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Giants/Mets MLB + WNBA Best Bets Friday 8/1/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:18
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: that have not had a good season. Man with wookends
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, and the slump continues. I've
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: reached into peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: hat Man, I don't know what is going on with
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: the bruins arch hape? Is that what it is? I
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think who
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: even knows? Man, I don't know what day is anymore.
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I can
• 0:58
  Speaker 1: possibly have, back to you as I always am until
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: I die at least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: did not go well for me. Own five the worst
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: month that I've ever had in my eighteen years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: To the slumpers, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody, It's Toad. I am back with you
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: for better off Dad Friday. It's August now, August first.
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: July was not a good month on the show. Not
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: that I've actually been betting much of anything, as I've
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: been pointing out, trying to save money or you know,
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: get to a point where I have more money that's
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: liquid and then maybe start doing this again and we
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: will see. But July, if you've been tracking, it was
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: the second losing month of the year for me. Not
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: as bad as March, though, but still down on the
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: year now because of July. Fuck July, not Eric July.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: I like that guy. Thanks for everybody who hung out
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: last night with an episode of Bald that I did
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: with Clint. If you miss that, you can go check
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: it out. Clint Russell from Liberty Lockdown. We talked NFL
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: season predictions. I gave him sort of the low down
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: and all the off season changes that have happened. I
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: also I shaved everything to get ready for ball. That
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: was like, well, I gotta be bald for bald. And
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: then I went to shave my face and I had
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: the razor on the wrong setting. I'm like, oh, fuck something.
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: So I started at least I started with the side burn.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: So I'm like, well, I have to leave something on
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: the chin, man, because I do not look good completely shad.
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: It looked like a big fat baby. So I'm like,
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: all right, well, I'll just shave the beard down to like,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: you know, have kind of an extended goat sea. I'm like, yeah,
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: all right, this looks all right. We'll just leave it
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: like that for now. Hopefully it's not terrible. Maybe I
• 2:57
  Speaker 1: look like I don't know, Pete Kenos or something. All Right, Yesterday,
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: as I said losing day on the show, I apologize
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: for that. Tampa Bay Pepio was just awful. Stroman out
• 3:09
  Speaker 1: pitched him. The game entered into a rain delay, which
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: I think kind of hurt Tampa actually a little bit,
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: because they had a little bit of momentum. I know
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: they were losing the game, but they had runners on
• 3:19
  Speaker 1: the corners in the top of the fifth I believe,
• 3:21
  Speaker 1: so they at least had a chance to maybe do
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: some damage there. But yeah, that was a loser, Tampa Bay.
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: Fuck that. We're gonna move on to today. I do
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: have one full game total in one full game side
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: both in Major League Baseball today, as all the teams
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: are playing again today. Speaking of baseball, not a fan
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: of the Red Sox trade deadline moves. Man, I don't
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: like it at all. They got Steven Motts or Matts,
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: Matt's Motts, however you pronounce. I mean, he's a decent reliever,
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: but he's in his thirties. They got him over from
• 3:52
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis. But to do so, they traded Blade Jordans
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: Blade Is Jordan, some stupid name whatever. But he's actually
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: a really good hitting first basement and the Red Sox
• 4:03
  Speaker 1: traded that guy away. So I don't love that deal.
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: But the Red Sox, I mean really, actually, the Red
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: Sox kind of need a good hitting first basement too,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: so that kind of didn't make sense to me. Although,
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: of course a lot of different guys can kind of
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: move to first base because it's the easiest position to
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: learn how to field pretty much. Then they also they
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: made one trade actually yesterday, which was to get what
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: the hell did the Oh they got Dustin May, which
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: as if you watch my show, you know I'm not
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: a fan of that guy. He sucks Dustin May over
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: from the Dodgers. Not impressed by that guy at all.
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: I don't know what they plan on doing with him. Like, nope,
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be the last guy in the Red Sox
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: starting rotation. Now, okay, if you say so, I guess.
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's gonna fit right in with all their
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: other shitty starters. It's basically Garrett Crochet Beao actually started
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: to pitch well and then everybody else just blows. So
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: like I mean, now they have two of the Dodgers
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: starters over here who just both blow and May, so
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: that's just great. And to get May, they traded some
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: prospect I've never heard of and Tibbs, who was one
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: of the guys basically the best player they got over
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: in the Dever's trade. And Tibbs is a good hitting
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: outfielder man. But at least from the Red Sox perspective,
• 5:17
  Speaker 1: at least the Red Sox do have a lot of outfielders,
• 5:20
  Speaker 1: so that kind of made a little bit more sense.
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: But to get that little out of him. I don't
• 5:24
  Speaker 1: get it, man, I really don't get it. Terrible terrible deals.
• 5:27
  Speaker 1: In my opinion, it would have been a lot better
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: if the Red Sox made zero trades at all. They
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: would be better off. Like, just stand Pat, I mean,
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: you're not gonna win this year, dude. I know you're
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: fighting for the wildcard right now. You're not gonna win.
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: You got a young core, you're building it right now.
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: This Red Sox team could be good in the next
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: few years. That's what they should do. But I mean,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: I'm a Red Sox fan. I'm getting autistic about it.
• 5:50
  Speaker 1: You guys don't want to hear me rant about the
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: Red Sox. We got a lot of stuff going on
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: today on the card, so let's get into it. I mean,
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna do the rundown here. Let's do it. Let's
• 6:00
  Speaker 1: remember bring up the graphic. WNBA is up first. I
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: don't have a play in the WNBA, but I will
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: give out a couple of leans. I guess. I think
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: there's one decent lean in the WNBA that I still
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: don't really want to deal with. But Phoenix is at Atlanta.
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: All these games are actually in the evening, Atlanta coming
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: off winning against Dallas at Dallas, and now they're coming
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: back home again. So they return over from a long
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: road trip. Lost that game, the Doldo game, which I
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: gave out Golden State on the show as a play
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: Golden State did it get it done? Atlanta went on
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: the road beat Dallas. Now they're back home again against
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: the Phoenix team that they actually just beat on the road.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: And with all this back and forth for Atlanta going
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: all over the place, travel spot doesn't look that great
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: to me for Atlanta, and it is a little bit
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: of a road revenge spot for Phoenix here. Phoenix, though,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: they're playing a fourth straight road game, and I think
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: it's been in kind of quick succession too. Actually maybe
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: it hasn't been. I looked earlier this morning. Yeah, they've
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: had a few days off in there, so actually they
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: haven't had that like jam pass to a schedule. There.
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: Still not the greatest spot for Phoenix, but I think
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: the spot is probably a little bit better for Phoenix.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: The line is up from one and a half to
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: three and a half, Phoenix being the road favorite here.
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree with that. Liberty at Connecticut, I mean,
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: this is one of the best teams in the league
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: against one of the worst or the worst Connecticut. Connecticut
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: just lost again by a lot to Seattle. They're just
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: staying at home. Those of the travel spot probably a
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Connecticut. Liberty are traveling back in
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: from Dallas and Minnesota, so this is kind of close
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: to a return home spot almost because Connecticut is not
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: that far away from New York. It is technically a
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: third straight road game Liberty three straight losses, but they're
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: also coming off the big rematch of the finals from
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: last year, and Minnesota got the revenge I mentioned. I
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: liked Minnesota in that game, but they didn't actually cover
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: the spread they won didn't cover. Still a huge game
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: for both teams, So I might look to fade Minnesota
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: man in the letdown spot tomorrow. They're playing tomorrow against
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas, I guess, so we'll see if that becomes
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: a play of mine, but it's definitely possible. But the Liberty, Yeah,
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: coming out of a big game there, the spot is
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: worse for the Liberty here. But do I really want
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: to play Connecticut? I mean no, not really. A Liberty
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: up from ten to eleven and a half here. I mean,
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: it's probably too big of a line, but Connecticut is
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: really really bad, so don't want it. Golden State at Chicago.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: Golden State played yesterday actually and they actually won again,
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: another road upset at Washington. Now they're playing I believe,
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: a third straight road game now going out to Chicago,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: or maybe it's a fourth straight road game even now, Yeah,
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: my apologies, Yeah, it's a fourth straight road game. And
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: actually I looked at this earlier. It's four games, it's
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: six days, and it's actually five games in the last
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: eight days in all in different cities. So it's a
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: very difficult spot for Golden State here, especially on top
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: of a back to back, on top of back to
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: back upsets as well. This is the spot that I
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: think is if you're gonna play anything in WNBA today,
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: I think this is the spot take the points of Chicago.
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: The problem that I have with that is, even though
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: Golden State does have that one key injury to Caylea Thornton,
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: who is one of their best players, she's done for
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: the season. Chicago has a bunch of injuries of their own. Man,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: it looks like Angel Reese is gonna miss this game.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: Two we should probably help their shooting, to be honest,
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: but they have five players listed on the injury report.
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: It looks like three of them are game time decisions.
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: So this is something to definitely keep an eye on
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: for Chicago. But I think the spot does set up
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: better for Chicago. I would take the points with them
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do anything. And it's tempting actually,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: because Chicago did just get blasted at Washington. I know
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: they've lost a ton of games in a row, so
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: it's really not tempting from like the public's perspectives and
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: want anything to do with Chicago. And they've lost most
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: of these games by horrendous margins too. They've been horrible
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: dealing with injuries. Plus they're a bad team on top
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: of that. But the spot looks right for it, man.
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: And as I was about to say, on top of
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: all that, Chicago just beat Washington on the road, or
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: Chicago Susan got beaten badly by Washington on the road.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: Golden State just beat Washington on the road. So people,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: I think are gonna look at that and think this
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: is really easy. You just lay the points with Golden State, right,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: But it's down from six to five and a half here.
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: You know, I'm tempted if we think Chicago's gonna have
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: a lot of these players actually playing. Actually, let me
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: see if it's an injury spot. If Angel Reese, if
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: it's her first game out and she's you know, kind
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: of that star player missing, if that makes it an
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: injured player spot, I think I will actually do this.
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: Let me look at this game here. She did play
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: against Chicago, and she was horrendous yet again, six for
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: sixteen from the field, twenty two points though Man thirteen
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: rebounds is goo. She got a double double, but she
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: took a shit ton of shots and missed the vast
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: majority of them, which is typical. But yeah, if this
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: is gonna be her first game out, you know, but
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: I think maybe we should do this. I'm looking at
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: this right now. I'm looking at the box score here.
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: Washington shot absurd in that game. Man fifty from the field,
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: forty one point from three, pretty major outlier there. You know,
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: should we add the WNBA play last minute here, Chicago Sky,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna do it. You know, it's an
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: injured player spot with Angel Reese out, and again I'm
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: not even sure that that's really a bad thing for them.
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: We'll call it five and a half. We'll see WNBA.
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: There you go, Chicago Sky plus the points, even though
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: the last time I gave out the Sky did not
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: work out well. But that's what we'll do, and we'll
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: do that, and I am up in the WNBA this
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: year though, so WNBA has not gone that poorly for me.
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: Indiana and Dallas here should be the big matchup between
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Caitlin Clark and Page Becker's, of course, but Caitlin Clark
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: is still injured. I have no idea when she's coming back,
• 12:00
  Speaker 1: so Caitlyn Clark will not be playing. Dallas just had
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: a close game against Atlanta, big game, coming off a
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: big game against the Liberty, So they're actually playing a
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: bunch of games in a row that are big games.
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: So it seems like they are kind of keeping their
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: level of play up though, But how long can they
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: really do that? And how seriously are they gonna take
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: Indiana without Kaitlin Clark. I don't know, because they did
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: lose by nineteen points at Indiana not that long agoing
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I don't think Clark was there for that game either.
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: She's missed most of these games at the very least. Oh,
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: she did play that game, my mistake, so Clark actually
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: was involved in that game. But still, Dallas, maybe they
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: will show up, just because still it is Indiana. Indiana's
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: on a three game win streak even without Clark. They
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: did just win against Phoenix, and now they're starting a
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: new road trip or at least going out on the
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: road after that home win. Fairly big win for Indiana,
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: but starting a road trip with momentum, will they be
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: focused though to play this Dallas team? It isn't really
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: that good. I don't know, Indiana's laying four points on
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: the road. It's a tough call home man, that game, Yeah,
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know what I would want
• 13:07
  Speaker 1: to do with that. It seems like maybe a slight
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: lean too, taking the points at home. But I really
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: don't have much of a field for that game at all.
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: And then LA at Seattle, LA coming off a loss
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: to Vegas, and that might hang them over me because
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: LA was hot. They'd won five games in a row
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: and that was a letdown spot. I mean, they had
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: just beaten the Liberty and they returned home. I think
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: I mentioned that as a lean on my show. I
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: didn't give it out as a play though, which maybe
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: I should have because I had that one correct on
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas. It was a bad spot for la man
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: returning home off with a big win over the Liberty,
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: returning cross country bad spot. Now they're going back out
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: on the road after that loss. I could see it
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: going both ways. Man. If they stayed at home, I
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: would probably say, maybe they have a chance to bounce
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: back here because that second game back home after you
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: have a bad game, the first game back you tend
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: to bounce back a little bit more easily. But out
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: they're going out on the road, I'm not so sure. Man.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: They could be hungover. If you lose a long win
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: streak like that, sometimes it does hang you over. Seattle's
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: a pretty good team, though, so it's not like they're
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: not gonna be focused on Seattle. So I think they
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: will show up for a game against Seattle. Seattle is
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: returning home, so it's not a good spot for Seattle either.
• 14:15
  Speaker 1: They were just out east and they're returning home from
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: the East Coast. They played a three game roa trap
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: with two games basically on the East Coast. Returning from
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: winning two of those three and beating Connecticut, which is
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: not very impressive, but the return home spot never really
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: that good a spot, and especially they're playing a team
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: that has a worse record than they have, So I
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a great spot for Seattle either. And
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: the line has moved against Seattle down from five and
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: a half to five, but neither team I would say,
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: is really in a particularly great spot of I guess
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: I would agree with that line movement. I do think
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: the spot is a little bit worse for Seattle, could
• 14:49
  Speaker 1: potentially be a bounce back for LA. So that's the
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: way I would lean in that game. Jay MANE, what's up, Man,
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out again. Yeah, thanks Man, good to see.
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna be switching over to baseball right now. Man,
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: here we go major League baseball. We had a really
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: short baseball board yesterday. Today that is not the case.
• 15:07
  Speaker 1: We have a full baseball slate today because it is Friday.
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: We have some undecided pitchers here, and I don't know
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: if any of the pitchers have been decided, but it
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: looks like Toronto, Boston my Red Sox, White Sox, and
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: Arizona and the A's both teams in that game. It
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: looks like they have not decided on a starter. Yet
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: we'll start with the afternoon. Atlanta and Cincinnati. I mean,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: these teams they played last night in that crazy game
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: where Atlanta had the huge lead, Atlanta blew the lead,
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: and I think there were sixteen runs scored in a
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: single inning in this game if I remember correctly. Yeah,
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: in the eighth inning, Atlanta scored eight runs to take
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: a huge lead, and then they took an eight run lead.
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: And then this Atlanta bullpen, which is the bullpen that's
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: blown the biggest leads in baseball this year, blowing and
• 15:57
  Speaker 1: losing a six run lead when I gave out Atlanta
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: as a play on the show way back in the day.
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: And now they do it again and they blow the
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: eight run lead immediately to the Reds. But Atlanta still
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: wound up winning the game last night in a tenth inning.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: Absolute madness. In this game, absolute insanity. A lot of
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: bullpen usage, five relievers for both teams, so the bullpen's
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: not in great shape coming into this game, so somebody
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind here. And a quick turnaround times,
• 16:25
  Speaker 1: so these teams have not had that much time to rest,
• 16:27
  Speaker 1: which could mean that the hitting will fall through a
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: little bit here because they have to play now in
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: the afternoon after that game last night that went extras.
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: But it doesn't look like it sets up well for
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: the bullpens in this game. And I don't like at
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: least one of these two starters here either. Bryce Elder
• 16:43
  Speaker 1: not a fan if you haven't guessed by now, or
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: you haven't figured that out on this show. His numbers
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: are absolutely atrocious six point two ninety one point six' one.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: Whip he's twenty six years old and he's pitching like An.
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: ELDER i mean he might he might as well be
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: forty six with numbers like. This his numbers suck both
• 17:02
  Speaker 1: home and. Away it doesn't even really matter pitching in
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: a pitcher friendly park, here and he's not in good
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: form this, month with a seven point nine to ONE
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: era in four, starts sixteen to eleven strikeout walk, ratio
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: three or more walks than three of the four. Starts last,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: start he gave up eight runs to this not Good
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: texas offense four walks in that game as well to three.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts elder is not pitching well man at, all so
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: there's no way that he's. Trustworthy the numbers against The
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: reds are not horrendous in twenty two at bats is
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: a small sample size nine, strikeouts one, walk two seventy
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: three average six sixty EIGHT, ops BUT i see no
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: way of Trusting elder in this. Game man and Then
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: Brady singer on the other side obviously is the better
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: of the two, pitchers but his numbers are not terrific
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: four point SIXTY, ra one point three to THREE. Whip
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: he is significantly better at, home though more than two
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: runs better at home on THE era three point six y,
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: nine even though it's a hitter of friendly. Stadium he
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: is in better form because he is coming up one
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: really good start Against tampa eight to one strike out walk.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: Ratio his strike out walk ratio has still been good
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: this month twenty five to. Seven, really he just got
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: wrecked in one start At washington two starts to, go
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: giving up seven runs and two and a third. Innings
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: his performance has not been that bad this month, otherwise
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: so that could have been a bit of an outlier
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: because he did bounce back very. Nicely but he does
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: not have good numbers against The braves and sixty four
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: at bats to eighty one batting, average nine to fifty TWO,
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: ops six home, runs allowed two From, murphy two From.
• 18:38
  Speaker 1: Olsen player prop potential There murphy five for eleven with
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: two doubles in the two home runs And olsen three
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: for nine at the two on runs and three. Walks
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: could look for those, guys maybe hits plus runs plus.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: RBIs But, singer based on the fact that his matchup
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: numbers aren't really that, good my lean on this game
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: would be to the. Over it's sitting at, nine heavily
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: juiced to the. Over right, now it looks Like cincinnati's
• 19:03
  Speaker 1: dropped a little bit on the money. LINE i don't
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: see any percentages yet because it is. Early i'm doing
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: this show a little bit. Earlier right now down for
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: minus one thirty five to minus one thirty one on
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: the money. Line there's no way THAT i would Trust.
• 19:14
  Speaker 1: ATLANTA i, mean IF i was looking at a, SIDE
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: i would probably look To. CINCINNATI i guess just in
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: the first five. Innings that just isolate the starting pitching,
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: matchup BECAUSE i don't know what the hell is gonna
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: happen with the. Bullpens although you could argue that The
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: bullpens are about even and maybe That. Cincinnati you could
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: maybe argue for full Games, cincinnati but first five. INNINGS
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: i do Think singer probably does have the edge Over elder.
• 19:38
  Speaker 1: Slightly he's the better. Pitcher BUT i don't like the
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: pitching matchup numbers at. All SO i think the, over
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: including these you, know unrested bullpens and aren't really that good,
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: anyway and two pretty questionable starters, here that's the way
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: THAT i would look would be the over in that.
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: Game and you might have to go over nine and
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: a half at this, point hopefully not though if you
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: can get over nine at like around minus one, twenty
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: i'd probably do. That but even the nine and a
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: HALF i think would probably still be the best way
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: to look in that. Game the other afternoon game Is
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: baltimore at The. Cubs because It's Wrigley, field of course
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: we get these weird afternoon games At. Wrigley these teams
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: were both off. YESTERDAY i mean almost every team was off.
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: Yesterday cubs coming off a big series Against, milwaukee, though
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: and they were turning home from a road triple though
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: of Course milwaukee To chicago very short, travel though it
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: wasn't really much of a road trip because they were
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: In chicago and Then, Milwaukee SO i don't really know
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: if this counts as a road trip, return SO i
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: don't really think it's gonna be that much of a distraction.
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: Spot but it could be a letdown spot, anyway, man
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: or hangover, spot because when you're coming off playing Against,
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: milwaukee who's the team you're fighting with in THE Nl
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: central here you just beat them ten to, Three are
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: you really gonna focus on this Bad baltimore team was
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: not even in your? League probably. Not so it looks
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: like a bad spot for The cubs to. Me baltimore
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: not the greatest spot for them. Either, Necessarily baltimore was
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: actually on a five game win streak and they were
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: going for a sweep Of. Toronto would have been a
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: huge Sweep toronto currently leading THE Al. East baltimore lost
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: the last game, close nine to, eight so that could
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: hang them over into the next. Game, Man but they
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: are starting a road trip and it is The, cubs
• 21:16
  Speaker 1: so they might still be focused going out on the
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: road to start a road trip against The. Cubs SO
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: i do think the spot is still worse for The
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: cubs as far as like who's going to be, Focused
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: AND i would say Probably baltimore has the more trustworthy
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: of the two starters. Here. Too cubs have the better
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: bullpen and obviously have the better, offense and The, CUBS i,
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: believe are pretty good at hitting at home as. Well so, Really,
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: baltimore if they have any advantage, here it would be the.
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: Spot but also, SPECIFICALLY i think the starting pitching might
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: be in their Favorite Trevor. Rodgers. MAN i keep pointing
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: out HOW i did not like his numbers and he
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: was On. MIAMI i don't like his numbers On TRIPLE
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: a this, year but you can't really argue with his
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: numbers On. Baltimore so, far he continues to do well
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: one point four to NINE, era point seventy nine whip but,
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: man at some, POINT i don't think he can continue.
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: This but he's pitching. Well he's been a little bit
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: worse on the, road but two point three SIX era
• 22:10
  Speaker 1: is still really. Good he's in really good form right.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: Now still one point zero THREE r in four starts this.
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: Month baltimore won three of those. Starts he got the
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: win and all Three baltimore has won five of his
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: last six. Starts he's given up two or fewer earned
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: runs in every single one of those starts this. Month
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: twenty two to seven, strikeout walk. Ratio last, outing Dominated
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: colorado for seven, innings one, hit, shutout five, strikeouts one.
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: WALK i mean, again it Is, colorado so it's not
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: that impressive of an. Offense he really is not faced
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: that impressive of an offense. Yet so that's the one
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: thing he's stepping way up in class to face The cubs,
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: here because he's faced really one good offense so, far
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: The Red sox in his first, outing and then since
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: then it's Been tampa, Twice texas, Twice, Colorado miami In,
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: atlanta so not really that much of a gauntlet For.
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: Rogers so at some POINT i do think he's gonna pitch.
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Worse The cubs have twenty at bats against, him only
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: three hitters have seen him, before but they are nine
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: for twenty off, him a four point fifty, average one
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: thousand and two seventy two oh ps with swanshim with
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: a home run off him as, well and three walks
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: to four strikeouts for The. Cubs So rogers doesn't particularly
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: match up well against The, cubs but the majority of
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: their lineup hasn't Seen rogers, before so it's a real
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: mix where The cubs are good at hitting The cubs
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: hitters that have seen, him have hit him, well but
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: the rest of The cubs lineup has not seen him,
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: before so some might be at a little bit of a.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Disadvantage so it's a weird mix. There Cad horton espicially
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: for The, cubs AND i would trust him less Than,
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: rogers just based on the way that they've been. Pitching
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: three point six SEVENTY ra for him not, bad but
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: one point three to one whip doesn't really inspire too
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: much confidence in. Me although he's been better at home
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: two point one to TWO era And, wrigley his numbers
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: this month have not been that bad though one point
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: five TWO ra is obviously. Good seventeen to eight strike
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio is a little bit. Iffy but three
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: of the four starts this month have been shutouts where
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: he went at least five to two thirds in all,
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: three although the only one against a good offense was
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: The Red. SOX i, mean the other Starts, Cleveland Minnesota White.
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: SOX i mean, again he's not facing a gauntlet, either
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: so he's not that trustworthy. EITHER i mean when he
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: faced good, offenses he didn't do particularly well against The
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: mets And houston really lit him up and those were
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: the two best offenses that he. Faced seattle fairly good
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: offense as. Well he Had detroit and he didn't do
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: well in those starts. Either but of course he is
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: Facing baltimore, here who are not really that good of an,
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: offense And baltimore has actually never Faced Kate horton, before
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: so Maybe horton does have a little bit more of
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: an edge Against baltimore. Here SO i, mean this is
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: a stayaway game for me, though, Obviously BUT i, mean
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: if you want to lean into the situation, here potentially
• 24:54
  Speaker 1: maybe you could look To. BALTIMORE i would go if
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: you're gonna Go baltimore money, LINE i would go first five.
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: Innings i'm not sure it's that great a play, though
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: BUT i think if you isolate the starting pitching, Matchup
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: rogers has pitched better Than howart and so, far but
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: STILL i don't know if we could trust either of.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: Them it's a very low, total which means the wind
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: is blowing in off of A Lake michigan, there BECAUSE
• 25:14
  Speaker 1: i don't see how the total would be seven and
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: a half juice to the under with this pitching. Matchup,
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: Otherwise cubs up for minus one forty five to minus
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: one forty. Eight on the money, line you're always paying
• 25:24
  Speaker 1: a bit of a price for The, cubs and given the,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: SPOT i think it's probably a little bit better of
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: an idea to look Towards baltimore in this, game but
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: it's certainly not something THAT i would want to actually.
• 25:35
  Speaker 1: Do and keeping in mind all these bullpens arrested that
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: we're talking about, here except for the, game The Atlanta cincinnati,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: game The Texas seattle, game Which i'll talk about a bit,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: later In tampa And New, york who were both starting new.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: Series those are the teams that played. Yesterday detroit At.
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia interesting, matchup, man and people might hail this as
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: a Potential World series preview because both teams are doing.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: Well detroit starting a road trip with. Momentum they just
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: swept This arizona team that looks like they're really unfocused
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: after the trades that their team. Made, MAN i Think
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: arizona is looking like they're kind of packing it in right.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Now detroit starting the road trip with momentum should be
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: focused for A philadelphia team here looks like a decent
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: spot to me For. Detroit philadelphia is returning on from
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: a road trip that took them to The yankees and Then,
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: chicago so it didn't really take them that far, geographically
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: and they did lose the series To. Chicago but it
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: is still return home. Spot AND i always say about
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: these return home, spots you have to get back to family.
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: Life it can be a little bit distracting because you've
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: been away from home for a. Bit this trip maybe
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: less so because it wasn't that extended of a road,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: trip and they're playing a Good detroit, team So philadelphia
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: might still kind of break through that unfocused aspect of
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: this and actually show up. Here detroit has the bullpen
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: advantage Of philadelphia's bullpen is not very, good ALTHOUGH i
• 26:59
  Speaker 1: Think detroit's actually been kind of falling off a little.
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: Bit detroit's in the middle of the pack, now but
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: still better Than, philly who's a bottom tier bullpen like
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: bottom several starting pitching Matchup Jack flaherty For detroit mediocre
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: numbers on the season four point five ONE, era one
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: point two eight whip way worse on the, road though
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: almost three runs WORSE era wise on the road six
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: point two to EIGHTY r on the, road even though
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: he's allowed more home runs at home but way more
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: innings at, home so he is worse on the, road
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: but he is pitching a little bit better. Recently this,
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: month pretty good numbers three point five to FIVE, era
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: thirty seven to, nine strike out, walk, right, Sure so
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: WHEN i say this, MONTH i Mean. JULY i forget
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: that we're Starting august, now but in the past, MONTH
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: i should. Say and he Finished july with a nice
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: six inning shutout Against. Toronto seven, strikeouts one, walk five hits.
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: Allowed that was, good and he didn't allow more than
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: three on runs and any start this. Month he didn't
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: go deep in The pittsburgh, game AND i don't. KNOW
• 28:00
  Speaker 1: i don't know why they took him, out to be,
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: HONEST i don't know if there was any sort of
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: rain delay in that. Game he like through seventy eight.
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: Pitches he is coming up That toronto. Gimber he did
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: throw over one hundred, pitches, though but he has done
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: that at least once this year Against, cleveland and he
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: followed that up with a nice shutout performance Against San.
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: Francisco so he is a. VETERAN i, mean he's used
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: to throwing pitches like that once in a, while SO
• 28:20
  Speaker 1: i don't think that's going to affect him that much
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: here up against Stuff. Philadelphia we gotta Have, god why
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: CAN'T i? There they? Are this is A i don't.
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Know the dropdown was like scrolling off the screen for.
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: Me Against, Philadelphia flaherty actually has done really well for
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: the most. Part in fifty six at bats one sixty
• 28:38
  Speaker 1: one average allowed little bit of a higher six fifty six,
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: ops which is still not high at, all but higher
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: than you'd expect with that batting, average because fifteen strikeouts
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: to eleven walks is not that. Good it's a lot of,
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: walks but it looks like it's because he pitches Around,
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: schwarber who does have a home run off, him But
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: schwarber is only two for twenty three off, him does
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: have five walks but eight strike, up so he does
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: still pretty much blow schorebro. Away castellanos is the one
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: guy that does damage against, him really five for thirteen
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: with one of those home runs double in two, walks
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: so he's the guy to really watch out. For But
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: flarherty does have good numbers Against. Philadelphia he's up against
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: ron Your, suarez who does have the better numbers Than
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: flarherty on the. Season BUT i don't think it's been
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: the better pitcher. Recently AND i told YOU i Think
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: suarez is a little bit wild for my. Taste he's
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: a wild man. Man he's too much of a bad
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: boy for. Me BUT i told, you just LIKE i
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: said last, YEAR i expected his numbers to get a
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: bit worse just looking at what he's done throughout his.
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: Career still has good numbers this season two point five
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: nine E, ra one point one seven. Whip he's been
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: worse at home, though four point one FIVE era here
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: in this. Stadium and this month he's been a little
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: bit worse four point five to seven E ra or
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: this past month twenty three to ten strike a walk,
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: ratio so he has walked a bunch of. Guys he's
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: walked multiple guys in three of the four. Starts he
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: is coming off a one hundred and eight pitch outing
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: where he only lasted five to two, thirds threw a
• 30:06
  Speaker 1: lot of pitches to get through that Difficult yankees. LINE i,
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: mean he did pick up a, win, big big start for,
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Him so this could, be you, know maybe a little
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: bit of a let, down maybe regressive spottle that the
• 30:18
  Speaker 1: know It's, detroit you still focus when your face At.
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: Detroit his numbers Against detroit are actually not good in
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: only sixteen at, bats so it's a very small sample,
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: size but three seventy five average allowed nine to twelve.
• 30:32
  Speaker 1: Ops So i'm thinking Of flaherty has a little bit
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: of the upper hand Hereman DETROIT i think is in
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: the better spot situationally a bit Because philly's returning home
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: from the road Trip detroit starting a road trip with some. Momentum,
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: Here detroit has the better overall. PITCHING i think they
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: might have the advantage of the starting, pitching AND i
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: think they have the better. BULLPEN i would Give philly
• 30:53
  Speaker 1: the advantage on the offensive side of Thinks detroit's offense
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: is really kind of, faltered So philly does have that.
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: Advantage But philly for minus one forty five to minus
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: one forty. Eight to me in the, marketplace it looked
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: like some of the money was coming in On, Philly
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: BUT i actually don't agree with. IT i THINK i
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: would lean To, detroit AND i think it would make
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: sense either first five inning or full, game BECAUSE i
• 31:12
  Speaker 1: do think they have the bullpen edge as. Well so
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: my lean would be To detroit on the money line
• 31:17
  Speaker 1: in that game and just take the shot on that
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: One milwaukee At. Washington washington is returning on from a road,
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: trip so they are not in a good spot. Either
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: they went To minnesota And, houston so again could be
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: a distraction. Spot although With milwaukee coming to town with
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: one of the best records in, baseball maybe you're still
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused on The. Brewers brewers coming off that
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: big series against The. Cubs, Man, so even though it
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: is the start of a road trip and usually you
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: are focused to start a road, trip maybe not the
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: case With, milwaukee because coming off that big series against The,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: cubs losing a three game win streak at the end
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: of that series could be a little bit more of
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: a hangover spot From milwaukee than what you would normally
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: see on the start of a road. Trip SO i
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: don't love this For milwaukee. Here milwaukee obviously has the better,
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: bullpen they have the better. Offense their offense is actually
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: better on the, road So milwaukee definitely has some pretty
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: major advantages in this. Game washington's bullpen is, horrendous but
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: who has the starting pitching. EDGE i don't like either
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: of these. Starters Man kintana is pitching For, milwaukee and
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: his era continues to look good three point, five but
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: his whip is definitely too high one point three to
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: four better on the road, though two point three to.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: Six Roadyra. Kintana he's continuing to hold the posing offenses in, check,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: man AND i don't understand how he could continue doing.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: That this past month hadn't allow more than four earned
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: runs in any started that was a start against The.
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: Dodgers he actually faced The dodgers twice and it was
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: the second of those two starts that he did, worse
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: or The dodgers were more familiar with him right after
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: facing him the first, time and then The mets also
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: were in there, too so he faced some pretty good
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: offenses four point zero THREE era over that span of
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: four games in the month Of july fourteen to six
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: strikeout walk ratio not horrible, numbers but he's not striking
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: out a lot of guys, man and that's kind of
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: been my issue With. Kintana though those walk number has
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: been too high for me as. Well this past, month
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: he actually limited the walks a little bit, more so
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: that is a little bit of a better. Sign he's
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: pitching a little bit better. Recently up against The, gnats
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: he actually has done really well against them in a
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: big eighty five at bat sample size twenty to twelve
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: strike a walk ratio is not that. Good although seven
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: of the walks Are bell And, DeJong they each have
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: a homer off, him so maybe he's kind of pitched
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: around them a little. Bit they haven't done well against.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: HIM i mean they're a combined what is that six
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: for thirty four off, them so they still have not
• 33:38
  Speaker 1: done well. There but overall he has done well Against
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: washington in, general one eighty eight batting, average a lot
• 33:44
  Speaker 1: six h two, ops a couple of home runs in,
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: There LIKE i, said but, Overall kintana might actually still
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: pitch well in this. Game maybe he very well does
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: have the edge Over Mitchell. Parker Mitchell parker has the
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: worst numbers on the. Season he is the much younger
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: and probably has a higher, ceiling but he has not
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: been getting it done For washington four point nine to ONE,
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: era one point four to one. Whip he's been better
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: at home, though three point nine to TWO era at.
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: Home so ACTUALLY i think both pitchers actually have the
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: better splits right in this, game is WHAT i said About.
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: KINTANA i think so this past month not good For
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: parker six point zero FOUR, era twelve to six strikeout
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: walk ration not very. Impressive he allowed thirty one hits
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: in twenty two and a third innings as, well so
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: he allowed way more hits Than kintana. Did the hit
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: rate was not good at, all not a ton of,
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: walks but a very low strikeout rate as. Well washington
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: did win his last two, starts but he Faced San
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: diego In minnesota on those two. Games San diego's offense
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: has been kind of, Sputtering minnesota not a very good,
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: offense SO i don't know how IMPRESSED i am by those.
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: Performances going up Against milwaukee's offense could be a task For,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: parker and he has not been good against. Them in
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: thirty eight at, bats he has seven walks and only two.
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: Strikeouts he's allowed eleven RBIs and two of them runs
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: to them To vaughn And. Yelich that is a lot
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: of RBIs to six doubles as, well three forty two
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed in one thousand and one oh TWO.
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: Obsa parker really bad numbers there as, Well SO i
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: actually think pretty much everything kind of lines up On
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: milwaukee in that. Game they're up for minus one forty
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: two to minus one forty. Six THOUGH i just kind of, hesitate,
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: man Because milwaukee's coming off the big series against The
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: cubs could be a little bit of a mindset issue
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: there for. Them it is a bad spot For washington too,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: though in the return home. Spot so OVERALL i would
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: lean To milwaukee in the. GAME i do think they
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: have the edge across the board in the, game but
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: you are paying a bit of a price for that
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: obviously on the, road AND i don't know The kintana
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: really warrants being that much of a road. Favorite we will.
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: See it's not gonna be a play for, me but
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: that's the way THAT i Lean Kansas city At. Toronto
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: toronto is listed as having an undecided starter here on
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: the board here it was listed As goussman here ON.
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: ESPN i don't know if it's going to be me or,
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: not THOUGH i can handicap him if we. Want Kansas.
• 36:03
  Speaker 1: City they're starting a road trip with some. Momentum they
• 36:06
  Speaker 1: won the last two games at home Against, atlanta and of,
• 36:09
  Speaker 1: course remember all these Games i've been talking about rested
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: bullpens for all these teams as. Well toronto is returning
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: home from a road trip they went To detroit And,
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: baltimore so it's not the greatest spot For toronto returning
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: over from a road trip like, that from playing A detroit,
• 36:25
  Speaker 1: team it's, good and then a divisional matchup Against baltimore
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: could be a distracted spot on the return home spot
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: here With Kansas city not playing well, recently So toronto
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: might not have full focus Against Kansas. City toronto obviously
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: has the way better, OFFENSE i, mean that is the
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: significant edge they. Have Kansas city is a horrendous. Offense bullpen,
• 36:45
  Speaker 1: Wise toronto probably has the edge as. Well toronto actually
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: does have a pretty good, bullpend better Than Kansas. City's
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: So toronto does have those two. Edges don't know who
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: their starter is gonna be, though but we know it
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: is going to Be Michael waka for The royal and
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: he's been a pretty consistent dude throughout his. Career man
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: not a velocity, pitcher but he gets the job. Done
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: three point five THREE era one point two to two
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: whip not bad numbers on the. Season has been significantly
• 37:13
  Speaker 1: worse on the road, though four point five to THREE
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: era two runs worse basically than he is at. Home
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: this past month three point one era pretty. Good fifteen
• 37:22
  Speaker 1: to nine strang a walk ratio not as, good but
• 37:26
  Speaker 1: he did limit his opponents only two walks across the
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: last two starts. Combined so his walk numbers dropped again
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: over the last two starts and he became not a walk.
• 37:35
  Speaker 1: Again he allowed only one are in run over the
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: in each of the last three, starts but the last
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: two were Against miami And. Cleveland not good offense is
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: the one prior to that was a decent starting against
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: against The. Matts excuse, me so give him credit for,
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: that but The mets offense has actually been kind of
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: struggling recently. Too walk up Against, toronto what do we?
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: Have seventy five at? Bats he has not done very
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: well against. Them nine, strikeouts five, walks three seventy three
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: batting average allowed and nine to sixty seven. Ops that's
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: no good player prop. Potential bishett is five for thirteen
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: with a home, run a couple of. Walks france has
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: really damaged. Him twelve for twenty five with five doubles
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: in a home. Run definitely some player prop potential With
• 38:20
  Speaker 1: Ty france, THERE, waka SO i wouldn't really trust him
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: in this. Game Necessarily man Against. Toronto toronto does hit
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: him well in the. Past if it Is, gaussman which
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: it looks like it might not be, now they might
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: be Pushing gaussman. Back gusman is having a decent season
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: three point eight TWO era one point one whip very
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: similar home and, away not much of a, difference only
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: very slightly worse at. Home he's done well over the
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: past Month toronto won four of his five starts during
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: the last month five of his last. Six hasn't allowed
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: more than three on runs in any of those, starts
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: two or fewer in all but, one and that one
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: start where he did allow three was at That A's sacramentos,
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: eight which is very hit or fundly. So gussman is
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: definitely a good form right. Now two point five ONE
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: era in the month Of july thirty two to twelve
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: strike At Walker race. Year it's a bit too many,
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: walks but high strike Gout ray didn't allow a whole
• 39:13
  Speaker 1: lot of, hits and he did this against The yankees
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: twice pitching in that a, stadium LIKE i, said and
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: also pitched Against detroit in his most recent, starting shut
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: them out with one hit over six. Innings ten k's
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: and one walks Of gussman definitely is pitching well right.
• 39:29
  Speaker 1: Now but will it be him on the mound, TODAY
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: i don't. Know it seems like it might not. Be
• 39:33
  Speaker 1: he is good Against Kansas city to one hundred and
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: ten at, bats twenty to seven strike a walker, ratio
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: two forty five average allowed in six to forty five.
• 39:40
  Speaker 1: Ops So, toronto they're returning over from a road, trip
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a great spot for. Them it might
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: not be focused On Kansas. City it depends on what's
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: gonna happen with the starting pitching. Matchup, man it looks
• 39:52
  Speaker 1: Like toronto right now is lined around a minus one
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: sixty money line according TO Espn at least that's probably
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: WHAT Espn bet has it at right. Now toronto would
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: have the edge across the board as far as the
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: matchup is. Concerned BUT i don't like the situation For.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: Toronto so it's a mixed bag. There so that's why It's,
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: yeah it just becomes a stay away from Me houston At,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Boston My Boston Red sox returning. Home but they only
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: had a one series road trip To. Minnesota they did
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: pretty well after losing the first game by one. RUN
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: i think an extra innings. Too they took it To
• 40:26
  Speaker 1: minnesota over the last two, games scoring twenty one runs
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: in the last two games and Beating minnesota in both,
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: games beating them thirteen to one in the most recent.
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: Game will it be a letdown For boston in the
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: return home. Spot probably, not Because houston is a good,
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: team SO i think The Red sox should be focused.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: Here houston is starting a road trip with some momentum
• 40:47
  Speaker 1: after they had a bad home, stand losing getting swept
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: in four games by The, a's which is, ridiculous then
• 40:54
  Speaker 1: losing a game To, washington but they picked it back
• 40:56
  Speaker 1: up and Beat. Washington houston's starting to get their offense
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: back intact. THERE i Guess houston has had some pretty
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: key injuries in their line up there and their offense
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: was really really. Struggling but their offense looks like it's
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: coming back a little. Bit i'm still probably gonna give
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: the offensive edge to The Red sox, here especially because
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: they hit better at. HOME i think they do have
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: the better. Lineup the bullpen edge probably would go To,
• 41:21
  Speaker 1: houston but let me, see let me, see looking at the, Stats,
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: Yeah houston second best bullpen, whip although THE era is
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: a little bit higher than, that but still like a
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: top several bullpen era as. Well houston's bullpeny array is
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: actually worse than The Red sox bullpen THE, ra but
• 41:39
  Speaker 1: The Red sox whip is significantly. Higher so, Yeah i'll
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: Give houston the bullpen edge. Slightly two rested. Bullpens we
• 41:46
  Speaker 1: don't know who The Red sox starting pitcher is gonna.
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: Be Hunter brown is pitching For houston and he is
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: pretty much their best, starter although you could argue It's
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: valdez Because brown has been a little bit more. Inconsistent
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: two point five FOUR era one For, brown really good
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: numbers this, year a little bit worse on the, road
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: but very similar numbers both home and. Away this past
• 42:10
  Speaker 1: month he was a little bit worse though five point
• 42:12
  Speaker 1: five FOUR era certainly not. Good still had the strikeouts
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: tough thirty one, strikeouts but ten walks in twenty six
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: innings put too many men on base for. Sure twenty
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: seven hits as well in that span of four home runs.
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: Allowed so he was starting to pitch. Worse and he
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: wasn't really facing a gauntlet of offenses. EITHER i, mean
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: he Faced, Colorado, Cleveland texas didn't do well Against, cleveland
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: Or texas really went To, seattle didn't really last long
• 42:38
  Speaker 1: in that, game and then faced The a's at least at.
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: Home So brown starting to pitch a little bit worse of,
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: though maybe you could argue that because he got named
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: to The All Star, team WHICH i think was his
• 42:47
  Speaker 1: first time being named to The All Star. Team he
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: didn't pitch in The All Star, game but being involved
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: in The All star festivities and being named to it
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: could have maybe thrown him off a little. Bit so
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: maybe he was. Distracted maybe he is coming back into
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: form because That a's start last time out wasn't that.
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: Bad give up one on In Ronald those team lost
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: the game because they weren't hitting at all against The Red.
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: Sox Red sox haven't seen that much of him fifteen at,
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: bass but The Red sox have done okay against him
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: three thirty three, average seven forty five, ops six, strikeouts two,
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: walks so Overall Red sox have hit him. Okay but
• 43:23
  Speaker 1: something that might have been in the past When brown
• 43:25
  Speaker 1: wasn't as good as he is this. Year, Again Red
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: sox haven't decided on a starter or at. All houston
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: is actually a road favorite, here and do they deserve to?
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: Be i'm not so. SURE i think because It's, houston
• 43:37
  Speaker 1: they have the, name they have the good, Record Hunter
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: brown on the. Mound Maybe houston's a little bit too
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: much of a. Favorite but we're gonna see what The
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: Red sox even decide to do with their starting pitching right.
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Now we don't even know what it's gonna. Be so
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: that remains to be seeing what's gonna. Happen, man is
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: it gonna Be Dustin? May when did he last? Pitch
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: and they gonna get him over? Here AND i would be,
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: like you're starting right? AWAY i don't, Know, Minnesota. Cleveland
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna skip right. Now that's gonna be one of my.
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: Plays yankees At. Miami both of these teams are in
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: a bad. Spot. Man miami is returning home from a
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: road trip where they actually won both series on the road.
• 44:10
  Speaker 1: Trip they Beat milwaukee And Saint louis on the road,
• 44:13
  Speaker 1: trip and they'd Beaten San diego a series at home
• 44:16
  Speaker 1: before that In Kansas city And baltimore in series before,
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: that so they've actually won five series in a. Row
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: miami actually still pitching above their, DEPTH i would, say,
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: MAN i still don't Think miami is anywhere near as
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: well as good as they've been. Playing. MAN i, mean
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: they're still below five. HUNDRED i think you should be
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: significantly below. That but they're continuing to. Surprise they're coming
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: off two straight shutouts Of Saint. Louis returning over from
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: a road, trip though not a great spot returning home
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: from a road, trip, Man AS i always, say it's
• 44:46
  Speaker 1: a distraction. Spot you have to get back to family.
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: Life but it's The, Yankees so you're really gonna be
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: unfocused with The yankees coming into your. Place probably. Not
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: yankees have the unrested bolt, then because they played, yesterday
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: although they actually only he used two of their relief pitchers.
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: Yesterday we can look that up real. Fast. Yankees, YEAH
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: i think we used two relief, pitchers so it's not that.
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: Bad but The yankees bullpen is not that. Good miami's also.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Isn't But miami is at least, rested so Maybe miami
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: has a little bit of an edge. There miami at
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: least has a rest, Edge BUT i think because the returning,
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: home maybe it's a little bit less of an edge
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: than it would be. Otherwise yankees Have Carlos redon starting
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: having a good season three point one AD ra one
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: point zero five. Whip he's been slightly worse on the,
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: road but pretty similar home and. Away starting to struggle
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit more recently. Though this past month four
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: point two to FOUR era twenty four to ten strike
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: a walk, ratio so his walk rate went. Up face
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: some difficult offenses. Though he faced The, mets The, Cubs, Toronto,
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: philadelphia and he had The All Star game to deal
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: with in there, too and he pitched in The All
• 45:53
  Speaker 1: Star game as, well so not an easy task for.
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: Him so maybe he will pitch a little bit better.
• 45:59
  Speaker 1: Here he, Is he's stepping way down in class to
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: face this really really Bad miami, offense So i'm not
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: sure That radon is really gonna be that bad in this.
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: Game and his form wasn't horrible, REALLY i, mean his
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: last three starts he gave up three or fewer earned
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: runs at, Least so he might pitch well here In.
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: MIAMI i think has actually never faced him, before which
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: kind of surprised me WHEN i saw. That but he
• 46:21
  Speaker 1: might have a little bit of an extra advantage there
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Because miami is gonna have to get used to what
• 46:25
  Speaker 1: he's even throwing at, them and he is a pretty talented,
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: pitcher so could be an issue For. Miami, There Jansen
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: junk is pitching For miami and he has not been.
• 46:35
  Speaker 1: Junk he's actually pitched. Well i'm pretty surprised by. THAT
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a three point two EIGHTY ra one point eight whip this.
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: Season a little bit better at home as. Well, uh
• 46:45
  Speaker 1: this past month really really nice. Numbers two point seven
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: to NINETY, ira eighteen to three strike out walk. Ratio
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: he's not striking guys. Out he is still kind of
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: a junk, pitcher but he doesn't walk a lot of.
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: Guys he's not putting a lot of guys on base at.
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: All didn't give up any home runs over the span
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: in that. Month over the last two, months he's only
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: over the entire, season he's only allowed one home, run
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: so he is pitching quite. Well he's keeping guys off
• 47:08
  Speaker 1: the base pass over the past. Month you allow more
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: than three on runs only one time over those five.
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: Starts he's only done it three times over the course
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: of the. Season he's pitching well against The New York,
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: yankees though only nine at, bats so The yankees don't
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: have a ton of familiarity with. Them no extra base,
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: hits no, walks three. Strikeouts, overall they have a three
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: thirty three average but only six sixty seven ops Against,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: Junk So yankees have not hit him that well. EITHER i,
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: mean to, me it's kind of looking almost like an under,
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: here but the total is pretty. Low it's seven and
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: a half with some juice on the. Over i'm not
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: sure THAT i love the bullpens either, here, MAN i,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: mean neither bullpen is really that, Great SO i kind
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: of hesitate on the under even though they are rested
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: enough that maybe it does make. Sense and the hitting
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: looks like it might struggle in this, game maybe you
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: somehow find a way to limit. It if you can
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: find like an under four on the first five, innings
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: maybe it makes sense to limit it to just the starting.
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: PITCHING i don't think there's any way you could play The.
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: YANKEES i, mean they're down for just one sixty eight
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: to minus one sixty, five laying a huge price on the.
• 48:13
  Speaker 1: Road with a low scoring game predicted like, this it
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: could be that could mean that there's a little bit
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: more value looking at the underdog and what might be
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game like. That SO i wouldn't want
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: to do, it but it looks like both starting pitchers
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: might do okay in that, game as you can see
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: in the Title Giants, Mets So i'm gonna give out
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: a play on that game as, well So i'll skip.
• 48:34
  Speaker 1: That Dodgers Tampa. Bay Tampa bay is in probably one
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: of the worst spots of anybody. Today they're returning over
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: from a road trip where they went To cincinnati and
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: then The yankees and they lost all but one. Game
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: they went one to six on that road. Trip really
• 48:50
  Speaker 1: really Bad Tampa. Bay coming off that big series against The.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: Yankees they blew one of those GAMES i think two
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: games ago they had the league and blew IT i
• 48:58
  Speaker 1: think maybe even multiple times in the final innings of
• 49:01
  Speaker 1: that game and it went into extra. Innings tampa not
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: looking very good coming into this. Game. Man. Uh they
• 49:06
  Speaker 1: used three relief pitchers, yesterday which isn't that. Bad so
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: their bullpen isn't in terrible, shape And they're bullpen generally
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: is better than The dodgers', bullpen but the rest advantage
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: obviously goes to The. Dodgers dodgers are on a road trip.
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: Already they actually went To Boston anstincinnatis that rest might
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: actually help them as they're just continuing this road trip
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: and they're not having to, travel you, know multiple time
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: zones at least, here so doesn't look like a horrendous
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: spot there ten. Tin what's up? Man so we got
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: h that's? Right ahh, man thank, you, Sir thanks for hanging.
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: Out don't want to get this channel. Nuked. Though we're
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: saying it all in, jest, man of, course it is
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: always we're always joking around. Here it is a. Joke
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: dodgers At Tampa bay, Here Clinton kershaw is gonna be
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: the starter for The dodgers. HERE i, mean obviously he's
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: a Future hall Of. Famer he's been pitching, okay kind
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: of coming back into, form but he's still Not he's
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: still not what he. Was, no that's all, right, Man
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: thanks for hanging. Out man three point six two E
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: r For kershaw one point twenty. NINE i, Mean i'm
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: the one that brought the comment. Up MAYBE i should
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: stop having the itchy trigger. Finger i'm, LIKE i want
• 50:17
  Speaker 1: to give everybody the chance to get their comment up.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: Here kershaw three point six to two E r a
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: one point twenty nine whip on the season not bad,
• 50:24
  Speaker 1: numbers but the whip is definitely too high than WHAT
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: i would higher than WHAT i would like to. See
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: he's been better on the road two point eight three
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: r in the, row but this is a hitter friendly
• 50:34
  Speaker 1: ballpark here At Steinbrenner. Field kershawn not exactly a great
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: form here man surrounding pitching in The All Star, game
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: although he's used to pitching in The All Star. Game
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: but coming out of That All Star, game he did
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: not do well Against milwaukee Or. Boston didn't make it
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: five innings in either. GAME i, mean both offenses are,
• 50:51
  Speaker 1: good but he only had a four to three strike
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: a walk ratio there across those two, starts gave up
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: five earned. Runs didn't look that good those, Starts, man
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: give up more hits in the innings. Pitch he's not
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: a great form right. Now over the course of the
• 51:05
  Speaker 1: entire month Of july ten to five strike a walker,
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: race he his strikeout rate is way, down and he
• 51:10
  Speaker 1: gave up more hits in the. Innings pitch again twenty
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: six and twenty one. Innings kershaw, again he doesn't really
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: have his stuff, anymore. MAN i mean that strikeout rate
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: is way down from what he used to be able
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: to do four point seven ONE era And july not
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: a great sign either Against Tampa. Bay he actually has
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: not done well in his career Against Tampa bay. Either
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: their hitters forty one at bats three seventeen batting average,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: allowed seven to sixty three oh. Ps so he hasn't
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: done really particularly well Against. Tampa SO i kind of
• 51:39
  Speaker 1: hesitate to want to look Towards kershaw in this. Game
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: Man Shane boz is pitching For tampa and he does
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: have the worst numbers on the. Season four point six ONE,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: era one point three whip not great at, all very
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: bad in this, stadium six point three THREE r eight.
• 51:54
  Speaker 1: Home he's been really really smacked around in this, Stadium
• 51:58
  Speaker 1: man along twelve of the nineteen runs he's allowed this
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: year all in this. Stadium that's not. Good he hasn't
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: pitched well this month the past month, either really five
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: point four toy rail though thirty to nine strike a
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: walk ratio was, good so his strikeout rate is actually
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: higher Than. Kershaws But tampa lost all five of his
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: starts this. Month this past, month he only gave up
• 52:18
  Speaker 1: more than three or on runs once, though and that
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: was the only start that he failed to go five
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: innings against The White, sox though that's not a good
• 52:25
  Speaker 1: sign because The White socks are Terrible, andrew what's? Up?
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: Man SO i don't know what to think about. Him.
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: Man the last two starts he went five innings or.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: Fewer that last one was At Great America, ballpark which
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: is also a difficult stadium to pitch, in walked two
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: guys a piece in all of the last four. Starts
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: don't know if we could really trust Bos. Man he
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: is facing this really Good dodger, lineup so although The
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: dodgers are a better lineup at home than they are
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: on the, road And dodgers are not familiar With, boz
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: only Ta Oscar hernandez has ever faced. Him he's one
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: for four of the home run and a walk and
• 52:58
  Speaker 1: two strikeouts off A, Bob but the rest of The
• 53:01
  Speaker 1: dodgers' lineup has actually never even seen bos before. Him
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: so bos might actually have a little bit of an
• 53:06
  Speaker 1: edge of A kershaw in that, Matchup, man based on
• 53:09
  Speaker 1: WHAT i just showed, You dodgers down for minus one
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: ford in to minus one twenty five And tampa still
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: might have a bulpen edge. Too BUT i don't THINK
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: i could really do, this, man With tampa being disadvantaged
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: in that they're returning over from a road trip And
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: la rested yesterday And tampa did, Not SO i don't
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: THINK i can actually recommend. It but you're always paying
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: attacks man For. Dodgers With kershaw on the mound laying
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: a price like this on the, road you're always gonna
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: have to pay too much for. That they're down for
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: minus one ford to minus one twenty. Five SO i
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: probably would still slightly lean to Playing tampa on the
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: money line there as an, underdog either in the first
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: five or in the full, Game BUT i can't that
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: can't reach the level you know where it would be
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: a play for. Me pittsburgh At, colorado great match up here,
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: Right oh my, God colorado's returning home from a road,
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: trip or they went To baltimore And. Cleveland teams returning
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: over from road trips usually are even more disadvantage because
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: they Are they're just, bad so they tend to fall
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: into that distraction even more, so and it might even
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: happen even more here Because pittsburgh's not a very good,
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Team So colorado returning home doesn't look like a good
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: spot to. Me for. Them pittsburgh has momentum right now
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: if they're coming in From San, francisco they're already in
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: the middle of a road. Trip but will they be
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot or are they just really playing
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: well right? Now they've actually won five games in a
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: row and eight of their last nine against decent opponents To, Detroit,
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: Arizona San, francisco Though San francisco has been really bad
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: offensively for most of the. Season, now but Maybe pittsburgh
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: has a little bit of an advantage. There, man they
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: have the momentum at. Least might be a little bit
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: of a letdown, again, though BECAUSE i don't know if
• 54:45
  Speaker 1: they're really gonna pay attention To. COLORADO i, Mean colorado
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: basically is gonna have a disadvantage across the board. THOUGH i,
• 54:53
  Speaker 1: mean both of these offenses are terrible, though actually Probably
• 54:55
  Speaker 1: colorado slightly better. Offense, actually especially because they're at Home
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: colorado for, once they actually probably have the better. Offense
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh is just that. Bad pittsburgh at the, bottom the
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: very bottom of the pack in ops at, Least So
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: i'll Give colorado the offensive edge in this. Game pittsburgh
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: gets the bullpen. Edge colorado's bullpen's. Bad pittsburgh is actually
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: not that, bad and with two rest of bullpens, here
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: you gotta Give pittsburgh the starting pitching edge too With Andrew.
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: Heeney but he hasn't exactly been. Great four point seven
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: to NINETY, ra one point two to seven whip, okay
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: but six point four to FIVE r in the road
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: not a good. Sign thirteen of the twenty home runs
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: that he's allowed the season have come on the, road
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: not a good. Sign when he's pitching in This corps,
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: field he're not. Good pittsburgh has lost three of his
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: four starts in the month Of, july and they've actually
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: lost six of his last eight starts as. Well this,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: month he has a NINE era and only a seven
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: to four strikeout WALK raceiow twenty hits, allowed six home
• 55:56
  Speaker 1: runs allowed in fourteen. Innings he is not pitching well
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: and a lot of damage came against bad Teams Kansas,
• 56:02
  Speaker 1: City Minnesota White. Sox that's not. Good and then his
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: best start of the month was Against, arizona the best
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: offense did he, Faced so try to figure that. Out
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: maybe it was because the team started falling off because
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: they knew they were gonna sell some of their batters and,
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: Whatever so maybe that was what happened. There he did
• 56:20
  Speaker 1: have a five inning shutout in that, game allowing only two,
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: hits no walks for. Strikeouts does that mean he and
• 56:26
  Speaker 1: he is coming back into? Form And i'm not so
• 56:29
  Speaker 1: sure about. That Against colorado his numbers are. Mediocre, really
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: in forty seven of bats thirteen to five strike a
• 56:37
  Speaker 1: walk races is not that, good Although nola has four
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: of the. Walks Not Aaron, nola the pitcher For philly
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: who was, injured AND i don't know when he's coming,
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: back But Austin. NOLA i don't know if there's any
• 56:46
  Speaker 1: relation overall two fifty five average allowed by he And
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: ach To colorado's offense eight eighty ops not good though
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: three home Runs, Goodman, farmer And estrada have all home
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: run off. Him any not really great numbers there Against
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: colorado and sends a tell a pitcher Of. COLORADO i,
• 57:05
  Speaker 1: mean he's got to be the worst starter in all of, baseball.
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: MAN i just have no clue how he even manages
• 57:10
  Speaker 1: to maintain a spot in this, rotation or in any
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: rotation for that. Matter six point six's eighty ra one
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: point eight four. WHIP i, mean it does not get
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: much worse than that throughout the course of this entire.
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: Season at this, point putting almost two guys on basin,
• 57:25
  Speaker 1: inning you can't do, that, MAN i, mean that's almost unheard.
• 57:28
  Speaker 1: Of ten ten thanks to the reps, Man he's been
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: a little bit better at home, somehow six point three
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: to NINETY r in course, Field he's just awful in,
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: general though this month is still really. Bad six point
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: six FIVE, era thirteen to five strikeout walk, ratio five, homers,
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: allowed twenty seven, hits and twenty one to two thirds
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: in he's. Pitch none of that is good at. All
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: So i'm, thinking even though the bullpen's, Arrested colorado's bullpen's
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: not very, good both these starters look like they're gonna
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: get roughed up. Here i'm thinking probably the over makes
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: sense in this, game even Though pittsburgh's bullpen is fairly.
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: Good both offenses do, suck Especially, pittsburgh's But pittsburgh's offense
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: might be able to do something against basically the worst
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: starter in. Baseball total up from eleven and a half
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: to eleven and a half with juice on the. Over
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: that is a high, total though for offenses like, This
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: SO i don't quite want to give that out as a,
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: play but that's probably the lean THAT i would have
• 58:23
  Speaker 1: in that. Game White sox At. Anaheim anaheim is actually
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: staying at, home coming off winning two, series winning a
• 58:31
  Speaker 1: series Against texas and splitting the prior series Against. Seattle
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: anaheim actually playing decently, Recently, scott what's up, Man thanks
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: for hanging out. Man they're playing against The White, sox
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: who actually have been playing a little bit better. RECENTLY
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: i mean they Swept, pittsburgh Beat tampa, onither won one
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: game against The, cubs and now they're coming up Beating
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: philadelphia in a. Series The White sox playing. Decently starting
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: a road drib beer could be a focused spot for
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: them because there's road, trip but could be a little
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown two coming off a game Against,
• 59:03
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh and we have no idea who they're starting here
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: undecided for The White, sox so it makes it really
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: difficult to read. Here both these bullpens are, bad so
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: that's something to keep in mind. Too we're looking at
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: some pretty weak. Bullpens White sox twenty second In, whip
• 59:19
  Speaker 1: although their era is actually better than all the rest
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: of the teams in the. Packs so The White sox
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: bullpen actually maybe a little bit better than the rest of,
• 59:26
  Speaker 1: these and The angels bullpen is still one of the
• 59:29
  Speaker 1: worst in all of, baseball So White sox actually have
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: a bit of a bullpen edge. Here starting pitching, again
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: we have no idea who The White sox will even
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: throw out. There Tyler anderson pitching for The. Angels don't
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: trust him at, all as you know from watching me
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: on this. Show four point four to ONE, era but
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: one point four to one, WHIP i, mean that is.
• 59:48
  Speaker 1: Awful he's definitely been falling a part of. Though he's
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: been better at home, though three point one to nine E.
• 59:53
  Speaker 1: Ra so if you're gonna ever play in An anderson,
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: game you probably have to make it a home. Game
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: but he's been really bad this. Month he's been bad.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: Recently four point three to ninety r, right not, terrible
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: but seventeen to eleven strike out walk, ratio five homers
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: allowed in thirty hits and twenty six to two thirds
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 1: in he's. Pitch not gonna cut. It that's not gonna
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 1: get it. Done he should get cut, REALLY a last
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: outing only made it four and two thirds Against seattle
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: to not pitch particularly well in that, game give up
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: a couple of, bombs although he limited it to those two.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: Runs he's somehow limited his opponents to four and runs
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: at most in the last seven, starts but a lot
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 1: of those starts he wasn't going deep into the, games
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: so that's still not really a great. Sign he's still
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 1: allowing too many runs while he's out there up against
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: The White, sox who do have a very pathetic, offense
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: Though angels obviously have the better offense. Here he's done
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 1: pretty well against The White sox and forty four at
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: bats two fifty average allowed six forty. Five, oh he
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: has eleven to five strike out walk, Ratio So anderson
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 1: maybe not the worst matchup for him, there and he
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: has the home road splits for this at, least but
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: he's in such bad. FORM i don't know THAT i
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 1: would want to Trust anderson anim will be a favor,
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 1: here but it looks like there might be a small
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: favorite around minus one thirty. Five so, AGAIN i guess
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: kind of trying to process all that information to try
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 1: to figure it, out but it's really tough to figure
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: out what you even want to do with this game
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 1: with an undecided pitcher on the side of The White,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: Sox so thank, you. Sir my instincts with baseball or
• 1:01:25
  Speaker 1: getting the stream, NUKED i don't. Know Saint louis At San.
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 1: Diego San diego is potentially in a letdown spot BECAUSE i,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 1: mean they just split a series With Saint. Louis but
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 1: they won the last two games Against Saint louis on the,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: road so maybe it's a little bit of a revenge
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: spot For Saint. Louis And San diego is now currently
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 1: coming off sweeping The mets and shutting them out in
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: the last game and beating them by a combined twelve
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: to one score over the last two. Games So San
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: diego is coming off some pretty big. Games San diego
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 1: did just make some moves and they got h the
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: only good relief pitcher in The a's. Bullpen The a's
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: traded him over To San diego along WITH Jp SEARS
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 1: i believe is now In San, diego who's an okay starter,
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: really But San diego got the best reliever from The a's.
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 1: Bullpen they're only good, relievers and The a's, bullpen already
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: the worst in, baseball just got worse And San diego's,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 1: bullpen which is the best in baseball, now just became
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 1: even better getting that basically The a's. Closer So San
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: diego did have to give up one of their top,
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: prospects a short STOP i believe for. Him but Still
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: San diego just bolstered their team a little bit there
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: THAT i think they might have made one other move,
• 1:02:38
  Speaker 1: too BUT i don't, remember but that was kind of
• 1:02:41
  Speaker 1: the move that made waves. YESTERDAY i don't know if
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: the guy that got from The a's will be there.
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: Yet they'ren ready for this. Game but still you're looking
• 1:02:48
  Speaker 1: at the best bullpen in baseball With San diego that
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 1: actually has an unheard of two point nine to SEVENTY
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 1: ra at this point in the. Season that's. Insane so
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: they have the best bullpen in. Baseball, obviously they have
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: the better bullpen Over Saint lewis fairly. Significantly both bullpen's,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: arrested Though Saint louis is starting a road trip after
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: getting shut out two games in a row Against. Miami
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: Now Saint louis starting to. Travel Though Saint louis became
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: kind of a seller at the deadline right they Traded motts,
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: away and they might have traded some other guys away.
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 1: Too i'm not, sure but they are starting a road
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 1: trip coming off some embarrassing, Losses so Maybe Saint louis
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: will actually show up with some sense of pride in this.
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: Game But San diego again has the better. Bullpen as
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 1: far as the, OFFENSES i, Mean San diego has so
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: much talent on their, offense you got to think that
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 1: at some point their offense is going to turn it.
• 1:03:36
  Speaker 1: Around but they've really. Slipped i'm looking at the offenses right,
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: now where Is San. DIEGO i don't even. Know they're
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: down at twenty. Seconds that's pretty. Bad Saint louis not
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: that far ahead of, them, though SO i, mean maybe
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: you Give Saint louis a slight offensive, edge but it's
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: not by. Much and we look at the starting. Pitchers
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: libratrre is pitching For Saint. Louis he's started to fall
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: off a little bit. Too he had a really good
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: start to the, season but maybe because he's, young he's
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: not used to pitching that deep into a. Season, whatever
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: he's starting to fall off a little. Bit four point
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: zero four E ra in the, season one point two seven.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: Whip he's been better on the road three point six
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: FIVE r in the, road and this is a pitcher
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: friendly ballpark In San. Diego But libratory has not been
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 1: good this month at. All six point five to seven
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 1: E ra or over the past, MONTH i should. Say In,
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: JULY i keep fucking that. Up he had a seven
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: to seven strikeout walk ra issue over that span two
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: of three. Starts that's not. Good the last two starts
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: he didn't even make it past four and a third
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: in either of. Them and he just Faced San diego
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: and only went four and a third and didn't do
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 1: particularly well in that. Starting he held him to one
• 1:04:41
  Speaker 1: ear and, run but he was out of that game pretty.
• 1:04:43
  Speaker 1: Quickly So San diego did just See. Libratory they did
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: fairly well against him in that. Game might not be
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: a good sign for, him, man because they're facing him
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: again right now and they already did fairly well against,
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: him and now they're familiar with him from. Recency his
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: numbers Against San diego are not horrendous. Though in his
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: career thirty one at bats two fifty eight average is
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: not bad at. All seven to forty three ops is
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: not terribly high. Either seven to three strike a walk
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: ratio for The mendoza. Lines by the, WAY i kind
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: of look around batting average of maybe two eighty or
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: so to, determine, oh, yeah that average is good for
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 1: the hitters versus what the pitcher does and. Ops more,
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: IMPORTANTLY i look at about seven point fifty for where
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: it becomes like good versus bad between the pitcher and the,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: hitter which has the. Advantage that's WHAT i tend to
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: look for, there BECAUSE i know people have been asking FOR.
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: ERA i, MEAN i tend to look at basically about
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: four as being kind of The mendoza aligned for the
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: whip like one point three kind of My mendoza line
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: there for WHETHER i think the picture is good or.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: Not but, anyway, Libratoring, YEAH i mean his numbers are
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: okay Against San. DIEGO i don't know IF i could
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: trust them. Though Nick pavetta pitching For San. Diego he's
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: pitching really well this. Year man two point eight ONE
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: era point nine to nine whip anything sub one is
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: very very, good stellar. Whip he's been really, good good
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: at home to two point oh SEVENTY ra and this
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: very pitcher friendly. Ballpark pitching well this month as, well
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: the past month one point one to seventy ra thirty
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: to eight strikeout walk. Ratio had a ten strikeout shutout
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: with no walks the last start In. June right before that.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 1: Too he's had three shutouts over the last six, starts
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: allowing two or fewer runs in all six of those.
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: Starts pretty good, stuff, man and his team is one
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: four of the. Six probably should be better than, that,
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: though because he's pretty much dominated every start Against saint
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 1: louis pretty much dominant numbers and forty five at bats
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: they only have six hits off of him fourteen to
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 1: six strike at walk ratio one thirty three average down
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: four to thirty one OH. Psa paveta has completely. Dominated
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 1: SO i think you gotta Give San diego basically the
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: pitching edge across the. Board they, have the better, starter
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: they have the better. Bullpen hitting is a little bit more.
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: Even LIKE i, said in the, situation maybe Favorite saint
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: louis a little, bit BUT i wouldn't Trust SAINT i don't,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: think especially When saint louis right around the trade, deadline
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 1: those teams have become sellers might be a little bit
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: less motivated than the team that picked up some new,
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: pieces Like San, diego which means we're going for, it,
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: man so let's fucking. Play San diego is way too
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: high of a price, now though they're up for minus
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: one thirty five to minus one eighty. FOUR i don't
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: know what that minus one thirty five. WAS i don't
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 1: know if Maybe San diego was gonna have another pitcher
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: starting and then switched To. Paveda i'm not sure what happened,
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: there but minus one eighty. FOUR i just don't really
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: think you can do it With San, diego especially the you,
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 1: know coming off that big series like that against The.
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: METS i don't THINK i could do. It arizona at
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: The A'S i, mean we don't even know what the
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: fuck's going on in this. Game neither starter has been.
• 1:07:44
  Speaker 1: ANNOUNCED i think LAST i saw right undecided against. Undecided, Yeah,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: like what the hell do you do in a game like?
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: THAT i don't. Know arizona is a continuing a road,
• 1:07:54
  Speaker 1: trip but they were just In Pittsburgh. Detroit they've lost
• 1:07:57
  Speaker 1: five straight. Games they've lost basically every game basically since
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: they decided to sell at the trade. Deadline they have
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: not been in a good mental state at. ALL i
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 1: would say they've lost eight of their last nine. Games
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: they're playing really really horrific, baseball losing a series To
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: pittsburgh after getting swept By. Houston now they got swept By.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: Detroit they're going out to The Pacific coast now continuing
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: the road, trip having to change time. Zones doesn't look
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: good For. Arizona, man they know they're. Done they're pretty
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: much out of. It they traded two of their big bats,
• 1:08:27
  Speaker 1: NOW i believe, Right so it's not looking good For arizona.
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: Here man and their bullpen is, horrendous even though they
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: have arrested Bullpend both these teams have rested, bullpens but
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: as also have a horrendous. Bullpen so you have two
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 1: of the worst bullpens in all of baseball going up
• 1:08:43
  Speaker 1: against each other. Year these are horrific. Bullpens so does
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 1: that mean you should go? Over and it's in the
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: most hit or friendly ballpark basically you, know all of
• 1:08:51
  Speaker 1: baseball as, well except for Maybe Corp's. Field, yeah there
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 1: are definitely things looking like it could be an over.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: Here we don't even know Who arizona starter is gonna. Be,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 1: yes the relievers will be available, though so that takes
• 1:09:02
  Speaker 1: a little bit of something away from the over. Here
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: it looks Like Jacob lopez was scheduled to start for The.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: A's maybe he won't be. Anymore four point twenty NINE
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: era one point three to four Whip on the, Season
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: lopez has started to trail off a little, bit though
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 1: he's somehow actually been better in this. Stadium three point
• 1:09:18
  Speaker 1: six TWO era in this, stadium but he's been bad
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: over the past. Month five point THREE era twenty three
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: to ten strike a walk race. Year he still has
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: a high strikeout, rate even though he's not a hard,
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: thrower but his walk rate was very. HIGH i don't
• 1:09:31
  Speaker 1: really Trust lopez against the D. Backs they've never seen him, before,
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 1: though so if it Is, lopez The diamondbacks have never
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: seen him, before so maybe he has a little bit
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: of an edge in that. Respect it looks like we
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: don't even know what the line is gonna be on
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: THIS i don't see what the total is gonna. BE
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: i mean a game like this with these, bullpens and
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: maybe we don't even know who the starter is gonna,
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: be and it might be bullpen games with horrendous bullpens
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 1: in this. Stadium the total in this game might come
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: out of twelve man to be, honest it might be
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: a crazy high, total so it's probably the WAY i
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: would lean would be to the over in this, game
• 1:10:05
  Speaker 1: but it might be an insane, total SO i probably
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 1: would Just i'll just stay Away texas At. Seattle these
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: teams played. Yesterday they actually started their. Series, seattle despite
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: returning home from a road, trip Beat texas six to nothing,
• 1:10:19
  Speaker 1: yesterday getting the shutout. There texas does have the better
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: bullpen in. General texas only used two relief pitchers. Yesterday
• 1:10:27
  Speaker 1: seattle used, three but fairly light usage, there so both
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: bullpens are still in decent form. HERE i Give texas
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 1: a little bit of the bullpen. Edge seattle obviously has
• 1:10:37
  Speaker 1: the offensive, edge especially With seattle getting these new pieces
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: WHERE i believe they got both of those hitters that
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: The diamondbacks trader both On seattle now, RIGHT i. Believe
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: take a look at their. ROSTER i don't know if
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: they're both gonna be there, now but they picked Up,
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: naylor WHO i believe has already been playing for them
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: for a, while and they picked Up, suarez so they're
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: both In seattle's lineup now, again AND i think Maybe,
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 1: SUAREZ i don't know if he's actually gonna play yet for,
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: them But naylor is. There seattle has the better offense.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: Anyway Jack leater is pitching For. Texas he's been. Okay
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 1: four point zero NINE era one point three to two
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: whip is definitely too. High four point six' five r
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: in the road is. Not good he's been worse on.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 1: The road seattle does have a pitcher, friendly part. But
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: lighter he. Throws hard he strikes out a good amount.
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: Of guys he's been good as Far as thera. Is
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: concerned last month three point four TO, three era twenty
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: five strikeouts in twenty. One inning he's only sixteen. Hits
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: allowed but the walks are. The. Problem man he, throws
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: hard but he walks guys. Thirteen walks that's. Not good
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 1: his team did win the last three starts that, he,
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: made though so he's been a little bit. Better recently
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: but the walks are definitely. A problem And against seattle
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: he has not. Pitched well they've seen a lot of,
• 1:11:50
  Speaker 1: him already even though it's a young career. For him
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: seattle has faced him a lot fifty seven at bats
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: because they're in the. Same division three, sixteen average nine
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: seventy seven ops fifteen to six strikeout, walk ratio five home,
• 1:12:04
  Speaker 1: runs allowed although two guys have two of them runs Off.
• 1:12:07
  Speaker 1: From raleigh what Else is new three for eight with
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: two of them runs and two walks off Him And
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: Rodriguez julio rodriguez six for eleven with two of them runs.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 1: Off him so those two guys maybe player prop. Worthy
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 1: There jack lighter doesn't exactly look like he matches up
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: that well there in that. Particular game your dad's roommate
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: was Friends With, al lighter Which Is jack. LIGHTER'S father
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: i made a MISTAKE and i accidentally said It Was
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: mark lighter at. One Point But mark lighter's Son Is Mark,
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: lighter JUNIOR and i believe he's In. The yankees bullpen
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: Parted At gettysburg Gettysburg. GOT college i seem you mean
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: fall semester before reporting to spring training With. The, yankee
• 1:12:46
  Speaker 1: see your father Parted With al lighter before he reported
• 1:12:50
  Speaker 1: to spring training when he was On. The yankees is
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: that what? You're saying, that's, CRAZY man I believe i.
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 1: Did see i'll have to check to see if It Was.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: AL lighter I think I Saw al. Lighter pitch i've
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 1: mentioned this on the. Show before it's a very memorable
• 1:13:03
  Speaker 1: GAME because I remember i was sitting in the grand
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: stand in The At, fenway park a little bit of
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 1: a ways, back though kind of down the right. Field
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: line not the. Greatest view you're kind of looking down
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: at the. Foul poll but it's the. GRAND stand, i
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: mean it's the environment you're. In there there were a
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: Lot of mets. Fans there It Was, Red, sox Mets the.
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: Mets fans this is back in like. The Nineties the
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: mets fans were chanting nineteen eighteen At The red sox
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 1: Because The red sox hadn't Won the world, serious intent,
• 1:13:28
  Speaker 1: of course and, you know Given The red sox fans
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: Shit about buckner. And WHATEVER but i remember. That game
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: it Was Definitely. Tim wakefield Rip Loved, tim WAKEFIELD and
• 1:13:37
  Speaker 1: i got to see him pitch in person. Multiple times
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: he had a good game that. Particular game It. WAS
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: wakefield i believe It was Wakefield, against lighter And The
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: red sox lost, THE game i think two. To one
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: some that it was a very. Close game it was a.
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: Pitching duel i'd have to look to see if It.
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: Was lighter i'm pretty sure. It was AND then I
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 1: remember i think it Was like isringhausen was the closer
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: For the mets at. The time he came in and
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: finished a. Game off but that was one of the
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: GAMES that i remember more than many of the. OTHER
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: ones i remember those pitching duels, man that AND then
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: i was At The john lester, no hitter which wasn't a,
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: pitching Duel but lester threw a no hitter in a,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: blowout WIN so i remember that. Game too games like,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: THAT definitely i. Remember those and then a pitching Duel
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: Between roy HALLIDAY and i believe it Was Also. JOHN
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 1: lester I think I Saw john lester. Many times halliday.
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: RIP two i think It was Halliday, against lester and
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 1: it was. A win late in. The Game KEVIN yuclas
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: i think had a WALK off rbi maybe in, that
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Game and halliday was smashing gatorade coolers in the dugout,
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: after THAT which I think halliday pitched the complete game
• 1:14:42
  Speaker 1: in that game it took. The loss that was an
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: interesting one. As well and then We, had YEAH and
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: i Did See john lester pitch in the twenty thirteen playoffs.
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: As well in the first game of, the playoffs game
• 1:14:53
  Speaker 1: one Of The wildcard series or whatever it was or
• 1:14:56
  Speaker 1: maybe was At. THE alds i forget what it. Was
• 1:14:59
  Speaker 1: against it might have Been, THE alds i, guess right
• 1:15:02
  Speaker 1: because that's how the. Format was it was Against. The
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: rays lester didn't pitch well in, that game But The
• 1:15:07
  Speaker 1: red sox Offense And tampa bay's bad field And bailed
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: lester out And The red sox won that game after
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: they fell behind pretty bad early in. That GAME if
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 1: i remember cocing, it anyway Some Toaed red sox game
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: attendance lore. There Anyway logan gilbert is Pitching for SEATTLE
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: on i like what he's Been doing man three point
• 1:15:27
  Speaker 1: THREE six era, ONE whip i mean nothing to dislike.
• 1:15:30
  Speaker 1: About that he's been way better. At home one point
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 1: NINE four era at home. Is ridiculous three point OH
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: four era over the past month with a thirty eight
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: to ten strikeout walker show he's getting the. Job done he's,
• 1:15:42
  Speaker 1: pitching well getting a lot of strikeouts There against texas's.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: Weak lineup he's been good in a massive sample size
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: two hundred two. AT bats i don't think you'll ever
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: see that big a sample size with THIS low, I mean,
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: I know i say that, a lot but two hundred
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: and two is a crazy. Sample size He sell texas
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: hits hitters to a one sixty eight average and five
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: forty eight ohps sixty to fifteen striking a. WALK ratio,
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: i mean he's Basically dominated texas man in a giant.
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: Sample size so, it's like even though they're familiar, with
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: him they can't get. To Him, SO seattle, i think
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 1: does have the edge of. This game they got the
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: edge of the starting pitching. MATCHUP here i would lean,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: that way but, the price the price tag. Is high
• 1:16:24
  Speaker 1: they're up for minus one. Sixty four i'm not SURE
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: that i could do it, Mental though seattle is certainly going.
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 1: For It but texas made some moves that the deadline,
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 1: AS well. I believe I think texas made a couple
• 1:16:36
  Speaker 1: of sneaky MOVES or i think they improved their team
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: a little. Bit, there texas who did? They get they
• 1:16:41
  Speaker 1: got Some starter i'm trying to. Remember, now well we'll
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: see him come up when he, Does start but they got.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: SOME starter i, Was, like oh that's gonna help them.
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: A lot who was, It Though, Merrill, kelly yeah that
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: was a decent move. For. Them man so they've thrown
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: him into their. Starting Rotation. They're texas they're pitching is
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: like one of The bet they're one of the best
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 1: pitching teams. In, Baseball man texas gonna be a difficult
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: team to contend with just because of. Their pitching but in,
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: this game the edge Goes. To seattle, FOR me i
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 1: just think it's too much of a price to lay
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 1: on that could Look, towards seattle, you know run line
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: or something. Like that maybe could go with. That BULLPEND like,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: I said texas has a, bullpen edge but it's not.
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: That significant graphic for best bets should Be told rinning a,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: suicide note just a list of. Your, PLAYS well i
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 1: do It, with AI and ai won't allow me to.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: Do that but that is an, Excellent, Segue brad so
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: thank you. For that because we are going to the best.
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: Bets here consider that to be my. Suicide note they're.
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: Betting slip it's gonna be the slip of the the.
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: NOOSE there i don't want to. GET this i don't
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: want to. Get, this, nooked man we can't, do this.
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: Best bets let's go. To, it man first game up is.
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: A total we're gonna go Under In. Minnesota, Cleveland man
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: i'm both. THESE bullpens, I know i don't love these bullpens,
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: that much Especially. NOT minnesota's i, get it but they're
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 1: both rested at least to the best relievers will, be
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: available and both these teams they know they're not, going
• 1:18:10
  Speaker 1: anywhere so we might see a little bit less offensive
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: fervor in. This game both teams are, off yesterday so
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: the bats might be a little. Bit cold and these
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: are not, good, offenses man so that's definitely part of. The,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: HANDICAP minnesota, i, MEAN mediocre i guess at best for,
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: Their offense cleveland. Very bad they're in like the bottom
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: five or whatever in. The OPS pitching, i, KNOW again
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: i Don't like minnesota's bullpen the way they've been pitching.
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: At all and they did Just trade, duran Away Not,
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: jaron Duran But wan duran or whatever his. Name is
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: they traded, him away so their bullpend got. Even worse,
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 1: BUT again, i mean they at least have a. Rested
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: bullpend cleveland's bullpen at least is not. THAT bad, i
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 1: mean their bullpend era is actually, fairly Decent so i'm
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: not too worried about it going full game on, this
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: one especially, because again you, KNOW me i don't like
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: going under three and a half in the first. FIVE
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: innings i think it's. Very dangerous so instead we're going
• 1:19:05
  Speaker 1: full game under the seven and, a half even though
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: it looks like you might if you. Get seven now
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: on this it looks like it's already dropped from the
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: seven and a half, to SEVEN so i think the
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: money is agreeing with me. On this the money line
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: is flipped from plus one point Fifteen on cleveland to minus,
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: one twenty so the actual money Is fading. Minnesota here i'm,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: gonna Go and i'm gonna say both starting pitchers are
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: gonna do. Well. Here, though man even though the money
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: line makes it seem Like maybe cleveland will uh actually
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: will actually have the upper, HAND somehow i don't know
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: why that would be, the case Because Obviously joe ryan
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: is the better picture in General Over. Gavin Williams Will
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: joe ryan be like, fuck this like unfocused because it
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: looked like he was really close to being on like,
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: a contender and now he has to stay with. The
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 1: twins is it gonna be like fuck this or is
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 1: it gonna help him like get that stuff out of?
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 1: His head because when you go up to the. TRADE
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: downline i think you have that in, your head like
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: you don't know where you're, gonna be and now, You,
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 1: know okay this Is where i'm. Gonna be i'm gonna
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: finish the season with. The TWINS so i think that's
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: more of a. GOOD thing i think that's gonna give
• 1:20:06
  Speaker 1: him a little bit more focused again and, Be, like
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: OKAY now i KNOW where. I am i'm, Gonna focus
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna finish off. The Season and ryan has been
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: really good. This year two point EIGHT two era point
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: nine to two whip. Very good better on the road.
• 1:20:18
  Speaker 1: As well two point five to ONE road era had
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a, snag RECENTLY and i think
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: it was maybe because Of The all star festivities kind
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: of maybe throwing them off a. Little bit but still
• 1:20:29
  Speaker 1: over the Month of july two POINT seventy ra thirty
• 1:20:32
  Speaker 1: three to four strike a walk ratio that was. All
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 1: good he had an uneven Start against washington where you
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: gave up four, earned runs went, five innings but he
• 1:20:40
  Speaker 1: still struck out five and only. Walked one so he
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: got a little bit unlucky in that game where it
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: was like most of the base runners that reached scored
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: six hits one walk not really, terrible There so i'll
• 1:20:51
  Speaker 1: give him a little bit of pass. For that cleveland's offense,
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: is BAD as i already, showed You and ryan has
• 1:20:56
  Speaker 1: dominated them in eighty two, at bats thirteen to four
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: streke a walk ratio one eighty three average allowed five sixty.
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: Two OPS so I, think ryan if he's focused and
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: he wants to show up and he's on, his game
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: he should do well Here. Against cleveland it is a.
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: DIVISIONAL rival, i mean you're still gonna, Come out you're
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: still gonna want to try to win. This Game, GAVIN williams,
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: i think will try to show up, as well even
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: though he's a somewhat weak PITCHER and i really don't
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: like his whip. At all three point five to one era,
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: is good though one point three to seven whip obviously.
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 1: Not good but he's been better, at home so we
• 1:21:28
  Speaker 1: get the advantage of both home road splits here three
• 1:21:31
  Speaker 1: point oh five and this month he's had a three
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: point OH, three ERA which i can't argue that much
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: with that twenty nine to fifteen streke a, WALK ratio
• 1:21:41
  Speaker 1: i will take issue. WITH that, i mean that walk rate,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: is terrible but he's settled down in the last. Two
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: starts it was Against the a's who actually have a
• 1:21:49
  Speaker 1: pretty good Lineup In kansas city who. Do not but
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: in those two starts he went, thirteen innings struck, out
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: fourteen which is a, decent sign and only had three
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 1: walks over those over, that span only allowed three ear
• 1:22:02
  Speaker 1: runs total and, Nine hits so he is actually in
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: good form over the last, two starts and over that
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: last four starts he didn't allow more than three earned
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: runs in. Any start he's only allowed more than three
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: earned runs once over the last, two months and it
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 1: Was At wrigley field against a Really good, Cub lineup
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: so that's not really that Bad For. GAVIN williams, i
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: mean his team is obviously not. WINNING behind i mean
• 1:22:24
  Speaker 1: they've lost seven of his last nine starts because their.
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: Offense reeks, BUT still, i mean he's, pitching well and
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: you look at his Numbers, against minnesota which they're not
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: a very threatening. Lineup EITHER and I believe minnesota they
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: Just traded, correa, away right so that's gonna. HELP out
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: i think with our, under, here man you got some
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 1: offensive pieces that have been, moving here, Moving AWAY so
• 1:22:44
  Speaker 1: I think i'm Pretty Sure carlos correa went back To.
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: The astros by, the way speaking Of the astros not
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: having a, GOOD lineup i don't Know if corey is
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be, there yet but that should Help the, astros
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: lineup and That means minnesota's lineup is gonna be without
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: one of their. Better hitters that's not Gonna help minnesota
• 1:23:01
  Speaker 1: their offense here And, against williams this lineup has not
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: done well against him in forty four, at bats, eleven strikeouts,
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: three walks only one. Extra base he had a Double,
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: from jeffers who's done okay against them four, for ten
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: but he's onto a one to fifty nine average and
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: three to ninety five. Ohps overall so very very weak
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: offensive numbers on both sides of the. Equation Here so
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: i'm gonna do, it under not, do it but give
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: it out as a play at least Under in Cleveland
• 1:23:30
  Speaker 1: and minnesota in. That Game go royals There at toronto
• 1:23:36
  Speaker 1: And then Boston For. Kansas, city, YEAH well I mean
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: i have to kind of root Against the royals a
• 1:23:41
  Speaker 1: little bit right just to get knocked out of. Contention
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: there But The red sox still have to CONTEND with,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: i mean who else are they contending with, for wildcred
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: they're CONTENDING with I guess seattle, right now and they're Contending.
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: WITH texas, i mean that's. Not good both of those
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: teams might be better Than The, red sox So the
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 1: texas certainly not, better OFFENSIVELY but i Think The red
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: sox are up. AGAINST it i don't think they're gonna
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: make the playoffs and the Final play you guys are
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: not gonna. LIKE it, I mean i'm a. Contrarian man
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: people are not gonna like. This one and it Is
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: The San FRANCISCO giants sf The struggling fox or whatever
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: money Line Baby San francisco giants plus one twenty Against.
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: The mets i'm. Going there i'm. DOING it i think
• 1:24:23
  Speaker 1: the spot is actually good for. This man i'm looking at, the.
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: Market reeb you don't see a whole lot, going on
• 1:24:28
  Speaker 1: and it looks like it's gonna be a low scoring.
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: Game though total up a little bit from seven juice
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 1: to the over seven and a half juice to the
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: under but it's a very small, tick upward very, low
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 1: total so that means that the underdog has a better
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: chance to hang in. The game mets up for minus
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: one thirty seven of minus one thirty eight here battle.
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: Of lefties we do have the better Bullpen On san.
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: Francisco side even though their bullpen has been. Worse recently
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: they're still THIRD in whip and they have A, low
• 1:24:54
  Speaker 1: RARA so i think they're second in the, ra still
• 1:24:56
  Speaker 1: so that's still. QUITE Good a mets bullpen has STARTED
• 1:24:59
  Speaker 1: to i don't even know where they're, At here, Mets
• 1:25:02
  Speaker 1: bullpen where the hell are they other nineteenth NOW, in
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: whip ALTHOUGH their era is a little bit better, Than
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 1: That but mets very mediocre bullpen. Right now bullpen edge
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: definitely Goes To. San francisco offense goes To, the, mets
• 1:25:15
  Speaker 1: obviously But the mets have fallen down to the eleventh OFFENSE,
• 1:25:18
  Speaker 1: in ops which is. Not, terrific obviously We Know san
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: francisco's offense is a nightmare down at, twenty fourth BUT
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: still i like pitching BETTER than i like, Hitting man
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: so that's part of what we're going. With Here the
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: mets are returning over from a road trip where they
• 1:25:32
  Speaker 1: Went To san francisco by, the way And Swept. San
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: francisco so guess what, this, Is baby this is Revenge
• 1:25:38
  Speaker 1: For san francisco. Road revenge quick. Road revenge you don't
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: see this very often when your team just got swept
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 1: at home and now you're going to that opponent almost
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: right away who just. Swept, you YEAH so i think
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: it might be a bad spot For the. Mets, here
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: man they did just GET swept i understand That By.
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: San diego but they're returning home, cross country which is.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: Difficult spot you have to return. Home again it's an.
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: Unfocused spot typically you have family life to. GET to
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: i Know the mets are Battling with philadelphia for the division.
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: Right Now san francisco still has a, decent record but
• 1:26:12
  Speaker 1: they're below five hundred now, at Least so mets might
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: not take, them serious EVEN though i know the records don't.
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: Look Good the giants are below five hundred on. The
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: road mets have a really good. HOME record i. Get
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: it the public is probably only gonna want to look
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: one way here Because the giants have looked. OFF one,
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: i know we're stepping in front of. This train giants
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: after getting swept By the mets got Swept by pittsburgh six.
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: Straight losses but what better then when you get swept
• 1:26:37
  Speaker 1: in home like that and you have to listen to
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: you know the media say you suck. And whatever what
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 1: better than to just go out on. The road, fuck
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: that forget about all. Of that go on, the road
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: anger in your in, your, heart man go out and
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: face that team that just swept you two series ago
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: in your. Home stadium go out and try to do
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: the same. To. Them MAN so i think even though
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: they're traveling cross country, as well both, teams are but
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: it's a return home spot versus a road trip. Start
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: spot so the start of the road trip is always
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: the more, focused spot almost always than the return. Home
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: spot and, especially Again the mets Might Take san francisco
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: more lightly because they've been ass recently And the mets
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: just Swept Them. San francisco, to me it seems like
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: they're still trying to do something. This. YEAR man i
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: don't think they were really sellers at the. Trade deadline
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: They got devers, over there so they're trying to do.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: Something HERE so i still think. They're TRYING so i
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: like how that. Lines up and then the starting. Pitching
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: matchup i'm gonna give the slight Nod To robbie ray
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: with the starting. Pitching matchup this is mostly a situational play, for,
• 1:27:39
  Speaker 1: Me Though. ROBBIE ray i like what he's done this
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: season better THAN what I what i've seen Out. Of
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: peterson two point nine TO, three era one point one,
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: four whip really nice Numbers. FOR ray i know he's
• 1:27:49
  Speaker 1: been a little bit worse on the road three POINT,
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: four era but still that's. Pretty, good yes he struggled this,
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: past month three point FIVE two era is still not.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: That bad twenty four to fourteen strike a. WALK ratio,
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: i know the walk ratio was. Really bad he still
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: only allowed twenty hits in thirty and two, thirds innings
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: which wasn't. That bad but he faced a fucking Gauntlet,
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: Man Arizona, Philadelphia Dodgers. Toronto mets he faced all good
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: offenses over, that man and he still did. FAIRLY well,
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 1: i mean he only allowed more than tour in runs Once,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: against toronto which, was, like yeah it was on, the
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: road BUT still i think it was also a bit
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: distracted because that was the game coming out Of The
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: all star breaks and he got named To The all,
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: star team which was either the first or second time
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: that happened. For him he didn't pitch in, the game
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: but that might have been a bit of a distraction around. That,
• 1:28:36
  Speaker 1: time TOO so i think maybe he'll come back. Into
• 1:28:38
  Speaker 1: FORM every, i know his walk rate went. Way up
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: that's not looking. That good he's walked three or more
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: and three of his last. Four, STARTS yes i do worry,
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: about that but over the course of the season hasn't been.
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: LIKE that i think we can kind of understand it
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: based on the caliber of offenses he. Was facing, but AGAIN
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: like i just showed You the mets of the team
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: that he, just faced, which, again yeah it does mean
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: That the mets are more familiar, with them but that's
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: gonna be the case with both of these. Starting, pitchers
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: man they both have the same disadvantage because both of
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: these starting pitchers just face that, opposing lineup so that
• 1:29:09
  Speaker 1: is kind of. A wash ray Against the mets ninety
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: four at bats has a pretty good twenty six to
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: five strike a walk ratio. Against them despite all those
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: walks in the last outing two fifty five average allowed
• 1:29:22
  Speaker 1: is quite low eight twenty. FIVE ohps i understand that.
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: Is high he's allowed five home runs, to them, but,
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: Still overall i'm gonna say those numbers aren't, that BAD
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 1: and i think they're better than what we get Out Of,
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: david PETERSON who i still Don't. TRUST peterson i know
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: his numbers. Look good two point EIGHT three era obviously is.
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: Very good one point two to five whip isn't even,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: that high although it's Still. WITH peterson i still think
• 1:29:44
  Speaker 1: it's indicative that something is not quite There. With peterson
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: he just gets out of jams with ground balls. And
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: SHIT but i know he's done it for a couple
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: of seasons in a. Row now he's really good at
• 1:29:55
  Speaker 1: all them. THIS year, i know one point NINE one
• 1:29:57
  Speaker 1: era not really something you necessarily want to fade. Very
• 1:30:00
  Speaker 1: often his team has won three of his last, four
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: starts But in june he wasn't. That good they lost
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: four or five starts from there this. Past month one POINT, five,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: era yeah that's, really good but eighteen to seven strike
• 1:30:12
  Speaker 1: a walk race is not exactly. That good he Just Faced.
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 1: San FRANCISCO like, i said he did better in that
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: Start than. Ray DID ray i think walk, three guys
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 1: but So Did. David peterson he walked three Guys Against.
• 1:30:25
  Speaker 1: San francisco in the Start Against san francisco, as well
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: though he allowed, fewer runs he did have the better,
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: overall start but it wasn't by that much, SO yeah,
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: I mean i'm gonna fade On the mets just because
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: of the, spot HERE but i think we could do
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: it with this pitching matchup as Well. THE mets, i
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: know or, Excuse me peterson against the mess that's NOT
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: what i wanted. To do PETERSON against i, was like
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: how are they so unfamiliar? With them Against? The giants
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 1: fifty nine, at bats he has a really atrocious thirteen
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: to twelve strike at walk ratio. Against Him so rays
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: strike out walk ratio in the matchup lineup matchup here
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 1: is a lot Better. Than Peterson's and peterson's allowed worse
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: numbers across the board three thirty nine average and eight
• 1:31:04
  Speaker 1: ninety one. Oh ps so that's. Not Good so i'm
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 1: gonna go ahead and SAY that i think we get
• 1:31:10
  Speaker 1: a nice price here On the giants as, an underdog
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: give it. THE spot I think ray does have the
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: slight matchup. ADVANTAGE here i think we get the better
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: Pitching For san francisco across, the BOARD and i don't
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: think THERE'S really, i mean there's an advantage For the mets,
• 1:31:22
  Speaker 1: hitting WISE but i don't think it's, that MUCH and
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: i think it could be kind of a negated a
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: bit by how distracted they might be in. The spot
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: so that's. A play i know it doesn't, look good
• 1:31:32
  Speaker 1: but that's the other way that, it is Betting On.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: San francisco, all, right well hopefully we get. It. Done
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: man please don't come and, you know yell at me
• 1:31:41
  Speaker 1: if if something else, happens, here man because you know
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: you don't win, every, play man especially as an underdog.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: Like that you're only saying that you think that they're
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: probably gonna win about not even maybe fifty percent of,
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: the time but slightly less than fifty percent of the,
• 1:31:55
  Speaker 1: time almost because you're trying to just profit on. These
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: PLAYS and i know my players haven't gone that well
• 1:31:59
  Speaker 1: recent but we're trying to beat the. Profit, margin man that's.
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 1: The goal try to get about fifty four percent basically
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 1: on plays that are at minus one ten but at
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: plus one twenty a little bit, different anyway my plays
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: one MORE Time Wnba chicago sky plus five and. A
• 1:32:15
  Speaker 1: half please help Me under in Baseball, In minnesota cleveland
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: under full game seven or seven and. A. Half there
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: seven is the key number because it's what breaks the
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: three to. Three Tie And San, Francisco giants, oh boy this.
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: Is ugly it's so, ugly, Today man but that's the nature.
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: Of betting that's how you, find. Value man you bet on,
• 1:32:35
  Speaker 1: ugly teams ugly. Looking. Things, man yeah as ugly As
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: As jenna. Ortega looks with that horrific surgery facial surgery that. She,
• 1:32:46
  Speaker 1: had god she, looks awful unbelievable what she did, To,
• 1:32:50
  Speaker 1: herself like please don't, do. That, Ladies, anyways Yeah the
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: giants will last. Play there that's gonna do it. For
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: me thanks everybody for. HANGING out i very much. Appreciate
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: it learned a Toad, on twitter learned to Toad on instagram,
• 1:33:02
  Speaker 1: as WELL where i do put out on my plays
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: in short. Format There Better off dead obviously is the
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: channel here BTT, o R which i was told to
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: change it to the slump continues or maybe something along.
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: Those LINES maybe i Will Because Better off dead just GETS,
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: no seo SO maybe i should. Change it we'll see
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: what we want to do. With THAT but i am on,
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: YouTube obviously please, you know like, subscribe comment which you
• 1:33:26
  Speaker 1: guys have been DOING so i appreciate. All that i'm
• 1:33:29
  Speaker 1: on the audio platforms, As, Well, spotify apple which is
• 1:33:32
  Speaker 1: getting almost, no traction but please check it out there,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: as well, you know listen and rate, and whatever and
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: let's try to pump that. Thing up Covered in yuke
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: is my, ukulele PROJECT which i have on YouTube. As well.
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: On YouTube it's On YouTube Covered, in YUKE which i
• 1:33:49
  Speaker 1: do ukulele covers of pretty much, almost ANYTHING and i
• 1:33:54
  Speaker 1: anything within REASON that I think i can. Actually do
• 1:33:56
  Speaker 1: double post It on twitter and, YouTube now so that's,
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: out there And then patreon, dot com slash learn to
• 1:34:02
  Speaker 1: toad if you want to help, us support and, you
• 1:34:05
  Speaker 1: know basically, right now it's helping me live pretty much at,
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: the moment which is bad, because basically at, This rate i'm.
• 1:34:11
  Speaker 1: Gonna die, but yeah, you know throw me some. Support
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 1: there if you want to get, bonus content You Get
• 1:34:17
  Speaker 1: Yuke yuke spotify stream at one of, the levels and
• 1:34:20
  Speaker 1: at the highest level you. Get REQUESTS so i appreciate.
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: All that, thanks Everybody and i'll be. Back tomorrow go
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: check out MY episode i Did with clint last night
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: on This. Channel bald we DID an nfl preview, show
• 1:34:32
  Speaker 1: there so if you haven't checked, that out it, was
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: fun so go check that out. As well and that's gonna.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: Do it have A. Good friday, EXCUSE me i thought
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: It was thursday For a friday rolling into. The, weekend
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: baby let's roll in with. Some wins, peace, out everybody