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Cinco de 5% bond rates and 5% brent crude surges

Weren't rates supposed to be lower by May '26? ... I digress. Tuesday’s market opens with investors digesting Monday’s oil shock and bond selloff.

Here is what actually matters:

Brent crude surged 5.8% Monday to $114.44.

U.S. crude settled at $106.42.

The Dow fell 557 points.

The S&P 500 fell 0.4%.

The 30-year Treasury yield moved above 5%.

Barclays now expects no Fed cuts in 2026.

That is not just a market headline.

That is a development finance headline.

Higher oil pressures construction costs, transportation, insurance, consumer spending, and inflation expectations. Higher Treasury yields…

The skinny

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