Latest / The Jake Wimberly Podcast / Kelley Ford gives us his projections on the BIG 12 conference

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Kelley Ford gives us his projections on the BIG 12 conference · The Jake Wimberly Podcast

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  Kelly Ford on your radio four point thirty to five o'clock today, and of
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  course you can find him on k Ford Ratings a lot of college basketball,
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  maybe a college football question or two. Kelly, welcome in, sir.
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  How are you. I'm doing well, Jake, how are you today?
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  We're doing good, you know, getting ready for this SEC basketball tournament,
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  seeing what's going to happen. Chris Beard gets an extension today at Ole miss
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  Mississippi State. You know, need to win tomorrow or excuse me, yes,
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  tomorrow to probably get in this thing. And I know you've worked through
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  a lot of these conference projections. I want to start with that first.
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  I know that there's a couple you haven't gotten quite too yet. We can
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  maybe talk a little bit, you know, lightly about some of these before
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  we get into this. I want to tell everybody you've got all of these
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  on k Ford Ratings, on Twitter, on x Let's start with the Big
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  twelve and when people look at these, you've got a obviously the team's listed
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  probability of advancing to you've got the QFSF championship, and then of course to
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  win it all. I would assume the championship would be the Championship rown win
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  it would be to win the whole thing. Will that be the semi find,
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  the final and quarter final just for our listeners, Yeah, absolutely,
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  Jack. So like you said, for the Big Twelve, for the Pac
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  twelve, the Big East, and the ACC because of where those teams are,
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  where those conferences are within the respective conference championships, I've got those projections
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  up now on X. I'll get to the SCC and the Big Ten tomorrow.
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  As you noted but yet listed on there is every team speed you know
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  which team it is, and then their chance per my power rating to advance
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  to each of those rounds. So if we're talking about the Big twelve,
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  of course, Houston, Iowa State, Baylor in Texas Tech already advanced to
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  the quarterfinal round just by the tournament setup. They've got check marks there,
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  but you can see what their chances are as well as every other Big twelve
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  team to reach each respective round. Houston is my favorite in the Big Big
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  twelve, probably not a surprise to anybody, but a fifty six percent chance
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  to win the Big twelve tournament. That might surprise them because they are,
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  by my numbers, the odds on favorite better than a fifty percent chance to
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  win it all in the Big Twelve Kelly Forward talking college basketball and of course
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  some college football. You can find them a k Ford Ratings, go to
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  k Ford Ratings dot Com as well. All Right, So when you look
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  at this Big twelve, and of course used to know vying for one of
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  those number one seeds eighty seven percent chance to make the semis, seventy three
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  percent chance to make the championship by far the best team, fifty six percent
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  chance to win the Big Twelve. You know, percentage wise, you know
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  it's Iowa State, Baylor. Would you be shocked to see, you know,
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  BYU Kansas, Texas Tech, one of these other teams make a run
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  here? Who's gonna give Houston the best run for their money here? Yet
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  nothing would shock me, Jake. It's March madness, And that term has
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  become familiar to so many because it is so true. And every single year,
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  whether it's in conference championships or in the NCAA tournament, we do see
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  upsets. Teams that we don't expect to win or don't give a much chance
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  to win, they do find a way to win the game out right.
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  So while Houston is the favorite, Iowa State and Baylor the only other two
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  teams buy my numbers to have better than a ten percent chance to win the
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  Big Twelve. I certainly don't think you should ever count out Kansas with Bill
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  self and everything he's done there for the better part of two decades. I
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  think Texas Tech, you know, as a four seed, they're the team
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  that, by my numbers, is the weakest of the four that's already been
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  advanced to the quarterfinal round. So that's a team that, you know,
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  despite their high seed, I'm actually not even favoring to make the semi final
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  game. So that's a team to keep an eye on as well. You
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  mentioned BYU really really good team this year. I'm certainly not expecting them to
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  win the Big Twelve championship as the five seed, but they do get Texas
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  Tech in that in that quarterfinal round if they were to advance to that round.
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  So yeah, they have the best chance of any team outside of the
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  top four. But again, don't count out Kansas with Bill self. Does
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  Houston need to win the Big Twelve tournament to stay as the number one seed?
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  And I know they I don't. I'm trying to depending on what a
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  lot of the teams do as well. Here's the scenario where I see Houston
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  maybe not getting the number one seed. If Purdue, Yukon, Tennessee,
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  and North Carolina all win their respective conference championships, and then you know,
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  throw Arizona in there as well, is just another team that's kind of in
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  that close range, then Houston may be worried a little bit. Now,
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  if Houston makes it all the way to the Champs game with a big twelve
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  and then loses, that might be enough. But if they were to lose
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  and say the quarterfinal round or even the semi finals, I think Purdue and
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  Yukon, who are probably already ahead of them on the seed list, if
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  they get it done, and then Tennessee and North Carolina, I think it
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  could make Houston sweat a little bit. But Houston, by my power rating
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  is the best team in college basketball. So if they end up on the
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  two line, probably unfortunate for the team in their region who's the number one
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  seed, because I think Houston by my numbers is the best team in college Bastle