Latest / Combat Veteran News / Leaked: America’s Long Range Ammo ”Virtually Depleted!”
Transcript
- 0:00The White House and US Central Command
- 0:01have repeatedly denied reports that the
- 0:04US is running out of key munitions to
- 0:07keep up the fight with Iran. Well,
- 0:10leaked reports now show that man, the
- 0:13haters really were on to something.
- 0:15Maybe we should have listened to the
- 0:17haters. But more importantly, we got to
- 0:19ask ourselves, how exactly do you
- 0:21negotiate somebody with your when your
- 0:22key point of leverage is vanishing?
- 0:25Let's talk about this. So, the US
- 0:28according to a number of sources that
- 0:30spoke to CNN, uh the US has burned
- 0:32through 80% of its THAAD interceptors. U
- 0:35senior US military commanders are
- 0:37warning that the Pentagon stockpile of
- 0:38these critical interceptors are
- 0:40dangerously low. That basically four out
- 0:43of every five THAD interceptors that has
- 0:45ever been made are gone, blown up. The
- 0:50THAAD levels, again, we estimated on
- 0:52this channel that this was about where
- 0:54they were at. They actually we thought
- 0:55they might have been up to 2/3 still
- 0:58remaining in stocks but in fact we now
- 1:00know that only 20% uh of THAAD
- 1:03interceptors are around and that was
- 1:06against an adversary like the Iranians a
- 1:09third rate adversary one of the most
- 1:10heavily sanctioned countries on planet
- 1:12earth. God help Elvis if we have to
- 1:14fight the Chinese.
- 1:17But the disturbing part is what exactly
- 1:21a THAAD does. Because a THAAD isn't just
- 1:24a random piece of munition. It is the
- 1:26terminal altitude high defense system,
- 1:29America's premier anti-bballistic
- 1:31missile system. It has been deployed
- 1:33since 2008. That makes it brand new by
- 1:36American military standards. It's
- 1:38designed to designed to intercept and
- 1:40destroy short short, medium, and
- 1:42intermediate range ballistic missiles in
- 1:43their terminal phase or descent and
- 1:45re-entry. This is an extremely important
- 1:49system. Absolutely invaluable.
- 1:52And the unit cost of a billion dollars
- 1:56per battery and 12 million 2017 per
- 2:00missile. Probably closer to 15 now,
- 2:03right? Number built numerous. Yeah,
- 2:05that's how a number works. A numbers are
- 2:07numerous. Uh but the takeaway here is
- 2:11that these probably we're not probably
- 2:12making more of those than we are
- 2:14patriots. I think that's a fair
- 2:16assessment. So when we say let's say
- 2:18they're been produced again, Patriots
- 2:19have been around a decade longer.
- 2:21They're cheaper and easier to produce. I
- 2:23would say that THAADs, we're probably
- 2:25looking at if we're making 600 Patriots
- 2:27a year, we can probably make maybe 200
- 2:30THAD missiles. That's a huge problem.
- 2:34Okay, I don't know what else to tell
- 2:36you. And America's enemies are taking
- 2:39note. And that's not the only though
- 2:42precision longrange munition that has
- 2:44been chewed up pointlessly by this war
- 2:47because the US has used up virtually all
- 2:48of its precision missiles. At least
- 2:50according to the army, the army has used
- 2:53up most of its global stockpile of the
- 2:55highly accurate long-range missiles.
- 2:57This is known as the army tactical
- 2:58missile system, the attacks missiles and
- 3:00precision strike missiles. Uh the army
- 3:03is basically out of them now. You might
- 3:04recall attackums from maybe 3 years ago
- 3:07uh when the Ukrainians really relied
- 3:09heavily on the attackums missile system
- 3:12uh to strike behind the lines Russian
- 3:14targets. This generally attacks usually
- 3:17targets static facilities. So a
- 3:20warehouse or a fixed radar site or even
- 3:22potentially a fixed like missile site.
- 3:24Um but this is still absolutely
- 3:27invaluable. But what we're learning is
- 3:29that there's a reason the Ukrainians
- 3:31pivoted towards developing these kinds
- 3:33of cheaper drone technologies. And
- 3:36that's because there's not that many
- 3:37attacks. Remember the attack of missiles
- 3:39we gave to Ukraine were 30 years old.
- 3:41Those things were due to be scrapped.
- 3:44And the fact that we have gone from
- 3:47giving away our our our bottom of the
- 3:50barrel, our aging attack them missile
- 3:52systems to now being nearly out of them
- 3:54is a huge problem because again they are
- 3:57effective for the Ukrainians but they
- 3:59are even more effective uh for the
- 4:02United States that can rely on a really
- 4:04really good satellite intelligence to
- 4:06find these targets and then we just need
- 4:08the ability to hit them which the
- 4:10attackums missiles provides. And again,
- 4:12you say, "Oh, well, we can just build a
- 4:14drone that does the same thing more
- 4:15cheaply." And that is true to an extent,
- 4:18but what makes these attack on missiles
- 4:20valuable is that they pack a huge
- 4:24explosive power, right? Let's see if I
- 4:26can give you guys the actual attack,
- 4:29excuse me, the actual the actual
- 4:30statistics here. So, the attackum's a
- 4:33type of rocket artillery, right? Now, to
- 4:35be clear, this is 30-year-old stuff, but
- 4:37uh
- 4:39we're looking at again a $2 million
- 4:41missile with a warhead uh that can carry
- 4:44about 500 lb or about 3 250 kg. For
- 4:51context, uh the warhead on a uh
- 4:56Ukrainian Hornet drone, right, which is
- 4:59roughly comparable in range, is about 5
- 5:04kg. So, you're talking about a 50x
- 5:08increase in the attack's missile system.
- 5:10Now, it's still worth it to field a
- 5:12Ukrainian Hornet because again, it can
- 5:15stretch up to 124 mi and cost you all of
- 5:19$5,000. For those of you keeping track
- 5:22at home, uh this is going to be a little
- 5:24bit of a ballpark here because one is,
- 5:27you know, the the but if you assume the
- 5:29attack was missiles are about $1.3
- 5:32million, I think is what it said, uh
- 5:35divided by the 5,000, you could field
- 5:38260 Ukrainian Hornet drones to deliver
- 5:42the same payload as a uh attack's
- 5:46missile for the same cost. And remember,
- 5:48even if you assume that to get those 500
- 5:52uh this 250 kilos of explosives onto a
- 5:55target requires 50, you can still see
- 5:58that the Hornet is still five times more
- 6:01costefficient in terms of putting
- 6:03kilogram of explosives onto target. That
- 6:06is when we talk about Ukraine having
- 6:09this advanced technology. That's what
- 6:11we're talking about, right? it has a
- 6:14real ability to really deliver this sort
- 6:17of punishment. Now,
- 6:20there's two deeper stories here. The
- 6:22first we're going to talk about [snorts]
- 6:24is the what it means when you're trying
- 6:26to negotiate with no leverage. The
- 6:29second story is America's enemies taking
- 6:32note of this. But before we talk about
- 6:34those two stories, there's another
- 6:35exclusive story that we are announcing
- 6:37today and that is the Strikeum Escape
- 6:40from Tarov event. That's right. your
- 6:42favorite streamers, our Strike Gun
- 6:44partner streamers are going to be
- 6:46launching a huge Escape from Tarov
- 6:49scavenger hunt. Yeah, they're going to
- 6:50be competing for cash prizes to do a
- 6:52series of absurd challenges in the game,
- 6:55right? So, go to
- 6:57strike.com/pages/events.
- 7:00Link is in the description. Check it
- 7:01out. Follow the streamers who are going
- 7:03to be participating. And we are going to
- 7:05over the next week be talking about some
- 7:06of the quests that we're going to have
- 7:07these guys doing, the rewards, the
- 7:09paydays. We're going to be dropping the
- 7:10schedule and more. So, if you're into
- 7:12Tarov, if you are into gaming, this is
- 7:14going to be an event that you want to
- 7:15tune in on. So, again, click the link in
- 7:17the description, follow the streamers,
- 7:19and get ready for August 13th through
- 7:22the 16th when this event is taking
- 7:24place. So, let's start with
- 7:27negotiations. Now, I want to be clear
- 7:31that the fact that it has come out that
- 7:35again the White House is basically or
- 7:37excuse me, the Department of Defense is
- 7:40basically out of munitions. It limits uh
- 7:46very much limits our ability to threaten
- 7:48the Iranians because we've shown
- 7:51that
- 7:53the American government is unwilling to
- 7:55do a boots on the ground solution. And
- 7:57remember, air power, according to our
- 7:59own doctrine, is meant to be integrated
- 8:02with a ground operation. With no ground
- 8:04operation, which I agree, we shouldn't
- 8:07be doing a ground operation. But if you
- 8:08don't have that, a bombing campaign
- 8:10isn't really that effective. What's
- 8:12worth noting is that the times air power
- 8:14has been effective. For example, in
- 8:16Bosnia, it was because there was already
- 8:18a ground force in the fight and we said,
- 8:20"Listen, we are going to tip the odds in
- 8:23favor of our preferred ground force by
- 8:26giving them access to our air power."
- 8:28That combination is the thing that makes
- 8:30this possible. Uh you saw something
- 8:33similar in the war in Afghanistan at the
- 8:35first year of the war. The Taliban were
- 8:37ousted because we took the ground force
- 8:40that was already there, the Northern
- 8:41Alliance, and we backed them up with
- 8:43American air power. But without a ground
- 8:45force, air power is not helpful. And
- 8:49that is what we're seeing here. There is
- 8:50no ground force in Iran. There was a
- 8:52delusional belief that the Iranians
- 8:54would rise up. That obviously didn't
- 8:56happen because there is no ground force
- 8:58in Iran. I can't emphasize this enough.
- 9:00And so now we have found ourselves with
- 9:03no leverage left. Iran is saying, quote,
- 9:06"The Palestinian issue is top priority."
- 9:08This is new, by the way. This is not
- 9:10something that they have said before
- 9:11because remember before
- 9:14the issue was actually Lebanon and
- 9:16Hezbollah a closer Iranian ally and that
- 9:19the Iranians actually didn't have that
- 9:21much to say about Gaza. So now they're
- 9:23saying actually America you're going to
- 9:26resolve the Gaza situation.
- 9:29Right. Iranian president spoke with
- 9:30Hamas's political bureau chief clarified
- 9:33the Palestinian issue is top priority of
- 9:34Iran's foreign policy. news to all of us
- 9:38in fact during the conversation they
- 9:39confirmed Iran's full support for any
- 9:41decision taken by Palestinian leaders in
- 9:42the negotiation process which clearly
- 9:45implies that again now we've gone from
- 9:48hey Israel has to uh cease operations in
- 9:51Lebanon has to withdraw from Lebanon to
- 9:53saying now actually Israel also has to
- 9:55has to deliver a pro-Iranian
- 9:58a solution to Gaza that Iran favors
- 10:01which again I want to be clear I am very
- 10:04prone I am very critical of Israel and
- 10:07their political decision-m their
- 10:08military decision-m their lack of
- 10:11respect for human rights. Uh but that
- 10:13doesn't mean that I think Hamas should
- 10:15win. Believe me, if Hamas had access to
- 10:18Israeli weapon systems and an Israeli
- 10:20military capability, they would do the
- 10:23same Uh so they're not better,
- 10:26they're just weaker. and the so you
- 10:30really don't want to live in a world in
- 10:31which Hamas gets to dictate terms but
- 10:33that appears to be the one we're living
- 10:35in right now. Trump claims he nine hours
- 10:38ago the three or four moves may open
- 10:39today, tomorrow or Thursday, but as
- 10:41we've seen this would be something like
- 10:43the 15th or 16th time he's made a claim
- 10:46that uh a hormuz opening is is is
- 10:49imminent. There's reportedly a temporary
- 10:51plan being discussed. um you know but
- 10:53you can see here the oddsmakers say that
- 10:55the odds of uh an August 31st opening
- 10:59right the odds of three for moves
- 11:01returning traffic returning to normal in
- 11:03the next week 2%. The odds of it
- 11:06happening by the end of the month just
- 11:0716%. The odds of it happening by the end
- 11:10of September also plummeted to just one
- 11:13less than one in three. And they though
- 11:15though though though though though
- 11:16analysts are 6040 confident that Hormuz
- 11:19traffic will be back to normal by
- 11:21December.
- 11:23though the odds of Iran of the US
- 11:25announcing the end of an Iranian
- 11:27blockade have all spiked tremendously
- 11:30which is fascinating because well
- 11:35it you're not betting on the actual
- 11:37lifting of the Iranian blockade you're
- 11:39betting on an announcement that the
- 11:41blockade is going to be lifted these are
- 11:44very very different things right so
- 11:48the market asked if the United States
- 11:50government or an authorized
- 11:51representative of the United States
- 11:52government publicly and offici announces
- 11:54the end, termination, lifting, or
- 11:55suspension of the naval blockade of
- 11:57Iranian ships or of ships of Iranian
- 11:59customers between market creation and a
- 12:01specified date. Right?
- 12:05Which is fascinating. But again, I I
- 12:07point out that there's key differences
- 12:09here, which again, I'm sure traders are
- 12:12trying should be trying to arbitrage.
- 12:13These odds should close. But this is a
- 12:17direct reflection of the lack of
- 12:19leverage to actually coers
- 12:22gains or changes from the Iranians
- 12:25because the Iranians have no incentive
- 12:28to deal, right?
- 12:32And without some kind of incentive to
- 12:35deal
- 12:37the
- 12:40like there's no there's no leverage.
- 12:41What can the Americans threaten Iran
- 12:44with today?
- 12:46not more air strikes, but if the first
- 12:5013,000 didn't do anything, a broke
- 12:52America with no ballistic missile
- 12:54defense systems is not exactly going to
- 12:56be a an imposing threat to the Iranians.
- 13:01So
- 13:03why would the Iranians concede a single
- 13:05point? Certainly they're not going to be
- 13:07conceding anything in Lebanon where
- 13:09Israeli operations continue
- 13:11significantly. Uh
- 13:14where reportedly fires in the forest of
- 13:16a place called Hul after the Israeli
- 13:18army set fire to an area. Okay. The most
- 13:20humane army in the world burning
- 13:22villages to ash. All right. Well, that's
- 13:23one strategy, I guess. Um
- 13:27again, the
- 13:31like just
- 13:34there's no there's no movement, right?
- 13:35people. There's a lot of talk. There's a
- 13:37lot of this and that, but we can see
- 13:39Israeli combat operations in southern
- 13:41Lebanon continue. Iranian uh demands
- 13:45continue. The there is no actual sign of
- 13:47movement, and in all likelihood, again,
- 13:50we're seeing the Iranians harden their
- 13:51stances. But that's not the only
- 13:53problem. Yeah, it's hard to negotiate
- 13:55with Iran when you don't have any
- 13:56anything to threaten them with. True.
- 13:59But there's a deeper problem because who
- 14:02is propping up Iran? the Russians and
- 14:05the Chinese. They're happy to see Iran
- 14:07and the Iran war become America's
- 14:10Ukraine draining their resources,
- 14:14sucking their military resources
- 14:17or reorienting their political calculus
- 14:20right now. It's a huge disaster.
- 14:24And I point this out because America's
- 14:27enemies are not waiting around. They are
- 14:31shoring things up, right? Russia is
- 14:33investing massively in its ballistic
- 14:35missile program because it is no secret
- 14:38that these ballistic missiles cannot be
- 14:40stopped. Russia is now able to build 100
- 14:44ballistic missiles a month. That is an
- 14:47insane level, right? Uh by contrast,
- 14:50right, the American ballistic missile
- 14:53production
- 14:57annually
- 15:00is let's see this reports this is saying
- 15:04well this is describing interceptors
- 15:08at 500 to 600 units a year. Uh but again
- 15:14that's not my question.
- 15:17The question is offensive ballistic
- 15:20missiles, right? So if we use offensive
- 15:23ballistic missiles, it's not clear the
- 15:24US even has that, but if you use
- 15:26tomahawks, our workhorse cruise missile,
- 15:31you're looking at 60 to 90 units a year.
- 15:34So Russia can produce more ballistic
- 15:36missiles in a month than the US can
- 15:39produce in a year. Precision strike
- 15:42missiles, we can make about 10 of those
- 15:45a month. and we can make a blistering
- 15:49about 40 a month of the JASM er I want
- 15:52you to understand how incredibly behind
- 15:54the curve of Russia that is Russia okay
- 15:59now add on to that China the world's
- 16:02manufacturing powerhouse and while they
- 16:04do not disclose their ballistic missile
- 16:06production
- 16:08companies that are known to supply China
- 16:12with ballistic missile parts have had
- 16:16their orders uh more than double since
- 16:192013.
- 16:21Right? So while we don't know the actual
- 16:23order number, we know firms that provide
- 16:25the parts to China have been going gang
- 16:28busters.
- 16:30Right?
- 16:31In fact, 40% of companies that provide
- 16:34the Chinese government with missile
- 16:36parts reported their best year last year
- 16:39with an annual increase of over 20%.
- 16:44And this is absolutely what you would
- 16:47expect. The US Department of Defense
- 16:50estimates that China has at least 3,000
- 16:53ballistic missiles and 300 ground
- 16:55launched cruise missiles. For context,
- 16:58again, if we're looking at just a few
- 17:01hundred THADs, that means each THAAD
- 17:03would miraculously have to intercept
- 17:06something like six to eight Chinese
- 17:07ballistic missiles. And that's just with
- 17:10China's existing arsenal. It's probably
- 17:13adding to that at least 100 a month.
- 17:15Again, China not subject to Russian
- 17:17level sanctions. We're probably looking
- 17:19at I would estimate it. It's probably
- 17:21close to that cap capacity.
- 17:24So, they're going to add probably
- 17:27another 25% to their arsenals this year.
- 17:31There is almost no scenario
- 17:33where
- 17:35this is going to
- 17:38uh play out well for the United States,
- 17:41right? Our enemies are going to have
- 17:42weapons and we are going to have no
- 17:44ability to protect ourselves or our
- 17:46troops. Certainly not our allies except
- 17:48for Israel. We'll we'll we'll kill every
- 17:50one of our soldiers. Leave them
- 17:51completely unprotected to defend Israel.
- 17:53If you think I'm being sarcastic, I'm
- 17:55not. That is literally what we've done.
- 17:57American military bases in the Middle
- 17:59East received no air defenses. Troops
- 18:02were killed at them. Those air defenses
- 18:04were deployed to Israel in addition to
- 18:08the tens of billions of dollars a year
- 18:10we fund Israelis own homegrown ballistic
- 18:14missile anti-bballistic missile system
- 18:17but you know you voted the American
- 18:19public voted for these politicians so
- 18:21who are we to argue anyway guys hit
- 18:23subscribe thanks to Chris Charles Kevin
- 18:25Brent Andreas Jim John CPC Leonus
- 18:27Gabriel Brennan Alfred Peter as well as
- 18:28all our lieutenant here folks I really
- 18:30appreciate you guys if you can subscribe
- 18:31it means something it means a lot to
- 18:33Thanks. We'll see you.