Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / NFL Week 5 Gambling Preview
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Come to the favorites the podcast and the Volume Podcast Network.
- 0:14Speaker 1: I am Chad Mollman, chief content Officer of the Action Network,
- 0:18Speaker 1: and I am thankfully, I say this with all sincerity,
- 0:22Speaker 1: thankfully gonna be joined today by my bff, my companion,
- 0:27Speaker 1: my compadre professional better Simon Hunter. Because on the last
- 0:34Speaker 1: episode you made a bold statement. We're gonna get to
- 0:38Speaker 1: all that in a second, a bold statement that could
- 0:41Speaker 1: have meant you were no longer on the show. We're
- 0:44Speaker 1: gonna get to that. We're gonna get to the entire
- 0:47Speaker 1: slate of games. We're gonna talk about the angles we
- 0:50Speaker 1: like on every game, the sides we like on every game.
- 0:53Speaker 1: We will start narrowing it down. For the Thursday podcast,
- 0:56Speaker 1: we will probably get into our big balls Better the
- 0:58Speaker 1: Week or our son and says Better the Week reminder
- 1:02Speaker 1: Action Network For those who are still new to the
- 1:04Speaker 1: podcast in the Volume Podcast Network, we are a sports
- 1:08Speaker 1: betting media company focused on serving sports bettors everything they
- 1:12Speaker 1: need to get smarter. And there are a lot of
- 1:14Speaker 1: people who are new to sports betting, states are legalizing it,
- 1:18Speaker 1: who are becoming comfortable with it, who are just discovering
- 1:21Speaker 1: who we are. We got experts like Simon. We got
- 1:24Speaker 1: experts like Chris Raybon and Stucky on the Action Network podcast.
- 1:27Speaker 1: We got experts like Colin Wilson who does college football.
- 1:30Speaker 1: Everyone is focused on research data, how they make better picks.
- 1:33Speaker 1: Everyone who does these things, they're pretty big betters. They're
- 1:37Speaker 1: not people out there selling their picks on Twitter. They
- 1:39Speaker 1: are big bettors doing this for a long time, doing
- 1:41Speaker 1: it for you, doing it for us, doing it for me,
- 1:43Speaker 1: doing it for Matt Mitchell, our producer, doing it for everybody. Simon,
- 1:47Speaker 1: it's good to see your brother. You're only happy see
- 1:49Speaker 1: me because I was the only person telling the Bears
- 1:51Speaker 1: we're gonna win. That's the only reason you're happy to
- 1:52Speaker 1: see me. Listen to me. We can get to the
- 1:55Speaker 1: Bears in Matten Negi. We can get to Mattegie's latest foibles,
- 1:58Speaker 1: which are Andy Dalton is still QB and and by
- 2:00Speaker 1: the way, even though Bill Laser was calling the plays,
- 2:04Speaker 1: everything went through me, like, what the fuck, dude, where
- 2:09Speaker 1: did you get your leadership training? Are you so fucking
- 2:12Speaker 1: insecure that you can't just do what is right in
- 2:15Speaker 1: front of you and feel like if you make that
- 2:17Speaker 1: decision when everyone else is saying you're only doing it
- 2:20Speaker 1: because the crowd told you to do it. Those people
- 2:22Speaker 1: are the worst fucking people in the world when it
- 2:25Speaker 1: comes to trying to lead somebody. Just make the right decision.
- 2:28Speaker 1: Do you know what happens when you make the right
- 2:30Speaker 1: decision in a month when everything is going well, No
- 2:33Speaker 1: one remembers, Oh, it was the crowd telling you to
- 2:37Speaker 1: do it. No one remembers, oh it was your assistant
- 2:39Speaker 1: making the decisions. All they know is you're the fucking
- 2:42Speaker 1: genius was coaching a winning team. I love striking a
- 2:45Speaker 1: nerve and you it's the best. I can't stand at
- 2:47Speaker 1: people who who are incompetent and can't get out of
- 2:49Speaker 1: their own way and like it. Just it. I like
- 2:53Speaker 1: nothing more than efficiency and competency. Speaking of Simon, we
- 2:58Speaker 1: were a fifty six yard doink away from the Patriots
- 3:03Speaker 1: winning and you having to retire from betting. After we
- 3:07Speaker 1: were done recording last week, we were off air and
- 3:11Speaker 1: you made a comment to me and Matt Mitchell. I'm
- 3:14Speaker 1: going to play it right now. Matt Mitchell is going
- 3:15Speaker 1: to play it right now, and then we will unpack
- 3:18Speaker 1: it for a second. Look, boys, Yeah, if if the
- 3:22Speaker 1: Buccaneers are the Chiefs, lose man I'm gonna lose all
- 3:24Speaker 1: my money I've won this year. Let's make sure that
- 3:27Speaker 1: at least one of them wins. Not I need both. Bro,
- 3:30Speaker 1: It's like my it's my far my biggest, my biggest bet.
- 3:33Speaker 1: I've way too much. It's so chalky. I feel gross.
- 3:36Speaker 1: But it's like holy ship the bucks lose, Dude, I
- 3:38Speaker 1: might have to retire. Chat Uh, Matt, make sure we
- 3:41Speaker 1: talked about this on Tuesday. So you are a massive better.
- 3:46Speaker 1: You do this professional. We lived in Vegas for a
- 3:48Speaker 1: long time. What I pay you at Action Network is
- 3:52Speaker 1: a pittance compared to what you make as a professional.
- 3:55Speaker 1: Better what you bet in a weekend, you went in
- 3:59Speaker 1: for a health the amount on a Chiefs Bucks. Explain
- 4:04Speaker 1: to people what you did, why you did it, and
- 4:07Speaker 1: then how you were feeling after. You pay me a
- 4:09Speaker 1: very fair salary. Chat, I, but yes, I do gamble
- 4:12Speaker 1: with just a healthy amount of money. But it's not
- 4:15Speaker 1: all my money. Um, if you knew the show, I
- 4:17Speaker 1: do work for a betting group, and basically my clients
- 4:21Speaker 1: stay bet thro own money. But my group gives me
- 4:24Speaker 1: a large sum of cash and I use that for
- 4:26Speaker 1: the season and I give that money back, but I
- 4:29Speaker 1: take a big cut out out of it. So basically
- 4:31Speaker 1: it's like you're playing with house money. It's my group's money,
- 4:34Speaker 1: but still not a good look if you lose that money. Um,
- 4:37Speaker 1: you don't want to be that guy going back to
- 4:39Speaker 1: him having to put your own money up because you
- 4:40Speaker 1: lost all the group's money. Uh. So I told you
- 4:43Speaker 1: guys pretty much I don't like doing big bets until
- 4:47Speaker 1: later in the season. Um. Again, we had a guy
- 4:50Speaker 1: who wanted contest with us. I didn't give him this
- 4:52Speaker 1: bet just because it's too early in the year. But
- 4:54Speaker 1: this is one of my really big bets. I pretty
- 4:56Speaker 1: much told you I'm taking everything I've won this season
- 4:59Speaker 1: and I'm putting on money line parlay or like a
- 5:01Speaker 1: teaser of the Chiefs and the Bucks. Now, I didn't
- 5:06Speaker 1: do that completely, like I broke it down a little
- 5:08Speaker 1: more like I had the Bengals thrown in there and
- 5:09Speaker 1: a couple of different ones. Um. But basically, when it
- 5:13Speaker 1: came down to it, yeah, that field goal was a
- 5:15Speaker 1: six figure flip for me because just because that Thursday game,
- 5:19Speaker 1: I felt like I got so lucky with the Bengals.
- 5:20Speaker 1: I was like, Okay, I'm destined to fail here. Like
- 5:23Speaker 1: I don't know what game was. I thought it might
- 5:25Speaker 1: have been the Chiefs, but it was between them and
- 5:27Speaker 1: the Buccaneers where I was like one of them were
- 5:29Speaker 1: gonna drop one of these games. Honestly though, I was
- 5:32Speaker 1: not scary. Once that Patriots game got going, it kind
- 5:35Speaker 1: of played out exactly the way I envisioned it, where
- 5:38Speaker 1: if they would even if even they made that field goal,
- 5:40Speaker 1: Brady had fifty three seconds left and two time outs,
- 5:43Speaker 1: like if Tom Brady's Michael Jordan's, Michael Jordan wins this game.
- 5:46Speaker 1: It did feel a little bit like Belichick fell on
- 5:48Speaker 1: the sword there. Belichick always goes for it on that
- 5:51Speaker 1: fourth and fourth down, fourth and three, He's gonna throw
- 5:54Speaker 1: that ball there. You know you're not gonna kick the
- 5:56Speaker 1: fifty six yard field goal in the pouring rain. I
- 5:59Speaker 1: had about three fifty bets this weekend, and I'd say
- 6:02Speaker 1: four of them were for of my money that weekend.
- 6:06Speaker 1: So that that was a that was a scary feeling.
- 6:09Speaker 1: They're hanging on by a threat with the Buccaneers. The Bucks.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Chiefs money line was what was part of that was
- 6:16Speaker 1: one of those four bets we talked about that was
- 6:18Speaker 1: just pure situational where if this line was ten. The
- 6:22Speaker 1: Chiefs were minus ten and the Buccaneers were minus ten.
- 6:25Speaker 1: Never would have touched it. It just would have been
- 6:27Speaker 1: worth it. But we talked about because they were both
- 6:29Speaker 1: on the road, you're getting such a low number. Brady
- 6:33Speaker 1: is the only person. I mean, people know, they listen
- 6:35Speaker 1: to the show if a dog is at home getting
- 6:37Speaker 1: more than nine percent of the money or getting less
- 6:39Speaker 1: than ten percent of the money and temper cent of
- 6:40Speaker 1: the bets every day of the week, I'm money line
- 6:43Speaker 1: that dog and I at home and I bet that dog.
- 6:45Speaker 1: But it was Tom Brady that was my whole reasoning behind.
- 6:48Speaker 1: He breaks all the gambling rules. So it was a
- 6:51Speaker 1: sweat until once the game started. I was just like,
- 6:54Speaker 1: you know what, all I need time Brady has to
- 6:56Speaker 1: win this game. Is he really gonna lose this game?
- 6:58Speaker 1: And we saw the result. No, he was never gonna
- 7:00Speaker 1: lose that game. So it was definitely scary as hell
- 7:03Speaker 1: when he's overthrown all these guys left and right, and
- 7:06Speaker 1: you're just like, why did I bet six figures on this?
- 7:09Speaker 1: Bell Belichick mean, he he is the scariest, but now
- 7:13Speaker 1: Tom Brady, it's he seriously is the glitch of the matrix.
- 7:16Speaker 1: He's one of a kind Tom Brady, so it's it's
- 7:19Speaker 1: rare for me to kind of do that with the
- 7:20Speaker 1: road favorites, but he makes me feel safe. So listen, uh,
- 7:25Speaker 1: by the way, programming note. On Thursday, we're gonna have
- 7:28Speaker 1: Seth Wickersham on. Seth of course as a senior writer
- 7:31Speaker 1: at ESPN and has a book that for the last
- 7:34Speaker 1: ten days has been the NonStop talk of the sports
- 7:37Speaker 1: betting world called It's Better to Be Feared. That is
- 7:40Speaker 1: a deep dive into the Brady Belichick Craft relationship and
- 7:44Speaker 1: the dynasty of the past twenty years. I've read the book.
- 7:47Speaker 1: Seth is one of my closest friends. I was his
- 7:49Speaker 1: editor at ESPN for fifteen years. When I was there.
- 7:51Speaker 1: The first time he ever wrote about Tom Brady, he
- 7:53Speaker 1: was a twenty four year old kid who was sitting
- 7:56Speaker 1: next to me who said, I think I want to
- 7:57Speaker 1: go up to Foxboro and write about this backup quarterback
- 8:00Speaker 1: that's gonna be taken over for Drew Bletso he is
- 8:03Speaker 1: as inside that trio as it gets. And we're gonna
- 8:05Speaker 1: talk about the book and talk about breaking a little
- 8:07Speaker 1: bit more. But there are some moments in that book
- 8:09Speaker 1: that for betters are captivating what happened in that Seattle
- 8:13Speaker 1: Super Bowl with Malcolm Butler and what happened in that
- 8:15Speaker 1: Falcon super Bowl when they came back. The book is
- 8:18Speaker 1: as in depth and thoughtful and thoroughly reported as anything
- 8:21Speaker 1: you're ever gonna get like for a sports fan, a
- 8:23Speaker 1: football fan, a fan of good reporting, it's amazing. We're
- 8:25Speaker 1: gonna talk about it on Thursday with him. The other
- 8:27Speaker 1: thing you mentioned, money line, money line Jets, money line Giants,
- 8:34Speaker 1: money line parlay. We told people to do it. We
- 8:39Speaker 1: told them. You said, it's ugly, it's disgusting. The Jets
- 8:43Speaker 1: are gonna win this week one of those games where
- 8:46Speaker 1: I felt like I sold my soul, like this whole weekend,
- 8:48Speaker 1: feel like I sold my soul for all these wins
- 8:49Speaker 1: and covers. But the Jets won and lost that game
- 8:52Speaker 1: about fifteen times before they finally actually won the game
- 8:55Speaker 1: on a missfield goal. Um, that's that's what's fun about
- 9:00Speaker 1: betting ug me though, like again, Chad knows a deal,
- 9:03Speaker 1: there's truly nothing to gain for me for doing this podcast.
- 9:06Speaker 1: In my life, it's mostly negativity. But like the people
- 9:09Speaker 1: that hit me up and reach out to me about
- 9:11Speaker 1: like betting that Jets money line and like you know,
- 9:14Speaker 1: the one guy put out there used me paying for
- 9:16Speaker 1: his twins diapers with like are his winnings and things
- 9:18Speaker 1: like that. It's honestly the best feeling. That's why, like
- 9:20Speaker 1: I love doing this and like early days I hated
- 9:23Speaker 1: this job. Now I like it, Like I've shifted where
- 9:25Speaker 1: I do enjoy this stuff because it is the hardest
- 9:28Speaker 1: sport is just getting you people are listening to actually
- 9:30Speaker 1: listen to me because we just say such crazy ship.
- 9:32Speaker 1: But like I feel like the more you listen, the
- 9:35Speaker 1: more you realize that's football. It's not always like his
- 9:37Speaker 1: Chalky is what I just did with the Chiefs and
- 9:39Speaker 1: the Bucks winning. We talked about we were waiting for
- 9:41Speaker 1: a fluky week. We just hit it right on with
- 9:44Speaker 1: the Saints. They were overvalued, the Tennessee Titans were revalued.
- 9:48Speaker 1: I mean that we had I think the plus seven
- 9:50Speaker 1: a half for both those from Tuesday. Never in doubt.
- 9:52Speaker 1: We talked here in the week, the Denver and the Jets.
- 9:55Speaker 1: The Denver one kind of we talked about that that
- 9:56Speaker 1: was that was brutal with Teddy Gettinger, But I I
- 10:00Speaker 1: kind of knew early on in that week where the
- 10:02Speaker 1: Jets were just again I didn't think the're gonna actually win,
- 10:05Speaker 1: like I believe they're gonna win the value wise, but
- 10:07Speaker 1: that's like that number should be three three and a half.
- 10:09Speaker 1: So it was a rare instance where we were getting
- 10:12Speaker 1: crazy value. Just because this is how it is. People
- 10:15Speaker 1: they'll watch what happened last week, they go, oh my god,
- 10:17Speaker 1: the Jets had zero points against Denver. Who's gonna bet
- 10:20Speaker 1: on them? We are chat That's how we make money.
- 10:22Speaker 1: So this upcoming week it's it's not gonna get any prettier. People.
- 10:26Speaker 1: We got some ugly home dogs that I like this week,
- 10:28Speaker 1: so I'm ready to dive in. If you are, buddy, yeah,
- 10:31Speaker 1: let's get to a brother, because they're like the board
- 10:33Speaker 1: as clear as we thought the board was last week,
- 10:36Speaker 1: it's so much more challenging to me this week. And
- 10:38Speaker 1: lines have already been moving, like there's some obvious games
- 10:42Speaker 1: where lines have moved. We'll get to all of it.
- 10:44Speaker 1: First up Thursday Night football, Los Angeles Rams at Seattle Seahawks.
- 10:52Speaker 1: I think it's the rarest Thursday night game that I'm
- 10:55Speaker 1: excited for. Interestingly, Rams opened as one point under Oggs.
- 11:00Speaker 1: There are some books right now where they are two
- 11:03Speaker 1: and a half point favorites. Oh love it. Let me
- 11:06Speaker 1: fall right into the trap. I'll happily take the Seahawks
- 11:09Speaker 1: the home dog on Thursday night. Uh these last time
- 11:12Speaker 1: these two teams played, it was a Rams upsetting them
- 11:15Speaker 1: in the playoffs in Seattle. You don't think the Seattle
- 11:19Speaker 1: team has been thinking about this all week. I mean
- 11:21Speaker 1: people pointed to that the Rams would have been looking
- 11:23Speaker 1: ahead to this matchup. I don't think so. I think
- 11:25Speaker 1: that was just a letdown spot last week for them
- 11:27Speaker 1: with Arizona and Matthew Stafford was just not making the
- 11:31Speaker 1: place you need to make where I felt great about
- 11:34Speaker 1: him coming into this spot where the Seahawks have been
- 11:35Speaker 1: banged up secondary and they haven't looked right. But man,
- 11:39Speaker 1: is this is this bad for the Rams? They They're
- 11:41Speaker 1: just this division is gonna be really hard to read
- 11:44Speaker 1: all season. Um, but in a short week, we're getting
- 11:48Speaker 1: Seahawks at home, and we're probably gonna get plus three
- 11:50Speaker 1: by the time this closes. Chat the way this line
- 11:52Speaker 1: has been moving. Of course, we love the Seahawks. I'm
- 11:56Speaker 1: gonna wait hopefully this gets to plus three. I'll have
- 11:58Speaker 1: this with a couple of teasers as well. We we
- 12:01Speaker 1: take the home dogs on Thursday Night. Especially in these
- 12:03Speaker 1: situations where it's Russell Wilson people, people forget Russell Wilson
- 12:07Speaker 1: is the king of comeback, So if they're down by
- 12:10Speaker 1: a couple of points, I have no doubt my mind
- 12:11Speaker 1: that if US has the ball, we're gonna able to
- 12:13Speaker 1: come back to cover this number. Yeah, it's weird to
- 12:16Speaker 1: me that the money is moving this number so aggressively, UH,
- 12:21Speaker 1: because the Seahawks were in a primped spot. You and
- 12:23Speaker 1: I both love the Seahawks. This past week against UH,
- 12:27Speaker 1: the Niners, I had the I did the money line
- 12:30Speaker 1: rob Ron Robin Parlay. I had the Jets and the Giants.
- 12:33Speaker 1: I also had the Seahawks. So even though I bet
- 12:36Speaker 1: like fifteen money line parlays between the Jets, Giants, Jet
- 12:41Speaker 1: Seahawks and Giant Seahawks, I ended up making all my
- 12:43Speaker 1: money back and more. Um, that was a perfect spot
- 12:48Speaker 1: for them, and this feels like a perfect spot for
- 12:50Speaker 1: them too. It makes no sense to me that this
- 12:52Speaker 1: number would move so aggressively, but I'm happy to take it. Yeah.
- 12:55Speaker 1: I think it's we talked about in the preseason. The
- 12:57Speaker 1: pros have loved the Rams. That's in the Darling team
- 13:00Speaker 1: for a lot of professionals. They had them as a
- 13:02Speaker 1: Super Bowl. They've got a lot of them bid staff
- 13:04Speaker 1: for m v P part. The pro money is coming
- 13:06Speaker 1: in on them with the public money, so the bookmakers
- 13:08Speaker 1: have to move it. But again to me, that's that's
- 13:11Speaker 1: gonna give advantage to awesome when it gets to plus three. Hey,
- 13:14Speaker 1: by the way, you know which pros didn't love the
- 13:15Speaker 1: Rams was me? I know you do, especially compared to me.
- 13:20Speaker 1: And it reminded me that this morning, Uh, I wanted
- 13:23Speaker 1: to go over my futures tickets. I couldn't remember all
- 13:26Speaker 1: of my future tickets. Um and I have the Washington
- 13:32Speaker 1: Football team. Sixte not gonna happen. Caroline is sixty one,
- 13:37Speaker 1: which is looking a little bit better. The Raiders fifty
- 13:40Speaker 1: two one, Chargers thirty three to one, Niners fift one Bills,
- 13:43Speaker 1: Packers tend to one. I'm telling you right now, Matt Mitchell,
- 13:46Speaker 1: I want you to clip this. I want you to
- 13:48Speaker 1: save this. I am looking at a scenario right now
- 13:52Speaker 1: where it's very possible I end up with both with
- 13:58Speaker 1: with the teams that I need facing each other, either
- 14:01Speaker 1: in an NFC title game, or an a f C
- 14:04Speaker 1: title game, or in the Super Bowl. I could easily
- 14:06Speaker 1: see Bill's Packers Bills, Niners, Chargers, Packers, Uh, Chargers Bills,
- 14:14Speaker 1: all of these scenarios playing out where they will meet
- 14:17Speaker 1: each other to get to the super Bowl or in
- 14:20Speaker 1: the super Bowl. I'll tell you right now, I think
- 14:22Speaker 1: that Niners bets dead. Maybe it's not. It's not looking good.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Just with Trey Lance again, I gave him out for
- 14:29Speaker 1: m v P because I was on the hype train.
- 14:32Speaker 1: He's not He's had a lot of great skill sets
- 14:35Speaker 1: and like he looks at young Kaepernick, but man, he's
- 14:38Speaker 1: he's got some rough edges. Um, he's just very interaccurate
- 14:42Speaker 1: right now. So you never know the fot hners. But
- 14:44Speaker 1: in that division, yeah, I just can't see it happening.
- 14:46Speaker 1: But I gave it out on twenty the other day.
- 14:48Speaker 1: I actually just bought into Dallas. I just gave them
- 14:51Speaker 1: out of twenty to one that won the Super Bowl.
- 14:53Speaker 1: So join me here, fade that chat. I'm drinking the
- 14:56Speaker 1: kool aid. Finally, I would be okay taking a taste
- 14:59Speaker 1: of that. Just banking on them being the one seed.
- 15:01Speaker 1: We've seen it time and time again, the one seed.
- 15:03Speaker 1: They're the only team with a buy Now that's such
- 15:05Speaker 1: a huge advantage come playoff time. Little Sprinkle, you liked
- 15:09Speaker 1: Dallas with the best record in the NFL too, I
- 15:11Speaker 1: saw that. The next game up. This is an ugly,
- 15:14Speaker 1: ugly game Sunday morning from cheerier London, New York Jets
- 15:20Speaker 1: at Atlanta Falcons, your native land. You're an Englishman, Jets
- 15:25Speaker 1: three and a half point Dogs. This is where you
- 15:28Speaker 1: get off the Jets hype train. I'm just gonna stay away,
- 15:31Speaker 1: but I'm gonna keep drinking the cool aid. Zack Wilson,
- 15:34Speaker 1: love him, love him, love them, love him. Matt Ryan
- 15:36Speaker 1: hate them, hate him, hate him. I'm kidding. I just
- 15:39Speaker 1: I'll stay away like we won't have This is our
- 15:41Speaker 1: best five, but I'm gonna wake up. I'll take the dog.
- 15:45Speaker 1: The Jets are horrible. Atlanta is horrible, even Thoughtlanta did
- 15:48Speaker 1: look better last week. Um, they played that Washington game tough.
- 15:52Speaker 1: I just, man, I can't back this Atlanta team. They
- 15:56Speaker 1: just have so many issues going on right now. So
- 15:58Speaker 1: I'll just be the chalky player. I think the public's
- 16:01Speaker 1: coming in. Have you on the Jets all right? With them?
- 16:03Speaker 1: I'll take the plus three and a half. Well, look,
- 16:05Speaker 1: Zack Wilson played with a funck load of swag right
- 16:08Speaker 1: and just was rolling out. It really felt in that
- 16:14Speaker 1: game them winning was inevitable. Their pass rush was great,
- 16:18Speaker 1: Zack Wilson was finding ways to get to open receivers
- 16:22Speaker 1: um and Matt Ryan continues to be the quarterback in
- 16:27Speaker 1: the NFL who can snap a loss from the jaws
- 16:33Speaker 1: of victory more often and in stranger ways than possibly
- 16:39Speaker 1: any quarterback in NFL history. I mean, they give me
- 16:42Speaker 1: up by three touchdowns. You have no faith in that team,
- 16:44Speaker 1: all in that lead. They're just they're a train wreck.
- 16:47Speaker 1: New England Patriots at Houston Texans now the resurgent Patriots
- 16:52Speaker 1: who with Mac Jones looking like the second coming of
- 16:55Speaker 1: Tom Brady. This game opened at six. It's been pushed
- 16:58Speaker 1: up to nine, largely because of the Mac Jones performance.
- 17:03Speaker 1: The Texas team is dreadful. Patriots historically cover no matter
- 17:07Speaker 1: what the spread is on the road when it was
- 17:09Speaker 1: Tom Brady because he is the glitch. But I don't know,
- 17:14Speaker 1: We're not good, dude, Don't tell don't even tell me.
- 17:17Speaker 1: Don't I'm not doing it. Yeah, I'll personally, I'll personally
- 17:20Speaker 1: be on Houston. Um, Patriots fans, I don't want to
- 17:23Speaker 1: shoot all of you guys, but Mac Jones, let's relax
- 17:27Speaker 1: a little bit. The guy put up seventeen points at
- 17:29Speaker 1: home against arguably one of the worst banged up secondaries
- 17:32Speaker 1: in all football. Um, again, he looked good. He was
- 17:36Speaker 1: making completions one three or four yards at a pop
- 17:38Speaker 1: against Richard Sherman, who just got off this couch last week.
- 17:41Speaker 1: But it's um, it's this a bad, just an ugly game.
- 17:46Speaker 1: I'll take the dog. I'll take the under in this matchup.
- 17:49Speaker 1: Houston is not as bad as they've looked. They've They've
- 17:51Speaker 1: just had tough matchups. Um, but this kid, David Mills
- 17:56Speaker 1: is so bad. That's why I'm not forcing to put
- 17:58Speaker 1: this one in chat. But we'll see come Thursday. Maybe
- 18:01Speaker 1: I'll get you to come to the dark side. But
- 18:03Speaker 1: you take this home dog. Here. This isn't Brady and
- 18:06Speaker 1: Belichick anymore. This is just Brady and A and A
- 18:10Speaker 1: you know, just a scrappy team. So I like the
- 18:13Speaker 1: Patriots obviously to win this game. Maybe we'll talk about
- 18:15Speaker 1: them for Survivor because it's the only time to really
- 18:17Speaker 1: use them. But as an eight and a half point
- 18:21Speaker 1: favorite on the road with a rookie quarterback. I don't know, Chad,
- 18:25Speaker 1: I wouldn't I would not be betting the Patriots here.
- 18:27Speaker 1: So well, we'll talk on Thursday. But I'm hoping maybe
- 18:31Speaker 1: I'll be able to convince you because I do like
- 18:32Speaker 1: this position for Houston. Look, it's one of those things
- 18:36Speaker 1: where you're it's almost like you're not even looking at
- 18:37Speaker 1: the teams, right, and that happens at the time you're
- 18:40Speaker 1: you're only betting the number. And again, if this was
- 18:44Speaker 1: Brady with Belichick, could be a completely different situation. But
- 18:48Speaker 1: it's not like you're You're you got a road favorite
- 18:50Speaker 1: getting over seventy eight percent of the money right now,
- 18:52Speaker 1: and the Patriots. This number has come down because the pros,
- 18:56Speaker 1: the books know the pros are gonna come in on Houston.
- 18:58Speaker 1: So I'll just wait and see what it's not what
- 19:01Speaker 1: this line gets up to. But I'll be on Houston
- 19:03Speaker 1: all right. All right, you've kind of brought me around
- 19:07Speaker 1: on that. It's just that you think about how bad
- 19:11Speaker 1: it's a lot of points Davis Mills is as a
- 19:14Speaker 1: quarterback and what he was incapable of doing really terrible
- 19:21Speaker 1: Miami Dolphins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers. Another one prime time
- 19:27Speaker 1: number of skyrockets opened seven and a half currently Dolphins
- 19:32Speaker 1: plus ten on the road at Tampa. I mean, the
- 19:35Speaker 1: Dolphins look terrible. They truly look awful. You want to
- 19:38Speaker 1: get in the foxhole with me, buddy? No, yeah, the week,
- 19:46Speaker 1: let's clide down into the foxhole. Dolphins got embarrassed at
- 19:52Speaker 1: home against the Colts. Their offense looks terrible. That suppose
- 19:55Speaker 1: they have a bunch of drama down there. They don't
- 19:56Speaker 1: know who their offensive coordinator is. Let me give you
- 19:59Speaker 1: a little cure your offensive woes. You got the Bucks
- 20:02Speaker 1: coming in with the thirty first ranked secondary and football.
- 20:05Speaker 1: Now they're all hurt. They got guys coming off the
- 20:08Speaker 1: streets and Richard Sherman playing corner for them. Right now,
- 20:11Speaker 1: this is uh to say, typical. I'm gonna bet a
- 20:16Speaker 1: large amount of Dolphins. I'm gonna get smoked by Tom Brady,
- 20:18Speaker 1: but I have to fade them after last week. That's
- 20:21Speaker 1: such an emotional game for the Buccaneers. Obviously, we we
- 20:25Speaker 1: love the Bucks and they have a ton of talent.
- 20:27Speaker 1: They're just banged up right now. He doesn't have his
- 20:29Speaker 1: best friend and gronk on offense to get him out
- 20:31Speaker 1: of those sticky situations on third down. And their defense
- 20:34Speaker 1: is way too banged up to be favored by ten points.
- 20:36Speaker 1: So we'll wait and see what we can get here, Chad.
- 20:38Speaker 1: But I have no problem taking my Ami minus plus
- 20:41Speaker 1: ten and a half right now. God, it's scary a
- 20:43Speaker 1: week ago. This is where watching the games actually screws
- 20:46Speaker 1: you up, because a week ago, I would have bet
- 20:48Speaker 1: the Dolphins in two seconds. I wouldn't even consider it.
- 20:51Speaker 1: I would be like, yeah, Dolphins plus ten double there
- 20:54Speaker 1: dogs their defense. Brian Flores is a coach usually does
- 20:58Speaker 1: really well against Tom Brady, as had previous Patriots assistants
- 21:01Speaker 1: done well against Tom Brady. And I and like, I
- 21:05Speaker 1: didn't think about the banged up Buccaneers secondary. I didn't
- 21:08Speaker 1: think about no ground. I was only thinking about how
- 21:10Speaker 1: bad ja Kobe Brissette was against the Colts. Now, I
- 21:15Speaker 1: was want so bad to put this in our like
- 21:18Speaker 1: survivor pool. But there's something fishy here, Chat. I could
- 21:22Speaker 1: see the money line. I don't know. I like, yeah,
- 21:25Speaker 1: I bet a little on the Miami money line. It's
- 21:29Speaker 1: it's just a it's a fishy game and a fishy
- 21:31Speaker 1: line where it's gonna be maybe four of us betting
- 21:34Speaker 1: the money line of the Dolphins, just like last week
- 21:36Speaker 1: with the Jets. Like I love being in these positions,
- 21:38Speaker 1: so it's it's an interesting matchup for sure. Next game,
- 21:43Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles at Carolina Panthers. This is one of those games.
- 21:48Speaker 1: It opened it three, got bet up to four pretty quickly,
- 21:52Speaker 1: has come back down a little bit three and a half.
- 21:55Speaker 1: The Eagles one of those teams were early in the year,
- 21:57Speaker 1: we were all over them and in sort of backed off.
- 22:02Speaker 1: Then the Panthers, one of those teams that we loved, loved,
- 22:05Speaker 1: love love last weekend's Dallas got a little bit exposed
- 22:09Speaker 1: and now I don't know what you know what to
- 22:11Speaker 1: make of either team. It's again, it's funny me Chad
- 22:14Speaker 1: talks anymore. And I'm always freaked ou because I've had
- 22:16Speaker 1: so many professionals reach out to me, and I had
- 22:18Speaker 1: this one pro reach out to me and he was like, yeah,
- 22:20Speaker 1: an idiot, you're making a huge mistake taking the Panthers
- 22:23Speaker 1: the Cowboys on the play this week. That's the I
- 22:26Speaker 1: hate this guy, but he's good and he got in
- 22:29Speaker 1: my head. So people, that's why people are so mad.
- 22:30Speaker 1: We don't have Caroline and our five picks. It was
- 22:33Speaker 1: just simply because of that, I just we switched it out.
- 22:35Speaker 1: We switched it out for a dud. Though. We switched
- 22:37Speaker 1: out for Pittsburgh and we'll talk about them when their
- 22:39Speaker 1: game comes up. That was a letdown. So in this position,
- 22:44Speaker 1: it's rare for me to go chalk love, love love.
- 22:47Speaker 1: Carolina bounced back here against an Eagles team that I
- 22:50Speaker 1: feel like they gave it. They're all last week against
- 22:53Speaker 1: the Cincinnati team, the Kent City Chiefs, I should say,
- 22:56Speaker 1: and their holes just keep popping up. They're missing too
- 22:59Speaker 1: many pieces of the offensive line. They don't have the
- 23:01Speaker 1: defensive team to really make the stops. Again, We've we've
- 23:05Speaker 1: lost our left tackle, we've lost our right tackle, we've
- 23:08Speaker 1: lost lost our right guard, and we lost our best
- 23:11Speaker 1: yet in Brandon Graham. So this Egos team has a
- 23:14Speaker 1: lot of issues. And now they're going up against Argue,
- 23:16Speaker 1: one of the best defenses in football, and Carolina and
- 23:18Speaker 1: to get right spot at home, and we've seen Carolina
- 23:20Speaker 1: be dominant at home. Let's go chat this. This this
- 23:24Speaker 1: is the most likely be one of our five. We
- 23:25Speaker 1: like a bounce back spot here where a lot of
- 23:28Speaker 1: people are even getting off Carolina because what you just said,
- 23:30Speaker 1: they got embarrassed by Dallas. We don't want to give
- 23:32Speaker 1: up yet. We want to back this team because I
- 23:34Speaker 1: still think they have a lot of good things about them. Yeah,
- 23:39Speaker 1: I still love this team. I think they had a
- 23:43Speaker 1: couple of bad plays against the Cowboys. The Cowboys defense
- 23:48Speaker 1: is just much better. It's why you've decided to bet
- 23:50Speaker 1: on them to potentially win the Super Bowl. Honestly, the
- 23:53Speaker 1: main reason is because the Dack. It's I like betting
- 23:56Speaker 1: on teams for Super Bowl the same reason we talked
- 23:58Speaker 1: about taking the Chargers with Herbert. It's good. I didn't
- 24:01Speaker 1: know what that team is gonna be. But if Herbert's
- 24:03Speaker 1: down by a couple of points and he has the
- 24:05Speaker 1: ball in the fourth quarter, you feel comfortable and you
- 24:08Speaker 1: feel like you're in a good position to get that
- 24:10Speaker 1: touchdown or those three points. And that's how Dak's playing
- 24:13Speaker 1: right now. He's literally checking into runs when he needs to.
- 24:16Speaker 1: He does not care about the stats. He's just playing
- 24:18Speaker 1: so clear and so smart right now. Where I have
- 24:22Speaker 1: to believe in this Cowboys team. I did not see
- 24:24Speaker 1: Dak coming back from injury and being on the same
- 24:26Speaker 1: pace he was last year before he got hurt. Nothing's
- 24:29Speaker 1: changed except they're bad luck. And if mccarthny wasn't their coach,
- 24:32Speaker 1: and because I hate that guy, I'd be loading up
- 24:35Speaker 1: on the Cowboys. But because I have so many questions
- 24:37Speaker 1: about their head coach, I've only probably put two or
- 24:39Speaker 1: three thousand on it. So it's again, I believe in
- 24:43Speaker 1: this team, in the Cowboys, but man, a lot of
- 24:46Speaker 1: questions that that head coach position. Uh, Matt Nagy, Mike McCarthy,
- 24:52Speaker 1: you can only choose one. Who do you choose? The
- 24:55Speaker 1: gun on the table, buddy, Yeah, I wouldn't. I couldn't
- 24:58Speaker 1: do it if I had to. When I go Naggie though, um,
- 25:02Speaker 1: just because I've seen him call smart offensive plays, but
- 25:04Speaker 1: I've also seen him ruin two quarterbacks. So it's hard
- 25:07Speaker 1: to say Mr Robisky should be in the Hall of Fame.
- 25:09Speaker 1: That's all I'm gonna say. That's it. It's clear that
- 25:13Speaker 1: I was on the wrong side of this debate that
- 25:15Speaker 1: Robinsky wasn't the problem. Nigi was the problem. No, he's
- 25:18Speaker 1: gonna pull it, Dannihill. He's gonna end up somewhere and
- 25:20Speaker 1: end up be a starter. It's very possible, right, Yeah,
- 25:23Speaker 1: it feels that way. Oh my god. I didn't think
- 25:26Speaker 1: about that. He's gonna end up being a starter in
- 25:30Speaker 1: Detroit or Minnesota. No, he's going to end up being
- 25:35Speaker 1: Aaron Rodgers replacement in Green Bay, and he is going
- 25:40Speaker 1: to come back to haunt the Bears for the next decade.
- 25:44Speaker 1: That would because he's still young. He's like what Detroit
- 25:49Speaker 1: Lions at Minnesota Vikings. The Lions did not play well
- 25:54Speaker 1: against the Bears, and I was I was frustrated because
- 25:57Speaker 1: I took the Lions plus three, me and my buddy Matt.
- 26:00Speaker 1: He was really into the lines plus three still sort
- 26:02Speaker 1: of fading. It felt like the wrong spot to take
- 26:05Speaker 1: the lines, to be honest, and it felt like a
- 26:07Speaker 1: get right spot for the Bears. I tried warning you
- 26:09Speaker 1: in our pregame. You did. You tried to warn me
- 26:11Speaker 1: on convinced me Sunday mornings eleven am. Add Action Network
- 26:14Speaker 1: HQ will go over everything and Simon tried to warn
- 26:17Speaker 1: me on the Bears Bears on back to back weeks. Yeah, yeah, no, totally,
- 26:21Speaker 1: you did. By the way, you totally hit that. The lines.
- 26:24Speaker 1: They they aren't a good team. We've talked about this.
- 26:28Speaker 1: They do have issues. I of course can see Minnesota
- 26:32Speaker 1: bouncing back from They literally scored seven points in the
- 26:35Speaker 1: first quarter of that game and then we're shut out
- 26:37Speaker 1: the remainder of the game at home bizarre. So you
- 26:41Speaker 1: do expect the Vikings to bounce back. We so do,
- 26:44Speaker 1: so do with the lines. The lines aren't as bad
- 26:45Speaker 1: as they played against the Bears team. They had a
- 26:47Speaker 1: bunch of just really bad plays by no other than
- 26:50Speaker 1: Jared Golf. So yeah, if this stay is above seven,
- 26:53Speaker 1: we'll be in on it. But this is one of
- 26:55Speaker 1: the rare times where I like taking road divisional teams
- 26:58Speaker 1: taking their money lines. I probably won't lines here just
- 27:00Speaker 1: because I don't think they know how to win. They
- 27:03Speaker 1: seem like that team that just does not know how
- 27:05Speaker 1: to win. Um, So I won't take lines money line,
- 27:08Speaker 1: but we'll be taking a seven and a half. It's
- 27:10Speaker 1: a great point. I um. I want the Lions to
- 27:17Speaker 1: be better than they are. I've sort of been turned
- 27:19Speaker 1: around by this team because, yeah, they're fun. I like
- 27:23Speaker 1: Jared Goff just feels like he doesn't know any better,
- 27:26Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like he's kind of this
- 27:29Speaker 1: geeky dude who just believes that his teams can be
- 27:32Speaker 1: good even when everyone else is like, dude, you guys
- 27:35Speaker 1: aren't very good. For the Lions. I love to root
- 27:40Speaker 1: for them. Probably take him at seven and a half.
- 27:43Speaker 1: I think I agree with you. Not going to be
- 27:46Speaker 1: a contest play for usn't do it. And now a
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- 29:36Speaker 1: next step or text next step to five three three
- 29:39Speaker 1: four two in Arizona. Let's get back to the show.
- 29:44Speaker 1: Tennessee Titans at Jacksonville Jaguars. This game open to three,
- 29:50Speaker 1: Titans to three point, got it up to four. I'm
- 29:53Speaker 1: I'm look, the Jaguars are a hot mess. They're a
- 29:56Speaker 1: bad team. A coach who is we have said from
- 30:00Speaker 1: the beginning, is in over his head. And if there
- 30:03Speaker 1: are odds on him not finishing the season, I would
- 30:07Speaker 1: have been uh fading him finishing the season from week one.
- 30:14Speaker 1: And it's not a game where like I'm not uncomfortable
- 30:17Speaker 1: betting against the home dog here, even if the line
- 30:19Speaker 1: is going up a little bit. Like the Titans, I
- 30:21Speaker 1: think you can get healthy quick. They actually played much
- 30:24Speaker 1: better than the Jets, Like if you look at the stats,
- 30:26Speaker 1: if you look at the box score, they played much
- 30:29Speaker 1: much better than the Jets and had a lot of mistakes,
- 30:32Speaker 1: a lot of offensive line issues, and still came a
- 30:36Speaker 1: shank forty nine yard field goal away from winning that game. Chad,
- 30:41Speaker 1: you want to start betting against each other. This is
- 30:43Speaker 1: one of the games we can do that on. You
- 30:45Speaker 1: can take Tennessee Titans. I would take the ugly home
- 30:48Speaker 1: dog and the Jaguars. I mean, it's the Jaguars of
- 30:52Speaker 1: the exact right side to take Um, but this team
- 30:56Speaker 1: is a massive epic proportions. They're all hool I mean
- 31:00Speaker 1: the funny sport too, is we shoot on them all
- 31:02Speaker 1: preseason and that's like my job where I am a
- 31:06Speaker 1: love hey guy, Like I hate the Jaguars. I'm probably
- 31:09Speaker 1: the only guy that's been betting on the last three
- 31:10Speaker 1: straight weeks. Um, I'm back again betting the Jaguars home
- 31:16Speaker 1: Dog Divisional game extended. Rest. You're I mean, you're hit.
- 31:21Speaker 1: You're You're hitting all the notes here, Like you got
- 31:23Speaker 1: players already talking to press saying no one respects this
- 31:25Speaker 1: guy in the building. You got the owner writing in
- 31:28Speaker 1: his iPhone notepad and I'm posting it on social media
- 31:31Speaker 1: telling him like saying, this guy needs to get together
- 31:34Speaker 1: and earn our trust back all this other stuff. Don't
- 31:37Speaker 1: we all know in the back from mine, Urban did
- 31:39Speaker 1: all that on purpose. I feel like he was trying
- 31:41Speaker 1: to get fired, like he could turn it where it
- 31:43Speaker 1: wasn't his fault that he got left the NFL, that
- 31:46Speaker 1: the NFL didn't want him. Blah blah blah. I can't
- 31:49Speaker 1: give up yet. I I hated Tennessee coming in this year.
- 31:53Speaker 1: Tennessee tennis. Tennessee should be one in three again they
- 31:56Speaker 1: stole that game from the Seahawks. Keep fading. I'm happy
- 32:00Speaker 1: to keep in Tennessee Titans here. I'll be on an island.
- 32:03Speaker 1: This is literally the emphasis of pros versus shows. Uh,
- 32:07Speaker 1: only professionals will be taken this plus four. I'm the
- 32:10Speaker 1: Jaguars because this easily could be fourteen nothing one minute
- 32:13Speaker 1: in with the Tennessee Titans. But I have to bet
- 32:16Speaker 1: at home dog in a divisional game like this chat,
- 32:18Speaker 1: and you know everything you said is right. This is
- 32:22Speaker 1: like the most drama filled worst team. So the odds,
- 32:26Speaker 1: I mean, you're making this one of our best five
- 32:27Speaker 1: is pretty much zero. So I I would tell people,
- 32:32Speaker 1: I can't fault you for taking the Tennessee Titans here,
- 32:35Speaker 1: but this is a bad situation for the Tennessee Titans
- 32:38Speaker 1: in a bad spot, So uh, bet at your own accord.
- 32:42Speaker 1: I Um, you know bet Labs, which is one of
- 32:46Speaker 1: the products we have an action which has this this
- 32:49Speaker 1: database that has millions and millions of data points going
- 32:52Speaker 1: back to two thousand and three for betting. I am
- 32:54Speaker 1: going to have to look up the system that looks
- 32:57Speaker 1: at home dogs in divisional games and see if the
- 33:04Speaker 1: theory is supported by the evidence. I want to take
- 33:09Speaker 1: the Titans here, might want to take go against you
- 33:11Speaker 1: and take the Titans based on based on because sometimes
- 33:15Speaker 1: you've got a balance, like sure Home Doogs Divisional game
- 33:19Speaker 1: more than four. Now you're you're doing the human thing.
- 33:21Speaker 1: You're saying, screw the data, look at the drama, which
- 33:24Speaker 1: I can't fault you. That's you're literally right. Everything we've
- 33:27Speaker 1: heard has been negative about Irban Mayer the last three days.
- 33:30Speaker 1: But that's why my makes my job so tough. I
- 33:33Speaker 1: just try to have to kind of trust the data
- 33:34Speaker 1: and try to play it out long term. I'm a human.
- 33:40Speaker 1: Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers look tremendous changes here because
- 33:48Speaker 1: of Teddy covers. The game opened at four and a half.
- 33:51Speaker 1: Now it's down to one. What is happening here? Why,
- 33:54Speaker 1: by the way, it opened Broncos plus four and a half.
- 33:58Speaker 1: Now it's down to Broncos plus one. Big Ben, we
- 34:02Speaker 1: were all over the Steelers last week. It was a
- 34:04Speaker 1: raw rod. Mike Tomlin spot ra ra Mike Tomlin spot.
- 34:09Speaker 1: We win the game with the cool bodies right here today.
- 34:13Speaker 1: Bring all the game today. But someone asked everything about
- 34:18Speaker 1: what we are doing to back the Steelers is when
- 34:22Speaker 1: they have a great defense and a quarterback who is serviceable.
- 34:26Speaker 1: Ben just looked like he needed a walk aro out there.
- 34:30Speaker 1: I feel like that was the refs affected that game.
- 34:32Speaker 1: It was ten to seven. Green Bay lined up to
- 34:35Speaker 1: kick a field goal. It got blocked, returned for a touchdown.
- 34:37Speaker 1: So she's been fourteen to ten. Pittsburgh referee said the
- 34:41Speaker 1: guy was off side. He clearly wasn't. That was a bad,
- 34:43Speaker 1: bad job of the refs. Green Bay comes down to
- 34:46Speaker 1: kick a field goal instead, So now they're up thirteen
- 34:48Speaker 1: to seven, start the ball the second half. They are
- 34:51Speaker 1: now twenty seven. That game is over. So I liked
- 34:54Speaker 1: where our heads were at with taking Pittsburgh. Um, it
- 34:57Speaker 1: just didn't obviously go away. Yeah, you're right, then it's terrible.
- 35:01Speaker 1: He's literally a corpse out there. We don't know what's
- 35:04Speaker 1: going on in Denver. We don't if like if this
- 35:06Speaker 1: is Drew Lock, are we really about the back Drew
- 35:08Speaker 1: Lock on the road against this Pittsburgh defense. So right,
- 35:12Speaker 1: that's the hardest part. It's like the pro and he says, yeah,
- 35:16Speaker 1: we'll take the young quarterback with a good defense, but
- 35:19Speaker 1: if it's not Teddy Bridgewater. I I just can't do it.
- 35:22Speaker 1: So well, we'll wait and see. But Teddy, he got
- 35:25Speaker 1: knocked out cold. He was literally knocked out of that
- 35:27Speaker 1: game against Baltimore. So I'm gonna waiting on. I'm not
- 35:30Speaker 1: gonna really touch this line right now. Yeah, we gotta
- 35:32Speaker 1: pass and weight on this one. Green Bay Packers at
- 35:35Speaker 1: Cincinnati Bengals. There's gonna be a good one. The Packers
- 35:39Speaker 1: opened his six point favorites the Bengals one in dramatic
- 35:43Speaker 1: fashion on Thursday night. The Packers continue to roll, steam
- 35:46Speaker 1: rolling the Steelers, who a lot of wise guys love.
- 35:49Speaker 1: This is a pros Joe's game. The lines moved to three,
- 35:52Speaker 1: even though of the bets are on the Packers and
- 35:56Speaker 1: the money is on the angles. Simon, do we back
- 36:02Speaker 1: the Bengals at three or is the number gone? We
- 36:07Speaker 1: need that three and a half. I needed Chad, I
- 36:09Speaker 1: want it bad uh. We love the Bengals in this position,
- 36:13Speaker 1: Green Bay, they are I don't even describe it like
- 36:19Speaker 1: I love Green Bay and I respect them and Aaron
- 36:22Speaker 1: Rodgers incredible. Something is just not right. I feel like
- 36:25Speaker 1: all of us filled that way. There's just something not
- 36:26Speaker 1: right of the Screen Bay team now they might be
- 36:29Speaker 1: out there number one corner as well against this Bengals team.
- 36:32Speaker 1: That man that was a tone setter for the rest
- 36:35Speaker 1: of their season. Coming back down fourteen nothing at home
- 36:38Speaker 1: in the second half to come back and win that
- 36:40Speaker 1: game against Jaguars. It's just something that you know, they
- 36:43Speaker 1: might not even have that with any Dalton. I'm not
- 36:45Speaker 1: sure any dolt could have ever done that for that
- 36:46Speaker 1: Cincinnati team. So it's I'm scared because I am. It
- 36:51Speaker 1: feels like I am buying high on this Bengals team.
- 36:55Speaker 1: But this is a good number three, three and a
- 36:58Speaker 1: half at home against Green Bay where there's just something
- 37:02Speaker 1: missing on this Green Bay team, and again I don't
- 37:04Speaker 1: trust their defense be able to get stopped. So give me,
- 37:08Speaker 1: give me the plus three, give me the plus three
- 37:09Speaker 1: and a half of the Cincinnati But we're not We're not.
- 37:13Speaker 1: I would say, we're not betting this right now, like
- 37:14Speaker 1: I would love to make this my Simon says play.
- 37:17Speaker 1: But I feel like you're gonna wait, maybe get back
- 37:19Speaker 1: to three and a half because I know the pros
- 37:21Speaker 1: have coming very heavy on this early in the week.
- 37:24Speaker 1: All the publics gonna come in later in the week
- 37:26Speaker 1: on Green Bay This is gonna be a big teaser,
- 37:28Speaker 1: big money line bet for a lot of the public
- 37:30Speaker 1: with Green Bay. So I'd advise people just to wait
- 37:33Speaker 1: and hope to get that three and a half back.
- 37:35Speaker 1: It's so hard to wait as someone who's watching these lines,
- 37:39Speaker 1: and you see things start to move on a Thursday
- 37:41Speaker 1: or a Friday. You know, I'm on the Action Network
- 37:44Speaker 1: website and the Action Network Gap and we can see
- 37:46Speaker 1: every line. Anybody can see every line for every sports book.
- 37:50Speaker 1: And and what's cool is the lines that are moving
- 37:54Speaker 1: will pop up. You'll see a red box, you'll see
- 37:56Speaker 1: a green box. It makes you so anty. It's it's
- 37:58Speaker 1: like the stock is moving you how to get in
- 38:00Speaker 1: on it. That makes me nervous waiting. Why wouldn't we
- 38:03Speaker 1: just that the Bengals money line? I usually, I mean
- 38:05Speaker 1: I will, but I'd have more on the three and
- 38:08Speaker 1: three and a half because this this this is a
- 38:09Speaker 1: smart number. Like it feels like Aaron Rodgers gets the
- 38:12Speaker 1: ball to nd the game, they win by a late
- 38:14Speaker 1: field goal, to win by two or win by three.
- 38:16Speaker 1: So that that's why, like a few games, it feels
- 38:19Speaker 1: like a really smart number. So I just I prefer
- 38:22Speaker 1: the three and a half for this one, New Orleans
- 38:25Speaker 1: Saints at Washington football team. It's another really interesting game.
- 38:29Speaker 1: Opened it pick moved to one and a half. I'm
- 38:33Speaker 1: gonna lean Washington football team here pretty soon. Don't we
- 38:37Speaker 1: love Washington here? Uh? We love Washington here. The scariest
- 38:41Speaker 1: thing is they like you keep talking about and I
- 38:44Speaker 1: need to start believing it. This defense not good. The
- 38:48Speaker 1: d line is just not getting There um a lot
- 38:53Speaker 1: of issues right now this Washington team. And that's what
- 38:55Speaker 1: stinks is like I love this position they're in right
- 38:58Speaker 1: now where the Saints team, not that that Giants exposed them,
- 39:03Speaker 1: but we saw Winston got taken out. They put Taysom
- 39:06Speaker 1: Hill in and it's just they don't have a real
- 39:08Speaker 1: quarterback for the Saints. And you know, you can say
- 39:13Speaker 1: what you want about this Washington football team. Heinik is
- 39:15Speaker 1: not that bad. I mean he literally had them come
- 39:17Speaker 1: back and win that game against Atlanta. So just off
- 39:21Speaker 1: that taking the home dog, I feel better about the
- 39:23Speaker 1: QB situation. I'll take Washington, but it's it's another one
- 39:29Speaker 1: of those where I feel like people might build a
- 39:30Speaker 1: weight because the public's gonna come in so heavy on
- 39:32Speaker 1: the Saints where this has already moved up to plus
- 39:34Speaker 1: two now for Washington certain books, so I I wouldn't
- 39:39Speaker 1: rush into it, but I would definitely take Washington here. Uh,
- 39:44Speaker 1: I'm with you on this one. The one thing that
- 39:46Speaker 1: gives me pause is how good um Sean Payton is
- 39:51Speaker 1: off of the loss. That's true. That was with Drew Breeso.
- 39:55Speaker 1: That's why we're we're trying to adjust. You're on the
- 39:57Speaker 1: fly with Belichick and Sean Payton. They had two great
- 40:00Speaker 1: quarterbacks for over ten years. We have to start adjusting
- 40:03Speaker 1: on these old, old trends we used to play off phone.
- 40:07Speaker 1: Very good point, Simon. That is a professional betting, right,
- 40:14Speaker 1: If I play all the angles chat, I'm always playing
- 40:16Speaker 1: the angles. But I love it. I love it all right?
- 40:18Speaker 1: All right? Can we please talk about Chicago Bears at
- 40:23Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders. The autumn win is a radar. Just
- 40:29Speaker 1: this line has moved the Bears open to three and
- 40:32Speaker 1: a half. It's now five and a half. I don't
- 40:35Speaker 1: know what's causing the move really, because the Raiders did
- 40:38Speaker 1: not look good last night at all against the Chargers.
- 40:42Speaker 1: They looked like the Raiders team that I thought they
- 40:43Speaker 1: were going to be all season, right, and can't just
- 40:46Speaker 1: be well, the Bears have Matt n It can't be
- 40:48Speaker 1: anti Matt Niggie justin Fields movement from Betters here, sorry
- 40:53Speaker 1: to deal with trying to have to fade the Bears here.
- 40:57Speaker 1: We've seen a pattern and the Bears starting to develop
- 40:59Speaker 1: their ship on the road. And they're good at home,
- 41:02Speaker 1: they're on the road, They're playing against a team that
- 41:04Speaker 1: has one of the best home crowds now Football, the
- 41:06Speaker 1: Las Vegas Raiders. I hate doing it, so chalky, but
- 41:11Speaker 1: I'm gonna be riding with the public. I'm gonna be
- 41:13Speaker 1: taking the Raiders this week. I had this number at six.
- 41:16Speaker 1: I love when it opened. I thought you're getting good value.
- 41:18Speaker 1: I still think you're getting pretty good value. But like
- 41:20Speaker 1: you just talked about, that's that hurts the early line movement.
- 41:23Speaker 1: The pros came in, they ate that number up. Now
- 41:25Speaker 1: it's up to five, five and a half of certain
- 41:27Speaker 1: books not not loving it that value. But I still
- 41:31Speaker 1: would have no problem taking uh the last figas Raiders
- 41:35Speaker 1: of that spot. But yeah, this is again, this is
- 41:38Speaker 1: just a bad situation for the Bears to be walking
- 41:40Speaker 1: into their coming off a huge divisional win at home,
- 41:43Speaker 1: now going on the road, playing a team that just
- 41:45Speaker 1: lost a divisional game on the road coming home. It's
- 41:48Speaker 1: again Fields, he could be the change to everything, where
- 41:52Speaker 1: this guy is gonna be such a game changer that
- 41:55Speaker 1: it sparks a whole new life into this Bearers team.
- 41:58Speaker 1: But then you here Matt Naggy talk. He talks about
- 42:00Speaker 1: how Andy Dalton is gonna be the starter when he's
- 42:01Speaker 1: healthy when he comes back, just completely takes all the
- 42:04Speaker 1: wind out of the Sales. So I just don't like
- 42:07Speaker 1: what's going on the Bears team. I'm gonna fade them
- 42:09Speaker 1: in this position. So you're talking to me about emotion
- 42:14Speaker 1: and situation. Talk to me about what you're seeing on
- 42:19Speaker 1: the field that makes me want to fade the Bears.
- 42:23Speaker 1: The biggest thing is your offensive line. Major issues, major flaws.
- 42:26Speaker 1: You got away over it against Detroit because Detroit doesn't
- 42:28Speaker 1: have a Max Crosby, Like, they don't have these really
- 42:32Speaker 1: good pass rushers like we've seen Oakland half. So we
- 42:36Speaker 1: saw what happened Fields against Cleveland. He got smothered when
- 42:39Speaker 1: he played against legit pass rushers. I feel like that's
- 42:42Speaker 1: the biggest thing for me in this game. You know,
- 42:44Speaker 1: I love the line olin matchups. It's one of the
- 42:46Speaker 1: biggest things I feel like I can advantage on. This
- 42:48Speaker 1: is what stands out in this game. It's there's gonna
- 42:52Speaker 1: be too many times where you're gonna eat fields and
- 42:54Speaker 1: make a play and he's not gonna have the time
- 42:55Speaker 1: to make the plays. Because we've seen it already. This
- 42:57Speaker 1: kid has one of the prettiest deep balls in all
- 42:59Speaker 1: full ball. I mean, a couple of his passes were
- 43:02Speaker 1: incredible last week. But if he doesn't have the time,
- 43:05Speaker 1: and we know with fields he needs the time, that's
- 43:08Speaker 1: that's a problem. So just the D line on line
- 43:11Speaker 1: matchup alone is a big, big thing. Excuse me towards
- 43:13Speaker 1: Oakland this week or Las Vegas. You're getting there trying
- 43:18Speaker 1: so hard. You're trying so hard, all right. This is
- 43:21Speaker 1: one of my favorite games of the week. Cleveland Browns
- 43:24Speaker 1: at Los Angeles Chargers. This game opened Browns minus one
- 43:28Speaker 1: and a half. It is now Chargers minus one. Simon,
- 43:34Speaker 1: I don't want to hear about it. If you're not
- 43:36Speaker 1: going with the Chargers in this game, you and I
- 43:39Speaker 1: have to go against each other. They we're going against
- 43:42Speaker 1: each other. Sorry, buddy, tell me why blow so high?
- 43:46Speaker 1: No one thinks the Browns are good that everyone looks
- 43:48Speaker 1: at the box score they see how bad Baker was
- 43:51Speaker 1: in that win. I have to have to the half
- 43:53Speaker 1: to back the Browns here. Um, the Chargers are rolling
- 43:57Speaker 1: right now, so people listen to this. I can't fall
- 44:00Speaker 1: you at all for taking the Charges with Chad. That's
- 44:02Speaker 1: an emotional bet though, and by the numbers, by the logic,
- 44:06Speaker 1: you take the Browns in this position, they are They
- 44:09Speaker 1: are one of these teams that they've kind of proven it.
- 44:10Speaker 1: To me that not that Stefanski is like willing to
- 44:13Speaker 1: go for it, but that's what both these coaches are,
- 44:16Speaker 1: Like it's fourth down, they don't care. Both of them
- 44:18Speaker 1: are fine putting their offenses back on the field. And
- 44:22Speaker 1: I need to I need to see more from this
- 44:25Speaker 1: guy Staley. Uh. It feels like Herbert someone bailing the
- 44:28Speaker 1: mountain these games like that. Everything of that game last night.
- 44:32Speaker 1: I mean, they were just taking on water and Herbert
- 44:35Speaker 1: kind of pulled them out of it, drove the field
- 44:36Speaker 1: and got a touchdown and kind of stopped the storm.
- 44:38Speaker 1: Without Las Vegas, I don't know if they're gonna do
- 44:41Speaker 1: the same against the Browns. The Browns to me, are
- 44:43Speaker 1: one of the best running teams of football. We've seen
- 44:45Speaker 1: it with the Chargers. They kind of put themselves in
- 44:48Speaker 1: these weird third down positions. That's gonna catch up to him.
- 44:51Speaker 1: I got no problem sitting this one out, Chad. This
- 44:54Speaker 1: won't be our five just because we disagree on it,
- 44:55Speaker 1: but I will unfortunately be back in Baker against you know,
- 45:00Speaker 1: my favorite quarterback and football now, Herbert. Yeah. I think
- 45:05Speaker 1: you're overthinking it. At the end of the day, it's
- 45:08Speaker 1: a it's two young, aggressive coaches. It's a good running
- 45:15Speaker 1: game in the Chargers against a really good running game
- 45:20Speaker 1: in the Browns. Take the best quarterback at home. That's it,
- 45:27Speaker 1: and like there's no like, you're getting him basically to win.
- 45:36Speaker 1: That's what you do. The better quarterback with all world
- 45:39Speaker 1: receivers and a running back built like a bowling ball,
- 45:43Speaker 1: and a defensive line that can rush a passer who's
- 45:46Speaker 1: prone to making mistakes and plays and throws inaccurate balls
- 45:51Speaker 1: and doesn't scare that this line is a minus three.
- 45:58Speaker 1: It doesn't scare me because it makes good. It should.
- 46:01Speaker 1: They're telling you something by not making a minus three.
- 46:04Speaker 1: We're saying, basically, you're overlooking this really good Cleveland team.
- 46:07Speaker 1: And that's that's the hard part about what I do.
- 46:10Speaker 1: It's like, ve guess they get little little crumbs. These
- 46:12Speaker 1: little crumbs you have to follow them to see what
- 46:14Speaker 1: they're doing here, and this is what they're doing. They're
- 46:16Speaker 1: kind of landage trap. It feels like that's That's another
- 46:19Speaker 1: main reason I'm on Cleveland. It's because what the bookmakers
- 46:22Speaker 1: are saying. Yeah, they they know what they're doing. They
- 46:24Speaker 1: lay traps, and like this line jumped out with a minute.
- 46:28Speaker 1: I saw this line, I go, oh, I love the
- 46:29Speaker 1: Chargers this week, And when I ran the numbers, I
- 46:32Speaker 1: was like, oh shit, the sports books they know what
- 46:34Speaker 1: they're doing. This This line should be one, maybe two
- 46:37Speaker 1: at best. And it's I said, I'm saying towards Browns,
- 46:42Speaker 1: not towards the Chargers. So it's interesting the movement just
- 46:45Speaker 1: because we saw what happened last night. The Chargers look
- 46:49Speaker 1: like the best team of football, Like Herbert looks like
- 46:51Speaker 1: one of the best quarterbacks in football. I gotta try
- 46:54Speaker 1: to fade them. It's it's it's in a hard life chat.
- 46:58Speaker 1: I want to go against you, but now I'm not
- 47:00Speaker 1: comfortable doing it. That's my job. That's my job. Hi,
- 47:05Speaker 1: We're gonna put a pin in that one New York
- 47:08Speaker 1: Giants at Dallas Cowboys. The Giants are seven point underdogs
- 47:13Speaker 1: in this game. Danny Dimes on the road is a genius.
- 47:18Speaker 1: Danny Dimes coming off a big win against the Cowboys
- 47:22Speaker 1: team that to me just gets more inflated and more inflated,
- 47:25Speaker 1: because all of a sudden, even professional betters are interested
- 47:29Speaker 1: in buying into the Cowboys to win the Super Bowl. Yeah.
- 47:32Speaker 1: And if you're new to the show, me and Chad,
- 47:34Speaker 1: all we do is bet the Giants on the road
- 47:35Speaker 1: and we fade them at home. We of course we're
- 47:38Speaker 1: betting the Giants in this position, road dogs seven and
- 47:41Speaker 1: a half. Seven, We love it. Cowboys are great, They're
- 47:45Speaker 1: just over inflated r right now. Their defensive believe as
- 47:48Speaker 1: ten turnovers, which is by far the highest in the league.
- 47:51Speaker 1: It's for aggression. Uh yeah, well we'll take this seven
- 47:56Speaker 1: and a half. But I know there's like a nine
- 47:58Speaker 1: decent chance. I'm gonna be like, I can't put this
- 48:01Speaker 1: in our best five just because how lucky do we feel?
- 48:04Speaker 1: Last week with the Giants, they were down so lucky
- 48:10Speaker 1: and they came all the way back and tied it
- 48:11Speaker 1: up with a few point conversion. A field goal into
- 48:14Speaker 1: overtime to a touchdown. We're playing with fire a little bit,
- 48:18Speaker 1: but we we take the Giants as a dog on
- 48:20Speaker 1: the road. This is what we do. Uh. This is
- 48:23Speaker 1: when you and I can disagree about the Browns and
- 48:27Speaker 1: the Chargers. We cannot disagree about the Giants and the Cowboys.
- 48:31Speaker 1: This is when professional betters make their money. You and
- 48:34Speaker 1: I can disagree about the Jacks and the Titans. Should
- 48:36Speaker 1: we say it's my Simon says, play because I feel
- 48:38Speaker 1: like if you can get the seven and a half
- 48:39Speaker 1: right now, you have to take it while you can.
- 48:41Speaker 1: I think you gotta say it. When Simons do it,
- 48:44Speaker 1: we do. Yeah. Simon says, take that seven and a half, people,
- 48:49Speaker 1: Simonds says, take the Giants plus seven and a half.
- 48:52Speaker 1: You're getting an overinflated Cowboys team. There's bound to be
- 48:56Speaker 1: some kind of regression. This could be the week against
- 49:00Speaker 1: the resurgent Giants team that always plays better on the
- 49:04Speaker 1: road then at home. Buy it up like it's on sale.
- 49:09Speaker 1: Giants plus seven and a half. There you go. It
- 49:12Speaker 1: feels good to say it. It does. I'm totally good
- 49:15Speaker 1: with that number. San Francisco forty niners at Arizona Cardinals
- 49:21Speaker 1: forty Niners, five and a half point underdogs. Right now,
- 49:26Speaker 1: it feels like we can't even really talk about this game.
- 49:28Speaker 1: We just don't know enough about the quarterback situation. Yeah,
- 49:32Speaker 1: wait on it. Even if if someone if you're sitting
- 49:34Speaker 1: there and you want to take the Cardinals, I don't
- 49:38Speaker 1: know if I would hit it right now, just because
- 49:39Speaker 1: it's already up to five and most books the pros,
- 49:43Speaker 1: I already tell you I'm gonna be in the forty
- 49:44Speaker 1: Niners just on the hope it is Trey Lance, because
- 49:48Speaker 1: I love this kid's upside and I love the way
- 49:50Speaker 1: his style matches up against this Cardinals defense where they
- 49:54Speaker 1: are susceptible to running quarterbacks. That's a big red flag
- 49:58Speaker 1: for this Cardinals defense. But Kyler Murray's MVP right now, Chad,
- 50:02Speaker 1: so I doubt me and you will have this is
- 50:05Speaker 1: one of our five because it's it's scary. The whole
- 50:08Speaker 1: four nin secondaries banged up as well against this Cordner's offense.
- 50:11Speaker 1: Too many red flags. I'll just stay away from it
- 50:14Speaker 1: for now. We gotta get Yeah, I agree, we gotta
- 50:17Speaker 1: skip this game because we also we gotta get to
- 50:18Speaker 1: the Sunday night football game Buffalo Bills at Kansas City Chiefs.
- 50:24Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell's Buffalo Bills representing the Paris of Western New
- 50:30Speaker 1: York visiting the Kansas City Chiefs, who finally covered a
- 50:33Speaker 1: game beating the Eagles. Two and a half point favorites,
- 50:37Speaker 1: three point favorites depending on the juice. Bets on the
- 50:40Speaker 1: Bills right now, money on the Chiefs fifty. Have the
- 50:46Speaker 1: Chiefs turned the a t s corner? Are the Bills
- 50:52Speaker 1: a team that looks like when they're blowing bad teams
- 50:56Speaker 1: out what they're supposed to look like? What do we
- 50:58Speaker 1: think here? I uttered up Matt Mitchell because I want
- 51:01Speaker 1: to hear his opinion about his Bills, because they're all
- 51:03Speaker 1: feeling so good. Of course I'm taking the Kansas City Chiefs. Uh,
- 51:08Speaker 1: this is such a situation, will play. I love the Bills.
- 51:11Speaker 1: I just bet them at the best record in football.
- 51:15Speaker 1: But the numbers now below three. We we like the
- 51:17Speaker 1: Bills when it was above three, and at three that's
- 51:19Speaker 1: a good number. Now that it's below it, well, we'll
- 51:22Speaker 1: take the Chiefs as the home team. You know, I
- 51:27Speaker 1: I can't truss this enough that we know the problems
- 51:31Speaker 1: of Kansas City. Okay, their defense cannot stop anybody like
- 51:36Speaker 1: the Bills offense is gonna cut through them so easily.
- 51:39Speaker 1: This is this is a perfect matchup for this Bills team.
- 51:43Speaker 1: But we saw what happens with these kind of games.
- 51:45Speaker 1: This is a primetime game. I just have to trust
- 51:49Speaker 1: my homes, Who's been in the spot millions of times,
- 51:52Speaker 1: and I've seen Josh Allen Wilton these positions, and we
- 51:55Speaker 1: saw what happened when the last time the Bills went
- 51:58Speaker 1: to Arrowhead and played, they fell apart, they could not
- 52:01Speaker 1: move the ball, and the Chiefs played a fall this
- 52:03Speaker 1: game and dominated them. So it's very different teams. Now.
- 52:06Speaker 1: I know the Chiefs have lost a lot of pieces.
- 52:08Speaker 1: Their old line hasn't looked right. This is where I'm
- 52:10Speaker 1: actually making an emotional bet. I'm going with the Chiefs
- 52:12Speaker 1: just because I can't take a team against my homes.
- 52:17Speaker 1: My homes is less than a field goal at home
- 52:18Speaker 1: unless it was Tom Brady's if it's sitting down three
- 52:21Speaker 1: thirds on the you know, Sunday night, I would stay
- 52:23Speaker 1: away from the Bills and the Chiefs, but we used vandals,
- 52:26Speaker 1: so yes, I fandle it's still at three. As a professional,
- 52:29Speaker 1: you're not getting huge advantage in this position going against
- 52:32Speaker 1: either of these teams. So, but the smart side to
- 52:34Speaker 1: me will just be taken my homes under a field
- 52:36Speaker 1: goal at home. And that's why I have to do it.
- 52:38Speaker 1: I mean, if you get Chiefs minus two and a half,
- 52:40Speaker 1: then you should if you can only get three or three.
- 52:43Speaker 1: If you can get three, you stay away. If you
- 52:45Speaker 1: get three and a half, you take the Bills. Exactly.
- 52:47Speaker 1: This is a field goal game. A lot of my
- 52:49Speaker 1: teasers are gonna be tied towards the Bills. I I
- 52:52Speaker 1: can't see the Bills getting blown out against this Chief's defense.
- 52:55Speaker 1: But also I just can't see how the Chiefs lose
- 52:58Speaker 1: this game. This is just it's just hard to bet
- 53:00Speaker 1: against my homes. Were the only losses they've had this
- 53:02Speaker 1: season are self inflicted wounds. So I'll take the minus
- 53:05Speaker 1: two and a half alright, minus two and a half
- 53:08Speaker 1: if you can find it, minus three, stay away, plus
- 53:11Speaker 1: three and a half, take the Bills. Monday Night Football,
- 53:20Speaker 1: Indianapolis Colts at Baltimore Ravens. The Colts are now seven
- 53:30Speaker 1: point underdogs on the road against the Ravens. I don't
- 53:35Speaker 1: have a strong opinion about this game. In fact, it's
- 53:37Speaker 1: completely uninteresting to me. I get it. I'll take the
- 53:40Speaker 1: cold Sire just because their defense is so good. But
- 53:43Speaker 1: right I like, I got burned Ben against Lamar last week.
- 53:46Speaker 1: Lamar beats up bad teams. He's winning out to believe,
- 53:49Speaker 1: a seventy eight percent now against teams below five hundred.
- 53:52Speaker 1: He's unbelievable. So it's a weird line. I'm I'm shocked
- 53:56Speaker 1: they didn't hang it seven and a half just because
- 53:58Speaker 1: I'm not sure how much money will become And on
- 54:00Speaker 1: the Colts and Carson Wentz, but I'll be one of them.
- 54:03Speaker 1: It's just a it's a big, big game to have
- 54:04Speaker 1: a field goal, I mean a touchdown spread. Well, it's
- 54:07Speaker 1: just too really good defense is like this Colts defense
- 54:10Speaker 1: is for real. I feel like not enough people realize that.
- 54:13Speaker 1: So not not one of our best five, but I
- 54:15Speaker 1: do like the Colts in this position. Dude, I don't
- 54:17Speaker 1: even know if we have five right now. No, probably
- 54:21Speaker 1: not again. There's just too much uncertainty, Like there's too
- 54:23Speaker 1: many injuries and different things right now. Earlier this week,
- 54:26Speaker 1: which usually I would have a bunch of lines I
- 54:28Speaker 1: really like, and I've already bet there's just too much.
- 54:31Speaker 1: There's too many, Like I'm not sure what quarterbacks playing
- 54:33Speaker 1: for which team and what's gonna happen earlier later in
- 54:35Speaker 1: the week. So it's it's definitely tough picking five here
- 54:39Speaker 1: on Tuesday. Like right now, we like the Giants, by
- 54:42Speaker 1: the way Giants Simon says, maybe we'll end up like
- 54:46Speaker 1: in the washingt football team. We want that to move
- 54:48Speaker 1: the Bengals. We probably are gonna end up liking the Bengals.
- 54:51Speaker 1: Carolina minus three and a half, foxhold Miami plus ten
- 54:55Speaker 1: against the Buccaneers not a lot that we love. We're
- 54:57Speaker 1: gonna need to expand the field a little bit on Thursday,
- 54:59Speaker 1: and so that's what we need. We need a week.
- 55:01Speaker 1: We're not that much in love because we've been in
- 55:03Speaker 1: love all these weeks. We're just like slowly treading water.
- 55:06Speaker 1: We need we need a five in a week. We do,
- 55:10Speaker 1: and if the Bills do get the three and a half,
- 55:12Speaker 1: we we like that number a lot. We just we
- 55:14Speaker 1: just don't like where at sitting at three on Thursday.
- 55:17Speaker 1: We will narrow the slate down. We will get our
- 55:20Speaker 1: big balls better the week we will have seth Wickersham
- 55:25Speaker 1: from ESPN, author of the Patriots Dynasty book it's better
- 55:29Speaker 1: to be feared. We had a full show already scheduled
- 55:31Speaker 1: for Thursday. It's amazing And yeah, you forgot to mention
- 55:33Speaker 1: our our good friends. Sean Zarrillo dropped the Baseball Show
- 55:37Speaker 1: on the Actual Network podcast People. It's playoff time. Me
- 55:40Speaker 1: and Chad had him on in May. I bet hous
- 55:44Speaker 1: to one Milwaukee at fifty one to win at all,
- 55:47Speaker 1: and my man, he gave out Vladdy to lead the
- 55:50Speaker 1: league and home runs his last at bat in the
- 55:53Speaker 1: eighth inning he hit his forty eight film run to
- 55:55Speaker 1: tie the MLB league. So I bet I think it
- 55:57Speaker 1: was like fifty bucks to win two thousand. Yeah, Sean
- 56:01Speaker 1: came in big. You guys gotta check out him out
- 56:03Speaker 1: on Twitter. Oh my god, you are so good at
- 56:05Speaker 1: this media business. Shanzirillo, who by the way, he will
- 56:08Speaker 1: be on our Baseball show Payoff Pitch Action Network h
- 56:12Speaker 1: Q all during the playoffs. Tweeters handle out too. I'll
- 56:15Speaker 1: post my tickets and tweeters handle out. That is the
- 56:18Speaker 1: nicest thing you can do. He's gonna love that. This
- 56:21Speaker 1: is the favorites from the Volume podcast Network. I am
- 56:27Speaker 1: Chad Mollman, he is Simon Hunter. We'll be back on Thursday.
- 56:30Speaker 1: Break it down even more, get the slate even juicier.
- 56:33Speaker 1: Figure out which games we love. See who the wise
- 56:36Speaker 1: guys are calling Simon about to say we love this pick,
- 56:39Speaker 1: we hate this pick. See who's going to be quarterback?
- 56:41Speaker 1: And teams. How the lines have moved off of news
- 56:43Speaker 1: and injuries. Download the podcast from podcast from Spotify, wherever
- 56:47Speaker 1: you get your podcast. Until next time, I Love you,