Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Altcoin Recovery Pump?🚀Technical Analysis with Data Dash
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The market is on a move today.
- 0:01Speaker 2: We're going to break it down for you, give you
- 0:03Speaker 2: a full breakdown on where some of these tokens are going.
- 0:05Speaker 2: You don't want to miss it. Let's just jump right in.
- 0:07Speaker 2: I want to thank our sponsor and that is Uphold.
- 0:09Speaker 2: If you guys are not getting in on this deal,
- 0:12Speaker 2: over on Uphold, I want you to go over there
- 0:14Speaker 2: right now.
- 0:15Speaker 1: Click the link down below. You'll get the card.
- 0:17Speaker 2: With the most XRP rewards available up to six percent
- 0:22Speaker 2: just by getting this card. And there's two levels of
- 0:24Speaker 2: cards that have different quality levels in terms of performance.
- 0:28Speaker 1: The key though, is it's giving you.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Percentages back on every expenditure you're putting on the card.
- 0:34Speaker 2: Check it out use our link down below.
- 0:37Speaker 1: No credit checks required. It's a debit card.
- 0:39Speaker 2: You can of course get up to ten percent back
- 0:41Speaker 2: with a direct deposit. Many of you I know are
- 0:43Speaker 2: already doing that. So use that as a catalyst to
- 0:47Speaker 2: go ahead and ramp up into the card itself and
- 0:50Speaker 2: start earning even more. This is going to be available
- 0:53Speaker 2: anywhere Visa is done. Listen, we're going to get into
- 0:55Speaker 2: the all coins we're going.
- 0:56Speaker 1: To talk about.
- 0:57Speaker 2: Is this a recovery that is on the move right
- 0:59Speaker 2: now as bitcoin and he hits ninety k here on
- 1:02Speaker 2: the day before Thanksgiving. Thank god, Paul Samson is joining us.
- 1:06Speaker 2: How are you, Paul do?
- 1:08Speaker 3: And well, Paul, pleasure to be back.
- 1:10Speaker 2: I think for all the bitcoiners, they were going into
- 1:13Speaker 2: Thanksgiving a day thinking I don't know if I want
- 1:18Speaker 2: to talk to anybody.
- 1:19Speaker 1: Yeah, and then you know, and then.
- 1:21Speaker 2: All of a sudden, this week we've come off the
- 1:23Speaker 2: floor like Rocky Balboa, from eighty k to ninety k.
- 1:28Speaker 2: And at least they'll be able to show their face
- 1:31Speaker 2: at Thanksgiving tomorrow.
- 1:32Speaker 1: So let's just get into it. What do you think
- 1:35Speaker 1: is what.
- 1:36Speaker 2: Do you think we're in right now in terms of
- 1:38Speaker 2: where bitcoin is heading towards the end of the year.
- 1:41Speaker 3: Towards the end of the year, I think we can.
- 1:43Speaker 4: I think we really got a nice opportunity to push
- 1:46Speaker 4: back up towards one hundred and ten.
- 1:47Speaker 2: I think, whoa, Okay, all right, so you're very bullish.
- 1:51Speaker 2: You're wearing the bullish hat too.
- 1:52Speaker 3: I see that, and the bull that's it, the wave
- 1:57Speaker 3: going up. Yeah, I have to get one.
- 1:59Speaker 4: I'm gonna have to get one here soon if eying
- 2:01Speaker 4: doesn't turn around. But yeah, right, now it's still the
- 2:03Speaker 4: bull cap, all right.
- 2:05Speaker 2: We've got to look though at the fear and greed
- 2:07Speaker 2: s and p five hundred and two percent away from
- 2:09Speaker 2: all time highs.
- 2:09Speaker 1: But yet fear and greed is.
- 2:11Speaker 2: Holding at sixteen, which is extreme fear and greed right now?
- 2:16Speaker 1: Why do you think that is, Paul?
- 2:17Speaker 2: When you look at the market, I mean, bitcoin just
- 2:21Speaker 2: retraced off of eighty k. Now, yeah, granted for us
- 2:24Speaker 2: in crypto we look at that and say, hey, it's
- 2:25Speaker 2: just you know, an average day here in crypto land,
- 2:28Speaker 2: no big deal. But for a lot of investors, maybe
- 2:31Speaker 2: brand new, especially those that just bought the dip, they're
- 2:35Speaker 2: sitting on ten thousand dollars in profit. Should they sell
- 2:39Speaker 2: or should they ride this out?
- 2:41Speaker 4: So we get to jump over to the charts here,
- 2:43Speaker 4: and I think that the simple answer for why everybody's
- 2:47Speaker 4: in extreme fear, and that even goes into the stock
- 2:49Speaker 4: market as well. The stock market's actually in like the
- 2:51Speaker 4: most fear I've ever seen that any of us have
- 2:53Speaker 4: ever seen, as far as if you're going off of
- 2:55Speaker 4: the metric right and they're at all time highs just
- 2:57Speaker 4: about again. But I think it's because of the four
- 2:59Speaker 4: year cycle, right, that everybody thinks that the high at
- 3:02Speaker 4: one twenty six is in.
- 3:03Speaker 3: It was right on time. There was a guy on Reddit.
- 3:05Speaker 4: Calling it was going to be to that exact day,
- 3:07Speaker 4: all these things, and we've seen nothing but a pretty
- 3:09Speaker 4: big decline at this point. Looking at it now, it's
- 3:11Speaker 4: a pretty clear down trend and we're gonna have to
- 3:13Speaker 4: recover some ground before you can really get bullish again.
- 3:16Speaker 4: But yeah, for the time being, I think that, like
- 3:18Speaker 4: you just said, anybody that bought the dip here we
- 3:20Speaker 4: covered actually on the last time I was on that
- 3:22Speaker 4: eighty two to five hundred, how important that level was
- 3:25Speaker 4: going to be. We came right into it, held it
- 3:28Speaker 4: so far a nice bounce off. You see, I have
- 3:30Speaker 4: this ninety one thousand dollars. It just made a video
- 3:32Speaker 4: today on why I had this as our Turkey target.
- 3:35Speaker 4: And it's a little bit more short term again, something
- 3:38Speaker 4: that at least allows everybody to go into Thanksgiving holding
- 3:41Speaker 4: their head high again to some detry, and this is
- 3:44Speaker 4: just a very simple thing that I look for each
- 3:46Speaker 4: and every week, which is a range from the prior
- 3:49Speaker 4: week here, and when you start off the new week
- 3:52Speaker 4: outside of that or at the low end, you are
- 3:54Speaker 4: likely to rotate it back to either way. So if
- 3:56Speaker 4: we started the high, we'd look for a run to
- 3:58Speaker 4: the low. If we started the low, we look for
- 3:59Speaker 4: a run to the high. And statistically, a lot of
- 4:03Speaker 4: the times this occurs on Wednesdays and Thursdays, and it
- 4:06Speaker 4: always usually aligns with you know, an FOMC meeting or
- 4:08Speaker 4: a PPI data release or all those things.
- 4:10Speaker 3: Those big bursts usually occur at the same time.
- 4:13Speaker 4: So it's just funny, like we're just trading here this morning,
- 4:15Speaker 4: and this is a weekly level. This is a high
- 4:17Speaker 4: volume target at ninety one K, very likely to be
- 4:20Speaker 4: met this week, and that's where we're heading at right now.
- 4:22Speaker 4: So flipping that would be ideal for the short term
- 4:25Speaker 4: to see anymore upside.
- 4:27Speaker 3: But in the terms of.
- 4:28Speaker 4: You know, like we just mentioned why everybody's in extreme
- 4:31Speaker 4: fear even at these levels here, I think it does
- 4:33Speaker 4: come down to just everybody being extremely cautious, which I
- 4:36Speaker 4: think it's notable that they're fearful that the four year
- 4:39Speaker 4: cycles here, the bear markets here for the next year,
- 4:41Speaker 4: and we're just going to see these little rallies that
- 4:43Speaker 4: are just going to get rolled right over. So I
- 4:45Speaker 4: think that's where the fear truly comes from. And then
- 4:47Speaker 4: for the stock market too, we're seeing everybody is anticipating
- 4:51Speaker 4: this big AI bubble pop and great depression, and I
- 4:54Speaker 4: think that any pullback is just seeming like it's the
- 4:56Speaker 4: beginning of that, and I feel like that's where the
- 4:57Speaker 4: fear also drives there as well.
- 5:00Speaker 2: A lot of that came off of Michael Burry's statement
- 5:02Speaker 2: to the market of where he kind of pulled back
- 5:04Speaker 2: away from the AI bubble, and of course we saw
- 5:06Speaker 2: in video stock kind of tank a little bit. But
- 5:10Speaker 2: at the same time, we're also dealing with bitcoin, which
- 5:13Speaker 2: is looking at dominance dropping. I'm looking at between sixty
- 5:17Speaker 2: percent right there on November fifth.
- 5:20Speaker 1: Here we are on November.
- 5:21Speaker 2: Twenty sixth, and we have dropped down, even though it
- 5:23Speaker 2: did bounce at fifty eight point seven percent. Does that
- 5:27Speaker 2: play into an all coin season that could be brewing?
- 5:31Speaker 2: Are we going to even have an all coin season?
- 5:33Speaker 2: Because of course, you know Ethereum just now cracking three
- 5:36Speaker 2: k again.
- 5:37Speaker 1: What do you think?
- 5:39Speaker 4: Yeah, So a little reminder for anybody For me, I
- 5:42Speaker 4: actually note that, or I guess note. A big theory
- 5:45Speaker 4: of mine is that twenty twenty six is actually going
- 5:47Speaker 4: to be a sizable year here for pretty much everything
- 5:50Speaker 4: going off of the higher time frame twenty year cycles
- 5:52Speaker 4: in the housing market that I think that crypto is
- 5:54Speaker 4: actually putting in the first twenty year cycle here as
- 5:57Speaker 4: we're finishing up here into the years of twenty twenty
- 5:59Speaker 4: six to twenty twenty nine, really towards twenty twenty seven.
- 6:02Speaker 4: But anyways, to add on to that, Yeah, I'm looking
- 6:05Speaker 4: at bitcoin here in a major, major multi year I'm
- 6:08Speaker 4: on a daily time frame.
- 6:09Speaker 3: Let's just even go to the weekly here.
- 6:11Speaker 4: This dates back all the way to twenty twenty seventeen actually,
- 6:15Speaker 4: so twenty seventeen's bull run or twenty twenty.
- 6:17Speaker 3: One bull run. Everybody's aware that when you see this,
- 6:19Speaker 3: this is an inverse chart.
- 6:20Speaker 4: Generally we go down, all coins go up, we go up,
- 6:22Speaker 4: all coins go down, and we've come back into this
- 6:26Speaker 4: sizable range region with a back test of the high,
- 6:29Speaker 4: which is exactly what you want to see and opposite
- 6:32Speaker 4: of what we just looked at on that shorter time
- 6:34Speaker 4: frame range I pointed out with bitcoin why it's heading
- 6:36Speaker 4: higher right now and dominance is getting the opposite of that.
- 6:39Speaker 3: We come back into this region, we've back tested the high.
- 6:41Speaker 4: You're looking for a move back to the lower ends here,
- 6:45Speaker 4: back to these higher or these recent highs back here,
- 6:47Speaker 4: which is a local gold I say local, this is
- 6:49Speaker 4: a huge time frame, but a gold pocket replacement like
- 6:52Speaker 4: in the fifty percent region. It's also the midpoint of
- 6:55Speaker 4: this region as well, very likely that we come down to.
- 6:57Speaker 4: And then we have the highest volume level, which is
- 7:00Speaker 4: where this is not really price action, but the asset
- 7:03Speaker 4: is going to seek out more than likely while we're
- 7:05Speaker 4: in this range the highest volume level, which is all
- 7:08Speaker 4: the way back down at forty one. So for the
- 7:09Speaker 4: longest time here I've been noting that we're looking for
- 7:11Speaker 4: this move down. This is again weekly timeframe. Don't expect
- 7:15Speaker 4: it overnight. This is something that over the course of
- 7:17Speaker 4: twenty twenty six, I vision this to come down. And
- 7:20Speaker 4: that also aligns really really well if we get into
- 7:23Speaker 4: it next or whenever you want to pull it up.
- 7:25Speaker 4: The Ethereum outlook for myself as well, which I could
- 7:28Speaker 4: see eth outperforming Bitcoin in the year twenty twenty six,
- 7:31Speaker 4: which in term usually is meaning that the all coins
- 7:34Speaker 4: are going to outperform with it. It's not usually we
- 7:36Speaker 4: just see Ethereum pushing without nothing else.
- 7:38Speaker 2: So yeah, well, and there's a lot of things that
- 7:40Speaker 2: play into this.
- 7:41Speaker 1: Right now. I want to go to a clip here.
- 7:43Speaker 2: Because this is where we could see some interim pains,
- 7:46Speaker 2: and even Tom Lee kind of talked a little bit
- 7:48Speaker 2: about this about eth in a second, and we'll jump
- 7:49Speaker 2: to ether right after that, So you guys stick around
- 7:51Speaker 2: for that, but let me play this clip for you.
- 7:53Speaker 3: Guys.
- 7:53Speaker 5: Big question is are we consolidating and digesting gains, which
- 7:57Speaker 5: is a word I've already used before, or are we
- 8:00Speaker 5: seeing some topping formations. I see a few topping formations,
- 8:04Speaker 5: but I still believe we're in a consolidation phase. But
- 8:06Speaker 5: as we go through it, you're gonna feel some angst
- 8:09Speaker 5: and there'll be a feeling of indigestion as we try
- 8:12Speaker 5: to move higher going into this FED meeting on December tenth.
- 8:15Speaker 3: So we are seeing rotation. And you told me we.
- 8:18Speaker 5: Would get this hit in the technology sector like we
- 8:20Speaker 5: did with for the Max seven underperformed the S and
- 8:23Speaker 5: P five hundred, Yet we are still at these levels.
- 8:26Speaker 5: That's reason to be optimistic in my mind, because I
- 8:29Speaker 5: don't think Nvidia is done by any stretch, but I
- 8:31Speaker 5: am watching key levels here around one seventy five. It
- 8:34Speaker 5: held yesterday, gonna test it again today and you know
- 8:38Speaker 5: that'll be a good setup once we get through the
- 8:40Speaker 5: end of this year to kick off twenty twenty six.
- 8:44Speaker 2: Two things to keep in mind here for you guys
- 8:46Speaker 2: that are trying to figure out how this.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Market could play out.
- 8:48Speaker 2: One, of course, is the FED meeting coming December tenth.
- 8:51Speaker 2: You mentioned it there. And then others are how this
- 8:54Speaker 2: outlook starts to pin through because I think right now
- 8:57Speaker 2: poly market had it. I'll pull up a polymer market
- 9:00Speaker 2: here in a second, but it had the FED rate
- 9:03Speaker 2: cut now almost at ninety percent as of this morning
- 9:07Speaker 2: of a quarter basis points.
- 9:08Speaker 1: And of course a lot of this.
- 9:09Speaker 2: Is leaning in because of this idea of a shadow
- 9:13Speaker 2: you know, FED, which, of course the Trump administration is
- 9:16Speaker 2: now pointing at Kevin Hassett as being the potential Kevin
- 9:19Speaker 2: Hassett remember ex Bitcoin Advisor or excuse me, coinbas advisor,
- 9:24Speaker 2: very understanding in terms of digital assets, and I would say,
- 9:28Speaker 2: in essence, he fits both profiles, one pro crypto and
- 9:32Speaker 2: other dubbish, meaning he's ready to cut all of that
- 9:35Speaker 2: could layer into a potential very big Q one, Paul.
- 9:40Speaker 2: When you look at that those two things alone in
- 9:45Speaker 2: the light that Nvidia doesn't explode. Let's assume that they are,
- 9:48Speaker 2: I should say implode because of Michael Berry's you know analysis,
- 9:53Speaker 2: and I'll talk about that in a second. But do
- 9:55Speaker 2: you think that Ethereum gets its wind after another bitcoin
- 10:00Speaker 2: run or do you think we're in tandem right now
- 10:03Speaker 2: in terms of where the Bitcoin chart is.
- 10:07Speaker 3: I think that, yeah.
- 10:08Speaker 4: I think that Ethereum could very well get it within
- 10:10Speaker 4: in tandem, I guess. And again this is a place
- 10:13Speaker 4: I think that we're seeing where eth is going to
- 10:15Speaker 4: start outperforming again, just as we saw in April. We're
- 10:17Speaker 4: from fourteen hundred to forty nine hundred. We technically outperform
- 10:20Speaker 4: Bitcoin during that window of time, and Eth is poised,
- 10:23Speaker 4: I think, to do that just to get again as
- 10:25Speaker 4: we start off twenty twenty six.
- 10:26Speaker 2: Yeah, all right, so a couple of things to be
- 10:29Speaker 2: on the lookout here twenty twenty six. JP Morgan says
- 10:32Speaker 2: S and P five hundred could hit eight in twenty
- 10:35Speaker 2: twenty six. I don't know about you, guys, but it
- 10:37Speaker 2: seems like JP Morgan always just these crazy estimates right
- 10:42Speaker 2: at the time when the market seems to have a
- 10:44Speaker 2: little bit of lift in it's almost like they're trying
- 10:46Speaker 2: to wring out a little bit of more profit in
- 10:48Speaker 2: terms of some of these funds that they're managing. I
- 10:51Speaker 2: don't know, do you like the S and P for
- 10:53Speaker 2: twenty twenty six or would you go into risk.
- 10:57Speaker 3: So the S and P. Let's just take a peek
- 10:59Speaker 3: at that real quick.
- 11:00Speaker 4: So I'm not actually totally against that eight thousand dollars
- 11:04Speaker 4: call I guess because this is the only other level
- 11:06Speaker 4: I've had on my SMP five hundred chart for probably
- 11:09Speaker 4: this entire year, to be honest with you, and we
- 11:12Speaker 4: had to pull back in April. So far, it's obviously
- 11:14Speaker 4: just been a huge just up move only with no
- 11:17Speaker 4: sizeable corrections. And that's why you see I have these
- 11:19Speaker 4: two just simple Fibonacci pullbacks here, which the main one
- 11:22Speaker 4: for me is if we were to come down lower
- 11:24Speaker 4: when we're coming down earlier this month, even if we
- 11:27Speaker 4: came back to like sixty one hundred, this would have
- 11:28Speaker 4: been a very technical, very shallow retracement and you still
- 11:32Speaker 4: back test previous highs all that good stuff.
- 11:34Speaker 3: But anyways, we're back into the highs yet again.
- 11:37Speaker 4: And to me, when I'm looking at the markets, basing
- 11:40Speaker 4: once more off of that twenty year housing market, economic
- 11:43Speaker 4: business business cycle outlook. A vision I can see here
- 11:47Speaker 4: that we could have a very big twenty twenty six right,
- 11:50Speaker 4: Yet again, everybody's really expecting a big rollover in the
- 11:52Speaker 4: Great Depression and all that to occur since we've been
- 11:55Speaker 4: in twenty twenty basically, and I think this last leg
- 11:58Speaker 4: here could very well be here. And looking at this
- 12:00Speaker 4: though in the sense of percentage gain, you're talking ten, twelve, fifteen,
- 12:04Speaker 4: I guess we're eight thousand and put it almost a
- 12:05Speaker 4: twenty percent move, And if you have size in the market,
- 12:08Speaker 4: of course that's incredible. Yeah, And so I mean, yeah,
- 12:12Speaker 4: it's what I jump into this at the highs expecting
- 12:15Speaker 4: eight thousand dollars once again, just like you said, where
- 12:17Speaker 4: we get these extreme or the next big levels. Only
- 12:20Speaker 4: once we're there, it's a little risky, I think to
- 12:23Speaker 4: come into that. I'd probably look for other opportunities here.
- 12:25Speaker 4: But if you're already in SMP from lower then yeah,
- 12:28Speaker 4: i'd say that this is you know this two times
- 12:30Speaker 4: when you're trying to analyze things, it's to the person
- 12:32Speaker 4: that's looking for a fresh buy or the person that's
- 12:34Speaker 4: already been invested in today is probably if I'm invested,
- 12:37Speaker 4: I'm looking higher, If I'm looking for a fresh opportunity,
- 12:39Speaker 4: it's not today.
- 12:41Speaker 2: Well, and there's two things, because I think everybody's trying
- 12:43Speaker 2: to figure out, well, if this does play out to
- 12:45Speaker 2: what you're talking about, Paul, data Dash, is this goes
- 12:50Speaker 2: into Q one possibly as a rip into what could
- 12:54Speaker 2: be a very accelerated FED rate cut, because come May,
- 12:58Speaker 2: it's very possible we can see a full point getting
- 13:01Speaker 2: cut off of the feder rate. If that occurs, that
- 13:03Speaker 2: would be a massive stimulus into the market going into spring.
- 13:08Speaker 2: That of course starts to move things around. So timing
- 13:10Speaker 2: might be to your point, right in line with where
- 13:13Speaker 2: you could see some pullbacks in the S and P.
- 13:15Speaker 2: The other thing within Nvidia, you know, when you look
- 13:17Speaker 2: at how Burry was addressing this, it really just boiled
- 13:21Speaker 2: down to the depreciation schedule that in video was planning
- 13:24Speaker 2: on these chips, mainly saying, hey, we're gonna push this
- 13:27Speaker 2: appreciation out like five to seven years instead of a
- 13:29Speaker 2: chip being at its life cycle at like two to
- 13:32Speaker 2: three years. And that was what was patting the books
- 13:34Speaker 2: or cooking the books. I disagree with that in the
- 13:37Speaker 2: sense that I think when you look at the scale
- 13:39Speaker 2: and growth of what in Nvidia is dealing with, the
- 13:42Speaker 2: way they build against this is just to grow past it,
- 13:45Speaker 2: and then they would cover any of those losses in depreciations.
- 13:48Speaker 2: So if you played counter of Buri, then in Vidia
- 13:52Speaker 2: could still see some up here. To your point, maybe
- 13:56Speaker 2: into an eight thousand, seventy five hundred that is going to.
- 13:59Speaker 1: Blast the risk markets upward.
- 14:02Speaker 2: I think in terms of Bitcoin, especially Eth, what would
- 14:04Speaker 2: be your target price for Eth right now if you
- 14:08Speaker 2: were looking into the Q one range, So.
- 14:13Speaker 4: For Q one for Eth's I had originally I had
- 14:17Speaker 4: a area that we were looking to get a bounce
- 14:20Speaker 4: off of. It was that thirty three thirty six hundred
- 14:22Speaker 4: dollars mark, and then we ended up coming a little
- 14:24Speaker 4: bit deeper here right into a gold pocket. So you'll
- 14:27Speaker 4: hear me talk about that. I think mini analysts point
- 14:29Speaker 4: that out. It's a very very natural place to see
- 14:31Speaker 4: a retracement. So we had to off of this last
- 14:33Speaker 4: move up which, to be fair, this was right as
- 14:37Speaker 4: we had the last upgrade I believe that was Petra
- 14:40Speaker 4: upgrade or update, and we have another one coming up
- 14:43Speaker 4: in just a week or two here, I know, you
- 14:45Speaker 4: cover that quite often so interesting enough where we have
- 14:47Speaker 4: that coming as we're on the heels of a major
- 14:49Speaker 4: support level, but we've.
- 14:51Speaker 3: Come into this big area. For me, I've actually.
- 14:53Speaker 4: Acquired more ethereum here. I'm a huge ethereum bowl huge
- 14:57Speaker 4: ethereum like that's my largest bag person. So just so's
- 15:01Speaker 4: that's out there. But yeah, I really enjoyed seeing this
- 15:04Speaker 4: pullback here in the bounce off it so far. Locally
- 15:06Speaker 4: we had a little weekly target just similar to the
- 15:09Speaker 4: Turkey target on bitcoin, but without that, I'm really looking
- 15:12Speaker 4: to see reclaim.
- 15:13Speaker 3: This yearly open for this year.
- 15:15Speaker 4: It's it's not only just because of that, it's you
- 15:17Speaker 4: can also see how just really in demand that support
- 15:21Speaker 4: was until we flipped it, So flipping that would be
- 15:23Speaker 4: really crucial here. And then, honestly, Paul, I think that
- 15:26Speaker 4: Q one still has enough legs to get us back
- 15:28Speaker 4: to all time highs into the five thousand dollars range
- 15:32Speaker 4: on ethereum and if I can pull up again. Just
- 15:35Speaker 4: my larger outlook is actually that we see a really
- 15:38Speaker 4: sizable move and ethereum through the year, and that is
- 15:40Speaker 4: all predicated off of again this larger ETH versus BTC setup,
- 15:46Speaker 4: which is a huge six year bullish reversal that completed
- 15:50Speaker 4: in April of this year usually takes about a year
- 15:52Speaker 4: and a half to three years to hit the major
- 15:53Speaker 4: target from there.
- 15:55Speaker 3: This is where we got the huge burst from.
- 15:56Speaker 4: Fourteen hundred up to forty nine hundred, two hundred and
- 15:59Speaker 4: fifty percent move on eight when bitcoin I think only
- 16:01Speaker 4: rallied like eighty to one hundred. Still amazing, but we
- 16:04Speaker 4: outperformed a little cool off right here, and the remaining
- 16:07Speaker 4: target zone, which is up in this region comes in
- 16:10Speaker 4: with fib times aligning with it around the end of
- 16:13Speaker 4: next year and into Q one of twenty twenty seven.
- 16:15Speaker 4: So not that we have to wait that long to
- 16:17Speaker 4: see anything big here, because again, if we're starting to
- 16:19Speaker 4: crawl up into these regions, that puts ETH.
- 16:22Speaker 3: Back at the all time highs here.
- 16:24Speaker 4: And then going into new because potentially new highs as
- 16:27Speaker 4: we go into the remainder of next year.
- 16:29Speaker 2: All right, so new highs the remainder of next year.
- 16:32Speaker 2: To your point, Fusaka is happening next week, and this
- 16:36Speaker 2: is going to accelerate a lot of different things. Of course,
- 16:38Speaker 2: we saw the move with Pectra and where Eth came from.
- 16:41Speaker 2: At that time you kind of hit it in the
- 16:43Speaker 2: sense of eth really starting to grow and outperform bitcoins.
- 16:46Speaker 2: So definitely something to keep an eye on, guys. One
- 16:49Speaker 2: thing to just remember, though, just as a warning, is
- 16:53Speaker 2: that Lee is now saying and he has softened his position.
- 16:56Speaker 2: He's still looking at a seven k instead of a
- 16:58Speaker 2: ten to twelve, but he's all also talking about a
- 17:01Speaker 2: potential of coming back down to twenty five hundred before
- 17:04Speaker 2: a rebounds. Do you think we hit a twenty five
- 17:07Speaker 2: hundred before end of year?
- 17:11Speaker 3: It's tough on. I mean, we're so close to there.
- 17:14Speaker 4: I know it's five hundred dollars away now, but when
- 17:15Speaker 4: we came down just recently to twenty six, twenty five
- 17:18Speaker 4: hundred does have a very very high volume level sitting
- 17:21Speaker 4: there for this year, so I wouldn't count it out
- 17:24Speaker 4: by any means. And if I was looking at those
- 17:25Speaker 4: DCA zones, it would definitely be in the twenty five
- 17:28Speaker 4: hundred twenty six hundred dollars level if we push back
- 17:30Speaker 4: to it, so I wouldn't totally count that out in.
- 17:33Speaker 3: A shorter term, just pull back again. But yeah, all.
- 17:37Speaker 1: Right, let's jump over to Solana for a second.
- 17:40Speaker 2: The ETF streak is on the move, right now they've
- 17:44Speaker 2: got zero outflows since launch. That's kind of cool when
- 17:48Speaker 2: you look at some of the other narratives that are.
- 17:51Speaker 1: Placing in the market, including the push.
- 17:53Speaker 2: Of all of the xrp ETFs which have been busting
- 17:55Speaker 2: through b solo course with Bitwise did very well, We're
- 17:59Speaker 2: seeing a lota on the move here. Question mark is
- 18:02Speaker 2: how do Solana perform in the chart in comparison to ethereum?
- 18:07Speaker 1: What is your position?
- 18:11Speaker 3: Yeah, so let's see here.
- 18:13Speaker 4: So Solana pretty much a huge range for the last jeez,
- 18:18Speaker 4: I guess since twenty twenty four, sizeably up.
- 18:21Speaker 3: Let's just you know, be fair there though.
- 18:22Speaker 4: We had eight dollar lows and twenty two dollars lows
- 18:24Speaker 4: a couple of years back, and has been pretty much
- 18:26Speaker 4: holding up in this one hundred plus region. There was
- 18:29Speaker 4: a Bullish Harmonic that completed same time around that April
- 18:32Speaker 4: window that I've covered a couple times here, won't get
- 18:34Speaker 4: too far into it had a major target up here
- 18:37Speaker 4: at that one ninety six, so we slowly made our
- 18:39Speaker 4: way to that. This was pretty much a little line
- 18:41Speaker 4: in the sand for any more upside or if we
- 18:44Speaker 4: lost it for more down once we lost it here,
- 18:47Speaker 4: the downside area turns into what's called a five to OZ,
- 18:51Speaker 4: which is meaning we're just rejecting off of that fifty spot.
- 18:54Speaker 4: Essentially the fifty percent retlacement. The five O targets come
- 18:57Speaker 4: in right here. So one thirty one is where we're
- 19:00Speaker 4: holding in basing off of for Solana, And honestly, as
- 19:02Speaker 4: long as we're holding at that one thirty one, the
- 19:05Speaker 4: overall setup is still in play here. So that two
- 19:07Speaker 4: seventy four and three twenty three, I believe it is,
- 19:10Speaker 4: is where I could see Solana pushing up to the
- 19:13Speaker 4: caveat here, as we just really have to remain above
- 19:15Speaker 4: this one thirty one. Otherwise than that you got big
- 19:17Speaker 4: DCA zone between that and eighty five dollars. But two
- 19:21Speaker 4: seventy four and three twenty three are still really in
- 19:24Speaker 4: that docket there, and that's about one hundred and thirty
- 19:26Speaker 4: five percent move here.
- 19:28Speaker 3: Personally, I think that that's probably it could go higher.
- 19:32Speaker 4: Of course, as you're pointing out, there's a lot of
- 19:34Speaker 4: ETF inflows and things like that happening behind the scenes,
- 19:36Speaker 4: so when those come to surface, it could really be explosive.
- 19:40Speaker 4: But from what I'm seeing currently, if I had the
- 19:42Speaker 4: line up eth versus Salona person. I think Eth has
- 19:44Speaker 4: got the chance to outperform one hundred and thirty five percent.
- 19:47Speaker 2: So all right, so we're we're doing kind of a
- 19:49Speaker 2: round robin here. Then let's jump over to Avalanche. We
- 19:52Speaker 2: had Anthony Scaramucci on the show just the other day.
- 19:55Speaker 2: We're talking about the Avalanche dat. He had, of course
- 19:59Speaker 2: a lot of things to talk about. But we hit
- 20:01Speaker 2: on a lot of positives for Avalanche as an ecosystem,
- 20:04Speaker 2: but we're not seeing it in the charts, Paul, So
- 20:08Speaker 2: tell me why Avalanche is not moving?
- 20:10Speaker 1: What's going on?
- 20:13Speaker 4: Yeah, we just similar to many of the coins out there,
- 20:17Speaker 4: and even some as you just pointed out right you
- 20:19Speaker 4: pointed out XRP. I believe has you know, extreme moves
- 20:22Speaker 4: behind the scenes as far as ETFs goes, but the
- 20:24Speaker 4: price action hasn't really caught up to that yet.
- 20:26Speaker 3: Solana the same way right now.
- 20:28Speaker 4: It's just one of those things that when we get
- 20:30Speaker 4: some of these big catalysts that I think that will
- 20:32Speaker 4: have long term effects over the you know, the price
- 20:36Speaker 4: and things that will come along with it, they're not
- 20:38Speaker 4: as immediate as we as we'd like them to be.
- 20:40Speaker 4: Right as soon as you get these really big bursts.
- 20:42Speaker 4: So Avalanche is in the same camp. We're just really
- 20:44Speaker 4: just kind of grinding it out around these lows. I
- 20:46Speaker 4: think we touched on this last time as well. For me,
- 20:49Speaker 4: I'd really love to see Avalanche get back above pretty
- 20:52Speaker 4: much where we're trading at right now. This fifth let's
- 20:55Speaker 4: just call it fifteen dollars, This is where we've had
- 20:57Speaker 4: our six month lows coming in here, so to start
- 21:00Speaker 4: closing about especially if we were to close this year,
- 21:02Speaker 4: which now we have just you know, a couple more
- 21:03Speaker 4: weeks here, that would look pretty good here as far
- 21:06Speaker 4: as a little sign of strength there, we've also got
- 21:08Speaker 4: twenty twenty fours low to be aware of, just two.
- 21:10Speaker 3: Dollars above that.
- 21:11Speaker 4: And the thing with Avalanche here is that the way
- 21:14Speaker 4: we've been consolidating and with again just you know, positive
- 21:17Speaker 4: fundamentals behind the scenes, I think that this is something
- 21:20Speaker 4: that for me, this is always something where I'm going
- 21:22Speaker 4: to be willing to put on risk when we're at
- 21:24Speaker 4: these low ends, when comparing to something that's at a
- 21:26Speaker 4: brand new all time high. You know, this is something
- 21:28Speaker 4: that obviously the risk is a little bit lower. Can
- 21:30Speaker 4: it go to you know, can go lower, yes, But
- 21:32Speaker 4: this is something that can very well explode out of
- 21:34Speaker 4: this region, and you get those really quick bursts, and
- 21:37Speaker 4: it's usually because we've been consolidating and all that price
- 21:39Speaker 4: action and demand is pent up. And again we have
- 21:43Speaker 4: a huge, huge upside potential here, not even to get
- 21:46Speaker 4: to price discovery. This is just a simple price recovery.
- 21:50Speaker 4: And when looking at this like again, the only thing
- 21:52Speaker 4: I can compare this to is when I looked at
- 21:54Speaker 4: XRP for the longest time and then you had that
- 21:56Speaker 4: humongous rip right that came out of it. So Avalanche does.
- 22:00Speaker 4: Look again, it looks weak currently, but only until it
- 22:04Speaker 4: doesn't right. Just similar to actually this exact move right here,
- 22:06Speaker 4: we had all this downward move, downward move, downward move
- 22:09Speaker 4: until it's not right. And I feel like we're in
- 22:11Speaker 4: the same position right now. So yeah, I just think
- 22:15Speaker 4: we need to claim some ground here, start to see
- 22:17Speaker 4: a little strength. But here is definitely an area where
- 22:19Speaker 4: you want to be consitted. You know, again, no financial advice,
- 22:22Speaker 4: but if I'm looking for a place to consider putting
- 22:24Speaker 4: on risk, it's definitely here on Avalanche with potential for
- 22:27Speaker 4: ninety eight dollars.
- 22:28Speaker 3: You know, down the road.
- 22:29Speaker 2: We're going to pick two tokens at the end here,
- 22:31Speaker 2: because we've got like six that we're covering here, Solana Avalanche,
- 22:36Speaker 2: obviously eth Bitcoin. Let's also take a look at unie swap,
- 22:41Speaker 2: and this is something because we now have the switch
- 22:44Speaker 2: in play. Sixty three thousand votes is where they're going
- 22:47Speaker 2: to be able to take a lot of these yields
- 22:49Speaker 2: give those back to the users. This is going to
- 22:51Speaker 2: change things for uniewap in a big way. As you
- 22:54Speaker 2: can see, it was overwhelming in terms of the vote
- 22:57Speaker 2: and it's most likely going to turn on quickly.
- 23:00Speaker 1: Question is, as many.
- 23:00Speaker 2: People said, well, when we heard the news, uniswap took
- 23:03Speaker 2: a nice move and then of course everything fell apart.
- 23:06Speaker 2: It came down with bitcoin along with everything else. But
- 23:09Speaker 2: where does uniswaps stand right now? Is this a trade
- 23:12Speaker 2: that we should be looking at?
- 23:17Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think again we're trading around aside
- 23:20Speaker 4: from that huge wick down on the October tenth liquidation
- 23:24Speaker 4: event and being at the lowe's. Yet again after the
- 23:27Speaker 4: fact of the range here, you're still trading relatively near
- 23:31Speaker 4: the lows here right, So again some places where if
- 23:34Speaker 4: you're looking at DCA into not talking about leverage trades
- 23:37Speaker 4: or anything like that. You know, you don't really need
- 23:39Speaker 4: leverage with any of these all coins they do crazy
- 23:41Speaker 4: moves on their own. But we're sitting around the point
- 23:44Speaker 4: of control. Again, this is the most traded area of
- 23:47Speaker 4: the region I'm looking at here, so this is definitely
- 23:49Speaker 4: where the most hands are trading place here as far
- 23:52Speaker 4: as buys and cells go. The only problem with it
- 23:57Speaker 4: is you did have a range run right here, right,
- 23:58Speaker 4: so you see here we pulled back to the low,
- 24:00Speaker 4: you ran into the high. Until we really break one
- 24:03Speaker 4: of these two, the odds are you might come back
- 24:05Speaker 4: down to the lows. The only thing you've got to
- 24:06Speaker 4: be prepared for here. And while this is very tiny,
- 24:09Speaker 4: you know, it's like twenty five more percent. But ultimately,
- 24:13Speaker 4: if you're looking at DCA between where we are now
- 24:15Speaker 4: and that four to seventy six low and that twenty
- 24:17Speaker 4: percent window, yeah, I think that we have, similar to Avalanche,
- 24:21Speaker 4: a really big move that could really get underway.
- 24:23Speaker 3: Here.
- 24:24Speaker 4: We're trading near the areas where you consider putting on risk.
- 24:26Speaker 4: You always have to be able to put on risk
- 24:27Speaker 4: at these areas because again, once we get to this levels,
- 24:30Speaker 4: when everybody gets excited, which.
- 24:32Speaker 3: Is they bought back here.
- 24:33Speaker 4: But during those pullbacks is when it's all scary and
- 24:35Speaker 4: seems like it's dead. Similar thing right here and here
- 24:37Speaker 4: and here, just like Avalanche. So yeah, I'd say that
- 24:39Speaker 4: this is an area of opportunity. Same thing goes here,
- 24:43Speaker 4: big big areas above us back at like twenty two
- 24:45Speaker 4: to twenty five dollars and potentially up to thirty. So now,
- 24:49Speaker 4: just again we're talking percentage gains here, potentially a three
- 24:53Speaker 4: hundred percent move, three hundred and eighty percent move, you know,
- 24:56Speaker 4: assuming that the next year we get that dominance pullback,
- 24:59Speaker 4: that we.
- 25:00Speaker 1: Jump in on that one. I'm not ok.
- 25:02Speaker 2: That's a little aggressive, I think for for you not listen.
- 25:06Speaker 2: I love Uni Swap, there's nothing wrong with it, but
- 25:07Speaker 2: that's a major alternative alternate universe you're talking about there, Paul.
- 25:12Speaker 2: Let me ask you this is if you were to
- 25:14Speaker 2: invest between Avalanche and Uni Swap, if I was choosing
- 25:18Speaker 2: between those two, which one would you go with?
- 25:20Speaker 1: Right now?
- 25:21Speaker 3: I would choose Avalanche?
- 25:23Speaker 2: Okay, Avax All right, So we got a VAX and eight.
- 25:26Speaker 2: Now we're going to pick one more. This time we're
- 25:28Speaker 2: going to jump over to suite all right. Uh, here's
- 25:31Speaker 2: a Dane. He's talking about some things that back. This
- 25:33Speaker 2: is back in May, guys. He was kind of hinting at.
- 25:36Speaker 2: You know, what he's hinting at is that maybe we
- 25:38Speaker 2: might get a Pokemon involvement in the Sweet network.
- 25:42Speaker 1: However, nothing has resolved.
- 25:44Speaker 2: From this, and now he says, just here the other day,
- 25:47Speaker 2: it's going well. I don't know what to make of
- 25:50Speaker 2: that yet, but when you look at the chart on Sweet,
- 25:53Speaker 2: it's definitely not going well. So where are we on
- 25:57Speaker 2: Suee as a possibility.
- 26:01Speaker 4: So the one thing I don't love about Sui in
- 26:04Speaker 4: the listings today that we just went over is that
- 26:07Speaker 4: I think that the problem is is like, if this
- 26:09Speaker 4: has this type of potential, maybe everything does. But this
- 26:12Speaker 4: level down here that I have marked this eighty three cents,
- 26:15Speaker 4: This is a extremely high volume level that is also
- 26:20Speaker 4: paired up with high timeframe averages, and they all come
- 26:22Speaker 4: into the exact same scent, right, and it's about fifty
- 26:26Speaker 4: percent away from where we are now. We've slowly kind
- 26:28Speaker 4: of made our way down to this region. And if
- 26:31Speaker 4: I look at this in just a simple what's known
- 26:33Speaker 4: as an ABC correction, where you start right here, you
- 26:36Speaker 4: get your a to this point you push up to
- 26:39Speaker 4: make a lower high, and then you get that lasted,
- 26:41Speaker 4: so that you got ab and then you got the
- 26:43Speaker 4: last one. Is c could it be already completed? Sure,
- 26:47Speaker 4: Usually we have to take out the low here. But
- 26:49Speaker 4: if we're looking at this in a very specific manner,
- 26:51Speaker 4: usually it's this type of move is exactly the same
- 26:55Speaker 4: projected off of this level here. And the way we
- 26:57Speaker 4: could do that is take a trend based five extension
- 27:00Speaker 4: and map that off, go from the high to the low,
- 27:03Speaker 4: and drag that up to the high right there, and
- 27:05Speaker 4: that one hundred percent equivalent comes in right at.
- 27:08Speaker 3: That level as well, right or just a little bit
- 27:10Speaker 3: below it here.
- 27:11Speaker 4: And so just technically speaking, I think that Suey has
- 27:16Speaker 4: potential to come down a little bit lower. It is
- 27:19Speaker 4: already extremely low off the high. The only thing to
- 27:21Speaker 4: be out there right we're down seventy percent. So if again,
- 27:24Speaker 4: if somebody's looking for that opportunity where you don't want
- 27:27Speaker 4: to get overly greedy waiting for lower, if just in
- 27:30Speaker 4: case we do start to take off here, I'd say
- 27:32Speaker 4: that the takeoff level really begins if we claim one seventy.
- 27:35Speaker 4: But I'd say this it's a really big gap but
- 27:38Speaker 4: you could really just consider scaling in around these regions
- 27:41Speaker 4: if you want to catch that next leg up. But yeah,
- 27:44Speaker 4: just the only thing about these all that just that
- 27:46Speaker 4: one just really sticks out at me that we still
- 27:48Speaker 4: might see a little pullback.
- 27:49Speaker 3: You know, you get those random.
- 27:51Speaker 4: News and tweets that they got to have or something
- 27:53Speaker 4: that we can cause it.
- 27:54Speaker 3: Yeah, exactly, Yeah, that's a big pull out.
- 27:57Speaker 1: All right.
- 27:58Speaker 2: So all right, so we've kind of picked Ethereum as
- 28:00Speaker 2: one of the alphas over here when it goes head
- 28:02Speaker 2: to head with Salana. But what about Avalanche versus suite because.
- 28:08Speaker 1: I'm trying to help the audience. Avalanche Ye, okay, all right, Avalanche.
- 28:11Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:12Speaker 1: So all right, so there you go, guys.
- 28:13Speaker 2: I mean, we've got some potential picks here for the
- 28:16Speaker 2: end of the year that could move on you.
- 28:19Speaker 1: Whether you're a little.
- 28:20Speaker 2: Bit more risky you want to look at something like
- 28:22Speaker 2: an avax, or maybe you're a little more tolerant you
- 28:24Speaker 2: want to go in the direction of Ethereum. Again, not
- 28:26Speaker 2: financial advice, but hopefully this gives you some good analysis
- 28:30Speaker 2: on what to look for in some of these tokens.
- 28:32Speaker 2: And the key here, like Paul's kind of been alluding to,
- 28:35Speaker 2: is there are some trading zones that are starting to
- 28:38Speaker 2: occur on a handful of these tokens. Now do we
- 28:41Speaker 2: get a retracement? Sure, it could be another fake pump
- 28:44Speaker 2: right now?
- 28:44Speaker 1: What are we at?
- 28:45Speaker 2: We're at We just crossed ninety k on bitcoin, so
- 28:48Speaker 2: we're on the move right now, a little bit of
- 28:50Speaker 2: a market pump. Whether or not we can hold this
- 28:52Speaker 2: through Thanksgiving will be the question. I want you guys
- 28:55Speaker 2: to do one thing. I want to jump over to
- 28:57Speaker 2: Paul's channel right there, Data Dash and make sure and subscribe,
- 29:01Speaker 2: let him know we sent you, and give him a
- 29:04Speaker 2: nice turkey, a nice turkey for Thanksgiving. And that is
- 29:10Speaker 2: moving along here. One last thing for you, Paul, when
- 29:14Speaker 2: you look at December tenth, because I don't know if
- 29:16Speaker 2: I got your prediction on this December tenth fed rate cut.
- 29:20Speaker 2: Are you in the quarter basis point camp right now?
- 29:25Speaker 3: Yeah? I think at least a quarter?
- 29:27Speaker 4: And that's is that the day that Ethereum gets the
- 29:30Speaker 4: upgrade to Just now that I'm thinking out loud to Fusaka,
- 29:33Speaker 4: is it on the tenth?
- 29:34Speaker 2: I think it Issaka next week with Ethereum, So that's
- 29:38Speaker 2: going to well, it may not be immediate if we
- 29:40Speaker 2: start to see some movement on eight, So it could
- 29:42Speaker 2: happen timing wise, could literally be in line with what
- 29:46Speaker 2: the FED rate cut is happening on the tenth. So
- 29:49Speaker 2: think about that. We are, what is that fourteen days
- 29:51Speaker 2: away right now of a FED rate cut. Potentially that
- 29:55Speaker 2: plays into January. Many people pushing for fifty even though
- 29:58Speaker 2: the quarter is kind of the the number. But the
- 30:01Speaker 2: question is could we get a surprise rate cut because
- 30:03Speaker 2: remember that was a big reversal coming off of what
- 30:06Speaker 2: we were on a no change All of a sudden,
- 30:09Speaker 2: we're now above eighty percent as of this morning overall
- 30:12Speaker 2: poly market on that quarter basis points. Anyway, you guys
- 30:15Speaker 2: know what to do, like and subscribe. Paul, thanks for
- 30:17Speaker 2: coming in on the show. We appreciate it.
- 30:20Speaker 3: Always a pleasure, Paul.
- 30:21Speaker 1: You bet are you guys?
- 30:23Speaker 2: If you are not in the baron Market Edge, that's
- 30:25Speaker 2: our free group. All you have to do is click
- 30:27Speaker 2: link down below you can join and we send out
- 30:30Speaker 2: free research. Insights is additional research that we do here
- 30:33Speaker 2: on the show, along with my own personal email that
- 30:36Speaker 2: goes out to you guys tells me where I'm going
- 30:38Speaker 2: in the markets. That's the way to get involved, of course,
- 30:41Speaker 2: follow me out there on X at Paul Baron. We'll
- 30:43Speaker 2: catch you next time, right here on The Paul Baron Show.