Latest / Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast / Felix Prehn - Is This the Top? Why the Market Could Turn Here! + Stock Market News 12 June 2025

Transcript

Felix Prehn - Is This the Top? Why the Market Could Turn Here! + Stock Market News 12 June 2025 · Felix Nikolas Prehn's Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Felix here and welcome to this pre-morning market live stream.
• 0:03
  Speaker 1: We're, of course, joined by Winston here lying in the dark, and it's a big day.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: We had Oracle earnings out, which are massive for the whole AI and tech sector growth.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: We are having some well sort of range-bound issues.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: There's a reason the market is topping out a little bit today.
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: I want to explain that, and then what happens afterwards.
• 0:22
  Speaker 1: We'll also look at some of the other big winners out there.
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: Want to explain that, and then what happens afterwards.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: We'll also look at some of the other big winners out there Oklo, boeing, of course, huge disaster this morning.
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: We'll talk about that and much, much more, including your favorite tech stocks, and the goal here is to make you into, well, the best informed investor out there every single morning.
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: If you actually want to become one of the best investors out there too, I've got something for you in store as well.
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: But let me share my screen with you first and we shall jump straight into it.
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: There is Winston, so let's kick off with Oracle here this morning, because that's quite positive news and I always like to cheer people up to get going.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: If you're finding these streams useful, put a?
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: U in the chat so I know that you're getting some value out of this and we'll keep going.
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: Larry Ellison said he's one of the coolest guys out there.
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: I think he said revenue from Amazon, google and Azure, which is Microsoft, grew 115% quarter to quarter, which is just staggering.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: So they beat on revenue, they beat on profit, they beat on cloud revenue.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: They just beat on everything Extraordinary stuff there from oracle.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: And maybe you're thinking, oh, I wish I would have bought oracle.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: I'm a bit too late, aren't I?
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: Well, maybe you are.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: I put it into our um, one of our june orders I sent out to my students.
• 1:39
  Speaker 1: We said buy oracle above 166 dollars.
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: Well, that's what I was planning on doing, and if I show you that, have I got a screenshot of that?
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: No, I don't.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Um, I'll type in oracle so you can see what I'm talking about here.
• 1:55
  Speaker 1: So our buy point here was that blue line there I'm going to make it green for a very, very, very specific reason.
• 2:01
  Speaker 1: And it meant that even on a boring stock like oracle, you'd be up like 15 16 right now in the space of less than two weeks.
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: You'd like to be up 15 on a boring stock like oracle in the space of less than two weeks.
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: Anybody would like to be that.
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: Well, if you'd like to be that, guess what?
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I will teach you how.
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Not right now because it'll take too long.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: I don't want to spend an hour doing that.
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: I want to to walk through what's going on here today.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: But you can, if you wish, learn how to spot these breakouts.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: Literally, we spot them before they happen.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: Before they happen.
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: We did this way before it happened, here on the 2nd of June.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: That was our entry point.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: And if you want to learn that, well, guess what, you're in luck.
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: Join me on Saturday.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: I'll teach you live, at 10 am Eastern Time, new York Time.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: Felixfriendsorg slash webinars, how you can access that.
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: And it is the one thing that is really changing people's lives.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: Like, ask some of our students they're in the chat here, they'll tell you about it, they'll tell you about it here.
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: Of our students that are in the chat here, they'll tell you about it, they'll tell you about it.
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: Here is another one Oklo, who make those little cute, you know, portable nuclear reactors that you can shove up Bill Gates's backside Very, very lovely and, you know, completely great for the environment.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: And they just got a contract to power an air force base Stocks absolutely going bananas 29 up.
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: And guess what did we know?
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: We didn't know about the order, but the chart told you everything.
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: And if you look at our 19th may buy list, what's the top performing stock here over the last month?
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: It's oklo, up 128.
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: So that was not one of our buys.
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: Uh, there are a lot of very well performing stocks on.
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: That, as you can, are a lot of very well-performing stocks and that, as you can see, a lot of them.
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: Why?
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: Because we actually know what we're doing.
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: Um, and of course, I should also show you always the losers.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: We also have losers, but the worst loser loser is 16 percent.
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: All the other ones are very small, right, they're not many.
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: So if you added this all together, you get to I don't know 40, 50 percent down.
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: So our number four stock maybe would have paid for all the losers.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: All the rest would be profit, right?
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: So I'm not promising you gains, but I'm promising you that you can get a heck of a lot better at buying good stocks before they break out.
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: Very simply, and you can be in things like Oklo and you can be in things like Oracle, because they were actually predictable and I'll teach you how they become predictable if you join me there on Saturday.
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: Here's the link as well on the screen felixrentsorg.
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: What's the wrong link, isn't it?
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: Felixrentsorgseminar?
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure it's going to work.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: Webinar is going to work.
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: Hang on, let me just check that.
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: I don't want to send people to the wrong thing.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: Felix Rensselaer seminar.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: Does that work?
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Let's see.
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: Yes, okay, brilliant, okay, the link there.
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: Both of them work, but both leads to the same place.
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: Um, either way, felix friends, webinars the one I would I would use, which is what I would.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: I pin to the top of the chat here, which is also what's in the description, but they'll both get you to the right place at saturday at 10 am.
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: So, uh, come and join me there.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: He's gonna join me.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: He's actually gonna learn.
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: Uh, here is the oracle.
• 5:15
  Speaker 1: Beautiful rally here this morning, right?
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: Isn't that why we show up here?
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: Isn't that why you show up?
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: Well, if you wanted to, david has registered.
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: Congratulations, my friend, I'll see you there.
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: Mr Moose says Academy, totally worth it Registered.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: Do you have a girlfriend?
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Well, what if I have several?
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: So it's a personal question.
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: I never already talked about my personal life, do I?
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: Um, I don't think I'm going to change that.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: So, um, let's ask me about stocks, trump, tariffs.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Trump says he's going to set unilateral tariffs.
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: So he's basically, you know, his attitude is that he's the storekeeper.
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: He's basically saying I own a department store, so him to him, the united states is a department store, and he to him, the United States is a department store.
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: And he says, essentially, if you want to come and sell in my store, you got to pay me rent.
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: That's his attitude.
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: And who sets the rent?
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: Well, the department store manager.
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: So that's what he's threatening to do within weeks.
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: And that is not brilliant news because it means the tariff thing hasn't completely gone away yet.
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: John, you'll be there too.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: Brilliant.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: 10 am.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: What time zone?
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: New York time.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: New York time.
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: Nyc time.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: New York time.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so the tariffs are still there.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: Now there will be an exemption, we believe, for about 18 countries that are in good faith negotiations with the US around allegedly top of that list, just kidding.
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: But yeah, maybe the Europeans, I don't know.
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: Maybe China, probably maybe Japan and Korea and India and all those sort of places Korea and India and all those sort of places, maybe the Canadians, maybe the Mexicans.
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: There seems to be some progress there, so it may not be as bad as you think.
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: But for the moment the market isn't thrilled by the announcement and I'll show you the pre-market here.
• 7:11
  Speaker 1: Everything is sort of a bit muddy and red, with the exception of Larry's Oracleacle, which is doing absolutely superbly.
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: And knowing that and knowing how these charts work because making money is a lot more about charts than you think and the reason for that is is that everybody looks at charts.
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: So you might think it's a load of hocus pocus I used to think that.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: I used to think charts were like some sort of clown business.
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: Surely nobody could predict anything with a chart.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: That's what I thought.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: And then I was very lucky.
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: I had a lovely mentor and he changed my mind and I've had a lot of mentors since and we all agree that's the easiest way to make money.
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: So Winston has a girlfriend, winston has many girlfriends, winston is sort of loved, basically pretty much wherever he goes.
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: Trade vision is awesome, brilliant, my friend.
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: We'll do a Q&A in just a moment, but let's just run through here the key stuff.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: So when you see a chart pattern that looks like this, can you see what I'm pointing at?
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: Basically, three highs and you get that zone and those highs, you get two of them and they create resistance, and they create resistance here on the QQQ Nasdaq at around 538 or something like that.
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: At the moment we're at 530.
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: So we're in that resistance zone.
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: At the moment we're at the bottom end of that resistance zone and that's something to bear in mind and not to take too lightly.
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: That doesn't mean it's going to stay there forever, but it's just likely to going to make us go sideways a little bit till we continue to rally, because I am very bullish on the second half of the year.
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: The video is coming out on that later today as well.
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: I'll really, really break that down.
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: If you're not subscribed yet, you know what to do.
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: You could even tell us you know.
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: You can even smash the like button.
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: I'm real rights Nicholas.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: Tell us about art or something you know about.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: There is one of those nitwits.
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: My name is Nicholas.
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: It is Nicholas Felix Preen.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: So you think you know something.
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: You don't.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: I paint, my friend.
• 9:14
  Speaker 1: You see that art behind me there.
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: I painted that.
• 9:18
  Speaker 1: I enjoy painting.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: It's a lovely thing.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: It's what you do when you have time freedom, my friend.
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: You get there by having lots of money.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: I'd encourage you to focus on the money rather than trying to figure out why somebody isn't who you think they are.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: I have done many jobs.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: I have many businesses, and this is one of the things I do that I enjoy the most, and this is the thing that I like to do when I'm retired.
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: I woke up this morning.
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: I had my breakfast served to me on a silver tray.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: I went for a bit of a stroll, I worked out with my personal trainer.
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: I then ran to the tennis club.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: I played a bit of tennis with a friend, I got driven home by my driver.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: That's my life, and it's a beautiful, marvelous life, and it involves more than doing one thing.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: So, my friend, open your eyes and listen and pay attention and you might learn a thing or two.
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: Otherwise, go and bugger off.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: Now this is the S&P, and again, we have quite a lot of highs here, as you see, and they are all basically in the same zone.
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: We're slightly below that, but not a lot.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: So all of those highs kick in around 6100, which, coincidentally, is also where institutions will sell.
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: And do you know why?
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: Because let me open it up for you here uh, the spx.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: If you go into trade vision, um, which you can get a free trial to, as well as a link down below, and you turn on this little support thing here called support.
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: Right, it puts a red line in here for you, called the resistance, and that resistance is where the market makers sell the big guys the grown-ups right with all the money makers sell the big guys the grown-ups right With all the money they sell that.
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: So knowing that information and then knowing that's also the same spot where we have all these highs at the same time means it's exceptionally likely that when we hit 6,100, we're probably going to do this for a little while.
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: And that's good to know, because now you know something that most people do, right?
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: I used to be a golfer landscaper, john.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's good, isn't it?
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: You need a pass to say bugger off from someone in England.
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: What do you mean about that?
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: We get the occasional nutter in here, right, it's okay, it's all right, they're just.
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: You know what it is.
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: I think it's really like people go okay, that twit is 44 years old, appears to be retired.
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: Surely this can't be right, because some people will then say well, if I haven't done the same thing, maybe I failed.
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: And I don't think you failed, my friend, because it comes to everybody at different ages.
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: I know people who retired much, much younger.
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: I know people who retired in their 20s and they just figured it out sooner.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: Good for them.
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: It doesn't mean they're smarter than us.
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: It just meant that they were in the right place at the right time and they met somebody who gave them the right information.
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: That's really what it's all about.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: So the best time is always yeah, time machine.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: We haven't got one of those.
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: So the best time to do something about it is don't beat yourself up because you're not where you are where you are.
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: If you're not where you are where you want to be, um, and just when you see people who are doing something that you're like, well, why?
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: Why haven't I got that yet?
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: Just see it as an encouragement.
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: It's like if you go to the gym and you're the fittest guy there, well, you're not going to get much fitter.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: If you're in the gym and you're like the most pathetic you know skinny there, which is usually me then it's very encouraging and you're going to work harder.
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: It's the same in school.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: You don't want to be the smartest kid in the class because it'll hold you back.
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: The same applies with everything.
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: So find yourself some people to learn from, some mentors who are better at making money from money.
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: That's really what it's all about.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: And says haven't failed, just haven't succeeded yet.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: Precisely, scott, and that's why you got that beautiful positive, winning attitude and that's why you are winning.
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: That's really what it's all about.
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: Now, the other piece of news we got in today is PPI.
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: What is PPI?
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: It is producer price and, yes, inflation, right, and so it's manufacturing inflation, essentially.
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: And it came in at 0.1% headline figure, which is as expected.
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: So that's pretty good.
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know why we're using a red pen, by the way, but that's pretty good.
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: Right Now, the core PPI, which sort of strips out energy and that sort of thing, came in a little higher than expected, but again, not materially higher.
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: And if you're thinking about what the mainstream media has been telling us and everyone's been panicking about, we're going to get this horrible inflation because of tariffs.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: Well, getting it.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: So the market should actually bounce on that news.
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: It is a positive, especially after the CPI, the consumer price inflation yesterday.
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: So that's actually good news and it's part of why I am bullish in the longer term.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: I just think that for the very short term, we have a little bit of resistance.
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: A little bit of resistance here.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: Here is a very sad story.
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: Indian officials say zero survivors on Air India's Boeing 787 plane crash of the day.
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: All 242 passengers are declared deceased.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Any other things, who knows?
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: Of course, boeing stock dipped on that somewhat significantly, and I care because I have a Boeing position open and that's, of course, the cold-hearted thing you've got to do when you look after your money.
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: Now, where did we buy Boeing?
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: On our buy list?
• 14:59
  Speaker 1: We bought Boeing at $189 and a bit that green line here.
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: So even with this crazy drop this morning, we are actually still up six and a half percent.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: So there's a stop.
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: My stop is ever so slightly, I think.
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: My stop's at 198.
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: So I think my stop's about here, um, so it could be that we get stopped out of that today, which would be completely fine with me.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Make four percent, completely fine.
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: Small gains are one of our outcomes, big losses are not, so even something as horrific as this doesn't really have that big an impact.
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: I would expect this to pop up again unless there is some clear evidence that it is Boeing's fault, which there never is in crashes.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Nobody really knows whose fault it was until sometime afterwards and everyone points fingers.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: But, yeah, obviously a very, very tragic story there, for that Boeing plane coming out of the sky here, getting out of a fully fueled plane.
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: When it crashes is unfortunately very unlikely BAs to blame.
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I wouldn't jump to that conclusion.
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: I have a good friend who is a CEO of a major airline for a long time and, um, I always talk to him about the whole boeing thing and he said, yeah, it's easy to point fingers, but in reality the maintenance is usually the it's the responsibility of the airlines.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: So, um, you know it's, uh, it's, it's, it's hard to.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: Basically what happens is that boeing will say it was the airline.
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: The airline will say it was boeing.
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: Um, if it's proven that Boeing will say it was the airline, the airline will say it was Boeing.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: If it's proven that it wasn't Boeing, the airline will say it was the pilot, which is a fairly harsh accusation.
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: That's usually what happens, and then it takes like a year to figure out who's actually at fault there.
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: So, john Kitchener, 10 Second Silence.
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: You're very welcome to do that, my friend.
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: It's a nice thought.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: It is a very nice thought.
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: Allegedly Bird Strike, it's actually the cause for many an airline crash, yeah, so no, I wouldn't short it.
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's got that sort of an impact for the stock point of view.
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: Boeing is still there, unless it's, like you know, definitely their fault, which you'd never really know.