous advantage for
- 2:52Speaker 1: a first year staff when you completely change a coaching
- 2:55Speaker 1: staff and an offensive system. Having a quarterback who already
- 2:59Speaker 1: knows everything so beaeds up the process pretty dramatically. The receivers,
- 3:02Speaker 1: the tight ends, the running backs, it's all things that
- 3:07Speaker 1: It's a system that Beckt has lived in for years.
- 3:10Speaker 1: It's a system that all of these guys know. The
- 3:13Speaker 1: offensive identity is clear too. Campbell's gonna lean on the run.
- 3:16Speaker 1: He's gonna use multiple tight ends, which is very welcome
- 3:19Speaker 1: and Happy Valley. They're gonna rely on veteran quarterback play.
- 3:22Speaker 1: They're going to keep games manageable for a year one roster.
- 3:25Speaker 2: In the Big ten.
- 3:25Speaker 1: I think that that's the right formula, and we'll talk
- 3:29Speaker 1: about the schedule here in just a bit. Defensively, there's
- 3:31Speaker 1: reasons for optimism. Tony Rojas returns though he's coming off
- 3:34Speaker 1: of an acl Alex Totsch is a talented linebacker, Zion Tracy.
- 3:40Speaker 1: He anchors the secondary, and of course, the biggest thing
- 3:43Speaker 1: about this is the new defensive coordinator, Dan to Lynn.
- 3:45Speaker 1: He brings a pretty legitimate defensive system that obviously improved
- 3:51Speaker 1: quickly at UCLA. He moves over to USC they started
- 3:54Speaker 1: to build some good things now, of course, he's coming
- 3:56Speaker 1: back to his alma mater. I think the biggest concern
- 3:59Speaker 1: on the roster the defensive line. They lost a ton
- 4:01Speaker 1: of production up front. If you can't generate pressure consistently,
- 4:05Speaker 1: the team is going to be in one score games
- 4:07Speaker 1: every week, even with a lighter schedule this season, and
- 4:10Speaker 1: that's gonna be where the season gets decided. Schedule wise,
- 4:14Speaker 1: Penn State gets a very friendly start obviously you see
- 4:16Speaker 1: it on the screen here, Marshall, Temple, and Buffalo about
- 4:19Speaker 1: a four touchdown favorite. Plus in all of those they
- 4:22Speaker 1: should be three to zero. Then Wisconsin shows up as
- 4:26Speaker 1: the first major test right then, of course, that's followed
- 4:29Speaker 1: by USC. If Campbell wins both of those, then you
- 4:32Speaker 1: start talking about the playoff almost immediately. And after USC,
- 4:37Speaker 1: you've got Michigan, which is probably the toughest game on
- 4:40Speaker 1: the schedule, you know, road game in ann Arbor. You
- 4:43Speaker 1: steal that one in your one, and I feel like
- 4:46Speaker 1: everything changes because the back.
- 4:47Speaker 2: Half of the schedule gets a lot easier.
- 4:49Speaker 1: It feels like a game that separates kind of an
- 4:51Speaker 1: eight win season from maybe a ten win season. The
- 4:55Speaker 1: ceiling for this team I think is ten and two.
- 5:00Speaker 1: That's if Beck stays healthy, the line comes together pretty
- 5:02Speaker 1: quickly and the defense gets settled. The floor probably six
- 5:07Speaker 1: and six, seven and five. That's if the front seven
- 5:10Speaker 1: can't hold up and the close games kind of start
- 5:12Speaker 1: going the wrong way. My most likely outcome is eight
- 5:17Speaker 1: and four here, maybe nine and three if the close
- 5:20Speaker 1: games bounce their way. And I say eight and four
- 5:23Speaker 1: just because I don't necessarily trust that a big twelve
- 5:29Speaker 1: team that wasn't a great Big twelve team can come
- 5:32Speaker 1: in and just automatically win in the Big ten.
- 5:35Speaker 2: And that's basically what we've got.
- 5:37Speaker 1: Although you know, James Madison came in and won in
- 5:40Speaker 1: the Big ten almost immediately, but they, you know, I
- 5:43Speaker 1: think they supplemented their roster a little differently. I don't
- 5:48Speaker 1: know that I've seen that from Penn State just yet.
- 5:50Speaker 1: The market win total is eight and a half pretty
- 5:53Speaker 1: much everywhere at nine.
- 5:54Speaker 2: And a half.
- 5:54Speaker 1: I would lean under. At eight and a half, there's
- 5:57Speaker 1: not enough value either way. This one's going to be
- 6:00Speaker 1: a no bet for me. It's too many unknowns, despite
- 6:03Speaker 1: you know, a genuinely capable coaching staff. I think the
- 6:07Speaker 1: best way to describe Penn State heading into twenty twenty
- 6:09Speaker 1: six it's this is an Iowa State transplant with Big
- 6:14Speaker 1: ten talent, right. That combination can win nine games, but
- 6:17Speaker 1: every close game is going to make Penn State fans
- 6:20Speaker 1: really nervous. So let's go with My most likely prediction
- 6:25Speaker 1: would be eight and four. So even at eight and
- 6:27Speaker 1: a half, I would lean under, but I don't like
- 6:30Speaker 1: the juice enough to actually make a pick on that,
- 6:35Speaker 1: So let's go with eight and four.
- 6:37Speaker 2: For Penn State on this.
- 6:40Speaker 1: What Extra Winning Cures Everything content and a way to
- 6:42Speaker 1: support the show directly head over to buy me a
- 6:45Speaker 1: coffee dot com slash Winning Cures and become part of
- 6:48Speaker 1: the community today. Texas A and M at number nine
- 6:52Speaker 1: is one of the toughest teams in college football to
- 6:54Speaker 1: evaluate this year, because on paper, it absolutely looks like
- 6:58Speaker 1: a playoff caliber roster. You got the returning quarterback, one
- 7:02Speaker 1: of the best receiver rooms in the SEC, A secondary
- 7:06Speaker 1: that you know should be outstanding, and then Mike Gelko
- 7:10Speaker 1: coming off at eleven and two season in the College
- 7:11Speaker 1: Football Playoff appearance. But there's certainly warning signs as well.
- 7:16Speaker 1: The offensive line is almost completely rebuilt, they lost the
- 7:19Speaker 1: SEC defensive player of the year, and when the competition
- 7:22Speaker 1: got hardest late last season, things got pretty shaky.
- 7:26Speaker 2: Right. You lost to Texas.
- 7:27Speaker 1: At the end of the season, and then of course
- 7:30Speaker 1: lost to Miami in the playoff, and both of those
- 7:32Speaker 1: games raised questions. The conversation is not whether A and
- 7:36Speaker 1: M is talented, it's whether they are ready to become
- 7:39Speaker 1: a consistently elite program. Marcel Reid is back. I think
- 7:43Speaker 1: he's one of the most interesting quarterbacks in the SEC.
- 7:45Speaker 1: He had over thirty one hundred passing yards last year,
- 7:47Speaker 1: twenty five touchdown passes, nearly five hundred rushing yards. Like
- 7:51Speaker 1: a legitimate dual threat who you know can make explosive
- 7:56Speaker 1: plays inside and outside the pocket, but he needs to
- 7:58Speaker 1: clean up the interceptions, stop forcing throws and critical situations and.
- 8:02Speaker 2: Take the next step.
- 8:04Speaker 1: As a I guess the decision maker. When you look
- 8:07Speaker 1: at the late season losses, the inconsistency started to show up.
- 8:11Speaker 1: If Reid gets to the next level, A and M
- 8:13Speaker 1: becomes a different team. And the smartest way that you
- 8:17Speaker 1: can help a quarterback in that situation is give him
- 8:21Speaker 1: a receiver room that might be the best that they've
- 8:22Speaker 1: had in college station Mario Craver returns after he earned
- 8:26Speaker 1: All SEC honors. Ashton Bethel Roman is a proven weapon,
- 8:30Speaker 1: excuse me weapon, and they landed Isaiah Horton from Alabama
- 8:34Speaker 1: and the portal like that edition alone is pretty massive.
- 8:38Speaker 1: You pair those guys with Reed's mobility and you've got
- 8:42Speaker 1: a genuinely dangerous passing attack. So long as Reed can
- 8:45Speaker 1: find the guys, ruben owens the second returns, he anchors
- 8:48Speaker 1: the backfield weapons are there.
- 8:51Speaker 2: The problem is the offensive line. We have no idea
- 8:53Speaker 2: what to expect here. You've got four NFL linemen gone.
- 8:57Speaker 1: Mark Nabu Junior is the only returning Starre and A
- 9:01Speaker 1: and M did attack the portal will conform me from Alabama,
- 9:05Speaker 1: Tyree Adams from LSU, along with multiple guys with SE's experience.
- 9:09Speaker 1: But adding talent and building chemistry are two different things.
- 9:13Speaker 1: I feel like the offensive line is the biggest issue
- 9:16Speaker 1: for the majority of teams in the top twenty right now.
- 9:20Speaker 1: If the line doesn't go fast, everything becomes just significantly
- 9:24Speaker 1: harder right, shorter windows downfield, less effective run game, and
- 9:28Speaker 1: read taking hits that he shouldn't be taking.
- 9:31Speaker 2: Defensively, I mean, it's some my Coco.
- 9:33Speaker 1: Defense right Like, I think the group has a real
- 9:35Speaker 1: shot at being good again.
- 9:36Speaker 2: The secondary is elite. You got guys like Marcus.
- 9:39Speaker 1: Ratliffe, Ratcliffe, excuse me, Dalton Brooks and des Ricks all back.
- 9:45Speaker 2: They finished third in SEC in pass defense last season.
- 9:50Speaker 1: Now, some of that had to do with the schedule,
- 9:53Speaker 1: but they should continue to play at a high level
- 9:55Speaker 1: this season. The question for this team is replacing Cash's
- 9:58Speaker 1: Howell Player of the Year in the SEC. You don't
- 10:02Speaker 1: just replace a guy like that. Marco Jones needs a
- 10:06Speaker 1: big leap and Anto Soaka he was added to help
- 10:09Speaker 1: the pass rush. But until somebody proves they can generate
- 10:12Speaker 1: consistent pressure, the question mark stays on the board. Right
- 10:16Speaker 1: Ray Cooney from Tulsa, he's a nice addition at linebacker
- 10:18Speaker 1: to help against the run, but the pass rush is
- 10:21Speaker 1: the thing. Holman Wiggins takes over the offense from Colin Klein,
- 10:25Speaker 1: you'll probably see more spread concepts. I would imagine more
- 10:27Speaker 1: emphasis on getting playmakers in space and less of the
- 10:32Speaker 1: heavy tight end usage from a year ago. And they've
- 10:36Speaker 1: got more weapons at receiver, so you don't have to
- 10:39Speaker 1: necessarily rely on your tight ends as much. Schedule wise,
- 10:43Speaker 1: let's look at this thing. A and M should start
- 10:45Speaker 1: three and zero. You got Missouri State, you got Arizona State,
- 10:49Speaker 1: and he got Kentucky all at home, but then.
- 10:52Speaker 2: You got your road trip to LSU in week four.
- 10:54Speaker 1: Now LSU will be coming off of that emotional road
- 10:57Speaker 1: trip to Oxford, the homecoming for Lane Kiffin, if you will,
- 11:03Speaker 1: that game is going to be enormous for them. When that,
- 11:06Speaker 1: and of course you start talking CFP again, you lose
- 11:09Speaker 1: that and of course there's no more margin for error.
- 11:12Speaker 2: At that point. The back end of the schedule is
- 11:14Speaker 2: pretty brutal.
- 11:15Speaker 1: You've got at Alabama in Week eight, then you got
- 11:18Speaker 1: a bye week, then you play South Carolina, Tennessee, Oklahoma,
- 11:24Speaker 1: and Texas and it's one of the hardest closing stretches
- 11:30Speaker 1: in the country.
- 11:31Speaker 2: Like, if you can go three and.
- 11:32Speaker 1: Two in those five games, that's probably the whole season
- 11:36Speaker 1: right there, but you would still need that win over
- 11:39Speaker 1: LSU as well. The ceiling for this team probably probably
- 11:45Speaker 1: eleven and one, you know, SEC championship contender, and that's
- 11:50Speaker 1: assuming that the lines come.
- 11:52Speaker 2: Together and Read takes the next step. Floor is eight
- 11:55Speaker 2: and four.
- 11:56Speaker 1: If the line and the pass rush both disappoint, Reid
- 11:58Speaker 1: doesn't take that next step, et cetera. My most likely
- 12:02Speaker 1: outcome here, my prediction on it is nine to three.
- 12:05Speaker 1: The wind total is sitting at eight and a half.
- 12:08Speaker 1: The over is available around even money. I would lean
- 12:11Speaker 1: the over, and that's mostly just because I trust Mike Coco,
- 12:15Speaker 1: like he has built a real culture there, recruited well,
- 12:19Speaker 1: shown he can.
- 12:19Speaker 2: Compete at the SEC's highest level. And A and M.
- 12:22Speaker 1: I mean, they've got the quarterback, they've got the weapons,
- 12:24Speaker 1: they got the secondary. Now I guess we got to
- 12:27Speaker 1: find out if they have the trenches to be able
- 12:29Speaker 1: to compete for championships. And I think the biggest question
- 12:32Speaker 1: is can you beat Texas. That's the biggest question right now.
- 12:37Speaker 1: I think they probably can, but ah, it's it's gonna
- 12:43Speaker 1: be difficult. It's certainly gonna be difficult. That back half
- 12:45Speaker 1: of the schedule does not set up well, so you're
- 12:49Speaker 1: gonna have to get off to a hot start in
- 12:51Speaker 1: college station. Are you tired of sore knees or joints
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- 13:03Speaker 1: recover faster. Use codewce for fifteen percent off over at
- 13:07Speaker 1: ghost leaves dot com. The Alabama Crimson Tide come in
- 13:11Speaker 1: at number eight in my Power ratings. And this is
- 13:14Speaker 1: another incredibly difficult team to figure out heading into twenty
- 13:18Speaker 1: twenty six. And I know that sounds strange. Usually the
- 13:21Speaker 1: conversation starts with national championship expectations and works backwards in Tuscaloosa,
- 13:26Speaker 1: but this year certainly feels different, not because the talent disappeared,
- 13:30Speaker 1: but because, for maybe the first time under Kailyn to board.
- 13:34Speaker 1: There are actual questions in places that Alabama fans are
- 13:38Speaker 1: not used to having questions quarterback, offensive line, run game,
- 13:43Speaker 1: inside linebacker. I mean, just at places that are normally givens.
- 13:48Speaker 1: We don't know exactly what to expect. Now, before we
- 13:52Speaker 1: get too dark, let's acknowledge what the program did last year, right.
- 13:56Speaker 2: Alabama win eleven and.
- 13:57Speaker 1: Four, reached the SEC Championship Game, made the College Football Playoff,
- 14:01Speaker 1: got to win in the playoff on the road at Oklahoma,
- 14:04Speaker 1: and they beat Georgia in Athens last year like most
- 14:08Speaker 1: programs would hang a banner. But the ugly opener against
- 14:12Speaker 1: Florida State, the loss at home to Oklahoma in the
- 14:15Speaker 1: middle of the year, the loss to Georgia in the
- 14:18Speaker 1: SEC Championship game, got just demolished in that game, and
- 14:21Speaker 1: then getting blown out by Indiana and the Rose Bowl,
- 14:24Speaker 1: all of them left pretty bad tastes in Alabama fans.
- 14:28Speaker 1: Mouse I will say that the feeling around the program
- 14:31Speaker 1: is I guess you could say unfinished business.
- 14:34Speaker 2: I think that's fair.
- 14:36Speaker 1: The biggest story on offense is the quarterback battle Austin
- 14:39Speaker 1: Mack and Keeland Russell. Matt gives you, I guess stability.
- 14:43Speaker 1: He knows the system well, He's worked with Grub and
- 14:45Speaker 1: Debor for years now. It feels like he would be
- 14:49Speaker 1: the safe choice. But Russell is the guy that everybody's
- 14:52Speaker 1: talking about, and I would think for good reason. His mobility,
- 14:56Speaker 1: arm talent, what he did in the spring game, his
- 14:59Speaker 1: ability to create outside structure that could cover up some
- 15:02Speaker 1: of the problems elsewhere on this offense. If Russell is
- 15:05Speaker 1: ready early, Alabama becomes significantly more dangerous. If the competition
- 15:10Speaker 1: bleeds into October, things could certainly get messy because you've
- 15:15Speaker 1: got an easy opening to this schedule, but there's losable
- 15:21Speaker 1: games there, road game at Kentucky, game against South Carolina
- 15:26Speaker 1: Florida State of course beat them last year.
- 15:29Speaker 2: Not easy.
- 15:30Speaker 1: The offensive line, I think is the biggest concern on
- 15:32Speaker 1: the entire roster. Procter's gone, Parker Burills for the center
- 15:35Speaker 1: is gone. Alabama brought in Race Ilgatti from cal Poly
- 15:40Speaker 1: and Javen James from Mississippi State. The hired Adrian Klem
- 15:44Speaker 1: as the new offensive line coach to fix the room,
- 15:46Speaker 1: but adding bodies is not the same as fixing a unit.
- 15:51Speaker 1: Although they did, I think it was Eight of the
- 15:53Speaker 1: top ten guys are gone from last year because they
- 15:57Speaker 1: just wanted to revamp this whole thing, and they they
- 16:00Speaker 1: certainly brought in a lot of talent. It's not a
- 16:02Speaker 1: lot of experienced talent though. Last year this offense averaged
- 16:05Speaker 1: three point four yards per carry. They get three point four.
- 16:09Speaker 1: That is not Alabama football, And I think that's the
- 16:12Speaker 1: single most alarming stat on the entire roster. At receiver, obviously,
- 16:15Speaker 1: you've still got talent Ryan Coleman, Williams, he's got to
- 16:18Speaker 1: bounce back. He had too many drops in his sophomore year.
- 16:21Speaker 1: Lazier Brooks is back, Derek Meadows, and Rico Scott and
- 16:25Speaker 1: Siderian Morgan. They all add upside here. If the quarterback
- 16:29Speaker 1: gets settled fast, the receiver room certainly can be one
- 16:32Speaker 1: of the best in the conference, maybe in the country. Defensively,
- 16:36Speaker 1: I think this is where you trust this part, like
- 16:39Speaker 1: you trust.
- 16:40Speaker 2: This side of the ball more than the offense.
- 16:41Speaker 1: Right now, secondary might be the best position group on
- 16:44Speaker 1: the entire roster, might be the best in the country.
- 16:46Speaker 1: Zabian Brown looks like a future first round pick. Kean
- 16:48Speaker 1: sab the former Michigan transfer, and then Bray Hubbard.
- 16:51Speaker 2: They're both back. Kane Womack has enough talent.
- 16:54Speaker 1: In the back end to be creative with his coverages,
- 16:56Speaker 1: like the pass rush has got intriguing pieces. Yonzay Pierre
- 17:01Speaker 1: feels like the next great Alabama edge. He certainly showed
- 17:04Speaker 1: flashes of it last season. Devin Tompkins coming over from
- 17:07Speaker 1: USC and then of course you've got from South Carolina.
- 17:11Speaker 2: Desmond Ulmiozulu probably.
- 17:14Speaker 1: Didn't say that right, but you guys can correct me
- 17:16Speaker 1: in the comments. You've got real options there. The front
- 17:20Speaker 1: got noticeably bigger through the portal. Alabama got pushed around
- 17:23Speaker 1: physically and in some pretty key games last year. And
- 17:26Speaker 1: the fact, I mean the Rose Bowl was just the
- 17:29Speaker 1: key to the whole thing. Like they ran the Indiana
- 17:32Speaker 1: ran the ball on Alabama fifty times. That is outrageous.
- 17:37Speaker 1: The concern right now, I think is inside linebacker Caleb
- 17:40Speaker 1: Woodson comes in from Virginia Tech. He should help immediately.
- 17:44Speaker 1: But beyond him, I mean, there's a lot of unproven
- 17:46Speaker 1: players who are going to be asked to play meaningful
- 17:49Speaker 1: SEC snaps and that kind of stuff gets exposed pretty
- 17:52Speaker 1: quickly in this conference. As far as the schedule, we
- 17:55Speaker 1: talked about the early part, you know, the early runway
- 17:59Speaker 1: there ECU, Kentucky, Florida State, South Carolina, Misissippi State. You
- 18:04Speaker 1: should be able to stack wins there while you figure
- 18:06Speaker 1: out the quarterback in the offensive line. But the season
- 18:09Speaker 1: changes pretty quick once you get into October. Georgia comes
- 18:12Speaker 1: to town road game at Tennessee, Texas A and M.
- 18:16Speaker 1: Then you got your buy in a road game to LSU.
- 18:19Speaker 1: Those four games are the entire season. Like, you win
- 18:22Speaker 1: three and you're a playoff team. You split them and
- 18:24Speaker 1: you're still alive. You go one in three and you're
- 18:27Speaker 1: fighting just to reach what nine wins. So the ceiling
- 18:31Speaker 1: for this team is probably eleven and one. There's going
- 18:33Speaker 1: to be a loss in there somewhere. If Russell wins
- 18:37Speaker 1: the job early and the line stabilizes and then that
- 18:39Speaker 1: defense continues to play top ten football the way that
- 18:42Speaker 1: we know that they can, that's how you get to
- 18:45Speaker 1: eleven wins. The floor is probably eight and four, like,
- 18:49Speaker 1: and that's if the trench is state mess and the
- 18:52Speaker 1: quarterback battle drags on and whatnot. My most likely outcome
- 18:55Speaker 1: here is nine and three, and that would be you know,
- 18:59Speaker 1: you lose to Georgia, you lose to either or you
- 19:03Speaker 1: would end up losing like two of the games to Tennessee,
- 19:07Speaker 1: Texas A and M or LSU, or you just lose
- 19:10Speaker 1: one to South Carolina or Kentucky or somebody that you're
- 19:13Speaker 1: not expecting. Right, I got the win total sits at
- 19:16Speaker 1: eight and a half. I lean over not because I
- 19:20Speaker 1: think the team is elite, but I think they still
- 19:22Speaker 1: have too much talent, too much defensive continuity, and too
- 19:25Speaker 1: manageable of an early schedule to completely fall apart. I've
- 19:29Speaker 1: got them favorites in every game on the schedule. I've
- 19:32Speaker 1: got four toss ups. Their conference strength of schedule is
- 19:36Speaker 1: number sixteen in a sixteen team conference, so this is
- 19:39Speaker 1: the easiest schedule in the SEC. But it's also the
- 19:42Speaker 1: number seventeen schedule in the country. So that should give
- 19:46Speaker 1: you an idea of what we're looking at.
- 19:49Speaker 2: Here.
- 19:49Speaker 1: The best way I think to describe this team heading
- 19:52Speaker 1: into twenty twenty six. They are talented enough to make
- 19:56Speaker 1: the playoff, flawed enough that every major SEC game is
- 19:59Speaker 1: going to feel like a four quarter stress tests. So
- 20:03Speaker 1: nine and three sounds reasonable, and with a win total
- 20:06Speaker 1: at eight and a half, even juiced over, I still
- 20:08Speaker 1: feel good about that.
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- 20:37Speaker 1: The Georgia Bulldogs come in at number seven, and they
- 20:41Speaker 1: enter twenty twenty six in a spot that most programs.
- 20:45Speaker 2: Would be dreaming about. Right.
- 20:47Speaker 1: They won the SEC the last two years, they've earned
- 20:50Speaker 1: a first round by in the College Football Playoff. Last
- 20:53Speaker 1: year they finished twelve and two, and somehow the feeling
- 20:57Speaker 1: around this program is that it was not enough because
- 21:01Speaker 1: the Georgia the standard is not winning the SEC anymore.
- 21:04Speaker 1: The standard is winning the whole damn thing. And for
- 21:06Speaker 1: the second straight season, a championship caliber roster came up
- 21:09Speaker 1: short in the playoff. Now, last year it was an
- 21:12Speaker 1: Old Miss that ended the run in the Sugar Bowl,
- 21:15Speaker 1: but the fact that it was against Ole Miss without
- 21:18Speaker 1: Lane Kiffen and an Old Miss team that you had
- 21:21Speaker 1: already beaten during the season, I mean, that's a salty taste.
- 21:24Speaker 1: It really is, And the year before was a similar story.
- 21:27Speaker 1: Great regular season, conference title, playoff disappointment. Now granted, at
- 21:32Speaker 1: least with that one you were dealing with. Our quarterback
- 21:35Speaker 1: got hurt, right. What makes twenty twenty six so compelling
- 21:39Speaker 1: is the roster is loaded, the schedule is friendly, the
- 21:42Speaker 1: defense should be elite, and the run game should be elite.
- 21:45Speaker 1: But everything kind of circles back to this one question,
- 21:47Speaker 1: and that's whether or not Gunner Stockton can elevate Georgia
- 21:50Speaker 1: from a playoff team to a national champion.
- 21:53Speaker 2: Let's go in and start with what makes this team
- 21:56Speaker 2: so so good?
- 21:57Speaker 1: Stockton returns for a second year as the starter, Nate
- 22:00Speaker 1: Fraser is back as the leading running back, Chauncey Bowens
- 22:03Speaker 1: is back. The offensive line returns multiple experienced starters. The
- 22:08Speaker 1: tight end room might be the deepest position group on
- 22:10Speaker 1: the entire roster. You've got lost and lucky, You've got
- 22:14Speaker 1: Elias Williams, Ethan Barber, Jayden Riddell. Georgia can feature tight
- 22:19Speaker 1: ends heavily and lean on the run game while the
- 22:22Speaker 1: passing game develops a little more. Backfield depth is absolutely ridiculous.
- 22:26Speaker 2: Dante Dowdell comes in as a physical short yardedge.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Hammer, bo Walker and Dwight Phillips Junior add some more
- 22:33Speaker 1: depth behind Fraser and Bowens. The run game is set
- 22:37Speaker 1: up to be elite this year. Defensively, the experience is
- 22:41Speaker 1: even more impressive. Georgia brings back twenty one defenders who
- 22:44Speaker 1: all played meaningful football last season. The linebacker room alone
- 22:48Speaker 1: is just absurd. You got Raylan Wilson, Chris Cole, Justin Williams,
- 22:52Speaker 1: Zaden Walker. I mean, that group has a real case
- 22:56Speaker 1: to be the best linebacker unit in college football. At
- 22:59Speaker 1: the secondary is pretty loaded as well. kJ Bolden one
- 23:02Speaker 1: of the premier safeties in the country. Ellis Robinson the
- 23:04Speaker 1: fourth He's primed to become the next great Georgia corner.
- 23:07Speaker 1: And Kirby Smart added a bunch of guys right Khalil Barnes,
- 23:11Speaker 1: jamar Lee Ridley, a riddle, excuse me, Gentry Williams, Braylan
- 23:15Speaker 1: Connelly through the portal. But the one thing that Georgia
- 23:19Speaker 1: has to fix is the pass rush. Bulldogs finished dead
- 23:22Speaker 1: last in the SEC with only twenty sacks last season,
- 23:26Speaker 1: and that's almost impossible to believe when you're talking about
- 23:29Speaker 1: Georgia football. It's why hiring Larry Knight to coach the
- 23:34Speaker 1: outside linebackers is maybe one of the most important offseason
- 23:37Speaker 1: moves in the entire conference. You get even average improvement there,
- 23:40Speaker 1: and this defense is absolutely going to be one of
- 23:43Speaker 1: the best in the country. Now back over to the offense,
- 23:46Speaker 1: because here's the real question mark. Wide receiver Zachari Branch
- 23:51Speaker 1: is gone. He set Georgia's single season receptions record with
- 23:54Speaker 1: eighty one catches. Outside of London Humphreys, most of the
- 23:58Speaker 1: proven production of receivers walked out the door. Isaiah Canyon
- 24:02Speaker 1: from Georgia Tech arrives coming in from the portal. But
- 24:05Speaker 1: this is a younger, less proven receiver room than what
- 24:09Speaker 1: Georgia has typically had during his championship runs. And that's
- 24:13Speaker 1: not saying that they had a whole lot to begin
- 24:15Speaker 1: with with the receivers. And of course, all of this
- 24:18Speaker 1: brings us back to Stockton, because he's the variable that
- 24:20Speaker 1: makes the whole team either really good or truly terrifying.
- 24:25Speaker 1: At his best, he looks like a quarterback capable of
- 24:28Speaker 1: leading Georgia to a title. At his worst, I mean
- 24:33Speaker 1: there's moments where he misses shots downfield, he hesitates over
- 24:36Speaker 1: the middle, he takes unnecessary hits. Like the talent is
- 24:40Speaker 1: obvious that there's certainly flashes of brilliance, but the consistency
- 24:46Speaker 1: still has to show up. Schedule wise, Georgia gets a
- 24:50Speaker 1: pretty friendly draw here, heavy favorites against Tennessee State, Western Kentucky, Arkansas, Vanderbilt,
- 24:57Speaker 1: let's see Missouri and TCH and then South Carolina. I
- 25:02Speaker 1: think they're going to be pretty big favorites there as well,
- 25:05Speaker 1: probably against Auburn. Also, Oklahoma comes to you know, they
- 25:09Speaker 1: come into Athens early. That's kind of a measuring stick game.
- 25:12Speaker 1: In Week four, Florida is always Florida. The season really
- 25:17Speaker 1: comes down to two road trips, and that's at Alabama
- 25:20Speaker 1: and at Ole Miss. You win both of those and
- 25:22Speaker 1: you're twelve and oh was probably in play there. You
- 25:25Speaker 1: split them eleven to one, still really realistic. Even losing
- 25:30Speaker 1: both of those, that still leaves Georgia in playoff contention.
- 25:33Speaker 1: Like that's how good the schedule sets up. So the
- 25:36Speaker 1: ceiling for this team probably twelve and oh. Like if
- 25:40Speaker 1: Stockton takes another step, if receivers developed, the pass rush arrives,
- 25:44Speaker 1: I mean you're looking at a team that absolutely could
- 25:48Speaker 1: play for a national Championship. The floor I think is
- 25:51Speaker 1: lower than most people would believe. Like if the pass
- 25:55Speaker 1: rush stays average, and that's if you want to call
- 25:58Speaker 1: last season average, but if the pass rush doesn't improve,
- 26:04Speaker 1: if the receivers struggle to get open, if Stockton stays inconsistent,
- 26:09Speaker 1: you know, there's a couple of games that could certainly
- 26:11Speaker 1: slip away. I don't think that's the likely outcome here,
- 26:14Speaker 1: But would it shock you if Oklahoma beats Georgia. Probably not.
- 26:19Speaker 1: If Alabama or this new version of Florida or Ole
- 26:24Speaker 1: miss or either a road game to South Carolina or
- 26:27Speaker 1: Georgia dech George Dek could probably surprise me. But there's
- 26:30Speaker 1: certainly losable games on the schedule, which any SEC schedule is.
- 26:34Speaker 2: Going to have.
- 26:35Speaker 1: My most likely outcome here is ten and two. The
- 26:38Speaker 1: win total is at nine and a half. It's just
- 26:41Speaker 1: pretty heavy to the over. I lean the over, but
- 26:45Speaker 1: the price matters, and it is heavy in some spots.
- 26:50Speaker 1: But just from a pure football standpoint, Georgia check's almost
- 26:53Speaker 1: every box. They've got e leade coaching, they got a
- 26:54Speaker 1: leite defense and experienced quarterback, a really strong offensive line,
- 27:00Speaker 1: a great running game, a manageable schedule, like all these
- 27:03Speaker 1: reasons why they should absolutely hit ten wins. The biggest
- 27:07Speaker 1: question here isn't whether Georgia makes the playoff.
- 27:10Speaker 2: I think the biggest.
- 27:11Speaker 1: Question is whether Stockton can turn a playoff caliber team
- 27:15Speaker 1: into a national championship team, because the roster is good
- 27:18Speaker 1: enough to win the whole thing if he can step up.
- 27:21Speaker 1: So I'm looking at ten and two and then we'll
- 27:23Speaker 1: see what they do in the playoff. Hit that subscribe
- 27:28Speaker 1: button and make sure to like the video. And if
- 27:30Speaker 1: you're listening to the podcast, of course, make sure and
- 27:32Speaker 1: visit Winning Cures Everything on YouTube at YouTube dot com
- 27:36Speaker 1: slash Winning Cures Everything, so you don't miss any of
- 27:39Speaker 1: our college football coverage this season. The Texas Longhorns come
- 27:44Speaker 1: in at number six for me, and they enter twenty
- 27:46Speaker 1: twenty six with a simple expectation and I think that's
- 27:49Speaker 1: national championship or bust. And that's not hyperbole, right, That
- 27:53Speaker 1: is the entire conversation in Austin. And if you look
- 27:56Speaker 1: at this roster, the coaching staff, where they've made some changes,
- 28:00Speaker 1: the schedule, and especially this quarterback, it's kind of hard
- 28:03Speaker 1: to argue against it. This feels like the season that
- 28:07Speaker 1: Sark has been building toward. Arch Manning is back at quarterback,
- 28:10Speaker 1: the roster is loaded, the portal editions addressed real needs,
- 28:14Speaker 1: and unlike last year, there's not many excuses left.
- 28:19Speaker 2: Right.
- 28:19Speaker 1: Last season started with national title hype and ended ten
- 28:22Speaker 1: to three with no playoff appearance. For most schools, that's
- 28:26Speaker 1: a great year. At Texas, you got a Manning back there,
- 28:30Speaker 1: that's a disappointment. The offense averaged just thirty and a
- 28:34Speaker 1: half points per game, which is fine on paper, but
- 28:37Speaker 1: it's not exactly the explosive standard that Sark established in Austin.
- 28:42Speaker 2: Right.
- 28:42Speaker 1: The saving grace was that by late in the season,
- 28:45Speaker 1: arch Manning looked like a completely different quarterback than he
- 28:47Speaker 1: did in September, and he did not look good in September.
- 28:53Speaker 1: That's the whole story heading into twenty twenty six. If
- 28:55Speaker 1: the version of arch Manning that we saw in November
- 28:57Speaker 1: of last year, where he was the number one QBR
- 28:59Speaker 1: Corps back in the country, if that's the version that
- 29:02Speaker 1: Texas gets for the full season, the Longhornds are gonna
- 29:06Speaker 1: be a problem for everybody. The arm talent is obvious.
- 29:09Speaker 1: His ability to push the ball vertically changes how defenses
- 29:13Speaker 1: have to play. Unlike a lot of quarterbacks who rely
- 29:16Speaker 1: on volume and efficiency, Manning can flip a game with two.
- 29:19Speaker 2: Or three pros. That is a rare quality.
- 29:22Speaker 1: But what makes the offense potentially elite is what's around him.
- 29:26Speaker 1: Ryan Wing goes back, and then of course Texas landed
- 29:29Speaker 1: Cam Coleman from Auburn and the portal just a massive
- 29:33Speaker 1: get there. Coleman gives another big play receiver who can
- 29:36Speaker 1: stress the field and can win some contested catches that also.
- 29:41Speaker 2: Get some more people off of WINGO. Right, you get
- 29:44Speaker 2: those two.
- 29:45Speaker 1: You got two receivers that are capable of creating explosive
- 29:48Speaker 1: plays on basically any snap. The run game also got upgraded.
- 29:53Speaker 1: They brought in Releak Brown from Arizona State and they
- 29:56Speaker 1: got Hollywood's mother's Minci State. Both of them bring different
- 29:59Speaker 1: skills sets. They give more flexibility than they had a
- 30:02Speaker 1: year ago. And the goal I think is balance right,
- 30:06Speaker 1: make defenses defend every part of the field. That makes
- 30:08Speaker 1: life easier on Manning.
- 30:10Speaker 2: The offensive line.
- 30:11Speaker 1: Still got to prove itself. Texas went into the portal.
- 30:14Speaker 1: They added Melvin Siani from Wake Forest, and there's other
- 30:17Speaker 1: pieces in place. But I mean, we've seen this before right,
- 30:20Speaker 1: Talent on paper does not always translate immediately. The line
- 30:24Speaker 1: has to gel. If it doesn't, those explosive plays take
- 30:27Speaker 1: longer to develop. You're asking your quarterback to solve too
- 30:29Speaker 1: many problems by himself. Defensively, the biggest story is not
- 30:34Speaker 1: who's playing, it's who's calling it. Pete Kwadakowski is out,
- 30:39Speaker 1: Will Muschamp comes in, and that's a pretty significant change.
- 30:43Speaker 1: Mustchamp doesn't sit back and react. His defenses are aggressive.
- 30:47Speaker 1: They're built around pressure, man coverage, physicality. He wants to
- 30:51Speaker 1: dictate the terms, and when you look at the personnel,
- 30:53Speaker 1: you can understand why Texas made this move, even if
- 30:57Speaker 1: it never seemed like the defense was the.
- 30:59Speaker 2: Problem at Texas.
- 31:01Speaker 1: Right like, Pete did a great job, But if you're
- 31:05Speaker 1: wanting to revamp the way that you do things, this
- 31:09Speaker 1: makes sense.
- 31:10Speaker 2: On defense, it starts with Colin Simmons. There's a real.
- 31:12Speaker 1: Argument Simmons is the best defensive player in college football
- 31:15Speaker 1: right now. He's the kind of pass rusher who can
- 31:18Speaker 1: reckon an entire game plan by himself, and must Champ's
- 31:21Speaker 1: system is gonna let him do exactly that. The front seven,
- 31:24Speaker 1: they added Rashim Biles from Pitt Justin Cryer from Florida State,
- 31:27Speaker 1: to complement to Anthony Smith and others that are already
- 31:31Speaker 1: in that room. The concern is the secondary. Anthony Hill's gone,
- 31:34Speaker 1: Michael taff has gone, Malik Muhammad has gone. You're not
- 31:38Speaker 1: gonna be able to replace those guys easily. Jelani McDonald
- 31:42Speaker 1: is back as a leader of this group, but the
- 31:45Speaker 1: rest of them have got to develop fast.
- 31:46Speaker 2: I mean must Jamps.
- 31:47Speaker 1: Defense puts the secondary in man coverage and asks them
- 31:50Speaker 1: to hold up, and the whole defense kind of revolves
- 31:54Speaker 1: around that.
- 31:55Speaker 2: It's all based on that.
- 31:56Speaker 1: If they struggle to adjust, the defense is gonna get exposed.
- 32:00Speaker 1: And you'll probably see that in week two, right, I mean,
- 32:03Speaker 1: the schedule sets up. You get Texas State to open,
- 32:07Speaker 1: and then week two, Ohio State comes to Austin. That
- 32:10Speaker 1: is a playoff caliber game before conference play even gets started.
- 32:15Speaker 1: And then you know, as we go on, you got
- 32:17Speaker 1: road trips to Tennessee, road trip to LSU later in
- 32:20Speaker 1: the season, two of the hardest environments in college football.
- 32:23Speaker 1: You got Missouri A and M and then others fill
- 32:26Speaker 1: out that back half. But what's interesting is Texas does
- 32:30Speaker 1: not play Georgia. They don't play Alabama. That's a real
- 32:33Speaker 1: scheduling advantage compared to most of the other SEC contenders.
- 32:36Speaker 1: The challenge is the lack of breathing room. Right after
- 32:39Speaker 1: the bye and week five, there's an eight game stretch
- 32:42Speaker 1: to finish finish the season with no breaks like this is.
- 32:46Speaker 1: That's where championship teams have to separate themselves, and they're
- 32:50Speaker 1: gonna be doing it for eight straight weeks. You play
- 32:52Speaker 1: Tennessee by week and then Oklahoma, Florida, Ole, miss Mississippi State, Missouri, LSU, Arkansas,
- 33:00Speaker 1: and him. I mean, that is brutal, absolutely brutal. The
- 33:05Speaker 1: ceiling is twelve and oh. If arch plays at a
- 33:08Speaker 1: Heisman level, if the line comes together in the secondary handles,
- 33:11Speaker 1: the whole must jamp transition. I mean, there's all the
- 33:17Speaker 1: talent in the world to go twelve and oh here.
- 33:19Speaker 1: Even with this schedule. On the other side, the floor
- 33:24Speaker 1: is still pretty high. I mean, with this roster, nine
- 33:26Speaker 1: to three is probably the floor barring a pretty significant
- 33:28Speaker 1: injury situation. My most likely outcome here is ten and two.
- 33:34Speaker 1: Like a win total sits at nine and a half.
- 33:37Speaker 1: I lean over, not aggressively, but I do lean over.
- 33:41Speaker 1: I mean It's the most complete roster that Sarka has
- 33:44Speaker 1: had since he arrived in Austin, and I believe that
- 33:48Speaker 1: he is a good head coach.
- 33:51Speaker 2: They've got the.
- 33:51Speaker 1: Quarterback in place, the playmakers are in place, the pass
- 33:54Speaker 1: rush looks elite. The schedule while change, you know, while challenging,
- 33:59Speaker 1: they avoid two of the SEC's biggest land mines, and
- 34:01Speaker 1: the team that they've had the most problems with, which
- 34:03Speaker 1: is Georgia. At some point, Texas has got to stop
- 34:07Speaker 1: being the team that we're projecting and become the team
- 34:09Speaker 1: that actually delivers, and this feels like the year that
- 34:13Speaker 1: that could end up happening. The best way to describe
- 34:16Speaker 1: this team heading into twenty six is pretty simple. This
- 34:20Speaker 1: isn't all in championship roster build around arch manning anything
- 34:25Speaker 1: short of a playoff run. It won't just feel like
- 34:28Speaker 1: a missed opportunity. This will feel like a massive disappointment
- 34:31Speaker 1: and there's gonna be real questions around sark As the
- 34:34Speaker 1: head coach if they can't make the CFP with this roster.
- 34:38Speaker 1: All right, if you haven't already liked the video, subscribe
- 34:41Speaker 1: to Winning Cures Everything, whether whether that's on podcast or
- 34:46Speaker 1: on YouTube, and then of course, jump in the comments
- 34:49Speaker 1: with your thoughts on all these different teams, Penn State,
- 34:52Speaker 1: A and M, Alabama, Georgia and Texas.
- 34:55Speaker 2: Y'all know, I love talking ball with you. I love
- 34:58Speaker 2: talking ball.
- 34:59Speaker 1: I don't want to get into all the politics and
- 35:01Speaker 1: all that kind of stuff.
- 35:03Speaker 2: But maybe maybe we'll talk about this.
- 35:11Speaker 1: Twenty four team nonsense in the super leagues and blah
- 35:15Speaker 1: blah blah blah. Maybe we'll talk about that as we
- 35:18Speaker 1: get into late June, something like that. I think that
- 35:22Speaker 1: might be a good time. All right, let's get out
- 35:25Speaker 1: of here. We went a little shorter this time. I
- 35:28Speaker 1: tried to make a little more concise, but subscribe. If
- 35:32Speaker 1: you haven't subscribed, we'll do that till next time. Take
- 35:35Speaker 1: care of yourself, take care of each other. God bless
- 35:37Speaker 1: college football, and hopefully all of your tickets cash this week.
- 35:42Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to Winning Cures Everything. Subscribe, leave a
- 35:46Speaker 1: review or comment, follow at Gary WC on X, and
- 35:50Speaker 1: check out the web store