Latest / International Flavor: Where the Truth Tastes Better / Arestovich Shreds Ukraine’s Illusions: ICJ Bombshells, BRICS Reality, and Western Hypocrisy as Kyiv’s War Effort Collapses
Transcript
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- 1:01show
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- 1:03Everybody else's shows that are on this station like it like it like it good stuff Maynard
- 1:10I
- 1:11Got topics today and you know
- 1:15There's been some some interesting news coming out for example
- 1:20Zelensky must hold some elections according to Trump
- 1:24Trump says that Zelensky has to start accepting the peace proposals. That's another
- 1:32Road that he's taking and and number three he has to I
- 1:40Don't know what actually read the peace proposal
- 1:44Did you see him Trump's out on the tarmac and his wife is with him and he's heard no
- 1:48I think they were still in a room before they went out on the tarmac, and he said look this guy hasn't even read the peace
- 1:55proposal
- 1:56Now you realize and I'm gonna talk a little bit more about that because I've been what I you know what I like to do
- 2:02I like to go and get the opposing
- 2:05side and then
- 2:07Regurgitate it to you because I'm listening to it in Russian, and I didn't listen to Solovey old last night
- 2:12I listened to two major things one Erastovic
- 2:17Alexei Erastovic and to Maria Zakharova now Alexei Erastovic is a former
- 2:23Advisor to Zelensky who was you know?
- 2:28Thrown away basically by Zelensky couple three years ago as an advisor and all that and and then
- 2:36Zakharova is the
- 2:38Foreign Ministry spokesperson
- 2:41works for Sergei Lavrov and
- 2:44The foreign minister, and she always gives a briefing and she gave this briefing came out on Friday
- 2:50So it's three four days old, but I finally got a chance to listen to it all and it's it's pretty good stuff
- 2:55So we're gonna go from that point of view when they were talking about their point of view about a lot of these things well
- 3:00The Alexei Erastovic deal is like an hour and a half long and that that gives us some good counter
- 3:09Ammunition to what the US provides or what we provide in the West although. I must admit. We're getting a lot better about it and
- 3:18But Europe is still in a dreamland
- 3:20Somewhere so with that you know I want to start following the money because it really pissed me off
- 3:28When they let out over the last couple of days the newly proposed US support package
- 3:35So let's begin with a number
- 3:37800 million dollars
- 3:40This is the newly proposed support package for Ukraine in 2026 in 2027
- 3:47400 million each year not 800 million for American infrastructure nothing for veterans farmers border security
- 3:55Nope nope nope 800 million neatly into a ledger the already
- 4:02drowning in red ink and corruption
- 4:05You know
- 4:07directed to a conflict Washington the Pentagon the State Department
- 4:12Rubio
- 4:13Trump
- 4:15everybody knows
- 4:17Cannot be won this war cannot be won by the West
- 4:22It will not be won by the West and while they sign the check with one hand
- 4:26They wring their hands with the other one, and they're telling us. Oh, we just have to continue to support Ukraine why?
- 4:33because a political class
- 4:37Can't fix
- 4:38You know
- 4:40Anything else, but they think it can guard global freedom
- 4:45They don't give us any infrastructure all these big power dudes. We get nothing. We don't have any high-speed rail
- 4:51We don't have any new bridges. What do we get we get what we all G?
- 4:56We got to support Ukraine poor bloody Amir
- 5:00Volodymyr's changed his name. He's no longer Vladimir's Volodymyr because that's how you say it in Ukraine people in the real world
- 5:07Not the think-tank idiots are looking at their bills and going what in the world are we doing paying for this geopolitical fantasy?
- 5:14The government keeps spending because this isn't about victory in Ukraine. It's about preserving the illusion
- 5:20of Western dominance Western control Western profits that flow through the
- 5:26military industrial complex war machine every dollar in the 800 million is of one more admission that the West can't
- 5:35Exit gracefully from all the wars it creates it cannot admit defeat
- 5:40It cannot admit that it lied cannot admit that it marched Ukraine into a war it could never win all while
- 5:46Pretending this is some noble
- 5:48Democracy crusade, but numbers do not lie the battlefield doesn't lie
- 5:53You know let's talk about this 800 million bucks and be brutally honest about it. Is it gonna change anything?
- 6:01No, it's not even a sustaining sum for this war
- 6:05It's a political number just big enough for the Pentagon to looks like it's supporting, but small enough to avoid big headlines
- 6:13It's still nonsense, and it's no longer billions. We're throwing out there Jesus half a billion bucks, right?
- 6:19It's cynical. You know it's totally it allows pull-up politicians in Washington to say see we're still helping
- 6:26But military analysts estimate that Ukraine burns through 100 to 120 million in materials every week
- 6:33So what is 800 million?
- 6:36Really buy and half this for 400 million a year six to eight weeks of slow defeat
- 6:43maybe one failed offensive or a month of ammunition a
- 6:49Month or two months of trying to hold ground Russia's gonna take
- 6:54Anyway, the money isn't going to increase Ukrainian manpower
- 6:59Erastovich in his
- 7:01What do you call it interview
- 7:04Bluntly said Ukraine's real crisis is men not money the West can wire billions
- 7:09It can be taken to Monaco by all the
- 7:12Globalist elites from Ukraine that have pocketed all this money in the most corrupt fashion
- 7:17US knows the money is not going to change it Trump's own revised national security strategy said that which I told you about yesterday
- 7:26He need and they need according to him an expeditious cessation of hostilities. Let's translate from bureaucrat to
- 7:34Common English, right? Let's end this before the collapse becomes too visible before its total capitulation
- 7:41Maria Zakharova said
- 7:44There she was mocking it as a political prop not a strategic commitment
- 7:49She what what's 400 million gonna get him seriously?
- 7:53Nothing, and she isn't wrong. So the bigger scam is
- 7:57Deficit war profit moral rot, you know the West loves to moralize to everybody else, but when you check the books
- 8:06Morality is he has collapsed to the US national debt. How much is it? How much?
- 8:1235 trillion right now and climbing
- 8:15Interest payments alone are the becoming the largest federal expenditure bigger than defense bigger than Medicare somehow
- 8:23Magically there's always money laying around for foreign wars
- 8:28Defense contractors profits are going up
- 8:31Lockheed Martin Northrop Grathian all posted record revenue
- 8:36How do you like that? This war is the best thing to happen to their spreadsheets in decades, right?
- 8:42European economies shrink while they promise more weapons Germany is in
- 8:47Deindustrialization mode France dealing with the lowest economic confidence in a decade
- 8:51UK is economically stagnant has been for at least the last five ten years and they're all willing to stand with Ukraine
- 8:58They're the coalition of the willing or bunch of morons because they're not the ones standing on the front line
- 9:05Elites who push these wars do not fight do not send their own children to it
- 9:11They send them to foreign schools to for education and living they don't sacrifice their own income and they feel zero
- 9:18consequence from this meanwhile
- 9:21ordinary Ukrainians farmers mechanics bus drivers are paying with their bodies and
- 9:27we are paying with our tax dollars and
- 9:30These same people have the audacity to lecture me and everyone else about
- 9:37Democracy Hillary Clinton gets to get on a stage in Doha and talk about you know the rules-based
- 9:44order BS
- 9:47European politicians, I wanted to talk about this because
- 9:51If it
- 9:52Wasn't so tragic and it really is it'd be hilarious and I'm and I still find it somewhat
- 9:58You know funny, but the leaders demanding more war spending and more
- 10:03Ukrainian
- 10:04Life sacrifice are the least trusted people even in their own countries
- 10:10Let's check this out Emmanuel Macron
- 10:12His approval rating is in the low to mid 20s one of the least popular
- 10:18French presidents in modern history
- 10:21But he never start stops lecturing
- 10:25He lectures Russia China anybody else who will put his
- 10:31Bile out there for people to listen to Olaf Schultz. Let's listen to him. He's below 20%
- 10:37Germany is collapsing economically socially political and the man can't rally his own party
- 10:42But somehow he wants to rally Europe into World War three Rishi Sunak approval leader below
- 10:4920% before the UK election wipeout
- 10:52He still had time to make dramatic Ukraine statements while the British public was turning the lights off on the
- 10:59Conservative party it's gone Pedro Sanchez
- 11:01He's in the 30s more disliked than liked Ursula von der Leyen the EU goddess, right?
- 11:08She has EU wide disapproval far above 50% and she's a leader elected by nobody
- 11:16Representing institutions. Nobody trusts and making decisions. Nobody asked her voted for
- 11:22Poland's post 2024 government publicly divided approval gone
- 11:27Polish public wants border security less Ukrainians and
- 11:31Domestic focus not endless funding of Ukraine who come over to Poland no work
- 11:36Baltic the idiots over there. They're the loudest war
- 11:41You know mongers they they love their war, but they don't pay for anything of it
- 11:45It even even though they hate the Russian language like I was telling you about when I was over there
- 11:49They have pretty shallow domestic support for further war than nobody's for war
- 11:54The public is far more divided about escalation than their politicians pretend and these numbers matter
- 12:01Because they tell the truth that nobody admits
- 12:04Only unpopular leaders want more war. You know who's very popular these days globally
- 12:11Who wants peace globally?
- 12:15India
- 12:16India sees what's going on and they're not afraid to talk about it. China sees what's going on
- 12:21They're not afraid to talk about it
- 12:22The BRICS countries in the global south see it and talk about it and want peace and talk about working together
- 12:29Building bridges building infrastructure all of that. Nope
- 12:33It's only the Western political class and the ones losing elections that refuse to acknowledge reality
- 12:40The Hillary Clinton's of the world, right?
- 12:43The EU even has a an insane 2030 war plan, right?
- 12:48This is crazy. This is Europe is planning for a war. It cannot even fund in
- 12:542025 the EU can't get enough ammunition for Ukraine or to Ukraine. It can't balance its own budget
- 13:00It can't keep its government stable can't maintain even internal security and certainly doesn't know how to protect its own borders in Europe
- 13:09They're all being overrun by Ukrainians and by the global south, but it can write great, you know glossy print
- 13:182030 war readiness brochures, right?
- 13:22This is like the man who can't run a mile planning to climb Mount Everest sometime in the next five years
- 13:27Problem isn't ambition. It's delusion. These people got delusions
- 13:33We're talking
- 13:36The recent IAEA report about structural damage to new and safe confinement at Chernobyl
- 13:43right, this is a symbol of systemic failure, right a
- 13:481.5 billion structure was built to last a century
- 13:53This is the metaphor for the West's Ukraine project. It's cracked. It's expensive
- 13:59It's poorly maintained and everybody pretends it's fine
- 14:03But tell you what, there's no shelter there it's a reminder of how how fragile
- 14:09Ukraine and the conflict in it really is and
- 14:13the reality is
- 14:16Well, the West won't say it out loud, but it's starting to come out
- 14:20All of the money all of the speeches all of the summits and declarations boil down to several unavoidable truths
- 14:27one big one
- 14:29Ukraine cannot win this war
- 14:33Not because Ukrainians are weak not because they lack bravery not because they don't try
- 14:39They can't win because and think about this because it's important and everybody needs to hear this
- 14:45Russia is larger far wealthier except for the oligarchs who?
- 14:50Ukraine that are you know taking our money to Monaco
- 14:54They're wealthier
- 14:56strategically positioned Russia produces
- 14:59ammunition
- 15:01Five to eight times faster is what they estimate
- 15:05Ammunition right Russia recruits better trains better
- 15:09Russia has a united government a stable amount of public support and a prepared for war
- 15:17infrastructure
- 15:19Ukrainians have a manpower crisis that is
- 15:23Irreversible the West isn't gonna send any troops the West cannot outproduce Russia
- 15:30Anymore and the thought of us said it plainly what she here's what she said
- 15:33She said the Western leaders are stuck in a theological mindset where belief
- 15:40Substitutes for strategy this was interesting and very telling she said they believe Ukraine can win
- 15:47therefore they act as if victory is
- 15:50inevitable even as the battlefield says the exact opposite I
- 15:57Found that quite telling because it's true, and we still are doing it
- 16:01You know the Mitch McConnell's and the idiots in Washington are all saying the same thing the West's public us
- 16:08We are begging for the truth look at the polling across Europe in the u.s.
- 16:14The majority of Europeans oppose war spending
- 16:17Americans oppose more Ukraine aid by by much larger numbers in Germany
- 16:2270% opposed sending more weapons to Ukraine in France
- 16:2760% distrust
- 16:29Macron's Ukraine strategy and in the UK war enthusiasm is gone totally and
- 16:36You know right along with soon acts approval the people want peace we want peace
- 16:42Politicians all they're trying to do is save face and where does Ukraine fit in this?
- 16:47Ukraine is a pawn
- 16:48Sacrifice to protect political pride, this is why Zelensky is panicking
- 16:55This is why he's purging his ministers chasing Western leaders for personal
- 17:01personal
- 17:03security guarantees and losing domestic support
- 17:06Rapidly the political winds have definitely changed, and he feels he feels that definitely
- 17:13He's definitely feeling it. He isn't fighting any any Russia anymore
- 17:18Not him he's fighting his own irrelevance. You know meanwhile. What's going on the world is moving on right?
- 17:26The West pouring more money into Ukraine. What are BRICS nations doing?
- 17:30They're growing. They're trading in national currency. They are stockpiling gold
- 17:36Did you read that report they have a huge countries? They're building
- 17:43Infrastructure they're signing energy deals with Russia. They're taking market share
- 17:49They're up over 38%
- 17:52For the whole thing and they are stabilizing politically
- 17:56meanwhile
- 17:57Western economies not necessarily us we seem to be doing all right right now, but these are they're like
- 18:06aging engines
- 18:07Running on premium fuel that they can't afford you buy the most expensive gas you can to try to keep it going
- 18:14But it ain't working Russia's gold reserves are at an all-time high
- 18:18China's expanding its trade routes forever India's asserting independence and foreign policy
- 18:24Saudi Arabia UAE Egypt Iran all are aligning with the new
- 18:30Multipolar order and Ukraine is not the center of global history
- 18:36It's a symptom. It's a symptom and
- 18:39That ain't good the West created this mess, and it's having a hard time escaping it
- 18:49The West told Ukraine it could win a war that the West itself would never fight
- 18:55And they can't walk it back. They're having trouble. They cannot admit
- 19:00They cannot admit there. It's coming out anyway, but nobody is admitting it. You know you'll never get Mitch McConnell or
- 19:08Lindsey Graham to admit this stuff or even Marco Rubio although he has gotten closer to this
- 19:14NATO expansion pushed Russia into a corner, that's what we did
- 19:20Western intelligence misread the entire conflict and
- 19:26the likelihood of success
- 19:28And who's gonna succeed sure as hell isn't Ukraine right?
- 19:34Sanctions backfired they can't admit that either it actually strengthened Russia and Russia's economy
- 19:41Ukraine has never had enough manpower to defeat Russia on the battlefield never
- 19:48Europeans are sick of war spending they can't admit that
- 19:51US our population we're tired of foreign adventures going off and I
- 19:58Don't know fighting for freedom and other places
- 20:03overthrowing alleged
- 20:05Dictators and installing our own as if that changes anything
- 20:09You know like we're trying to do in Venezuela even now
- 20:13Did you hear about Cambodia and Thailand that the peace deal fell through and they're back and back fighting again?
- 20:20the battlefield in Ukraine is
- 20:22Deteriorating rapidly and Russia's controlling it not Ukraine so instead. What do we do we write more checks?
- 20:30We delay the moment of reckoning
- 20:32We are writing more checks to disguise political cowardice you need to cut them off
- 20:39Quit giving them u.s.. Intelligence. Did you know the new bill requires Congress to be told?
- 20:46by the Pentagon if the Pentagon
- 20:49stops providing
- 20:51US intelligence to Ukraine did you know that that's in the bill that's BS
- 20:56So now Trump can't stop it by telling generals quit providing the aid has to be go through Congress isn't that nuts
- 21:04Mm-hmm so the house of cards always falls eventually right
- 21:09You follow the money you find the truth this war was never about democracy never about freedom never about
- 21:15sovereignty or
- 21:17Territorial integrity never about rules based orders like Hillary Clinton says it's about freakin money. It's about contracts
- 21:25It's about influence. It's about huge ego for oligarchs and everyone connected. It's about control. It's about
- 21:33So-called pride and the inability of a declining political class to admit failure
- 21:41Ukraine deserves honesty
- 21:43Realism and leadership it gets speeches
- 21:47slogans and nothing else
- 21:49Maybe Zelensky gets applauded in Western Parliament when he goes and now it's gonna get 800 million more from us
- 21:56not to win
- 21:58But to prolong the inevitable to delay it further. This is the real story and somebody need to tell it
- 22:06This is be freakin s. Okay. It's just it's wrong. This is wrong and
- 22:14I
- 22:16I think people need to talk more about this not less and
- 22:24It's a
- 22:28There's so much that ties into this so much that I listen to so the the West has been lying about this for how long?
- 22:37For how long seriously let's think about this. This is a war built on promises that could have never
- 22:45been kept and
- 22:47We're not dying for it Ukrainians are dying for it
- 22:51Farmers, but like I said the the the the middle of the rotors the not the rich the rich won't send their kids
- 22:58They don't do it
- 22:59Aristovitch said something about that. We're gonna get to him actually toward the end of this today
- 23:05We're definitely gonna get to some aristovitch because I think it's important to get his
- 23:11almost his full show was
- 23:14And how he does his show
- 23:16He in it and it's usually about an hour and a half hour and 45 minutes something like that every once in a while a couple
- 23:23Hours, and he interviews with other people and basically they ask him his
- 23:29Opinion questions and and he answers and we're gonna talk about him and panchenko and the sanctions that they've gone through
- 23:36Here later in the show and what they have done, but this is total
- 23:41BS what they do and and the lying that has gone on from the very start of this
- 23:47Now it's just you know
- 23:50There comes a moment in the conflict when the fog of war lifts and the truth is visible
- 23:56Even to those who spent years and that's us
- 24:00Pretending that it didn't exist or pretending that they didn't see it. You know we're here now
- 24:06Everything that the Western politicians, you know Boris Johnson
- 24:11Freaking Lindsey Graham all of them standing over there
- 24:14You know congratulating the Z monster for the last four years right victory
- 24:20Territorial integrity matters right endless supplies. We're with you till the end. Yeah
- 24:26And a collapsing Russian economy that they said all Russian economy is gonna collapse. They're still saying this by the way a
- 24:35United Europe Europe isn't United a
- 24:38Grateful Ukrainian populace. They aren't they don't want this anymore. You can still see every single day on
- 24:46telegram this
- 24:48boosification as they call it and
- 24:50boosification is
- 24:52mobilization forced they're they're taking people
- 24:57They're talking about recruited not recruiting
- 25:01mobilizing men over the age of 60 now
- 25:05remember it was a
- 25:07You could be mobilized up to 60 if you were an officer up to 55 if you were not
- 25:13And so they're mobilizing people up to 55 when they started it was age 27 to
- 25:1955 that was who's being mobilized the average age is 47 years old way back then
- 25:25Now they have lowered the limit to 25 years and that gave them an alleged another
- 25:34130 140 possible people but Erastovich is pretty pretty brutal on that too, and we'll get to him
- 25:40but this is this is
- 25:43Rubbish as they say
- 25:46You know everything they promised all of this has dissolved into something. That's really ugly for Ukraine a
- 25:54losing war a
- 25:56Collapsing corrupt state. It's been corrupt for 30 years, but it's collapsing now
- 26:02And a political class trying to explain why reality doesn't match what they're telling us
- 26:09You know
- 26:11The West lied and Ukrainians died is no longer rhetoric
- 26:15It's a description of events for nearly three years
- 26:18West was told that enough Western money enough Western weapons enough Western speeches
- 26:24Would defeat a nuclear armed powerful state with triple Ukrainian production ten times its industrial base
- 26:31And centuries of battlefield depth it was told it could reclaim Donetsk
- 26:37It's still saying that Donetsk Lugansk a Parisian course on Crimea
- 26:42Territories that Ukraine barely controlled for the last decade and they still say they can take them back
- 26:49It was told the Russians had run out of missiles remember that was told sanctions would collapse the Kremlin
- 26:55Remember that it was told NATO is gonna remain united and that Western public support would stay high
- 27:02Against Russia it was told Western leaders had their back. We have your back. It was told democracy
- 27:11demands sacrifice and
- 27:14None of it is true. No not any of it
- 27:17Ukraine has fought courageously. You know that's all there is to it nobody should deny that but
- 27:24Courage doesn't compensate for the lies and the lives came from every direction
- 27:31Except on the battlefield which is you know if you're on it, it's gonna be brutally honest who's winning and who's losing
- 27:39So the strategic lie that we've been told the territorial integrity is non-negotiable
- 27:45This is the biggest deception of them all
- 27:48Western leaders repeated this
- 27:51Endlessly that Ukraine is not going to be asked to give up its territory. Not one village not a ridge not a meter
- 27:57They made it sound like it was principle, but it wasn't it was politics because everybody involved including NATO's own
- 28:05analysts
- 28:06New Ukraine had no manpower. No equipment. No industrial capacity to retake the territories that Russia holds
- 28:14They know and knew that Russia's producing shells at at least three to four times the rate of the entire
- 28:21NATO bloc
- 28:23I've heard
- 28:24Numbers that are five times eight times higher. They knew the Ukrainian population
- 28:30Curve has collapsed or gone out of the country
- 28:34They have nobody left to mobilize their country is half of the population. It was back in the 90s
- 28:42They knew morale is deteriorating they know draft evasion is
- 28:48Exploding they can't get anywhere and they knew the elites in Kiev were already negotiation, you know involved in negotiations
- 28:57privately for their own personal guarantees just like Zelensky now and
- 29:03They still let the charade can continue
- 29:06This is why Rostovitch and people like him have been screaming about this for a long time
- 29:13And you cannot build a war strategy on
- 29:17illusion
- 29:18Territory held firmly by Russia is not a negotian
- 29:23negotiation point
- 29:26It's a physical reality Russia holds it and and even yesterday when when
- 29:33Trump said he was disappointed in
- 29:35Zelensky because Zelensky doesn't see reality and he doesn't you know, he's still not weak
- 29:41We our Constitution says we can't give up territory. Well, you know, it's not you gave it up. It's been taken from you. I
- 29:50Don't know that the lines of think think tank maps don't mean much if you don't have any soldiers to control them
- 29:59I tell you what it remember when Zelensky was in Dublin last week
- 30:03He said that you Crane would not withdraw a single soldier from any position in Donbass. It's not defiance
- 30:10Yeah, he's not out there. His kids aren't out there. It's denial and
- 30:16Western leaders, you know standing around in Dublin they applauded because they knew
- 30:22That you couldn't sit. She couldn't tell the truth
- 30:26Aristovitch says that
- 30:29five to seven kilometers of territorial gain
- 30:33Every single month
- 30:35Depending on the sector and the front is a thousand at least a thousand to twelve to twelve hundred kilometers long
- 30:44Okay, and they're gaining at the rate of five to seven kilometers along the entire
- 30:49Dependent on the sector which what it is at that rate even with Western support Ukraine's defensive line is shrinking
- 30:58Steadily
- 30:59Territorial integrity is really not a principle in this war
- 31:03It's the casualty Russia's gonna take it Putin said it last week in his interview in India. He said well
- 31:09You know where we will meet our goals, which are the entire Donbass area
- 31:15We'll get it and we'll get Zaporozhye. We'll get her song. We'll take 100% of those
- 31:22How about the moral lie they've been telling that the West is fighting for democracy?
- 31:28Let's look at the people who made these promises right
- 31:31Macron who has no approval he lectures the world about defending democracy, right?
- 31:38He can hardly
- 31:41Defend his own presidency
- 31:43how many times has he had to replace the government the Parliament that he's been or that the Parliament has
- 31:50Collapsed and he's had to put in a new coalition
- 31:53Schultz is he has nothing
- 31:55economies collapsing in Germany
- 31:58Nonsense these are all crazy, and what's the institutional lie NATO's promises are very empty
- 32:06weapons yes
- 32:08You know this is what they promised to Ukraine weapons ammunition training intelligence
- 32:15troops nope
- 32:17reconstruction nope
- 32:19Ukrainian NATO membership nope
- 32:22That's never been promised never real not for a minute
- 32:27Not at all Ukraine is told fight now, and you can join the club later
- 32:31But NATO's own membership rules to one Western politicians. Don't bother to mention
- 32:39Explicitly prevent admitting any country with unresolved territorial disputes or active wars
- 32:45So behind closed doors US and EU
- 32:48Officials knew that NATO cannot intervene directly Ukraine had never be allowed inside NATO while fighting
- 32:56Article 5 protection is never going to be given to them
- 32:59But the West needed Ukraine outside of NATO to absorb the blows
- 33:04So the entire arrangement it appears to have been designed to ensure that only Ukrainians bleed and NATO remains
- 33:13Somewhat intact right so I rest ovitch calls it the great illusion
- 33:18Because it gave them just enough hope to keep the Ukrainians fighting, but never enough reality to bring a victory right
- 33:27What about the internal lies inside a Ukraine right what about them
- 33:33corruption purges
- 33:35Collapsing trust you know Ukrainians aren't just deceived by the West
- 33:40They've been deceived by their own governments
- 33:43Zelensky's government is collapsing right now his chief of staff
- 33:48Yermak was pushed out under corruption pressure a little bit, and they can't find another one so Zelensky says he himself is doing it
- 33:55He's not appointing number two
- 33:58So your max is number two and he can't appoint anybody else because he got rid of your mock ministers have been purged
- 34:05Scandals involving 100 million bucks on the kickbacks
- 34:08MPs calling for punitive measures against draft dodgers right there. They want to there's more than a hundred and fifty
- 34:15Thousand draft dodger cases people who have or people who have abandoned the front lines
- 34:21And they print you know, but they protect their own families. They don't send their own kids, and they're penalized penalizing
- 34:29Draft dodgers right
- 34:31Mobilization is collapsing under draft evasion and a shortage of manpower and the fact that everybody's gone out of the country
- 34:39Zelensky chases Western leaders for personal security guarantees
- 34:44and
- 34:46Aristovitch is pretty pretty brutal here
- 34:49Ukrainian elites told the people to fight he said but do not send their own sons
- 34:54And he reminded us he was talking about past wars
- 34:57And he was saying that Ukraine in the past in past wars during Soviet times even and during historic
- 35:03They always talk about it. He that elites served to they didn't hide their children behind exemption and diplomatic
- 35:10Passports or got him out shuttle him out of the country to go to school in England
- 35:16You know they they sent him to the front lines. They sent him to war they fought for the country
- 35:22So this is a hypocrisy
- 35:24It's not lost on the Ukrainian public they know about it. It's why draft evasion is
- 35:31Exploding because none of them none of the people I imagine how we would do it here in the United States think about it
- 35:39would you complain if
- 35:42No if they were drafting everybody and they but they never drafted anybody with money
- 35:49I mean, that's what happens. You know that it
- 35:52Why do you think there is no the moral collapse that there that I mean that there is a moral collapse in
- 36:00In Ukraine nobody's for this nobody wants it. They'd all rather
- 36:05Run away, then you know that you know they're not fighters. I wouldn't want to fight with somebody doesn't want to fight
- 36:11Do you know there's an article in the paper that says?
- 36:14Now this is Russian paper, so I've been trying to find a Ukrainian equivalent
- 36:18But Aristovitch said it too. He put a little bit out there about there said that said that
- 36:24There are no that that training get this this is
- 36:28Unfreaking believable that even now when they mobilize somebody they are sending them straight
- 36:36to the front that training if you know basic training is gonna be
- 36:42Conducted at the unit you're assigned to at the unit level
- 36:49Huh
- 36:52Nonsense it's a government out of men out of options, and it never had the luxury of truth. You know
- 37:00Let's talk about the legal lie over all this European governments talk endlessly about international law in
- 37:08Putin needs to pay for being the aggressor and blah blah blah
- 37:12But the ICJ rulings are contradicting at least half of it one of the
- 37:19things that came out in the last couple of days is that the ICJ dismissed Ukrainian genocide claims and
- 37:28sided with Russia on
- 37:30key procedural issues and Western media hasn't even mentioned it and these are going all the way back to
- 37:372010 and the ICJ is now open them up for things that happened in
- 37:43Maidan and
- 37:45Because you know they don't want to talk about this instead of reporting this they just move on
- 37:50Because the truth is only useful
- 37:53When it supports desired
- 37:56Narrative otherwise, it's ignored and this double standard is everywhere and everybody in America knows it the West is allegedly
- 38:04outraged by
- 38:06Russian censorship right but silent about YouTube deleting
- 38:12Member what was her name?
- 38:13Panchenko she had 1.8 million followers, and they deleted her channel
- 38:19We're gonna go a little bit further into that here a little bit later, but the West defends alleged freedom of expression
- 38:26You saw what happened to Elon Musk getting?
- 38:30Sanctioned personally it looks like by NATO to pay 150 million dollar fine for not blocking
- 38:37the content on X
- 38:39But they you know
- 38:41They applaud sanctions on people like panchenko though. They applaud putting people like her on the on
- 38:48mirror towards list and
- 38:50Erastovich to the West gets to lecture Russia on democracy
- 38:54But bans parties and censored dissent in Ukraine all under Western applause right you can't
- 39:02Say anything negative
- 39:04You know it's a rules-based order Hillary
- 39:07Hills rules-based
- 39:09Yeah, but if you only understand you only got to understand one rule the rules apply to you
- 39:16But not to people so let's talk about panchenko in the censorship, right?
- 39:27What she did cannot be reduced to propaganda. You can't call what she did propaganda. She she
- 39:34Told the truth right her interviews her analysts her documentation did something that Western outlets refused to do
- 39:41They showed from the beginning the war's actual impact
- 39:45contradictions inside Ukraine
- 39:48Corruption suffering human cost and what happened to her she was sanctioned not because she lied
- 39:55But because she contradicted the approved
- 39:59version of the truth
- 40:00So the Ukrainian SBU accused her of justifying Russian aggression
- 40:08So if you say that that Russia
- 40:11You know if you say some of the things that I'm saying that
- 40:15Russia, you know had set red lines forever and told us don't do this NATO. Don't do this NATO that that would be
- 40:23Justifying aggression against Ukraine, which is illegal by the way
- 40:27You can't say it
- 40:30Ukrainian courts added treason charges against her for saying that
- 40:36She had sanctions against her in December of 2023
- 40:41Inside a Ukraine YouTube blocked her in
- 40:442024 YouTube right you YouTube Google
- 40:48Blocked her in 2024 and she had 1.8 million followers and then
- 40:54YouTube
- 40:56deleted
- 40:57Her entire channel and she had a very professional channel very profession they deleted the entire channel in
- 41:052025 just this year back in like February or something 1.8 million subscribers and
- 41:13What did they cite to do that?
- 41:15Ukrainian sanctions
- 41:17YouTube isn't that crazy. This is not about safety. It's not about integrity. It's not about preventing falsehood. It's about preventing
- 41:27The
- 41:29arrival of different opinions of the other story if your narrative is so fragile that a
- 41:34journalist with a microphone becomes a national security threat
- 41:39Your narrative has already collapsed. You know if you're afraid of speech
- 41:45Tell you what you're done
- 41:48What's the political lie in all this?
- 41:52Western leaders have used Ukraine
- 41:56to save
- 41:58themselves and prop themselves up
- 42:02The leaders that most aggressively pushed the war
- 42:06Have the lowest approval ratings
- 42:10What does that tell you? I mean if you can't read a spreadsheet, you know
- 42:14Perhaps I shall help you. It means that all of these leaders have no mandate even at home and
- 42:22All they do is go to the EU go to the u.s. And want to talk about moral and you know clarity and
- 42:30Democracy abroad they're they're moral giants outside of their own homes, but in their own homes
- 42:37They're a joke
- 42:37They're they're they're one in five like and I won't say they like what's going on one in five will put up with what's going
- 42:46on
- 42:46Why is this?
- 42:48Well because foreign policy is the last refuge of those that are politically bankrupt
- 42:54That's where they go
- 42:56You know when your own citizens turn against you. What do you do?
- 43:01You go outside of your country you focus on global threat you create moral drama
- 43:06You wrap yourself in the Ukrainian flag you warn of enemies everywhere Russia's our enemy. They're gonna attack us by 2030
- 43:14You accuse critics critics of siding with dictators Penchenko is a Putin puppet
- 43:21Everybody's a Putin puppet
- 43:23Tucker Carlson is a Putin puppet, right? You substitute war narrative for domestic legitimacy
- 43:29Ukraine is a crutch
- 43:31crutch for people like Mitch McConnell for people like Lindsey Graham
- 43:37For other Western leaders unable to stand on their own
- 43:43Collapsing approval ratings do not fix inflation
- 43:46They do not fix energy prices crime immigration or government failure
- 43:53But perhaps you can disguise
- 43:56your failures
- 43:57enough behind a speech about
- 44:02Standing with democracy in Ukraine even though there's you know no democracy there
- 44:08You know and so while they these people
- 44:13Ours EU's they don't stand for crap at home. They you know nobody likes them nobody wants them and
- 44:21Ukrainians are standing in the trenches
- 44:23Funding all of that and the elites in Ukraine get rich
- 44:28It's it's not good
- 44:31What about the lie that Russia is losing?
- 44:34This is the biggest delusion that has been going on forever
- 44:38They don't talk numbers anymore you never get numbers from the battlefield you never get anything because nobody wants to talk about it instead you get
- 44:45These I don't know what
- 44:48Platitudinal, I don't know if that's even a word, but these these
- 44:52Self-gratifying words Russia's running out of missiles. No, they're not
- 44:58Russia's running out of drones. They aren't Russia's running out of tanks. Nope
- 45:04Russia's running out of manpower
- 45:06Nope Russia's collapsing
- 45:09economically
- 45:11No, it's not
- 45:12Russia's
- 45:13Isolated globally I think Putin in India last week and Putin in China earlier this year
- 45:20Proved that he's not you know he might be
- 45:27Not in it have any desire to go to Western countries that might arrest him
- 45:34But other than that you know he's
- 45:37participating
- 45:39Quite well on the global stage
- 45:42Meanwhile Russia gains territory every month they have increased their missile production
- 45:48their military has adapted and
- 45:51Gotten extremely good at what it does faster than NATO
- 45:56You know ever dreamed possible their economy is stable
- 46:00They deep into their ties with China India the Middle East Africa Latin America other BRICS countries
- 46:08They just have
- 46:09Russia is the world's fifth largest
- 46:12gold holder
- 46:14They have a diversified energy export system, and the ruble is doing very well
- 46:23and Ukraine
- 46:24No men their money's worth crap, you know it's why Restovich says the war isn't just being lost it is
- 46:31Unwinnable and has been from the start
- 46:36The West lied to itself and lied to Ukraine and when the truth finally came out it was in the form of manpower charts
- 46:45battlefield maps and casualty lists
- 46:48that's what it is and
- 46:50What is the final lie that we are hearing even now?
- 46:56This lie persists only because they can't admit all of the prior truths that I give you
- 47:01The Western leaders are admitting that Ukraine cannot win, but if well they're not but I mean
- 47:09Reality is biting them in the butt so this final lie is still going on
- 47:14But if the Western leaders do admit the Ukraine cannot win has to capitulate
- 47:20They then have to explain why they have spent hundreds of
- 47:25billions of
- 47:26Dollars on a lost cause and why the old trumpster is going to sign off on another 800 million
- 47:32They'd have to explain why they
- 47:36Escalated the war after it was resolved in April of 22
- 47:41Boris Johnson instead of negotiating they would have to explain why they silence any dissent
- 47:48Panchenka
- 47:49Erastovich they would have to explain why they've ignored
- 47:52Military analysts their own intelligence agencies that warn that Russia held long-term advantage
- 48:02If they were receiving
- 48:05Information that they could beat Russia, and they were receiving it from us
- 48:10Tell you what that is foolish and anybody who believes that is in it's it's bad freaking news
- 48:16I didn't believe it from the beginning, and I hope you know well
- 48:19There's some others you know, but now people are actually talking about
- 48:24About it all these lies. They would have to explain why they treated Ukrainian lives as expendable, and they're still doing it
- 48:33Zelensky Ukrainians are expendable to that guy
- 48:36And obviously they're expendable to us because we're still sending another 800 million
- 48:42for another six to eight weeks of
- 48:45You know funding
- 48:47Men getting thrown into the meat grinder. It's BS
- 48:51They'd have to explain why they make promises that they know they can never keep
- 48:57So what happens the lie continues
- 49:00We still have a lot of people saying Ukraine can still win because their careers depend upon it
- 49:07their money depends upon it, but the Ukrainian people are not surviving and
- 49:14Erastovich is telling a brutal truth what here's one of his quotes the war is lost
- 49:19That's what he said the country is being emptied
- 49:23The leadership class is panicked
- 49:28Peace even bitter
- 49:30Humiliating peace is the only peace that preserves what remains of Ukraine
- 49:37now that
- 49:38That's a that's a hell of a comment by it by a guy if that truth had been acknowledged two years ago
- 49:45We could have saved hundreds of thousands of lives
- 49:49You know the numbers that they're saying for the month of September that that Putin put out and were backed by a couple of Western
- 49:57think tanks, you know military
- 50:00channels
- 50:0044,000
- 50:03700
- 50:04How does this war end one of three ways right victory of Russia or you know?
- 50:12Defeat of Russia that ain't happening or a
- 50:16negotiated surrender of
- 50:18illusions
- 50:19It's an end of this this BS where Ukraine keeps thinking that that it can tell Russia to back out of these
- 50:26Territories, they're heading toward their own toward the third option the negotiated surrender
- 50:31But only because the West refuses to admit in engineered the defeat
- 50:35You know number two the defeat isn't possible, but the negotiated surrender they can do that
- 50:41You know because the West lied
- 50:43institutions lied all the politicians lied the media lied and in the middle of those lies are
- 50:49millions of Ukrainians who believe they were defending democracy and
- 50:53Their homeland's future when in reality the leaders were defending their own poll numbers their own positions
- 50:59Their own money train and their own pride and Erastovich said it again
- 51:05Here's another quote this war continues because nobody wants to admit they were wrong
- 51:12Think about that in the end the truth always
- 51:17Arrives it does come out sometimes it goes too late and when it does arrive it walks over the graves of the people
- 51:25Who paid for this delay in truth?
- 51:28I'm telling you. This is this is a horror story that is coming toward the end, right?
- 51:37We're gonna get into the Erastovich that interview was so interesting and
- 51:43I put together quite a bit of stuff on here some of it
- 51:46I've covered, but his interview was an hour and hour and a half hour and 45 minutes long now Alexei Erastovich
- 51:55Just so you know who he is
- 51:58He's always been
- 52:00Somewhat of a paradoxical character. You know he is in the power class or was
- 52:07But he always spoke the truth. You know he's one of those guys and
- 52:14You know the Ukrainians at least the connected ones
- 52:17you know do not want to admit that he was right all along, but he has been and
- 52:23So let's talk about that he once sold. You know hope he was the voice of calm back
- 52:30you know when he was in Kiev and
- 52:33You know he was the voice of optimism. You know, but today. He has no position. He's been exiled. He's been sanctioned
- 52:40He's hunted by the same state
- 52:42You know that he once defended, and he's one thing that Ukraine cannot tolerate a
- 52:50Teller of truth and a witness to reality and the reality as he tells it now is not a heroic
- 52:57heroic epic Western media you know
- 53:01Thing you know nor the motivational sound bites that Kiev gets to broadcast
- 53:08Reality is the country is bleeding out
- 53:12Demographically
- 53:14militarily
- 53:15Psychologically while the leadership clings to fantasies that cost lives every single day
- 53:2444,700 of them in September on the Ukrainian side
- 53:30so
- 53:30You know
- 53:32If we previously exposed what the West did to Ukraine
- 53:37You know and all the lies that came out of the West
- 53:40I want to tell you from according to a rest ovitch what Ukraine has done to itself
- 53:45Because you know he isn't speaking as an outsider
- 53:49He's speaking as a man who sat in the rooms heard the plants watched the illusions take shape
- 53:54Even helped sell them when the country needed unity and now he's watching as all those illusions are killing the nation
- 54:02They were trying to protect
- 54:04It's not gloating. It's not revenge. It's a confession and
- 54:09You know confessions are dangerous because you know they can actually be truthful, and that's the trouble you know
- 54:19Aristovitch returns to one brutal premise all the time. He says wars are won with men
- 54:27not with speeches and
- 54:30Ukraine doesn't have the men
- 54:32He's very poetic. He has said it publicly privately analytically emotionally angrily
- 54:38He says it reasonably often and every time he says it the Ukrainian
- 54:43Establishment loses its mind and they hate him
- 54:47Because acknowledging the manpower collapse means acknowledging everything else
- 54:53That Russia has a demographic advantage that the front cannot be held indefinitely
- 54:58Territorial loss is not hypothetical
- 55:00Year of victory slogan is dead and that the West cannot and will not replace
- 55:07Ukrainian soldiers on the ground that political leadership in Ukraine has no plan
- 55:15except asking for more sacrifice from other people right and
- 55:22Here's our arrest ovitch breaks it down now pay attention this because these are numbers right he said and if and if the and and this
- 55:29Doesn't cover even a month worth. He said that Ukraine needs and I've heard this number repeatedly
- 55:36Repeatedly that they need 30 to 40,000 trained soldiers per month
- 55:43Just to hold on to the front lines
- 55:4730 to 40,000 now if you're not losing. Why do you need 30 to 40,000 right?
- 55:55It is generating according to him a third of that if that
- 56:00So they're generating according to the numbers. I've seen between eight and twelve thousand is what they are
- 56:07Getting every month and only through these increasingly aggressive
- 56:13mobilization tactics Russia is
- 56:16getting twenty to thirty thousand
- 56:19volunteers per month without
- 56:22Mobilization and it still has reserves right now
- 56:27The numbers aren't these are not a battlefield statistic. This is a death sentence
- 56:34You can't force
- 56:3610,000 a month and Russia's getting double to triple that and
- 56:41They're training them, and they're rotating them. They've said that rotations have vacations a leave of absence
- 56:48Haven't occurred because if they send somebody away from the front line. They won't come back
- 56:53The only way you get out of there is you know is a death sentence
- 56:59You know they're even sending people who are injured back to the front
- 57:03This is why Kiev has now ordered conscripts to be sent directly to front line brigades for training because
- 57:10The training system is non-existent or overwhelmed with a little bit that they have
- 57:16Casualties are too high
- 57:17Rotations have collapsed fresh units have to be fed into positions
- 57:22Immediately, this is not reform. It's desperation
- 57:26So what is there a stove which is conclusion here Ukraine is fighting with the army of?
- 57:312022 goals
- 57:33using the manpower of
- 57:352024 reality and those realities aren't aren't very promising you know
- 57:43The five to seven kilometer per month reality the steady
- 57:48patient Russian advance he talked about
- 57:52The Western media likes to say the front is stable
- 57:57It's a stalemate
- 57:59It's a war of attrition
- 58:01They're grinding to a halt
- 58:03Erastovich said he hates that fiction because he studies the map the way a doctor studies
- 58:10Cancer the tumor is growing slowly until the patient dies suddenly
- 58:18That's brutal in it Russia advances five to seven kilometers a month on average across sectors
- 58:24Sometimes ten kilometers and breakthrough a sometimes two to three when resistance is strong, but always forward always consistent always
- 58:32Methodical it's not a blitzkrieg. It's an attrition
- 58:35engineered with
- 58:38mathematical precision precision and that's according to Erastovich
- 58:42Now I read an interesting article the other day that I wish I could find that said
- 58:48The following now I happen to know a little bit of Russian history. You know I enjoyed it
- 58:54in college and enjoy it even today and my minors in in Russian studies is what they called it at University of Illinois and
- 59:04I
- 59:06Know a little bit about Russian history
- 59:10and
- 59:10The place where Ukraine is Kiev in Rus which Vladimir Putin talked about in his interview in India the other day
- 59:18is a
- 59:20step
- 59:22Steppe
- 59:23Sort of place. It's like plains
- 59:26rolling hills, but they're there hills and valleys and stuff like that on the eastern part which
- 59:34end
- 59:35According to the analysis that I read that are ending basically after the river
- 59:41Donetsk which goes after and they get up over the hills that come along that River and in the eastern parts of
- 59:49Zaporozhye and
- 59:52Zaporozhye Donetsk and Lugansk that once they get over that part. It's all flat and
- 59:59spread out and
- 1:00:01Mostly farmland and the cities are a long way away
- 1:00:05Well once they get past this set of of cities
- 1:00:10Then it's going to be
- 1:00:12quite a bit of
- 1:00:14forward progress on their part
- 1:00:17Let's see, I have an collar hello, mr. Collar
- 1:00:22Good morning top of the morning to you. How are you top of the morning to you, sir? Nice to have you
- 1:00:27How are you doing? Nice to be had. I'm well. Thank you. Good good. I
- 1:00:32Still do not understand why you're blaming me and you and young Jack
- 1:00:39for the destabilization in Ukraine
- 1:00:42Wouldn't it be more accurate to blame?
- 1:00:45Like the bathhouse administration of the CIA or the deep state instead of
- 1:00:50Blaming Western civilization for what happened in Ukraine when I say West I'm talking about EU
- 1:00:58leadership and our deep state types
- 1:01:01so when I say we we are part of that and we can't get away from that that
- 1:01:09sad part of our own history
- 1:01:11That's what I'm saying. That's what that's the problem I have is
- 1:01:15You and I are part of the West, but we're not part of the bathhouse administration. We work for that
- 1:01:19In fact, if I'd have known about it, I'd have been way against it in 14
- 1:01:22Yeah, but who's putting who's putting eight hundred thousand eight hundred million more into the end of the kitty even now
- 1:01:29That's us
- 1:01:31No, it ain't me. It's not well who's doing the deep state or the well probably
- 1:01:36Capitol Hill Capitol Hill. That's right. And who's in charge of that? Who's in charge of writing check?
- 1:01:42When are we gonna make a stand on that what if the old trumpster didn't give
- 1:01:48I'm not blaming you
- 1:01:55Well, then we have to do something about it, how do we get rid of these yay-whos
- 1:02:03No, I don't mean to blame you I when I say I'll try not to say we any longer
- 1:02:12Why not
- 1:02:20It's not only bathhouse it's everybody this was heavy-duty Bush time too. We've all done well we
- 1:02:28Started all this in 14
- 1:02:31that one that one color revolution that was that was a
- 1:02:37Engineered coup in Ukraine
- 1:02:40Well, okay
- 1:02:42Well, then I always thought it was like an orange color revolution with Victorian Newlands and bathhouses fingerprints all over it
- 1:02:49Definitely see people not I wouldn't blame Western Civilization for it
- 1:02:55It is it is Western Civilization
- 1:03:05I'll try to be I
- 1:03:08Know I don't mean to blame you at all. I know I know you think like I do but we haven't done much about it
- 1:03:14Have we?
- 1:03:16Well, let's say we probably do everything we can. I think it's important. My opinion is I guess
- 1:03:22Close notes of this call would be that if you can blame specific people for this instead of the entire
- 1:03:29Planet for it. That'd be great. Well, I
- 1:03:32I'm naming the people involved here as the elites in Ukraine
- 1:03:39When I say West I say
- 1:03:46Western leadership you all of the EU leader leaders
- 1:03:52globalists same in the u.s. And the military-industrial complex
- 1:04:02He is that's true
- 1:04:05But the majority are going the other direction. I've named some of the specific leaders here in this who have nothing
- 1:04:14positive in their own countries and have gone forward people like the Schultz's of the world the
- 1:04:19Who have no backing even in their own country, but are traveling the world pumping Ukraine down people's throats
- 1:04:30I
- 1:04:32Get your point point. Well taken. Thank you. Thank as I would say to my old drill sergeants
- 1:04:38Thank you for conditioning my mind and body drill sergeant
- 1:04:44I don't mean to be I mean to be blaming the same old globalist elites who are always to blame for this sort of crap
- 1:04:53Right, yeah global elites now you're getting there I've been there
- 1:04:57I've been there. I just sometimes I sometimes get a little
- 1:05:02Weak in my in my what do you call it being a sharp pointed?
- 1:05:09pencil instead of a dull one
- 1:05:14Western civilization is a good thing
- 1:05:17When you're making it sound like we're the problem
- 1:05:20We're not the problem. Nope. Nope. Nope
- 1:05:23Western globalist elites there you have it. I
- 1:05:28Apologize for slowing you down, but I'm not slow. I'm still cruising
- 1:05:33Okay, brother. Go get him party on. Have a nice day
- 1:05:37see you bud and
- 1:05:40There he goes and I like it when he when he calls in and corrects me. I know he thinks that I'm beating up on people
- 1:05:49all over but when I say we once again, I'm talking about the
- 1:05:55Western elite and the dominated of what what
- 1:06:01We have done forever now remember part of the we was me years and years ago
- 1:06:07Because I worked in the government sphere and I watched it from the inside in this exact topics, you know while
- 1:06:15while people were
- 1:06:18You know building these things and money was being pumped into things that didn't need to be
- 1:06:25pumped
- 1:06:28Nonsensically in my view, but they were doing it
- 1:06:31We were pumping that money into the former Soviet Union and into the former Eastern
- 1:06:36Republic's the former Warsaw Pact countries like madmen
- 1:06:40even then and trying to create these
- 1:06:45anti Russia
- 1:06:47Sentiments everywhere. We're doing it. It did it in Georgia. It's still going on in, Georgia
- 1:06:53The the a very positive occurred when US Agency for International Development went away and I want to get to the
- 1:07:01there's a a
- 1:07:03Little bit to get to I think I'll have time to get there. I think we will
- 1:07:09Let's see
- 1:07:11What were we saying
- 1:07:14every kilometer that Russia takes
- 1:07:18Widens the operational depth
- 1:07:21Destroys Ukrainian logistics even more
- 1:07:25undermines morale
- 1:07:27forces further retreat stretches the line even thinner and
- 1:07:34accelerates
- 1:07:35the inevitable collapse
- 1:07:38Okay, because as I was saying that when they cross this
- 1:07:43Step area. It's all going to be flat and farmland almost all the way to Kiev. There's
- 1:07:50When they get past the hearse on
- 1:07:54When they get Harkin very I mean when they get past that and they get past
- 1:08:00They will take all of the the doneatsk all of Lugansk. Those will be taken all of Zaporizhia
- 1:08:07Russia has been pretty clear about that. It's gonna happen and
- 1:08:12There's you know, Trump can be disappointed all he wants that
- 1:08:17Zelensky won't see reality
- 1:08:19But he won't
- 1:08:21and
- 1:08:22Aristovich says and he went through that a little bit too. He said when the front collapses
- 1:08:28It doesn't collapse like a wall. It collapses like wet cardboard
- 1:08:34first one brigade
- 1:08:36Then the neighboring brigade bends then the light and retreats 20 to 30 kilometers in days and you use
- 1:08:44thousands of men
- 1:08:46You know in that process this is not a prophecy it's how Ukraine lost saved or a doneatsk
- 1:08:54Lisa chance
- 1:08:57Solidar Bachmuth and dozens of smaller positions these cauldrons that Russia forms
- 1:09:02When they do it and they finally break the line in each of these places
- 1:09:08They suddenly get a big push, you know, and then they have to stop
- 1:09:12Operationally because their own rear lines can't keep up with the front lines
- 1:09:17So they slow down and they start over again, you know, this isn't prophecy. It's it's not there and
- 1:09:24You know
- 1:09:25Aristovich spent a little bit of time talking about the it's the elites that never bleed and he attacked the Ukrainian
- 1:09:33so-called
- 1:09:35aristocracy and
- 1:09:37You know
- 1:09:38He he wasn't he was partially angry, but he appeared more disgusted to me, you know, here's a
- 1:09:46Here's a truth that every country according to him once understood that elites
- 1:09:53Lead by example elites send their own sons to
- 1:09:57elites show the nation how to
- 1:10:01sacrifice
- 1:10:02But what happens in modern Ukraine?
- 1:10:06The
- 1:10:07Elites are protecting their sons protecting their assets protecting their positions
- 1:10:12protecting their own exemptions and protecting their own
- 1:10:16tails false of falsehood, you know and
- 1:10:23He says his quote was the elites are demanding heroism from the common people
- 1:10:29while providing cowardice from above
- 1:10:33That's harsh and
- 1:10:35He's not wrong, you know draft officers are chasing men on the buses in the ark of and
- 1:10:42MP sons are vacationing abroad
- 1:10:44Ministers children hold dual passports and go to America all the time
- 1:10:49oligarch families live in Vienna, London
- 1:10:53Miami and former officials like his Kuliba guy. Have you seen him? He openly says well if I'm summoned
- 1:11:00Maybe I'll join the army, but they spend years calling on Ukrainians abroad to come home and fight
- 1:11:06Mm-hmm. He's 40-something. He can still be mobilized. Why hasn't he been you know?
- 1:11:13Berestovich talks about this as a broken social contract, right and in past wars
- 1:11:20He talked about elites fighting today
- 1:11:23They send telegram messages from Europe telling ordinary Ukrainians that they need to fight to defend
- 1:11:30democracy and the people see this and
- 1:11:34The resentment of it is growing and the state has zero
- 1:11:39Moral authority in Ukraine. So this is the internal part, right and
- 1:11:45when he talked about
- 1:11:47Zelensky
- 1:11:49He said that Zelensky has been
- 1:11:57Quietly seeking personal security guarantees from Western governments
- 1:12:04Not national guarantees not state guarantees not security for Ukraine
- 1:12:10but security for himself
- 1:12:13Will he be able to?
- 1:12:16live in London one of the things was
- 1:12:18You know, I don't want to be handed over to the US for stealing US money
- 1:12:26You know according to Aristovich, he says this is not a rumor. It's a logical outcome of this
- 1:12:34political leader who has
- 1:12:36Collapsing support can't even name another
- 1:12:41number two
- 1:12:42He can't they have collapsing mobilization
- 1:12:46territorial control
- 1:12:48Western enthusiasm is gone
- 1:12:51Public trust of him in Kiev is also gone
- 1:12:55He has no approval rating of his own
- 1:12:59Internally, they aren't allowed to publish these numbers
- 1:13:02but they the last ones I saw that were public said that he was less than 30% and
- 1:13:10Nobody believes the illusion about victory anymore
- 1:13:14And so once he was strutting through European Parliament speaking everywhere now
- 1:13:21Nobody wants him to come to Doha
- 1:13:24No invite and he's asking for help about his personal safety
- 1:13:29That's not a leader. That's planning victory. That's a guy planning his exit exit stage, right?
- 1:13:36and
- 1:13:37You know
- 1:13:40Aristovich is almost sympathetic to the old Z monster. He says Zelensky's trapped in a system of
- 1:13:47expectations that no human
- 1:13:48Could
- 1:13:50you know
- 1:13:52Figure out that no human could produce
- 1:13:55These expectations what they want from him, but you know feeling sorry for the guy
- 1:14:02Well, you how could you he's got all this money at his own when he's negotiated
- 1:14:07Negotiating for his own survival though
- 1:14:10That means the state's already in freefall
- 1:14:14and
- 1:14:16So he also points out that Ukraine isn't just losing villages and I found this part of his
- 1:14:24Analysis pretty interesting. He said that it's losing the terrain that controls rivers
- 1:14:33And they're around several large
- 1:14:37Reservoirs and dams that Russia has seized the Zaporozhian nuclear power plant places like that
- 1:14:44the high ground
- 1:14:46Once Russia gets past these high ground places in the eastern parts, then it's all just flat plains
- 1:14:54You know that that means the artillery which are Russia already dominates in the artillery area
- 1:15:02now they get to
- 1:15:04forward that from a position of high ground and
- 1:15:08You know all the lifelines to the supply lines have been broken and
- 1:15:14Russia can take over all of these historic industrial areas in Zaporizhzhia and
- 1:15:22in the Donetsk and Lugansk in towns that symbolically and
- 1:15:27Psychologically are critical to Ukrainian identity. He says this is the slow erasure of the state's
- 1:15:35military skeleton and
- 1:15:39Tell you what that
- 1:15:43Loss of industrial capacity is gonna weigh heavily later on. That's why they need to
- 1:15:51Seal the gap now they need to capitulate now and
- 1:15:57Apparently there well, obviously they don't plan to do so what we can't give up territory. Well fine. We'll take it from you then says Russia
- 1:16:07crazy stuff
- 1:16:09And then he talked quite a bit about the
- 1:16:12Psychological exhaustion of Russia. I mean of Ukraine. He said
- 1:16:17Society is living in a freeze mode unable to move forward unable to retreat
- 1:16:26People are living you know with their families separated men can't go anywhere
- 1:16:31Women are working out of the country the elderly are caring for abandoned children
- 1:16:37Cities are half empty villages are empty and an economy is running only on foreign loans
- 1:16:44That are never gonna be able to be paid
- 1:16:48Tragedy isn't just the war. It's the halt of
- 1:16:53Life I suppose you'd call it the halt of a regular life
- 1:16:58No weddings
- 1:17:01No births
- 1:17:02No, long-term plans. The only future is trying to survive
- 1:17:08This according to him is more dangerous than any
- 1:17:13military defeat
- 1:17:15Country can lose territory and still survive
- 1:17:17He's afraid there won't be any Ukraine at all and the country cannot lose its will to live, but it is
- 1:17:26There's something going on
- 1:17:28Remember I told you that
- 1:17:30there's a lot of effort on the part of
- 1:17:34Ukraine to destroy people like
- 1:17:38Erastovich and people like panchenka
- 1:17:43But there's a another counter to that that
- 1:17:48Western money
- 1:17:50the
- 1:17:51endowment for democracy remember them and the
- 1:17:55It used to be US Agency for international development funding all of this pro-ukraine
- 1:18:03rhetoric rhetoric that we got to hear for so long, right and
- 1:18:09He was talking about one showed a couple of videos of it. It's
- 1:18:13ridiculous
- 1:18:15Ukrainian
- 1:18:19And
- 1:18:21Moldovan youth and Keishon you know, I say it is
- 1:18:26And I that's the city I was in for
- 1:18:30close to three and a half months and that I was there and
- 1:18:34one of the
- 1:18:35things he discussed is the explosion of
- 1:18:40fake bloggers, right
- 1:18:42That are funded somehow. These are people that pretend to be analysts insiders whistleblowers that
- 1:18:49you know are trying to
- 1:18:54Promote the war and all this other stuff and he says that there's a group in
- 1:18:59Keishon you often he showed several of their videos. I found it quite interesting
- 1:19:02He said it's a coordinated
- 1:19:05disinformation network built to attack
- 1:19:07critics
- 1:19:09Pump government narratives and create the illusion of consensus and the message that they're passing out is this
- 1:19:18It
- 1:19:19Well the messages
- 1:19:22In Ukraine today, the truth isn't actually the truth. It's some sort of manufactured and it's not unique to just
- 1:19:30Ukraine every government in a wartime would manipulate information
- 1:19:34But in Ukraine's case the manipulation is the primary political weapon
- 1:19:41Critics aren't debated. They're drowned
- 1:19:44Arrested sanctioned forced into exile or like Penchenka
- 1:19:50erased digitally by platforms that claim to defend democracy
- 1:19:55For rest of it's the mountain of fake bloggers isn't an annoyance
- 1:20:01it's proof that the state has lost control and is now outsourcing its propaganda to
- 1:20:08amateurs and trolls
- 1:20:09What he called them when a government relies on influencers instead of institutions the war is lost
- 1:20:18Morally psychologically strategically. He said these guys are out there
- 1:20:24Telling that telling these lies right and he himself he started talking about his own
- 1:20:31Sanctions, right? He wasn't sanctioned for treason. He wasn't sanctioned for revealing classified information
- 1:20:38He wasn't sanctioned for aiding
- 1:20:41Russia his crime
- 1:20:43According to Ukraine is telling Ukrainians. Here's what it is. Russia is advancing
- 1:20:51The war cannot be won. Our leadership hasn't been truthful the West now
- 1:20:57This is his words the West misled Ukraine
- 1:21:01Mobilization is failing
- 1:21:03Territory will be lost
- 1:21:05peace talks are
- 1:21:07Necessary and
- 1:21:09We hope that illusions must die before the country does
- 1:21:14That's it in an authoritarian system. That is
- 1:21:19Sedition that is treason. He's a traitor in a democratic system
- 1:21:25Allegedly that is discourse
- 1:21:28But in Ukraine's wartime, it's heresy, you know, you can be burned at the stake
- 1:21:34Every point he raised in 2028 2023 and 2024 the collapse of mobilization Western fatigue Russian
- 1:21:41adaptation
- 1:21:43Territorial loss inevitable push for negotiations. He was absolutely right
- 1:21:48Punishing him sanctioning him didn't protect Ukraine and at all. It only protected the illusion
- 1:21:54You know somebody could win
- 1:21:58right
- 1:21:59Er
- 1:22:00Stovich hammers the point that terrifies Ukraine and its officials the war cannot be won
- 1:22:08Militarily if nobody gets that by now
- 1:22:12You know, they got a bag over their head or their head in the sand or something similar
- 1:22:17They can't win they have dwindling manpower
- 1:22:20Exhausted brigades Western support is gone
- 1:22:24Industrial inferiority they can't produce they can't keep up
- 1:22:28territorial loss is
- 1:22:30accelerating internal corruption is
- 1:22:33Accelerating and it's going to as people see this winding down
- 1:22:37They're going to continue grabbing more and more and more of the dollars that come their way and hiding it in
- 1:22:43You know offshore account somewhere
- 1:22:47socially, they're they're all exhausted victory as
- 1:22:52Defined by Kiev in 2022 push Russia back to the 1991 borders is absolutely impossible
- 1:22:58And has been for some time
- 1:23:00But acknowledging this political suicide
- 1:23:04You know
- 1:23:07By saying it anyway
- 1:23:09It's an embarrassment to the what to the Western governments that supported all this and it's you know Ukrainian leadership
- 1:23:16You're not allowed to say it so they cling to these slogans
- 1:23:21Russia has to lose
- 1:23:22Ukraine must win total victory is inevitable and we will defend every meter that was said by Zelensky last week
- 1:23:32Last week he's throwing people to the front. What is there a Stovich say?
- 1:23:37He said victory requires reality and reality is gone. He doesn't say Ukraine must surrender
- 1:23:44he doesn't say Ukraine has to kneel he says Ukraine has to live on and
- 1:23:49Living on requires ending a war that is killing the country
- 1:23:55Isn't that crazy?
- 1:23:57you know, it's
- 1:24:02Quite enlightening to see these things
- 1:24:06Go on. What is the post-war map of Ukraine?
- 1:24:11seriously
- 1:24:13What will they rebuild if they don't exist
- 1:24:18What territory can be regained by diplomacy seriously right now
- 1:24:24Russia ain't gonna give it up. They've won it to think that they're going to walk away and go. Oh, we're sorry
- 1:24:30Here you go
- 1:24:31We told you what to do since 2014 and you ignored us all the way to
- 1:24:362022 and when we told you what we were doing in 2022 you say all right, you know in 2025
- 1:24:422026 give us give it back to us and we'll mind you not mind you but we'll do the right things now
- 1:24:49We won't destroy the Russian language. We won't destroy the Russian Church. Did you hear about the the Russian?
- 1:24:56Not the Russian the Ukrainian
- 1:24:59priest
- 1:25:00Arrested this past week sentenced to five years
- 1:25:04Because they stole all of his phone calls
- 1:25:06I need to find that article if I can but they they listened to all his phone calls where he said
- 1:25:12some of the things that I've just said he said, you know, we really need to do something because we're not gonna win and he
- 1:25:19was from Odessa and
- 1:25:21They arrested him. He's going to prison for five years for telling the truth
- 1:25:25that's what's happening and
- 1:25:28And that's not just those are Ukrainian newspapers talking about that his his
- 1:25:35recorded conversations that were intercepted while he was driving in his car down the street by the
- 1:25:42Ukrainian special intelligence they
- 1:25:45copied his his
- 1:25:47discussions with a third person and said that him saying the things he said is
- 1:25:53treason
- 1:25:55Isn't that crazy truth tellers truth tellers and grave diggers is
- 1:26:01Where we're headed
- 1:26:04The war is not going to be remembered simply for territory lost or gained
- 1:26:08It's gonna be remembered for the illusions and lies
- 1:26:13That happened Ukraine was lied to by the West lied to by its own elites lied to by bloggers
- 1:26:20institutions US Agency for International Development and the men sent to the trenches paid for those lies with their own
- 1:26:28blood
- 1:26:28the people who are arrested and
- 1:26:31punished for telling the truth
- 1:26:35They're the ones who you know
- 1:26:39One truth told one simple truth Ukraine cannot defeat Russia
- 1:26:44but Ukraine might be able to save itself if it listens to the people that it silenced and
- 1:26:52I don't think they will
- 1:26:54Listen to the people they silenced. That's not what I think
- 1:26:58You know
- 1:26:58Trump for his part
- 1:27:01He is saying that Zelensky has to hold some elections. He's trying to they need to get rid of this guy, right?
- 1:27:08and because Putin says it's legally impossible for
- 1:27:13The Z monster to sign a peace treaty right now
- 1:27:17can't be done and
- 1:27:20Trump urges Ukraine to hold elections questioning the Democratic credentials in an interview published Tuesday
- 1:27:26He appeared to issue a new challenge to Zelensky. This is this morning in
- 1:27:32Russian news
- 1:27:33A new challenge to Zelensky his presidential term expired in May of 2024, but
- 1:27:42He still isn't going to organize a presidential election citing martial law
- 1:27:48He was elected in 2019 declared in 2023 Ukraine will not hold
- 1:27:54presidential or parliamentary elections while martial law remains in force
- 1:27:59and Trump says
- 1:28:01They haven't had an election in a long time, you know, they talk about democracy
- 1:28:06But it gets to a point where it's not democracy anymore
- 1:28:11Asked directly if you trade cranium should go to the polls
- 1:28:15Trump said it's time and argued it was an important time to hold an election
- 1:28:22Adding that while they're using war not to hold an election
- 1:28:27Ukrainians should have that choice
- 1:28:32Pretty cool now Kaia Kallis calls that a
- 1:28:38Provocation
- 1:28:40The criticisms that the European Union
- 1:28:46Received from Trump's national security strategy are not true according to her
- 1:28:52and so there's some pretty comical stuff going on and
- 1:28:56Trump said that the that Europe is
- 1:28:58Decaying group of nations led by weak leaders. This is what he said. I think they're weak
- 1:29:05He said Europe doesn't know what to do
- 1:29:09And its leaders talk too much
- 1:29:12He said but he knew the good leaders the bad leaders the smart ones and the stupid ones
- 1:29:18You got some real stupid ones, too
- 1:29:21But and on that note we shall end I am Samuel trap this is international flavor
- 1:29:30Invite you to participate daily from 7 30 a.m. To 9 a.m. And
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- 1:29:46international flavor
- 1:29:47Dot-com love having you glad that you're around join us every day and you
- 1:29:54Have a very good day