Latest / Gil I Am / Milton Friedman...Myths That Conceal Reality
Transcript
- 0:11Speaker 1: Gives me the great pleasure to present to you today,
- 0:14Speaker 1: Professor Milton Friedman, If you're much, I want to talk
- 0:32Speaker 1: today about the contrast between myths that are widely believed
- 0:42Speaker 1: by the public at large and what I regard as
- 0:45Speaker 1: a reality which typically contradicts those myths. As you are
- 0:51Speaker 1: all aware, there has been a drastic shift in public
- 0:57Speaker 1: attitudes and public opinions in the past fifty years or
- 1:01Speaker 1: so with respect to the role of the individual on
- 1:04Speaker 1: the one hand, and the role of government and collective
- 1:07Speaker 1: institutions on the other. There has been a shift in
- 1:10Speaker 1: the philosophy and attitudes of the public from a belief
- 1:15Speaker 1: in individual responsibility, a belief in a society in which
- 1:20Speaker 1: the role of government was as an umpire, to a
- 1:25Speaker 1: belief in a society in which the emphasis is on
- 1:29Speaker 1: social responsibility and the role of government as big brother
- 1:34Speaker 1: and protector of the individual. As always, when such shifts
- 1:39Speaker 1: arise in public opinion, they are largely produced and reinforced
- 1:46Speaker 1: by the development of myths about prior experience. Someone once wrote,
- 1:54Speaker 1: and I'm not sure who it was, that a myth
- 1:57Speaker 1: is like an air mattress. There's nothing in it, but
- 2:02Speaker 1: it's wonderfully comfortable, and deflation causes an uncomfortable jolt. Well,
- 2:10Speaker 1: my purpose today is to give you that jolt. When
- 2:16Speaker 1: myths get established and are adopted, they tend to be
- 2:20Speaker 1: so strongly held, they tend to become so much a
- 2:24Speaker 1: part of you that when anyone comes along and differs
- 2:28Speaker 1: with them and contradicts them, he risks automatically being dismissed
- 2:33Speaker 1: as a crackpot. But I shall nonetheless take the risk
- 2:39Speaker 1: of being dismissed as a crackpot, because it seems to
- 2:43Speaker 1: me so urgent that we deflate these myths, recognize what
- 2:48Speaker 1: the reality is, in order to be able to provide
- 2:51Speaker 1: a basis for a change in our philosophy, a reversal
- 2:57Speaker 1: of the direction of our thought. In my opinion, if
- 3:00Speaker 1: we do not do so, if we continue on the
- 3:03Speaker 1: road we have been going, if we continue to rely
- 3:06Speaker 1: more and more on government and less and less on
- 3:08Speaker 1: the individual, we are condemned to a future of tyranny
- 3:13Speaker 1: and misery. And therefore it seems to me essential for
- 3:16Speaker 1: the future of this country that we recognize these myths
- 3:20Speaker 1: for what they are and just our thinking to a
- 3:26Speaker 1: correct perception of our present and our pest. I'm encouraged
- 3:32Speaker 1: in this venture by another quotation, one which comes from
- 3:38Speaker 1: a nineteenth century American humorist by the name of Josh Billings,
- 3:42Speaker 1: who wrote somewhere, it ain't what people know that causes trouble.
- 3:48Speaker 1: It's what they know that ain't so. And that's when
- 3:52Speaker 1: I'm going to devote this talk to to trying to
- 3:55Speaker 1: tell you about some things you know that ain't so.
- 3:59Speaker 1: I am going to try to cover five myths that
- 4:02Speaker 1: are part of your thinking, and if they're not part
- 4:05Speaker 1: of your thinking, they will tend to become so after
- 4:07Speaker 1: you take your first course in American history. The first
- 4:13Speaker 1: of those myths is a robber baron myth, the myth
- 4:17Speaker 1: that somehow or other, in the nineteenth century there was
- 4:21Speaker 1: an era of rugged, unrestrained individualism, in which heartless monopoly
- 4:26Speaker 1: capitalists exploited the poor unmercifully and ground them beneath their heels.
- 4:33Speaker 1: The second myth I'm going to talk about is a
- 4:35Speaker 1: Great Depression myth, the myth that the Great Depression from
- 4:39Speaker 1: nineteen twenty nine until the late thirties was produced by
- 4:43Speaker 1: a failure of private enterprise. The third myth I want
- 4:46Speaker 1: to talk about is the demand for government service myth,
- 4:51Speaker 1: the myth that government has had a step in because
- 4:55Speaker 1: of a failure of the private market and a great
- 4:58Speaker 1: widespread demand for government services. The fourth myth I'm going
- 5:04Speaker 1: to talk about was suggested by mister Eccles and his
- 5:08Speaker 1: introduction It's a free lunch myth, the myth that there
- 5:11Speaker 1: is such a thing as a free lunch. And the
- 5:14Speaker 1: final myth I want to talk about is the robin
- 5:16Speaker 1: Hood myth, the myth that somehow or other, government operates
- 5:20Speaker 1: by taking money from the rich and giving it to
- 5:22Speaker 1: the poor. Let me start with the first of those myths,
- 5:27Speaker 1: the robber Baron myth, the myth that in the nineteenth
- 5:31Speaker 1: century was a period in which the rich became richer
- 5:34Speaker 1: and the poor poorer. That it was a century in
- 5:37Speaker 1: which you had a conflict between wall street and the workingman.
- 5:43Speaker 1: That it was a period in which, particularly the farmers
- 5:46Speaker 1: of the Middle West were being ground beneath the rapacious
- 5:52Speaker 1: activities of the wall street financiers, in which there was
- 5:56Speaker 1: widespread farm distress and misery. Now, this myth had its
- 6:00Speaker 1: origins in the nineteenth century. It produced the widespread greenback
- 6:06Speaker 1: movement that you will learn about in your history books.
- 6:09Speaker 1: A Party, which at one time reached significant size, a
- 6:14Speaker 1: party devoted to the idea that all of the problems
- 6:17Speaker 1: of the time could be solved if only the government
- 6:20Speaker 1: would print enough of those nice pieces of paper which
- 6:24Speaker 1: are laia colored green on the back, in which are
- 6:26Speaker 1: called greenbacks. It was a period that also gave rise
- 6:30Speaker 1: to the free silver movement, to WILLIAMS Jennings Bryan, the
- 6:34Speaker 1: silver tongued orator from North Platt, if I remember rightly
- 6:38Speaker 1: from these areas, who gave his famous speech on the
- 6:43Speaker 1: Cross the Gold in eighteen ninety six in Chicago at
- 6:46Speaker 1: the Democratic Convention, in which he asked whether mankind shall
- 6:50Speaker 1: be crucified on across the Gold, a speech which got
- 6:54Speaker 1: him the presidential nomination of the Democratic Party, and he
- 6:58Speaker 1: subsequently was a nominee of the of the Democratic Party
- 7:02Speaker 1: for several subsequent elections, fortunately never elected. That was a myth,
- 7:11Speaker 1: what was the reality. The reality is that there is
- 7:16Speaker 1: almost no period in human history which saw as rapid
- 7:21Speaker 1: and widespread and increase in the well being of the
- 7:24Speaker 1: ordinary man as a nineteenth century. That was a period
- 7:30Speaker 1: when millions of people from all over the world streamed
- 7:33Speaker 1: to these shores. They came here with empty hands, in
- 7:38Speaker 1: the hope and the belief that they could make a
- 7:39Speaker 1: better life for themselves than their children, and they succeeded.
- 7:44Speaker 1: I suspect that most of the people in this room
- 7:48Speaker 1: who are American residents and citizens today are descendants of
- 7:54Speaker 1: the people who came to these shores in that period.
- 7:57Speaker 1: I know, to take the immediate local case, the Eccles
- 8:01Speaker 1: family derives from a Scotsman who came to this country
- 8:08Speaker 1: in the middle of the nineteenth century. My parents came
- 8:12Speaker 1: here in the eighteen nineties from a part of Europe
- 8:16Speaker 1: which is today part of the Soviet Union, although at
- 8:18Speaker 1: that time it was part of Hungary, and I suspect
- 8:21Speaker 1: most of the people in this room have similar background. Now,
- 8:25Speaker 1: do you suppose those people kept coming to these shores
- 8:28Speaker 1: in order to be exploited? Do you think they came
- 8:31Speaker 1: here to be ground under the heels of rapacious monopoly capitalists.
- 8:35Speaker 1: Not a bit of it. A few people might have
- 8:38Speaker 1: been led here under misapprehension. You conceivably could have had
- 8:42Speaker 1: an initial inflow of people who thought they were going
- 8:46Speaker 1: to improve their lot and ended up being worse off.
- 8:50Speaker 1: But you would not have had a continuing inflow. They
- 8:52Speaker 1: would not have sent back to the old country for
- 8:55Speaker 1: their relatives and friends. You would not have had a
- 8:58Speaker 1: flow of millions upon millions year after year. And of
- 9:02Speaker 1: course they were not exploited, they were not ground under
- 9:05Speaker 1: the hill. They got jobs. They spread out west to
- 9:08Speaker 1: the middle west, to the far west, to where we
- 9:10Speaker 1: are now, and they made of what was a desolate
- 9:14Speaker 1: country a country that was prosperous and green and productive,
- 9:19Speaker 1: and improved their own lot. With respect to agriculture in particular,
- 9:25Speaker 1: that was a period when the number of farmers increased.
- 9:29Speaker 1: It was a period when the price of farmland rose. Now,
- 9:34Speaker 1: of course, then is now every farmer would have liked
- 9:38Speaker 1: it better if he had done still better. What happened then,
- 9:42Speaker 1: of course, was that the spread of farms, increasing productivity,
- 9:48Speaker 1: the development of machinery, the bringing under the plow of
- 9:53Speaker 1: productive land led to a great increase in production, which
- 9:57Speaker 1: led to a decline in the prices of farm products.
- 10:00Speaker 1: So it's true the prices of farm products went down,
- 10:04Speaker 1: but that was a sign of success. It was not
- 10:06Speaker 1: a sign of failure. And the evidence that it was
- 10:10Speaker 1: a sign of success was arise in the price of farmland.
- 10:15Speaker 1: After all, if this decline in the price of products
- 10:19Speaker 1: had been a sign of failure, if it had been
- 10:22Speaker 1: an indication that the farmer was being ground under the
- 10:24Speaker 1: heel of Wall Street, why would people have been willing
- 10:28Speaker 1: to pay higher and higher prices for the land from
- 10:30Speaker 1: which those crops were produced. So the actual story is
- 10:35Speaker 1: one of a great growth of productivity and agriculture, a
- 10:38Speaker 1: great development of agriculture in this country. If we turned
- 10:44Speaker 1: to the to the charge that that was a period
- 10:50Speaker 1: of heartlessness, a period in which the rich were willing
- 10:55Speaker 1: to say, let the public be damned, as one man
- 10:59Speaker 1: was quoted incorrectly as saying, if we turned to that charge,
- 11:04Speaker 1: let me call to your attention to the nineteenth century,
- 11:08Speaker 1: the period when we came the closest we've ever come
- 11:11Speaker 1: to pure unrestrained individualism, a period when government spending, the
- 11:16Speaker 1: spending of the federal government in Washington amounted to less
- 11:21Speaker 1: than three percent of a national income, when essentially you
- 11:24Speaker 1: had no restrictions on immigration and few restrictions on economic activity.
- 11:29Speaker 1: Let me point out that that was also the period
- 11:31Speaker 1: of the greatest flowering of charitable activity in the United States.
- 11:37Speaker 1: That was a period when you had the establishment of
- 11:40Speaker 1: so many independent private schools and colleges around the country.
- 11:44Speaker 1: It was a period when the private, nonprofit alamotionnary hospitals
- 11:51Speaker 1: grew and sprouted in every city in the land. It
- 11:55Speaker 1: was a period of the Carnegie Libraries. It was a
- 11:57Speaker 1: period of the founding of the Society for the prevent
- 12:00Speaker 1: Cruelty to Animals. You name it and you will find
- 12:04Speaker 1: that the charitable emotionary activities date back to the period
- 12:09Speaker 1: of the nineteenth century. So the robber baron myth is
- 12:14Speaker 1: a myth, one that should be deflating. It gets its
- 12:18Speaker 1: appeal from a common fallacy, from the fallacy that one
- 12:24Speaker 1: man's gain must be another man's loss. Of course, it
- 12:27Speaker 1: is true that many men became wealthy during that period.
- 12:31Speaker 1: There were robber barons. There always are robber barons. People
- 12:34Speaker 1: are people, Some are good, some are bad, some are
- 12:37Speaker 1: in between, and of course some people did try to
- 12:42Speaker 1: mistreat other people. That is part of the course of history, unfortunately.
- 12:48Speaker 1: But the main part of the starting is that the
- 12:53Speaker 1: process whereby some people became wealthy was also the process
- 12:57Speaker 1: which opened up the country and provided opportunity for millions
- 13:01Speaker 1: of other people to have a modest competence, to be
- 13:04Speaker 1: able to improve their own lot. It was the robber
- 13:07Speaker 1: barons who were instrumental in building the railroads that joined
- 13:11Speaker 1: the country together, who are instrumental in developing the industries
- 13:15Speaker 1: of this country, and in thereby providing the opportunities for
- 13:19Speaker 1: the ordinary man to improve his lot on life. Everybody
- 13:23Speaker 1: can benefit. You can have some people become wealthy, not
- 13:27Speaker 1: at the expense of other people, but by enabling other
- 13:31Speaker 1: people to become wealthy. We had robber barons then, and
- 13:35Speaker 1: we have robber barons today. But there's a big difference
- 13:39Speaker 1: between the robber barons then and the robber barons today.
- 13:42Speaker 1: The robber barons then primarily could get their money only
- 13:47Speaker 1: if people freely gave it to them. They got their
- 13:50Speaker 1: money by selling a service, and nobody had to buy it,
- 13:53Speaker 1: and if people bought it, it was because it was
- 13:55Speaker 1: a better service than it was before. The robber barons
- 13:59Speaker 1: today are in large part able to get their money
- 14:02Speaker 1: by sending a policeman to take the money out of
- 14:05Speaker 1: your pocket. Now that's a figurative expression on a literal expression.
- 14:09Speaker 1: But how do you become wealthy today? By getting government
- 14:13Speaker 1: assistance to mention only one very famous example, by getting
- 14:20Speaker 1: government to assign you some TV licenses or by getting
- 14:30Speaker 1: anyone of a large variety of other sources of government support.
- 14:36Speaker 1: If you look at where modern wealth comes from, it
- 14:40Speaker 1: almost always comes from political influence, which enables you to
- 14:44Speaker 1: get benefits at the expense of the public at large.
- 14:48Speaker 1: Now that is a zero sum game. When the money
- 14:52Speaker 1: is transferred from some to others through force and coercion
- 14:56Speaker 1: and the taxpayer, then it need not be that the
- 14:59Speaker 1: one man's be is also the other man's benefit. Then
- 15:03Speaker 1: it can, and often is, that both parties that the
- 15:08Speaker 1: party who gains gains at the expense of the party
- 15:10Speaker 1: who pays. So robber barons will always be with us.
- 15:14Speaker 1: The crucial question is whether we have a form of
- 15:17Speaker 1: economic organization in which one robber baron keeps the other
- 15:23Speaker 1: robber baron in check, or whether we have a form
- 15:26Speaker 1: of economic and political organization in which one robber baron
- 15:30Speaker 1: can help the other robber baron at the expense of
- 15:32Speaker 1: the public. I want to turn to the second of
- 15:35Speaker 1: these myths, the Great Depression myth. There is hardly any
- 15:39Speaker 1: view that is more widespreadent then the view that somehow
- 15:43Speaker 1: or other, the Great Depression was produced by a failure
- 15:46Speaker 1: of private business. That view is held not only by
- 15:51Speaker 1: those who are in favor of greater role of government.
- 15:55Speaker 1: It is held by almost everybody. I venture to suggest
- 15:58Speaker 1: that if you go to any bankers, the peace people
- 16:00Speaker 1: who are here today at this banking conference, and if
- 16:03Speaker 1: you talk to them, I venture to say nine out
- 16:05Speaker 1: of ten of them, if they didn't hadn't heard what
- 16:09Speaker 1: I'm going to send, that nine out of ten of
- 16:14Speaker 1: them would say, well, of course, the Great Depression was
- 16:18Speaker 1: a failure of private business. It was due to an
- 16:21Speaker 1: over extension over speculation in the nineteen twenties. Or it
- 16:25Speaker 1: was due to an excessive concentration of wealth in the
- 16:28Speaker 1: hands of the wealthy at the expense of the poor
- 16:31Speaker 1: in the nineteen twenties, or it was due to the
- 16:33Speaker 1: spectative investment abroad, or whatnot. But it was a failure
- 16:37Speaker 1: of private business, and government had to step in in
- 16:41Speaker 1: order to rescue private business from its own failure. Nothing
- 16:46Speaker 1: could be farther from the truth. The Great Depression was produced.
- 16:51Speaker 1: In my opinion, and I may say this is not
- 16:54Speaker 1: a random opinion. I will be glad to refer you
- 16:57Speaker 1: to a several hundred page book in which it is documented.
- 17:01Speaker 1: I won't tell you who the author is mister Eccles
- 17:07Speaker 1: did that it was produced. The Great Depression was produced
- 17:13Speaker 1: by a failure of government, by a failure of monetary policy.
- 17:17Speaker 1: It was produced by a failure of the federal reserve
- 17:20Speaker 1: system to act in accordance with the intentions of those
- 17:24Speaker 1: who established it. It was produced by a failure of
- 17:28Speaker 1: the Federal reserve system, despite the presence of knowledge on
- 17:33Speaker 1: the part of many of the people in the system
- 17:36Speaker 1: about the right course of action. It's interesting to speculate
- 17:40Speaker 1: for a moment about why this myth is so widespread.
- 17:44Speaker 1: The answer is really very simple. In this case, private
- 17:49Speaker 1: enterprize has no press agents, the free market has no
- 17:54Speaker 1: press agents. The government has a great many press agents,
- 17:58Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve has a great many press agents. And
- 18:02Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve, of course, would never admit, never proclaim
- 18:06Speaker 1: that it produced the Great Depression. On the contrary, and again,
- 18:10Speaker 1: I don't mean to be criticizing individuals. We're talking about
- 18:16Speaker 1: the way institutions operate. You and I are the same
- 18:19Speaker 1: as all the rest of us. We're all the same.
- 18:22Speaker 1: The hardest thing in the world is for anybody to
- 18:24Speaker 1: admit that he made a mistake. If any one of
- 18:27Speaker 1: us makes a mistake. We can always find somebody else
- 18:30Speaker 1: to blame. And if you read, as I have, for
- 18:34Speaker 1: my sins had to read the annual reports of the
- 18:38Speaker 1: Federal Reserve System over a fifty year period, there's only
- 18:43Speaker 1: one element of humor that lightens that test, and that
- 18:47Speaker 1: is the cyclical fluctuation and the powers of the Federal Reserve.
- 18:54Speaker 1: In a good year, when things are good, when the
- 18:56Speaker 1: economy is booming, you will read that the Federal Reserve,
- 19:00Speaker 1: by its wise policy, by its efficacious management of money,
- 19:05Speaker 1: has produced this fine situation. However, let things get bad,
- 19:11Speaker 1: and all of a sudden the tone of the annual
- 19:13Speaker 1: report is different. Then you discover that despite the best
- 19:17Speaker 1: efforts of the Federal Reserve, outside forces combined to produce difficulties.
- 19:26Speaker 1: Even at the depth of the depression. In nineteen thirty three,
- 19:31Speaker 1: when in the spring of that year, the Federal Reserve System,
- 19:37Speaker 1: which had been established in order to prevent banking panics
- 19:40Speaker 1: and keep banks from closing, when the Federal Reserve System
- 19:43Speaker 1: itself closed its doors and you had a banking holiday
- 19:47Speaker 1: for seven days, and when over the previous three years
- 19:53Speaker 1: a third of the banks of this country closed their
- 19:56Speaker 1: doors and went broke because in my opinion of the
- 20:01Speaker 1: poor policy followed by the Federal Reserve System even in
- 20:05Speaker 1: nineteen thirty three. If you read the annual report, you
- 20:07Speaker 1: will discover how much worse things would have been if
- 20:09Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve hadn't behaved so well. Now, as I say,
- 20:14Speaker 1: I don't blame the members of the Federal Reserve for that.
- 20:17Speaker 1: Any one of us would do the same thing. We
- 20:18Speaker 1: have to find somebody to blame. But as an objective's scholar,
- 20:23Speaker 1: I can tell you what the facts are. The facts
- 20:26Speaker 1: were that from nineteen twenty nine to nineteen thirty three,
- 20:32Speaker 1: the total quantity of money in the United States, the
- 20:35Speaker 1: amount of currency, the amount of bank deposits, what mister
- 20:40Speaker 1: Ecchels referred to as M two. That total amount of
- 20:43Speaker 1: money declined by one third. The total number of banks
- 20:49Speaker 1: went down by And why did the quantity of money decline?
- 20:53Speaker 1: It declined because the Federal Reserve system failed to prevent
- 20:57Speaker 1: the decline. The Federal Reserve system could have prevented the
- 21:00Speaker 1: decline at all times. There never was a moment during
- 21:04Speaker 1: that period when the Federal Reserve did not have the
- 21:07Speaker 1: power to prevent the decline in the quantity of money.
- 21:10Speaker 1: If it had prevented the decline in the quantity of money,
- 21:13Speaker 1: you might still have had a recession, but it would
- 21:16Speaker 1: have been a garden variety of recession. It would have
- 21:18Speaker 1: been over in the middle of nineteen thirty or early
- 21:21Speaker 1: in thirty one at the latest. It would not have
- 21:23Speaker 1: been the major catastrophe not only for this country but
- 21:27Speaker 1: throughout the rest of the world. The Moreover, this is
- 21:33Speaker 1: not only hindsight. At all times, the people at the
- 21:39Speaker 1: Federal Reserve Bank of New York and at a number
- 21:43Speaker 1: of other banks were pleading with the Federal Reserve Board
- 21:46Speaker 1: in Washington to do the right thing. At all times,
- 21:50Speaker 1: there were people in Congress who were arguing that the
- 21:53Speaker 1: Federal Reserve System should take a different course. At all times,
- 21:58Speaker 1: there were outside commentators. One of the Canadian banks was
- 22:03Speaker 1: particularly prescient, but there were other commentators who were pointing
- 22:07Speaker 1: out the disastrous effects on the American economy of the
- 22:11Speaker 1: restrictive policies that the Federal Reserve System was following and
- 22:15Speaker 1: which was causing was permitting and facilitating a whole series
- 22:19Speaker 1: of bank runs. So the Great Depression was not produced
- 22:23Speaker 1: by a failure of business. On the contrary, it was
- 22:27Speaker 1: produced by a failure of government, and a failure of
- 22:30Speaker 1: government in an area in which responsibility had been assigned
- 22:35Speaker 1: to government since the founding of this country. The Constitution
- 22:39Speaker 1: of the United States. It gives Congress the power to
- 22:43Speaker 1: coin money and set the value thereup. And it was
- 22:46Speaker 1: in the management of this fundamental function of government that
- 22:50Speaker 1: government failed and produced the Great depression. We have learned
- 22:55Speaker 1: from that failure. The Federal Reserve will not fail in
- 22:58Speaker 1: the same way again. This time it will fail in
- 23:01Speaker 1: a different way. This time it has been failing not
- 23:08Speaker 1: by producing a great depression, but by producing an inflation.
- 23:13Speaker 1: Because just as you will hear the story that it
- 23:17Speaker 1: was business that was responsible for the depression, so you
- 23:20Speaker 1: will today hear the story that it is labor and
- 23:23Speaker 1: management that are responsible for inflation. It is the same
- 23:26Speaker 1: kind of a myth. Inflation is made in one place,
- 23:30Speaker 1: in one place only, Washington, d C. And in Washington,
- 23:34Speaker 1: d C. The chief source, immediate source of inflation is
- 23:39Speaker 1: a Greek temple on Constitution Avenue, in which houses the
- 23:43Speaker 1: Federal Reserve Board. An accomplice, and a major accomplice, of course,
- 23:49Speaker 1: sits in the halls of Congress in Washington. They are
- 23:53Speaker 1: a major accomplice because you tell them to be. The
- 23:57Speaker 1: American people have been telling Congress for many year years,
- 24:01Speaker 1: spend more money on us, please, But they've been telling us,
- 24:04Speaker 1: don't raise our taxes. Congress has been listening. It's been
- 24:08Speaker 1: spending more money on you. But on the other hand,
- 24:11Speaker 1: it's been very unwilling to raise taxes. As a result,
- 24:15Speaker 1: it has imposed inflation as a tax. That's one tax
- 24:19Speaker 1: that you don't have to vote for, but you have
- 24:22Speaker 1: to pay. Let me turn to the third of the
- 24:25Speaker 1: myths I want to cover. This is a myth closely
- 24:30Speaker 1: related to the Great Depression myth. It is a myth
- 24:34Speaker 1: that somehow or other, the private market has failed to
- 24:39Speaker 1: provide certain important services and the government has had to
- 24:45Speaker 1: step in in response to an overwhelming public demand in
- 24:50Speaker 1: order to provide those services. The reality is very different.
- 24:55Speaker 1: The reality is that if you look at every program
- 24:58Speaker 1: that the government has adopted in the direction of extending
- 25:02Speaker 1: its scope, it took an enormous propaganda campaign by special
- 25:07Speaker 1: propaganda groups to get those measures passed. There was no
- 25:12Speaker 1: underlying public demand for those measures. On the contrary, the
- 25:17Speaker 1: demand had to be created, It had to be developed,
- 25:20Speaker 1: it had to be produced and it was created, it
- 25:23Speaker 1: was developed, It was produced by people who, sincerely, I'm
- 25:27Speaker 1: not questioning their sincerity, who sincerely wanted to see an
- 25:31Speaker 1: expansion in the scope of government. Let me take some
- 25:34Speaker 1: of the most prominent examples. Let me take the example
- 25:37Speaker 1: which today is the greatest sacred cow of them all,
- 25:42Speaker 1: social Security. Was there an overwhelming demand for social security
- 25:47Speaker 1: in the nineteen thirties when the law was adopted. Far
- 25:50Speaker 1: from it, There was no public demand for it. It
- 25:53Speaker 1: had to be sold. How was it sold by the
- 25:57Speaker 1: slickeest devices of Madison Amnea, by imaginative packaging and deceptive labeling.
- 26:04Speaker 1: Social Security was sold as an insurance scheme. It is
- 26:08Speaker 1: not an insurance scheme. There is very little relationship to
- 26:12Speaker 1: the amount of money any one individual pays and the
- 26:15Speaker 1: amount of money he is entitled to receive. Social Security
- 26:19Speaker 1: is a combination of a bad tax system with a
- 26:22Speaker 1: bad way of distributing welfare. It's got two components, and
- 26:28Speaker 1: I have never known anybody, whatever his political or other persuasion,
- 26:32Speaker 1: who would defend either components. Separately. If you look at
- 26:36Speaker 1: the tax system, who can defend a wage tax, a
- 26:41Speaker 1: tax on wages up to a maximum, A tax on work.
- 26:45Speaker 1: A tax which discourages employers from hiring people and discourages
- 26:50Speaker 1: people from going to work. Then a tax which is
- 26:54Speaker 1: borne by the lowest wage groups. It's a regressive tax.
- 26:58Speaker 1: You could never in a millions of years Sundays, you
- 27:04Speaker 1: could never have gotten such a tax passed as a tax.
- 27:10Speaker 1: Look at the benefit arrangements here. You have an arrangement
- 27:15Speaker 1: under which the amount of money a person receives does
- 27:18Speaker 1: not depend on his poverty or his indigence. It depends
- 27:21Speaker 1: on the accident of what industry he worked in. If
- 27:24Speaker 1: he happened to work in a covered industry, he gets
- 27:29Speaker 1: a benefit. If he happens to work in a non
- 27:32Speaker 1: covered industry, he doesn't. If he has only worked a
- 27:37Speaker 1: certain number of quarters and not more, no matter how
- 27:40Speaker 1: much how indigent he is, he doesn't get anything. If
- 27:45Speaker 1: he's sixty five and he decides to continue to work
- 27:50Speaker 1: earning more than a modest amount per year, not only
- 27:53Speaker 1: doesn't he get a benefit, but to add insult injury,
- 27:55Speaker 1: he has to pay taxes on the wages he is
- 27:58Speaker 1: receiving in order to finance the benefit he is not receiving.
- 28:07Speaker 1: If a man who is sixty five years old has
- 28:10Speaker 1: a million dollars in income from property he is and
- 28:14Speaker 1: doesn't work, he gets his full Social Security benefit tax free.
- 28:19Speaker 1: If the same man goes to work and earns twenty
- 28:22Speaker 1: thousand dollars a year, he is in the position I
- 28:25Speaker 1: just described. He doesn't get any benefit. Is there anybody
- 28:28Speaker 1: who would justify that system of distributing benefits? And I
- 28:31Speaker 1: could go on to all the difficulties with it, I've
- 28:35Speaker 1: only touched the surface. Note the misleading language. The Social
- 28:44Speaker 1: Security system consistently refers to the taxes you pay as
- 28:48Speaker 1: a contribution. Now tell me do you regard taxes as contributions.
- 28:55Speaker 1: The word contribution denotes voluntary arrangements. If you buy an
- 28:59Speaker 1: inshe insurance program, you are contributing freely. If you contribute
- 29:04Speaker 1: to the United Way freely, you're contributing freely. But if
- 29:08Speaker 1: you pay taxes on your wages as the conditions of
- 29:11Speaker 1: being employed, that's a tax. It's not a contribution. Again,
- 29:16Speaker 1: it always refers to the payments people get as benefits.
- 29:20Speaker 1: They are not benefits, they're subsidies. What you have is
- 29:24Speaker 1: a system of subsidizing people on the one hand, and
- 29:27Speaker 1: of taxing it. What about the claim that it's insurance
- 29:30Speaker 1: that there's a relationship between the two. Well, there is
- 29:33Speaker 1: a minor relationship. It is true that on the whole,
- 29:38Speaker 1: those people who pay more will receive more other things
- 29:43Speaker 1: the same, But every student of the subject has pointed
- 29:47Speaker 1: out that the relationship is very small, that most payments
- 29:51Speaker 1: are independent of most receipts. Moreover, what you really have
- 29:56Speaker 1: is not a system under which people are providing for
- 29:59Speaker 1: their own security as a social security system. Will say
- 30:02Speaker 1: it as they describe it in their pamphlets. They describe
- 30:06Speaker 1: it as a way in which ninety percent of American
- 30:08Speaker 1: workers are providing for their own future. That's nonsense. What
- 30:12Speaker 1: people today are doing is paying taxes today to pay
- 30:16Speaker 1: the subsidies to the people who are receiving benefits today.
- 30:20Speaker 1: What you have is a system of taxing the young
- 30:23Speaker 1: at any point in time to subsidize the old. Now,
- 30:26Speaker 1: there may be nothing wrong with that. For the moment,
- 30:29Speaker 1: I'm not discussing that issue. I'm discussing whether social security
- 30:33Speaker 1: was a response to a broad scale public demand or
- 30:36Speaker 1: whether it had to be sold to the people by
- 30:39Speaker 1: the worst devices of Madison Avdey. And the answer is
- 30:43Speaker 1: that clearly was the latter. What you have is a
- 30:46Speaker 1: system under which people today are being taxed to pay
- 30:48Speaker 1: benefits today to the people who are receiving them. So far,
- 30:55Speaker 1: those people who have been receiving payments have received much
- 30:59Speaker 1: more than the actuarial value of what they paid. That's
- 31:03Speaker 1: because you've had a growing working force, You've had higher
- 31:06Speaker 1: wages being paid. Wage rates have gone up very rare.
- 31:10Speaker 1: I mean, the wage tax has gone up very sharper.
- 31:13Speaker 1: But the number of recipients is growing relative to the
- 31:17Speaker 1: number of people paying. And that's why Social Security is
- 31:20Speaker 1: currently in so much financial trouble. That's why the so
- 31:24Speaker 1: called reserve, which is not a reserve at all, the
- 31:28Speaker 1: so called reserve has been getting smaller and smaller, and
- 31:33Speaker 1: that's why you have all the agitation for Congress to
- 31:36Speaker 1: do something to make Social Security again financially responsible again.
- 31:41Speaker 1: For the moment, I'm not discussing whether Social Security or
- 31:44Speaker 1: the separate parts are good or bad, but only whether
- 31:47Speaker 1: it can be regarded as a program adopted in response
- 31:51Speaker 1: to a great public demand. Let me take another more
- 31:54Speaker 1: recent movement. Consider the imposition on you and me and
- 31:58Speaker 1: on our automobiles of all sorts of safety equipment, so
- 32:03Speaker 1: called safety equipment nothing to prevent us individually from buying it,
- 32:08Speaker 1: but now we are required to buy it by government.
- 32:11Speaker 1: Why was there a great public demand? Not at all.
- 32:15Speaker 1: There was a man named Ralph Nader. Now maybe he
- 32:18Speaker 1: arose in response to a public demand, but if so,
- 32:22Speaker 1: it was a public demand for entertainment, not for safety.
- 32:29Speaker 1: But Ralph Nader launched a major propaganda campaign, and as
- 32:34Speaker 1: a result of this propaganda campaign, as a result of
- 32:37Speaker 1: a great selling effort also characterized by misrepresentation. Also, as
- 32:43Speaker 1: you know, his original weapon was a book safe unsafe
- 32:48Speaker 1: at any price, which damned the Corvair as being an
- 32:52Speaker 1: unsafe and a knowingly unsafe car. Later studies have demonstrated
- 32:58Speaker 1: that his claim was not justified, but that did not
- 33:01Speaker 1: prevent it from having its effect. It did not prevent
- 33:04Speaker 1: it from adopting it. But the extent to which this
- 33:07Speaker 1: did not result from a great public clamor can be
- 33:10Speaker 1: shown by what has happened whenever the agency that was
- 33:19Speaker 1: established to administer auto safety regulations has overstepped its bounds.
- 33:24Speaker 1: You will recall it a few years ago it tried
- 33:27Speaker 1: to impose the requirement of an interlock, that no car
- 33:30Speaker 1: could be started unless the seat belts were fastened and
- 33:34Speaker 1: that produced such a great public outcry that Congress stepped
- 33:37Speaker 1: in and had to be rescinded. You are now having
- 33:43Speaker 1: a similar kind of a controversy about the airbag. Or again,
- 33:47Speaker 1: let me take a very different example, one which has
- 33:50Speaker 1: not yet emerged, fortunately, the drive for national health insurance.
- 33:55Speaker 1: Is there a widespread drive for national health insurance? Not
- 33:59Speaker 1: so you can notice it. Indeed, the proponents of it
- 34:03Speaker 1: have been trying to get it passed year after year,
- 34:05Speaker 1: and so far they haven't gotten it passed. As I say, fortunately,
- 34:09Speaker 1: because if so called national health insurance were passed, it
- 34:13Speaker 1: would bear as little relationship to insurance as social security does.
- 34:17Speaker 1: It's not a program for national health insurance at all.
- 34:20Speaker 1: It's a program for socialized medicine. It's a program for
- 34:23Speaker 1: making physicians government employees. It's a program for creating long
- 34:31Speaker 1: waiting lines and inferior medical service. But that isn't the
- 34:35Speaker 1: way it's labeled. But the pressure for it is having
- 34:39Speaker 1: to be created and built up by propaganda. Or again,
- 34:43Speaker 1: let me take another modern version. Has the FDA's been
- 34:47Speaker 1: on saccharin been in response to a great public outcry
- 34:50Speaker 1: for it? Let me turn to the fourth of my myths.
- 34:57Speaker 1: The free lunch myth beif that somehow or other government
- 35:01Speaker 1: can spend money at nobody's expense. I don't know how
- 35:07Speaker 1: many of you have ever heard of a wonderful description
- 35:11Speaker 1: of government that was made by a French economist by
- 35:14Speaker 1: the name of Frederick Bostiat about one hundred and fifty
- 35:17Speaker 1: years ago. He said, government is a fiction whereby everybody
- 35:22Speaker 1: believes that he can live at the expense of everybody else.
- 35:27Speaker 1: And that is the free lunch myth, the myth that
- 35:31Speaker 1: somehow or other government can provide goods and services can
- 35:36Speaker 1: spend money at nobody's expense. Now, the particular form which
- 35:41Speaker 1: that myth takes is very specific. It has two parts.
- 35:49Speaker 1: One part is a belief that somehow or other you
- 35:52Speaker 1: can tax business without consumers or workers or individuals paying
- 35:58Speaker 1: for it. Somehow business there is a big source, a
- 36:02Speaker 1: big cornucopia out there that can be taxed at no cost.
- 36:06Speaker 1: And the other way it form the myth takes is
- 36:09Speaker 1: that you can create money at no cost, that if
- 36:11Speaker 1: you turn the printing press, if you produce those greenbacks,
- 36:15Speaker 1: that will enable people to become richer with nobody becoming poorer. Well,
- 36:19Speaker 1: let me look at first problem. Can you tax business,
- 36:23Speaker 1: what's business? There's no business to be taxed. There are people.
- 36:30Speaker 1: Only people can pay taxes. Can I tax this floor?
- 36:34Speaker 1: Can I tax the building? The building can't pay taxes.
- 36:38Speaker 1: Only people can pay taxes. So when you talk about
- 36:41Speaker 1: a tax on business, it has to be paid by somebody.
- 36:45Speaker 1: Either it's paid by the stockholder, or it's paid by
- 36:50Speaker 1: the customer, or it's paid by the worker. There's no
- 36:53Speaker 1: other way it can come from. There's no there's no ass,
- 37:01Speaker 1: no tooth fairy that's going to provide a source by
- 37:06Speaker 1: which the government can spend money that doesn't come from somebody.
- 37:10Speaker 1: Somebody has to pay. And yet, over and over again
- 37:16Speaker 1: you hear the claim, oh, we cannot, we must not
- 37:19Speaker 1: increase taxes on individuals, will increase taxes on business. In
- 37:23Speaker 1: connection with the current discussion of social security, this fiction arises.
- 37:29Speaker 1: There is a fiction that the Social Security tax is
- 37:33Speaker 1: half on the individual and half on the employer. It's
- 37:38Speaker 1: that that the individual only pays five point seventy five percent.
- 37:42Speaker 1: The employer plan plays it pays an equal amount. That's nonsense.
- 37:47Speaker 1: That's bookkeeping, that's not economics, that's not reality. The part
- 37:51Speaker 1: that the employer pays is part of his wage cost.
- 37:55Speaker 1: If an employer considers whether it's worth his while to
- 37:59Speaker 1: hire an additional worker, he has to consider as part
- 38:03Speaker 1: of his cost not only what he pays to the worker,
- 38:06Speaker 1: but also the extra taxes he will have to pay
- 38:08Speaker 1: to the government. It makes no difference to the employer
- 38:12Speaker 1: at all if he pays the worker a bigger check
- 38:15Speaker 1: and the worker pays a larger part of that directly
- 38:17Speaker 1: to the government, or he pays a worker a smaller check,
- 38:21Speaker 1: but an addition has to send a check to Washington.
- 38:24Speaker 1: What matters to him is a total number of dollars
- 38:27Speaker 1: it costs him to hire an additional person. So the
- 38:30Speaker 1: fact is, the logic is the reason is that the
- 38:35Speaker 1: tax on, the so called tax on the employer, is
- 38:37Speaker 1: paid by the employee. Now this has always been clear
- 38:43Speaker 1: from economic reasoning general economic reasoning, but it has also
- 38:47Speaker 1: been subjected to empirical test in a book even from
- 38:51Speaker 1: that from that tempo of belief in greater and bigger government,
- 38:59Speaker 1: the Brookings and Station in Washington, published a couple of
- 39:04Speaker 1: years ago, demonstrated empirically that the tax on the employer
- 39:10Speaker 1: was really paid by the employee, that it was shifted
- 39:13Speaker 1: to the employee. And it can't be any other way,
- 39:15Speaker 1: as you will see if you think about it. So
- 39:17Speaker 1: business doesn't pay that tax. And yet despite this, you
- 39:22Speaker 1: have the great move in Congress right now in remedying
- 39:25Speaker 1: the problem of social security, to impose a larger fraction
- 39:30Speaker 1: of the tax on business on the alleged grounds that
- 39:34Speaker 1: somehow or other that spares the worker. It doesn't have
- 39:37Speaker 1: any such effect. It reduces the incentive to hire people
- 39:41Speaker 1: and thus is imposed on the worker. But again, if
- 39:46Speaker 1: you look at the taxing corporate profits, the distinction you
- 39:50Speaker 1: have to draw is between who writes the check and
- 39:54Speaker 1: who fundamentally bears the cost. It may well be that
- 39:59Speaker 1: AISI of a corporation writes the check for the tax
- 40:03Speaker 1: on profits, so called profits. He writes the check, but
- 40:07Speaker 1: who pays it? He doesn't pay it. Here is a
- 40:10Speaker 1: poor fellow who may be earning a modest competence. He
- 40:15Speaker 1: may be writing a check for ten million dollars That
- 40:17Speaker 1: isn't coming out of his hide. Where's that ten million
- 40:20Speaker 1: dollars coming from? It has to come from the proceeds
- 40:26Speaker 1: of the goods and services which the enterprise sells. And
- 40:29Speaker 1: that ten million dollars is ten million dollars less available,
- 40:33Speaker 1: either for cutting prices, or for paying out dividends, or
- 40:38Speaker 1: for paying wages and salaries. The tax is borne by people,
- 40:43Speaker 1: and for this reason I must say I have always
- 40:45Speaker 1: myself been strongly in favor of eliminating altogether the tax
- 40:50Speaker 1: on corporations. So it's open and above board that you
- 40:53Speaker 1: are taxing people, and that you do not conceal that
- 40:57Speaker 1: fact by appearing to tax corporation. Well again, with respect
- 41:01Speaker 1: to money, can you print money at no cost? It's
- 41:05Speaker 1: very cheap to turn out those pieces of paper. But
- 41:09Speaker 1: does that get society something for nothing? Not at all.
- 41:13Speaker 1: It's simply a different form of taxation. If you print money,
- 41:18Speaker 1: people have more money to spend. If they spend, If
- 41:21Speaker 1: they spend more money on the same amount of goods,
- 41:24Speaker 1: prices go up, and in effect everybody is paying a
- 41:28Speaker 1: tax through inflation. Once again, it's only a form of taxation.
- 41:34Speaker 1: Let me turn to my final myth, because it is
- 41:37Speaker 1: in some ways the most pervasive, the most dangerous, and
- 41:41Speaker 1: the most deep seated. That is a robin Hood myth,
- 41:45Speaker 1: the myth the government has benefited the poor at the
- 41:49Speaker 1: expense of the rich. That's the myth. Those are the
- 41:56Speaker 1: terms on which many a governmental program is sold. What
- 42:00Speaker 1: is the reality. The reality has been described in an
- 42:06Speaker 1: article in the Journal of Law and Economics by my
- 42:08Speaker 1: colleague George Stiegler under the title of Director's Law. And
- 42:14Speaker 1: Director is the name of Aaron Director, who is a
- 42:16Speaker 1: professor at the University of Chicago Law School. And I
- 42:19Speaker 1: might also say my brother in law. Director's law is
- 42:28Speaker 1: that almost invariably government programs benefit the middle income class
- 42:34Speaker 1: at the expense of the very poor and the very rich.
- 42:39Speaker 1: Now that may seem to you strange, but let me
- 42:45Speaker 1: first explain why it makes logical sense, and second give
- 42:50Speaker 1: you some empirical evidence, starting right here at home with
- 42:54Speaker 1: higher education and the state financing of higher education. On
- 43:01Speaker 1: the logical level, you have an eco political system under
- 43:06Speaker 1: which laws are passed by fifty one percent of the
- 43:10Speaker 1: people voting one way against forty nine percent of the people. Now,
- 43:14Speaker 1: the way to get a law pass therefore, is to
- 43:16Speaker 1: form a coalition covering fifty one percent of the people.
- 43:20Speaker 1: You might think that you would take the bottom fifty
- 43:22Speaker 1: one percent versus the top forty nine percent, But the
- 43:26Speaker 1: more you think about it, the more you realize that
- 43:28Speaker 1: that's not a very effective way to form a coalition.
- 43:31Speaker 1: Why Because those people who are at the bottom tend
- 43:36Speaker 1: to be much less skillful in political activity for the
- 43:40Speaker 1: very reasons that leave them at the bottom in the
- 43:43Speaker 1: economic scale. They are at the bottom of the economic
- 43:46Speaker 1: scale because they have low skills, or low abilities, or
- 43:49Speaker 1: low entrepreneurial capacities, or have been unfortunate to have been
- 43:52Speaker 1: born handicapped, or in groups that are discriminated against. But
- 43:56Speaker 1: those same features make them relatively less effective in political activity.
- 44:01Speaker 1: Who are the most effective people in political activity those
- 44:05Speaker 1: of us in the middle and in the middle classes.
- 44:08Speaker 1: Where are the people who are literate. Where are the
- 44:09Speaker 1: people who write for the newspapers, Where are the people
- 44:12Speaker 1: who mount the hustings, Where are the people who provide
- 44:15Speaker 1: the candidates? Well, you might say, why doesn't the coalition
- 44:18Speaker 1: come from the top, all the way down fifty one percent? Well,
- 44:22Speaker 1: the answer is the g those people at the top,
- 44:26Speaker 1: that's the place we can get a lot of money from,
- 44:29Speaker 1: and it's worth sacrificing a few votes to get a
- 44:32Speaker 1: large fraction of a tax base. And therefore the logically
- 44:36Speaker 1: most reasonable coalition is sort of fifty one percent of
- 44:39Speaker 1: the people running from the lower middle class through the
- 44:43Speaker 1: upper middle class and leaving out the very rich at
- 44:45Speaker 1: the top and the very part at the bottom. Now,
- 44:47Speaker 1: it doesn't always work that way. Sometimes the very rich
- 44:51Speaker 1: are able to use their money to get a effective coalition.
- 44:55Speaker 1: But most of the time that's the way it works. Now,
- 44:58Speaker 1: let me illustrate it in reality, in the real world.
- 45:03Speaker 1: One of my favorite examples is state finance of higher education.
- 45:09Speaker 1: This is always sold on the ground of providing opportunities
- 45:14Speaker 1: to everybody in the society to get an education. But
- 45:16Speaker 1: what are the facts. I doubt that there is any
- 45:20Speaker 1: program financed by government in the United States which is
- 45:26Speaker 1: as regressive in its impact and its financial impact as
- 45:30Speaker 1: the financing of higher schooling. Who are the people who
- 45:34Speaker 1: go to school? Who are the people who are attending
- 45:36Speaker 1: this university? Mostly people who come from middle, upper middle
- 45:43Speaker 1: or lower middle income class families. If there are a
- 45:47Speaker 1: few among you who come from lower income families, you
- 45:51Speaker 1: are going to be among the middle and upper income classes.
- 45:55Speaker 1: You are the richer among the poor. They are the
- 45:59Speaker 1: people who go to school. They are the people who
- 46:01Speaker 1: get the benefit from it. Your training here will enable
- 46:05Speaker 1: you to get higher incomes than you otherwise. Coun who
- 46:08Speaker 1: pays for it. Well, you pay for it and your
- 46:11Speaker 1: family and friends pay for it, not through tuition. I
- 46:15Speaker 1: am told your tuition covers about fifteen percent of the
- 46:17Speaker 1: cost of your schooling. The taxpayers pay for it, including
- 46:22Speaker 1: the people who don't go to school. Some years ago,
- 46:27Speaker 1: there was a study made for the state of California
- 46:30Speaker 1: which showed that fifty percent of the students at state
- 46:34Speaker 1: supporting institutions of higher education came from the top twenty
- 46:37Speaker 1: five percent of the income class, and five percent came
- 46:41Speaker 1: from the bottom twenty five percent of the income class.
- 46:45Speaker 1: This is a program. When I talk in California and
- 46:49Speaker 1: want to be demigogic, I say it's a program to
- 46:51Speaker 1: impose taxes on the people in Watts to send the
- 46:54Speaker 1: children from Beverly Hills to college. Now you here in
- 46:59Speaker 1: Utah know better what the local equivalents of that are.
- 47:03Speaker 1: Now I'm not blaming you as individuals. Again, I couldn't
- 47:07Speaker 1: do that because I myself am a beneficiary of state
- 47:10Speaker 1: support of higher education. I went through a school that
- 47:14Speaker 1: has since become a state university, Rutgers University, in the
- 47:17Speaker 1: state of New Jersey, on a state scholarship. Now I
- 47:20Speaker 1: think I benefited from going to the university, although I know,
- 47:24Speaker 1: and I think even maybe the country at large did.
- 47:27Speaker 1: Although I know there are many people who disagree with that,
- 47:32Speaker 1: But there's no reason why I shouldn't have paid for it.
- 47:35Speaker 1: What did the poor citizens in New Jersey game? The
- 47:38Speaker 1: day I graduated from college, I left New Jersey and
- 47:40Speaker 1: I've hardly ever been back since. There's a strong case
- 47:48Speaker 1: to be made that everybody who wants to go to
- 47:50Speaker 1: university should have an opportunity to do so, provided he's
- 47:54Speaker 1: willing to pay for it. Not necessarily right now. It's
- 47:58Speaker 1: highly desirable to have arrangement under which he can borrow
- 48:01Speaker 1: now to pay it back later out of a higher
- 48:03Speaker 1: income that his education will make possible. But there is
- 48:08Speaker 1: no justification for imposing taxes on lower income people to
- 48:15Speaker 1: finance the schooling of people who are or will be
- 48:18Speaker 1: in the higher income groups. And yet, how much political
- 48:22Speaker 1: movement is there to impose full cost tuition on colleges.
- 48:28Speaker 1: There is nobody who would have a ghost of a
- 48:32Speaker 1: chance of being elected to a legislature or to the
- 48:35Speaker 1: state house on that program. It's the hardest thing in
- 48:39Speaker 1: the world legislatively to get higher tuitions impost one because
- 48:44Speaker 1: the middle class looks after itself because of Director's law. Now,
- 48:50Speaker 1: it's true for higher education, is true in every other area.
- 48:53Speaker 1: Consider social security. Now, social security is also sold as
- 48:57Speaker 1: a program to benefit the poor. What are the facts?
- 49:01Speaker 1: Social Security is a program which imposes unduly heavy taxes
- 49:06Speaker 1: on the lower income groups in the society to provide
- 49:11Speaker 1: higher benefits to upper income groups in the society. How
- 49:15Speaker 1: does it work. It's not because of the regressive nature
- 49:18Speaker 1: of the wage tax. It's not because of the structure
- 49:21Speaker 1: of benefits. It's because of a very simple phenomenon. At
- 49:25Speaker 1: what age do younger men from the lower classes go
- 49:28Speaker 1: to work? Sixteen seventeen, eighteen nineteen, that's when they start
- 49:33Speaker 1: to pay Social Security taxes? At what age are you
- 49:37Speaker 1: people going to go to work and start paying Social
- 49:39Speaker 1: Security taxes? Some of you may in part time jobs
- 49:43Speaker 1: have been doing so, but you will be a full
- 49:45Speaker 1: time social Security payers only when you reach your middle twenties,
- 49:54Speaker 1: so they will pay taxes for the more years. Then
- 49:58Speaker 1: you will pay taxes next, which one is going to
- 50:02Speaker 1: receive benefits for longer. Every demographic study has shown that
- 50:07Speaker 1: the average expected length to life of a middle and
- 50:09Speaker 1: upper income classes is longer than the average length to
- 50:14Speaker 1: life of people from the lower income classes. So those
- 50:17Speaker 1: poor suckers are going to pay taxes for more years
- 50:22Speaker 1: and receive payments for fewer years than you and I will. Now,
- 50:29Speaker 1: some of us, by virtue of continuing to work between
- 50:33Speaker 1: sixty five and seventy two, will not be in that
- 50:35Speaker 1: favored class. But already the fraction of people who work
- 50:41Speaker 1: between sixty five and seventy two has been cut to
- 50:43Speaker 1: a small part of what it used to be because
- 50:47Speaker 1: of the incentive offered by Social Security. And overall there
- 50:52Speaker 1: is little doubt therefore, that Social Security is a program
- 50:55Speaker 1: which transfers income from low income classes to high income classes.
- 51:00Speaker 1: Same thing is true of almost every other social program
- 51:03Speaker 1: you can mention. I have often challenged people to find
- 51:07Speaker 1: a single governmental program in which the people who pay
- 51:11Speaker 1: taxes have higher incomes than those who get the benefits.
- 51:15Speaker 1: I know only one, and that's direct relief public assistance,
- 51:21Speaker 1: the aid to families that depending children. It's not a
- 51:25Speaker 1: good program, it's a terrible program. It's a welfare mess.
- 51:28Speaker 1: But so far as I can find out, it's the
- 51:30Speaker 1: only program that demonstrably transfers income from higher income classes
- 51:36Speaker 1: to lower income classes. And that's why it's such an
- 51:38Speaker 1: unpopular program. Director's law shows up in the unpopularity of
- 51:44Speaker 1: the welfare mess as well as in the popularity of
- 51:48Speaker 1: social security, housing programs and the like. I could go down,
- 51:52Speaker 1: agreed many others, but time will not permit. I come
- 51:56Speaker 1: to my conclusion that if we are going to look
- 52:02Speaker 1: forward to the future to an end of this reduction
- 52:08Speaker 1: in our freedom and the growth in centralized government, I
- 52:12Speaker 1: think we must begin to dismantle these myths which are
- 52:17Speaker 1: so widely accepted by people, which have become an unthinking
- 52:21Speaker 1: part of their philosophy and of their beliefs. And I
- 52:29Speaker 1: hope that in the course of this hour I have
- 52:33Speaker 1: deflated your air mattress and given you an uncomfortable jolt.
- 52:37Speaker 1: Thank you,