Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Max Keiser: Global Bitcoin Adoption Imminent | EP 1073
Transcript
- 0:21Does the inability of Vice President Harris answer that?
- 0:27Really important question at the beginning, are Americans better
- 0:31off than they were four years ago?
- 0:34It was a very, very evasive, clearly scripted answer.
- 0:39But the answer to that, I think if you polled the American
- 0:41people is I, I would say 95% would say no.
- 0:44They're much worse off than they were four years ago.
- 0:48President Trump had one of the lowest inflation rates in recent
- 0:52American history. Today, we're experiencing the
- 0:55highest. We have a first generation of
- 0:57American kids who can't get into homes.
- 1:00We have the unaffordability at the gas station, at the grocery
- 1:03store, people who are down grading ingredients to make it
- 1:07through the checkout counter, elderly people who are cutting
- 1:11up their prescriptions to pay for food or fuel.
- 1:15This is happening all over our country.
- 1:16It's the first time in American history that you have a
- 1:19generation of kids who's going to be worse off than their
- 1:23parents. And president, Vice President
- 1:26Harris has had four years to deal with these issues and
- 1:29they've just gotten worse. And unfortunately, we had
- 1:32moderators who were clearly biased, who were constantly fact
- 1:37checking Donald Trump. And none of these kind of
- 1:42whoppers that the Vice president was, was saying and none of her
- 1:46failure to really explain that answer that first question, that
- 1:49very, very critical first question, they simply sat there
- 1:53on the sidelines, right, allowed, allowed that to pass.
- 1:59Yeah, we're going to simply Bitcoin Live, your number one
- 2:01source for the peaceful Bitcoin revolution and cup breaking
- 2:04news, culture, magic warfare. We will be your guide through
- 2:06the separation of money and state.
- 2:10The first presidential debate, I mean technically is the second,
- 2:13but the actual presidential debate between the candidates
- 2:16that are actually running for president happened last night at
- 2:199:00 PM on ABC. And I'll, I'll approach it from
- 2:24this angle because we are a Bitcoin show and I don't want to
- 2:29get into all the other political discussions because that's not
- 2:32why you guys tune into us for and that's not what we're about.
- 2:36But what I will say is as a content creator, me and Opti
- 2:41have been doing this for a couple years now and we don't
- 2:46have any professional training whatsoever.
- 2:49We are self-taught. And what I will say is the bias
- 2:55that I saw from professional journalists yesterday was
- 3:01insane. And I'm not coming at it from
- 3:05the angle of like, you know, they treat they mistreated Trump
- 3:08or this and this and that. But I'm coming at it from the
- 3:11angle of most people, what they're feeling right now is the
- 3:17devastating effects of inflation, of which both
- 3:22political parties are responsible for, and the
- 3:28continued, like, illusion of politicians going and promising
- 3:35the American people that they're going to solve their issues.
- 3:41That is insane. We're going to talk about one of
- 3:45the bills that was passed I think a couple years ago is
- 3:48called the Inflation Reduction Act.
- 3:51That bill spent I think over $200 billion.
- 3:54I have the exact number. You don't reduce inflation by
- 4:00spending 200 billion. So we have a predicament and an
- 4:05issue here where it's an educational problem.
- 4:08It's an educational issue. We have to be able to educate
- 4:15the masses on the fact that it's not left verse right.
- 4:20It's green versus orange. Are you for pro Fiat, pro
- 4:24endless wars, pro reckless government spending, pro
- 4:30censorship, pro nihilism, pro poverty?
- 4:33Or are you pro Bitcoin, pro opportunity, pro hope, pro
- 4:39prosperity, pro censorship resistant, pro freedom?
- 4:44Like that's really what's happening here.
- 4:47And what I saw yesterday was incredibly biased reporters and
- 4:54Trump getting upset and then by and then Kamala, who's been in
- 4:58power for the last 3 1/2 years, you know, tell this story of joy
- 5:02and happiness and all this. And those are the two choices we
- 5:07have in front of us. Like that would be very
- 5:10depressing if I didn't have Bitcoin.
- 5:14And that's really what the message I want to focus on
- 5:16today, which is if what you saw last night, regardless of your
- 5:21own personal political beliefs and stuff, depress you and you
- 5:25are just like, holy cow, like these are the two choices in
- 5:29front of us. There is a third choice and that
- 5:32choice is Bitcoin. You can opt out of that system
- 5:36entirely, and you can start living the American dream today
- 5:41because if you've been using Bitcoin as your unit of account
- 5:45for the last, you know, five years, three years, even housing
- 5:52and groceries have gotten cheaper.
- 5:55If you've been living on a sound money standard and you just kept
- 5:59hearing in the debate yesterday like, the price of housing is
- 6:03too high, Kamala was like, yeah, we're going to give a tax
- 6:06credit. You know, Trump had his own way
- 6:09of, you know, approaching things and the entire time I'm thinking
- 6:13I'm like, you know, the solution is just Bitcoin.
- 6:16But for politicians, like if they're not the solution, that's
- 6:20a problem, that's an issue, right?
- 6:22So of course I'm not going to mention that.
- 6:24And then one last thing I'll say before I bring up our the
- 6:28panelists for today Opti and our guest is we have this election
- 6:33even though Bitcoin doesn't need a politician to succeed.
- 6:37I will say is that we have a pro Bitcoin, anti CBDC candidate
- 6:44which has been endorsed by RFK, which is Trump.
- 6:48And on the other side you have an anti Bitcoin and pro CBDC
- 6:52candidate, which is Kamala. So the two things are separate.
- 6:58You could start living the American dream today.
- 7:01Yeah, someone brought it up in the comment.
- 7:03No mention of $36 trillion government debt adding one
- 7:07trillion every month for every few months.
- 7:09Just to give you guys perspective, most countries
- 7:12don't even have AGDP of a trillion.
- 7:14El Salvador's GDP is 32 billion. Just to kind of give you give
- 7:17you guys an idea of the deficit and how are they able to afford
- 7:21the deficit. They print the difference and
- 7:24that causes inflation, and that is literally theft from anyone
- 7:27who is holding and earning in dollars.
- 7:30And that wasn't addressed. But there's two separate issues
- 7:33here. Issue #1 is both candidates
- 7:37didn't provide a solution. The solution is Bitcoin.
- 7:40Issue #2 if you're a Bitcoin entrepreneur and if you want the
- 7:45Bitcoin industry to thrive in the United States for the next
- 7:48four years or so, this year is a Bitcoin election.
- 7:54You have two separate candidates that have two different policies
- 7:59towards the industry. Even though one candidate is
- 8:02obfuscating that a little bit by using the media.
- 8:06If you take a look at the data, it's very, very clear.
- 8:09Operation Choke .2 point O the proposed 30% Bitcoin mining tax.
- 8:13The fact that nowhere in the the Democrats presidential of the
- 8:19the Democrats policy for 2024 is cryptocurrency, digital assets
- 8:23or Bitcoin included versus the Republican policy, which
- 8:28includes the protection of self custody, the right to mine and
- 8:33just allowing the the industry to thrive.
- 8:35SO2 separate things could be true at the same time.
- 8:38And I'm just seeing this and it's like the a metaphoric
- 8:43Titanic sinking into the ocean. And I'm watching this from the
- 8:48safety of my Bitcoin life raft by having my wealth in self
- 8:54custody. And I'm just watching this and
- 8:56I'm like, this is a disaster. This is a this is a disaster
- 9:00happening in slow motion and if you don't have your money in
- 9:04Bitcoin, you're going, if you don't have your money in Bitcoin
- 9:08in self custody, you are literally going along for the
- 9:11ride. Whatever you thought of the
- 9:13debate yesterday, you are going along for that ride.
- 9:16That is, that is what you're opting into by staying in Fiat
- 9:20money, but you have a choice as an individual that is completely
- 9:25independent of election to opt out into a non political money
- 9:30that can't be debased, that is censorship resistant, that is
- 9:33very difficult to confiscate and that is Bitcoin.
- 9:36So yes, it's an election year without a shadow of a doubt, but
- 9:40the most important vote that you can make this election season
- 9:47voting with your wallet and taking Bitcoin into self
- 9:50custody. That being said, also from a
- 9:54regulatory environment, we've made the case for you guys in
- 9:57terms of what is the better political candidate.
- 10:00But holy cow, I saw that yesterday and I said, man, thank
- 10:05God for Bitcoin. If Bitcoin did not exist, like
- 10:10it would be a very dark time for my perspective, like I think I
- 10:15would. I would be a gold bug maxi in my
- 10:17opinion, because I'm looking at that.
- 10:19I'm like, holy cow, this is insanity.
- 10:21This is late stage Fiat like that.
- 10:24I think this is what we're getting right now.
- 10:26I think the politicians themselves are suffering from
- 10:29inflation. Anyways, I do want to welcome
- 10:32our guests for today. We have Cena.
- 10:34He's the Co founder and COO of 21st Capital.
- 10:37And of course my legendary Co host who I don't know.
- 10:41I don't know how you could be optimistic after last night Opti
- 10:44but like holy like cow honey badger dude what the F was that?
- 10:50What's your take? Well, well, hold on your mic.
- 10:54Hold on, hold on. Well, Nico.
- 10:57Your microphone. Is it, is it not on?
- 11:02Oh, yeah, you're right. Am I bad?
- 11:03My bad. Guys, we're fixed.
- 11:04We're fixed, Nico. First and foremost, optimism is
- 11:08a way of life. You do not search for external
- 11:12input, external stimuli to be optimistic.
- 11:15This is how this is my operating system.
- 11:17This is what I suggest everyone else's operating system should
- 11:21be, is just pure optimism throughout anything going on.
- 11:26But overall, yeah, it was pretty, it was a pretty
- 11:31horrible, horrible debate first and foremost.
- 11:35A couple, a couple of drop balls in my opinion.
- 11:39No mention of Bitcoin, Not surprised at all.
- 11:42But of course, you know, Bitcoin completely absent in the debate,
- 11:45which you can argue is obviously outside of the Overton window as
- 11:50far as the mass population is concerned.
- 11:52So I totally see that. But they literally started the
- 11:56debate on the economy and again, a more inside the Overton window
- 12:02issue as far as I'm concerned, no touching on the idea of
- 12:07printing money. They had all of these obscure
- 12:10reasons for inflation and it's all about printing money.
- 12:15They're they're. Literally bro, it's literally
- 12:19all about printing money. It's so crazy.
- 12:20And then they they started talking about like other look
- 12:24most people like 99% of people. You know what they care about?
- 12:29They care about being able to provide for their family and
- 12:32being able to put food on the table and being able to make a
- 12:35good living. That is like 99% of people's
- 12:39problems. All these other issues, I'm not
- 12:42saying that they're not important, but it's like the
- 12:45emphasis on them is create and then like not going to World War
- 12:49three would be great also. And like the emphasis on like
- 12:53those, it's like, it's like, holy cow, it's like that.
- 12:56That's like, and then this leads me to something that we've been
- 12:59talking about for a long time for like this last week or so on
- 13:03the show. The general theme is it's not
- 13:06only what is money? The question is like, I'm down
- 13:10the rabbit hole enough where I'm asking like, what is government?
- 13:13Like what is the role of government?
- 13:15What I saw last night was like, not what I'm envisioning.
- 13:19Like, what is government? Government supposed to like, you
- 13:22know, keep society, order orderly, protect private
- 13:25property and, you know, set a set of rules so make sure that
- 13:29people don't cheat each other. Like that's supposed to be the
- 13:32total like what government is all about.
- 13:35And it's been Frankensteined into this.
- 13:38Like government is the all end all be all.
- 13:41It's supposed to do everything. Don't worry about it.
- 13:44Now we're going to get start giving you tax credits for
- 13:47housing and stuff like that. And we're going to be paying
- 13:50for, you know, like treatment and like this and that.
- 13:53And it's like, wait a second, like, I didn't agree to any of
- 13:56this. This is insanity, right?
- 13:58Anyways, I also want to touch on a few things.
- 14:02First off, there was a few funny moments to it though that I
- 14:05found myself cracking up. Especially the like Trump, like
- 14:08like, excuse me, I'm speaking like, does this sound familiar
- 14:10that that was that was some good viral moments there.
- 14:14First and foremost, as far as I'm concerned as someone that
- 14:16makes content. The second part that I think you
- 14:19already touched on is that there was seemingly like a fix that
- 14:24was in on that the the moderators.
- 14:26It seemed to be 3 on one. And then I think one of the most
- 14:29interesting aspects about this, whether Kamala won or lost is
- 14:34Taylor Swift endorsing Kamala right when it ended.
- 14:36So it did seem like there was a fix going in in favor of Kamala,
- 14:41but overall it was. It's politics.
- 14:45Am I surprised that they're not really hitting on the issues?
- 14:47No, it's just about sound bites and all that stuff.
- 14:50But man, what a crazy world we live in.
- 14:53It really goes to show that maybe we don't need a president
- 14:56to control the economy. Maybe we I need a president to
- 14:58control the world. I don't know, I'm just
- 15:00spitballing here. That, I mean, that's what I'm
- 15:03trying to tell you is like, what is the role of government
- 15:05anyways? We haven't let our guests say
- 15:07anything yet. So Cena, how you doing, man?
- 15:10You've been listening to me and Opti just react to the
- 15:13catastrophe of the first presidential debate.
- 15:16Like if you watch debates from like 20 years ago and you watch
- 15:21them now, it's it's insane. It's it's just like night and
- 15:25day. And I, and I really believe that
- 15:26it's like like, you know, it's it, I think it has to do with it
- 15:32has to do with with broken money.
- 15:35Anyways, Cena what? What's your take on all this
- 15:38bro? Hey guys, I love to be with you
- 15:41guys. I was just listening and I
- 15:44couldn't agree more with everything you guys said.
- 15:46I mean very well said, very well put, balanced take.
- 15:52I'm just following what you just said.
- 15:55I used to listen super, super carefully to political speeches,
- 15:59not because I cared much about the content, but just because
- 16:02how the quality of the speech it, you know, gave me ideas in
- 16:08how to form my sentences. I used to like even listen to
- 16:13Obama's speeches in terms of to learn better English.
- 16:17Like, not that, not that I agreed with the content one way
- 16:21or another, but now it's. It's probably a harsh work to
- 16:27say, but it's all a clown show for me.
- 16:29It's all theatrical. Totally, that's what I'm saying.
- 16:31It's nuts. They're they're talking about
- 16:34eating the cats and the like bro, like I was like holy like
- 16:36what is this? Like these are the people
- 16:39controlling the nuclear code. Like it was like it was mind
- 16:42blowing 100% like it it used to have a lot more prestige.
- 16:47They used to speak better. I completely agree.
- 16:50But yeah, it, it, it's just crazy.
- 16:52And also in other news, guys, we're going to talk about Max
- 16:55Kaiser's global hash war as well.
- 16:57Really looking forward to that. It looks like every like it
- 17:01looks like countries, public companies, energy companies,
- 17:07they're all mining Bitcoin. Max Kaiser's making the case
- 17:10that there's going to be a global hash war.
- 17:12Not war in the traditional sense, but essentially a, a
- 17:16battle for which country could accumulate as much Bitcoin as
- 17:21humanly possible. And I think it's, it's obvious
- 17:25in hindsight, but you know, it, it's, I mean, it's, it's, it's,
- 17:30we always knew that this was going to happen.
- 17:33But you know, it's, it's just crazy watching it play out, in
- 17:36my opinion, to the point where the Marathon CEO is literally
- 17:43saying that Bitcoin is a, is a, is a matter of national
- 17:47security. And this comes on the heels of
- 17:50the news coming out of Russia where Putin made a literally a
- 17:55180 and essentially made Bitcoin mining legal and Bitcoin for
- 18:01facilitating international transactions legal as well.
- 18:04So I think this is Bitcoins incentives playing out in real
- 18:07time. It's glorious to see.
- 18:09It's awesome, but I can't say I'm not surprised either.
- 18:14Like this is bitcoins incentives for you.
- 18:16Anyways, guys, before we jump into the show, we're also going
- 18:19to talk to Cena about 20 First Capital during the culture
- 18:23segment. So really excited about that as
- 18:25well. But before we jump into the
- 18:27show, I do want to give a very special shout out to simply
- 18:31bitcoins lead sponsor. When simply Bitcoin got the
- 18:35platforms, one of the things that I, I one of the messages
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- 21:28At the time of recording, the Bitcoin price is at $57,040.
- 21:34Sats per dollar 1753 block height 860,800 99 blocks to
- 21:41having 189,101 having estimate March 23rd, 2028 Total lightning
- 21:49network capacity 4962 BTC capacity value 283,000,000
- 21:56Realized monetary inflation 1.38% market capitalization 1.13
- 22:01trillion Bitcoin versus gold market cap 6.47%.
- 22:06In the grand scheme of things, we are just getting started
- 22:09anyways. Another another example of what
- 22:11I was talking about yet the earlier on the show is again
- 22:15like this is this is gnarly. Here's Elizabeth Warren, and
- 22:19here's her solution for lowering the the cost of housing.
- 22:24You might think you're never going to be able to afford
- 22:27buying a home, and you're not alone in that.
- 22:29A new poll shows that 86% of renters in the United States
- 22:33want to buy a home but can't afford one.
- 22:36It doesn't have to be this way. I have a bill that would build 3
- 22:41million new housing units and lower the cost of housing, all
- 22:45paid for by taxing the ultra wealthy.
- 22:49I'm fighting to get this done. Like, like, it's, it's, it's
- 22:53just like, it's like we're going to tax more.
- 22:55I have a bill. This is the solution.
- 22:58Like it's, it's, it's, it's total clown world.
- 23:01Now let's take a let's take a look at like what is the actual
- 23:05cause of housing going through the roof?
- 23:09Well, first, I want to present you with a clip from Joe Biden
- 23:14referencing the Inflation Reduction Act.
- 23:17It's interesting. Take a look at what he has to
- 23:19say at the end regarding the bill.
- 23:22My my investments that through my investments, the most
- 23:27significant climate change law ever.
- 23:29And by the way, it is a $369 billion bill.
- 23:33It's called the we we we should have named it what it was, but
- 23:38it. They should have named it what
- 23:40it so like spending $369 billion and then obfuscating that behind
- 23:49the so-called Inflation Reduction Act because they know
- 23:52that people are hurting from inflation.
- 23:55Like that is evil, man. That is evil.
- 23:58And by the way, both political parties, they print money.
- 24:02So this isn't just focusing on the Democrats specifically, but
- 24:05they're the ones that are in power right now.
- 24:07But both political parties, they just print money.
- 24:10And who pays for that? Well, anyone who's earning and
- 24:13saving in Fiat is the ones footing the bill.
- 24:16So like, this is nuts. This is gnarly, and this is the
- 24:21psyop. Like this is the thing that we
- 24:23have to do as Bitcoiners. Our mission is to wake people up
- 24:28to the scam that is Fiat money. Our mission is to wake up, to
- 24:33wake people up to the fact that if you start living your life on
- 24:40a Bitcoin standard, you don't have to wait for Elizabeth
- 24:44Warren to tax the ultra wealthy. You don't have to, you know,
- 24:49wait for the Inflation Reduction Act, which isn't even focused on
- 24:53inflation. It's focused on climate stuff.
- 24:56You don't have to focus on any of these things, and I'm going
- 24:59to read you a quote from Milton Friedman.
- 25:01He says inflation is always and everywhere a monetary phenomenon
- 25:05in the sense that it is, and keep can be produced only by a
- 25:09more rapid increase in the quantity of money than an
- 25:13output. Very simple.
- 25:15So, and now let's get to the the Inflation Reduction Act, right
- 25:21now that you know that, right? How do you reduce inflation?
- 25:23You stop printing money. And then I'll show you guys the,
- 25:26the housing data as well. So the Inflation Reduction Act,
- 25:29which was signed into law by President Joe Biden August 2022,
- 25:33is projected to cost approximately 437 billion / a
- 25:37decade. The majority El Salvador's GDP
- 25:41is 32 billion. Just to kind of give you guys an
- 25:43idea of the scope, right? The majority of this spending is
- 25:45directed towards addressing climate change, healthcare
- 25:48costs, and energy security. Then why is it called the
- 25:51Inflation Reduction Act? Like it's like it's a gaslight.
- 25:57And they're taking advantage of the fact that people don't
- 26:00understand and they're not aware of the fact that money can exist
- 26:06without inflation. Politicians have been taking
- 26:09advantage of that for a very, very long time.
- 26:12And then they come to you with false hope and solution.
- 26:17Like, I'm going to pass a bill. Like, it doesn't need to be this
- 26:20way. Yeah, it doesn't need to be this
- 26:21way if you stop printing money now.
- 26:23Let's take a look at the data, right?
- 26:25So if you take a look at at the year, right?
- 26:32This is when the pandemic happened, right?
- 26:36Since 2020, that's the M2 money supply chart right now.
- 26:41Let's take a look at inflation. It's 2020 started printing money
- 26:462021-2022. Isn't that crazy, right?
- 26:50And then you hear Elizabeth Warren talking about, you know,
- 26:53the housing for like the housing prices like they keep going up.
- 26:56Like I don't understand. Like it's the ultra.
- 26:59We have to tax the ultra wealthy to fix this.
- 27:01OK, so let's take a look at housing prices.
- 27:05Look at that 2020 how it's, it's, it's almost as if it's
- 27:10correlated with the money supply.
- 27:13Look at that. Maybe I'm just seeing things
- 27:15that are not there. Isn't that interesting?
- 27:17And it's almost as if the inflation rate is correlated to
- 27:22the money supply as well. Isn't that a coincidence?
- 27:26All of these things and then government solution right here
- 27:30it is, is let's tax the ultra wealthy.
- 27:34And the other government solution and the Inflation
- 27:38Reduction Act is to print more money which we don't have. the
- 27:44US government spent $1.7 trillion more than a collected
- 27:49in tax revenue in 2023. How are they able to spend that
- 27:53type of money? They printed the difference and
- 27:56what happens when you print the difference?
- 27:58This is what happens. So Elizabeth Warren, the
- 28:01solution to making housing prices affordable for the
- 28:06average everyday American is not your freaking bill.
- 28:10It's to stop spending money you we don't have.
- 28:15The the problem is with this system is that you can't rely on
- 28:19the government to do that because you have to essentially
- 28:23trust that the government isn't going to debase the currency.
- 28:26This is something that Satoshi identified very early on.
- 28:31Don't trust verify. You don't have to trust anyone
- 28:34in Bitcoin. It's, it's absolutely scarce.
- 28:37There's 21 million, no one's going to debase it.
- 28:41It's censorship resistant because of those things.
- 28:45If you've been saving in Bitcoin for the last three to five
- 28:48years, that housing that you saw going up in Fiat terms has
- 28:54actually decreased by 80 to 90%, even though housing is doubled
- 28:58in Fiat terms. It's not politicians that are
- 29:02going to solve these problems. It is individuals choosing to
- 29:07opt out of clown world by opting out of political money, by
- 29:13choosing Bitcoin that's going to solve these problems.
- 29:15And none of this was addressed during the debate last night.
- 29:20This is the solution to these problems, not more bills, not
- 29:24more politicians. Now I'll end it with this.
- 29:28That being said, what politicians can do for hyper
- 29:33bitcoinisation to accelerate is get out the way and create a
- 29:38positive regulatory environment for Bitcoin businesses to
- 29:42thrive. And there it's a very simple
- 29:45decision. You have a pro Bitcoin candidate
- 29:47and you have an anti Bitcoin candidate.
- 29:49Worse, you have a pro Bitcoin candidate, anti CBDC candidate
- 29:53and then you have a anti Bitcoin candidate, pro CBDC candidate.
- 29:58So this is just it's clown world.
- 30:01But the reason that they keep getting away with it is a
- 30:04failure on our part because that means that we have not educated
- 30:09enough people on the scam that is Fiat money.
- 30:13And as long as these politicians are able to operate in an
- 30:17environment where most people are still asleep and they're
- 30:21seeking to politicians for solution and they're not taking
- 30:25agency and personal responsibility and choosing to
- 30:29opt out into a better unit of account and a better money, then
- 30:33this is going to keep happening. And the debates that happened
- 30:36last night, they're going to keep happening.
- 30:37And you're going to continue to see more gaslighting with the
- 30:41audacity of cause of naming a bill called the Inflation
- 30:45Reduction Act because they knew that people were pissed off
- 30:48about inflation, that all it did was literally spend $369
- 30:54billion. It is insane.
- 30:58So we're going to keep hammering this message home until enough
- 31:02people wake up to the fact that Fiat money is a scam.
- 31:06All we need is a 5 to 10% of the minority to wake up to this
- 31:11reality. And I'm telling you guys, we're
- 31:13going to effectuate change more than any politician would have
- 31:17ever been able to. Politicians and government are
- 31:21the problem. They're the ones causing these
- 31:24prices to go where they are. It's not anything else.
- 31:28And don't let them gaslight you to believe otherwise.
- 31:31Anyways, I'm going to pass it on to Cena and then Opti.
- 31:36Yeah, well said. If you're familiar with this
- 31:40thing called a tragedy of the Commons, it's kind of something
- 31:45that economists discovered, and I think someone got a Nobel
- 31:49Prize for working on it. The idea is if you have a shared
- 31:53resource that is owned by everyone and no specific parties
- 31:58responsible for it, it ends up in tragedy because everyone will
- 32:03just try to extract as much as possible from that resource
- 32:06without really owning the consequences.
- 32:09So it's like you extract for yourself.
- 32:11Consequences is shared, socialized among others.
- 32:14And that's exactly what's happening in our in our world
- 32:17right now. Politicians are extracting value
- 32:20out of every paycheck we get. You know, if you add up all the
- 32:23things you pay for, perhaps you get just a little bit more than
- 32:26half of the the wage that your employer pays.
- 32:32That 30 percent, 40% of it goes to a shared pool of easy money
- 32:38for these politicians. And what they do is they now use
- 32:41that money to promise their friends and family different
- 32:45beautiful things. And that demand is endless.
- 32:49There's endless number of parties in a society that just
- 32:52want more and more from these politicians.
- 32:55And they're going to just trade those tax dollars with with
- 32:59votes and the guarantee that they'll remain in power for a
- 33:04longer time. And this always creates a lot
- 33:08more pressure to spend than we have money.
- 33:11And as you aptly mentioned, Fiat actually allows us to spend more
- 33:17than we have and again, socialize the cost and have
- 33:22everybody else pay for whatever plan that a politician, you
- 33:30know, devises as a deal with the stakeholder that they're dealing
- 33:35with. And so this is this is what's,
- 33:38you know, democratic system is doing.
- 33:40They are they are extracting value from the society and
- 33:44creating a tragedy of Commons with the resource that's a tax
- 33:50dollar. So when they tell me that, you
- 33:52know, some in the debate again question came up like what have
- 33:56you done to do this? What have you done to do that?
- 33:59And the answer is like, I spent so many billion dollars on this.
- 34:02I created so many tax credits for this group.
- 34:05I'm like, that's not anything you did.
- 34:08You simply took money from some other people and redistributed
- 34:12it to other redistributed to other people.
- 34:16You didn't create any value in that in that work.
- 34:19You simply moved someone someone's money and gave it to
- 34:24someone else. Most of the answers, most of the
- 34:28politicians think the job is to is to just redistribute
- 34:33resources from one person to the other.
- 34:35But in fact, most of the economic problems doesn't need
- 34:40anything. The solution is not, you know,
- 34:42the answer is not telling me where you spent money.
- 34:46The answer is just get away. I mean, get out of the way and
- 34:50don't do anything. So that's the right answer.
- 34:53But what we hear from both sides is I spend money here, I will
- 34:57spend money there. I'll create tax credits here.
- 35:01But the solution to our problems is for these people to do
- 35:04nothing. Absolutely nothing. 100% yeah.
- 35:08Like if they just got out of the way it would be, you know it
- 35:12like so that's that's the thing. And we just we have so much work
- 35:17to do guys as an edge on on an educational level.
- 35:19Also appreciate all of you guys zapping us some zats, some some
- 35:24zats, some sats on ZAP dot stream opting real quick about
- 35:282-3 minutes and then we'll go into the new segment.
- 35:31Yeah, hold on I I think I need an accord over here anyway.
- 35:34Anyways, but really kind of doubling down on what Sina was
- 35:38saying, the real issue here is not taxing wealthy people.
- 35:44But I think the signal here, or rather the, you know, the the
- 35:48message behind what Elizabeth Warren is saying is that most
- 35:51people are just really economically illiterate.
- 35:54They just don't understand how things work.
- 35:56It's obviously an emotional plea that Elizabeth Warren is saying
- 35:59right now. It is fashionable right now to
- 36:01think that it's the wealthy people that are ruining the
- 36:03country, that it's the wealthy people that are taking advantage
- 36:06of the average everyday person, where in reality we're all
- 36:09getting poorer because of Fiat money, because government debt,
- 36:12because government words is our money right now.
- 36:16All you have to do is trust in the system.
- 36:17And they're going to continue to flood the system with more Fiat
- 36:20money in it, which is going to devalue everything.
- 36:23And so when you hear them say we just need to tax the rich more
- 36:26so that you can have affordable whatever in reality, I always
- 36:30just look at it. It's them deflecting from the
- 36:33real problem. Hence why I started this with, I
- 36:35didn't hear one point in that whole debate last night about
- 36:39them printing more money or them stopping to print money.
- 36:42All I heard is what Cena was saying is like, oh, I spent
- 36:45billions of dollars to fix this. And it's like, that is the
- 36:48fundamental issue here is the amount of money that is being
- 36:50created, which is devaluing all of our holdings and all of our
- 36:55wealth. And if you aren't wealthy enough
- 36:56to own assets, you're getting, you're getting poorer, you're
- 37:00you're getting wrecked by the system.
- 37:02The system is designed in a way where if you do not hold assets,
- 37:06if you are only saving in dollars, you are going to get
- 37:08poorer. And this is by design.
- 37:11And even if you really take into account Elizabeth Warrens
- 37:14strategy or bill of taxing the wealthy, it's also a cap on
- 37:19whether you have social mobility, whether you can
- 37:21actually move up in the system. You there's never going to be an
- 37:23escape from this. Everything I'm hearing is just
- 37:26different mechanisms to keep everyone else poor and keep
- 37:30their at this point, you know, cartel or military over the OR
- 37:34sorry, cartel or mafia over the money printing that is going to
- 37:38keep us all in perpetual poorness forever.
- 37:40This is why we Bitcoin is so you can save in something that they
- 37:44can't control, control that they can't debase.
- 37:46And this is the whole point. This is This is why Bitcoin
- 37:49really pulls a trump card on the Fiat system.
- 37:52It they're they can't financially engineer the system
- 37:56anymore. With Bitcoin though, they're
- 37:57going to try. The real problem is they don't
- 38:00know how to balance a checkbook. This is the problem.
- 38:03They're spending more money than they have.
- 38:05And it seems to be OK on the federal level.
- 38:08But when we do it on an individual level, you go
- 38:11bankrupt. Do you know the US has already
- 38:13been bankrupt? And Elon's been saying like the
- 38:15US is about to go bankrupt. It's like, man, what happened in
- 38:181971? What happened in 1913 when the
- 38:21Federal Reserve was created? It's like we've been on this
- 38:24runaway train for a long time. And now we have a fix, which is
- 38:28Bitcoin. And more people need to wake up
- 38:30to it and more people need to learn to it.
- 38:32More people need to invest their capital and their wealth in
- 38:34Bitcoin. And things will start to change.
- 38:37And it's happening in. It's slowly but surely it's
- 38:39happening. Absolutely, 100%.
- 38:42All right, everybody, before we move on to the new segment, stay
- 38:45tuned because we're going to talk about Max Keiser's theory,
- 38:48the global hash war. It's playing out in real time.
- 38:52This is going to be the next 5 to 10 years.
- 38:54It's going to be it's going to be Bitcoin growing up, heading
- 38:59to the next phase. So stay tuned.
- 39:01We'll be right back. Let's head into the news.
- 39:03Let's do this. Here we go.
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- 41:08wallet. All right, everybody, so let's
- 41:11talk about this. Here's Max Keiser being
- 41:13interviewed by Isabella Santos at the Bitcoin Conference in
- 41:16Nashville, 2024. Everyone comes to Bitcoin
- 41:20eventually. You get it at the price you
- 41:21deserve. Everything goes to zero against
- 41:23Bitcoin. OK, Donald Trump's learning
- 41:25curve on Bitcoin just started and you know, he's like a lot of
- 41:28people that come to Bitcoin and said, I just found Bitcoin,
- 41:31here's how you improve it. No, you are second to Bitcoin.
- 41:35You will have to bend the knee to Bitcoin just like everybody
- 41:38else. Bitcoin is on its own vector.
- 41:40What does the United States or the.
- 41:42President that is in the election have to do, you know,
- 41:45to bend the knee, he has to make Bitcoin legal tender.
- 41:48He has to start putting Bitcoin on the treasury of the US
- 41:51government and he has to start in the Bitcoin global hash war.
- 41:54Every country is not going to be adding Bitcoin to the reserve
- 41:56status to compete in the global hash war in the 21st century.
- 41:59That's World War Bitcoin. You have to have Bitcoin.
- 42:02It's a it's a mad scramble to get more Bitcoin because the
- 42:05Fiat money world is collapsing. So if you want to win World War
- 42:08Bitcoin, you need to start accumulating and hoarding and
- 42:11buying and stacking Bitcoin aggressively as soon as
- 42:14possible. And that's hopefully the US is
- 42:17already far behind. You know, I wish them luck.
- 42:22So, OK, a couple of things to unpack here, right?
- 42:25First thing is the this idea of the global hash war, right?
- 42:30And that you'll see more and more countries try to get
- 42:34exposure to Bitcoin in a a variety of different ways.
- 42:38Also, one thing I do want to mention about Macs, Max was
- 42:43telling people about Bitcoin since it was basically a dollar,
- 42:48right? He's been around the block.
- 42:51He's, you know, Bitcoin OG. And remember back then, a lot of
- 42:56people reacted to Max the same way that potentially some people
- 43:00are reacting to Max when he's talking about, you know, the
- 43:04Bitcoin global hash war. It it it's like like, what are
- 43:07you talking about? A mad scrambled a Bitcoin like
- 43:09never going to see that happening.
- 43:10Well, it's already happening. And I'll make the case for you
- 43:12guys right now. First in El Salvador, El
- 43:15Salvador, they've made their reserves public.
- 43:18Every single day they acquire one Bitcoin.
- 43:21It continues to go up, not to mention their mining capacity.
- 43:24Also, we have the CEOs of large publicly traded Bitcoin miners
- 43:30saying stuff like Bitcoin is a national security concern for
- 43:35this country. Let's take let's take a look at
- 43:37what the Marathon CEO has to say.
- 43:40Bitcoin is of national security concern for this country.
- 43:44Russia is the world's second largest Bitcoin mining nation.
- 43:48Countries that operate on a Bitcoin standard from a
- 43:51perspective of transacting and holding Bitcoin can transact
- 43:55outside of the sanctions environment.
- 43:57They can transact outside of government controls.
- 44:00If the US does not have a substantial amount of Bitcoin
- 44:04mining on shore, they can be locked out and U.S. companies
- 44:09can be locked out of transacting their Bitcoin.
- 44:12So strategic ownership of block spaces of a national security
- 44:16concern. And that's why with 40% of
- 44:19global Bitcoin mining in the US, the US must maintain at
- 44:24dominance, not just in Bitcoin mining, but also in the holding
- 44:29of Bitcoin assets in U.S. companies, whether they're ETFs,
- 44:33whether they're Bitcoin mining companies, whether it's
- 44:35MicroStrategy. But the US must maintain
- 44:38dominance because by the same reason the US holds 40% of the
- 44:41gold reserves in the world, they can exert influence in financial
- 44:45markets. They have to do that as the
- 44:47world transitions to digital currencies.
- 44:49OK, it's incredibly well said. Ben, do you have anything you
- 44:51want? So what, what does that remind
- 44:54you of with what Kaiser was saying, right?
- 44:57Kaiser was saying in a prophetic way like this, this Kaiser has
- 45:02been saying this for years. You have to understand that.
- 45:06And then you now have the, I believe his name is Fred Teal.
- 45:09You have the CEO of Marathon saying we have to like the we
- 45:14have to stay on top of this. And then you had Trump at the
- 45:18Bitcoin conference literally saying, which is just common
- 45:22sense. If the Bitcoin doesn't take,
- 45:25sorry, if the United States doesn't take a leadership role
- 45:28within the Bitcoin industry, then China's going to do it.
- 45:31And here's the beautiful thing about all of this, guys,
- 45:34specifically if like you're not American or you're whatever,
- 45:37like look at it from this way, when country, and this is a
- 45:41theory from the sovereign individual.
- 45:42When countries start competing for your business and your
- 45:47Bitcoin and you're a Bitcoin holder, you know who wins?
- 45:51You do the individual, anyone who is holding Bitcoin is
- 45:55actively working for you. That's something that people
- 45:58have to understand. That's something that you have
- 46:00to wrap your head around and shout out to Kaiser for once
- 46:04again being prophetic in this and just noticing because it's
- 46:08the game theory playing out now. Fred Thiel said something really
- 46:11interesting about Russia. Guess what, ladies and
- 46:15gentlemen? Russia just legalized Bitcoin
- 46:18mining and Bitcoin for international trade.
- 46:23This happened September 1st was when the bill went into action.
- 46:28So could you imagine a country like Russia, which you can make
- 46:32a very strong case as an authoritarian regime with Putin?
- 46:36Could you imagine why they would see the necessity to make
- 46:42something like Bitcoin legal tender?
- 46:45Sorry, not legal tender. They would make Bitcoin mining
- 46:49legal. Why do you think that's
- 46:52happening? Well, they see exactly what Mac
- 46:55sees. They see exactly what the CEO of
- 46:58Marathon sees. It's not an option.
- 47:01It's a necessity as the world transitions to digital assets.
- 47:05Now, this isn't just happening in the United States and Russia.
- 47:08This is something that's happening worldwide.
- 47:11This is something that we mentioned a couple days ago.
- 47:14Japan's largest electricity provider explores Bitcoin mining
- 47:19with surplus renewable energy. So now you have the largest
- 47:25energy provider in Japan is actively mining Bitcoin.
- 47:30This is not an isolated incident.
- 47:32We've talked to you guys about the Kingdom of Bhutan.
- 47:35Bhutan partnered with one of the large, one of the world's
- 47:38largestly public traded, publicly traded Bitcoin miners
- 47:41bit deer. And guess what?
- 47:44They increased their mining capacity from 100 megawatts to
- 47:52600 megawatts, meaning they added 500 megawatts of mining
- 47:58capacity and infrastructure right before the halving.
- 48:02What does that tell you about what they anticipate is going to
- 48:08be Bitcoins future price appreciation?
- 48:12You don't make that type of investment into Bitcoin mining
- 48:16with the halving around the corner, if you don't believe
- 48:21that the dollar term, the appreciation of Bitcoin is going
- 48:25to continue into the future. So now you have the United
- 48:29States, you have Russia, you have Japan, you have El
- 48:32Salvador, you have Paraguay and energy companies as well.
- 48:36Actually, this came out two years ago.
- 48:38Exxon Mobil is mining Bitcoin in North Dakota as part of its
- 48:42plans to slash emissions. So the writing is on the wall.
- 48:47And I think it's a it's a game of musical chairs.
- 48:50It's a game of very, very big musical chairs.
- 48:53Why? Because unlike gold and I and I,
- 48:59I told you guys this yesterday, I like physical gold, but
- 49:04physical gold isn't absolutely scarce.
- 49:06You don't know how much gold is in the ground.
- 49:07You don't know how much gold is floating in outer space.
- 49:11When the price of gold goes up, the amount of gold production
- 49:14goes up with it. So the average inflation rate of
- 49:17gold is roughly like 2 to 3% on a yearly basis.
- 49:21The inflation rate of Bitcoin right now is at 1.38% and it's
- 49:28guaranteed to get cut in half in four years and four years after
- 49:33that, it's going to get cut in half again.
- 49:36Bitcoin is absolutely scarce. And if you're are, there's
- 49:42roughly 50 to 60 million millionaires all around the
- 49:45world, but there's only 21 million Bitcoin.
- 49:49Do the math. And then not to mention, it's
- 49:52not only the millionaires that are competing for this, it's
- 49:55nation states, it's public companies like Michael Saylor.
- 49:58Michael Saylor has proven that his strategy is outperforming
- 50:04everyone, including NVIDIA. Like, like what is coming is
- 50:10essentially people realizing that, holy cow, we need to get a
- 50:14hold of this asset. The problem for a lot of these
- 50:18governments and a lot of these millionaires, a lot whatever is
- 50:21that there's only 21 million Bitcoin.
- 50:24Are you going to sell your Bitcoin to them?
- 50:26I'm not going to opti. Are you going to sell your
- 50:29Bitcoin to BlackRock or Russia or any of these nation states?
- 50:34Cena, are you going to sell your Bitcoin to BlackRock and Russia
- 50:38and any of these nation states? No.
- 50:40So what's going to happen? The price is going to go up.
- 50:43I'm still not going to sell it because I'm not in this for the
- 50:45money anymore. I'm in this for the freaking
- 50:47revolution, baby. Anyway, Cena, what are your
- 50:50thoughts on all this? Is Max Keiser saying crazy
- 50:53things? Do you agree with his
- 50:55perspective? What's your take?
- 50:58Yeah. The first thing I'll say is for
- 51:00a lot of us, you know, Bitcoin is, is a solution to the to a
- 51:05lot of the economic problems and perhaps beyond that and
- 51:10important to realize that, you know, making money or think of
- 51:14it, thinking of it as an investment is one part of it.
- 51:16But what really, really excites me is, is the fact that I think
- 51:21I truly believe that Bitcoin adoption of Bitcoin is a step
- 51:25forward. It's going to improve economics.
- 51:28It's going to create more and more wealth for a lot of people
- 51:31and solve, solve the issue. So to me, the revolution part is
- 51:37extremely important and extremely relevant.
- 51:40And it just, that's what excites me.
- 51:42I remember just bursting into, I was crying when I heard El
- 51:47Salvador adopting Bitcoin. Not because I thought my bags
- 51:52are going to go up, right? Just because I, I, you know, all
- 51:54the, all the kind of all the ideas that were in our heads in
- 51:59terms of what's possible, what's how the world is going to change
- 52:02and how, how Bitcoin is going to affect change in the world.
- 52:06It was materializing. And since then, I mean, before
- 52:09and after everything is just happening according to the
- 52:13proverbial plan. I remember a few years back, I,
- 52:19I was running an educational platform with live sessions
- 52:23answering people's questions about Bitcoin.
- 52:25And something that typically came up was government is going
- 52:28to ban it. And we were explaining to
- 52:30people, hey, you know, talking about game theory, talking about
- 52:33the idea that government is not one thing.
- 52:36It's a lot of people are not a lot of stakeholders, a lot of
- 52:40parts, it's not a monolith and they will never agree on the
- 52:44same thing. And if one part of the
- 52:47government wants to ban something, another part realizes
- 52:49that there's something to be gained.
- 52:50And same idea happens across government, between governments
- 52:53as well. If one government wants to ban
- 52:56it, another government figures out, hey, we can make some money
- 52:59here. It's it's going to help us.
- 53:00It's going to help our help our treasury.
- 53:02So that was that. That was very unlikely to
- 53:05happen. But at a few years back, this
- 53:08was just an idea. It was our analysis, but just
- 53:12seeing this happen in real time, year after year, it's just
- 53:16amazing. And and we it's happening before
- 53:21our eyes and we just have to see it and a lot of people don't,
- 53:24right. This is how you miss some of the
- 53:26biggest changes in the world by just not looking.
- 53:30And you know, this year we've had some of the biggest changes
- 53:33in Bitcoin adoption, obviously with the ETFs, approval of the
- 53:38ETFs, Wall Street is coming to Bitcoin.
- 53:43We heard of pension funds. Some of the most conservative
- 53:48institutions are now investing. Wisconsin Board of WISPI, think
- 53:57I forgot the full name. They are now investing and they
- 54:00will definitely do more and more.
- 54:02And 17, more than $17 billion of Wall Street money has come to
- 54:07Bitcoin. Then we have specific companies
- 54:11that are learning from Michael Saylor and taking a page from
- 54:14his playbook. There's Similar Scientific.
- 54:16He will be a mini Michael Saylor in the next few quarters.
- 54:21Similar Scientific is a medical device manufacturer and his CEO.
- 54:26Just listen to, you know what the CEO says.
- 54:29It's exactly Michael Saylor type stuff in terms of conviction and
- 54:33belief in Bitcoin and and so on. We also have the same thing
- 54:39happening outside of the US. Like there's a meta planet in
- 54:41Japan that's exactly doing this. Another Michael Saylor move.
- 54:45And there will be many, many more that we're not we're just
- 54:48not hearing of, right. It's many institutions are
- 54:51silently adopting Bitcoin and taking positions without
- 54:55disclosing it. Some have incentive to disclose
- 54:58it, but a lot of them do not. They they think they won't gain
- 55:01much by by doing that. It's much better to silently
- 55:05accumulate and we, if you just use your imagination, you'll see
- 55:11many things are happening below the surface and they will, we
- 55:15will, we will see them as time goes on.
- 55:17Same thing happening with nation states.
- 55:19We have El Salvador, we have several other nation states
- 55:23interested in adopting it, putting it on their treasury.
- 55:26And we have several other countries that are interested
- 55:29and and I'm sure they're actively investing in expanding
- 55:33their mining operations. And a very simple one is say you
- 55:39talk about Russia, but we also haven't heard much concrete
- 55:43plans for from the Middle East and oil producing countries.
- 55:46Do you think they have an incentive to mine Bitcoin?
- 55:50Well, if you have so much oil, if you have so much gas, so much
- 55:55energy, and there is an international buyer that doesn't
- 56:00require you to agree to anything, it's a perpetual
- 56:05buyer. You can sell your energy to that
- 56:07system anytime, 24/7 and and get a handsome, handsome money for
- 56:14it. You don't need any permission to
- 56:16participate in anyone's money. You simply use your energy to
- 56:19mine Bitcoin. So it's a perpetual importer of
- 56:23energy. Do you think the oil exporters
- 56:25are interested in in mining and getting into the game?
- 56:28Of course, at any level you think about it, there is
- 56:32adoption and people sometimes get so impatient they just want
- 56:36the price to moon, you know, this weekend.
- 56:39But everything is happening according to, you know what we
- 56:44were expecting that the trend I just put out A to it as well,
- 56:48showing the the trend of Bitcoin addresses.
- 56:52And it's very interesting you see Bitcoin going from a bull
- 56:56market to a bear market, but the trend of adoption is the same,
- 57:00almost the same like in the past 10 years, we've been adding 50
- 57:04million addresses every year. And as I say this, I guarantee
- 57:07there is someone that's typing, hey, addresses don't mean number
- 57:10of people. One address can represent so
- 57:14many people and so many people can represent one address, of
- 57:16course. But still, this is a rough
- 57:19proxy, right? You can also improve it by
- 57:22limiting the size of address to a certain number of dollars.
- 57:25But I've looked at all these things and the same, the same
- 57:29idea comes out. You know, Bitcoin is growing
- 57:32regardless. It's a network and it's
- 57:35benefiting from the power of networks in in expanding and
- 57:41getting stronger as they grow right So actually if you look at
- 57:45the bitcoins growth it's it's a power of three in time.
- 57:51So as Bitcoin age increases, the, the size, the number of
- 57:58addresses grow proportional to the a cube of age, something
- 58:03like that. So it's, and it's been doing
- 58:07that like forever. It's, it's funny because it
- 58:09doesn't matter like what huge things are happening.
- 58:13It doesn't matter if the price is down, doesn't matter if the
- 58:15price is up. Network is growing and the world
- 58:19is smart enough to realize we have a great solution to a lot
- 58:22of a lot of our problems. And if we just join this
- 58:24network, it's going to be much better for us and much better
- 58:27for people around us. So it's a selfish thing, but
- 58:31also it's a, it's a revolution, a step towards improving the
- 58:36world as well. And and you, we simply have to
- 58:40kind of acknowledge what's going on. 100% and it and it's
- 58:45monumental. And I would say it's like I, I
- 58:48wouldn't say it's selfish. I would say it's like Bitcoin's
- 58:51an aligned incentive structure system.
- 58:53So the miners acting out of their own self-interest, the
- 58:57Hodlers, the node operators. And I think it's very difficult
- 59:01for if you're coming from the Fiat world and it's like, what
- 59:04do you mean? Everyone could win?
- 59:05And you're like, yeah, basically.
- 59:07Like it doesn't mean that everyone has the same purchasing
- 59:10power like Michael Saylor has. You could leverage his company
- 59:13and he has billions of dollars, but you're still going to
- 59:18benefit from that price appreciation just as much as
- 59:20Michael Saylor. And Michael Saylor is going to
- 59:22have to buy spot Bitcoin just like everyone else, right?
- 59:25It's not a system of special privileges and it's a system
- 59:28with aligned incentives. So anyways, I do want to
- 59:30continue this conversation, but let's get to the culture real
- 59:33quick and then we'll continue talking to see.
- 59:35Now let's check it out. All right everybody, before we
- 59:50continue to station with CNA to hand it off to Opti, I do want
- 59:53to give a shout out to our sponsor, the Orange Pull app
- 59:56Stack friends who stack SAT's join the 12,233 Bitcoiners that
- 1:00:00are currently on the app. The Orange Pull app is your
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- 1:00:29download the orange pull up today, scan the QR code or check
- 1:00:33the link in the video description.
- 1:00:35Anyways, Cena, you were on a you know I love that I love it.
- 1:00:39You're on a legendary rant. I want to continue that.
- 1:00:43I'm going to hand it off to Opti.
- 1:00:44I'm sure Opti has some questions prepared and I also do want to
- 1:00:47want to give you know where credit is due.
- 1:00:52Cena, your resume is quite impressive.
- 1:00:54PhD, you're a professor. I saw MIT in your bio as well.
- 1:00:59So this is a very intelligent individual who's who's in front
- 1:01:02of us today. And he's also the COO of 21st
- 1:01:07Capital. So anyways, I just wanted to say
- 1:01:09that Opti it's all. Yours.
- 1:01:10Yeah, yeah, let's, let's continue this, this, this, this
- 1:01:14theme of adoption. And I did pull up a couple
- 1:01:16tweets of yours. And I really like this framing
- 1:01:19that you put out there, Seema. And it's this idea of the age of
- 1:01:24Bitcoin is what matters and not the calendar year.
- 1:01:27So can you explain this? And I do have a tweet up here.
- 1:01:29So some visuals for the people. Yeah.
- 1:01:33So again, I want to go back to to the concept of a network,
- 1:01:38right. Bitcoin is a is a vehicle for
- 1:01:41storing value and transferring value, and it almost becomes a
- 1:01:48social phenomena because it's it's kind of a glue that
- 1:01:50connects human beings. And through that we create a
- 1:01:53network, right? And networks have this beautiful
- 1:01:57property that they are a lot more valuable when a lot more
- 1:02:01people join, right? We've all heard about the
- 1:02:03network effects, Metcalf's law and the idea that very roughly
- 1:02:09speaking, you know, it varies, but it's also strikingly similar
- 1:02:14across network that the value of a network is a square of the
- 1:02:18size of it. Again, like I said, many ways to
- 1:02:21define the size of a network. But if you just look at the
- 1:02:26number of addresses that we saw in the previous chart, it's
- 1:02:30funny enough that this number of address number explains a lot of
- 1:02:36the price growth. And when you run the numbers,
- 1:02:41price is price growth is a function of the square of the
- 1:02:46number of addresses. There's a multiplier there too,
- 1:02:48but it's, it's strikingly similar to what everything,
- 1:02:52every everything else we know from other networks.
- 1:02:55So it's kind of beautiful theory that that explains Bitcoin gets
- 1:03:00more and more valuable as their network grows And, and there is
- 1:03:07a lot of volatility and all I see there is the fundamental
- 1:03:11growth that's happening. And that growth is attracting a
- 1:03:15lot of crazy money to, you know, 100 X leverage guys that want to
- 1:03:19get a Lambo next week. And Bitcoin is very fair.
- 1:03:23I always say Bitcoin punishes tourists.
- 1:03:26And if you're there to just make a quick buck, Bitcoin is going
- 1:03:30to have you, you know, leave you disappointed and you're going to
- 1:03:34lose your coins. And the people who are in it for
- 1:03:37the long run and they've done the homework, they've spent
- 1:03:40hours and hours understanding this thing, they will be the
- 1:03:43more successful 1 so that there's just poetic justice and
- 1:03:47all those bull and bear markets. But if you take a slightly more
- 1:03:52quantitative approach to understanding the growth, you
- 1:03:58see that again, following the what you expect from network
- 1:04:02behavior, Bitcoin's value is very, very much proportional to
- 1:04:09its age and age. Again, why is it?
- 1:04:11Why does age matter? Because age links to adoption.
- 1:04:15And so a value value of one year was a lot more important when
- 1:04:21Bitcoin was one year old. So another year would be
- 1:04:23doubling the age, but now another year will be just taking
- 1:04:27us from 15 to 16 years old, right?
- 1:04:30So it's getting kind of less and less significant.
- 1:04:33But if you think in terms of age, the value, the price of
- 1:04:38Bitcoin is kind of behaving very in a very regular manner as a
- 1:04:45function of the age. So if the age, for example, in
- 1:04:47that chart I was showing every time the age of Bitcoin has
- 1:04:52increased by 40%, the price has 6X.
- 1:04:58And you know, there is, it's just striking because, you know,
- 1:05:01I analyze a lot of financial data and there's just, you can't
- 1:05:05find these regularities in anything else.
- 1:05:08You know, and I'm not saying this is exactly going to repeat
- 1:05:12in the future. There's a lot of caveats you
- 1:05:14have to say before, you know, you, you, you make a claim like
- 1:05:18that, but it has done this for the past 15 years and it makes
- 1:05:23total sense as it grows. 40% increase in age is as valuable
- 1:05:29now as as it was previously, so that's why you get the same
- 1:05:34multiplier of growth as time goes by.
- 1:05:38So you, I, I, I noticed the, the, there was a a slight price
- 1:05:44prediction there. I do want to bring that up.
- 1:05:49So Bitcoin grows 6X with every 40% growth in it's age.
- 1:05:56It is now 15 years old. The next 40% growth will be in
- 1:05:5920-30 and that's a 360 K Bitcoin.
- 1:06:05A lot of people would say that is quite bearish.
- 1:06:08Yeah, so I was just going to say, I guarantee someone right
- 1:06:12now is saying this is this is very bearish.
- 1:06:14But but the idea is, you know, if this pattern continues,
- 1:06:20that's what we get. That's the math.
- 1:06:21And there's nothing that we can do about it, right?
- 1:06:23We definitely want a lot more and a lot better, of course.
- 1:06:25But and and like I said, there is tons of volatility, right?
- 1:06:30This is just talking about continuation of an average
- 1:06:35pattern. And but if you add the cycles to
- 1:06:38it always, you know, if you look at all these bubbles that
- 1:06:42created, they just take the price significantly higher than
- 1:06:46a relationship like this would suggest, right?
- 1:06:49But it's not going to last for a long time, right?
- 1:06:51So you probably see super, super high numbers, but there will be
- 1:06:55lots of volatility. And but I'd like to just because
- 1:06:58I don't care much about the ups and downs.
- 1:07:01I like to think in terms of fundamentals, in terms of growth
- 1:07:04and adoption. So what really matters to me is
- 1:07:06that red dashed line just keeping keep doing what it's
- 1:07:11been doing. Like if that grows, if the
- 1:07:13average grows, I don't care if the price goes a lot higher or a
- 1:07:17lot lower, as long as it just reverts back to the mean.
- 1:07:21But yeah, that's the same relationship which suggests that
- 1:07:25another 40% which is 21 years old, 20-30 there, the average
- 1:07:30will be this, but you probably have much higher top and perhaps
- 1:07:36a little bit lower for the bottom of the bear market that
- 1:07:38happens then. Yeah, I, I think this is a low
- 1:07:42key kind of bullish because of what I heard is basically 2030
- 1:07:46bear market is going to be 360 K like I, I, I, I think we could
- 1:07:51live with that. You know, we know it's going.
- 1:07:53To go. Higher, but it's going to go
- 1:07:54down to 360 K like I, I could get behind this.
- 1:07:57I, I think we still have cycle theory playing out for the next
- 1:08:00couple of years. So I, I think there's some some
- 1:08:03logic to this, but go Nico. I cut you off.
- 1:08:05Sorry. There is some other topics here
- 1:08:06but Nico flush this out. Yeah, so, and let's talk about
- 1:08:09next year. So a lot of people are, you
- 1:08:12know, Bitcoins chopping sideways.
- 1:08:14You know, a lot of people are getting unmotivated.
- 1:08:18And one of the one of the theories that we're hearing this
- 1:08:21cycle is this whole idea of diminishing returns.
- 1:08:24So people are saying, oh, you know, 2025, yeah, we might peak,
- 1:08:29but we'll peak at 100K Bitcoin, 120 K Bitcoin, you know, 200K
- 1:08:33Bitcoin. And I think a lot of people
- 1:08:35potentially, you know, feel a little bit underwhelmed on on
- 1:08:40those price levels. What would be your response to
- 1:08:42them? Listen, all I see is not not too
- 1:08:48long ago we were at 16 K and everybody was just crying and
- 1:08:52there was blood in the street. In a super short amount of time,
- 1:08:57we've gone up. What is it like for 57 today?
- 1:09:01I think that I think that's quite amazing if you just
- 1:09:05learned about Bitcoin when it was like at 75 and after all,
- 1:09:08the effect of initial effect of ETFs was priced in and a ton of
- 1:09:16excitement was created that that's a little bit, you know,
- 1:09:19that's not a great time to enter.
- 1:09:21And it's totally understandable for people to to, you know, to
- 1:09:26get disappointed when the price is low and it's also choppy.
- 1:09:29It's chopping is like one of the hardest things for people to
- 1:09:33they wrap their minds around because it goes up and makes you
- 1:09:35optimistic and then crashes. And then when it crashes, you
- 1:09:39probably get bearish and then next week it goes up.
- 1:09:42So it, it kind of makes you think, OK, I was wrong.
- 1:09:45A bull market is, you know, resuming, but now next week
- 1:09:48again, it crashes. So it plays with people's
- 1:09:50psychology and I, you know, in a, in a perverse way, I, it's
- 1:09:58kind of funny to watch this, how price action messes up people's
- 1:10:03brain. And if you, but if you look at
- 1:10:07history, this is nothing new. Like we've had this pattern
- 1:10:10every time because Bitcoin is a kind of behaves like a spring
- 1:10:16and when it's coiled and compressed, it explodes at once
- 1:10:23and then it, it spends a lot of time just getting compressed
- 1:10:27again. So compression is very slow and
- 1:10:30explosion is very fast. And and that's actually also not
- 1:10:34a new concept to Bitcoin. Many financial assets do work
- 1:10:37like this. If, if you run the numbers on
- 1:10:39S&P 500, you'll probably find that most of the gains come in
- 1:10:43like 3-4 days in a year and the rest of the year is just boring
- 1:10:48price action. That's that's why, by the way,
- 1:10:51that's why huddling is very important and staying invested,
- 1:10:54not trying to time the market. You probably can time like
- 1:10:57little moves here and there, but you're going to miss the biggest
- 1:10:59move, right? So this is exactly what we want.
- 1:11:03I mean, after the move from 16 to 75 and right now 57, we want
- 1:11:10to spend some time. I mean the market has to absorb
- 1:11:13how has to kind of absorb enough capital to make these price
- 1:11:17levels sustainable and that's going to form a new bottom for
- 1:11:21us. And kind of like you were
- 1:11:23saying, the, you know, thinking about the bottom improving is
- 1:11:27very important. The bottom is going up, but then
- 1:11:30you have a lot of volatility that obfuscates it.
- 1:11:34And all I see here is that we're just accumulating more and more
- 1:11:39economic energy in the in the system to to form a great basis
- 1:11:43and great foundation for the next leg up.
- 1:11:46Absolutely. I'm 100% agree with that.
- 1:11:48So we are getting close to the top of the hour.
- 1:11:50I I. I you want one last question.
- 1:11:53And I think this is a good way to end the show because it does
- 1:11:55tie into the whole theme of today's show.
- 1:11:58We've seen a we've mentioned that you are a professor and I
- 1:12:02have this great tweet here. And I think it's going to kind
- 1:12:05of like really hammer home this idea of proper economic
- 1:12:09education. So just reading this first part,
- 1:12:11you said, I began a class showing that business
- 1:12:14transactions are not extractive win loss and are value adding
- 1:12:19win win activities. And a student came up to you and
- 1:12:21said you basically blew her mind.
- 1:12:23And this is just emphasizing the importance of proper economic
- 1:12:28education. So just tying up today's show
- 1:12:31with the theme of it's so easy to gaslight everyone because
- 1:12:34they don't understand economics. They're they're economically
- 1:12:37illiterate. Can you just end the show on why
- 1:12:40you think it's so important for proper economic education?
- 1:12:43And then maybe even touch a little bit on what exactly is
- 1:12:46that proper economic education. Yeah, listen, you know, the only
- 1:12:50reason, as you you guys also very well mentioned in the
- 1:12:55beginning, the only reason these politicians can't trick us is
- 1:12:58because we are not thinking enough about, you know, the
- 1:13:01economic side of things. And a lot of people are not
- 1:13:04educated properly. The reason they get excited that
- 1:13:07they get a handout for buying certain things.
- 1:13:11They get support from the government for down payment on a
- 1:13:15house. The reason you get excited about
- 1:13:16these things because you don't know where that money is coming
- 1:13:19from. What are the implications of it?
- 1:13:21The reason we get fooled by Elizabeth Warren saying that
- 1:13:25businesses are price gouging and taking advantage of people is
- 1:13:29because we don't understand economics properly and and
- 1:13:34Marxist socialist ideologies are are kind of doing a lot of
- 1:13:38damage here. They're convincing people,
- 1:13:41especially poor people that are, you know, truly hurting to think
- 1:13:45that the reason that they're suffering is that the other
- 1:13:49side, which is the business, is unnecessarily raising the
- 1:13:52prices. Why can't you just sell the same
- 1:13:55thing to me at a cheaper price? And they're perpetuating this
- 1:13:58cycle of, you know, people wanting to steal from the
- 1:14:02wealthy. And if you really think about
- 1:14:06it, that the price occurs for a reason.
- 1:14:09If something is expensive, my question is why isn't another
- 1:14:13producer joining the market to to produce it as a cheaper
- 1:14:16price? Because if you're, if you're
- 1:14:18just gouging the price and it should be a lot lower, there is
- 1:14:21money to be made. There is another actor that can
- 1:14:24join the economy and produce the same thing at a much lower
- 1:14:26price. Everyone will be happy.
- 1:14:28The reason it's not happening is either because there's no price
- 1:14:31gouging or some crazy lost some crazy rule is preventing another
- 1:14:36entrepreneur doing the right thing.
- 1:14:38In both cases, we don't need government.
- 1:14:41We don't need politicians to put put it, use a hammer and put
- 1:14:44pressure on prices to go down. And you don't understand all
- 1:14:48these things when you have this framework of extraction.
- 1:14:51So when I buy something, the seller is stealing my money.
- 1:14:56Now I lost money, they gain money.
- 1:14:58That thinking is the philosophy behind socialism, right?
- 1:15:04So if that's the case, you always want them to give
- 1:15:07everything for free to you. But in the other way to look at
- 1:15:10it is if you paid $100 for something, well, you are not
- 1:15:14crazy. You, you did it voluntarily.
- 1:15:17And that only means you got more value, more than $100 out of
- 1:15:22that transaction. So if you analyze it this way,
- 1:15:27any economic transaction, if it is voluntary, if now, but nobody
- 1:15:30is forcing you to do it, is, is a win win.
- 1:15:33So you need more transactions. And if somebody's getting rich
- 1:15:36in that kind of free market, it's great.
- 1:15:39It's the most ethical thing they could do.
- 1:15:42Getting rich means you produced a ton of value for other human
- 1:15:46beings. That's respectable.
- 1:15:48That means you were just much more helpful to everybody else.
- 1:15:51And that's a complete opposite way of, you know, socialist
- 1:15:55think and they're training our kids to think incorrectly like
- 1:15:59that. 100% Well, This is why, you know, education, Bitcoin
- 1:16:03education is so important. The separation of money and
- 1:16:06state is so important. I don't think socialism can
- 1:16:09exist. I mean, it's in the it's the 5th
- 1:16:11tenet of the Communist manifesto, the necessity for a
- 1:16:13central bank, right? So I think Bitcoin, you know,
- 1:16:17fixes these things for sure. And it also, you know, just
- 1:16:20holding Bitcoin, I think it, I think it fixes you, you know,
- 1:16:24it, it definitely makes you feel empowered.
- 1:16:27It gives you a true appreciation of the value of money.
- 1:16:31And you know what, you know what, what money could, what
- 1:16:34actually what actual sound money could do for you.
- 1:16:36So anyways, we're getting to the top of the hour.
- 1:16:39I do want to thank our guests today, Cena from 21st capital.
- 1:16:44Cena, what is 20 First Capital? Where could people find it?
- 1:16:49What is it about? Who's it for?
- 1:16:52So to be brief in at 21st Capital we solve every question
- 1:16:58you might have about Bitcoin. So we are an advising company.
- 1:17:01A lot of our work is around hand holding people to teach them how
- 1:17:06to how to custody their coins. If you have a question about
- 1:17:10hardware wallet, if you have a problem with your wallets, if
- 1:17:13you have a problem with locating your funds, if you have a
- 1:17:16problem with any aspect of purchasing, storing and gaining
- 1:17:22sovereignty over your money, we can help.
- 1:17:26We also help people with legacy planning.
- 1:17:30We also create custom courses. Actually, a a few weeks back, we
- 1:17:34just finished a, a course that was designed specifically for a
- 1:17:40family. And a highlight of it was after
- 1:17:46we finished the course that, which was like in the 50s, he
- 1:17:51reached the conclusion that the existing system is a scam, just
- 1:17:56like, just like Nico was saying. And so we do education as well.
- 1:18:03And then we also have begun putting more and more
- 1:18:05quantitative analysis around it. So if you have any any kind of
- 1:18:10those questions, reach out to us.
- 1:18:13We'd be happy to chat. Absolutely.
- 1:18:15I'm going to put it in the chat for you guys as well and in the
- 1:18:18video description. And I do want to thank our
- 1:18:21guests for joining us today and giving us these awesome
- 1:18:25insights. So appreciate you, Cena.
- 1:18:27Thank you so much for coming on again.
- 1:18:29He's the COO of 21st Capital. Go to 20firstcapital.com today.
- 1:18:34And of course, my legendary Cos, Optimus Fields.
- 1:18:37This was your episode for September 11th.
- 1:18:42I just, I just realized the date and that's pretty sad.
- 1:18:46Yeah, yeah. September 11th, 2024 and, and
- 1:18:53we're Simply Bitcoin Live. We love you all.
- 1:18:54We appreciate everybody and thank you guys so much for
- 1:18:58tuning in. And we'll see you on tomorrow,
- 1:19:01tomorrow's episode of Simply Bitcoin Live.
- 1:19:03Peace out, everybody. You buy bitcoinwell.com, a
- 1:19:08Bitcoin only platform, on a mission to enable financial
- 1:19:11independence.