Latest / Simply Bitcoin / FORGET JANE ST: We Found What's Suppressing Bitcoin's Price... | EP 1452
Transcript
- 0:01The second largest Bitcoin treasury company just quietly
- 0:05changed their strategy, allowing them to sell some Bitcoin, and
- 0:09they hold over 50,000 Bitcoin. But the shocking thing about
- 0:13this story is they're not the only huge company selling their
- 0:17Bitcoin, and until now we've all blamed James Street or Wall
- 0:22Street for suppressing Bitcoin's price.
- 0:24But what if there's a simpler explanation for Bitcoin's price
- 0:27decline? And what is going to happen now
- 0:30that Jane St's been exposed? Guys, let's let's just look at
- 0:34the facts here. Since the Jane Street court case
- 0:39and everyone blamed Jane St. the 10 AM dump has been off the
- 0:42table. Very surprising yesterday
- 0:45considering what happened over the weekend, a war in Iran.
- 0:49Everyone was expecting Bitcoin to dump.
- 0:52In fact, if you're looking at the markets today, trillions of
- 0:56dollars have been wiped out of stocks literally in the first
- 0:59hour. Gold is retracing.
- 1:00Silver's retracing. Yes, Bitcoin had a pullback, but
- 1:04it's it's holding up very strong, surprisingly holding up
- 1:08very strong. Anyways, anyways, that's just a
- 1:10little context for everything going on in the global markets
- 1:13right now. Let's jump into this story.
- 1:15So the first story, and I think this made a lot of waves for a
- 1:19lot of people because as we've been talking about on this shelf
- 1:22for a while, it does almost seem like the hype cycle in the
- 1:28Bitcoin treasury companies is starting to die down.
- 1:31And there is some worrying data points coming out of the Bitcoin
- 1:36treasury companies. A lot of these Bitcoin treasury
- 1:39companies have been saying, hey, we're never going to sell any
- 1:42Bitcoin. Turns out we are seeing some
- 1:45selling. Now, this isn't Mara selling
- 1:49Bitcoin, but this change of them saying, hey, we will potentially
- 1:53sell some Bitcoin. It's not the it's it probably
- 1:57isn't the best narrative for the Bitcoin treasury companies,
- 2:00especially since Mara is literally the second biggest
- 2:04Bitcoin treasury company in the world.
- 2:06Now here's coming from the block.
- 2:08I do have a clarification from Mara themselves, but let's start
- 2:11with the initial news story. So headline from block, Mara
- 2:14opens door to selling stockpiled Bitcoin in new policy shift,
- 2:18which is a huge move away from what they've done in the past.
- 2:21They have been very big. You know, Mara, one of the
- 2:23biggest Bitcoin mining companies, they've been saying,
- 2:27hey, we're going to huddle all of our Bitcoin.
- 2:29They might sell some of their mine Bitcoin, but their Bitcoin
- 2:32balance sheet up until yesterday, or rather up until we
- 2:36found out yesterday, they said we're never going to sell any of
- 2:39that Bitcoin. Now they are changing the
- 2:42verbiage on this. They are kind of changing their
- 2:44tune a little bit. And I think a lot of Bitcoiners
- 2:46are like, oh man, here we go. They're going to start dumping
- 2:49on us. I think there there is a little
- 2:51nuance in in what they wrote and I will cover that after this
- 2:55block article. So just quick take.
- 2:57Mara said it's revised its digital asset management
- 2:59strategy for 2026 to permit sales of Bitcoin held on its
- 3:03balance sheet again, the Bitcoin treasury, they said they they're
- 3:07potentially, you know, got some plans to at least allow us to
- 3:10sell some Bitcoin expanding beyond the 2025 policy that only
- 3:14allowed sales from mining production, of course.
- 3:17The company holds 53,822 Bitcoin worth 4.7 billion as of December
- 3:2331st 2025, including a 9377 Bitcoin loan and 5938 Bitcoin
- 3:30pledged against $350 million in outstanding credit facilities.
- 3:34Now I think the reason this this is making people a little uneasy
- 3:39is the thought of them dumping $4.7 billion or $4 billion on
- 3:44the market in one go. Now they're not saying that that
- 3:48is going to happen, but that is what the rumor mill, that's what
- 3:51the engagement bait is saying on Twitter.
- 3:53It's this idea of like if they had to sell their 53,000 Bitcoin
- 3:58in one chunk because again, it's usually if there's, if there's
- 4:02worrying signs, you know the saying if there's smoke, there
- 4:04might be fire. Now I am, I'm personally, I'm
- 4:06not in that camp thinking that that is what's going on.
- 4:10I think this this might be a good financial decision for them
- 4:14to have a little more financial flexibility.
- 4:16But let's go into this. So of course they did a 10K
- 4:19filing with the SEC and this was the biggest kind of news that
- 4:24came out of this is obviously their policy revision and a
- 4:28departure, as this article says, from the company's historical
- 4:31approach of holding mine Bitcoin as long term investment.
- 4:34And of course this does although 2025 where the price didn't
- 4:38really do as much as we thought it was going to do.
- 4:41And therefore as we are have been seeing in the Bitcoin
- 4:45mining space, the the margins are getting tight right now for
- 4:49public Bitcoin miners. Now I will kind of, you know,
- 4:53give give my take on this after I cover this, but it is getting
- 4:57a little tough right now for Bitcoin miners.
- 4:59Obviously the hash rate has been going up.
- 5:02The Bitcoin price has been going down.
- 5:04Yes, we saw the storm last year have a lot of hash rate go off
- 5:08the network, but now it's recently came back on.
- 5:11So the competition is is back in force and especially if the
- 5:15price stays where it is for a while or even goes way lower, we
- 5:19could potentially see some of these big corporate treasures or
- 5:23Bitcoin mining balance sheets having to sell a lot of Bitcoin.
- 5:27And in fact, we have saw that happen.
- 5:29So let me cover this quote here and then I'll show you where all
- 5:32the selling has come from. And the big idea here it's, it's
- 5:37a very simple idea and our boy Check Matey has been saying it.
- 5:42It's not that there's necessarily price suppression
- 5:44happening, it's just there's a lot of Bitcoin being sold.
- 5:47We've been covering this all of last year.
- 5:49Obviously, as new narratives and new news stories and headlines
- 5:52come out, everyone always pinpoints or tries to blame a
- 5:56certain boogeyman. But in reality, it's probably
- 5:59just simple supply demand dynamics.
- 6:03There's just a lot of Bitcoin being sold currently and that's
- 6:06probably what is depressing the Bitcoin price headed with all
- 6:10the macro and geopolitical uncertainty and chaos that we're
- 6:14seeing. It it it is a simpler case here
- 6:17and obviously first principles, heuristics, we always try to at
- 6:22the very least get to the simplest explanation.
- 6:25I think what is Occam's razor? You know, the simplest
- 6:27explanation's probably the best here and it seems like we are
- 6:31just continuously seeing a lot of Bitcoin being sold.
- 6:33But this quote here is pretty interesting.
- 6:36It goes quote, in the second-half of 2025, we changed
- 6:39our our digital asset management strategy to permit sales of
- 6:42Bitcoin generated from operations and in 2026 we
- 6:45expanded the strategy to allow for sales of Bitcoin held on our
- 6:48balance sheet. Accordingly, we may hold Bitcoin
- 6:51for long term investment purposes and may also buy or
- 6:54sell Bitcoin from time to time subject to market conditions and
- 6:58our capital allocation priorities.
- 7:01Now, they did follow this up and essentially said, hey, this is
- 7:06fake news. Here's Robert Samuels, vice
- 7:09president of investor relations at Mara.
- 7:11And he goes, this assertion that Mara has changed its strategy to
- 7:14sell the majority of our Bitcoin holdings.
- 7:16Is it factually incorrect? Again, that's what people were
- 7:19saying on Twitter. It's like, oh man, the second
- 7:21biggest Bitcoin treasury company is going to dump 50,000 plus
- 7:25coins on the market around $4 billion.
- 7:28What's that going to do to the Bitcoin price?
- 7:31You know it, it wouldn't be, it wouldn't be a good sight, just
- 7:34to say the least. Anyways, our 202610K clearly
- 7:37states we expanded our strategy to allow for sales of Bitcoin
- 7:41held on our balance sheet, meaning we may buy or sell from
- 7:43time to time, again subject to market conditions and our
- 7:46capital allocation priorities. But in bold, it does not mean we
- 7:50intend to liquidate the majority of our reserves.
- 7:54Allowing for sales for strategic purposes is entirely different
- 7:57from a policy of selling down a majority of our Bitcoin
- 8:00treasury. Please conflate the two.
- 8:02And then further there was another tweet where he said and
- 8:07that is right here he goes. As stated on Mara's earning
- 8:10calls in 2026, we expect to continue to monetize Bitcoin
- 8:14opportunistically to enhance our financial flexibility, including
- 8:18to provide liquidity or to fund capital projects and other
- 8:21initiatives that we believe enhance long term shareholder
- 8:24value subject to market conditions in our capital
- 8:28allocation priorities. Expanded optionality in
- 8:31apparently adds value. So there is this idea.
- 8:35Second biggest Bitcoin treasury company is going to liquidate
- 8:38their 53,000 Bitcoin. That's going to be the final
- 8:41capitulation to get to you know as Nico has been saying the 40K
- 8:45range. If we did see that, that would
- 8:48totally get us down to that range, most likely not
- 8:52necessarily because of the 4 billion in liquidity, but
- 8:55because of the panic that ensues afterwards.
- 8:57And you know, cascading liquidations and just the drop
- 9:00it, it'll just compound on each other.
- 9:02But you're probably asking, OK, well, where did all the Bitcoin
- 9:06get sold from? And that's where it does get a
- 9:08little interesting. Here is an article from Coinbase
- 9:12or sorry, coin desk and it goes end of Bitcoin huddle.
- 9:16Public miners going all in on AI signaling more Bitcoin selling.
- 9:21Public Bitcoin miner balance sheets are shifting its capital
- 9:24rotates from Bitcoin treasuries to AI infrastructure.
- 9:29So the short of it is we've seen many of the top ten public
- 9:34Bitcoin miners sell over 15,000 Bitcoin to shift into AI
- 9:39infrastructure. 15,000 Bitcoin is a pretty penny.
- 9:44It's about a billion dollars at at today's price point.
- 9:46And you know, a roughly around a billion dollars have been sold.
- 9:50And with Bitcoin nearly down 50% off all time high, they're
- 9:54shifting from, you know, Bitcoin public mining to AI.
- 9:59As we've seen in the last couple of weeks, there has been a huge
- 10:03drop in price since the end of 2025.
- 10:06And everyone's trying to pinpoint and figure out who's
- 10:09the big boogeyman, who, who to, who's to blame right now.
- 10:12It always just goes back to the simple supply demand dynamics.
- 10:15There's just a lot of selling, there's a lot of coins being
- 10:18sold. And This is why the price is
- 10:20dumping currently. Of course, this isn't a new
- 10:23trend. We have heard for months with
- 10:26this idea of a lot of public Bitcoin mining's miners, sorry,
- 10:30needing to, you know, add shareholder value.
- 10:34And since the margins in Bitcoin mining are getting tougher, we
- 10:39are seeing a lot of public Bitcoin miners shift into the AI
- 10:42space. Could be a little too little too
- 10:45late for a lot of these, but you're seeing that the Bitcoin
- 10:48mining is one of the most competitive spaces, one of the
- 10:51most competitive industries period.
- 10:53The margins aren't that big, so you can't really blame these
- 10:56companies, but the fact we're seeing this much selling for AI,
- 11:00especially when bitcoins dropping, this is most likely
- 11:04where the quote UN quote price suppression is coming from.
- 11:07It's really just simple. There's more Bitcoin being sold
- 11:10than bought currently and our boy check matey, he's been
- 11:14saying this for a while. Look, we get caught up in the
- 11:16hot headlines. We all want to point out a big
- 11:19bad boogeyman though the fact that ever since Jane St. did get
- 11:24that court case or did get sued for market manipulation, it is
- 11:27very interesting that we haven't seen any yet.
- 11:30And again, we're seeing the war in Iran start and bitcoins been
- 11:34positive since the start of the war.
- 11:37It's actually outperforming gold right now.
- 11:39Gold's around like 16%. But Bitcoin in the face of all
- 11:43the geopolitical macro uncertainties right now,
- 11:45Bitcoins holding up extremely well.
- 11:48I I was very surprised yesterday to see Bitcoin not tank on the
- 11:53news of the Iran war on the markets opening up and today
- 11:58everyone thought yesterday was going to be a bloody Monday, but
- 12:00today, bloody Tuesday, today we're seeing trillions of
- 12:03dollars wiped out of stocks of gold, silver.
- 12:07It's a it's a pretty bloody day out there and Bitcoin, you know,
- 12:10it's it's not really that crazy this morning.
- 12:14But anyways, before I pass it over to Nico and we chat about
- 12:16this, here's check matey. This was the end of February and
- 12:19he goes James St. didn't suppress Bitcoin's price folks.
- 12:22Hodler's did. It's just not that hard.
- 12:25Stop summoning your inner salty gold bug.
- 12:28But by blaming manipulators, people sold a F ton of spot
- 12:33Bitcoin. And.
- 12:36Here's a chart. You're seeing revised supply
- 12:38breakdown by age. We've seen a lot of Bitcoin sold
- 12:42since the October 10th dump. This is still a lot of Bitcoin
- 12:47even for, you know, bear market terms like this is a lot of
- 12:51Bitcoin that's been sold on the market.
- 12:53And in the face of all of this, Bitcoin is still holding up
- 12:57pretty good. I know yesterday you guys were
- 13:00kind of right. I'll give you that.
- 13:02The chat said that this was the suckers rally.
- 13:05I don't necessarily think it's over per SE, but Bitcoin I think
- 13:09is, is very resilient right now in the face of everything going
- 13:13on. I, I'm actually very surprised
- 13:16by how Bitcoin has reacted with all of the different news, with
- 13:20the amount of selling we've seen, the fact we're still in
- 13:23this 60K range, I believe it's around 67 K right now.
- 13:27Bitcoins holding up incredibly well.
- 13:30And, and you could argue maybe the different narratives of the,
- 13:33you know what, what was it in the past, gold repricing or gold
- 13:36rebalancing into Bitcoin? I don't know if that's exactly
- 13:39what's going on, but we are seeing gold retrace.
- 13:43Gold's not looking very good right now.
- 13:44It's looking a little toppy. Silver had a huge dump this
- 13:48morning and Bitcoin just, you know, had like a very normal
- 13:52correction this morning. It it, it, it does look like
- 13:56maybe the narrative of Bitcoin being that neutral, sovereign
- 14:01money that no one controls. I'm not saying it.
- 14:04It's playing out exactly as we all believe it will.
- 14:08But in the face of what is happening in the world right
- 14:11now, I think Bitcoin is, it's very interesting for a lot of
- 14:14people because it's not reacting how a lot of the pundits and
- 14:18analysts thought it was. Bitcoin's just kind of doing its
- 14:21own thing. It almost goes back to what
- 14:22we've always been saying, you know, Bitcoin just does its own
- 14:25thing. It doesn't matter what's really
- 14:27going on in the world. The only thing that really
- 14:29matters is, are people buying and selling spot Bitcoin.
- 14:33And even though we're seeing a lot of Bitcoin being sold,
- 14:36you're seeing a lot of Bitcoin being bought because the price
- 14:38isn't moving as we all thought it would be.
- 14:40You'd expect Bitcoin selling off in this macro geopolitical
- 14:46uncertainty, in this war. You'd expect there'd be people
- 14:49panicking selling Bitcoin first because it is so liquid.
- 14:53Doesn't necessarily seem like that's the case right now
- 14:55anyways, Nico, we have been talking about the Bitcoin
- 14:59treasury cycle. Is this more stress in the
- 15:03narrative of the Bitcoin treasury cycle or is this just a
- 15:06smart move by Mara? And and of course, the
- 15:09engagement bait is catching on and now everyone's just kind of
- 15:12adding to the FUD. Maybe we are simply FUD right
- 15:15now because we continue to cover this stuff.
- 15:17And I even had a friend, one of our one of our close friends,
- 15:20like bro, you got to stop this you.
- 15:23Got to stop this. I mean, I'm going to, I'm, I
- 15:25called it, I'm going to get myself another pat on the back.
- 15:28I've been telling you guys since October that part of the
- 15:32capitulation that you were going to see this cycle, you're going
- 15:36to see major Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 15:39I I wouldn't even really consider Mara being a Bitcoin
- 15:43treasury company, Yeah. But they do have the second.
- 15:45Biggest Bitcoin treasury, but they but they do function as a
- 15:48Bitcoin treasury and I told you guys, I've been telling you guys
- 15:52this since October and I've been getting a lot of heat in the
- 15:54chat on the Rumble chat, on the YouTube chat, on the X chat.
- 15:57Nico's a bear. That's that's the general thing.
- 16:00Nico's true. Though Nico's a bear.
- 16:02Nico does this. Nico does that.
- 16:04Like that is what you guys keep telling me.
- 16:07And I told you guys that last year was paper Bitcoin summer.
- 16:11It was the this cycle was the cycle of Bitcoin treasury
- 16:15companies, for better or for worse.
- 16:17That's where all the alpha was strategy from the bottom of the
- 16:21bear market was that like 15 dollars, $20?
- 16:24It went all the way up to like 500.
- 16:27Excuse me. The return was crazy.
- 16:30And I told you guys that once the bear was starting to
- 16:33commence, I told you guys that my prediction was that a lot of
- 16:38these treasury companies, especially not the top tier ones
- 16:43like strategy or 21 or you know, any of the of, of the big ones,
- 16:50they were going to get to a point where they were going to
- 16:54be, they were going to be forced to sell their Bitcoin.
- 16:58Now, what's happening in the Bitcoin mining space is quite
- 17:02interesting. A lot of these Bitcoin miners
- 17:05with the adoption of AI are actually pivoting a lot of their
- 17:09businesses, or maybe not pivoting is the correct word,
- 17:11but they're expanding their businesses to service those AI
- 17:17needs. So a lot of them are getting
- 17:18into a IHBC, which requires A tremendous amount of energy and
- 17:24it's a little bit more sophisticated than just
- 17:26traditional Bitcoin mining, right?
- 17:28So, you know, and again, that all comes down to profitability,
- 17:33right? Like that's really what it comes
- 17:35down to. Like if they, if they feel that
- 17:38they can use that infrastructure that they built out to make more
- 17:42money with a IHBC, that's exactly what they're going to
- 17:45do, right? So, you know, it's, does it
- 17:49surprise me that Mara sold 50,000 Bitcoin?
- 17:53No, not only does it surprise me, not only does it not
- 17:56surprise me, I've been telling you exactly this was going to
- 18:00happen since October, since the beginning of the Bitcoin bear
- 18:04market. I haven't seen a capitulation
- 18:07yet. I haven't seen it.
- 18:09I haven't seen this area where basically people lose complete
- 18:13faith in Bitcoin and and you're starting to feel the the
- 18:18feelings of that this cycle. You're starting to hear the
- 18:22inklings of like Bitcoin is boring, I can get better return
- 18:25somewhere else. You know, all the Ogs are
- 18:28selling like you're you're starting to heal the hear those
- 18:31narratives pop up, but you haven't really felt this full
- 18:35capitulation like we we did have that big drop.
- 18:39You know, we're down 50% already, but that that true
- 18:43capitulation. I haven't really seen it yet.
- 18:46Now, I keep hearing from friends of mine, Opti included, and
- 18:51other people on the simply Bitcoin team, that hey, that
- 18:54this cycle is different. You know, we're not going to see
- 18:57a capitulation like we've seen in previous cycles.
- 19:01And the reason for that is because the institutions are
- 19:05here. Like that's the official
- 19:07narrative. Well, the institutions
- 19:08themselves are capitulating. Ladies and gentlemen, the
- 19:11institutions themselves are are, you know, selling some of the
- 19:15Bitcoin. And then again, it's not only
- 19:17Mara, Mara, which is huge by the way, you had SEC ones also sell
- 19:22some Bitcoin as well, right? And they're, it's not like
- 19:24they're selling some Bitcoin at the top.
- 19:26They're selling Bitcoin when it's 50% down from the peak,
- 19:31right? That's not a good sign of
- 19:34confidence. But again, this is a good thing.
- 19:38This is how nature heals. This is how the market resets.
- 19:42All of this is good ultimately long term for the price of
- 19:46Bitcoin because eventually we will find the bottom and then
- 19:50eventually the cycle will start to repeat itself.
- 19:53And that's where things start to get exciting again.
- 19:57I don't know when that is. I have my personal feelings.
- 20:00I've been telling you guys about my personal thoughts on that
- 20:03matter. But you know, this is Bitcoin.
- 20:06You know, Bitcoin always recover.
- 20:07This is as absolute scarcity. It's, you know, it's 21 million.
- 20:13The characteristics are Bitcoin of Bitcoin are superior to
- 20:16anything else than any other asset.
- 20:18So it's just better. And over time, the world is
- 20:22going to come to that realization.
- 20:25And again, the absolute scarcity aspect of it is it's basically a
- 20:29guarantee that this thing's going to go up, especially now
- 20:34that Wall Street is involved. Like the fact that we heard last
- 20:38week, like you guys have to connect the dots.
- 20:40And this is what we do for you guys on Simply Bitcoin Live,
- 20:43right? We connect the dots for you guys
- 20:44so you guys could see the bigger picture and not get lost in the
- 20:48noise that happens on a day by day basis, right?
- 20:51So last week we had Citibank announce that they are going to
- 20:57custody Bitcoin for their clients.
- 21:00They did this at Michael Saylor in Bitcoin Magazine's conference
- 21:07Bitcoin for Corporations Now. The the big deal.
- 21:12Of that is, Michael Saylor predicted back in 2022 that
- 21:17there was three things that needed to happen in order for
- 21:20Bitcoin to hit. I think it was like $5,000,000
- 21:23per coin or something like that. 3 million. 10 million, I forget
- 21:26it's like. Millions of dollars per coin.
- 21:27Let's get to 1, right? But he said, let's get the one.
- 21:3050. He said there was three things
- 21:32that needed to happen. First thing was it was the
- 21:37change of the change in the accounting rules.
- 21:39Second thing was the approval of the Spot Bitcoin ETF.
- 21:42Third thing very important was the ability for banks to custody
- 21:47Bitcoin that has happened yet, ladies and gentlemen right.
- 21:51So you have to separate the long term trends, which is happening
- 21:56right now, right, which is what you're visualizing, which is
- 21:59what you're seeing and what you're experiencing when you
- 22:02hear stuff like, you know, Marathon essentially
- 22:06capitulating in a way, right? Yeah, they.
- 22:08Didn't sell all, they didn't sell their coins, but they're
- 22:11opening it up up to. So a narrative shift, you could
- 22:15say capitulation, narrative shift, the same thing.
- 22:17Happened with Tesla, by the way, right?
- 22:18Tesla, like ultimately they're one of the big, you know, seven
- 22:22tech companies that bought Bitcoin and then they
- 22:25capitulated shortly after. And then ever since they haven't
- 22:27capitulated because they realized, Oh my God, like, look
- 22:30at how much money we would have made, right?
- 22:33So this is all part of the course.
- 22:35This is like, and you guys have to understand the psychology of
- 22:39it. Like I'll tell you guys, right
- 22:43in your first Bitcoin cycles, right when you were in and you
- 22:46were down 50 sixty 70% or maybe you dabbled in some alt coins,
- 22:51right? And then it reaches a point
- 22:54where you freak out. You feel like you're going to
- 22:56lose your money. This is like Wall Street
- 22:58psychology one O 1. You feel like you're going to
- 23:01lose all your money and then what do you do?
- 23:03What do you do? You capitulate, you sell, you
- 23:07freak out, you think you're going to lose all your money,
- 23:09right? And then that tends to be where
- 23:14the where the bottom forms. And then after that, Bitcoin
- 23:18starts, you know, the the cycle resets, it repeats, and then off
- 23:23to the race as we go, right? So this is just another
- 23:27indication of the bear market Blues and the capitulation
- 23:32process happening in real time. But I want you guys, that's
- 23:35noise though. That's noise.
- 23:37It's a short term trend. I want you guys to pay attention
- 23:41to the signal. The signal is you're buying
- 23:43Bitcoin right now at a 50% discount.
- 23:45That's number one. And #2 the major news from last
- 23:49week. I'm going to keep repeating
- 23:50myself all week. This week, Citibank, third
- 23:55largest bank in the United States, trillions of dollars of
- 23:58assets under management, just announced, hey guys, we're going
- 24:03to custody Bitcoin at a Bitcoin event at a Bitcoin conference.
- 24:08That is the major breaking news. You also have Schwab, right?
- 24:13One of the largest brokers that, you know, are used for older
- 24:16people to buy and sell stocks and all of that stuff also
- 24:19announced that they're going to have the ability for their
- 24:22clients to buy bought Bitcoin. So again, this asset isn't going
- 24:27anywhere. It's going through a maturing
- 24:30phase. It's definitely entering a new
- 24:34chapter in its life cycle 100% and but you know, I'm here for
- 24:40it. I'm here for it.
- 24:41I, I love this cycle in particular because of one reason
- 24:46and one reason only. The uncertainty is back.
- 24:50The uncertainty is back. If I tell you guys, hey, do you
- 24:54think bitcoins going to hit 500 K per coin in the next 4-4
- 24:59years? I guarantee you that a big
- 25:01portion, a big portion of you guys don't have the utmost
- 25:06confidence that it's going to do that.
- 25:09You just don't know, right? And again, we have to go back to
- 25:12the past, you know, to you have to learn from the past to, you
- 25:17know, I don't want to say predict the future because no
- 25:19one could predict the future. But you have to learn the
- 25:21lessons of the past so that you don't, you know, make those same
- 25:25mistakes in the future. And what can we learn about the
- 25:28past? Back in 2017, the Bitcoin price
- 25:33in January of twenty, 20/20/2017 was $1000.
- 25:40At the end of 2017, the Bitcoin price was $20,000.
- 25:46That's a 20X in 365 days, right? Do you think if I would have
- 25:53told you in the beginning of 2017 that an asset is going to
- 25:5620X, if I told you in January, you know what you would have
- 25:59done, right? You would have laughed me out of
- 26:02the room? That is uncertainty.
- 26:04That is doubt, right? And the, all of that doubt and
- 26:08uncertainty was created because of the horrific cycle that
- 26:13Bitcoin was coming out of leading to 2017.
- 26:17It was the Mount Gox explosion, right?
- 26:19And that completely took away all the the confidence in the
- 26:23room out of Bitcoin. People didn't believe in Bitcoin
- 26:26anymore, right? And it had this grueling like
- 26:30one to two year bear market where essentially did nothing,
- 26:34right. And it just kind of like, you
- 26:35know, it just kind of oscillated in a, in a specific price range.
- 26:40Now I feel that certainty is back, that uncertainty is back.
- 26:46I feel it, I feel it in the air. I feel it when I talk to people,
- 26:50they don't, they don't feel as optimistic in Bitcoin and the
- 26:54future price appreciation in Bitcoin as they used to.
- 26:58And these are the types of moments where it is the most
- 27:02opportune time to buy. And these are the types of
- 27:05moments that you look back two or three years from now and
- 27:08you're like, wait a second, dude.
- 27:10Do you remember when we had an opportunity to buy Bitcoin at
- 27:13$68,000? Like, what the hell were we
- 27:17thinking, right? So anyways, oh hey Nico.
- 27:24As you know, we've we've been around the block a few times,
- 27:26right? You know, a couple bear markets
- 27:28and you said something interesting and it makes me
- 27:33wonder, you know, there's always, there's always as as we
- 27:37like to joke in Bitcoin, there's always like a final sacrifice at
- 27:40the bottom of a bear market. Like there's always something,
- 27:43you know, something huge that happens.
- 27:47Are we going to see that final sacrifice from the public
- 27:49Bitcoin miners or from just the pure Bitcoin treasury plays?
- 27:54Because I, I don't think it's going to come from like a Mount
- 27:56Gox FTX scenario this cycle. I think maybe we learned our
- 28:00lesson the, you know, hope, hopefully we learned our lesson
- 28:03as as a community, as an industry.
- 28:05The last bear market. Where do you think it's gonna
- 28:08come from, Nico? Is it the public Bitcoin miners
- 28:10or is it a Bitcoin treasury company liquidating all their
- 28:13holdings? Yeah, I.
- 28:14Mean I'm gonna I'm gonna keep sticking to what I've been
- 28:17saying. Treasury company.
- 28:18I think the essentially the the the capitulation.
- 28:22What The thing is you never know.
- 28:23Yeah, exactly. That's the thing you never know
- 28:25that's number one that's you never know which what's gonna
- 28:27blow up. But essentially what I think
- 28:32essentially this cycle in particular was, well, I'm a big
- 28:38fan of STRC by the way. We talked about that on
- 28:40yesterday's show. But I think that this cycle,
- 28:46the, it's going to be one of the Bitcoin treasury companies.
- 28:49I mean, I'm not to be specific because a lot of these people
- 28:51are my friends, but you know, some of these treasury companies
- 28:55are like down more than 80%, bro A.
- 28:59Lot more than 90%. It's wild.
- 29:01Like 90%, like it's wild. Like I'm not going to be
- 29:04specific on which ones, but you. Guys know what they are, but.
- 29:09You know, we, we, we love the the entrepreneurs that, you
- 29:12know, set those up. But you know, yeah, like that's,
- 29:17that's great Bitcoin treasury company.
- 29:19That's crazy. And then, and then there's
- 29:20someone there, there's some of those not to be specific that
- 29:24are at risk of being unlisted and stuff, Right.
- 29:28Yeah. 100% totally because historically it it kind of does
- 29:33come from the Bitcoin miners having to sell at the very
- 29:36bottom. But it is interesting now that
- 29:39we saw the hype cycle coming from the Bitcoin treasury
- 29:41companies. So now it's like the final
- 29:44capitulation, the final sacrifice to move up into the
- 29:47bear market I want. To go on record might.
- 29:49Be from the treasury company I want to go on.
- 29:51Record too, like I think some of these just like based on their M
- 29:55NAV and stuff like if you are, you know, if you had, do you
- 30:00have a taste for a little bit more risk and and are fully
- 30:05aware that you are buying like a leverage play on Bitcoin, you
- 30:10know, yoloing into a stock that's 80% down heading into a
- 30:15bull market. I mean, you might hit a home
- 30:18run. I'm, I'm not even joking, like
- 30:20like I, I'm telling you like like if MicroStrategy goes to
- 30:24$50 is not guaranteed like that to me, I mean. $50 MSTR.
- 30:29I was like a no brainer. I'm not.
- 30:31A stock guy, but I don't think it's.
- 30:32Going to 50, but it's a no brainer.
- 30:34Yeah, and and. No one thought Bitcoin was going
- 30:36to go to 16 last time and no one thought it was going to go to
- 30:383500 like it it. I always hear the same shit
- 30:42every single bear market, every single time.
- 30:44I can't go lower. I can't go lower I've.
- 30:47Been saying it can get lower. But that's but you just been
- 30:50shaking your head I. Just MSTR at $50 is like crazy
- 30:54to me. I I think it's going to hold on
- 30:56that like hundred 120 range where it's at I.
- 30:59Make me very sad. Because you can't buy an M50.
- 31:05All right, everybody, it's going to be a great show.
- 31:07We have a guest joining us later today.
- 31:10We have Gary Leland from Bitlock Boom.
- 31:12That's going to be great. I have some clips for you guys
- 31:15which I want to share. Ray Dalio is not a fan of
- 31:19Bitcoin. He was on the, I think it was
- 31:23the All In podcast, I believe, and he had some comments about
- 31:27it. So we're going to be talking
- 31:28about that. And then I don't know if I'm
- 31:30going to be on the show by then, but Fed to inject $16 billion
- 31:36into U.S. economy money printer. So let's see if we can get
- 31:42through all this before I have to bounce.
- 31:44But all right, everybody, let's start the show.
- 31:47It's going to be a great show. Make sure to smash that like
- 31:49button. We still got a ton of content
- 31:51for you guys lined up and stay tuned.
- 31:55We're going to be right back in just a bit.
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- 34:26withstand the test of time. Go to stampse-ed.com today or
- 34:32you can conveniently scan the QR code on your screen and it will
- 34:36take you to the website. Let's get into today's numbers,
- 34:41shall we? At the time of recording, the
- 34:43Bitcoin price is $68,380. SAT's per dollar 1462 block
- 34:51height 939,164 Realized monetary inflation .83% Market cap 1.37
- 34:59trillion Bitcoin versus gold market cap 4.57% Percentage
- 35:03issued 95.22% decline from all time high.
- 35:08Currently sitting pretty at not sitting pretty.
- 35:10I mean it depends on how you look at it.
- 35:12If you have cash and then it's definitely sitting pretty.
- 35:16We're currently down 45% from the all time high.
- 35:22You guys wanted volatility. Careful what you asked for.
- 35:25Anyways, here is Ray Dalio. I believe he was lately on.
- 35:33He was lately on This is the All In podcast.
- 35:35I want to give credit to the content creator.
- 35:37This was the looks like. The all in on the bottom corner.
- 35:40Yeah, it. Looks like the All In podcast
- 35:41OK. So.
- 35:43And he made some comments about Bitcoin.
- 35:45Now it's quite interesting. Ray Dalio's like, you know,
- 35:50Bitcoin story arc curve. He went from being like
- 35:54completely against this. This is one of the most
- 35:56successful hedge fund managers in the water in the world, in
- 35:59the world he runs. I think it's Bridgewater
- 36:02Associates. Very, very famous, very, very
- 36:06successful. He wrote a very good book.
- 36:09It's very popular. It's like about the changing
- 36:11world of order. Also something about rules for
- 36:15life or something like that. Anyways, I digress.
- 36:21Let's check out this clip. Let's see what he has to say
- 36:23about Bitcoin and it seems like he has gone a little bit full
- 36:28circle, but not completely full circle on Bitcoin.
- 36:31So let's check out what he has to say.
- 36:35It's quite interesting. And then of course me and Opti
- 36:38will have a conversation about it.
- 36:41OK, so Bitcoin does not have privacy.
- 36:45Any transactions can be monitored and then indirectly
- 36:51perhaps controlled. Central banks are not going to
- 36:54want to buy Bitcoin and being able to hold it.
- 36:57So it's not just individuals, it's institutions and so on, but
- 37:01most, you know, and central banks.
- 37:04So that there are attributes of that.
- 37:06There is been some question or thoughts of the development of,
- 37:12you know, new technologies like quantum computing and so on.
- 37:15Can there be issues regarding that?
- 37:18And then there's, you know, who owns it and what are the other
- 37:22exposures that they have in their portfolio.
- 37:25It tends to have a pretty high correlation with the tech
- 37:30stocks. So from an ownership, you know,
- 37:34just the supply demand is affected by somebody gets
- 37:38squeezed in one thing, they sell something that what whatever
- 37:42else they have. So there are those dynamics.
- 37:45It's a long way and it's and it's a relatively small market
- 37:49that's a relatively controllable market.
- 37:52I think a lot of attention has been given to Bitcoin, but as a
- 37:55money, you know, it's it's it's it's small in relationship to
- 38:01gold. And so, you know, those are the
- 38:03dynamics. There is only one gold.
- 38:06What about? Silver.
- 38:09So I mean like, oh, was I sharing that?
- 38:14I'm sorry. So I mean, like my my assessment
- 38:19is, you know, in all seriousness, like, you know,
- 38:25like he's just like nitpicking like a variety of different
- 38:28things. You know, you take it back five
- 38:31years ago and it was different arguments whether the
- 38:36government, you know, governments were going to buy it
- 38:39is only use it for money laundering.
- 38:41You know, it uses too much energy.
- 38:43Like, he just laid out a bunch of new different FUD talking
- 38:47points, basically. And most importantly, I don't
- 38:53know if this was a Freudian slip or I just don't.
- 38:55I maybe he just truly believes in the system.
- 38:58He said central banks won't buy it because there's no privacy.
- 39:05Like, isn't that ironic? Right.
- 39:07And then the other part, which is like, we.
- 39:09Yeah, yeah. What?
- 39:09Do they need privacy for? Like, like, like, isn't that the
- 39:14whole point of of like because they always call Bitcoin private
- 39:18money, right? Like why does public money need
- 39:21privacy? Like why?
- 39:22Why does it need? Why do central banks need to be
- 39:25opaque in their dealings if they're supposedly working on
- 39:29behalf of their citizens? Peso doesn't make sense.
- 39:40Look, I know you guys yell at me constantly because I, I, you
- 39:44know, I'm not the nicest to a lot of boomers.
- 39:46Like we're going to have a cool Bitcoin boomer on the show
- 39:49today, later, Gary Leland. But honestly, this was just like
- 39:53pure boomer energy here. Like Ray Dalio has come a long
- 39:57way in the Bitcoin in his Bitcoin understanding and
- 40:00Bitcoin narrative. For a long time.
- 40:02It was kind of like just ignore that.
- 40:04Now he's kind of. Kind of like, yeah, maybe
- 40:06there's a maybe there's a place for Bitcoin and and I really
- 40:11think the blind side for Ray Dalio is like, he's so spot on
- 40:16when it comes to currency decline historically.
- 40:20You know, the whole 250 year cycle meme, I'm sure you've seen
- 40:24it, you've heard it been talked about.
- 40:27It's just he I think has a blind spot because he is so kind of
- 40:33like China happy. Like he he's very pro China and
- 40:39a lot of his his economic macro breakdown and speculation of the
- 40:44future that is his. Do you?
- 40:46Not support the Chinese Communist Party.
- 40:49Not at all trolling. I just don't think that the next
- 40:56World reserve currency is going to be the Chinese you want.
- 40:59That's I think where we break here.
- 41:01And I think all of his rationalizations are him trying
- 41:05to rationalize his theory, trying to make the data fit his
- 41:09theory that he thinks the Chinese yuan is going to be the
- 41:12next World reserve currency. You've seen the Bitcoiner chart
- 41:15on this where we do, you know, the decline of world reserve
- 41:18currency, the US dollar is seemingly on the decline.
- 41:22We are around that 250 year mark and we think that Bitcoin is
- 41:27going to fill that role. Now, it could take a while, it
- 41:30could be a while before Bitcoin fully cement itself as the world
- 41:34reserve currency. But in Ray Dalio's models, it's
- 41:37not Bitcoin that's rising. He thinks it's the Chinese yuan.
- 41:41And I think a lot of the stuff that he says around Bitcoin is,
- 41:45is because he has that soft spot for, you know, the Chinese yuan,
- 41:49the Chinese economy. And now he's just kind of back
- 41:52rationalizing all this stuff like he what he thought like no
- 41:55privacy, central banks are going to adopt it.
- 41:57Quantum FUD. It's just like it's low level
- 42:00FUD. And and Ray Dalio is someone
- 42:03that is respected, you know, but there has been a lot of young
- 42:07people maybe from our generation that's like, look, it was easy
- 42:12for him to be Ray Dalio. He basically, I'm not saying he
- 42:15got lucky because I don't think he it's pure luck, But if you
- 42:19were investing money when he started investing money, you
- 42:23don't have to be a complete genius to to make a lot of
- 42:26money. That's all I'm kind of saying, I
- 42:28think. Ray Dalio is extremely smart, I
- 42:30agree. But also.
- 42:32He's. Missing he's missing Bitcoin.
- 42:34He's. Done was is incredible.
- 42:36I do agree with you in the sense that it, it was a lot easier for
- 42:41the older generations to accumulate wealth than the
- 42:46current generations. And like, this is like a this is
- 42:49a non debatable. This is yeah, this is, this
- 42:52isn't an opinion. Like this is, I'm not, I'm not.
- 42:54This is a non debatable fact. You know, the, the, the Gen.
- 42:59Z ers, the millennials, like we're the first generations that
- 43:02are, that are poorer than our parents, even though the country
- 43:06in the world has gotten wealthier as a whole.
- 43:09So clearly there's a reason for that.
- 43:12I mean, you know, like I, I went on rants that a lot of you guys
- 43:17didn't like yesterday, you know, because we got into to politics
- 43:21because of the events that happened last week.
- 43:24But you know, one of the one of the key points that I made last
- 43:29week was basically like, look, imagine if they spent all of
- 43:33that money that they're essentially spending overseas
- 43:38for, you know, for foreign policy decisions and what not.
- 43:42Imagine if they spent all that, all of that money And did they,
- 43:46if they directed it towards the United States, like how much
- 43:50more prosperous the United States would be today than if it
- 43:55wasn't? And then who was responsible for
- 43:58making those types of decisions? So yeah, anyways, we got the one
- 44:05and only Gary Leland joining us, and we're going to bring him
- 44:11back up. We're going to bring him up on
- 44:13the show right after the break. We're going to be right back.
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- 47:08Anyways, I do want to welcome our guests.
- 47:10We got Gary Leland in the house. Gary, thank you so much for
- 47:13joining us. How you doing, man?
- 47:15Good. Good.
- 47:16Long time no see. Not that long, no.
- 47:18Oh, been a long time. No see.
- 47:20Has been, has been a long time. Gary.
- 47:22Gary, I do want to go over some of the trending new topic,
- 47:27trending news topics that we have today.
- 47:30Want to get your opinions on them?
- 47:32First, let's start off with the Forbes headline article, which I
- 47:38found quite interesting. We're covering it on yesterday's
- 47:40shows. Quite unpopular this topic, and
- 47:44I'm going to connect it with some breaking news that just was
- 47:47released this morning at 8:48 AM. the Fed to inject $16
- 47:53billion in U.S. economy, according to Kalisha.
- 47:57I think there's one of the betting platforms, right, Opti.
- 48:01And this goes line in line with what Arthur Hayes was saying
- 48:06yesterday when we were reading his famous Substack article.
- 48:10He was making the case that, historically speaking, every
- 48:14time the United States has entered a conflict in the United
- 48:18States, the Federal Reserve steps in to act as a backstop to
- 48:23make sure that the economy isn't affected by the conflict.
- 48:28Already gas prices have gone up, Of course.
- 48:32I mean, that region is very energy, you know, heavy.
- 48:35It produces a lot of energy. So it makes total sense in that
- 48:38regard. And then check out this article
- 48:41by Forbes. It's almost as if they were
- 48:43reading Arthur Hayes Substack article.
- 48:46The Forbes article says number goes up Iran conflict has
- 48:50Bitcoin bulls eyeing 500,000, which sounds absolutely terrible
- 48:55in a way. And in fact, they did.
- 48:57Read the Arthur Hayes Substack post Arthur Hayes, the Co
- 49:03founder of Bitmex and one of the most followed macro traders in
- 49:07crypto, laid out a provocative Bitcoin price prediction in a
- 49:11March 1st post. His argument?
- 49:13Every U.S. military engagement in the Middle East since the
- 49:16Gulf War has eventually been funded by money printing.
- 49:20Iran will be no different. The longer Trump lingers in
- 49:24Iran, the higher the likelihood of the Fed printing money to
- 49:28support the PAC Americana war machine, his Bitcoin price
- 49:32target. You know.
- 49:34Take a seat. Sounds a little bit hopium to
- 49:37me, but I'll take it. 500 to $750,000 contingent on the
- 49:43Federal Reserve shifting back to quantitative easing.
- 49:47That remains a long term call rather than a near term
- 49:50forecast, though his earlier prediction of 200,200 thousand
- 49:54dollar Bitcoin by March 2026 has not materialized.
- 49:58Now the reason I brought up that Kalishi post is shortly.
- 50:03After oh, thank. You, bro, I don't.
- 50:05I don't know, man. Kalishi Kalishi.
- 50:07I don't know how. To say sound it out, sound it
- 50:09out. I don't know bro, I didn't get
- 50:12here 'cause I know how to read, bro.
- 50:13OK, so I think you. Did a fine job, I understood.
- 50:18Thank you, Gary. I appreciate the support and
- 50:21Opti. Mind your own damn business over
- 50:23there. You're talking to me all.
- 50:24Right. All right.
- 50:27What'd you say? Koushi.
- 50:28It's koushi, bro. OK What did I say?
- 50:30Khalishi. Khalishi.
- 50:31There's no. E in it, I have to agree, yeah.
- 50:35It's Game of Thrones bro. I'm thinking of Khalisi Khalisi.
- 50:39Anyways, so this go, this go, I'm going to mute you.
- 50:45This goes hand in hand with the theory of Arthur Hayes in
- 50:49regards to the Fed Would step in and essentially prop up the US
- 50:55economy while the US engaged in another major war in the Middle
- 51:01East and breaking just in from Khaleesi Fed to inject $16
- 51:09billion in U.S. economy. So this could just be the very
- 51:14beginning of this. We also have news that gas
- 51:17prices have been going up due to the conflict.
- 51:21It seems like the stock market hasn't been affected yet.
- 51:23That's what you were saying, no? No, it it tanked.
- 51:26This morning it's bloody Tuesday, so I think maybe there
- 51:29was a delay for the markets to react to the war, but today
- 51:34things are repricing so. You know, and historically
- 51:38speaking, and this sounds terrible by the way, we were
- 51:40talking about this yesterday, Gary, like the fact that like a
- 51:43war needs to happen in order for the Fed to start printing and
- 51:47then that's gonna lead to number go up or the Bitcoin price to
- 51:51go. That all sounds horrific and bad
- 51:53and and terrible. But you know, what are your
- 51:58thoughts, Gary? First of.
- 52:00All if they're printing that much money, you know, printer go
- 52:04Burr. I mean, we're gonna have to see
- 52:05a pricing some some something happened with Bitcoin with that
- 52:09much money printing. But that's interesting Arthur
- 52:12statement, which I think makes a lot of sense.
- 52:14I was telling Kathy when we I woke up and saw the war started
- 52:18or when I first saw it, I said, wow, I wonder how many people I
- 52:21ran are buying Bitcoin. I mean, that was one of my first
- 52:25thoughts. I mean, you know that their
- 52:27dollar what I don't know what their dollar is.
- 52:29I can't think of the name of it right now.
- 52:30It's in the toilet already. So now with this going on, it
- 52:34must be super in the toilet. So I would think that that would
- 52:38be the first thing everybody there will be doing is buying
- 52:40Bitcoin. I didn't even think about the
- 52:42fact that we're going to print a lot of money to help support the
- 52:46effort, the war effort. I mean, you know, But yeah, that
- 52:49all makes perfect sense to me. And maybe it's one of those
- 52:51things people don't like to talk about how we're going to benefit
- 52:52from war, but we are. I mean, I think it's pretty cut
- 52:55and dried. So I mean, hold on.
- 52:58Hold on, Nico, I don't mean to cut you off and I and I want
- 53:00this to continue, but Gary did mention people buying and or
- 53:05rather taking and self custody Bitcoin.
- 53:08I did see this on Bitcoin magazine tweeted this morning,
- 53:12which is just in Iranians are buying Bitcoin and math with
- 53:15mass withdrawing it into self custody amid the war.
- 53:19Bitcoin is the flight to safety. And you can see there was a
- 53:21blackout here in January where it went, you know, basically
- 53:25went sideways. But in the last couple of days,
- 53:28and I guess even preceding this war, there has been a lot of
- 53:32Bitcoin being bought and taken off exchanges.
- 53:35So it's not just theories that, you know, Bitcoin is a slight
- 53:39flight to safety. It's happening.
- 53:41I'm glad I. Got something right for?
- 53:43Yeah, that that's wow. That's it it it's it's
- 53:46definitely a silver lining and it and it proves the the Bitcoin
- 53:49thesis of of it being sovereign money.
- 53:52I think I. Think it's proves something else
- 53:54that people don't consider in times like this, you know, in
- 53:57times of war like this or when there's an embargo on your
- 54:02country, you know, that we put on your country, where are you
- 54:05going to buy? The kind of person going to buy
- 54:07things to put their money into? They're not going to be able to
- 54:09get gold or silver. I mean, it's not coming into the
- 54:11country. This is the only form of safety
- 54:15you can get for your reserve in a country like Iran right now is
- 54:18Bitcoin. That's it.
- 54:20Yeah, yeah. I, I, I it's.
- 54:22No, it's 100% sure it's a flight to safety.
- 54:25You know it's a flight to safety.
- 54:26People feel insecure. The the I think the currency is
- 54:29hyperinflating bro it. Crashed to basically zero
- 54:33against the dollar, so. Like so it had.
- 54:35Already crashed before the war. I mean just by embargoing it,
- 54:38it's. Been pretty bad.
- 54:39I think the math I saw yesterday was like 1000 Rios is like .007
- 54:46cents. So what like 2/3 of a penny.
- 54:50So it's, it's definitely crashed, right?
- 54:52Yeah, I think. I saw this morning something
- 54:53like these numbers are probably wrong, but it was extreme like
- 54:56this. Like when the embargo started,
- 54:59it went through 30,000 riyads to the dollar and now it's like
- 55:03hundreds of thousands to the dollar.
- 55:06Yeah. Makes sense?
- 55:08Yeah, but anyways, that's the the news coming from news coming
- 55:14from the Middle East. It's it's so terrible.
- 55:16It's so terrible to say that because it's like we had like
- 55:19such an anti. By the way, Gary, yesterday.
- 55:23Sorry, I don't know. What the hell.
- 55:24What the heck? I got to shave my mustache.
- 55:26Thanks for sharing. That with us, I got to.
- 55:28Share I got to shave my mustache.
- 55:29I don't know, I got a piece of hair in my mouth or something.
- 55:32But anyways, but the like the, the, the thing that I got from
- 55:39yesterday's show, Gary, it was very strange.
- 55:41And I'll tell you why I was very strange.
- 55:43So like we took a clear anti war stance.
- 55:48Like we're, we're, we're like listen, like we don't like this
- 55:52anti war. This is bad.
- 55:55And to our surprise, it was not received.
- 55:58Like it was like, I would say 60 to 70% of people agreed with us
- 56:03watching the show, but 30 to 40% actually agreed with the
- 56:08conflict, which has me feeling a certain way about that.
- 56:13And then the second part is the fact that as Bitcoiners, we
- 56:19actually benefit from the conflict because of the Fed
- 56:25having to potentially step in, which they already, they already
- 56:29have. They're like, according to
- 56:31Khaleesi, they already stepped in.
- 56:33They already announced that they're, they're, they're
- 56:35stepping in and they're, they're injecting money into the US
- 56:37economy as Arthur Hayes predicted.
- 56:40But it has me a little bit conflicted, Gary, like I, I
- 56:43don't know what. I don't think you.
- 56:44Should be so conflicted about that you're not doing anything
- 56:47to go to war and you're not celebrating going to war, you
- 56:50know, and whether your politics are you want to go to war or
- 56:53not, that's not the issue to me. The issue to me is that because
- 56:59of Bitcoin, whether we profit or not because of Bitcoin, people
- 57:03there have a flight to safety that they wouldn't have at all.
- 57:06So whenever this is settled and done, those people are going to
- 57:09be way better off because of Bitcoin.
- 57:12And if and if by a sideline I profit, nothing I can do about
- 57:15that. I'm not going to sell my
- 57:16Bitcoin, so I don't profit. So that's just a sideline I
- 57:19can't do anything about. Do I?
- 57:21Do I mind if my stack goes up? No, I don't.
- 57:24Do I want a war? No, I don't.
- 57:26You know, But you know, I don't have any controls over either
- 57:30one of those things. And I don't get, I don't worry
- 57:32about things I can't control. I I like that that's some that's
- 57:36some some Gary, Gary Leland wisdom right there.
- 57:40Anyways, before we get into the culture to talk about the
- 57:43longest running Bitcoin conference bit block boom, I do
- 57:46want to give a shout out to our partners and then we'll be right
- 57:51back in just a little bit. I want to give a shout out to
- 57:55our partner Hive Digital Technologies.
- 57:58Fueled by clean energy, Hive has quadrupled its global Bitcoin
- 58:03mining footprint and channels that same scale into high
- 58:06performance compute where their AI cloud is now ranked number
- 58:10one in the world for network performance.
- 58:13At Hive, you've got dual engines, Bitcoin and AI humming,
- 58:18roaring, accelerating and unison.
- 58:20They're lean and mean, they're green and clean, and they're
- 58:23rewriting, writing the playbook on sustainable digital
- 58:26infrastructure. You can catch the latest buzz at
- 58:29Hive Digital Tech or at Hive digitaltech.com.
- 58:37So ladies and gentlemen, there's two major conferences happening
- 58:40in April. I do got to have I have to give
- 58:42a shout out to our paid partner bit Bitcoin 2026.
- 58:46It's happening April 27th through the 29th.
- 58:49You want to get your tickets quickly before the prices go up.
- 58:53Use promo code simply again, promo code simply to get your
- 58:57tickets to Bitcoin 20261 of the largest Bitcoin conferences in
- 59:01the world. You're not going to want to miss
- 59:03it. I said there's two Bitcoin
- 59:05conferences happening in April and of course you guys don't
- 59:09want to miss the Bitcoin conference that's happening in
- 59:11Las Vegas, NV at the Venetian Hotel.
- 59:14But you also don't want to miss the bit block boom conference
- 59:18that is happening in the beginning of April.
- 59:21And as I said before, we did the the the commercial break.
- 59:26This is the longest running Bitcoin conference ever.
- 59:31Isn't that right, Gary? Yeah, anywhere.
- 59:33It's 9th, 9th year there. There are some that were before
- 59:35us, but they aren't running anymore, you know, so this is
- 59:38our 9th year. So that's a long time Bitcoin
- 59:42world. And, and I, and I love the, the
- 59:45you guys have to experience, you know, I consider this a, a, a
- 59:49rite of passage for, for all Bitcoiners, right?
- 59:53Because the experience that you'll get at bit block boom is
- 59:57different than the experience that you get at, at the Bitcoin
- 1:00:00conference. And it's just different vibes,
- 1:00:03like different feelings. But I I'll tell you my personal
- 1:00:06experience. My personal experience, the
- 1:00:08first Bitcoin conference I ever went to was Gary's Bitcoin
- 1:00:13Conference, and it was the Bit Block boom conference that me
- 1:00:16and Opti went through. Where there is the fame, the
- 1:00:18infamous or the famous, depending on the way that you
- 1:00:21look at it. Lobbycon, where it was, it was
- 1:00:23happening during the era of the pandemic and essentially people
- 1:00:28weren't allowed to group together.
- 1:00:30So everyone just ended up grouping together at in the
- 1:00:34lobby, right? So it was a celebration.
- 1:00:36It was actually the first time me and Opti met each other in
- 1:00:40person. So it was this conference holds
- 1:00:43a very special place in my heart.
- 1:00:45Opti, could you Scroll down a little bit, please?
- 1:00:48So this conference go up, go up. So this conference is happening
- 1:00:53April 9th through the 12th, 2026.
- 1:00:56And it's happening in Dallas. Yeah, it's Fort Worth.
- 1:01:00Dallas, Fort Worth. Fort Worth, this is.
- 1:01:02This is going to be way different.
- 1:01:04Not the same. It's not going to be the.
- 1:01:05Same as anything you've been to on SO.
- 1:01:07It it's so like Fort Lauderdale, Miami, right?
- 1:01:10It's like, it's like the same. Yeah, yeah, yeah, yeah.
- 1:01:13Yeah, You know, when people come from up North Europe, Australia,
- 1:01:19they're coming to Dallas and they're expecting to see what
- 1:01:21Jimmy Song looks like there in that picture.
- 1:01:24They're expecting to see people walking down the street,
- 1:01:26tumbleweeds, things like that. You aren't going to see me
- 1:01:29tumbleweeds in Fort Worth, but you're going to see the cowboy
- 1:01:31experience. You're going to see people
- 1:01:32wearing cowboy boots and hats and big belts and, and it's not
- 1:01:36going to be like they're dressed up for something.
- 1:01:38That's how they dress everyday. It's in cow town.
- 1:01:40There'll be a cattle drive that comes by with Longhorn steer.
- 1:01:44We're doing a Thursday night event at a rodeo.
- 1:01:47You know, we have VIP section and this is going to be unlike,
- 1:01:50I think in the past eight years, every time someone came, they
- 1:01:53go. I could be in Philadelphia or
- 1:01:55Austin or Denver. It's the same.
- 1:01:57It's just big buildings. This time they're going to get
- 1:02:00the Texas experience and and they're really going to enjoy
- 1:02:03it. I'm I'm curious to see right
- 1:02:06outside the door, the next shop is a cowboy hat shop.
- 1:02:09I'm curious to see how many cowboy hats we see people buying
- 1:02:11and wearing. The Texas, the Texas, the Texas
- 1:02:15experience, Russ and I, Russ and I are going to be there as well.
- 1:02:18It's going to be great. We're.
- 1:02:21Going to be, yeah. Russians going to be emceeing.
- 1:02:23We're going to be live streaming the event, which is going to be
- 1:02:25fantastic. It's going to be great.
- 1:02:28And we got some high profile speakers on here.
- 1:02:31We got Caitlin Long, Adam O'Brien, we got Bo, we got Kent,
- 1:02:36we got Pierre Richard, Bob Burnett, Larry Leopard.
- 1:02:39Always a great speaker guy Swan, Anders, Matt Hill, we got some
- 1:02:47heavy hitters here. So really looking forward to,
- 1:02:50you know, bit Block boom 2026. It's the same.
- 1:02:54It's the same month as the Bitcoin conference. 2 totally
- 1:02:57different vibes, 2 totally different experiences.
- 1:03:01Totally want to make them to both.
- 1:03:02I'm going to both of them and what what Gary has put together
- 1:03:07in Texas is very, very special. That's very, very special.
- 1:03:11You said a minute ago you and Anders met at bitblock.
- 1:03:14Boom. If you know.
- 1:03:15Meenopti. Meenopti.
- 1:03:16I'm sorry. If you knew how many times I'm
- 1:03:19at an event, whether it's in Vegas or wherever, and someone
- 1:03:23will inevitably many people will come up to me and tell me I
- 1:03:27found my dream job because of Bitblock Boom.
- 1:03:30You know, I was there, I met so and so or I talked to so and so
- 1:03:33and they put someone in touch with me.
- 1:03:35You know, with our cat being, we try to cap it at around 500.
- 1:03:38You can really talk to everybody.
- 1:03:40And it's not like people come in and out the back door.
- 1:03:43You know, at a bigger conference, you're bringing
- 1:03:44people. You can't bring them to the
- 1:03:45front door. You have to bring them up to the
- 1:03:47stage from the back door and then they go out the back door.
- 1:03:50And you may never get one-on-one time with them Where at our
- 1:03:52conference, they usually come from out of the crowd.
- 1:03:54They're watching the event, They go up on the stage and speak and
- 1:03:57they go back in the crowd and then they go to the social
- 1:04:00events at night, so you have plenty of time.
- 1:04:03Yeah, absolutely. It's it's very special.
- 1:04:05It's very special. It's very unique.
- 1:04:07A lot of and it's Bitcoin. Only and allowing shit coins.
- 1:04:11We'll kick you out for talking about shit coins, yeah?
- 1:04:13It's a Bitcoin, it's a Bitcoin only conference and so it's very
- 1:04:17unique, it's very special and Gary does a great job organizing
- 1:04:22it. So hope to see you guys in hope
- 1:04:25to see you guys in in, in Fort Worth, the the the Fort
- 1:04:28Lauderdale of Dallas. I guess it's just.
- 1:04:32Fort Worth. It's just Fort Worth.
- 1:04:33Yeah, there's not another one. And project someplace.
- 1:04:36In Montana or Wyoming like that? And and if.
- 1:04:41Anyone does go to sign off, let me say that they use the code
- 1:04:46Gary. I think that gets them pretty
- 1:04:48sizable discount. Awesome.
- 1:04:50Yeah. So you use the use the pro use
- 1:04:52promo code, Gary, you get a discount and we'll see you guys
- 1:04:56a bit block boom. It's going to be fantastic.
- 1:04:58I want to thank Gary for joining us on the show today.
- 1:05:00Gary, thank you so much. Appreciate it, guys.
- 1:05:03Thank you so much for tuning in. Great show. 500 live viewers on
- 1:05:06YouTube alone. I like that.
- 1:05:07I like that. Anyways guys, you're good man.
- 1:05:10If. You guys enjoyed the show you
- 1:05:11not to do smash the like button consider subscribing and we'll
- 1:05:14see you on the next episode of simply Bitcoin live take care
- 1:05:17everybody today's. Episode was brought to you by
- 1:05:20bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a mission to enable
- 1:05:24financial independence.