Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Christopher R Hill: Former US Ambassador on the meeting between Donald Trump and Xi Jinping
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The American diplomat who famously called New Zealand's anti-nuclear stance
- 0:03Speaker 1: a relic says it wouldn't rank in the top 10
- 0:06Speaker 1: problems for the U.S. in the Pacific today. Former U.S.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Ambassador Christopher R. Hill, who served as East Asia Pacific
- 0:13Speaker 1: Assistant Secretary, is speaking to me as Trump is welcoming
- 0:16Speaker 1: Xi to the White House in D.C.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Mr.
- 0:19Speaker 1: Ambassador, good morning. Great to have you on the show.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Great to talk to you.
- 0:22Speaker 1: Quite the show that the White House is putting on
- 0:25Speaker 1: for President Xi right now. I can see uniformed soldiers
- 0:28Speaker 1: at attention over the Oval Office.
- 0:31Speaker 2: Yes, well, it's rather extraordinary because, as you know, the
- 0:34Speaker 2: major networks in the U.S. are not covering it. So
- 0:37Speaker 2: people are looking at some still photos of it. But
- 0:40Speaker 2: it is an extraordinary show. But usually you like an
- 0:43Speaker 2: extraordinary show to be accompanied by extraordinary substance. And so
- 0:47Speaker 2: far we haven't seen much of that.
- 0:49Speaker 1: Although I did note that they've extended the truce on
- 0:51Speaker 1: the trade war by a couple of months. That's something,
- 0:54Speaker 1: I suppose.
- 0:56Speaker 2: I think so. But I think it was pretty clear
- 0:58Speaker 2: that China had said we're not going to be bullied
- 1:01Speaker 2: on that. And they were prepared to fight back hard.
- 1:05Speaker 2: And I don't think the president needs that right now.
- 1:08Speaker 1: How funny that the U.S. networks aren't showing this when
- 1:11Speaker 1: all this presumably all the state run networks in China
- 1:14Speaker 1: will be.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Yes, that is how to put it, a certain amount
- 1:19Speaker 2: of irony. But I think the U.S. networks are hanging
- 1:22Speaker 2: together here because they understand that tomorrow each of them
- 1:26Speaker 2: could be affected by being banned from the White House.
- 1:29Speaker 2: So as you know, there's a court case going on
- 1:32Speaker 2: right now, and the judge has been rather clear about
- 1:37Speaker 2: what the White House has to do. So we'll have
- 1:39Speaker 2: to stay stay tuned. So that's quite a drama going on.
- 1:42Speaker 1: What's your, speaking of drama, midterms coming around the corner,
- 1:45Speaker 1: what's your pick for whether the Republicans can hold on
- 1:48Speaker 1: to the House and the Senate?
- 1:50Speaker 2: I think the Republicans, I think most people believe the
- 1:54Speaker 2: Republicans are going to have some trouble. The president's polling
- 1:59Speaker 2: numbers have dropped considerably, yet he wants to be front
- 2:03Speaker 2: and center in the efforts in the midterms. So I
- 2:07Speaker 2: think it's kind of looking good for the Democrats, but,
- 2:11Speaker 2: you know, it's always hard to say. But certainly it's
- 2:15Speaker 2: I think the Republicans are going to have to are
- 2:17Speaker 2: going to have trouble getting their people out to vote.
- 2:19Speaker 2: And the Democrats are more than more than incentivized on this.
- 2:22Speaker 1: You have an extensive background in the Asia Pacific region, Taiwan.
- 2:27Speaker 1: Are you worried that the Chinese might make a move
- 2:31Speaker 1: on Taiwan in the near future?
- 2:33Speaker 2: No, I think the real issue right now is that
- 2:36Speaker 2: arms package. The Chinese have many times told the U.S., hey,
- 2:41Speaker 2: this is a really core issue for us. And I
- 2:44Speaker 2: think Trump has kind of held off on that arms package.
- 2:48Speaker 2: I suspect he'll continue to do so. And So I
- 2:53Speaker 2: don't see any real moves, and I don't think China
- 2:56Speaker 2: really wants to take that move. You know, China has
- 2:59Speaker 2: its own problems, and it wouldn't be helped by a
- 3:02Speaker 2: cross-straits crisis.
- 3:04Speaker 1: This is the package for the Taiwanese.
- 3:06Speaker 2: Correct. The U.S. has a military package. It would take
- 3:10Speaker 2: some time to get to them anyway. But I rather
- 3:13Speaker 2: suspect Trump will not try to go ahead with that
- 3:17Speaker 2: right now. I think he'll continue to hold it in abeyance.
- 3:20Speaker 1: Christopher, you famously described New Zealand's anti-nuclear stance, anti-nuclear laws
- 3:26Speaker 1: in 2006 as a relic. However, do you still feel
- 3:30Speaker 1: that way?
- 3:30Speaker 2: Well, you know, what's a relic? I feel like a
- 3:34Speaker 2: relic sometimes. But I feel, you know, that the U.S.-New
- 3:40Speaker 2: Zealand relationship moved ahead then. I was very proud to
- 3:44Speaker 2: play a small part of that.
- 3:46Speaker 1: And part of that moving forward is basically just saying,
- 3:48Speaker 1: you do you, we'll do us, and we can still
- 3:51Speaker 1: get along.
- 3:53Speaker 2: There's a lot to be said for that in foreign policy.
- 3:56Speaker 2: You know, it's hard to get the other guy to
- 3:57Speaker 2: change their mind. It's better to kind of understand where
- 4:00Speaker 2: the other guy is coming from. And then you figure
- 4:02Speaker 2: out how you can maneuver around that. And I think
- 4:07Speaker 2: we all did a good job on that.
- 4:10Speaker 1: North Korea and Kim Jong-un, just a guy who occasionally
- 4:14Speaker 1: fires his mad rockets into the sea or something we
- 4:16Speaker 1: really need to worry about?
- 4:18Speaker 2: I think it's something we need to worry about a
- 4:21Speaker 2: lot more. I used to joke that when I was
- 4:23Speaker 2: assistant secretary back in that period, I had two nuclear problems,
- 4:27Speaker 2: one of them New Zealand, the other North Korea. I
- 4:33Speaker 2: really feel the North Korean issue is very serious, and
- 4:36Speaker 2: I don't see any effort on anyone's part to deal
- 4:40Speaker 2: with it. I'm sure the Chinese are worried about it
- 4:42Speaker 2: because they're seeing a North Korea that's kind of drifting
- 4:45Speaker 2: toward the Russians. I'm sure they don't like it. like that.
- 4:48Speaker 2: But I'm not sure our president is really engaged on
- 4:51Speaker 2: it in a way that could slow down their program,
- 4:53Speaker 2: which I think is rather dangerous. And it's dangerous not
- 4:56Speaker 2: from the point of view of, you know, annihilating the
- 4:59Speaker 2: United States with nuclear weapons. It's dangerous from the point
- 5:04Speaker 2: of view that the U.S. could somehow not consider South
- 5:09Speaker 2: Korea under its own nuclear umbrella And I think it
- 5:13Speaker 2: could be destabilizing on the Korean Peninsula. So I wish
- 5:17Speaker 2: there were more effort to deal with this.
- 5:19Speaker 1: I know you were joking, but when you described the
- 5:22Speaker 1: New Zealand nuclear problem alongside the North Korean nuclear problem,
- 5:26Speaker 1: do you think the current administration would be paying attention
- 5:29Speaker 1: as alive to our policy on even nuclear powered ships
- 5:33Speaker 1: in New Zealand waters? Would they see that as a
- 5:36Speaker 1: problem still and perhaps as more of a problem given
- 5:39Speaker 1: the contested Pacific Islands?
- 5:44Speaker 2: You know, if I were to rank order our problems
- 5:47Speaker 2: in the Pacific, our top 10 problems, I don't think
- 5:50Speaker 2: the New Zealand ban on nuclear navy is high up there.
- 5:55Speaker 2: I mean, we have an excellent relationship with New Zealand.
- 5:59Speaker 2: We do a lot of things together. And I think
- 6:02Speaker 2: there's a lot of goodwill to make sure we continue
- 6:04Speaker 2: that excellent relationship. And that's a change for the 1950s.
- 6:08Speaker 2: where there was a concern that the New Zealand nuclear
- 6:12Speaker 2: positions could infect other allies. And before you know it,
- 6:16Speaker 2: we'd have problems with European allies not wanting nuclear navy
- 6:20Speaker 2: in their ports. You know, I think we're beyond that.
- 6:23Speaker 2: And I think the U.S. and New Zealand have done
- 6:25Speaker 2: well together.
- 6:26Speaker 1: I think you're probably right, Mr. Ambassador. Great to have
- 6:28Speaker 1: you on the program this morning. Christopher R. Hill, former U.S. Ambassador,
- 6:31Speaker 1: East Asia Pacific Assistant Secretary. For more from Early Edition
- 6:35Speaker 1: with Ryan Bridge, listen live to News Talk ZB from
- 6:38Speaker 1: 5 a.m. weekdays or follow the podcast on iHeartRadio.