Latest / Best of Business / Kent Duston: Banking Reform Coalition spokesperson explains why banks take so long to pass on OCR savings
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talk zed B.
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- 0:16Speaker 2: It is seven after six News Talks. It'd be Liam
- 0:19Speaker 2: Dan shortly on the bond markets that made Trump blink,
- 0:23Speaker 2: Jamie McKay on the beef prices holding up in the US,
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- 0:28Speaker 2: and we'll get to Enebrady in the UK before seven too.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Right now, the ocr dropped. We all saw that yesterday,
- 0:34Speaker 2: but why haven't your mortgage rates joined them? Even for
- 0:37Speaker 2: those of you on a floating rate, which many people
- 0:40Speaker 2: still are holding up for a lower one, you'll yet
- 0:43Speaker 2: to see the savings materialize. And I know what you're thinking.
- 0:45Speaker 2: You're thinking, hang on, I saw the banks drop. Some
- 0:48Speaker 2: of the banks drop the rates yesterday. Yes you did,
- 0:51Speaker 2: but they dropped their advertised rates, not the effective rates.
- 0:55Speaker 2: That takes longer. A and Z and bn Z interestock
- 0:57Speaker 2: code Dots did some good work on this. Am Z
- 0:59Speaker 2: and bn ZI the fastest to give you your savings about
- 1:02Speaker 2: seven days, while kiwibank tacks an average of two weeks
- 1:06Speaker 2: to pass along the cut. Vent Dustin started the banking
- 1:10Speaker 2: reform coalition is with me tonight.
- 1:12Speaker 3: Hi, Kent Cure, here are you going? Yeah?
- 1:14Speaker 2: Good, thank you, thanks for being with me. So you
- 1:16Speaker 2: don't like the time it takes for the banks to
- 1:18Speaker 2: pass on the cuts from the OCR. How how long
- 1:23Speaker 2: do you think it should take?
- 1:25Speaker 3: Well, you know it's not just me, right, I don't
- 1:27Speaker 3: think anyone likes the amount of time takes for the
- 1:30Speaker 3: banks to pass on the OCR cuts because you know,
- 1:33Speaker 3: after all, it's no harder than just hitting the heading
- 1:36Speaker 3: the return key on the keyboard. And really there's no
- 1:40Speaker 3: reason why it should not happen on the exact same
- 1:42Speaker 3: day that the Reserve Bank lowers the OCR. You can't
- 1:46Speaker 3: see any reason at all why why it takes weeks
- 1:48Speaker 3: and weeks to do this.
- 1:49Speaker 2: Look, I agree with you in principle, and there's that
- 1:51Speaker 2: they've given a whole bit of the banks have given
- 1:52Speaker 2: a whole bunch of reasons why it takes them so long.
- 1:55Speaker 2: But there's one thing. If you look at the rate
- 1:58Speaker 2: at which they drop after there's a cut versus the
- 2:03Speaker 2: rate at which they increase after there's a hike, they're
- 2:06Speaker 2: about the same, in fact, actually faster. ASB for example,
- 2:10Speaker 2: dropped the rates faster than they raised them.
- 2:13Speaker 3: Yeah, it's kind of interesting because you know, it does
- 2:16Speaker 3: look like the banks are cherry picking a bit of
- 2:18Speaker 3: data on this. In the Commerce Commissions Market study into
- 2:22Speaker 3: personal banking last year, they commissioned a piece of work
- 2:25Speaker 3: from the University of Auckland's Business School and it looked
- 2:28Speaker 3: at the long run data and what it said after
- 2:32Speaker 3: they did their big statistical analysis, you know, completely independent
- 2:35Speaker 3: of the banks themselves, is that after four months, because
- 2:39Speaker 3: you've got to take into account both the fixed rates
- 2:41Speaker 3: and the floating rates. Right after four months, the banks
- 2:45Speaker 3: had passed on ninety percent of the increase to borrowers,
- 2:49Speaker 3: but they only passed on fifty seven percent of the decrease, right,
- 2:53Speaker 3: So I think there's a long run behavior here from
- 2:55Speaker 3: the banks that they are literally you know, rockets up
- 2:59Speaker 3: but feathers down. And I think we see that when
- 3:04Speaker 3: you know, we're talking about weeks and weeks to get
- 3:06Speaker 3: what should be a pretty simple change through to existing borrowers.
- 3:10Speaker 2: But you're talking about the amount we were talking about
- 3:13Speaker 2: the time, So on the time, I mean, if they
- 3:17Speaker 2: are dropping rates at the same or faster rate than
- 3:20Speaker 2: they are raising them, does that not tell you something?
- 3:22Speaker 2: Does that not tell you that. You know, maybe it
- 3:24Speaker 2: is that their IT systems are crap, or I don't know,
- 3:27Speaker 2: something's going on behind the scenes, or as they say,
- 3:29Speaker 2: they have to do due diligence and there's a whole
- 3:31Speaker 2: bunch of other things they need to take into account.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Would that number not indicate that perhaps they're just slow,
- 3:37Speaker 2: not bad?
- 3:39Speaker 3: Well, you know, it's a bit hard to untangle slow
- 3:41Speaker 3: from bad, you know, because after all, look, no one's
- 3:44Speaker 3: arguing that their IT systems are terrible. Right. In that
- 3:48Speaker 3: same market study the Commerce Commission, you know, they pointed
- 3:52Speaker 3: out that the A n Z Bank their core systems
- 3:56Speaker 3: had been depreciated all the way down to zero dollars,
- 3:59Speaker 3: which means they're so old that in both accounting terms
- 4:02Speaker 3: and operational terms, those systems are worthless. Right, So, yeah,
- 4:07Speaker 3: their systems aren't bad, but that's their own decision to
- 4:09Speaker 3: have not reinvested in up to date systems. So it's
- 4:13Speaker 3: not like borrowers should have to pay a penalty for that.
- 4:18Speaker 3: When it comes to the timing of the delays, again,
- 4:21Speaker 3: the banks are fully in charge of this, you know,
- 4:23Speaker 3: they're the ones who decide the notice periods and the contracts,
- 4:26Speaker 3: and you know how it gets operationalized in their systems,
- 4:30Speaker 3: and how quickly they notify borrowers and all those things.
- 4:34Speaker 3: And it just seems that these delays are pretty self
- 4:37Speaker 3: serving because it's pretty obvious that holding interest rates too
- 4:40Speaker 3: high for too long costs us money and makes them profit.
- 4:44Speaker 2: Kent, thanks for that, Kent. Dustin Banking Reform Coalition convena
- 4:48Speaker 2: with us. Not happy with how long it takes. But
- 4:50Speaker 2: I mean not that I'm here to stick up for
- 4:52Speaker 2: the banks, because no one wants to be that guy.
- 4:54Speaker 2: But they do take into account a whole bunch of
- 4:57Speaker 2: different numbers when they're deciding what their rates are going
- 5:00Speaker 2: to be, including swap rates, which has been all over
- 5:01Speaker 2: the place over the last week. So I wouldn't you
- 5:05Speaker 2: give a bit of leeway. Plus some of their according
- 5:07Speaker 2: to the Banking Inquiry, computer systems are so antiquated that
- 5:11Speaker 2: even passing the rates on for you know, if you're
- 5:14Speaker 2: wanting to lower the rate for a saver, which is
- 5:17Speaker 2: to their advantage, they can't do that until the first
- 5:20Speaker 2: of the following month. That's how ms dos the computer
- 5:25Speaker 2: systems are, so it might be, as I say, more
- 5:28Speaker 2: slow than bad.
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