Latest / Tiger Territory: A Detroit Tigers Podcast / Holding on or letting go? Examining the Tigers' longer-term outlook
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: And welcome into another episode of Tiger Territory, part of
- 0:12Speaker 1: the Territory Network, Detroit Tiger's podcast. I'm Kieren Secley with me,
- 0:15Speaker 1: as always is a man whose definition of header is
- 0:19Speaker 1: different than the rest of the world.
- 0:21Speaker 2: He's Cody Stavenhagen. How are we doing.
- 0:23Speaker 3: You're doing all right, Kieren? How are you?
- 0:25Speaker 2: I am good?
- 0:27Speaker 4: We are recording this.
- 0:28Speaker 1: There is no game on Thursday, so therefore we are
- 0:31Speaker 1: going and moving forward.
- 0:32Speaker 2: And I thought, you know, with this off day, I
- 0:36Speaker 2: thought this.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Was a good opportunity, Cody, to just kind of go
- 0:40Speaker 1: a little bit more broad, a little bit more big picture,
- 0:42Speaker 1: kind of check ourselves a little bit about how we're
- 0:45Speaker 1: feeling about not necessarily the players on the team, but
- 0:49Speaker 1: just like aspects of the squad that have kind of
- 0:52Speaker 1: led us to this point, and do like a little
- 0:54Speaker 1: projection projection moving forward.
- 0:57Speaker 4: So what I'm.
- 1:00Speaker 2: Titling this is.
- 1:03Speaker 1: I just wrote down a bunch of things, and I
- 1:06Speaker 1: think we need to kind of put him in one
- 1:08Speaker 1: of three categories, hold on, let go, or hold on
- 1:16Speaker 1: loosely shout out thirty eight special. So we'll do we'll
- 1:20Speaker 1: do a quick one to just kind of get it off,
- 1:24Speaker 1: to get the concept Trek Schouogl finishing the season with
- 1:29Speaker 1: the Detroit Tigers. Should we hold on to that notion,
- 1:33Speaker 1: should we let go of that notion?
- 1:35Speaker 4: Or should we hold on loosely to it.
- 1:39Speaker 3: Jeff Passing this this week, had estimated the Tigers have
- 1:43Speaker 3: eighty five percent odds of trading him. At the conclusion
- 1:48Speaker 3: of Wednesday's game, the Tigers playoff odds, we're seventeen point
- 1:52Speaker 3: one percent. I would say the Tigers' odds of getting
- 1:56Speaker 3: back to a more manageable form of play off contention
- 2:00Speaker 3: before the trade deadline is probably well lower than seventeen percent.
- 2:05Speaker 3: So I think there's a ninety percent chance that that
- 2:10Speaker 3: that we got to let go of Trek Skougle staying
- 2:13Speaker 3: in Detroit.
- 2:15Speaker 4: There's a lot of numbers there.
- 2:17Speaker 1: Yeah, obviously, eighty five is just kind of a fun
- 2:20Speaker 1: number to throw out there if you're, you know, passing
- 2:22Speaker 1: doing this exercise, and and and for the record, Schoogle
- 2:26Speaker 1: wasn't the only Tiger that was mentioned in that sort
- 2:29Speaker 1: of trade deadline primer of sorts that that that passed
- 2:33Speaker 1: in ESPN put out. But yeah, I don't you know,
- 2:38Speaker 1: I tend to say that you gotta let go of
- 2:40Speaker 1: that because the results I have to kind of dictated.
- 2:45Speaker 1: That feels like the move right now, as much as
- 2:47Speaker 1: it really pains me to say it, as much as
- 2:49Speaker 1: just in a vacuum, I don't want it to be
- 2:51Speaker 1: the case there, and we'll have plenty of time to
- 2:54Speaker 1: talk about. We don't have to go in depth right now.
- 2:56Speaker 1: But it just kind of feels like, if nothing else,
- 2:59Speaker 1: if nothing else, Cody, it just kind of feels like
- 3:03Speaker 1: this is where the train is heading, and the Tigers
- 3:07Speaker 1: don't really have anyone to blame but themselves. So that's
- 3:11Speaker 1: just as I like to say, the reality of the situation.
- 3:15Speaker 1: All right, let's go to another one. Dylan Dingler being
- 3:19Speaker 1: an elite defender. Now, we're coming off the Houston series
- 3:25Speaker 1: where he had the pass ball, the very rarely scored
- 3:30Speaker 1: pass ball that allowed a run, and then on Saturday
- 3:35Speaker 1: had the throwing area that also allowed the run against
- 3:38Speaker 1: Cleveland on the double steel. So should we hold on,
- 3:41Speaker 1: let go or hold on loosely to this notion Dylan
- 3:44Speaker 1: Dingler is an elite defensive catcher.
- 3:46Speaker 3: We can hold on to it. He's going to be
- 3:48Speaker 3: a finalist to win a second consecutive Gold Glove. We'll
- 3:52Speaker 3: see if he actually wins it or not. But he's
- 3:55Speaker 3: just fine. He's still a terrific framer, terrific thrower, terrific blocker,
- 3:59Speaker 3: terrificut using the a BS. He does it all.
- 4:01Speaker 4: We can.
- 4:02Speaker 3: We can hold onto that one. Let's not ever react there.
- 4:05Speaker 4: Yeah, obviously I agree.
- 4:07Speaker 1: I mean, just the the sheer like the Unfortunately, he
- 4:12Speaker 1: is such a great defensive catcher that when moments like
- 4:15Speaker 1: what happened in Cleveland and then what happened uh uh
- 4:19Speaker 1: Tuesday in Houston, it actually like just as a you know,
- 4:23Speaker 1: as an observer, you're just like it's kind of deflating.
- 4:26Speaker 1: It's like, look, dude, if I can't just like bank
- 4:28Speaker 1: on Dylan Dingler being able to catch a change of
- 4:31Speaker 1: you know, you know, off the you know, not even
- 4:33Speaker 1: off the ground above the ground, and then make a
- 4:35Speaker 1: clean throw to third base, Like, I don't know, is
- 4:38Speaker 1: there even a point in watching this game?
- 4:40Speaker 2: You know what I mean? Like you just like chalk
- 4:42Speaker 2: up the.
- 4:42Speaker 4: L That's that's how great he is.
- 4:44Speaker 1: Obviously, hold on and hold on dearly to to Dylan
- 4:48Speaker 1: Dingler's defensive skill set there because obviously one of the
- 4:51Speaker 1: better assets that that the Tigers have and then you
- 4:55Speaker 1: know what related we can just kind of move on
- 4:57Speaker 1: to this one from Barvaldez Valdez excuse me, Valdez being
- 5:04Speaker 1: Ace adjacent ACE like, because.
- 5:08Speaker 2: What we saw in Houston.
- 5:09Speaker 1: I mentioned it on our last episode, But what we
- 5:11Speaker 1: saw in Houston was I thought one of the more
- 5:14Speaker 1: I would say satisfactory. That's kind of how I would
- 5:17Speaker 1: put it, satisfactory or performances that we've seen from Fromber,
- 5:21Speaker 1: given the up and down nature, given some of the uh,
- 5:28Speaker 1: how do I phrase this correctly? Given the coolness that
- 5:32Speaker 1: he exhibited with all the extenuating circumstances of being in
- 5:36Speaker 1: Houston against his former team, guys that you know he's
- 5:39Speaker 1: won a championship with, and like all the memories kind
- 5:41Speaker 1: of flooding in. If there was ever a game where
- 5:44Speaker 1: just like something could kind of get away from you,
- 5:46Speaker 1: it would be an example like that, and he never
- 5:49Speaker 1: allowed that. He obviously put them in position to win,
- 5:52Speaker 1: So like Fromber Valdez could be sooner than a lot
- 5:56Speaker 1: of people would have liked, is your ace? So fromber Valdes,
- 6:00Speaker 1: hold on, let go hold on loosely him being ace.
- 6:04Speaker 3: Like, Yeah, I do want to give Fromber credit for
- 6:07Speaker 3: his last outing. We didn't really get to that much
- 6:09Speaker 3: on our last episode. It was kind of buried beneath
- 6:12Speaker 3: another series loss. But he was really good, and that's
- 6:16Speaker 3: why I think you can hold on loosely. He has
- 6:19Speaker 3: a four h nine ERA so far this season. His
- 6:22Speaker 3: last ten starts last year we're not very good. So really,
- 6:25Speaker 3: his last twenty five starts in the major leagues not
- 6:28Speaker 3: at all ace level production. That's not great, but we've
- 6:32Speaker 3: still seen some really high end outings. I mean, six
- 6:34Speaker 3: scoreless during the home opener, did what he did in
- 6:37Speaker 3: his return to Houston. He's had some other very nice outings.
- 6:41Speaker 3: It is in there. The execution, for whatever reason, just
- 6:45Speaker 3: hasn't been the same. I don't really think it's been
- 6:47Speaker 3: a stuff problem. It's been an execution and location problem.
- 6:52Speaker 3: But fromber is still really good. It's still capable of
- 6:55Speaker 3: high end outings. The question is like, can you help
- 6:59Speaker 3: him get back to unlocking that best version of himself?
- 7:02Speaker 3: What is causing the command to be a little more spotty?
- 7:05Speaker 3: I wrote about a little bit about like the abs
- 7:08Speaker 3: the bottom of the strike zone is higher. Does that
- 7:10Speaker 3: make it harder on a pitcher who historically just rides
- 7:14Speaker 3: that bottom rail with his sinker maybe, but you also
- 7:16Speaker 3: look at some of the sinkers he's thrown or pitches
- 7:19Speaker 3: that have done done damage against him, Like some of
- 7:21Speaker 3: them have just been straight up misses, doesn't matter if
- 7:25Speaker 3: they're low, whatever they've they've been way higher than they
- 7:28Speaker 3: should be. Breaking balls have been elevated over the middle.
- 7:31Speaker 3: So that's what it comes down to. But there's a
- 7:33Speaker 3: good version of Fromber in there. We just saw it. Uh,
- 7:37Speaker 3: there's gonna be a lot of pressure on him though
- 7:39Speaker 3: next year, assuming Derek Scogle is not back to be
- 7:42Speaker 3: the guy, you can't really have the four e er
- 7:45Speaker 3: a version of Fromber. That's that's not gonna be good
- 7:48Speaker 3: enough given the money he is making.
- 7:51Speaker 1: Yeah, and that's that's always gonna be part of the
- 7:53Speaker 1: conversation with Fromber is like can you be a leader
- 7:57Speaker 1: leader of the clubhouse? You literally and metaphorically and then
- 8:01Speaker 1: just like you know, you got the money, this is
- 8:03Speaker 1: what it's you know, this is what the money's for.
- 8:05Speaker 1: So we're gonna have plenty of time to discuss that.
- 8:08Speaker 4: All right.
- 8:09Speaker 1: Here's one that unfortunately, I really do mean unfortunately it
- 8:14Speaker 1: probably seems pretty simple. Jami Jones as a weapon off
- 8:20Speaker 1: the bench, hold on, let go or hold on loosely?
- 8:26Speaker 3: Time to let go four of your last fifty seven.
- 8:30Speaker 3: It's just not gonna work. We discussed it. But if
- 8:34Speaker 3: not for the glabor tore his injury, he might not
- 8:37Speaker 3: still be here. I don't know how much longer he's
- 8:40Speaker 3: going to be here. I don't know. It is interesting,
- 8:45Speaker 3: you know, Aj Hinch keeps putting him out there. His
- 8:48Speaker 3: AJ lost his mind. Where is AJ trying to do
- 8:51Speaker 3: signal something to the front office. We've quite honestly seen
- 8:54Speaker 3: him do that for six years now. Yeah, you want
- 8:57Speaker 3: to know how AJ's feeling. Pay close attention that we
- 8:59Speaker 3: use this play. We've seen a lot with relief pitchers
- 9:01Speaker 3: over the years. When he wants a guy no longer
- 9:04Speaker 3: on his roster, he just starts using them a lot
- 9:08Speaker 3: and they fail, which is is maybe not great, but
- 9:12Speaker 3: like typically when they're behind or whatever. And even you know,
- 9:15Speaker 3: AJ gave that long quote about Jami a while back
- 9:19Speaker 3: in which he supported him, said we believe in him,
- 9:22Speaker 3: said we're working with him. They also kind of said,
- 9:25Speaker 3: I'm using the roster the way it's designed to function.
- 9:29Speaker 3: Scott Ayers gave Aj Hinch this roster and he is
- 9:31Speaker 3: still managing it like it was designed to function. I
- 9:34Speaker 3: would argue it's pastime to stop doing that. But I
- 9:39Speaker 3: wonder if there's a little bit of like this is
- 9:43Speaker 3: on the front office too, and if the front office
- 9:45Speaker 3: is continuing to give him these parts he's he's he's
- 9:48Speaker 3: going to do what they tell him. I think it's
- 9:52Speaker 3: a weird situation.
- 9:55Speaker 1: Yeah, and I you know, I do mean this sincerely,
- 10:00Speaker 1: Like when and I'm anticipating it's gonna happen, when the
- 10:04Speaker 1: Jamai Jones era comes to a close, it really will
- 10:07Speaker 1: be like a moment like like you'll look back like
- 10:10Speaker 1: that was just nuts. Jamai Jones coming off the bench
- 10:13Speaker 1: hitting lefties at a nine to eighty ops.
- 10:16Speaker 4: Or whatever, like it was.
- 10:17Speaker 1: It was one of those things that is just it
- 10:20Speaker 1: was so outlandish at the time that you couldn't help
- 10:24Speaker 1: but just like be wowed by it. And part of
- 10:27Speaker 1: the wow is what we've seen this year is that
- 10:29Speaker 1: that just really wasn't him, and so like he deserves
- 10:34Speaker 1: credit for that, and now the reality of the situation
- 10:36Speaker 1: is it's just sucks.
- 10:39Speaker 3: I really don't enjoy being like critical, Like I've written
- 10:42Speaker 3: about Jemai's father and his relationship with his mother, his dad,
- 10:46Speaker 3: and brother played for the Detroit Lions. He homered in
- 10:49Speaker 3: his first game in Detroit as a Tiger. Like, it's
- 10:53Speaker 3: really been a magical baseball story and a magical family story.
- 10:56Speaker 3: And this is a great guy, but life in the
- 10:59Speaker 3: big leagues is really tough.
- 11:03Speaker 4: Yeah, well said.
- 11:05Speaker 1: And for this next one, I want to remind you
- 11:07Speaker 1: guys that Tiger Territory is brought to you by FanDuel.
- 11:19Speaker 1: So our daily dinger pick is going to be Carry Carpenter.
- 11:23Speaker 1: And I had planned on this before he hit the
- 11:26Speaker 1: home run on Wednesday, partially because, like Carry Carpenter is,
- 11:32Speaker 1: it's a fun one to do something like this because
- 11:35Speaker 1: we know the powers in there. And then also he
- 11:37Speaker 1: has two career home runs off expected Chicago starter Eric Fetti.
- 11:42Speaker 1: So that's by the way, Steven Vote also has two
- 11:45Speaker 1: career home runs. This guy's been around a long time,
- 11:47Speaker 1: by the way, two career runs off Fetti. So anyway,
- 11:51Speaker 1: Carry Carpenter is the subject of this.
- 11:56Speaker 4: Gimmick that we're doing.
- 11:57Speaker 1: And it's just like, are we gonna to see the
- 12:00Speaker 1: complete version of Carrie Carpenter depending on how you feel
- 12:05Speaker 1: about him again or ever, because if you look back
- 12:08Speaker 1: at some of his like previous years, there was a
- 12:11Speaker 1: higher floor with the batting average, the on base was.
- 12:15Speaker 1: You know, he was a three back to back years
- 12:17Speaker 1: Cody three forty three, forty five on base combined with
- 12:20Speaker 1: the power slug nine thirty two in twenty twenty four,
- 12:25Speaker 1: but numbers have dipped and leveled since then.
- 12:29Speaker 4: So well, with all the.
- 12:32Speaker 1: Things that we like about him, he's still a zero
- 12:34Speaker 1: war player right now, which kind of feels outlandish, given,
- 12:39Speaker 1: like I said, given the power, given his ability to
- 12:41Speaker 1: hit gaps, and and we know where the defense is
- 12:44Speaker 1: with him. So so the question is, are like, you know,
- 12:47Speaker 1: hold on let go or hold on loosely? Are we
- 12:49Speaker 1: gonna get like carry Carpenter kind of finding his place
- 12:53Speaker 1: and you know, this year's team and you know, in
- 12:57Speaker 1: a way moving forward because you got to figure out
- 12:59Speaker 1: what you have with him when you're constructing this team
- 13:02Speaker 1: and a two to three four year plan.
- 13:04Speaker 3: Yeah, I guess hold on loosely. Like a lot of
- 13:09Speaker 3: these guys, there is a better version of Carrie Carpenter
- 13:12Speaker 3: in there. And also, so long as the Tigers are
- 13:16Speaker 3: constructed this way and so long as aj Hinch manages
- 13:19Speaker 3: the roster the way it's designed to function. There's always
- 13:22Speaker 3: going to be a role for the left handed guy
- 13:24Speaker 3: who matches righties, and that guy's always gonna play because
- 13:27Speaker 3: you're gonna see a lot of right handed pitching. The
- 13:29Speaker 3: power for Carrie still plays, quite honestly. What's troubling is
- 13:34Speaker 3: like his plate approach has completely eroded. His strikeout rate
- 13:38Speaker 3: right now is over thirty two, bottom three percent tile
- 13:42Speaker 3: in the entire league. Go back to last year, his
- 13:45Speaker 3: past five hundred and seventy two at bats, he has
- 13:49Speaker 3: a two to ninety seven one base percentage, So that's
- 13:52Speaker 3: where you're really not getting a lot. Last year, who's
- 13:56Speaker 3: not walking at all was a big problem. This year,
- 13:58Speaker 3: walk rate's a little more manageable. Rikeout rate has jumped
- 14:01Speaker 3: through the roof. I think we've seen teams really understand
- 14:04Speaker 3: how they can attack and get him to chase sliders
- 14:07Speaker 3: outside or beat him above the zone. And this may
- 14:10Speaker 3: be one reason that, again, like the Jami Jones problem,
- 14:14Speaker 3: what is its solution? One reason is you probably don't
- 14:17Speaker 3: have faith in carry Carpenter hitting lefties. He's only done
- 14:20Speaker 3: it for a five ninety nine ops in his career,
- 14:24Speaker 3: and now righty's are finding more ways to get him out.
- 14:27Speaker 3: Imagine you're really gonna put that guy, you know again
- 14:30Speaker 3: in more bad matchups. That's one reason like that Jami
- 14:36Speaker 3: Jones is still playing. Quite frankly, right there, we're talking
- 14:38Speaker 3: about the things Kerry Carpenter doesn't do well when he's
- 14:41Speaker 3: almost always in advantageous matchups for him. So, look, it'd
- 14:47Speaker 3: be nice if you could get a more complete hitter
- 14:49Speaker 3: out of Carrie. And we've seen glimpses of it, we've
- 14:52Speaker 3: seen seasons of it before it exists. It'd be nice
- 14:57Speaker 3: to start seeing a little bit more of that.
- 15:01Speaker 1: And to your point, this season, coming into Wednesday's game,
- 15:06Speaker 1: he has fourteen walks eighteen only only eighteen and twenty
- 15:12Speaker 1: two the previous two seasons, and that's you know, full seasons,
- 15:16Speaker 1: fifty one games played for Kerry Carpenter, So that part
- 15:19Speaker 1: is real. If you could kind of round up and
- 15:22Speaker 1: raise I think the key is for carry Carpenter. Can
- 15:24Speaker 1: we raise the ceiling? Well, yeah, raise the floor excuse me,
- 15:28Speaker 1: while keeping a pretty moderate ceiling. And then you have
- 15:31Speaker 1: a guy that you can, you know, feel a lot
- 15:34Speaker 1: better about, and we know it's in there. He's not
- 15:37Speaker 1: that old, it's his age twenty eight season. All right,
- 15:39Speaker 1: So like it's in there, the question is can he
- 15:42Speaker 1: be healthy enough and can he be consistent enough to
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- 16:38Speaker 1: All right, coming back here, how about one that I
- 16:42Speaker 1: think is some level of disappointment, and not necessarily anybody's fault,
- 16:47Speaker 1: But just like, hey man, it would have been fun
- 16:49Speaker 1: to see Max Clark make his debut in twenty twenty six.
- 16:53Speaker 1: It still may happen, don't get me wrong, but that
- 16:56Speaker 1: felt like somewhat of a certainty somewhat And now I
- 17:02Speaker 1: just I don't know. I just don't get the vibe
- 17:04Speaker 1: that that's as much on the table as it was
- 17:06Speaker 1: so Max Clark, especially, give him the injuries and all
- 17:10Speaker 1: that stuff. Perhaps being a spark plug in twenty twenty six,
- 17:15Speaker 1: hold on, let go, or hold on loosely.
- 17:18Speaker 3: In terms of being a spark plug in twenty twenty
- 17:21Speaker 3: six debuting, Yeah, it depends on how you define it.
- 17:26Speaker 4: I am.
- 17:28Speaker 3: Maybe we can go holding on loosely. Max has done
- 17:32Speaker 3: some thing's a little better lately. He has three homers
- 17:35Speaker 3: in June. I do believe one's off a position player.
- 17:38Speaker 3: He's only hitting two forty four, but the ops is
- 17:42Speaker 3: up eight h two. He's been elevating the ball a
- 17:45Speaker 3: little bit more, it would seem, although he has no
- 17:48Speaker 3: doubles so far this month. So I'm just gonna stop
- 17:51Speaker 3: looking at these staffs before I tuck myself out of it.
- 17:57Speaker 3: In the best version of this year, Tigers would be
- 18:01Speaker 3: in first place right now, and Max Clark would be
- 18:03Speaker 3: killing it in Toledo, and you'd be just waiting to
- 18:06Speaker 3: bring him up. If he hadn't brought him up already
- 18:08Speaker 3: as an injury replacement. Maybe he'd solve all your center
- 18:11Speaker 3: field woes, and you're comfortable and confident calling him up,
- 18:15Speaker 3: burning his rookie eligibility whatever, because you thought you were
- 18:18Speaker 3: going to win the World Series and you thought he
- 18:19Speaker 3: could be a real spark. The more likely scenario now
- 18:24Speaker 3: is that the Tigers sell everybody at the deadline in
- 18:27Speaker 3: the second half. You're seeing a lot of how You
- 18:30Speaker 3: Lee and Max Anderson, and maybe Max Clark as well.
- 18:35Speaker 3: I do think if the Tigers are out of it,
- 18:37Speaker 3: they're almost more incentivized to try to hold onto his
- 18:40Speaker 3: rookie eligibility. There's just less urgency in trying to get
- 18:43Speaker 3: him to the big leagues. But if you get to
- 18:45Speaker 3: the end of August early September, it would still be
- 18:49Speaker 3: starting a service clock. But assuming Max continues to make
- 18:52Speaker 3: some progress, I think you'd want to see him in
- 18:54Speaker 3: the big leagues this year. Maybe too late for it
- 18:57Speaker 3: to matter in the standings. I don't know. Maybe it won't.
- 19:00Speaker 3: Maybe there's a twenty twenty four run waiting. Maybe they
- 19:03Speaker 3: sell everyone and then Max Clark is the ultimate spark plug.
- 19:08Speaker 3: Getting a lot harder to see, But I still think
- 19:10Speaker 3: there's a good chance we can see him play in
- 19:13Speaker 3: the major leagues this year, and hey, this is Max Clark.
- 19:16Speaker 3: It's gonna be a fascinating experience. No matter what happens,
- 19:20Speaker 3: I'll get people to turn on the TV.
- 19:22Speaker 4: Yeah, yeah, no, for sure.
- 19:24Speaker 1: I just I'm more let go than I've ever been,
- 19:27Speaker 1: just because it just doesn't I just don't feel a sense.
- 19:29Speaker 4: Of urgency from the organization.
- 19:31Speaker 1: It's not necessarily specific to the season that Max has
- 19:33Speaker 1: had this year, but it just kind of feels like
- 19:36Speaker 1: if they might just opt to just kind of give
- 19:39Speaker 1: him one home for a season and just kind of
- 19:42Speaker 1: see where they're at, you know, afterward, and project from there.
- 19:47Speaker 1: Although I will have plenty of time to conversate about
- 19:50Speaker 1: whether it's worth it to burn a year of service
- 19:53Speaker 1: time or you know whatever, so we can get to that,
- 19:56Speaker 1: it just kind of feels like you might have to
- 19:58Speaker 1: let go of this notion that he could has some
- 20:00Speaker 1: sort of role on this team because you know there
- 20:02Speaker 1: are opportunities to do it.
- 20:05Speaker 2: We certainly had him.
- 20:06Speaker 3: You want to rub the crystal ball and gaze into
- 20:09Speaker 3: the future, Kieren. Max Clark right now has one extra
- 20:13Speaker 3: base hit against a left handed pitcher in Triple A.
- 20:16Speaker 3: It's in two seventy nine against lefties, but no power.
- 20:23Speaker 1: For the sake of all of us, Max, please hit
- 20:26Speaker 1: lefties so we don't have to have this conversation.
- 20:30Speaker 3: In six more years of why are they hitting for
- 20:34Speaker 3: Max Clark?
- 20:37Speaker 4: Please?
- 20:37Speaker 2: Max, please just do it. It sparrows that conversation.
- 20:42Speaker 4: Oh man, that's funny.
- 20:44Speaker 1: All right, let's uh, let's do uh, let's do it
- 20:47Speaker 1: with another lefty cold Keith Now this week he hit
- 20:51Speaker 1: three home runs in one game. He's got thirteen right
- 20:55Speaker 1: each of his past each of the past two seasons.
- 20:57Speaker 1: I believe that is correct, Keith having twenty homer power.
- 21:04Speaker 1: Hold on, let go hold on loosely.
- 21:09Speaker 3: Ooh, that's a good one. I would like to hold
- 21:12Speaker 3: on loosely, but he has played a lot of ball
- 21:15Speaker 3: now and we haven't seen that consistent level of power.
- 21:19Speaker 3: There also is the good old power comes last. I'm
- 21:23Speaker 3: not going to rule out I am holding one loosely
- 21:26Speaker 3: to fact Cole Keith will have a twenty home run
- 21:29Speaker 3: season his major league career. Jake Rogers has a twenty
- 21:32Speaker 3: home run season his major league career. So you know
- 21:34Speaker 3: what I'm holding on to it? I am He may
- 21:38Speaker 3: never become the twenty five to thirty homer masher that
- 21:42Speaker 3: maybe we once expected, but col Keith can still hit
- 21:46Speaker 3: the ball. Accessing his power has probably always been the
- 21:49Speaker 3: biggest crux for him, at least the major league level,
- 21:54Speaker 3: but he can do it. There's a long list of
- 21:55Speaker 3: guys who you know popped off for twenty a time
- 21:58Speaker 3: a time or two in there career, even if it
- 22:01Speaker 3: wasn't really who they were. I think if Robbie Grossman
- 22:05Speaker 3: can be a twenty one twenty homer hitter, col Keith
- 22:08Speaker 3: can be a twenty home run hitter at some point.
- 22:11Speaker 4: I agree.
- 22:12Speaker 1: I'm holding on if no other reason, then I just
- 22:15Speaker 1: can't look at a ballplayer that looks like cold Keith so.
- 22:19Speaker 4: It's ol Keith and just not believe.
- 22:21Speaker 1: That is their So I'm holding on. I'm holding on Keith,
- 22:24Speaker 1: all right, hold on let go or hold on loosely.
- 22:29Speaker 1: Specter Torkelsen heying a grand slam. It gets brought up
- 22:33Speaker 1: every time. It's one of those things that I actually like.
- 22:36Speaker 1: It just defies logic. And in case people don't know,
- 22:41Speaker 1: Specter Torkelsen with the career with the bases loaded is
- 22:44Speaker 1: a point zero eight three hitter. He has fifteen Ribby's
- 22:49Speaker 1: with the bases loaded in his career. Cody, however, he's
- 22:52Speaker 1: been walked three times and been hit once, so so
- 22:57Speaker 1: four of those RBIs are gifted. Basically you want to
- 23:01Speaker 1: say earned or in a walk and I don't want
- 23:02Speaker 1: to take anything away from that, but you understand why
- 23:04Speaker 1: free passes.
- 23:06Speaker 3: So how many actual hits does he have with the
- 23:08Speaker 3: bases loaded?
- 23:10Speaker 4: One he has right in front of me, three three,
- 23:15Speaker 4: There we go.
- 23:17Speaker 3: He's due for a fourth, right, and we all know
- 23:20Speaker 3: Toork can run run into a Homer every now and then.
- 23:22Speaker 3: I think eventually, I think he can do it. Maybe right.
- 23:28Speaker 2: Water has to find its level at some point.
- 23:30Speaker 1: It's not like Specter Turklsen is Mickey Mantle, but like
- 23:33Speaker 1: it has to find its water at some point.
- 23:35Speaker 3: With this Torks, Regardless of what you think of Spencer Torklesen,
- 23:39Speaker 3: his career splits with the bases loaded defy all logic
- 23:42Speaker 3: It makes me think there may be is some real
- 23:44Speaker 3: mental block where there are ducks on the pond and
- 23:47Speaker 3: he gets up there and doesn't know what to do.
- 23:51Speaker 3: It reminds me in peak Jake Arietta here in twenty fifteen,
- 23:55Speaker 3: twenty sixteen, opposing batters went one for twenty two with
- 23:59Speaker 3: the bases loaded. I remember Miguel Montero saying, like Jake
- 24:03Speaker 3: got a big strikeout with base load, he sego, look
- 24:05Speaker 3: at the numbers, like he just locks in. He doesn't
- 24:07Speaker 3: allow anyone to get a hit when the bases are loaded.
- 24:12Speaker 3: And that was when Arieta was as absolute peak, So
- 24:15Speaker 3: twenty one times. I don't know. I don't know if
- 24:18Speaker 3: he just had confidence going or what, but he came
- 24:20Speaker 3: through the rest of his career that wasn't necessarily the case.
- 24:24Speaker 3: I don't know what to make of either of those
- 24:26Speaker 3: two instances. Sometimes baseball is weird like that, but I
- 24:29Speaker 3: do think there must be a little bit of a
- 24:31Speaker 3: mental factor at play for Torque when the bases areduced.
- 24:38Speaker 4: It is is quite crazy.
- 24:40Speaker 1: All right, Let's go to Zach McKinstry. He wasn't All
- 24:45Speaker 1: Star last year. Not gonna say all Star here because
- 24:50Speaker 1: that's probably too high of a threshold to get but
- 24:54Speaker 1: hold on, let go, or hold on loosely to Zach
- 24:56Speaker 1: mckisstry kind of being like this utility all star for
- 24:59Speaker 1: the team, like for the team, like he has been
- 25:02Speaker 1: basically his entire Tiger career up to this point.
- 25:07Speaker 3: You know, they've probably been like two or three different
- 25:10Speaker 3: times in McKinstry's Tiger's tenure where I was ready to
- 25:13Speaker 3: give up on them. I think there must have been
- 25:15Speaker 3: two to three times where the team was probably very
- 25:18Speaker 3: close to dfaing him.
- 25:19Speaker 4: They did not.
- 25:20Speaker 3: So it's been yet again a grind for McKinstry, which
- 25:24Speaker 3: leads me to believe he's due to probably hit four
- 25:26Speaker 3: hundred in the month of July. I've learned my lesson.
- 25:29Speaker 3: I'm doubting Zach McKinstry. Obviously, he's got to turn it
- 25:33Speaker 3: around quick because it hasn't been there, and even some
- 25:36Speaker 3: of the the other things about the base running ability,
- 25:39Speaker 3: the small things he does well have kind of evaporated
- 25:42Speaker 3: this season. He's been picked off I think three times.
- 25:44Speaker 3: You know, it's been inexplicable. It hasn't been great. Yeah,
- 25:50Speaker 3: he's probably due to pop off, right, That's just how
- 25:52Speaker 3: this seems to work.
- 25:55Speaker 2: I understand where you're coming from.
- 25:57Speaker 1: Uh looks like you know shit on social idiot is
- 26:00Speaker 1: going to be a father soon caused to the McKinstry
- 26:03Speaker 1: family like this, And so I say all that to
- 26:06Speaker 1: say this, this version of Zach McKinstry what we're watching
- 26:10Speaker 1: is a is a big let go.
- 26:11Speaker 3: Now.
- 26:12Speaker 1: I will give some grace in the fact that like
- 26:15Speaker 1: that injury could be lingering. There's probably probably something that
- 26:18Speaker 1: we're uh that we're missing here. But it's like he
- 26:21Speaker 1: is down to sixty one percentile sprint speed, which is
- 26:24Speaker 1: just not Zach McKinstry.
- 26:26Speaker 4: Ever, print speed.
- 26:27Speaker 3: Being down is very telling. He never quite looked right
- 26:31Speaker 3: to me when he came off the I l after
- 26:34Speaker 3: those weird collisions.
- 26:36Speaker 1: So and and then but defensive range eighty seven percentile.
- 26:40Speaker 1: I believe like it's great, but he just is not
- 26:44Speaker 1: offering you much of anything else right now. And Zach
- 26:47Speaker 1: McKinstry that we know and love has to offer you
- 26:52Speaker 1: something or something of everything and a lot of certain things,
- 26:57Speaker 1: and that's just not happening right now. So this version
- 26:59Speaker 1: that we're seeing but in a vacuum is elect is
- 27:03Speaker 1: a let go. I would like it to be a
- 27:05Speaker 1: hold on loosely if he could just kind of get right. Unfortunately,
- 27:08Speaker 1: it's hard to get right when you're playing baseball every day.
- 27:11Speaker 2: It's a hard sport.
- 27:11Speaker 4: I understand that, but that's just that's just kind of
- 27:15Speaker 4: the reality of the situation. All Right.
- 27:18Speaker 1: We talked about this decent bit on our last episode, Cody,
- 27:22Speaker 1: but the three headed monster at the back end of
- 27:24Speaker 1: the bullpen.
- 27:28Speaker 4: Best Finnigan and ken Lee Jansen.
- 27:33Speaker 1: Being like this like backbone of your of your of
- 27:36Speaker 1: your team, hold on, let go or hold on loosely.
- 27:45Speaker 3: I think I'm letting go. Maybe like I'm letting go,
- 27:49Speaker 3: and that doesn't mean I'm giving up on all three
- 27:51Speaker 3: of them. But the chances that all three of them
- 27:54Speaker 3: come together and are a three headed monster, I think
- 27:56Speaker 3: that ship has sailed. Kenley Jansen is what thirty eight
- 28:00Speaker 3: years old.
- 28:00Speaker 4: Now.
- 28:01Speaker 3: There were a lot of red flags in his metrics
- 28:04Speaker 3: last season, and that's one reason he was really the
- 28:06Speaker 3: one off season edition I wasn't a fan of. He's
- 28:10Speaker 3: been wildly inconsistent this year, and part because he's been
- 28:14Speaker 3: hurt a couple different times. I'm a little worried about
- 28:18Speaker 3: Kinley Jansen will vest I think there's a great pitcher
- 28:21Speaker 3: in there, man. I think a lot of teams would
- 28:23Speaker 3: be happy to have will Vest, but he hasn't been
- 28:25Speaker 3: quite quite peak will Vest, at least not in a
- 28:29Speaker 3: consistent fashion. And then Finnigan we did talk about last episode.
- 28:32Speaker 3: The era is great, everything else is It's kind of
- 28:35Speaker 3: like Kenley Jansen last year is just red flags all
- 28:38Speaker 3: over the place. So I don't have a lot of
- 28:40Speaker 3: confidence that Finnigan's going to continue to get the same
- 28:43Speaker 3: results as as this season goes on. I wouldn't be
- 28:49Speaker 3: shocked if two of those three still have success in
- 28:52Speaker 3: their careers from this point on. But the idea of
- 28:55Speaker 3: that it all comes together this season, it's getting hard
- 28:58Speaker 3: to see. And also because they're real leaf pitchers, all three,
- 29:02Speaker 3: even though I don't believe any of them are own
- 29:04Speaker 3: expiring deals, probably going to be talked about in the
- 29:06Speaker 3: potential of a trade deadline sell off.
- 29:11Speaker 1: Tigers have lost nine games this season when they were
- 29:13Speaker 1: leading in the eighth inning or later, So it's gonna
- 29:17Speaker 1: put that out there. That's a Tiger's data, all right. Well,
- 29:21Speaker 1: the man that kind of has his fingerprints on everything
- 29:24Speaker 1: that we're talking about, aj Hinch as the strategic puppet
- 29:29Speaker 1: master of the Tigers squad?
- 29:31Speaker 4: Are we holding on?
- 29:32Speaker 2: Are we letting go?
- 29:34Speaker 4: We holding on loosely?
- 29:38Speaker 3: I would like to see aj Hinch manage a good roster,
- 29:42Speaker 3: whether that whether that's in Detroit or someone else like
- 29:44Speaker 3: I would like to see him manage a roster that
- 29:46Speaker 3: doesn't need quite as much tinkering all the time. This
- 29:51Speaker 3: year it's begun to look like overmanaging. It didn't look
- 29:54Speaker 3: like overmanaging when it worked, but when it's not working,
- 29:57Speaker 3: it's kind of like, okay, is this going overboard? So
- 30:01Speaker 3: I would almost like to let go of that being
- 30:03Speaker 3: the case in Detroit, because I would like him to
- 30:05Speaker 3: not have to pinch hit all the time and not
- 30:07Speaker 3: have to get cute with the pitching all the time
- 30:09Speaker 3: as a result of the roster. I also don't have
- 30:12Speaker 3: a lot of confidence that at least in the next
- 30:14Speaker 3: let's say, one to two years, the Tigers are going
- 30:17Speaker 3: to be able to reshape things in a meaningful way
- 30:20Speaker 3: where he doesn't have to do that. So I don't
- 30:23Speaker 3: really know how to answer the question. I guess i'd
- 30:26Speaker 3: say hold on loosely. I think aj Hinch is a
- 30:28Speaker 3: really good manager. I've tried to be like transparent and
- 30:31Speaker 3: saying like that doesn't give him a pass. This is
- 30:34Speaker 3: year six, he had to win ninety games. He's he
- 30:37Speaker 3: had to win a division title as a Tiger. But
- 30:40Speaker 3: I think if you can get the right pieces, this
- 30:42Speaker 3: is one a top three guy alive that you might
- 30:46Speaker 3: want managing your team.
- 30:49Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 30:49Speaker 1: This is also via Tiger's data, forty seven point three
- 30:54Speaker 1: success rate and a decision success rate, which is defined
- 30:57Speaker 1: by pinch hit opportunities to reach base advance a base
- 31:00Speaker 1: runner in mid ending pitching changes to avoid allowing to
- 31:03Speaker 1: run the score. That percentage forty seven point three is
- 31:06Speaker 1: twenty fifth in Major League Baseball, so obviously not good.
- 31:10Speaker 1: I'm holding on for the simple fact that you know,
- 31:13Speaker 1: I don't know, maybe people call me a sucker, but like,
- 31:15Speaker 1: if aj Hinch is somedenly free to pursue employment opportunities elsewhere,
- 31:21Speaker 1: he'll have no shortage of suitors, and so like he is,
- 31:26Speaker 1: he has been and will continue to be an asset
- 31:29Speaker 1: for your organization.
- 31:31Speaker 4: So yeah, I'm a simple hold on.
- 31:34Speaker 1: If you want to get critical about this thing or
- 31:36Speaker 1: that thing, that's fine, but overall, like damn lucky to
- 31:40Speaker 1: have aj.
- 31:41Speaker 4: Hinch as your manager. In my opinion.
- 31:43Speaker 1: All right, well let's go to the man upstairs. Then
- 31:46Speaker 1: Cody mentioned it a couple of times here, Scott Harris
- 31:53Speaker 1: stacking of the good baseball moves, hold let go, hold on,
- 32:00Speaker 1: let go, or hold on loosely.
- 32:02Speaker 2: I'll answer this one first while you while you think
- 32:06Speaker 2: about it.
- 32:09Speaker 1: I'm not one to say that his job should be
- 32:11Speaker 1: in jeopardy, his seat should be hot. I'm not portraying that,
- 32:16Speaker 1: but I do believe that this trade deadline, regardless but
- 32:21Speaker 1: especially if it trends how we're god anticipating eighty five
- 32:24Speaker 1: percent or whatever, is a career defining trade deadline for
- 32:30Speaker 1: Scott Harris. I don't think there's any way around that.
- 32:33Speaker 1: And he will be judged for it, you know, immediately
- 32:36Speaker 1: and in a couple of years and then years to
- 32:38Speaker 1: come about how he handles this trade deadline. So to me,
- 32:43Speaker 1: that's a hold on loosely because it's not like he
- 32:45Speaker 1: has a lifetime contract. He hasn't earned the ability to
- 32:49Speaker 1: just kind of have the grace period that like a
- 32:53Speaker 1: Dave Dobrowski or you know, or like even like a
- 32:56Speaker 1: Brian Cashman, as criticized as he is. You know, all
- 32:59Speaker 1: these guys have a lot of pellets on the wall,
- 33:02Speaker 1: so it can't be a hold on for me. But
- 33:04Speaker 1: it's a hold on loosely because I don't think his
- 33:05Speaker 1: job should be in jeopardy. But you do have to
- 33:08Speaker 1: nail this these next couple of months.
- 33:11Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not ready to have the job safety conversation
- 33:17Speaker 3: or hot seat conversation yet. I think we got to
- 33:21Speaker 3: see how the rest of this season plays out. We
- 33:23Speaker 3: have to see how the trade deadline goes. But how
- 33:25Speaker 3: you originally frame the question, like are you buying Scott
- 33:29Speaker 3: Harris as the stacker of great baseball moves? Or one
- 33:32Speaker 3: good baseball move on top of another? As he framed
- 33:35Speaker 3: it in his first press conference with the Tigers. To that,
- 33:39Speaker 3: I would just kind of say, what was the last
- 33:41Speaker 3: what was the last good baseball move? Drew Anderson's been solid,
- 33:47Speaker 3: Like that's kind of all that. You know, you extended
- 33:50Speaker 3: Kevin McGonagall, that was obviously great, and beyond that, like
- 33:54Speaker 3: the free agency track record, especially with pitching, well, the
- 33:58Speaker 3: hitting free agency track right is almost non existent. The
- 34:02Speaker 3: pitching has gotten quite bad, and just looked this year
- 34:06Speaker 3: ken Lee Jansen from Bervalde is a massive contract hasn't
- 34:09Speaker 3: quite worked out yet justin Verlander. We all know how
- 34:13Speaker 3: that's going. You can go back to last year, Alex Cobb,
- 34:16Speaker 3: the Trede Devine. Last year was a complete disaster. Kyle
- 34:19Speaker 3: Finnigan was like a pretty was a pretty good trade acquisition,
- 34:24Speaker 3: but especially in the last the past, let's say two years,
- 34:28Speaker 3: Like bringing in Jami Jones originally was good keeping. Jami
- 34:33Speaker 3: Jones now is looking bad. It seems like this has
- 34:36Speaker 3: flipped from where they were never really any big moves
- 34:40Speaker 3: that were great, but they were the Tyler Holtons and
- 34:42Speaker 3: Andy Abanias and even Zach McKinstry, Matt Vierling like brought
- 34:46Speaker 3: in some marginal they were they were doing the winning
- 34:49Speaker 3: on the margins thing they've always talked about, and now
- 34:52Speaker 3: they are not winning on the margins. Their moves at
- 34:54Speaker 3: the margins have not been productive. The pitching depth all
- 34:58Speaker 3: up and down the system is a problem. Their ability
- 35:01Speaker 3: to identify pitching. They've lost whatever magic touch they briefly
- 35:06Speaker 3: had there. And they've put a lot of faith in
- 35:09Speaker 3: young position players. Kevin mcgonagall's gonna pay off. We don't
- 35:13Speaker 3: know yet if any of these other guys are so,
- 35:15Speaker 3: I would I would say like I am beginning to
- 35:18Speaker 3: lose my grip on faith in stacking all these good
- 35:23Speaker 3: baseball moves just because the track record is no longer
- 35:26Speaker 3: all that good at all.
- 35:31Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 35:31Speaker 1: The results are the results. That's that's a good way
- 35:36Speaker 1: to put it. Yeah, the results are the results.
- 35:38Speaker 2: All right, Let's wrap up here with a little bit
- 35:42Speaker 2: of a fun one.
- 35:45Speaker 1: I was gonna say less serious, but it's still kind
- 35:47Speaker 1: of serious. Uh, hold on, let go hold on loosely
- 35:52Speaker 1: to just always being uneasy watching Riley Green dive runs, sprint,
- 36:00Speaker 1: doing all the motions, because we've talked it before about
- 36:03Speaker 1: like just you know how often they're using him, and
- 36:05Speaker 1: the gate just kind of feels like the gate at
- 36:08Speaker 1: this point. But I just think we just got to
- 36:12Speaker 1: hold on to just being uneasy kind of watching him
- 36:14Speaker 1: do all the other stuff besides hitting a baseball.
- 36:18Speaker 3: Oh yeah, you're always going to feel that way. As
- 36:20Speaker 3: long as he keeps hitting the baseball, you know, it's
- 36:22Speaker 3: totally fine and stays healthy. And I think that's the
- 36:26Speaker 3: subtext here, like can he stay healthy? He's done it
- 36:28Speaker 3: so well actually over the past two years, it's been great.
- 36:32Speaker 3: I wrote about that a little bit. I googled the
- 36:35Speaker 3: eight sleep system that he bought, and now I'm getting
- 36:38Speaker 3: spammed with ads for a very expensive sleep cooling system
- 36:43Speaker 3: that I cannot afford. So no, I don't know. I yeah,
- 36:48Speaker 3: it's easy to like make jokes or whatever, but Riley
- 36:51Speaker 3: Green's a pretty good baseball player, believe it or not.
- 36:54Speaker 3: I never actually lost sight of that. The dude can
- 36:57Speaker 3: hit the ball. What does he look like in five
- 37:00Speaker 3: more years?
- 37:01Speaker 4: You know what.
- 37:01Speaker 3: I We'll worry about that one in five more years.
- 37:05Speaker 3: How about that?
- 37:07Speaker 1: On all the list of anxieties around this team, he is.
- 37:12Speaker 1: He is very way down, way down the list, and
- 37:15Speaker 1: and and a lot of it you can live with. Obviously,
- 37:18Speaker 1: give him the talent that he has, and I will say, like,
- 37:22Speaker 1: you know, still a fun guy to watch play defense,
- 37:25Speaker 1: but makes the dive like that flair for the dramatic.
- 37:27Speaker 1: I still I still love Riley Green, while still being like,
- 37:30Speaker 1: I hope he's okay.
- 37:31Speaker 3: The sprint speeds started to go back down too. It
- 37:34Speaker 3: was like up a little at the start of the year.
- 37:35Speaker 3: It's like back down again.
- 37:38Speaker 2: Of course, can't have everything, all right. I hope you
- 37:41Speaker 2: guys enjoyed that.
- 37:43Speaker 1: Just kind of like a different way to kind of
- 37:45Speaker 1: look at you know, various things that are happening with
- 37:47Speaker 1: this team. Unfortunately you can't help but kind of look
- 37:51Speaker 1: big picture, think big picture. I guess when when the
- 37:53Speaker 1: team is having such a disappointing season, we're gonna try
- 37:56Speaker 1: to do our best moving forward, just you know, be
- 37:58Speaker 1: in the day to day and the round level, but
- 38:00Speaker 1: also kind of keep in mind the big picture stuff
- 38:02Speaker 1: because the powers that be are having the way that
- 38:04Speaker 1: as well. So I think it's important for us to
- 38:06Speaker 1: think about it and then give our thoughts for you guys,
- 38:08Speaker 1: and if you have any thoughts, you can hit us
- 38:11Speaker 1: up on x FOLM me no Twitter at Cody Stavenhagen.
- 38:13Speaker 4: I am at Kieran Underscore Steckley.
- 38:15Speaker 1: Pod page is at Tiger Territory, Underscore YouTube, Apple, Spotify, You.
- 38:19Speaker 4: Guys know what to do.
- 38:20Speaker 1: We appreciate all of you, So for Cody Stavenhagen, I
- 38:23Speaker 1: am Kieran Steckley. Everybody, have a great day,