Latest / Simply Bitcoin / $1T Bank Predicts $135K Bitcoin NEXT WEEK?! (But Not For The Reasons You Think) | EP 1346

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$1T Bank Predicts $135K Bitcoin NEXT WEEK?! (But Not For The Reasons You Think) | EP 1346 · Simply Bitcoin

0:00
A massive $1 trillion bank just made another bombshell Bitcoin
0:05
prediction for 2025, and honestly, it's got a lot of
0:09
people confused. A The bank isn't the only giant
0:14
that has come out incredibly bullish on Bitcoin this week.
0:17
But before we get there, let's play this Michael Saylor clip
0:21
that's blowing up the Internet. For our company, if we were to
0:27
ever get to 5% of the network, the networks going to be at
0:30
least $1,000,000 a coin. If we were to go beyond it, it's
0:34
going to 10 million a coin. So when we get to 7% of the
0:39
network, if we do and Bitcoin is $10 million a coin and a Black
0:44
Rock keeps up with us, that means 85% of the network, right?
0:50
And you're going to be talking about $200 trillion.
0:54
So you're going to have $170 trillion that will flow to the
1:00
individuals. So they're not exactly getting
1:03
crowded out, right? If if anything, what you've got
1:08
is the corporations are all engines turning the flywheel of
1:15
the Bitcoin economy. Every single company, every
1:18
Bitcoin treasury company the capitalizes on Bitcoin is like
1:23
attaching a motor to the network.
1:27
And every time that company buys $50 million worth of Bitcoin,
1:32
they spend that drive shaft one turn.
1:36
That's one day's natural supply, right?
1:39
And, and so the more companies that come on, whether it's
1:42
BlackRock or whether it's strategy or whether it's
1:44
Metaplanet or whether it's 21 or whether it's BSTR, you know, or
1:50
whether it's similar, you know, whoever it might be, each one of
1:54
them is firing up a motor. All of the motors are are
1:59
powering up the network. If you're an individual and you
2:04
believe in Bitcoin, you buy the Bitcoin, you cold storage the
2:07
Bitcoin, and you let all the companies power up the network.
2:13
You heard it there, the man said.
2:15
All cylinders are firing up. But of course I am not alone.
2:19
Today I have the great Chris Alemo Co hosting with me.
2:24
How's it going Sophie? Happy to be here.
2:26
I'm happy to have you here because I've never hosted the
2:29
show. This is my first time.
2:31
So if you'd like me to host the show more, smash the like
2:34
button, send the show to your friends, we're going to get
2:37
started. Michael Saylor talking about
2:41
more institutions, more companies getting into Bitcoin.
2:47
There's been a lot of bullish news around this, especially
2:50
with people, companies saying that it's actually better to
2:55
start holding Bitcoin on the balance sheet versus cash.
3:00
Chris, do you have any thoughts on that?
3:02
Yeah. I mean, this is kind of like the
3:04
Bitcoin thesis playing out as we know, like Bitcoin is the
3:07
hardest and best form of money there is.
3:09
I know Michael Saylor was talking about the $170 trillion
3:11
that's moving into the asset through corporations.
3:13
I know that Greg Foss and a lot of bond traders have talked
3:17
about negative yielding bonds, about 126 trillion in negative
3:21
yielding bonds. So, you know, why would I lend
3:24
the government or governments or corporations, you know, money at
3:27
four or five 6%? Let's just say when I know that
3:30
the real inflation or the real CPI is way higher than those
3:33
returns. So basically it's like, hey, I'm
3:35
going to loan you 100 bucks and you're going to guarantee that
3:37
you're going to pay me back $9798 in purchasing power.
3:40
I know it's kind of hard for people to grasp the concept
3:42
because nominally it's like, Oh well, I lend, I lent you 100
3:45
bucks and you're going to get me back $105 nominally.
3:48
But that $105 only buys you $98 worth of goods or $97.00 worth
3:52
of these are obviously, you know, things that can be debated
3:55
depending on what you're assuming the inflation rate is.
3:57
Obviously depending on your circumstance.
3:59
You know, inflation is kind of a vector.
4:00
That's a famous Michael Saylor quote.
4:02
But it's also very dependent. The inflation rate of a, of a
4:05
young man living in his mother's basement that only buys pizza,
4:08
that remains the same cost is inflation rate 0.
4:10
But if you're trying to get into the housing market, if you're
4:12
having kids, kids are getting more expensive.
4:14
If you're trying to save up for, you know, the stock market,
4:17
let's just say you're investing in the stock market.
4:19
The stock market's getting more and more expensive.
4:20
But we see Bitcoin as a fair and distributed way to retain retain
4:24
your earnings and save your purchasing power, obviously.
4:28
Absolutely, Chris, I, you know, it's, I love the point that you
4:31
made. It's not just the institutions
4:33
that are feeling bullish about Bitcoin.
4:35
I think regular households are starting to see the returns of
4:41
Bitcoin and storing your wealth in a harder asset.
4:44
And that brings me to my next topic.
4:48
We have this tweet from Delta. No hold on Walter Bloomberg
4:55
about Bitcoin poised for new high.
4:59
He's making the prediction through a Yahoo article that
5:05
says Bitcoin could reach $135,000 soon.
5:11
Let's read a little bit of this article.
5:12
Bitcoin could reach a new all time high as soon as next week
5:17
and keep climbing to $135,000, Standard Chartered's global head
5:22
of digital assets research said in a new note shared with
5:26
Decrypt. Yesterday's yesterday Bitcoin
5:29
soared above 121,000 and currently we're at 123,000.
5:33
So we're pumping, keeping stride with AQ4 pattern that's been
5:37
coined October. Early Friday morning, Bitcoin
5:41
was trading for around 120,421.3% higher than this time
5:48
yesterday, according to the data from crypto price aggregator
5:52
Coin Gecko. Although BTCC looks to be
5:56
keeping up its October tradition, Standard Chartered's
6:00
Jeff Kendrick said it has ditched its pattern of seeing
6:03
prices fall 18 months after the halving.
6:07
If that had been the case, the April 2024 halving would have
6:11
been followed by price weakness right now.
6:14
But it really just looks like it's all up from here.
6:20
What are your thoughts, Chris? I think we're in October.
6:24
I think that, you know, obviously that's a very good
6:27
call when right now we're inching up against all time
6:29
highs. I guess we've dipped a little
6:30
bit, but $123,500, the previous all time high was 124 four.
6:37
So we're we're not too far off the all time highs market cap
6:40
right now at $2.45 trillion. So yeah, I think it's a good
6:45
call. You know, we're going to see
6:47
where it goes. I do think October is a thing.
6:50
I know that in historical trends, when you look at
6:52
previous cycles or having cycles, it says anywhere from
6:55
the bull market can be anywhere from 6 to 18 months.
6:57
But even I think the previous one, we kind of had that false
7:00
double top and we were talking about it and basically it can go
7:04
as far as 24 months. But you know, I think a lot of
7:06
people are waiting, you know, always there.
7:07
The trends in Bitcoin, you know, the famous mean by American
7:10
huddle of green, green, red, you know, meaning that like, you
7:13
know, we have that 80% crash and then we're slowly building up
7:16
and then third gears like a, you know, a blow off top and then we
7:18
crash down again. Still normally remaining above
7:21
the previous all time high. But I do think that bitcoins on
7:24
due for a RIP. Normally a lot of the gold bugs
7:27
are boomer are boomer friends that are kind of like, you know,
7:30
in the gold or silver markets are always saying, you know,
7:34
normally gold and silver move first and gold and silver have
7:36
kind of been on a tear this year and normally Bitcoin follows
7:39
that. So you know, the gold bugs, the
7:40
Peter shifts. I know that's a buddy of yours,
7:42
Sophie are always like rubbing it in our faces saying like, Oh
7:46
yeah, gold, you know, it's it's good.
7:48
Bitcoins dead, you guys, idiots. You know we're going to have our
7:51
boomer rock and outperform you. And then only for like
7:53
subsequently, normally 6 to 12 months later, Bitcoin rips and
7:57
roars and goes past them. So I guess Sophie, what are your
7:59
thoughts on that? Well, one of the interesting
8:02
things is that Standard Charter is not a retail influencer.
8:05
It's an old and conservative kind of institutional bank.
8:09
And so when they publicly reaffirm high targets, they're
8:14
they're telling people internally and externally that
8:17
Bitcoin is now part of their macro thesis. 5 years ago, this
8:22
would have absolutely never happened.
8:24
I still remember when people were making fun of Bitcoin.
8:27
And now all these companies are jumping over each other to try
8:31
to stack sats. So I want to check out this
8:35
article here that I pulled up a little bit prematurely.
8:38
But crypto quant says Bitcoin price could hit 160,000 to
8:44
200,000 in quarter four if demand keeps going.
8:49
So 200,000 at the end of the year is starting to seem pretty
8:54
possible, especially when we had kind of a stagnant September and
8:59
really only a 25% increase in the entire year.
9:04
Take like this is pretty, pretty, pretty awesome.
9:08
Bitcoin has entered the final quarter of 2025 with conditions
9:11
that suggest a price rally may be underway, according to on
9:16
chain analytics firm Crypto Quant.
9:18
The firm said Bitcoin Bitcoin could reach a price range of
9:21
160,000 to 200,000 by the year's end if demand continues to
9:26
expand. And according to that Michael
9:29
Saylor clip that we had seen, it looks like demand is expanding.
9:33
The motor is running not just on individuals, but on these
9:37
institutions. And if these institutions keep
9:39
going, it's only a matter of time before retail catches on
9:44
the the article keeps going. Spot demand for Bitcoin has been
9:48
rising since July, with apparent demand increasing at a monthly
9:52
pace for more than 62,000 Bitcoin, Cryptoquant said.
9:57
The firm noted that this kind of sustained demand precedes
10:00
previous fourth quarter rallies in 2020-2021 and 2024 red
10:06
circles. So things are looking pretty
10:10
bullish. I'm really excited for, you
10:13
know, the rest of this month and I'm excited for of course, what
10:19
are what are we calling November?
10:20
If this is October, what's November?
10:22
Cuz that's. Actually, we got to create the
10:24
meme for it. We got to create No Stop
10:26
November. We're going up.
10:28
We're going up to the moon. We're going up to the moon.
10:30
Oh, God. So what?
10:33
What are your thoughts on this, Chris?
10:35
What do you think these signals are kind of giving?
10:40
I know that there's also some policy changes happening
10:45
possibly in Washington with regard to Bitcoin and crypto.
10:52
I, I read an article the other day that Coinbase is proposing
10:56
to Congress to possibly take capital gains out of certain
11:01
transactions. So, you know, the, the, the
11:05
stage is set. And we've been saying this all
11:08
year. There's never been a year with
11:10
better news for Bitcoin. What else can we look forward to
11:15
in these last three months? I think that kind of like what
11:20
you said, like the year's kind of been set up that it's
11:22
building in anticipation and everything that we've been
11:25
waiting for is except for the price to move.
11:27
I mean, hash rate past one Zeta hash, which is 1000 Ekta hashes.
11:33
So, you know, we're we're at a new metric that hash rates
11:35
hitting all time highs. Obviously, I think the Oh my
11:40
gosh, the not the Bitcoin treasury companies, the Bitcoin
11:43
ETFs came out last January and normally they were starting with
11:46
very like, you know, nominal portfolio allocations, like half
11:50
a percent, quarter of a percent, maybe up to 1% if you're
11:53
bullish. But I think even BlackRock and a
11:56
lot of these legacy institutions outside of Vanguard, but I can
11:58
take my potshots at them, but you know, now they're updating
12:01
anywhere from 1 to 3% allocation.
12:03
And you know, Sophie, you and I have been in this long enough
12:06
that, you know, start with just dipping your toes in half a
12:08
percent, one percent, 5%, then Bitcoin rips and then you're
12:11
like, oh crap, it's now 10% of my allocation.
12:13
But then you're like, maybe I should keep buying this.
12:15
And then it keeps becoming more and more per percentage of your
12:17
portfolio. Obviously you and I are probably
12:20
further into it or have larger part of portion of our net worth
12:23
in Bitcoin than most, but you know not financial advice, but
12:26
these even the legacy you. Know, I think, I think that's
12:28
going to start becoming the norm though.
12:30
I think that a lot of people, like I said, if these big
12:34
institutions are realizing it and if corporations are
12:37
realizing it, that means that employees are going to start
12:40
copping this and implementing it in their own homes.
12:44
You know, it's only really a matter of time, especially when
12:47
you look at the cost of living like you had mentioned it's
12:50
getting even more and more expensive to just get basic
12:54
groceries, have children, actually live your life because
12:57
we are all trapped in the money in in the rat race that Fiat
13:04
kind of fuels. So I yeah, there's another
13:10
article that I found here from JP Morgan.
13:14
Let me pull it up really quick. Sorry guys, I'm also producing.
13:17
So JP Morgan states the obvious demand for gold and Bitcoin is
13:24
the debasement trade, which probably is driving Jamie Dimon
13:29
wild because we all know that he was kind of a hater.
13:33
But now, you know, even the haters will have to bend the
13:36
knee to Bitcoin. And at first, yes, they're
13:38
making the case for gold because that's just what these boomers
13:43
know and traditional investors know.
13:46
But all roads lead to Bitcoin. Let's read a little bit of this
13:49
article, Kitco News says in a comment that feels a little
13:54
obvious and late to the party. Analysts at JP Morgan have
13:58
officially defined the unprecedented rally in gold and
14:02
to a lesser extent, Bitcoin. Again, it's to a lesser extent
14:06
because people don't tend to really invest in what they don't
14:10
know and the learning curve for Bitcoin can be a little
14:13
overwhelming for some. It is, at the end of the day, a
14:16
very tech heavy sort of asset to get into.
14:20
But anyway, in a recent note, analysts at JP Morgan observed
14:24
that retail investors have begun to feel FOMO for alternative
14:30
assets such as gold and cryptocurrencies, A trend that
14:34
they're calling the debasement trade.
14:36
I just want to know whose little cousin or nephew or niece told
14:42
their uncle working at JP Morgan Chase.
14:46
Have fun staying poor anyway. The bank explained that retail
14:50
investment demand reflects a combination of factors, which in
14:55
our client conversations range from elevated geopolitical and
14:59
party uncertainty, to uncertainty about the longer
15:02
term inflation backdrop, to concerns about debt debasement
15:07
due to persistently high government deficits across major
15:11
economies, to concerns about Fed independence, to waning
15:16
confidence in Fiat currencies incur in certain emerging
15:20
markets in particular, and to a broad diversification away from
15:25
the US dollar. Honestly, I feel like all of
15:27
these people just have family members that are bitcoiners and
15:30
they've just been hammering the point over and over and over
15:33
again because these are never conclusions that people in
15:37
traditional financing would ever get to.
15:40
Like, maybe they've thought about it, but they've never
15:42
admit it to themselves. Why?
15:44
Because it goes against their own interest.
15:47
So finally the Bitcoiners have gotten in there and we've just
15:50
been puddling these people to the ground with facts to the
15:54
point where they just can't they can't deny it anymore, right?
15:59
They can't deny the fact that Bitcoin is the next biggest
16:04
thing they have to cushion it with, you know, saying, oh,
16:07
we're also going to buy some gold because that's what they're
16:10
used to. But they, they know, they know.
16:14
And we know that they know, and they know that they can't fight
16:18
this. Have you had those experiences
16:21
in your family, Chris? Of course, yeah.
16:23
We're the crazy Bitcoin people. Well, even remember Jamie Dimon.
16:27
So in January or February of 2024, that was in the Davos
16:30
summit. And when Andrew Sorkin was
16:32
asking about Bitcoin, obviously the ETFs had just launched.
16:35
And basically Jamie Dimon's like, I don't like it, But like,
16:37
basically he was capitulating because his customers were
16:40
saying, hey, like they were demanding it.
16:41
And then even, you know, you know, he kind of capitulates
16:44
himself, Jamie Dimon, and says, like, he's like, yeah, I got on
16:47
the phone with my daughter, and my daughter's around RH.
16:49
So if she's a millennial in her 20s or 30s and she's like, dad,
16:52
stop bashing on Bitcoin. I own some.
16:54
And so, of course, Jamie Dimon had to be like, all right, like,
16:57
you know, maybe his daughter was the one that trying to orange
16:59
pill him at Thanksgiving or Christmas or telling him that.
17:01
She's I've been that daughter. I've literally been that
17:04
daughter who orange pills her dad and bullies him.
17:08
And you know what? He's happier for it.
17:10
He called me this morning and he said you were right again.
17:14
So, you know, let let your daughters and your sons teach
17:18
you something 'cause you never know, they they might just make
17:21
you rich. But anyway, Chris, sorry to
17:23
interrupt you. Keep going.
17:24
No, no, no worries. So yeah, we're kind of the crazy
17:27
Bitcoiners in our family, obviously trying to orange peel
17:29
people. What's the saying that ATI
17:31
always says in the show? We're trying to scam you into
17:33
financial freedom and financial success.
17:35
I definitely think that is something that we're trying to
17:37
do. Here, that's the whole show.
17:38
That's the whole show. We just want you to live a
17:40
better life and and better live and live a better life.
17:46
You will if you know you stack SAT's and and keep going.
17:53
Anyway guys, we have an amazing, amazing show for you guys today.
17:59
We want to throw it to our lead sponsor bitcoinwell.com.
18:06
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simply Bitcoin. We've made it super easy for
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you. Just scan the QR code below and
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we're about to have a great show.
18:41
So if you you like what you're seeing, smash the like button,
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share the show with your friends.
18:47
We're going to get into the numbers, guys.
18:50
Here we go. I want to give a shout out to
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for you. Anyway, let's get into the
20:34
numbers. Clark Moodys dashboard price of
20:37
Bitcoin at the time of recording is $122,320 sats per dollar 818
20:45
market cap 2.44 trillion and I had the hash rate up here.
20:51
I'm not sure what happened to it.
20:57
I lost the hash rate guys, but anyway, let's move on to.
21:03
I got the hash rate here for. You you got the hash rate OK,
21:06
pull it off. 1000 or I can I can share my screen if you.
21:09
Want yeah, Share your screen. Share your screen.
21:12
Clark when he's dashboard share. Boom.
21:16
All right, how do I zoom in here?
21:18
Chris to the rescue. Oh no, it just there we go, hash
21:25
rate, joke. Hash rate. 1053 ECTA hashes or
21:31
1.053 Zeta hash. So I know that there was an
21:35
ongoing bet with our good friend Tatum as well as Adam Denver
21:40
BTCII. Forget which side of the bet was
21:42
on, but they were saying that it was going to get to 1 Zeta hash
21:44
before the end of 2025. So yeah, I can't believe we're
21:48
here even before December, before the end of the year, but
21:50
crazy to hit this milestone. Amazing.
21:54
I completely agree. OK, let me pull up this tweet
21:59
from Simply Bitcoin quoting Jack Molars.
22:03
Bitcoin can change the world, because the world can't change
22:07
Bitcoin. Let's watch the video.
22:11
Let me tell you something for everything in life, with more
22:17
demand, you will find more supply.
22:21
If everyone in the world wants an iPhone, Apple can make more
22:25
supply and give everyone an iPhone.
22:27
If everyone in the world wants a McDonald's cheeseburger,
22:30
McDonald's will make sure they find a way to make every single
22:33
customer a cheeseburger. The only thing where that's not
22:37
true is Bitcoin. If everyone in the world wants a
22:41
Bitcoin, we cannot engineer more bitcoins.
22:47
It's the only fixed supply, the only truly scarce thing in the
22:52
world. Bitcoin can change the world
22:55
because the world cannot change Bitcoin.
22:58
The world can change iPhones, the world can change hamburgers.
23:01
The world can change stocks. The world can change real
23:04
estate. The world can change the dollar.
23:06
The world can not change Bitcoin.
23:09
It is the only scarce engineered asset in the history of our
23:13
species. So therefore, Bitcoin's the only
23:15
thing in the world where more demand has to find a higher
23:19
price. If you want more Bitcoin, you
23:23
have to get it out of the market, not out of the ground,
23:26
not out of a fryer, not out of Apple's headquarters.
23:29
You have to get it from the market, from those that have it.
23:31
And so if you want more Bitcoin, you got to bid it to a higher
23:35
price. So that is what we're seeing.
23:37
Bitcoin is the most performing asset in the world because it's
23:40
the scarcest asset in the world. It's the only asset that demands
23:43
higher price for more supply. That's what we're seeing,
23:47
period. And for all the people that are
23:49
like, well, Bitcoin, you know what?
23:50
You know what it is, it's just correlated to the stock market.
23:53
It's just correlated to the election.
23:55
No, Bitcoin is not a hedge. Everything else in the world
24:00
outside of Bitcoin, precious metals like gold, are correlated
24:03
to earnings, to cash flows, to performance, to quarterly
24:07
reports. Bitcoin is not.
24:09
Bitcoin is not. Bitcoin is a solution.
24:12
It is not a hedge. Bitcoin is a solution.
24:15
It is not a hedge. Bitcoin, when you look at
24:17
Bitcoin, it's the best reflection of currency
24:19
debasement. It's the most performant
24:21
reflection of currency debasement.
24:23
That's all it is. And so Bitcoin is not a hedge,
24:26
Bitcoin is a solution. Bitcoins the only scarce thing
24:29
you can own, period. Your time and your Bitcoin,
24:33
everything else you can make more of.
24:34
That's it. That's it.
24:36
That's why the only two things I value are my life and my
24:39
bitcoins. Nothing else matters to me
24:42
'cause you can always make more of them.
24:45
Well said. Well said it.
24:47
It's the tried and true quote. You don't change Bitcoin,
24:51
Bitcoin changes you. And you know, he's kind of
24:55
reframing this narrative that Bitcoin is an investment.
24:59
He actually makes it very clear that Bitcoin is actually the
25:03
base layer of society and when the base layer of society is
25:08
broken, everything else starts to break too.
25:10
You know what's that WTF happened in 1971 website?
25:16
That's like the biggest proof of all of that.
25:19
If you notice that when we went off the gold standard,
25:22
everything else in society just started to fail.
25:25
And I love what he said, you know quote if the world can't
25:28
change Bitcoin, but Bitcoin can change the world, then the game
25:32
board is fixed and we're just watching the players adapt.
25:36
So if you contrast that but with gold, Oh yes, this is the WTF
25:41
happened in 1971. I really love this website.
25:44
I always show it to my parents or my friends who are skeptical
25:47
about Bitcoin because it's not about Bitcoin at all.
25:50
It's about broken money. And I think that's the point
25:53
that Mahler's is making here is that we shouldn't just look at
25:57
it is number go up technology, although that incentivizes the
26:02
masses to buy Bitcoin and eventually it will be the reason
26:07
that hyper Bitcoin happens. I think that the bigger sell on
26:12
Bitcoin is that it fixes broken money.
26:15
And so when you start looking at this chart, when you start
26:18
looking at WTF happened in 1971, you start realizing that because
26:24
we went off the gold standard, because we went off of hard
26:26
money, the world just started to collapse.
26:31
I think there's a stat in there about marriage rates and or and
26:35
divorce rates and how they just skyrocketed in 1971.
26:39
This is dual income couples. And then there was where's the
26:42
marriage rates? I know exactly what you're
26:45
talking about. You can keep talking and I'll
26:48
find it. Well, yeah, the, the, the point
26:51
is, you know, the, the number go up.
26:53
Technology is the thing that's going to get people through the
26:56
door for sure. You guys have all gotten the
26:58
text from your friends. Hey, can I buy, can I ask you
27:02
about that Bitcoin thing? Can I ask you about that crypto
27:06
thing? Can you tell me a little bit
27:07
more about that? When we're at all time high
27:09
prices, right? And and that is what starts to
27:13
pique people's interest. But what makes people full on
27:16
Bitcoiners, full on Maxis with all time toxicity levels is the
27:23
peaceful revolution that changes the course of your life.
27:27
It, it doesn't just, it doesn't just mix, you know, your
27:31
economic problems, it, it makes you realize that your economic
27:35
problems are beyond financial. They're actually about how you
27:40
treat other people, how you are compensated yourself, how hard
27:44
you're working in your personal life and how to level up your
27:48
personal life. So in contrast with gold, gold
27:51
is, you know, something that, that it's the shiny rock, right?
27:54
And although I love it, I love to wear jewelry.
27:57
I, I think that, you know, gold is definitely a hell of a lot
28:00
better than Fiat. Bitcoin just makes this hard
28:07
asset a lot more accessible to a lot more people.
28:10
It's actually a lot more inclusive.
28:12
You can transport it with more ease.
28:14
You can it's, it's, there's a finite amount gold.
28:19
You know, there might be an asteroid out in space that we
28:22
blow up one day and find an, an insane amount of gold or other
28:27
precious metals that actually end up competing with gold.
28:30
Bitcoin has a finite supply and that is actually, you know, the,
28:37
the, the best part, the one of the best parts of it, it's
28:39
infinitely divisible. So I think Chris pulled up the
28:43
median age of first marriage here and.
28:46
This is the divorce rate increase by percentage points as
28:49
well. So, you know, as you can see you
28:53
less people than ever are having children.
28:56
And I really do think that that's directly correlated to
28:59
the fact that we don't have a solid money system.
29:04
And it's great that, you know, people are predicting at, you
29:08
know, 135 K at the at the end of this week or 200K maybe by the
29:13
end of the year. But the real, the real signal is
29:18
life changing, literally, like more kids, more marriages, more
29:25
family. Look, yeah, I love what this guy
29:28
said. Doctor Daniel Howell, money
29:30
equals the number one cause of marital fights.
29:32
It's it's because money is the base layer of society.
29:36
And when it's broken, you can't you can't do anything else.
29:40
Anyway, I've been ranting for a little bit.
29:43
Chris, what are your thoughts? No, I think Jack Miller's hit
29:46
the the nail on the head there. Obviously, talking about Bitcoin
29:49
is the only scarce thing. I was actually in this debate
29:52
the other night. I was out to dinner with a bunch
29:54
of colleagues, and they were saying like, oh, well, like,
29:57
like, I, I, they knew me as the Bitcoin guy.
29:58
They're like, oh, yeah. But see, you want to buy real
30:00
estate because, like, you know, they're not making any more land
30:03
or anymore real estate. I'm like, yeah.
30:04
But they're always building up. Like, Japan's the most populous
30:06
city in the world or Manhattan or, you know, all these big
30:09
cities, and they just keep building up.
30:10
Or, you know, maybe they'll eventually start building into
30:13
the ground. I know Elon, a must with a
30:15
boring company, but like Bitcoin is finite and scarce.
30:18
And they like kind of, I don't want to be mean, but they kind
30:20
of weren't grasping that. They're like, oh, well, stocks
30:22
are finite and scarce and bonds, I was like, well, they're not
30:25
really, you know, they can always, you know, issue more
30:27
stock shares or they can always issue more bonds or real estate.
30:30
They can always build more. And then they weren't even
30:33
getting to the point of the cost or the expenses.
30:34
They're like, oh, well, if you buy real estate and rent it out,
30:36
like yes, you can get cash flow if you're obviously taking in
30:40
more income than it costs to pay the mortgage and all that.
30:43
But they're missing the point of like how houses breakdown,
30:46
houses need new roofs, the water heater breaks, the toilet
30:49
breaks. You know, oh, there's an issue
30:51
where someone gets hurt on your property and then you have to go
30:53
into insurance and that cost you more money.
30:54
There's a lot more fixed costs. And not only that, there's ways
30:57
that people can take it. Like, you know, at the end of
30:59
the day, like if someone's holding, we're not saying to
31:02
advocate for violence, but if someone is threatening you or
31:04
your family, and if you have Bitcoin, if they were to harm
31:08
you in any way that incapacitate you, that you were not able to
31:10
give up your secret, your Bitcoin dies.
31:12
And it basically, you know, strengthens the resolve of the
31:14
network and makes everything more valuable, where if you're
31:17
at home or you have a car or something like that, they can
31:19
steal it or confiscate it. Or, you know, if they remove you
31:22
from that area, they can actually take that from you.
31:25
Where Bitcoin actually requires cooperation in order to get your
31:28
Bitcoin. You know, the best way to get
31:30
Bitcoin outside of mining it or buying it is providing a greater
31:33
service that a Bitcoiner deems is good enough for them to part
31:37
with their Bitcoin. So it establishes cooperation, I
31:40
think, better than any money ever.
31:42
Because when you look at the petrodollar, Sophie, obviously
31:44
the petrodollar is kind of the system we've had since the 70s.
31:47
Since we came off the gold standard.
31:49
We've had endless wars, you know, the 21st century with the
31:52
Federal Reserve being established in 1913, as well as
31:56
coming off the gold standard. This has been the bloodiest
31:58
century of all time. And it looks like that trends
32:00
not as we're in the the 21st century, the 22nd century, yeah.
32:05
I mean, yeah, it it's only continuing.
32:07
Nothing has changed. We're, you know, funding more
32:11
conflict around the world every single day.
32:14
And that's only because of the money printer, right?
32:17
That's only because we have this infinite money supply that
32:21
empowers the very, very top echelon of society while keeping
32:26
everybody else enslaved. And I think that that that
32:31
obviously effects every other part of society.
32:36
And and if we start to change, if we start to adopt Bitcoin,
32:40
even if that's through greedy means of number go up, hey, I'll
32:45
take it. Because it's like you said in a
32:47
Bitcoin standard, people are not incentivized to steal your
32:52
Bitcoin. They're incentivized to
32:53
actually, like, go out and earn it because it's more
32:56
economically feasible to go out and earn it than to pay hackers
33:01
or spend all this time trying to hack somebody's wallet, which,
33:05
you know, not even the the US government can do.
33:08
So anyway, I want to move on to the next segment.
33:13
We're going to move into the news.
33:16
We're going to cover this article of Trump promising
33:21
perhaps some Simi checks. So yeah, we'll be right back.
33:29
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It's a great boomer boomer device to give to your family
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36:02
I love that Nico's yelling at me.
36:05
It's this is actually a wallet, believe it or not.
36:08
It might not look like your typical wallet, but it is a
36:10
wallet. It really is super easy to use.
36:13
I've gotten my whole family on it now.
36:16
And so you definitely want to get yourself one and maybe
36:20
orange fill some friends. I mean, it looks like it's
36:23
giving iPhone, it's giving Apple.
36:24
It's super chic. Anyway, let's get into the news.
36:28
I have this article from the New York Post Trump considering
36:34
$2000 tariff dividend for Americans.
36:40
It's, it's sounding like a stimi check.
36:42
It's giving stimi check. It's, it's, it's reminiscent of
36:46
2020-2021. Let's read the article.
36:50
President Trump said Thursday he's still weighing the idea of
36:54
giving Americans up to $2000 in rebates derived from the
36:58
revenues his tariff agenda has generated.
37:01
Trump's proposal to share some of the hundreds of billions of
37:05
dollars the federal government has collected since he slapped
37:08
foreign nations with steep levies in in April comes as the
37:12
Supreme Court is slated to hear arguments in a case next month
37:16
that will decide whether the president has the power to
37:20
impose such sweeping global tariffs.
37:22
They're just starting to kick in, said Trump said in of the
37:26
tariffs in an interview with One America News Network.
37:30
But ultimately your tariffs are going to be over a trillion
37:34
dollars a year. So last time he gave these STEMI
37:39
checks, I was really happy about it because I used it to smash
37:43
buy Bitcoin. And you know, this isn't a
37:46
traditional stimulus. This isn't like, you know, the
37:51
the previous times, I'm not going to mention what it was,
37:53
but a certain virus, it's actually funded via the tariffs
37:58
that he implemented. So we're kind of like being
38:01
compensated back for paying a little bit extra, like if we if
38:06
we bought something abroad. But yes, thank you for pulling
38:12
this up. The Bitcoin magazine had
38:15
reported that if you had bought Bitcoin with your $1400 stimulus
38:22
check, it would now be worth $21,000, which I think is pretty
38:27
poetic. It's, it's actually probably
38:30
worth a little bit more now, $22,000 actually, according to
38:37
bitcoinstimulus.net. So that's, that's awesome.
38:42
You know, if he actually ends up doing it, I know what I'm going
38:45
to be doing with my stimi check. But what are your thoughts,
38:50
Chris? Do you think that this injection
38:53
is just going to lead to more inflation?
38:57
Are people going to be smarter this time and and buy something?
39:00
More definitely, it's going to lead to more inflation.
39:02
I mean, we saw it in the past and history's going to repeat
39:04
itself. I mean, I give Trump props.
39:07
You got props or props to do with the tariffs to try and
39:10
bring in revenue, but bring in revenue through global tariffs.
39:13
But we don't have like a money problem in terms of like raising
39:17
money or getting money. I mean, what the US government
39:19
collects like $6 trillion in taxes or 5 trillion, whatever
39:22
the number is, but we spend like 2 trillion more than we take in.
39:26
So we don't have necessarily like getting money problem or,
39:30
you know, yeah, collecting tariffs and taxes.
39:32
We have a spending problem. And I know with the big
39:34
beautiful bill, he was pushing it as a good thing.
39:36
I many, many Bitcoiners and libertarians are like, yeah,
39:38
like you say, this is a great thing for tax breaks, but we're
39:40
actually going to be spending $9 trillion over the additionally
39:43
over the next 10 years. So that's only adding to the
39:46
inflation. Yeah, we might puff up the
39:47
economy. Now, gold, stocks, bonds, you
39:49
know, real estate, everything's going to go up because they're
39:51
going to keep printing money. But bitcoins, the best against
39:54
irresponsible government. And we have.
39:56
And this isn't just it's a knack against the US government.
39:58
Governments across the world are all irresponsible.
40:00
If all of them were become responsible overnight, yeah,
40:02
there'd be a ton of pain and, you know, civil unrest, to say
40:05
the least. You know, you'd hope that
40:06
there'd be no violence. But historically, that is what
40:09
always happens. And it's normally not good for
40:11
the politicians that are in power at that current moment.
40:13
But we show over history of the long arc of the world that all
40:17
these governments are fiscally irresponsible.
40:20
They're going to keep printing money till the print money
40:22
printer breaks. And at the end of the day,
40:24
that's going to make assets such as Bitcoin go up and Bitcoin.
40:27
The best horse in the race, so it's going to go up the fastest,
40:30
the longest and the most price appreciation.
40:33
You know, for those who've read the the 4th turning or when
40:36
money dies, it talks about the issues or the things that
40:39
happened in Weimar Germany and ultimately when they were
40:42
experiencing hyperinflation crisis.
40:44
And you don't even have to look as far back as you know, the
40:46
1930s in Germany. You can look at Argentina in
40:49
Sophie in our in our lifetime, Argentina is AG 20 nation,
40:53
meaning they're a top 20 nation in the world.
40:55
They have had five hyperinflation in 30 years,
40:58
Sophie, 30 years. They've hyperinflated their five
41:01
different times, Lebanon, Sri Lanka, like the list goes on and
41:05
on. And, you know, this is kind of
41:06
the theory that a lot of the bond traders like Greg Foss or
41:09
even like Larry Lapard talk about that over time, like
41:13
hyperinflation is going to happen in these smaller nations
41:16
and they're going to go up into the bigger currencies such as
41:18
the US dollar, the Chinese yuan, the Japanese yen.
41:21
The Japanese are already seeing like a shaky economy with their
41:23
currency. But over time, the
41:25
hyperinflation like leads into it centralizes to 1 currency.
41:29
And obviously, you know, the Chinese yuan and the US dollar
41:31
are going to come head to head at one point.
41:33
You know, you hope there's not a kinetic war that comes with
41:35
that. But over time, they're going to
41:36
centralized to the largest currencies in the world.
41:40
And yeah, we think that Bitcoin is going to be the best horse in
41:43
the race because of that. Yeah, for sure.
41:47
I mean, This is why Bitcoiners say don't save in dollars, save
41:50
in sats, because ultimately, even if they do these stimmy
41:54
checks, the the inflation's just going to eat up your savings.
41:58
So if you do get this stimulus check, put it into Bitcoin.
42:04
I mean, that's my opinion. That's not financial advice.
42:06
I just think that given the fact that our currency is constantly
42:12
getting debased, it's probably wise that you don't keep it in
42:16
Bitcoin. And actually that leads to the
42:19
next tweet that we were going to pull up by heavily armed clown.
42:23
The April 2020 stimulus was 0.15 Bitcoin and now this time they
42:29
only want to give people 0.0165 Bitcoin.
42:33
What gives? I think that's hilarious.
42:37
I mean, we're getting less stimmy in real terms and so the
42:40
illusion is just breaking in real time.
42:43
Like imagine telling someone in 2020 that future checks would
42:46
buy you even less if the number was the same.
42:49
Yeah. And if you're if you're.
42:50
That's inflated and if you're. Pricing it in Bitcoin, that's an
42:54
8590% reduction in purchasing power.
42:57
Like if you think about that's insane.
42:58
You're going from .15 to .0165 S like almost 85, almost 90%
43:05
reduction in in purchasing power over just five years.
43:08
I mean, yeah, like a little over five years at that point.
43:12
Yeah, So I don't know what's going to happen.
43:16
All I know is that as inflation rises and as money printer goes
43:21
Burr, more people who have money in hand have the potential,
43:26
maybe not the promise, but definitely the potential to buy
43:29
Bitcoin. This is why Nico says Bitcoin is
43:33
for anybody, but it's not for everybody.
43:36
I hope I'm not butchering that. I got one.
43:37
I got one more chart to share. So this is priced in Bitcoin.
43:41
I know that, Sophie, I know you've seen this chart before
43:43
and Nico's one of his favorites. Do you want to go through it or
43:48
you want me to talk through it? No talk through it.
43:51
I I I want to see what you're I'm, I'm like trying to read on
43:54
this very oh. Sorry, Yeah.
43:55
So, so in the primary benchmarks, this is showing you
43:59
know, the US dollar, gold, crude oil, the S&P 500 strategy, Big
44:02
Macs that we got a story for the culture with you about
44:06
McDonald's, the United. States.
44:08
Media houses, so it's showing over a one month year to date,
44:12
one year, three-year and five year basically it's showing over
44:15
time. All of these are getting more is
44:18
getting cheaper over time when you price it in Bitcoin.
44:20
So I think the only thing that was doing well right now is
44:23
Robin Hood stock. But you know, over the long,
44:25
long haul, I do think Bitcoin is going to outperform Robin Hood.
44:29
And then but like any of these stocks over a long enough time
44:31
horizon, they have negative yield in terms relative to
44:35
Bitcoin. So when you're pricing it in
44:37
Bitcoin over enough, a long enough time horizon, basically
44:40
it's going to have a negative yield, meaning that Bitcoin is
44:43
outperforming all assets. What's the quote that Michael?
44:45
Unless you buy strategy and just this year, gold.
44:50
Definitely. But yeah, this is a very good
44:51
website. For a while it was down, like
44:54
there was issues with it for a couple months and Opti and I are
44:56
saying like, does it look like they're getting D dossed or
44:58
attacked? But you know, glad to have this
45:00
up and running again, and it's something that's cool to
45:02
reference every once in a while. Yeah, I, I, well, that's one of
45:08
the things like once you go on a Bitcoin standard, you really do
45:11
start using that website as the general motor of your brain.
45:17
When you start thinking about what to spend money on and what
45:21
to spend your time and energy on, you start pricing everything
45:24
in Bitcoin. You're like, damn, do I really
45:26
want to buy this like useless thing that doesn't really like
45:29
serve me very well and that I might forget about in two
45:32
seconds just because I want short term instant
45:35
gratification. No, because I could just buy
45:38
Bitcoin and get something that is going to last generations and
45:43
actually give me life fulfillment instead of, you
45:47
know, the fast fashion, fast-paced, social media driven
45:52
like kind of happiness that is ultimately fake and based on
45:56
nothing. So I price in Bitcoin important
46:02
show that one to your family and friends and that that will
46:05
actually that was actually that website was a huge part of me
46:11
orange filling my family. Good.
46:13
That's awesome because they were always telling me you need to
46:16
diversify, you need to put money in real estate or, you know,
46:20
start a business or whatever, And I was just like, let me show
46:24
you something. So I'm really glad that you
46:26
brought that up. Anyway, we're going to move on
46:30
to the culture. Like Chris had mentioned, we
46:34
have a super fun story for you guys regarding the MC rib.
46:42
So we'll be right back after this, these messages.
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It's right there in the QR code. Scan the QR code, get yourself
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some tickets. You're going to see some of the
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biggest names in Bitcoin and mining and I think we'll be
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there. So we'll see you there and let's
49:19
move on to this next. God, I can't even believe that
49:24
we're talking about this. So the Mcrib is back.
49:30
According to Internet Bra, Bitcoin has historically gone up
49:35
2X after the Mcrib returns, according to this tweet.
49:39
Don't fade the Mcrib. Not financial advice.
49:44
Love this, love this. Oops, oops oops.
49:48
Don't hate the signal, Sophie. Don't hate the signal.
49:52
I'm not hating the signal, I'm just laughing because we live in
49:57
a simulation. But anyway, yeah, the the Mcrib
50:01
apparently often is a recession indicator.
50:05
Inflation spikes or you know it, it comes back right before
50:10
Bitcoin pumps. I believe last time it came
50:13
back, like I said, Bitcoin did double.
50:17
So you know, forget the moving averages.
50:19
I trade in Mcrib indicator And so obviously I had to Fact Check
50:26
this, right. And it looks like it's not
50:30
exactly back in the United States yet.
50:33
It's, it's returning to New Zealand.
50:38
According to mcriblocator.com/blog, they're
50:43
also offering a BB Q Bandit sandwich that includes a beef
50:46
burger, cheese, bacon, onion rings, whatever.
50:50
Don't eat seed oils. But what does this mean?
50:53
This means that the culture. Oh, right.
50:57
I wanted to show this like little bit of the video.
50:59
This is so funny. This is so silly.
51:02
This is what they're using for their commercial anyway.
51:06
Definitely a recession indicator.
51:10
That's us getting slobbered in gains.
51:13
This is so funny. This is cringe.
51:19
So. So is this a recession indicator
51:24
or is it bullish? Are we living in a simulation?
51:30
Does McDonald's secretly hold Bitcoin ETFs?
51:34
What do you think, Chris? Well, I, I, I'll say in El
51:38
Salvador, I'm pretty sure I have not been there, but I know you
51:41
and Nico and Opti and Jacob have been there.
51:44
Can you Did you guys go to McDonald's to buy your meal in
51:47
sacks? No, we went to Panda Express
51:52
though. No, they didn't.
51:56
Actually, we asked and. I know, but I know McDonald's
51:59
was one of the first corporations along with like
52:01
Starbucks. I know.
52:02
What's that rib place or the wing stop that I think is a
52:05
place that now accepts Bitcoin as well?
52:08
I don't know. I'm just saying don't fade the
52:09
Mcrib indicator. I think, you know, Bitcoin has
52:12
cycles and patterns. I think this is one of the most
52:14
bullish ones. I know.
52:15
It's not back in the US back. I think it normally comes back
52:18
in like November, December time frame.
52:20
So once you know, December comes back, we're RIP roaring when the
52:24
Mcrib officially comes back. So yeah, I wouldn't fade it, I
52:27
definitely think. That's actually.
52:29
That's actually a very convenient time for me because
52:32
if Bitcoin is going to be ripping in November, December,
52:36
and then we got a 2X from there, I mean, we might be looking at
52:41
more than two 100K at the end of the year.
52:43
We might actually be looking at like closer to 300K if my math
52:48
serves me well. I don't know.
52:49
It wasn't my strong student school, but it's the perfect
52:53
storm between meme and macro, and I love it when life
53:00
imitates. It's art.
53:01
So, you know, like I said, we're living.
53:04
We're living in a simulation. I would.
53:06
Agree. Honestly anyway guys, that was
53:12
our show. Thank you guys so much for
53:15
watching. Thank you, Chris for joining us.
53:18
Great today, so lovely as always.
53:20
Thank you. Thank you so much.
53:23
Yeah, I know that I'm cutting it a little bit short.
53:26
Like I said, this is like my first time really taking the
53:28
reins on the show. If you liked the show, smash the
53:32
like button, share the show with your friends, and we'll see you
53:37
next time. We'll see you Monday.
53:38
Have a happy Friday. Go touch some grass, spend time
53:41
with your family and friends. And also stay tuned for another
53:47
episode of Satoshi dropping between tomorrow and Sunday.
53:55
Anyway, stay blessed guys. Today's episode was brought to
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you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only platform on a
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mission to enable financial independence.