Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Crypto Market Disbelief🚀Technical Analysis with Evan Aldo
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The market is in disbelief. How do you trade it
- 0:02Speaker 1: from here?
- 0:03Speaker 2: Today?
- 0:03Speaker 1: We'll break that down with you. We've got Evan Aldom
- 0:05Speaker 1: joining in a little bit. You've probably heard me mention
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- 0:37Speaker 1: to Inverse Kramer, he is back, Jim Kramer. I'm going
- 0:41Speaker 1: to sell my bitcoin. Two weeks later, Bitcoin up twenty
- 0:44Speaker 1: five Actually it's up more than that now, So again
- 0:48Speaker 1: Kramer is doing his best to support the crypto market.
- 0:51Speaker 1: I want to lead off with a clip before we
- 0:53Speaker 1: bring in Evan here and give you guys kind of
- 0:56Speaker 1: an insight because this is well.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Take a look. I think bitcoin has lost the plot.
- 1:01Speaker 2: And when I started buying bitcoin and I've sold all
- 1:05Speaker 2: of it.
- 1:05Speaker 3: I bought the dip, and how I can't keep buying
- 1:07Speaker 3: the dip? No money left to buy the dip? The
- 1:10Speaker 3: dip great, great, what do I buy the dip?
- 1:12Speaker 4: Well?
- 1:12Speaker 3: What am I gonna pay for the dip? If I
- 1:14Speaker 3: keep buying the dip it keeps dipping. You got no
- 1:16Speaker 3: money to buy the dip. You're out of dip.
- 1:18Speaker 4: This is the most barrassed thing. I have zero desire.
- 1:22Speaker 4: So last night I sold my bitcoin. I sold my bitcoin.
- 1:25Speaker 4: Yesterday I was holding a good amount of coins. I'm
- 1:29Speaker 4: completely out of bitcoin, one hundred percent out of bitcoin.
- 1:32Speaker 5: I sold all my bitcoin and I suffered absolutely massive
- 1:38Speaker 5: financial losses.
- 1:40Speaker 6: Well, it's unwhining all of crypto. We're seeing bitcoin collapse
- 1:45Speaker 6: pullow sixty thousand dollars again. The fact that Michael Saylor
- 1:49Speaker 6: is allowed to walk around free right now is absolutely criminal.
- 1:54Speaker 6: Somebody needs to arrest them. If I see this guy, I'm.
- 1:58Speaker 3: Gonna perform a citizen to.
- 2:00Speaker 4: And lock this guy up because this is absolutely fucking criminal.
- 2:05Speaker 2: Michael, all right, So a lot of people very upset.
- 2:08Speaker 1: So I thought, hey, let's bring in Evan Aldo and
- 2:10Speaker 1: let's try to sort this out. Evan, a lot of
- 2:13Speaker 1: people selling the bottom there, and of course the market
- 2:16Speaker 1: has recorrected here consistently now for the last three or
- 2:19Speaker 1: four days. And all this some people would think is
- 2:22Speaker 1: driven by what Bessent is talking about. Some people would say, no,
- 2:25Speaker 1: it's happening because of clarity when you look at what's
- 2:29Speaker 1: happening right now on bitcoin. First of all, where do
- 2:33Speaker 1: you stand? Do you like this move? Would you come
- 2:35Speaker 1: out right now or would you continue to hold this on?
- 2:38Speaker 7: You know, it's it's obviously. So the main thing I
- 2:41Speaker 7: would look at right now is you know so much
- 2:44Speaker 7: to say. I mean, August obviously a really good month.
- 2:47Speaker 7: I mean, there were obvious signs with the fear and greed,
- 2:49Speaker 7: you know that we would probably get some type of relief.
- 2:52Speaker 7: We coiled up for a while, voltility was really low,
- 2:55Speaker 7: and then a bunch of people, you know, bought it up, obviously.
- 2:57Speaker 7: And now if you look at my chart, we're all
- 2:59Speaker 7: the way up to almost eighty K. So a lot
- 3:01Speaker 7: of times these trend reversals tend to happen, or does
- 3:04Speaker 7: changes tend to happen at the end of the month.
- 3:06Speaker 7: So I think in all likelihood you're probably gonna keep
- 3:09Speaker 7: going up from now and to the end of August.
- 3:11Speaker 7: It's only about ten more days, so but it's going
- 3:13Speaker 7: to be probably a little bit slower. And I think
- 3:15Speaker 7: eighty two k, like these areas obviously that we rejected
- 3:18Speaker 7: from back in May are really big areas. Potentially even
- 3:21Speaker 7: a little bit more if things get really crazy like
- 3:23Speaker 7: high eighties. But let's focus on kind of eighty two k,
- 3:26Speaker 7: and you'd probably see this by the beginning of September,
- 3:28Speaker 7: and then what'll likely happen, You'll get some seasonality. There's
- 3:32Speaker 7: a high likelihood that this will follow and see some
- 3:34Speaker 7: type of correction before mid terms with the S and
- 3:37Speaker 7: P five hundred and Nasdaq, which I think those will
- 3:39Speaker 7: continue to correct a bit as well, But don't worry.
- 3:41Speaker 7: Probably nothing too crazy like trying to sell this, I
- 3:44Speaker 7: think is trying and to get better prices is kind
- 3:46Speaker 7: of foolish. But bitcoin's typically known before midterm election September
- 3:50Speaker 7: October for a ten to twenty percent drop down, as
- 3:53Speaker 7: I would guess, maybe back to sixty five maybe, you know,
- 3:56Speaker 7: something of that nature would make sense, you know, in
- 3:59Speaker 7: terms of or selling right now. You know, it's kind
- 4:01Speaker 7: of tough to say. I think long term it's still
- 4:03Speaker 7: anything below eighty is great. You know, still a really
- 4:06Speaker 7: great point. Obviously, Paul, if you've been listening to me
- 4:08Speaker 7: or you over the past few months, you know, we
- 4:10Speaker 7: were obviously very bullish and thinking this is a good point.
- 4:13Speaker 7: You know, obviously these sixties we were talking about that
- 4:15Speaker 7: since February.
- 4:17Speaker 2: You look at.
- 4:18Speaker 1: Yeah, if you look at historically how this asset is performed,
- 4:22Speaker 1: and you go all the way back into January of
- 4:24Speaker 1: twenty three, there was a period there across three weeks
- 4:27Speaker 1: that it went up forty two percent, So we had
- 4:30Speaker 1: a three week run. It's somewhat sideways, but from there,
- 4:33Speaker 1: everybody understand that was the run up for bitcoin to
- 4:38Speaker 1: what we saw. That has been the asset that many
- 4:41Speaker 1: people kind of look at. And my question is do
- 4:43Speaker 1: you think this is the beginning of that era or
- 4:46Speaker 1: do you think this is more of a sideways chop
- 4:49Speaker 1: from here, or do you feel like this is going
- 4:51Speaker 1: to take off from here?
- 4:53Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean it's if I had a guess, I
- 4:55Speaker 7: would say it's going to we're saying to see a
- 4:57Speaker 7: correction September October. You know, this is my guy here,
- 5:00Speaker 7: you know, take away a grand salt. But this is
- 5:02Speaker 7: what seasonality would tell you something like this, We come up,
- 5:04Speaker 7: then we get a correction, maybe twenty percent, back down,
- 5:06Speaker 7: maybe back down to sixty five. And then I think
- 5:09Speaker 7: I've told you, you know, a month or two ago,
- 5:11Speaker 7: end a year, I could still see ninety two k
- 5:14Speaker 7: you know, something like this. And then so to answer
- 5:16Speaker 7: that question about that January of twenty twenty three, I
- 5:18Speaker 7: think December maybe kind of your January, and then your
- 5:21Speaker 7: twenty twenty seven is great, and you could potentially make
- 5:23Speaker 7: a new all time high at some point in twenty
- 5:25Speaker 7: twenty seven. So that's my best guess here at East
- 5:28Speaker 7: in seasonality and all that.
- 5:29Speaker 1: We're going to talk about maybe how to play this
- 5:32Speaker 1: too at the end of the show, because there's a
- 5:33Speaker 1: lot of people that maybe got sidelined on this and
- 5:36Speaker 1: just weren't ready, and there's many of you that have
- 5:38Speaker 1: been just holding through and say, hey, I'm just going
- 5:39Speaker 1: to hold through this bear market, not pay attention to charts,
- 5:42Speaker 1: and then yesterday kind of gave you a little bit
- 5:44Speaker 1: of reward. I do want to play a couple of clips,
- 5:47Speaker 1: because this is two different angles on how bitcoin could
- 5:51Speaker 1: affect the market in general.
- 5:52Speaker 2: Here is Mike mcgloan. Take a look. It's August.
- 5:55Speaker 6: It's a perfect time of year to flesh out the
- 5:57Speaker 6: shorts in a bear market, get everybody excited, and then
- 6:00Speaker 6: go back down. So it's finally bounced above its two
- 6:03Speaker 6: hundred day mover and average, which is rolled over. But
- 6:05Speaker 6: the key way I look at bitcoin is it's a
- 6:07Speaker 6: horrible performing asset with a high correlation to the stock market,
- 6:11Speaker 6: and it has a major risk of going down. I
- 6:14Speaker 6: will be on the record that this is a dog.
- 6:16Speaker 6: I think it's going to roll over by then year,
- 6:17Speaker 6: and the only thing that will support it now is
- 6:19Speaker 6: the stock market has.
- 6:20Speaker 7: To go up.
- 6:22Speaker 1: All right, So Mike was wrong. Let's play a clip
- 6:25Speaker 1: from Matthew Siegel. He kind of goes the other route
- 6:28Speaker 1: and he says, it's not clarity that's causing this.
- 6:30Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 6:31Speaker 5: I don't think this move is about clarity at all.
- 6:34Speaker 5: I think this is all about what the Treasury has done,
- 6:37Speaker 5: and it is reigniting these fears of a fiscal dominance.
- 6:42Speaker 5: So you know, we think this ultimately means lower real rates,
- 6:46Speaker 5: a structurally weaker dollar, and bitcoin is one of the
- 6:49Speaker 5: best hedges you can find on that dynamic. So I
- 6:53Speaker 5: don't think the market's looking at clarity right now. It
- 6:56Speaker 5: was a coiled spring, and I think it goes higher
- 7:00Speaker 5: one hundred k. Now, nothing is in a straight line.
- 7:02Speaker 5: I told you guys one hundred k would be next year.
- 7:05Speaker 5: Still believe that, and then you know, long term twenty
- 7:08Speaker 5: twenty nine, say we can hit five hundred k if
- 7:11Speaker 5: the if the cycle plays out as usual.
- 7:14Speaker 1: All right, So you can see two different traders, both
- 7:16Speaker 1: from traditional finance. You have something that is absolutely historic
- 7:21Speaker 1: right now. Bitcoin is moving one hundred and forty times
- 7:24Speaker 1: faster than the stock market. It serves twenty percent in
- 7:27Speaker 1: less than five and of course rising to above seventy seven.
- 7:30Speaker 1: That's dated numbers because that has now moved considerably more
- 7:34Speaker 1: than that, along with some other assets that have kind
- 7:36Speaker 1: of gone in that. If you compare Bitcoin to the
- 7:39Speaker 1: S and P right now on the chart, Evan, is
- 7:42Speaker 1: there a rotation happening right now?
- 7:44Speaker 2: Is that what we're seeing?
- 7:45Speaker 7: There is one thousand percent rotation happening. And this is
- 7:49Speaker 7: you know, this is just clockwork, Paul, I mean, look
- 7:51Speaker 7: at this in this spare market. So he had eighty
- 7:53Speaker 7: seven percent drop against the SESIPI five hundred and this
- 7:55Speaker 7: spare market. Next one's eighty three next one's seventy four.
- 7:58Speaker 7: He can notice the pattern. It gets a little less
- 8:00Speaker 7: catastrophic every time this one was sixty percent. I think
- 8:03Speaker 7: that's good enough. I mean, probably your worst case scenario here,
- 8:07Speaker 7: in my opinion, is doing something like this, just coming
- 8:09Speaker 7: back down retesting these loads. But you should be home free.
- 8:12Speaker 7: You should be generally home free. And for those who
- 8:15Speaker 7: think they've really missed out in bitcoin, you missed out
- 8:17Speaker 7: on a thirty percent gain against spff under, but you're
- 8:19Speaker 7: still very low compared against the spy. You're still down
- 8:22Speaker 7: forty six percent against the spy, So it still is
- 8:25Speaker 7: a good rotation. I mean, not anytime of advice, but
- 8:27Speaker 7: it still is not a terrible idea to convert some
- 8:29Speaker 7: spy shares over to bitcoin, depending on your risk tolerance.
- 8:32Speaker 7: So this could upper from the spy for the next
- 8:34Speaker 7: two three years, easily two or three.
- 8:36Speaker 1: Wow, you've got Ethereum also edging in with a very
- 8:40Speaker 1: strong couple of days, including the breakout in the Ethereum
- 8:44Speaker 1: spot ETFs which saw a ridiculous amount of ETF and
- 8:49Speaker 1: ether growth yesterday, largest single day buying in ten months.
- 8:53Speaker 1: So you've got obvious bullish.
- 8:56Speaker 2: Signs right now.
- 8:57Speaker 1: I've got a clip of Arthur Hayes talking about etheroeum,
- 8:59Speaker 1: because this is one of the more hated assets out there.
- 9:01Speaker 2: Take a look.
- 9:02Speaker 7: So you you went all in on ethereum. Why ethereum
- 9:05Speaker 7: of a bitcoin?
- 9:06Speaker 8: Ethereum is the bet right now. It's the most hated
- 9:10Speaker 8: megacap crypto. It has not eclipsed to two thousand and
- 9:13Speaker 8: one all time high. People hate it, nothing's happening. They're
- 9:15Speaker 8: make in front of the foundation for other weirdness and
- 9:19Speaker 8: you know, the selling and all that kind of stuff.
- 9:21Speaker 8: And so it's just a hated coin. But it's also
- 9:24Speaker 8: the most vibrant, you know DeFi ecosystem. It's the base
- 9:28Speaker 8: chain for a lot of these new RBA protocols like
- 9:30Speaker 8: robin Hood, and so it's got a good you know
- 9:33Speaker 8: narrative as a security DeFi layer. And yeah, I think
- 9:38Speaker 8: that's a good enough layer, good enough narrative. Plus the
- 9:42Speaker 8: bombed out nature, the lack of performance over the last
- 9:45Speaker 8: four years, which creates the rip, it's this oh shit,
- 9:50Speaker 8: finally it's each time, let's fucking go all right.
- 9:53Speaker 1: So there you go, LFG. For sure, you've been a
- 9:56Speaker 1: strong ETH proponent. Evan for a while. I'm looking at
- 9:59Speaker 1: my chart, and I'm thinking this is eerily similar back
- 10:03Speaker 1: to what we saw in April with that push up
- 10:05Speaker 1: to twenty four hundred, and you and I talked a
- 10:07Speaker 1: lot about it back then. Is the dip opportunity that
- 10:11Speaker 1: it was going to create, which it did, and now
- 10:13Speaker 1: eth is bumping that breakout zone. What does ethereum look
- 10:17Speaker 1: like right now in the next few months.
- 10:20Speaker 7: So yeah, I mean obviously huge, you know, we coiled up,
- 10:23Speaker 7: we jumped upward. The weekly two hundreds of a is
- 10:26Speaker 7: going to be a huge point. This is a point
- 10:27Speaker 7: a lot of people care about around twenty four eight
- 10:30Speaker 7: six right now. So I would guess seasonality would tell
- 10:33Speaker 7: us we come up just a little bit more this
- 10:35Speaker 7: month and to the end of this month, probably we
- 10:37Speaker 7: do get to that twenty five hundred, and then we
- 10:39Speaker 7: would probably get hopefully and you kind of want a
- 10:41Speaker 7: healthy correction here September October. You kind of want some
- 10:44Speaker 7: type of healthy correction before midterms. Probably nothing too too bad.
- 10:47Speaker 7: I would guess maybe fifteen twenty percent down, maybe another
- 10:51Speaker 7: retested two thousand that I would guess for you know,
- 10:54Speaker 7: into September October before midterms. I think if the especially
- 10:57Speaker 7: if the Democrats sweep in midterms. That's going to be
- 11:00Speaker 7: a good point to buy because there's gonna be a
- 11:01Speaker 7: lot of fear if you did Democrats take the house
- 11:03Speaker 7: and send it, and then from there after that you'd
- 11:06Speaker 7: kind of be home free and hopefully you know, jump
- 11:08Speaker 7: up to three thousand, maybe end a year, probably beginning
- 11:12Speaker 7: a next year. Quarter one next year, I would look
- 11:14Speaker 7: at kind of three thousand. So this is the most
- 11:16Speaker 7: healthy you know, seasonality, historic prediction I can make here.
- 11:20Speaker 7: I think this is likely.
- 11:22Speaker 1: Okay, So a couple of points I want to get
- 11:24Speaker 1: out first on the eighth versus bitcoin chart, so pull
- 11:27Speaker 1: that up. And then also do you think we end
- 11:30Speaker 1: up getting out of the range here on ethereum in general?
- 11:33Speaker 1: I mean holding this twenty four hundred range, This is
- 11:35Speaker 1: kind of the zone that I think if it comes
- 11:38Speaker 1: out of this, this could start to look at a
- 11:41Speaker 1: pretty aggressive growth going forward, if in fact that we
- 11:44Speaker 1: get clarity and also we may get some CFTC guidance.
- 11:48Speaker 1: Now it looks like with Seali out there threatening this,
- 11:52Speaker 1: what do you think.
- 11:54Speaker 7: Yeah, I mean I think that you're not going to
- 11:56Speaker 7: break above it just yet. If I had to, you know,
- 11:59Speaker 7: make an educated guest here not break above that twenty
- 12:01Speaker 7: four hundred just yet. Obviously it would be momentous. It's
- 12:04Speaker 7: a huge area with that weekly that same point you
- 12:06Speaker 7: mentioned as the weekly two undress m a like I
- 12:07Speaker 7: was talking about. So you rejected from it last time.
- 12:10Speaker 7: I don't know if she's got the legs to break
- 12:12Speaker 7: through it right now before now in midterms, because we
- 12:15Speaker 7: know that's historically a more bearish time, and I think
- 12:18Speaker 7: TRADFI will sell off a little bit more too. But
- 12:20Speaker 7: I can see consolidation and then we're going to break
- 12:23Speaker 7: above you know, maybe quarter four, well maybe December at
- 12:26Speaker 7: the earliest, but most likely quarter one we break above
- 12:29Speaker 7: that era. Now you mentioned eth versus bitcoin. I think
- 12:31Speaker 7: there's a ton of momentum here and this is still
- 12:33Speaker 7: a good deal. You know, this is I mean what
- 12:36Speaker 7: we've led. We're still down sixty percent against bitcoin since
- 12:39Speaker 7: twenty twenty two. Essentially you're getting rare bullish signs, rare
- 12:42Speaker 7: bullish momentum changes. This looks great against bitcoin. I would
- 12:46Speaker 7: remain bullish on this as long as you kind of
- 12:47Speaker 7: hold these February lows here. So you know, everybody's got
- 12:51Speaker 7: their own risk tolerance. It depends how much bitcoin you
- 12:53Speaker 7: want to convert to eth. You know, everybody's got their
- 12:56Speaker 7: own risk tolerance there.
- 12:57Speaker 1: So yeah, Evan, we got to talk about micro Stray.
- 13:00Speaker 1: They are up ten percent in pre market trading right
- 13:03Speaker 1: now with bitcoin up considerably.
- 13:06Speaker 2: It's holding edward and forty.
- 13:07Speaker 1: Thousand, and bitcoin looks pretty good for Michael Saylor right now.
- 13:11Speaker 2: What about strategy as the stock? Is this something you
- 13:14Speaker 2: would invest in at where it is right now?
- 13:16Speaker 7: So it looks good, man, it looks really good. You know,
- 13:19Speaker 7: the two week all these the weekly rare bullish signs.
- 13:22Speaker 7: It definitely could have bottomed. The main concern, the main
- 13:24Speaker 7: thing I don't like about this from a fundamental standpoint
- 13:27Speaker 7: is they sold some bitcoin for a loss. And if
- 13:30Speaker 7: I myself just bought bitcoin and borrowed against it like
- 13:32Speaker 7: he did, I could carrate my own treasury company that
- 13:35Speaker 7: has better fundamentals that a better kind of buy in price,
- 13:38Speaker 7: you know what I mean. So that's my main caveat
- 13:40Speaker 7: with this. But it looks great, man, it does look
- 13:43Speaker 7: really good. The main thing you want to look at
- 13:44Speaker 7: this is micro strategy versus Bitcoin, and that looks decent
- 13:48Speaker 7: as well. I mean, it's you know, coming up, you
- 13:51Speaker 7: know at these areas. The thing too, is I want
- 13:54Speaker 7: to see a little bit more momentum. It's still below
- 13:57Speaker 7: these points, still below these lows that you saw back
- 13:59Speaker 7: in February, and it kind of rejected from them here.
- 14:02Speaker 7: I don't think it has the momentum for me to
- 14:04Speaker 7: want to buy this over bitcoin or sell my bitcoin
- 14:06Speaker 7: to buy micro strategy just yet. So that's my big
- 14:10Speaker 7: all right.
- 14:10Speaker 1: So still the core asset versus micro strategy in general.
- 14:15Speaker 1: All right, another one that surged a course, everything was
- 14:18Speaker 1: in the green yesterday and the day before, but right
- 14:20Speaker 1: now you've got hyper liquid surging to almost well, it's
- 14:23Speaker 1: back to another all time high. And you look at
- 14:26Speaker 1: this right now with hyper Liquid, I've been in this
- 14:30Speaker 1: one for a while. I'm this is the first time
- 14:32Speaker 1: I've actually thought maybe it's time or is it?
- 14:35Speaker 2: Evan? Is this one?
- 14:36Speaker 1: And do you think if the CFTC were to get
- 14:38Speaker 1: lucky and try to onshore hyper Liquid that would absolutely
- 14:41Speaker 1: explode this one In terms of a project, What do
- 14:45Speaker 1: you think about this as an investment right now?
- 14:47Speaker 7: Well, I think it's going to do well over the
- 14:49Speaker 7: next two three years. I think this is kind of
- 14:52Speaker 7: I don't want to say, just the beginning, but I
- 14:53Speaker 7: think there's more to go definitely. I mean I think
- 14:55Speaker 7: this you think could easily probably double within the next
- 14:58Speaker 7: two three years. Short term, I mean, you have one
- 15:01Speaker 7: technical target that you kind of broke above it. You
- 15:03Speaker 7: made a new ultime higher one technical target is going
- 15:05Speaker 7: to be around one o nine. Somewhere between one hundred
- 15:07Speaker 7: to one thirty is probably where you're going to end
- 15:10Speaker 7: up by quarter one and next year. Now, my thing
- 15:13Speaker 7: with this, if I had a guess here, I think
- 15:14Speaker 7: we're going to have one last kind of drop down
- 15:17Speaker 7: retest maybe some of these areas, and then you know,
- 15:20Speaker 7: kind of continue forward. So that's my view. But no,
- 15:23Speaker 7: I think this is I think this is good. I
- 15:25Speaker 7: think this can continue forward. You know, it's a riskier bet.
- 15:28Speaker 7: I think I have a small position in it, nothing
- 15:30Speaker 7: too crazy, but I wouldn't sell I definitely wouldn't sell this.
- 15:33Speaker 2: Okay, so hold through on this one.
- 15:36Speaker 1: Let's look at unicewap because unicewap is one that has
- 15:40Speaker 1: been I think under the radar. You look at what's
- 15:44Speaker 1: going on with clarity or the lack of UNIEWAP could
- 15:47Speaker 1: take a little bit of heat from that. But at
- 15:49Speaker 1: the same time, we may get a whole new landscape
- 15:53Speaker 1: of how the CFTC and the SEC are going to
- 15:55Speaker 1: manage this. So if you're looking at the uniewap chart
- 15:58Speaker 1: right now, first of all, how are you playing uniswap today?
- 16:02Speaker 1: And if you have not owned uni swap, would you
- 16:05Speaker 1: purchase it right now at four dollars?
- 16:08Speaker 7: Yeah? I mean I don't have a position in this.
- 16:10Speaker 7: I just have a lot of things that have more
- 16:12Speaker 7: momentum and you know, I think could potentially uperform it,
- 16:14Speaker 7: but I don't have it. If I wanted to get it, Yeah,
- 16:17Speaker 7: I think it's a decent buy. I mean I wouldn't
- 16:19Speaker 7: put a ton in this for obvious reasons. But trigger
- 16:22Speaker 7: wave right here on the two day, I think inevitably
- 16:25Speaker 7: you're going to eventually jumped up to at least like,
- 16:27Speaker 7: you know, five sixty here, you know these points, I
- 16:30Speaker 7: think there's a very high likelihood, you know, I mean,
- 16:33Speaker 7: this thing's been in a bear market for you know,
- 16:35Speaker 7: the problem with this is it's been in a bear
- 16:37Speaker 7: market since literally twenty twenty one. Usually the things don't
- 16:41Speaker 7: come back when they've been in a five year bear market,
- 16:43Speaker 7: but that doesn't mean you can't make money on them
- 16:45Speaker 7: or trade them. So this definitely technical targets are going
- 16:49Speaker 7: to be you know, it's probably at least going to
- 16:50Speaker 7: get to six seven dollars at some point. So yeah,
- 16:53Speaker 7: I think it's good. The fundamentals have gotten a little
- 16:55Speaker 7: bit better on this. It's a very high time higher
- 16:57Speaker 7: time frames like the weekly don't look as good as
- 16:59Speaker 7: on some other things, so you kind of got to
- 17:00Speaker 7: be careful. I would guess if I had really guess
- 17:03Speaker 7: what's going to happen here something of this nature, and
- 17:06Speaker 7: then you finally break up ward maybe later this year
- 17:08Speaker 7: or early next year. I think we're in a consolidate
- 17:10Speaker 7: a little bit for a lot of these.
- 17:12Speaker 1: So yeah, let's jump over to Solana because Solana had
- 17:15Speaker 1: a huge upgrade right here in terms of their network
- 17:18Speaker 1: now almost cutting in half what their speed is. So
- 17:22Speaker 1: in terms of three more upgrades that are planned to
- 17:24Speaker 1: bring bring it down to two hundred millisex, basically this
- 17:27Speaker 1: is going to become the fastest chain out there. So
- 17:29Speaker 1: how does Solana line up for you? As would this
- 17:33Speaker 1: be an investment as it is right now after this
- 17:35Speaker 1: major pump?
- 17:37Speaker 7: Yeah, yeah, I mean this is still a great and
- 17:38Speaker 7: it's not even I mean, it's awful lot, but it's
- 17:40Speaker 7: still you know, below numbers that we saw in May, essentially,
- 17:43Speaker 7: and I think this should between now and the end
- 17:45Speaker 7: of the month retest or at least get up to yeah,
- 17:48Speaker 7: one hundred bucks potentially retest that, and I would think
- 17:51Speaker 7: some consolidation there a bit, maybe a ten to twenty
- 17:53Speaker 7: percent correction from there, and then we'd probably do better,
- 17:56Speaker 7: you know ethan bitcoin already, Ran, I think this has
- 17:59Speaker 7: a little bit more room to run and pray over
- 18:00Speaker 7: the next week actually, so I'm pretty excited for this
- 18:03Speaker 7: next week. So yeah, it's good, it's good.
- 18:05Speaker 2: A little bit more dicey, okay, so you're liking that. One.
- 18:09Speaker 2: We have to talk about XRP.
- 18:10Speaker 1: They have now cleared clear Pool and Cicada in terms
- 18:14Speaker 1: of now institutional capital of funneling into earning assets or
- 18:18Speaker 1: earning potential yields. So this is going to change the
- 18:22Speaker 1: way XRP institutional works as well as XRP. You know,
- 18:27Speaker 1: retail is working around putting their assets into defise. So
- 18:30Speaker 1: with that being the case, ripple a course in XRP.
- 18:33Speaker 1: XRP absolutely on fire. I think, up forty percent in
- 18:37Speaker 1: the last three or four days. So how would you
- 18:39Speaker 1: play XRP right now, setting around one forty.
- 18:42Speaker 7: XRP is one of the craziest things I've seen in
- 18:46Speaker 7: my entire life. My god, this thing just goes insane.
- 18:49Speaker 7: I mean right now, I think you will see some consultant,
- 18:52Speaker 7: I mean long term, I think it's a decent buy.
- 18:53Speaker 7: There's major momentum ships obviously happening when you get a
- 18:57Speaker 7: you know, forty percent jump. This thing's crazy. But I
- 18:59Speaker 7: would I guess something you'd priably see something like this.
- 19:01Speaker 7: You maybe could see a retest a one twenty or
- 19:03Speaker 7: something between now and midterms. But I generally think this
- 19:07Speaker 7: is going to be going into up into the right
- 19:09Speaker 7: over the next two years, two three years. So I
- 19:11Speaker 7: think it's a pretty good bye. You know, that could
- 19:13Speaker 7: have been the bottom against bitcoin here in the bottom
- 19:15Speaker 7: of its USD pair. So I think what would you
- 19:18Speaker 7: put Where.
- 19:19Speaker 1: Would you put these three assets right now? If you
- 19:22Speaker 1: were splitting up a ten k portfolio, Ethereum, Solana, XRP.
- 19:28Speaker 1: So those are the top three tokens outside of bitcoin,
- 19:30Speaker 1: where would you how would you split that up?
- 19:33Speaker 7: Yeah, it depends on your restlerance. I mean me personally,
- 19:35Speaker 7: for what I would do, I would probably go like
- 19:37Speaker 7: sixty percent sixty percent eth obviously, and then twenty percent
- 19:41Speaker 7: sold twenty pp. I think that would make the most sense.
- 19:45Speaker 1: I kind of split those up all together, just thirty
- 19:47Speaker 1: three thirty three thirty Yeah, run them all and just
- 19:50Speaker 1: see how they how they perform. Uh, let's talk about
- 19:54Speaker 1: a strategy if you missed it, because this is a
- 19:57Speaker 1: this is a real issue that a lot of people
- 19:59Speaker 1: are kind of kicking themselves right now, going, man, why
- 20:02Speaker 1: did I sell that low?
- 20:03Speaker 2: Why did I, you know, maybe give up on the market.
- 20:06Speaker 1: You've got people out there that say, well, okay, I
- 20:08Speaker 1: could go ahead with revenge shorts, or I don't do
- 20:11Speaker 1: an oversize, buy all of those kind of things, which
- 20:15Speaker 1: I would do none of those. How would you play
- 20:18Speaker 1: it right now? What would you do if I had
- 20:22Speaker 1: no money was on the sidelines?
- 20:25Speaker 7: Yeah, if I had nothing at all right now, I
- 20:27Speaker 7: would DCA from now till mid terms. Probably DCA from
- 20:31Speaker 7: now till end of the year probably makes the most sense.
- 20:34Speaker 7: I you know, I think the the odds are very
- 20:36Speaker 7: high that you would see at least a ten to
- 20:38Speaker 7: twenty percent you know from bitcoin between now and midterms.
- 20:42Speaker 7: So I would try to DCA to at least get
- 20:44Speaker 7: some exposure to that somewhat of that correction. Buying lump
- 20:48Speaker 7: sum right now probably isn't the worst idea in the
- 20:50Speaker 7: entire world, because you're still below eighty k. It's still
- 20:53Speaker 7: not You're still significant below all time highs, you know
- 20:55Speaker 7: what I mean. And you're still significantly depressed against your
- 20:58Speaker 7: S and P five hundred against your NASDA, So it's
- 21:01Speaker 7: still a very good deal. I would, you know, try
- 21:03Speaker 7: to be strategic in DCA though.
- 21:05Speaker 1: Out of the top ten right now, Evan, which one
- 21:08Speaker 1: would you say is the best buy right now? If
- 21:12Speaker 1: you look at the top ten, I'll just go over
- 21:14Speaker 1: to coin market cap, Bitcoin setting in there right now
- 21:17Speaker 1: at seventy seven five. You've got Ethereum holding at twenty
- 21:20Speaker 1: four and some change. Then you've got B and B
- 21:23Speaker 1: at six eighty XRP of dollars forty Solana, Tron, hyper Liquid,
- 21:29Speaker 1: and then dose z cash and chain Link. Which one
- 21:33Speaker 1: of those would be your best buy right now if
- 21:35Speaker 1: you said, hey, I'm going to go ahead and deploy
- 21:36Speaker 1: a little capital into one of.
- 21:37Speaker 7: These, probably hyper if you're just trying to get the
- 21:41Speaker 7: best bang for your buck out of all that, probably
- 21:44Speaker 7: hyper Liquid, I would guess I would say, if you're
- 21:48Speaker 7: trying to be you know, if you just want a
- 21:49Speaker 7: sure thing at potentially outperforming Bitcoin and just getting a
- 21:53Speaker 7: decent return, Ethereum would be the one. The other ones,
- 21:56Speaker 7: I mean, Shane Link has some potential there, but the
- 21:58Speaker 7: other ones are dice Man, dosee Coin, I mean, Cardano,
- 22:03Speaker 7: some of these are dicey here.
- 22:04Speaker 1: Well, chain Link up thirty percent in the last week,
- 22:06Speaker 1: You've got high put up thirty six xrp s still
- 22:10Speaker 1: holding the Titan position at forty percent in the last week,
- 22:14Speaker 1: and then twenty three and twenty eight on ETH. Would
- 22:18Speaker 1: you go ahead and deploy more capital into ETH right
- 22:20Speaker 1: now at twenty four hundred.
- 22:22Speaker 7: You know, I would DCA. I think the odds are
- 22:25Speaker 7: very high that you'll see it maybe a twenty percent
- 22:27Speaker 7: correction between now and mid terms, So I think, okay, yeah,
- 22:30Speaker 7: you know, I mean, you're you're very high likelihood that
- 22:33Speaker 7: you'll see at least ten percent between now and mid terms.
- 22:35Speaker 1: So you could you could straddle orders in at you know,
- 22:39Speaker 1: a five under or a ten percent under this for
- 22:42Speaker 1: a buye look at a DCA position, do that on
- 22:45Speaker 1: a handful of these, and then look at deploying more
- 22:47Speaker 1: capital when that happens based on what could be happening
- 22:51Speaker 1: in the market at that time, because there's a lot
- 22:53Speaker 1: that is going to be going on, obviously with d
- 22:55Speaker 1: C and even with the news out on the CFTC today,
- 22:59Speaker 1: so there's going to be some I think, more market
- 23:01Speaker 1: movement in the short term bullish bearish? Do you think
- 23:05Speaker 1: in short term? I know your long term bullish, but
- 23:08Speaker 1: what about short term? Next thirty days?
- 23:10Speaker 7: Next thirty days, I mean, seasonality would tell you will
- 23:13Speaker 7: see some type of correction in September or October. Usually
- 23:16Speaker 7: September is historically about a bad month. So next thirty days,
- 23:20Speaker 7: I would next seven days bullish, next for it, next
- 23:24Speaker 7: thirty days after that seven days would be probably if
- 23:28Speaker 7: I had a really guess, would be a bit bearish,
- 23:30Speaker 7: maybe a trop.
- 23:33Speaker 2: So in and out on the market.
- 23:34Speaker 1: There for you guys, make sure and visit Evanaldo over
- 23:37Speaker 1: on YouTube. You guys can find them just at evan
- 23:39Speaker 1: Aldo very easy to do. Does a ton of trading
- 23:42Speaker 1: videos and some live streams that you guys will have
- 23:45Speaker 1: some fun at. If you haven't done trading before. This
- 23:47Speaker 1: is a good place to go. Evan, thanks for coming
- 23:49Speaker 1: in today.
- 23:49Speaker 2: We appreciate it.
- 23:50Speaker 7: Thanks so much Paul, who's not here talking to you.
- 23:59Speaker 1: If you like this DEO, hit like and subscribe, drop
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