Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Buffet with Chad and Scooch, Episode 39 - Featuring Stanford Steve & Chris Fallica

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The Buffet with Chad and Scooch, Episode 39 - Featuring Stanford Steve & Chris Fallica · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:02
  Speaker 1: Coming to you from fabulous Las Vegas. The right side
• 0:07
  Speaker 1: is the winning side. The late move is the correct move.
• 0:10
  Speaker 1: Sports betting capital of the world. We all know when
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: a sharp like me weighs in the lines move, it's
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: a party for your ears. This is the Buffet with
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Chad and Scooch. I want to buy that guy at buffet.
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: Welcome back to the Buffet with Chad and Scooch. I
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: am Shad Milman. She's getting one last week off before
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: college football begins in the NFL begins. So today's podcast
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: is quite possibly the best podcast of the summer. Two
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: of my favorite people, Chris the Bear, Felika Stanford, Steve Coughlin,
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: esp in sports betting geniuses. You know them from the
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: Behind the Bets podcast the college years. You know them
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: from the s VP Sports Center, you know them from
• 1:12
  Speaker 1: College Game Day. All in it today, Fellas. We've got
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: so much college football to talk about, and as you know,
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: I'm very busy. I can't spend too much time dewey dallying.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: Someone's already laughing, Yeah, how are you doing money? Good man? Listen.
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: I'm just surprised we can get Stanford on the phone
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: between all your late night TV show stuff and the
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: fact you go on vacations so frequently. Um, you know,
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: I'm still waiting for the lunch offer you said you
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: were gonna give me like three years ago. The fact
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: you'll call into the podcast is a miracle to me.
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: I'll stop it. Come on, We've been trying to do
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: this for two months. I think it's good to finally
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: get it done. Well, college football is almost beginning for
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: EKA is going on the road, FeliCa, where are you
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: going next week? But we we'll well, we'll be in
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: South Bend next week for Michigan and Notre Dame, so
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: we know it's always better to work the UH the
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: season open into an on campus site, a lot better feel,
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: a lot bigger feel, a more enjoyable show. But if
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: we're asking before that, I will be in UH a
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: lot of Vegas this weekend for the Super Super Contest
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  Speaker 1: season preview and talk and meet up with some people
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: and hopefully to pass out some winners and some and
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: some stutent knowledge. By the way, thank you for that.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: And by the way, I was I was about to
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: thank you because without you, my involved them in this
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: would be would be nil. Because I had a pinch
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: hitting substitute for you one year, and they liked me
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: so much they've invited me back each year and kind
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: of kick you to the curb. Yeah, it's interesting how
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: I have not been invited back to that conference since
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: I recommended you we want offense totally. Wally Pittany, Why
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: do they invited Stanford to that conference? Because because he's
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: he's he's the only person in the world that takes
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: more vacations in the urban street in me. Oh man,
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: that's she. If I get invited, I would go, what
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: is that one happenin the bo in your cod To
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: make this happen, I will I will make sure that
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: that that that J and Rozz extend the formal invitation
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: to Steve Nikkie. What I'm really hoping that we could
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: do what we need to have it, don't We need
• 3:36
  Speaker 1: to do this for March Madness. We need to get
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: out there, get bracket marathon and just kind of let
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: it roll through the first weekend of the n C
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: Double A Tournament. Now that you talked about that would
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: be that would be great, great television. We should turn
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: everybody's favorite show on ESPN. Plus. I'll take that bet
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: into a twenty four hour bracket marathon. It's it's a shame.
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: Nobody on this call has the power and the ability
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  Speaker 1: to make that happen. Mm hmm oh, I do my friend,
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  Speaker 1: believe you me. Hey, listen, when you're out there, Felka,
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: what uh what are you gonna make bets on? What
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: are you gonna put your money on? When you get
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: out there, I'll probably be looking at some college football
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: win totals that um I've given out already a bunch
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: of them on the Behind the Bets podcast and with
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: with Gil on on on a numbers game out there
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: on the visa and so there there are a couple
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: of those that were looking forward to well on. One
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: thing that I'm still curious about would be that great
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  Speaker 1: prop that that Chris and and and Vinny and Jimmy
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  Speaker 1: have its south point with the the five teams versus
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: the field to win the playoff. UH. At last at
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: last check, it was the Alabama, Clemson, Ohio State, UH, Oklahoma,
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: and Washington. I think we're md to seventy verse of
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: the field. I wonder if it's come down that comes
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: down a little bit more, that might be something worth
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: planning because I don't know about you, and and and Steve.
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  Speaker 1: Can you really see anybody other than Alabama or clem Center,
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  Speaker 1: even Ohio State winning the national title? Mm hmmm, uh yes,
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  Speaker 1: I do. I think one of the other Big Ten
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  Speaker 1: teams can win it. Um, And I mean I take
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: a shot with Auburn Washington. I think it's I think
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: it's I think it's the Washington. With Washington, you get
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: them part of the field. Yeah, oh yeah, that's right. Um,
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  Speaker 1: I think the two deferents are Alabama and Clemson. What
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: about Wisconsin? If you like Wisconsin, you could probably get
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: them a hedge type and maybe that's what you do.
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  Speaker 1: Maybe that's the way to play it. You'll lay the
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: the two seventy or whatever whatever it is, and then
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  Speaker 1: you you cherry pick a couple of teams that might
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: be ten, twelve, fifteen to one. That way, if one
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  Speaker 1: of those teams do wind up making it, you kind
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  Speaker 1: of covered a little bit, if you if you gets right.
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  Speaker 1: But gosh it, I have a hard time thinking Alabama
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  Speaker 1: or Clemson w win. Yeah, cosin I answer and then
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  Speaker 1: can go The idea was Wisconsin to me is I'm
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  Speaker 1: not one of these hedging experts, but if you think
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  Speaker 1: they're gonna make the playoff, you would pray you set
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  Speaker 1: yourself pretty much, Uh, set yourself up really well. I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: think it's I mean, they have a pretty good road
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  Speaker 1: to the Big Ten title game, and the question would be,
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I mean that line is not going to be a
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  Speaker 1: lot in the Big Tent title game, whether they play
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, pen say, Michigan State or Michigan. Right, God,
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: look at what it was, look at look at what
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: it was last year there. I think it was only
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: about four four and a half. Yeah, So I mean,
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: looking ahead, trying to forecast. We asked last week, who
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: do we ask? We asked David Pollock, and he said
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: the best bet to make the playoff or playing their
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: conference standwids of game was Clemson. And then I lie,
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: I mean Wisconsin's gotta be up there along with those
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  Speaker 1: odds too. Yeah, that's what I don't get. Like. Wisconsin
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  Speaker 1: has such a good offensive line. They are a team
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: that is built to win in their conference. They go
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: their conference championship practically every year. Why aren't they getting
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: more love right now? I think the reason for that
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: is their schedule. And I mentioned this a couple of times.
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: I've been a little bit guilty of it the last
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: few years, like wrestling internally, is Wisconsin good or are
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: they good because they're in the Big Ten West, which
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: kind of stinks of the division and they're just the
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: facto the best team there, kind of like the conversation
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: we have with Iowa a few years back, like Wisconsin
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: is legitimately good this year. Their skill is really good. Uh,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: defense is great. But it might be a situation where
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: you could potentially looking at three conference losses if they
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: get upset somewhere, whether it's at Iowaha or versus Northwestern
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: or or at Perdue because they have to go to
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Penn State, they have to go to Michigan and they'll
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: be underdogs in both of those games. So you might
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: be looking at a situation where they're looking at two
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: conference losses there and if someone from the West can
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: pull the upset, maybe with three losses that you can
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  Speaker 1: pull pull yourself into a head to head tiebreak and
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: if you get the win, you're in the conference championship
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  Speaker 1: game in Wisconsin. Isn't I mean, are the odds of
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: that happening? Probably not great, but I would say there's
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: certainly better than no chance. I think we need to
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: bring some structure to this podcast. Right now, I feel
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: like we got in on like a really interesting bet
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: Felika with sort of those five teams at minus to
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: seventy versus the field, and I think they need to
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: go a little more top down. So what I want
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: to ask Stanford first is basic, basic, and from nation.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: You've got five teams that you can bet on from
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  Speaker 1: a season win total perspective. Forget about futures, because I
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: do believe I agree like you're talking about Alabama, Clemson,
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: Ohio State, I think Washington are probably the four teams
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: that will end up in the college football playoff, and
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: those are the teams that you're gonna want to sort
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  Speaker 1: of put your money against anyone else you're cherry picking,
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: like you know, against lucking God. But uh, five teams
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: right now season win totals that you feel are undervalued
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: according to the market. I gave out my my win
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: totals on Sports Center and on our podcast earlier, so
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna roll with those. My number one favorite over
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: this year is Boston College. Um, they're around six. You
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: can even I think six and a half. You can
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: get even for a lower number of like minus one
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  Speaker 1: or one. I think they definitely win eight games. I
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: think they can win nine or ten possibly how things go,
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  Speaker 1: if they stay healthy enough. Chad, no one likes to
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: go to Boston College and play in Chestnunt Hill on
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: the season. Every a CEC team looks to see if
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: they have to go there. Uh, they have the talent
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  Speaker 1: to do it. This year. They're the second best team
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  Speaker 1: in my opinion on that side of the a SEC,
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  Speaker 1: under beneath Clemson. So when you look at that they
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: get Miami at home on one of those Friday nights
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  Speaker 1: that that that, I just think it's a setup. I
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: think they could be seven and oh when they play
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: that Miami game on Friday, I think it's October. My
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: next favorite is Cal. Uh, they play five of their
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: nine back twelve games at home. They get Washington, Oregon,
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: and Stanford at home. They have like eighteen starters back.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I absolutely love the coaching staff with Justin Wilcox and
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: what he's built with two former head coaches as coordinators.
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: I like Cal a lot to win more than I
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: think you can get them as well as five and
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: a half if you want to pay some juice. UM.
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: Georgia Southern's one that Felik and I actually was the
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: only one that brought up we agreed on. We did
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: them blindly. Uh. They returned to most starters of anyone
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: I've seen. They're gonna go back to the old option
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: they've ran. They brought the off its coordinator back from
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: New Mexico. They'll run some of that pistol option, regular option.
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: Every game on their schedule is winnable. Besides playing Clemson
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: and my other two were I I rolled the dice
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: on Louisville. UM. They play Alabama obviously Week one there
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: over under was seven petrinos one eight or nine, eight
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: or more games uh in every year in the a
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: c C. And I think it's I think what everybody
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: wants or seems to tell you what you want in
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: a conference now, is these top heavy teams so you
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: have a chance for one or two teams making the playoffs.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: You don't want all these teams to be decent because
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: that hurts your chance of making the playoffs. So I
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: think Louisville could make a make some good on on
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: on some whims with a balanced a CC. Knowing that
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: Chrainel is always gonna have talent there. They don't have
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: the distraction Lamar Jackson, and I like them a lot
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: better this year. I think they can win over seven games.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: So I think those are all really interesting teams. I
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: think you're missing one and you went with overs and
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: did I ask specifically about overs um because it's just
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: that time of year, Chad, everybody, it's that time of
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: year where you're saying you think your team is gonna
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: be good. Like I was gonna throw out Indiana there,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: but if they announced this kid Dawkins as the starting quarterback,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: that's the wrong move. They're not gonna win over five games.
• 12:39
  Speaker 1: Just to let you know, listen, I've been all over
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: the Indiana Produe series on the Big Ten Network that
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: they've been running, and it's just amazing. Um. Given need
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: no faith in Indiana and this football team. UM. But
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: the most to me, the most interesting wind total is
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: actually Nebraska, and it's Nebraska going under. I think people
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: are way overrating the impact Scott Frost can have on
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: that team. In the first year. I think it's gonna
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: have a huge impact. But but this year they're they're
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're the type of team that sets up
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: potentially to pick someone off late in the year after
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: get they get basically a full year of the frost
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: that coaching staff, and then they're have to implement that offense.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: But their defense was so bad last year. I mean
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: they didn't just lose games, they were getting run out
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: of the building like three touchdown plus losses. And there's
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: a lot of improvement that needs to be done there.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: So you're with me, I am with I am with you.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: It's a hard number because it feels I don't I
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: don't like totals where I don't think there's a lot
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: of wiggle room. It's certainly not one that I would
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: uh that that that I would go here. I would
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: lean under. Though, if if if Chad Millman handed me
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: a hundred dollars this weekend at the at the West
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: made Tuoper book and I had to go over underreach
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: you have to bet Nebraska over or under, I would
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: go under. You say that because I'm the shark. Here
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: we go Sharks. I haven't heard one person say over
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: for Nebraska this year. Uh for you know, everybody seems
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: to be out on them. The schedule is I mean,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: they play all the big dogs, that's the problem. But
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be three and oh and that's gonna be
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: a tough one to SWI. I mean, and they have
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: Illinois in their schedule, they have in Minnesota. I think
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be awful this year. Uh, that Purdue game
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: is huge. So I don't know. I don't, I don't.
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: I'm totally biased because my best one of my best
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: friends is often as a coordinator, So I'm always in
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: on Nebraska. I'll be at their game at Wisconsin this year.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Um it's tough, man, It's it's tough. But everybody that
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: you know throws the Big Ten, you know that they
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: won't have the the bodies to do things. Um, I
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: know they are concerned about their defense going into this season.
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: So that's an interesting one because that's gonna be a
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: tough one. That's gonna you're not gonna know until the
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: end of that season. On that one, I like getting
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: them done early. Chet listen. By the way, everybody who
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: is interested in college football should go to Action network
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: dot com or download the Action Network app because we
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: have Colin Wilson, who's a college football savant, doing many
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: betting previews for literally every single team in the division
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: formerly known as Division one College football. What is it
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: like a teams. We have a hundred previous right now,
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the Nevada Wolfpack season preview, the Wyoming
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: Cowboys season preview, in the San Diego State uh season preview.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: You can get all of it. And he also was
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: one of the guys who was all over nebra Aska
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: and the under Stanford. You just said something really interesting.
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: Your best friend is the offensive coordinator for Nebraska. Who
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: is one of my really good friends? Yes? Who old Chaid?
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: I don't have best friends anymore? Really? Yeah? You too
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: cool for that, Like you don't have like a guy
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: like he's my guy. This is a guy I'm talking
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: to you like four times a week. I'm texting with
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: them constantly. We're talking about our kids, We're talking about everything. No,
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: I don't have one of those cards. Leka, do you
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: have one of those? No? No, no want? I mean
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: why time? Yeah? Who who wants to hear about my kids? Guys,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: you're fantasy that's like your fantasy football team. I don't
• 16:47
  Speaker 1: care about your fantasy football team. Don't tell me about
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: what you lost this week. I feel like you're missing
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: out in an important relationship in life. I have a
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: best friend. I talked to him like four times a week.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: She was like, here in high school, maybe I was.
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: I was like that, I was like the freshman year
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: in college, I gotta call like every single one of
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: my high school friends, like oh I miss all these guys,
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: and like then then you know you got like that
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: phone do because and you're like, yeah, you know what,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: I knowing It's really not that important that I that
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: I call all my boys at home. I actually want
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: to be able to go out on a Thursday Friday night.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: It sounds like you guys could use your best friend,
• 17:30
  Speaker 1: is what it really sounds like. Can you can you
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: be my best friend? Chair piling on me because I
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: have one who I like to stay in contact with
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: and you guys don't. And I'm trying to make fun
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: of me for it. Uh, I'm not trying to make
• 17:45
  Speaker 1: fun of you. Do you guys want me to be
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: your best friend? I said, I want you to be
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: my best friend. I am in I am all in perfect.
• 17:57
  Speaker 1: I will be the felikuea best friend. There's no doubt
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: out my day is made. My week. Just sent me
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: the best text ever. It just says, let's have lunch
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: in West Hartford. When now you just send me a
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: text and will you be my best friend? I would,
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: but I can't over extend, and he asked me first,
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: Oh that is well time. But here's my point. How
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: many people that are considered your closest friends because of
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: your status in the sports media world and because of
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: your history as a college football Navy And by the way,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: my other best friend, Right Thompson is calling me right now. Um,
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: that's someone I would want to be. I'm sure he's
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: in a great mood today. By the way, Right Thompson
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: through an unbelievable bowl party for us when we had
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: game day uh in Oxford a couple of years ago.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: Awesome party, believable host. There is nothing better than a
• 19:10
  Speaker 1: Right Thompson weekend in Oxford, Mississippi. It is about. It
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: is as gluttonous and heat and his stick and fun
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: and like high class and living like the Faulkner Southern
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: literary life of nothing but like food and drink and
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: football that you can possibly imagine. It is so good.
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: I swear to God. Like my best friend who I
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: talked to like four times a week, he went with
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: me for a weekend to visit right once and we
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: went through like an entire flask by ourselves of this shine. Yes,
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: he had home made. It was I was like, wait
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: this is and I was like, wow, this is the
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: same back. It was a big mistake. It was a
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: really big mistake. It ended up like I was on
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: the couch with one ft on the floor the whole
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: night just to keep myself from spinning. Like that's you
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: know that it was one of those nights. And then
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: in the morning like it was the greasiest breakfast you
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: could possibly possibly have, just to keep yourself from uh
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: losing everything from the night before. Are you guys still so?
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: But you're still best friends after that trip. That's nice,
• 20:34
  Speaker 1: even closer than ever. That's what you get with the
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: best friend. You have those experiences. But here's my point, Stanford,
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: I digress, Uh how many people in your phone? Like
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: are are you in regular contact with? Who are coaching
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: in college football right now? Uh? Probably ten to twelve?
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: And what schools are your closest of your good friends at.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: I can't give you all that affirmation I gave you.
• 21:08
  Speaker 1: I already gave you inside info. That's why I was
• 21:11
  Speaker 1: interested because like, I've never heard you say that before.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: Yeah you want I mean if you wanted to go
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: off to lunch one time. As we're not best friends,
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: you know, maybe maybe I could give you some info
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: off the record. Why don't you just text me? I
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: just did text me. I'll text you this question. You
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: can text me back the answer. Where are we FeliCa?
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: Tell me about your wind totals? Well, but being that
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: Steve was like all positive and everything, I'm gonna, I'm gonna.
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna turn it to to underland. I do have
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: some I have some overs as well, but a couple
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: of unders that I was looking at. Two in the
• 21:52
  Speaker 1: SEC Missouri, I'm worried that last year was a little
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: bit of a fluke. Their offense was great. Uh, they
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: didn't beat a team with the winning record. Uh. This year,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: you get Tennessee in Florida, both on the road. They
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: still got Georgia, they got Bama, they have to go
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: to Columbia South Carolina. Uh, they got Purdueing the nonconference,
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: you'll lose Josh Hype as your coordinator. Uh. The SEC
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: East was a little bit of transition last year. I
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: guess I think I think Tennessee in Florida will be
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: better just because of the coaching changes. Um. Again when
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: when I when I wrote the column and I gave
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: it out first, it was seven and a half I
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: saw at a Westgate. I don't know if that number
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: is still there, but I think Missouri getting to eight
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: wins will be uh, will be hard to come by.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: So like Missouri under the seven and a half and
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: elsewhere in the SEC, I thought Vandy under four and
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: a half was another one that I really needed to
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: take a look at. I mean, you one of your
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: wins last year with a non conference winted home against
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Kansas State. Now you stubbed you substitute in a trip
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: to Notre Dame for a home Kansas State game. Uh,
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have to win two SEC games, I think
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: too to potentially get to five. That'll be all miss
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: Tennessee probably those last two games of the year. And
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: and that's banking on them beating Middle Tennessee in the opener,
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: and that's certainly not going to be an easy task.
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: So I thought, Uh, Vandy four and a half. I
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: know the I know Shermer's back and the other offense
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: has got some guys, but that defense was horrible last
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: year and Derek Mason as good as a defensive coaches.
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: He is, he's got a lot of work to to
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: to to make that defense better. And then one more
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: under before I go to a couple of overs in
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: the in the MAC Central Michigan four and a half. Uh,
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: they're only gonna be favorite. I have in three games
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: main Ball State and Bowling Green, and some people think
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: that Ball State and Bowling Green might even be improved
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: this year. Outside of Jonathan a. Ward, they're running back.
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: They don't have anything coming back. They have one of
• 23:51
  Speaker 1: the lowest percentages of returning production in the country. Uh.
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: There were four and o in one possession games last year.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: Somehow beat Western Missigan in Ohio. You. Uh, there's a
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: really good chance that they don't win a road game.
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: I think Central Michigan under four and a half is
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: it's one to look at now to end on a
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: positive note, give out the unders and now I'll give
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: us some overs. Uh. Steve and I talked about Georgia Southern.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: He talked about him as as we both. It was
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: funny how we both came to a an independent conclusion
• 24:22
  Speaker 1: when we walked in and we we we put our
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: list down. We both at Georgia Southern and We're like, ah,
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: we like it, and then uh we went on there.
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: So I won't go into detail on Georgia Southern, but
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: I'm with you there. I thought Wyoming at six and
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: a half was a really good one. Um. I think
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: people are gonna have a knee jerk reaction at all.
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: They lost Josh Allen. How are they gonna be any better?
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: But they won seven last year and that was with
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen hurt and had a bad loss to San
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: Jose State. Uh, their defense is probably gonna be the
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: best in the Mountain West. Uh, You're replace Iowa and
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: Oregon on the schedule with Missouri and Washington State and
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Washington it goes to Laramie. And we know that Wazoo
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: has had a tendency in the past to lose some
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: of these early season nonconference games. That'll be a really
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: tough spot. I think for Mike Leeches team, if they
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: just win the games that they should win, that their
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: favorite that that that's seven and five right there. That
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: doesn't include a toss up game against you against Utah
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: State and even potentially pulling an upset against Wazoo. I
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: think defense is great. I think Wyoming over six and
• 25:26
  Speaker 1: a half is a good play. I like Buffalo in
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: the Mid American Conference. Uh, they get a really good
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: scheduled break in that they got six games at home
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: that I think there's a really good chance they win
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: all six of them. Ten State, Delaware, State Army AKRA,
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: and Eastern Michigan in Miami, Ohio. That's six right there. Uh.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: If they win all those and they get a win
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: against Central Michigan or Bowling Green, two of the teams
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: that I think will be among the weaker ones in
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: the MAC, that's seven. And they also got Rutgers and
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: on the road early in the year, and Rutgers might
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: have some off the field situations where they have to
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: have some suspensions. I wouldn't give I wouldn't make it
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: beyond the doat a reason that Buffalo goes there and
• 26:06
  Speaker 1: and really compete and potentially pulls an upset Tyree Jackson
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: and Anthony Johnson are probably the best quarterback wide receiver combination.
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: UH in the MAX. I think Lance Leap holding his
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: fourth year there, We'll get Buffalo to a ballgame and
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: then one more we're going a fun row. Now ul
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: Monroe over five and a half. Uh. Their defense was
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: horrific last year. UM, but our FPI numbers here have
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: them right around seven wins, so that's a little bit
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: of a wiggle room. I think they got three wins
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: for sure. They got a brutal nonconference schedule, They got
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: A and M on the road all miss and I'll
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: probably lose to Arkansas State, but they got it. A
• 26:46
  Speaker 1: ton of offensive guys back UH, Caleb Evans and Marcus Green,
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: a lot of production. Their head coach, Matt Vider, was
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: really really successful. That McNee stayed in over within school,
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: he's familiar with the talent there. Did you just just
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: think about the improvement that we're talking about here. They
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: scored thirty seven and the lost last year, and they
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: scored fifty and lost the game last year. I mean,
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: I t how bad their defense was. I don't think
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: it will be that bad this year. And I think
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: you on Monroe can get to six and get to
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: a ball alright. So there's a lot of good stuff
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: that you said there. Number one, as I mentioned, Colin
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: Wilson from the Action Network has been writing previews for
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: every single team, and today he has Wyoming up and
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: he also has Wyoming going over UH, saying that they
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: even without Josh Allen, the Cowboys can improve. You mentioned
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: something very specific, which was returning production. Give me the
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: stats that both of you guys look at when you
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: start to grade a team going into its next season.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: What matters because like in college football, there is so
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: much turnover, so many things change. Tell me what you
• 27:58
  Speaker 1: think about, like where does returning production? You know what
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do. Here's what I just decided. It's a
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: revolutionary idea. I'm gonna ask one question instead of seven
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: at one time. Okay, FeliCa, who's gonna go first? I'm
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: you know what. I'm gonna start with Stanford, because Felika
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: just did so much talking and you're my new best friend. Stanford. Um,
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: what is the key stat the key metric, the key
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: number that you look at when you are grading a
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: team for future for season win totals heading into a
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: new season. I'll let Felicia keep talk to metrics. D
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: I keep it pretty simple. I look at head coach, returning,
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: quarterback returning, offensive line returning, and then on defense. These
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: guys play so many UM guys on defense. Now, you know,
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: when you have to defend against the spread starters doesn't
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: mean that much to me. On defense, I looked at
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: returning tacklers so you could get a feel of the
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: guys that are, you know, playing the most. Not a
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: lot of the guys you who starts don't necessarily play
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: the most. So I mean offensive line, you could sort
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: of look at that, but teams are are shying away
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: from that, you know, unless they want to get like
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: a true freshman reps early in the season. But it's
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: head coach, it's quarterback, it's offensive line, and obviously the schedule. UM,
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: I think the schedule as opposed, I don't. I don't
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: when I look at the schedule, I don't necessarily think about, hey,
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: they're gonna play seven teams that were ranked last year. UM.
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: And I look at, you know, those same other components
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: I talked about for my team, I'm looking at the
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: other team to gauge whether you know, win loss, and
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: then from that you're looking at season total over and unders.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: I love that returning tacklers. That's awesome. So in of
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: the teams that you haven't mentioned or we're returning tackler
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: is a big deal. In all of the teams that
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: you mentioned as going over their season win totals, U uh,
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: so you want more teams. I'm just curious to know,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: like to what the decisions you made, Like there's a
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: lot of really cool stuff in that idea, and so
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: just tell me, Like we're returning tackle, there's an important
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: factor in your decision for the five teams that you
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: mentioned off the top that you have going over their
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: season win totals. No, not necessarily, I don't. It's not
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: it's it's I think I'll put it this way. I
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: think all the other components matter more to me. But
• 30:35
  Speaker 1: when I look at teams like Stamford, a team, you know,
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: people talk about the returning players, but you look at
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: that defense and they weren't even good last They weren't
• 30:46
  Speaker 1: a normal Stamford defense last year, and they lost a
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: ton of production, which I think is what Felika talks about.
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: You know when I say returning tacklers or that, and
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: I think that's where you're talking about your returning production.
• 31:00
  Speaker 1: Got all right, FeliCa, Ya know what? What? What what?
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: Steven on a couple of the very key ones. I
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: am not as big on the returning quarterback as as
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: a lot of people are being look at last year.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: I mean Jake from was a freshman. I mean, the
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: teams that win the national championships are play for the
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: national championships. Lately, like our returning starting quarterback is like
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: not important. Uh the numbers have beared that out. I
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: would much rather have an an offensive line and a
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: good running back to be able to be a little
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: bit of a security black. And I think Georgia was
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: a great example of that last year. Uh, their their
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: line was solid, um and you had Dick Chump and
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: Sonny Michelle, two guys you could just head turn and
• 31:45
  Speaker 1: hand the ball off to when you knew you were
• 31:47
  Speaker 1: gonna be okay. I'm I'm big on the production. Like
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: Steve said, it's not necessarily people who start, it's people
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: who come in and produce. And you've seen so many
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: platoon situations where whether it's a wide receiver or running
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: back or even on on defense where where guys will
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: get a start, but uh that they maybe just be
• 32:07
  Speaker 1: situational players and you'll bring in uh players that more
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: fit better with with the game playing later on in
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: terms of what the what the opponent is doing. Uh,
• 32:17
  Speaker 1: I'm that And then the schedule I do look at
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: essentially because in in terms of a win total and
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: expectation for a team. I look for spots that I
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: really don't think that that team is going to win.
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: And I mean, Reef Davis and I how to have
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: a saying to like, if you're not good enough, a
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: loss is gonna find you. I mean, you can get upset.
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: But I mean, if they're if they're like Wisconsin, like
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: they gotta go to Penn State and they got to
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: go to Michigan, and that's those are two brutal road
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: games for them. And that's kind of why I think
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: they're they're They're ceiling is ten and two, and I
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: know their win total was ten And that's why I'd
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: be willing to take a shot at an under their uh,
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: just because yeah, maybe you're maybe you're playing for a
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: push if they do lose those two games in that ship.
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: But I think I think it's a better chance they
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: go nine and three than they do eleven in one.
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: All I heard was that you went after my best
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: friend Stanford and said that the concept of returning quarterbacks
• 33:19
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter, and that's one of the two things that
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: is most important to him. I thought you were I
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: thought you were my best friend. You should be sticking
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: up for me. I am your best friend, Stanford, You're wrong. Well,
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: in terms of Georgia, I I mean they had Jacob eeson,
• 33:35
  Speaker 1: so like that quarterback situation, you would have you would
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: have I had them rank pretty high last year because
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: of that, you know, I I get we're bear seeing.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, and that's that's the tribute to these young
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: guys where you're getting these spread guys that come in
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: and play. You know, they're ready to go. They're they're
• 33:50
  Speaker 1: they're more ready to quarterbacks have been in um in
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: in prior years. Where I'll take one of the instances
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: where I think it's a h huge letdown is like
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: look at Oklahoma. I don't think people are giving enough
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: credit to what Baker Mayfield did for that team, and
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: I think that's a huge, huge spot to have to
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: come in to fill at Oklahoma. So I have them
• 34:14
  Speaker 1: dropped off this year because I don't even have winning
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: their conference the biggest shoes to fill in the country.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: You think or his or do you think it could
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: be sick one Barkley or if someone else, Oh no, Mayfield,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: I don't think. I don't even think it's close. Well,
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: that's really going out on a limb there Stanford saying
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: that the best quarterback in college basketball, who won the
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: Heisman and when was the first they're taking in the draft,
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: is gonna be the biggest shoes to fill in college football.
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: He asked me a question. I answered it. By the way,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: it was Consonants. The highest ranked team from the Big
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: Ten of the preseason full continent is four in Ohio
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: status size. Well, how much of that is because of
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: what's happening right now? I think these votes were due
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: all of this came out, so I'm I was a
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: little surprised by that was confidentially gotta a first points vote.
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: Here's another story that we have up on Action network
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: dot com today. I'd like your reactions to it. What
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: is your take on the ties pricing in the futures
• 35:17
  Speaker 1: market right now? Uh, they are um plus two ten
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: to win the national title and their win total is eleven.
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: The over is minus one fifteen, so you gotta pay
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a premium on the over. What
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: do you think of those two prices? Over priced, under price?
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: You said plus to ten to win the title, plus
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: to ten to win the title, eleven win total, eleven
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: win totally. I mean you have to put there not
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: gonna go ten and two. I mean they have two
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: games that I think they probably what could potentially lose
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: at Atlas Hugh and and and then they they sim
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: stated at home. I mean, they haven't lost that many
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: regular season games and since like to that year, I
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: mean they don't. They don't. They don't lose more than
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: one regular season game. So I mean I think over eleven,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: I mean, I hate to have to go perfect to win,
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: but I mean I don't see any way you can
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: play the under eleven and one is I mean ten
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: and two is like, I mean, they'll be I mean,
• 36:27
  Speaker 1: forget it that that's a that's a doomed season. If
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: they go to ten and two. I mean, eleven and
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: one is the worst case scenario in terms of the
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: price on winning the title. It seems short, but it
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: plus two ten. If you think they're that good and
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be in the National championship game, would you
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: like to be holding a money line bet on Alabama
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: plus two ten in that game? That's basically what you're
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: looking at. Would correct. They'll be mine, They'll be minus something.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: They'll be favorite against Clemson if they may they'll be
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: favorite anybody else. What's your take, Stanford, Um, I'm uh
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: might have a certain uh in on Alabama minus one
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: forty to win the SEC. So I'm I'm in on
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: the tide this year. Uh I don't. I'll tell you what.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: I'll give you something here. I think something to be
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: uh on the lookout for is what the totals are
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: in Alabama games because with this offense and what you're
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: reading about and what the possibilities are, um, they could
• 37:33
  Speaker 1: be they could be putting up points this year as
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: opposed to you know, just grinding out games and you know,
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: beating teams three. I could see some of them scoring
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: some more points this year. Um I, I don't know.
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: I I one of my favorite things I ever did
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: was last year I bet them to win the title
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: after they lost at Auburn and and that, and to
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: ended up being one of like as profitable as you could. So,
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: I mean, if it's well, I think I got him
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: at plus four or fifty or something. Um so. And
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: I think once they got in the playoff they were
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: maybe one. They weren't minus I know that, and they
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: just jumped in quickly because a year before that, I
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: think Clemson went to like seven to one after they
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: lost to Pick. So you you're you're exactly. That is
• 38:26
  Speaker 1: a great strategy with some of these really short priced
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: teams if if you if they lose, one loss doesn't
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: knock yeah from playoffs contention, and if they win, the
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: prices isn't gonna go down much anyway. But if they lose,
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get a much better price. Like look, i mean,
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: especially like week one while we're talking Chad, Look, I mean,
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: if you're believing in in Michigan and Notre Dame and
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Washington or Auburn, like those are all those are both
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: out of conference games, and if they run the table,
• 38:58
  Speaker 1: they're they're they're gonna they probably get they'll probably make
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: the playoff. Whoever you know loses that first week if
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: they were to run the table, So that might be
• 39:06
  Speaker 1: your best price, like grow something on the loser of
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: those games. If if you like what you see or
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: you know, you're taking a shot. And potentially Ohio Ohio
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: State TCU could be another game like that. If Ohio
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: State happened to go to Arlington get upset by TCU,
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: everything's still in front you if they run, if they
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: win the Big Ten. They're they're gonna be in the playoff.
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: I say that that being the last two years the
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: the Big ten champ or two left Big ten champ
• 39:32
  Speaker 1: has been left out of the playoff. But uh, but
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: you're you're getting in terms of price, in terms of value,
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: Ohio State with a loss into that game of TCU
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: gonna get a much better price than than you would
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: right now. Did you guys know that Alabama has two
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: games this year in which they are favored by forty
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: four points or more? Uh? Their favorite? I think it's
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: a Louisiana Lafayette. They are a forty four and a
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: half plane favorite twenty nine. And on November seventeenth against
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: the Citadel, there are fifty six and a half playing favorites.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: I can already I can already tell you that Danny
• 40:09
  Speaker 1: Sheridan will be all over the Citadel plus the fifty
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: six and a half on November seventeenth. He loves, he
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: loves loading up on the on those SCS teams, and
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: that like the the the we call I call I
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: call it the Urban Meyer Game because Urbans really the
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: person that brought it to that conference where he would
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: always play a play a patsy like that before the
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: before the Florida State game and then the SEC championship game,
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: we bring in we we bring in a nobody in
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: that that's one of them. I know Danny I always
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: likes playing that, uh, playing those scs or group of
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: five teams that come in and play the uh the
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: the SEC games before rival Rue weekend. This is the
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: story I think we're gonna do is when's the last time,
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: when's the last time the team was savored by more
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: than forty five points multiple huns in a season? And
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: here's another story I'm gonna have us do you guys
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: can't steal this? Uh who over the last twenty years
• 41:09
  Speaker 1: has the highest spread projected spreads heading into the season,
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: Like I feel like it would have been Tim Tebow's
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: Florida team about ten or eleven years ago, where every
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: week the Braska maybe would be another one that they
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: were they were laying they were laying serious one every week.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: But that might be Obama's gonna be a double digit
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: favor and every game this year, right yeah, every game
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: I'm looking No, there's uh, there's one game right now, Yeah,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State. There's seven and a half place favor really Yeah. Wow, Okay,
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say I thought it was gonna be
• 41:57
  Speaker 1: the LSU had like jump on that right now l
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: s U. Yeah that that that that will that has
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: to if that if you can get ten and a
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: half right now, Uh, I would late ten and a
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: half right now because I think that has the potential
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: to go up dramatically based on how I think l
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: s U. Uh, their season is gonna go. I'm not.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: I'm a I'm an l s U seller this year,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: and I think there's a really good chance they're three
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: and four when they when they had that Mississippi State game.
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: And if if that's the case, you're looking at l
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: s U is like a monster, like unprecedented home dog.
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: But uh, I'm not. I mean, I know Burrow is
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: gonna come in and maybe try and solidify that offense.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: But they you talk about like no returning starters and
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: no returning production, and that's kind of where you are
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: offensively with LSU, like no returning production whatsoever. I'm feel
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: awful because it's like my favorite it is my favorite
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: college college town, and I feel like I've been a
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: seller of ls you the last five six years. I
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: should rephrase, I should rephrase. These are the projected lines
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: according to the Action Network. These are not actual lines
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: right now? You know what is this is this Action
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Now we're you know, got good validity. I don't know
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: if it remains to be seen. Jerry still out. There's
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: no Action Network sports book yet, getting alright, listen, we
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: got a lot of people some infult give them a
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: little Alabama Alabama eleven and a half by the way,
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: according to a south Point right now on their games
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: of the year. So you're you're your your your numbers
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: are right there. We're pretty close. Is this year too?
• 43:54
  Speaker 1: Is this year two? For the Action Network projected you know,
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: given out projected lines? No, this is like, dude, we
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: didn't even exist last year and we we we launched
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: in mid January of last year, the whole season. That's right,
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: I see, you know what, This is the right way
• 44:14
  Speaker 1: to end the podcast because now I can officially player
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: Chris Felika as my best friend any doubt now. But
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: you know, we came around like you started there. Stanford
• 44:26
  Speaker 1: tried to make a run. He was a little bit
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: like Clemson, felt a little bit short, had a lot
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: of enthusiasm and in the end of the day, he
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: coughed it up just like the tigers. All right, tell us,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: I will tell you though that like you both can
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: be my best friends. And thank you for coming on
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: the podcast with me. Any taught my friend. All right, later,
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: I'll see you. I'll see you on our text chain. Yeah, yeah,
• 44:53
  Speaker 1: that's right. We we we need to have that group
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: text chain where we can text story at each other's
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: Starbucks pictures in the morning or oh, look look at
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: look at my dog how he's rolling in mud and
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: look at the egg white sou fla. I made this
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: morning text chain of just emoji's all right, now, that's
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: that's cut for me to go. All right, see, thank
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: you guys,