Latest / Strictly Business / Shapiroworld by Strictly Business
Transcript
- 0:00You're listening to Strictly Business Podcast with Lindsay Williams.
- 0:05It's Monday, so as always on a Monday I speak to David Shapiro from Sassford
- 0:10Securities in Johannesburg.
- 0:12It's time for Shapiro World. Now David, I sent you a message earlier on and I said
- 0:16dead cat bounce,
- 0:18and I wanted to be provocative, you know, I wanted to get you going on a Monday.
- 0:20I know you're like me and you more or less work alone these days and you like to get
- 0:27everything put on your desk, reports and everything, and excuse me,
- 0:29could you do that for me and that?
- 0:31I'm the same, especially with tech stuff.
- 0:33But you haven't got that.
- 0:35So I know on a Monday, you're always particularly busy preparing for the week.
- 0:38So I thought I'd be provocative and annoy you with the dead cat bounce story.
- 0:43And I really believe it.
- 0:45And before you start your analysis, I'll tell you what's been happening.
- 0:50The tech stocks have been coming off or going sideways.
- 0:53Some have been booming, but that's the new AI stocks coming to market.
- 0:57And that'll fizzle out.
- 0:58But some of the big ones, I mean, for example, Tesla, close to being in a bear
- 1:02market, i.e.
- 1:04a technical bear market is when they're 20% from their highs.
- 1:07And I believe that what happened on Friday was completely ridiculous.
- 1:11It was a classic short covering dead cat bounce.
- 1:14The market had been going down, not precipitously, but quite steadily for
- 1:19quite a while.
- 1:21And then suddenly people said, oh, it's Friday, let's buy it.
- 1:22And they bought it.
- 1:23And you know what the excuse was?
- 1:25because tech companies had been announcing capex and you know the reason why they
- 1:30were down the
- 1:30previous day because tech companies had been
- 1:33spending too much capex so these stupid journalists and commentators like me
- 1:40didn't know what to say they
- 1:42said they said one thing one day one thing the next and that is it now we've had the
- 1:46a down leg the little b
- 1:48up leg the dead cat bounce and now we'll come to the sea down leg again, which will
- 1:52go to new lows.
- 1:54Not anything spectacular.
- 1:55but it will go down again, just like Bitcoin will, just like gold will.
- 1:59Because I've been watching some of these stocks.
- 2:01They don't do anything.
- 2:02They're not making new ground.
- 2:04We know that they're spending capex.
- 2:06We know what AI is going to do, change our lives.
- 2:09It needs to be fed.
- 2:10And that is my rationale.
- 2:12Stay in the market, yes, but don't expect anything too soon.
- 2:16There we go.
- 2:17I'm finished.
- 2:17I'm going to agree with you there.
- 2:19No, I'm going to agree with you.
- 2:20OK.
- 2:20Nothing's going to happen soon.
- 2:22I think that, I think it's tired.
- 2:24I think people are tired of the theme and they need something new.
- 2:30But I took exactly what you've said, you know, about the amount of money that's
- 2:36going to be spent.
- 2:38And I thought about it.
- 2:40I said, hold on, let's take a step back.
- 2:42If I'm trying to get these numbers and when I complain to you about having to put
- 2:47numbers together and really
- 2:49embellish some of my arguments, you know, you can't just make statements.
- 2:52That's what I'm trying to do.
- 2:54But what I work out is that the numbers that I'm coming to is like almost
- 3:01$650 to $700 billion is going to be spent by the big ones, by
- 3:08Microsoft, Google, Amazon.
- 3:10Over what period?
- 3:11That's important.
- 3:13This is the ones that they've just announced.
- 3:15So it could be a year, it could be two years.
- 3:18I don't know.
- 3:19I think this is going to continue.
- 3:21I don't think it's going to stop.
- 3:23Now, globally, I think there's going to be spending as well.
- 3:27You know, Europe has done nothing.
- 3:29It's got to catch up.
- 3:30The rest of the world's done nothing.
- 3:32So when I think about that,
- 3:34I know that some of the big companies have got the cash flow to keep investing,
- 3:41whereas maybe Amazon hasn't and it's got to borrow money.
- 3:45But still, then I thought about it from another angle.
- 3:48And this is the angle I'm taking.
- 3:49I'm saying.
- 3:51We don't know who the winners or losers are going to be.
- 3:54You can't make that decision.
- 3:56You can guess.
- 3:57But there will be winners and there will be losers.
- 4:00But where the economies are going to gain, and this is what I'm trying to develop,
- 4:06and it's in the early stages,
- 4:08just think about $650 billion on data centers or social, whatever.
- 4:13First of all, they're construction jobs, okay?
- 4:16You've got to build these things.
- 4:18Not only that, you've got to put power into them.
- 4:20Before you do this, explain what a data center is and also what the energy
- 4:27implications are for the
- 4:29data center and is that part of the data center, the energy generating cubicle or
- 4:33whatever it is, plant?
- 4:35This is not, each data center is a massive building now.
- 4:38It's not a little container that's fallen off a ship or something like that that has
- 4:44come up,
- 4:46just washed up to shore.
- 4:48You know, it's not one of those that you can make a spaza out of and sell chappies
- 4:50or whatever.
- 4:52These are huge,
- 4:54sophisticated buildings and containing an enormous amount of hardware and
- 4:58software.
- 4:59And this is where data...
- 5:02And this is where if you've got a firm, say, for example,
- 5:06your data will be collected in this factory or in this big center, and you
- 5:12will use it, number one,
- 5:14to drive your business.
- 5:16You know, at the moment we're sharing them, but I think somewhere down the line
- 5:19they'll probably get too big where
- 5:21companies will want their own data centers.
- 5:22So, you know, you can't do anything without data.
- 5:25And the whole of AI is driven by.
- 5:29The speedy use of all of this information.
- 5:31It's like a digital library, in other words, because you've got all the
- 5:35information stuck there.
- 5:37And surely, David, though, when you hear about the size of the chips that our
- 5:42friend Viv Govender from
- 5:44Ramsteris talks about, it's getting smaller and smaller.
- 5:46So why are data centers getting bigger and bigger?
- 5:48Surely they should be shrinking like a cell phone trunk.
- 5:51Yeah, but what happens is you can store more and more data in these big…
- 5:58factories or these big buildings.
- 6:00So, I mean, you've got to think of it in that way.
- 6:03But the other point is that I thought is, hold on a sec, every time you do this,
- 6:08you're creating jobs for scientists, for engineers and scientists, because they've
- 6:15got to learn how to use the data.
- 6:17So, you're opening the way for students at university or other colleges to learn and
- 6:21to develop skills.
- 6:23They're developing skills that other countries who are not spending are not
- 6:26going to have.
- 6:28in the UK or in Europe or wherever, in South Africa, etc.
- 6:31So they're far ahead.
- 6:33So that's my whole contention is looking at it from that point of view and saying
- 6:39this
- 6:41puts America way ahead of any of its competitors.
- 6:45China's there.
- 6:45China, sorry, it's unfair.
- 6:48I think China is doing as much as they can as well.
- 6:51It's the rest of the world, like Europe, that are probably going to lag behind.
- 6:56So.
- 6:57I see this as, you know,
- 7:00massively advancing for these economies.
- 7:07Okay, but then look at the employment side of things, David.
- 7:11You said, okay, construction jobs.
- 7:13How long does it take to put up a data center?
- 7:15Okay, it's a big warehouse complex, let's say.
- 7:18As we've coined it now, a digital library.
- 7:21It takes...
- 7:22I don't know, in Europe it doesn't take long at all.
- 7:25We're quite efficient here.
- 7:26Despite everything you say about Europe, we're quite efficient.
- 7:30Okay, so it might take six to nine months.
- 7:34It might take a year in America, a year and a half.
- 7:36And okay, after that, where do they go after that?
- 7:39They go back home.
- 7:40The scientists, the high-end scientists.
- 7:42It's not going to be thousands of them, David.
- 7:44It's not going to affect the jobs number, which is coming out this week,
- 7:48incidentally.
- 7:50It's a few people that will get there.
- 7:50really, really, as I say,
- 7:52high-end stuff um but i'll give you an example of where it will knock jobs out
- 7:59the sort of jobs that
- 8:01where people go home on a friday and go out for go out for a pizza or a burger or
- 8:06something watch a football game
- 8:08and then go back to work on monday normal people and i give you an example of where
- 8:13jobs are being lost i do a few
- 8:15podcasts for you know the corporate world and the corporate world will say thank you
- 8:20very much and they put it up on their site
- 8:22And they say, oh, Lindsay, could you write a blurb for me?
- 8:23So I have to describe what the podcast is going to be.
- 8:27So and so spoke to him about this, and he described this, and this is how the
- 8:32company is positioned.
- 8:34Okay, pretty easy.
- 8:36It takes me five minutes.
- 8:38And I haven't been getting these, would you send a blurb messages anymore?
- 8:39And I phoned up the person that I deal with, and she said, oh, no, no, no.
- 8:43I just put in the keywords, and AI writes it for me.
- 8:48And it's really good.
- 8:49And she sent me one.
- 8:51She sent me one, and it was good.
- 8:52And she said, what do you think?
- 8:53I said, it's better than anything I've ever written.
- 8:56And it wasn't, of course, but I was just saying that to make her feel good.
- 9:01And I said, soon I'll be out of a job.
- 9:04And she said, if they can start doing the interviews that you do, as well as you do,
- 9:11then yes.
- 9:13At the moment, though, no.
- 9:15But the inference in my mind was there that eventually.
- 9:16People like me will not have a job because it will be done by AI.
- 9:21It's not that far away, David.
- 9:23No, it's not going to be.
- 9:25You know, if you take that forward, it means that we won't have research
- 9:31analysts, we won't have
- 9:33Bloomberg, CNBC, all the news channels and so on.
- 9:35You'll have some head talking head there going in and monitor.
- 9:39So I don't think that's going to happen.
- 9:41Where it is, what it does do is it's going to speed up a lot of operations,
- 9:47admittedly.
- 9:49For example, I was talking to an advocate friend of mine who says that, you know, in
- 9:54many cases,
- 9:56he will put in certain information into a special legal one and he says it comes out
- 10:01and it, you know,
- 10:03he has to review it because it can have, there can be issues, you know, which he
- 10:06has to check.
- 10:07But I mean, it saved him an enormous time.
- 10:09And I think where the beauty comes is exactly it says, listen, I've got to write
- 10:14an opinion.
- 10:16And these chaps are under a lot of it.
- 10:18A lot of pressure.
- 10:20And sometimes you can't quite get the words out or can't get it.
- 10:22This does it for you.
- 10:24And you say, okay, you've got to do a little bit of editing yourself and say,
- 10:27no,
- 10:28I don't like those flourishing words and so on.
- 10:30But there's no doubt that it helps, that it can help.
- 10:33But where these data centers as well is you need plumbers.
- 10:40You need electricians.
- 10:41You know, you need builders, you need architects, you need all of that.
- 10:44Yeah, but it's not the same, David.
- 10:46It's not like an office block where every single floor needs plumbers and that sort
- 10:50of thing.
- 10:51These data crunching machines don't need to go to the bathroom every four hours.
- 10:59So really, I'm destroying your argument quite nicely here, actually.
- 11:02I know that.
- 11:03No, I know.
- 11:04It helps you formulate your views.
- 11:07Not you, I'm talking in a broader sense.
- 11:09Yes.
- 11:10One's views.
- 11:11But I think that this is big.
- 11:14We're going to see where this goes.
- 11:16No one knows.
- 11:17And that's the mystery of this, Lindsay, is that nobody really knows.
- 11:21You know, we're all guessing.
- 11:22And the worst is that you've got some journalist who says, you know, the editor
- 11:27says, go write an article.
- 11:29Oh, God, what do I know about it?
- 11:31You know, and you start writing things that you know very little about.
- 11:33I think that's one of the problems.
- 11:36I think that's why I like to do things myself and research and ask questions and
- 11:41so on.
- 11:42I want to develop this.
- 11:43You know, I mean, it's early stages.
- 11:45I want to find out what the multiplier effect can have on an economy from these.
- 11:52You know, you ask the right questions.
- 11:55How big are these data centers?
- 11:56You know, what do they entail?
- 11:58How long do they take to build?
- 12:01You know, what's the spending on them?
- 12:02Can society in the future, will the David Shapiro in 100 years' time, your
- 12:08equivalent,
- 12:10what will he be investing in?
- 12:11Because society has got to change and society will change
- 12:18without it changing, if you see what I mean.
- 12:19Society will be forced to change and one day we'll wake up and we won't have a job.
- 12:24And one day thousands and thousands of other people will be the same.
- 12:28One day you'll wake up and you won't be able to live in a particular city in
- 12:34India, for example, because it's too hot.
- 12:36So you've got climate change, you've got AI, there's going to be more migration.
- 12:38There's going to be demographic changes.
- 12:41People will stop having babies as much.
- 12:43And in the countries where they do have babies, they will have to migrate.
- 12:47And you've got to get ready for a world where 10% unemployment would be a good
- 12:53number.
- 12:5320%, 25% might be the norm.
- 12:57Luckily, David, you and I are going to be dead.
- 12:59I'm old.
- 13:01We're going to be dead.
- 13:03Lindsay, I think about that not for 100 years.
- 13:06I think about it in five years.
- 13:08I think about it 10 years and I say, okay, what's coming up?
- 13:13We were lucky.
- 13:14I mean, we would have been devastated if it wasn't for ChatGPT.
- 13:19If I take the route that we took in 21, 22, thereabout, you know,
- 13:25we were buying NVIDIA for gaming because it was lockdown, which was COVID.
- 13:30You know, this is a great buy.
- 13:32I'm going to buy it.
- 13:32It's a GPU.
- 13:33It's good.
- 13:35And suddenly rates go up.
- 13:37Our power put rates up from zero to five and a half.
- 13:39Markets crashed in 22 and so on.
- 13:42Thank goodness.
- 13:43We would have continued because rates are still relatively high.
- 13:46But what happened in November 22 was chat GPT, and that changed everything.
- 13:51So now I'm saying, okay, you know, we can run the story for so long.
- 13:56And as you correctly said when you opened up and saying, things are tired, you know,
- 14:02and don't expect.
- 14:04Don't expect massive gains from here.
- 14:05We'll bumble along.
- 14:06But I keep saying, okay, so what's coming next?
- 14:10It gives you a chance to catch up on your admin and do some longer-term research,
- 14:15David,
- 14:17rather than have to phone up a client every day and say, look, we've moved 5%
- 14:21today, 5% yesterday, that sort of thing.
- 14:23I don't see that happening.
- 14:25And when people don't know what to do, it's another thing, because human behavior
- 14:27is still...
- 14:29runs the market.
- 14:31So you can have as many algorithms as you like, but it's still human nature and the
- 14:34fragility of the human being must never be
- 14:36discounted when it comes to market moves.
- 14:38People don't know what to do at the moment.
- 14:40And it's illustrated beautifully by Thursday, we're selling the market because
- 14:47there's too much CapEx.
- 14:49And on Friday, we're buying the market because there's CapEx.
- 14:50So when there's confusion, people either sit on their hands or they sell.
- 14:54Bitcoin Good luck.
- 14:56Went to 72,000 over the weekend, back at 68,500 now.
- 15:00That's finished.
- 15:01You can forget about that, Mr.
- 15:03Trump.
- 15:04But he doesn't pay his bills anyway, so he doesn't care.
- 15:07He'll pass that on to Eric and Don Jr.
- 15:11It ran out of space.
- 15:13Everybody would buy Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin, buy Bitcoin.
- 15:16Okay, so I bought Bitcoin.
- 15:17Now what?
- 15:18I've got to wait for someone else.
- 15:20And eventually, it just ran out.
- 15:21It didn't for full The reason that people were buying it, hoping that if there was,
- 15:28you know,
- 15:30that it would replace fiat currencies or paper currencies, and that also that in
- 15:34times of stress,
- 15:36that it would be, you know, far better than gold or anything.
- 15:38No, it didn't live up to that.
- 15:40It's done nothing.
- 15:41But Lindsay,
- 15:43the point is that why you brought up such an important topic is that in
- 15:50the past.
- 15:51Where we went into an economic growth area and things started to pick up, we said,
- 15:57oh, you've got to have banks.
- 15:59Yes, banks.
- 16:01They're going to do lots of work.
- 16:03They're going to lend money.
- 16:05Banks have changed.
- 16:07They've completely changed.
- 16:09They're there on your phone.
- 16:11You don't have to go knock on the door and see your bank manager.
- 16:13The other thing is that people are not, youngsters are not drinking.
- 16:13They're not dating.
- 16:14They're doing all kinds of different things.
- 16:16They look for, they don't use advertising.
- 16:18The advertising is ticked.
- 16:19TikTok or Reels or Instagram, whatever it is.
- 16:23So all of that has changed as well.
- 16:26And it's very difficult to say, well, if I haven't got tech, what do I buy?
- 16:30You know, what's there to buy?
- 16:33Coca-Cola.
- 16:34Nah, people, kids don't drink Coke anymore, you know, or chew Riggies.
- 16:39Someone does because one of the Super Bowl ads.
- 16:43This weekend, the 30-second ads, which cost a ridiculous amount of money, of
- 16:46course.
- 16:47I don't know what it is now, 12 million or something per second.
- 16:49Anyway, the point is, David, maybe I'm exaggerating, that it was a Pepsi versus
- 16:54Coke ad.
- 16:56It was a comparative advertising.
- 16:59And Pepsi was having a go at Coke.
- 17:01So people are still drinking fizzy drinks, but I do agree with you.
- 17:04I mean, when I was young, I don't want to say what I did because I'm ashamed of what
- 17:09I did.
- 17:09But you know what we did when we were young.
- 17:11I mean, you didn't drink as much as I did when I was young, but you did other things
- 17:16as well.
- 17:18You go out and you have fun.
- 17:20They don't do that anymore, do they?
- 17:22They're at home at 7 o'clock after a long day at work or college or whatever it is,
- 17:26and then they study or play games.
- 17:28Exactly.
- 17:30And they communicate via internet with friends, so there's no socialising,
- 17:34there's no dating.
- 17:36And the other thing is you've got...
- 17:37You've got the Wigovi, the weight loss drug, which are changing people's minds.
- 17:42They don't feel like eating.
- 17:43They don't feel like drinking.
- 17:45It's appetite suppressants.
- 17:48What a world.
- 17:51But it challenges me all the time.
- 17:54And I find it a lovely challenge to say, okay, where do we go?
- 17:58If I'm forced to sell out of tech, what do I do?
- 18:04I'm looking at commodities.
- 18:05What's the trend, David?
- 18:09You've got your finger on the pulse through the Crystal Challenge.
- 18:13I mean, that's just a fun game.
- 18:14But some people take it seriously.
- 18:16I didn't take it particularly seriously.
- 18:18I'll tell you what I did.
- 18:19I put into one of my AI apps, I said,
- 18:25what were the five worst performing chairs on the JSC in 2025?
- 18:30And it spewed it out.
- 18:31And there's a couple I didn't want.
- 18:33So I actually took four of the worst and put in one of my own to buy this year,
- 18:40just in case there's a turnaround of sentiment.
- 18:43I don't think there will be, but just in case there is.
- 18:45What have people been doing?
- 18:46You must have noticed a trend.
- 18:49You know what happens?
- 18:50It's very interesting to see what they bought.
- 18:53The number one choice that they had in this competition.
- 18:57In fact, I'm trying to put an article together now.
- 19:00Sibania.
- 19:01Yeah.
- 19:02We've got 494 people entering.
- 19:05That's a lot.
- 19:05Yes.
- 19:06I don't know.
- 19:07I'm going to have to ask AI what the choices are.
- 19:11190 stocks, 494 entrants.
- 19:14What the combinations?
- 19:15How many different combinations can you get?
- 19:17That's too complicated for me.
- 19:19You know, it's not do you understand?
- 19:21So, I mean, how many outcomes there can be.
- 19:25But to Banya, number one, why?
- 19:26Because there's this belief that commodity prices You know platinum gold are going to
- 19:32go up.
- 19:32I think that was number what was number two?
- 19:34Oh purple, you know purple capital
- 19:3989 people for I don't know
- 19:44And number three was nice bass For AfriMet,
- 19:51AfriMet's okay because there's belief that there's going to be a building boom and
- 19:57they've got iron ore.
- 19:59So I like that.
- 20:01I think I might have even chosen it myself.
- 20:03I think number five was Cecil.
- 20:04Yeah, you know, recovery.
- 20:05It's a great trading stock.
- 20:08I can tell you that in that case, that's very gratifying for me because I can tell
- 20:15you exactly where Sasol's going
- 20:17to go over the next year, down to 70, 80, some things like that.
- 20:19So sorry, chaps, you've lost on that one.
- 20:21So that's very good news.
- 20:23Then the recovery of Aspen is next.
- 20:26Aspen, people think, you know, from a low point that Steven Saad.
- 20:31who believes that the combination or the sum of the parts are bigger than the share
- 20:36price at the moment.
- 20:38And he's put his money where his mouth is.
- 20:40And I hope that he does get this turnaround.
- 20:42What else was there?
- 20:43Harmony, of course, in the gold fields and quite a few of those.
- 20:48But that's where the thinking is.
- 20:51It's also very entertaining to see what kind of people enter.
- 20:56We've got a helicopter pilot, an airline pilot.
- 21:00A boiler maker, surgeons, violinists, pianists.
- 21:04And what's the men-women split?
- 21:06Do you know?
- 21:06It must be quite heavily in men's favor.
- 21:10Mainly males.
- 21:11Mainly males, yeah.
- 21:13You know, it's something from one of my observations.
- 21:16Yes.
- 21:17Is that women are exceptionally clever, but very risk-averse.
- 21:24Yes.
- 21:24They're good economists.
- 21:25You mean sensible, in other words.
- 21:26Yes.
- 21:27Well, they're very good economists.
- 21:29They're very...
- 21:30thorough analysts but they don't take risks and i think that might come from
- 21:37running a family you know uh they
- 21:39steady and um you don't find many traders you know women who i you know who love to
- 21:44trade so the bulk of them the bulk of the people who take a you know who enter
- 21:50competitions are or men who
- 21:52love to think again you know there's a little bit of gambling risk-taking um
- 21:55nature around that and my mother was the exception bless her That's it.
- 22:00If you like.
- 22:04That's for another day.
- 22:06But it's very interesting.
- 22:08And I would be very keen to see your
- 22:12AI analysis on the number of combinations and the trends and everything like that,
- 22:17because it is a snapshot of the investment community, I think.
- 22:21It also, the beauty about it, and I'm trying to get this, you know, articulate
- 22:28this, is that
- 22:30You've got to choose five stocks, Lindsay.
- 22:31You can't make, you know, if we made a trading in and out, people get reckless
- 22:37and they say, I'm going to buy today, I'm going to sell.
- 22:39You've got to stick with it.
- 22:41And that teaches you because you're monitoring those shares over a 10-month
- 22:45period.
- 22:45And you see the ups and downs on how daily movements or daily events can actually
- 22:52influence the
- 22:54movement in the share price.
- 22:56So it becomes a very good exercise.
- 22:58And strangely enough.
- 23:00People take it seriously.
- 23:02I mean, a lot of people, they actually don't like it if they're near the bottom
- 23:05and they get angry and
- 23:07whatever.
- 23:09It's a game.
- 23:11It's fun.
- 23:13We all try and outmaneuver the market.
- 23:13I'm in the same as you.
- 23:15I also said, okay, what shares?
- 23:17What's going to happen if this economy does take up?
- 23:20It's going to be building.
- 23:21It's going to be some of the commodities.
- 23:23I think retailers, I said, I'm sure that clothing retailers, absolutely pulverized
- 23:29are going to come back.
- 23:31So those are the kind of things.
- 23:31And last year, and the irony is last year, I chose copper 360.
- 23:36I chose it this year, funnily enough.
- 23:38Yeah, I know.
- 23:39I know.
- 23:40And it was the worst performing share out of everything last year.
- 23:46It was down 70%.
- 23:47You know, you can't lose more than 100%.
- 23:48Which is strange because the metal did quite well.
- 23:50It must be just a crap company.
- 23:52But now it's up about 20%.
- 23:5480%.
- 23:55this year so far.
- 23:56Oh, is it?
- 23:56Very good.
- 23:57Thank you very much.
- 24:00Okay.
- 24:02Keep us in touch on that one.
- 24:04Keep us in touch on that one, David.
- 24:06Okay, so let's have a look at this week now.
- 24:07We've got the US jobs data coming out, and that was delayed because of a government
- 24:14shutdown problem, technical issue,
- 24:16whatever it is, or Trump's new people at the Bureau for Labour Statistics haven't
- 24:20fudged the numbers enough for him.
- 24:22He has a look at them first.
- 24:24He says, no, go away.
- 24:26You must do better.
- 24:28But anyway, they're expecting, I think, around 60,000, 70,000 jobs created, which
- 24:28is paltry and pathetic.
- 24:30And that is a jobs recession to me.
- 24:32Then we've got CPI data coming out on Friday, I believe.
- 24:34I don't know when the jobs data is out.
- 24:36I mean, it might come out earlier.
- 24:37On Wednesday, I think.
- 24:38Is it on Wednesday?
- 24:39Didn't they say Wednesday?
- 24:40OK, so jobs on Wednesday, inflation on Friday.
- 24:42It's normally the other way around.
- 24:44Other things are happening.
- 24:46Lots more earnings to come through, tech companies and others, of course.
- 24:50Then we have the Japanese elections.
- 24:53Over the weekend and the Nick I down up 4% incredible performance there.
- 24:57I haven't seen, I mean, I've seen 4% down for 4% up.
- 25:00No, I haven't.
- 25:01And the other thing is cheerio Keir Starmer.
- 25:04He's got to go.
- 25:05I mean, his chief of staff resigned over the weekend and his head of communications
- 25:11resigned in the last couple of hours.
- 25:13Yeah, he's, he's, he's a goner, but who's going to take over this?
- 25:16Who replaces him?
- 25:17This is the whole point.
- 25:18I mean, British politics in turmoil, US politics as well.
- 25:22What Trump said over the weekend about the Obamas, that ridiculous representation of
- 25:29the Lion King video with him as the lion.
- 25:31He doesn't even deny it.
- 25:33I apologise.
- 25:35He just says I wasn't involved.
- 25:37It came out at like 2.30am. I mean, what staffer is working at 2.30am? It's Trump.
- 25:39He can't sleep because he's constipated.
- 25:41He's on the toilet with his grubby little greasy fingers sending out true social
- 25:48things.
- 25:50And he phones up one of the staffers and says, get up and make the Obamas look like
- 25:53monkeys.
- 25:53And off it goes.
- 25:54But he did it.
- 25:55I mean, it's unbelievable.
- 25:59So that's what we've got this week, David.
- 26:02So you just sit on your hands and you do some research, please.
- 26:06That would be nice.
- 26:07I'm trying to do something.
- 26:08I'm trying to get to the numbers, you know.
- 26:10That's my horse.
- 26:12Yeah.
- 26:14Anyway, I dig deep.
- 26:16There's a lot to read.
- 26:17Very nice.
- 26:19It's fine.
- 26:20But the challenge, you've identified the challenge.
- 26:23It's exactly that.
- 26:24What do we do?
- 26:24Where is next?
- 26:25You know what I mean?
- 26:26Okay.
- 26:26Well, you'll find something, I'm sure.
- 26:28And also something to talk about, David.
- 26:29We have to talk about football because that was the greatest game that I've seen
- 26:34for a long, long time.
- 26:36And I'm referring to Liverpool at home to Manchester City.
- 26:38And I sent you a message after Liverpool went ahead and said, just said champions
- 26:45because you're an Arsenal fan, have been all your life.
- 26:47And it looked as though with them being nine points clear at that point with five
- 26:51minutes to go,
- 26:53that that would be the case.
- 26:53But no, then all...
- 26:55hell broke loose.
- 26:56I actually took it the other way.
- 26:57It was fantastic.
- 26:59I thought you were saying Man City will be champions.
- 27:02No, no, no.
- 27:03That was before Man City turned it around.
- 27:06I thought they're a threat.
- 27:09They're a threat.
- 27:10This is not...
- 27:11This is 13 games to go and it didn't happen.
- 27:14Well, they've got to go to the Etihad, haven't they, to play Man City?
- 27:19Arsenal have to go there to play Man City.
- 27:22They're playing them in March the 21st or 2nd in the Carabao Cup final as well,
- 27:27which is going to be a test.
- 27:30So there's a lot for Arsenal to get through.
- 27:33You know, Arsenal, I think they've still got the return Chelsea game.
- 27:36They've got a few games coming up.
- 27:38But every game is tough.
- 27:41But be analytical, David.
- 27:42They're six points clear with a better goal difference.
- 27:45So what's got to happen is that City have got to win every single one of their games
- 27:51and Arsenal have got to lose two.
- 27:53And City have got to score more goals in doing that.
- 27:55It's not going to happen.
- 27:56Arsenal are champions still.
- 27:57I hope not, but there's I hope it happens.
- 27:59But, I mean, it's a good run.
- 28:02I loved the game.
- 28:02I loved yesterday's game.
- 28:04Oh, gosh, it was fun.
- 28:05That free kick was astonishing.
- 28:07I thought, that's it.
- 28:08And then they came back.
- 28:10They bumbled two goals in.
- 28:12But they did it.
- 28:14You know, you can't it doesn't matter how it goes into the back of the net.
- 28:18It goes into the back of the net.
- 28:20What I was disappointed in is It's the depth of Liverpool's squad, Lindsay.
- 28:26They haven't got it.
- 28:27They left Sela on.
- 28:28I said, take him off.
- 28:30Take him off.
- 28:31He was doing absolutely nothing.
- 28:33He was totally outclassed and outplayed.
- 28:37And they couldn't, there was nowhere to replace him.
- 28:40And now they're going to lose Slobber Sky.
- 28:43Slobber Sky, he's three matches down.
- 28:45He's out for three games, yeah.
- 28:47Hey, idiot.
- 28:48I mean, an idiot.
- 28:49He'd lost the game.
- 28:50Why couldn't he just leave it?
- 28:51And also, why did Haaland pull in back as well?
- 28:58It's just ridiculous, but it made it to be even more fun than it was anyway.
- 29:03And the other thing we have to mention before we go is Tottenham Hotspur.
- 29:06In a relegation battle now, only just above the bottom three, they can't buy a
- 29:12game,
- 29:13let alone win a game.
- 29:14And Daniel Levy, when he left, left a mess.
- 29:17And it should have been a sign to any incoming manager that this wasn't going to
- 29:21be a quick turnaround.
- 29:23And Thomas Frank, he's aged so much and he chews even more.
- 29:25And quite honestly, I don't like him.
- 29:28There we go.
- 29:29Lindsay the bigot again.
- 29:31No, I just, I agree with you.
- 29:34Just Spurs are terrible.
- 29:36And Romero, I mean, what an idiot.
- 29:39And now he's gone for four games because he's already been sent off once this year.
- 29:43So this is four games without him.
- 29:45And their squad is so stretched, they've got no one.
- 29:50Anyway.
- 29:51You should be happy as an Arsenal fan.
- 29:52David, thank you very much for your time.
- 29:54It was really good fun and also very enlightening.
- 29:57David Shapiro is from SAS from Securities.
- 29:58And that was Shapiro World.
- 30:01The views and opinions expressed in these podcasts are those of Lindsay Williams and
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