Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Bitcoin Hits $70,000🚀 All-Time High Next?
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: After a bitcoin weekend, and of course mister Trump going
- 0:11Speaker 1: out there at the Bitcoin conference will break down how
- 0:13Speaker 1: this affects the market in full. I think you guys
- 0:16Speaker 1: are gonna like it today. My name is paulbar Welcome
- 0:18Speaker 1: back in the tech path. Just as a reminder, if
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- 0:29Speaker 1: we'll get them more educated around blockchain and everything that's
- 0:31Speaker 1: happening in the crypto and digital asset space. So do
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- 1:00Speaker 1: It does help the channel, all right. A couple of
- 1:02Speaker 1: things I want to hit onto course today.
- 1:04Speaker 2: Because this is a big week.
- 1:05Speaker 1: If you look at everything that's happening. You've got Microsoft's
- 1:08Speaker 1: Q three earnings right there. That'll be helpful for the
- 1:11Speaker 1: mag seven. Wednesday, we have the FOMC rate decision most
- 1:14Speaker 1: likely will air that live, so make sure and when
- 1:18Speaker 1: you hit the subscribe button, hit that little bell you'll
- 1:20Speaker 1: get notifications on our livestreams. Japanese interest rates decision did
- 1:24Speaker 1: their first hike in nearly two decades. And then of
- 1:27Speaker 1: course Thursday we've got Apple, Amazon UK interest rate decisions,
- 1:31Speaker 1: all sorts of things happening, and then not to be overshadowed,
- 1:35Speaker 1: we've got jobs coming in on Friday. So big day,
- 1:39Speaker 1: big week for what's going to happen, I think in
- 1:41Speaker 1: the markets in general, and of course bleeding into what
- 1:45Speaker 1: has happened over the last couple of days, and that
- 1:48Speaker 1: is the Bitcoin conference. And if you look at the
- 1:51Speaker 1: speech treecap right here, I want to go all into
- 1:53Speaker 1: it because I've got a clip for you, but I
- 1:55Speaker 1: love the first one.
- 1:56Speaker 2: It's the best one.
- 1:57Speaker 1: On day one off fire Gary Gensler and point a
- 2:00Speaker 1: new SEC chair. I want to go to the clib
- 2:03Speaker 1: This will wrap up everything here we'll talk about some
- 2:05Speaker 1: of these items that happened from President Trump and also
- 2:08Speaker 1: of course uh.
- 2:09Speaker 2: RFK Junior as well. Let me go to this first one.
- 2:11Speaker 1: This was the speech highlights from President Trump, wasn't it?
- 2:15Speaker 2: And I won't bother anymore.
- 2:16Speaker 3: That's enough because we have to talk about crypto. We
- 2:21Speaker 3: have to talk about bitcoin, and I bitcoin is going
- 2:24Speaker 3: to the moon, as we say, is going to the moon.
- 2:27Speaker 2: No, you're going to be very happy with me. You're
- 2:30Speaker 2: going to be so happy he is.
- 2:33Speaker 3: He's the greatest guy, the ninth most valuable asset anywhere
- 2:39Speaker 3: in the world. Can you believe that? Is that?
- 2:41Speaker 4: Right?
- 2:42Speaker 3: That's a big deal.
- 2:44Speaker 2: It's not bad about gold. How about gold? Let's go gold.
- 2:48Speaker 2: And I don't think you've ever.
- 2:49Speaker 3: Seen anything like it, and most people have no idea
- 2:52Speaker 3: what the hell it is?
- 2:53Speaker 2: You know that right, We're gonna let it grow.
- 2:56Speaker 3: On day one, I will fire Gary Gensler and a point,
- 3:00Speaker 3: new SEC chairman.
- 3:05Speaker 2: I didn't know he was that unpopular.
- 3:09Speaker 3: Well, I didn't know you was that unpopular. Let me
- 3:13Speaker 3: say it again. On day one, I will fire Gary Ginstler,
- 3:20Speaker 3: WHOA Let me tell you, if they win this election,
- 3:24Speaker 3: every one of you will be gone, but right now,
- 3:28Speaker 3: because of me, they're leaving you alone. So please say
- 3:31Speaker 3: thank you, President Trump, thank you for very much.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Now you have to listen to these numbers.
- 3:35Speaker 3: These numbers are like beautiful, and I don't want to
- 3:38Speaker 3: repeat myself. During my four years in office, bitcoin surged
- 3:43Speaker 3: by three thousand, nine hundred percent. Now compare that to
- 3:50Speaker 3: just after three and a half years of Biden and Harris,
- 3:54Speaker 3: and bitcoin is up fifty percent. Now, fifty percent sounds good,
- 3:59Speaker 3: but not when you're comparing it to almost four thousand percent.
- 4:04Speaker 3: Fifty is not good.
- 4:07Speaker 1: All right, So, as you can see, he was a
- 4:09Speaker 1: little bit all over the place. I don't know if
- 4:10Speaker 1: people would look at this as a success a failure,
- 4:13Speaker 1: you know, kind of sideways on it. But I think
- 4:15Speaker 1: when you look at the key talking points that he
- 4:18Speaker 1: went into, and I'll just cover those again. Obviously against
- 4:22Speaker 1: are creating a strategic national Bitcoin, we'll talk about reserve
- 4:26Speaker 1: to talk about that in a second, Bitcoin going to
- 4:29Speaker 1: the moon, obviously, never sell your bookcoin. He got into
- 4:31Speaker 1: all that, So he covered a lot of the things
- 4:34Speaker 1: that I think everybody wanted to hear, and like any politician,
- 4:38Speaker 1: that's kind of their mission in life, and that is,
- 4:40Speaker 1: tell you what you want to hear so they'll vote
- 4:42Speaker 1: for you. Watching them act on it is the most
- 4:45Speaker 1: important thing. And look at what Trump has done with
- 4:49Speaker 1: his own NFT program along with his awareness of this,
- 4:53Speaker 1: whether it's him, his advisors or not, this of course
- 4:56Speaker 1: is NFT collection right here. He was already into this
- 4:59Speaker 1: quite a bit now granted, not into bitcoin, but definitely
- 5:02Speaker 1: understood what was happening within the crypto space. And did
- 5:05Speaker 1: you notice his use of the term crypto as well
- 5:08Speaker 1: as bitcoins. So at least his advisors are aware of
- 5:11Speaker 1: the difference. And I think he is going to be
- 5:14Speaker 1: interesting to watch as to how this plays out from
- 5:17Speaker 1: his administration. The good thing is I think he'll see
- 5:20Speaker 1: this as an opportunity in the financial markets for what
- 5:23Speaker 1: we'll see on Wall Street, which will really play into
- 5:26Speaker 1: a popular I think a popularity contest right now coming
- 5:30Speaker 1: down to the wire as we start to see other
- 5:32Speaker 1: things play out in the political landscape.
- 5:34Speaker 2: I want to go to another clip.
- 5:35Speaker 1: This is CNBC and their opinion of how this might
- 5:39Speaker 1: have played out for him.
- 5:40Speaker 4: Take a look, how exactly was the speech received by
- 5:45Speaker 4: the general audience. Was their excitement? Was there a little
- 5:49Speaker 4: bit of a kind of pause. What was the feeling, Well,
- 5:52Speaker 4: it was a letdown.
- 5:53Speaker 5: And that's because the day before you had Robert F.
- 5:55Speaker 5: Kennedy Junior announcing that on day one of taking office
- 5:58Speaker 5: he would sign an executive or directing the Treasury to
- 6:01Speaker 5: acquire four million bitcoin to have an asset reserve that
- 6:06Speaker 5: was on par with a gold standard. So people were
- 6:08Speaker 5: expecting Trump to go farther than a stockpile into a
- 6:11Speaker 5: federal reserve. Now we did hear from Republican Senator Cynthia
- 6:14Speaker 5: Lummis saying that she would bring forth a bill that
- 6:17Speaker 5: would propose acquiring one million bitcoin over the next couple
- 6:21Speaker 5: of years. But the point is is that this has
- 6:22Speaker 5: suddenly become this Republican issue where they've really tried to
- 6:26Speaker 5: align themselves with this pro crypto cause.
- 6:28Speaker 1: Okay, so, and I would say that that tunes in
- 6:34Speaker 1: I think to a lot of what the talking points
- 6:36Speaker 1: are for a lot of the Republicans in terms of
- 6:37Speaker 1: just pro capitalism in general. But I think also this
- 6:41Speaker 1: speaks very well to the independence the progressives and that
- 6:45Speaker 1: is just free the ability to kind of do this.
- 6:47Speaker 1: Lummas actually went on stage after trying to get that
- 6:50Speaker 1: point across which was the strategic reserve idea. I've got
- 6:53Speaker 1: a clip of her kind of breaking this down a
- 6:56Speaker 1: little bit more in detail.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 7:00Speaker 6: Yes, this is the Bencoin Reserve Bill in the Senate
- 7:10Speaker 6: of the United States to establish a Bencoin Strategic Reserve,
- 7:17Speaker 6: a network of secure storage vaults, purchase program, and other
- 7:23Speaker 6: programs to ensure the transparent management of bitcoin holdings of
- 7:30Speaker 6: the federal government.
- 7:42Speaker 1: I'm sound there, but the point is that there is
- 7:45Speaker 1: a strategy in place. Lummus kind of leading the way
- 7:47Speaker 1: here with the National Reserve for Bitcoin. This I think
- 7:51Speaker 1: plays into a couple of scenarios that obviously are good.
- 7:55Speaker 1: I think in general two things that are important here
- 7:58Speaker 1: to look at. One, of course, you know, how does
- 8:01Speaker 1: this affect you know, national debt. Obviously, we just broke
- 8:03Speaker 1: thirty five trillion out there, so I don't know that
- 8:06Speaker 1: that necessarily is anything that it's going to have major impact.
- 8:09Speaker 1: I think this is more of a potential around national security,
- 8:13Speaker 1: because national security could play into this, especially if we
- 8:16Speaker 1: continue to see a lot of activity with bricks and
- 8:19Speaker 1: other nations kind of going in this direction. I also
- 8:21Speaker 1: want to go to another clip here because this other
- 8:23Speaker 1: clip will get into a little bit more detail on
- 8:26Speaker 1: how Novograts. This is Mike Novograts talking about really what
- 8:30Speaker 1: this might look like on balance sheets. So looking at
- 8:33Speaker 1: the future of where bitcoin is going, take a.
- 8:34Speaker 7: Look bitcoin on the balance sheet of the United States
- 8:38Speaker 7: of America.
- 8:39Speaker 2: Like, how big would that be?
- 8:41Speaker 3: Uh?
- 8:41Speaker 8: It is the singa most bullshit thing that's happened to
- 8:44Speaker 8: crypto since I bought it in at ninety eight dollars
- 8:48Speaker 8: or twenty.
- 8:48Speaker 7: What would that mean? Would that mean?
- 8:50Speaker 2: Like we are.
- 8:50Speaker 8: Holding probably a one hundred thousand in a week. I
- 8:54Speaker 8: think they're both going to commit. Hey want these voters,
- 8:57Speaker 8: I will be surprised. I'm willing to bet three beers.
- 9:00Speaker 8: If you want to join, I can go six.
- 9:01Speaker 2: I'll throw up.
- 9:02Speaker 7: After I would go as far as to say it's
- 9:05Speaker 7: nowhere near priced in to have two pro crypto presidential candidates,
- 9:10Speaker 7: Like we've never had that setup going to this and
- 9:13Speaker 7: I bought a lot.
- 9:14Speaker 1: More crypto in the last week, all right, So Novocrats
- 9:19Speaker 1: might be right there if you look at strategic reserves
- 9:22Speaker 1: as being a real potential here, and even if it
- 9:24Speaker 1: is just a small amount, and in comparison, because remember,
- 9:28Speaker 1: this will be a starting point and what I think
- 9:30Speaker 1: will happen is we start to see really this market
- 9:33Speaker 1: start to explode. The opportunity there for the US is huge.
- 9:37Speaker 1: And again he is also right that if you look
- 9:39Speaker 1: at the Harris campaign and if they do select to
- 9:42Speaker 1: go pro crypto, because I still feel that this might
- 9:45Speaker 1: be the play by the Harris campaign, I think it's
- 9:48Speaker 1: going to be a spin. Remember, Harris's voters are younger,
- 9:53Speaker 1: they're much more progressive. They fall into the probably the
- 9:57Speaker 1: two biggest categories out there, and that is and also
- 10:01Speaker 1: jen A to a certain extent, and some of the millennials.
- 10:04Speaker 1: So that could play into a huge opportunity I think
- 10:07Speaker 1: for both camps, both Democratic and Republican, to be in
- 10:11Speaker 1: the play.
- 10:12Speaker 3: Now.
- 10:12Speaker 1: Of course, Kennedy also got into a lot of this.
- 10:16Speaker 1: We've got some clips here from rfk's bitcoin speech.
- 10:18Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 10:20Speaker 9: Will President Trump fight for bitcoin if he's elected. I
- 10:24Speaker 9: wish you had mentioned bitcoin and the RNC speech last week.
- 10:27Speaker 9: I'm disappointed he spent a lot of the last week
- 10:30Speaker 9: attacking President bucle of El Salvador, the only country on
- 10:35Speaker 9: a bitcoin standard, should want to take a page from
- 10:39Speaker 9: President bucles Playburgh and learn some of the lessons that
- 10:43Speaker 9: he has to teach us about bitcoin and even more alarming,
- 10:48Speaker 9: President Trump and I interviewed last month with Bloomberg loaded
- 10:53Speaker 9: the idea of bringing on Jamie Diamond as his secretary
- 10:56Speaker 9: of Treasury. I'm grateful that President Trump yesterday walked back
- 11:03Speaker 9: that comment, but those choices don't match. I mean personally,
- 11:08Speaker 9: I would rather see somebody like Michael Saylor or Caitlyn
- 11:12Speaker 9: Long as treachery secretary. Finally, President Trump has had four years,
- 11:19Speaker 9: had four years to pardon Ross Olbrick and Julianna Sange
- 11:23Speaker 9: and Edward Snowtan, and he didn't do it. And we
- 11:28Speaker 9: need to ask ourselves why look at the candidate's policy,
- 11:31Speaker 9: but more important to look at their actions to decide
- 11:35Speaker 9: if they are genuinely part of the of the problem
- 11:39Speaker 9: or if they're part of the solution.
- 11:41Speaker 2: Decide if they.
- 11:41Speaker 9: Align with what you believe in in your heart. In fact,
- 11:45Speaker 9: I don't think of myself as red, I don't think
- 11:48Speaker 9: of myself as blue, and I don't even think of
- 11:50Speaker 9: myself as purple. Instead, I think of myself as orange.
- 11:58Speaker 9: And it's true Trump has orange hair, but I have
- 12:04Speaker 9: an orange heart, and that's what you should sport. Thank
- 12:07Speaker 9: you all very much and god bless.
- 12:11Speaker 2: All right, some interesting statements there. Again.
- 12:13Speaker 1: You know, I know his camp is very pro on
- 12:17Speaker 1: you know, the performance of how these presidents and administrations
- 12:21Speaker 1: have done over their past administrations.
- 12:23Speaker 2: And I think, you know, that's fine. But if you
- 12:25Speaker 2: look at Trump.
- 12:26Speaker 1: And I'm not putting a defense on that, just saying
- 12:29Speaker 1: that he was not a politician, went into the office,
- 12:31Speaker 1: probably figured out that a lot of things he didn't know,
- 12:35Speaker 1: and I think, you know, in the sense of being
- 12:37Speaker 1: able to really kind of get a landscape of things,
- 12:39Speaker 1: it was probably going to take some time. I think
- 12:40Speaker 1: he's a little bit more prepared this time and understands
- 12:43Speaker 1: just how deep it goes in DC. So when you
- 12:47Speaker 1: ask that question of RFK whether he would stay in
- 12:51Speaker 1: the race or drop out, listen to what he had
- 12:54Speaker 1: to say.
- 12:55Speaker 10: Is your campaign right now closer than it's ever been
- 12:58Speaker 10: to being over?
- 13:00Speaker 2: To be over?
- 13:02Speaker 9: Oh my campaign, it will be over on election Day.
- 13:06Speaker 10: There is no circumstance in which you drop out of
- 13:08Speaker 10: this race, no, and endorse anyone.
- 13:12Speaker 9: I can't imagine a circumstance right now. I would do that.
- 13:15Speaker 9: I mean, anything is possible, but I can't. I at
- 13:20Speaker 9: this point, there is nothing in the cards.
- 13:22Speaker 10: Are you disappointed that ballot access has been as slow
- 13:26Speaker 10: and possibly frustrating as it's been.
- 13:28Speaker 9: I well, yeah, so.
- 13:32Speaker 1: I see some you know, some hesitation there on RFK,
- 13:36Speaker 1: which is interesting because if you look at you know,
- 13:39Speaker 1: body mechanism and you know, just language, I mean, he
- 13:42Speaker 1: kind of leans back on that question. There are some
- 13:45Speaker 1: things that are kind of intriguing. He's left the door open,
- 13:48Speaker 1: is what it pulls down to. But one thing that
- 13:50Speaker 1: you have to do kind of give him credit for,
- 13:53Speaker 1: and that is his knowledge and awareness. This was safe
- 13:56Speaker 1: for talking about this. You know, they add some time
- 13:58Speaker 1: with RFK, but he's basically he's much more aware of
- 14:02Speaker 1: what's going on in crypto and bitcoin above the surface level.
- 14:06Speaker 1: Because I feel like Trump kind of exposed his weakness
- 14:09Speaker 1: on crypto and bitcoin in the sense that he maybe
- 14:12Speaker 1: doesn't fully understand what this is and how it works
- 14:15Speaker 1: within really around a global economy. But I think RFK
- 14:19Speaker 1: has a much better grasp of this. Now, what does
- 14:21Speaker 1: that mean will get him voted in? Probably not, but
- 14:24Speaker 1: it could put him in a position where he could
- 14:27Speaker 1: end up in a cabinet on maybe on either side,
- 14:30Speaker 1: and be very effective on moving something like this forward.
- 14:34Speaker 1: So a lot of cool things going on.
- 14:37Speaker 2: Other things.
- 14:37Speaker 1: The ETHTF had a pretty good week week last week.
- 14:40Speaker 1: If you compare that around eight hundred millions to the
- 14:42Speaker 1: bitcoin ETF two hundred million on the ETHTF, not a
- 14:45Speaker 1: bad deal. When you look at a quarter of the
- 14:48Speaker 1: bitcoin inflows over the equivalent period of time, that's significant.
- 14:53Speaker 1: And again remember I've talked about this many times on
- 14:56Speaker 1: the show, and that is that it is ethereum still
- 15:00Speaker 1: very unknown, and I think that is something that the
- 15:03Speaker 1: asset managers continue to battle with and really being able
- 15:07Speaker 1: to see it. Going forward, the question will be is
- 15:09Speaker 1: how people diversify their holdings because some people might say, Okay,
- 15:12Speaker 1: I'm going to if I'm gonna go crypto, maybe I'm
- 15:15Speaker 1: going to do.
- 15:15Speaker 2: A sixty forty.
- 15:16Speaker 1: But if we ever do get to that level, that
- 15:19Speaker 1: could be significant for ethereum going forward. Justin Sun of course,
- 15:24Speaker 1: is pushing China to try to reconsider their crypto stance.
- 15:28Speaker 1: I don't know that this is going to necessarily going
- 15:29Speaker 1: to work. I think China will go the opposite, but
- 15:31Speaker 1: they need to step up since Trump is pushing for this.
- 15:34Speaker 1: I think the bigger point right now is to watch
- 15:37Speaker 1: what Bricks does. Watch what bricks does, because this will
- 15:40Speaker 1: give us a lot more of an indication of how
- 15:42Speaker 1: China is thinking and maybe staying pace on this. Now
- 15:46Speaker 1: we may force the hands when I say we, the
- 15:48Speaker 1: United States may force the hands of bricks in other countries,
- 15:51Speaker 1: but China, I think, is going to go alternative to
- 15:54Speaker 1: what our strategy are, whatever it might be. So a
- 15:57Speaker 1: lot of things pulling out for sure right now. This
- 16:01Speaker 1: was surprising to me. The wealthiest one percent right now
- 16:04Speaker 1: hold fifty percent of stocks worth basically nineteen point seven
- 16:09Speaker 1: trillion dollars. This is significant because the opportunity here of
- 16:15Speaker 1: a potential impact to the market. Should liquidity get into
- 16:19Speaker 1: a position of simply saying I'm not sure where the
- 16:21Speaker 1: market's going, I want to retrace and hold or maybe
- 16:24Speaker 1: take profits, could have some pretty significant impacts going forward.
- 16:29Speaker 1: This is CNBC talking about whether or not they're worried
- 16:32Speaker 1: about a big sell off.
- 16:33Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 16:34Speaker 7: So you're not worried about the potential for a big
- 16:37Speaker 7: sell off in the fall, or.
- 16:38Speaker 5: You're just not thinking either that long term or short term,
- 16:41Speaker 5: depending on how you want to look at it.
- 16:43Speaker 11: Yeah, I think it's going to be I think we're
- 16:45Speaker 11: going to have a volatile couple of weeks up until
- 16:47Speaker 11: about October. You know, time pretended for bad onto the market.
- 16:50Speaker 11: So I guess I'm certainly just not worried about that volatility.
- 16:54Speaker 11: I expect it. I expect to be buying on the depth,
- 16:56Speaker 11: but longer term, again, I'm just a believer that the
- 16:59Speaker 11: market is going to end up positive this year, and
- 17:01Speaker 11: these are your opportunities to dollar cost average into a
- 17:04Speaker 11: more diversified portfolio. But that last point, I am diversifying, right,
- 17:08Speaker 11: So I have seen the books of small caps. I
- 17:10Speaker 11: do think there's something there. I'm looking at names like
- 17:13Speaker 11: micro Strategy for example. You know, we saw the Nashville
- 17:16Speaker 11: conference this weekend. America is going to be the land
- 17:18Speaker 11: of bitcoin if we get that side of the House elected.
- 17:20Speaker 11: So I did think there are some opportunities now to
- 17:22Speaker 11: diversify as well. But I'm not afraid of the volatil
- 17:24Speaker 11: at intact and that.
- 17:25Speaker 1: Pulling back, all right, So still people looking at the upside.
- 17:30Speaker 1: We showed a clip last week and this was Tom Lee.
- 17:33Speaker 1: He kind of was in the same position. A lot
- 17:34Speaker 1: of analysts looking at the S and P five hundred
- 17:38Speaker 1: right now and the position and if you look at
- 17:41Speaker 1: the scenario that could play out here from political landscape,
- 17:43Speaker 1: and also remember interest rates CPI continuing to slow. The
- 17:48Speaker 1: concern I have is jobs, but all of that could
- 17:52Speaker 1: play into a very bullish future for not only the
- 17:55Speaker 1: S and P five hundred, but also some of those
- 17:57Speaker 1: smaller microcaps. So definitely want to watch for sure. This,
- 18:01Speaker 1: of course is what we're watching right now, and that
- 18:04Speaker 1: is the potential of a rate cut. So here you've
- 18:06Speaker 1: got the FOMC meaning rate cut probability for the September
- 18:10Speaker 1: eighteenth setting at around eighty five point eight. So I
- 18:15Speaker 1: think this based on the data that we're getting so far.
- 18:20Speaker 1: The key here will be CPI over the next forty
- 18:22Speaker 1: five days to really take a look a hard look
- 18:25Speaker 1: at how this plays out into September. And I think
- 18:29Speaker 1: the key here is if this rate cut does come
- 18:31Speaker 1: in in September, you could see a barn burner in
- 18:35Speaker 1: terms of the markets because I think a lot of
- 18:37Speaker 1: people will be in a position saying, hey, we're on
- 18:39Speaker 1: our way down. So definitely some good sense of where
- 18:44Speaker 1: this might go. This, of course is FED Vice chair
- 18:47Speaker 1: form of FED Vice chair talking about the rate cut
- 18:51Speaker 1: September possibility.
- 18:52Speaker 12: Take a look we last time we spoke, you felt
- 18:55Speaker 12: things were getting good enough to cut rates. The question
- 18:59Speaker 12: I would ask you is whether you think that comes
- 19:02Speaker 12: before or after the election at this point.
- 19:06Speaker 13: Well, first bonjours, I must say, look, I think the
- 19:10Speaker 13: cut probably comes in September. It's what the market is priced.
- 19:13Speaker 13: Then I think the data on balance would support that.
- 19:17Speaker 13: And if they're not going to do it, they're going
- 19:18Speaker 13: to have to signal pretty clearly and push back hard
- 19:20Speaker 13: against the market. So count me in the camp of
- 19:23Speaker 13: many that Septembers are likely the first move.
- 19:27Speaker 12: And what would have to change in your mind if
- 19:29Speaker 12: that were to get delayed.
- 19:30Speaker 13: At all, Well, I think they'd have to see a
- 19:33Speaker 13: series of very strong reports, which seems sort of unlikely
- 19:37Speaker 13: at this stage. That includes obviously the upcoming labor market
- 19:41Speaker 13: data at the end of the week. I think there's
- 19:43Speaker 13: at least one more two more actually inflation reports that
- 19:46Speaker 13: they'll have to see. But look, there's the data mounting up,
- 19:50Speaker 13: as I say, on balance that they should probably cut.
- 19:52Speaker 13: We see inflation itself stable or coming down. Goods prices,
- 19:56Speaker 13: which are an important part of this, given that services
- 20:00Speaker 13: this is relatively sticky. Good prices have been moving in
- 20:02Speaker 13: the right direction from their standpoint, and we've also seen
- 20:05Speaker 13: you know, some beginning of weakness and consumers, the consumer
- 20:09Speaker 13: sentiment numbers from Michigan, we're relatively weak. So I think
- 20:13Speaker 13: there's enough evidence for them to bord and cut unless
- 20:16Speaker 13: there's something dramatically different in between.
- 20:19Speaker 1: So key here right now, guys, is we're looking for
- 20:22Speaker 1: the potential of the CPI data coming in for sure
- 20:26Speaker 1: off the job market, and of course what we'll see
- 20:28Speaker 1: I think around the issue of the market itself, because
- 20:32Speaker 1: if the market is not necessarily in which has been
- 20:34Speaker 1: kind of sideways, you know, maybe this is enough of
- 20:38Speaker 1: the evidence that we need on chair Pal's play to say, Okay, yeah,
- 20:42Speaker 1: this is it.
- 20:43Speaker 2: We think that we've paused enough.
- 20:45Speaker 1: This is our chance to maybe start the adjustment here
- 20:49Speaker 1: for the markets going forward. Now, No, we have a
- 20:52Speaker 1: poll today and we'll try to get in some questions.
- 20:54Speaker 1: I don't know if the guys gave me. Yeah, it
- 20:56Speaker 1: looks like they gave.
- 20:56Speaker 2: Me some questions.
- 20:57Speaker 1: So we'll try to get into some questions. Drop some
- 20:59Speaker 1: over on the real quick and I'll take a look
- 21:02Speaker 1: at some of those. Let's go to the poll real quick.
- 21:04Speaker 1: See here we go bitcoin. What happens first? So a
- 21:08Speaker 1: new all time high. This is holding tight fifty six
- 21:11Speaker 1: or sixty four. So you guys think maybe some of
- 21:14Speaker 1: you forty four percent of you think we might get
- 21:16Speaker 1: a little bit of a retracement holding in. Remember bitcoin
- 21:20Speaker 1: overall has been on an upward sentiment trend for the
- 21:24Speaker 1: last couple of weeks, so that is something that could
- 21:27Speaker 1: still play into it, even though the key here, I
- 21:31Speaker 1: think will be some of the data that we'll get.
- 21:33Speaker 1: And also remember FOMC meeting that could have some indicators
- 21:38Speaker 1: going forward to maybe solidify the rate cut coming into
- 21:41Speaker 1: June or excuse me, coming in September.
- 21:43Speaker 2: That'll be a factor. I think that could play into it.
- 21:46Speaker 1: I want to get in some questions today if you
- 21:49Speaker 1: are looking at bitcoin and ethereum, Ethereum and course has
- 21:52Speaker 1: started a little bit of an upward move over this
- 21:54Speaker 1: last little bit. The one to watch though, has been
- 21:57Speaker 1: Solana continuing its climb. I'm really since back here at
- 22:03Speaker 1: one hundred and twenty seven on July fifth, so not
- 22:07Speaker 1: a bad move there for some of you guys that
- 22:08Speaker 1: went in on Slana at that framework. It has been
- 22:11Speaker 1: very positive too on sentiment data that we do. So
- 22:14Speaker 1: by the way, if you're not in our diamond circle.
- 22:15Speaker 1: You get access to some of those training tools that
- 22:18Speaker 1: we use to track sentiment and some of the market movement, and.
- 22:22Speaker 2: It's a great place. All right, So here we go.
- 22:24Speaker 1: Let's go into questions. Joey says, I haven't heard you
- 22:26Speaker 1: talk much about NFTs lately. Are you still bullish on
- 22:29Speaker 1: the NFT narrative? I think NFTs in general, Yes, the projects,
- 22:34Speaker 1: I'm still you know, kind of on the fence because
- 22:37Speaker 1: I think it's going to take some time to develop.
- 22:39Speaker 1: But I think what we're when you look at NFTs
- 22:41Speaker 1: as a device, as a vehicle, an instrument. Definitely very
- 22:47Speaker 1: bullish on that, and that's something that I think as
- 22:49Speaker 1: we see more projects using it in a way that
- 22:52Speaker 1: is unique and also in a position where it really
- 22:54Speaker 1: makes a big difference on brand ip. Very bullish. Let's
- 22:58Speaker 1: see what else will we is? Chris says, it's a success.
- 23:01Speaker 1: Future president is going to accumulate bitcoin. Okay, Well, I
- 23:05Speaker 1: think everybody looked at that speech maybe a little differently.
- 23:08Speaker 2: I was looking at it a little bit more huhum,
- 23:11Speaker 2: because I.
- 23:11Speaker 1: Don't think he was completely prepared and it was a typical
- 23:14Speaker 1: Donald Trump's speech. But you know, really understanding what is
- 23:18Speaker 1: going on in the market. XRP price forecast after lawsuit
- 23:22Speaker 1: three to five, that's not bad. I mean, Tim Evan
- 23:25Speaker 1: have both are traders that we talk to mostly. I've
- 23:29Speaker 1: kind of been in and out on XRP. You look
- 23:32Speaker 1: at where XRP is right now, not a bad move.
- 23:35Speaker 1: I mean it's holding that sixty cent range fairly significantly,
- 23:39Speaker 1: which is not a bad one to be on right now.
- 23:44Speaker 1: Jennay not old enough to vote yet, No, I agree.
- 23:47Speaker 1: I'm not talking about this round. I'm talking about the future,
- 23:50Speaker 1: all right. You have to think politically. You have to
- 23:52Speaker 1: understand how these dynasties run, and that is you look
- 23:56Speaker 1: at the Bombas, the Clintons, etc. You know, these families
- 24:00Speaker 1: get into the potential of power, and I think that's
- 24:03Speaker 1: an advantage.
- 24:04Speaker 2: Jena will eventually be rolling into that.
- 24:06Speaker 1: And I think the influence that they have also on
- 24:09Speaker 1: Gen X and millennials are pretty big, you know, just
- 24:12Speaker 1: in the sense that they understand how digital I feel
- 24:15Speaker 1: like digital assets work. What's the sentiment on XRP. It
- 24:19Speaker 1: has still been very positive, even though over the last
- 24:23Speaker 1: couple of days it has started to slow. So I
- 24:25Speaker 1: don't know if that's an indicator that we may see
- 24:27Speaker 1: a replacement here on XRP. What else do we have,
- 24:31Speaker 1: Baylor Bear says, is that a real Baylor Bear out
- 24:34Speaker 1: of Waco, Texas. Baylor Bear, like, really Baylor Trump has
- 24:38Speaker 1: a chance to win a vote for OURK just throwing
- 24:40Speaker 1: it away. I think a lot of people would say that.
- 24:44Speaker 1: Whale says, I love RFK, but you would be throwing
- 24:46Speaker 1: away a vote. Trump supporters are young too. I agree
- 24:49Speaker 1: with that. There are a lot of you know, we
- 24:52Speaker 1: have kind of.
- 24:52Speaker 2: Our own studio pool.
- 24:54Speaker 1: We have people in that age range, you know, the
- 24:57Speaker 1: under twenty five group, and we've asked them, you know,
- 24:59Speaker 1: straight up, who's within your crowd, who's voting for who?
- 25:02Speaker 1: And you're right, Trump is much more present than I
- 25:06Speaker 1: thought he would be.
- 25:08Speaker 2: Paul Bron do you really think Trump will get rid
- 25:10Speaker 2: of gaz Arde One?
- 25:11Speaker 1: Well, I don't think that he can do that as
- 25:14Speaker 1: a president. Now, what will happen is he could step down,
- 25:18Speaker 1: you know, just because of the fact that there's an
- 25:21Speaker 1: administration shift, which is usually what happens. So anyway, Fear
- 25:26Speaker 1: zero says, more downside with a two billion dollar dump
- 25:29Speaker 1: from the US government could happen very rare you see
- 25:32Speaker 1: XRP listed in the background of others.
- 25:35Speaker 2: I don't know what you mean by that, Diesel.
- 25:39Speaker 1: Oh oh yeah, okay, So when you're talking about some
- 25:42Speaker 1: of the major mainstream medias, they have been listing XRP
- 25:46Speaker 1: quite a bit. Actually, we've been calling that out for
- 25:48Speaker 1: months on end. It's it's been up there quite a bit.
- 25:51Speaker 1: Much more Slona's up there. I haven't seen some of
- 25:54Speaker 1: the others. So I haven't seen like avalanche go in
- 25:56Speaker 1: there yet, or Cardono or anything like that. Roanan network
- 26:01Speaker 1: number one in DDA cross All blockchain is still very undervalued.
- 26:06Speaker 2: Thoughts on that.
- 26:06Speaker 1: I mean, we've had the Ronan team on many times.
- 26:08Speaker 1: Probably it's probably not a bad idea to bring them back.
- 26:11Speaker 1: I mean we've had Alexander talk about this at length.
- 26:15Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 26:16Speaker 1: I'm still on the fence there. Life with Darnell says
- 26:20Speaker 1: Houses of Volatility on bitcoin effect it's used in payment
- 26:22Speaker 1: meth Do you guys use bitcoin as a payment method?
- 26:25Speaker 2: Really?
- 26:27Speaker 1: I just don't know people will be using bitcoin as
- 26:29Speaker 1: a payment method.
- 26:30Speaker 2: I know that a lot of people.
- 26:31Speaker 1: Argument with that, but I just you know, the transaction
- 26:33Speaker 1: speed is not there. You think all of these are
- 26:36Speaker 1: dead dot Avax whoa easy, No, I don't think I
- 26:40Speaker 1: think XRP. Dude, No, I don't think any of those
- 26:43Speaker 1: are dead. I mean Polka Dot, who knows what's going
- 26:45Speaker 1: to happen there, Avalanche, strong community, Ate a strong community,
- 26:50Speaker 1: Mattic getting some new life on what we're seing on
- 26:53Speaker 1: boy market alone. XRP, you'll never kill that community. Can
- 26:57Speaker 1: we reach one million and twenty twenty five? One million
- 27:01Speaker 1: in twenty twenty five for bitcoin? I'm assuming that's what
- 27:03Speaker 1: you mean. I don't think so. I don't think a
- 27:06Speaker 1: million's in the card for twenty twenty five. Let's go
- 27:08Speaker 1: eighty K. That's a possibility that we could see. But
- 27:12Speaker 1: right now we're eyeing that seventy K mark. Of course,
- 27:15Speaker 1: if you're not subscribed to the channel, make sure and
- 27:18Speaker 1: get in right now.
- 27:19Speaker 2: We're going to hit one more poll real quick. What
- 27:22Speaker 2: do we have here?
- 27:23Speaker 13: All right?
- 27:23Speaker 1: We're you satisfied with Trump's speech? Everybody says no, meaninglessen pandering.
- 27:29Speaker 1: Forty one and fifty nine says yes, good enough. Well,
- 27:31Speaker 1: I think everybody looked at it in the sense that
- 27:34Speaker 1: a campaign like the Trump campaign, along with the RFK campaign,
- 27:40Speaker 1: acknowledged something that everybody's been yelling at the top of
- 27:43Speaker 1: their lungs for a very long time, and they finally
- 27:45Speaker 1: have acknowledged it. Just the fact that there is acknowledgment,
- 27:49Speaker 1: I would agree that's a successful thing.
- 27:51Speaker 10: Now.
- 27:51Speaker 1: I think they need to educate themselves really try to
- 27:53Speaker 1: understand a little bit more now. Granted, listen, these guys
- 27:56Speaker 1: got a lot on their plate trying to run a country,
- 27:59Speaker 1: a campaign, etc.
- 28:00Speaker 2: Yeah, I get it. You have to go surface level.
- 28:02Speaker 1: It's difficult to go deep on these things until you
- 28:06Speaker 1: can build a cabinet, which is when you need to
- 28:08Speaker 1: go deep. And that's important. So that cabinet structure is
- 28:12Speaker 1: going to be huge. The selection on both sides is
- 28:14Speaker 1: going to be huge for the blockchain and crypto markets.
- 28:18Speaker 1: All right, if you guys, again, if you're not subscribed,
- 28:20Speaker 1: do it now, get in on Diamond Circle. It's a
- 28:22Speaker 1: great place to get additional content from me. I jump
- 28:24Speaker 1: into our own little community over there. Little community. It's big,
- 28:28Speaker 1: it's huge, but I'm in there all the time, communicating.
- 28:32Speaker 1: We do prizes, all kinds of fun things within that.
- 28:34Speaker 1: And of course if you're not following me on X,
- 28:36Speaker 1: just do that. It's at Paul Baron, We'll catch you
- 28:38Speaker 1: next time, right here on tech Path