Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 279 - 5/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 279 - 5/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:19
Hello, and welcome to episode 279 of the All Systems Go sports
0:26
Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
0:29
I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
0:38
Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week is coming to a
0:41
close. We got today, we got Friday,
0:43
then we got a big weekend ahead here, guys.
0:46
A lot to get to in the sports betting world here for today.
0:50
I do have a three pack of MLB plays for you.
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I know it's a smaller than usual slate, only six games overall
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someday games going on right now, but I do have 3 plays for
0:59
all the late games here. I wanted to make sure we got the
1:01
pot out a little bit earlier than usual because one of the
1:03
games is a three o'clock game Tampa Bay and Toronto, which I
1:07
do have a play on. So as always guys a three pack.
1:09
Let's try to go 2 and 1 eek out a winning day.
1:12
Now with that being said, great bounce back last night. 3 and O
1:16
+ 1.62 units, bust out the brooms.
1:20
We had some nice Passpa anniversary magic on our side
1:23
last night. Remember yesterday, seven years
1:25
ago yesterday, it really changed the game, literally, when it
1:29
comes to betting on sports in America as the Passpa
1:33
professional. And what is it?
1:34
Professional and sports? Something something I should
1:38
know that, but I don't. But anyway, it's the federal ban
1:41
on sports betting that was put in place in 1992, overturned in
1:45
2018. And of course, now we enjoy the
1:47
fruits of of that of that change as we can now bet legally in
1:51
nearly 40 states across America. So Hallelujah.
1:55
I'll be looking back to her last night.
1:56
Guys, remember, this is sports betting.
1:58
You got to have thick skin. You can't get too high or too
2:00
low. We had a great Monday three and
2:01
one had a God awful Tuesday O and four bounced back yesterday
2:05
3 and O. So you're never too hot or when,
2:08
when you're when you're hot, I should say you're never as good
2:10
as you think. When you're low, you're
2:12
struggling. You're never as cold or as bad
2:14
as you think. You're always somewhere in the
2:15
middle. But this is sports betting.
2:17
I wish it was just like, you know, one of those little graphs
2:19
that is just slowly left to right.
2:21
I had a colleague of mine at Visa and Mike Pritchard who
2:23
always said he likes his, he likes his results going left to
2:27
right like you're climbing some, some stairs or going up an
2:30
escalator. Well, it's not always that easy.
2:32
There's UPS, there's downs. Sports betting to me again, it's
2:35
it's really about thick skin. There's so much of sports
2:37
betting when we focus on the analytics and the data, which is
2:40
really the way we approach betting.
2:42
But a lot of it is the mental side, going through the ups and
2:45
downs, not getting too high or too low, being able to sleep at
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night when you go on four or celebrating when you have a nice
2:52
three and O. So we just got to continue to
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grind, stick with it. But it was a nice bounce back.
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Last night we had the Blue Jays getting it done for the team,
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which should have been two in a row if not for Jeff Hoffman.
3:02
Blown it the night before, but got some good revenge.
3:04
Blue Jays won that game 3 to 1. Tigers.
3:07
That was a root canal, but they did come through with pinch
3:11
hitter Malloy hit a little blooper over second to win US
3:14
that in the bottom of the ninth against the Red Sox and then
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also got the Padres late night who poured it on a little bit
3:19
late. Had a big winner there in San
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Diego. So 3 and O + 1.62 unit night.
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We're going to see if we can keep that winning streak going
3:27
or start a winning new winning streak here for today.
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Now, one thing I wanted to mention before we get to
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obviously, excuse me, the Major League Baseball slate for today
3:37
is that did you guys know tomorrow, which is Friday, May
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16th, we have a new sport or we have a a sport that is coming
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returning. It's not a new sport, but we
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have the return of the WNBA. So don't laugh, don't scoff at
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it. There's still a stigma against
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WNBA. Yo, you're betting on women's
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NBA. There's like this sexist kind of
3:58
kind of anti WNBA sentiment. But no, I like to bet on the
4:01
WNBA and one thing I like about it is that it's an underserved
4:05
market, really not a lot of public betting.
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Although since Caitlin Clark came to the WNBA, you have seen
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a massive increase in interest and games on TV.
4:13
And of course, you know, having ticket counts rise as the games
4:17
get more popular. But with that being said, you
4:20
know, there's still not a ton of public.
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So therefore sharp moves can really show themselves pretty
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easily in the WNBA. We have some good system matches
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we can lean on. But I also wanted to mention
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that we do have WNBA now live in the Rhythm app.
4:33
I got a great e-mail from the team at Rhythm this morning and
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basically it said, hey, WNBA is back.
4:38
We're locked and loaded. There's already system matches
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and predictions for tomorrow's opening day.
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And then there's actually another cool little little
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banner I saw in the the Rhythm app that said WNBA player props
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are coming soon. So that's pretty cool because I
4:54
don't think there's really any player prop AI models anywhere
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other than Rhythm, so hopefully we'll have those to get down on.
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Yeah, just, yeah, just hammer the Caitlin clock overs.
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We'll see if that'll come through or not.
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But anyway, WNBA is back. As always, you'll be able to get
5:10
some great recommendations from Rhythm.
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We'll talk about WNBA plays on the pod.
5:15
And the other angle that I wanted to mention is having
5:17
access to a live odds page. You hear me talk about odds
5:20
logic all the time. Another angle that I don't
5:23
mention too much is like live lining.
5:25
So I I put out a tweet right before the pod got going at Josh
5:28
under score insights where if you like to in game wager, you
5:31
like to live line. 1 great thing about odds logic is you know
5:34
it'll give you obviously before the game starts, the opening
5:38
line, all the current lines, the line history shop for the best
5:41
price. Then this game starts, you get
5:43
your live scoring and then the live line will be available for
5:45
you on the odds Logic page the entire length of the game.
5:50
And great part of Odds Logic is that they also have WNBA.
5:53
So it's a long winded wave of me saying, hey, odds logic, great
5:56
for all sports. But if you do like WNBA, you
5:59
need the odds, the line movement, the live lines that
6:02
will be available to you with Odds Logic.
6:04
So remember, you can give it a shot by just going to the
6:06
specific link, Odds logic.com/josh 123, Odds
6:12
logic.com/josh 123. That's going to give you a 7 day
6:16
free trial and then 50% off your first month.
6:18
I highly recommend you give it a shot.
6:21
So with that being said, housekeeping out of the way,
6:23
let's get back to doing what we love to do, betting on sports
6:26
from a data-driven, sharp, contrarian perspective.
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So six games over, all three in progress.
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Wouldn't you know it, I got bets on all three of the remaining
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games. So let's start with Tampa Bay
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and Toronto. Three O 7:00 PM Eastern Time,
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first pitch, we got the Rays and the Jays.
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This is the rubber match of a three-game series.
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Remember the Rays broke our hearts.
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They're 19 and 23, but they came back after I thought Dalton Var
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show hit a Homer to win US the game.
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Nope, had a implosion by our guy Hoffman.
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They won that game 11 and 9 cashing as a + 115 Rd. dog.
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But then we did see the Jays who are 21 and 21 back at 500 bounce
7:04
back with a big three to one win yesterday.
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Took care of business as a -, 160 home favorite.
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So pitch a match up here for this one.
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We have the Rays going with the ready Zach Litelle.
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He's two and five, 4.4 OERA. Meanwhile, the Jays are going to
7:18
go with fellow ready Kevin Gozman.
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He's three and three, 3.97 ERA. What have we seen across the
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market for this one? Well, this game opened Toronto
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around a -, 160 -, 165 home favorite Tampa Bay around a +
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140 + 145 row dog. And it's been nothing but steam
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on the Jays. I don't know what it is.
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I'm I'm playing the Jays again. They just happen to be sharp
7:40
each day. Let's see if they can get a
7:42
winner here for us today. It would be nice to start off
7:44
our Thursday with a little matinee winner.
7:47
But anyway, I've seen steam hit Toronto.
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They've gotten steamed up -160 -, 165 now up to -175 I got -170
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four. 175 should still be available, but I think that's an
8:00
ESPN bet. There are a couple other books
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that are closer to -180 -, 185. So as always, shop for the best
8:06
price. Have those multiple outs, but
8:08
aside from the big steam on Toronto, have some good bet
8:11
splits on the Jays. If you look at DraftKings big
8:13
national public book, 71% bets, 81% dollars on the Jays and then
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at Circa this is the one I really like. 75% bets, 99%
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dollars on the Jays. So both DraftKings and Circa low
8:27
bets higher dollars, one way sharp bet splits in favor of
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Toronto at home. Now I do have 4 system matches
8:34
lit up on Toronto. A couple of them that I noticed,
8:37
one would be just classic home favorites like the Jays in this
8:40
spot. They're 260 and 152 this year,
8:43
63 percent, 3% ROI. Then another system is if you're
8:48
a home favorite -150 or more, 134 and 5969% with a 4% ROI.
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So a couple good systems. They're lighting up on Toronto,
8:58
and we do have Toronto also with some correlative betting value
9:01
because this game is basically a total of eight.
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I know there's a couple 8 and a halfs out there, but it's mostly
9:05
been 8. That's a good thing because as
9:07
we always talk about, you know, don't just focus on the side and
9:10
ignore the total. At least be aware of of both in
9:13
their relation to each other because it can kind of give you
9:16
a little bit of an edge. In this case with baseball, if
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we're on a favorite, we want a low total, 8 or less.
9:21
If we're on a dog, we want a high total, 9 or more.
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Whole thought process there. You've heard me say before, but
9:25
if not, the idea is that hey, fewer amount of expected run
9:28
scored, more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
9:31
Vice versa, you want more run scored, more variance and upset
9:35
opportunities for the dog. So we got a favorite low total.
9:37
We got correlative betting. Jays also in the spot have the
9:41
better bats over the last 10 games in particular, they're
9:44
hitting 289, Razor only hitting 238.
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So hope the hot bats continue for Toronto.
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Also look at home Rd. splits. The Rays are only hitting 233 on
9:53
the road that ranks 18th and Baseball Jays are hitting 254 at
9:57
home that ranks 15th. So small edge to the Jays and
10:00
their offense at home and in particular Kevin Gozman.
10:03
Gozman at home has been great. Two and O ERA of only two on the
10:08
road, one and three 5.27 ERA. So he's been better at home and
10:11
guess what he's home here today. Long Long story short, sharp
10:16
line move, good bet, splits system matches home Rd.
10:20
And then the last little cherry on top is when I popped open the
10:23
Juice Reel app I noticed a 15% sharp mush edge on the Jays.
10:28
So that told me 15% more of the sharper winning betters who have
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downloaded Juice Reel and synced up their sports books are going
10:35
Jays. So I always like it when the
10:37
sharp mush is on my side. I want to be on the sharp side,
10:39
not the mush side. But I'm on Toronto guys.
10:41
Let's see if we can get a winner.
10:43
Got him at -174 Next one for you. 8 O 5:00 PM Eastern Time,
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first bitch battle in the AL West.
10:51
We got the Houston Astros visiting the Texas Rangers.
10:54
Now the Astros come in 22 and 20 on the year.
10:57
Just took two or three against the Royals.
10:59
They won that series finale 4 to 3 as a -, 125 home favorite.
11:04
Meanwhile, the Rangers got a little hot here, 23 and 21.
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Maybe it's because they just played the Rockies just swept
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them in a series 18 to three yesterday as a -, 240 home
11:14
favorite. So pitch match up here looks
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pretty good, which is why we have a very low total of 7.
11:19
But we have Hunter Brown, the righty going for the Stroh's.
11:22
He's six and one with a 1.48 ERA.
11:25
Meanwhile, the Rangers are going to go with Jacob degrom 3 and
11:28
one 2.72 ERA. What are we seeing across the
11:32
market here? This is interesting because this
11:34
game opened Texas very short favorite around -120 at home,
11:38
Houston around a + 105 row dog. And at DraftKings, the public is
11:42
pretty much split. You know, they're like, hey,
11:44
Houston, you know, Hunter Brown's got good numbers.
11:47
Yeah, still the Grom, but you're getting a little plus money.
11:49
Could be a coin flip game. You're basically 5050 bet splits
11:53
where the public doesn't know where to go.
11:54
At DraftKings, however, what do we always talk about?
11:57
5050 line shouldn't move at all. You see a line move in a 5050
12:01
split tells us those bigger, sharper wagers have taken a
12:03
position. And it looks like they've taken
12:05
a position on the Rangers. I like the Rangers here, guys.
12:08
Open minus 1205050 at Bet DraftKings.
12:12
Yet we've seen the Rangers get up to -130 and some shops even
12:15
as high as -135 should still be able be able to find a -. 130.
12:19
I got -130 I believe it was at Bet MGM.
12:23
But if you look out at Circa and always like comparing DraftKings
12:26
to Circa because you always got to think about the clientele,
12:29
What kind of betters are betting at DraftKings versus Circa?
12:32
DraftKings? You got drunk public guys at the
12:35
bar. Circa, you got a lot of sharp
12:36
people out in Vegas, but at Circa 69% bets, 98% money is on
12:43
Texas. That really jumped out to me.
12:45
Tell me those bigger, sharper wagers are on the Rangers.
12:48
Some system matches here. I have six overall in Texas home
12:51
favorites off a win with a winning record one O 2 and 5266
12:55
percent, 5% ROI this year when both teams are coming off a win,
12:59
which is the case here. Take the favorite simple system,
13:02
but it's 30 and 1863 percent, 3%.
13:06
ROII mentioned that very low total that would provide
13:09
correlative betting on Texas total of seven.
13:12
If your amount of expected runs scored more likely to come from
13:14
again, quote UN quote that better team.
13:16
Rangers good home home Rd. splits.
13:19
They're 15 and eight at home this year and pretty good.
13:22
Astros only 7 and 11 on the road and the Grom in particular on
13:26
the road. He's one and O, but he has an
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ERA of 4.4 at home, 2 and 1 ERA of 1.88.
13:33
Lastly, popped open Juice Reel as always saw an 11% sharp mush
13:38
edge on Texas. 11% more of the sharper winning batters are
13:42
going Rangers. So we got a sharp mush edge.
13:45
5050 split at DraftKings, but big sharp split at Circa.
13:49
Good system matches. I'm going to bank on the Rangers
13:51
hopefully to get a win for us. I'm on Texas at -130 Last bat of
13:57
the night, 10:10 PM Eastern Time.
13:59
Let's look at an interleague match up with the A's against
14:02
the LA Dodgers. So this is the rubber match of a
14:05
three-game series. We saw the A's, who are 22 and
14:08
21, take the opener 11 to 1. Cruised as a + 170 row dog.
14:14
Then we saw the Dodgers, 28 and 15 come back with a big nine to
14:17
three win yesterday. They opened it up late and
14:20
really tacked on quite a few runs.
14:22
Took care of business as a big -300 favorite at home last
14:25
night. So pitch a match up for this
14:28
rubber match. We have the A's going with the
14:30
ready Osvaldo Bedo. He's two and three, 4.75 ERA.
14:35
And the Dodgers meanwhile, are going to go with the fellow
14:37
righty Matt Sauer. He is 1 and O with a 1.54 ERA.
14:41
What are we seeing across the market here?
14:44
Well, not the biggest steam move in the world, but all money and
14:46
movement toward the Dodgers. Let's go Dodgers guys.
14:49
I'm going to stay up late and sweat the Dodgers.
14:52
Dodgers open this game around -190 They've now been steamed up
14:55
all the way to -200 some shops even as high as -2 O 5 -, 210.
15:01
So I did get -200 at Bet MGM, of course, try to get that cheapest
15:05
price as, as you can, because the whole point being is when
15:08
you bet to risk, not bet to win, the more you risk, the bigger
15:12
the payout is. So I got -200 I like the bet
15:15
splits on the Dodgers. They're getting 86% bets, 92%
15:19
dollars at DraftKings, and at Circa they're getting over 95%
15:23
of bets in dollars. So really just a big, you know,
15:26
not a huge line move. Again, to me a big line move was
15:28
like $0.20 or more, but still 10-15 cents in favor of the
15:32
Dodgers. Heavy, heavy one way bet splits
15:35
pro and Joe in favor of the Dodgers.
15:37
I have, believe it or not, 16 system matches on the Dodgers in
15:40
this spot. Interleague home favorites who
15:43
made the playoffs the previous year.
15:44
They're 41 and 1968 percent, 12% ROI.
15:48
Home favorites -200 or more, 70 and 1979 percent, 10% ROI.
15:55
Favorites with line move in their direction made the
15:56
playoffs the previous year 156 and 7468% with a 9% ROI.
16:02
I'm going to bank on the Dodgers bats hopefully getting to Bido
16:05
tonight. They have the better bats
16:07
overall on the year they're hitting 267. 68 homers, 238 runs
16:12
scored. Athletics hitting 26157 homers,
16:16
194 runs scored 8 The Athletics or sorry the the the Dodgers I
16:23
should say in this spot also much better pitching as of late.
16:26
4.76 team ERA. Over the last 10 games,
16:29
Athletics have a 6.49 ERA. And their last ten Dodgers also
16:34
have the better bullpen. 3.82 ERA versus 5.24.
16:38
And I want to again kind of fade Beto in the spot.
16:41
He's made two main starts. He has a 6.1 O ERA in those
16:45
starts, giving up seven runs and 10.1 innings pitched.
16:48
And again, now he's got to face a loaded Dodgers lineup.
16:52
So we have a, you know, decent line move, good bet splits 8.
16:55
This is really a system match play for me among among all
16:58
these different factors. And I did notice a 21% sharp
17:02
mush edge in the juice real app in favor of the Dodgers.
17:06
So add it all up here guys. We got three favorites.
17:08
Let's try to go 2 and 1 eke out a winning night.
17:10
Toronto, Texas and the LA Dodgers.
17:14
So that about does it for episode 279 of the All systems
17:17
Go sports Betting podcast powered by rhythm.
17:20
As always, this is the part of the pod, of course, where we
17:22
wrap things up. And I start first by saying
17:25
thank you. Thank you for taking the time
17:27
out of your day, out of your busy lives to pull up a chair to
17:29
the virtual bar and sweat some sharp data-driven breakdowns
17:32
with me. If you do enjoy this pod, tail
17:36
fade pick and choose, you just like to listen to the
17:38
breakdowns. Whatever the case may be, I
17:41
appreciate you. But if you want to make my day,
17:43
could you please help me grow the pod by giving it a five star
17:46
review on Spotify or iTunes? If you want to leave a nice
17:50
comment under the review section, that would also be
17:52
great. If you want to click the follow
17:53
button, do that. So that way, that way you get
17:56
alerted as soon as it drops each day.
17:58
You'll get a little pop up notification on your smartphone.
18:01
And then also, if you want to recommend the pod to a friend,
18:03
word of mouth is always great as well.
18:06
Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, data-driven,
18:09
sharp contrarian betting, again, there are nights when you go O
18:12
and four, nothing goes your way. You still be closing lines.
18:15
There are nights when you go 3 and O and everything goes your
18:17
way. But we always got to stick to
18:18
the model, stick to the blueprint.
18:19
That's the we can't. Again, I wish we could, but we
18:22
cannot control the outcome of games.
18:24
We can control the way we approach them, interpret them
18:28
and ideally get down and make smart bets and beat closing
18:31
lines. So if this style of betting
18:32
appeals to you, looking at line movement, bet splits, system
18:35
matches, taking a data-driven approach, betting games with our
18:38
head and not our heart, then I would highly recommend going to
18:42
Amazon.com, supporting the team and then typing in the
18:45
everything sharp, the everything.
18:47
There we go. I almost combined my two books.
18:48
That's that's the first time that's happened.
18:50
The Everything Guide to Sports Betting, my first book ever
18:52
wrote back in 2019. If you know someone who is new
18:56
to betting, or wants to break into betting, or is in a newly
18:59
legalized state, or you just want to make me happy and buy a
19:02
copy. Or maybe you have someone who
19:04
likes to bet on sports but doesn't win very much, has no
19:07
bankroll management plan, never looks at line movement or splits
19:11
or anything we talked about. Maybe you could gift a copy to
19:13
them as well. But once you type in the
19:16
Everything Guide to Sports Betting, you'll find my book.
19:18
And it's really got everything I've learned in the industry.
19:20
How lines are set, how and why they move, how to read line
19:23
movement, how to locate sharp action, how to place a bet in
19:25
person or online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up
19:29
a bankroll management plan, all included in the Everything Guide
19:32
to Sports betting and then slip of the tongue.
19:34
But while you're at Amazon.com, then you should type in the NFL
19:38
Sharp Betting Playbook comes out August 12th.
19:42
We're now less than three months away.
19:43
Cannot wait. But this is my second book
19:46
that's coming out later this year and it's all geared toward
19:49
betting the NFL. So if you want to help me again,
19:51
generate some some buzz, make my my my publisher happy, please
19:56
think about pre ordering a copy of the NFL sharp betting
19:59
playbook just from Amazon.com. It'll bring one or both of those
20:03
books to the sports book. I'll sign them for you.
20:05
I'll buy a beer or maybe a ginger ale.
20:07
We'll get some nachos together. So it's some sweat, some games
20:10
here on a Thursday night. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
20:14
and Juice Reel yet? Well, if you haven't, what are
20:15
you waiting for? Two of my favorite sports
20:17
betting apps to help me win. They're going to help you win.
20:20
All you got to do is go to your App Store or your Google Play,
20:25
whether you're an Android or an iPhone person, but type in
20:28
rhythm RITHMM, you get those AI back models and predictions for
20:32
game bets and player props will be locked and loaded for WNBA
20:35
starting tomorrow. And then next you're going to
20:37
type in Juice Reel JUICEREEL if you enjoy this pod, and I'm
20:44
going to hold out my hat with the tip jar.
20:46
I would love for you guys to sign up and get the all systems
20:49
Go official best bet picks from the Juice Reel app.
20:52
You'll get them earlier in the day, beat some closing lines.
20:55
If there's any games that you know I'm betting outside of the
20:58
pod, you'll get those as well. But it only cost you $4.99 a
21:02
week to get a week full of plays.
21:04
So again, you enjoy the pod. If you want to let me know you
21:06
appreciate it. That's what I love you to do get
21:08
those best bets from the juice reel buy sell tab on the bottom
21:13
right corner of the app. But also you get the robo
21:15
Jackson best bet picks, the sharp mush indicators, the
21:18
arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures, and you also
21:21
get a running report card of your action to keep you honest.
21:24
And also I love the betting dollar amounts, real actual bets
21:27
and dollars from people have synced their sports books to the
21:30
app with all of the spread money line and total bets for every
21:35
single game. But next, I mentioned it before,
21:38
but you got to have a live odds page if you're betting on sports
21:40
guys. This is like if you're a
21:41
Carpenter and you don't have a, you know, a screw, a screwdriver
21:46
or a hammer. It's so important because we got
21:48
to know all the games available to bet that day.
21:50
That's the most obvious thing we got to know.
21:52
But then we got to know what is the line open at?
21:54
How was it moved? What were the moves in between?
21:57
Was it consistent? Was there buyback again?
22:00
What's the juice on all the prices?
22:02
What's the live line prices? How can we shop and find the
22:05
best number? How can we follow market setting
22:07
books and then take advantage of slow moving books?
22:10
You can do all of that with an Odds Logic account.
22:13
There are a lot of live odds pages out there, but Odds Logic
22:16
to me is the best because it's simple, it's easy, it's crisp,
22:18
it's fast, it's got all the major books.
22:21
All you got to do to get a 7 day free trial and 50% off your
22:24
first month is just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
22:29
So that about does it for a big Thirsty Thursday.
22:31
I will be on tonight at 8:00 VSON live tonight on SiriusXM
22:36
with my buddy Patrick Maher and Dustin Swedelson.
22:38
If you're around. I actually in my new my new
22:40
Subaru 2025 Outback. They gave me 3 three free months
22:44
of SiriusXM. So who knows, maybe the wife
22:46
will be shopping, going to Nordstrom Rack tonight, picking
22:50
up Chipotle for the team and listening to listening to her
22:53
boy 8:00 on SiriusXM. But as always, guys, I'll leave
22:57
you with a couple things. One, whether I see you at the
23:00
Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the brook
23:03
of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut
23:07
at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM
23:09
Springfield. Or in my neck of the woods near
23:12
the the Nash in National New Hampshire.
23:14
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
23:16
down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the
23:19
lowest use possible possible is found at the South Point.
23:22
Or sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
23:24
swim pool. When you cash a big ticket at
23:26
Circo, wherever, maybe you're going to walk up to me.
23:28
We're going to make eye contact. It won't be weird, don't worry.
23:31
We'll just smile and we'll bust open the janitor's closet, bring
23:35
out a broom with a great sweep last night, guys, great bounce
23:38
back. Show me a Jays ticket, Tigers
23:41
ticket, father's ticket. First one's on me, next one's on
23:44
you. We'll post about the book and
23:45
sweat sharp contrarian plays all night long.
23:49
So that about does it for today's pod guys.
23:51
As always, 3 and OO and three two and one one and two.
23:56
There aren't many other combinations when you only have
23:58
3 bets, but either way, you know what I'm saying Good night, bad
24:01
night, hot, cold, great, terrible.
24:03
We just got to continue to grind.
24:04
Never get too high when we're hot, never get too low when
24:06
we're struggling. Remember, sports betting is a
24:08
difficult market to beat. We got to beat the
24:11
supercomputers and the lines that they set overcome the
24:13
juice, overcome Hoffman. I still again, we could go on a
24:17
10 and O streak. I'll still just be mad about
24:19
Hoffman blown at the other night.
24:21
But I guess that's the psyche of a sports better.
24:23
But I can tell you this, if we stick to the model, stick to the
24:26
blueprint against the public, with the house, with the pros,
24:29
flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
24:31
If we can do that long term, we're going to be successful
24:33
sports betters. So have a great Thursday night,
24:36
everybody. Hey, my Celtics are still alive.
24:40
Did you guys see the line move earlier?
24:42
Some of these books were -2 Knicks up to 2 1/2, some books
24:46
even 3 down to 2 1/2. Looks like it might be getting
24:49
down to 2, I don't know. Can the Celtics stay alive
24:52
tomorrow night? Stay tuned.
24:54
I'll be the way guys. Hope you have a great Thursday
24:56
night. I will see you tomorrow for
24:58
episode 280, a big Friday edition of the All Systems Go
25:02
Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
25:05
Good luck everybody and have a great Thursday night.