Latest / The Paul Barron Crypto Show / Bitcoin SMASHES ALL-TIME HIGH🔥 l FOMO Begins🚀 Ft. Investing Broz
Transcript
- 0:06Speaker 1: Bitcoin has hit a new all time high. Of course,
- 0:08Speaker 1: we're going to be breaking this down for you guys
- 0:10Speaker 1: and tell you what's going to happen in the markets
- 0:12Speaker 1: in the coming days. Money with s Paul Bara. Welcome
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- 0:52Speaker 1: I want to bring in a course, mister Tim Warren,
- 0:55Speaker 1: coming in from investing bros. How are you.
- 0:58Speaker 2: Doing good, doing good. Hard to complain on a day
- 1:01Speaker 2: where bitcoin hits new all time highs.
- 1:03Speaker 1: You know, tell me about it. By the way, if
- 1:04Speaker 1: you guys are not over on Investing Bros right now
- 1:08Speaker 1: on YouTube, this of course is Tim's channel. He does
- 1:11Speaker 1: a great job at breaking down a lot of what
- 1:14Speaker 1: the market is doing, and right there it is. I know,
- 1:16Speaker 1: you guys did a live stream on did you have
- 1:18Speaker 1: a live stream this morning?
- 1:19Speaker 3: Yeah?
- 1:19Speaker 2: Well we meet the next Oh yeah, okay, I like that.
- 1:22Speaker 2: Normally we normally don't go live until three pm Eastern
- 1:25Speaker 2: Standard time, but today I was like, we actually started
- 1:27Speaker 2: setting all up before before we hit all the time.
- 1:30Speaker 2: We're like, let's try to be live while we're all
- 1:32Speaker 2: and then, of course, as we're saying on the stream,
- 1:33Speaker 2: it hits all the time. I was like, well we'll celebrate. Yeah, yeah, hey, listen.
- 1:37Speaker 1: I tweeted this today and this was kind of in
- 1:41Speaker 1: alignment with what I think is happening in the market.
- 1:44Speaker 1: I've got some Wall Street sources out there that we
- 1:47Speaker 1: talk with quite a bit, especially around the Bitcoin ETF
- 1:51Speaker 1: and the sentiment from last night. We had kind of
- 1:54Speaker 1: a little pow wow discussion and they were talking that
- 1:56Speaker 1: the demand and the appetite right now for institutional capital
- 2:00Speaker 1: on these bitcoin ETFs is skyrocketing, and it's possibly even
- 2:04Speaker 1: more than we can be expecting. So that's the real question.
- 2:08Speaker 1: Over three hundred and twenty nine million in inflow to
- 2:12Speaker 1: spock bitcoin ETFs on Tuesday. This is the fifth straight
- 2:15Speaker 1: day of inflows right now. Black Rock obviously leading the
- 2:18Speaker 1: space on i bet at two eighty seven, Fidelity came
- 2:21Speaker 1: in number two at twenty three. But you know, and
- 2:24Speaker 1: then we get the next morning bitcoin smashing through. It's
- 2:27Speaker 1: all time high. So you look at the demand, you
- 2:31Speaker 1: look at the global We've got a couple of clips
- 2:32Speaker 1: to play here, Tim, But what do you think on
- 2:35Speaker 1: the chart when you look at the chart for bitcoin's
- 2:38Speaker 1: health right now?
- 2:40Speaker 2: Yeah, Paul, I'll be honest with you. If you had
- 2:42Speaker 2: asked me last week, said Tim, next week for all
- 2:44Speaker 2: time high, I would have said maybe, but probably not.
- 2:47Speaker 2: You know, we have been over extended on bitcoin. I
- 2:49Speaker 2: can show right now and we're going to show some
- 2:51Speaker 2: clips here, but we have been over hit the button twice,
- 2:54Speaker 2: over extended on bitcoin all the way back here. We
- 2:57Speaker 2: should have corrected back early in May. Not anything major.
- 3:00Speaker 2: I don't think this was I always told people, don't
- 3:03Speaker 2: sell and may and walk away. I think May it's
- 3:05Speaker 2: gonna be a big, big month. I just thought we
- 3:07Speaker 2: were gonna correct back down towards eighty nine thousand. First
- 3:10Speaker 2: we ignored it right, bearish indicators told us we had
- 3:13Speaker 2: cell singles coming in, we were over extended bearish divergence.
- 3:16Speaker 2: We're good to go. Then we put in a new high,
- 3:18Speaker 2: getting back up of one hundred thousand, and said, oh
- 3:20Speaker 2: this is great, all right, this time to pull back.
- 3:22Speaker 2: We even set up here over the last couple of days,
- 3:25Speaker 2: we set up a bearish formation called a rising channel.
- 3:28Speaker 2: Ask any technical anunlest anyone knows the charts, seven out
- 3:31Speaker 2: of ten times at least, if not closer to eight
- 3:33Speaker 2: or nine, these break to the downside. But today the
- 3:35Speaker 2: bulls woke up and chose violence and not just breaking
- 3:38Speaker 2: of resistance. They've now given us a new all time
- 3:41Speaker 2: high for the first time in several months, shutting the
- 3:44Speaker 2: mouths of all those bears. I mean, where are the
- 3:46Speaker 2: bears today that are that we're saying we weren't ever
- 3:49Speaker 2: gonna see a new all time I ever, again, Bitcoin's
- 3:51Speaker 2: going to three thousand. I don't think they're tweeting that
- 3:53Speaker 2: much today, and it's gonna be crazy, Paul, because we
- 3:57Speaker 2: will probably go back to the charts. I'll I'll show
- 4:00Speaker 2: you where the charts are saying correct again. I'll show
- 4:03Speaker 2: you the indicators to say we should go back down
- 4:06Speaker 2: the money flow right now. And like what you just
- 4:08Speaker 2: brought up that tweet that the institutions that are coming
- 4:12Speaker 2: in and going crazy bullish. This is something as a
- 4:15Speaker 2: technical analyst, I probably should stick to just the charts.
- 4:17Speaker 2: But I've been telling people this bull market's going to
- 4:19Speaker 2: be different last bullmarket. The institutions manipulate the markets to
- 4:23Speaker 2: suppress the price this market. Watch the charts sometimes not
- 4:27Speaker 2: get it right because they can't cop they can't even
- 4:29Speaker 2: compute how bullish these institutional big money buyers are. And
- 4:34Speaker 2: I think that's what we're seeing happen right now.
- 4:36Speaker 1: I always worry about price manipulation because that's you know, obvious,
- 4:40Speaker 1: you know functions that we see when big money gets
- 4:42Speaker 1: involved in capital markets, like what we have right now
- 4:45Speaker 1: with bitcoin. And you think about that and where the
- 4:48Speaker 1: bitcoin market is going. But also the other factory is
- 4:51Speaker 1: and I'll show you in a minute, is that there's
- 4:53Speaker 1: a lot still looming of retail, because retail hasn't necessarily
- 4:57Speaker 1: engaged just yet. I think that's the question I have
- 5:01Speaker 1: to you when you look at the chart the way
- 5:03Speaker 1: bitcoin is lining up right now, has there been any
- 5:06Speaker 1: other historical events in bitcoin charts that have similarities to
- 5:12Speaker 1: what we're seeing right now.
- 5:14Speaker 2: Yeah, I wouldn't say anything that I'm finding is identical.
- 5:17Speaker 2: A question I would have is are we going to
- 5:19Speaker 2: potentially see a repeat of maybe what just happened or not?
- 5:23Speaker 2: I say, just what happened way back in twenty twenty
- 5:27Speaker 2: at the very end of twenty twenty. Those of you
- 5:29Speaker 2: who have been invested that long, remember we were approaching
- 5:31Speaker 2: twenty thousand again, former all time highs. Yes, we had
- 5:34Speaker 2: a little bit of a correction right there, nothing major,
- 5:37Speaker 2: just little bounce, and then when we shot through new
- 5:39Speaker 2: all time highs, we just took off. I'll show the
- 5:41Speaker 2: charts on that one if you scroll all the way
- 5:43Speaker 2: back here. So give me a second. I'm going to
- 5:46Speaker 2: day the chart. There we go. Good, So we're gonna
- 5:48Speaker 2: go all the way back here to December of twenty twenty. Okay, this,
- 5:52Speaker 2: of course, again we're hitting those all time highs up
- 5:54Speaker 2: towards twenty thousand that we're set back in December seventeen,
- 5:57Speaker 2: we hesitated below. We didn't set a new all time
- 6:00Speaker 2: high until December sixteenth, give or take. But once we did,
- 6:04Speaker 2: we took off like a bottle rocket, right. I remember vividly.
- 6:07Speaker 2: I was newer to trading, I was newer to charts.
- 6:11Speaker 2: Everyone that I was learning charts from was just dumbfounded.
- 6:14Speaker 2: They said, this just doesn't make any sense. Bitcoin won't stop.
- 6:17Speaker 2: Even that little hiccup that happened at the end December.
- 6:19Speaker 2: We just continued into January with parabolic moves. Here. That's
- 6:25Speaker 2: gonna be the question. Will we see a move like that?
- 6:27Speaker 2: I mean, I was expecting maybe a similar move to
- 6:30Speaker 2: what we saw last summer, last fall, where you did
- 6:33Speaker 2: see several pullbacks towards the daily Smart trail before we
- 6:37Speaker 2: went parabolic. But this one, man, I mean, we're not
- 6:41Speaker 2: even getting close to the daily Smart trail this point,
- 6:43Speaker 2: and at some point we got to touch it. At
- 6:45Speaker 2: some point, the daily Smart trail we will be revisited.
- 6:48Speaker 2: But now as we have sent a new all time high,
- 6:50Speaker 2: are we gonna kind of flounder right here? Or are
- 6:53Speaker 2: we gonna go crazy and shoot all the way to
- 6:55Speaker 2: one hundred and twenty before the next reversal. Last thing
- 6:58Speaker 2: i'll show here on the Bitcoin show art that we've
- 7:00Speaker 2: been monitoring is the M two global money supply. I
- 7:03Speaker 2: want to change this though, to twelve weeks instead of
- 7:05Speaker 2: only ten because a lot of times it's more like
- 7:07Speaker 2: ninety days. So I want to see three months. If
- 7:10Speaker 2: you look at this, this is a this is a
- 7:11Speaker 2: lag obviously on how the M two money supply is moving,
- 7:15Speaker 2: but it's saying, yeah, I mean, if we tuned here,
- 7:18Speaker 2: the next couple of days should start the next parabolic
- 7:21Speaker 2: run on bitcoin, uh with with a lot of explosiveness.
- 7:25Speaker 2: It's not one hundreds that perfect how the M two
- 7:27Speaker 2: moves compared to bitcoin, but it's very similar. Look at
- 7:30Speaker 2: those history of this. When M two's rallying, Bitcoin's rallying.
- 7:33Speaker 2: When M two's falling, M two bitcoin is falling. This
- 7:37Speaker 2: is saying, if we stick to it, we should have
- 7:38Speaker 2: another big run here in the next couple of days.
- 7:41Speaker 2: Maybe it just started today.
- 7:43Speaker 1: All right, So if that is the case, and you
- 7:45Speaker 1: see shorts being liquidated, here was you know, fifty million
- 7:49Speaker 1: just in the past sixty minutes. That was as its morning.
- 7:53Speaker 1: I mean, is anybody looking at shorting bitcoin. I mean,
- 7:56Speaker 1: this could be the contrarian play right now. You know,
- 8:00Speaker 1: there is so much euphoria because that's what the market,
- 8:02Speaker 1: I think is feeling right now. CNBC is going crazy,
- 8:05Speaker 1: squawk boxes off the hook. Everybody's screaming at the top
- 8:09Speaker 1: of their lungs that institutional is pulling this market forward.
- 8:14Speaker 1: Do you feel like anybody would be brave enough to
- 8:16Speaker 1: short bitcoin right now?
- 8:18Speaker 2: Well, they should be. I'll be very honest. While I've
- 8:20Speaker 2: been in a very long term long on bitcoin, making
- 8:23Speaker 2: a lot of money on my long from seventy four
- 8:25Speaker 2: to four, I've been hedging at times. I have a
- 8:27Speaker 2: couple wins with my hedging bets. I have a couple
- 8:29Speaker 2: losses the last three days I have the last three days,
- 8:31Speaker 2: I have three losses. Trying to short this bitcoin market.
- 8:35Speaker 2: The charts are there. The chart is saying to pull back.
- 8:37Speaker 2: So this is a liquidation chart on the screen. And
- 8:40Speaker 2: this was the last pile. I thought we were going
- 8:42Speaker 2: to teeter into it, touch it here on one oh
- 8:43Speaker 2: seven and come back down. That's why I said a
- 8:45Speaker 2: short there didn't work out. But you can see the
- 8:48Speaker 2: last layer of it is coming up here right around
- 8:50Speaker 2: one to ten After that we go into full blown
- 8:53Speaker 2: price discovery mode. Anything after that, I mean, if I
- 8:56Speaker 2: went to a fifty minute chart, you're gonna find some
- 8:58Speaker 2: liquidations above us. But all these credations are from short
- 9:01Speaker 2: positions that have just been entered within the last hour
- 9:04Speaker 2: and a half. So we've hit everything major we've been
- 9:08Speaker 2: looking at for months now. Now it becomes a question
- 9:12Speaker 2: does the bullishmentum continue or is this the perfect excuse
- 9:14Speaker 2: now that we touched new aultime high? Is this finally
- 9:17Speaker 2: the time after about three weeks of needing to pull back?
- 9:21Speaker 2: Is this finally the excuse I told people in my
- 9:23Speaker 2: life we did earlier. If you're an experienced trader, there
- 9:26Speaker 2: are so many arguments right now to enter a short
- 9:28Speaker 2: position on bitcoin. If you're not, though, sit back, drink
- 9:32Speaker 2: the kool aid, watch the charts, watch shows like Paul
- 9:35Speaker 2: baron Network because you want to stay up there and
- 9:36Speaker 2: everything happening. But maybe just hoddle It's going to be
- 9:39Speaker 2: a fun summer, just hoddle on.
- 9:42Speaker 1: Yeah, and you look at bitcoin right now, surpassing Amazon
- 9:45Speaker 1: as the fifth largest asset in the world by market cap,
- 9:50Speaker 1: So kudos to the big Orange bee. I think we
- 9:53Speaker 1: are in a position right now that really starts to
- 9:55Speaker 1: maybe bring in a little bit of the market coming
- 9:59Speaker 1: from other categories. One of them, of course, is gold.
- 10:02Speaker 1: You look at this, fifty million Americans right now own
- 10:05Speaker 1: bitcoin in contrast to thirty six point seven americans owning gold. Now,
- 10:10Speaker 1: that to me is a surprising stat And you look
- 10:14Speaker 1: because the amount is so clearly, that means that there's
- 10:17Speaker 1: just the depth of people owning gold, a lot more
- 10:20Speaker 1: of it. My question is does this start to push
- 10:24Speaker 1: the needle forward on retail basically looking at bitcoin as
- 10:29Speaker 1: my alternative asset, meaning instead of buying Microsoft and Amazon
- 10:34Speaker 1: like I was a decade ago, I'm just going to
- 10:36Speaker 1: start pouring every extra dollar I can into bitcoin. What
- 10:40Speaker 1: do you think the retail environment is right now?
- 10:44Speaker 2: Yeah, I would be lying to say, I haven't been
- 10:46Speaker 2: reached out to by a couple of my friends and
- 10:48Speaker 2: family members who have not invested yet, asking me where
- 10:51Speaker 2: to go. That's another reason why I think a correction
- 10:53Speaker 2: should become here soon, because anytime a brand new investment,
- 10:57Speaker 2: anytime the news quote unquote start asking about it, that's
- 11:00Speaker 2: when you think something's happening. But yeah, I think when
- 11:04Speaker 2: you look at a lot of different indicators the retail
- 11:07Speaker 2: it's here. It's not that retailers aren't present, but I
- 11:10Speaker 2: think it's a lot more experienced older holders, not necessarily
- 11:15Speaker 2: a lot of new retail in vestors, which is why
- 11:16Speaker 2: I don't think the bull market top is in. I also,
- 11:18Speaker 2: again looking at that number, which again I'm seeing now
- 11:21Speaker 2: for the first time, that there's more Americans own bitcoin
- 11:25Speaker 2: than gold. I would say, though, if you were to
- 11:27Speaker 2: dive into that, Paul, more than likely what you're seeing
- 11:29Speaker 2: is of those fifty million Americans owning bitcoin, the majority
- 11:33Speaker 2: of us are probably not multi multi multi millionaires versus
- 11:37Speaker 2: I bet you you have your a lot more millionaires
- 11:40Speaker 2: owning gold. Here's gonna be the question, Gold's not gonna plummet.
- 11:43Speaker 2: I don't want anyone to think that I'm like a
- 11:45Speaker 2: gold bear. I'm not the anti Peter Shift. But how
- 11:50Speaker 2: long before some of those gold bugs wake up and say,
- 11:53Speaker 2: you know what, Gold's awesome, but gold only keeps me
- 11:56Speaker 2: where I'm at pretty much. Right, If I want to
- 11:58Speaker 2: turn this into more, can change a lot. Right now,
- 12:01Speaker 2: Let me go buy this hot asset over here, bitcoin,
- 12:04Speaker 2: Let me buy the dips. Whenever those cool offs do happen,
- 12:06Speaker 2: maybe watch that transition of millionaires in America switch over
- 12:11Speaker 2: into bitcoin holders. They'll keep both proper diversification. But it's
- 12:15Speaker 2: so hard to argue that bitcoin isn't the newest, hottest
- 12:17Speaker 2: thing and everyone's talking about it at this point.
- 12:20Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I think at the point is to your
- 12:23Speaker 1: exact issue right there, is that maybe there is a
- 12:25Speaker 1: psychological shift that's occurring right now on long term investors
- 12:30Speaker 1: that have large liquidity pools available to them. And part
- 12:35Speaker 1: of that is, you know, resident in the sense that
- 12:38Speaker 1: we are seeing the kind of ETF runs that we
- 12:40Speaker 1: are right now. I want to go to a flip
- 12:42Speaker 1: by Nova Grats. He talks about this very point, take
- 12:45Speaker 1: a look.
- 12:46Speaker 3: But really it was the change of the shift of
- 12:49Speaker 3: approach from the Gary Genzler sec to this Trump administration,
- 12:55Speaker 3: which has just embraced our industry, and that freed up
- 12:59Speaker 3: the animals spear.
- 13:00Speaker 1: It's both here and abroad.
- 13:01Speaker 3: Right. I've had conversations with heads of large sovereign wealth
- 13:05Speaker 3: funds that said, if America's buying bitcoin, we're buying bitcoin.
- 13:08Speaker 3: And so you're seeing like the snowball is rolling downhill.
- 13:13Speaker 3: The one thing that could have held it back some
- 13:16Speaker 3: at least the bitcoin price would have been if you know,
- 13:19Speaker 3: Scott Besst and his and his team and Congress could
- 13:25Speaker 3: have really not that deficit from seven percent of GDP
- 13:29Speaker 3: down towards three, which was his plan. Right now it
- 13:31Speaker 3: looks like it's going from seven to eight. And you know,
- 13:34Speaker 3: I like Scott best and a lot. I think he's
- 13:36Speaker 3: as competent and capable as anybody. We're in a really
- 13:40Speaker 3: hard position as a country, and when you have this
- 13:42Speaker 3: kind of debt and you're seeing it with long ends
- 13:45Speaker 3: of interest, yield curves are selling off everywhere, the dollars
- 13:50Speaker 3: under pressure, and that all is very good for bitcoin
- 13:53Speaker 3: and crypto acids as well.
- 13:55Speaker 1: So you know, he hit on a couple of points there.
- 13:58Speaker 1: One I think directly as Scott in the sense of
- 14:01Speaker 1: really trying to get the deficit down, because that would
- 14:04Speaker 1: in certain areas weeken the dollar. If we get a
- 14:07Speaker 1: weeker dollar, typically we see bitcoin and alternative assets move.
- 14:12Speaker 1: Right now, the dollar is stronger and rebounding a little bit.
- 14:14Speaker 1: If you compare that on the Dixie. Why do you
- 14:17Speaker 1: think we are seeing potentially a strong dollar and bitcoin
- 14:22Speaker 1: hitting new all time highs, especially with pressure on US treasuries.
- 14:29Speaker 2: Yeah, well it looks like the Dixie is falling a
- 14:31Speaker 2: little bit here today when I look at the chart,
- 14:34Speaker 2: when you look at the one hour chart again, so
- 14:35Speaker 2: if you go back to a couple of days ago,
- 14:37Speaker 2: a week orgis or so, we're falling here on the Dixie, right,
- 14:41Speaker 2: So the dollar is losing value here, but you know
- 14:45Speaker 2: it did rebound. You want to make sure I'm looking
- 14:48Speaker 2: this correctly, because again it had a nice little dead
- 14:50Speaker 2: cat bounce here. But the dollar's been falling here on
- 14:52Speaker 2: the Dixie since back in January, had a nice little rebound.
- 14:56Speaker 2: For the most part. It is almost like keeping in
- 14:58Speaker 2: touch with what bitcoin was doing. I love you say,
- 15:00Speaker 2: at the end of the day, the dollar going downhill
- 15:02Speaker 2: is good for bitcoin. Let's say the dollar goes up
- 15:04Speaker 2: and LIQUIDI comes back, that's good for bitcoin. Why because
- 15:07Speaker 2: people are waking up and saying, whether it happens today
- 15:10Speaker 2: or next year or ten years from now, the dollars dying,
- 15:13Speaker 2: Fiat is dying, Crypto is here and it's time to invest. Well.
- 15:17Speaker 1: And I think to your point, where in I believe
- 15:20Speaker 1: you're talking about the Japanese yen in terms.
- 15:22Speaker 2: Of US, I said, yeah, you're right. Yeah, So with.
- 15:26Speaker 1: The end, because This is something that does affect the
- 15:28Speaker 1: United States in a big way because they're the largest
- 15:31Speaker 1: holder of US treasuries, and if we do see a
- 15:33Speaker 1: pressure on US treasuries of them selling to obviously compensate
- 15:37Speaker 1: for what's happening with the end, that could also benefit
- 15:41Speaker 1: the dollar going down. But this will get into a
- 15:44Speaker 1: play here in a second, we'll talk about in terms
- 15:46Speaker 1: of stable coins, because this may replace then this may
- 15:49Speaker 1: be the alpha hack that everybody's waiting for. I'll share
- 15:53Speaker 1: that with you guys in a second. But I want
- 15:54Speaker 1: to go to a tweet here by Matt Siegel. Mats
- 15:57Speaker 1: says bitcoin. Now one case, this was right before it
- 16:00Speaker 1: hit all time high. But yet the Google trends chart
- 16:03Speaker 1: looks like this, basically flat, if not down. Yes, this
- 16:06Speaker 1: is bitcoin people searching for bitcoins. So clearly retail has
- 16:11Speaker 1: not necessarily come in just yet, and not that they will,
- 16:16Speaker 1: because it's very possible that we could see FOMO hitting
- 16:21Speaker 1: not at the retail level first, but actually at the
- 16:24Speaker 1: global macro level on large investment, much like what we
- 16:28Speaker 1: were talking about earlier. Let me play a clip for
- 16:30Speaker 1: you on this very point and see what you think.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Take a look.
- 16:34Speaker 4: Well, the word is FOMO because a lot of investors
- 16:37Speaker 4: just haven't participated. We've had this twenty percent advance off
- 16:41Speaker 4: of the lows. They haven't believed it. We've gapped above
- 16:43Speaker 4: the twenty period moving average, a fifty day moving average,
- 16:46Speaker 4: and the tutor day moving average, and they still look
- 16:49Speaker 4: at this market and say, how do I get on
- 16:50Speaker 4: board with this? When again the market's going up. It's
- 16:53Speaker 4: creating a lot of challenges for investors because when you
- 16:56Speaker 4: look at the positioning data, they're just not there.
- 17:00Speaker 1: All right. So this is being the traditional SMP markets
- 17:03Speaker 1: moving up in alignment with what's happening around the Trump
- 17:06Speaker 1: Plan so far, a lot of correlation to the political
- 17:11Speaker 1: timeline that's been happening in the Middle East, most likely
- 17:14Speaker 1: with a war being settled, and now with the restructuring
- 17:18Speaker 1: and possibly a reset with China. All of this layering
- 17:22Speaker 1: into what we could see back to your point earlier
- 17:24Speaker 1: tim more money flow in the M two coming in
- 17:28Speaker 1: from profits, and if that happens, usually that's slipping into
- 17:33Speaker 1: decent or at least diversified assets such as bitcoin and
- 17:36Speaker 1: all coins. You think that's going to have a huge
- 17:39Speaker 1: play of taking bitcoin maybe to a parabolic run.
- 17:43Speaker 2: Here you're talking about the slipping of FIAT in general
- 17:47Speaker 2: or the M two supply, the.
- 17:49Speaker 1: M two supply being ejected or increased because of what
- 17:54Speaker 1: we're seeing in terms of the gains on the S
- 17:55Speaker 1: and P, mainly the traditional finance sector, them taking profits.
- 18:00Speaker 1: You know, people are going to say, well, I'm going
- 18:02Speaker 1: to pull some profits out of traditional finance. Look at
- 18:05Speaker 1: some alternatives out here that may have a harder run.
- 18:07Speaker 1: Is bitcoin one of those?
- 18:09Speaker 2: Oh? I mean absolutely. Anytime you're going to look at
- 18:12Speaker 2: different asset classes and say this one's over bought, this
- 18:14Speaker 2: one's over sold, people want to buy over sold. Smart money,
- 18:17Speaker 2: which is the big money, which is the money that
- 18:19Speaker 2: moves markets, they want to buy over sold. What I think,
- 18:23Speaker 2: you know, there's a lot of things you could go
- 18:24Speaker 2: into on that one. What I would even say is
- 18:26Speaker 2: to go a little further. How long it's going to
- 18:30Speaker 2: take to finalize is going to be a big question
- 18:32Speaker 2: people are wondering. But the S and P five hundred
- 18:35Speaker 2: and the stock market, they're going to go the round
- 18:36Speaker 2: of tokenization. What's tokenization? A lot of different art coins
- 18:40Speaker 2: in there. We're talking the ethereums and the chain links
- 18:43Speaker 2: and the onos and the avaxes and you know you
- 18:45Speaker 2: have to have your proper layer ones, not just ethereum.
- 18:48Speaker 2: You're gonna see suiy and solon to others benefit from
- 18:50Speaker 2: that world as well. The stock market could go up,
- 18:53Speaker 2: and that makes all coins go up even higher because
- 18:56Speaker 2: again they're gonna start building on these alt coins.
- 18:59Speaker 1: Bingo.
- 19:00Speaker 2: Well again, I like the expression I'm a virgia tech fans.
- 19:03Speaker 2: For anyone who's in America knows college football, I'm a
- 19:06Speaker 2: tech fan. I grew up. I grew up with a
- 19:08Speaker 2: cup my dad, and this cup is said, all dirt
- 19:10Speaker 2: roads lead to Blacksburg. We love that expression. I've been
- 19:14Speaker 2: using that I've been taking due to crypto. All dirt
- 19:17Speaker 2: roads lead towards Bitcoin and these top all coins going
- 19:22Speaker 2: parabolic in the next five years, if not in the
- 19:24Speaker 2: next year and a half. Why because hey, is the
- 19:28Speaker 2: economy doing well? Invest in the future, invest in this cryptocurrency.
- 19:32Speaker 2: Is everything not going well up? Viacht currency is terrible.
- 19:35Speaker 2: We gotta get a new technology. We gotta get into Bitcoin,
- 19:37Speaker 2: We gotta get into these all coins. We got token
- 19:39Speaker 2: is everything and make it more streamlined. All dirt roads
- 19:41Speaker 2: lead to all coins rallying to Bitcoin rallying it's just
- 19:44Speaker 2: not all coin season yet, it's bitcoin season. But I'm
- 19:47Speaker 2: still optimistic later this summer or fall, alts are gonna
- 19:50Speaker 2: go parabolic with or without the S and P five
- 19:53Speaker 2: hundred going up or now.
- 19:54Speaker 1: Yeah, well don't don't don't spoil it because we're gonna
- 19:57Speaker 1: get into some all coins. Care a little bit, But
- 20:00Speaker 1: I do want to ask you about what Arthur Hayes said.
- 20:02Speaker 1: And here's Arthur Hayes. He's warning mainly of a harsh
- 20:05Speaker 1: bitcoin correction, so he's kind of on your camp in
- 20:08Speaker 1: the sense that, hey, it's due. But at the same time,
- 20:11Speaker 1: he's pointing out toward around one fifty as the mark
- 20:15Speaker 1: that we could literally see a one hundred and fifty
- 20:17Speaker 1: k bitcoin and then a harsh correction, whether that is
- 20:21Speaker 1: back down to one twenty or one hundred. What do
- 20:25Speaker 1: you believe if we did see a one to fifty bitcoin?
- 20:28Speaker 1: How would you play that out for a correction? Would
- 20:31Speaker 1: you buy on the way down? What would be the
- 20:33Speaker 1: strategy for you?
- 20:36Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, so what we've seen so happened so
- 20:38Speaker 2: far this year. We just got a thirty three percent correction,
- 20:41Speaker 2: We've seen several twenty percent corrections. Would I would say
- 20:44Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty thousand would make sense to go
- 20:47Speaker 2: ahead and have another Let's call it a mild bear market, Paul,
- 20:50Speaker 2: I mean, I wouldn't call it a full blown bear market.
- 20:53Speaker 2: But last summer, summer twenty four, that was long, and
- 20:56Speaker 2: that was hard for some people, and it took out
- 20:58Speaker 2: a lot of people. Convinced lot people the bloom mark
- 20:59Speaker 2: was over. Sure enough, in September we rebounded, we started going.
- 21:03Speaker 2: November really got the ball rolling, and we hit new
- 21:06Speaker 2: all type highs. But no, I would be all on
- 21:09Speaker 2: board for let's see, let me see what that correction
- 21:11Speaker 2: would be. All share my screen just so people can
- 21:13Speaker 2: see it as well. Let's say we got to one fifty,
- 21:15Speaker 2: you know somewhere this camp. I think one forties can
- 21:17Speaker 2: also be an interesting zone. Let's just say one to fifty.
- 21:19Speaker 2: What would a thirty percent correction be. That's kind of
- 21:22Speaker 2: what I would say expect about a thirty percent correction.
- 21:24Speaker 2: We're looking at a pull back back down, yeah, I
- 21:27Speaker 2: mean back down towards one hundred thousand. Yeah. Is that doable?
- 21:32Speaker 2: I mean yeah, it's it's absolutely doable. We just did
- 21:35Speaker 2: it here, we did it last summer. I think that
- 21:38Speaker 2: that's absolutely the cards. But here's what's gonna be really
- 21:40Speaker 2: fun about it is the four year cycle there, Paul.
- 21:43Speaker 2: Everyone is convinced that the four year cycle still intact.
- 21:47Speaker 2: And could that be Could we see like an August September,
- 21:50Speaker 2: where the four year cycle would have topped out. Do
- 21:52Speaker 2: we see a pullback then another thirty percent? People retail
- 21:55Speaker 2: investors say, up, there we go, fouryer cycle hits. We're
- 21:59Speaker 2: in a bear market. Sell all my bitcoin. Let's remember
- 22:02Speaker 2: there's only twenty one million that will ever exist. There's
- 22:05Speaker 2: over sixty million millionaires, which means not even every millionaire
- 22:08Speaker 2: can own one bitcoin, and we know several millionaires who
- 22:11Speaker 2: own hundreds of thousands of them. Yeah, they're going to
- 22:14Speaker 2: have some sort of excuse to convince people like you
- 22:16Speaker 2: and me, Paul, to sell our hard earned bitcoin. Yeah,
- 22:19Speaker 2: telling us that a four year cycle is over and
- 22:21Speaker 2: you need to sell off to make money so that
- 22:22Speaker 2: they can buy it up at one hundred thousand, at
- 22:24Speaker 2: one hundred and fifty thousand, like that's to play. There's
- 22:28Speaker 2: I don't know that's a I think that's a good
- 22:30Speaker 2: analysis though. One hundred and fifty to one hundred k
- 22:32Speaker 2: or one hundred I like one hundred and twenty. I
- 22:34Speaker 2: think I would buy back at one hundred and twenty.
- 22:36Speaker 2: But all right, so that's definitely in the cards now.
- 22:39Speaker 1: He goes on in the same article, he says he
- 22:41Speaker 1: expects the nasty correction of what you're talking about, maybe
- 22:43Speaker 1: a thirty percent before bitcoin rockets to two fifty by
- 22:48Speaker 1: year in Now. Tom Lee, who has been I would say,
- 22:52Speaker 1: one of the biggest bulls out there for bitcoin, he's
- 22:54Speaker 1: been kind of pointing at the one seventy mark by
- 22:56Speaker 1: end of year. For Hayes to come in at two fifty,
- 23:00Speaker 1: you'll feel like that is a little strong. First of all,
- 23:02Speaker 1: the psychological effect of a two hundred thousand dollars bitcoin,
- 23:06Speaker 1: I don't even know what the market would look like
- 23:09Speaker 1: if that occurs, just because of the fomo that would
- 23:13Speaker 1: come in from institutions, the FOMO from retail coming in,
- 23:17Speaker 1: the fomo from Nation States, and the amount of liquidity
- 23:21Speaker 1: that would pour into all coins at that point would
- 23:25Speaker 1: be just mind boggling. So it's a big number for sure. Hey,
- 23:30Speaker 1: we got to jump over to the stablecoin bill. It
- 23:33Speaker 1: looks like we are getting close now we are past
- 23:36Speaker 1: the amendment process and now moving in that the Senate
- 23:40Speaker 1: just officially had advanced the Genius Bill for consideration. So
- 23:44Speaker 1: this is going to go to a vote is very possible.
- 23:46Speaker 1: And I put out a tweet last week and I said,
- 23:49Speaker 1: and my sources were right, We're going to get a
- 23:51Speaker 1: vote on a stable coin bill this week. It looks
- 23:54Speaker 1: like it's going to happen before the holiday and if
- 23:57Speaker 1: that comes through, then boom. What does that do for
- 24:01Speaker 1: Ethereum When you look at Eth being one of the
- 24:03Speaker 1: big winners of a stable coin bill along with I
- 24:06Speaker 1: think just in general the market, you also have Hong
- 24:09Speaker 1: Kong who passed their stable coin bills. They're launching a
- 24:12Speaker 1: licensing regime for all FIAT back stable coin that's going
- 24:15Speaker 1: to create maybe a gold rush, which is maybe why
- 24:20Speaker 1: the circle is looking at selling. First of all, how
- 24:23Speaker 1: do you think Ether will respond to this if we
- 24:25Speaker 1: do get a stable cooin bill passed?
- 24:28Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the all coin space as a whole
- 24:30Speaker 2: will benefit a lot from this happening, and the simplicity
- 24:33Speaker 2: of it is just another step in the right direction.
- 24:36Speaker 2: I think you're right. Coins like Ethereum that actually have
- 24:39Speaker 2: stable coins built on them, there's a fundamental reason for
- 24:42Speaker 2: them to go up and we'll look at ethereum chart
- 24:44Speaker 2: here in a second. But I would take a look
- 24:45Speaker 2: at the coinspace as a whole and say regulation is
- 24:50Speaker 2: going to free up a lot of these institutions that
- 24:53Speaker 2: have been sitting on the sideline to say all right,
- 24:55Speaker 2: it's time to go in. There are some institutions by
- 24:57Speaker 2: right now. But I know of I've talked, people have
- 25:00Speaker 2: talked about you know, twenty to thirty different large companies
- 25:04Speaker 2: who have said there's executive role or executive casts have
- 25:08Speaker 2: said we want to buy bitcoin, we want to buy
- 25:10Speaker 2: out coins. Our board tells us we're not allowed to
- 25:13Speaker 2: buy this risky asset until there's clear rules regulation on
- 25:17Speaker 2: the table. Stable coin regulation is the first step. You've
- 25:19Speaker 2: got to regulate that first because that's where a lot
- 25:21Speaker 2: of chaos can happen. Once that regulation is clear. The
- 25:24Speaker 2: regulation for all coins is not far behind, so it's
- 25:27Speaker 2: a stepping stone process. But it's very good as far
- 25:30Speaker 2: as ethereum. Let's go take a look there, which by
- 25:33Speaker 2: the way, while we were talking here live Paul, bitcoin
- 25:36Speaker 2: has pulled back here a little bit, so back down
- 25:39Speaker 2: towards where are we one hundred and seven now, so
- 25:42Speaker 2: little correction there also e. Theorium fell back below to
- 25:45Speaker 2: twenty five hundred. This is actually a level we talked
- 25:48Speaker 2: about in our group this morning. There's some liquidations right there.
- 25:52Speaker 2: That's what we just kissed right there. Some liquidations came
- 25:55Speaker 2: in right here below twenty five hundred. We kiss those.
- 25:57Speaker 2: We're making a little bit of a bounce back, but
- 25:59Speaker 2: we'll because more on longer term stuff here for ethereum.
- 26:03Speaker 2: Even though ethereum hasn't had the run today that Bitcoin has.
- 26:06Speaker 2: Right today was a Bitcoin day, Ethereum has been making
- 26:10Speaker 2: a nice boost here, a big, big early start. To
- 26:13Speaker 2: May or anyone who sold in May and walked away,
- 26:15Speaker 2: I feel bad for them because you pretty much sold
- 26:17Speaker 2: the bottom for ethereum. But this is one, just like
- 26:21Speaker 2: I said, with Bitcoin. From a chart's perspective, corrections are needed.
- 26:24Speaker 2: When I take a look at the daily chart here,
- 26:26Speaker 2: you can see the macd uh there we go. Earlier
- 26:28Speaker 2: this morning it hadn't crossed it, and now was officially crossed.
- 26:30Speaker 2: We have a barish macd cross on the daily chart
- 26:33Speaker 2: for ethereum. The RSI set in some barish divergence here
- 26:37Speaker 2: is now making a correction of the downside. Even the
- 26:39Speaker 2: luxagu osc later my favorite buy and sell signal. I
- 26:42Speaker 2: have the red reversal, have the barisalmenum, and there's my
- 26:44Speaker 2: negative money flow. The money is starting to bleed out
- 26:46Speaker 2: of Ethereum. This would suggest a healthy correction for Ethereum
- 26:51Speaker 2: back down here towards this red mark, at least back
- 26:54Speaker 2: down towards twenty two hundred ish, right, that's gonna be
- 26:56Speaker 2: a zone there. There's also some fair value gaps right
- 26:59Speaker 2: in that area. If I can go to the twelve
- 27:00Speaker 2: hour chart, we have a big bullish breaker block with
- 27:03Speaker 2: a take profit signal there. So that's my buying spot
- 27:06Speaker 2: for Ethereum, probably summer here around twenty two sixty twenty
- 27:09Speaker 2: two fifty. With that said, though longer time frames were,
- 27:14Speaker 2: we still got a long way to go to the upside.
- 27:16Speaker 2: The Luxago bisignal is telling us up back above three
- 27:19Speaker 2: three thousand. If I were to look at fixed trains
- 27:22Speaker 2: volume profile a level, that's going to be a nice
- 27:24Speaker 2: kind of watching point before we hit new hives with ethereum.
- 27:27Speaker 2: What's it saying key levels to watch our I love
- 27:30Speaker 2: looking at gaps, So it got a gap here at
- 27:32Speaker 2: three thousand. I have another gap up here around thirty
- 27:34Speaker 2: five hundred those gonna be my two zones to the
- 27:37Speaker 2: upside once I get this direction here, buy in here
- 27:39Speaker 2: on twenty two six, probably look at some profit on
- 27:42Speaker 2: trades around three thousand, around thirty five hundred. But for
- 27:45Speaker 2: the rest of you who aren't traders, if you're just saying, tim,
- 27:49Speaker 2: what about ethereum long term? Yeah, I think we're ready
- 27:52Speaker 2: to explode. I think this is one I need a
- 27:54Speaker 2: price bridging video a couple of weeks ago. I think
- 27:57Speaker 2: very low end, the very very disappointing institutes are not involved.
- 28:00Speaker 2: We're talking about five thousand, fifty three hundred. I think
- 28:03Speaker 2: on the high end, thirteen to fifteen thousand range is
- 28:07Speaker 2: still on the table. Furtherorum, I'm not predicting end at
- 28:10Speaker 2: twenty twenty five. Again, I think we extend into twenty
- 28:13Speaker 2: twenty six, So be patient on that one. Take profit
- 28:15Speaker 2: early if you need to, but I will not be
- 28:17Speaker 2: surprised if being twenty twenty six, we see a thirteen
- 28:19Speaker 2: thousand or higher ethereum.
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