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Brewers/Blue Jays MLB + NCAAF + WNBA Best Bets Friday 8/29/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my
• 0:41
  Speaker 1: browins hat man, I don't know what is going on
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: with the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's it's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what data is anymore. Man, back
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: with you after the worst day that I could possibly have,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: Back with you as I always am until I die
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: go well for me. Own five the worst month that
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: To the slumpy, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's sewed back with you, shockingly for Friday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: August twenty ninth, better off dead, depending on how you
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: want to grade it. Yesterday it was either one and
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: one on the show for a slight loss or own
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: one and one for uh, still slight but worst loss,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: a loss of like a full unit, or however you
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: want to grade that. Uh. The San Francisco and Chicago
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: cub under the game landed right on seven and it
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: looked like it could have been dead. I mean that
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: game was at three to three in like the sixth innings,
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: so I was like, yeah, this is probably fucked. I
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: think both starters they each gave up three or runs.
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, they weren't terrible in the game, but it's
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: the way that it is. You're looking at that game,
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: You're like, if this goes into extra innings, you could
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: be in trouble. Because of the stupid ghost Runner which
• 2:22
  Speaker 1: they have to get rid of. That rule could easily
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: mean that both teams might score. You're gonna get multiple
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: runs and extra innings, and then you're done. Because you
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: know it's three to three. You know one team at
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: least has to score. The only way that thing's gonna
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: land seven at that point is if it winds up
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: four to three. But that is what happened. The Giants
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: were able to get it done. I think maybe with
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: a walkoff and the ninth inning I don't even remember,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: but they were able to get it done four to three.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: So I gave it out under seven on the show
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: at plus money. But I did say that if you
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: found under seven and a half up to about minus
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: one twenty, I thought that was worth it to get
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the hook because then you win if it lands on seven.
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: So I don't know what you want to grade that
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: as win or graded is how you gave it out
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: on the show as a push. I mean I would
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: prefer degraded as a win, just because I did make
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: that clarification, Like I'm a little bit loose with these
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: clarifications on this show, but I hate it when it
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: lands like right near the number. That's what it is.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: That's why it's valuable to get on the better side
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: of the number man. And then North Carolina State was
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: very very disappointing. I mean, it looked like that was
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: gonna be a winner. They had the lead, they charged
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: out of the gate, they were up seventeen nothing. I mean,
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: they weren't getting enough offense really in the game. But
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: their offense I think was the better of the two offenses.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: It was way balanced. Like if you look at the
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: stats in that game East Carolina, all they were doing
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: was throwing the ball, though of course some of that
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: was because they were losing the whole game. But North
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Carolina State NC State had a much more balanced offensive attack.
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: So that's like, that's the type of thing that you
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: want that usually is gonna lend itself to getting that win.
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Of course, they did win, I mean they were winning
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: basically wire to wire, but they just didn't get the cover.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: I mean, they had the they weren't covering position multiple times.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: They were up seventeen to nothing in the second half.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: They gave up a touchdown right before halftime. Very unfortunate,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: but still it's a ten point lead at half time.
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: You need them to win by two touchdowns. It's like,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: all right, I mean, the game's close enough, they're not
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: going to take their foot off the gas here. Keep going.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: They immediately basically pushed the lead back up to seventeen,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: so I'm like, okay, up seventeen again in the third quarter.
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: This is looking pretty good. Finished them off, man, and
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: then NC State never scored again and they wound up
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: winning by seven. And East Carolina, I guess was in
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: the NC State territory towards the end of the game
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: and turned it over on downs as well. It's brutal, man,
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I mean that one. I don't really think it was
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: necessarily I mean, I thought it was a good play.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: I still don't really think it was a bad play.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I mean I thought that the angle was good on
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: that game, the balance offensive attack was good there for
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: ency State didn't get there though. I mean football, like,
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: there's really not a huge difference in football sometimes between
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: like a seven point span there. Like that game could
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: have been a cover, it could have been tied and
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: gone into overtime. There's so many different ways that could
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: have gone college football. It was pretty crazy, man. With
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: the first somewhat larger college football slate here on that Thursday,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: for Week one though he had Boise State looked like
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: they didn't even show up, which was shocking to me.
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: They scored right away and they were winning seven to nothing,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: and they never scored again. And if you watch that
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: game South Florida, their defense is gonna get picked apart
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: again this year. That defense was awful. Their offense was
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: pretty good. Their quarterback, dual threat quarterback was back. Like
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I mentioned, I didn't know if he was gonna bounce
• 5:38
  Speaker 1: back right away from being injured for most of last year,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: but he came back. He looked pretty good. But really,
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: South Florida, that defense could have given it up big
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: time in that game. And it was shocking how inapt
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Boise State's offense looked if you watch that game, like
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: their quarterback, who's a veteran quarterback and has been good
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: throughout his college career, missing wide open throws, some throws
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: that he threw not in the vicinity of anybody. I'm like,
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: what is he doing? And Boise State, I believe, was
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: at least minus three, maybe minus four internals. They had
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: a ton of fumbles. Fumbles Again, they're a little bit random,
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: not like they're more random than interceptions. That game was crazy.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: I did get the lean right on Cincinnati plus the
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: points and Nebraska still won. For our our friend, what
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: was is it, Nate, who's the Nebraska fan? So both
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: of us kind of got what we wanted there, although
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I didn't give out a play on Cincinnati and then
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: we had that was a low scoring game too, and
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: then we had I told you Miami Ohio might not
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: score against Wisconsin at all. That's what happened. Miami Ohio
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: zero points. They went under their team total. Man, Wisconsin
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: didn't get enough points to really take their foot off
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: the gas defensively there. They only were seventeen to nothing.
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: Some of these games are just absurd, dude. I think
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: the Wyoming Akron score was what like ten to nothing.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: But yeah, this is a great game. I told you
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: that was gonna be the worst game on the entire board.
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: That was disgusting, and Akron didn't cover. Even though Wyoming
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: only scored ten points, Akron couldn't cover as the home underdog.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: It's all crazy, dude. Rutgers almost lost to Ohio. That
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: was a thirty one thirty one tie late in the game.
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: Week one, man, there's so much randomness. It's just yeah,
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: sometimes it's hard to gauge who these teams even really
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: are yet it's just insane. I don't know if any
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: of the other games are of note. Buffalo did cover
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: against Mia, susing against Minnesota. Minnesota still won by double digits,
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: but didn't quite get the cover. They're a very low
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: scoring game there too, you seef. Basically couldn't score all
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: and they barely escaped against Jacksonville State, who basically has
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: overhauled their entire roster and avenue coach you see f
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: I mean has a coach that came back to them.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: But that's still that's a pretty bad performance again, you seef.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: They were constantly underperforming last year. Man. But anyway, let's uh,
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: let's get into today. Today. Uh, I'm gonna talk about well,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: we have w NBA, we have baseball, try to get
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: this done. Then we do have college football, which I'll
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: hit the college football slate. I don't love the college
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: football slate. Tonight. I'll talk about the games. I'm not
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: gonna have a play on any of these games tonight,
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: and then I will give out baseball plays. If you
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: like unders, this is gonna be the day for you, man, baseball.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: I'm getting a little bit excited, man, and you'll see
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: why if you don't know, if you don't know why
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: already maybe being a Red Sox man, but hopefully hopefully
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: these unders all hit, man. But that means, you know,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: like what the plays already are in that game and
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: the game I listed in the in the description here.
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: But anyway, let's get into uh, let's get into this, man.
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: We'll do the rundown. We'll talk about stupid w NBA first,
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: which I will not have a play. I haven't had
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: a play in probably over a week. In w NBA
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: Dallas Atlanta. I mean Atlanta's all the way up from
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: minus eleven to minus sixteen in this game. I don't
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: know if that means that Beckers is still dealing with
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: an injury or something. Is she playing, I don't know.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: She's listed as a game time decision. She's been dealing
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: with an illness. I believe she may have missed their
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: last game Dallas. Yeah, they're coming off a really ugly
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: loss to Connecticut, but Beckers didn't play. Although if she
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: does return, I think that's a little bit of a
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: bad spot for them as well, because that means their
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: star players coming back and you know, I talk about
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: the reverse injured player spot there, So that's not necessarily
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: a great spot because the team kind of like will
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: take their foot off the gas a little bit potentially,
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: and they have to work her back into the starting
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: rotation again, not baseball starting rotation, but into the starting
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: lineup again, So that may be a little bit of
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: an issue when she does come back. It looks like
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: it's not gonna happen here though, which is part of
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: the reason why the number is where it is at sixteen.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: Atlanta does have something to play for is they're still
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: fighting for playoff positioning here. They just lost to Las Vegas,
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: which is a pretty big game. But anyway, I mean,
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Atlanta will have more motivation year, but the line might
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: be a little bit too big on them, and losing
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: to Connecticut is pretty embarrassing, so maybe Dallas will still
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: show up with some motivation here. I probably would not
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: lay the sixty in there, but I mean it is
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: definitely a mismatch still. And then you have Indiana against
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: La La is only a one and a half point favorite.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: It's got up with some juice there. Trying to keep
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: my tabs in order here, man, with all the I
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: look at the returning production in week one for college football,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: and then once Week one is over, I kind of
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: ignore it after that. But Indiana's still without Caitlyn Clark here.
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: Supposedly she's gonna be back at some point before the playoffs.
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: I guess she's rehabbing. I don't know what's gonna happen.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: Indiana's still beat Seattle by twenty points last time out
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: without Earth, so they're actually still playing decent basketball. They're
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: still in position to make the playoffs. They're gonna need
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: to make sure they do make the playoffs. So this
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: game matters. It matters to both teams, really. I mean,
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: LA is sitting at home losing their last game to Phoenix.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Phoenix pretty good team right now. LA is on the
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: verge of getting eliminated from the playoffs here, so they
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: obviously have motivation as well. This game is really difficult
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: to gauge as well. Of course, Indiana is also without
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Cunningham for the rest of the year. Now, what do
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: we want to do with that game? I don't know.
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: Pass passes on the game, man, That's all I can
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: really say about that. Sometimes I just don't even really
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: want to give out an opinion I just don't even
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: really have an opinion really on either one of these games.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: So we'll move on to baseball here. We do have
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: a full baseball slate here. It's one of those days, man,
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: it's a Friday. We got new series starting, some series
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: actually started yesterday, so got to keep that in mind.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: Got to look at which teams are rested and which
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: teams are not, and that comes into play right away
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: with the first game. All these are evening games. We
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: have Cardinals Reds here, Saint Louis Cincinnati. Cincinnati did not
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: play yesterday and Lewis did. Saint Louis beat Pittsburgh yesterday,
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: so they have a rest disadvantage here, and they're having
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: to travel from Pittsburgh to Cincinnati, although that's not really
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: a long trip. Cincinnati also in a bad spot because
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: they were just on the Pacific coast and in Arizona.
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: They just had a three series road trip and now
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: they're returning home and yeah, they got swept by the
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Dodgers at the end of that road trip, so you
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: might think, well, they're back at home, they're gonna bounce back.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I will say that Cincinnati does have motivation because they
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: are potentially out of the playoffs. Here, let me shrink
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: that window there so it looks a little bit better
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: on my screen here I have an ultra wide monitor,
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: so it kind of it makes the dimensions here not
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: look that good anyway. Cincinnati, they're still gonna have motivation
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: really because they're trying to make the playoffs still, so
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're really necessarily gonna be totally in
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: a distracted spot. But it is still a return home spot.
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: You're still crossing time zones. There's still a little bit
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: of a difficult spot for them. So I still don't
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: really love the spot for Cincinnati. But Saint Louis played yesterday,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: like I said, at a rest disadvantage, so both teams
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: a kind of a bad spot here. Saint Louis used
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: three relief pitchers yesterday. I'll still give I mean, Saint
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Louis has the better bullpen, obviously, the usage kind of
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: detracts from that a little bit. I'm looking at offense here. Whoops,
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati has a better offense out of the two, and
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati is the team with something to play for. Probably
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: you have to still give Saint Louis the bullpen edge
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: because their bullpen actually continues to be pretty good, even
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: after they traded some guys away. Starting pitching matchup man,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: this is difficult to gauge. Libratre is pitching for the Cardinals.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Matthew Libratoure four point two seven ERA, one point twenty
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: nine whip. His whip is a bit high. He's actually
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: slightly better on the road four point zero three ERA
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: in the road this month, he hasn't been that good
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: five point four ERA across five starts, fifteen to eight
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio, so strikeout rate is down a
• 13:53
  Speaker 1: little bit. I don't know if he's really that much
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: of a strikeout pitcher anyways, walk rates a little bit high.
• 13:58
  Speaker 1: Last out, he walked three guys, give foeign runs. Didn't
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: even make it five innings, but it was at Tampa.
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: It is a difficult stadium to pitch in Ferry a
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: hit or friendly stadium there and that spring training stadium
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: they play in. He did have some pretty difficult outings
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: this month. He did face the Dodgers on the road.
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: San Diego on the road is at least a pitcher
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: friendly park. He didn't do well in that start either.
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: He's only got five innings once going all the way
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: back to early July, which is not a good sign either.
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: So really you got to say he's not a good
• 14:27
  Speaker 1: form right now. He's going up against Cincinnati here, against
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati Laboratory, his numbers are pretty mediocre forty six at bats,
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: five to three, strike a walk ratio, two to sixty
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: one average allowed, seven to forty one ohps, so he's
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: not great against them, so he might be fade material
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: in this one. He's going up against Zach Lttel, who
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: is at least the better of the two. Well, he
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: has the better numbers on the season, but he's in
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: better recent form as well. The Reds picked him up
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: before the trade deadline. He's got a three point six
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: to two ERA for a whip. This includes his numbers
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: with Tampa Bay and even pitching in that horrible Tampa
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: Bay Stadium. He's got a three point one to eight
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: homie RA this year, and he's in another hitter friendly
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: park here in Cincinnati. But he's still been pretty good
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: with his home numbers. His one home start with Cincinnati
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: was against Milwaukee, held them to one run in six innings,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: so that was a pretty good outing for him. Three strikeouts,
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: one walk. He said two good outings and two bad
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: outings with Cincinnati. Both bad outings were on the road,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: but they were pretty ugly. He didn't even make it
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: five innings in either of those starts, so he's still
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: in the better form of a libratory right now. But
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: his last start was ugly at Arizona. Three earned runs allowed,
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: three walks, three innings, three strikeouts, all threes an unearned
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: run as well. But Arizona's a good lineup and that's
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: a pretty difficult park to pitch in, so maybe I'll
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: give him a little bit of a pass for that.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: He doesn't have an eight to two strike a walk
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: ratio on three starts. Excuse seventeen to six. What am
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: I saying eight to two was against the Cups seventeen
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: to six strike a walk ratio this month three point
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: nine two ERA, and that's his entire time with the Reds,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: so it's not terrible. He's going up against Saint Louis,
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: who their offense has been struggling for a bit now.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: For the most part, he does have good numbers against them,
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: and they haven't seen much of them. Only five of
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: their hitteres have faced him before. They only have fifteen
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: at bats against them two hundred average, five to seventeen ops,
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: four to one strike a walk ratio. So let tell
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: he is still the picture that's in the better form.
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: He does still have the better matchup numbers. So I
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: think Cincinnati, I mean, the matchup seems to indicate that
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: maybe you should be looking towards them in the first
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: five innings. Makes sense as far as the starting pitching
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: is concerned. But Cincinnati in that return home spot, it's
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit difficult to doom man. Even though Saint
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: Louis is the more the less rested bullpend, excuse me,
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: they are the better bullpen. This is a really difficult
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: game to gauge man. There's just so many conflicting factors here.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati's up for mist one thirty one, thirty three. Here
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of tickets, only seventy eight percent of
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: the cash on them. Though the money seems to be
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: coming in against Cincinnati and on the under, dropping it
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: to nine juice to the under. It's a pretty high total.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's a hitter friendly park. Seventy five percent
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: tickets on the over, fifty two percent of cash in
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: the under. I guess I could see the argument the
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: bull starting pitchers might do okay and you got a
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: good bullpen against you know, arrested bullpen. So maybe I
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: could see some arguments for the under but I'm not
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: gonna personally try to argue for it. But that's you know,
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: I'm just trying to break everything down here, and that's
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: the way the mat The market is leaning, and if
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: you don't really have a strong opinion, the market, you know,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: could be the thing that kind of decides how you
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: want to lean in that game. If that's the case,
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: it probably means you shouldn't be putting money on it.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: Though just a pure market read, I mean, sometimes it
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: does work out though Atlanta at Philadelphia. Philadelphia took the
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: first game of this series. The series actually started yesterday.
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: Schwarber I think hit four home runs in the game
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: yesterday with Philadelphia. One of their hitters hit four home
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: runs annihilated Atlanta yesterday nineteen to four. Pretty embarrassing. So
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: maybe Atlanta will want to kind of bounce back from that,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: but it's gonna be difficult for them to do so
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: with this match up here. Atlanta does have the better bullpen,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: but Philly's bullpen's not that good. Atlanta's bullpen is pretty
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: rested as well. The Philadelphia only has two of their
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: relievers yesterday too, so the bullpen rest situation isn't really
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: bad for either team. Philadelphia has the better offense here,
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: and they have the better starting pitcher. I mean, doesn't
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: take much to be better than Bryce Elder, who's pitching
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: for the Braves, who is not good six point one
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: to two ERA, one point five to two whip really bad,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: although he's actually a little bit better on the road
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: five point twenty five yr on the road this month.
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's actually had more good starts than bad
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: starts this month, so you could give him that. At
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: least his last time out, he pitched well against the Mets,
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: and actually two of his good starts this month are
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: both against the Mets, So it seems like maybe he
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: gets a little pumped up to face these better teams,
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: so maybe he will against I mean, Philly, obviously they
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: have something to play for here. They're trying to hang
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: on to the division here Atlanta, I mean, it's still
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be a motivation spot for Atlanta after getting embarrassed yesterday,
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: and Atlanta, they know they're playing a division rival here.
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: So I think they'd probably want nothing more than to
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: try to get back at Philly a little bit here.
• 19:17
  Speaker 1: But Elder, I mean, he's just still overall not good.
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: He has a five point six four ERA this month
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: despite having three good starts this month. The two bad
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: starts were pretty bad, especially when against the White Sox,
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: which is very hard to explain because the White Sox
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: are really bad offensively. But I gave out a first
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: five White Sox playing that game that was a winner.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: The White Sox actually imploded and lost the game late.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: Elder as a twenty three to ten strike a walk
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: ratio this month this month, which isn't terrible. He's not
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: like a huge strikeout guy against the Phillies. His numbers
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: are not very good and sixty two at bats you
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: probably could have seen that coming. Fifteen to eleven strike
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio not good, two ninety average allowedps. That's
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: not good. So do we expect Elder to actually pitch
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: well in this game. I'm leaning towards no, not really.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: He's going up against Rodyr Suarez for the Phillies. Good
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: numbers on the season Man three point zero seventy RA,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: one point one to three whip He's a guy that
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: based on his career stats and the fact that he's thirty,
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: like last year he started out hot and I was like,
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: this guy's gonna regress a little bit, and he did,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: and I said that this year, and he actually did
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: take a dip this year. But he's actually pitching well
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: again recently, so he's he's up and down. Man. Pitchers,
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: you want to kind of treat them like racehorses in
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: a way where you want to look at their recent form.
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: You want to be on a pitcher basically you think
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: is in good form or coming back into form, and
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: generally kind of want to go against pitchers that are
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: in bad form more or less. Andrew, what's up man?
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out, Uh Suarez, He is in pretty
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: good for him right now. He's not as good at
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: home though, three point eight two era at home, but
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: again last couple start to give tour in runs combined
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: across thirteen and two thirds innings, both of those starts
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: at home against Seattle and Washington. Seattle pretty solid offense,
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: Washington not really. Suarez also had twenty one strikeouts over
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: that span, double digit strikeouts and both starts no walks,
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: so he is definitely in good form over his last
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: two starts after it. He was actually pitching rough prior
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: to that, like he had like one maybe two good
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: starts over the prior like six starts. So he's come
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: back into form right now. It looks like he does
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: have a thirty two to two strikeout walk raceire this
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: month and no walks in four of the five starts,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: so his command is on right now. So that's a
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: good sign. Four point four to five RA this month
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: because he did have a couple of rough outings in
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: there against Cincinnati and Baltimore, not a good offense, but
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: his most recent outings indicate to me that he's kind
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: of back and form again. Against Atlanta, he does have
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: good numbers. They have a lot of experience against him,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: one hundred and eighty at bats, so you think that
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: with that kind of familiarity to be able to hit him,
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: but no, they don't. Really. Forty one strikeouts thirteen walks,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: that's a decent ratio to a pretty good ratio really
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: to seventeen batting average allowed, six thirty six ops allowed.
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: He's allowed six home runs to the Braves, but three
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: of them are Alb's albas Albs i'lb you're a crying shoulder. Yeah,
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: but so half of the home runs he's allowed to
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: I'll be as there. So maybe if he pitches around him,
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: that'll help him out as well. Might it's easier to
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: pitch around one guy that does damage against you for
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: the most part. So I mean, it looks like a
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: matchup where Philadelphia does have a lot of edges in
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: this game, man, especially I think with the starting pitching matchup,
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: maybe not so much in the bullpen, so you could
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: look towards them in the first five innings, kind of
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: like what I said with Cincinnati. The money against he's
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: coming in against Philly. Though ninety five percent of tickets
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: they're very public, only eighty eight percent of the cash.
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: I don't know how many public betters really come in
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: and lay like minus one seventy seven money lines though
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: it's up for minus one sixty five to minus one
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: seventy seven. That's the other thing with baseball handicapping, you
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: gotta keep all that in mind. Like the public percentages
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: do mean something, but also like I mean, you could
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: tell Philly's gonna be a public side here, but like
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: the public doesn't usually play big money lines like this.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: They usually actually try to identify like underdogs that they
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: think shouldn't be an underdog, and a lot of times
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: you want to fade that sentiment. But in this case, yeah,
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: I think Suarez clearly is the better pitcher over Elder.
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: Maybe the way to look in this game. The money
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: seems to maybe be coming in slightly on the over,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: but the over is public as well. Ninety six percent
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: take is ninety eight percent of the cash, and I
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: don't even know if I buy those numbers, to be honest.
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, I could see the argument for that, but
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: I think if you wanted to go with an angle
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: like that, I think maybe Philly over their team total
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: makes more sense, even though I know they scored a
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: shit ton of runs last night, so it seems like
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: there shouldn't be any value in doing that. But it's
• 23:54
  Speaker 1: a high total. You got a bad picture on the
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: mount for Atlanta. Their bullpend isn't exactly terrific, so I
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: could see that being the case. Stacks, what's up, man,
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Next up, we got Tampa Washington.
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: This is an ugly game, man, two teams that are
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: probably pretty much out of that. Washington's returning over from
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: a road trip or the only one one game on
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: the road trip, but it was at Philadelphia and at
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: the Yankees, so pretty good teams that they lost to.
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: But they're coming home off of all that. They just
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: got swept by the Yankees. Returning home usually not a
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: good spot. Like I say, you tend to be a
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: little bit distracted, especially if you're a bad team and
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: you're basically out of it and you're not playing a
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: team it's really gonna garner your focus here like Tampa Bay,
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: because Tampa Bay is also pretty much out of it.
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: Tampa's in the middle of a road trip and it's
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: been kind of ugly for them. They just lost twice
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: to Cleveland, so they might actually be benefiting more from
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: the spot that they're in. Just get out of Cleveland,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: just travel, forget about that, try to win a game.
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: So I think Tampa does have some advantages in this game.
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: They also have the better bult. I think they have
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: the better offense as well. I mean I could double
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: check that here at the sorry that's the bullpen stats,
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: the hitting stats here, Tampa Bay's fifteenth in offense ops wise,
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Washington's all the way down to twenty fourth, So Tampa
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: better offense, better bullpen. I'm gonna go ahead and say
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: they have the better pitching as well starting pitching in
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: this game. Both of these teams are off yesterday, so
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: the bullpen's are rested, but Washington's bullpen is still pretty
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: bad like their bottom of the barrel bullpen wise, Tampa
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: is Adrian Howser pitching, and Tampa they were buyers at
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: the trade deadline, man, because they brought in Howser from
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: washed from excuse me, the White Sox, so that was
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: a move they made to bolster their rotation before the
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: trade deadline. But Tampa, unfortunately for them, they're pretty much
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: out of it now and they're in a tough division.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: But Howser has been good on the season two point
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: eight eighty rail, though one point two to nine whip
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: is a little bit high. He's been worse on the
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: road three point four to EIGHTYRA on the road, which
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: is still not terrible. He's been a little bit worse
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: since joining Tampa, but he's had four starts. He's actually
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: allowed four more runs than three of the four, and
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: he's only gone more than five to two thirds in
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: He's once in his most recent start and he gave
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: up four and runs in that one against Saint Louis.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: He hasn't really faced a gauntlet of offenses yere either
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: San Francisco Saint Louis in the last two, although his
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: team won both of those starts. He did shut out
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: San Francisco. I didn't pitch that well in Seattle, which
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: is a pitcher of friendly park, and he lost pretty
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: badly at Anaheim. Didn't That was his worst start, his
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: first start with Tampa Anaheim, and they're a capable offense
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: at least, But overall, he's got a five point three
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: two ERA this month, fifteen to six strike a walk ratio.
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: Not great numbers, and that's all with Tampa Bay. I mean,
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: there were some signs that maybe he wouldn't continue to
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: do as well as he was doing, because he hasn't
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: been this good in his career. He's in his thirties.
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: He faced some weak offens as he was with the
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: White Sox, so some indicators he wouldn't do as well
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: throughout the season. His numbers against Washington are pretty good
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: thirty one at bats two, twenty six batting average allowed,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: six to twenty six ops. He's only allowed one extra
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: base hit a DeJong double eight to six strike a
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is pretty ugly, although five of the walks
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: are Josh Bell. Bell probably the best power hitter on Washington,
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: so I guess just keep all of that in mind.
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: But Houser overall does have pretty good numbers against Washington.
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: I think he should have the upper hand against Mitchell
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: Parker for Washington, who is not having a good season
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: six point one ERA, I mean, his career hasn't been
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: good so far, six point one, one point four to
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: nine whip on the season. He's been a little bit
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: better at home five point four to five ERA, still
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: pretty bad. This month, He's been atrocious in five starts.
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: His team has lost all five. He has a twelve
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: ERA and thirteen to eleven strike at walk ratio. Man
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: that is brutal four or more and runs all out
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: in every sing outing. He did face some good offenses Milwaukee,
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: the A's are pretty good, Philly twice, so he's getting
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: lit up by some pretty good offenses year. But he
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: didn't dwell against Kansas City either, in they're pitcher friendly
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: park So I mean, needless to say, Parker not in
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: good form right now, and when is he ever really
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: in good form, not usually against Tampa Bay. They haven't
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: seen a lot of them at all. Only two of
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: their hitters have ever seen them. They're one for seven,
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: often with no walks, no strikeouts, no extra base hits.
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: So I guess do with that information what you will,
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: But there's not a whole lot to take away from
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: that other than that at least he might have a
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: little bit of an unfamiliarity edge there against Tampa because
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: they haven't seen him. But I don't think there's any
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: possible way you could trust Mitchell Parker here. But the
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: money's coming in against Tampa. It is just hilarious. Man.
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: I look at these and I'm like, this team has
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: a huge matchup advantage, like across the board, and then
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: the money is like nope, And I'm like, what the fuck?
• 28:54
  Speaker 1: Eighty three percent of the tickets on Tampa and only
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash. They're republic look road favorite.
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: They've dropped from minus one forty five to minutes one
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: thirty nine. Again, I think some of it is the
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: price that it's like, well, who's Tampa. But to really
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: be favored by this much on the road basically against
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: anybody except for maybe Colorado. If that so, I guess
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: maybe that's the sentiment. There's again money line all, it's
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: a lot about the price and not just about who
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: you think is gonna win the game. But I still
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: don't like it a minute. I'm not gonna have my
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: money on Washington here. I would not recommend it. Money
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: coming in in the over a little bit as well,
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of tickets on the over, ninety six
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the over. I mean I would say,
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: if you want to do that, maybe you take Tampa
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: to go over their team total and take that approach.
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, Tampa's bullpen is good enough that I would
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: worry about that part of the equation. So I think
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: just Tampa to beat up on Mitchell Parker plus a
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: bad Washington bullpen might be the way to go. Milwaukee Toronto.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: As you can see in the title, will skip that
• 29:56
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be a play, But you guys aren't know
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: what it is actually these three games in a role
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: where my play is how ridiculous is that Miami Mets,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: Miami and the Mets, I should say the Miami Mets,
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: the new team and Pirates Red Sox. We're gonna get
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: excited about that pitching matchup. But you know where I'm
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: going with all these games already for the most part, man,
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: so I'm skipping those for now. Seattle is at Cleveland. Cleveland,
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: they just won two games against Tampa, like I said,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: and they're actually staying at home and they were off yesterday,
• 30:26
  Speaker 1: so Cleveland no travel plus rest decent spot for Cleveland.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Seattle is having to travel in from the Pacific coast
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: and start a road trip. They were also off yesterday,
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: so they both teams are rested here. But Seattle does
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: have to travel to Cleveland, so Seattle a little bit
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: of a travel disadvantage. A though. A lot of times
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: when you're going out on the road for the first time,
• 30:47
  Speaker 1: you tend to have focus and you want to get
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: the road trip off on the right foot. Seattle needs
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: to win games too, because they're still battling for their division.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: They're still battling to make the playoffs. Cleveland basically is
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: out of it, so Seattle from that point it's a
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: little bit more motivation. Uh. Seattle does have the better offense,
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, Cleveland's offense is pitiful. Cleveland does have the
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: better bullpen. I mean, I know surprisingly this is over
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: the entire year though, so I know Cleveland lost class
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: and whoever their other pitcher was, or was it or
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Tease I don't even remember. So they lost a couple
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: of guys in there pitching on their pitching staff due
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: to the gambling, although I don't know if ur Tees
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: is really even that much of a loss if that's
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: who it was.
• 31:27
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: But Cleveland does actually technically have the better bullpen Because
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: of that, I would say they do. Their era is
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: actually significantly better than Seattle's. Both pretty good bullpens, though,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: and they're both rested. So if you want to like
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: look towards maybe an unduring this game, the bullpens look
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: like they're right for it, at least in this game.
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: The total is pretty low in this game too, but
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: as far as that's concerned, I worry about the starting pitchers.
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: George Kirby is pitching for the Mariners. His numbers are
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: decent four point h five yr, one point eight WHIP,
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: but he's just like all Seattle's pitchers. He's way better
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: at home. He's actually pretty ugly on the road. He
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: turns into an ugly monster on the road. Man five
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: point eightyrra on the road not good. He's had some
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: really really atrocious road starts in his young career, Man,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: although his most recent atrocious start was actually at home
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: against the Mets, which I can't even really figure that
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: one out. Even with that factor, Dan over four starts
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: this month, he has a three point eight ERA this
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: month and twenty three to eight strike a walk ratio,
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: so he's still pitching pretty well this month, and he
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: allowed two or fewer runs and all but that weird
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: awful start against the Mets. He does get to face
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Cleveland here, who's a very very weak offense, so that
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: should be good for him up against Cleveland. He doesn't
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: have good numbers against them though, in forty one at
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: bats three sixty six batting average, allowed nine to ninety
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: four ohps, six' three strike a walk. Ratio so definitely
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: some concerns For kirby. Here he's not good on the.
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: Road he's not good Against, Cleveland so even though they
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: have a bad, OFFENSE i don't know IF i wou
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: Trust kirby with this matchup in this, Stadium, man and
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: With seattle traveling looks a little bit dicey For seattle. Here,
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: Man Although if you Want, cleveland you got to deal
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: With Logan, allen who has some. ISSUES a four point
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: three to FIVE era for, him one point four to three.
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: Whip that whip is definitely too, high putting way too
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: many guys on, base but he does have the splits
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: advantage at least home versus. Road he's got a three
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: point eight to NINE homy, ray which is a lot.
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: Better he's not in good. Form he just got walloped
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: for nine earned runs At, texas which is a bad.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: OFFENSE i think they're the worst offense at home in
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: all of baseball by runs, scored which is really really.
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: Ridiculous it's ridiculous That texas has a decent. Record that's
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: just how Great texas. Is pitching, is and that's usually
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: the type of TEAM i, like by the, Way But
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: Logan allen got absolutely destroyed By, texas that bad offense
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: in that pitcher friendly park In. Texas he gave up
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: nine earned, runs three home, runs five innings, pitched three,
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: walks eight. Hits just an awful outing from. Him but
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: his walk numbers have been awful all. Month he's got
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: a nineteen to fourteen strike a walk ratio three or
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: more walks in every single outing and a five point
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: nine to five ra this. Month it's not, good. MAN i,
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: mean he gave up fewer runs and the other starts
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: only one and two in the other three, starts but
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: he didn't go deep into any of. Them he hasn't
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: got more than five innings in any of. Them So,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: alan he's got some problems up Against. Seattle definitely a
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: capable offense From. Seattle he actually has okay numbers against them,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: though in thirty nine at bats two fifty six average,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: allowed six sixty eight. Ops so he's Held seattle. Down
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: so based on the home road splits the matchup, numbers
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: you could definitely potentially have an argument that That cleveland
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: is the right side in this. Game and plus the
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: travel spot For seattle isn't that. Great the money is
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: looking like it is coming in On. Cleveland seattle's up
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: for minus one forty five to minus one fifty, five
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: sixty nine percent of tickets, them fifty nine percent of
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: the cash coming in On. CLEVELAND i don't really disagree with, that,
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: MAN i mean, YEAH i MEAN i would probably agree with.
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: IT i would lean that. Way and then the money's
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under total juice eight to the,
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: under seventy percent of tickets on the, over but eighty
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the. UNDER i mean,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: again with the, under it makes sense in that you
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: have two pretty good bullpens that are rested, here so
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: at least there's That the starting pitching is a little
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: bit of a concern if you like the, under but
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: at least with the Travel seattle they're hitting maybe a
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: little bit, cold and we Know cleveland's offense is, bad
• 35:33
  Speaker 1: although again good numbers Against. Kirby he's a little bit
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: of a question mark. There SO i think maybe The
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: cleveland side is actually the better way to look at that.
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: Game get a really nice underdog price on that, one
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: probably full, game BECAUSE i do still think their bullpen is. Good,
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: yankees unfortunately for me as A yankee hater And Red sox,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: fan they're playing this Awful Chicago White sox team. Again
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: The White sox they're not. Good they've lost three in a,
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: row giving up double digit runs two games in a,
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: row including last night losing ten to four to The
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: yankees to open the. Series yankees are fighting for playoff,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: positioning fighting for the. Division, Obviously chicago they're out of,
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: it although usually you're gonna step it up or at
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: least try to when you get a team like The
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: yankees coming into your, place and especially when they embarrass
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: you last time, Out so maybe you'll get a better
• 36:24
  Speaker 1: focused performance out of The White sox. Here but The
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: yankees have the bull have the edge across the. BOARD
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: i would say, here, MAN i think The yankees have
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: the better, bullpen even though the bullpens aren't. Good that's
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: just how bad The White sox bullpen. Is The White
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: sox have one of the worst offenses in all of,
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: baseball and The yankees have one of the. Best so
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: The yankees have a massive offensive edge in the. Game,
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: obviously you know that means The yankees are gonna be
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: a heavy favorite in this. Game Though White sox use
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: four relief pitchers, Yesterday yankees also used, four although they
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: have a more rested bullpen to some degree as. Well
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: yankees have the better starter on the hill as. Well
• 36:59
  Speaker 1: carlos three point two forty one point seven whip good
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: numbers on the. SEASON i like when these headshots don't
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: look anything like they look because The. Yankees uh just
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: For Devin williams, hilariously because he sucks just for. Him
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: The yankees started allowing beards this. Year if you didn't,
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: know The yankees have been just it's a stupid. Rule
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: in my, opinion they've had this, stupid uptight like attitude
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: for basically in their entire, history where you can have a,
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: mustache where you can't have a, beard and you have
• 37:30
  Speaker 1: to cut your hair like you can't have long. Hair
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: so it was ridiculous when Like Johnny damon went from
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: The Red, sox because he went from you, know the
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: blue collar you, know Grungy Red, sox the Dirty Red sox,
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: boys WHICH i like that attitude way. Better, Obviously damon
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: just ridiculous long, hair you, know the team of, idiots
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: the huge. Beard he goes to The, yankees he has
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: to shave it all off and then he just he
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: just looks totally lame. Again and THAT'S i don't think
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: that's Who damon really. Is although NOW i don't, Know
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: damon's like A florida. Man now he's got a, man
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: BUT i know he's getting pulled over for. Duys he
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: looks really fat, now but he also seems to be
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: he seems to be like a like A trump. BACKER i,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: MEAN i have no. IDEA i don't know what's going
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: on With Johnny, damon But Carlos RENAN i went on
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: a tangent. There Carlos renond doesn't look like this like
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: in the. Headshot he's got the clean Cut yankees. Headshot
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: but if you've watched him pitch, reously he's got kind
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: of shaggy hair AND i kind of a beard going.
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: On SO i like that when it's like he doesn't
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: look anything like this right, now, Man, redon he is
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: not as good on the. Road three point six two
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: ar in the road hasn't really been that good this,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: month even though three point four to ninety ra is.
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: Good he's allowed two or fewer on runs and four
• 38:47
  Speaker 1: starts in a. Row yankees have won all four of those.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Games but the strikeout walk ratio is definitely a. Concern
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: twenty five strike cuts in eighteen. Walks his walk rate
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: is way too high right. Now. Man he's walked five
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: batters in three of his last six outings is out
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: that is seven outings not great and four and one
• 39:09
  Speaker 1: of the other. Ones so his walk, rate he's too
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: wild right. Now, Man he's getting out of some jams right.
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: NOW i don't know if that's gonna matter against The White, sox,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: though who have twenty eight career bats against. Him only
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: five hitters have faced him before and they only have
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: one hit off, him which is a home run From.
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: Taylor but their numbers against we don't are very. Bad
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: eleven to four strike a walk, ratio so getting too many.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Walks but other than, that he dominates. Them they can't
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: hit him at. All thirty six batting average in two ninety. Nine.
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: OPS i know it's a small sample, size so that
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: is a laughably low batting. Average And, ops he's gonna
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: be going up Against Jendris gomez for The White. Sox
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: his numbers aren't good this. Year his headshot is also alarmingly.
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: Big i'm, like why are you staring at? Me? Bro
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: why is your head this? Big four Point that headshot
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: is way too, big, dude four point seven to THREE
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: era for, him one point four to eight. Whip those
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: numbers are not. Good he's been good at, home, though
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: like his roady ray is horrific and his home ra
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: is good two point seventy r at. Home try to
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: figure that. OUT i don't know. Him he's been with
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: a bunch of different. Teams he was mostly coming out
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: of the. Bullpen he was with The, yankees then he
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: was with The, dodgers and then The White. Sox he
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: was coming out of the bullpen until The White socks
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: put him in the starting, rotation WHICH i think has
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: basically just been this, month and he's actually been. Good
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: he's gone five innings and two out of the three
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: starts at. LEAST i, mean that's pretty good for a
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: converted reliever like him that you don't really expect a
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: whole lot out of two point four FIVE era sixteen
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: to five strikeout walk, ratio that's pretty. GOOD i, mean
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: he's doing our right this. Month although he Faced Atlanta,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: minnesota those aren't great. Offenses detroit is pretty good, Though so, Yeah,
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: GOMEZ i, mean he's in decent form right. Now he's
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: actually in better form Than redonas right, now believe it or.
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: Not and The yankees have never faced him. Before The
• 40:59
  Speaker 1: yankee might know a little bit about him because he
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: was on their team this year, though but he might
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: actually be pretty pumped, up, man because this is gonna
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: be his first time facing The yankees since they traded
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: him away or, whatever so he might be extra pumped
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i think he was on The dodgers after
• 41:14
  Speaker 1: The yankees IF i said that, Right but still he
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: might be pumped up for that. Reason, man he gets
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: to face The. Yankees but also it's the team that
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: got rid of him earlier this, year so he might
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: have a little bit of an extra motivational standpoint. There.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Man The yankees are extremely. Public ninety two percent, tickets
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: only ninety percent of the. Cash money lines up from excuse,
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: me it's down for minus two twenty to, yeah down
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: for minus two twenty and minus two. Eleven interesting. Money
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: seems like IT'S i don't. Know there was a slight
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: tick up on the total for eight and a half
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: juice to the over to nine juice to the, under
• 41:47
  Speaker 1: but that's like a very minimal, move even THOUGH i
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: know nine is a key. Number sixty four percent of
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: tickets and cash on the, OVER i think public in
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: A yankees, game they're pretty much always gonna just run
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: to the. Over. HERE i THINK i did say yesterday
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: probably The yankees over their team total was the way
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: to look, again WHICH i feel LIKE i say that
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: a lot recently because they're playing these bad teams with
• 42:08
  Speaker 1: bad pitching. Staffs. Recently BUT i mean that is also
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: a way to look in this. Game, Maybe BUT i
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: mean you'd need the bullpen to help you out, THERE
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: i think BECAUSE i ACTUALLY i might slightly disagree with that. One,
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: ACTUALLY i actually Think i'm gonna dial it back on
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: that one this. Time AND i think this is maybe
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: not as good of a spot to try A yankees
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: team total. OVER i actually think Because gomez is in
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: decent form right, now he will be pumped up for.
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: This he's unfamiliar to The yankees lineup. HERE i actually
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: think a first five inning under is actually the best
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: play in this, game believe it or, not BECAUSE i
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: think both starting pitchers might do well, here WHICH i
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: just laid out which you could see. THERE i don't
• 42:46
  Speaker 1: want any part of the, bullpens BUT i actually think
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: that might be the approach in this, game as ridiculous
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: as that might. Sound anaheim is At. Houston houston played.
• 42:56
  Speaker 1: Yesterday they finished their series With colorado with a one
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: run in over this Bad rocky. Team houston still having
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: some offensive struggles, here, man but they're not. Traveling they're
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: staying at. Home but they did have to play yesterday
• 43:08
  Speaker 1: And anaheim did, not So anaheim does have a rest advantage,
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: here but they're traveling in but they're not traveling. Far
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: they're only they're already In, texas so they're up In,
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: arlington in The dallas, area and they might be in
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: a bit of a foul mood, here, man because they
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: lost twenty to three To. Texas, like who the fuck
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: gives up twenty runs To texas in their home? STADIUM i,
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: KNOW i mentioned one of the PITCHERS i just talked
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: about gave up nine ern runs to? Them was It?
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: KIRBY i forget one of the guys give up nine
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: er and runs to. Them it Wasn't. Kirby it was somebody,
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: else which is not a good. Sign but, Yeah, TEXAS i,
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: mean this is a bad offense and they play in
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly. Park they're really bad offensively at. HOME
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: i did say on my, SHOW i thought The texas over.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Team thought'll believe it or, not actually kind of made
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: sense in that, game and they they went, over needless to,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: say but that's such an embarrassing result For, anaheim a
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: twenty to three. Loss they're going to be focused after, that,
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: man because they don't have a whole lot left to
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: play for of, course we know That houston is still
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: playing to try to win the. Division it's a close
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: divisional race. Here houston has to make sure they make a.
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: Playoffs they want to win the. Divisions they do a,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: motivation BUT i think both teams have. Motivation anaheim is,
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: Rested anheim's bullpen is. Bad Though houston has the better,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: BULLPEN i would say at this, Point i'm not even
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: sure who has the better offense at this, point to be, honest,
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: Man houston's up here at, Thirteenth anaheim is at. Sixteenth
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: that is a close call, offensively so both teams kind
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: of mid tier. Offenses houston used five relief pitchers, yesterday
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: and we know they're dealing with some bullpen. Injuries So,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: HOUSTON i, mean their bullpen is not very well rested,
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: here so that's kind of an. Issue so the bullpen's
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: in this game may actually be a bit. Fadable so
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: keep that in. Mind because we look at the starting pitching,
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: MATCHUP i think there's probably almost only one way to
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: go here, man AND i know it does look like
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: it's the situational spot might actually be an advantage to
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: because they're gonna come in Embarrassed they're only traveling from
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: The dallas area down To, houston so it's not a
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: lot of. Travel they're already in the time. Zone houston
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: played yesterday And anaheim did. Not, yes those are all
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: advantages To, Anaheim but can you really put your money
• 45:14
  Speaker 1: On Anaheim With Tyler anderson pitching Plus anaheim's, bullpend even
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: though it is, rested that seems like a dicey. Situation
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: man four point seven THREE era for, him one point four.
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: Whip those are not good. Numbers he's particularly bad on
• 45:29
  Speaker 1: the road five point seven FOUR era on the road this,
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: Month he's been awful in four. Starts anaheim's lost all of.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: Them they've lost six starts in a row of. His
• 45:37
  Speaker 1: he's got a six point six to THREE era this,
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: month sixteen to ten strike a walk. Ratio he actually
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: did hold The cubs to turn runs last time, out
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: and they still lost that game, too but he was
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: awful prior to that Against. HOUSTON i don't believe he
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: has good numbers. Either let me pull them up. Here,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: no he does. NOT i look at all this BEFORE
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: i do the, show but it's hard to keep all
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: that in. Mind one hundred and thirty seven at bats
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: against some thirty nine thirty two and nine strike a
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: walk ratio is pretty, good but two ninety two batting
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: average allowed in eight thirty two o ps, allowed those
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: are not good numbers at. All So houston definitely Hits.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Anderson he's going up Against Christian, javier who just came
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: back from being injured FOR i think like an entire season,
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: recently so he has not pitched much this. Year those
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: numbers aren't good so, far five point FOUR, era one
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: point FIVE. Whip he's been better at home three point
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: three to EIGHTY, ra but it's such a small sample
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: size of what can you take away from. That his
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: home star he had two home, starts, actually but in
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: one of them he only went three, innings so they
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: pulled him after fifty. PITCHES i don't know what that was.
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: About if there was a rain, delay if he got
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: injured MAYBE i don't Even, YEAH i don't know, why
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: because the bullpen actually got totally lit up in that
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: game and they wound up losing really really ugly twelve
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: nothing and it wasn't Really hoavier's. Fault but he's still
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: not good. MAN i, mean his walk numbers are still
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: bad across this man Against. Baltimore he only went three
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: innings and two winnings in those, outings so that's not
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: a good. Sign even though he pitched all right against
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: The Red sox in his first outing and actually got a,
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: win he's got a ten to six strike a walk.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: Ratio that's not. GOOD i don't know if we're ready
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: to Trust hobvier here right. Now, man he does have
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: good numbers against The angels and sixty one at, best
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: twenty nine to six strike a walk ratio one sixty
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: four average allowed four to eighty five. Ops so he
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: does have good matchup, numbers which woul lead you to
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: think that, well that Means houston probably has the edge
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: and the starting pitching. MATCHUP i wouldn't really disagree with,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: that BUT i, mean my preference in this game is
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: probably an. Over but the money's coming in against the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: over and it is coming in Against, houston WHICH i
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: could kind of see the argument for Fading houston, Still
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, said it's kind of about the spot and
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: maybe about the fact they're probably favored too heavily. Here but,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: again the spot is not great for. Them it's a
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: bad rest situation for. Them they're down for minus one
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: seventy to one to fifty nine on the money, line
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of, tickets fifty percent of the cash
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: on them total sitting at. Nine so the oddsmakers are
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: telling you they feel like this might be a bit
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: of a higher scoring. Game but seventy three percent tickets
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: on the over and only fifty eight percent of the
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: cash on the, over so the cash is kind of
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: disagree with. That BUT i, Mean anderson plus this anaim
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen looks really ugly to, Me, hovier you don't even
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: know what you're gonna get out of, him and then
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: you have A houston bullpen that has little. Rest so to,
• 48:21
  Speaker 1: me it does seem like an over might be of
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: the preferred way to look in this. Game if you
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: Went houston over their team, TOTAL i GUESS i maybe
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: wouldn't hate that, either though their bats might be a
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: little bit, tired although that kind of contradicts the full
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: game over a little, Bit but, YEAH i mean full game.
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: OVER i, MEAN i probably wouldn't really necessarily argue with
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: you About houston over their team total, either though to,
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: me to me it looks like it's gonna be a
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: higher scoring. GAME i could be wrong about, That. Nate
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: what's up, Man thanks for hanging. Out, Uh nate coming?
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: In does that Mean i'm about to talk about The? Royals,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: yeah you, know you know that's what it. Means this
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: is a. Game oh, god these starting, pitchers, man this
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: is a vomit inducing pitching. Matchup to be, honest this
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: is so. Bad, Sorry i'm gonna say that About Seth. Lougo,
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: now the advanced analytics guys were probably right about him
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: to some. Extent at. Least Kansas city's returning over from
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: a road, trip which isn't that. Great although they only
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: went To detroit In chicago The White. Sox they did
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: win The White sox, series which isn't really saying that.
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: Much Kansas city is trying to stay. ALIVE i think
• 49:31
  Speaker 1: they're technically still alive in the division and in the wildcard,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: race so they do have motivation here at, least But
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: detroit probably wants to hold them. OFF i, Mean, detroit
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: they do have some patting in the, division so the
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: motivation is probably stronger On Kansas. City BUT i think
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: both teams do kind of have reason to show up
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: in this. One Kansas city, again they're returning over from
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: a road, trip WHICH i always point out tends to
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: be a bit of a distracted spot because you have
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: to get back to family. Life but they're facing The Detroit. Tigers,
• 49:57
  Speaker 1: man SO i don't think you're really Gonna you're not
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: gonna Overlooked detroit at the very, least even though you
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: will still have stuff to do at Home. Detroit their
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: travel spot is actually pretty bizarre. Here they're actually traveling
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: back from The Pacific. Coast they're actually at The a's In.
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: Sacramento they got swept in that, series and now they're
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: coming back To Kansas, city so it's a bizarre travel
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: spot where they're having to travel back to The central
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: time zone from The pacific time. Zone they did get yesterday,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: off both teams had yesterday, off but that's still a
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: bizarre spot for. Them although on the other, Hand detroit
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: might be a little bit pissed off because that was
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: an ugly series losing to The. A's although The a's
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: are better than people think they, are, man even THOUGH
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: i know they've been really bad at. Home that stadium's
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: really just it's not really a home. Stadium but The
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: a's do have a go to offense at the very,
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: least And they're pitching has been a bit better recently,
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: Too But detroit got. Embarrassed they lost seven to nothing
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: in their last game against, them so they might be
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: a bit pissed off coming into this. One as far
• 50:55
  Speaker 1: as the, bullpens both teams have fairly decent, boltpends Although
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: detroit's just kind of tailed off a. Bit i'm looking
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: at the, offense youre my. Mistake detroit obviously has the better.
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: Offense they still have a top ten, offense although. Barely
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: Kansas city they're a bottom ten. Offense we know. This
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: they're not a good, offense though actually they have been
• 51:13
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. Recently Kansas city does have the better.
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: Bullpen they's seventh in Bullpen era this. Season detroit's down at,
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: fifteenth although neither bullpen is that bad and both bullpen's.
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Arrested so the bullpen's are. Alright but these starting, pitchers
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: they're not. Alright the kids are not. Alright Chris paddock
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: is pitching For. DETROIT i mean he's not, really he's
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: not that. Good four point nine to EIGHTY, ra one
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: point two to six whip isn't that. Bad he's been
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: bad on the, road five point six to five yar
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: on the. Road IF i put six to, seven my,
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: mistake but, whatever it's almost the. Same detroit got him
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: right before the trade. Deadline he's made five starts with
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: them after they got him From. Minnesota he's been pretty shaky.
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: Man in the fourth starts of the month Of, august
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: he has a six point TWO era and a nine
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: five strikeout walk. Ratio that's not. Good he just Faced Kansas,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: city SO i think both of these starters actually just
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: faced these opposing. Lineups so both starters might have a
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: little bit of an extra disadvantage because both starting lineups
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: just saw, them although it might be a little bit
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: less of a disadvantage for the pitchers because these starting
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: lineups have both seen these starting pitchers multiple times, already
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: so there's a lot of familiarity. HERE i, Mean paddock
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: got traded within the, division so The royals have seen
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: him a bunch. Anyway but in that starting against The,
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: roles it looked pretty good because he held them in
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: one run in five, innings but he only had one,
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: strikeout so his strikeout rate is not. There he had
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: some decent strikeout performances early in the, season but it's not,
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: good right now he's just not blowing guys. Away he's
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: not fooling. Guys even his starts that look good or somewhat,
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: questionable and they were against bad. Offenses he, says bad
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: offenses over the last four ALTHOUGH i know he actually
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: did well Against arizona in his first start With. Detroit
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: maybe he was pumped up to be on a contending.
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: Team but since then he's faced these weak offenses man
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: his former Team minnesota twice and then The White sox
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: At Kansas. City so not a good sign that he
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: was struggling through those starts up Against, Detroit, oh, no excuse.
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: Me up Against Kansas, city my. Mistake Kansas city has
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: seen a lot of, them and even though he did
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: well against them last time, up for the most, part
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: his numbers still aren't very good against. Them sixty three at.
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: BATS i told you they have a lot of at
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: bats against, them a decent, amount thirteen to six strike
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio is not. Great two seventy batting average
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: allowed and eight to forty one ohps. Allowed so even
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: though he pitched well against him last time, out he
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: still doesn't have good numbers AGAINST. Kc he's going up
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: Against Seth. Lugo his numbers are starting to, slip even
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: though he's had a pretty good Y r and a
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: pretty decent whip over the last couple of. Seasons. Man
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: but either the analytics guys are, right or maybe because
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: he's kind of, old thirty five years, old maybe he's
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: starting to wear down a little bit this. Season that is.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: Possible he's got a three point nine to ninety R
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: ra and one point two four whip this, season which
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: is still not, terrible and he does still have a
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: good whole three point two eight at. Home his recent
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: home starts have been a little bit dicey. Too he
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: had a pretty good one Against texas and a pretty
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: bad one Against. Washington. Uh but, overall his numbers have
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: been bad this, month even though his team has won
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: three of the five still So Kansas city's offense has
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: actually done a little bit better behind him. Recently but
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: this month eight point eight to seventy r and sixteen
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: to fourteen strike a walk. Ratio we all know that's,
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: bad and he's failed to make it five innings and
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: four out of the five. Starts he's definitely in bad
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: form right, now, man and he's doing that against somewhat
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: weak offenses To, Minnesota, Washington, texas Although detroit And toronto
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: are pretty, good but that's still not. Good it's not
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: a good sign man up Against detroit When, Reno detroit
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: has a big offensive edge in this, game at the very,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: least he actually his numbers are mediocre Against. Detroit in
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty five at, bats thirty five to
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: fifteen strike a walk ratio is not. Terrific two forty
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: four average a looted is pretty, low but they have
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: eight bombs off of. Them seven eighty seven ops is
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: a little bit. High SO i don't know IF i
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: really Trust lugo in this one. Either zach with his
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: Go royals, here, man it's a it's a little bit
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: iffy for The royals in this. One mental, though on
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: the one, hand you would think That, detroit with you,
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: Know detroit having the way better record Over Kansas, City
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: Kansas city being a favorite, here you would think that
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: the public would be coming in On detroit given that,
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: line because the line looks pretty, weird like why Would
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: Kansas city be a favorite? Here but maybe the public
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: is actually looking and, saying, Well lugo has a way
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: better ra Than, Paddock so that's why so. Interesting the
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: public actually seems to be slightly On Kansas city fifty
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: nine percent of tickets on, them only fifty four percent
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: of the, cash and they're up a little bit from
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: minus one fifteen to minus one. Seventeen money is coming
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: in on the, over, though and that's probably my preferred
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: approach in this. GAME i don't really love the side at.
• 55:53
  Speaker 1: ALL i think it's difficult to gauge what's gonna happen
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: with these starting. Pitchers ninety percent of, tickets ninety six
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the over totals up from
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: eight and a half juice to the over and a
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: nine juice to the. Over, yeah you do have to
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: worry about the. Bullpens but if the starting pitchers don't
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: last too long in this, game that means there's gonna
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: be extra bullpen usage in this. Game SO i have
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: a tendency WHEN i like the, OVER i have a
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: tendency to just do full game almost every single. Time
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: it's a rare situation Where i'll be, like, yeah you
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: want to go over first five. INNINGS i could see
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: the argument for that, too because the bullpens are decent
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: and rested, Here SO i could see that. ARGUMENT i almost,
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: said breasted. RESTED i have a one track, mind SO
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: i could see the argument for either full game. Over
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: if you want to do, that you gotta make sure
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: you get over the nine at a decent. Price you
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: don't want to go have to go over nine and
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: a half because that's nine is a key. Number it
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: breaks the four to four. Tie, YES i Know Kansas
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: city's offense isn't very, good but they at least get
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: a bad picture that they're facing. Here if you can
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: still find an eight and a half to the over
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: at around minus one, twenty that's not bad, either because
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: then a nine would win for. You first five inning
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: overalls is certainly an option in that game as. Well
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: by the, way AS i already pointed, out this is
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: gonna be a long video. Again, man Fuck San diego At.
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: Minnesota neither of these teams played. Yesterday minnesota's are turning
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: on from The White sox And, toronto So minnesota was
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: on the. Road they're gonna be in maybe a distracted spot,
• 57:21
  Speaker 1: here returning on from a road. Trip you got family
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: life to get back. To minnesota doesn't have a whole
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: lot to play for. Though San diego is probably a
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: playoff team and they're coming. In so Will minnesota get
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: up for that reason even though it's an inter league.
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: OPPONENT i don't. Know maybe maybe they'll get up for,
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: it BUT i don't, Know, man it's. Unclear and you
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: have a team that's out of it like this returning
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: on from a road, trip sometimes they just they don't
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: really have total focus in a game like this Is San.
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: Diego you know that they do have motivation at the
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: very least because they gotta keep winning as there are
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: two games behind in their. Division they have a good record,
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: though so they're probably gonna make the playoffs. Anyway but
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: they're playing for playoff. Position e'd spot, though because they're
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: coming in From, seattle so they're traveling from The pacific.
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: Coast they just lost that series To. Seattle it was
• 58:06
  Speaker 1: a pretty close, series hard fought. Series they're coming in From,
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: seattle so they're having to travel switch time zones. Here
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: neither team played, YESTERDAY i, believe so the bullpen's. Arrested
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: San diego has the way better bullpen of the, two
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: though both offenses actually struggled this. Year even Though San
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: diego has a lot of offensive, talent it just hasn't
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: been that. Great they're nineteenth. Offensively minnesota actually is ahead of,
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: them you. Know Ps so THOUGH i might argue That
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: San diego does have the better offense just because of
• 58:36
  Speaker 1: what they're capable, Of, MINNESOTA i don't love their, offense
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: and they did trade Away correa as, well so Maybe
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: San diego might have to actually give them a slight
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: offensive edge. Here started pitching in this game is a
• 58:49
  Speaker 1: little bit. Interesting Nester cortes is pitching For San. Diego
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: not great numbers so, far four point six to SIX,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: era one point three to FOUR. Whip he's been really
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: bad on the road point seven to four yr in the.
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: Road he started the season With milwaukee famously got absolutely
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: bombed in his opening start against The. Yankees his former
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: team did well after, that but THEN i think he got.
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: Injured he got traded at some point right before the
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: trade deadline or something like. That San diego acquired. Him
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: he's been okay With San diego in four, starts had
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: a couple of shorter starts, earlier and then they started
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: ramping them up a little bit further to the point
• 59:24
  Speaker 1: where he's now making full starts. Again he has a
• 59:27
  Speaker 1: THREE era with them in a seventeen to eight strike
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: a walk. Ratio it's definitely better than what he did
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: in That yankees start at the beginning of the, season
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: so he hasn't been that bad With San. Diego it
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: is a picture friendly park for, them although in this
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: start he is facing a pretty Weak minnesota line up,
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: here so maybe he'll do well in this. Start he
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: might be in a letdown spot, too, though because he's
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: coming off a six, inning one hit shutout performance against
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: the division Rival. Dodgers that was a huge game For,
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: cortes so it's possible that he kind of has a
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: little bit of a letdown, here although the good thing
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: for him is he only threw eighty one pitches in that,
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: start so he didn't get. Overextended he was actually really
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: efficient in that, start so he didn't throw that many.
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: Pitches minnesota only has four hitters we've ever faced him,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: before and aside From, buckston who has two on them
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 1: runs off, him the rest of the lineup doesn't do
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: a whole. Lot jeffer says the other home run off,
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: him but the lineup has not done well against. Him
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 1: in twenty one at, bats they have eight, strikeouts no
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: walks two thirty eight. Average the ops is high at
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: nine point fifty, two just Because buckston two dingers off.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: Him LIKE i, said BUT i Think cortes may pitch
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: well in this outing. Mane it's a small sample. Size
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: he can't really take away from home, runs which are
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: kind of the least predictable part of that whole. Thing A.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Zebi matthews is gonna be pitching From. Minnesota he's been
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: up and down between the. Miners this list is having
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: been on THE, dl BUT i don't think that's actually
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: true BECAUSE i think he's pitching on regular rest. Here
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: he's got a five point THREE era this, year one
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: point five to. Whip obviously that's not. Good he's been
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: better at home, though four point four to TWO era at.
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: Home he's still a. Guy it has a lot of
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: upside man in my, Opinion like he's this young, prospect
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: he's been dealing with some, injuries has a weird, name
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: which that is not his birth, name by the, way
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: BUT i don't even remember what his birth name. IS
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: i think HE i don't know if he legally changed
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: his name to, this BUT i don't even know where
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: this nickname came from because it sounds so, stupid but
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: this month he's been, okay with a twenty five to
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: nine strike at walk ratio four point sixty SIX, era
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: so he's been. MEDIOCRE i, mean he's kind of been
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: handling handling himself. DECENTLY i don't mean he's jerking off
• 1:01:32
  Speaker 1: in the clubhouse Against San diego and only has seventeen
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: of bats against, him although the majority of their lineup
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: has faced him at least. Once he's they have a
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: two ninety four batting average off him though in an
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: eight seventy one, ops three, strikeouts two, walks so in
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 1: that small sample, Size matthew's numbers are actually not that
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: good against. Him SO i do Think matthews may not
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: have the upper hand in the starting pitching. Matchup it
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: looks like the money again is kind of Fading San,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: diego though they're up FOR miu one ten to minus
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: one twenty, nine their road. Favorite they're not good on the,
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: road so that's one thing to keep in. Mind San
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: diego has a blow five hundred road. Record they're pretty
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: bad on the. Road eighty eight percent of tickets only
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on, them so the
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: public taking San diego. HERE i think some of that
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: might be the they need to win effect. Here seems
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: like what the professional money is saying is that we
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: Think San diego's favored by too mat. Here, though based
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: on WHAT i just showed, you it seems Like cortes
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: might have the upper hand of the starting pitching. MATCHUP i,
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: mean he's probably the more trustworthy of these pitchers at this.
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: Point not really anything going on with the total right,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: now it's just sitting an eight and a half juice
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: to the. Over it looks like the ninety eight percent
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: of tickets and cash on the. OVER i don't even
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: know what that really. Means San diego does have a
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: pretty significant bullpen, edge, though SO i think if you
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 1: are Fading San diego and you're gonna take a shot With,
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: MINNESOTA i think you probably want to do it first five.
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: Innings ALTHOUGH i Know San diego has that weird travel spot,
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: there so it's not the greatest spot for. Them it's
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: a weird, game weird game in. General, man we're already
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: over an. Hour oh my, god No cubs At. Colorado
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: both of these teams actually played, yesterday so there's no
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: rest here for either. Team colorado's returning over from going
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: To pittsburgh And. Houston So, colorado we're turning over from
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: a road trip, again not a very good. Spot you
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: have to return to family. Life but it is The
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: cubs coming into their, house so maybe they'll be focused
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 1: just because one of the better teams in THE nl
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 1: is coming in to play them are The. Cubs they're
• 1:03:27
  Speaker 1: coming in from The Pacific. Coast they just got swept
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: by The. Giants The cubs are playing some ugly baseball right.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: NOW i mean their offense particularly has been pathetic, recently
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: WHICH i pointed out in my underplay. Yesterday cubs have
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: not been good, recently, man but that is bad getting
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: swept by A San francisco team that is not going
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: to make the. Playoffs The cubs have to keep, going.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: Man they're gonna make sure they don't miss the playoffs.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: Here they're gonna make sure they at least get a
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: wild card spot because they're Trailing milwaukee right now by
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: six and a half games. Here milwaukee hasn't been playing great,
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: either but The cubs haven't taken advantage of. That cubs
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 1: are having to travel from The Pacific coast into high elevation,
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: here not necessarily the easiest travel spot of The colorado
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: or turning on from a road, trip it is still
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: a worse spot for. Them we also know The cubs
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: have the edge across the board, here, obviously but you're
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: gonna have to lay a huge favorite price with. Them
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: cubs have the better, offense the better, bullpen and the
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: better starting pitcher on THE. MoU i, mean all of
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: that is pretty obvious in this, one but again it's
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: it's all about price in a game like. This The
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: cubs actually have a pretty good bullpend rest, too only
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: these chwer relievers yesterday at though so Did, colorado but
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: It's colorado's, bullpen, man they're not. Good Cad horton is
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: pitching for The. Cubs he's having a really nice season,
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: man as a young. GUY i think this might be
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: his rookie, year and he's got a two point eight
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: eight E rram one point one SIX. WEB i hear
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: a lot of rain outside right. Now i'm supposed to
• 1:04:48
  Speaker 1: be going to nine inch, nails but it's an indoor concert.
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 1: Tonight but, man that weather sounds. Terrible horton has good
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: numbers this, year but he's been worse on the. Road
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: four point EIGHTY r and the. Road and if you
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: like The, cubs if you Like, horton he's in really
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: good form. Recently but you're gonna have to trust him
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: at course, field which might be a little bit of
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: a difficult to. Ask he did Face colorado earlier this,
• 1:05:09
  Speaker 1: year but it was at. Home he did well against,
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: them six, innings pitch tour, runs allowed six strikeouts in one.
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: Walk but will he be able to handle the, ELEVATION
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: i mean he probably, will to be, HONEST i, mean
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: he's been really really good. Recently he's allowed one or
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 1: fewer on run now and seven starts in a row
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: and in eight of his last nine. Outings that's crazy
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: every start this, month although in one of them he
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: only went two and two thirds innings Against. MILWAUKEE i
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened in that game because he only
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: gave up one on run in that. Game but zero
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: point seven to TWO era this, month twenty seven to
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: seven strike out walk, ratio good. RATIO i, mean these
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: numbers are really good for. Him man and The cubs
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: have won five of his last six, starts and he's
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: actually picked up a win all of those five Against.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: Colorado they don't have a lot of at bats against.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: Him LIKE i, said he faced them earlier this year
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: and they seem to have a lot of lineup changes since.
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 1: Then they have twelve at bats against. HIM a two
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: to fifty average allowed eight to fifty seven ops is
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: a little bit high just Because doyle has a home
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: run off, Him But i'm not gonna put much weight into.
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: THAT i, MEAN i Think, horton you probably want to
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: lean towards. Him pitching well in this game would be my.
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: Opinion Herman marquez is pitching For. Colorado five point six
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: SEVENTY r one point six to FOUR. Whip basically everyone
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: Of colorado's starters has has bad. Numbers he's got a
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 1: five point three one E ra at, home so he's
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: actually a little bit better at. Home he's been on THE,
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: dl so he hasn't pitched for over a month, now
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: and he wasn't good In. July he had a SIXTY
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: ra In july with the twelve eight strike a walk.
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: RATIO i, mean he actually was a little bit better
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: for a stretch before. That he actually had a pretty Good,
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: june believing or, not but he was bad In. July
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: he's been injured since. Then he's got to face The. Cobs,
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: here his numbers are not horrible against The. Cobs in
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: eighty seven at, bats nineteen to, six strike a walk
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: ratio two sixty four, average fourteen oh, Bs so he
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: hasn't been that bad against The. Cubs and with, pictures
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: even THOUGH i know he's a really bad pitcher, generally
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: but with pictures like, this when they return home FROM
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 1: i mean when they come off the disabled list and
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: they're veterans like, this a lot of times they will
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: be pumped, up, man and they'll be ready to. Go
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: they'll have made rehab, starts the team will kind of
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: rally behind. Them SO i could see him actually pitching
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: fairly well in this. Game SO i actually have a
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: slight lean to the under in the first five innings
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: in this, GAME i don't really want to deal With
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: colorado's Bullpend here totals down from eleven and a half to.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: ELEVEN i know it's iffy to go with an under
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: and a course field, game but that's my lean. Here
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent tickets on the, over but fifty six
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: percent of cash on the, under so money is coming
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: in on the under and The cubs are just way
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: public ninety four percent of, tickets only ninety one percent
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: of the. Cash they're down for minus two thirty to
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 1: minus two twenty on the money. LINE i don't THINK
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: i would attempt to do anything with anything on The cubs. Side,
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: There texas at The a's and this Terrible TRIPLE a
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: stadium again that The a's. Playing the a is coming
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: up a sweep Of. Detroit LIKE i, said they must
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: be feeling pretty high on themselves after. That texas STILL i,
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: think not eliminated from the playoff, race so they're still
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: at least trying. HERE i think The, A'S i, mean
• 1:08:11
  Speaker 1: they're probably still show up even though they're coming up
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: that big sweep Of. Detroit it's a divisional, matchup, man
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: SO i expect The a's to kind of be focused again.
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: Here both teams are off, yesterday so there's rest on both.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: Sides texas is coming in starting a road trip with,
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: momentum and they've won five of their last six, games
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: including that twenty to three blowout Over. Anaheims So texas
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 1: they're in pretty good form right, now and they got
• 1:08:37
  Speaker 1: momentum going out on the, road so that's not a
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: bad spot For texas, really and they do have motivation
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: because they got to keep winning, here so that's not
• 1:08:44
  Speaker 1: horrible for. Them. Either texas has the better bullpend. Here
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: both bullpen's are. Rested texas obviously has a better. Bullpend
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 1: The a's have the significantly better offense here, though But
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: texas you have to give. THEM i, Mean texas is
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: gonna have the pitching EDGE i think across the. Board
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: but if you want to make that, argument you have
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: to say That Jack lighter is gonna be in his
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: best form. Here so that's what you need. Here Jack
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: lighter has been really difficult to predict man because he's a,
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: young hard throwing. Pitcher he throws a lot harder than his,
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: Father Al lighter. Did he's a different style of. Pitcher
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: but he's just been way too wild. Man that's been its.
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: Problem he has the ability to strike out guys at
• 1:09:21
  Speaker 1: a high rate at the major league, level but he's
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 1: he's got to get his control under. Control he's got
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: a three point eight one E r this, year which
• 1:09:29
  Speaker 1: is still pretty. Good one point three to one whip
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: is a bit too. High he is bad on the road,
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: though four point eight one E r on the road
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: that's not. Good this, month he has a two point
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: seven E, ra which is, good but his team has
• 1:09:41
  Speaker 1: lost four of his five. Outings he only got to
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: win in his last, outing or they only got to
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: win as well in his last, outing which was a
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: really excellent. Outing he went seven, innings ten, Strikeouts he gave
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: up no runs and only two hits Against. Cleveland very
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: very good outing For, lighter one of his better outings
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: of his, career maybe his. Best he he was struggling before, that. Though.
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 1: Man even though he's a two point SEVENTY ra this,
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: month he has a twenty eight to twelve strike out walk.
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: Ratio so just LIKE i, said he's not allowing a
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: ton of, runs but he was, inefficient wasn't going deep into.
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: Outings had a very high strikeout rate but a very
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 1: high walk. Rate but maybe that most recent outing is
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: an indicator that maybe he's coming into form Here, Man
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: but it was Against. Cleveland their offense is really. Bad
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: The a's offense is not. Bad his numbers against The
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 1: a's are kind of all over the. Place thirty three at,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: bats eight to six strike a walk, ratio two forty two,
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: average allowed nine oh four ops, though so it's a high.
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: Ops he's going up Against Jeffrey, springs who has been
• 1:10:39
  Speaker 1: one of the better pitchers for The. A's really four
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: point one FIVE, era one point one eight whip that's not.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: Bad he hasn't been as good at home four point
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: seven to THREE. ERA i, mean you understand, why because
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: a very hitter friendly park this. Month he hasn't been that.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: Great five point one TWO, era fifteen to six strike
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: aut walk ratio not excellent numbers for him this. Month
• 1:10:59
  Speaker 1: he's not going terribly deep into his, outings so he's
• 1:11:02
  Speaker 1: not in exactly the greatest form right. Now even thoughose
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 1: overall numbers are all, right his numbers Against texas are
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: okay and thirty seven at bats eight zero strike a
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: walk ratio two seventy average allows seven thirty oh, ps
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: so his numbers are all. RIGHT i, MEAN i could
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: definitely see an argument that maybe you could almost argue
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: for an under in this. Game to be, honest unders
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: in both of the most hitter friendly ball barks at
• 1:11:28
  Speaker 1: The a's and At Colorado what a day, man seventy
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: five percent tickets on the, over sixty five percent of
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: the cash on the. Over probably if you wanted to
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: do the, under you might want to avoid The a's
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: bullpens still, though even though it is, rested it's not
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: a good. Bullpen maybe first five innings makes. Sense total
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: sitting at ten and a half juice to the. Under
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: it does look like the money's coming in on the,
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: under but it looks like the stronger market read may
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: actually be on The a's. Side they're up for minus
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: one twenty minus one forty, one sixty six percent of
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: tickets On, texas with sixty five percent of the cash
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: coming in The. A'S i, mean The a's do have
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: the travel, edge LIKE i, said but it is STILL
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: i don't think it's a negative spot For texas starting
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 1: a road. TRIP i think it's more of The texas
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: needs to win factor here that tends to get overrated
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit but do you really think The a's
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: are worth being priced like that as a favorite like?
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 1: That probably, not although it. Does it's gonna look strange
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: to the public where they're gonna See texas after a
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: blowout win as a huge well not, huge but it's
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: a pretty significant underdog. Here the public is gonna see
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: that and want to Take. Texas SO i guess keep
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: that in mind if you do like The a's. Here
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: it is an anti public. PLAY i would probably limit
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: it to the first five innings Because texas does have
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: a big bullpen. Edge so do with all that information
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: what you. Will although AGAIN i think The a's could
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: be in a little bit of a letdown spot as.
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: Well But, texas, again off of scoring twenty. Runs you
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: gotta be feeling pretty high on yourselves about, that so
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: maybe they are a little bit fatable. Here arizona at
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: The dodgers this, spot it seems like the schedule makers
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: intentionally set up the spot to favor The. Dodgers The
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: dodgers are staying at, home and they had yesterday. Off
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a sweep Of. Cincinnati they've won four
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: games in a. Row so The, dodgers they do have
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: momentum right. Now will they Overlook arizona, though Because arizona's
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: out of, IT i don't. Know because it's a divisional
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: matchup still in The dodgers need to keep winning to
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: maintain their lead in the. Division, arizona you know they're
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused. Too but they're coming in From milwaukee
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 1: and they played yesterday and they just Beat milwaukee the
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: last two games of that four game series and they're
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: having to now travel to The Pacific coast for a late,
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: game so they're gonna have to adjust time zones. Here
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: seeming That arizona should be focused to play The. Dodgers
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: they're coming on with some big. Wins and again they
• 1:13:48
  Speaker 1: played yesterday And arizona's bullpen is so bad that they
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: have a bullpend disadvantage in this game, too although they
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: only Use rashi AND i guess they Use. Beaks my
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: Man beaks for four, pitches but he hadn't pitched him
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: four day's, basically so he'll be available again. Tonight So
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: arizona's better pitchers are all available. Tonight. Beaks you know
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: whose PARENTS i did karaoke with the night of his
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: major league debut with The Red. Sox that's a Story
• 1:14:15
  Speaker 1: i've told on the. Show but, yeah The, dodgers they
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: have a rested bullpen and they surprisingly actually have the better.
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Bullpen The. Dodgers you got to give them the better
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: offense here, TOO i. WOULD i would, say let me
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: see which team actually has the better. Ops, yea it
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: is The. Dodgers arizona not that far behind, Though so
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: two good offenses. Here starting, pitching you Got Zach gallon For. Arizona,
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: here he's got a five point one to THREE, era
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: one point three to ONE whip on the, season not good.
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: NUMBERS i, mean he's better than. This it's just kind
• 1:14:47
  Speaker 1: of crazy how lost of a season this has been For,
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: arizona with like him and fot both not pitching anywhere
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: near what they're capable. Of gallon's a little bit better
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: on the, road five point SEVENTY r on the. Road
• 1:14:58
  Speaker 1: he's actually been good this month with a three point
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: ONE era and a twenty to six strike a walk,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: ratio allowing three or fewer earned runs in every, outing
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: and going at least six innings in all but one.
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: Outing So gallan he's turned a. Corner it looks like
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: at least he's pitching better right. Now he's in better
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: for him right. Now going up against The, dodgers his
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: numbers are not great and one hundred and forty two at,
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: bats thirty one to eleven strike a walk, ratio two
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 1: eighty two batting average, allowed seventy eighty two obs, Allowed
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: so his numbers not really that good against The. Dodgers
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: he gotta say he's still the worst of these two starting.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: Pitchers SO i think The. Dodgers they have a rest,
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: edge of travel, edge a hitting, edge a bolt been,
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: edge and to starting pitching edge. Year so it's, like
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: doesn't that mean you should play The dodgers in this? Game,
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: well the Market reid seems to be saying, no although
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: The dodgers Have Blake snell on the. Mound LIKE i,
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: SAID i think he's the better of these two. PITCHERS i,
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: mean his career numbers would say. That but also he
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: is pitching well right. Now both starting pitchers are pitching
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: well right. Now snell has a one point nine to
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: SEVENTY ra this, season which is pretty good, ONE i
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: mean really. Good but a one point three to eight
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: whip is not that. Good he's got to get that
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: whip under. Control Man snell is the guy throughout his
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: career he's been. Wild he walks too many, guys but
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 1: he strikes out a ton of guys and he's not
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 1: very hittable at. All that's the way that he does.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: Things he has a point nine home Y ra this,
• 1:16:15
  Speaker 1: year so he's been really good at. Home he's only
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: made six starts so, far, though but The dodgers have
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: won four of. Them both of the games that they
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: lost around the road this. Month he has a one
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: point nine to SIX era twenty six to seven strike
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: a walk, Ratio so his numbers he's pitching well this. Month,
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: Man he's allowed no more than three on runs in
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: any of these, outings so that's a good sign he
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: is pitching. WELL i would argue he's probably even in
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: the better form The gallon is right now and he's
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: got the much better matchup numbers and one hundred and
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: two at bats thirty nine to five strike a walk
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: ratio is what he has Against arizona one eighty six
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: batting average six forty four. Ohps because they do have
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: five home runs off, him although spread out only across
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 1: three Batters Gury Allen, marte you have two home runs off,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: Him so if he's able to pitch around, them we'll
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: see if he. Can BUT i think he'll be able.
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: To but the money is seemingly fading The. Dodgers they're
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: up for minus twenty five to twenty. Seven the thing,
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: IS i think it's another case where you know that
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: it's The dodgers and you're basically gonna get charged a
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: high price for The dodgers pretty much every time out,
• 1:17:18
  Speaker 1: there especially with a guy Like snell on the mound
• 1:17:20
  Speaker 1: who has a lot of weight behind his. Name ninety
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: three percent of, tickets only eighty three percent of the
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: cash on, them so the money seems to be fading.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: Them ALTHOUGH i would not want to try to fade
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: The dodgers here, still, MAN i MEAN i, don't to be,
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: HONEST i would probably still lean to The, dodgers maybe
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: on a run line in this. Game that's probably still
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: the WAY i would. LEAN i could see the first
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 1: five innings going, under just because both these starting pitchers
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 1: are in good form right. Now snell has really good
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: Numbers gallon Against, ARIZONA i Meaning gallon's numbers aren't really
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: that bad against The, dodgers given who The dodgers, are
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of, tickets only sixty six percent of
• 1:17:54
  Speaker 1: cash on the over, total not really much of a move.
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: There eight juice to the over up to eight and
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: a half first five minuting under possibly worth a look
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: in that, one and maybe kind of sneaky Because gallons
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: numbers are really bad this, season but he's better. Recently
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: and Then. Baltimore San francisco is the last game on the.
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: Board San francisco played yesterday and both teams played. Yesterday
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: sarrancisco is staying at. Home they've won five games in a,
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: row but they Beat milwaukee and they just swept The,
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: cubs so you got to think they could be in
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: a bit of a let down spot here man just
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: basking in it at. Home they pretty much know they're
• 1:18:27
  Speaker 1: not going anywhere. Now and now they after sweeping The,
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: cubs they got to Face. Baltimore is that really gonna
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: like bring their? Focus probably. Not baltimore probably a little
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: bit angry off of getting swept by The Red sox
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: though that was a big, series and it was a
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: series with a lot of close. Games To baltimore and
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 1: The Red, sox they played a lot of close, games
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: but The Red sox swept all four games against, them
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: even though they were all. Close baltimore swept the prior
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: two game series At, fenway so the road team won
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: all six of those. Games but all those games are, close,
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: too so that's. Crazy the biggest margin of victory is
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: The Red sox five nothing win in that. Series. Baltimore
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 1: they're now having to travel out to The Pacific, coast
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: but it is the start of a road, trip so
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: a lot of times you finish a series like, that
• 1:19:11
  Speaker 1: you go out on the, road you forget about, it
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: you get to focus start a new road. Trip but
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: they're having to travel to The pacific, coast and that
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: series against The Red sox probably was more meaningful than
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: a series against The giants in this battle of orange
• 1:19:23
  Speaker 1: here orange And. Black so it's still not really a
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: great spot For, baltimore to be, Honest LIKE i, said
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: both teams played. Yesterday San francisco has the better. Bullpen,
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: Obviously baltimore used three relievers. Yesterday it looks Like San
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: francisco light. Bullpen you sagg, Yesterday so San francisco better
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: bullpen in better bullpen. Rest baltimore has the better. Offense
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: though both these offenses are pretty much bottom ten. Offenses
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: they're both not. Good baltimore may have cracked the top.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: Ten let me see where are they. At, yeah they're
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: actually eighteenth right. Now So baltimore they're the better. Offense
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: but you, KNOW i weigh pitching over offense, already pitching.
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Matchup he Got dean Kream or For, baltimore he's actually
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: been better as of. LATE i mean he's a guy
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: that have made fun of throughout his. Career because he's
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: not that. Good but he's not that bad this, year mostly,
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: recently he's not that. Bad four point one to NINE
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: era at one point two to THREE whip pretty solid.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: Numbers he's not as good on the road four point
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: nine to SEVENTY r on the, road and this is
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly. Ballpark LIKE i, said this, month he's been.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: Good three point eight ONE, era twenty three to four
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: strike a walk. Ratio that's pretty. Good he got lit
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: up in his last starting Against, houston But houston had
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: just faced them to start before, that so he might
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: have been a little bit of a disadvantage there Because
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: houston had just seen, him so they knew what he
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: was gonna throw at them because he shut them out
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: the previous. Time so they got some revenge off. Him
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: they they, bombed and they hit three home runs off.
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: Him but it wasn't even that bad of a start,
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: otherwise even though it looks really, ugly six are in
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: runs allowed in five, innings but he only allowed seven,
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: hits one, walk four. STRIKEOUTS i don't even think he
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: was really that bad in that. Game and he's stepping
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: down in class is very. Bad San francisco. Lineup his
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: numbers are questionable Again San francisco and sixty two at
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: bats nineteen to six strike a walk ratio is pretty.
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: Good two fifty eight average allowed not, bad but eight
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: oh seven oh ps is high because he has a
• 1:21:14
  Speaker 1: lot of four home runs to, them two of them
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: are From. Devers but that's the, Thing. Devers this is
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: a situation Where devers is actually probably gonna help The
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: giants lineup because he actually has good numbers off of Uh,
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Creamer and of course he was In creamer's division, before
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 1: So devers is the most familiar of their bats against.
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: Him even though that trade seems to have not worked out.
• 1:21:34
  Speaker 1: Well devers did have won really big offensive game the
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: other day and everybody was freaking out about, it And i'm,
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: like but he's been terrible With San francisco pretty much
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: since they got, him and they've been a bad. Team, yeah,
• 1:21:44
  Speaker 1: whatever but both these teams are out of. It Although
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: Robbie ray is pitching For San francisco and he's been
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: the better of the two pitchers on the. Season really
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: nice numbers this season from him two point nine to THREE,
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 1: era one point one to, FIVE, whip one point one four.
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: Whip excuse me a little bit better at home two
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: point eight four ra at. Home decent numbers this month as,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: well two point nine to three er ray twenty four
• 1:22:06
  Speaker 1: to nine strike out walk. Ratio he's allowed four or
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: fewer in runs in every start going all the way
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: back through his first start of last month as. Well
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: San francisco's won four of his five starts this. Month
• 1:22:16
  Speaker 1: all that's pretty, good although a little bit ify last
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: time out, THOUGH i mean he held The milwaukee into
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: three earned. Runs his team won the game in five
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: innings when he walked four guys and didn't strike out,
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: Anybody so that looks like his command was kind of
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: wavering in that. Start maybe it's a. Blip maybe he'll
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: pitch better here Because baltimore is certainly not as prolific
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: of an. Offense baltimore only has three hitters we've ever
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: seen him, before and the only guy who has any
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: hits off him his Mount, castle although he is four
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: for twelve off of him with the home run in
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: a walk and three. Strikeouts but overall they have a
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: two sixty seven average seven to seventy nine oh ps.
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: On but it's pretty much all Mount, castle So, RAY
• 1:22:53
  Speaker 1: i mean he'll be unfamiliar to most of their, lineup
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: SO i think he does have an edge for that.
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: Reason the money's coming in on The oriel Though Giants
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: STAFFORD mightus one forty five to minus one thirty eight
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: here on the money, line eighty percent of tickets on,
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: them sixty seven percent of the cash coming in On.
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: Baltimore so money is coming in on The. ORIOLES i
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: don't know IF i necessarily see it and agree with.
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: That on The San francisco they aren't a letdown, spot
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, said and just staying at. Home so there
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 1: is That. Baltimore if you like, them you have to
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: deal with them traveling across the country, though and maybe
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: you want to only go with them first five innings
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: because the bullpen ADVANTAGE i think is significantly on the
• 1:23:28
  Speaker 1: side Of San. Francisco so maybe you would just go
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: with the first five. Innings could be at least a
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: duel Between creamer And. Ray it's a low total at
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: seven and a. Half juice to the under as, well
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: but fifty percent take at seventy percent of couch in the,
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: OVER i don't know IF i agree with an over, here.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: MAN i, Mean baltimore's bullpen is the only really like
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: horrible part of the of the under equation. Here Uh,
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: so if you can get past, THAT i think an
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 1: under is actually maybe some way to look at this
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: game as. Well let's go to the best bets to
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: do it, now because they're all in. Baseball That's i'll
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: just do it, now and THEN i will talk about college. Football,
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: man there's a lot to talk about here. Baseball we're
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: gonna have all. Unders LIKE i, said we got some
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: young interesting pitchers going. Today, man we're gonna start With
• 1:24:15
  Speaker 1: Brewers Blue jays under seven and a. Half it's a
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: key number at. Seven you can find the under seven
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: and a half at a good price right now minus
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: one oh. Five you can pay a little bit more
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: for the. Eight BUT i think it's a little bit
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: useless because between the seven and a half and eight
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: is not a huge difference. There you don't go through
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: the key number seven by doing that or onto or
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: off of the key number, seven if you know WHAT i.
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: Mean so the under seven and a half is almost
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: the same thing as the under, eight although, eight of,
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: course it is possible that it lands, eight but it's
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: not as key of a. Number this is a game
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: where the public is gonna want to come in on the, over,
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: man because they know it's too good. OFFENSES i understand
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: that as. Well it is too good. Offenses where are
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: we looking for this game? Out it's, interleague, right interleague.
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: GAMES a lot of times you do want to look
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: towards unders by the, way because the starting pitching is
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: usually less. Familiar in this, game we have fifty eight
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets and fifty two percent of the cash
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: on the, over so the public is slightly on the
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: over and less of the cash on. It it's gone
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: down from eight to, eight heavily juiced to the, under
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: which IS i think that's a move that does have
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: some significance if you're wondering about the, Side milwaukee seventy percent,
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty percent of the cash on, Them toronto down
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: for minus one thirty fives and minus one, Thirty so
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: we do see some money coming in on The milwaukee side.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: Here don't know IF i totally would agree with. That
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: toronto was off. YESTERDAY i believe in they're staying at.
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: Home is that? Correct So toronto does have a bit
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: of a travel edge, here, Man but the day off
• 1:25:41
  Speaker 1: might kind of cool off their bats a little. Bit
• 1:25:43
  Speaker 1: And milwaukee actually might have some tired bats because they're
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 1: having to. Travel they're starting a road trip, though so
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: usually you are focused when you start a road. Trip
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: both these teams are gonna have to play man because
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 1: they're both leading their divisions right, now so they're both
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: probably gonna be focused. Here it's a big. Matchup milwaukee
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: again starting to rotrop off two losses To, arizona so
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: they might be a little bit. Pissed they might be focused.
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: Again they played yesterday, though so you don't have to
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: worry about their bullpend a little. Bit toronto's, bullpen even
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i know their offense is really, good But toronto's
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen is actually not that bad. Either let me see
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: where are they at other at. Sixteenth now the era
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: is a little bit over. FOUR i mean you could
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: go under first five if you want. To in this,
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: game find it under in the first. FIVE i like
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: to try to find a four to go under the first. Five.
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: Man milwaukee's got the tenth best bullpen THE. Ra ALTHOUGH
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: i know they just lost their Clotheser migil's that's a
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: little bit of an. Issue but if you look at
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: What milwaukee did, yesterday you have Arrested toronto, bullpen so
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: that should help a little bit. Here and then With,
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: milwaukee they only Use myers and McGee out of their,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: bullpens so those are two kind of longer relief, men
• 1:26:51
  Speaker 1: so their better relievers are still available in this, one
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: AND i think are starting pitching matchup can kind of
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: get us through this game, here. Man SO I i'll
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: still recommend the full game under on this, one just
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: because the bullpen rest scenario is there for the worst
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: of the two bullpens Is, toronto and they're at least
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: rested here as they didn't play, yesterday and so basically
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: both teams have all the best relievers available. Here so
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: that's a good, sign except Me gill being injured For.
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee LIKE i, Said milwaukee's Got Freddy peralta on the.
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: Mound he's having a really good season two point six EIGHTY,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: ra one point one. WHIP i know he's not as
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: good on the, road but three point six FIVE, Era,
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 1: yeah it's just because he's so good at. Home on the,
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: road he's not even that much, worse and he's had
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: some road starts this month and it's still been fine for.
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: Him he's got a point four to ONE era this,
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: month and he hasn't allowed to run his last three,
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: outings including a road start against The cubs reelment a
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: one hit in six, innings so that's, crazy and the
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: start before those he only allowed one, run so he's
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: allowed one run this entire. Month his walk numbers and
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: his ROADR a is still a bit of a concern,
• 1:27:56
  Speaker 1: THOUGH i will admit he has a twenty six to
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: eleven got walk ratio this, month but he's been, unhittable
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: allowing ten hits in twenty two. Winnings so he's been
• 1:28:04
  Speaker 1: really good as far as not allowing he. Hits his
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: strikeout rates High peralta does tend to be a little
• 1:28:10
  Speaker 1: bit wild, though so this is kind of just what
• 1:28:12
  Speaker 1: you get out Of. Paralto though you'd like to see
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: those walk numbers go down a little, bit so that's
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: the one kind of concern with. Him but he has
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: really good numbers Against toronto, too ALTHOUGH i know it's
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 1: a small sample size of twenty, four but it's spread
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: out across basically their entire. Lineup they only have four
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: hits off. Him they do have a home run From
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: bishett two to two strike a walk, ratio but he's
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: on to a one sixty seven average five sixty four oh,
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: ps and they're not that familiar With peralta and they
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: probably haven't seen him for quite a, while so they're
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: not really used to facing. Him so these interleague, games,
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: again sometimes the unfamiliarity is a bit of an edge
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: to the pitchers. Here SO i do like undersena interleague
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: games more than like. Overs and he's going up Against
• 1:28:50
  Speaker 1: shane Bieber man AND i gave out a play On,
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: TORONTO i believe in his first, start and that worked
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: out fine for. Me and boy did he do. Well.
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 1: Man he's been injured for over. Season he was coming,
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: BACK i believe From Tommy john, surgery and he picked
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: up right where he left. Off, man great start for.
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: HIM i know it was Against, Miami they're not a
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: very good, offense but it was on the. Road he
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: held him to one earned run on a home, run
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: and have two hits and six, innings, pitch nine, strikeouts no,
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: walks so he only put two guys on base in
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: the entire. Outing bieber was right back to. Himself, Man
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: he's been excellent throughout his career and people kind of
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: forgot about. Him and AGAIN i think he should continue
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: to do well here. Man Against, milwaukee they don't have
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of familiarity with. Him only five of
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: their HITTERS i have seen him before thirty eight at.
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 1: Bats they do have a home run For. Bowers bowers
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: is one of the guys who've seen him. More he's
• 1:29:40
  Speaker 1: really the only guy that hits well off. Him, overall
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: they have eleven, strikeouts three walks to eleven batting, average
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: and six thirty seven. Ops So bieber has good numbers
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: Against milwaukee here The. Beebes so we're gonna go under
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: in this. Game, man it's a low. Total, again if
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 1: you can find eight in a reasonable prece you could
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: do that. Too but seven and a, half getting on
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: the best side of that key number, SEVEN i think
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: it will go. Under that's one of my. Plays next.
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: Up this is gonna be the one that's first five
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: under BECAUSE i think the bullpen situation is a little
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: bit more questionable in this, one as far as the
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: rest and as far As miami not being a very good.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: Bullpen this Is miami and The. Mets we're gonna go
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: first five. Innings you can find this one more easily
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: at the under Four at minus one TEN i found
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: it at basically the straight up price. THERE i like
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: this starting pitching matchup to go under as, well ALTHOUGH
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: i don't love the bullpen scenario here because these teams
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: already played. Yesterday so that's the kind of issue with
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: this one is these bullpens are not, rested So i'm,
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 1: like all, Right i'll take the bullpen's out. Here The
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: mets bullpen is better than The miami's, bullpen and they're
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: in decent, shape not having used a lot of their
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: relievers of the last couple of, Days so their bullpen
• 1:30:49
  Speaker 1: i'd probably be fine. With Including miami maybe. Not their
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: bullpen's not very, good and these four of their relief pitchers,
• 1:30:55
  Speaker 1: yesterday So i'm just gonna take them out of the.
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: Equation and this Is this is a game WHERE i
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: think it's maybe a little bit less likely you're gonna
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: get deeper outings, Here LIKE i like these more proven
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: starters a bit more as far as going the full game,
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: here Like paralta Versus, baber this game maybe not so.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: Much it's impossible that these starters don't go as, deep
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: so getting the first five innings is definitely better. Here
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: hopefully you can still find the four because this game
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: does have a low total as, well although actually it
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 1: looks like it's eight juice to the. UNDERS i think
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: you probably still find the four. Here it's dropped for
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: eight and a, half but it looks like the money's
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: coming in in the. Over BUT i don't agree with.
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: That sixty one percent of tickets on the, over seventy
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on the. Over The mets
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 1: are up for minus swim fifty five to minus won seventy,
• 1:31:39
  Speaker 1: five but the money is. Fading The mets seventy four
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: percent of, tickets sixty nine percent of the cash on.
• 1:31:44
  Speaker 1: Them not sure WHAT i would want to do with
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: the side in this, game to be, honest BECAUSE i
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: kind of like The mets starting pitching, matcher AND i
• 1:31:50
  Speaker 1: think yesterday they were just gonna let down Spot man
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 1: because they had Swept. Philadelphia The mets have something to
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 1: play for, here although, Yeah miami and it's they're gonna
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: show up, too because it's a visional matchup for. Them
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 1: but The, METS i think they were gonna let down
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: Spot they just Swept, philadelphia SO i think they just.
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: Didn't they didn't have a good situation, yesterday SO i
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: think after that type of spot and they lose the.
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: GAME i think The mets actually might bounce back in this,
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: game but we're not gonna look at the side. Here
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: the money seems to be coming in against, it maybe
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: just because the price is too heavy on, them BUT
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: i think maybe even the professional betters, though though you
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: wouldn't think they'd overlook The mets starter. Here maybe they are,
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: though BUT i like to starting pitching matchup here, obviously
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: If i'm going Under Juri perez for The. Marlins really
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: nice numbers on the, season three point four to FOUR,
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 1: era point nine to eight. Whip he's still a really young,
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: dude and he's already Had Tommy john. Surgery he's already
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: worked his way back from, it and he's been pretty. Good,
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: yes maybe you have to worry about the fact that
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: he has a four point four to TWO era in the,
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: road which isn't as. Good this, month he's been a
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: little bit more questionable with a four point zero FIVE
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: era twenty four to ten strike at walk, ratio so
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: strike a raid is still. There he's had a couple of,
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: starts so he's walked too many. Guys last outing was
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: pretty good though against a pretty Tough toronto lined, up
• 1:33:00
  Speaker 1: he picked up a, win went six, innings a loud touring,
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: runs one, walk three, hits four, Strikeouts so his form
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: doesn't seem that bad to. Me really, overall that was
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: a good recent start from. Him The mets do have
• 1:33:13
  Speaker 1: good numbers off, him but it's such a small sample.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: Size i'm gonna kind of just ignore. It in twelve at,
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: BATS i know most of their hitters have seen him,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: before but four to three strike a walk ratio is
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: not good for. Him four to seventeen, average twelve fifty.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: OPS i know none of that is, good but, again
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: it's such a small sample, size And i'm not sure
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: that he faced them this. Season, no he hasn't Because
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: perez came back In june after he was, injured so
• 1:33:36
  Speaker 1: The mets haven't seen him this year, man so that
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: might have been maybe he was just struggling like in
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: his rookie year or. WHATEVER i don't know when he
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: faced The, mets but they haven't seen him in a long,
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: time so they're not that familiar with. Him and he
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 1: is pitching well again right, now SO i do think
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: he should do better than those matchup numbers. Suggest he's
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: going up Against Jonah, tong twenty two year, old is
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: making his major league debut. Here he's not a big,
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: guy six, one but he's been compared to Tim, linsekum
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: which may mean that he's gonna completely wreck his arm
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: throughout his career and not have a long. Career hopefully
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: that's not the. Case but this, guy, man he's a
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: he's actually A canadian. Pitcher you can see he's From.
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: Ontario even though his name Is, ASIAN i think he
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: is probably he's Probably, Asian, canadian, Uh, Canadian, asian whatever
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: you want to call. It but he's making his major league. Debut.
• 1:34:25
  Speaker 1: Man you, KNOW i like to look at these guys
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: that are MAKING i like to look at. Them they're
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: sexy making their major league debuts, here, Man because a
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 1: lot of times a, guy if he's a really good young,
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: pitcher young prospect with good, stuff he comes into the
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: majors and he's facing a lineup that's never seen him.
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: Before that's usually a good thing and that picture usually does.
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: WELL i think we're gonna get That. TONG i looked
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: at his minor league numbers this year and they're really quite.
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: Good like he has a really high strikeout, rating his
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: Whip andy R ray are both really, low LIKE i,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 1: think even at The TRIPLE a, LEVEL i think his
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: era WAS i think maybe in the ones IF i remember.
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: Correctly he has a he's. Good he throws mid to
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: upper nineties, fastball has an overhand motion Like Linsic. COME
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: i guess like very aggressively. Overhand he has the ability
• 1:35:11
  Speaker 1: to strike guys. Out he has a high strikeout right
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: throughout the. Miners he's gone up through the miners pretty. Quickly,
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: man he's, young and he does have a couple extra.
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: Pitches he does have a four pitch, arsenal but he
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 1: usually goes fastball and. SLIDER i guess his sliders is
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: off speed offering that does have a lot of movement to.
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: IT i guess his fastball has a good amount of
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: movement to it, too and has a pretty good whift.
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: Rate so he's striking out a lot of guys blowing that.
• 1:35:35
  Speaker 1: FASTBALL i think probably up and in on right handed
• 1:35:38
  Speaker 1: hitters because he's a Writing but the slider is his second,
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: pitch which is also good as good movement on. It and
• 1:35:43
  Speaker 1: THEN i guess he does have a change up in
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: a curve, ball WHICH i guess they're not quite as,
• 1:35:47
  Speaker 1: good BUT i still think based on What i'm seeing
• 1:35:50
  Speaker 1: out of his numbers man and the way that he,
• 1:35:52
  Speaker 1: Profiles i'm expecting he's gonna be. Good man and The
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: mets they just brought Up noel McClain to and if
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: they bring this guy up and they're both doing, well
• 1:35:59
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be pretty interesting come playoff. Time if they
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: make the, playoffs it's gonna be. Crazy SO i like.
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: It we're gonna go under first five innings only in
• 1:36:09
  Speaker 1: that one, though For Mets. Marlins Marlin's mets under the
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: four in the first five. Innings then to finish it,
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: off we're gonna Go Pirates Red sox under the. TOTAL
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: i knew this matchup was coming when it was announced,
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 1: yesterday And i'm, like is there any possible way we
• 1:36:23
  Speaker 1: cannot play the under in this. One i'm gonna say,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: No so we'll go with the under in this. One
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: it's a full. Game you can get it under eight
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: right now at a reasonable. Price right, now it's still
• 1:36:34
  Speaker 1: just sitting at the, eight but the money seems like
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: it's a coming in on the. Under seventy nine percent
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: of the tickets are on the, under so it looks
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: like it's public as this pitching matchup is almost no
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: secret at this. Point, well maybe The Red sox side
• 1:36:46
  Speaker 1: is still a. Secret maybe it's just Because i'm A
• 1:36:48
  Speaker 1: Red sox. Fan i've been hearing about this guy for so.
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: Long here nine to nine percent of the cash on
• 1:36:53
  Speaker 1: the Under Red. Sox by the, way they do have
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: the money coming in on them up for minus one
• 1:36:57
  Speaker 1: TEN i minus one eleven fifty one percent tickets eight
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: six percent of the. CASH i don't Think i'm gonna
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: disagree with The Red sox in this. Spot but The
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: Red sox did play. Yesterday pittsburgh also did, though So
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh's coming in From Saint. Louis The Red sox are
• 1:37:11
  Speaker 1: returning over from a road. Trip they went to The
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: yankees In, baltimore not really a long road, trip so
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: there returning home though in Facing. PITTSBURGH i, mean usually
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: you're not gonna get that excited to Face, pittsburgh but
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: they're Facing Paul, skins and The Red sox have a
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: rookie making his debut on the, mound SO i think
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: that is all gonna actually make The Red sox focus
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: in this, game where normally they probably wouldn't be against
• 1:37:32
  Speaker 1: a bad team Like. Pittsburgh so even though the returning
• 1:37:35
  Speaker 1: over a road, trip they're not changing time. Zones, yes
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: they'll have stuff to do at. Home BUT i actually
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: think this is a big pitching. Matchup it's gonna be
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: a highly touted pitching. MATCHUP i think both teams will
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: show up for. This pittsburgh is coming in From Saint.
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: Louis LIKE i, said they lost. Yesterday both teams played.
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 1: YESTERDAY i think part of the reason for The Red
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: sox getting the money here is BECAUSE i think the
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: feeling is that the starting pitching matchup is a bit
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: of a, duel it's a bit of a, wash WHICH
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: i agree with that Because i'm gonna go under. Here
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: but also in addition to, that The Red sox have
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: the better offense they and the better bullpen. Here SO
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: i think that's what we're looking at. Here The Red.
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: Sox obviously they're the better, team and you're getting a
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 1: pretty cheap price on The Red sox given the fact
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: that they have those other. Advantages it's a very low
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: price in The Red. Sox you're not gonna find like Fading.
• 1:38:21
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh you're not gonna find it that. CHEAP a price
• 1:38:24
  Speaker 1: Fading pittsburgh most of the, time and it's because it's
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: A Red sox rookie making his debut up Against paul's.
• 1:38:29
  Speaker 1: Skeens like that's pretty much why you're getting the cheap
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: price on The Red. Sox The Red sox used three
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: of their relief pitchers, yesterday so their bullpen decently, rested
• 1:38:38
  Speaker 1: Decently Intack chapman's available tonight if they want. Them So
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: Red sox pretty good bullpen and in good. Form well
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 1: they're in good form right, now but they're in good
• 1:38:47
  Speaker 1: rest shape right. Now so The Red sox BULLPEN i
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 1: think is fine to go full game on. This if
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: their starting pitcher doesn't go quite deep into this, game
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: The Red sox BULLPEN i think can kind of cover
• 1:38:57
  Speaker 1: it for. Them they're going up and it's a very
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: very bad offense In pittsburgh as. Well so In pittsburgh
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: they used three relievers, yesterday so maybe you worry a
• 1:39:05
  Speaker 1: little bit more About pittsburgh's. Bullpen BUT i think all
• 1:39:07
  Speaker 1: that being, Said, SCHEMES i, mean he's almost like week
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: in and we are week in and week, OUT i,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: guess or start in and start. Out you're almost pretty
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: much always getting like six innings out of him for
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: the most. Part so if you get that out of,
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: HIM i think it should be all right With pittsburgh's
• 1:39:23
  Speaker 1: bullpen for the rest of. It Paul, skans, obviously we
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: know he has good. Numbers two point oho SEVENTY, ra
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: a point nine to four. Whip he's an elite. Pitcher
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: we know. This he's a little bit worse on the
• 1:39:33
  Speaker 1: road two point five yarra on the, road it's still really.
• 1:39:36
  Speaker 1: Good three point two ONE era this, month thirty five
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: to five strike a walk ratio this, month and the
• 1:39:42
  Speaker 1: two starts prior to this month he pitch two shutouts
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: in a, row so obviously he's a good for. Him
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 1: he has two shutouts this month. Too he had one
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: bad start At milwaukee good offense actually at The colorado
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 1: At Course field and didn't do particularly well, either but
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: you can give him a pass for. That he's coming
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: off getting back At colorado at home and shutting them. Out,
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: yes he's having to step up in class to face
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: The Red. Sox with The Red sox Besides bregman have
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: never seen him. Before bregman's only one for three with
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts of, him but The Red sox have never
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: faced Ball, skians so it's gonna be one of those
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: rare second year, advantages like usually gonna have a second year.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: Pitcher all the offenses are familiar with him at this.
• 1:40:19
  Speaker 1: Point but not only Is schiens, dominant but he actually
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: gets an extra advantage here because The Red sox hitters
• 1:40:24
  Speaker 1: have never faced him before and they're gonna have to
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: figure him. Out so you have unfamiliarity all around in this.
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: Game is The Red sox have called Up peyton, totally
• 1:40:33
  Speaker 1: the most highly touted pitching prospect in The Red sox.
• 1:40:36
  Speaker 1: Organization was rised through the through their minor league organization
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: really rapidly this. Season because The Red sox have some
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 1: pretty bad starting pitchers in their, Rotation they're, like, yeah fuck,
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: It Dustin, May, Walker, buela those guys. Suck let's see
• 1:40:52
  Speaker 1: if this guy can do what he's been doing in the. Minors, man.
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: Totally he's also a massive, dude and he looks old school.
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: Man he's six, fifty he's got a, stash he looks
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: like he's a guy that's out there chewing. Tobacco he
• 1:41:05
  Speaker 1: looks fucking old. SCHOOL i like that. Shit and he's got. Stuff,
• 1:41:10
  Speaker 1: man he's got a fastball he throws in the upper.
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: Nineties he throws from a really weird like three quarters
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 1: arm angle where he's so tall that his release point
• 1:41:20
  Speaker 1: somehow is like so close to the hitter that it
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: like almost makes the pitch even faster and the hitter
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: has less time to. REACT i think it's due to
• 1:41:28
  Speaker 1: kind of just the way that his motion is and
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: how tall he. Is it's almost like he's like right
• 1:41:33
  Speaker 1: in your face and on top of. You it's a crazy.
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: Thing like you can find some videos of, THAT i think.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: SO i, mean he's got the, stuff. Man he's been
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: good throughout the minor leagues as. Well he does have
• 1:41:43
  Speaker 1: a five pitch, arsenal although he's mostly going that, fastball a,
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: cutter and a change. Up those are like his top three.
• 1:41:51
  Speaker 1: PITCHES a cutter a little bit less fast and has
• 1:41:53
  Speaker 1: some crazy movement on. THAT i. Know his fastball has
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: like this vertical on it that also throws hitters. Off
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: they swing and miss a lot at that. Fastball and
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 1: then his change up is actually pretty good as, WELL i,
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: believe so he mixes that in as, well and then
• 1:42:08
  Speaker 1: he does also at least attempt to THROW i think
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: a curve ball and a. SLIDER i think there was
• 1:42:13
  Speaker 1: the other two IF i got all that. Right so
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 1: he's got other pitches in the, mix so he doesn't
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 1: use them as. Much but he's been good in the.
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: Minors man he was pretty much dominating In DOUBLE. A
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: so they brought him up From portland To TRIPLE a
• 1:42:24
  Speaker 1: to The Wu Socks woosta kid and he had his
• 1:42:28
  Speaker 1: numbers don't look like stellar in TRIPLE. A i, mean
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: his era was still in the threes In TRIPLE, a
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 1: but he only was there for like two or three,
• 1:42:35
  Speaker 1: starts and his first start he actually was just shaky
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: at the beginning of the. Start he gave up like
• 1:42:40
  Speaker 1: four runs in the first inning that he pitched In,
• 1:42:42
  Speaker 1: wooster and then beyond that he like basically didn't give
• 1:42:45
  Speaker 1: up anything and he completely dominated after. That SO i
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 1: think he was just trying to get his. Bearings, yes
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: that worries me in this, case like maybe he'll have
• 1:42:52
  Speaker 1: a shaky first inning or two, here which hopefully not
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 1: because we need the under. It it'll also help going
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: full game, here because first five innings your base screwed
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: if you get one somewhat bad, Inning but at least
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: with the full game you can kind of counter that
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: a little, bit BUT i think he's gonna be. Good.
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: Man he gets to face the weakest lineup in all,
• 1:43:09
  Speaker 1: baseball SO i think in all the major. Leagueslya SO
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 1: i think that can help. Him you, know it's just
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: like the next step up baby steps basically for Baby,
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: peyton there's a giant. Man let's go with him. Then
• 1:43:22
  Speaker 1: AND i think it's gonna be like an extra kind
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: of you, know emotional thing or, whatever because totally his
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: mother actually died like a few months. Ago she was
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: dealing with, cancer AND i guess it was a situation
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: she had colon, cancer which is like an instant death
• 1:43:35
  Speaker 1: sentence that she was only in her forties and they
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 1: gave her like three months to live and she lived
• 1:43:41
  Speaker 1: for like eight years or something like, that battling. Cancer
• 1:43:45
  Speaker 1: so that's not the type of lineage that totally has here,
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: man as far as this family being, Fighter SO i
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: think it might be like a little bit of an
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: extra motivational thing for. HIM i don't know if his
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: father is gonna be in attendance for this or. NOT
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: i would imagine probably, yes but we'll. SEE i don't
• 1:43:59
  Speaker 1: know that much about his family, otherwise BUT i saw
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: an article about his. Mom BUT i think he's gonna
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: he's gonna do. Well. Man so we're gonna go under
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: in this. Game sorry to get an emotional on you.
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: There we're gonna go under the eight in the full
• 1:44:12
  Speaker 1: game Here Pirates Red sox in that, One. Alex what's? Up? Man,
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: oh thank, you thank, you. Sir i'm not giving them.
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: UP i just don't really see any situations THAT i
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: love that. Much i'll have more throughout the season and
• 1:44:27
  Speaker 1: probably in the. PLAYOFFS i will almost definitely have more
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 1: in the. Playoffs but this is my first season doing
• 1:44:32
  Speaker 1: the w N. B. A i, MEAN i think a
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: lot of the same situational aspects, apply but it's just
• 1:44:37
  Speaker 1: the W. Nba i'm just not seeing that many. Situations.
• 1:44:39
  Speaker 1: Man but WHEN i, do, well give it out on the.
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: Show but thank, you. Sir, Yeah I'm i'm up on
• 1:44:45
  Speaker 1: the year in the W nba by probably about three
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: four of my you, know unit, sizes, basically that's what
• 1:44:52
  Speaker 1: you want to call. It. Units Peyton toley is a. Unit.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: Man let's go to college football here and then we'll
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: finish it. Off this is a long video today And,
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: Friday i'm giving you a two hour. Video, right we're
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: only going to talk about the games that ARE. Fbs
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: we do Have Western michigan At Michigan, state which is
• 1:45:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be at seven pm On Fox Sports. One Michigan,
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 1: STATE i think they should take a little bit of
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: a step up this. Year last year they had growing
• 1:45:17
  Speaker 1: pains because they brought over a new coach From Oregon.
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: State he brought over some of his. Guys he brought
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 1: over his QUARTERBACK i believe that he, had which Is.
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: CHILES i think it is his, Name Aiden. Chiles so
• 1:45:28
  Speaker 1: it was like growing pains From but NOW i Think
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: chiles is still. There i'm pretty sure the coach is.
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: There so these guys that he brought, OVER i think
• 1:45:35
  Speaker 1: they're gonna now that they have a season under their.
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: BELT i Think Michigan state should be a little bit.
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: Better chiles he's a junior, now so he's got a
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: couple of years under his belt in college football as.
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: Well but you, Know Western, michigan even though they're a bad,
• 1:45:47
  Speaker 1: team you know they're going to step up Against Michigan
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: state at least because it's that in state rivalry. Game
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 1: so it still wouldn't shock me with a low total
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: like this If Michigan state doesn't wind up covering the,
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: number Although i'd be pretty shocked If Michigan state loses
• 1:45:59
  Speaker 1: the game. Outright they're out from eighteen to twenty one,
• 1:46:02
  Speaker 1: here so they're a huge. Favorite even though the totals
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: forty nine and a half money actually coming in ON
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: msu seventy seven percent of tickets ninety two percent of the. Cash,
• 1:46:12
  Speaker 1: AGAIN i wouldn't want to lay a number like that,
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: though of, course especially up to three. Touchdowns it's gone
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: through that key. Number with a low total like, THAT
• 1:46:19
  Speaker 1: i would stay away from. THAT i don't really want
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 1: money On Western michigan. Either The Western. MICHIGAN i, mean
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: we could look at their returning production, here show Me Michigan. State,
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: Man Michigan state's thirtieth in Of, GOD i hate this,
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: man these fucking articles and then they go down to
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 1: all this other shit and then there are articles below
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: that they because they. Abbreviated it's, like how the fuck
• 1:46:42
  Speaker 1: do you Find Western michigan? Here where the fuck are?
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 1: They BUT i think we know the attorney production. Is
• 1:46:47
  Speaker 1: it's got to be higher on the side Of Michigan,
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: state you would, Imagine But Western, MICHIGAN i, mean they
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: were a mac. Team they weren't even that good last.
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think their thing WAS i actually don't even
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: remember what other type of offense was last. Year to be,
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: HONEST i would have to go. Back. LOOK i talked
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: about it on my show last year that where the
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: fuck Is Western? Michigan? There they are there one hundred
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: and twenty third in returning. Productions so, Yeah Western michigan
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: very very low returning. Production so there's not a whole
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: lot going on. There if you are thinking about maybe
• 1:47:14
  Speaker 1: Grabbing Western. Michigan the only thing is that you get
• 1:47:17
  Speaker 1: more value per point because it's such a low total
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: in this. Game so that's the only THING i would
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: say about. That Kennisas state at Wake forest Wake, FOREST
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: i mean they got a nice easy matchup here Against Kannessas,
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: state who is probably the worst team in all OF
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: fbs last. Year But Kannessas, STATE i, mean maybe they'll
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: improve a little bit coming into this. Season Wake. Forest
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: they're not a huge, favorite, Really they're actually down from
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: eighteen to seventeen and a. Half you're eighty six percent of,
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty seven percent of the cash on them total
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit. High the totals plummeted, though from fifty
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 1: three and a half to fifty and a. Half if
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: you wanted to get the under, here you'd have to
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: look at fifty one Kannessas state really had a bad
• 1:47:56
  Speaker 1: offense last, year SO i think that would be part
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 1: of the thing About look at this game, Here Wake
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: forest only has two returning six returning, starters two on,
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: offense not including their, quarterbacks So Wake forest isn't kind
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: of a re revamp as. Well Michigan, state by the,
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: way only a nine returning, starter so not a ton
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: but more than probably more Than Western. Michigan but this,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: GAME i mean you got a lot of turnover on
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: both these teams, HERE i Mean Wake, forests not That
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: kennesaw actually has seventy three percent returning. Productions so never
• 1:48:26
  Speaker 1: mind WHEN i Said kennesaw they were a bad team last.
• 1:48:28
  Speaker 1: Year but they're actually returning a lot of. Productions so
• 1:48:30
  Speaker 1: maybe that's the reason why there's money coming in on.
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: Them Because Wake forest lost like, Everybody So wake eighty
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: eighth in returning. Production SO i take that. Back kennesaw
• 1:48:39
  Speaker 1: actually does have returning, production which they were pretty new TO,
• 1:48:43
  Speaker 1: FBS i think. RECENTLY i think it might have been
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: their first year IN. Fbs last year they're in The CONFERENCE,
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: usa so maybe there are some angles there to actually
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 1: look at Kennesas state plus the points in that, one
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: especially if the money is coming in on the under
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: think it's going to be a lower scoring Game Wake.
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 1: FOREST i, mean THE acc is not very strong And
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 1: wake is not one of the stronger teams in that.
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: Conference And kennisa was just so brutally bad last year
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: that if they were returning those, starters even though, yeah
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: that means those starters aren't that, talented but having that
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: year under their belts AND fbs might actually propel them
• 1:49:14
  Speaker 1: forward a little. Bit so thinking about it, MORE i
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: might actually lean to taking the points in that one With.
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: Kenna saw not gonna give it out as a. Play
• 1:49:21
  Speaker 1: App state At. Charlotte App state has been a pretty
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: good program for a while, NOW i remember. It last,
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 1: YEAR i think they took a little bit of a step.
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: BACK i mean the. Hurricane if you remember, that the
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: hurricane came in and basically just blew away their town
• 1:49:33
  Speaker 1: in a Boone North. Carolina so that's not great for. Them.
• 1:49:36
  Speaker 1: CHARLOTTE i MEAN i think they considered themselves to be
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: a little brother to App. State So charlotte's been bad,
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: recently BUT i think they might at least have some
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: motivation to step it up in a game like, this
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: hosting a team that they considered to be a bigger
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: brother in their, state because App state has obviously been
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: the better. Program and this line has absolutely. Tanked it
• 1:49:56
  Speaker 1: opened at nine probably a couple months, ago and it's
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 1: already down to. Three and it's that all just market, movement
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: just tons of professional money Taking charlotte. Here maybe it
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 1: is BECAUSE i think it was still five and a half,
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 1: yesterday but of course the value was all, Gone like
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: if you Liked, charlotte you had to get it at
• 1:50:11
  Speaker 1: like plus seven or. BETTER i don't think there's any
• 1:50:13
  Speaker 1: way you could take them plus. Three but there has
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: been some, strong strong movement on The charlotte side here
• 1:50:19
  Speaker 1: fifty two percent of tickets on App, state seventy eight
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in In, charlotte Though i'm
• 1:50:25
  Speaker 1: not familiar with these. Teams, Rather charlotte is one hundred
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: and thirty first in returning, production so it's, like what
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: are guys even seeing with? THEM i don't even, know,
• 1:50:33
  Speaker 1: Man App, state where are they at in returning. PRODUCTION
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: i don't think they have a lot, either IF i,
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: recall but Maybe i'm wrong about. That where are they?
• 1:50:41
  Speaker 1: AT i don't even see them up, here, man SO
• 1:50:44
  Speaker 1: i don't even know where App state is. At my,
• 1:50:46
  Speaker 1: APOLOGIES i mean, this it's way too hard to search
• 1:50:48
  Speaker 1: on this fucking page BECAUSE esp had put some million
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: articles after, that AND i probably shouldn't even be showing
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: you this article because it's behind a. Paywall but whatever
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 1: app there they. Are they're one hundred and. Eighth so
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: App state doesn't have a whole lot of returning production.
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: Either so both teams kind of in that type of. Spot,
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: again maybe it's just a lot of it just being
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: The charlottes might be more motivated. HERE i, MEAN i
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: don't really understand. It, otherwise that's not a Game i'll
• 1:51:16
  Speaker 1: get involved. In auburn And baylor is the biggest game
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: of the. Night, really that's a big game actually between
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: AN sec team and a big twelve. TEAM i actually
• 1:51:25
  Speaker 1: think both teams should improve this. YEAR i Think auburn
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: they were better than they looked last, year AND i
• 1:51:30
  Speaker 1: think they failed to make a. BOWL i know Under
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: Hugh freeze as at their. Coach now he hasn't really
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: been very good. There they've had a bunch of mediocre.
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: Seasons but last, year if you remember on my, SHOW
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: i came Out auburn multiple times last year as a.
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 1: Plane some of them got absolutely. Screwed we got we
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: took some bad beats on Some auburn games last. Year,
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: Man SO i think they're better than they looked last. Year,
• 1:51:51
  Speaker 1: baylor they had a good second half to the. Season
• 1:51:54
  Speaker 1: they got themselves in a bowl. Game their quarterback is very.
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: TALENTED i believe he's. Back So. Baylor there's a lot
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: to like actually about both these. Teams in my, opinion
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 1: coming into this, SEASON i think they both might get. Better, Baylor,
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: Yeah Sawyer robertson as their. Quarterback they're returning their running,
• 1:52:11
  Speaker 1: back multiple wide. Receivers they're returning thirteen, guys So baylor
• 1:52:14
  Speaker 1: has a lot of returning starters, here, Man so not
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: a bad situation For. Baylor auburn returning eleven although they're
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 1: not returning their quarterback my, mistake or they're running, back
• 1:52:23
  Speaker 1: but they got still eleven returning, starters so a lot
• 1:52:26
  Speaker 1: of their core is still. There their offensive line is
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: pretty much all returning and decent amount of their deepense,
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: returning so returning starters on both. Sides auburn has dropped
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: from a two and a half point favorite to a
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: one and a half point. Favorite it looks like the
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: money is coming in A, baylor even Though baylor is
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Public sixty six percent ticket seventy three
• 1:52:44
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming in A baylor, Though SO
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: i think that maybe some of it is just because
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: the professional money just doesn't think That auburn should be
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: favored on the road, Here, like what Has auburn really
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: done to justify being a favorite on the, Road, like
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: is that them just getting THE sec hype because they're
• 1:53:00
  Speaker 1: in THE, sec which everybody knows is the best. Conference
• 1:53:03
  Speaker 1: The Big. Twelve, yeah The Big twelve is a bad
• 1:53:05
  Speaker 1: conference in my. Opinion it's not a very good. Conference
• 1:53:08
  Speaker 1: it's a finesse. Conference SO i do think that the
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 1: one thing that AN sec team Like auburn does have
• 1:53:13
  Speaker 1: over a team Like baylor is that THE sec team
• 1:53:16
  Speaker 1: plays physical and a team Like baylor is more of
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: like an offensive, team more of a finesse team usually,
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: so WHICH i think is still the case with them this.
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: Year so that's the one thing that A Big twelve
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: team like that not really used to that amount of.
• 1:53:28
  Speaker 1: Physicality when that physicality comes into, play they could get
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit beat up by. That so that is
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: something to look at there. Where maybe that would Give
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: auburn like a slight edge in that. Game but the
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: money is kind of Saying baylor. Here money seems to
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: coming in on the under a little. Bit totals at fifty,
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: seven which is a fairly high. TOTAL i think That
• 1:53:48
  Speaker 1: auburn probably is correlated to the under though in this,
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: game because if you Like, auburn you're probably expecting some
• 1:53:53
  Speaker 1: physical defense to come out and Slow baylor's offense. Down But, baylor,
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: again their quarterback is, returning SO i don't necessarily Love
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: auburn either. Here i've heard conflicting opinions from professional vetters
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 1: on this game. Too and then we do Have Georgia Tech.
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: Colorado of Course. Colorado they don't Have sanders Any Mocheuder,
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: sanders AND i Think Dion sanders is going through some health.
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: STUFF i don't know why this is ON, espn But Georgia.
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: TECH i kind of Like Georgia tech MAN i kind
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: of like them in this game as. Well it might
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: be my favorite lean Although i'm not gonna give it
• 1:54:25
  Speaker 1: out as a play on the. Show But Georgia, tech,
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 1: actually where are they? At here are they listening? To,
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: yeah they're listening under Gay, Tech Go, tech Jot. Tech
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 1: they're twenty six in returning. Production, man you Know colorado
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 1: is nowhere near. That Where's colorado At? Colorado? YEAH i
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: actually where are they? At AM i wrong about? That
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: let me Say? Colorado because they Lost sanders and they
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: Lost Travis, hunter so it's, like who do they have? Left?
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: Hunter you, know the guy that plays both defense and.
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: Offense they both got. DRAFTED i don't even know Where colorado, is,
• 1:54:56
  Speaker 1: Man SO i MEAN i could actually probably find it
• 1:54:59
  Speaker 1: by doing different. Search they are eighty nine their returning,
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 1: production so we know. This colorado does not have a
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: lot of returning. Production, Uh Georgia, Tech, DUDE i STILL
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: i Like Georgia. TECH i talked about this on my.
• 1:55:10
  Speaker 1: Show they do only have nine returning. Starters isn't a,
• 1:55:13
  Speaker 1: lot but a lot of their offense is. Returning Haines
• 1:55:16
  Speaker 1: king kind of the key component of their. Offense he's
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 1: a really really solid duel threat, quarterback and he did
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: get injured at one point last. Year he is a
• 1:55:24
  Speaker 1: really really talented Quarterback, man and they got a running.
• 1:55:26
  Speaker 1: Back they're running back Back, haynes who was their primary running,
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: back so they're both back that The haines. Tandem and Then,
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: rutherford one of their wide, receivers is back as, well
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: so they're returning some of their best. PLAYERS i, mean
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 1: this offense runs Through king Though, man and he's. Back
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: he's got a lot of experience. Now SO i do
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 1: Like Georgia tech over whatever the Hell colorado. IS i
• 1:55:47
  Speaker 1: should have just looked at This. Colorado they have eight returning,
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: starters four on, offense four on. Defense their offensive line
• 1:55:54
  Speaker 1: is pretty much all, returning and then the defense is
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 1: kind of a mix of, players mostly secondary players coming.
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: Back so that front seven For, colorado which is already
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: not that, good might be pretty bad. HERE i don't
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: Like colorado's depfense. Either the money's coming in Against Georgia,
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: tech BUT i don't agree with That georgia tack down
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: for four and a half to four seventy six percent
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: of ticket seventy one percent of the cash coming in on,
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: Them so the money is fading, them and it's coming
• 1:56:17
  Speaker 1: in on the under which it's already. Dropped the total
• 1:56:19
  Speaker 1: from fifty seven a half to fifty one and a.
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: Half that is a crazy move on the. TOTAL i
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: don't really understand what's going on with that total move
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of, ticket seventy eight percent of cash on the.
• 1:56:28
  Speaker 1: Under BUT i still need To Georgia. TACK i don't
• 1:56:31
  Speaker 1: really understand how This colorado defense that's not good, anyway
• 1:56:34
  Speaker 1: is gonna stop an offense that is gonna have continuity
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 1: with their quarterbacks still, there Like Haines, king who's a
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: talented quarterback. THERE i don't know Who colorado picked up
• 1:56:43
  Speaker 1: as their, Quarterback but for, me that first game like,
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 1: that you usually want to look to the team that
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: has a. Continuity SO i would lay the points With Georgia.
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: Tack that would be my opinion in that, game even
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: though it's going against the. MONEY unlv And Sam houston
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: interesting and they both played In week. Zero so sometimes
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: you always hear, like, oh, well the team that played
• 1:57:03
  Speaker 1: In week zero has an advantage because they have a
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 1: game under their. Belt, well both teams have a game
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: under their belt in this, case but sometimes that's not
• 1:57:09
  Speaker 1: even the, Case LIKE i think it kind of depends
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: who the team. Played Like i'm actually gonna give probably
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 1: give out a play on The saturday, show which will
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: probably be, tonight by the, Way late night, tonight Where
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna actually probably fade a team that played In week.
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: Zero in this, case both teams PLAYED. UNLV i, mean
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: this is a team that had a total, overhaul like
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: they have a new coach coming in, There Dan. Mullens
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: SO i don't think it's very. Good he came out
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 1: of the broadcast, booth not a good sign after he
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: wasn't good At. Florida they almost lost To Idaho state
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 1: or they only beat them by, seven AND fbs, team
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: it's not a TERRIFIC fbs. Team that's not a good
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: sign for you AND. Lv but then, again because they
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: now have a game under their belt and they almost
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 1: lost their home, opener they might be refocused for this.
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: One and they're facing A Sam houston team that is
• 1:57:53
  Speaker 1: not really that Prolific Sam. Houston they did bring back
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: their quarterback from last, Year Hunter, watson who is a
• 1:57:59
  Speaker 1: pretty good rule threat, quarterback But Sam houston in some
• 1:58:02
  Speaker 1: ways they kind of overperform last. Year they're also new
• 1:58:05
  Speaker 1: TO fbs in The CONFERENCE, usa so they do face
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: lesser talent as. Well they lost their first game To Western. KENTUCKY.
• 1:58:12
  Speaker 1: O The Western kentucky is usually one of the better
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: teams in THE, cusa even Though Western kentucky didn't have
• 1:58:17
  Speaker 1: their quarterback, returning and that was actually a closer game
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: than the. FINAL i actually, SAID i leaned To Sam
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 1: houston plus the points in that, game and they were
• 1:58:24
  Speaker 1: within the point. Margin they were within the plus whatever
• 1:58:28
  Speaker 1: it was ten and a half fairly late in the
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: game and wound up losing by. Seventeen this is their
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: home opener though for Sam, houston so there are reasons
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: for both teams to show up. Here Sam houston gets
• 1:58:37
  Speaker 1: to face A Mountain west team that did well last,
• 1:58:39
  Speaker 1: year SO i think they'll show up for that. REASON,
• 1:58:41
  Speaker 1: UNLV i think will be embarrassed off of that, performance
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: so they might show up as. Well with the money
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: is coming in On Sam. Houston the line dropped from
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: thirteen to nine ON, unlv so if you Like Sam,
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 1: houston you've lost some value. There you'd want to get
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: it at plus at least plus ten and a half
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: probably on that that line is moved through that key number,
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: ten so you've lost the value on. That, unfortunately a
• 1:59:03
  Speaker 1: lot of These week one, guys, uh fifty three percent
• 1:59:06
  Speaker 1: take sixty FOUR a lot of these week one, LINES
• 1:59:09
  Speaker 1: i should, say move a ton fifty three percent to
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: take a sixty four percent of the cash On Sam.
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: Houston so it does look like the money's coming in
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: taking the home dog and that. ONE i, guess do
• 1:59:18
  Speaker 1: with that information what you. Will, YEAH i keep hearing
• 1:59:20
  Speaker 1: The Dan mullin was good At Mississippi, state AND i
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: don't even remember that, happening but that was a long time.
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: AGO i still think he's a shit. COACH i, mean
• 1:59:27
  Speaker 1: there's a reason why he was in the broadcast. Booth
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: he flamed out At. Florida, yeah we'll, see BUT i
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: don't expect a whole lot out OF unlv at all this. Year.
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: Man and Then Central michigan is Facing San Jose. STATE i,
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 1: Mean San Jose state is supposed to be one of
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: the better teams in The Mountain. West this. Year they
• 1:59:46
  Speaker 1: have decent returning production at sixty third in returning. Production
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: Central MICHIGAN i don't even know where they're at in returning.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: PRODUCTION O they're at, eighties so they have less returning.
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: Production they're the lesser. Team San Jose state is definitely
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 1: a big face were. Here San Jose, state it's all
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: about their. Offense their offense is. Good they've made bowls
• 2:00:05
  Speaker 1: in a few games. Recently these games are gonna be
• 2:00:08
  Speaker 1: televised by the way THAT unlvcm used the game ON
• 2:00:11
  Speaker 1: Cbs sports And Central, Michigan San Jose state And Fox sports.
• 2:00:15
  Speaker 1: One so you get to watch all these football games
• 2:00:17
  Speaker 1: college football if you can never Watch Major League baseball
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: anymore on NATIONAL. Tv But San Jose, state, yeah they
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: have a prolific. Offense Central michigan their offense was really
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: really bad last year AND i don't really know what
• 2:00:29
  Speaker 1: we're going to be seeing out of them this. Year
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: they were not very. Good they ACTUALLY i Think Central
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: michigan actually overperformed early in the season two against that max.
• 2:00:37
  Speaker 1: Schedule So San Jose state's at least in a better.
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: Conference so the money has come in On San Jose
• 2:00:41
  Speaker 1: state up from ten and a half now through the
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: thirteen thirteen and a half through, fourteen now sixty three
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the cash In
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: San Jose. STATE i, mean if you want to lay
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: it With San Jose, state you better do it at.
• 2:00:54
  Speaker 1: Fourteen but lost a little bit of value on THAT
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: i Probably i'm still not gonna do, it BUT i
• 2:00:59
  Speaker 1: MEAN i could see the argument for. It, Also Central
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: michigan having to go out and play a late night
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: game on The Pacific coast not exactly that, easy although
• 2:01:06
  Speaker 1: at least for, them they haven't played yet this. Season
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: so these teams do spend like the entire offseason basically
• 2:01:11
  Speaker 1: pretty much trying to prepare for their first. Game the
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: money also coming. In it looks like a little bit
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: on the under as far as the cash, percentage but
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: the total has gone towards the over a little, Bit
• 2:01:21
  Speaker 1: SO i, MEAN i don't know tow of that. Information
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: what you will that's gonna do? It long show? Today,
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: fuck we got three plays today all in Baseball Brewers
• 2:01:30
  Speaker 1: Blue jays under the, total seven and a, half first
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: five under the total In Marlins mets under, four and
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: full game under. Eight Pirates Red. Sox that's gonna do.
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: It learn to tone On twitter and learn a tone On.
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: Instagram better off dead, like subscribe to the channel, Man
• 2:01:47
  Speaker 1: i'm on the audio as. Well give me a review over. There,
• 2:01:50
  Speaker 1: Spotify apple leg and subscribe on. YouTube obviously covered In
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: yuke on YouTube as well with my yuke Stuff patreon
• 2:01:57
  Speaker 1: dot com slash learned to toad and you'll get some
• 2:01:59
  Speaker 1: bonus you stuff there at. Least AND i think that's about, it,
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: man it's been a long video. TODAY i will probably
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: be back very late night to do The week, one
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: the Actual week one college football show to talk about,
• 2:02:12
  Speaker 1: tomorrow AND i Believe i'll probably have about three three
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: or so, plays is WHAT i Think i'm gonna wind
• 2:02:18
  Speaker 1: up with having, tomorrow maybe four on The saturday slid
• 2:02:21
  Speaker 1: so we will. See you already KNOW i gave Up.
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: Texas that line has moved to almost a pick them,
• 2:02:26
  Speaker 1: now so hopefully if you Got, texas hopefully you got
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: them at an underdog, price, man because that line is
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: completely gone now AND i recommended it when it was
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: at three weeks. Ago SO i guess the advantage of
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: watching my show every, DAY i, Guess BUT i Like
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: texas and that when you guys already know, that so
• 2:02:40
  Speaker 1: do with that information what you. Will And i'll probably
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: have a couple additional plays to add to the mix.
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: There but that's gonna do it for, now and hopefully
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: those other lines don't move too. Much peace out for, now,
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: guys so be on the lookout for that late tonight
• 2:02:52
  Speaker 1: AFTER i get back from nine Inch. Nails it's gonna
• 2:02:55
  Speaker 1: be a late night. Peace for, NOW i gotta eat
• 2:02:57
  Speaker 1: some lunch. Man let's kick off the. Weekend writing