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The Favorites - NFL Week 11 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here
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• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: I am Sad Moment, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:29
  Speaker 1: If you are listening live on AMP, thank you. I
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: am joined as I am in every episode of the
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: Favorite Podcast by my bff, my companion, my compadre, Mr
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: Simon Hunter. Hello. Saw him in Fucking Reft Slink Kickers Chat.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: Week nine, we joked like we nailed Foxhol. We nailed
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: Simon says, we nailed Exact Decision. We nailed the big
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: balls better than week we went four and one in
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: the contest. What did I say? I said, literally can
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: only get worse. The only way you could get better
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: is if we went five and oh in the contest.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: I said, it can only get worse. This past week,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: Week ten, we had the Packers plus five in the
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Foxhol fantastic. Simon says Brown's plus four Exact Decision, Bears
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: minus two and a half Scooch Roulette, Denver plus two
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: and a half Steelers. Oh, I won that one Steelers
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: plus one and a half money Line Ron Robin. We
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: did have Minnesota, Pittsburgh and Green Bay Big Balls, Jacks
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: plus nine and a half and the Whole Kitten Camboodle.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: We went two and three in the contest. It's a
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: weird week, you say, kickers and refs. But let's take
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: it back before we get into this week. Let's take
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: it back to very early Sunday morning. I'm at an
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: airport in Phoenix. I call you. We're going through our games.
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: What happens? Well, Chad was feeling good. He just had
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: a weekend with his closest childhood friends. And you're just
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: feeling good. You were happy, while me, the working man,
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: had not slept. Probably I had slept and not well
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: in four nights. Um, I had just never ending feeling
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: of impending doom. Basically, when I talked to Chat, I
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: always have three games that I like, like this whole year,
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: I've had pretty much every week, I have three or
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: four games I really like, and this week I too.
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: And even then, even when I said them out loud,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: you I felt gross where I was like, I don't
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: even have that much faith. Can we take the bye week?
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: And you're in this airport and you're like, no, no, no,
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: let's save it, and I said, can we just take
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: the bye week? And he said no. He kept fighting
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: me on it. He said, I really like my two too. Yeah,
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: as the person that puts their life into football and
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: does nothing all a week. To have the man that
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: you know, vacation for a whole weekend to say, you know,
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: let's let's let it ride. I said, you know what,
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: the vibes are good right now. I have to trust Chad.
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm overthinking this. Not gonna lie buddy. When it
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: was one in three, after the one PMS holy ship
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: was on me, I was like, how did we not
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: do this? I had no faith in Green Bay, especially
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. You know, I thought it was gonna be
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: the week of the weekend of the public, right the
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: public wasn'ta haveing a nice weekend. But yeah, thank god
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: two and three Again, those weeks don't hurt like two
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: and three obviously hurts, but we're only still two back
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: of the leader. So it's just like one of those
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: weeks were luckily everyone kind of did bad um so
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: we were able to stay afloat. But yeah, we still
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: have to use a bye week, and it's like it's
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: rare for me to you know me, it's rare so
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: anymore and I don't feel good. Um, I think that's
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: a three you off for me being like instantly firstanced
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: to do was like, let's take the bye week. Um,
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: I think that threw you off a little. It totally
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: threw me off. It was it just came out of
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: nowhere because we felt good about the games. I I
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: wasn't in a mental space. It was a little bit chemical.
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: I wasn't in a mental space to not have action,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: do you know what I mean. I hadn't put myself.
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: We had talked about taking a bye later in the
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: or where there's gonna be six or seven teams I
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: think six teams that have a bye. And I said
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: that to you, and you made a really good point
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: that you know, there was there was uncertainty with Minnesota
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: and Buffalo, there was uncertainty with Arizona and the Rams.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: So in essence, like there were six teams on the
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: by and we had four games we couldn't touch, and
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: then we had four four teams on a by, so
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: it's exactly six games, and so it was I thought
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: it was a really good point. But then you're like,
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: you know, by the way you come on the podcast
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: and You're always like, there's a little bit revisionist history.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: You act like you were so definitive. Was the first
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: you were so definitive. You're like, there's two games that
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I really like, and I'm like, well, there's two games
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: I really like. You love two games, and I love
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: two games. We felt strongly about four games. I think
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: the only game we didn't feel strongly about was Denver. Yeah,
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: but but we only felt strongly about two games. So
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: you each of us like two games out of the five. Well,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: I loved the Steelers, and I loved the Bears, yeah,
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: And I like the Jags and I liked Green Pickers. Yeah.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: But I know, I just had a bad feeling about
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: it because again, usually by by Sunday morning, I'll have
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of money bet, and I just didn't because they,
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: like I was just I had a bad feeling all week,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: and I just kind of felt like we would do
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I mean again, nine straight winning weeks. It's just I
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: wish I could come here and put my balls on
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: the tail, be like, yeah, this is how we do it.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: But it's just not that you just don't win like that.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Football is a fucking grind. So I just had a
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: bad feeling. I'm glad we didn't take the buy honestly,
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: because two and three, yeah, that sucks. But it's like
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: I think it was last year, maybe the year before
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: you nailed it, had a week we want one of four,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: and we took the bye That's what we're hoping on.
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: Like again, we know what's gonna happen. We're gonna go
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: four and one the bye week, but hopefully the spider
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: senses kick in again because I don't know, we kind
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: of saw it coming a little bit. But again, Jaguars
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: kicker hits one of those field goals, we're sitting here
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: three and two, So it's just it's just brutal when
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: those swings happened. Even Bears game right miss extra point.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: The Bears up ten with fifty seconds left in the
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: third quarter and they had the ball and you throw
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: a pick six, you missed an extra point. You've got
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: god knows how many penalties like the Jags, and it
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: should have been a four in one week. It should
• 7:16
  Speaker 1: have been a fourgn one. It should have been a
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: three and two week at the least, like the Bears
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: were the better team on Sunday. It's fucking killing me
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: and don't you think that I Linkings ones where we
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: screwed up right, Like we were all over that Vikings
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: game and we didn't take it because it was only
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: four and a half in the contest where I was
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: sitting at six in the books, and it was just like,
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: we don't know what to do because again we didn't
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: know what the hell is going on the quarterback position.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: So that that was. That was one of those I
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: was a brutal missed by us because we love that game.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: Again we can have their money line. Obviously we both
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: had bet it, especially at the six six and a half,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: So that was that was one of our bad misses.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: Was watching the game Sunday afternoon and when the Packers
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: were down, I never once thought they weren't going to
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: cover that game. It just that to me, like I
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: was so in on that team, it never occurred to
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: me that we would have ended up one and four.
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: I thought your dad is dirt until it went to
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: overtime and I was like, okay, now when the coin toss,
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: lose the coin toss, and I was just like Jesus,
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: when will this game just end? It was one of
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: those days for me, But yeah, just a bad week again,
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: the first time all season all three of our teams lost.
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: It was just overall a weekend. Like again, I'll talk
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: about it right now. That's it. I won't even think
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: about it ever again. So that's how I feel about
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: this past weekend. Moving on. It does put me in
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a bad mood. It's weird, and it hits me at
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: weird times, you know. I was, I was on the
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: bike yesterday and I'm like, fuck, we went two and three,
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: And like, it hit me last night when I was
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: watching the Washington Philly game. Even though I had the
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: Commanders move. The line moved last night to plus eleven
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: and a half, so I bet the Commanders at eleven
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: and a half. I had John Bates under seven and
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: a half receiving yards. That was like an A plus
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: grade with our pro tools and action labs. He had
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: zero receiving yards. So I ended the week, you know,
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: pretty strong, in a pretty strong way. I won quite
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: a bit. But the fans are all happy for you. Chat.
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: Don't be mean, don't don't be that way. I don't
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: say this stuff in your head, though you need this
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: pep talk in your own head. No one wants to
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: hear how you won. My egos lost. What do you
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: want me to clap for you? The Bears lost too,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: But I fucking move on because I'm a professional, so
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: have you you know I moved on. I moved on?
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: All right? Well, you know what all we can do
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: is put on a podcast and do better than we
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: did last week. Yeah, it's already loved this week and
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: pared to last week. I love it, love it, already
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: made a couple of bets, a couple of reminders. Number one,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I say it at the end of every show. Feedback
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: is a gift. Leave us a five star review. Say
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: whatever you want, but the reviews five stars helps us
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: stay in the top one hundred. We like being there.
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: It's all because of the listeners. Please, please, please leave
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: the five star reviews. We have three winners. Matt Mitchell
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: chose three winners of the people who gave five star
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: reviews last week. I am going to read their names
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: out now. You will email podcasts at Action network dot com.
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Harry four seven eight seven, Cody from Middlebury, Eugene fart Face.
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: Eugene fart Face has entered the chat next week. Also
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: some housekeeping, we will do our normal episode that we
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: record on Tuesday Live, we will not have an episode
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: on Thursday because of Thanksgiving. Nobody listens that day. We're given,
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: you know, Matt Mitchell a chance to be with his
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: family doing it. Convince me though, on the Thursday and
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: Sunday we will have it. Convince me on Thursday, Convince
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: me on Thursday Me, Simon, raybon Kerner, Samantha Pavidi, Uh
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Dan Revel and on Sunday. So you can catch us
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: uh on the interwebs in the Action Network Gap it's
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: or etcetera, etcetera, watches at Extra Network HQ or in
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: the Actra Network Gap downloaded for free. Award winning go Simon,
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: we gotta do a foxhold. We gotta do with Simon says,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: we gotta do an exact decision. We both were regretful
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: that we didn't bet the Panthers last week. Yeah, yeah,
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: I mean again. We gave out the money line to
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: our loyal live listeners, which was nice. Lea stay cash
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: with us on that. But yeah, definitely another reason why
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: I want to take the BIE. I was already like, man,
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: we we nailed that game. We didn't have it in
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: the contest. We should just skip this week. But this
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: week again, it's hard to take the favorite in a
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: position of both these teams seemed like equals Tennessee Packers.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: It's just Rabel was a dog. I mean last week again,
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: they had no right winning or covering that game. They
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: had four their top defenders out. Tannehill doesn't look right. Still,
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: they got no receving weapons. Even Derrick Henry did not
• 11:55
  Speaker 1: have a good game to plays. They made two plays
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: and they won seventeen ten. And that's rebel, Like he's
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: just an incredible coach, gets his defense up for these
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: games and it's it's working. So a green Bay team
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: that just had this incredible victory. Man, I want to
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: take green Bay here because it's like this, this probably
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: is the right side. But if you're giving me three
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: or three and a half with Tennessee just a great defense,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: I'm finally losing money on a team like this. Like again,
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: you're getting a good number against a green Bay team
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: that I just don't think they're that good. Even chat
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: today was like can they make the playoffs? And it's
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: like probably not right. It's like you want to think
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: that after they had to turn around maybe against green Bay,
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: I mean against the Cowboys, but that was just a
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: flukey situation, right. It was just a perfect matchup for them,
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: perfect spot for them. Again, we talked about them being undervalued.
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: Now this seems like the right value to me. Maybe
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: a little bit overvalue to Green Bay. So I'm gonna
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: come back to their side. I'll take Tennessee here at
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: three or three and a half. Don't know if we'll
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: make it to our contest, but I definitely think we're
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: getting a good number here. I feel like it's yucky
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: the Packers open two and a half. I think if
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: we were going to play it, it would have been
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: the two and a half um and I hate I
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: hate betting against this Titans team, and this feels like
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: the exact right number, right like I wanted to day
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Green Bay. I just think this number is inflated too
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: much at this point. Eagles at the Colts. So now
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: the Eagles are without Dallas Goddard um. That was broken
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: live on Green Dot Daily. Simon and I were on
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: the Action Network Betting Agenda show Green Dot Daily noon
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: Eastern at Action Network HQ and the Action Network ap
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: Eagles off their first loss Colts the first win with
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: Jeff Saturday getting up a really bad Raiders team. Yeah,
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: I would lean Eagles here under a touchdown. I know
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: it's an ugly, gross road favorite, but the Eagles are
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: still a really good team. And the cults are inflated
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: here because last week they're terrible. They are the biggest
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: pause for me right now. I was we saw what
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: the Eagles defense looks like without Jordan Davis. Again. You
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: can talk about that until where you know sick in
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: the head about it, but it's just he's in your
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: He's gone. They're having to play Fletcher Fletcher Cox a
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: lot of snaps and that the tackle position. Last night
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: he was getting single block right. That's not like Fletcher Cox,
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: the guy that people think of as being all pro talent.
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: He is though he's old. Now he's just slow. He's different.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: So maybe that's what people are betting here. The professionals
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: are coming in heavy because they think, Okay, the Colts
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: can do what they want to do in this again.
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: They're gonna be able to run the ball on ball,
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: control the clock. Again. That Ryan is clearly better than
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: the backup quarterback Sam. So I'm with you, chat, I
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: really want to take um the Eagles. I'm trying to
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: be smart about I did touch um a little bit,
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: put a little on it when it hit six and
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: a half, that I was gonna go back to seven.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: It hasn't again, gives me a little more pause. Maybe
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: that's the Godhart news, but it's just a good number
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: on the Eagles team that people are down on now
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: right that they just got embarrassed in our primetime game,
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: and the whole cult organization is taking a vict re
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: lap after beating the Raiders again, their owners tweeting out
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: like like he's the man right now. It's it's a
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: bizarre world. So I'm with Chad. The Raiders are are
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: we the worst coach team of football right now? Might
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: be the worst run organization of football right now. Eagles
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: they're the complete opposite side of the coin. They're the
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: best run organization probably in football, one of the best
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: coaching staffs from football. You expect them to get it
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: right after an embarrassing loss from prime time. So I'm
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: with you, Job, I'll get the six and a half.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: It's just a little bit hesitant on why this number
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: has dropped so much. Again, it opened eight eight and
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: a half. Now it's a six and a half. That's
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: a big movement. Well, it could be the goddard news,
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: but I do think. I do think that. Look, the
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: Commanders owned the line of scrimmage last night. I mean,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: what do they have forty minutes of time of possession?
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: They Brian Robinson was going five yards before anybody touched him.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: But that was the key, though, wasn't It wasn't big breaks, right,
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: it was he was getting those five yards and all
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: of a sudden, I don't know what happened, but they
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: were going what was eleven for twelve or twelve for
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: thirteen on third downs? Right was hitting his guys and shrides.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: It wasn't just the running. It there beating us in
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: the air too. So it's like there might be major
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: issues on the Eagles team. That's the pause right now.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: That's interesting because I was really I thought about the
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: line of scrimmage, and what I was going to say
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: is that the Eagles have proven to be a really
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: good coaching staff, and I felt like there are probably
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: some adjustments to be made week to week that they
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: didn't make in game that would allow them to account
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: for the loss of Jordan Davis, which is why I
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: would feel comfortable. But at the end of the day,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just getting a much better team at less than
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: a touchdown like that. To me, everything else goes away if, if,
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: and if I lose this bet. I'm not saying we
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: have to put in the contest, but it tells me
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: a lot more about where the Eagles are then where
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: we thought they were if they end up performing poorly
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: against the Colton. I do think if the Eagles don't
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: perform well, it changes sort of the scale and context
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: of the NFC against what we thought it might be. Yeah,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I would just say it's all about health and then
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: the injury bug where it's like I think the Tampa
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: is three and five whatever it was two exting. I
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: told you I still had them in my power because
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: the number one team i'd fear in the playoffs not
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, not the Vikings, not the Cowboys, at the Giants.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: And it's a simple fact of when things get tight,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: these young, inexperienced quarterbacks, they don't perform. And again that's
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: where I trust a guy like Tom Brady and those
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: teams where yeah, it wasn't on all Hurts last night,
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: but we saw Hurts needed to do a two minute
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: drill to have his team win. He went three and out,
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: Like we can't complain all you want about them punting
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: and the BS called by the ref end of the game,
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: but it's like Hurts had his chance, he went three
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: and out, they had to punt. It's it's kind of
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: these things where it's like, do I really think Bray
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: is gonna win the Super Bowl this year? No, but
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: it's just I know the playoffs came, even though even
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: when they were three and five, it's like, that's the
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: scary moment of it's tom first, all these inexperienced quarterbacks
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: and the nf see where it's like wide open, even
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: you today, we're talking about you, like the fourty nine ers.
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Jimmy g is not good. He is not a good
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: quarterback right now. He's got major issues. But that's how
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: open the NFC is, where it's like, well, on paper,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: the fort Has are probably the best team all all around.
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: It's like if they're healthy, they'll be the they'll probably
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: be the favorite. Where the Eagles right now, again it's
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: not a big deal. They just they lost Jordan Davis.
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: They lost Maddox, which is our U cornerback. That's very
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: for this team. And A. J. Brown wrote his ankle
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: so it's like, okay, if they might be down a J.
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: Brown as well as and got her even again, that
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: might start pushing me more towards this Courts Colts team
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: where it's like that's major injuries on this Eagle's offense.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: The Cooper coupless Los Angeles Rams are visiting the New
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: Orleans Saints. The Saints are four point favorites right now.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: Saints are kind of crap too right now, and they've
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: got some quarterback issues that they're trying to work out.
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: They're kind of becoming the team we thought they would
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: be kind of a middling, mediocre or no personality team.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: It's kind of a past for me this game. I
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: don't have strong feelings on it. Yeah, I would have
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: loved that still in New Orleans at three, that was
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: a great number. Um, it's growing because again Stafford's not back,
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: he's still in a concussion protocol. Cooper cups now done
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: for at least four weeks. I love the take New
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: Orleans here, honestly, like this is a good matchup for them.
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: They can run the ball. The Rams offensive lines and
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: tatters like they just have a bunch of injuries. That
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: offensive line just a good matchup for a Saint team.
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: But I feel like Chad just talked about, it's like
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: just two really bad teams. It's it's it's hard to
• 19:34
  Speaker 1: get behind it. But I feel like the Saints on
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: the right side here, and as much you'd love to
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: be like, well, maybe they'll just tank. Their first round
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: pick is the Eagles. They traded that they traded up
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: to get the receiver they took last year. So the
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: Eagles right now the fourth pick overall thanks to the Saints.
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: They're not trying to tank. This head coach is not
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: gonna try to tank, the general managers not gonna try
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: to tank. So you see them playing hard, playing in
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: this game against a Rams team that they just seem
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: lost as we sit here on Tuesday, Like everything I've read,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: it's just bad and negative. And again Stafford still in
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: concussion protocol on Tuesday. That's that's a big deal. Well,
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: you know what, I'm gonna put it on the list
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: for now. Again, if this got to five or four
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: and a half in the contest, I don't think i'd
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: play it. But a four, three and a half, three,
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: that's that's great value. Chicago Bears, who broke our hearts
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: this weekend. Look Justin Fields again, just electric. When I
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: think about Justin Fields, I was thinking about it this weekend.
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: I think about Justin Altuh, Josh Allen and his career progression.
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: He was all athletes. The first couple of years they
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: got Stefon Diggs, he became more accurate. I think Justin
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: Fields next year like that is the path of progression
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: he's on. Maybe I'm too excited about it. Maybe I'm
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: just enthralled with the way he's been playing, the way
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: he's being used. I will wash away the terrible pass
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: he made that cost the Bears the game. Chalk up
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: to again. Still learning, but wow, he looks like he
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: could beat everybody up on the field again. The Onason,
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: I think there's a big difference is Um Fields has
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: been that guy since he was probably sixteen, where Josh
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: Allens had to earn every little title you' put next
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: to his name. Again, he was sending tapes to every
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: d one school. I believe why Owen is the only
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: one that was replied to the kid. And even when
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: he was at y M, I think he ended up
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: staying right for senior Matt Mitchell, no better for me.
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: He didn't even do that well, right, it was just
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: the body type, the athleticism. We're justin fields. He had
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: the arm in college. I mean, hell, I remember watching
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: my high stand like this kid is the real deal.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: You can go back and listen. Me and Chad couldn't
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: understand why he wasn't number two pick overall. We had
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: him right behind Trevor Lawrence. Again, we didn't know Zack
• 21:48
  Speaker 1: Wilson was gonna be this bad, but it was just
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: like the upside of fields and Trey Lance to me,
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: was so much higher than Zack Wilson's. It just didn't
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: make sense to me. And I would love to back
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: him here, but it just can't keep happening. Like this
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: is he's on a historical pace right now, Like he's
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: had back to back weeks of just insane running. Like
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: what do you get last week? I was a hundred
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: sixty three and then like it's just a week before
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: so so again we can ballpark and say he's averaging
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: over a hundred fifty yards per game last two weeks running. Um,
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: there has to be some point of regression there. But
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: I saw last week the Lions were doing a double
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: spy on him. They had two different guys spying him
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: on each side of the field, and it didn't matter
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: when plays broke down, he could find those alleys. He's
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: so quick, like he goes through those holes so fast.
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: So I would love to sit here and say Bears
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: auto play a plus three and a half. But the
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: right play is to take at landing here against the
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: Bears team that, yeah, they're performing incredibly, but an Atlanta
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: team that they do exactly what the Bears don't want
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: to do. This. There's gonna be some high flying, high
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: scoring kind of game. This is gonna be a slow,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: dragged out, muddy the waters kind of game, which is
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: what Atlanta likes to play. And the fact that the
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: last time anyone saw Atlanta play, what was the final score, fifteen,
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: they got absolutely blown out by Carolina. I just know
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: the Bears will be the most public side this week,
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: So I understand it. I understand why people are gonna
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: take the three, But to me, this is number is
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: probably closer to a four four and a half than three.
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: So it kind of it sticks from the get go,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: like the books are kind of landing a little bit
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: of a trap here, Um, let's see what the public
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: does with it. But got instincts. Again, I haven't bet
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: this yet. I would take Atlanta. This feels like a
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: good number. It's so tricky because this Falcons team can
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: really run the ball and this Bears team cannot stop
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: the run and not stop anybody. You just look in
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: the trenches like you're not trying to look at the
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: fields and the quarterback. It's literally the lines here like
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: it's a big discrepancy in both lines. It is where
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: you get a little bit blinded by Justin fields because
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: again my right away I was like, oh, justin fields
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: at a plus number, thank you, but it's a little fishy. Again,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: this line was a pick um and they've moved it.
• 24:08
  Speaker 1: Awful lot of professional action commanders after a huge money
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: night game visiting the Texans, this line is three. Let
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: me make sure I have it correct from FANDUL right now,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: because it's bouncing all over the place plus three and
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: a half. We both got strong opinions on this game. Well,
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: I figure about to make your executive decision. I am
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: gonna make my exact decision right now on the Houston
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Texas at plus three and a half. The choice between
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: the unthinkable and the impossible. Executive decision this. This does
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: feel like a no brainer. Me and Chat and five
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: other people will be on Houston kicking myself. We knew,
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: we knew to be on the Colts last week. That's
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: how me and Chad make our good money. It's like,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: you take these ugly dogs that everyone's shipping on all
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: week and everyone hates, and hell a might burn us
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: here with Houston, we have we have no choice here,
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: especially once they hit three and a half. I'll be
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: the sucker. Suck me in sports books. I will take
• 25:12
  Speaker 1: the three and a half. I'll be that sucker. But
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: you have to take this number. A home dog here
• 25:17
  Speaker 1: against a team that just won in prime time and
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: a divisional game. Chad just said they're a double digit
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: dog again. You'll see the trends that come out this week,
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: teams that are double digit dogs that are going on
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: the road as a favorite the following week. No boy, no,
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: So I'm I'm loving where Chad's heads at. Um. That's
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: why he's offering up to me. But it's just a
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: play that so as I saw the line game, I said, well, me,
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: chatter gonna look like idiots or really smart people in
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: like the Green Bay game. It's just you're playing the
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: number here. You can't look at the teams. Gotta just
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: look at the number and see that this is an
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: inflated line. She'd be closer to a pick. Three and
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: a half is a gift. I am so frustrated that
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: I betted at three, because when we looked at the
• 26:01
  Speaker 1: lines this morning, there were threes and there were two
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: and a half, and it looked like it was trending
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: towards two and a half. Literally an hour later. I
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: don't know what happened. I think people started waking up
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: on the West coast and after watching the Commanders last
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: night and just piling in on Washington, and this game
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: went up to three and a half. UM. But as
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: you say, we're hooked by the half three and a half.
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: Give it to me. This is the bylow cell high.
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: This is the bet the perception. I can tell you
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: that according to our luck rankings last week, the Texans
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: were the most unlucky team in the NFL. And by
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: the way, you could argue that Washington one of the
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: luckier teams between the refs, between the Eagles unlikely turnovers. Um. Really,
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: there were some plays where the Commanders could have easily
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: lost that game and things went right for them. Texas
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: had two red turnovers to red z own possessions that
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: turned into field goals instead of touchdowns. Um, you know,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I got it. People are gonna be like, well, the
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: technically just stink. We agree they're awful, but there's always
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: an overcorruption to these lines. They're not gonna not win
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: and cover every game. They're just the books aren't giving
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: a free money here. So again we had to take
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: a position when we think of lines inflated. This is
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: one of those games. We didn't buy the Houston last week. Right,
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: A lot of professionals are on Houston. I got the Giants.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: I just thought it was a short number. This is inflated.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: This is a good number for Houston. Lad we love
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: the Texans so much. The Jets on the road at
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: the Patriots. Patriots are three point favorites. Simon on Green
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: Dot Daily this morning, you made an incredible point about
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: the Patriots in this line compared to what it was
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: two weeks ago. I want you to do it here.
• 27:53
  Speaker 1: I want this to be our foxhold chat Foxhole. Let's
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: clide down into the foxhole. Last week it was uncomfortable.
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: Oh now two weeks coming back. It was uncomfortable. It's
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: not fun in the foxhole. This week should give you
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: a little more relief. It's not as gross, it's not
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: as gross usually is, but the public is coming on
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: the Jets. That's why I feel like it needs to
• 28:19
  Speaker 1: be a foxhole game where it's like people are drinking
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: the cool the they're coming in on the Jets, They're
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: coming in on You know, Mac is broken, this Patriots
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: team is, offense is broken. The Jets team is ascending.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: But you just talked about it. We talked on Green
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Dot Daily. My my favorite thing about this game is
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: not even two or I guess it's coming up on
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: three weeks, but it is two weeks pretty much. I'll go.
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: The Patriots came here to New Jersey, they played the Jets,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: and the Jets huns state young. That line was minus three.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: Patriots won that game. Okay, next week Buffalo comes to
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, they play the Jets. They lose. Right, everyone
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: in the world was all over the Bills. Professionals run
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: the Jets. But the Jets in that game out right
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: against the Bills. Going to a bye week. Come out
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: of the the bye week, now they're up, going up to
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: New England and the line is only plus three. That's
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: that doesn't make sense, right. Why would the line not
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: change at all when one team was on the road,
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: now at home. It's a simple fact that public likes
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: the Jets now and again, I'm looking at the app
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: right now, that's where the tickets are. All the people
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: are betting the Jets are taking them in their teasers.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: This is the Patriots team that you wanted back against
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: the Jets team. Historically they dominate and I'm gonna have
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: a bye week again. I love with the Jets of
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Downe I love their defense and everything about it. The
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: Patriots aren't a high thrown team, and to me, that's
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: that's the Jets bread and butter teams. I need to
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: throw the ball against them again. They have arguably two
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: of the best corners of football right now. Sauce just
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: a rookie, but he's a shutdown corner in this league
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: as we stand here. But I guess the run. You
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: can't move the ball against the Jets team, and that's
• 29:51
  Speaker 1: how they beat them last time they played each other.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: So to me, this line is probably more minus five
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: minus four and a half. But again, they upset the
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: Bills that was a big deal the last time people
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: saw this Jets team play. So they're looking at this saying, well,
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: plus three in a divisional game against a Patriot teams,
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: it's not that good. I'll trust it. I'll just back
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: to defense here where I like it. The other way,
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: it's like, man, I'm getting three points here for a
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: Patriots team that knows exactly who they are. They don't
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: have an injury to their number one running back, their
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: number on running back is healthy, and he's coming out
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: of a bye. I just love this matchup and the
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: perception of what people think of this Jets team right now.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: So I think we're getting free value on this Patriots team.
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: Do we think this Linel moved to two and a
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: half with all the tickets coming in on the Jets. No,
• 30:34
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna go three and a half. Like
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: I already know a really smart group that hit this
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: um and they had a book go up to three
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: and a half already, So to me, this one, this
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: one will only go up. You know it could be wrong,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: you never know, UM, But now, as a professional, I
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: just I just don't know why pros would come in
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: and bet the Jets here unless they know something the
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: public doesn't know. But to me, this is just a
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: bad matchup for the Jets. I don't disagree, you know,
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: it's a it's like such a short line. Your point
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: about the math and the spread is so good that
• 31:06
  Speaker 1: not not that none of has changed in the past
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: two weeks. And then the Jets beating the Bills. That's
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: really it. Public perception, perception, Lions on the road at
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: the Giants, Giants or three point favorites. This is an
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: interesting one to me only because I don't trust the Giants. Yeah,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: and I've lost a lot of faith in the Lions,
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: So like I'm betwixt in between. I feel like I'm
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: getting sucked in the Lions. Guy couldn't believe the game
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: golf had against that barriers defense. But I had to
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: pull myself back and be like, it is the Bears defense, right,
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: Like that's what I keep reminding myself for it feels
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: like anyone really can move the ball against this barriers defense.
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I love the fade the Giants. Um, There's
• 31:51
  Speaker 1: just there's there's certain games they they're supposed to drop, right,
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: and this is one of those games. It's like, you know,
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: this is a lull in their season. They're begging Houston
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: to steal the game in Houston just could simply not
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: do it. This is like another game where I would
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: love to fade Detroit here. I'll wait, hope that gets
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: back to three and a half. You can grab the
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: three and a half. Grab Detroit, because again I don't
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: have This won't be one of my bigger bets because
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: I just I can't get it right with this giantstea eve.
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: Though I did get it right last week, it's I
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: don't think I feel like I didn't deserve to cover
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: last week, like I got got a little lucky there
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: where you know Detroit. This week we'll have to see
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: how's the luik goes along here. But if it stays
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: at three, I just won't touch it. But three and
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: a half I would take Detroit. They are a mercurial
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: team against the mercurial team. I'd almost rather like to
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: watch Brian Dable and Dan Campbell try to out inspire
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: each other. They're gonna say fist fight. I would love
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: to see a fist flight between those guys. I would
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: like to see that too, but it really least like
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: see them try to rally their troops. Rabel will probably
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: up there. I was thinking manly as coaches we got
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: those two are up there though. Well, Campbell for sure
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: more manly than Brabel. Well, I don't think he said
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: he cut his dick off for Super Bowl, Chad, you
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: know that right? What's that Rabel? He said he'd cut
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: his dick off to win a super Bowl? Number one? Okay,
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: good question, though, it's a good question, like looking through
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: it like Titans, Packers, Rabel, Eagles, Colts, like Sirianni. He's
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: not a tough guy, but he's a cool guy. Ram Saints,
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: no Seriana. Seems like the kind of guy. His nose
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: is always running in the winter, Like you know, you
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: had that kid in class. You always had the running nose.
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: That's that's serial Bears, Falcons, no Commander's Texans. I don't know.
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: Ron Rivera is kind of a badass. I think um Jets, Patriots,
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: come on, Lions, Giants. That's interesting, Dan Campbell, Panthers, Ravens,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: no Brown's Bills, no Raiders, Broncos, no Bengal Steelers. Tomlin, True,
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: how did I forget about Tomlin? Yeah, he would just
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: give you one stare. Try to keep it real. Simple,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: football is a game. Business is winning. Yeah, I think
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I think it's a Tomlin Vrabel Campbell. Yeah, that's what
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: I would think. Alright, getting back to it, your Panthers
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: on the road, Baker Mayfield plus twelve against the Ravens.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: That's too many points. Damn it, Chad. I'm not letting it.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: I'm not letting you do it to us, all right.
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: I'm not putting in a Baker and the Panthers into
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: our contest, no matter what, putting the contest. But I
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: do think, Look, this is already a massive pros Joe's game.
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: We got six percent of the tickets on the Ravens
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: sent of the money on the Panthers, Like we are
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: betting the Panthers in this game. I probably won't join you.
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I got one too. I just Baker is so bad,
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: like I throwing on his tape even when he was
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: at the Browns. I blamed on injuries, so I gave
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: him a little bit of benefit of the doubt. He's
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: just bad. He cannot read defenses, like at least p
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: J could make simply two to three reads a game,
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: which doesn't sound like much, but that's a big deal.
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: Like you can't always just go to your number one receiver.
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Chad's right, it's probably the right time to
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: take them. But I'll just be a coward. I'll probably
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: up just doing Ravens first half or something. Um. I
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: just I got no feel for the Panthers when it's Baker. Um,
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: but I would have loved it it was PJ. But Baker. No,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: I'm out, Simon Hunter, professional coward? Are you so scared?
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: Simon so scared? Pathetic? Sad? You know Mike Vrabel Rabel
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: would do it all right, Well, we're not gonna put
• 35:33
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• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Brown's on the road at the Buffalo Bills. The Buffalo
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: Bills eight and a half point favorites. I won't make
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Matt Mitchell relive this past rate because that was like
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: to not only have it happened, but to everyone's still
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: be talking about it is the game of the year.
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: It was. You can't even turn on the television if
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: you're a sports fan and the Bills fan. Again, the
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: worst part of that Bills game, I think for those
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: fans was just the fact that they want to lost
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: it like ten times, and those are the worst games
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: of experience. You keep winning games and losing It's the
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: same game over and over again. I don't know what's
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: wrong with Josh like that, that game kind of falls
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: on his shoulders there. Those turnovers, they're a real problem
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: right now, Like he's on pace to add more turnovers
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: and he's ever had in his career. It's not like
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Josh to be throwing these these just reckless interceptions. I
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: mean that final one, how do you shore? How do
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: you short on that one? Like again, your legs were working.
• 38:28
  Speaker 1: It's just Josh has these little moments, these decisions that's
• 38:31
  Speaker 1: just not like him. Where last year he just rarely
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: put himself in positions to turn the ball over where
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: it feels like this year's he's more confident his arm,
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: taking bigger risk and it's just not been working for him.
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: So in a game that we're expecting a ship ton
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: of snow and bad weather, I'll take the running team
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: and Nick Chubb. It's just what the hell am I
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: supposed to do here? I gotta take the plus eight.
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: I hate it, like I want to back the Bills
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: after such a bad loss like this is usually when
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: they killed teams. But something, something seems all about Josh Allen.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: They've had three straight games now where they haven't scored
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: a touchdown the second half. That's not like Josh Allen,
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: this offense that usually make adjustments and they're more dominant
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: in the second half in his career. It's not been
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: that way this year. So eight and a half, eight points,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: I'd grab it now just in case it really do
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: get five ft of snow up there and it's freezing cold,
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: and this is kind of the best game you can
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: imagine for a running team like the Cleveland Browns have.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: But if its turns out to be alright weather, I
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: will shift the other side because we just saw this
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: Cleveland team again some past happy team. They couldn't stop
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: anything on offense that the Miami team was running at them. So, UM,
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: I'm interested to see what the what the final info
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: is on what the weather system supposed to because again
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: it's what they're they're calling for, like fift of snow
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: like it, it's supposed to be insane, um this Sunday
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: for this game, So just get ahead of it. I
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: gotta know, is you're grabbing just like the Vikings last week.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: I have no issue grabbing the number now. You want
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: to buy a position later on you can. I grabbed
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: the and I grabbed the eight and a half just
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: to be sick because they do see it coming down.
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: If it is what they're saying it's gonna be, which
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: is really bad weather. I'm not afraid of that. We
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: got suckered in on the Browns last week, but I
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: think the fundamentals still apply. Maybe we're miss judging the Dolphins,
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: maybe we're miss judging what it's like to play the
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Dolphins in Florida. But this running game for the Browns
• 40:22
  Speaker 1: is so attractive. No pressure from the Browns. I should
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: have said that the Browns had no pressure. Like Myles
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: Garrett if he's not getting home on toa again, you
• 40:29
  Speaker 1: can watch that game. There's just it's over like you
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: can't if you're not getting pressure, it's over right. So
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: that was the only thing I'd throw in where it's
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: like that Miami thing. I definitely got it wrong, but
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: I thought I had a huge advantage where that Brown's
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: D line. They did not show up run blocking, pass rushing,
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: any of it. That that was truly embarrassing. The Raiders
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: are visiting the Denver Broncos and it looks like the
• 40:53
  Speaker 1: Broncos are very short home favorites about two and a half.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: It's a great stat if the Bronco's offense. Ye could
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: have been scoring eighteen points again, eighteen points in every
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: one of their games this year. Eighteen points. They'd be
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: what is it? Yeah? I saw that too, I know.
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know a guy who picked them to
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: be the one seed this year. So I couldn't imagine
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: being that guy. It's it's it's tough. That wasn't me,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: wasn't it was just looking at this raven I mean
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: not Ravens, this Raiders team. I want to fade him.
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: You got a QB crying at the podium. You got
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: a head coach that says he's heard nothing about in subordination,
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: and guys not wanting to be there. Um train wreck,
• 41:44
  Speaker 1: just an absolute train wreck. And I have to take
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: the Raiders here. No one's gonna join me. I completely
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: get it. I just have to do it in this
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: divisional game. Like I'm hoping it gets back to three.
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: That'd be amazing. I know the Raiders can score as
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: bad as they are. At least I know they'll be
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: able to score. I have no idea. What Like Denver
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: had a whole bye week to work it out. They
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: put up ten points. They looked so lost. I mean
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: Russell Wilson just bad sack after bad sack after bad
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: sack in that Tennessee game, And it was real to
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: where I just kept getting sucked in because I think
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: it was ten seven and a half and whatever, they
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: were down fourteen to ten. I'm like, Okay, they'll drive now,
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: they'll get down the field now, and it just never happened.
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: There's just something wrong with that coaching staff and Russell
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: Wilson just whatever is happening there. So yeah, I like
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: the Raiders. Would I put in our contest at two
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: and a half? Hell now? But if they're nice enough
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: to give us a three or three and a half,
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: I think might commenced chat because again, this is a
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: field goal game in a divisional game to bottom the
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: barrel teams, both very desperate teams. I love the dog
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: in these kind of games. So give me. Give me
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: that three and a half. Sports Books, that two and
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: a half is terrible. Yeah, that number Bengals this came
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: is so interesting to me. Really, Bengals five favorites on
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: the road at the Steelers. Look, Steelers, we nailed it
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: last week. We loved it. We put him in the
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: money line around Robin We loved it. It It three, We
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: loved it one and a half. T J Watt coming back,
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: can you pick it? You know, two weeks to finally
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: play and finally practice with the first team. He's a gamer.
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: I love the kid. The stars aligned for the Steelers
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: as home underdogs. I'm less confident against the Bengals. Yeah,
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: and it's again it's people always like, oh, your professionals
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: were dead wrong about whatever was Denver last week, and
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: it's like, yeah, you got I mean, like, they lost
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: seven figures on that one, but they got it back
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: easily on that Pittsburgh game. They were all over that one.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: They took that number from two two and a half
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: all the way to minus one, minus two by kickoff. Like,
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: no one's perfect here, but there's always a balance to this,
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: And I'm with you, chat. My gut instinct was, now
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: you take the Pittsburgh and this the visional game at
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: home Mike Tomblin's spot. But is it really is it
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: really a spot where it's like they're probably feeling pretty
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: good after really dominating that game against the Saints and
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: the Bengals. I don't know. I look at this team
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: as not desperate, but a little bit like looking at
• 44:18
  Speaker 1: the a f C. The landscape of things. The division
• 44:21
  Speaker 1: is getting away from a little bit, and so are
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: the other other seeds to get into the playoffs. So
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: it's a team that kind of has a fire letar
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: to their ass. I feel like the Bengals is gonna
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: be up there right now. So, um, I would love
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: a four, four and a half. It's sitting a five,
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: wouldn't wouldn't grab it yet again at worst, I worst,
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: I see getting up to a six. But if anything,
• 44:39
  Speaker 1: I see it coming down a little back. I could
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: see the public and some pros ben Pittsburgh here. Um again,
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: we'll be able to get better value. But wait, wait
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: on this one to get another in your report game,
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: we need to see how Cincinnati is coming out of
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: the bye week because they've had some major issues. Chase
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: is still out. I've read multiple beat writers he's out
• 44:57
  Speaker 1: for about four weeks at least, right so that would
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: be this would be in that window. Yeah, I think
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: this is number game number three frame or week number three,
• 45:05
  Speaker 1: so he won't be back. What we're waiting on his
• 45:08
  Speaker 1: defensive side. We want to see what defenders they're getting
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: back for since so wait and see on this one.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: Don't bet the ship, alright, So we got a Pats
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: minus three as the foxhole. We got a Texans plus
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: three and a half is my executive decision. We still
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: owe a Simon says, and we are landing upon the
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas Cowboys visiting the Minnesota Vikings as very short one
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: point road favorites. Simon, what say you, time says take
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: Dimon says, we do what says Cowboys, no brainer. When
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: the lines come out, there's just certain games you kneel
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: right away you're gonna probably end up being on. This
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: is one of those where, even like two weeks ago,
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: and I saw the line for this, not that I
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: knew that Dallas is gonna lose that game against Green Bay,
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: but I knew they weren't gonna cover. For the most part,
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: I was just thinking, Okay, I can wait. I'll be
• 46:05
  Speaker 1: able to get a better line on Dallas here. It
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: was a pick. I was wrong. They went up to
• 46:09
  Speaker 1: one and a half one um right after that game,
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: and it went up to two for a little bit.
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: Got that back down. People came back on the Vikings
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: sitting a lot of books that minus one minus one
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: and a half. This is shaping up people on my
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: bigger bets of the year just public perception bet where
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: it's a team in I don't know the Cowboys that
• 46:29
  Speaker 1: I feel like, not that people are talking about THEMBB
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: Super Bowl contenders last week, but they were right. They
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: were one of the teams putting the upper echelon. Now
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: after one bad loss to Green Bay, people are off
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: of it. People are like, no, the seams got issues,
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: they got holes. Is their defense really that good? They
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: just got torched by Aaron Rodgers who could barely throw
• 46:47
  Speaker 1: the ball downfield. Now they're getting Minnesota team that people
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: view them as being legit now right Like all every
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: week we kept questioning the Minnesota liking two have they beaten?
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: Who have they beaten? Who have they beaten? They get
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: a bumble at the goal line and get a win,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: and now they are for real. That's how we're doing
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: the parameters now. So it's tough, Chad, Like what I do.
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: It is tough where it's like do I want to
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: shoot on Vikings team and they're fans right now? No, Like,
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: you guys are good? What are you you know? Well,
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: you guys think a top two, top three team in
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: football right now? Hell no, you guys have major problems,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: major issues. Again, Josh Allen put up twenty four points
• 47:29
  Speaker 1: and you guys in that first half, not by himself,
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: they're running the ball all over you guys, like you
• 47:34
  Speaker 1: have major issues on this defensive side. So, um, the
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: big reason again this week that I'm gonna be on
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: this Dallas team not just because it's the bounceback spot,
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: but it's about in the matchup. There's different matchups that
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: they match up so well against his Vikings team. Again,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: if you want to see a play out, you can
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: go to last year and watch the Cowboys played the
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: Minnesota Likings nack scenario. They went up to Minnesota, they
• 47:56
  Speaker 1: played them. The quarterback was Cooper Rush though, so if
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: you want to see how they scheme it up. The
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: defensive line has such a huge advantage here for the
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: Cowboys team, especially if the right now it's looking like
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: there might be three starting alignment out for the Vikings.
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: That's a big deal. So again, just going off that
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: already like the Cowboys, the fact that this has turned
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: into one of the bigger tickets the bigger public side
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: as well, Um not not surprising right that that people
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: are just like coming on Minnesota after what we just
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: saw them do well again win a huge game. Cowboys
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: in a in a big game, lost, so not surprising.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: I am surprised though, that this number opened uh and
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: minus one minus one and a half. I thought the books, no,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: they would just get the free money on the on
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: Minnesota and just hanging out of pick. They didn't. They
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: kind of let the public know that, you know, eight
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: and one doesn't mean ship to us, like this is
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: a coin flip game. Throw the records out. The Vikings
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: are getting the tickets, the Cowboys currently getting seventy one
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: of the money, so you gotta pick out of that pros.
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: Joe's right here. Yeah, it's just a spot. Like again,
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: there's nothing guaranteed. It's just one of these situations. You
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: just take this number every time. You're just playing the
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: stronger d line versus the weak offensive line, and a
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: team coming off the winner of the season versus a
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: team coming off the loss of the season. It's just
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: a simple spot like you don't have to think too
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: much into it. You just blindly take the Cowboys here.
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: I've blindly taken the Cowboys here, although it wasn't blind
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: I took him earlier this morning. I love the Cowboys.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: Right now, we're we're developing a list of games we
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: feel pretty confident about. I feel good this week. Yeah,
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Texans three and a half Pats minus three, Cowboys minus one,
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: Chiefs on the road at the Los Angeles Chargers. I
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: looked at this this morning, and look last week, I
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: love the Chargers at plus seven against the Niners at home.
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: The wise guys came in and they loved the Niners.
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: They moved the number up. It made no sense to me,
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: given the variants given justin Herbert, like too much in
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: play for that kind of number. I don't know if
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: I feel that same way about the Chiefs. Yeah, and
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: like I got caught. I tried playing both sides last week.
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: Tried playing the Charges for the game first half, and
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: it was just the Charges were the right side all
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: the way through. It's just this is when you play
• 50:21
  Speaker 1: the Charges. You don't play them as a three point favorite.
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: You don't play them when they are seven point favorite.
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: You're playing when they're over a three and a half dog,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: when they're over seven point dog. They just they're always
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: in it. And again I don't get what the hell
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: is wrong with them, Like they held what was it?
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: What was the what? They put up ten points and
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: they held the four hours to sixteen points. Sixteen was
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: the final score. So to me, the Herbert stuff right
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: now is warranted. Right, he's not producing without his top weapons.
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: But I would say to people, okay, two is out
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: of the world right now. Right he's the second highest
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: graded guy. Right, he's the second MVP voting take away waddle,
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: take away tire kill. You don't got shipped there. So
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: Keenan Allen, Mike Williams being out, I'm trying not to
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: judge him right now, because that's a big deal. I
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: am going to judge the coaching because I do think
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: the coaching for the charge is atrocious. But what the
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: hell are we gonna do here? Chat? I feel he
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: just nailed. It's like as much I don't want to
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: take the Chargers, I know I'm supposed to here, Like
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: this is a big number against the Chiefs team they
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: got lucky to cover last week. Like again, it's nothing
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: they did the other team, miskicks, That's why they covered.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: I just I have to keep fading. My home is
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: a big favorite usually does not cover that number. So
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: I said it last week, just stuck to my guns.
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: The Chargers are probably gonna be the right side again.
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: I'll take it. I'll walk into it. Hopefully Key Allen's back,
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: but I'm gonna grab the seven now just in case
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: he does come back. I could see this number dropping
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: a little bit. I took it. I felt good about it.
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: South of the bottom down, Mexico away. That's where I
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: feel in love. When the stars above can out to
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: play South of the bottom down Mexico. Forty Niners, Cardinals
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: playing in Mexico. I don't know what's going on, except
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: I know this. I love Kyle Shanahan. We've talked about
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: how much I love Kyle Shanahan. I hate Cliff Kingsberry.
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: We've talked about how much we hate Cliff Kingsbury as coaches.
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: Nothing personal. But I got a forty Niners team that
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: is stacked at every single key position and service at quarterback,
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: but defensive line, linebacker, defensive backfield stacked, wide receiver, running back,
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: tight end, offensive line stacked. It is a roster without
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: very many holes. And they're going against a Cardinals team
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: that I just think isn't very good. I don't think
• 52:55
  Speaker 1: Kyler Murray is very good. I think he's a great
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: athlete who is not playing up to either his level
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: as a skill position player or isn't being put in
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: a position to succeed by his coaches who are making
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: bad play calls. But all I know is that this
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a one dimensional team on Sunday. And
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: if it's one dimensional and it's Kyler Murray with the
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: ball in his hand against a forty Niners team, that's
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to rush the pasture with impunity. I
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: don't mind the big number playing in Mexico. Now, I'm
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: not gonna make this a bet off because I have
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: that I don't have that much confidence in the Cardinals.
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: But you know better. This is the This is where
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: you take the Cardinals again. The books are not your friends.
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: They're hanging in number without even knowing who the quarterback is,
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: and they're accepting large amounts of money right now on
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: this forty nine team. They are happily taking this money
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: right now. So this game just stinks Holy hell to me.
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: I would have been with you if it was if
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: it was in Arizona, because they suck at home. This
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: is where the books think they make their stand here.
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: I honestly hope it's Colt McCoy. I felt like he
• 53:56
  Speaker 1: ran the offense better. He got banged up, So I
• 53:59
  Speaker 1: have no idea who the quarterback is gonna be for Arizona.
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: Do not trust it. Do not trust this number. Don't
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: fall for what Chad's saying right now. I feel like
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: they're laying us a trap. Don't walk in there with Chad.
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: Just wait and see or if anything, going to bet
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: this game. But I agree with a lot of what
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: you're saying. But my my biggest issue is Jimmy g
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't like Jimmy. Don't like what I've seen
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: from Jimmy this year. I don't think he recovered from
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: that injury, which was like he was sitting on all
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: off season. Doesn't look like he gets the ball down field.
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: When he does go downfield, it's usually high and he's
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: he's like receivers. I mean, Nick these incredible catches for him. Man,
• 54:33
  Speaker 1: that's a big, big number in a divisional game like this.
• 54:35
  Speaker 1: But I can't do it. I wish I could come
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: out and be the man and be like, no, you
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: take the Cardinals. I can't do it because I just
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: I hate them. I'm with him like everything about this team.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to take away the faces and the names,
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: but just such a poorly coached team of the Cardinals.
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: But I will not take Kyle as a big favorite
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: in a primetime game, and that served me well last
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: week taking the Chargers, even though I had no damn
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: idea why I was doing it. It's like you just said,
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: on paper, are a healthier team. They're more complete team.
• 55:04
  Speaker 1: They have all their weapons. It's the same thing here
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: with the Cardinals. It's like they're the more complete team.
• 55:09
  Speaker 1: They have the healthy team. Why isn't this number ten?
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: Like this number should be closer to ten something something
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: stinky here. So um, I'll stay away, won't won't have
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: us in their contest. But me and Chatter split on
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: this one. I'd go Cardinals. Cliff Kingsbury is the only
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: coach in the Super Bowl era with a winning record
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: as an underdog and a losing record is a favorite
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: Kendall Baker's Axeo sports newsletter today, that's bizarre. I don't
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: trust him. Yeah, well, look, we gave away a foxhold
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: Pats minus three, we gave away a sign and says
• 55:43
  Speaker 1: Cowboys minus one gave away an executive decision. Texas plus
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: three and a half. On Thursday, we will do Scoochroolett,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: we will do Big Balls, We will do Moneyline Round
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: Robin our Leans right now for the contest Strong Leans
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Texans three and a half, Pats minus three, Cowboys minus one,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: Thinking about It, Chargers plus seven, Saints minus four, atlant
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: At minus three. I'm going to evaluate on Thursday, Browns
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: plus eight and Bengals minus five. Yeah. This has been
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: the Favorites podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I am
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: Chad Melman for producer Matt Mitchell for my bff, Simon Hunter.
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: Download us an Apple podcast on Spotify wherever you get
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: your podcast, rate review, subscribe meus five stars, say whatever
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: you want. Feedback is a gift. Until next time, Love you,