Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 285 - 5/23/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 285 - 5/23/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 285 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Friday, our work week is coming to an end.
• 0:40
  The month of May is winding down and it's a big Friday because
• 0:44
  you know what guys, I want to get this pot out a little bit
• 0:46
  earlier than usual because it's a special weekend for me.
• 0:49
  I am excited. Once I get this pot out to you
• 0:52
  guys, I'm going to hit the road, drive across the the great, the
• 0:56
  great area region of New England and go to a cabin in the woods.
• 1:00
  Bachelor party in Vermont for my good friend Lars, as we like to
• 1:05
  call him. Kid I grew up with so very much
• 1:07
  looking forward to it. Lars is, believe it or not, the
• 1:10
  last guy in our crew to get married, but he actually got
• 1:13
  married to his high school sweetheart.
• 1:15
  I think he'd be OK with me sharing again, you know, if you
• 1:18
  know him, you know him. But he got married to a high
• 1:20
  school sweetheart and they got married at like 22 and they got
• 1:24
  divorced, I think at 24. So luckily Lars found a new
• 1:28
  woman in his life who's fantastic.
• 1:30
  Shout out to Michelle. But we are now celebrating my
• 1:33
  buddy Lars's bachelor weekend in the cabin, in the woods, in the
• 1:37
  great state of Vermont, up in the UP in them Green Mountains.
• 1:40
  So very much looking forward to it.
• 1:42
  Got the whole crew showing up. All my best friends I played
• 1:45
  baseball with, you know, Little League, Babe Ruth, JV, varsity,
• 1:49
  we're all, we're all coming from all different parts of the New
• 1:52
  England area and meeting up for the weekend here.
• 1:54
  So very much looking forward to that.
• 1:57
  I will still be writing sharp reports this weekend as long as
• 1:59
  I can get some Internet up there.
• 2:01
  And I hope to be writing continuously about some Major
• 2:03
  League Baseball so you can stay tuned this weekend.
• 2:05
  Even though there's no pod. I should have those articles out
• 2:08
  if I'm not too hungover after partying too hard this weekend.
• 2:11
  The weather doesn't look great. It's like 50° and raining.
• 2:14
  But maybe we'll get lucky, maybe it'll open up a little bit, but
• 2:17
  you can't check out those sharp reports that I write for
• 2:19
  visen.com on my Twitter page at Josh under score Insights.
• 2:23
  And I don't know how what you guys think of bachelor parties
• 2:26
  or you know, Bachelorette parties, but we're pretty pumped
• 2:29
  about it. There's going to be a lot of
• 2:30
  long games. We're going to have a lot of
• 2:31
  fun, hopefully have some bonfires.
• 2:33
  But a lot of the the planning is about food and the cookout, like
• 2:38
  who's bringing the dogs, who's bringing the buns, the
• 2:40
  condiments, you know, all the different things you got to
• 2:42
  bring when you get there. But after a lot of text
• 2:45
  messages, I think everyone's getting ready to hit the dusty
• 2:47
  trail and spend the weekend up in Vermont.
• 2:50
  So I'm very much looking forward to that.
• 2:52
  And I also wish you a fantastic weekend, whatever you are up to.
• 2:56
  With that being said, guys do have a three pack of MLB plays
• 2:59
  for you, so let's see if we can eke out A2 in one night and
• 3:02
  finish off the week on a hot note.
• 3:04
  Last night, little bit of a frustrating night. 1 and 2 -,
• 3:07
  1.13 units did have a nice hit to start the day with the A's
• 3:11
  and the Angels played that over. Maybe we should play a few more
• 3:14
  totals. What do you think guys?
• 3:15
  But that AAA Sacramento Stadium over is now 17 and 8 on the
• 3:20
  season. And we saw that juice on the 10
• 3:22
  and 10 or 10 1/2 get juiced up, wind blowing out, good bet
• 3:26
  splits. That was great to see.
• 3:28
  But then the Red Sox game got rained out.
• 3:29
  We were mentioning out on the pod it was bad weather.
• 3:31
  Probably expect that to happen. They're playing a double header
• 3:33
  today. But the two games late night,
• 3:36
  you know, you win, you have 3 plays, you win the first one
• 3:38
  like, oh, I only need one of the next two to have a winning
• 3:40
  night. The Braves and the Mariners both
• 3:42
  let us down. Both had two.
• 3:44
  Nothing leads in the first inning.
• 3:46
  So like riding high, feeling good.
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  Braves went to extra innings, could not get anything going in
• 3:51
  extras. Eli White grounded into a double
• 3:53
  play with first and third and one outs.
• 3:56
  That was annoying. And then wouldn't you know what,
• 3:58
  the Nats walked it off bottom of the 10th.
• 4:00
  So what are you going to do? And then Mariners, I don't know
• 4:02
  what happened there. They just got blown up or Altuve
• 4:05
  went nuts and it like 25 homers in that game.
• 4:07
  So either way, guys 1 and 2 -, 1.13 units.
• 4:11
  Let's see if we can have a winning day today and finish up
• 4:13
  the week strong. So that being said, let's dive
• 4:16
  right into it. 3 pack of MLB plays.
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  First one that caught my eye, guys.
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  Let's go to Atlanta. 7:15 PM Eastern Time, first pitch, the
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  Padres visiting, the Braves now setting the stage for this one.
• 4:28
  We have the pods coming in 27 and 21.
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  Remember, they were off to an incredible start, but they've
• 4:33
  really struggled as of late. They've lost six in a row, just
• 4:36
  got swept by the Blue Jays. They lost 7 to 6 in extra
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  innings yesterday as a -, 115 Rd. favorite.
• 4:42
  Meanwhile, the Braves 24 and 25, they're kind of like my Red Sox.
• 4:45
  They just get to 500 and cannot get over 500.
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  They just got swept in A2 game series against the
• 4:50
  aforementioned Nationals, again, losing 8 to 7, letting us down
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  last night. Next innings as a -, 150 Rd.
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  favorite. So pitching match up here for
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  tonight, we have the Padres going with the ready Nick
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  Pavetta. He's five and two 2.86 ERA.
• 5:05
  He'll be opposed by Braves lefty ace Chris Sale, who's two and
• 5:09
  three with a 3.62 ERA. What have we seen across the
• 5:12
  market? Will this game open?
• 5:14
  Braves around a -, 135 -, 140 home favorite.
• 5:18
  San Diego around a + 120 Rd. dog.
• 5:20
  And we've seen nothing but steam on the Bravos.
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  So this is a revenge play. They let us down last night.
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  They better get us a win here for tonight.
• 5:28
  Now, a couple reasons to feel good about Atlanta.
• 5:30
  One is the steam they open -140 ish.
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  Now they're all the way up to -170 I picked off the Braves
• 5:36
  -165 a little bit earlier today at ESPN.
• 5:39
  Bet looks like your best price is around -170 -. 175 at this
• 5:43
  point. So not great that you know the
• 5:46
  lines going up a bit, but it is a good sign that they keep
• 5:48
  getting hit by respected action. Now the splits look pretty good
• 5:52
  on the Braves in particular at Circa Atlanta's getting 67% of
• 5:56
  money line bets and 99% of money line dollars.
• 6:00
  So tells me out in the desert we got some really big wise guy
• 6:03
  action going with the Braves. Braves are lighting up a lot of
• 6:06
  systems for me. I have 10 system matches on
• 6:08
  Atlanta. Couple of the best ones here.
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  Home favorites who made the playoffs the previous year.
• 6:13
  They are 159 and 7867% with an 8% ROI.
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  Home favorites in the opening game of a new series, 94 and
• 6:22
  5165 percent, 4% ROI. And then when both teams are
• 6:26
  coming off a loss, which is the situation here, take the
• 6:29
  favorite. That system is 32 and 1667% with
• 6:33
  a 7% ROI. Elena does have some correlative
• 6:37
  betting, so we saw some under money come in here.
• 6:39
  You know, 2 pretty good pitchers on the bump.
• 6:41
  Total open at 8:00. A lot of books are now falling
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  down to 7 1/2. A few amount of expected runs
• 6:46
  scored more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
• 6:50
  Home Rd. splits also look to favor Atlanta.
• 6:52
  Knock on wood, but the Braves are 15 and seven at home.
• 6:55
  They've really been Jekyll and Hyde.
• 6:56
  They've been good at home and bad on the road.
• 6:58
  Padres only 11 and 13 on the road so they have struggled as a
• 7:02
  visitor. Atlanta over the last 10 games
• 7:05
  written 284. Pretty good.
• 7:07
  Sandy was only hitting two O 6. So hopefully the bats of the
• 7:10
  Braves show up tonight and get to Pavetta.
• 7:12
  Pavetta does have a 5.4 O ERA and three May starts.
• 7:16
  He's giving up nine runs and 15 innings pitched.
• 7:19
  And he's also been worse on the road.
• 7:20
  At home he's great, 1.44 ERA, but on the road, 5.21 ERA.
• 7:26
  Meanwhile, Chris Sale, he's pitching pretty well.
• 7:28
  Let's hope that continues tonight and the month of May.
• 7:30
  He's made three starts, has a 1.4 O ERA.
• 7:33
  He's only giving up three runs in 19.1 innings pitched.
• 7:37
  Lastly, I popped open Juice Reel and went to this game and I
• 7:41
  noticed a 10% sharp mush edge on the Bravos.
• 7:45
  So it tells me that 10% more of the sharper winning players at
• 7:48
  Juice Reel are going Braves as opposed to the profit deficient
• 7:51
  betters for leaning more Padres and plus money.
• 7:54
  We got it all up here guys. We got good steam on Atlanta.
• 7:57
  Great bet split out at Circa. Lot of system matches, better
• 8:00
  bats, home versus Rd. splits. I want to bat Chris Sale.
• 8:03
  I want to fade Pavetta, so give me the Braves here guys.
• 8:06
  Let's go. Braves got a -, 165 at ESPN bet
• 8:10
  again some shops as high as now -175 for Atlanta.
• 8:14
  Next one for you. 7:40 PM Eastern Time first pitch.
• 8:17
  Let's go to the Windy City, the South side Chicago White Sox
• 8:21
  hosting the Texas Rangers now Rangers come into this 125 and
• 8:26
  26 just got swept by the Yankees.
• 8:28
  They lost one nothing yesterday as a + 140 Rd. dog.
• 8:32
  Meanwhile, the White Sox, 15 and 35 just dropped two of three
• 8:36
  against the Mariners. They lost that series finale 6
• 8:38
  to 5 as a + 130 home dog. So pitching match up here for
• 8:42
  tonight. We got the Rangers going with
• 8:44
  the ready Tyler Maley. He's five and one 1.47 ERA.
• 8:48
  More on him in a bit. He's been great.
• 8:50
  The White Sox, meanwhile, are going to go with the fellow
• 8:52
  ready Sean Burke. He's two and five with a 4.69
• 8:55
  ERA. So what have you seen across the
• 8:57
  market here? Well, you'd probably expect it,
• 8:59
  but sharps are not outsmarting themselves.
• 9:01
  They're fading. Chicago going with the Rangers,
• 9:04
  especially after Ranger Rangers just got swept.
• 9:06
  Hopefully they're hungry to kind of get back on track here.
• 9:09
  But we did see Texas open around a -, 170 -, 175 Rd. favorite
• 9:14
  Chicago around a + 155 home dog. And we've now seen Texas get
• 9:19
  steamed up -170 -, 175 up to -185 - 190.
• 9:24
  So pretty good, you know, 1520 cent steam move in favor of the
• 9:28
  Rangers. I got the Rangers -185 at ESPN
• 9:31
  bet some shops as high as -190 at this point, but good bet
• 9:35
  splits at both DraftKings and Circa on Texas.
• 9:38
  At DraftKings 89% of bets, 95% of dollars on Texas and at Circa
• 9:44
  43% of bets but 92% of dollars. So both public and wiseguy
• 9:50
  desert sharp action low bets, higher dollars coming in on
• 9:53
  Texas system matches. I got 5 lit up on the Rangers
• 9:57
  Rd. favorites after getting shut out.
• 9:59
  Like the Rangers in this spot. Lost one nothing yesterday.
• 10:02
  They are 13 and six this season. Small sample but it goes to show
• 10:05
  you get shut out these Rd. favorites have bounced back 68
• 10:09
  percent, 18% ROI. Both teams coming off a loss.
• 10:12
  Take the favorite 32 and 1667 percent, 7% ROI and bigger
• 10:18
  favorites -170 or more in which the line moves in their favor.
• 10:22
  So you're expected to win, you're a little expensive and
• 10:24
  become more expensive. Those teams have been pretty
• 10:26
  good, 112 and 4571% with a 4% ROI.
• 10:32
  Texas does have that correlative betting.
• 10:33
  Big favorite low total total in this one is 8.
• 10:36
  So if your amount of expected run score more likely to come
• 10:38
  from quote UN quote that better team.
• 10:41
  Rangers bats have been a little bit better than the White Sox
• 10:43
  hitting two 2754 homers. 171 run score doesn't sound great, but
• 10:48
  the White Sox are only hitting 216 with 40 homers and 164 run
• 10:53
  scored. And lastly, I mentioned Tyler
• 10:55
  Maley. Hope he continues his hot streak
• 10:57
  here, but he has a 1.93 ERA in four May starts.
• 11:01
  He's only giving up five runs in 23.1 innings pitched, and he's
• 11:05
  giving up two earned runs or less in every start this year.
• 11:08
  All 10 starts, he's giving up two earned runs or less.
• 11:11
  So Texas, after getting swept, hopefully they got a chip on
• 11:14
  their shoulder. We got some steam on the
• 11:15
  Rangers. We got a correlative favorite,
• 11:18
  low total, a lot of system matches, good splits.
• 11:21
  I'm going to back Tyler Maley here, guys.
• 11:22
  I got the Rangers at -185 last bite of the night, Miami Marlins
• 11:29
  visiting the LA Angels, 9:38 Eastern Time, first pitch,
• 11:33
  little interleague series here. So going into it, we got the
• 11:36
  Marlins 19 and 29. They just dropped two or three
• 11:39
  against the Cubbies. They lost that series finale 2
• 11:42
  to one as a + 125. Home dog, on the other hand, we
• 11:46
  have the Angels 24 and 25. They won seven straight, just
• 11:49
  got swept or just swept the A's, I should say.
• 11:52
  They won 10 to 5 yesterday as a + 120 row dog.
• 11:55
  We're lucky to get that that over in that game.
• 11:58
  So for tonight's pitching matchup, we have Miami going
• 12:01
  with Sandy Alcantara, the righty.
• 12:03
  He used to be great, but he has not pitched well since he came
• 12:06
  back from I believe you had Tommy John two and six, 7.99
• 12:11
  ERA. Angels, meanwhile, are going to
• 12:13
  go with you say Kikuchi, the southpaw O and four, but a 3.5 O
• 12:17
  ERA. What are we seeing across the
• 12:19
  market here? It looks like wise guys are back
• 12:22
  in the red hot LA Angels. Angels opened around a -, 140
• 12:27
  home favorite Miami around a + 120 Rd. dog and we've seen
• 12:30
  nothing but my but Angels money. I should say Angels have gotten
• 12:34
  steamed up -140 now up to -150 some shops even as high as -155
• 12:40
  I got the angels at -148 at FanDuel.
• 12:43
  So shop around. I think it might still be
• 12:45
  available, but a lot of shops are again creeping up toward
• 12:48
  -155. But we have some good bet
• 12:50
  splits, in particular at circa 43% of money line bets, but 85%
• 12:56
  of money line dollars on the angels.
• 12:58
  Good low bets, higher dollar split tells us the bigger wise
• 13:01
  guy wagers out in the desert are backing the angels in the spot.
• 13:05
  I have 8 system matches lit up on the angels.
• 13:07
  Some of the best ones here. When both teams are below 500,
• 13:11
  take the favorite 55 and 3065 percent, 5% ROI this year, home
• 13:16
  favorites in the opening game of a new series, 94 and 5165
• 13:21
  percent, 4% ROI. And then I have another system
• 13:24
  here, a sweet spot non division favorite.
• 13:26
  If you're between -135 and -160. Those teams are 91 and 5562
• 13:32
  percent, 6% ROI. Angels have the more explosive
• 13:36
  bats they're hitting, or they have hit 75 home runs this year,
• 13:39
  212 runs scored. Marlins have only hit 45 homers
• 13:43
  and scored 197 runs. And if you look at the last 10,
• 13:47
  Angels are hitting 271. Miami's only hitting 247.
• 13:51
  Get to these pitchers is a big reason why I want to back the
• 13:53
  Angels. Yeah, they're hot and they're
• 13:55
  hitting the ball great. But if you look at Kikuchi, 2.38
• 13:59
  ERA in four May starts, he's really pitched well this this
• 14:02
  month, he's only given up six runs in 22.2 innings pitched and
• 14:06
  at home, 1.65 ERA versus 4.3 O on the road.
• 14:11
  On the other hand, Alcantara, man, these numbers are crazy.
• 14:15
  He's got a 7.47 ERA in three May starts.
• 14:17
  He's given up 13 runs in 15.2 innings pitched.
• 14:21
  But listen to this. Marlins are O and six in his
• 14:24
  last six starts and at home 5.74 ERA, but on the road 14.81.
• 14:31
  So again, all Katara's been getting knocked around and he's
• 14:33
  now facing an angels lineup that is red hot.
• 14:36
  We got some good line movement splits, pitching matchup looks
• 14:39
  to be a hopefully an advantage for the angels.
• 14:42
  And oh, by the way, I popped open the juice reel app and
• 14:44
  noticed a 25% sharp mush edge on the Halos here.
• 14:49
  So you got all up guys. I'll be I'll be grilling,
• 14:52
  chilling and thrilling at the Vermont cookout bachelor party
• 14:55
  tonight. But hopefully, you know, I'll
• 14:57
  get the whole whole team to sweat the angels with me and
• 14:59
  that should be fun. Although I'm sure they're going
• 15:01
  to watch going to watch the going to want to watch the
• 15:03
  basketball game too. But either way, guys, I'm I'm
• 15:06
  back in the angels in the spot tonight.
• 15:08
  I got a -, 148 again. That's FanDuel.
• 15:11
  Some shops now as high as -155 S Braves, Rangers, Angels.
• 15:16
  We find a way to get two of those.
• 15:17
  That is the goal. So that about does it for
• 15:20
  episode 285 of the all systems go sports betting podcast
• 15:24
  powered by rhythm. As always, this is the part of
• 15:27
  the pod, of course, where we wrap things up and I start first
• 15:29
  by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 15:31
  out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
• 15:34
  the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
• 15:37
  with me. If you enjoy the pod, whether
• 15:40
  you tail fade, pick and choose or sit back and just like
• 15:43
  listening to some betting breakdowns, of course, I
• 15:46
  appreciate it so much. But also could you do me a solid
• 15:48
  give this podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 15:52
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  pod and continue to rise up the charts.
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  as soon as it drops each day. That's also much appreciated.
• 16:04
  And then if you want to recommend the pod to a friend or
• 16:07
  leave a nice a nice little comment in the review section,
• 16:10
  hey, I'll take that as well. Next, if you enjoy this style of
• 16:14
  betting breakdown, win, lose or draw, you have now been given a
• 16:18
  platform or not a platform, but a how should I call it a
• 16:22
  philosophy, a north star, a guiding guiding light here when
• 16:26
  it comes to leaving your bias and your favoritism at the door
• 16:29
  and and betting games based on data and information, what the
• 16:32
  market is telling us. If this style has appealed to
• 16:34
  you and you've seen some of the benefits of it and you want to
• 16:37
  learn more about data-driven betting, whether it's for you or
• 16:40
  for a friend or a buddy of yours or colleague or family member or
• 16:43
  someone who's trying to break into betting for the first time
• 16:46
  in a newly legalized state. Or maybe they bet for a while
• 16:49
  and, you know, love betting but don't win too much because
• 16:52
  they're just, you know, throwing darts with, with not much, you
• 16:54
  know, analysis behind it. We know what you should do.
• 16:57
  You should go to Amazon.com and buy for yourself or that person
• 17:02
  a copy of the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 17:05
  Just search the Everything Guide to Sports Betting on Amazon.
• 17:07
  That's the first book I ever wrote.
• 17:09
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry.
• 17:10
  How lines are set, how and why they move.
• 17:12
  How to read line movement, how to locate sharp action, How to
• 17:15
  place a bet in person or online, How to shop for the best line,
• 17:18
  How to set up a bankroll management plan.
• 17:20
  Chapters on all the major sports.
• 17:22
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
• 17:25
  Betting. While you're at it, you should
• 17:27
  then search the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook.
• 17:30
  It's my new book. It comes out August 12th.
• 17:32
  Cannot wait. We're now less than three months
• 17:34
  away. But if you would like to
• 17:36
  pre-order a copy of the new book, you would make me very
• 17:38
  happy and you would make my publisher triumph books very
• 17:41
  happy. And as always guys, you can
• 17:43
  bring the everything guide in the NFL sharp betting playbook
• 17:46
  to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
• 17:48
  I'll buy you a beer or a truly or a ginger ale and we'll sweat
• 17:51
  some games together next. Have you downloaded Rhythm or
• 17:54
  Juice Reel yet? They're my two favorite sports
• 17:56
  betting apps. They helped me win.
• 17:58
  I'm pretty confident they're going to help you win because
• 18:00
  they're all about data. So First off, rhythm doing a
• 18:04
  great job powering this pod. Rhythm gives us these great AI
• 18:08
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 18:11
  Obviously you got NBA right now, but we also have MLBWNBA all
• 18:15
  located within the rhythm app. And then if you would like to
• 18:19
  download Juice Reel, I'm going to hold out the hold out the
• 18:22
  hat, the tip jar. This pod is free.
• 18:24
  It cost you nothing to listen. Hopefully you feel like I'm
• 18:28
  giving you a dollar's worth of insights each podcast.
• 18:30
  If that's the case, please support the pod and sign up for
• 18:33
  the all systems go best bet picks officially, exclusively
• 18:37
  and only available on the Juice Rail app under the buy sell tab
• 18:41
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• 18:43
  It's $4.99 a week and you'll get those plays.
• 18:47
  You know, as soon as I put them in, hopefully I'll beat some
• 18:49
  closing lines as well. You're also going at the Robo
• 18:52
  Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
• 18:55
  arbitrage system matches, as well as syncing up your sports
• 18:59
  books, getting a running report card of your action, which is
• 19:02
  always I was always pretty cool once it keeps you honest, But
• 19:05
  then also you can figure out, OK, I'm I'm good at spreading
• 19:07
  baseball or, you know, spreading basketball, but I'm struggling
• 19:11
  with my totals. You know, it kind of lets you
• 19:12
  know what you're good and and bad at.
• 19:14
  And then you can, of course, to kind of tailor your handicap
• 19:16
  toward your strengths and work on your weaknesses.
• 19:19
  But download Rhythm, download Juice Reel and then give him a
• 19:21
  five star review in the App Store.
• 19:24
  Next, do you have a live odds page?
• 19:26
  If you don't, you need one. You got to know number one, just
• 19:30
  the very basic fact. What are the games being played
• 19:33
  today? You know what sports are on,
• 19:34
  what games are available to me? The live odds page will give you
• 19:37
  every game on the board, the start times, the live scoring.
• 19:40
  Once the games begin, the live lines will pop up throughout the
• 19:43
  game. You can track that.
• 19:45
  You can pounce if you see a good opportunity to take advantage
• 19:48
  of. You're also going to get the
• 19:49
  opening column, which will only show you the opening number and
• 19:52
  then all the current numbers to the right from all the different
• 19:54
  sports books. You can see which direction the
• 19:56
  line is moving. You can pull up the line
• 19:58
  history, you can shop for the best number and you can get all,
• 20:01
  all the books available to you. Like, you know, even books like
• 20:04
  Pinnacle, I always mention this, but like Pinnacle is your
• 20:06
  biggest global book. It's one of the first to open
• 20:09
  and a lot of live odds pages just don't have Pinnacle.
• 20:12
  So just being able to get that penny, as a lot of people call
• 20:14
  it, that's huge. But you're also going to get
• 20:16
  Circa out in Vegas. Chris or Bookmaker bet online
• 20:20
  and then of course, all your fian duels, bet MGM, DraftKings,
• 20:23
  ESPN bet Fanatics, bet MGM, all those ones as well.
• 20:26
  So there are a lot of live odds pages out there, but the best
• 20:30
  one is Odds Logic. So I'd love for you guys to give
• 20:33
  it a shot. You can decide for yourself if
• 20:35
  you like it. I'm pretty sure you will, but
• 20:37
  all you got to do is go to this specific link Odds
• 20:40
  logic.com/josh 123. Make sure you have the slash
• 20:45
  Josh 123 at the end if you go there, you'll get a 7 day free
• 20:49
  trial and then 50% off your first month of service.
• 20:53
  So that about does it for episode 285 of the ASG pod
• 20:57
  because I got to hit the road and get up to the cabin in the
• 20:59
  woods with the boys for the bachelor weekend.
• 21:02
  But as always guys, I'll leave you with a couple things.
• 21:04
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 21:07
  River in Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 21:10
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in Connecticut at the Encore in
• 21:13
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino R.E.M.
• 21:15
  Jim Springfield or the Nash and Nash from New Hampshire in my
• 21:18
  neck of the woods. Or of course, out in the desert
• 21:20
  where the true grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number
• 21:23
  runners with lowest use possible is found at the South Point.
• 21:27
  Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
• 21:29
  pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 21:31
  Circa, whoever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 21:34
  Don't show me Braves Mariners, both with leads, both blowing
• 21:37
  it. Show me an A's Angels ticket.
• 21:39
  That was a pretty nice overhead yesterday and guess what?
• 21:42
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 21:44
  We'll post about the book and sweat some sharp data-driven
• 21:47
  plays together as always, guys 1 and 2, two and one, O and three,
• 21:51
  three and O. Good day, bad day, somewhere in
• 21:53
  the middle. We always keep grinding.
• 21:55
  We stick to the model, stick to the blueprint because there's a
• 21:58
  lot of ups and downs in betting. You can never get to down on
• 22:00
  yourself when you're struggling. You can never get too cocky and
• 22:03
  arrogant when things are going well and you're winning because
• 22:05
  you're never as good as you think when you're hot.
• 22:07
  You're never as bad as you think when you're cold.
• 22:09
  You just got to stick to the model in the blueprint.
• 22:11
  And you guys might know by now, because I try to instill this
• 22:14
  quite a bit. We do have new people listening.
• 22:16
  So it's always important to reiterate that our model, not
• 22:20
  the only model, but the model that I've been, I've learned and
• 22:24
  seen the merits of and the success of over the years.
• 22:27
  It goes something like this against the public, with the
• 22:30
  house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that closing
• 22:33
  line value. If we can do that, we're going
• 22:36
  to be successful. Sports betters.
• 22:38
  So have a great Friday, everybody.
• 22:39
  Have an even better weekend again.
• 22:42
  Some some hungover sharp reports will will be showing up on
• 22:45
  Twitter Saturday and Sunday. But I'm looking forward to
• 22:48
  hanging with the boys, you know, we got, you know, wives, kids,
• 22:52
  dogs. You know, life goes at you fast.
• 22:55
  What's the old, the old quote from Ferris Bueller?
• 22:58
  You know, life goes fast. If you don't look around, you
• 23:01
  might miss it. But when we get together, we're
• 23:03
  all like, you know, 12 years old again, 17 years old again.
• 23:06
  So I'm very much looking forward to the Bachelor weekend, but as
• 23:10
  always, guys, have a great Friday, have an even better
• 23:12
  weekend. I will see you back on Monday
• 23:15
  for episode 286 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
• 23:19
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and I will
• 23:22
  see you soon.