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Thursday Night Football, CFB Week 10, Parlay of the Day & More! · Best Betting Show Ever

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Baltimore Ravens fighting with their lives playing Miami. I don't
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: know what they're fighting for. It's happening tonight. We're gonna
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: make some money on that game, plus a whole lot more.
• 0:12
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take abart every NHL game on the board,
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: every NBA game of the board. We're gonna talk a
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: little baseball, a lot of college football, and we're gonna
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: find out where all the money is going at the Westgate.
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: I'm Lawrence Presman. You're watching the best betting show ever,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: Art Diseasar with us, Joe and Airy. What's going on? Art?
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: How you doing?
• 0:32
  Speaker 2: Brother good Man? Happy to be here as always, you know,
• 0:37
  Speaker 2: a lot to talk about this morning.
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: Yeah, Joseph, excellent guitar work. Yesterday. We had close to
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: two hundred comments. I think I was responsible for eighty
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: of them and Art twenty. But either way, shout out
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: to you guys who commented the comments section. Thanks for that.
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: Like button, subscribe to our channel and let's get straight
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: into it. Let's start right off the bat with where
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: the money is going on tonight's NFL game, And it
• 1:09
  Speaker 1: looks to me like it's going on the Baltimore Ravens.
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: You know, it is pres but we've been pretty steady
• 1:14
  Speaker 2: at seven and a half total of fifty one, pretty
• 1:16
  Speaker 2: steady as well. We've almost pretty much seen just sidewise,
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: some good two way action. I would say it's a
• 1:24
  Speaker 2: little bit shaded, you know, probably you know, fifty five
• 1:27
  Speaker 2: sixty percent towards Baltimore. Obviously, we know we always talk
• 1:31
  Speaker 2: about this when a game's in that range. Baltimore is
• 1:33
  Speaker 2: going to be very heavy in the money line, parlays
• 1:36
  Speaker 2: and the teasers starting everybody's stuff off headed to Saturday
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: and Sunday. So regardless of what happens, we'll need the Dolphins.
• 1:45
  Speaker 2: If the Dolphins could win the game outright for us,
• 1:47
  Speaker 2: that would be enormous.
• 1:51
  Speaker 3: What about Art, It's it's been interesting here the we
• 1:54
  Speaker 3: didn't know what Lamar's status was. I guess early you
• 1:58
  Speaker 3: never know after that BACA last week, but it didn't
• 2:02
  Speaker 3: stop everyone from betting the over right when I saw
• 2:05
  Speaker 3: forty eight and a half at the open Art, and
• 2:08
  Speaker 3: it's been a steady stream of over money. The public
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: usually doesn't bet until tonight, right was the public the
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: one pushing this up and over as well?
• 2:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna say Joe for us it was public
• 2:21
  Speaker 2: over money and even saw more of it this morning.
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: And you know we didn't budge off the fifty one.
• 2:27
  Speaker 2: Now it's possible we go up a little bit higher,
• 2:29
  Speaker 2: but you know it's nothing sharp that came in. Like
• 2:32
  Speaker 2: you said, that number was forty eight, forty eight and
• 2:34
  Speaker 2: a half and it's just steadily been climbing all week.
• 2:38
  Speaker 2: And you know, I always say it primetime game, standalone games,
• 2:42
  Speaker 2: the public loves to bet overs, and this game is
• 2:45
  Speaker 2: no different.
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: All right this season, joining us before Joe and I
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: and you give our opinions and our bets on the
• 2:52
  Speaker 1: Ravens and Oltons game. Let's stick to where the money
• 2:55
  Speaker 1: is going. The Vikings and the Lions. Art Lions just
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: so find Hotchison orior contract. They gotta be really good
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: about themselves. They're coming up with a bye. I'm I'm
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: not walking into this Lion's team. And of course the
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: Panthers are playing in Green Bay, huge line. Where's the
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: money going?
• 3:17
  Speaker 2: Yeah, obviously Minnesota, they're gonna go to McCarthy now, you know,
• 3:20
  Speaker 2: I guess he's healthy again. We're sitting Lions minus nine,
• 3:25
  Speaker 2: and basically we got to the nine for a little
• 3:28
  Speaker 2: bit of teaser protection. You know, you want to come
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: in and lay a six point teaser. You're now on
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: the key number of three. You gotta go up to
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: the six and a half or seven point teezer. We're
• 3:37
  Speaker 2: gonna make you pay a little bit more on that
• 3:39
  Speaker 2: because tell us, what's the difference between eight and a
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: half or nine or eight and nine. There's really not much,
• 3:45
  Speaker 2: So we'll move up and have a little bit of
• 3:46
  Speaker 2: teaser protection there. Carolina and green Bay. You know, green
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: Bay was twelve and a half and we took sharp
• 3:53
  Speaker 2: money there, moved us to thirteen and a half, saw
• 3:57
  Speaker 2: some under money as well, from forty five to forty
• 4:00
  Speaker 2: four on that game.
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: It's interesting here art the NFL. Tonight will give us
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: a pretty good idea of whether or not the dogs
• 4:10
  Speaker 3: will be barking in prime time again. But it's a
• 4:14
  Speaker 3: big week here in college football Week ten as well,
• 4:17
  Speaker 3: and we've got some intriguing movement already. It looks like
• 4:21
  Speaker 3: in a couple of these games, and including with I
• 4:24
  Speaker 3: mean a one loss Houston team that nobody seems to
• 4:27
  Speaker 3: be talking about.
• 4:29
  Speaker 2: Man, this is you know, Joe, this is one way
• 4:32
  Speaker 2: traffic West Virginia at Houston. They took fifteen, they took fourteen,
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: they took thirteen, now twelve and a half on Houston.
• 4:40
  Speaker 2: I don't know. It feels like the bottom to me.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: So if you like Houston, it's probably now time to
• 4:45
  Speaker 2: bet that for it shoots back up. And those were
• 4:48
  Speaker 2: sharp plays on West Virginia, especially at fourteen, or I'm sorry,
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: especially at fifteen and fourteen thirteen not as much, but
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: those key numbers over two touchdowns for sure. You see
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: at Nebraska, we open this usc minus seven took sharp
• 5:04
  Speaker 2: money on Nebraska at seven. We're now six on the game.
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: Totals really shot up from fifty seven and a half
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: to fifty nine. And don't forget that look aheadline over
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: the summer was pick them. So there's been a big
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: change there. South Carolina at Old Miss, it feels like
• 5:20
  Speaker 2: South Carolina emptied the tank last week and they've had
• 5:23
  Speaker 2: a bad year. Almost beat Alabama, but it didn't stop
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: the vetters for coming in and betting South Carolina. When
• 5:30
  Speaker 2: we opened the number of Old Miss is a thirteen
• 5:33
  Speaker 2: and a half point home favorite. We saw sharp money
• 5:36
  Speaker 2: on South Carolina there. We're now Old Miss minus twelve
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: and a half.
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: Geez, yeah, I mean letdown city. I guess are is
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: what they're expecting.
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: Yeah, wow, yeah, I guess. I just to me it's letdown,
• 5:53
  Speaker 2: a letdown smart for South Carolina where they really almost
• 5:56
  Speaker 2: could have beaten Alabama and now you gotta go on
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: the road and play that high Howard offense. I don't know.
• 6:01
  Speaker 2: South Carolina has just had such a bad year. I mean,
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: Sellers is still there, so I guess you got a
• 6:06
  Speaker 2: shot when you got that kind of quarterback. But I
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: don't know. I can't like South Carolina in that spot.
• 6:10
  Speaker 2: And just to mention, I know there's a couple of
• 6:12
  Speaker 2: games tonight. The only one that really moved was Marshall.
• 6:16
  Speaker 2: Marshall was four and a half now six and a half,
• 6:18
  Speaker 2: so you've seen a pretty big move there on Marshall.
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: Art Caasar before we get into tonight's football game, and guys,
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: we've got a lot to talk about on this show.
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: Joe has two college football bets to give you. I
• 6:31
  Speaker 1: have two college football bets to give you. That's coming
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: up later. Art Baseball, I'm guessing the Dodgers are not
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: minus two hundred to win the World Series. Where's the
• 6:46
  Speaker 1: money going? And what about the NBA?
• 6:49
  Speaker 2: Tonight no, pres your team is over two dollars now
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: to win the World Series. Obviously they go home with
• 6:56
  Speaker 2: two bites at the Apple. Now they got to go
• 6:58
  Speaker 2: against Yamamota and game six. He's a dollar forty favorite
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: on the road. But you know that's it's kind of
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: tightened a little bit. So listen, for us, we're gonna
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: want a Game seven, even though we do really well
• 7:11
  Speaker 2: with Toronto in the future books and we'd love to
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: see it that end. But as I always say, more
• 7:14
  Speaker 2: content for us is a good thing. And obviously those
• 7:17
  Speaker 2: games are Friday and Saturday. We could talk definitely more
• 7:20
  Speaker 2: tomorrow about Game six, see if there's any movement. The
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: only thing I can report NBA wise is we did
• 7:26
  Speaker 2: take shirt money this morning on the Bucks under two
• 7:30
  Speaker 2: thirty two and a half. Moved that two points to
• 7:33
  Speaker 2: two thirty and a half.
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: Ooh interest, there we go. Okay, let's talk Ravens versus Dolphins.
• 7:40
  Speaker 2: Now.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I gave a bet out at the beginning of the
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: week that I still love right now and I'll give
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: it out again, and that is the over twenty and
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: a half from Miami. This is a bet I am
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: personally making, and I'll break it down for you really quickly. Look,
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: I understand that Baltimore has had has played well on
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: defense the last two games in a holding Chicago to
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: sixteen and the La Rams to seventeen. The Chicago sixteen
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: is phony. Chicago was able to move them all up
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: and down on the Ravens. And when you go back
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit, you got the Ravens allowing the Houston
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: Texans to put up forty four. That would be like
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: the Detroit Lions scoring three hundred. Kansas City put up
• 8:21
  Speaker 1: thirty seven, Detroit put up thirty eight, Buffalo put up
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: forty one. This defense is not great, and I understand
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: Miami's offense is not amazing, but they just put up
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: thirty four and they've gone over twenty and a half
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: in seven of eight games. So we're in We're in
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: the sun. The weather will be fine. Baltimore's defense is mediocre.
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: Miami's defense is good enough over twenty and a half
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: of me in Miami. That's my favorite play, Joe, I'll
• 8:54
  Speaker 1: go to you and then Art.
• 8:57
  Speaker 3: I think heart said it. Why is this line stuck
• 8:59
  Speaker 3: at seven seven and a half. It appears the entire
• 9:03
  Speaker 3: public universe thinks just because Lamar Jackson is playing that
• 9:07
  Speaker 3: somehow he's one hundred percent and this game is going
• 9:09
  Speaker 3: to be a runaway, except we're not seeing that in
• 9:12
  Speaker 3: the market. This has never gotten to eight, hasn't gotten
• 9:15
  Speaker 3: eight and a half. It's sitting at seven and a half.
• 9:17
  Speaker 3: And listen, this Dolphins team had every reason to quit
• 9:22
  Speaker 3: on Mike McDaniel and to and on the season, and
• 9:25
  Speaker 3: yet they lost a couple of games that were very winnable.
• 9:29
  Speaker 3: They don't see The only one that they haven't really
• 9:32
  Speaker 3: done anything against was in the you know, in the
• 9:34
  Speaker 3: frigid temperatures, in the rainstorm in Cleveland. Outside of that,
• 9:39
  Speaker 3: they're very capable of putting up points, especially against the
• 9:42
  Speaker 3: suspect defense. I'm not convinced our Lamar is one hundred percent.
• 9:46
  Speaker 3: And this line not moving, I think tells me where
• 9:49
  Speaker 3: the public is and why it's frozen. So I'll take
• 9:52
  Speaker 3: the hook as long as it's available, how about you.
• 9:56
  Speaker 2: I don't disagree, And I think Lamar might be on
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: quote unquote kind of a pitch count with his running mate.
• 10:02
  Speaker 2: I don't know how great is that hamstring going to be.
• 10:05
  Speaker 2: I mean his rush his rushing yard number is like
• 10:07
  Speaker 2: thirty five and a half which kind of feels low
• 10:09
  Speaker 2: for him. I get it, he's a quarterback, but that's
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: Lamar's game. So I'm with you, Joe. I think the
• 10:14
  Speaker 2: fact that we have barely taken any side money on
• 10:17
  Speaker 2: the Ravens and moved that to eight or eight and
• 10:19
  Speaker 2: a half, which for the most part is a dead number,
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: but we haven't gotten there. Clearly, we're gonna get the moneyline,
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: parlay stuff and the teaser stuff, which you expect with
• 10:27
  Speaker 2: any game that's in that range. I'm with you. I
• 10:29
  Speaker 2: like Miami plus seven and a half. It's a short week,
• 10:31
  Speaker 2: it's the home team, and you know, I even look
• 10:34
  Speaker 2: at that Charger game when they were at home. They
• 10:36
  Speaker 2: should have won that game. So Miami's been kind of
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: frisky at home.
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: There we go. Okay, So Parlay of the Day. I
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: heard Joe R and Aary messed up yesterday's one.
• 10:49
  Speaker 3: Bring me in the Parlay of the Day. Oh yeah, well,
• 10:51
  Speaker 3: I'll yeah, that's true suck. But that was the Cleveland
• 10:55
  Speaker 3: Cavaliers who are on the no hell no them, and
• 11:00
  Speaker 3: they have no their defense blows and their offense couldn't
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: hit water if they fell out of a boat outside
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: of the first quarter. So yes, no more Cleveland Cavaliers
• 11:09
  Speaker 3: than me.
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: Okay, leg one I am going with and it's juicy,
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: but I have not done a lot of juicy bets
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: on the parlay of the day. Carolina Hurricanes regulation roughly
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: around minus one forty Joe, interesting, we'll go to Art
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: at Art.
• 11:28
  Speaker 3: What are youking in here?
• 11:30
  Speaker 2: Oh? So we're doing a daily one. I thought we
• 11:32
  Speaker 2: were doing college Yeah.
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah tomorrow, Yeah, you're right. College football, my bad, completely
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: my college football play Texas Tech minus seven.
• 11:46
  Speaker 2: I love that bet. I'm gonna take Tennessee at home
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: minus three against Oklahoma, but forget the three. We'll do
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: Tennessee moneyline minus one fifty.
• 11:56
  Speaker 3: Oh I kind of like that, all right. If that's
• 11:59
  Speaker 3: the case, I am Ago Sandago State A Wells Vagina.
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: I'm gonna lay the ten ten and a half here.
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: This is a team nobody is talking about, should be
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: talking about, as they've already pitched three shutouts this year.
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: Love this defense at home. I think they get close
• 12:17
  Speaker 3: to another shutout in this one. This weekend.
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: There we go Art and Caesar, everyone Art. I know
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: Thursday and Friday you are jam packed. Send my love
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: to everybody at the West Gate. Have a killer day
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: at night, and we'll see you tomorrow the same time,
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: same place, Art and Caesar, everyone, awesome stuff, Joe and
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: Airy business. Baby, let's go.
• 12:39
  Speaker 2: What is that?
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: God? Yeah, we got some business to talk about.
• 12:42
  Speaker 3: Yes it is Joe and Eary.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: I got a big cartgo tonight, man. I'm crossing all
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: sports and action. I got one NFL bet, I got
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: one NBA bet, and i got two NHL bets and
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: I'm rolling four and one. NBA run for NHL run
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: three and one on Sunday and NFL a big profit
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: NFL on the NFL season. Really really in the zone
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: right now, seven and three in my last three days
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: of betting, I head over to wager Talk, grab my
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: three plate, four plays to I'd actually think I'm gonna
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: have a perfect night. I'm really in great rhythm right now.
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: And then tomorrow we're gonna talk about the weekend Warrior,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: which is really the special that you guys need to
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: take advantage of. I've got a five percent playoff in
• 13:32
  Speaker 1: college football on Saturday, i got a huge play on Sunday,
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: a very rare NFL four percent ats bet. So if
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: you're gonna buy my five percent, by the Weekend Warrior
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: package instead. But guys, let's start with Thursday Night four plays.
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: I'm going or and oh we'll talk about it tomorrow. Joe,
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: what do you got going?
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: I'm impressive stuff. Let's see also in Thursday Night Football
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: four percent top player lockloaded there. Also we have got
• 14:03
  Speaker 3: ourselves ready to roll in the NBA again. Swept the
• 14:08
  Speaker 3: board again last night in the NBA now on a
• 14:11
  Speaker 3: seven and one run. There prays I've got a barking
• 14:15
  Speaker 3: dog tonight that I love. You can get that over
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: at water talk dot com.
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: There we go. Okay, brother, So we're gonna do two
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: college football bets each. I will do the NHL rundown,
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: You'll do the NBA rundown, and then we're gonna do
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: the mail bag. We got lots of comments from the
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: mail bag, and I'm gonna read one where the guy
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: just rips me a new one. Those are my favorite joke.
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: Those are my favorite comments. Like, you know, people ask
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: me all the time. You know, you're on social media,
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: how do you deal with all the negative remarks? Oh
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: my god, dude, they are the best. I mean, how
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: depressing or depressed a guy's life must be? To shout
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: at people on social media. I mean, anyway, let's go
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: college yep, yeah, college football. I gotta wear glasses for
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: this one college football.
• 15:21
  Speaker 3: You ready, Okay, I'm ready.
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: I got the glasses, the hat, Okay, I got my chapstick.
• 15:27
  Speaker 3: Okay, up, here we go, loving up. That's it. Get
• 15:32
  Speaker 3: the stick out there, you go. All right, here we go,
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: and you're off.
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: Marshall Marshall minus six and a half against Coastal Carolina.
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: I like this Marshall team here. This is a perfect
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: example of a team that has found its identity Joe.
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: Since Marshall made the switch to Carlos del Rio hyphenated
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: Wilson at quarterback, this offense has been on a heater.
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: They're averaging almost forty nice hand signals forty points per
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: game in their last four. They're clicking. They're facing a
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: Coastal defense that has already proven that they will give
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: up points. Forty eight points was scored on them by
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: Virginia forty seven by Old Dominion. This Marshall team is
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: going to score. I think this is a real mismatch here.
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: Coastal Carolina's offense a one trick pony, and not even
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: a great trick at that they are down to a
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: backup quarterback who can't throw the ball effectively. Blah blah
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: blah blah blah. The bottom line is Marshall can score,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: Coastal can't. We're getting less than a touchdown. Take Marshall.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: Tennessee playing Oklahoma. Huge game implications all over the place.
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Tennessee minus the three. This is all
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: about data and trends for me, and the data in
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: this spot is absolutely screaming ten See. First off, In
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: games between two ranked teams like this, the home team
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: is covered the spread sixty percent of the time since
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: twenty seventeen. And that is a great start. It's a
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: good sample size, it is a legitimate trend. Second, when
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: the home team is also the better ranked team, which
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is, that number jumps to sixty two percent against
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: the spread. And here's the best one, Joe. When the
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: better ranked team is a small favorite or an underdog
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: like Tennessee small favorite in the spot, this trend goes
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: to sixty six percent. We're talking about a fifty six
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: to twenty nine to three system. I'm going to use
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: that system to make this bet. Take Tennessee minus the three.
• 17:43
  Speaker 3: Woo love it, Priz. Well done there, my friend, very
• 17:47
  Speaker 3: well done. That was good. I'm glad you got the
• 17:49
  Speaker 3: chapstick out of the way there. Yeah, yeah, no, you
• 17:52
  Speaker 3: really did. Nobody likes dry lips on a rundown. All right,
• 17:55
  Speaker 3: let's go first game up here. Listen, they are going
• 17:59
  Speaker 3: to be there, whether we like it or not. In
• 18:02
  Speaker 3: the college football playoff conversation. And that is, of course
• 18:06
  Speaker 3: Notre Dame, the fighting Irish here. You're never gonna get
• 18:09
  Speaker 3: a ton of value on them. But there is absolutely
• 18:13
  Speaker 3: no way they are going to keep Boston College even
• 18:17
  Speaker 3: remotely close to this game. Who, quite frankly, should have
• 18:20
  Speaker 3: fired Bill O'Brien A long long time a go. They're
• 18:24
  Speaker 3: coming off of bye week, they're ready to go here.
• 18:27
  Speaker 3: And here's the thing that you love about Notre Dame.
• 18:30
  Speaker 3: Number one, their coach there, Marcus Freeman already said no
• 18:34
  Speaker 3: to Florida in LSU. Don't even think about calling me.
• 18:37
  Speaker 3: I'm not leaving Notre Dame. That's a good sign. Secondly,
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: Notre Dame has been an ATM machine on the road
• 18:45
  Speaker 3: over not the past one to two, three, the past
• 18:48
  Speaker 3: six seasons, thirty one to ten against the number on
• 18:51
  Speaker 3: the road or in neutral games. That is huge. Why
• 18:55
  Speaker 3: because defense travels and this is the best offensive team
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: we've seen in a one. Yeah, it's a big number.
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: I don't care.
• 19:03
  Speaker 3: The Golden Eagles had an opportunity to upset Louisville last week,
• 19:07
  Speaker 3: even though they got out gained by about three hundred yards.
• 19:10
  Speaker 3: This is not going to be close. It's going to
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: be a bloodbath. And I have no problem backing at
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: Notre Dame and laying the points and let's go Vandy
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: at Texas. Texas at home here. Listen, for all the
• 19:22
  Speaker 3: public love and the commodoors, They've become this trendy dog,
• 19:26
  Speaker 3: and I'm not buying it. I think Texas at home
• 19:29
  Speaker 3: gets it done in this spot. Diego Pavia has not
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: been good throwing the ball over the last couple of weeks.
• 19:35
  Speaker 3: Say what you want about arch Manning, this is a
• 19:38
  Speaker 3: damn good Texas defense. Also, they're heading into a bye
• 19:42
  Speaker 3: week with a win here gives them an opportunity to
• 19:45
  Speaker 3: get rested up and make a run at the college
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: football playoff, which is exactly what I think they'll do.
• 19:51
  Speaker 3: Lay it with Texas. Pres Those are my two college
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: football plays of the day.
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Joe off topic Bill O'Brien, And when you mentioned his name,
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: it reminded me Man Vrabel did not coach under Bill Belichick.
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: He played under Bill Belichick, but he didn't coach under
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Bill Belichick. Bill Belichick has no coaching tree. Mm hm,
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: like none, not one. Matt Patricia, that Charlie Weiss, guy,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Bill O'Brien, Josh McDaniel. I mean, not one single.
• 20:26
  Speaker 3: Head coaching tree. Yeah, yes, well he does have a
• 20:30
  Speaker 3: coaching tree.
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, Josh McDaniels, none of them, none of them
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: made it. I mean you look at Parcels and Joe
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: Walsh and and uh and the guy from uh Gibbs.
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: I mean these guys, Bill A Chack. I mean, there's
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: not one single guy that's a head coach anyway. NHL
• 20:56
  Speaker 1: rundown brother every game on the board to do the
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: let's go right, Okay, So Joe, you want to know
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: how much times have changed. Buffalo is a favorite in Boston.
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: I'm not even kidding you. That's an a a mis spoke.
• 21:10
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is minus one twenty in Boston. We're gonna take
• 21:14
  Speaker 1: the Boston Bruins here for no other reason than Buffalo
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: is a favorite in Boston. Calgary and Ottawa. I love
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: the under in this game. Come on, Calgary. Under is
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: gold all year, and I understand they've scored at least
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: one goal in their last two games. Ottawa was going
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: to play to the under two. They just came off
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: a terrible defensive performance. I think they slow this game down.
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: Take the under, Dallas, Tampa Bay. Take the under here too.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: One of those matchups two really good teams, two teams
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: with a lot of firepower. But when those type of
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: teams play each other, I'd rather be on the under
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: than the over. I like Philadelphia in regulation plus one
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: ten against Nashville. I like Carolina in regulation minus one
• 21:58
  Speaker 1: already against the New York Islanders. I like Pittsburgh as
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: a plus one forty dog. This Pittsburgh team is playing
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: way better than I anticipated at the beginning of the season.
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: And Minnesota is a bit of a mess right now.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: So let's take the money there, Vancouver Saint Louis. We're
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: gonna stick to the dog. We're gonna take Vancouver here
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: at plus one twenty. Talking about a mess. The Saint
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: Louis team is in a free fall right now. Chicago
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: playing Winnipeg, this is a tough one. Guys, I would
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: take Chicago team total under, but I think this is
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: a pass. New York Rangers against Edmonton. I like the
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: under in this game, guys. The New York Rangers played
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: great last game. To not they win against Vancouver. The
• 22:44
  Speaker 1: only way they win is if they play to the under.
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: And Edmonton, although they scored a lot last game, they've
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: been playing to the under so far this year. New
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: Jersey and San Jose. No reason to not take the
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: dog here. New Jersey on a back to back, well
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: not a back to back. They played two nights ago,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: but they lost to Colorado. I told you this New
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: Jersey team was going to regress tons of money on
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: San Jose. And I like the over and the Detroit
• 23:11
  Speaker 1: LA Kings game joke.
• 23:13
  Speaker 3: Oh, I like that, Prez. All right, So the NBA
• 23:16
  Speaker 3: breathed abbreviated schedule from what we had last night, but
• 23:22
  Speaker 3: we did watch the Magic throw up all over themselves
• 23:25
  Speaker 3: again last night. Now they get to travel as Charlotte
• 23:28
  Speaker 3: after Detroit beat the snot out of them to take
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: on the Hornets. And for some reason, the Magic keep
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: getting benefits of the doubt in the marketplace. And I
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: have no idea why they can't stop anybody. They look
• 23:40
  Speaker 3: completely lost offensively. Slow it down? Will you the Magic
• 23:45
  Speaker 3: Art team that likes to play physical, slow it down?
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: How about a one oh five ninety eight win Magic
• 23:53
  Speaker 3: That would be great. The problem is you ain't gonna
• 23:56
  Speaker 3: get that against the Hornets because they're going to run
• 23:58
  Speaker 3: right by you. I'll take the points with the home team.
• 24:01
  Speaker 3: I'm seeing a theme here. The Bucks are getting three
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: and a half points at home. This is the first
• 24:06
  Speaker 3: big road trip here for the Warriors. They were leaving
• 24:09
  Speaker 3: California going to Milwaukee. I'm not buying it. I mean,
• 24:14
  Speaker 3: the Warriors should have lost against the Clippers a couple
• 24:16
  Speaker 3: of nights ago. If the Clippers didn't shoot thirty three
• 24:19
  Speaker 3: to thirty four percent from the field, the Warriors only
• 24:22
  Speaker 3: scored ninety eight points and won a game. Somehow, not
• 24:25
  Speaker 3: gonna happen here at the Bucks. I'll take the home dog.
• 24:28
  Speaker 3: The Thunder are laying over two touchdowns with good reason
• 24:32
  Speaker 3: against the Wizards. I'd look at a team total there
• 24:35
  Speaker 3: over for the Oklahoma City Thunder and the Miami Heat.
• 24:39
  Speaker 3: And the game of the night is going to take
• 24:42
  Speaker 3: on Victor Webeyama and the San Antonio Spurs. This is
• 24:47
  Speaker 3: the number one offense versus the number one defense. Something
• 24:51
  Speaker 3: has got to give. Spurs were as high as a
• 24:55
  Speaker 3: six and a half point favorite. It seems to have
• 24:57
  Speaker 3: settled right around the five and a half point mar
• 25:00
  Speaker 3: It doesn't look like Norm Palace playing for the Heat,
• 25:03
  Speaker 3: Djovic is questionable. What does it matter because the Miami
• 25:08
  Speaker 3: Heat had been running up and down on teams. Something
• 25:11
  Speaker 3: has got to give here tonight a lot of money
• 25:13
  Speaker 3: to the under and I'm not agreeing with it. I
• 25:17
  Speaker 3: think it's correlated though. If you like the Heat, bet
• 25:19
  Speaker 3: the over, you like the Spurs, bet the under. Pres
• 25:22
  Speaker 3: and that is your NBA rundown.
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: Joe. Let's keep moving mailbag section, and I'm going to
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: read a doozy from Sports Phenoms.
• 25:32
  Speaker 3: Oh god, what is that?
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: Yeah, so he writes all you need to know about
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: Prez as a handicapper is it doesn't matter who's at
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: QB for Washington, and then he laughs, and then he writes,
• 25:46
  Speaker 1: I met him at a donut shop yours back and
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: we had a small chat. Was one of the most
• 25:51
  Speaker 1: mono deadbeat personalities I have ever met. No wonder he
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: partnered up with his twin brother Marco's so much too
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: unpacked their little Microman. Uh yeah, Microman. That's who this
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: guy is. Needs to insult people to cover his own shortcomings.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: There's a pun there, Joe, So listen. Firstly, no one
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: has ever called me a deadbeat personality. I mean a douche,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: a narcissist, an arrogant, schmock, a dick, an ahole, never
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: a deadbeat personality. That's just weird. And secondly, when I
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: met you at that doughnut store, which I don't remember,
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: I probably gave you the worst of me because that's
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: what you deserve. And lastly, Joe, why does it matter
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: who's playing QB for Washington? These guys think that this
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: stuff is the most important thing in the whole world.
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. I study data, I study math. I
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: study the rhythm of teams and players. Very rarely do
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: I study matchups or who's playing. I don't even injuries.
• 27:06
  Speaker 1: Everybody has their own strategy to Andy Capping. And my
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: point about the QB well Washington was they sucked with
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: daniels in and they sucked with Mariota. And anyway, that's
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: enough of him, Joe. Everybody loved your Oh. The other
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: last thing is, again we spoke about the sumpthing. Why
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: do these people listen to us? Joe, Like, why does
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: someone who hates me and thinks I'm a total moron?
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: How does he make it? He wrote in there that
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: when I said that about the QB, well Washington was
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: at the thirty five minute mark. How did he get
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: to the thirty five minute mark?
• 27:45
  Speaker 3: Some people just love to hate friends. They got nothing
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: else going on.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: But why would they listen to us, Like there's more
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: content out there? I mean, why torture yourself and listen
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: to us if you think we're idiots.
• 27:59
  Speaker 3: I would love to have that kind of time during
• 28:02
  Speaker 3: the day to just sit back and wail on the
• 28:04
  Speaker 3: keyboard and comment in a chat about a video. I
• 28:08
  Speaker 3: just like, I just don't have that kind of day
• 28:11
  Speaker 3: because I don't know, I'm busy looking at games and
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: breaking stuff down. But I do have one pres I
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: want to address that was towards me for Michael Bakoich
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: key nine to ah one, who somehow implied that why
• 28:26
  Speaker 3: was I not bragging about my four percent college football
• 28:30
  Speaker 3: play the other night which was the wrong side And
• 28:34
  Speaker 3: I admit it, and he's right, listen, it was the
• 28:37
  Speaker 3: wrong side of that play. I should have not taken
• 28:41
  Speaker 3: the total. I should have gone with JMU. But you
• 28:46
  Speaker 3: live and you learn. That's what this business is all about.
• 28:50
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 28:50
  Speaker 3: But then he implied that I'm somehow sitting back and
• 28:54
  Speaker 3: getting rich off of all the five dollars bills that
• 28:57
  Speaker 3: I must have cleaned up on first Tuesday. There's a
• 29:02
  Speaker 3: lot to do unpack here as well. But first of all,
• 29:05
  Speaker 3: here's the problem, and here's the point that you're missing
• 29:07
  Speaker 3: the idea that you're gonna jump in spend five dollars
• 29:11
  Speaker 3: to get my thought on a game that doesn't come
• 29:13
  Speaker 3: to fruition. If you would have I don't know. Just
• 29:17
  Speaker 3: back me again last night when I was spot on
• 29:21
  Speaker 3: with Middle Tennessee State and cash that ticket for clients,
• 29:25
  Speaker 3: we'd be having a different conversation. So the bottom line
• 29:29
  Speaker 3: is you can't just pick and choose random spots and
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: think that speaks for the overall work of any handicapper.
• 29:37
  Speaker 3: The bottom line is if you want to be profitable,
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: you need to invest long term, because at any given day,
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: a guy can go four and oh you can go
• 29:45
  Speaker 3: one for three, right, But what are you gonna do
• 29:48
  Speaker 3: over the course of a season. What are you gonna
• 29:49
  Speaker 3: do over the course of a month. What are you
• 29:51
  Speaker 3: gonna do over the course of one hundred and hundred
• 29:52
  Speaker 3: and fifty five plays. Nobody's getting wretch on your five dollars, guy, nobody.
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: But you know what, you would have followed me a
• 30:00
  Speaker 3: and last night. Guess what you want to have? You
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: would have had that back plus more. It's not a
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: one hit wonder. You guys got to invest long term
• 30:09
  Speaker 3: if you want to be profitable.
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: Just for the record, though, I might be getting rich
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: on the five dollars, like I know, you know, I'm
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: one of the main owners of Wager Talking, so I
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: do get to keep some of that money. But rich,
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't be doing this show, bro.
• 30:26
  Speaker 3: I mean leaning up on five dollars.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: I mean hanging out with Joe Ranieri.
• 30:32
  Speaker 3: Yeah, by the way, five dollars five under else that
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: the process for me is the same. And by the way,
• 30:39
  Speaker 3: when you spend that five dollars and you read my
• 30:42
  Speaker 3: thoughts and my handicap on the game, you do like it?
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: Those two options? Yes, you can either tail it or
• 30:49
  Speaker 3: you can fade it. So you know, let's let's not
• 30:53
  Speaker 3: let's not lose sight of the fact that we're neiver
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: ever always going to be right, and nobody claims to
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: do that. But if you want to profit long term
• 31:01
  Speaker 3: with any of us prays, the way to do it
• 31:04
  Speaker 3: is long term, not random games once every couple of
• 31:07
  Speaker 3: weeks and think, oh this guy sucks.
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: Joe. I want to say one quick thing and a
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: market in the TimesTime because I want to cut this
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: section and put it up on social media. One of
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: our listeners, one of our listeners asked, and he asked
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: it in the NFL presidential address my NFL show that
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: I do.
• 31:29
  Speaker 2: Uh.
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: He asked, what is the top four things you need
• 31:34
  Speaker 1: to do or what are your top four strategies to
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: become a successful andicapper. And rather than discussing my top four,
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: I really thought about this long and hard last night
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: while dancing around the living room cheering for the Toronto
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: Blue Jays, and I thought to myself, if I could
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: isolate it down to one, what is the single most
• 31:57
  Speaker 1: important thing that you can do to be a successful
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: sports better What would that one single thing be? And
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: my answer is look to not make bets. And I
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: know that sounds counterintuitive, but I had a friend come
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: over last night twenty minutes before the Blue Jay game
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: and he said Okay, we're watching the Blue Jay game.
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: What should I bet on it? And I'm like, why
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: do you need to bet on it? The concept of
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: it's a Thursday night football game there, or I need
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: to make a bet. It's a Monday night football game there,
• 32:32
  Speaker 1: or I need to make a bet. There's sixteen NFL games.
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: I need to make sixteen bets. That's what's making you
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: a losing better. Every day I wake up and my
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: goal is to find ways to not bet. There are
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: eleven NHL games on tap tonight. My strategy was to
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: tick them off the list. Okay, not betting Boston and Buffalo,
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: not betting Nashville, not betting the Philadelphia game, and whatever
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: bet I cannot take off the list is the bet
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: that I end up making. So rather than sitting down
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: and trying to figure out what to bet tonight, try
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: to figure out what not to bet tonight, and whatever
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: is left standing is your winning bet. That is my
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: number one piece of advice. No need to bet every game,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: every night, all the time. Reverse your strategy. Look to
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: not make bets, and the ones that you have to
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: make will have a better win percentage. Joe, any thoughts
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: on that.
• 33:41
  Speaker 3: Well said there's there's Finding ways not to make the
• 33:45
  Speaker 3: bets are a lot easier than finding ways to actually
• 33:49
  Speaker 3: bet on games, because then you're just throwing shit against
• 33:52
  Speaker 3: the wall and hoping it's just so. It's a lot
• 33:54
  Speaker 3: harder to find ways say hey, listen, this looks great,
• 33:57
  Speaker 3: but is it really not great? There it's a lot
• 34:00
  Speaker 3: harder to look at self and go, maybe we shouldn't
• 34:03
  Speaker 3: be spending any money on it. It probably not not the best.
• 34:06
  Speaker 3: I'm not sold. That's the process to go through peys
• 34:10
  Speaker 3: that everybody should go through. You don't have to bet
• 34:13
  Speaker 3: every game. You buy a five dollar play on five
• 34:15
  Speaker 3: dollar Tuesday. Pres you don't like the reasoning behind the handicap.
• 34:19
  Speaker 3: Nobody is saying you gotta bet that game. Like it's
• 34:23
  Speaker 3: figure it out here, guys, like, it's not that hard.
• 34:26
  Speaker 3: Have some personal responsibility and self controlled what every handicap
• 34:30
  Speaker 3: er who's any good has to have.
• 34:33
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it's it's such an important point and it and
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: it works in everything in life. Joe, Yeah, you know
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: you got to go look for a job.
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: You know.
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: I remember going into bars and saying not her, not her,
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: not okay, not I'm making up. I wish I had
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: I wish I had the ability to turn a lot
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: of them down. That never happened anyway, That's my point. Everyone,
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: don't look to make bets just to make bets, and
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: correct if you do, have to have two separate bank
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: accounts bank rolls, have a proper bankroll where you're making actual,
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: legitimate bets, and then have a bank roll that is
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: like ten dollars bets because you're watching the game with
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: your friends. Anyway, that's the show, bro. Thanks for doing this,
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Thanks for watching Hit the Like CUTT and subscribe to
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: our channel. Make sure to comment. We'll see you all tomorrow.
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: Thanks everybody,