Latest / Yaron Brook Show / Iran War Day 4 -- March 03 | Yaron Brook Show
Transcript
- 0:47Speaker 1: Though radical fundamental principles of freedom, rational self interest, and
- 0:55Speaker 1: individual rights. This is a.
- 1:05Speaker 2: Oh right, everybody, welcome to yourn book show on this Tuesday,
- 1:10Speaker 2: March third. I think this will go down as an
- 1:12Speaker 2: historic day. I'll get to that in a minute. Day
- 1:15Speaker 2: four of the war in Iran. This will be a
- 1:18Speaker 2: quick update. I don't know how much time i have
- 1:22Speaker 2: because I've got to give a talk later tonight and
- 1:25Speaker 2: I'm meeting the students for dinner a little while so.
- 1:28Speaker 2: But events in Iran, there were enough events in Iran
- 1:32Speaker 2: and actually in Lebanon as well that justify me giving
- 1:36Speaker 2: you a quick update and a quick rundown. At least
- 1:41Speaker 2: what I think are the most important event is a
- 1:43Speaker 2: lot going on. I mean a lot going on.
- 1:47Speaker 1: In Iran, in Europe in terms of the realignment of NATO.
- 1:51Speaker 1: NATO is realigning.
- 1:52Speaker 2: Itself to support that the mission now that they see
- 1:56Speaker 2: the overwhelming success of the Israelis and the Americans and uh,
- 2:01Speaker 2: but I think the most important thing that's happened today,
- 2:04Speaker 2: and let me just see, if you guys are there,
- 2:08Speaker 2: my face is shadow. The lighting sucks, the who knows
- 2:12Speaker 2: if the internet will hold. I'm doing this from a
- 2:17Speaker 2: hotel room in Durham, north of England.
- 2:21Speaker 1: You know, forget about the light, forget about all that stuff.
- 2:26Speaker 1: You know.
- 2:26Speaker 2: I thought of not doing a show because the logistics
- 2:31Speaker 2: here are just not good.
- 2:32Speaker 1: But I decided to.
- 2:34Speaker 2: Do one anyway I can prove probably improve the light
- 2:38Speaker 2: a little bit. It decided to do one anyway because
- 2:42Speaker 2: I got excited about.
- 2:44Speaker 1: Something in the news and I thought I would chew
- 2:46Speaker 1: it with you guys. Let's do this. I think that
- 2:52Speaker 1: will improve the lighting a little bit. All right, Uh,
- 2:57Speaker 1: one second, let me just do one other thing again.
- 3:03Speaker 1: This is uh, this is kind of quick in ad hoc.
- 3:08Speaker 1: So it is what it is, all right.
- 3:18Speaker 2: I mean, as well today or just a little while ago,
- 3:22Speaker 2: how to tell exactly when this happened, but as well,
- 3:24Speaker 2: today bombed the building housing Iran's Assembly of Experts.
- 3:30Speaker 1: In kom Now. I told you, I told you a few.
- 3:37Speaker 2: A few shows ago that I thought that if they
- 3:40Speaker 2: were serious, then what needs to happen is com needs
- 3:45Speaker 2: to be bombed. Calm is the spiritual capital of the
- 3:49Speaker 2: Iranian Islamic regime. It's where the madrasas, It's where the
- 3:53Speaker 2: supreme or the ayatulas. This is this is the against
- 3:59Speaker 2: spirit ritual house. This is the spiritual center of you
- 4:04Speaker 2: on and to recognize that this is a country ruled
- 4:07Speaker 2: by molas, this is a country ruled by religious authorities,
- 4:12Speaker 2: and that if you really wanted to undermine the Islamic regime,
- 4:16Speaker 2: you have to undermine the mulas.
- 4:19Speaker 1: You have to undermine the toolers, you have to undermine.
- 4:22Speaker 2: The the the religious authorities.
- 4:29Speaker 1: An results.
- 4:30Speaker 2: Now, let's think about how these the the the the
- 4:35Speaker 2: Iranian government, how how how it kind of functions. Right, So,
- 4:40Speaker 2: according to the to the constitution, there is a Supreme Leader.
- 4:45Speaker 2: That Supreme Leader is appointed by an Assembly of experts,
- 4:49Speaker 2: which functions as if you will, a type of supra parliament.
- 4:56Speaker 2: The Assembly of experts are elected positions by the people
- 5:01Speaker 2: if you own, but in order to run for the
- 5:07Speaker 2: Assembly of Experts, you have to be vetted and approved
- 5:13Speaker 2: by the Guardian Council. The Guardian Council is appointed by
- 5:19Speaker 2: the Supreme Leader. So notice the circularity here, right, So
- 5:23Speaker 2: you've got a Supreme Leader appoints a Guardian Council, who
- 5:27Speaker 2: then vets the people in an Assembly of experts, who then,
- 5:31Speaker 2: when the Supreme Leader dies, appoint a new Supreme leader.
- 5:37Speaker 2: And there's no way to elect an assembly of experts
- 5:42Speaker 2: without them being first vetted by a guardian consul.
- 5:47Speaker 1: But that depends on the.
- 5:48Speaker 2: Existence of Supreme Leader, because he's the one who appoints them.
- 5:53Speaker 2: See here's what happened today today, the Assembly of Experts.
- 6:00Speaker 2: This is eighty eight clerics, eighty eight ayatulas, mullas, whatever.
- 6:06Speaker 1: You want to call them.
- 6:08Speaker 2: Eighty eight Islamist barbarians met met in a building in
- 6:17Speaker 2: Kum in Iran to elect a new Supreme leader because
- 6:22Speaker 2: the Supreme Leader of Yuan was killed by the Israelis
- 6:25Speaker 2: a few days ago. As they were tallying up the votes,
- 6:30Speaker 2: the eighty eight of these people, eighty eight people in
- 6:33Speaker 2: the Assembly of Experts.
- 6:34Speaker 1: Basically, this is.
- 6:36Speaker 2: The entire leadership religious leadership of Iran.
- 6:41Speaker 1: These are the most important clerics, the important ayatulas. These
- 6:46Speaker 1: are the people who run the country. They dictate what
- 6:49Speaker 1: happens in this country.
- 6:52Speaker 2: You know, beyond the Islamic you know, revolutionary God right,
- 6:58Speaker 2: But these are the people who who have the who
- 7:03Speaker 2: you know, protect the constitution. These are the people who
- 7:06Speaker 2: who are basically the Islamic regime. It's an Islamic regime
- 7:09Speaker 2: because of them.
- 7:12Speaker 1: Anyway, eighty eight of them met today in order to vote.
- 7:14Speaker 1: The votes were being tallied as Israeli bombs hit the building,
- 7:19Speaker 1: destroying it and killing. We don't know, we don't know
- 7:24Speaker 1: how many of them are killed. We don't know, you know,
- 7:27Speaker 1: if all of them were killed.
- 7:29Speaker 2: But this is a massive, unprecedented, hard to believe blow
- 7:38Speaker 2: to the Islamic regime. This is bigger than just killing
- 7:42Speaker 2: how many the supreme leader, because this is killing his airs,
- 7:48Speaker 2: This is killing the entire Islamist leadership of this regime
- 7:52Speaker 2: in one blow. Techer Carson's already upset about this and
- 7:58Speaker 2: called this Israel's attacking the Iranian constitution, I mean Iranian democracy, right,
- 8:05Speaker 2: because they were voting democracy. I never thought they would
- 8:11Speaker 2: have it in them.
- 8:12Speaker 1: I really did not think they would.
- 8:14Speaker 2: Have it in them. This is what it means to
- 8:17Speaker 2: be serious. This is what it means to win.
- 8:22Speaker 1: This is what it.
- 8:23Speaker 2: Means to actually take regime change seriously. It means destroying
- 8:32Speaker 2: the regime. And this was the regime. These are religious leaders.
- 8:38Speaker 1: Israel just attacked an assembly of eighty eight religious leaders,
- 8:44Speaker 1: the most revered religious leaders any Wan, and has wiped
- 8:51Speaker 1: them out.
- 8:54Speaker 2: I mean that takes balls, That takes courage that basically
- 8:58Speaker 2: says Israel doesn't give a about what the world is
- 9:01Speaker 2: going to say, It doesn't care about what anybody says.
- 9:04Speaker 1: It is in this to win.
- 9:06Speaker 2: Unequivocally, there's not I mean Trump, who knows. But Israel
- 9:12Speaker 2: is in this to win, and it will not back down.
- 9:15Speaker 2: It is now taking a step. There's no going back.
- 9:18Speaker 2: Of course, what this also does is it basically shows
- 9:22Speaker 2: the Iranian people that Israel's in it to win. It
- 9:26Speaker 2: basically shows the Iranian people that the government is impotent.
- 9:31Speaker 2: It's gone, it's finished. I mean, Israel basically just blew
- 9:35Speaker 2: up Congress. Imagine Congress being an autocratic theocratic they blew
- 9:42Speaker 2: up Congress. Now, yesterday they were going to convene this
- 9:53Speaker 2: session to vote for the new Supreme Leader in Tehran.
- 9:56Speaker 1: Israel blew up that building. So they all convened today
- 9:59Speaker 1: in kom to do the voting. And now Israel's blown
- 10:03Speaker 1: that up, hopefully. And I assume again these are early reports,
- 10:07Speaker 1: hard to tell that.
- 10:09Speaker 2: I assume with them allers inside, there's nobody to vote
- 10:11Speaker 2: for Supreme leader. There's nobody to appoint a Supreme leader.
- 10:14Speaker 2: The constitution of you on is now null and void.
- 10:18Speaker 2: There is no Guardian Council, and there's nobody to appoint
- 10:20Speaker 2: a Guardian council because there's no Supreme Leader, and there's
- 10:23Speaker 2: nobody to elect the Supreme Leader because you can't run
- 10:26Speaker 2: elections without the Guardian Council.
- 10:29Speaker 1: It's a perfect catch twenty two that.
- 10:33Speaker 2: Works against the Ranian regime and works to undermine it
- 10:39Speaker 2: makes it impossible now for a new government to rise
- 10:43Speaker 2: out of the ashes. It means that the only alternative
- 10:49Speaker 2: is real regime change and actual revolution and actual change.
- 10:53Speaker 1: This is what we've been wanting. I've been wanting.
- 10:57Speaker 2: This is what was needed, this is what's been needed
- 10:59Speaker 2: for forty years. I think now is the perfect time
- 11:03Speaker 2: because Iran is ready for it, and Israel is ready
- 11:06Speaker 2: for it in a sense that finally Israel is willing
- 11:10Speaker 2: to do.
- 11:10Speaker 1: What is necessary.
- 11:11Speaker 2: And it looks like Trump is just gonna let them
- 11:15Speaker 2: get away with it, just gonna let them do what
- 11:18Speaker 2: they want.
- 11:20Speaker 1: So, you know, this is a huge step. I can't
- 11:26Speaker 1: think of any more important target.
- 11:28Speaker 2: I can't think of an act more courageous politically than this.
- 11:34Speaker 2: It's again, I think it's more courageous than even knocking
- 11:37Speaker 2: off the political leader of the country.
- 11:39Speaker 1: How many. Everybody hated how many?
- 11:40Speaker 2: But this is again like destroying the houses of Parliament
- 11:45Speaker 2: and everybody inside them.
- 11:47Speaker 1: Now this is not parliament.
- 11:49Speaker 2: So I don't want to give that these these are
- 11:52Speaker 2: morally evil people functioning within a malli evil system. But
- 11:56Speaker 2: what Israel has done is basically destroyed the system. The
- 12:00Speaker 2: regime is finished. Whatever comes next, it will not be
- 12:04Speaker 2: an Islamist theocratic supreme lea.
- 12:09Speaker 1: That is all gone. You might get a military dictatorship.
- 12:12Speaker 2: You might still have an Islamic type government, but it
- 12:16Speaker 2: is going to be a different structure, a different regime,
- 12:20Speaker 2: something completely new. And I think this will embolden the
- 12:26Speaker 2: Iranian people more than anything to you know, go into
- 12:34Speaker 2: the streets, could do whatever they need in order to
- 12:36Speaker 2: get rid of to get rid of all of this,
- 12:43Speaker 2: to get rid of the existing regime and replace it.
- 12:45Speaker 2: Now again we got the problem of who to replace
- 12:48Speaker 2: it with and who is going to rise up, and
- 12:49Speaker 2: that's still out there. But on day four, this is huge.
- 12:57Speaker 1: This is huge. It basically got rid if they all died,
- 13:01Speaker 1: the entire Islamist leadership of your on and that is huge.
- 13:06Speaker 1: All right. Beyond that, you know, bombing is continuing.
- 13:12Speaker 2: I saw the entire the entire navy base of the
- 13:16Speaker 2: Iranian fleet on the Gulf has been destroyed. It's up
- 13:20Speaker 2: in smoke, it's up in flames, it's being destroyed.
- 13:23Speaker 1: Is Well continues to bomb targets all over Tehran and
- 13:27Speaker 1: all over the rest of you won that is that
- 13:30Speaker 1: is ongoing, and it's it's getting more sort of.
- 13:36Speaker 2: The French, the British NATO countries generally are becoming much
- 13:40Speaker 2: more sympathetic to the war, sending aircraft the French and
- 13:44Speaker 2: now flying over the UAE trying to down the drones,
- 13:50Speaker 2: help down the drones and help down the missiles that
- 13:52Speaker 2: are being sent there. The British are sending sending ships
- 13:57Speaker 2: to a ship, military ship to Cipher to help protect Cyprus. Generally,
- 14:04Speaker 2: the mood has changed, and the mood has changed because
- 14:08Speaker 2: people like winners. And it's clear that Israel in the
- 14:10Speaker 2: United States are serious about this, that they have any
- 14:14Speaker 2: every intention to follow through with this, and basically the
- 14:17Speaker 2: rest of the world is just going to align. It's
- 14:20Speaker 2: also clear that the Sunni Arab nations, at least all
- 14:26Speaker 2: those except maybe Iraq and Syria, the Gulf nations are
- 14:30Speaker 2: all supporting the American and Israeli efforts. You are e Bahrain,
- 14:34Speaker 2: even Kata supposedly attack targets in Iran today, So Kata
- 14:40Speaker 2: has joined the fighting. Saudi Arabia is supposed to join
- 14:43Speaker 2: the fighting soon. Oman all of these countries which are
- 14:46Speaker 2: being now attacked many times by the Iranians are now
- 14:52Speaker 2: clearly you know, positioning themselves on the side of the
- 14:56Speaker 2: Israelis and Americans.
- 14:58Speaker 1: And again that.
- 14:59Speaker 2: Is huge, that is huge. Nobody could have predicted that
- 15:02Speaker 2: would happen to happen so fast. But I think that's
- 15:06Speaker 2: Iran's strategic era in choosing to attack all those countries,
- 15:10Speaker 2: thinking they're by attacking all those countries they will all
- 15:12Speaker 2: put pressure on Trump to back down and to stop
- 15:18Speaker 2: the fighting.
- 15:19Speaker 1: And instead what it's done is embolden them.
- 15:23Speaker 2: To become more aggressive and to support the Americans and
- 15:26Speaker 2: the Israelis.
- 15:27Speaker 1: I think, I think what you're going to see here.
- 15:29Speaker 2: When this is all over, is much higher likelihood of
- 15:34Speaker 2: the abram records being expanded to Saudi Arabia and other
- 15:37Speaker 2: countries because of what you want has done. And of
- 15:40Speaker 2: course if you Wan has a new regime, maybe records
- 15:43Speaker 2: have expanded to include Iran.
- 15:44Speaker 1: The new regime in Iran. Who knows? All right, So
- 15:49Speaker 1: that's what else did I want to talk about?
- 15:52Speaker 2: Yeah, I want to talk about Lebanon. Another historic event
- 15:55Speaker 2: is happening in Lebanon. I mean real historic, real significance.
- 16:01Speaker 2: You know, at the end of this war, it is
- 16:03Speaker 2: very possible that Israel will have vanquished basically all of
- 16:09Speaker 2: its enemies. YEAHAMASO still be around with nobody to support them.
- 16:14Speaker 1: But the Lebanese.
- 16:17Speaker 2: The Lebanese today uniformly across all political parties, including the
- 16:23Speaker 2: Shiite political party that has always supported Kris Balah. The
- 16:26Speaker 2: Amala Amal is a political Shiite movement that is not
- 16:32Speaker 2: an Islamist like Huzbelaries. It's just Shied Muslim. They have
- 16:37Speaker 2: generally supported Khrisbeala over the last few decades. Today, the
- 16:41Speaker 2: head of Amal came out against Grizbala. Parliament in Lebanon
- 16:45Speaker 2: voted that the military wing of Chrisbella was a terrorist
- 16:48Speaker 2: organization needs to be dismantled immediately. Everybody, pretty much everybody
- 16:53Speaker 2: in parliament voted for it. Not just the government, but
- 16:56Speaker 2: the opposition as well, not just the Christians and the Jews.
- 17:01Speaker 2: The Jews who have been allies of Krisbela, recently shifted
- 17:05Speaker 2: away from Risbela. So you've got the Jews, you've got
- 17:08Speaker 2: the Christians, and you've got the Sunni Muslims, and now
- 17:12Speaker 2: you've even got the Shiai non Krisbela Muslims voting against Grisbela.
- 17:17Speaker 2: So the entire country, the entire political class of Lebanon
- 17:23Speaker 2: has basically shifted against Chrisbela.
- 17:28Speaker 1: This is hasn't happened.
- 17:30Speaker 2: This kind of unity has not happened in Lebanon maybe
- 17:34Speaker 2: ever since, maybe since the civil war in the eighteen seventies,
- 17:42Speaker 2: since the civil war started. This is an amazing development.
- 17:46Speaker 2: I think this suggests the end of Krisbela's military capabilities.
- 17:54Speaker 2: I think that with Israel's help, the Lebanese army now
- 17:58Speaker 2: will be emboldened to take.
- 18:00Speaker 1: On Kris Bala.
- 18:02Speaker 2: Israel is bombing Chris Bala in Beirut, in in southern Lebanon.
- 18:08Speaker 2: As far as I can tell, the Lebanese government has
- 18:11Speaker 2: basically given a thumbs up to Israel as long as
- 18:14Speaker 2: they don't as long as they don't hurt Lebanese civilians,
- 18:18Speaker 2: to take out as much of Krisbala's infrastructure and as
- 18:21Speaker 2: many as Chrismal as leaders.
- 18:22Speaker 1: As they want to. They've got a complete green light. Uh.
- 18:27Speaker 2: And so I think and and and I think, if
- 18:31Speaker 2: Chrisbela's military wing is ended, I expect Lebanon to negotiate
- 18:39Speaker 2: a peace deal with Israel. Lebanon has no qualms with Israel.
- 18:42Speaker 2: It has no real disagreements with Israel. Whatever the disagreements are,
- 18:45Speaker 2: they can be taken care of. But you could see
- 18:48Speaker 2: Lebanon signing a peace deal with Israel. You could see
- 18:50Speaker 2: Saudi Arabia Bahrain.
- 18:53Speaker 1: I don't know about Quait but but but certainly the
- 18:56Speaker 1: big the big fish here in Saudi Arabia.
- 18:58Speaker 2: And who knows about kata because they have lost the Iranians.
- 19:03Speaker 2: You know, the next step needs to oh has lost
- 19:06Speaker 2: Taker Kauson. I don't know if you saw there's Teker Kauson.
- 19:09Speaker 1: Today because the Katari's attacked you on Teker kass today
- 19:14Speaker 1: accused the Kataris are being infiltrated by the Mosad and
- 19:18Speaker 1: being manipulated by Mosad. Again it's the Jews. The Jews
- 19:21Speaker 1: are behind everything, according to the Kataris.
- 19:24Speaker 2: Came out with a you know, a strong disclaimer and
- 19:29Speaker 2: and told told Teker Caulson to mind his own business.
- 19:34Speaker 1: He doesn't know what he's talking about. So Tucker's losing
- 19:36Speaker 1: his support and uh. Interestingly, Tucker today came out basically saying, look,
- 19:45Speaker 1: the only the only reasonable political power in the world
- 19:47Speaker 1: today or the Chinese. He's looking for somebody to support
- 19:52Speaker 1: God forbid to be America that that he will not do. So, yes,
- 19:59Speaker 1: h this is uh.
- 20:04Speaker 2: Even Toka Carlson, you know, he's losing. Kata Katawa has
- 20:08Speaker 2: lost at kak Calson. The next step would be for
- 20:11Speaker 2: the Americans in the Israel least to basically take tal
- 20:14Speaker 2: Katta to to end its relationship with the Muslim Brotherhood,
- 20:21Speaker 2: to shut down and dramatically reform al Jazeera, and to
- 20:25Speaker 2: join the Abheam quotes. Otherwise it will be left in isolation.
- 20:32Speaker 1: Uh.
- 20:33Speaker 2: In the Middle East is the only place, uh, the
- 20:36Speaker 2: only place that is not.
- 20:39Speaker 1: Uh, you know, engaged. Okay, what is this?
- 20:49Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, you know, just in addition to everybody
- 20:54Speaker 2: else that that has been. My wife just sent me
- 20:59Speaker 2: this link to some thing where it's all in fossy.
- 21:01Speaker 2: I can't, I can't, I can't tell. By the way,
- 21:05Speaker 2: the Defense secretary there was appointed yesterday, it has been killed.
- 21:11Speaker 1: The Uranian Defense secretary.
- 21:12Speaker 2: So so anybody's appointed to a new position is well,
- 21:15Speaker 2: will eliminate them if they can as soon as possible.
- 21:17Speaker 2: So slowly, but systematically, the entire leadership of Iran is.
- 21:22Speaker 1: Being decimated, destroyed, you know, doesn't exist.
- 21:33Speaker 2: So we will see how many of these eighty eight
- 21:35Speaker 2: Assembly of Experts are dead. But look, there's a revolution
- 21:39Speaker 2: happening in Lebanon. There's going to be a revolution in Iran.
- 21:42Speaker 2: There's no other way for this to end, but some
- 21:44Speaker 2: kind of revolution.
- 21:46Speaker 1: Uh. And yeah, I mean there's tons of video coming
- 21:50Speaker 1: out of the building and the Assembly.
- 21:52Speaker 2: There's also pictures of the of the of the people
- 21:56Speaker 2: in the inside. These are the real mistakes, right and
- 22:02Speaker 2: Israel killed hopefully from the sky, killed them all in
- 22:06Speaker 2: one one shot, one shot. M amazing, amazing, you know.
- 22:15Speaker 2: Just anyway, anyway, I wanted to comment on those. There's
- 22:18Speaker 2: other stuff to talk about. Uh, there's a Rubio's discussion
- 22:23Speaker 2: with the press yesterday about about about the attacks, about
- 22:27Speaker 2: the war.
- 22:29Speaker 1: I just haven't had time to prepare for that, so
- 22:31Speaker 1: I'm not going to talk about it.
- 22:32Speaker 2: We'll talk about it at a late a date when
- 22:35Speaker 2: I have time to look at all the video and
- 22:37Speaker 2: analyze it.
- 22:39Speaker 1: But uh.
- 22:45Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, somebody is saying, you on, are you
- 22:56Speaker 2: now pro preemptive war?
- 23:00Speaker 1: Be the last twenty something years have been advocating for
- 23:03Speaker 1: preemptive war against Ivan God. Ah, people are funny out there.
- 23:10Speaker 2: I guess I'm gonna lose a bunch of my libertarian
- 23:13Speaker 2: followers who didn't realize who I was.
- 23:16Speaker 1: But oh, there's a good. H there's a good uh,
- 23:22Speaker 1: let me find this. There's a good Babylon b tuck
- 23:26Speaker 1: Up interviews Sauron to talk about Warhan's warmongerie. So yes,
- 23:36Speaker 1: Tucker's interviewing the devil wherever he may be. Ah.
- 23:42Speaker 2: Yeah, somebody writes this is next level regime changed decapitation
- 23:45Speaker 2: strike by Israel. You know, yes, this is next level
- 23:52Speaker 2: and no new Supreme leader elected today, And if the
- 23:54Speaker 2: Assembly of Experts are dead, it's going to be pretty
- 23:57Speaker 2: much impossible for the Islamic Republic to appropriately select.
- 24:00Speaker 1: The new Supreme leader according to constitution. That's it.
- 24:05Speaker 2: Pretty pretty amazing. I'm not sure who has left over
- 24:08Speaker 2: there that they can tap to do this.
- 24:15Speaker 1: Just a few stats for those of you interested in stats.
- 24:19Speaker 2: According to the latest data provided by the US Central
- 24:21Speaker 2: Command since the start Operation epic fury on Saturday. Over
- 24:25Speaker 2: seventeen hundred targets have been struck across Iran, including command
- 24:29Speaker 2: and Control centers, IRGC Joint Headquarters, IRGC Aerospace Forces Headquarters,
- 24:35Speaker 2: Integrated A defense systems, ballistic missile sites, Iranian Navy ships,
- 24:40Speaker 2: Iranian Navy submarines, interesting anti ship missile sites, excellent military
- 24:46Speaker 2: communication capabilities, utilizing hundreds of strikes and support assets from
- 24:51Speaker 2: the US Air Force, Army, Marine Corps and Navy.
- 24:54Speaker 1: And then they have a whole list of all.
- 24:56Speaker 2: The weapons systems and the stuff that they have used,
- 24:59Speaker 2: which is pretty impressed. So that is from Sencom. Let
- 25:04Speaker 2: me see what else we have here. All right, Evan
- 25:16Speaker 2: is still lobbying ballistic missiles, so there's still work to
- 25:19Speaker 2: be done, you know, to get rid of those missiles
- 25:21Speaker 2: and then get rid of those launchers.
- 25:25Speaker 1: But the work is getting done. You know.
- 25:27Speaker 2: The one thing that wasn't on the list of targets
- 25:30Speaker 2: from Sycom was nuclear facilities.
- 25:34Speaker 1: They might not be reporting it.
- 25:35Speaker 2: And of course you know it's also not on the
- 25:38Speaker 2: list of SITCOM were all the government offices that have
- 25:40Speaker 2: been destroyed because that wasn't the US, that was Israel.
- 25:44Speaker 2: So notice how Americans are keeping their distance from attacks
- 25:48Speaker 2: like this on the Council of Experts because they don't
- 25:52Speaker 2: want the political fallout of attacking political institutions. The US
- 25:57Speaker 2: is focused only in military intitutions, only in military targets.
- 26:02Speaker 2: It's Israel that is that is doing the the you know,
- 26:08Speaker 2: dismantling of the regime. Yeah, it looks like the bombing,
- 26:16Speaker 2: uh the international airport into Huan certainly installations there.
- 26:22Speaker 1: But uh, all right, I think I think we're good. Uh,
- 26:30Speaker 1: let's see what else?
- 26:37Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, they're they're looking for mobile launchers and
- 26:41Speaker 2: trying to trying to destroy them whether they can find them.
- 26:47Speaker 1: All right.
- 26:48Speaker 2: And you Wan, by the way, continues to attack oil
- 26:51Speaker 2: installations ports of the Uye, of the Saudiast of others.
- 26:56Speaker 1: They're making a lot of friends in.
- 26:58Speaker 2: The Middle East as we speak, which as it should be,
- 27:01Speaker 2: as it should be, all right, all right, what else?
- 27:18Speaker 2: What else do I want to say? Let's check out
- 27:21Speaker 2: to see what your questions are. Okay, we've got a
- 27:23Speaker 2: few questions. Thank you, guys, really appreciate it. Molten's splendid
- 27:27Speaker 2: fifty dollars. Thank you.
- 27:29Speaker 1: Your updates, research and timely information are so important to me.
- 27:32Speaker 1: Thanks for all you do.
- 27:33Speaker 2: I appreciate that molten splendor, really appreciate it all the support.
- 27:38Speaker 2: Matthew says, if US regime change an Iran is the goal,
- 27:41Speaker 2: must we take a heavy handed approach like post World
- 27:45Speaker 2: War to Japan to succeed.
- 27:46Speaker 1: Simply eliminating the threat is shortsighted. How involved should we
- 27:50Speaker 1: be in building the new regime? I don't think we
- 27:52Speaker 1: can be very involved in building the new regime.
- 27:54Speaker 2: We do not have boots on the ground. That is
- 27:57Speaker 2: the difference between this and and Japan. We have not
- 28:03Speaker 2: flattened cities, we have not killed hundreds of thousands of civilians.
- 28:07Speaker 1: We're not doing that.
- 28:09Speaker 2: We have not, we have not, and we do not
- 28:12Speaker 2: have boots on the ground to enforce our constitution.
- 28:17Speaker 1: I don't think it's necessary in this case.
- 28:20Speaker 2: I think because Iran has a real opposition, an opperposition
- 28:25Speaker 2: that is pro west in an opposition this pro college
- 28:28Speaker 2: the liberal democracy for lack of a different world right now,
- 28:32Speaker 2: I don't think because of that, I do not think
- 28:36Speaker 2: it's necessary for the United States to impose the Constitution.
- 28:40Speaker 2: It's also true that it might be that Iran never
- 28:43Speaker 2: becomes Japan. That is, Iran does not develop into the
- 28:49Speaker 2: kind of friend and kind of support that Japan has.
- 28:51Speaker 2: But what is true is that whatever threat Iran poses
- 28:54Speaker 2: to the world is being infiscerated and will be eliminated
- 28:59Speaker 2: in whatever regime comes after this will not pose a
- 29:01Speaker 2: threat to the world.
- 29:02Speaker 1: And that's the purpose of this operation.
- 29:04Speaker 2: So now I'm hopeful that because as I said, because
- 29:10Speaker 2: Iran has the pro Western opposition, that they can form
- 29:16Speaker 2: their own government there will be friendly to the West,
- 29:19Speaker 2: and we won't have to impose our will like we
- 29:21Speaker 2: did in Japan. But imposing our will comes at a
- 29:24Speaker 2: huge cost. It means boots on the ground, and it
- 29:27Speaker 2: means really crushing Iran in ways that I don't think
- 29:32Speaker 2: we're willing to do, and I don't think that necessary.
- 29:35Speaker 2: So I think they need to be given a chance.
- 29:38Speaker 2: They're given the opportunity to reform their own government and
- 29:42Speaker 2: to create a government that is pro Western and pro
- 29:44Speaker 2: American and beyond that, you know, beyond that, I don't
- 29:52Speaker 2: think the United States has to be heavily involved other than.
- 29:57Speaker 1: You know, what we want is a relatively free on
- 30:03Speaker 1: and I hope the United States system that we'll see
- 30:07Speaker 1: right Mary Lean says, your coverage analysis of the situation
- 30:10Speaker 1: in Iran has been a huge value to coverage I
- 30:13Speaker 1: can't get anywhere else.
- 30:15Speaker 2: It's incredible how you keep up with everything while you're
- 30:17Speaker 2: giving lectures, debating, traveling.
- 30:19Speaker 1: Thank you, I applies.
- 30:21Speaker 2: Yesterday I did the debates at Exeter on tariffs and trade.
- 30:26Speaker 1: It was a lot of fun, you know.
- 30:28Speaker 2: There there was a small group of students, about twenty
- 30:32Speaker 2: five thirty students.
- 30:33Speaker 1: But they were very engaged, great Q and A.
- 30:38Speaker 2: I hope some of them apply for scholarships to AARC
- 30:41Speaker 2: in Porto. And yeah, it was really good and it
- 30:46Speaker 2: was I think, I think quite interesting and I think
- 30:48Speaker 2: that the students really enjoyed it. Tonight I'm doing a
- 30:52Speaker 2: talk on individualism in the digital age.
- 30:56Speaker 1: We'll see how I spin that one here at Durham Universe.
- 31:00Speaker 2: This is an audience of yesterday it was run by
- 31:05Speaker 2: the Economics Club and the Freedom Club at Exeter University.
- 31:09Speaker 2: Today it's the Durham Union, so this will be a
- 31:12Speaker 2: broader base of students. It'll be a larger group, I expect.
- 31:16Speaker 2: I've spoken at the Union before. It's always good. The
- 31:20Speaker 2: smart kids, they ask great questions. So I'm looking forward
- 31:23Speaker 2: to that. And then tomorrow I'm doing a debate about
- 31:24Speaker 2: the welfare state, the morality of the welfare state at
- 31:27Speaker 2: Oxford University for the Meases Society at the Oxford University.
- 31:33Speaker 2: And then in Zurich, I am doing a talk on
- 31:35Speaker 2: the morality of war, which will be relevant to this
- 31:38Speaker 2: at the University of Zurich.
- 31:41Speaker 1: That'll be on Thursday and their Friday. A flight home.
- 31:44Speaker 2: Again, I'm not sure about shows in the next few days.
- 31:46Speaker 2: Today I kind of sneaking one in quickly. I've got
- 31:49Speaker 2: to go soon. And luckily the internet seems to be holding.
- 31:53Speaker 2: It seems to be a good internet connection here. But
- 31:56Speaker 2: I don't know about tomorrow, and I don't know about Thursday.
- 32:00Speaker 1: We'll see.
- 32:00Speaker 2: And also because of this news, this particular news about
- 32:04Speaker 2: the the the the.
- 32:08Speaker 1: You know, Council of Experts, I thought, I thought this,
- 32:14Speaker 1: I had to. I had a comment on this. I
- 32:16Speaker 1: just think, think about the mal backbone.
- 32:19Speaker 2: You have to have to be willing to go after
- 32:21Speaker 2: the entire political leadership of an enemy country. I mean,
- 32:26Speaker 2: I don't think the United States would ever do it.
- 32:28Speaker 2: I don't think any European country will do it. Literally,
- 32:31Speaker 2: there's no country in the world that would do this
- 32:32Speaker 2: except Israel and whatever whatever qualms I have about Israel,
- 32:37Speaker 2: whatever qualms I have about Nittaille, whatever qualms I have
- 32:40Speaker 2: about lots of things related to Israel, this is amazing.
- 32:45Speaker 2: You know, there's really should be really proud of themselves,
- 32:49Speaker 2: the political leadership. You know, again across the board, the
- 32:53Speaker 2: opposition completely supports this show an immense amount of mal
- 32:58Speaker 2: fortitude and cover, and.
- 33:01Speaker 1: I compliment them.
- 33:02Speaker 2: You know, they royally screwed up on October seventh, and
- 33:06Speaker 2: I think the gauze operation was very mixed. But since then,
- 33:12Speaker 2: you know, you have to say, this is uh, this
- 33:18Speaker 2: has been amazing.
- 33:23Speaker 1: Uh. Right.
- 33:25Speaker 2: There's been all this talk about Israel forcing the hand
- 33:29Speaker 2: of Trump, that Israel's behind this war, that Israel made
- 33:32Speaker 2: Trump do it, and he was asked about it today
- 33:35Speaker 2: and this is a response, no, no, this is Trump.
- 33:38Speaker 1: No, No, I might have forced their hand.
- 33:40Speaker 2: You see where we were having negotiations with these lunatics,
- 33:43Speaker 2: and it was my opinion that they were going to
- 33:45Speaker 2: attack first. They were going to attack if we didn't
- 33:48Speaker 2: do it, they were going to attack first.
- 33:50Speaker 1: I thought strongly about that. This is all feelings, by
- 33:53Speaker 1: the way, because the intelligence agencies all say there's no
- 33:55Speaker 1: way you run would have attacked first. Anyway, they were
- 33:59Speaker 1: going to attack if we didn't do it. They were
- 34:01Speaker 1: going to attack first. I felt strongly about that.
- 34:04Speaker 2: Great negotiating negotiators, great people, people that do this very
- 34:09Speaker 2: successfully and have done it all their lives very successfully.
- 34:12Speaker 2: And based on the way the negotiation was going, I
- 34:14Speaker 2: think they were going to attack first, and I didn't
- 34:16Speaker 2: want that to happen. So if anything, I might have
- 34:19Speaker 2: forced Israel's hand. But as always ready, and we were ready,
- 34:22Speaker 2: and we've had a very very powerful impact because virtually
- 34:25Speaker 2: everything they have has been knocked out now.
- 34:30Speaker 1: So that is Trump knocking.
- 34:32Speaker 2: Down the accusation that he was manipulated by the Israelis.
- 34:36Speaker 1: All right, let's see back to super chat.
- 34:38Speaker 2: Paul Korn for total victory. Thank you, Paul, I appreciate it.
- 34:42Speaker 2: Moulten Splendor, LP must be very happy today. Yes, Atlanta Peacock,
- 34:46Speaker 2: who wrote the four pagead, and right after nine to eleven,
- 34:53Speaker 2: I remember sitting there he was writing, helping him with
- 35:00Speaker 2: the edits and discussing and writing, and we sat up
- 35:04Speaker 2: late night writing that letter that was put out into
- 35:08Speaker 2: I mean he wrote it in the Washington Person in
- 35:11Speaker 2: the New York times. But you know, you say you
- 35:16Speaker 2: and he have been advocating for regime change, and he
- 35:18Speaker 2: ran for over twenty years. Yeah, since nine to eleven
- 35:20Speaker 2: for me, But if you look at Leonard, and if
- 35:23Speaker 2: you look at Iron Institute since nineteen eighty nine, and
- 35:26Speaker 2: if you look at Iron Rand really since nineteen seventy nine,
- 35:29Speaker 2: Leonard put out the Iron Institute put out a foot
- 35:32Speaker 2: page add written by Leonard also in nineteen eighty nine
- 35:35Speaker 2: when Solomon, when the Fatwaga in Solomon Wushti was delivered
- 35:39Speaker 2: and Leonard was advocating for regime changed Land.
- 35:42Speaker 1: Then, so yes, I hope that Leonard is very, very happy.
- 35:46Speaker 2: I'm sure he've used this as just you know, this
- 35:51Speaker 2: is enough to justify any vote he might have, any
- 35:55Speaker 2: vote he voted for Trump. I think he would probably
- 35:59Speaker 2: argue this justifies it all right. Where they agree or not,
- 36:04Speaker 2: it's a different question. But I think he feels like this,
- 36:08Speaker 2: this validates that vote. Mike Dial, thank you, Rude Down's
- 36:14Speaker 2: thank you. These all stickers, Nature Odyssey, thank.
- 36:16Speaker 1: You, Gene, thank you, Let's see.
- 36:23Speaker 2: Greg, thank you, Ryan Wood, thank you. Therese all stickers,
- 36:25Speaker 2: anyone if you could do a stick as well. Anonymous
- 36:27Speaker 2: user and cold Savage. Thank you, Mary Eleen, Thank you, Jeremy, Jeremy,
- 36:33Speaker 2: thank you. Thanks guys, really appreciate the support. You know,
- 36:37Speaker 2: anybody listening right now, if you're on there and you'd
- 36:40Speaker 2: like to show appreciation for what I do, you can
- 36:42Speaker 2: jump in and put your money where your appreciation is
- 36:48Speaker 2: by doing a sticker in support. Okay, Jacob says, how
- 36:54Speaker 2: can we encourage Uranian leaders to continue meeting in person?
- 36:58Speaker 2: Are they this arrogant or does their consultation requires person meetings?
- 37:03Speaker 2: I guess you can't vote not in person. It's like,
- 37:06Speaker 2: you know, when the pope dies and they go into
- 37:08Speaker 2: this enclave and they all vote in person. I think
- 37:11Speaker 2: it's something similar to that. That's took the Constitution demands
- 37:14Speaker 2: they probably couldn't do advise zoom. But also, yeah, the
- 37:17Speaker 2: arrogant they religious leaders. They can't imagine Israel would strike them.
- 37:22Speaker 2: They can't imagine Israel would do it.
- 37:24Speaker 1: Nobody would. I mean, we're religious leaders, we're parliament. Nobody
- 37:28Speaker 1: attacks us, the religious fanatics. So they're not exactly rational
- 37:33Speaker 1: about these things. They're not exactly risk assessors. And yeah,
- 37:39Speaker 1: you know that's they are pretty dumb, and they keep
- 37:43Speaker 1: meeting the generals in Iran and keep meeting and keep
- 37:47Speaker 1: getting bombed and killed. It's pretty amazing.
- 37:50Speaker 2: I don't think they fully even now appreciate the extent
- 37:54Speaker 2: to which Israel has hacked their intelligence. Israel knows where
- 37:59Speaker 2: they are, Israel who they are, Israel knows where they go.
- 38:02Speaker 2: According to Financial Times yesterday in the story, Israel hacked
- 38:07Speaker 2: all the cameras in the all the cameras in the.
- 38:13Speaker 1: What do you call it?
- 38:14Speaker 2: Traffic lights? So Tehran has cameras on all the traffic
- 38:17Speaker 2: lights in Tehran. It's part of the internal monitoring of people. Well,
- 38:22Speaker 2: Israel hacked that Israel could follow everybody and where they
- 38:25Speaker 2: went through the traffic lights.
- 38:26Speaker 1: Now, if you watch the show Tehran on.
- 38:31Speaker 2: Apple TV, you get a sense of the Masart's capabilities
- 38:36Speaker 2: on that show, and it turns out absolutely everything they
- 38:38Speaker 2: do in that show they actually do in real life.
- 38:41Speaker 2: It's truly stunning. It's truly stunning, and I don't think
- 38:44Speaker 2: it's completely sunk in with the Iranians.
- 38:46Speaker 1: That they have no way. They can't run, there's no
- 38:49Speaker 1: way to hide. There really is no way to hide.
- 38:58Speaker 2: Mary Eline says maybe Tucker should move to China.
- 39:02Speaker 1: I'm willing to buy him an airplane ticket. I'm not generous.
- 39:05Speaker 1: I'm really winning from I think if we do a
- 39:07Speaker 1: little auction here on the super Chat, I think we
- 39:09Speaker 1: could get enough money to buy him buy him a
- 39:12Speaker 1: first class air plane ticket to China one way, one way. Uh.
- 39:17Speaker 2: Silvano's thank you for the fifty dollars. Really appreciate that, Jeffrey,
- 39:21Speaker 2: thank you for the support. Really appreciate it. All right,
- 39:25Speaker 2: Paul says, what role will Took you play in the
- 39:28Speaker 2: future attempts to implement an empire? I don't think they
- 39:32Speaker 2: have any chance to implement an empire. You know, Dan
- 39:37Speaker 2: is delusional. He's a religious not and he's delusional. He's
- 39:42Speaker 2: got Tuki, he's got Syria. Maybe he's not going to
- 39:46Speaker 2: be able to exert influence in Iraq. He's not going
- 39:48Speaker 2: to be able to exert influence in Iran. The Saudis
- 39:51Speaker 2: are not going to bend the nee to Urduan, you
- 39:54Speaker 2: know right now, they're more likely to bend the need
- 39:56Speaker 2: to the Israelis. It's just it's just not going to happened.
- 40:01Speaker 2: You know, there's tooke. He took his ambitions, plus took
- 40:05Speaker 2: He depends exclusively on weapons, systems from the United States.
- 40:10Speaker 1: It has to do with the Americans tell them to
- 40:12Speaker 1: do at the end of the day.
- 40:14Speaker 2: Otherwise they get no resupplies of any of them, or
- 40:17Speaker 2: any of the any spare parts or the planes or
- 40:21Speaker 2: the tanks or anything like that that dependent on the US.
- 40:23Speaker 2: One of the great advantages of the United States being
- 40:26Speaker 2: a hegemon, being a dominant hegemon is everybody relies on it,
- 40:30Speaker 2: and therefore nobody can fight against it, Turkey.
- 40:35Speaker 1: Being a good example of that.
- 40:38Speaker 2: Matt says Devil's Advocate, This isn't in america self interest
- 40:42Speaker 2: because we're circumventing the Constitution for a non emergency with
- 40:49Speaker 2: no real strategy thoughts. I mean, there is no question
- 40:54Speaker 2: that the Constitution is being cir convented here, but the
- 40:58Speaker 2: reality is that the Constitution is irrelevant at this point
- 41:04Speaker 2: for these kind of issues. I get it, But the
- 41:07Speaker 2: Constitution is so convented pretty much every day in America today,
- 41:12Speaker 2: and there is an existential thread that Iron poses and
- 41:16Speaker 2: to sit around saying we're not going to take care
- 41:18Speaker 2: of the existential threat. We're going to let them develop
- 41:20Speaker 2: nuclear weapons. We're going to let them develop ICBMs at
- 41:24Speaker 2: whatever time scale.
- 41:25Speaker 1: That happens to be because the Constitution.
- 41:29Speaker 2: When the Constitution is in many respects irrelevant at this point, right,
- 41:34Speaker 2: I mean, the most of the government regulations, by proper
- 41:40Speaker 2: reading of the Constitution.
- 41:43Speaker 1: Unconstitutional.
- 41:45Speaker 2: Much of what Trump has done executive orders, ninety percent
- 41:48Speaker 2: of them are ultimately and a proper reading of the
- 41:51Speaker 2: Constitution unconstitutional. He just imposed Section one twenty two tariffs unconstitutional.
- 42:00Speaker 1: So there's so much in America right now that's unconstitutional.
- 42:05Speaker 1: To insist on.
- 42:09Speaker 2: Continuing a suicidal practice in the name of preserving some
- 42:16Speaker 2: small app part of the Constitution, it's suicide and it's crazy.
- 42:22Speaker 1: I mean, it might not be an emergency in terms
- 42:24Speaker 1: of tomorrow, but it's been an emergency since nineteen seventy nine.
- 42:29Speaker 2: Americans have died because of this. So we twittered our
- 42:32Speaker 2: thumbs because they had the constitution. That so, if the
- 42:37Speaker 2: Constitution is actually working to kill Americans, then I mean,
- 42:43Speaker 2: sticking to the Constitution is actually going to come result
- 42:46Speaker 2: in killing Americans. Now, look, we should all be criticizing
- 42:52Speaker 2: Trump for not going by the Constitution. Congress should be
- 42:56Speaker 2: meeting tomorrow today to.
- 43:00Speaker 1: Make a declaration of warn you on and to admonish
- 43:06Speaker 1: Trump for doing this, but none of that is going
- 43:09Speaker 1: to happen. So we can wish for better Congress, we
- 43:13Speaker 1: can wish for somebody to align themselves with the Constitution.
- 43:19Speaker 1: But I mean, my view is my view is that.
- 43:30Speaker 2: You know, it is completely wrong to make that the
- 43:36Speaker 2: sole standard for whether we act or not when something
- 43:39Speaker 2: is clearly in our self interest and and somebody is
- 43:43Speaker 2: really killing Americans and it's necessary to do. Look if
- 43:49Speaker 2: we waited, if we only supported those things that the
- 43:52Speaker 2: government did, if they followed the letter of the Constitution,
- 43:54Speaker 2: there's very little that would happen. I mean, is Doge
- 44:00Speaker 2: was Doge constitutional?
- 44:02Speaker 1: No?
- 44:03Speaker 2: I mean, the power of the purse is completely completely Congresses,
- 44:08Speaker 2: they fired a lot of people, they shrunk, governed a
- 44:10Speaker 2: little bit.
- 44:11Speaker 1: I'll take it. I'll take it.
- 44:14Speaker 2: I mean it turned out to be a waste of
- 44:16Speaker 2: time and how much happened. But you know something, and look,
- 44:22Speaker 2: I know the objectives out there who disagree. The objectives
- 44:27Speaker 2: out there think that this is a this is an
- 44:30Speaker 2: MR war because it's not constitutional. And I get that,
- 44:33Speaker 2: and I under stand and all this stuff. And look,
- 44:35Speaker 2: there's going to be disagreements about application of objectivesm in
- 44:38Speaker 2: the realm of politics. I think this is not a
- 44:42Speaker 2: this is I think this is pretty straightforward.
- 44:44Speaker 1: But they are always going to be some disagreements. Fine,
- 44:49Speaker 1: hopefully we can all.
- 44:51Speaker 2: Stay within the realm of being respectful disagreements and arguing respectively,
- 45:00Speaker 2: though I doubt it.
- 45:01Speaker 1: Let's see. I so super chat, come in, Jennifer says,
- 45:05Speaker 1: thank you everything you're on. You're the man. Thank you, Jennifer.
- 45:09Speaker 1: I appreciate that.
- 45:10Speaker 2: Stephen, talk about the necessary validity of this God, what
- 45:14Speaker 2: do you talk about the necessary validity of the census?
- 45:18Speaker 1: I gest ate that part of opah, I don't really
- 45:20Speaker 1: get it.
- 45:21Speaker 2: He says, the sensors are necessarily valid without defining necessarily
- 45:25Speaker 2: or valid.
- 45:26Speaker 1: Is there a better way?
- 45:28Speaker 2: No, because, uh, you know, the sensors are a means
- 45:34Speaker 2: of observing reality.
- 45:36Speaker 1: There is no other. We wouldn't be we wouldn't survive
- 45:39Speaker 1: as a species.
- 45:40Speaker 2: We wouldn't exist as a species if they if they
- 45:43Speaker 2: didn't give us information about the true information about the world.
- 45:48Speaker 2: And that any I mean, part of what he's arguing
- 45:51Speaker 2: is that any argument against the validity of the census
- 45:54Speaker 2: is circular because you can't make the argument without reference
- 45:59Speaker 2: to the census. The sensors are the standard by which
- 46:02Speaker 2: we determine truth. So I'm claiming the sensors that invalid.
- 46:08Speaker 2: How do I know that? How would I know that?
- 46:10Speaker 1: What would the knowledge of that come from other than
- 46:12Speaker 1: from ultimately, since you know, every concept has to come
- 46:19Speaker 1: from somewhere.
- 46:20Speaker 2: This is where epistemologically we disagree completely with the prepariance.
- 46:24Speaker 2: We start with reality and we start with the senses.
- 46:29Speaker 2: So the validity sens is, you know, is you can't
- 46:34Speaker 2: dispute it because biologically you can't dispute it, because otherwise
- 46:38Speaker 2: we'd be a dead species. But philosophically you cannot invalidate
- 46:44Speaker 2: that statement without reference to the sensors, and without reference
- 46:49Speaker 2: to their validity, it is self contradictator to try to
- 46:54Speaker 2: invalidate the senses. You'll have to take my study group
- 47:00Speaker 2: on OPAP, which we'll get where we're talking more in
- 47:03Speaker 2: depth of these kind of things, Jamie, If us UK
- 47:07Speaker 2: can't help overthrow Mussad, would we still have arrived at
- 47:12Speaker 2: seventy nine Islamic takeover?
- 47:14Speaker 1: Was there a tooler able to take over?
- 47:15Speaker 2: Because people turned on shah Usu on nineteen fifty three
- 47:19Speaker 2: seems to still be point of blame for some leftists. Yeah,
- 47:25Speaker 2: I mean, I think that's ridiculous. I think it's ridiculous.
- 47:29Speaker 2: But because look, Mussat Mussad Dig the Prime Minister of
- 47:37Speaker 2: Yuan at the time, was not a good guy. He
- 47:40Speaker 2: was a bad guy and he was going to align
- 47:42Speaker 2: with the Soviet Union, a given that that was the trend.
- 47:47Speaker 1: That the government of Iran was taking.
- 47:50Speaker 2: If he isn't killed, they're still If he isn't killed,
- 47:54Speaker 2: then Islamism rises in Yuan. Anyway, the religious leaders are
- 48:02Speaker 2: still persecuted in the name of secular communism instead of
- 48:07Speaker 2: in the name of the Shaw. And by the way,
- 48:08Speaker 2: the Shaw still existed right the show was still running things.
- 48:11Speaker 2: He was still the constitutional head of the government, and
- 48:16Speaker 2: he appointed the prime minister. And the reason the United
- 48:19Speaker 2: States and what the United States and Britain actually supported
- 48:23Speaker 2: was they supported the Shaw in opposition to as prime minister.
- 48:27Speaker 1: But the origins of the opposition to Sudge, we're not
- 48:35Speaker 1: the Americans and Brits. It was the Shaw who didn't
- 48:38Speaker 1: want him.
- 48:38Speaker 2: But even if he'd survived, Islamism would have probably been
- 48:44Speaker 2: successful in Iran anyway.
- 48:48Speaker 1: Because you know, they would have.
- 48:51Speaker 2: Rebelled against the secular nature of his kind of kami
- 48:55Speaker 2: leftist socialist regime, and given that he was violating property
- 49:03Speaker 2: rights and stealing the oil from the Brits and the
- 49:05Speaker 2: Americans and all of that, knocking him out was completely
- 49:09Speaker 2: justified by the Brits and Americans. Adam catching up on
- 49:18Speaker 2: these on the replays. Thanks for providing such comprehensive updates,
- 49:21Speaker 2: My pleasure. Thanks for support, Adam Jamie has you on
- 49:25Speaker 2: hits Saudi oil fields and does this all but guarantee
- 49:28Speaker 2: Saudi strike back?
- 49:29Speaker 1: If true? They hit their refineries, they haven't hit the fields.
- 49:32Speaker 2: They've hit their refineries, and Saudis are very upset and
- 49:35Speaker 2: they've said they now had their right to retaliate. Whether
- 49:39Speaker 2: the Saudis will actually engage militarily, I don't know. Whether
- 49:42Speaker 2: they want to put their pilots in a position of
- 49:44Speaker 2: attacking you on I don't know.
- 49:46Speaker 1: But they might so.
- 49:49Speaker 2: But yes, the facilities, the ore facilities in Saudi Arabia
- 49:53Speaker 2: will hit yesterday or the day before. I can't keep
- 49:55Speaker 2: track anymore. Okay, one last point. Remember I talked a
- 49:59Speaker 2: lot about the straight homoes. They are crucial and really
- 50:02Speaker 2: really important. It turns out China is putting immense pressure
- 50:05Speaker 2: on the Uranians to keep the Straits of Homos open.
- 50:09Speaker 2: Right now, Yuran does not have a navy. Basically, the
- 50:12Speaker 2: United States are sunk. The Iranian navy ships are gone,
- 50:16Speaker 2: It's submarine is gone. They can't mine the straits. They
- 50:19Speaker 2: don't have the capacity. The United States is destroying their ports,
- 50:22Speaker 2: their navy, and their anti ship missiles.
- 50:27Speaker 1: But in addition to that, they need the Chinese.
- 50:32Speaker 2: It's the only ally they have, to the extent that
- 50:34Speaker 2: it's even an ally, I mean, one of the things
- 50:35Speaker 2: that's happened to Iran is it's completely isolated. The Russians
- 50:38Speaker 2: have told them that you're on your own, and China's
- 50:41Speaker 2: basically told them you're on your own, but keep the States.
- 50:43Speaker 1: Of Homos open.
- 50:45Speaker 2: The reason ships are not traversing the Straits of Homos
- 50:49Speaker 2: is not because of Iran mining it or closing it
- 50:55Speaker 2: or trying to destroy them, although you know that might happen.
- 50:59Speaker 2: It's because insurance companies in London are basically assessing the
- 51:03Speaker 2: risk and are basically.
- 51:07Speaker 1: Increased insurance premiums through the roof.
- 51:10Speaker 2: I think four x for any ship that wants to
- 51:13Speaker 2: travel through the Strait of Homos, and the ships are
- 51:15Speaker 2: basically saying at those insurance prices. We're just gonna think
- 51:21Speaker 2: anchor and wake this up. So it's the risk, the
- 51:26Speaker 2: risk borne by insurance companies pri million in London that
- 51:30Speaker 2: is basically minimized the.
- 51:36Speaker 1: Travel through the Straits of Homos.
- 51:38Speaker 2: Now, maybe if the US Navy goes in there and
- 51:40Speaker 2: provides protection for those ships and they start traveling out,
- 51:43Speaker 2: insurance rates would drop. But for now, at least the
- 51:46Speaker 2: straight home wars are closed, not because the unions have
- 51:49Speaker 2: succeeded in closing them, it sounds like they're not going
- 51:52Speaker 2: to even try, but because it's too expensive insurance wise to.
- 51:59Speaker 1: Travel through the straits. Interesting. I didn't know that, but
- 52:02Speaker 1: that was an interesting read. So we will see.
- 52:07Speaker 2: We'll see what the next few days bring us. I
- 52:12Speaker 2: do think today, if indeed these Raelis, the is Raelis
- 52:18Speaker 2: really killed the you know, the entire membership in UH
- 52:25Speaker 2: in the you know in this in the Council of Experts, right,
- 52:31Speaker 2: if if that really happened, then I think we're much
- 52:35Speaker 2: much much closer to the end of this war, and
- 52:39Speaker 2: we're much much closer to a regime change.
- 52:44Speaker 1: Anyone, anyone.
- 52:49Speaker 2: There's now pretty official now that the newly appointed Defense
- 52:54Speaker 2: Minister was killed two days after he took office. So
- 52:59Speaker 2: the first one was killed on the first day, and
- 53:01Speaker 2: this guy two days later was killed.
- 53:04Speaker 3: So it happened very very quickly, right all.
- 53:18Speaker 2: Right, And he was an hour before the Israeli bombed
- 53:22Speaker 2: assembly headquarters in Iran where they were choosing how many
- 53:25Speaker 2: success or. The Mosad Persian account posted this.
- 53:31Speaker 1: This is a video.
- 53:31Speaker 2: It says, no matter who gets chosen today, his fate
- 53:35Speaker 2: is already sealed. This is the Israeli Mosad posting in Persian,
- 53:40Speaker 2: and it's pictures of all the potential candidates for the
- 53:45Speaker 2: Supreme Leader on dominoes, and the dominoes all following one
- 53:49Speaker 2: by one.
- 53:51Speaker 1: Perfect.
- 53:53Speaker 2: So this is the Mossad playing mind games with the regime.
- 53:59Speaker 1: I love it.
- 54:00Speaker 2: I think this is perfect, so good. I think we're
- 54:09Speaker 2: closer to the regime change than we ever have given
- 54:12Speaker 2: what happened today. So we'll see given the decapitation strikes,
- 54:16Speaker 2: this is amazing.
- 54:17Speaker 1: Again, we'll see.
- 54:19Speaker 2: If there's an opposition, who is the opposition and can
- 54:22Speaker 2: it rise up?
- 54:31Speaker 1: Interesting? This is unrelated to yourn completely. This room court.
- 54:37Speaker 2: The US supream Court just rule sixty three, the California
- 54:41Speaker 2: school policy keeping secrets from parents about their children's gender
- 54:46Speaker 2: transitions is unconstitutional.
- 54:51Speaker 1: I think that's right.
- 54:53Speaker 2: I think that's right given what transitioning actually means.
- 55:00Speaker 1: That's absolutely right. All right, guys, thank you. I have
- 55:06Speaker 1: to run.
- 55:07Speaker 2: I'm meeting the leaders of the Durham Union Club for
- 55:12Speaker 2: dinner in just a few minutes.
- 55:14Speaker 1: Thanks to all the super chatters.
- 55:15Speaker 2: As I said, I'll keep you informed about where they
- 55:18Speaker 2: can do a show tomorrow and then a few days
- 55:20Speaker 2: definitely back on Saturday. Tomorrow's Wednesday, Thursday, Friday, Friday, no show.
- 55:25Speaker 1: I'll be in airplanes. Can do one for an airplane.
- 55:29Speaker 1: Thursday is going to be tough, Wednesday is going to
- 55:31Speaker 1: be tough, but I will try, all right.
- 55:33Speaker 2: Roman says weapons handouts to Uranians should require an oath
- 55:37Speaker 2: to a constitution of a free republic based on objective
- 55:40Speaker 2: law on individual rates. Ideally, but that won't happen, and
- 55:44Speaker 2: you know it won't happen. Let's just get rid of
- 55:47Speaker 2: these guys and let them establish a decent government in Iran.
- 55:51Speaker 2: That'll be a huge step forward in terms of the
- 55:55Speaker 2: security of the United States, of Israel and of the West.
- 55:58Speaker 1: So we'll take it one step of the time.
- 56:00Speaker 2: You know, even in America, we don't have a government
- 56:04Speaker 2: committed to the protection for protection of individual rates, so
- 56:08Speaker 2: hard to expect it from anywhere else.
- 56:13Speaker 1: All right, thank you guys. I will see