Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Warning: Banks Just Started to BUY BIG! + Stock Market News 25 October 2024

Transcript

Felix Prehn - Warning: Banks Just Started to BUY BIG! + Stock Market News 25 October 2024 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: Felix here and welcome to this pre-morning live stream on a day where everything is wonderful, especially for Tesla investors so far, also doing very, very nicely there yesterday.
• 0:27
  Speaker 1: So super happy to see that.
• 0:31
  Speaker 1: But the good news is only just getting started and I want you to understand all the facts, or the figures, or the data, so you can make better decisions, have more beautiful winning days like this here, and let's jump into it, shall we?
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: So here we are.
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: That's actually the wrong thing, isn't it?
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: But let me show you the pre-market here briefly.
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: It looks pretty decent after a day like yesterday.
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: Pretty green, right.
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: Tesla mild pullback here 1%, nothing really to write home about.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: But there is a lot more good news coming up and I want you to really, really, really, really, really really understand that after you've smashed the like button.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: Good morning everyone.
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: So hedge funds.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: It's a funny story about hedge funds.
• 1:18
  Speaker 1: We're going to get to that in a moment.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Trash us down, but they're buying like mad.
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: They're buying more stocks than they have for all year really, which is good, right, we want them to buy, so it'll pump the market up some more, but they're getting to a point where they are basically now fully leveraged.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: They're basically at sort of 100%, actually 200% of where they typically are with their leverage, and that means they might be done buying.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: So is that therefore a bad thing?
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Well, no, not quite, because we also have the CTAs, the algo funds, the computers, if you wish, and they have added about $300 billion of stocks since early August.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: Remember that Japan 5% down drop thing.
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: We also had corporates, companies by strong buyers up to the blackout period, says UBS.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: A lot of buying happening there.
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: But there is more.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: There is more Right.
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: Active equity managers, that's stock funds, basically Actively managed stock funds, are underweight.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: Why?
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: September is usually a bad month.
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: October, before elections, is usually very dicey and they were being cautious and they've had a pretty good year.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: They didn't want to risk it.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: So therefore they are cautious, but that means they could come back.
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: Retail that's you and me they could come back.
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: Retail that's you and me have been net sellers.
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: They've been selling stocks since July, so we have a potential to come back and do a heck of a lot more right.
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: And there's something called risk control funds.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: They're just another type of fund.
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: Essentially, they will also buy as long as volatility remains relatively low, which it is relatively low still.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: So good morning, richard.
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: A lot of reasons, a lot of people who could be buying Also call options, especially people who are really bullish on a stock.
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: They'll buy a call option On tech stocks right now.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: Where are we?
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: This is a really confusing chart, isn't it?
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, we're here.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: This is right now.
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: All the other colorful lines are all the previous months, the last 12 months.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: So very, very low levels of people buying call options too, which again means people are not expecting or people don't think we are in a rally.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: They're cautious, they're very, very cautious and there's a lot of reasons for that.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: So, yeah, retail will come back and buy the highest here, probably.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: Anyway, we'll make some money off it.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: But this is about to come back and this is a beautiful chart.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: We is here.
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: I should pick a different color, shouldn't I?
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: So you could actually see it.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: Can I?
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: Am I allowed Microsoft?
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: Microsoft says no, you've insulted the chief, the chosen one.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: Here we are, that's where we are right now, and buybacks come in swings and roundabouts.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: And why do they go high and low?
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: Because you get these blackout periods where we are in earnings seasons and they're not allowed to buy their own stocks, and at the moment, we're in the middle of that blackout season that is going to come back by early November massively.
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: Look at that Massive, massive upside in terms of buying.
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: So expect about this is about what 55 billion Just from buybacks there at the beginning of that session, and then there is plenty more where that came from.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: So expect huge buys towards the end of the year from stocks doing buybacks Now.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: Have you watched the masterclass and do you know that you can?
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: Actually, right now, today, you can learn the exact same patterns that the most successful traders in the world look at.
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: And you might be thinking I don't really believe it, but you see how stocks move in a pattern they go sideways, they break out, they go sideways, they get tired and they collapse.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: And then they go sideways and guess what?
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: They're going to break out again.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: Certainly, in the case of PayPal, they've already broken out and it's kind of what makes the difference between financial freedom and not having it.
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: I've looked at charts like this for literally thousands of hours, analyzing those breakouts, spotting those patterns, learning those patterns from investment bankers, from hedge fund managers, and it's allowed me to spot a heck of a lot of these wonderful winners, right, and the vast majority of these breakouts are predictable.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: Yeah, they are predictable and they're repeatable.
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: So I get very excited about this because I look at charts and I see massive opportunity.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: Most people don't understand it and it's a scandal.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: Should be taught in school.
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: So there is a free master class that will absolutely change the way you look at the stock market, and it's not some get rich quick scheme or something else.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: It's about actually mastering what charts tell you, understanding what that breakout pattern is, and it'll help you to generate real wealth.
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: It really will.
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: You got to practice it and you got to learn it.
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: But if you want to learn it that exact blueprint then what do you do?
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: You watch the masterclass the link is down below but most of you won't because you won't take action.
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: And even if you take action, well, the knowledge is very useful, but you actually got to implement it.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: You actually got to execute it.
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: It's the implementation that's the real power.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: So I'm going to show you how to do that, step by step, in that masterclass.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: Real stuff, no fluff, no, you know the real thing.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: So watch it, my friend, after this live stream.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: Of course, you wouldn't want to miss a minute of it, would you?
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I think it's going to really really change the way you make money and I think it's going to really really help you make a lot more money, like it has for us on PayPal.
• 7:29
  Speaker 1: Or on FOA I'm still in that trade or on Philip Morris I'm in on that trade or on rail FelixFrenzelorggetfree why do we do this?
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: To make a million people financially free right Now.
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: That is a chart I didn't want in here, so we're going to skip past it.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: But there is more good news.
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: There is more good good news, not just you being able to potentially make a heck of a lot more money.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: And I think you can and you might think, oh, I've tried everything.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: No, you haven't.
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: Yeah, no one's ever tried everything.
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Um, so, yeah, anyway, enough on that front.
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Um, the seasonal buyer.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: So we are right now here, late oct.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Typically, from there to the end of the year, we go up what another 5%, something like that.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: Right, philip, you're quite right.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: Watch the masterclass for 30 minutes for the rest of your life.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a pretty good deal, isn't it?
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: But you know, most people don't do it, most people.
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: It's weird, really, it's very, very weird.
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: You know, probably 0.1% of people who watch this video are going to actually watch the masterclass.
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: It's extraordinary how people are somehow in a frame of mind where they just don't think change is possible, and I think that's where most of us are.
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: Maybe it's fear, maybe it's just fear of actually change.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: Change is scary, I get that, but it's also freaking wonderful.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, you want to have a nice life, don't you?
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: What did I do today?
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: I got up, I went for a hike.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: I came home, I had lunch served to me, I played with my cats, I went for tennis, played tennis, I had a pizza with a friend and I came back and I thought I'd look at the market with you and then I might do a spot of trading.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: That's my day really.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: Oh, and I checked on a renovation project.
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: I've got Popped in there for a few minutes and I chat with a lovely contractor.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: That's it.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: It's been a very nice day.
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: Now I said the seasonality is coming and it's big and beautiful and bouncy.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: Now there are two types of years.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: There are presidential election years and we're in one of those.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: If you hadn't noticed, I hadn't noticed.
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: So this is where we are right now, versus the non-presidential years, which are basically they rally a little earlier, so they kind of take off from October.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: This is non-presidential, but in presidential years we take off a little later, from November onwards.
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: Why it makes sense you got the election out of the way, the uncertainty is gone, so post-election I think we're going to look pretty good.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: Scott says is that politics, once your mind and beliefs are established, it's really hard to change.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: It's true, and, hayden, it's also true.
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: People want things handed to them.
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: I hand you knowledge.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: I hand you knowledge.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I hand you skill.
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: I hand you stuff you can really implement.
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: If you do implement, it'll actually change your life, literally change your life.
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: I know what people really want is for me to say buy this, but A I wouldn't really be giving you a service because if one day I don't do this anymore, then you'd be on your own and you'd be screwed.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: If I lose my marbles tomorrow, you'd also be screwed and you wouldn't really learn anything.
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: Your children would still not know how to manage their money.
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: They wouldn't really have financial freedom.
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: If you made a lot of money, they'd lose it all because they wouldn't know what to do with it.
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: So it's really the skill, the knowledge and the practice.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: That's what makes people great and you've got to practice.
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: Right, you've got to practice.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: I read somewhere this morning Michael Jordan.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: You know how many practice shots he took during his 15-year career?
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: Four and a half million, I think.
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: He made 24,000 shots on the court as a player and he made 4 million practice shots on his own every single day.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: That's how you get great right.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: But who wants to do that?
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: That's the question, isn't it, kirill?
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: Are caps banned?
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, they are, because it reduces spam a lot.
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: That's why we do it.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: You get someone shouting something about, you know Palestine or you know that kind of thing.
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: It's usually in caps.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: So we eliminate those people with a little friendly bot that we have there.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: There is more.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: There is more good news.
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: My friends, it's like Christmas, isn't it Really?
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: Christmas is all around us, it's everywhere I go.
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: I actually saw my first Christmas tree in Manila a few days ago.
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: There will be short squeezes and they will drive the market up even more.
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: This red line is I should find a red pen this red line is the Goldman Sachs most shorted index, and well, they kind of got hit.
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Why did they get hit?
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Well, what's at the top of the most shorted list of hedge funds?
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: It might not have something to do with Tesla, would it?
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'll be crazy, because Tesla went up 22% yesterday.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: We're seeing some.
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: How much are we up on Tesla since yesterday?
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: 70% or something, something like that.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Well, let me show you something funny.
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: Guess, the most shorted stock by hedge funds Number one?
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's Tesla, isn't that lovely?
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: So I think there's a pretty good chance.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: Well, it's part of the reason, perhaps, why we blew up quite as much yesterday.
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: But yeah, there'll still be some people in that, I imagine.
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: So I think we have a little bit more to go.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: So these idiots shorted Tesla because they believe they're analysts who are even greater Muppets than the people actually managing the money.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: Right, yeah, there we are.