Latest / Political Capital with Rob Shaw / We All Won/Lost The Debate | Political Capital Daily
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- 0:58Speaker 1: and this is Political Capital Tales.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Well, good morning.
- 1:16Speaker 1: Happy Thursday to you. The day after the televised leaders
- 1:21Speaker 1: debate that can mean only one thing. We're going to
- 1:23Speaker 1: bring in the entire pod squad here. Jeff Ferrier, Jillian Oliver,
- 1:28Speaker 1: Allie Blades are all dialed in early this morning on
- 1:31Speaker 1: your pod feed to give you the breakdown of the
- 1:36Speaker 1: only televised leaders debate we get. Thank God. Or would
- 1:40Speaker 1: we like another one? I don't know. I think we'll
- 1:42Speaker 1: go with thank God there.
- 1:43Speaker 2: Okay.
- 1:44Speaker 1: I'm trying to think of the best way for us
- 1:45Speaker 1: to go through this. Um, why don't we just start
- 1:48Speaker 1: by going through the different leaders and how they did,
- 1:51Speaker 1: and maybe that's the best way to, well, you know what,
- 1:54Speaker 1: why don't we just start with overall impressions and then
- 1:56Speaker 1: we'll go through the leaders here. Um, I don't know anyone,
- 1:59Speaker 1: anyone can take this. We're free forming on the show here. Uh,
- 2:02Speaker 1: first person to jump in gets to speak first. Go ahead.
- 2:06Speaker 3: Can I just take a moment to talk about where
- 2:09Speaker 3: did Eleanor Sturkle and Dallas Brody come from? Like I was,
- 2:15Speaker 3: They both have, they have 30, about 30 candidates, respectively,
- 2:21Speaker 3: and they just get to show up with a polished
- 2:23Speaker 3: message and interject the real debate. But no one's voting
- 2:28Speaker 3: for you guys.
- 2:30Speaker 1: That was an interesting choice. I got a lot of
- 2:32Speaker 1: emails in the last little while. People seem to think
- 2:34Speaker 1: that I have some influence in the consortium. I did not,
- 2:37Speaker 1: about the Centre BC not being allowed into the debate.
- 2:40Speaker 1: And so I guess that was a move to, address
- 2:43Speaker 1: that i don't know it was a it was a
- 2:45Speaker 1: bit of a surprise but um the.
- 2:47Speaker 3: Reality i hate it when we kumbaya too much like
- 2:50Speaker 3: that's just it was unnecessary yeah yeah jeff the.
- 2:54Speaker 4: The reality is reality is oh god i i thought
- 2:58Speaker 4: that yeah go ahead well i what the okay here's
- 3:03Speaker 4: my here's my rant i just want to start off
- 3:04Speaker 4: with this.
- 3:06Speaker 1: Who told evie he didn't have to wear a tie.
- 3:09Speaker 4: I was about to say that. I was about to
- 3:11Speaker 4: jump in and say that the big loser of this
- 3:15Speaker 4: night was ties because EB didn't wear one. And you
- 3:19Speaker 4: had this odd look of his screen that it couldn't,
- 3:23Speaker 4: there was no podium at the bottom of it like
- 3:25Speaker 4: the other ones. So you could just see kind of
- 3:27Speaker 4: his tummy all the time without a tie there in
- 3:30Speaker 4: front of it. And Lauren Dirksen's tie was crooked the
- 3:33Speaker 4: whole night. That's funny.
- 3:35Speaker 1: It's what the kids call the vibes. It's just like
- 3:37Speaker 1: you get different vibes. I guess it wasn't important enough
- 3:39Speaker 1: to put a tie on the only television.
- 3:41Speaker 4: Tie fails. Tie fails all around.
- 3:43Speaker 3: That's right.
- 3:44Speaker 4: Okay.
- 3:44Speaker 1: Jillian, any initial thoughts came to your mind?
- 3:48Speaker 2: I think that for a debate that like what should
- 3:52Speaker 2: have been so consequential, I'm not.
- 3:54Speaker 5: Sure that it changed much.
- 3:56Speaker 2: Like there wasn't a clear winner, but there wasn't a
- 3:59Speaker 2: clear loser either. Like they all kind of, hit on
- 4:03Speaker 2: some things that they needed to accomplish, but I was
- 4:05Speaker 2: really expecting, I don't know, I guess this, maybe this
- 4:08Speaker 2: election has just felt so like stagnant and painful and
- 4:12Speaker 2: in that way, the debate was kind of fitting, but, um, it, uh, yeah,
- 4:16Speaker 2: I was surprised. I don't think it changed, changed too
- 4:18Speaker 2: much and there wasn't any, you know, like any really
- 4:20Speaker 2: big standout moments. Um, they all kind of just did okay,
- 4:24Speaker 2: you know?
- 4:25Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 4:26Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 4:26Speaker 1: It's kind of, I feel a little bit the same way, but, but,
- 4:29Speaker 1: Why don't we go through the leaders one by one here?
- 4:31Speaker 1: Let's start with the guy who I think had the
- 4:33Speaker 1: most to gain and the most to lose here, which
- 4:38Speaker 1: I'm going to say is Lorne Dirksen, because he had
- 4:40Speaker 1: to show up here. He had to do something to
- 4:43Speaker 1: kind of convince people that it was okay to vote
- 4:46Speaker 1: for him. He's an unknown. He's got to do this,
- 4:50Speaker 1: introduce himself, tell people he is fit to lead, and
- 4:55Speaker 1: that he doesn't command a crazy... band of yahoos that
- 4:59Speaker 1: aren't deserving to be in government and also look normal
- 5:02Speaker 1: and likable all in one. How do we think he did, Ali?
- 5:06Speaker 1: Let's start with you.
- 5:08Speaker 3: I think he did that. I think that people could
- 5:11Speaker 3: see his line where he talked about how he was
- 5:14Speaker 3: nervous as relatable. He was humble. He was gracious and
- 5:19Speaker 3: he was respectful and to the certain extent that you
- 5:22Speaker 3: can be in debates where you have to speak over
- 5:24Speaker 3: one another. But I would actually argue that David Eby
- 5:29Speaker 3: had the most to lose in this because he had
- 5:33Speaker 3: to defend the election itself. He had to defend his
- 5:37Speaker 3: NDP record, his record as the premier. And then he
- 5:42Speaker 3: came across as a defensive, cynical person. And so it
- 5:48Speaker 3: allowed this space where we could get to know leader
- 5:53Speaker 3: Lauren Dirksen, but then also see Emily Lowenstein. And I
- 5:58Speaker 3: thought that she did because she also isn't elected. So
- 6:03Speaker 3: we don't get to see her in the legislature, for example,
- 6:05Speaker 3: in this kind of sparring back and forth. So I
- 6:08Speaker 3: thought that was a pretty cool dynamic to see her
- 6:11Speaker 3: and what she would look like as an MLA.
- 6:13Speaker 1: Okay, Ali switched it up on me. The person with
- 6:15Speaker 1: the most to lose is Evie. So Jeff, Jillian. Eby,
- 6:18Speaker 1: what did you think of him?
- 6:21Speaker 4: I'll jump in and I'll say that I think he
- 6:25Speaker 4: accomplished what he wanted to accomplish, which makes it a
- 6:30Speaker 4: successful debate for him. I don't think that there are debate,
- 6:33Speaker 4: clear winners and losers. I think it's degrees of success
- 6:36Speaker 4: for each one. And I think he was successful. His
- 6:39Speaker 4: goal to my looking in at what he was thinking
- 6:43Speaker 4: was to create doubt in the minds of swing voters
- 6:50Speaker 4: who might not be that happy with the NDP, that
- 6:54Speaker 4: they need to be worried about the Conservatives. And I
- 6:58Speaker 4: think the way that he did that, and he came
- 7:00Speaker 4: back to this time and time and time and time again,
- 7:03Speaker 4: was the prospect of cuts and the Conservatives' inability and
- 7:09Speaker 4: Dirksen's ability, certainly on stage tonight, to say how they
- 7:13Speaker 4: were going to pay for $ 5 billion of uncosted election promises.
- 7:17Speaker 4: And so he had to face his record. I think
- 7:21Speaker 4: he did an okay job at that. There was a
- 7:24Speaker 4: lot of talk over between different candidates. But I think
- 7:29Speaker 4: where he succeeded best was in putting in the minds
- 7:33Speaker 4: of swing voters that maybe these guys aren't ready to govern.
- 7:40Speaker 1: I heard him say, quote, I'm not perfect. And another
- 7:44Speaker 1: time he said, I know I haven't been perfect. And
- 7:49Speaker 1: our government hasn't always been perfect. And I thought that
- 7:52Speaker 1: was interesting, because I went into it thinking, if he
- 7:54Speaker 1: really wanted to shine, he's going to need to apologize
- 7:57Speaker 1: a little bit for some of his misjudgments of public sentiment.
- 8:00Speaker 1: That's why he's the dissatisfaction rate on his government is
- 8:03Speaker 1: so high in the polls. And he did that, which
- 8:05Speaker 1: is rare. EB does not apologize for very often. I
- 8:08Speaker 1: thought that was kind of interesting. I don't know if
- 8:10Speaker 1: anyone else that jumped out for anyone else and effective
- 8:13Speaker 1: in a way too, because he is not a leader
- 8:16Speaker 1: known for humility or apology, but he did try a
- 8:21Speaker 1: couple times there to kick it into gear. I don't
- 8:24Speaker 1: know if anyone else thought that worked or not.
- 8:27Speaker 2: Yeah, I thought that was interesting. And I thought it
- 8:29Speaker 2: seemed sincere. And I think, you know, it is almost
- 8:35Speaker 2: like an effective way to position relative to Dirksen, you know,
- 8:44Speaker 2: he spent the first part of the debate really creating
- 8:46Speaker 2: those doubts, making it seem risky, and then just to
- 8:48Speaker 2: sort of end by positioning himself as sort of like
- 8:52Speaker 2: this more stable choice.
- 8:55Speaker 5: It's a really big.
- 8:56Speaker 2: Shift from the first couple weeks of the campaign where
- 8:58Speaker 2: they were talking about Trump and the chaos and stuff
- 9:02Speaker 2: like that. It's, I think it's a more fitting contrast
- 9:04Speaker 2: with Dirksen. Um, and I think, I think a little
- 9:07Speaker 2: bit more of a believable one.
- 9:09Speaker 1: Um, No Trump mentions at all, really like maybe one
- 9:12Speaker 1: or two, but not a big focus on that.
- 9:14Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 9:15Speaker 2: I think that Dirksen on the other hand, though, seemed
- 9:19Speaker 2: very kind of like mild and inoffensive and unthreatening. So
- 9:23Speaker 2: I still think like, and he probably had to do
- 9:25Speaker 2: the least in this debate, I think. Um, but didn't
- 9:28Speaker 2: have a super strong, um, message or plan or vision. Um, it's, it's,
- 9:34Speaker 2: I don't know, it's so hard to tell in, in,
- 9:36Speaker 2: in such a, like, I think such a low attention election,
- 9:39Speaker 2: like what's going to land. I think, um, EB also
- 9:43Speaker 2: was hoping to just get clips of him going after
- 9:46Speaker 2: the sort of like the, the, the more objectionable candidates.
- 9:50Speaker 2: And I don't think Dirksen did a great job defending
- 9:52Speaker 2: that or, or saying that, you know, give, put, saying,
- 9:55Speaker 2: making any arguments or proof points for, for why or
- 9:59Speaker 2: how the Conservatives are going to stay unified. He just
- 10:01Speaker 2: kept saying we're unified, we're unified, we're unified without, you know,
- 10:04Speaker 2: offering any other details. So yeah, I mean.
- 10:08Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 10:09Speaker 1: EB gave me the vibes a few times of kind
- 10:11Speaker 1: of like a frustrated dad, you know, he's sitting in
- 10:13Speaker 1: the middle and two sides are yelling at him, uh,
- 10:16Speaker 1: in this thing. And he just kind of like, he
- 10:18Speaker 1: seemed exasperated a few times. shook his head. He was
- 10:21Speaker 1: just like, uh, like, you know, shrug things off. He,
- 10:25Speaker 1: there was an element of frustration to it. And I,
- 10:27Speaker 1: he seemed to do okay in walking that line from
- 10:30Speaker 1: looking too arrogant and too sort of like embattled. And,
- 10:33Speaker 1: and he stared right at the camera. I noticed Dirksen
- 10:35Speaker 1: kept turning to talk to Eby instead of British Columbians,
- 10:38Speaker 1: which I thought was a bit of a mistake because
- 10:40Speaker 1: it looks like he's talking to, like he's trying to
- 10:42Speaker 1: convince Eby of something instead of telling people what he's
- 10:45Speaker 1: going to do. Uh, but those are just the little
- 10:47Speaker 1: weird formats of It sounded like Dirksen had a cold too, Allie.
- 10:52Speaker 1: I don't know if he does or not, but nervous,
- 10:55Speaker 1: a little bit of a cold, a little bit stiff.
- 10:58Speaker 1: It took him a while to warm up.
- 11:02Speaker 3: You know, I think that is who the leader is,
- 11:05Speaker 3: is just that he wants to be able to look
- 11:07Speaker 3: at people in their eyes as he's talking to them.
- 11:09Speaker 3: I've said this before on the podcast where this is, election,
- 11:14Speaker 3: I think, is an opportunity for us to move away
- 11:17Speaker 3: from these big, big events where you're talking over a
- 11:21Speaker 3: ton of people and really start looking at people. But,
- 11:25Speaker 3: you know, to your point, Rob, David Eby was looking
- 11:29Speaker 3: into the camera and was able to accomplish that eye
- 11:34Speaker 3: contact that looks at British Columbians and then But on
- 11:38Speaker 3: the other side, I think the Conservative leader was trying
- 11:40Speaker 3: to talk to David Eby and say, this is what
- 11:44Speaker 3: you've done to this province.
- 11:45Speaker 1: Jeff, do you think he did the thing that, you know,
- 11:50Speaker 1: the bottom line for Dirksen is he needed to give
- 11:52Speaker 1: voters permission to vote for him without being scared that
- 11:55Speaker 1: was a massive risk? How far do you think he
- 11:58Speaker 1: got in pulling that off?
- 12:00Speaker 4: I think in this campaign, he's gotten part of the
- 12:03Speaker 4: way there. I think... One thing that struck me in
- 12:07Speaker 4: tonight's debate that I was surprised about was just how
- 12:12Speaker 4: much Dirksen was engaging Eby on his record. And I
- 12:16Speaker 4: understand why you do that. You want to poke holes
- 12:19Speaker 4: in your opponent and drive votes away from him. But
- 12:22Speaker 4: I think the real imperative for him that was a
- 12:25Speaker 4: bit of a missed opportunity was looking away from Eby
- 12:29Speaker 4: and instead of acting like someone who's running for opposition leader,
- 12:34Speaker 4: act like someone who's running to be premier. And I
- 12:37Speaker 4: would have, if I were advising him, which I would
- 12:39Speaker 4: never be asked to do in a million years, but
- 12:43Speaker 4: I would have said, you know, look at the camera,
- 12:47Speaker 4: ignore the barbs and the talking over, and just talk
- 12:53Speaker 4: to voters about what exactly your plan is, your hopeful,
- 12:57Speaker 4: optimistic plan is in your mind. And give them some
- 13:01Speaker 4: assurance that you're ready to do the job. And I
- 13:03Speaker 4: just think he spent too much time going IDB on
- 13:06Speaker 4: his record to have accomplished that. So part of the
- 13:09Speaker 4: way there, you know, who did well, I think who
- 13:12Speaker 4: did well was Emily Lowen and maybe you'll jump into
- 13:15Speaker 4: her performance as well. But I thought she, she, she
- 13:20Speaker 4: succeeded very well in her debate performance tonight. I thought
- 13:26Speaker 4: just being on the stage with the other two leaders and,
- 13:29Speaker 4: getting attention paid to you is a win in and
- 13:31Speaker 4: of itself, but she sounded good in debates. It's important
- 13:37Speaker 4: to know your body language. And I think she, she
- 13:41Speaker 4: looked confident. She articulated a different vision than the other two.
- 13:48Speaker 4: I'm not sure, you know, in first past the post,
- 13:51Speaker 4: whether that will do anything for her at the ballot box,
- 13:54Speaker 4: but I think she acquitted herself well and set herself
- 13:57Speaker 4: up for a potential that I think she'll win her seat,
- 14:01Speaker 4: and tonight portends well for her prospects in politics in BC,
- 14:09Speaker 4: I think.
- 14:10Speaker 1: She had two of the best lines in the debate,
- 14:12Speaker 1: I thought. This year's election bribes are next year's broken promises,
- 14:17Speaker 1: which was a good one. And British Columbians are tired
- 14:21Speaker 1: of being stuck on the merry-go-round. of cuts and broken services.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Damn that merry-go-round keeps going and going. Uh, so she, she.
- 14:29Speaker 4: Had some great lines. I thought, I thought her best
- 14:32Speaker 4: line was right at the end, which is like, I'm exhausted.
- 14:35Speaker 4: That's right. Yeah. Exhausted by all of this.
- 14:38Speaker 1: Speaking to all of the, she could have got away
- 14:40Speaker 1: using that at any point in the debate. Uh, Jillian,
- 14:42Speaker 1: what did you think?
- 14:43Speaker 5: Yeah, I agree.
- 14:44Speaker 2: I think she seemed substantial. I liked, I really liked
- 14:47Speaker 2: her opening. Like, I think she did a really good
- 14:51Speaker 2: job speaking directly to, to voters and sort of um
- 14:56Speaker 2: making a convincing case that she's the one that's on
- 14:58Speaker 2: their side um i think you know she missed there
- 15:02Speaker 2: was like such a good opportunity at the beginning when
- 15:04Speaker 2: the other two were going after each other for sort
- 15:07Speaker 2: of like who has the most caucus problems and trying
- 15:10Speaker 2: to land those blows and just getting so negative where
- 15:14Speaker 2: she could have interjected um and it could have been
- 15:17Speaker 2: a really strong moment, but she had, she had lots
- 15:19Speaker 2: of good ones. And I think Jeff's right. Like in
- 15:22Speaker 2: the past elections, I think, um, the leaders debate has
- 15:27Speaker 2: really helped, really helped.
- 15:28Speaker 5: Sonia for snow secure her seat.
- 15:30Speaker 2: And I think that, um, voters in Sandwich North in
- 15:32Speaker 2: the islands will feel, um, more confident and proud to
- 15:36Speaker 2: vote for her, um, based on that performance.
- 15:39Speaker 5: Um, I don't know. I mean, also, I think, you know,
- 15:42Speaker 5: she's probably the least known.
- 15:44Speaker 2: And this was a good introduction for people.
- 15:47Speaker 5: I think disaffected NDP.
- 15:49Speaker 2: Voters will feel that there's good value in voting green if,
- 15:54Speaker 2: you know, if they've got a good candidate in their riding.
- 15:56Speaker 2: But again, it's such a low attention and low information election.
- 15:59Speaker 2: I was shocked by the number of people who I
- 16:02Speaker 2: know from working in politics that didn't even watch the debate.
- 16:04Speaker 5: And if like the nerds aren't watching, I'm.
- 16:06Speaker 4: Like, man.
- 16:08Speaker 5: But the nerds are listening to us. Yeah, good morning, nerds.
- 16:13Speaker 2: But yeah, I think it's hard to, there's just so
- 16:16Speaker 2: little time to break through, but I think that she's
- 16:19Speaker 2: got a good job at having secured her seat from
- 16:21Speaker 2: that performance.
- 16:22Speaker 1: Allie, what did you think of Loewen? And then after,
- 16:24Speaker 1: I want to talk about Loewen on proportional representation, because
- 16:27Speaker 1: that kind of blew my mind a little bit. But
- 16:29Speaker 1: what did you think, Allie, of Loewen's performance in general?
- 16:32Speaker 3: Well, talking about her zingers, the other one that I
- 16:35Speaker 3: really liked was Taxing Work. And it really spoke to
- 16:38Speaker 3: the fact that I think she was also finding what
- 16:42Speaker 3: voters are worried about, which is government finance, the accountability
- 16:46Speaker 3: of how do we get out of this deficit? You know,
- 16:49Speaker 3: she attacked. the Conservatives for, you know, how are you
- 16:53Speaker 3: going to pay for all of this? And everything seemed
- 16:56Speaker 3: to be about that financial responsibility. Taxing work, I thought,
- 17:01Speaker 3: just was brilliant because ultimately, what do we want to
- 17:03Speaker 3: do except for really just get a good paying job
- 17:07Speaker 3: and work and afford things and be able to live
- 17:10Speaker 3: life in BC? But yeah, no, I thought she did
- 17:13Speaker 3: a great job. I said this, that she's going to
- 17:15Speaker 3: make a great member of the Legislative Assembly. And she
- 17:20Speaker 3: proved that tonight.
- 17:21Speaker 1: The latest Ipsos, I think it was, no, the latest
- 17:25Speaker 1: Leger poll is pretty tight that came out yesterday. And
- 17:29Speaker 1: it indicates we may be headed to some kind of
- 17:31Speaker 1: maybe another minority government situation, maybe. And that was a
- 17:34Speaker 1: question that Lohan got during the debate and after the
- 17:36Speaker 1: debate in the media scrum. What are your conditions for
- 17:39Speaker 1: supporting whichever party might win a minority government and need
- 17:43Speaker 1: to come back to you? And the thing that she said,
- 17:45Speaker 1: and after the debate, she told reporters, the hill that
- 17:48Speaker 1: she intends to die on, is proportional representation. And implementing that,
- 17:54Speaker 1: presumably without another referendum, we've had three of them now,
- 18:00Speaker 1: does that complicate the discussion of the Greens? Anyone can
- 18:04Speaker 1: jump in on this. But if we now start talking about,
- 18:06Speaker 1: if you support the Greens, and they're holding the balance
- 18:09Speaker 1: of power, they're on the record saying the thing they
- 18:13Speaker 1: want is to overhaul our electoral system that people have rejected.
- 18:17Speaker 1: Does that change... people's ability to kind of like vote
- 18:21Speaker 1: for them? What thinking about that in any way, anyone?
- 18:26Speaker 5: I think it would have.
- 18:27Speaker 2: Been smarter to like stay focused like she did in
- 18:30Speaker 2: her opening on like things that are top of mind
- 18:33Speaker 2: for people.
- 18:33Speaker 5: Cause I don't think that that's one of them.
- 18:36Speaker 2: I do think that cynics, like because of the cynicism
- 18:39Speaker 2: around the snap election, there might be more appetite for like,
- 18:43Speaker 2: you know, trying to find ways that we could get
- 18:45Speaker 2: like avoid this situation again. And I think, you know,
- 18:49Speaker 2: it's an election where people don't really love the choices
- 18:53Speaker 2: in the two big parties, but I think it would
- 18:55Speaker 2: have been stronger to maybe save that for after the
- 18:59Speaker 2: election and focus more on something that's top of mind
- 19:02Speaker 2: for people like affordability and rent and something like that.
- 19:05Speaker 1: I just wonder if she's thinking through that, like, if
- 19:07Speaker 1: you move to PR, it's quite possible you'd have two
- 19:10Speaker 1: to three 1BC MLAs in the legislature, which I can't
- 19:13Speaker 1: imagine Lowen is a proponent of. Like, it seemed like
- 19:16Speaker 1: a short-sighted, Greens could get more under PR, so let's
- 19:20Speaker 1: do PR, not like it's great for democracy in general.
- 19:23Speaker 4: I don't know.
- 19:25Speaker 1: Maybe I'm overreading it. Jeff Alley, does it change anything?
- 19:28Speaker 1: Will the NDP jump on that at a certain point
- 19:30Speaker 1: and say, look, if you're going to vote for the
- 19:31Speaker 1: Greens and they hold the balance of power, you're going
- 19:33Speaker 1: to get stuck with this new crazy voting system. Don't
- 19:36Speaker 1: do it.
- 19:37Speaker 4: You know what you would get? Oh, so go ahead, Alley.
- 19:41Speaker 3: Well, I was just going to interject to say that
- 19:43Speaker 3: this is just the funniest thing about all of this
- 19:46Speaker 3: is because David Eby continues to say that he called
- 19:49Speaker 3: this the election because he needs a strong mandate. And
- 19:53Speaker 3: everything was about making sure that the NDP government had
- 19:57Speaker 3: more people in the seats to make these big decisions
- 20:00Speaker 3: against big bad Trump. And now here we're talking about
- 20:04Speaker 3: a minority government situation. I think the political calculus for
- 20:07Speaker 3: this election from his desk was completely wrong and not
- 20:11Speaker 3: at all the conversation that he thought we would be
- 20:13Speaker 3: having at this point.
- 20:14Speaker 5: Of the campaign.
- 20:15Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't think EB would survive a minority government
- 20:17Speaker 1: situation if he won one. I think he'd be out
- 20:21Speaker 1: his leader pretty quick in that scenario. But anyways, Jeff,
- 20:26Speaker 1: proportional representation?
- 20:28Speaker 4: If that's the hill the Greens want to die on,
- 20:32Speaker 4: and if there's a minority situation, then the Greens are
- 20:35Speaker 4: going to precipitate another election. That's because neither the Conservatives
- 20:40Speaker 4: nor the NDP will agree to proportional reprisation at a
- 20:44Speaker 4: time when the challenges facing British Columbians are so much
- 20:48Speaker 4: not that. Affordability, housing, healthcare, and we're talking about electoral reform.
- 20:52Speaker 4: We'll just be back to the polls. Okay.
- 20:57Speaker 2: All right.
- 20:57Speaker 1: Closing thoughts from anybody on this. I'll throw some other
- 21:01Speaker 1: things out there and maybe they come into the discussion
- 21:04Speaker 1: as we're closing up, but The NDP did release their
- 21:07Speaker 1: fully costed platform four hours before the debate started. And
- 21:11Speaker 1: I noticed that David Eby multiple times kind of said,
- 21:14Speaker 1: how can you trust anyone who doesn't come up here
- 21:15Speaker 1: with a fully costed platform? This is my job and
- 21:19Speaker 1: I had barely time to read it before the debate.
- 21:21Speaker 1: So I can't imagine anyone in their right mind read it,
- 21:24Speaker 1: but it is out there now. It forecasts a deficit
- 21:27Speaker 1: of $ 13 billion and kind of hinges around the idea
- 21:32Speaker 1: of of economic growth of $ 600 million in the first
- 21:36Speaker 1: year is kind of a buffer zone with taxes and
- 21:38Speaker 1: different things. Um, no, no major surprises in it other
- 21:41Speaker 1: than there's like a $ 200 million promises yet to be
- 21:44Speaker 1: unveiled section. Uh, so there's clearly some more stuff coming
- 21:47Speaker 1: from the, um, campaign that's not in their fully cost
- 21:51Speaker 1: of platform that'll show up later. Uh, but there was that. And, uh,
- 21:56Speaker 1: you know, none of the issues seem to move the needle.
- 21:58Speaker 1: I didn't think we didn't hear anything new from anyone, uh,
- 22:01Speaker 1: on anything. Uh, and I don't know where we, I
- 22:04Speaker 1: don't know, I guess to close it out. Um, how
- 22:08Speaker 1: do the parties capitalize on whatever they accomplished out of
- 22:12Speaker 1: this in the next few days as we head into
- 22:15Speaker 1: advanced voting, which opens tomorrow on Friday? Um, anyone, anyone
- 22:19Speaker 1: can take all of that jumbled mess of my 5am
- 22:22Speaker 1: brain and, and, uh, do something with it.
- 22:27Speaker 2: I think for the NDP, it's to really make the
- 22:30Speaker 2: case for the risk and really crystallize that the risk
- 22:35Speaker 2: of a conservative government is greater than the status quo.
- 22:39Speaker 2: I think for the conservatives, it's to basically not fumble
- 22:46Speaker 2: and maybe try and make more of a convincing case
- 22:49Speaker 2: for Dirksen as more of a stronger leader.
- 22:54Speaker 5: I think if anything.
- 22:55Speaker 2: he came off as a little bit too mild and
- 22:58Speaker 2: to convince voters that he's going to be a, not
- 23:00Speaker 2: a risky choice. He maybe needs to show, demonstrate a
- 23:04Speaker 2: little bit of stronger leadership, um, and continue to make
- 23:08Speaker 2: the case against the NDP. And I think for the greens,
- 23:11Speaker 2: it's to continue to build on the momentum and make
- 23:15Speaker 2: the case that they're an essential voice in the legislature.
- 23:18Speaker 2: And that like breath of fresh air and like a, uh,
- 23:22Speaker 2: an alternative that's very distinct from the other parties and
- 23:25Speaker 2: necessary to.
- 23:26Speaker 5: Have in there.
- 23:28Speaker 3: Jeff, Ali.
- 23:29Speaker 4: Yeah, I think we've got another couple of days of
- 23:32Speaker 4: voter persuasion. So you'll see the campaigns putting out clips
- 23:36Speaker 4: of what they see as the highlights of the debate
- 23:40Speaker 4: from their perspective and try and get that in front
- 23:43Speaker 4: to swing voters and as many voters as they can
- 23:45Speaker 4: and hope that that moves the dial, but that'll last
- 23:49Speaker 4: a couple of days and then it will move to, um,
- 23:53Speaker 4: getting out your vote. So the campaigns will have spent
- 23:56Speaker 4: this whole campaign creating lists of people who they believe
- 24:00Speaker 4: are going to vote for them. And campaigns are going
- 24:03Speaker 4: to push messages and advance field work that's aimed at
- 24:09Speaker 4: getting out the vote that's identified for them. So that's
- 24:16Speaker 4: what I expect to see in the days ahead. And
- 24:18Speaker 4: if you have volunteers... And it's going to be hard
- 24:21Speaker 4: for the campaigns, especially with these local government elections where
- 24:24Speaker 4: the volunteers are pulled in so many different directions. It's
- 24:27Speaker 4: going to be hard for each of the campaigns to
- 24:30Speaker 4: pull volunteers. And in close races, that might make all
- 24:33Speaker 4: the difference, how many volunteers you have. Allie?
- 24:38Speaker 3: Well, I can talk way more about that municipal-provincial election
- 24:42Speaker 3: overlap maybe on the Friday show because it'll be the
- 24:46Speaker 3: day before the municipal election.
- 24:49Speaker 5: But I think.
- 24:50Speaker 3: that the momentum is actually on the conservative leader's side.
- 24:55Speaker 3: I truly believe this because when I looked at that debate,
- 24:58Speaker 3: what I actually saw was David Eby not running against
- 25:03Speaker 3: either one on the green or the conservative side, but
- 25:06Speaker 3: rather running against the failures of himself. What I mean
- 25:11Speaker 3: by that was that because this was his desperate attempt
- 25:13Speaker 3: to cling on to power, this was him trying trying
- 25:17Speaker 3: to convey to his members that he still deserves to
- 25:21Speaker 3: be the NDP leader. Because if this was two months ago,
- 25:25Speaker 3: we maybe could have not seen David Eby as the
- 25:28Speaker 3: leader and someone else. You have to take into consideration
- 25:31Speaker 3: the fact that top cabinet ministers from the previous government
- 25:35Speaker 3: decided to jump ship before this election. I just don't
- 25:39Speaker 3: think that he's getting the enforcement from within the House
- 25:42Speaker 3: that he thinks that he does. And so for those reasons,
- 25:45Speaker 3: he's going to spend the next nine ten days of
- 25:49Speaker 3: the campaign trying to convince the members that he had
- 25:53Speaker 3: the support that he had from 2024 to still hold
- 25:56Speaker 3: on to him.
- 25:58Speaker 1: Yeah it's going to be i think a very raucous
- 26:02Speaker 1: uh harsh uh end to this campaign i think we're
- 26:05Speaker 1: gonna see it's gonna be a pretty gonna be a
- 26:07Speaker 1: really wild uh end to it you know what i
- 26:09Speaker 1: forgot to do during the show I forgot to do
- 26:12Speaker 1: a break to thank our sponsor, Airbnb. So now we're
- 26:14Speaker 1: going to do it right now. And all of us
- 26:16Speaker 1: together are going to thank the good folks at Airbnb
- 26:19Speaker 1: for not doing it in the middle of the show.
- 26:20Speaker 1: Because I tell you what, each and every morning, the
- 26:24Speaker 1: show is brought to you by our premier sponsor this season, Airbnb.
- 26:27Speaker 1: Travel on Airbnb supported 20,000 local jobs last year across
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- 26:42Speaker 1: and small, which supports jobs and small businesses. Thank you
- 26:45Speaker 1: to Airbnb for its support. I know all of us
- 26:49Speaker 1: thank them for this unique sponsorship at the end of
- 26:52Speaker 1: the show. Sorry about that. The shows, they're organic. They're
- 26:56Speaker 1: living things. They happen.
- 26:57Speaker 5: We had a good discussion going.
- 26:59Speaker 1: And I appreciate all three of you for coming on
- 27:01Speaker 1: so early in the morning and helping break this down.
- 27:04Speaker 1: I found it. always so fascinating you know to do
- 27:08Speaker 1: these uh election debates and kind of hear how other
- 27:13Speaker 1: people viewed it afterwards because it's in an era where
- 27:17Speaker 1: we're all getting shouted at on social media exactly what
- 27:19Speaker 1: to think it's still important to kind of listen to
- 27:21Speaker 1: your own gut feelings on what you hear and see
- 27:24Speaker 1: and uh and how you feel about it afterwards so
- 27:26Speaker 1: if you felt something about the debate and it's not
- 27:29Speaker 1: what the parties are screaming at you you could still
- 27:31Speaker 1: be right trust your heart Trust your soul. How about
- 27:34Speaker 1: that uplifting message early in this morning? You guys always
- 27:37Speaker 1: say that I'm so down, but I'm telling people to
- 27:38Speaker 1: trust their heart. Search within them. Find their soul.
- 27:42Speaker 3: It's beautiful, Rob.
- 27:43Speaker 4: It is beautiful. It is beautiful. Oh, my God.
- 27:46Speaker 1: I'm so tired.
- 27:48Speaker 4: That helps with my debate hangover, Rob.
- 27:50Speaker 5: Thank you for it.
- 27:50Speaker 1: There you go.
- 27:51Speaker 2: Help me out.
- 27:52Speaker 1: All righty then.
- 27:53Speaker 5: Well, excellent.
- 27:54Speaker 1: Thank you to the panel for being here. Thank you
- 27:57Speaker 1: for listening. Make sure you subscribe. We'll be back tomorrow
- 28:00Speaker 1: with all the latest BC Politics here at Political Capital.