Latest / Kenny Wallace Media / Cardinals Vibe Check After 19 Games
Transcript
- 0:00What's up everybody Charlie Marlowe here got to jump
- 0:02on talk a little Cardinals baseball on the off day
- 0:05Getting ready for the home stand against the Brewers
- 0:09the first place Brewers in the nationally central and
- 0:12then Diamondbacks after that But how we how we feeling
- 0:15how we thinking drop your comments comment like
- 0:19subscribe. So the Cardinals right now
- 0:22nine and ten After taking two of three from the
- 0:26Oakland slash Sacramento slash Las Vegas A's whoever
- 0:29the hell wherever the hell they're gonna be over the
- 0:32next several years win the first two games Going for
- 0:36the sweep still have not won the final game of any
- 0:39of these series this year That's one of those weird
- 0:43quirky things, but also some of the lineups. I
- 0:46feel like for these getaway days I'd like to see a
- 0:48little more Cutthroat go for it not necessarily I'm
- 0:53talking about yesterday versus the A's but just in
- 0:55general Nothing wrong with actually Sweeping a team
- 0:59folks, right? I think you can agree with
- 1:01me on that All right, let's just talk a lot of
- 1:03big picture Cardinals stuff here look We're we're 19
- 1:07games into the season So we're a little more than
- 1:1010 % of the way through the season. What
- 1:13is that probably? 12 13 % I'm not even gonna
- 1:16look it up, but you guys can do that for me So
- 1:18three games back in the division of the Brewers I
- 1:23think it's fair to say central early on better
- 1:25than we expected Let's look at the Cardinals from a
- 1:29team perspective first and we'll start with the
- 1:33offense I'll be the first one to say I did not
- 1:36think the offense was gonna be bad or this bad It is
- 1:41early, but it's not that early. So
- 1:43right now Offensively in baseball the Cardinals are
- 1:4724th in OPS with an OPS of 653 24th They're tied
- 1:54for 23rd in runs in baseball now teams have
- 1:58played a different amount of games So, you know,
- 2:01there's somewhere around there But either way if
- 2:03you're talking about 23rd and 24th in the two stats
- 2:08that to me matter the most and that is OPS That's a
- 2:11good catch -all stat for for everything It obviously
- 2:14encompasses your batting average and your slug and
- 2:17your OPS or excuse me your on base percentage It's all
- 2:20melded into one You're basically your bottom Bottom
- 2:26quartile is that the word bottom fourth in baseball
- 2:29essentially offensively you're right on the cusp
- 2:32of bottom fourth in Baseball for an offense. I
- 2:36thought there was a decent chance this Cardinals
- 2:38offense would be a top 10 offense now Maybe I'm way
- 2:42off on that. It's early, but a lot a lot of
- 2:47warning signs We'll get into Individually some guys
- 2:50were worried about and some guys that we can celebrate
- 2:53as well. We're not gonna be all all
- 2:54negative here folks. Okay All right, let's go to
- 2:58pitching though team wise first Okay, so overall ERA
- 3:04Cross baseball Cardinals are 10th in ERA with a 3 .74.
- 3:09That's pretty dang good I don't
- 3:10know. I don't think you can ask
- 3:12for much more than that pitching staff overall Now
- 3:16I think you can ask for more for the starters from
- 3:19the starters We'll get into that in a second, but I
- 3:21also think it's kind of it's kind of misleading
- 3:23It's so early because if you look at starter ERA
- 3:27the Cardinals have a 4 .21 That's 20th in baseball. So
- 3:33you look at that and you go, that's not very good
- 3:35But if you see how close they are for example to
- 3:37like maybe 13th If you have one inning one inning
- 3:42that goes better all of a sudden you could be 13th.
- 3:45So I think overall The
- 3:48Cardinals starters ERA being 4 .21. I
- 3:51think you should be pretty pretty happy about that
- 3:53although I Don't know just just overall I've not been
- 3:59a huge fan of this rotation So if if they're
- 4:02middle of the pack that wouldn't surprise me even
- 4:06if they were to stay at 20th That really wouldn't
- 4:09surprise me if we're talking about ERA and we'll
- 4:12get into that more in terms of why I think that
- 4:15Pen ERA so relievers 3 .27 9th best in all baseball
- 4:21that also shows you if they're 9th in penny era
- 4:24But their 10th in overall ERA and their starters are
- 4:2920th that shows you there's a million teams I looked
- 4:32it up. I don't have it with me
- 4:34right now, but Like the difference between the
- 4:37Cardinals in 20th ERA at 4 .21 and I think like 13th
- 4:42at a 4 .05 ERA You know, we're talking about one
- 4:47good or bad inning all of a sudden the Cardinals
- 4:49could be 13th or 14th So I do think it's a little
- 4:51it's a little early there overall. I
- 4:54think it's fair to say starters Have been have
- 4:57been okay kind of what I expected Offense has been
- 5:01much worse than I thought they would be and I think
- 5:04it's fair to say the bullpen has been About what
- 5:07most people thought I think a lot of people thought
- 5:10the Cardinals could have a top 10 bullpen And that's
- 5:13what they have right now 9th in bullpen ERA I
- 5:16remember we did a show with Brennan Schaefer low
- 5:18-hanging fruit. We'll do another one tomorrow by
- 5:21the way but MLB comm had their rankings of bullpens
- 5:25and I I'm pretty sure the Cardinals were in the top
- 5:2810 I think it was something like 6 7th 8
- 5:309th, whatever it is Check on check on that if you
- 5:34can but I'm pretty sure they were top 10 And you
- 5:37have some really good individual performances from
- 5:39the bullpen as well Let's let's start there. We'll
- 5:41go in reverse order because I'm talking about the pen
- 5:44now so Look first of all Ryan Helsley. I
- 5:49know it's early. It's fun to do this, but he's
- 5:51on pace for 60 saves He has seven saves in 19
- 5:55games. Is he gonna get 60? Probably
- 5:58not he's gonna get 50 probably not but could Ryan
- 6:01Helsley have a 40 plus save season How could he
- 6:04push 50? I guess what was Trevor
- 6:06Rosenthal's best? Season for saves you guys can let
- 6:09me know. I think it was pushing 50 or
- 6:12dang close maybe 45 Okay, other relievers, you know,
- 6:17you're feeling good about Andrew Kittridge that looks
- 6:20like a really good deal He's a really nice pitcher.
- 6:23I mean Jojo Romero has been
- 6:26great Helsley has been really really good So,
- 6:30alright, let's let's then move to the starters so
- 6:34look you have Miles Michaelis and Kyle Gibson
- 6:38with ERAs basically right around six Now do I think
- 6:43they're gonna end the season with six ERAs?
- 6:45Probably not But would it surprise
- 6:47me if their ERAs are close to five? I
- 6:51mean weren't they both last year? This
- 6:53is where I can actually you know what folks? I
- 6:56should stop asking. Hey, what did this person do? I
- 6:59can actually look this stuff up Doesn't that help
- 7:01you guys last year wasn't wasn't Kyle Gibson's ERA
- 7:04about 4 .76 or something like that with the
- 7:07Baltimore Orioles And I'm pretty sure that Miles
- 7:10Michaelis His ERA was very similar with the Cardinals
- 7:14last year. So I got it for you. Here
- 7:15we go. I Can look these things up.
- 7:18It helps if I help you out.
- 7:19Yeah, Kyle Gibson ERA last year
- 7:21with the Orioles was 4 .73 Now his fifth Fielding
- 7:25independent pitching was 4 .13, but his ERA right now
- 7:29is 6 .16 with a fifth of 6 .41 Not good. I
- 7:36think with Kyle Gibson, you're gonna be riding the
- 7:38roller coaster You're gonna have some really nice
- 7:39outings, but also he can give up some long balls
- 7:42Remember the Cardinals hit four straight off of him.
- 7:45Was it last year a couple
- 7:46years ago? I know I always bring that
- 7:47up, but it's one of those things that just it can't
- 7:49get out of my brain Miles Michaelis last year Last
- 7:54year ERA was 4 .78. So basically He and Gibson
- 7:59were the same Last year and Michaelis his fifth was
- 8:034 .27 this year Michaelis his ERA is 5 .82 Pushing
- 8:08six as I mentioned, but his fifth is 3 .98. That's
- 8:11good to see so Yeah, again, I mean if both
- 8:15those guys fell around 4 .67 that that wouldn't
- 8:20really surprise me you want better than that But it
- 8:24kind of is what it is at this point in those guys
- 8:26careers. So, okay Let's talk about some
- 8:29positives with the starters. Obviously
- 8:31sunny gray Exactly as advertised hasn't allowed a
- 8:36run in his two -stars. That's
- 8:38great to see He's that ace the Cardinals needed now.
- 8:41We all think they need that
- 8:42second guy But could that second guy be Lance Lynn?
- 8:46He is right now Lance Lynn
- 8:47having a really nice season as well going out there
- 8:50battling Competing you love the veteran presence. You
- 8:54love the fire You love him chirping the batters Lance
- 8:57Lynn is great Lance Lynn is great for business. He's
- 9:00fun. He's quotable You got to love
- 9:02having Lance Lynn on your ball club Stephen Matz. I
- 9:04know he was bad yesterday But overall I think it's
- 9:08fair to say pretty good. They're
- 9:09bringing him along slow in terms of usage Which I
- 9:12think is is smart Seems like they know what they're
- 9:15doing there and they've seen some things and try
- 9:17to keep them healthy Which I get that so I think
- 9:20look Michael is Gibby not good Gray Lynn Matt's
- 9:25pretty dang good Overall, maybe a little better than
- 9:28than what we expected With a 4 .21 era, but that's
- 9:32still you're basically middle of the pack right
- 9:34now You're you're 20th as I mentioned, but I didn't
- 9:37think this rotation was gonna be very good I
- 9:39thought I thought the ceiling for the rotation is
- 9:41probably Middle the pack is that fair? I
- 9:43mean if they get to you know, 13th, whatever it is
- 9:45But I think that's probably look the the strengths of
- 9:48this team were supposed to be the bullpen in the
- 9:50offense and So far the bullpen is Is carrying the
- 9:56water carrying the weight are at offense individually
- 10:02Okay And I can go back to my my website here by did
- 10:07look at this I did do notes guys every once in a
- 10:09while look at this. I did notes for you a whole
- 10:12page of notes so Okay, obviously Wilson -Contreras
- 10:17stud right now Mason win stud large new bar coming
- 10:22off the injured list Hitting very well Yvonne
- 10:25Herrera. How about how about Yvonne
- 10:27Herrera? I mean that's fantastic to
- 10:29see so those guys all with Ops is over 800 Those guys
- 10:34are doing their jobs for sure even Brendan Donovan
- 10:37also He's he's right below there, but Brendan Donovan
- 10:39is having a nice season I won't talk about the guys
- 10:43in the middle which I'd include Nolan Aronato as a
- 10:46guy in the middle right now He's he's look. He's
- 10:48not Goldie. He's he's fine in his way seems
- 10:50like he's improving, but and Look Victor Scott we
- 10:55talked about him on the podcast Victor Scott to me.
- 10:57He's not supposed to be in the
- 10:59big leagues He's in the big leagues because of
- 11:00injury love the kid love his future. It's
- 11:03nothing against him great defender Offensively he
- 11:07needs the development in the minor leagues in triple
- 11:09a he wasn't supposed to be here. I
- 11:12get it Um You just you can't take automatic outs,
- 11:15especially when you have another automatic out right
- 11:17now in Jordan Walker I love Victor Scott's defense,
- 11:21but uh, you can't have a dude who's hitting Below
- 11:24100 if that's still the case. I
- 11:25didn't look that up It was it was 0 .091 recently when
- 11:28I when I looked it up And then uh, okay, so Goldie 5
- 11:3216 ops I saw a tweet from Jeff Jones about how he's
- 11:37hitting really poorly Versus sliders. He
- 11:40only had the uh extra base hit the home run on
- 11:44opening day. We thought oh Terrible spring
- 11:46Goldie's back had a great opening day against the
- 11:49Dodgers and ever since So 5 16 ops Jordan Walker 5
- 11:5446 ops You're wondering Could Jordan Walker get
- 11:58sent down and that's the thing this this team is
- 12:00not going to make the playoffs or not going to
- 12:02be good If Paul Goldschmidt is is bad like this. I
- 12:05don't think it'll be this bad, but if he's not above
- 12:07average I don't think this team can make the playoffs
- 12:10Um, Jordan Walker, I expected him to take the
- 12:12step in his sophomore season He had a nice
- 12:14rookie season offensively. Obviously
- 12:16wasn't great defensively, but a nice rookie season
- 12:20with the stick and uh, we're talking about him
- 12:22maybe getting sent down so I expected him to take a
- 12:26nice little jump and it's been the exact opposite All
- 12:29right. Well, I couldn't make this video
- 12:30super long. I got some things to do But
- 12:33thanks for watching. Please comment like subscribe share
- 12:37the video share the channel put it in your group text
- 12:39Put it on social media. What
- 12:40do you guys think? As we're about what 12 13
- 12:44percent whatever it is into the season nine and ten
- 12:48What's the vibe check? Is it what you thought it
- 12:51was? To me it to me it is I
- 12:54thought they were going to go like what six and ten
- 12:58Entering the a series and if you figure they win the
- 13:00a series that would have been what? eight
- 13:03and 11 And they're nine and ten So the Cardinals
- 13:06are kind of right where I thought they would be But
- 13:09important to note. I didn't think they were
- 13:10going to be that great this year. I
- 13:12said 83 wins. They feel mediocre -ish right
- 13:15around 500 Again, I think the offense is going to be
- 13:18better. I do but I think The
- 13:21starting pitching overall is not going to be fantastic.
- 13:24We shall see again comment
- 13:26like subscribe Let me know what you think about the
- 13:27Cardinals. What do you like? What
- 13:29do you not like? What are you worried about?
- 13:32What's pissing you off? What
- 13:33are you happy about? Let's not always be negative. We
- 13:36got to celebrate Wilson Contreras and Yvonne Herrera
- 13:38and Mason win and Newt Barr and Helzley and Jojo
- 13:43Romero and Andrew Kittridge also and Steven mattz and
- 13:45sonny gray and lancelin There's some good things to
- 13:48talk about but there's some negatives as well You got
- 13:52uh, yeah, that that about equals nine and ten Last
- 13:56place in the central pretty mediocre feeling. All
- 13:59right. See you guys. Thanks
- 14:00for watching. Peace