Latest / Toadstool Sports / NBA + NHL + MLB World Series + NCAAF Best Bets Friday 10/24/25

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NBA + NHL + MLB World Series + NCAAF Best Bets Friday 10/24/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you about that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this, Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all all in four I
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: have not had a good season. Man with Wickens, the
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins.
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Arch hate? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I can possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years. Doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump, Yes, the slump discontinuous. The slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, it's towed back with you better off dead. Friday,
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: October twenty fourth. We're on a hot streak right now. Man.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: The streak continues. Three to oh one. Last night, Uh yeah,
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: I mean it was. It was a pretty good night.
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: Indiana Pacers could have had an outright win in that game,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: and they took the game to overtime. They had the
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: lead late in the game, wound up going double overtime,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: and then all of a sudden, they're down six, and
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: I'm like, oh fuck, Like they might not even cover,
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: even though at the plus seven and a half. As
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: I point out, seven is the key number in the NBA,
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: so that's the point where a team's gonna stop intentionally fouling.
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: But if they're down six, they might intentionally foul one
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: more time. We got it, though, We got it, man.
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: They alternated being behind six and four a couple of times.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I think that was it Oklahoma City finally just yeah,
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: I mean well, Indiana decided to not foul anymore. Oklahoma
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: City finished it off cover for Indiana. But noah, outright
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: win there. They could have they could have had the
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: win outright, man. Yeah, but that was that was the
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: right call in Indiana. Anaheim Ducks beat my atrocious Boston Bruins,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: so we got that win as well. It was back
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: and forth. Anaheim did push out to a five to
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: three lead late in the game. I'm like, all right,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be it. It's over, and the Bruins were like, nah,
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: let's just tie it, Let's score two goals. I'm like,
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: this is it's so insane, dude, Bruins with their propensity
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: to score two goals to tie the game in the
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: third period and then lose anyway. And that is what
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: happened as Anaheim scored twice. I didn't even see what
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: happened at the very end. Maybe there was an empty net,
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but they wound up winning seven to five.
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: Both teams wound up with their second string goalie playing
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: in that game, by the way, so maybe an over
• 3:27
  Speaker 1: probably made sense in that game too. I mean, that
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: was just that was atrocious defense. It was not very
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: good goaltending on either side. Two backup goalies, ridiculous. We
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: had a push on the Philadelphia Flyers because I gave
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: it out as a basically make your own plus one
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: puck line on it, with part of the bet on
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: the plus one and a half part of the bet
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: on the money line. They only they lost by one.
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: They lost two to one, So that was a push
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: on the Flyers. It was a tied game. I mean,
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: they had chances where they potentially could have won the game.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: So I think it was probably the correct handicap as well.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: And so was the LA Chargers with a ridiculously easy
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: win against the Vikings last night. Basically never in doubt.
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: They were out to a fourteen to nothing lead, never
• 4:13
  Speaker 1: looked back. I don't even the closest that it got
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: after that, I think was what fourteen to three maybe,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: I think that was the closest it was at any
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: point besides that, Yeah, that was it pretty easy win
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: for the Chargers. I'm a little bit pissed because, well,
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: the way that fantasy worked out was I put in
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: a waiver wire claim on Gadsden their tight end. The
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: Chargers tight end. Somebody overpaid for him, so I didn't
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: wind up getting him, which I just I wanted to
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: buy fill in tight end because I have Laporta, so
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: I didn't get him. I could have had him. This week.
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I did play the Chargers defense in fantasy, which worked
• 4:53
  Speaker 1: out pretty well. So they only allowed ten points and
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: they had one takeaway I think, so they got me
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: a good amount of points. But my opponent has Dicker
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: the kicker, and he was looking like he was probably
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: gonna get about seven points in the game, and then
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: it was just like, now, let's just keep kicking late
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: field goals, including a completely unnecessary one at the end
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: for the Chargers, Like you gotta be kidding me, man,
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: So my opponent's kicker winds up with like fourteen points,
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: like give me a break, man, But yeah, the Chargers
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: they got the win. There. I'm six and one in
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: my main fans the league, so I mean, I guess
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: I shouldn't complain too much if I lose a week,
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: but still I don't want to lose. Ever, I'm too
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: competitive about it and I'm still winning right now. But
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: I'm just I might not win. I'm just pissed, like
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: my opponent gets a really good performance out of their kicker,
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: and it's I mean, kickers are somewhat lucked, so I
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: don't know. We'll see, and I'm rolling Badge Lee out
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: there this week for my kicker most likely, which is
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: the Colts kicker. At least they have a good offense,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: so they'll probably be in scoring range. Jeffrey, what's up man?
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Yeah, mister Thursday eight to no
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: with the Thursday Night games, although I was wishy washing
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: on last week's Steelers versus the Bengals, although I wound
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: up picking the Bengals in Pickham, so my final choice
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: on that one was still correct. But yeah, my Thursday
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: Night NFL, I mean I've only given out two plays
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: on it, but I'm eight to no. In those spreads
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: they almost covered them. The minus twenty seven and a half, yeah,
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: at seventeen to one, that's true, the one by the
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: one by twenty four. Yeah, I mean that would have
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: been absolutely ridiculous if that happened today. I'm gonna have
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: all NBA plays today. I like a lot of the
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: NBA board, to be honest, man, we have a few
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: NHL games. Don't love that and we do have college football.
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: I got one pretty strong lean in college football that
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: I haven't made it a play though, I don't think
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I can quite get there with it. But one opinion
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: on college football pretty strong. NBA, I like a bunch
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: of the games, and I like more than one. I'm
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: gonna give out his plays, So I'm gonna talk about
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: some leans. We'll talk about NHL first though. NHL we
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: only have four games here. Toronto at Buffalo. Interesting matchup.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: I think it might be a decent spot for Toronto
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: to bounce back. They've lost two games in a row.
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: They did play their last game against New Jersey, though,
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: which is I mean, that's a big game on New Jersey.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: They're off to a good start, they're a good team,
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: but still you lose back to back games, you lose
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: five to tune in New Jersey, you might want to
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: try to bounce back from that. They've had two days
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: off now and they get to go out on the road.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: So for Toronto, they get to just leave home just
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: kind of forget about what's going on at home right now,
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: maybe just focus on hockey. They get to face this
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: inferior Buffalo team who probably isn't even as good as
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: their record might make it look. Right now, Buffalo, I
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: still don't think they're very good in Buffalo staying at home,
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: and they're coming off a big win themselves against Detroit,
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: who was off to a good start. Buffalo did get
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: that win despite having Ellis as their goalie, though, so
• 8:07
  Speaker 1: that was the first time they use their second string goalie.
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: So they will have their top goalie back in net Lion,
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: although I don't think he's really that good or Leon.
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you pronounce his name, but to me,
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: I think Toronto might be the lean in this game,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: though I think you have the better team in a
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: bounce back spot where I think they'll actually be focused
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: up against a team it's gonna have to continue playing
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: like above their pay grade for a couple games in
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a row. Slight lean to Toronto, and that one the
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with it as well, except that the
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: money line dropped from just one twenty six to one
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: twenty one, fifty five percent of ticket seventy seven percent
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Toronto though, so it looks like
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: they are picking up more of the bigger bets at
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: least right now. San Jose actually got a win last
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: night against the other Rangers. After San Jose was up
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: three to one and then they immediately blew that lead.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: They were down four to three. I'm like, I'm like,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: they're still gonna lose this game, like six to three. No,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: they won six to five. Man, there's something something not
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: right with the Rangers. Man. But that means San Jose
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: is on a back to back coming off a gigantic upset.
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: So I don't really think that there's a way that
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: you can play San Jose here, like i'd be looking
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: to fade San Jose after playing off an upset like that.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: They're playing a third game in four days now, not
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: really technically in different city. Well actually yeah, I guess
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: technically in different cities. Well no, because the Islanders play
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: in New York City, now, I guess. But they played
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: two games at different boroughs of New York and now
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: they go to New Jersey. I mean it's not a
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: lot of travel, but it is still three games in
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different stadiums, in a letdown spot.
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, New Jersey is still a team you're gonna
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: get up four, But the San Jose team is so
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: bad that I don't know if they can continue that
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: effort multiple games in a row. Although I will say
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: when you get your first win, you do get that
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: monkey off your back, and somehow you can just play
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: looser because now you don't have to worry about, oh,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: we're a winless team and we gotta win on. New
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Jersey's won six games in a row. Not really looking
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: to play New Jersey either here. I mean, they just
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: had a couple of big wins again. They beat Florida, Edmonton, Toronto,
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: Minnesota coming off that stretch. Minnesota not really that good,
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: but the rest of those teams are good staying at
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: home and they do with Colorado up next, which is
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: a big game. Colorado one of the better teams in hockey.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: So it almost looks sandwich Ish on the part of
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: New Jersey. New Jersey is a huge favor and up
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: from minus three thirty to minus three forty five, eighty
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: coming into New Jersey. I don't want any part of
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: either of these teams, man. I mean, I think if
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: New Jersey's gonna come out and just not have that
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: much focus, San Jose might be in a total fatigue spot.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, it would been. It would have been one
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: of those spots where last year I would have been saying,
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: you might want to look towards an over in this game,
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: although this whole did drop a little bit from six
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: and a half to six. But I mean that might
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: be the way that I would actually look at that game.
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I do not want anything to do
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: with it though. Yeah, the Sharks, I mean I did
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: not expect them to win. I think I think that
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: was a real outlier of a game. I don't know, man,
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: I mean I would I would not have had money
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: on that. I thought that the Rangers are gonna win
• 11:21
  Speaker 1: that game Washington at Columbus Washington. They're coming off a
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: fairly easy win over Seattle, a couple of days off,
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: they get to go out to Columbus. It's not the
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: start of a road trip though. It's only a single
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: game road journey here to Columbus. So sometimes that means
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be a little bit less focused, Like if
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: you when you start a road trip, you usually are
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: focused to start the road trip right. In this case,
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't just because it's a weird single game
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: travel spot. Although they do have probably a little bit
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: of momentum right after an easy win over Seattle. Columbus
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: is almost certainly in a down spot though, coming off
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: beating Tampa Bay and Dallas. Returning home from that, they
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: have a couple of days off too. I don't think
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Washington because Washington is a good team,
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: but this Columbus team, I mean, can they keep up
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: that level of effort multiple games in a row. I
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: don't know. Slightly into Washington for me in this one,
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: you're getting a really cheap price on it, though it
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: almost looks too easy to take Washington, so I do
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: have some concerns about it, and they are public ninety
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: one percent of the tickets ninety eight percent of the cash.
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: Though on Washington, my opinion would still be Washington in
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: this one, just because I don't want any part of
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: Columbus after they beat Dallas. But again, Washington is a
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: very public side that almost looks way too easy, so
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: I can't do it. And then I think perhaps the
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: strongest opinion, or the only real opinion that I would
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: really have in the on the hockey board would be
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: to look towards taking Calgary as an underdog against Winnipeg
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: I think this might be a spot where Calgary might
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: actually be able to get a win. Winnipeg off to
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: a five and two start, they're good. They're playing on
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: a back to back, though they're not traveling, they're staying
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: at home. They did get shut out yesterday, so sometimes
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: when a team gets shut out, they will be pissed
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: and they want to come back and play better here.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: But on a back to back, they might not have
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: Hella Book and net for this one man. They might
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: be going with Comray, even though they did win their
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: other game where they played him. But Hella Book is
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: like the best goalie in the league, so it's always
• 13:27
  Speaker 1: a downgrade when they have to switch to their backup goalie,
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: which I think they might do here because they might
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: not pay that much attention to Calgary, even though again, yeah,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: they are coming off a shutout loss, but they already
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: beat Calgary on the road the game before that, two
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: to one, so it is going to be a road
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: revenge spot for Calgary. I always point that out when
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: a team lost to a team at home and then
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: they go out on the road almost immediately and play
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: that same team with a chance at quick revenge, that
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: is a bit of a motivator, so I think Calgary
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: is going to be motivated for that reason, in addition
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: to the fact that win Pig's a good team. Winnipeg
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: does have Utah next, and Utah is off to a
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: really good start, so they might have a little bit
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: more focus on that game could potentially be a look ahead.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: So I don't see full focus here from Winnipeg, to
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: be honest. Calgary off to an awful one six and
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: one start. Going out on the road for one game
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: here maybe is good for them because they just lost
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: two games at home. They played competitively though they lost
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: two to one in both games, including going into overtime
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: against Montreal. But they've used Wolf three straight days, so
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: I don't know if they're gonna use them again this time,
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: but they at least get to get out of home
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: and just go on the road. They certainly will be
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: focused on Winnipeg. I think it's just a matter of
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: how tired are they gonna be coming into this game
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: after a couple of big games for them, big performances
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: where they fell short. So I don't want to do it,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: but I would lean to Calgary in this game. Winnipeg's
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: very public ninety three percent of the tickets. Although this
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: says ninety eight percent of the cash, I'm not sure
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: that that's accurate. They've dropped a little bit from minus
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: one forty eight to minus one forty f The line
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: is not that heavy on Winnipeg. You would think with
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: a team like Calgary that's not that good, that like
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: Calgary has been getting lined, is a huge underdog in
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: a lot of games. Winnipeg not lined as a very
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: heavy favorite. Oddsmaker's kind of telling you something with that,
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: almost kind of indicating that this game is actually winnable
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: for Calgary and you still get them at an underdog price.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: So that is the way that I would look in
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: that game. Won't give it out as a play though.
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: We got NBA here. The NBA is gonna be the
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: best bets segment for today. I didn't put up the
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: breakdown graphic, but the NBA breakdown will just be a
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: best bet segment. Winnipeg minus one sixty on Fandel, I
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: mean I think, yeah, I mean you'll probably just get
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: a bit. That means you're just gonna get a better
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: underdog price on that, Calgary, if you want it. NBA,
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: we got a bunch of games here. I got some opinions.
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Obviously I always have opinions, but I also have some
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: actual plays that I think are pretty strong. Bucks Raptors
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: will point out it just looks strange to see the
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: Raptors as a favorite against the Bucks because everybody just
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: has seen what we've seen in recent years. The Raptors
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: have been one of the worst teams in the NBA.
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: Bucks have been, of course, a playoff team. I think
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: they still have yannas, although there was some weird offseason
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: shit there. The money is indeed coming in on the Raptors.
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: They flipped from a one and a half dog to
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: a one and a half point favorite. Sixty six percent tickets,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: ninety six percent of the cash on the Raptors, so
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: the money indicator, the market indicators are on the Raptors
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: in this one. I don't think I could really get
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: there with it, but it's interesting that a team that
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: people basically consider to be a terrible team in the Raptors,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: is favored over this team that everybody considers to be
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: a better team. Giannis is day to day, so you
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: got to keep an eye on that because he's obviously
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: the biggest component for Milwaukee. Although I think if he
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: wasn't playing, this line might be a little bit even
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: more favor of the Raptors. Kevin Porter Junior is also out.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: He is one of the better players from Milwaukee as well,
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: so Milwaukee does have a couple of injury concerns. Milwaukee
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: did win their first game pretty easily against a terrible
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: Washington team, so there's not much you could take away
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: from that. I mean, they were expected to win, they won.
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be their first road game of the season,
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: and they have to go up to Toronto. Not that
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: easy to do. Toronto had a shocking win. It actually
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: an upset twenty point win over Atlanta in their first
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: game on the road, so I don't really want to
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: jump on Toronto either here al though I assume they
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: will be focused though, I mean, you got the Bucks
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: coming into your place, you will be focused. But this
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: game was a bit misleading in my opinion. Atlanta was
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: a five and a half point favorite. Toronto obviously is
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: not the better of these two teams. Toronto had a
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: really good shooting performance, at least from the floor fifty
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: six point eight percent of the field, so there's gonna
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: be some regression in store for Toronto here, So that's
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: another reason I don't want to make Toronto all play here.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: That and the situation doesn't really line up necessarily in
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: favor of them because they are kind of in a
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: letdown spot in a way, although again they'll still probably
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: show up for Milwaukee. Atlanta had a particularly bad shooting
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: game twenty eight point six percent from three, although Toronto
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: was even worse from three, but Atlanta was only forty
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: two percent from the floor to Toronto completely dominated the
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: rebound statistic though, twenty rebounds plus twenty in rebound in
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: the rebound edge, which is interesting, so it wasn't entirely misleading,
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: although the shooting aspect of it still, I think you're
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: gonna see some regression back to some sort of mean there.
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean Toronto. I would still lean to
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: Toronto and that just because the line looks so weird,
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: but I wouldn't want to do it. Atlanta at Orlando
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: is a pretty good game. Atlanta. They're better than they
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: looked in that first game. I think you might see
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: Atlanta be a bit pissed after that, as they're they're
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: calling it an embarrassing loss themselves, so that tells you
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: that the Hawks are probably gonna be focused after that bad,
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: bad way to us start the season. Oh, by the way, Toronto,
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: that is their home opener for them, in the Toronto game,
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: by the way, so something to consider. Usually a team
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: is a little bit more focused in their home opener
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Atlanta coming off that awful home opener, they get to
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: go down to Orlando. You know they're gonna be focused
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: for Orlando because Orlando is a team it's kind of
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: on the up the upswing. But Orlando had a close
• 19:28
  Speaker 1: game in their game against Miami, which I think they
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: should have probably won that game more easily. Miami not
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: a great team, Orlando is the better of these two teams.
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: Orlando did not cover the spread in that one. Not
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to see as far as like the
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: shooting percentages here though, I mean, Orlando was the better
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: three point shooting team of the game. They still almost
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: lost the game, but it was a close game statistically,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: so it wasn't a real outlier or anything like that.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: The money's coming in towards the Atlanta Hawks and this
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: one though, Orlando down from five and a half to
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: four and a half. Seventy eight percent of tickets only
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: sixty five percent of the cash. Not gonna be a
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: play for me, But I'm not gonna disagree with the
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: market reading that. When I think the Hawks, you're gonna
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: get like a lot of focus out of them after
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: how bad they looked in that first game. So I
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: do think that's kind of the the bigger outlier that happened.
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Even though Orlando did have a game that was a
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: little bit close for comfort, but they still beat the Heat.
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's still a big win for Orlando. I mean,
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: there's always the thing between the Magic and the Heat
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: because they're sort of like they're the Florida Rivals sort of.
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: So I agree with the market reading that one. I
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: would lean to the Hawks plus the points. I think
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is in a bad spot as well, even though
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: they lost their first game, So I don't know that
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be entirely unfocused here. But this spot doesn't
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: look good to me for Cleveland. They just lost to
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: the Knicks, which was a big game to start the season. Man,
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: between two contenders, they're probably both they're gonna both be
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: playoff teams again. Most likely, I thought Cleveland would get
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: that game. Cleveland did not win the Knicks were able
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: to get the win there against Cleveland. Cleveland now has
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: to go to Brooklyn. It's not much travel, just staying
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: within New York City. But this Brooklyn team, I mean,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: they're a team that just teams are gonna overlook them. Man,
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn's one of the worst teams in the league. I
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: don't think they did that much over the offseason. I
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: mean the fact that they brought over a couple of
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: Israeli dudes or whatever, which only makes sense for Brooklyn,
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: I guess, even though the biggest Israeli ownership is the
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: Dallas Mavericks with Miriam addleson there Adoles and whatever, who's
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: one of the most evil people on Earth. But let's
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: not get my channel nuked here. Cleveland, Yeah, I mean,
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: it is possible they overlook Brooklyn. I mean, I think
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: teams are just gonna overlook Brooklyn again because they're not
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: a good team. And Cleveland does have Milwaukee coming up
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: after this on Sunday. That's a big game because it
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: is still Yannis. It is still a team that's basically
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs every year in the way, so it
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: looks like a bit of a sandwich spot to me.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: For Cleveland. They're laying a big number here, so obviously
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: they can win this game without covering. They're down from
• 22:08
  Speaker 1: twelve to eleven and a half here on the number,
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets on the Cavs ninety one
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash though, on the nets. I agree
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: with that market read as well. I would take the
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: points with the nets if I was gonna play this game.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: I think the spot makes sense to take the nets
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: in that one. Actually, probably one of the stronger opinions
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: in basketball. That's that's one of the ones that didn't
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: make my card. That was like pretty close to making
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: my card. I'm gonna have a play on my Celtics
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: against the Knicks in that game. I'm gonna have a play.
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have a play in Detroit Houston as well.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: I don't necessarily want to talk about every one of
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: these games, but I just have opinions on a lot
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: of these. You're betting the nets. I don't mind it.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, I would say, yeah, do it on
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: the spread. But whenever you take a spread bet like that,
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: I do recommend putting a very small amount on the
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: money line too, just in case it happens like in
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: a huge number, like a huge underdog like that. I
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: would probably say somewhere between one and three percent of
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: the bet on the money line. I don't really think
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: the Nets are gonna win that game out right though,
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: so I do think they'll cover though. Miami at Memphis
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: interesting game as well. I mean, this is a pretty
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: decent matchup. I mean, these are two decent teams. Memphis
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: got out of there with a win in their first game.
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: I thought the Pelicans are actually undervalued in that one
• 23:27
  Speaker 1: that they were gonna cover. Memphis did cover barely. They
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: were four and a half point favorite. They covered by
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: one and a half points. They're staying at home. Likely
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: they're going to be focused against Miami, and Memphis kind
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: of had a game that maybe they considered to be
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit of an underperformance against the Pelicans there
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: because a lot of people, I think thought Memphis was
• 23:47
  Speaker 1: gonna just blow out the Pelicans, which is why I
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: thought the Pelicans would cover, because the Pelicans just had
• 23:53
  Speaker 1: a really injury riddled season last year. So I think
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans are a lot better than they looked last year.
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: But Memphis might consider that to be kind of an escape,
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: whereas Miami played a tough game against Orlando, and now
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: it's a second game on the road from Miami. So
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: I think this game sets up a little bit better
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: for the Grizzlies, to be honest, but I think the
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: money is completely disagreeing with that. Yeah, the Grizzlies are
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: down from four to two and a half here, sixty
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, eighty three percent of the cash coming
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: in on the heat. So the money is definitely pretty
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: strongly indicating on the heat. And if you like the heat,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: you lost a little bit of the value on it too.
• 24:28
  Speaker 1: I have a slight disagreement with it. Heat. You gotta
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: also talk about it. They got some issues. Man hero
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: is injured, so there's gonna be no hero there. The
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: Memphis has some injury problems too, most notably John Morant
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: is game time decision. He's day to day, so you
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: got to pay attention to that because obviously he's a
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: key part of the of the Memphis of Memphis's team there,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: so you gotta keep keep that in mind there. So
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, this is a game where it's gonna be
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: a little bit difficult to handicap too, because there are
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: a lot of moving parts. Of course, Miami is gonna
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: be without Terry Rozier because he's probably in jail because
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: of the gambling scandal that came out involving Rosier and
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: Chauncey Billups, who, by the way, one of the worst
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: things that the Celtics ever did was trade Chauncey Billups
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: after they only had him for like they drafted him.
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: If people don't remember that they drafted Chauncey Billups would
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: have been an amazing draft pick for the Celtics, and
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: when the Celtics were struggling in the nineties, he played
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: like eight games for them, and Rick Patino took over
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: the team as both the coach and like the general
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: manager or whatever. He basically like pushed Red Auer back
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: to the side and Patino was like, no, We're gonna
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: trade Chauncey Billups for basically nobody. One of the worst
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: decisions in Celtic history. Unbelievable, so bad. I'm still pissed
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: about that. I still hate Patina because of that. Man. Yeah,
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, speaking of Patino, Terry Rozier was one of
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: his guys at Louisville. Believe so involved in that whole
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: Louisville thing where Rick Patino was up. Was before the
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: nil stuff was the thing. Rick Patino was bribing Louisville
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: basketball recruits with with like hookers and strippers and stuff
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: and probably money under the table and whatever. So a
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: lot of weird times here. But Rosier, yeah, I mean
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: he's in trouble for rigging basketball games, which you could
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: tell he was. He was like rigging his own props basically,
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: you could tell by him just refusing to put an
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: effort on some plays. I think it's bad. I don't
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: think it's worthy of a jail sentence. I mean, I
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: think it's worthy of him probably being kicked out of
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: the NBA. But I don't think it's worthy of a
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: jail sentence. I mean, I think that's just ridiculous. It's
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: still basically just like insider trading. I mean he didn't
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: he didn't actually hurt anybody. I mean, he made the end.
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: He made the NBA worse than it is. Even though
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: I don't even like the NBA. I like the fact
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: that that it's my best betting sport and I'm really
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: good at betting the NBA, I don't even like watching
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: the NBA. I think it's just it's just bad. At
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: this point. It used to be really fun to watch
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: in like the nineties, not anymore. Baseball was a lot
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: more fun too in the steroid era. But I'm going
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: on a rant here, But yeah, Rosier, he was ringing games.
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: There was also something going on. I don't know if
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: Rosier was involved in it. I think he might have been.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: Rosier and Billups I think might both have been involved
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: in cheating it at poker as well. They had like
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: a certain poker room or something where they set it
• 27:30
  Speaker 1: up such that there was the ability for certain players
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: to read opponents cards like they had I don't know,
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: either cameras set up or some way of seen through
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: the cards to see what their opponent's cards were. So
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: they're in trouble for that too, which I mean that
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: I actually see as that's worse than than Rosier like
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: tanking in the in NBA games, because that's actually theft,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. Like, if you have a
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: player that's tanking in the NBA, you can easily like
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: correct that by not allowing him to play right, Like
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: the team could kick him off the team, the league
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: could kick him out. Whatever. That's all cool. The poker stuff,
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: I think is worse because you're basically defrauding like some
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: of your you're defrauding your poker opponents. So that's actually worse. Uh,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: it's pretty crazy, man. Yeah. And yeah, and there were
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: mob tians. Yeah, that's yeah, it's all crazy, dude. It's
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: I haven't mentioned it on the show yet. It's this
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: stuff came out like two days ago. I kind of
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: think it's funny, though. The mob are there to, yeah,
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: to show more legitimacy. Yeah. Yeah, if you see a
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: mob bust in there, Oh, that doesn't seem wrong in anyway,
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: although Vegas is basically a mob city. Though, man, I
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: don't know if that poker room was in Vegas or not,
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: but like everybody knows the mob has all these tie
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: ins with Vegas, so it's like it's not really that
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: weird of a thing. But also then again, if you're
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: if you're going to these poker rooms, well, I mean,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: I guess I don't know, man, I mean there are
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: certain risks that you're taking. Although the I mean when
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: you go to the room, you are like they are
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: still claiming like you're still you still should be on
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: the up and up and you shouldn't be defrauding your
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: opponents though, So even though yes, there are certain risks
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: that you assume when you go to like a poker
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: room or whatever, but it should just be the normal risks,
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: like you know, obviously, the luck involved in the game
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: is the risks that you should be taking. Yeah, I
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: don't know, you hate props. I like props kind of,
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: but I just don't do props. But there's a lot
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: of money to be made on props, especially in these
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: like daily games day to day, because I mean there's
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: more focus on props now than there were before. But
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: the books they just can't get all those numbers right
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: because there are just too many numbers to put up there.
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: So the books are really just throwing numbers up there
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: on a lot of props based on like league averages.
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: So there are guys that really really hammer the props
• 29:54
  Speaker 1: and they could do really well at the props, So
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: I will point that out. Like like Andy Lang at wager Talk,
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: he is an extreme prop better he bets mostly props,
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: and he does like he does all the sports where
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: you can find more value if you actually like know
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: what you're doing. He does like darts and golf and shit.
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I don't know, nets are plus four sixty.
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: You're gonna bet on the money line there too. An
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: NBA Yeah, yeah, an NBA player is sitting there. Yeah,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: of course that means there's no cheating. NBA players don't cheat.
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: What anyway to me? I mean, I don't see it
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: from Miami in this game, but the money is coming
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: in on the Miami side. But I also think the
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: Rosier thing might even be a distraction here. So yeah,
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: I mean the market is saying Miami in this one
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: plus the points. Maybe this means that Morant is not
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: gonna play. I'm not really sure. That game's a really
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: hard read for me, man, but I would have a
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: slightly to Memphis to be honest, san Antonio, you couldn't
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: possibly look better than san Antonio did in their first game.
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: WEMBA had a huge game. He's already shooting up in
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: the MVP voting. He's not shooting up drugs, although maybe
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: he is because of his health problems. Huge win for
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: san Antonio. Dude, you go into Dallas as an underdog,
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: and you go in and you absolutely embarrass them in
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: their home opener. In their first game with Cooper Flag,
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: Cooper Flag had no points in the first half. Weimba
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: had an amazing game in that game. Now they're playing
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game coming off of that. This
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: has to be a letdown spot for san Antonio. I mean, again,
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: you couldn't possibly look better than this, and the league
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: is now on alert. But look at how san Antonio
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: shot in this game, fifty seven point five percent from
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: the field and forty percent from three. You're never You're
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: not gonna get a better shooting performance than that. There's
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: gotta be some regression in store for san Antonio. Dallas
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: had a very bad shooting game thirty seven point three
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: percent from the field. Atrocious. I mean, that's probably not
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: gonna happen again either, especially because Dallas has a decent
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: amount of big men, so they take more five percent
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: of shots. So crazy. I mean, Wemba must have been
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: out there just playing crazy deep fens too. I don't know,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: I didn't really see it. Uh. San Antonio also dominated
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: the rebound department, which I mean, Wemba is good at
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: that too. I mean, he's he's a freak. He's a
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: freak of nature. What is he? He's like seven too?
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: I should put my Wemba jersey on. I'll have it
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: on one on one of my shows. I should have
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: put a jersey on for one of the teams that
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: I'm actually playing today. That's what I should do in
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: the NBA. But yeah, San Antonio, I mean again, this
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: is like the best that they've looked in years in
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: this game and it was against one of their rivals
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: in the state of Texas. Yeah, it's got to be
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot for San Antonio here. So I do
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: like New Orleans in this one. This was close to
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: being a play for me as well. San Antonio doesn't
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: have anything up next, although it is going to be
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: their home opener next against Brooklyn, but it is Brooklyn.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's not really a team that draws your focus.
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: Like I already said, New Orleans. They're coming out of
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: a pretty close game as well against Memphis on the road,
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: and they do have Boston next, So I don't know,
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: the spot maybe a little bit iffy for New Orleans
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: of the Boston not as good as they usually are
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: right now because they have so many injuries and they
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: have they lost some of their players from last year. Whatever.
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I mean, it is still their
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: home opener, so New Orleans still should be focused here.
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: I have some reservations about it, but I do think
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: New Orleans is the right side. The money has actually
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: come in on the Spurs, though they're up from three
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: to four. I don't agree with that. Eighty seven percent
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, so they are public ninety two percent
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: of the cash. It looks like they are getting more
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: of the cash here. Maybe it's a false move just
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: to get more money on the Pelicans. You won't really
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: know until later in the day if some of these
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: moves are fake or not. But if I was gonna
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: play that game, obviously I would take the points of
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: the Pelicans. I think again, it's a spot where it's
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: like the Marco DiAngelo wager tar calls it fat and sassy,
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: when a team's coming off just such a huge win
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: by such a ridiculous margin like that, like san Antonio, Basically,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: they come into that next game over confident, feeling too
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: good about themselves. So I think that's the spot that
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: san Antonio's in. Yeah, if you win as a dog.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: There were only two and a half point underdog, though
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are showing san Antonio respect in the in
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: the odds here man, because that's how good Wemba is.
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: It's Wemba effect that just him alone makes san Antonio
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: way way better. And they do have some other good players.
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: I think they still have Chris Paul too, even though
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: he's really old. San Antonio does have some players besides Wemba.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: But I told you I leaned to san Antonio in
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: that first game because I thought Dallas with like Cooper
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: Flag it being his first game, They actually started him
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: at point guard. So Dallas doesn't really have a point
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: guard right now. Very strange. So I like san Antonio
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: and that one. I certainly didn't expect them to win
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: by thirty whatever points Dallas for that reason. By the way,
• 35:01
  Speaker 1: I expect them to smoke Washington here. I know Washington
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: is already off a double digit loss, but Washington is
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: one of the worst teams in the NBA. Dallas they
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: got embarrassed in their home opener. I expect Dallas to
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: come out pissed here. Don't really have a whole lot
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: else to say about that, but I would lay the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: points with Dallas if I was gonna play this game,
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of tickets, ninety four percent of the
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: cash on Dallas. You also got to expect that they're
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: gonna shoot better than thirty seven percent from the field.
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's that is an outlier for sure. They
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: actually dropped a little bit from eleven to ten on
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: the line here. They're public, but more of the money
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: on them as well. So I would lay the points
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: with Dallas if I was gonna play that game, Minnesota
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: in La Golden State, and Portland. I'm gonna have plays
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: in those games, which I'll give out in a second. Uh. Utah,
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: I kind of expected me in a bit of a
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: letdown spot because they just absolutely demolished the Clippers as
• 35:51
  Speaker 1: ten and a half point underdogs. Utah. They're not good, dude,
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: and they're they're high draft pick. Ace Bailey didn't play
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: that much in that game, so he didn't really do anything.
• 36:01
  Speaker 1: Even though I like Ace Bayley, I want to see
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: him do well. I think he's really really talented. But Utah, Yeah,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: they showed up in their home openers ten and a
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs and they beat the Clippers by twenty
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: one points. This is a Clipper team that they just
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: have weird results. Man, This Clipper team, they're the most
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: like up and down team in the NBA. Dude, They're
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: so inconsistent it's crazy, like, obviously they're better than this
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: result was. But the Clippers, Yeah, they'll have games like
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: this or the inexplicably lose horribly to bad teams, and
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: they'll have other games where they blowout good teams. It's crazy.
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: Utah shot really high from the floor, fifty five point
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: two percent from the field. They didn't win the rebound
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: battle as well, but this shooting percentage was a bit
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: of an outlier for Utah. Utah, by the way, with
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: the whitest lineup in the the NBA, with the market
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: in Philipowski, Kessler, McKay. Look, I don't know McKay. Look,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know he pronounced his name, but four of
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: their starters are white guys. Utah, they're looking very more
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: men out there in Utah. They do have to go
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: on the road to Sacramento, not an easy thing, although
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: maybe Utah will still be focused because it is a
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: team that is usually kind of in the playoff mix
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: with Sacramento. Although they're coming off such a ridiculous upset win, though,
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: you gotta think Utah is in a bit of a letdown.
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: Sacramento did lose their first game against Phoenix, although it
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: was a close game, but we know Phoenix doesn't have
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: Kevin Durant anymore, although I don't know how good Durant
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: really is at this point, and Sacramento this is their
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: home opener, so the spot does make more sense for
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: the Kings in this one. If you're looking towards this,
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: the Kings are getting the money. They're up from four
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: and a half to five eighty two percent of the
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: cash on them, fifty percent of the take is evenly split.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: So all of a sudden, in the public, they see
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: one good game from the Jazz and they want to
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: start taking the points with the Jazz. I wouldn't agree
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: with it. I would lay the points with the Kings
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna play this game. This one is
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: not on my card, but it looks like a pretty
• 38:02
  Speaker 1: major letdown spot for the Jazz. I don't think they
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: have a big game up next or anything. Let me
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: see the spots that I'm going to play. I think
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: are a little bit stronger than this. Well, the Jazz.
• 38:12
  Speaker 1: They have Phoenix up next, but I think Phoenix is
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: pretty much an unknown right now, Like they're a team
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: that's been in the playoffs the last couple of years,
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: they don't have Durant anymore. How good is Phoenix right now?
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: I honestly have no idea. And Phoenix is playing against
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: that Clipper team that got totally embarrassed, and this is
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: gonna be the Clipper home opener here, whereas Phoenix is
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: coming off that home win against the Kings, a decent win.
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: So this game, I think you got to look to
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: the Clippers, Phoenix getting a lot of disrespect in the market.
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: Clippers are out from nine and a half to ten,
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: sixty six percent of the tickets on the Clippers. The
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: public still is laying the points with the Clippers despite
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: a twenty one point loss in their opener, seventy nine
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on the Suns, though I don't
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: see it. I wouldn't agree with that one. I would
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: lay the points with the Clippers if I was gonna
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: get involved in the game. But it's going against the
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: market read at least for now, I'm not gonna like
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: I think they're better. There are better games, and I'm
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about them pretty much right now. Anna, what's up?
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out? Uh tow twenty seven and a half? No,
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: that's that's not a very high total. In the NBA,
• 39:21
  Speaker 1: the numbers are always like basically between like the two
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: tens and the two thirties. I mean, you can see
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: all the numbers here on the totals. The highest total
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: today is, uh, I don't know, Hawk's Magic is at
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: two thirty five. That's one of the highest. To twenty
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: seven is like right in the middle of The lowest
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: total today is where's the lowest total. I don't even know.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to eyeball this real quick. The lowest total,
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: I think is in the Suns Clippers game. Down to
• 39:48
  Speaker 1: two twenty four right now, too. Twenty seven is like
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: right in the in the middle. You took the under.
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: Washington just scored one hundred and twenty Yeah, I mean Washington.
• 40:01
  Speaker 1: That probably was a bit of an outlier because it
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: was probably just the game was over. It was probably
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: a lot of garbage time scoring. I don't know, Dallas,
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna play better defensively than they did in
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: their previous game, Dallas. I'm not gonna disagree with you
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: on and under. In that one seventy nine percent of
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: tickets are on the over seventy six percent of the
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: cash on the over, so the public likes the over
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: in this one. I don't know how many public players
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: are even playing. The total in this game it went
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: up from two twenty seven to twenty eight to slight
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: move upwards. But yeah, I don't disagree with you. The
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: MAVs tend to play lower scoring, defensive games, and the
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: MAVs they don't exactly have an offense either. Well, that's
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: what you said. The MAVs are trying to figure out
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: their offense. Yeah. The Wizards just just don't really have
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: an offense, although they're not a good defense either. The MAVs, Yeah,
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: their offense is in question right now because they don't
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: have They haven't they don't have their ball distribution figured
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: out because they don't have Kyrie, so they don't. They
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: don't really have a legit point guard, which is pretty weird.
• 41:03
  Speaker 1: The MAVs have good defenders though, too. They have Yeah,
• 41:06
  Speaker 1: I mean, Anthony Davis and what are their names, Gafford
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: and Washington. They're all good defenders. So yeah, I mean,
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: MAVs are definitely a good defensive team. All right, let's
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: get to the place here. Best bet segment, which I
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: already threw out the graphic first one up. We're gonna
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: go with my Boston Celtics plus three and a half.
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: I know the line was six at some point. It's
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: already down to three and a half. I don't think
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: that was all just the market move though. I think
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: the line did shift because of Nick injuries. Fifty eight
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets are on the Knicks. The public,
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: they just they're off of the Celtics right now. I
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: mean they know the Celtics lost to the Knicks in
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year, which, of course that's gonna be
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: part of my handicap here. They see that the Celtics
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: are our own one. Here, they see that the Knicks
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: beat the Calves. So the public is only gonna be
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: on the Knicks here pretty much. But fifty four percent
• 42:00
  Speaker 1: of the cash coming back in on the Celtics. I
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: wouldn't count the Celtics out, man, I mean the Celtics,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: they're still gonna be Like, I mean, so many teams
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs. I think it is certainly possible the
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: Celtics are still a playoff team this year. There's still
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: probably in like the upper half of the Eastern Conference.
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: Celtics actually probably should have won this game, like I
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: said I gave out the sixers in this first game,
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: but the Celtics had to lead the entire second half. Basically,
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: they were up double digits, they were still up nine
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: with three forty seven left, and they somehow imploded and
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: blew this game. Celtics had that game like I wasn't
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: necessarily right in that game. Celtics probably should have won
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: the game the Celtics. The three point percentage was very,
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: very low for what the Celtics usually do. The Celtics
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: are trying to run this new type of offense though,
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: where they don't take as many threes, which I think
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: is okay, But I don't like the fact that they're
• 42:52
  Speaker 1: going up tempo now, which I don't love the up
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: tempo style because you take like well, I mean, I
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: don't say I want I don't want to say you're
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: gonna take lower percentage shots, because the point is you
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: get out in transition and you take more like two
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: pointers that are actually higher percentage shots. But I still
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: don't love it because you like you tire out when
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: you play that fast pace. I liked the Celtics when
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: they were that team that was gonna like grind you
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: down and play the slow, the slow paced game. I
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: just think they took too many threes before. But the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: Celtics only shot twenty five point six percent from three
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: twenty five point six percent from three in that game,
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: so I expect them to shoot better from three. They
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: are still like a team that is good from three
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: point range. So uh, even though they lost some of
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: their players from last year, I think it's a bit
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: of an outlier there, so misleading result for the Celtics there.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: And you know I pointed that out. Part of my
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: ndicap in that game was that I thought the Celtics
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: might start looking ahead to this Nick game and maybe
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: overlook Philadelphia a little bit, because you know that they
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: have this Nick game circled because the last time the
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: Celtics play the Knicks, the Celtics were getting eliminated from
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: the playoffs and the Celtics were the favorite in that series.
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: The Celtics blew two games at home where they were
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: up twenty something points in those games, I think in
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: both games one and two. I was at Game one
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: of that series. It was horrendous. Yeah, And of course
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: then Jason Tatum got hurt, and the Knicks are the
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: team that eliminated the Celtics, and when that's like still
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: fresh in your mind too, I think it becomes an
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: even more significant revenge spot. I talked about this last
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: night with Indiana because literally Indiana's previous game that they'd played,
• 44:36
  Speaker 1: if you don't count preseason, was when they lost the finals.
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: This is a similar spot here. Man, The Celtics got
• 44:42
  Speaker 1: eliminated by the Knicks last year and they immediately get
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: to play the Knicks again. Yeah, I think this is
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: a spot where you want to take the points with
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. I know we're getting a little bit less
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: value on the line here. I don't know how long
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: that six was even out there, because I think the
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: books adjusted it. Because the Knicks have some injury issues here,
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: Celtics actually are the team that kind of has Aside
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: from Tatum, the Celtics have the less significant injuries. We
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: already knew Tatum was gonna be out for probably the
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: entire season, so that's just a known factor already, So
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: that didn't really have any impact on on that line
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: move obviously, and the Celtics they just know that already,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: so they're already like they've already come to terms with
• 45:22
  Speaker 1: the fact they don't have Tatum anymore. But anyway, when
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: you face the team that eliminated you from the playoffs
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: last year, it's a huge motivator, man, big time motivational spot.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: Celtics own one right now. They're gonna be motivated in
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: this game. As far as the injuries, yeah, I mean,
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: maybe it's something to look at, like, maybe the line
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: will go back up a little bit if it's announced
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: that some of these guys are gonna be in. We
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: know the Mitchell Robinson is out for the Knicks, but
• 45:48
  Speaker 1: Heart Anenobian. Towns are all questionable, and I think Heart
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: did not play in the knicks first game if I'm
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: not mistaken. Right now, I don't know how many of
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: these guys are gonna be in or out. So that's
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: the thing, some moving parts here. Maybe the line will
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: go up a little bit if they announced that some
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: of these guys are gonna play. But getting the Celtics
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: is an underdog in the spot, I still think it's decent.
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: The odsbreakers are basically telling you that the Knicks are
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: only slightly better than the tatumless Celtics right now, But
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: when the Celtics have Tatum, they're the better team, although
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: of course they don't have them right now. But the Celtics,
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: they've really dominated the Knicks recently. Man, other than the
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: fact the Celtics lost that playoff series. Coming into that
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: playoff series, the Celtics had won like nine to their
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: last ten against the Knicks. The Knicks have not been
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: good against the Celtics, so we do have that bit
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: of history recent history there on the side of the Celtics.
• 46:40
  Speaker 1: The Knicks, I think they also might be in a
• 46:43
  Speaker 1: letdown spot, dude. This was the game that I think
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: they wanted more than this Boston game because they beat
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: Boston in the playoffs last year. Boston is not what
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: they were last year. I think the Knicks wanted this
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: Calves game, man, and that's what they got. In the
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: first game of the season, they beat the Calves. Huge
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: win for the Knicks. Here in this one, I think
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: it could be a bit of a letdown spot, man.
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: This is the Knicks home opener too, just a monster
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: game for them. Neither team actually shot particularly well in
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: this game, so there wasn't really much of a not
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: much to see as far as like the game being
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: an outlier or anything like that. The Knicks just played
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: a really good game, so I think they're in a
• 47:18
  Speaker 1: letdown spot. Plus it's revenge on the side of the Celtics.
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: The Celtics are a little bit better than people think
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: they are right now, So take the points with the
• 47:26
  Speaker 1: Celtics in that one. Put a little bit on the
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: money line. I think the Celtics have a decent shot
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: of winning that game. So we're gonna go with that one.
• 47:35
  Speaker 1: Reality check. You've been playing for thirty minutes, Yeah, I
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: mean they do all that. They want to make sure
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: you're not a bot. Basically, next up, we're also gonna
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: play the Detroit Pistons plus the six and a half
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: here at Houston. Nobody's gonna want anything to do with
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: this one after what they saw in the first game,
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: which is why I really like this one. Like I
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: couldn't help myself, but I think all four plays I'm
• 47:59
  Speaker 1: gonna give out here are strong. Dude. The Rockets are
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: up from five and a half to six. I know
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: this is the Rockets home opener, and usually I'm not
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: gonna want to fade a team in their home opener,
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: but in this case, I think we're gonna make an exception.
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: Seventy six percent of tickets on the Rockets only sixty
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash. They're pretty significant favorite. So
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: we obviously we don't even need the Pistons to win
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: the game. We just need them to cover. And I
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: am the Piston whisperer. By the way, if you didn't know,
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: two years ago when the Pistons only won like thirteen
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: games or whatever, I think I gave out the Pistons
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: like eight or nine times that year, and they won
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: I think almost all of them outright, And it was
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: out of the thirteen wins that they had on the
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: entire season, almost like the vast majority of them were
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: plays that I gave it on the show. It was
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: like every time I believed the Pistons, it was the
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: right spot and they were hitting every single time. And
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: last year the Pistons I think did pretty well for
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: me again last year, so I'm gonna keep doing it. Man,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: I love it Pistons. I think they're a little bit
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: undervalued right now too, because of what are they do
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: in their first game they lost at Chicago. I know
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: it's a second straight road game, so it's not going
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: to be that easy, but that's kind of an ugly loss. Dude.
• 49:10
  Speaker 1: The Pistons were a road favorite in that game. People
• 49:12
  Speaker 1: I don't think really have come around to how good
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: the Pistons are. The public was on the Pistons in
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: that first game because the Pistons looked pretty good in
• 49:21
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last year, and now the Pistons lose one
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: game and all of a sudden, the public doesn't want
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: anything to do with them, although of course part of
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: it is that the public wants the Rockets. But Detroit
• 49:33
  Speaker 1: is not as bad as they looked in this game
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: against the Bulls. Dude, I mean, they had a really
• 49:36
  Speaker 1: bad game. They got basically blown out by the Bulls.
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: But the Pistons they didn't go away. They came all
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: the way back. So that shows that this Piston team
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: they you know, they they give you effort. So that's
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: a good thing, especially that's what you want with an underdog. Here. Pistons.
• 49:52
  Speaker 1: They didn't go away. Man. They could have just packed
• 49:54
  Speaker 1: it in and said we're gonna lose this game. We're
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: down twenty plus in the second half, we're just gonna
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: pack it in. That's not what they did. They actually
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: came all the way back and I think they took
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: the lead at one point late in the game, or
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: they tied it at the very least late in the game.
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: So the Pistons, they didn't go away. Yes, I know
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: that means they put in a big effort to try
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: to come back. But when you have a bad game
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: like this is a favorite, I think you are gonna
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: show up in the next game. Man. The main thing
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: is to look at here. Basically the three point percentage
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: Detroit was only twenty nine point two percent from three,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: so that to me looks like a bit of an outlier.
• 50:31
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna have a better shooting performance this time,
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: so that's one thing to consider here. I know Houston
• 50:37
  Speaker 1: plays pretty good defense, but I think it's a bad
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: spot for Houston. Dude, Houston, I know they're own one,
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: but they played a double overtime game where they almost
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: beat the returning champ Oklahoma City Thunder. That is a
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: grueling game, man. I know they have two days off
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: now or whatever between these two games, but even so,
• 50:56
  Speaker 1: it was part of my handicap last night and fanning
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: the Thunder, Like, when a team comes off double overtime
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: game like that, this is gonna be fatigue, man, especially
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: when one of your best players is ancient like Kevin Durant,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: which is the case of the Rockets. The Rockets put
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: up a huge fight in this game, man, I mean
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: this is a I mean Houston had a double digit
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: lead in the third quarter of this game. They thought
• 51:16
  Speaker 1: they were gonna win this game against the Thunder. They
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: blew the lead late and they wound up losing the game.
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: Just absolute grueling game, man. So neither team shot well either.
• 51:26
  Speaker 1: This is a crazy defensive game. The one maybe caveat
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: here is that Houston was terrible in the turnover department,
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: and you know they're gonna clean that up. They had
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: twenty five turnovers. They're minus thirteen in turnovers. I mean,
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: if that hadn't have been the case, they would have
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: won this game. So yeah, that's a bit of an
• 51:45
  Speaker 1: outlier where you know that part of it is gonna
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: like regress in favor or it's gonna progress back to
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: some sort of mean in favor of the Rockets. They're
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: not gonna turn it over twenty five times again. And
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: they did dominate the rebounds, so that's just expected. Houston
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: has the the tallest lineup in the NBA, so that's
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: just kind of an expected result that they dominated the
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: rebound portion of that game. But I still think this
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot for Houston, man, I mean, coming
• 52:10
  Speaker 1: off that grueling game, I don't know what else to
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: say about it. I think it's a bounce back spot
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: for Detroit. I know Houston doesn't have anything up next
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: with Brooklyn on the horizon. I know this is their
• 52:21
  Speaker 1: home opener, but I think Detroit is very undervalued coming
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: into this at Houston. That Oklahoma City game was really
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: the game that they wanted. This might be a game
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: where they come out and they just don't have a
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: full effort this time. So yeah, we're gonna go with
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: the Pistons in this game. Plus the points. That's play
• 52:38
  Speaker 1: number two Toronto's starting World Series A. Oh yeah, that's right.
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: I dude, I totally forgot. I'm gonna hand to get
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: baseball on the fly. How could I forget this World
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: Series action. I'm gonna talk about the World Series after this.
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: I usually I do baseball at the top of the show.
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna talk about it after this. It's gonna be
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: a long show, TODA. I fuck fucking Friday man much. NBA. Yeah,
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: it's on Drake's birthday. Whatever you're on the Clippers minus wait,
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: Clippers minus three? What? Wait? What the Clippers are like
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: a aren't they? They're like a ten point favorite? I thought, right,
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: what am I thinking of the wrong game? Yeah, they're
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. What are you talking about? SOB?
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: I like the Trailblazers as well, which, Oh, I'm gonna
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: talk about that in a second. You haven't missed that
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: one yet Virginia Tech. I also agree with that one,
• 53:29
  Speaker 1: so I'm gonna I haven't talked about college football yet either.
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know what you're talking about with the Clippers though,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: but yes, I agree with the Trailblazers. Speaking of which
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: is that? Is that the last game I've talked about? No,
• 53:42
  Speaker 1: I have two games to talk about here. Holy shit,
• 53:44
  Speaker 1: I have so many games to talk about. Next up,
• 53:48
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be on the Lakers plus two and a
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: half as well. Here, uh, we're gonna fade the Tea Wolves.
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: The Tea Wolves are two and a half point favorite.
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: You might actually get three on this. It looks like
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: the lines creeping up a little bit. Public looks like
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: they're on the t Wolves. Sixty seven percent of the
• 54:01
  Speaker 1: tickets on them, fifty six percent of the cash though,
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: so some of the money is disagreeing with the Tea Wolves,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: and I am disagreeing with the t Wolves as well. Here.
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: First of all, this is a This is one of
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: the revenge spots that I keep talking about that you
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: look for. Man, this is a playoff revenge game, because
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: what did the Lakers do at the end of last
• 54:20
  Speaker 1: year in the playoffs. Yeah, they got eliminated by the
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: Tea Wolves in the playoffs last year, and the Lakers
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: were the favorite to win that series. So yeah, I
• 54:28
  Speaker 1: think the Lakers are gonna remember that. They're gonna be
• 54:30
  Speaker 1: pissed about that. I think the Lakers are gonna show
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: up for this one. This is one of the games
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: they have circled. Man. I know the Lakers are coming
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: to have a difficult game against Golden State. They lost
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: the game by double digits though, and again they're gonna
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: be supremely focused on this game. And they're still at home. Yes,
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: they're still about Lebron. Here's Lebron here. I don't think
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: it really matters. Lebron is old, dude. I mean, I
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: know he still makes an impact, but the Lakers they're
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: pretty used to playing without him because he's so old.
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: He's been in and out of the lineup for quite
• 54:59
  Speaker 1: a bit now, so I'm not too worried about that.
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: The line is taking that into account. Obviously, he didn't
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: play in that first game either, so yeah, whatever. Uh
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: the Lakers in this game, they did shoot well from
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: the field, but they were really bad from three point
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: range twenty five percent from three. The rest of the
• 55:16
  Speaker 1: stats are actually fairly close. Uh, So I think that
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: was a bit of an outlier too. I don't think
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: you're gonna see them shoot that poorly from beyond the
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: arc again here, So that was part of the reason
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: why they lost that game. And yeah, they're staying at
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: home too, so no travel here and again a game
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: where I think they're gonna be really really focused on this.
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: So I like LA for that reason. Man, Minnesota, I mean,
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: sure they're gonna want to come in and try to
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: beat LA, but they're starting the season with two road games.
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: Yeah they did. I guess you could argue they escaped
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: against Portland, who's not really that good of a team.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: But Minnesota, I mean they actually overperformed in this game.
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: Minnesota actually shot fifty percent from three in the game
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: and forty eight point eight percent from the field, whereas
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Portland was really bad shooting in this game forty from
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: the field, thirty percent from three, and that's gonna factor
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: into my Portland handicap as well. So there are some
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: signs that that shooting is gonna progress and regress back
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: to some sort of mean here. So I think Minnesota's
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: shooting was an outlier that I think is actually gonna
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: start regressing a little bit. So I actually think Portland
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: really could have won this game. And Portland might be
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit under the radar right now because they
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: had some offseason moves. They're a little bit better than
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: you think they are. I don't think this is an
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: easy spot, man. Minnesota now is to travel down the coast.
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: They gotta go to La La, no travel at all.
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: I think the spot's bad. I think Minnesota could regress
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: shooting wise, a little bit. Huge revenge spot for the Lakers. Yeah,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: take the Lakers plus the points in that one. Sob
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: oh first quarter, Oh, I get it. First quarter. I
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: see what you're saying. First quarter. Clippers and Blazers, Okay, yeah,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: I mean I get that. Although, yeah, Blazers, I thought
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: you were just gonna take moneyline full game the Blazers
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: because you could do that at like a little underdog price.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Oh yeah, Lebron. There was something going on with Lebron
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: as far as the cheating as well. But they'll never
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: do that to him, right Otani? Who cares about what
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: Otani was doing? Though he was gambling whatever, Clippers come
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: out stronger roly. Yeah, they got embarrassed by Utah. I
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: agree with that. You're right, the Suns had a twenty
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: point comeback. I didn't mention that specifically, but yeah, you're correct, Uh, Sob,
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: I agree with you on that one. I would also,
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not really a quarters guy, so my lean in that,
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: My opinion in that game was to lay the points
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: of the Clippers in the full game in that one.
• 57:37
  Speaker 1: So we're we're pretty much in alignment on that one too.
• 57:40
  Speaker 1: We're pretty much agreeing Otani is a jark off? Is he?
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean, I only know that he
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: had that gambling shit, and I just don't care about
• 57:49
  Speaker 1: it all right, Uh oh yeah, the last game, that's right.
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: We're gonna be in alignment with SOB on this one too.
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take the Portland Trail Blazers. The money is
• 58:01
  Speaker 1: agreeing with this one. The Warriors are just really really
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: public and there's a reverse line movement in this one too,
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: So Warriors are down for two and a half to one.
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: Here eighty one percent of the tickets on them, but
• 58:11
  Speaker 1: fifty one percent of the cash on the Blazers, So
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: the money's coming in on the Blazers. I agree with it.
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: It's a pros versus Joe's scenario setting up in the
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: market in this one, with the Joe's are all taking
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: the Warriors because it's the fucking Warriors, It's Steph Curry, whatever,
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: Jimmy Butler, et cetera. People basically can't even name a
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: player on the Blazers. Blazers, they're an undervalue team. Man,
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: They're not that bad. They were fairly good at home
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: last year, if I'm not mistaken. There were some spots
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: where you could definitely get some value playing Portland last year.
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: I think for now you can get value on them
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: as well. Golden State's coming off two massive wins to
• 58:48
  Speaker 1: start the season, dude. They beat La on the road,
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, even though it was without Lebron, and then
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: they just beat Denver you know, overtime last night and
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: they're having to travel, but I mean every one of
• 59:00
  Speaker 1: these games, so they're playing a third game in four days,
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: all in different cities. This is a terrible spot for
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: Golden State. They were down in LA, they came back
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: to the Bay Area, beat Denver and OT last night
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: again huge win, and now they have to go up
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: for Portland team that you might just overlook completely. And
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: they do have Memphis up next, and everybody knows Memphis
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: Morant They're basically a playoff team every year at this point.
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: So this looks like a spot where Golden State is
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: just gonna completely overlook Portland in my opinion. In Portland,
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: oh and one, but they played pretty well against Minnesota
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: and as I showed you, they could have won that game.
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: They just and I know that was a big game,
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: but they're they're staying at home, and you know this
• 59:39
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a big game too, Portland. They're gonna
• 59:42
  Speaker 1: show up when Golden State's coming into their house. The
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: spot is way way worse for Golden State. And Portland
• 59:47
  Speaker 1: also did not play last night, so they have a
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: day off too, so they have they have a rest
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: edge here as well. And I showed you the outliers
• 59:56
  Speaker 1: shooting percentages in that game, where Portland actually underperformed shooting
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: wise in that game too. Portland, by the way, I
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: mean they if you look at their roster, I mean
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: they have Drew Holliday because the Celtics traded him away.
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: They got Klingon from from from Yukon. He was one
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: of their draft picks last year or whatever. People don't
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: know who these guys are, but this is actually an
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: under the radar line up here. They're not a bad team.
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're kind of like a mediocre team at
• 1:00:23
  Speaker 1: this point. Portland is so yeah, we're gonna We're gonna go.
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: And the line the osmakers are telling you that too,
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: right with Golden State not being that much of a favorite,
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, you gotta look and make sure there's
• 1:00:32
  Speaker 1: no like real injury situation here. Not really. I mean
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: Moody has been out for Golden State. He's still game
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: time decision. Portland is without Robert Williams the third, but
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 1: that's like always the case. Another former Celtic dude. I
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: like Robert Williams, big man. But we already know these
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: outs so and we already knew Damian Lillard was out
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: for the season too. So I mean that's just that
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: is what it is. But uh, that was already taken
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: into a council. I'm not worried about that. They're new
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: injuries for Portland that we have that we have to
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: be concerned about here and again from Minnesota and the Lakers.
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: I'll just looking at the injuries real quick. Lebron is
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: still out. I mean, that's really the only thing that
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: I think we're really looking at here. I mean, the
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: rest of this doesn't really matter that much. So again, yeah,
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: we already knew that. And then, oh I didn't look
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: at the NBA. You always have to look at like
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 1: the injury spots man and like who's gonna be rested
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: and who isn't. I forgot to look at it for
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: Detroit real quick. My other play here for Detroit, I mean,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: Ivy is gonna be out. But other than that, I
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: mean a couple of game time decisions here. Van Vliet
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 1: is still out for Houston, by the way, so he's
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: like their main ball distributors, So that is a big injury.
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: Though they've been out, they've been without him for a
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: long time, so that and he's still not back, so
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: that's not a huge factor. As far as like right now,
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: between one game and the next, it's not really a
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: huge factor because he's been out since last year at
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: some point, so that's whatever for Houston, but they're still
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: not as good without him, and of course Detroit will
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 1: have their star player, Kate Cunningham will be there for Detroit.
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: So all right, those are all the plays. That's all
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: the NBA. You like the full game on the Blazers
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: as well. I agree with it obviously. That was one
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: of my plays. You want Miami, you want to play
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: it after Morant is confirmed to be in the game.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: I actually disagree on Miami in that one. My opinion
• 1:02:26
  Speaker 1: was to lay the points now with the Grizzlies in
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: that one, and then if Morant plays, you'll get value
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: on it. I actually think it's a little bit better,
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 1: better of a spot for the Grizzlies. Jeffrey, thanks for
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: hanging out, man. Yeah, those are all my plays. I
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: don't have any plays in Major League baseball or college football,
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: but I have to talk about them, dude. I completely
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: forgot that baseball was even back, and I thought about
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: it the other day and checked, let's handicap. We're gonna
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: handicap baseball on the fly right now, man, that's what
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: we're gonna do. We have LA at Toronto. Of course
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: we know this. Let me see if it's possible that
• 1:03:00
  Speaker 1: I do wind up with a play in this game.
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: But let's check it out. LA is getting so much
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: respect in the market that they're a favorite on the road,
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: and they're a favorite to win the series too. They're
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 1: like a minus they're over a minus two hundred favorite, man, LA,
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: and I do think they're gonna win the series. LA
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: looks like they're taking some of the money here too.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: They're ofugh of minus one forty minus one fifty on
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: the money line, seventy four percent of tickets, seventy nine
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash total flip from seven and a
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: half juice to the under to being juiced to the over.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: So some of the money's coming in on the over. Ah,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: that I don't really see. Sixty three percent of tickets
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: on the over, sixty nine percent of the cash on
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: the over, money coming in on the over. I don't
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 1: really agree with the over man, uh So I will
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 1: point that out. I actually think, hmmm, I think I'm
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: gonna be tempted to go with an under in this game,
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: to be honest, because you have rested bullpens. I know
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: the bullpens aren't good though, uh so these bullpens are
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: both mediocre slash bad. But the starting pitching I think
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 1: is a good match up here. Blake Snell is pitching
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 1: for the good season for him, two point three five ERA,
• 1:04:03
  Speaker 1: one point two to six whip. I mean, he usually
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: just has a he has a whip that's a little
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: bit high, usually because he just walks too many guys.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: But other than that, he's really good. Snell, though he
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: was worse on the road this year four point three
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: R on the road, so maybe a little bit of
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: a concern that he's playing on the road here. And
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: of course Toronto was a very good home team this year.
• 1:04:22
  Speaker 1: Fifty four and twenty seven. The Dodgers were forty one
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: and forty on the roads. They were still above five
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: hundred on the road, but Toronto good at home. Snell
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: has pitched well in the playoffs so far. He has
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: a point eight six ERA and a twenty eight to
• 1:04:36
  Speaker 1: five strakeout walk ratio in the playoffs and didn't allow
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: any runs in his last two outings against Philly and Milwaukee,
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: and he only allowed two hits over those last fourteen innings.
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: Snell has been completely dominating in the playoffs, and those
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: last two games were on the road, so I don't
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: think the fact that his roadyra was that bad is
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: that much of a concern. Snell is also fresh because
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: he's only thrown sixty one in the third innings this
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: year because he was injured for most of the season,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: so he's not going to be worn out, and he's
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 1: a veteran, so that all looks pretty good for snow Man.
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: So I think all of that kind of outweighs the
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: fact that he's not as good on the road. He
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: also is good against Toronto in his history sixty six
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 1: at bats, eighteen to nine strike out walker ratio two
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: twenty seven average allowed, six twenty three ops allowed, so
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: he has been good against Toronto. Nate, what's up Man,
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out. Muggsy. Yeah, I'm short like Muggsy.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: I actually did a book report on Muggsy back in English,
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: in like ninth grade, ninth grade or eighth grade, I
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: forget one of those two. We had we had to
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: read like a biography of any kind, and I did
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: Muggsy bogues and back then, I was short of a muggsy,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: but now I'm taller than him, so I could play
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: in the NBA. Man Trey is Savage, especially for the
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays here young fieno Trey Savage this season three
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: point two onetyra one point four to three whip is
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: definitely too high, but it was such a small sample
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: size you can't really take that much away from it.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: He had a zero er at home during the regu season.
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: Playoffs have been a little bit more difficult for him,
• 1:06:08
  Speaker 1: though he had a great outing against the Yankees. Since then,
• 1:06:11
  Speaker 1: he's been pretty mediocre. Though his two outings that he
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: had against Seattle, he went to combine nine to two thirds,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: allowed ten hits, allowed seven or in runs. That's not
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: good and it's six walks and eleven strikeouts. So after
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: that Yankee performance, Y Savage was not as good man
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: against Seattle. Although granted Seattle they hadn't seen him before
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: the first time they faced him, so that's actually a
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: bad sign for you, Savage, because when you have a
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: young star player like this, the fact that they haven't
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: been seen before by an opposing offense is usually an
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: advantage to them. But Seattle was able to hit him. Well.
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: You can give him a pass for the second outing,
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: which wasn't as bad, and Seattle, having already seen him before,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: should have been less of an advantage to you of
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 1: Savage in that next game. But I think he was
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 1: just able to bounce back decently in that one. But
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: still a little bit of a concern there man that
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: maybe he's maybe the pressure is kind of getting to
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: him a little bit, whatever the case may be. Even
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 1: though he was really good against the Yankees, you could
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: argue that he was even in a letdown spot after
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: that Yankee performance, though that was such an emotional high
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: with his parents there at the game. He set a
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays strike playoff strikeout record in that game, So
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: maybe you could argue he was in like a personal
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: letdown spot against Seattle in that first game against Seattle,
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: and then he pitched better at least in the other game.
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: There are a lot of ways that you can take this.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: Man does have a four point two ERA in the
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: playoffs this year at twenty two to seven strike at
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: walk ratio, so a high strike out rape of the
• 1:07:40
  Speaker 1: walk rates too high. What is he gonna do against
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers? I don't know, because the Dodgers. Of course,
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: of course they have never seen him before, so Y
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: Savage should have a little bit of an edge against
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers just because they haven't seen him before. But
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: in this game, it's like, what do you trust more?
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: Do you trust the unfamiliarity aspect of you Savage or
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: do you trust the veteran that has pretty much good
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: numbers everywhere you look? And Snell, I think you do
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: have to trust Snell more. I think he's gonna probably
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: outlast your Savage in this one. Again, Snell, I mean
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: he's more used to the grind and going deeper into games.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: I think that's basically where you get the edge with
• 1:08:18
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers here. Man. I think they do have the
• 1:08:21
  Speaker 1: edge in the starting pitching, and then I think that
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: could kind of get them into the bullpens where Toronto
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: might have to go to their bullpen first. And like
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: I said, neither bullpen is very good at Toronto's bullpen
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: has actually been quite bad in the playoffs. They have
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: like a five point five r in the playoffs something
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: like that. I think the Dodgers bullpen is actually better.
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: The Dodgers, by the way, they have not lost a
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: nine in they have not lost in nine innings in
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: the playoffs this year. They have one loss in the
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: playoffs and it was an extra inning game, and they've
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: won every other playoff game so far. So the Dodgers
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: are dominating. So I do agree with the money in
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: this one. I would lean to the Dodgers. I want
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: to actually lay a price on the road like that
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: in this game with this matchup. Not really, and I
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: would have an opinion on the under in this game
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: as well. Actually maybe would go first five innings on it,
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: just because I don't like the bullpens, and I kind
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: of expect both starting pitchers to do okay because you
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: have one who's just a really good pitcher and a
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: veteran and the other one who's a good pitcher and
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar to the opposing offense. A little bit difficult to
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: get there with it, though, because we are looking at
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: two of the best offenses in baseball too. Toronto's been
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: like the best offense since the All Star break, and
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers were I think number two on the entire
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: season to the Yankees, and Toronto was I think number
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: three in baseball so overall on the season offensively, So
• 1:09:43
  Speaker 1: you do have two really good offenses here. I won't
• 1:09:45
  Speaker 1: give out a play on that baseball game, but those
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: are my opinions. Slight. I think the strongest way to
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: play that is actually still the Dodgers, So I agree
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: with the money on that one. And yeah, I mean
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: slight lean to under in the first five innings on
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: that one, but that just seems dangerous to me. I
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: don't want to do it, dirty sock. What's up, man,
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: Thanks for coming back, thanks for hanging out college football,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: and then I will get out of here. We have
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 1: three games, really only one of them is interesting, which
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: is the one that Sab has a play on, and
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: I agree with him on it. The first game up,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: I mean North Texas and Charlotte. North Texas is a
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: fun team to watch because their offense is really really good,
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: although their defense is pretty bad. But could Charlotte really
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: take advantage of that? I don't know this Charlotte team, man.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: This Charlotte team is bad, and they seem to be
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: getting like professional money constantly this year and they just
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: keep losing and not covering. So I haven't given out
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 1: a play on Charlotte at all this year, but it's
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: been bad. They did lose their quarterback Harrol early on
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: after they lost him three weeks into the season, and
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: he might actually be back. So that's something to watch,
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: is that Harrol might be back. Connor Harrold I don't
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: know if he's not. I was gonna say, is he
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: Graham Harrell's brother. I don't think so, because Connor Harrel
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: is a brother, so he's not related to Graham Harrell,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: who was the quarterback on Texas Tech back in the day. Charlotte. Yeah.
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, they just haven't been good, man, but they're
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: gonna be better if Harrel is back. So it makes
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: this a little bit difficult to handicap. But they have
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: really been bad recently. They're coming off another blowout loss
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: to Temple. But they do get to host another kind
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: of isolated primetime game hero The last time they did
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: that Friday night game, they still got annihilated by South Florida,
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: and this kind of looks like a similar game to that.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: But I mean, at least they'll probably show up and
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: try to show up with some focus here because they
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 1: get to host a primetime game. North Texas. I mean,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: they've been good. They're six and one, they're in the mix.
• 1:11:52
  Speaker 1: Trying to win the American Conference here, but they might
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: overlook Charlotte, man. I mean, it looks like a sandwich
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: spot to me. Both these seems played on Saturday, by
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: the way, so they're both on a short week. But
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: even though North Texas is gonna be on the road here,
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: sometimes the better team does have an advantage here. But
• 1:12:11
  Speaker 1: I think North Texas in a sandwich spot, man. I mean,
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: they had that big game that you get up for
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: against South Florida. They got totally embarrassed by South Florida.
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: They bounced back nicely, and they had a lot of anger.
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: It looks like I didn't think it was a good
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: spot coming off of that. I thought it might hang
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: them over a little bit. And the opposite happened. In
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 1: North Texas absolutely destroyed UTSA last week, so they might
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: be feeling pretty good about themselves after that. UTSA is
• 1:12:36
  Speaker 1: actually not a bad team and North Texas just wood
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: shed at them basically. Now they have this Charlotte team
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: that nobody's gonna give a shit about, and they do
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: have Navy up next. That's a bigger game Navy. I
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: believe it's still undefeated, so yeah, that's a big game
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: coming up against Navy. It's a conference game, so I
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: think North Texas might just try to get in and
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: get out of this game and look right past Charlotte.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: I think it's a sandwich spot, so I would lean
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with Charlotte in this one. But
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: it's a high total, but you're getting a ton of
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: points with Charlotte. Two. The line was at twenty seven
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: at one, but obviously I would prefer twenty seven if
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: I was gonna take the points with them. It's down
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: to twenty five and a half, sixty percent of the
• 1:13:16
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty two percent of the cash on North Texas.
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: I don't agree with withe the cash percentages there right now.
• 1:13:21
  Speaker 1: I agree with that initial drop in the line. I
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: would take the points with Charlotte if I was gonna
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: play it. But Charlotte has just been severely underperforming just
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: all year, man. I mean they've been letting professional betters
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: down all year. Luckily not me because I haven't been evolved.
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: But slight opinion on that one of Charlotte. I do
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 1: think it's a sandwich spot for North Texas the very least.
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: But this is a mismatch too. That's on ESPN two
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: at seven at pm. That's why I don't parlay, sir,
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: the Flyers losses of the parlay, Yeah, because I went
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: three to zero to one yesterday. Man, I had a
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: monster day yesterday. It could have been four and oh.
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: But that's why, that's why everything is a straight bet,
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: because like, everything went my way yesterday, except that one
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: wound up being a push on the plus one make
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: your own plus one puck line. Basically on that one
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 1: you could have thrown the a puck line in the
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: parlor and then your parlay would have won, although you
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: would have won a little bit less than if the
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: money line had hit. But and it was because it
• 1:14:24
  Speaker 1: was like a little bit of a It was a
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: bit of a favorite price to play on the puck line.
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 1: Although I still I mean I thought the Flyers would
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 1: win that game. I mean, I thought the money line
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: was worth a shot there. But when you're playing hockey
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: money line underdogs like that, you're not necessarily saying they're
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game. You're saying you think they have
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: a better chance to win the game than what the
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: odds are. You played them straight, all right, that's good.
• 1:14:49
  Speaker 1: Hell yeah, a small amount ahead. You should have only straight.
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: Bett Man Parlays are gay, They're gay. Bets Cal at
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech at seven thirty pm. This is our boys
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: side play here. You know, I agree with him on this,
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: and I'm I'm pretty close to making this a play.
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think I'm gonna do it, but I agree
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: with him on Virginia Tech and this one. This is
• 1:15:10
  Speaker 1: on ESPN at seven thirty pm Eastern, And this is
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: the only actual good game of these three. This is
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: an acc battle, And right away people are gonna look
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: at this and say Cal is five and two, Virginia
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: Tech's two and five. Yet Virginia Tech is a six
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: point favorite, so what the hell? Like, what gives right now?
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: We see fifty four percent of the tickets on Virginia Tech.
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's even accurate, because I think
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: if the public is gonna want action in football, they're
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: gonna look towards this game tonight, and you gotta think
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be taking the points with Cal, Like, how
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: are you getting points with a five and two team
• 1:15:44
  Speaker 1: against the two and five team? Right it looks way
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: too easy to take the points with CAL. I think
• 1:15:49
  Speaker 1: the actual money is on the Virginia tech side, I
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 1: agree with it. I agree with SOB on this one.
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech up from five to six year. I don't
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna get to seven, so I don't think
• 1:15:59
  Speaker 1: you have to worry about that. If you're gonna play
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, you can lay six, six and a half whatever.
• 1:16:04
  Speaker 1: That is what I would do in this game if
• 1:16:06
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it close to doing so, especially
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: because it's one of those ones that I like to
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: see where the the oddsmakers are telling you something completely
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: different than what the records would indicate. As far as
• 1:16:17
  Speaker 1: CAL is concerned, they're having to go to the East Coast,
• 1:16:20
  Speaker 1: which is not easy. They did do it once this
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: year and they won at Boston College, and they were
• 1:16:25
  Speaker 1: an underdog in that game too. BC was a five
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: and a half way favorite there. I thought that it
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: was a good spot for BC and a bad spot
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: for Calum. BC could have won that game. I don't
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: think they were gonna cover, but they could have won.
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 1: BC had the lead late in the game. Cal somehow
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: pulled that game out of their ass. But we see
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: how bad BC is, dude, This BC team, I mean,
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: they're just getting thrashed by everybody. So that win really
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: does not look impressive anymore. Cal lost at home to
• 1:16:54
  Speaker 1: Duke in a spot where at least Duke should have
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: been a kind of a weird spot having to go
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: up to the Pacific Coast, and that didn't work out
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: for Cal. Cal has not stepped up in class very well.
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: Their best win is against Minnesota at home, and that
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: was another one of those ones where you have a
• 1:17:09
  Speaker 1: team that's not used to going out to the Pacific Coast,
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: Minnesota going out there. Minnesota is not as good as
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: the record looks, I wouldn't say. And then Cal last
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: week they beat North Carolina and they only beat them
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: by three, So Cal didn't cover in that one. And
• 1:17:26
  Speaker 1: we know North Carolina they're bad. I mean, Cal could
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: take that. I could see Cal taking that two ways. Man.
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 1: Cal could take that as hey, that was an embarrassing performance.
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: We should have won this game more easily. Or they
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: could be hyped about it because they just beat Bill Belichick.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: So I don't know which way they're gonna take it.
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: But that North Carolina team is not good. Not an
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: impressive performance from Cal. And sometimes when a team looks
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: bad and a win like that, I want to be
• 1:17:52
  Speaker 1: on that team, So that is actually one hesitation I
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: have with Virginia Tech here, but Cal going out to
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: the East Coast not an easy spot to be in all.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: It would be worse if they were doing it for
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: a noontime game and have to play like really early
• 1:18:06
  Speaker 1: on their biological clock. That would be worse because at
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: least this is gonna be like late afternoon biological clockwise,
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: so that's not as bad for them. But a night
• 1:18:15
  Speaker 1: game also means that the crowd is going to be
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: really fired up for it. The crowd's gonna be drunk.
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: They get an ESPN game, you know, the crowd's gonna
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: be there. So it's gonna be more of a home
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: field edge in that regard and Keldles have two ranked
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: opponents up next to Virginia and Louisville. Cal is still
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: technically in the mix for the ACC right now with
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: one ACC loss, but they haven't played any of the
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: better teams in the ACC yet, so I don't know
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: if that really means anything, and maybe they'll look ahead
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: to those bigger games. The sets up better for Virginia
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: Tech though man and Virginia Tech has played a more
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: difficult schedule. I mean, look at this They played South
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: Carolina and Vandy to us start the season, and they
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: played pretty competitively against South Carolina. South Carolina had a
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: late like fluke defensive touchdown or something returned touchdown or
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: something like that in that one. Virginia Tech probably should
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: have covered that one. We know South Carolina is not
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: as good as they were ranked though early in the season.
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 1: But we know Vandy is really good, So the fact
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: that Virginia Tech got smoked by them doesn't look that
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: bad right now, because Vandy's good. Virginia Tech losing an
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion doesn't look that bad either, although Old Dominion
• 1:19:20
  Speaker 1: got stomped by James Madison last week, but Old Dominion's
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: not a bad team either. That lost prompt in Virginia
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: Tech to fire their coach. They got a little spark.
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: They got an ACC win in there in their first
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: ACC game with their h the first ACC game at
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: all actually, and it was with the new the interim coach.
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: They beat NC State on the road. They played decently
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: after that against wake Forest and then on the road
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: at Georgia Tech. They only lost those games by seven.
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: I know Wake Forest isn't good, uh so still kind
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: of an ugly loss there for Virginia Tech. Losing by
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: only fifteen on the road at Georgia Tech is not
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: that bad though, and then they went into a bye,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: So Virginia Tech has been off since the eleventh so
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: I think that's good as well. So that means Virginia
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: Tech they went into a buy and a bad note.
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: And I talk about this all the time. When a
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: team goes into a buy and a bad note, that
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 1: means they can use that buy to fix some things.
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: So I think that's good. That means that they're gonna
• 1:20:13
  Speaker 1: be working out some things coming out of that buy.
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: Cal will probably be a team they'll focus on because
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: Cal's five and one or five and two, whatever it is.
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: And this game's a home game on ESPN, So I
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: think the crowd's gonna show up. I think Virginia Tech's
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for it. I think They're gonna use
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: that buy to their advantage. They do a big games
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: for the remainder of the season, though they have Louisville,
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: Florida State in Miami and Virginia very difficult slate to
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: finish off the season. Virginia Tech They're not gonna make
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: a bowl this year. Man, I mean, they have to
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: win three more games. I don't think that's gonna happen,
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: but who knows. Man, So that that might be another
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: reason to kind of show up for this one though,
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: because it's the last remaining game that's winnable for them
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: pretty sure, you know, like the last remaining game that
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: they're expected to actually win. So we will see. I
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: mean you could argue it's a little bit of a
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot too, I don't think it really is.
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: So I do lean to Virginia Attach. I can't quite
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: get there with this one. I like college football this week.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: By the way, I'm going to be back tonight. Well
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: I'll talk about that during my sign off, I guess,
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: because we do have one one other game to talk
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: about here. You've partied at Virginia Tech. Yeah, I think
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: it's a huge party school, some of these tech schools.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Even my tech school that I went to, which is
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: a small school, it was way more of a party
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: school than you would think. Yeah, the crowd is gonna
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: be wild. Yeah that's true. But yeah, I do lead
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: to Virginia Tech in that one. Overall, I'm not gonna
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: make it a play, but I definitely agree with it,
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: and then we have Boise at Nevada on to finish
• 1:21:42
  Speaker 1: this one off. Boise twenty one and a half point favorite,
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: and they're very public eighty nine percent of the ticket.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: It's only eighty four percent of the cash, so the
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: money is kind of saying to fade Boise here. And
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: I actually do agree with that sentiment. If I was
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: gonna play this game, I would take the points with
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: Nevada here. I know boys looked good since uh well,
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: they've looked good outside of their two losses, which were
• 1:22:04
  Speaker 1: both on the road against South Florida and Notre Dame.
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: Those are two I mean, I don't want to say
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: they're two good teams. Notre Dame is a good team.
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: South Florida not really. That was just a weird spot,
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: just a really bad mistake riddled game for Boise State.
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: Boise State they can still get into the playoff though,
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: but they do have to run the table. To do that,
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: they gotta win all their remaining Mountain West games, although
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: that looks fairly likely now that they're gonna run the
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: table in the Mountain West because the Mountain West isn't
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: that good and they already beat UNLV, who was one
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: of their main competitors in the Mountain West. And that's
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: what Boise is coming off of. Now. They are going
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: back out on the road here where they've been worse
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: on the road. They're only one to two on the
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: road and they barely covered the road game against air Force,
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: So Boise has been worse on the road. They gotta
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: go to Nevada here. They're coming off that UNLV win.
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: That was a huge win for Boise. It was way
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: higher scoring than I thought it would be. I thought
• 1:22:58
  Speaker 1: that if the game was gonna be higher scoring, I
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: thought that would actually be an advantage to UNLV. But
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: Boise still won and covered that game. Big win man,
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: because UNLV was undefeated. I kept talking about how UNLV
• 1:23:09
  Speaker 1: I thought was overrated. To still a huge win for
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: Boise because that's like one step closer to running the
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: table in the Mountain West. But who's the other team
• 1:23:18
  Speaker 1: that's really competitive in the Mountain West this year? Oh yeah,
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: that's Fresno, well and San Diego State. San Diego State's
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: three and ohero in the conference. Fresno I think only
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: is one loss on the season so far, and it
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: is a conference loss. But those two games are up
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: next for Boise After this one against Nevada, they got
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: their two remaining biggest games are against Fresno and San
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: Diego State, and those are their next two games. So
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot for Boise Man and for Nevada.
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're one and six. They really don't have
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to play for at this point. Highly
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: unlikely they're going to make a Bowl because they'd have
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: to win every remaining game to make a bowl. This
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: is a game I think they're gonna get up for.
• 1:23:56
  Speaker 1: It's on CBS Sports. It's an isolated Friday night game.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: They get to be on national TV basically ten pm
• 1:24:04
  Speaker 1: Eastern here for this one. Boise is coming to their place.
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: If they're gonna focus for a game, I think it's
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: gonna be this one. Man. Nevada has also played four
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: road games already, so they've been on the road a lot,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: so the schedule hasn't exactly been that easy for them.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: And three of those road games are against Penn State,
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky, and Fresno. And they played pretty competitively actually
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: against Fresno, so I mean they've had some games where
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: they haven't looked that bad, although they did lose that
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: home to Middle Tennessee, which is really really ugly. But
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: other than that, I mean, yeah, I mean they're not
• 1:24:38
  Speaker 1: a good team, but I do think this is a
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: spot where they're at least going to give you effort
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 1: in this game. And with a huge underdog like this,
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: that is what you want. You just want a team
• 1:24:45
  Speaker 1: to give you effort, and you want to be fading
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: a favorite that you don't think is gonna have full effort,
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: and I think that is what you get here. So
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: I do lean to taking the points with Nevada. Hear.
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: I know it is extremely ugly. Their only win was
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: a three point win against NFC team Sacramento State. They're
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: not a good team at all, but getting that many points,
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: I think it is probably the right move in that game.
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: And that is it. That is the other rundown for today.
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: Large board today, Crazy plays today one more time. They're
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: all in the NBA Boston plus three and a half,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: Detroit plus six and a half, Lakers plus two and
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: a half, and Portland plus one. Those are four NBA plays.
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: That's the entire card today, skipping the rest. All the
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: rest of the sports are pussy's today. If I was
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: gonna add another play would be laying the points with
• 1:25:40
  Speaker 1: the Virginia Tech. Though a couple of other leans that
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: I gave out in the NBA are decent leans, I
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: think as well. I think the Brooklyn lien was actually
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: pretty good in the NBA as well, at Brooklyn plus
• 1:25:52
  Speaker 1: the points. And what was the other one that I
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: pointed out, Oh fading the Spurs. I think I kind
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: of like that idea to Pelicans. Oh and the Kings
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: fading the Jazz off of their upset win. Those three
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: I think are decent leans to a lot of opinions
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: in the NBA today, man, But hopefully I whittled it
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: down to the best of the best. Hopefully we can
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: get it done, man. Hopefully we get some money line
• 1:26:16
  Speaker 1: underdog wins here, because it's all underdogs today. I'll be
• 1:26:20
  Speaker 1: back tonight for college football. I know, I don't know.
• 1:26:22
  Speaker 1: I haven't had any college football plays in these midweek games.
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech I think is a pretty good look tonight,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: but there are at least four games on the Saturday
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: slate that I really really like. We have some major,
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: major sandwich spots on the board tomorrow. So I'll be
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: back tonight. I'm gonna have at least four college football plays,
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: possibly more. I haven't broken down the rest of the
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: card yet, but there are like four that I think
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: are almost definitively plays already. So we'll see. I mean
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: I usually don't have many more than that. I usually
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: have between four and six, usually exactly four. But we'll see. Well,
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: sometimes like the midweek game pushes me up to like
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: five per week. Sometimes, Well, we'll see, but I'll be
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 1: back midnight Eastern tonight to talk about that. Yeah. Man,
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: it's the weekend, so we get more. We get football shows.
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: Football is in action. Man. I appreciate it, everybody. Thanks
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Learn it tone on Twitter, learn it
• 1:27:16
  Speaker 1: tone on Instagram, like it, subscribe to the channel here.
• 1:27:18
  Speaker 1: We're hot right now, man, So tell everybody We've had
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: like an amazing last like month plus right now. Like
• 1:27:24
  Speaker 1: everything's going really well for the most part, so hopefully
• 1:27:27
  Speaker 1: it continues. NBA has been really really good for me historically.
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: We're already two and zero in the NBA, so hopefully
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 1: that continues as well. Yeah, and uh, listen on audio
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: as well. iTunes are Apple and Spotify, and give me
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: reviews on there. That helps me out too. The numbers
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: have been increasing on the audio, so that's good. I
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: want to get some more more numbers, man, I mean,
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: I'm too long winded. I think Instagram is where my
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: short form videos are covered in you because my yuke
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube, so check that out too. That's up
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 1: to date right now as well with Charles's Monster Mash
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: cover that I gave him. The NBA is the gayest Nate, yeah,
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: I mean it's the most rigged for sure. I mean
• 1:28:08
  Speaker 1: we had the Tim Donnahey reffing scandal back in the day.
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: I still haven't watched that. One of those untold documentaries
• 1:28:15
  Speaker 1: on Netflix, there's one about Donnahey. I still haven't watched
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: that one yet. I've been meaning to do that. I
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: remember it happening though, And I remember thirty Rock, uh
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: because his name is Tim Donnahey and Alec Baldwin thirty
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: Rock is Jack Donnaghy or whatever, and like I think
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: at one point in the show he said that his
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: cousin was Tim Donnaey or whatever. Oh man, like they
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: made that reference. I thought it was hilarious. Thirty Rock.
• 1:28:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, say what you will about you know whatever.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: Like all these leftists that are involved in or whatever.
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 1: Thirty Rock actually a hilarious show. I mean, I don't Yeah,
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: there's there's no doubt about that. TV comedy was still
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: pretty good back then, all right. Yeah, covered in YUK
• 1:28:55
  Speaker 1: and then Patreon dot com slash learned its own and
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: there's a Yuke feed there which I think I'm about
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: three or four covers behind on that one right now.
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: I'll get it up to date. Man, I got some
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: of them uploaded yesterday. I know I'm slow, but I
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: appreciate all the support man, Pedron dot com, slash learner
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: toe for that. And if you're at the highest level,
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: like Charles, you get to request covers from me and
• 1:29:17
  Speaker 1: I'll try to do them. Monster Mash I was able
• 1:29:20
  Speaker 1: to do. Sometimes I might have to say no, but
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: I'll try anything that I might be able to do them,
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 1: and at least it probably attempt it. That's gonna do it.
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: Thanks guys for hanging out. Let's get some wins in
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: the NBA here. Peace out for now and come back
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: tonight for college football. Man, it'll be another two to
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: three hours probably college football. Hopefully I stay alive, but
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: peace for now,