Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / $4 BILLION Incoming!🚀 l Ethereum Record Breaking August🤯
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's talk about Ethereum's record breaking August what this means
- 0:03Speaker 1: could mean for the token, and also get into a
- 0:06Speaker 1: ton more. Don't miss it today. My name is Small Barren.
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- 1:00Speaker 1: let's get into a couple of points I want to
- 1:02Speaker 1: start off with, and the big one, of course is
- 1:04Speaker 1: ETFs now on track for a four billion dollar August
- 1:09Speaker 1: inflows while bitcoin funds face outflows. So we are seeing
- 1:13Speaker 1: a full on rotation as many are starting to move
- 1:17Speaker 1: more frequently into big or excuse me, into ethereum over bitcoin.
- 1:21Speaker 1: And what this means is that maybe this is the
- 1:25Speaker 1: flight that bitcoin and ethereum have been looking for, because
- 1:29Speaker 1: typically what happens after a Bitcoin high is we get
- 1:32Speaker 1: that rotation into ethereumy at least in the past.
- 1:35Speaker 2: So I want to go to a.
- 1:36Speaker 1: Clip real quick, because this is Tom Lee kind of
- 1:38Speaker 1: talking about this time it might be a little different.
- 1:41Speaker 3: Take a look, yeah, and is there anything that you
- 1:43Speaker 3: see in your research, Tom, that would imply that this
- 1:46Speaker 3: momentum trade, if it is indeed a momentum trade, is
- 1:50Speaker 3: going to end anytime soon.
- 1:53Speaker 4: We don't we You know, for instance, if we take
- 1:56Speaker 4: AI as a thought and we let's say, overlay something
- 2:00Speaker 4: like the exponential growth of the wireless industry that was
- 2:03Speaker 4: a twenty year period when the number of users went
- 2:06Speaker 4: from thirty seven million subscribers to seven billion, you know,
- 2:10Speaker 4: we don't have seven billion chat GBT users, and we
- 2:13Speaker 4: don't have seven billion robots, so I think IF's not
- 2:17Speaker 4: not yet, that's right. And so if someone's trying to
- 2:20Speaker 4: bring the bell the top for AI, they're underestimating how
- 2:23Speaker 4: quickly penetration grows. We're probably in the first quarter or
- 2:27Speaker 4: first third of that cycle. But that's also why AI
- 2:31Speaker 4: is going to converge on ethereum or a smart contract
- 2:34Speaker 4: because in the future we might have a billion robots
- 2:37Speaker 4: getting instructions.
- 2:38Speaker 3: We want to make sure so quickly is is bitmine
- 2:41Speaker 3: kind of then an AI play.
- 2:43Speaker 4: It's a digital infrastructure play because what the company's doing
- 2:47Speaker 4: is acquiring ethereum. It's proof of steak, so it's securing
- 2:50Speaker 4: the network and in exchange for that, it's going to
- 2:52Speaker 4: get a staking yield. But now that you're what they
- 2:56Speaker 4: have the power law. Once you get enough ethereum, you
- 2:58Speaker 4: can have an influence on the development of the ecosystem.
- 3:01Speaker 4: So it's really trying to get at the nineteen seventy
- 3:04Speaker 4: one moment of Wall Street.
- 3:08Speaker 1: Okay, interesting that he brought up the power law because
- 3:10Speaker 1: that is a phenomenon that has happened in many markets.
- 3:14Speaker 1: We've seen the explosion of these markets in the past,
- 3:16Speaker 1: and he is right in the sense of, you know
- 3:19Speaker 1: what it could be in terms of real world adoption,
- 3:23Speaker 1: I would say that we're not in the first third
- 3:25Speaker 1: of the cycle. We might be in the first maybe
- 3:28Speaker 1: tenth of that, especially around what is happening with ethereum
- 3:32Speaker 1: in general. Now, he goes on to talk about the
- 3:35Speaker 1: nineteen seventy one moment and that eth is now entering
- 3:39Speaker 1: that I'll explain here in a second.
- 3:41Speaker 4: Take a look in nineteen seventy one that the dollar
- 3:44Speaker 4: went off the gold standard. So in nineteen seventy one,
- 3:47Speaker 4: the dollar became synthetic and gold was what people bought
- 3:52Speaker 4: as a hedge against that synthetic dollar, So you had
- 3:55Speaker 4: gold as the trade and that would be the bitcoin equivalent.
- 4:00Speaker 4: But actually the synthetic dollar is what created the rails
- 4:05Speaker 4: for Wall Street to build all their future products. The
- 4:07Speaker 4: futures curves, derivatives were all because the dollar was a
- 4:11Speaker 4: synthetic product. If the dollar was backed by gold, Wall
- 4:13Speaker 4: Street would be still a very small business. Well, Wall
- 4:17Speaker 4: Street now is going to be building its entire infrastructure
- 4:22Speaker 4: onto the blockchain, and the blockchain they're choosing is ethereum.
- 4:25Speaker 4: So this is the nineteen seventy one moment where Wall
- 4:28Speaker 4: Street is essentially capitalizing on tokenizing the entire world onto
- 4:34Speaker 4: a blockchain. That's a huge opportunity.
- 4:37Speaker 1: All right, Again, Tom is he's picking out, cherry picking
- 4:41Speaker 1: some of the biggest points that blockchain and in general
- 4:45Speaker 1: ethereum really has going forward, and I think he is
- 4:48Speaker 1: right there.
- 4:49Speaker 2: That is a cycle. However, my argument.
- 4:51Speaker 1: Will be this, and that is will they build on
- 4:54Speaker 1: Ethereum or will they build on their own chain? Meaning
- 4:58Speaker 1: do they get a derivative and start to create the
- 5:00Speaker 1: JP mortgage chain. Do we see the black Rock chain,
- 5:02Speaker 1: do we see all these different products and services, because
- 5:05Speaker 1: we've had and have seen that in a variety of
- 5:09Speaker 1: applications and services coming out of Wall Street already.
- 5:11Speaker 2: So it is possible.
- 5:13Speaker 1: But it's also possible that the early movers could dominate
- 5:17Speaker 1: and we may end up with an Ethereum black Rock
- 5:20Speaker 1: that controls a lot of the assets under management. So
- 5:24Speaker 1: keep an eye on that. One of the things that
- 5:26Speaker 1: will help all of this connect is going to be
- 5:29Speaker 1: the control of the stable coin market. And now Tether
- 5:32Speaker 1: and Circle control seventy percent of the crypto revenue, and
- 5:36Speaker 1: there are some new players and we all know who
- 5:38Speaker 1: those are coming from, and that's everything from URLUSD, PYUSD.
- 5:43Speaker 2: There's a variety that we will.
- 5:45Speaker 1: See, including stable coins that now are going to be
- 5:48Speaker 1: built into nation states and also into the banking infrastructure.
- 5:53Speaker 1: All of that is not even getting started yet, and
- 5:55Speaker 1: I think that's something that you guys have to think
- 5:57Speaker 1: about going forward because it's going to be huge in
- 6:01Speaker 1: terms of the bigger picture. Now, let's take a look
- 6:04Speaker 1: at ethereum sets on chain activity records and why that
- 6:08Speaker 1: is happening. In August, dex volumes hit one hundred and
- 6:10Speaker 1: thirty five billion, transactions, forty eight million, active address fifteen million.
- 6:15Speaker 1: Also TVL cross two hundred and forty billions, so over
- 6:18Speaker 1: the last three months, eight rows on ETF inflows despite
- 6:24Speaker 1: low on chain activity. So imagine what will happen when
- 6:27Speaker 1: we have high on chain activity.
- 6:29Speaker 2: What that will do?
- 6:29Speaker 1: Because remember money managers are looking at where these structures
- 6:33Speaker 1: are being built on eth being one of the cores
- 6:35Speaker 1: that I think will happen on Wall Street, there's gonna
- 6:37Speaker 1: be one of them. There will be other winners, and
- 6:40Speaker 1: I think it's still out for question as to what
- 6:43Speaker 1: other winners are going to showcase. But this just shows you,
- 6:46Speaker 1: the dex volume is just beginning to get going. Here
- 6:49Speaker 1: was the supply compared to demand. It's starting to tighten.
- 6:54Speaker 1: And if you look at this, for every one ETH
- 6:56Speaker 1: that is created, there are thirty five being bought so
- 7:00Speaker 1: and locked away. So remember, with ETH, you've got immediate
- 7:05Speaker 1: staking options and staking capability, and they're getting more flexible
- 7:09Speaker 1: and much more liquid. This I think is going to
- 7:11Speaker 1: start to flow into the ETFs.
- 7:12Speaker 2: Eventually.
- 7:13Speaker 1: What we'll see under market structure is some potential opportunities
- 7:16Speaker 1: there around earning yield within these ETFs.
- 7:19Speaker 2: I think that's going to happen.
- 7:20Speaker 1: And when that starts to happen, now you're just talking
- 7:22Speaker 1: about traditional finance starting to djen into yield bearing ETFs
- 7:26Speaker 1: or other styles of products out there, including vaults which
- 7:30Speaker 1: are essentially staking, you know, traditional stable coins driving all
- 7:35Speaker 1: of that in the direction that we're talking about right here,
- 7:38Speaker 1: which is the growth of ethereum. Further into this, here's
- 7:42Speaker 1: Miles Glucheri's talking about this crazy chart right here and
- 7:46Speaker 1: is getting into the point that ETH is now flipping
- 7:48Speaker 1: bitcoin for treasury company attention and trading volume. Now, this
- 7:52Speaker 1: is something that we've talked about here on the show
- 7:55Speaker 1: before is that outside of Strategy, there is not been
- 8:01Speaker 1: a multitude of companies that have really kind of come
- 8:04Speaker 1: on and see Now, there could be a couple of
- 8:06Speaker 1: reasons for that. Many people would say Strategy had such
- 8:10Speaker 1: a head start nobody could even get close to competing
- 8:14Speaker 1: with them. And in fact, Bitcoin treasury companies are flopping
- 8:18Speaker 1: left and right. These firms are all fumbling their BTC
- 8:21Speaker 1: bets and when you look at them, and this is
- 8:24Speaker 1: just an example of them, Exchange Custodis, Smart Contract. These
- 8:29Speaker 1: are entities that are holding and then you get into
- 8:31Speaker 1: these publicly facing companies.
- 8:33Speaker 2: Which ares one hundred and seventy eight.
- 8:34Speaker 1: I had no idea there was that many, but this
- 8:37Speaker 1: is some of the companies that are out there. And
- 8:38Speaker 1: look at the comparison on what we're seeing in terms
- 8:41Speaker 1: of their stock versus what you see on master GameStop
- 8:45Speaker 1: announces plan to invest in bitcoin, no big movement. Then
- 8:49Speaker 1: you had everybody kind of selling the news on that.
- 8:52Speaker 1: That's on game Stop. There's Empory Digital also nothing but down.
- 8:57Speaker 1: Then you go over here to say Quan's communication. And
- 8:59Speaker 1: this is something that is interesting because I had a
- 9:04Speaker 1: conversation with Stephen mcclerk from Canary Capital. And his point
- 9:09Speaker 1: that he was getting at is that when you're propping
- 9:12Speaker 1: these companies up that are failing, whatever companies you know
- 9:15Speaker 1: in Thistector, I'm not saying that they're failing, but a
- 9:18Speaker 1: communications company now holding you know, bitcoin as as an
- 9:21Speaker 1: asset that's trying to get a stock pump on that
- 9:25Speaker 1: is that there's no real value there and the money
- 9:28Speaker 1: managers sniff that out quickly. So it's very possible we
- 9:31Speaker 1: could see a lot more of this transition onto the
- 9:34Speaker 1: ETH ETFs and also the ETH Treasury Company. So getting
- 9:39Speaker 1: into the ETFs. This is something because once Tom Lee
- 9:43Speaker 1: gets to ten billion in ethereum holdings, this changes the
- 9:48Speaker 1: dynamic quickly. And this is on his treasure company b
- 9:51Speaker 1: M and r so Bitmind Immersion Tech. And the question
- 9:55Speaker 1: was why why ten billion? Well there's a good answer
- 9:58Speaker 1: right here. Why does it need a ten billion? Because
- 10:00Speaker 1: large commercial banks will lend to him at a ten
- 10:02Speaker 1: percent margin ratio and they usually only operate in billions,
- 10:07Speaker 1: So imagine what this will mean in terms of exponential growth.
- 10:11Speaker 1: It's very possible Bitmind could be the new micro strategy.
- 10:16Speaker 1: And you know what we're dealing with, Tom Lee, is
- 10:19Speaker 1: we could be seeing the birth of the next Michael Saylor.
- 10:21Speaker 1: But for Ethereum now, granted Jose Fluben and what we've
- 10:25Speaker 1: seen with sharpling gaming, that could be a little bit
- 10:27Speaker 1: of a foil in the game because this, I think
- 10:31Speaker 1: will also play into it. But again, these are a
- 10:35Speaker 1: potential product that could start to cause some problems as
- 10:39Speaker 1: we continue to get so big, and I think at
- 10:42Speaker 1: that point that if we do get BM and R
- 10:44Speaker 1: going at that stay scale, then there is an opportunity
- 10:47Speaker 1: for them to maintain. Nvidia is of course the comparison
- 10:53Speaker 1: to ETH. This is funny because someone mentioned this the
- 10:55Speaker 1: other day and I was talking about Ethereum on Twitter
- 10:58Speaker 1: and people go, oh, yeah, you're in your IBM moment,
- 11:01Speaker 1: and it's funny. This is exactly what I said, was
- 11:03Speaker 1: I think, no, it's more like Nvidia. I agree, ETH
- 11:07Speaker 1: is in the Nvidia scale, which is in a hyper
- 11:10Speaker 1: scaling position right now based on a market expansion. Think
- 11:15Speaker 1: about where Nvidia is a hyper scaling Remember in video
- 11:18Speaker 1: was gaming company guys, If you guys don't remember, they
- 11:20Speaker 1: weren't an AI company and a chip manufacturer or a
- 11:23Speaker 1: car a graphic card manufacturer. They were a gaming company
- 11:27Speaker 1: that produced graphics card for gaming machines. When they started
- 11:31Speaker 1: to hyper scale into the tool set for AI, we
- 11:35Speaker 1: have seen that kind of exponential growth, and that's very possible.
- 11:38Speaker 1: You compare eth to the financial ecosystem in the same
- 11:42Speaker 1: way they're going to hyper scale, and that's why I
- 11:44Speaker 1: think we are going to see the next level up.
- 11:48Speaker 1: Here's Tom Lee's predictional where Ethereum could go.
- 11:51Speaker 4: Take a look price targets for end of year for
- 11:54Speaker 4: Ethereum and the S and P five hundred and your
- 11:56Speaker 4: logic for those two. Yeah, I think Ethereum, you know,
- 12:00Speaker 4: and then in the near term, you know, five fifty
- 12:05Speaker 4: five hundred should be happening in the next couple of weeks,
- 12:08Speaker 4: but by the end of the year, I think it
- 12:09Speaker 4: should be closer to ten to twelve thousand for E
- 12:13Speaker 4: But it's because you know, most of the move in
- 12:15Speaker 4: crypto does come in the fourth quarter. So if you're
- 12:19Speaker 4: up thirty five percent year to date, well, if you're
- 12:22Speaker 4: going to be up two hundredercent, it's going to all
- 12:23Speaker 4: happen in the next few months. And for the SMP,
- 12:28Speaker 4: if the FED follows through and begins to cut, which
- 12:31Speaker 4: is our expectation, and then we get a drop in
- 12:33Speaker 4: mortgage rates and the ice of turning up, and therefore
- 12:36Speaker 4: financials really begin to participate. I think that's why we
- 12:39Speaker 4: get to sixty eight hundred or so on the SMP,
- 12:41Speaker 4: so still a lot of upside. Of course, as you know,
- 12:44Speaker 4: September is the month everyone's going to be worried about.
- 12:47Speaker 4: So that's a month where you might get a pullback,
- 12:49Speaker 4: but you need to be buying debt too.
- 12:52Speaker 3: So the seasonal weakness and September you would say, it
- 12:54Speaker 3: would just be another opportunity.
- 12:56Speaker 4: Yes, that's right. And you know, as you know every pullback,
- 12:59Speaker 4: everyone has been ringing the bell saying it's the top
- 13:03Speaker 4: that has had That has always been a dip buying
- 13:05Speaker 4: opportunity since twenty twenty two. So I just say keep
- 13:08Speaker 4: that in mind that you really should be buying a.
- 13:10Speaker 1: Tip by the dip into September. Is what tom Ley
- 13:14Speaker 1: is pointing at. Other things that you have to kind
- 13:17Speaker 1: of compare to. Matt Hogan said, the formula is simple
- 13:20Speaker 1: ETF flows, Treasury Company plus simple story.
- 13:24Speaker 2: Equals and all time high.
- 13:26Speaker 1: And I would agree with that, as we're already seeing
- 13:28Speaker 1: a ridiculous amount of ETF flows and it looks like
- 13:31Speaker 1: it's not slowing down. And then of course the treasury
- 13:34Speaker 1: companies clearly are the main factor that's starting to push this.
- 13:38Speaker 1: So it worked for bitcoin's working for Ethereum, and it's
- 13:41Speaker 1: lined up to work for Salana. So get ready, guys,
- 13:46Speaker 1: Salana is coming next and speaking, Well, we're gonna show
- 13:50Speaker 1: them were think for that. I have a surprise for
- 13:52Speaker 1: you at the end. Solo is the absolute beast outform
- 13:55Speaker 1: the market while it's dumping. Because Bitcoin, as we are
- 13:57Speaker 1: talking and recording right now, holding at one oh eight
- 14:00Speaker 1: five and Solana still holding above the two hunder marks,
- 14:04Speaker 1: so very interesting times for Soul. Now here is Raoul Powell.
- 14:07Speaker 1: So he's got this crypto waiting room theory. Many key
- 14:13Speaker 1: part of crypto ecosystems are in the waiting room ready
- 14:15Speaker 1: to launch. Let's look at a few, and he goes
- 14:18Speaker 1: into Bitcoin kind of going and Eth of course is
- 14:21Speaker 1: ready to launch. Eth is the one that, of course
- 14:24Speaker 1: he's been pushing at. But there's a lot of all
- 14:26Speaker 1: coins that could be queuing up right now in the
- 14:29Speaker 1: waiting room. Eth is on full port right now, so
- 14:32Speaker 1: we're just looking for next leg up.
- 14:34Speaker 2: I would agree with Raoul.
- 14:35Speaker 1: There next to leave the waiting room is Solana, and
- 14:38Speaker 1: you can kind of see consolidation holding in around two
- 14:42Speaker 1: around two ten right now, if it breaks that two
- 14:45Speaker 1: ninety number, and I'll kind of zoom in on that for
- 14:47Speaker 1: you on that chart, if we get up around that
- 14:49Speaker 1: two ninety into the all time high, this is the
- 14:52Speaker 1: potential for exponential growth on Solana. So that's the one
- 14:56Speaker 1: to keep an eye on right there. Swee is also
- 14:58Speaker 1: in the waiting room because it's starting to reach a
- 15:01Speaker 1: bottom of the channel that Raoul's pointing out. Then you
- 15:05Speaker 1: move over to Doge in the waiting room right here
- 15:08Speaker 1: full Port when others do, and he's kind of looking
- 15:10Speaker 1: at this sideways chop. Notice here that Dose has not
- 15:13Speaker 1: been moving much over this range. And this range goes
- 15:17Speaker 1: back for a while, all the way back to twenty
- 15:19Speaker 1: twenty one. We think this is where I disagree with Raoul.
- 15:22Speaker 1: I think instead of Doz, it's going to be pengu
- 15:25Speaker 1: Pengo is going to be the ride that we see
- 15:27Speaker 1: and possibly becoming the number one meme coin out there
- 15:30Speaker 1: and possibly a top ten. That's, I know, a crazy
- 15:33Speaker 1: thing to say, guys, Paul, You're crazy. It's a penguin.
- 15:36Speaker 1: I just am betting on Luca Nets. And then last
- 15:39Speaker 1: but not least, is the uncovering of XRP by Raoul
- 15:44Speaker 1: Powell in the process of full porting right here getting
- 15:48Speaker 1: into that flag that we've been talking about, these sideways
- 15:50Speaker 1: chop positions and everybody has been talking about that very
- 15:53Speaker 1: same thing, is that this opportunity is huge going forward.
- 15:58Speaker 2: So you guys, if you're not in the dime A circle,
- 16:00Speaker 2: we've left a link down below. All you have to
- 16:02Speaker 2: do is click that.
- 16:02Speaker 1: It's absolutely free to get started. You'll get the Baron
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- 16:07Speaker 2: We do that.
- 16:08Speaker 1: I drop a lot of alpha in there that we
- 16:10Speaker 1: don't put here on the show. So get in on that.
- 16:12Speaker 1: That's the best thing you can do right now, and
- 16:14Speaker 1: of course follow me out there on x at Paul Baron.
- 16:17Speaker 1: We'll catch you next time right here on the Paul
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