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NHL Playoffs BRACKET PICKS | Filling Out the NHL Playoffs Bracket · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: Own seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this, Man, the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season man with wookends slump that
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached into pink. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna burn my browins hat Man, I don't know
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: what is going on with the bruins arch hape? Is
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: that what it is? I don't even know it's It's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. But I don't even
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die, at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five. The worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's towed back with you, toadstool sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be the special not so special special needs.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna fill out the NHL bracket. I'm gonna do
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: this separate, and then when I come back, I'm gonna
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: do the the NBA one as well. I couldn't reach Clint,
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: so I don't know what's going on with him. Uh,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: but you know, because I wanted to do bald and
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: you know, hang out and talk about the NBA playoffs,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: but I was unable to do that. So I am
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: still gonna fill out my brackets here. I gotta figure
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: out what I want to do with tomorrow's actual betting
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: show because I gotta go to an end disappointment, which
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: is gonna be great. Yeah, kill me pretty much. So
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if I'm gonna be
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: up really really late here and do like a Baseball
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Show separately, and then tomorrow morning before I leave, just
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: do the playoff stuff. I don't know, I don't know
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: what I want to do, but this is gonna be
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: the NHL bracket. Charles, what's up? Three and zero? Yeah?
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: We're yeah, definitely hot right now. I don't like to
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: celebrate it. I just I'm gonna put my record up there.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: I mean, we could do we could do that during
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: this show if you want, even though this is not
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: the betting show, but there it is twenty eight ten
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: and one run over the last fourteen days. Now, yeah,
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, any day anything could just go totally wrong though,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: So it is. It is what it is, you know,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: I'm happy about it. People should be paying me for
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: all this information. Zach, what's up Royals under? What do
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: you mean under? And what season wins? The Royals might
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: get a little bit better, man, I don't think they're
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: that bad. I think their bullpen should improve. Oh you
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: mean yeah? I had a play on the Royals. That's right.
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I forgot Royals Yankees under. Yeah, first five innings is
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: what my play was. The full game went under as well,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: Benson Boone probably Yeah, Clint is cruising in his Corvette.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah with his shirt off, listening to Benson Boone. Yes, correct, yeah,
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: the under Yeah. All right, let's get into this. I
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: don't know how this is gonna go with all, dude.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I know what the bracket looks like. I kind of
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: have an idea, which you know, I mean, I hate
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: cap hockey all season, so I know, like which teams
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: are better than other teams and whatever. It's gonna come
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: down to experience to some extent as well. Hockey is
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: always crazy, dude. But like, let's get into it. We're
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: gonna fill out the bracket the way that I usually
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: do backwards. We're gonna build it backwards. I'm always built backwards.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: You know how it is. We need to choose the
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: champion first. I got it right last year with Florida.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: I did not have the runner up, correct though I
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: think I had Florida over Colorado last year. Maybe I
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: was a year or two early for Colorado. But we
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: might not pick Colorado as the champion here, even though
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: they're definitely the best team, like they probably have the
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: best odds to win. I do have the odds up here,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: so we're gonna look at the odds while we do this.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: But we know the President's Trophy curse. Dude, the team
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: that has the best regular season record never wins the finals. Like,
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: how long has it gone? Let me look it up.
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: How long has that been the case? For hold on
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: President's Trophy curse? Last year? I believe it was Winnipeg
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: popular NHL superstition. Since nineteen eighty six, only eight of
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: the thirty seven President's Trophian winners have actually won. None
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: have won since twenty thirteen, so it's not definite. But yeah,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: I mean the curse I think is real. Where I
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: think a lot of it is like, you know, the
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: team that wins the most, you know, that has the
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: most points whatever, they become like the most picked team,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: right Like, I assume Colorado is probably the most picked team,
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: And that's where we want to start here. Who's picking whom? Right? Like?
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: You can see right here the People's bracket, everybody has
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: Colorado over Carolina basically in the final. So pretty likely
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: we're not gonna have that right off the bat. You
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: see Colorado is being picked thirty eight point one eight
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: percent of the time. So unless their odds actually somehow
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: supplant that we're not picking them. And if we look
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: at the odds here, they're plus three hundreds, so yeah,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: that's not gonna happen, which you know, imply probability. The
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: twenty five percent, the odds makers actually give you less
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: money than they should, so actually the odds are actually
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: a little bit worse than twenty five percent. So Colorado
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: is clearly negative leverage by at least thirteen percent on that,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: So we're not picking Colorado. Uh, Carolina is the next
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: most picked team at ten point three percent. Because you know,
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: the reason we're doing this is game theory, like if
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: you're trying to beat the people that are in your bracket,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: but it also kind of just works out because you're
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: fading the public when you do this too. But if
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: you're in like a pool whatever, trying to beat people,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: you want to differentiate your bracket where you have leverage
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: over them, you know what I mean. So how often
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: people are picking a certain team matters, right, So you
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: want to find spots where teams are being underpicked. You
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: like the Hurricanes, I think we're not going to have
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: them as the champion here. Let me see, I know
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: their first round matchup is actually kind of tough. Our
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: our friend Jeffrey bet against them in the first round series.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: I don't think I love that, but I don't think
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have Carolina winning here. Although they have the
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: second best odds plus four to seventy five, which comes
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: down to seven point Actually they do have maybe we
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: will pick them. They do have a plus leverage, I
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: guess seventeen point three nine percent. Dude. I thought we
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: were gonna wind up with like the lightning or something.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: But that's pretty good. Let's let's keep going, though, So
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: the Hurricanes ten point three percent picked. The Oilers are
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: next at eight point seven percent picked about but where
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: are the where are the Oilers even in this thing?
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: They're plus thirteen hundred. Yeah, they're gonna be negative leverage
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: for sure, seven point one four percent. So the Oilers
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: are being overpicked only by one percent though. You know,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: I think we are gonna pick the Hurricanes though, because
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: based on implyed probability, they have a seventeen percent chance
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: to win it. It's like they never do, but they
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: always lose to Florida, and Florida's not here. Although Outawa
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: does play a similar style to them, I worry, dude, dude,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: their first round series matchup though, Look at the series
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: price on this Carolina, they're only well, minus one seventy
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: is not too bad. Uh. Jeffery said that he took
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: Autawa like plus one twenty, but he didn't get good
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: odds on that because now it's already up to plus
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: one forty five on them. You could see like most
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: of these serious prices are not that big, except Colorado
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: is a massive favorite against La Lightning. Dude, I thought
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: the Lightning might be our pick because they have a
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: big favorite price in the first round. I don't know. Well,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: I'm kind of giving stuff away, although I still don't
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: know who I'm picking here. Hang on, let's go back
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: to the the champion odds here. Whoops? What are we
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: doing here? Yeah? I just lost it. I wanted the
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Futures here, Team Futures. Yeah, there we go. All right? Yeah,
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: so I mean the Lightning or plus five hundred though,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: that's the thing. The Lightning are sixteen point six seven percent.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: I didn't do the well I did the oilers. They're negative,
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: but the Lightning are only being picked six point four
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: nine percent, and they're almost as likely to win as Carolina.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: So hold on a minute. I think we're I think
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: we're taking the Lightning here there's higher leverage that way. Uh,
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: Carolina is positive leverage of about seven percent, but the
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: Lightning are almost the same odds to win, and their
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: positive leverage of like ten percent. I think we're picking
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: the Lightning the Stars. Let's take a look at them.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Stars are ten to one, nine point oh nine percent.
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: They're slight positive leverage over the seven point eight they're
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: being picked. And then after that, what do we have.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: We have Vegas Golden Knights are actually uh ten to one,
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: where you know, I thought Vegas would be dangerous because
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: they're pretty experienced. They're not being picked that heavily at all,
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: three point eight four percent. So yeah, Vegas is definitely
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: being underpicked as well. So I think you definitely don't
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: want to pick the Avalanche if you're trying to go
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: against the public, probably don't want to take the Oilers.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: They seem too public. Really, I think any of these
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: other teams is like kind of fair game. But uh,
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: the Sabers are being picked six point three one percent.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: What are their odds? Fourteen hundred. I don't think they're
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: that good of a one seed? Man, Yeah, they're at
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: six point six seven, So they're being picked almost in
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: line with what they actually are, and then I don't
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: know if we want to go into the rest of these. Yeah,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, those are all the teams that like pretty
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: much have legitimate chances to win. Ottawa, believe it or not,
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: is actually thirteen to one. So Ottawa has better odds
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: than those other couple of teams we talked about, better
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: odds than Buffalo hilariously, So Ottawa's seven point one four
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: percent imply probability. They're only being picked point five eight percent,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: so obviously there's positive level there. But yeah, well, yeah,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: I'm not a fan of Canada. Yeah, you know me,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: Jay had what's up man, Jay Hat? Oh? No, we
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: don't want that. Is that a condom, Jay Hat? No,
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: it's a Blue Jays hat. What's up man, Russ Carlson,
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: McDavid Savoy. What are we talking about? This is fantasy
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: I don't really do that. I don't do much with fantasy, man.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: I've never played fantasy hockey. Actually i've done. I always
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: do fantasy football. I've done fantasy basketball in the past,
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: fantasy baseball, never hockey, though. I don't know the hockey
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: personnel dude at all. So you're saying it's gonna be
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: Penguins and Oilers. I don't think so. Yeah, I'm not
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: gonna agree with that, but yeah, we're gonna take the
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: Lightning to win this whole thing. So it's not a
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Canadian team, it's not a team that I like being
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: a Bruins fan, but yeah, Lightning are gonna be it.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: I'm sorry, but if you want to take Carolina, you
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: could do that. I might worry a little bit more
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: about Carolina. I think the Lightning have an easy, like
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: a pretty easy path here man to be honest, although
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: the Bruins have given them some problems if they if
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: they're running to the Bruins, but I don't know, I
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: don't know if I yeah really see it. I don't
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: think Buffalo is really a legit one seed. You know,
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: We'll see what happens to me. Yeah, I will take
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: the Lightning based on just the amount of leverage combined
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: with the percentage chance that they have to win third
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: best odds to win. So that's what we're going with.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: I think Carolina would be the next best choice though
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: after that, again, I still kind of worry about their
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: first round matchup though. All right, now, the next question
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: is Who's gonna win the West? Is it going to
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: be Colorado? I know everybody's picking Colorado. But here's where
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: it gets tricky because we can't tell how many people
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: are actually picking Colorado to get to the final because
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: ESPN doesn't give you the who picked whom anymore, and
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: I don't think like pool Genius or anything has stuff
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: like I could be wrong. Maybe they do. Let me
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: look real quick. If they do, I'd be pretty surprised, though,
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: let me see. Um no, they do not. They do
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: the March Madness brackets and stuff, So we have to
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: kind of it's gonna be a guessing game here. I
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: think we can see the odds to win the conference though. Yeah,
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: so Carolina and Tampa Bay, you know, no shock there,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: they're kind of neck and neck at plus two forty
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: and plus two to fifty to win the conference. Colorado's
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: at plus one sixty five to win the Western Conference,
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: so they're actually an underdog to win the conference, with
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: Vegas at plus four fifty, Dallas plus five hundred, Edmondson
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: plus five fifty, Wild plus eight fifty. Beyond that, I
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: don't really see the other teams being able to do it.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: You never know. I mean, hockey is a close game.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: Things can kind of shock you. But Jude, I just
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: don't know how many people, like based on this, I
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: guess maybe we should guess that, Like, I mean, can
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: we even guess on the fact that thirty eight point
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: one eight percent of people are picking Colorado to get
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: to win the championship? Do we think that? So that
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: means at least thirty eight point one percent of picking
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: them to win the West? But like, how many more
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: do you think they're picking them to win the West?
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean? Like, do we think it's
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: a If it's above fifty percent, then we should probably
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: pick against them, and it probably is. So does that
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: really mean we should be going with Vegas? Oh my god, dude,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: I don't even know, man, because Vegas, like down the stretch,
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: they beat Vegas beat some teams that were just so
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: bad down the stretch, you know, even though I think
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: they're dangerous, Like, they had a lot of close losses
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: this year, a lot of overtime losses, but they had
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: such turmoil that fired their coach. But again they're seven
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: to one with seven to one with Tortorella there now.
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: But again, most of those wins are against bad teams,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: and they beat Colorado in situation where Colorado didn't need
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: the game at all. They had one really good win
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: over the Oilers, I think, man, and then Dallas isn't
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: that far behind either. I'm trying to do. I'm just
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: trying to gauge, like how far are people picking these teams,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean? Yeah, so most people have
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: the Oilers getting into this conference finals with the Avs here, like,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: I don't want to be like too highly leveraged here.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: It's just kind of difficult to figure out what we
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: want to do with this. And plus one sixty five
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: what are those odds actually translate to thirty seven point
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: seventy four? So dude, yeah, I mean, we can't pick
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Colorado because they're being picked more than that to win
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: the championship, and that's more than their implied odds to
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: even get to the finals. So yeah, Vegas is eighteen
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: point eight percent. It looks like they're being pretty underpicked here.
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: Then we got yeah, they're me pick way less than
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Dallas two. So I think that is the move, Like,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: based on how many people are picking these teams to
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: be champion, Vegas is being picked less than Edmonton as
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: well as far as like the odds to win this
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: thing Dallas plus five hundred. Yeah, like I said, yeah,
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: we'll pick Vegas to win the West. Then. I know
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: it seems ugly, but they do have the experience over
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: you time in Utah. They're a hyped, you know, new team.
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: I like Utah, Like, you know, it wouldn't anger me
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: if it happened. But yeah, we'll take Vegas to get
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: to the final. Okay, now, now we have to figure
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: out how to fill out the rest of this thing.
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: Who's gonna come out of this. It's probably gonna be Colorado. Like,
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: let's let's not be that stupid. I would say we'll
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: have Colorado getting to the Conference finals. I'm not gonna
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: be too crazy with this. I don't know what their
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: odds are to get there. I know the odds to
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: win the first series are just really crazy. And then
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: we got Stars Wild. It seems like more people are
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: gonna pick the Stars in the Wild here. Maybe it's
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: not by that much. Well, actually, yeah, I'm well, let's
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: let's figure out who's gonna get to the Eastern Conference
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: finals first year. As we go backwards here, winner of Minnesota,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: Dallas I think it's completely different. I think Dallas, Dallas
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: always beats Colorado, so Colorado does not want to see Dallas.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: I think. I don't think Minnesota is that good. I
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: don't think Minnesota would beat Dallas, or excuse me, I
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: don't think Minnesota would beat Colorado. Excuse me. I think
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: Dallas has a better chance to beat them. Dallas is
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: extremely experienced. What do you mean sixty percent? You're from Winnipeg. Yeah,
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: I like, hello, buck Man. So I'm not a fan
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: of Canadian teams in general, but Winnipeg is not one
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: of the ones that I dislike. Really, we're not going
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: with the Oilers. The oilers are just they're too in balanced.
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: And I don't even know when are they getting drys
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: Idle back or whatever he's hers, I don't know. I
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: don't like it, man, I don't. Their goaltending is a
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: total disaster too, which is always what holds them back.
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: And now they traded Skinner for like Jerry or whatever. Jari. Yeah,
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna happen. They're goltending is not good enough.
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: The lightning of Vasilevsky, which is good. Golden Knights, though
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: they got Heart back, and I was making fun of
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: them on the show the other day because I'm like,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: who is this guy? But yeah, I don't know, man,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: I don't even know if I like this Golden Knight's pick.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: But maybe heart will get will get hot. You know,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: Avalanche have the Woods. The Woods is in net there
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: with a Blackwood and Wedgewood. I don't know how good
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: they are really either. Anyway, we're trying to pick who's
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: gonna come out of the Metro side of this thing,
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: which all these actually the Senators are not in the
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Metro division. The wild cards can be from any division,
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: but the rest of the teams stay playing their own division.
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: I do think we're gonna have Carolina though, getting to
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: that spot there in the East. Carolina has the best
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: odds to win the East at plus two forty, although
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: we already do not have them winning it twenty nine
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: point four one percent to win the East. They're being
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: picked less than that to even get to the championships,
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: so they're obviously positive leverage to get this far. So
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: we'll take Carolina to get to that matchup with the Lightning.
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: So we do have one seeds with only one two
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: seed in the final, it seems very chocky, but a
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: lot of times, my dude, my hockey is usually not
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: that chockey. It's just the way that it worked out
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: here this time. And then we got to pick the
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: rest of these matchups here, Stars wild. I mean, it
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: does seem like the Stars are gonna be a bit
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: of a public side here if we want to see
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: the Stars only minus one twenty to win the series. Though,
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: But I also I should bring pre game up because
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: I do actually want to look at pregame to see like,
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: where is the public in game one and whatever, because
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: usually the public is gonna stay like on that same side,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Let's take a look here
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the public. Let's see. It looks like the actual money
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: is coming in on Carolina in the first game. We'll
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: talk about this more tomorrow. It's coming in on Dallas
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: as well. Philadelphia looks to be getting the money as
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: the dog against Pittsburgh. Colorado is just a massive favorite,
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: but they are really public money looks like it's supporting
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay even though they are a big favorite. Public
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: looks to be on Buffalo and kind of fading them
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: against Boston my Boston Bruins, of course. And then yeah,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: Vegas looks like they're getting some of the money even
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: though they are public. Against Utah could be a tough series, man,
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. I do think the experience should
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: carry Vegas through. I know we took them really far though,
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: And then the money is on Edmonton against Anaheim, which
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't really disagree with that. All right,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: let's pick the rest these we'll pick. I'm gonna go
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: with Dallas to win against the Wild. I mean, they
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: just they keep I mean, they're always in like the
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: conference finals. Man. I think Experience might just come through there.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't be shocked if they lost the series, of course,
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: but I just you know me, I mean, I just
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: think the Wild are just kind of overrated every year,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: and Stars just have that experience. I don't know it's
• 21:20
  Speaker 1: in net Ottinger versus Gustafson here. I don't know. I'd
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: probably trust Ottinger a bit more. So we'll go with
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: them down to the bottom here. To finish off the West,
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: we'll take the Oilers. I mean, the Oilers are a
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: decent sized favorite to win that series. I'm pretty sure
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: where they go. Yeah, they're two twenty minus two twenty
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna fuck around with that. Ducks don't really
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: play that well on the road, yea. The Ducks also
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: haven't been to the playoffs for a long time. Oilers,
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: the experience should at least get the map far all right,
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: Bruin Sabers. What is the price on this series? Sabers
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: are minus one seventy five. That's not a huge favorite.
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: Usually they do take the favorites. I think it's close, dude,
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: I think this one's a close call. You know, the
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: Bruins missed the playoffs last year, but they do have
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: a lot of guys, you know, they kind of have
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: experience there. Bruins Sabers haven't been to the playoffs for
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: quite a while. I believe the Bruins actually did pretty
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: well against the Sabers during the regular season, two of them,
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. I don't know, maybe I should go look
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: at see I don't know. I think maybe experience will
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: carry the Bruins through one round there though, And it
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: looks like the Sabers are kind of the public like,
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: you know, if we look at the market read that
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: I just showed you, it looks like fading the Sabers
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: might be the right move. There. I'm gonna look real
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: quick and see what the Bruins did against Buffalo. Let
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: me see, they beat them three to one at home,
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: beat them four to three and overtime at home, lost
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: four to one on the road, beat them four to
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: three in overtime on the road. So the Bruins did
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: beat them three out of four. I don't think it's
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: that big of a deal. But all right, let's take
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: the Bruins to win that first round matchup as a
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: slight underdog there. Then we have Penguins Flyers. I think,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I like defense man, I think it's gonna be the
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: Flyers here, even though yeah, we're fading a minus one
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: seventy favorite here, but we just saw what the market
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: read looks like. I'm gonna go with the Flyers in
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: that in that round there. Penguins, I think they're just
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: gonna be overpriced, overpicked man, because it's Sydney Crosby whatever.
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: You know, everybody seems to think that that's like, I
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: don't know, gonna somehow carry them through or something. I mean,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: when your best player is that old at this point
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: and the Penguins haven't been here for a while. Penguins also,
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: like I said they made that trade to get Skinner.
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: I don't think their goaltending is good at all. I
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: think the Flyers clearly the better defense and goaltending there,
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: even though I don't really love their goaltending. So we're
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: gonna take the Lighting all we have to do the
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: stupid tie break. Or how many goals is this team
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: gonna score throughout the entire playoffs? I don't know, man,
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, how many series is that gonna be if
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: they win? Let's see one, two, three, four series. I
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: don't know how many games does these series go? Maybe
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: an average of like six s. So yeah, so what
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: we're looking at? What twenty four games approximately? We'll do?
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know how many goals is one team gonna
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: score on average? I don't know what is the average
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: gonna be. We'll go I don't We'll go with seventy two?
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: How about that? I don't think it matters that much,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: all right, maybe you know on the lower side when defenses,
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: you know, come to play, But that's it, man. So
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: we're picking the Lightning, uh to win the thing. I
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: think they have the most positive leverage to win this.
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: I would go with either of them or Carolina, but
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: I think Carolina's path is a little bit more dangerous there.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: So that's what we're gonna do. That's gonna do it. Man.
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: I gotta come back and do the uh the NBA
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: one next So I'm gonna come back and do it
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: as a separate show. I appreciated everybody, everybody for hanging
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: out here. Wait a minute, Wait, Jay, you're saying dry
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: Sidle isn't hurt what I thought he was. Let me
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: say no, he is. He's hurt. I told you they're
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: talking about his progress. They're positive updates on him right now.
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: He's day to day, nearing return right now. I told
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: you he's hurt. He's been hurt for a while. Uh yeah,
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: this is an article yesterday they said he's he is
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: expected to return, but he's day to day, or they
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: said he's expected to return during the first round at
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: some point. I don't know how much it matters, you know,
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: I talk about like one one player, even if he
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: is one of the better players on the team. One
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: player doesn't matter that much in hockey. So yeah, but
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: he is hurt right now. It looks like he is
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: coming back at some point in the first round, though
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: even possibly the first game. That's gonna do it. I
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: appreciate everybody. Learn a tone on Twitter, learn a tone
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: on Instagram, Like subscribe to the channel here and you'll
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: get notified. I'm gonna be right back and do the
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: same thing for the NBA. So I'll be back in
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: like a few minutes to do that, and then I
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: gotta put all these up. I'm gonna do the audio
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: version of it. Listen on audio as well. This show's
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: on Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. But yeah, definitely, like subscribe, tell
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: everybody about it. You know. Then we got covered in
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: you because my yuke channel on YouTube. You can check
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: that out. Ukulele covers, Patreon, dot com, slash learn it
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: toe and you get some extra stuff there and Loser
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: cast every Tuesday night there's that as well. I'll be
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: back and then I gotta decide when I want to
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: be back for the You know what I might do.
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: I might handy cap all the baseball for tomorrow before
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: I go to sleep, and then I'll come back and
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: just be ready to go, like jump right into the
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: show and give you the baseball plays for tomorrow. And
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: then I don't know if I'm gonna have any NBA
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: or NHL. But obviously those playoffs are starting tomorrow. But
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: I tread a little bit lightly in games one, Like
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: you know me, I do the zigzag things, so I
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: like to fade outliers from game one in game two.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: So game two is where I really start going into it.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: You know what I mean, if you've seen me do it,
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: you know. But we were good in both playoffs last year. No,
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: and I refuse to do that song Somewhere over the Rainbow.
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: First of all, it's traumatic because my sister played it
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: on heart but my grandmother's funeral, my mom's mom because
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: that was her favorite song. I guess I hate that song,
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: and everybody demands that I do it because it's that
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: one popular ukulele song. I refuse. I'm never gonna do it.
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: I also can't I don't play the ukulele in the
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: same way, So I refuse to cover any any song
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: that's a Yuke song, I refuse. So I'm not doing that.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: I'm not doing riptide, not doing any of that shit.
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: I only cover non Yuke songs on Yuke because I'm
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: not gonna be able to get the Yuke matching what
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: it sounds like in any of those songs that are
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: Yuke songs anyway. But that's gonna do it. I'll be
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: back for the NBA show in a minute. Yeah, I'll
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: be back in like a few minutes for that piece.