Latest / SILVER / GOLD / $UFD Meme Coin Investing & Global Economics / **Silver Price** Critical Info YOU Must hear - (Gold News Update too)
Transcript
- 0:00Unprecedented developments in the silver and gold markets and
- 0:05I've got some critical information that I'm going to
- 0:08share with you. One of the sharpest minds in the
- 0:10precious metals market pointed out about four or five things in
- 0:14specific about silver. He did talk about gold, but in
- 0:18specific about silver. That's going to make us very
- 0:21happy, very optimistic about what we can look forward to in
- 0:24the coming months, quarters and years.
- 0:27But I've also got a huge warning for you.
- 0:29We'll, we'll get to that first. But most important, a big thank
- 0:33you for joining me here today. Yes, you, you're important.
- 0:36You're a big part of this. If I was down here by myself, it
- 0:39just be a cold and lonely basement.
- 0:41So thank you for joining me from wherever you are.
- 0:45Please subscribe to the channel that's free and it helps our
- 0:48numbers. We would greatly, greatly
- 0:50appreciate it. Let's talk about the big warning
- 0:53first. I want to warn you, OK, I think
- 0:56that next week, and I'm hearing this from other people as well,
- 1:00and there's a reason why this is the case, we could see some
- 1:03pretty extreme volatility in the general markets.
- 1:07A lot of it has to do with investor psychology.
- 1:10The general markets had gone to some pretty sky high levels.
- 1:14And now we've had this big pull back on Friday when Trump
- 1:17announced the Chinese tariffs. You know all about that.
- 1:20We're not going to waste time covering that.
- 1:23But the investor psychology was such that they were ready to
- 1:27take some profit. People were nervous.
- 1:29So look, I don't have a crystal ball.
- 1:31I'm not a financial advisor. But I do want to warn you that
- 1:35this coming week, maybe two weeks, could be very volatile.
- 1:39I think that Monday is going to be a potential big red day in
- 1:43the general markets. I could absolutely be wrong.
- 1:46And could that impact the silver and gold markets?
- 1:49Yes, maybe. But things really are different
- 1:54this time. And I've heard top people, and I
- 1:56believe this myself, state the fact that just because the
- 2:00general markets run into some turbulent periods, that doesn't
- 2:04absolutely mean that the silver price and the gold price have to
- 2:07go down. That of it all, here's the good
- 2:10news through it all and what's going on right now in Washington
- 2:13and what's going on in the general economy.
- 2:15Without getting too deep into a big monetary or fiscal
- 2:19discussion, the net of it all, the end result, the inevitable
- 2:24consequence will be more liquidity, more money printing,
- 2:28loss in value of the US. And since a lot of us use the US
- 2:33dollar as the unit of measure for our precious metals, I am
- 2:38very confident over a month, quarter, yearly, even decade
- 2:42basis, we are going to see prices for precious metals that
- 2:45we could only dream of. Now let's talk about this guy,
- 2:49top analyst Dave Earthly, who put out a piece last night that
- 2:55just gives us unbelievable info, kind of sums up why we can be so
- 3:01happy about silver. I'm just talking about the
- 3:04silver section of what he's talking about.
- 3:06He talks about gold as well. And I'm certainly not putting a
- 3:10words in his mouth, but he's definitely someone in the sector
- 3:13that I have a great deal of respect for.
- 3:16And I went through and highlighted this again, this is
- 3:19from the Junior Minor Junkie. That's the name of his
- 3:23newsletter. This was distributed by Kitco,
- 3:26and the author is Dave Earfley. Right there.
- 3:29OK, $4000 gold, $50 silver, targets reached.
- 3:34Now what? And we're going to skip down to
- 3:37the part about silver, guys. There's about 5 things in here.
- 3:41Good examples, good reasons why we can continue to be very
- 3:44optimistic about the price of silver.
- 3:46He points out silver's CPI adjusted high is 4 times higher
- 3:53at $200 per oz. That means when we adjust the
- 3:561980 high for the consumer price index in today's dollars, it
- 4:01would be $200.00 an ounce. But the important thing here,
- 4:04which we've not been talking about a lot lately, is the gold
- 4:07to silver ratio. It's been moving down closer to
- 4:11key support at 75. And again, that's the number of
- 4:15Oz of silver that it takes that you can trade basically for one
- 4:20ounce of gold. OK, right now.
- 4:23Well, we'll get to this. The next major support in the
- 4:26gold to silver ratio is 75 to one.
- 4:30OK, below there, 30 to 1 is what the level reached at the peak of
- 4:36the 2011 bull market. Hold on a second here.
- 4:40Let me come back and look you in the eyes.
- 4:43There's nothing stopping us from getting to a 30 to 1 gold to
- 4:47silver ratio. Let's just take $4000.
- 4:51I should be able to do this. In my head.
- 4:53I think that makes about $130.00 silver.
- 4:56But let's do the math. Let's divide 4000 / 30.
- 5:02Yeah, we come to 133. I don't think you can see that
- 5:06it's not showing up. Anyway, $133 silver.
- 5:10If the gold price remained where it was right now, and if the
- 5:13gold to silver ratio went to 30 where it was in 2011, we would
- 5:18have $133 per oz silver. Let's get back to the article.
- 5:23Did I? Did I not share that article
- 5:25properly? I apologize guys.
- 5:28Here we go. There's the article we should
- 5:30have been looking at. I screwed that up.
- 5:33Oh well, welcome to live streaming a junior minor junkie,
- 5:37Dave Earfley. And we only went through the
- 5:39first little highlighted part here.
- 5:41OK, it went to 15 to 1 is what it reached at the peak of the
- 5:461979 nineteen 80 bull run. Now I'm paranoid.
- 5:51I want to make sure. Yep, you're on the right screen.
- 5:54So at 15 to one, we would have a what that, if my math is
- 5:58correct, $266 per oz silver after peaking.
- 6:02It got as high as 107 of April of this year.
- 6:07OK. At one point this year, it took
- 6:09107 ounces of silver to get one ounce of gold.
- 6:13That ratio has been trending lower as silver catches up with
- 6:16gold moving down to about 80 this week.
- 6:19So from that point alone, right, we can't.
- 6:22Those numbers are real. Those things go in cycles.
- 6:25There's nothing stopping us from getting to a 30 to 1A gold to
- 6:29silver ratio and from there it's possible that we could get back
- 6:33to 15 to 1, which like I said would be reflected with 130 and
- 6:37$266 per oz silver in purple. Although gold is due for a
- 6:42technical consolidation of recent outsize gains, the setup
- 6:46in silver remains explosive. The Q32025 quarterly close at
- 6:52the end of September above $46 in silver is a powerful
- 6:59technical breakout from a 45 year cup and handle pattern
- 7:03signaling a significant shift in this tiny market.
- 7:07So we've got the gold to silver ratio on a quarterly basis.
- 7:10Our September 30th close, just what 11 days ago was a technical
- 7:15breakout of the most powerful and reliable technical and
- 7:20technical analysis chart pattern in the history of the world.
- 7:24And the longer period of time that that cup and handle pattern
- 7:28forms, which in this case is 45 years, that makes it even more
- 7:32powerful and more reliable. But wait, there's more in red.
- 7:40But the speed in which silver blasted through the major
- 7:43resistance resistance line this week suggest a broader wave of
- 7:48forces is now colliding to send this tiny market soaring much
- 7:54higher. Talking about getting over 50.
- 7:56So there's other things going on.
- 7:58A historic inversion has emerged in the silver market, signaling
- 8:02a severe physical shortage and potential short squeeze.
- 8:07During COMEX trading on Thursday, spot silver rose to as
- 8:11high as 5120 per oz, while the futures closed at 4830, nearly a
- 8:17$3 difference. Where where things were
- 8:21backward, where the spot price of silver is significantly
- 8:25higher than the futures price. We're going to talk more about
- 8:28that later. This backwardization, where spot
- 8:31trades above futures, is rare and powerful.
- 8:34It reveals an immediate demand for physical silver that vastly
- 8:38exceeds available supply as futures traders struggle to
- 8:42deliver physical metal against paper contracts.
- 8:46Historically, similar conditions have preceded parabolic price
- 8:51expansions, with liquidity and trust in paper markets having
- 8:57recently begun to deteriorate. The breakout in silver above the
- 9:0145 year resistance at $50 could push a runaway rally to 55 or
- 9:08$60.00 in short term. Let's see if I can remember all
- 9:12this. We've got the gold to silver
- 9:13ratio working in our favor. What was the second thing?
- 9:18We've got the cup and handle pattern working in our favor.
- 9:22And we have serious, serious issues in the paper market,
- 9:27between the paper market and the physical market in London that
- 9:30are really truly at this point almost unprecedented.
- 9:34Guys, this is a big deal. It's no wonder.
- 9:36Let's take a little trip out quickly and take a look at this,
- 9:40which I think I erroneously had on the screen for you at the
- 9:42beginning that we have Bloomberg now calling it a silver squeeze.
- 9:48Historic silver squeeze deepens as prices soar in London market.
- 9:53We're going to talk more about this tomorrow.
- 9:55But the key here, guys, this is coming from Bloomberg.
- 9:58Bloomberg is the the mainstream. I'm forgetting to share
- 10:03everything. There it is.
- 10:06Welcome to live streaming. That's the article I was just
- 10:09talking about. Bloomberg is the mainstream of
- 10:13mainstream when it comes to financial news.
- 10:17So Bloomberg's even talking about it.
- 10:19Let's get back and look at what what a few more points that Dave
- 10:22made because in my opinion, that is very important for us to look
- 10:27at and let's get that back up. All right, here we go.
- 10:34Now he brings up another point. It just keeps coming.
- 10:38With over 70% of silver production coming as a byproduct
- 10:43of other metals like copper and zinc, even a price spike will
- 10:48not unlock new supply, right? 7 out of 10 ounces of silver
- 10:53that are produced physically every year right now is worth
- 10:56speaking. 7 out of 10 are actually a byproduct, right, of
- 11:01copper mining zinc and and whatnot.
- 11:03And we know that there are very, very few major silver mines that
- 11:09are in the development stage. So what he's pointing out is
- 11:12another another fact that points towards the, the, the
- 11:15fundamental reason why silver is looking so, so, so attractive
- 11:20and purple. Therefore, silver remains in a
- 11:23powerful hold on one second here.
- 11:26Silver remains in a powerful long term setup supported by the
- 11:29current backwardization, a technical breakout and rising
- 11:34structural demand. We're not even going to go into
- 11:37the the fact, but it's very simple.
- 11:40Demand for silver from an industrial perspective for all
- 11:43of those things that it's needed for now and technology and
- 11:46everything else is also going up and up.
- 11:48Meanwhile, here we go. Mainstream media is only just
- 11:51begun to report the outstanding returns of precious metals
- 11:55equities with recent headline from Bloomberg stating gold
- 11:58stocks Trout's AI LED ship rally with 130, a 135% gain.
- 12:03Another article from Bloomberg about precious metals.
- 12:06According to an article this week from Reuters LSEG Lipper
- 12:10data shows gold mining funds surged about 114% here today.
- 12:15So precious metals from Reuters and Bloomberg, right?
- 12:18The two biggest mainstream financial news networks are
- 12:22pointing out that precious metals are moving.
- 12:25OK, here's the here's the best part in red will the herd, or as
- 12:30we like to call them, the people who don't own precious metals.
- 12:34The sheeple will the sheeple with the sheeple only just
- 12:41beginning to pay attention to a major bull market in precious
- 12:45metals equities. It is no surprise the long term
- 12:48extreme overbought sector is experiencing some healthy profit
- 12:52taking after both gold and silver reached significant
- 12:55milestones this week. So the market, the the, the
- 12:59stocks for the miners they're doing OK.
- 13:01I, I, I own quite a few kind of held their ground, but a little
- 13:05bit of a consolidation. Now let's go to the big
- 13:09financial services. I mean, he's laid out this, but
- 13:11think about the gold and silver markets in regards to this,
- 13:15because after being completely ignored by mainstream media,
- 13:21which we just saw, that is changing.
- 13:23There's a reason why when we have major financial
- 13:25institutions pointing to the great attributes of gold and
- 13:29silver, we want to pay attention.
- 13:31Mike Wilson, the CIO of Morgan Stanley, recently encouraged
- 13:35A602020 allocation, 60% stocks, 20% bonds, and 20% precious
- 13:42metals. This is a big deal.
- 13:44Morgan Stanley is a major financial and investment bank on
- 13:49Wall Street and the fact that this shook the financial
- 13:52services world when they came out with this recommendation of
- 13:5620% in precious metals. And don't forget, if even just
- 14:02the smallest amount of the of the investment community moves
- 14:06the sheeple move into precious metals, it's going to be a
- 14:09massive amount relative to the amount of money that's in that
- 14:14sector, our sector right now. It's going to be like a tidal
- 14:18wave, feel like a tidal wave of new money.
- 14:20And even bond king Jeff Gunlock is advocating A25252525
- 14:25portfolio, 25% stocks, 25% bonds, 25% precious metals and
- 14:3125% cash. That's the bond king Jeffrey
- 14:35Gunlock with major in purple with major financial
- 14:39institutions telling clients to buy gold for the the first time
- 14:42in decades. And given how small the precious
- 14:44metals equity market is, the bull market in gold stocks could
- 14:48last much longer and go much higher than most investors
- 14:51think. And when people catch on to the
- 14:53bull market in the precious metal mining stocks, it's also
- 14:57going to benefit the entire precious metals physical silver,
- 15:02physical gold ecosystem as well. Even after more than doubling
- 15:06over the past nine months, the combined market cap, This is
- 15:09crazy of every gold mining stock.
- 15:12The combined market cap of every gold mining stock traded in the
- 15:16United States is around 600 billion.
- 15:20NVIDIA has had a market cap, has had market cap corrections this
- 15:26size in a single day. OK.
- 15:29So the entire market cap of the of the of the gold mining
- 15:33sector, right, $600 billion. And what Dave points out is that
- 15:37NVIDIA, right, the big tech AI stock has had moves in their
- 15:42stock, OK, in one day, just just price moves in one day.
- 15:47And NVIDIA as big as the entire gold mining sector, man, it is
- 15:52absolutely crazy. Let's go take a look.
- 15:54And we got, we got a couple more great things to talk about.
- 15:57I do want to say thank you to our sponsors First Mint.
- 16:00They're a silver mint in Las Vegas, NV, owned by First
- 16:03Majestic Silver. Keith Newmyer's the CEO of that
- 16:07company. They mine the silver in Mexico,
- 16:09ship it to Las Vegas where it's minted into world class silver
- 16:13bullion products and then they go straight to you.
- 16:15Here's one right here upstairs, Susie's favorite, the five ounce
- 16:19bar. I absolutely love this thing.
- 16:21It's like the perfect size, the perfect thickness.
- 16:25If you want to check out what they have to offer, and they do
- 16:27have a lot to offer, great prices, great selection.
- 16:31Go to firstmint.com. And don't forget, very important
- 16:36there's a discount code since you're a basement dweller.
- 16:40VIPRB thank very important person Ron's basement.
- 16:46VIPRB also want to say thank you to 1st Mining Gold.
- 16:50We talked about the gold mining stocks earlier.
- 16:52They're a development stage gold mining company in Canada.
- 16:56So they're they have the gold in the ground, two massive multi
- 16:59million ounce gold projects, spring pulling Ontario du
- 17:03parquet in Quebec and they're moving them through the
- 17:06development stage. They're not mining yet, but the
- 17:08gold is there. It's been drilled hundreds of
- 17:11millions of dollars spent on drilling, determining that these
- 17:14millions of Oz of gold are there in the ground.
- 17:17It's a stock I own long before they sponsored my channel.
- 17:20I'm not a financial advisor. Always do your own research.
- 17:23There's risk with any investment, but it's a company
- 17:26that I really love. You can learn more about them at
- 17:29firstmininggold.com. Let's take a look at what's
- 17:33what's going on, though a little deeper between this
- 17:36backwardization between the between the spot market and the
- 17:42futures market. Eric Young, King Kong 9888, one
- 17:47of the most followed and most respected precious metals voices
- 17:50on the X platform said this. We have no idea how many
- 17:56entities are standing for physical silver delivery in
- 18:00London at the LBMA and for what massive volume, OK, this is
- 18:06talking about the potential for a short squeeze, a silver
- 18:10shortage. And no one knows if the COMEX,
- 18:14OK, the futures market in the United States, physical silver
- 18:19fire brigade. And what they're saying is now
- 18:21they're going to be shipping physical silver from the United
- 18:25States back to London to satisfy this unbelievable demand that
- 18:31London is having in the spot market for silver.
- 18:34But nobody knows if it's enough to diffuse the, quote UN quote,
- 18:390 free float crisis at the LBMA. So guys, we're going to keep a
- 18:44close eye on this. We are we're experiencing a
- 18:47period of time in the silver and gold markets right now like
- 18:50we've never experienced before. This truly is historic.
- 18:56Excuse me having a little trouble with my voice instrument
- 18:59this morning. By the way, thank you for being
- 19:01here. Don't forget to subscribe.
- 19:02I won't ask you again, but here's here's what I want to
- 19:05here's, here's, here's a key thing that we need need to
- 19:10remember about what's going on right now and why it's
- 19:14different. And I'll tell you the reasons
- 19:16why this big move up in silver is different.
- 19:20And we've got some examples, right?
- 19:22Think back to the 1980s when silver spiked.
- 19:25And #1 what we're going through right now is not a spike.
- 19:28We've gone through a fairly gradual upward movement in the
- 19:32silver price. So the example of the 1980s, we
- 19:36are different this time because in 1980, when we had that spike
- 19:39in silver, that was because of speculation by the Hunt
- 19:43brothers. Remember, they were cornering
- 19:46the market. So it was a spike that's
- 19:48different #1 and #2 it was big speculation by basically one
- 19:54entity that drove the price. This time is different in that
- 19:57regard. But wait, there's more.
- 19:59What about 2011? That was also a spike and that
- 20:03was really brought. On as a, as a result of what
- 20:06happened during the great financial crisis and all the QE
- 20:10and all the money printing that occurred.
- 20:12So again, it was a spike. And we think about this, think
- 20:16about this guys, this is key. And we talked about this at the
- 20:19beginning. We have not even, you might say,
- 20:27oh, it's kind of similar now because of money printing.
- 20:29No, we haven't even started to see the money printer turned on
- 20:33yet. We talked about this at the
- 20:34beginning of this live stream video.
- 20:36We're going to have some big volatility, OK, buckle up.
- 20:39Butter cups and the net of it, and we said that at the
- 20:43beginning is going to be money printing.
- 20:46We haven't even had a new round of QE yet, right?
- 20:49Like we did. So 2011 was also very different.
- 20:53And what about 2021? That was the C-19 crisis again,
- 20:58because of massive money printing, which again, we
- 21:01haven't really yet seen this next round of massive money
- 21:05printing. Look, the Fed in this guy, you
- 21:08guys know him, he lives in this box.
- 21:10I love him, right? I think he's cute, all that good
- 21:13stuff, but he hasn't even begun to turn the printers on yet.
- 21:18The reality is they kicked the can down the road.
- 21:20And we said this, those of you who've been in the basement for
- 21:23for years, we said it all along. First it was a can they kicked,
- 21:28then it turned into a like a, a big, like a, someone from a soda
- 21:31can to a coffee can to a 5 gallon bucket to now it's like a
- 21:36big giant 55 gallon steel drum like they use at your local park
- 21:40as trash cans, right? They're going to have to kick
- 21:43the can again because of the national debt, all that
- 21:46craziness. So comparing this current run up
- 21:50to $50.00 that we've had in silver to these previous ones, I
- 21:54think it's big time erroneous, right?
- 21:57Because 1980 was speculation and the spike 2011 was money
- 22:03printing after the GFC and a spike 2021 was the result of
- 22:08money printing. And I believe we haven't even
- 22:11started the money printing yet. I think, you know, look, look,
- 22:16we talked about Keith Newmeyer coined it triple digit silver.
- 22:20We talked about about $200 silver.
- 22:23We got to get into our thick skulls that those numbers aren't
- 22:27that crazy. It wouldn't shock me if one year
- 22:30from now we're down here in the basement together.
- 22:33And I hope we, I hope you've subscribed so you can come back.
- 22:37You never know at some point I only may let subscribers down
- 22:40here, but nonetheless that a year from now we could be
- 22:43sitting here talking about 85101 hundred and twenty $130.00
- 22:48silver. That is not out of the realm of
- 22:50possibilities. Look, what did we talk about
- 22:53earlier that that Dave Earthly from Junior Minor Junkies told
- 22:57us, right, that the CPI adjusted current silver price in today's
- 23:03dollars from 1980 would be closer to $200 and that's
- 23:07probably based on official government statistics.
- 23:11OK, Don't underestimate where we could go now.
- 23:14Look, but I could be wrong, OK? You need to listen to me.
- 23:18Listen to other people, make up your own mind, do your own
- 23:21research. I think I already told you I'm
- 23:23not a licensed financial advisor, don't buy or sell
- 23:26anything, blah, blah, blah. But I've been pretty darn right
- 23:30about the precious metals. And if I think about kind of
- 23:32where we're positioned right now from all those factors that we
- 23:36talked about, I believe we still have plenty of wind in our sails
- 23:41to drive the silver price. Oh, and there's one more thing
- 23:44that we didn't mention that's different this time, OK?
- 23:47And it is different people say, oh, everybody always says it's
- 23:50different this time. Well, it is different this time
- 23:53because all those other times when silver shot up India and
- 23:56China, who are now beginning right to take full control of
- 24:00the of the pricing mechanism for the precious metals, they were
- 24:04nothing back then. I mean, they existed, they were
- 24:07countries. But in 1980, what was the size
- 24:10of China's economy? What was the size of India's
- 24:12economy? It was a fragment of what it is
- 24:14now. Much respect to what those two
- 24:17countries have done to develop and grow their economies because
- 24:20now they're kind of like superpowers.
- 24:23Buckle up, butter cups. We are in for a wild, wild ride.
- 24:27I really appreciate you joining me down here in the basement.
- 24:30It's going to be a great, great, I believe months, quarters and
- 24:34years ahead. Again, be responsible with any
- 24:39investment decisions you make, stocks, bonds, mutual funds,
- 24:42cryptocurrency, real estate, I don't care what it is.
- 24:44And remember, I'm not a financial advisor, but I am your
- 24:47friend and I'm going to look forward to seeing you, yes, you
- 24:52next time down here in the basement.
- 24:55Thank you so much.