Latest / Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning / Rob Astorino, WOR and NewsMax host Interview

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Rob Astorino, WOR and NewsMax host Interview · Curtis Sliwa & Larry Mendte In The Morning

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: On the line right now, our colleague Rob Astorino is
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: running many elections. He's an expert. It's crisscrossed the country
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: following the primaries and now the general elections. But Rob,
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: I got to first ask you, I'm looking at the
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: schedule of Vice President J.D. Vance, who has been as
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: busy as President Trump going from state to state on
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  Speaker 1: behalf of Republicans. Monday, he's going to be in Rome,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: New York, in the reddest congressional district in the state
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: for Anthony Constantino? What a waste of time. What is
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  Speaker 1: he coming into New York for?
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  Speaker 2: I mean, the only reason is it's not comfortable. They
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  Speaker 2: don't think that Constantino is where he should be at
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  Speaker 2: in the polling. That's the only reason. I mean, the
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  Speaker 2: day before, why would you plop into, like you said,
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  Speaker 2: a red district Elise Stefanik won it by 20 points.
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  Speaker 2: Trump won it by 20 points. So I understand it
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  Speaker 2: may not be 20. But I mean, if it's at
• 1:00
  Speaker 2: like two or three, which maybe it is, I can't
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  Speaker 2: imagine that. I haven't heard that. I mean, that's really scary.
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  Speaker 2: But I don't know why. I mean, Constantino was a
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  Speaker 2: big supporter to, you know, to Trump and Vance. So
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: maybe it's a little. gee, we've gone everywhere else. Where
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  Speaker 2: else should we go on the last day? I hope
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  Speaker 2: it's more that than anything else.
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  Speaker 3: Well, you know, you've had your own campaigns and you've
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  Speaker 3: been involved in other campaigns. How different is the public
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  Speaker 3: polling from the internal polling?
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  Speaker 2: It varies. It could be different by a lot or
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  Speaker 2: it could be basically on part. I've always found that
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  Speaker 2: It's been off, but not by an enormous amount, but
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  Speaker 2: it's been off. And if that's the difference, then that's
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  Speaker 2: why we're having all these public fights about polls and everything.
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  Speaker 2: And I always found the college ones, the Marists, the Quinnipiacs,
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  Speaker 2: all of those have been just– they just totally model wrong.
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  Speaker 2: I mean there was a poll the other day, I
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  Speaker 2: think it was Marist, that they're still using registered voters
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  Speaker 2: in their sampling. I mean nobody does that. At this point,
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  Speaker 2: it's not registered. It's totally likely voters or to some extent,
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: have you already voted and who did you vote for,
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  Speaker 2: you know, with early voting? So that on an internal poll,
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  Speaker 2: you do not want anything skewed. You want what you
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  Speaker 2: really think will be the exact modeling of the turnout
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  Speaker 2: based on 22, not 24, not 20, not 18 votes.
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  Speaker 2: So you really want to base it on that. And
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  Speaker 2: you want to have the right amount of Democratic turnout,
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  Speaker 2: Republican turnout. All of that matters into what the sample
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  Speaker 2: is going to be. And that's the true result. I mean,
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  Speaker 2: why would you pay all this money to get skewed results?
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  Speaker 2: To feel good? No. You use it as a guide, right?
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  Speaker 2: Where to advertise, how to advertise, all those kind of things.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Now, Rob, in your backyard, the most expensive congressional race
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  Speaker 1: for both sides. both for Congressman Lawler and his challenger, Caitlyn.
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  Speaker 1: They brought in their big guns from both sides yesterday.
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  Speaker 1: Polls suggest it's neck and neck. What's your sense of
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  Speaker 1: what's happening there? Because I have never seen more ads
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: in my life. I wish the election could be tomorrow.
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  Speaker 1: It's like nonstop. One is Lawler followed by Caitlyn Lawler,
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  Speaker 1: Caitlyn Lawler, Caitlyn. It's like enough already.
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  Speaker 2: The only thing, Danny the mailman does around here now
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  Speaker 2: is put Mike Lawler stuff in mailboxes. It's everywhere. But
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  Speaker 2: you know what? Look, this is one of the five
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  Speaker 2: races around the country that, if it is very close,
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  Speaker 2: will determine the House. So he's won before. The Jewish
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  Speaker 2: bloc of 30,000 votes is going to be critical. Now,
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: he has done everything humanly possible. He's been a very
• 4:03
  Speaker 2: big advocate and ally for them. They too have been
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  Speaker 2: for him. I don't see any reason why they would
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  Speaker 2: switch on this. So that is significant. And I've seen
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: them switch last minute, trust me, in previous races. So
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  Speaker 2: I don't think that's going to happen here. I was
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  Speaker 2: with Mike and the team on Sunday and, you know,
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  Speaker 2: they're feeling decent right now. I mean, it's tough and
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  Speaker 2: it's all about turnout. Forget the polling. Polling doesn't matter now.
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  Speaker 2: You know, you have You talk about polls right now.
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  Speaker 2: It really doesn't matter. I mean, people have voted. You know,
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  Speaker 2: I was online. I voted yesterday. So that doesn't matter.
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  Speaker 2: It's the get out the vote operation that matters right now.
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  Speaker 2: And his team is very, very good. So I still
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  Speaker 2: think I've been holding steady. I still think Mike wins
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  Speaker 2: this race by two points. Really?
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  Speaker 3: Well, thank God you said that, because before that, you
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  Speaker 3: weren't instilling a lot of confidence when you said, I
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  Speaker 3: still feel decent about this. Well, because it is tight.
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  Speaker 4: It is tight.
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  Speaker 2: And Democrats, you know, I was online yesterday, and it's like,
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  Speaker 2: you know, like the zombie movies where they're like, their
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: heads are going back and forth, and they're Their arms are, like, twitching,
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  Speaker 2: and there's, like, stuff coming out of their mouth. That's
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  Speaker 2: Democrats right now at the polls. So they're out. They're outvoting,
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  Speaker 2: and Republicans, you know, have to catch up.
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  Speaker 3: Let's put you on the record, then. You don't need
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  Speaker 3: to go through individual races, but who's going to win
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  Speaker 3: the House, who's going to win the Senate, and by
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  Speaker 3: how much?
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  Speaker 2: Uh... Well, you're taking away my whole show tomorrow at
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  Speaker 2: four o'clock. But I will tell you this. I do
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  Speaker 2: think the House does not hold. I think the Democrats
• 5:44
  Speaker 2: take over the House. I do. I think it's going
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  Speaker 2: to be in the maybe up to 20 seat range,
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  Speaker 2: 15 to 20.
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  Speaker 3: They're going to win by 20 seats.
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  Speaker 2: So they would net they would be up by like 15.
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  Speaker 2: That's I think that's very, very possible. But here's the thing.
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  Speaker 4: You know, all the redistricting that they did, that is
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  Speaker 4: going to help. And they may not hold all of those.
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  Speaker 4: But two years from now, when it's a regular presidential turnout,
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  Speaker 4: they're going to win those House seats back. So, you know,
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  Speaker 4: they're in a good position in two years to take
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  Speaker 4: the House back.
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  Speaker 2: The Senate, I still think, I've been saying it all along,
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  Speaker 2: I'm feeling better. I still think the Senate is held
• 6:21
  Speaker 2: by Republicans.
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  Speaker 3: Because of Michigan and Alaska?
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  Speaker 2: I don't know what's going to happen in Alaska. Michigan...
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  Speaker 2: I was just there Monday. I think it's going to
• 6:32
  Speaker 2: be a squeaker. I do think Mike Rogers is going
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  Speaker 2: to win. I don't know if that's, I'm crossing my
• 6:36
  Speaker 2: fingers hoping, or I do think he will win because
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  Speaker 2: of what we're seeing on the ground there. But Rogers,
• 6:43
  Speaker 2: you know, he's a good candidate, but Abdul, it's frightening, man.
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  Speaker 2: I was driving through some areas and you just see
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  Speaker 2: these Abdul signs. I just want to like scream at
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  Speaker 2: these houses. Like what's wrong with you? Yeah.
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  Speaker 3: All right, Rob, sorry about your show for tomorrow. So
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: you'll have to come up with some other surprises. I apologize.
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  Speaker 3: Rob Astorino, host of the Rob Astorino Show on WOR
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  Speaker 3: Saturdays from 4 to 5 p.m. That's when you can
• 7:11
  Speaker 3: listen to him and hear his bold predictions. Host of
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: Saturday Agenda 1 to 3 on Newsmax, former Westchester County executive,
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  Speaker 3: of course, and heavily involved in these races. We always
• 7:21
  Speaker 3: appreciate it. Thank you, Rob.
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: Thanks, guys.