Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 401 - 11/21/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 401 - 11/21/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:01
  54321 All systems go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
• 0:13
  Hello and welcome. To episode 4 O one of the all
• 0:18
  systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
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  I am your host, Josh. Applebaum, what's going on,
• 0:30
  everyone? Happy Friday, our work.
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  Week is coming to an end. Another huge.
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  Betting weekend ahead of us. Of course, college football
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  Saturday, NFL Sunday, and we got a lot to talk about on today's
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  podcast because last part. Of the week I got to give you my
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  full card here. Going into the weekend, so I do
• 0:45
  have for you guys for tonight a three pack of sweats.
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  There are two games in college football I got to play on one
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  dog and one one favorite here, So stay tuned for that.
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  Both with some really good rhythm edges and sharp mush
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  advantages as well. And then one very little bit
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  obscure sharp line move college basketball play.
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  So on a big Friday night, let's see if we can go 2 and 1 eke out
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  a winning day. Now, as I mentioned, we got to
• 1:09
  unveil the final card for this. Weekend I do have a. 4 pack of
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  NFL plays for you. I might have hinted at one or
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  two as well as a college play that we talked about yesterday,
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  so I could add some more. Again, I always trying to remind
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  you guys when it comes to the weekend, there's no podcast, but
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  I will be putting out the sharp report for visen.com.
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  You can always follow at Josh under score Insights and then
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  also if you are signed. Up to get the ASG.
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  Best bets that are available on the Juice Reel app for $4.99 a
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  week. You might see some additions
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  there as well. So there's a couple games in
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  college I'm monitoring. Just want to kind of give it
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  final 24 hours here. See where the late, late
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  movement breaks. So we will have a three pack
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  today, all college, 2 college football, 1 college basketball,
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  and then of course looking toward the weekend, the final
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  card for the NFL as well as college football.
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  Now looking back toward last. Night.
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  Nice night guys. 2 and 1 + 0.78 units.
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  Really the the coup de grace, the great play last night that
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  got me pumped to sweat was the Houston Texans baby.
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  That's right. We took the points there with
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  Houston and remember that was a great Rhythm edge as well.
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  Rhythm said it should have been about a three-point game, but we
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  got upwards of Houston +6. And if you guys didn't?
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  Notice to see where that line. Closed.
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  Closed all the way. Around 4 1/2, so there's a ton
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  of late movement breaking our way and anytime the late
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  movement breaks your way, like you got a six and you see get
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  down to 4 1/2, just gets you really excited that you got the
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  best of the number. Again, doesn't guarantee a win,
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  but I'm always looking at the late movement, like after you
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  bet a game, and I don't blame anyone.
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  A lot of times you'll bet the game you'll go do what you got
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  to do and then it's like, OK, I'll come back and watch the
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  game when it starts. But I like to follow that last
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  hour, half hour, you know, 20 minutes, 10 minutes, 5 minutes.
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  Because if it's breaking my way, just gets me extra excited that
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  I feel like I'm on the right side.
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  And boy, did the Houston Texans defense show up getting to Josh
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  Allen, Davis Mills made some plays.
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  So it was a great hit there with Houston in the points.
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  And I'm also very glad I didn't play the total because I had
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  that we talked about yesterday, we had the prime time under
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  system match, but then also we had that line tick up 43 1/2 to
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  44 1/2 on game day. So when we had kind of angles on
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  both sides, it was of no, no, no bet for me.
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  And it ended up cashing the under with what?
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  Was it? 42 points overall, but man, you
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  thought that maybe they'd get another score there.
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  So I'm glad I had no part in that, that total.
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  But a great hit there with the Texans with some great CLV and
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  then got a winner in college basketball with Kansas State.
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  Our guy Haggerty went off absolutely dominating 98 to 77,
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  got the 2 1/2 and actually closed closer to 2.
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  So some CLV there as well. Only loser was the Pittsburgh.
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  I was going to call him the the Pirates, the Panthers because
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  they kind of were battling at one point and then just kind of
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  totally let go of the rope in the second-half and end up
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  losing to UCF. But with K State and the Houston
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  Texans, nice little 2IN1 winning night plus 0.78 units.
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  So with that being said. Let's get right to it, guys.
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  Cuz we got a lot to get to on today's pod wrapping up the
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  week. But I want to start with some
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  college football cuz there are two games on the board tonight
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  and maybe they're listening to me.
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  I always complain to you. Why are all the three games
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  starting at 7? Well, this one's nice.
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  We got an 8. O'clock game FSU, NC State, We
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  got a 1030 game, Hawaii and UNLV.
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  So let's start off with the first one here.
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  FSU at NC State, 8:00 kick off here.
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  Florida State comes in five and five on the year, but they have
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  1/2 of their last three just took down Virginia Tech 34 to
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  14, covered as a 14 point home favorite.
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  Meanwhile, NC State also 5:00 and 5:00, but they're kind of
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  going the other way. They've lost three of their last
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  four. Just got beat up by Miami 41 to
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  7. Did not cover as a 16 point home
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  dog in that spot. Now, what are we seeing across
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  the market? Well, this game open Florida
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  State around A5. Point Rd.
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  Favorite. And what we've seen is nothing
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  but movement. Toward the Seminoles here,
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  because the Seminoles went from -5 now up to -6 1/2, and you're
• 5:14
  actually seeing some books juiced up further -6 1/2 -, 115.
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  Like it may even go to 7. And I really haven't seen any
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  books. Kind of creep back down, like
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  they didn't really get up to 6 1/2 and get back down to six.
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  You know, we're 5 1/2 down to five.
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  It's been one way movement in favor of Florida State, now the
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  Florida. State spread bets and.
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  Tickets look pretty good. Because of DK 59.
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  Percent of spread bets. 62. Percent of spread dollars, so
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  it's not. Hugely public.
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  But kind of pro and Joe split there in favor of the favorite.
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  But at circa get a load of this Seminoles 22% of spread bets
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  but. 60. 7% of spread dollars. That is a big low bets higher.
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  Higher dollars discrepancy in favor of FSU at the sharp
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  Wiseguy Vegas book circa. I think the advantage here,
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  aside from Florida State trending up and NC State
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  trending down, obviously they both need a win, got to get six
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  wins for a bowl game. But FSU has some advantages here
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  on both sides of the ball. They have the better scoring
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  offense, 32 points a game versus 27, and they have a.
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  Much better defense. They're giving up 22 points.
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  A game versus NC State giving up 34 points per game.
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  And then a little cherry on top, I popped open rhythm and this is
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  what? Really kind of sold me on laying
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  it with Florida State here. I got -6 1/2 is that rhythm Has
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  Florida State with a green star recommended play?
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  Saying they should be -8.4. So if the movements only been
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  one way toward. FSU really good splits at circa
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  better. Offensive in defense.
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  Trending up versus NC State, Trending down and rhythm.
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  Says it should be closer to an 8.
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  Or even 9 point game that makes me excited to lay the points
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  here. And it doesn't hurt that when I
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  popped open Juice Reel, I noticed a 12% sharp mush edge in
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  favor of the Seminoles. So 12% more of the sharper
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  winning players are also going Florida State.
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  So again, I love taking dogs, especially in primetime games.
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  But looks to me with the rhythm edge and the way the market is
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  going, it looks to me where the sharp plays is on its FSU.
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  So I laid it with Florida State -6 1/2.
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  Can you win by 7 or more? That is the goal.
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  Fingers crossed. Now if you're looking for a dog,
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  I got. One here, 10:30 PM Eastern Time
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  tonight, Hawaii at UNLV. Technically it's at a Legion
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  stadium, home of the the Raiders.
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  If you haven't been to Vegas in a while, I was the last time I
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  was in Vegas was for the the Chief Super Bowl where they came
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  back against the 49ers. But when you're driving like
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  from the South point up to Circa and you see that huge Allegiant
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  Stadium, it looks like the Death Star.
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  It's kind of unbelievable. It's this big black huge thing.
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  So you've never seen it? It doesn't mean much to you.
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  What? I'm telling you now, but when
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  you see it, you're like, wow, that thing is huge.
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  Anyway, Hawaii comes in seven and three just beat up on San
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  Diego State. 38 to 6, easily winning.
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  Outright as a 6 1/2 point home dog.
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  On the other hand, UNLV 8:00 and 2:00 on the year.
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  Just edged Utah State. 29 to 26 in.
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  Overtime but did not cover as a 4 1/2 point home favorite.
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  So what are we seeing across the market here?
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  Well, this game opened pretty much UNLV minus. 2 1/2 - 3 and
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  we really haven't moved off of -2 1/2 - 3 Now there's a lot of
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  two and a halfs out there. There are some threes out there
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  as well. But if you pay attention to the
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  juice all movement and liability, the more expensive
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  side is on the. Hawaii side.
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  Plus 3 -, 115. So it kind of tells me that a
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  lot of two and a halfs or it's plus three juice toward Hawaii.
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  So it kind of looks like a bit of a line freeze play here.
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  And what I really like is the fact that the public is all over
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  UNLV. So this is a late game.
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  It's going to be very heavily bet.
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  People are getting after it going to the bar, yeah, going to
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  the boss, sweat and lay it with the UNLV.
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  So it's an opportunity to go the other way here in a prime time
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  game. But if you look at this line
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  freeze again to more than two out of three bets going UNLV,
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  why aren't we up to -3 1/2 -, 4? It's pretty much staying right
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  at 2 1/2 or three. That tells me there's a
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  reluctance on the side of the house to move the number up
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  because they're really kind of more so respecting Hawaii in the
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  points here. But Hawaii is your number one
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  bet against the public play of the night.
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  They're only getting a third of tickets and they heavily bet
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  primetime game on FS1. DraftKings only 32.
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  Percent bets but 71% dollars on Hawaii, so really good low bets,
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  higher dollar split on the Rainbow Warriors.
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  You also get some system matches here Friday night Rd.
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  Dogs. 16 and 10 against the spread this season, 62.
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  Percent 18% ROI Short Rd. dogs +4 or less There's 665 and 595
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  against the spread. 53 percent, 2% ROI since 2012.
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  One angle to me would be hopefully Hawaii's defense.
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  They're giving up 26 points per game.
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  UNLV is giving up 31 points per game.
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  And overall, Hawaii 52nd in yards allowed, 349 a game.
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  UNLV is 130th. They're giving up 449 yards per
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  game. Hawaii also has a rest
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  advantage, so rest first. Tired.
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  They're coming off a by UNLV. Just played Utah State lastly.
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  Popped open rhythm Rhythm has Hawaii plus 1.8.
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  So again, you got to shop around and get the three that's pretty
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  widely available here. I got plus 3 -, 115 but Rhythm
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  says it should be closer to. A basically a 2 point game so.
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  A little bit of an edge there and then pop open Juice Reel 14%
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  sharp mush edge on Hawaii. So I'm going Rainbow Warriors
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  here, guys. Make sure you got the three.
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  You should be able to. Find it again, a lot of 2 1/2's
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  out there, but you got to get the key number of three so that
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  if they lose by three, you push the bet and get your money back.
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  Plus 2 1/2, pretty much you can need them to win outright.
• 10:46
  But it reminds me a little bit of Clemson versus Louisville
• 10:49
  last weekend. It was more of a move toward
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  Clemson, but it was kind of a short Rd. dog where resistance
• 10:54
  was still on that road dog. So I got Florida State -6 1/2
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  Hawaii +3. Now let's talk about a.
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  College basketball play for tonight.
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  So there's a huge slate. There's actually some afternoon
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  games that I was interested in but couldn't really get the pot
• 11:08
  out in time. So I ended up landing on kind of
• 11:11
  a go to play a low bet added obscure sharp line move play in
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  college hoops and the game let me find it for you.
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  It is a I'm on college football. I got to go to college hoops,
• 11:26
  but it is a 8:00 game tonight. Game three O 652-930-6530
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  Hampton at Norfolk State. Now you look at Hampton in the
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  spot they come in two and four. They have lost three of their
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  last four. So they won their opener and now
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  they've lost two straight. They lost to BC 6352 their last
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  time out. Norfolk State 2 and.
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  Three on the year started 2 and O and now they've lost three
• 11:52
  straight. So both teams.
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  Kind of trying to get off the snide and, you know, play better
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  here. But it's pretty clear which way
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  the line is moving. It's moving toward Norfolk
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  State. This game opened at basically a
• 12:01
  pick em or a very short like -1 -, 1 1/2 for Norfolk State.
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  It's a very low back game. Again, we got college hoops, you
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  got NBA. You got, again, a lot going on
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  college basketball, bigger games than this.
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  Yet this is a game that's taking in smart money and we can tell
• 12:17
  because even though it's very low bet public doesn't care
• 12:19
  about this game. It's that added extra game tab
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  on their app. We know that sharps have taken a
• 12:24
  liking because they move this number toward Norfolk State.
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  So Norfolk State in the spot. They are favored by 4.
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  So Ken Palm has a winning by 4. Rhythm has Norfolk state -2.7.
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  And it's a low back game where the line is clearly moving.
• 12:40
  Toward Norfolk State Norfolk State has the better defensive.
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  Efficiency 140. 6th in the country versus 197 for Hampton.
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  Defensive effective field goal percentage, making it harder on
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  your opponent. They are allowing 44% shooting
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  from their opponent. That ranks 37th in the country
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  versus 54% for Hampton. That's 253rd.
• 13:01
  A little bit of a rest advantage.
• 13:03
  So Norfolk State last played on the 14th of November, whereas
• 13:06
  Hampton played on the 18th. So again, not really rest
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  because these kids are young, but more time in the gym
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  practicing. And you can imagine, I don't
• 13:14
  know who the coach of Norfolk State is, but you lose three in
• 13:16
  a row, you have a big break here.
• 13:18
  Hopefully he's riding him hard and getting them ready to
• 13:20
  hopefully play well tonight. Home Rd. splits 2 and one at
• 13:24
  home for. Norfolk State one and three on
• 13:26
  the road for Hampton and you look at the DraftKings money
• 13:30
  line split, so you guys probably know the direction I'm going
• 13:33
  here. Money line play -135 I got it at
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  DraftKings. Shop around.
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  Some books like -140 -, 145. But want to protect?
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  Ourselves, it was a very short opener.
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  Pick them one point favorite, now you're up to two 2 1/2.
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  So again, if it's a close game, we want to be able to catch this
• 13:50
  one. So it's a money line play.
• 13:52
  And at DraftKings, 74% bets, 84% dollars on the money line for
• 13:57
  Norfolk State. So I'm playing Norfolk State
• 14:00
  here. Again, low bet game, but Rhythm
• 14:03
  says they should win by about 3. Ken Palm says they should win by
• 14:06
  about four. And the lines moving toward the
• 14:08
  rested team. So give me Norfolk State money
• 14:11
  line -135 that's what I'm doing for that one.
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  Now let's go over to some NFL because we got a big slate here
• 14:19
  coming up on Sunday and I want to give you a few of my plays.
• 14:23
  So first one on the board I want to hit on.
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  I talked about this on the live stream for Rhythm.
• 14:28
  It was a Wednesday stream, but the Chicago Bears, DA Bears, I'm
• 14:32
  going DA Bears to win the game against the Pittsburgh Steelers
• 14:36
  1:00 on Sunday. This game opened Bears around a
• 14:39
  2 1/2 point favorite. It's only been juiced toward
• 14:42
  Chicago -2 and F -, 1. 15 Some books have even even gotten.
• 14:46
  Up to three at a few times throughout the week.
• 14:49
  So it's pretty much shown. Liability on that Chicago Bears
• 14:52
  side. What I like are the splits on
• 14:55
  the Bears. 59% bet, 69% dollars at DK circa 79% bets, 98%
• 15:02
  dollars on the money line. That's what I did.
• 15:04
  Took Chicago Bears to win this game -140.
• 15:07
  Only 50. 7% of bets, but 97% of dollars are on the bears here to
• 15:12
  win this game. I also love that I have a
• 15:15
  recommended green star smart signal on the Bears money line
• 15:20
  from rhythm telling me to play this one.
• 15:23
  And then also you look at non conference favorite straight up.
• 15:25
  So two different conferences. Typically the favorite lack of
• 15:28
  familiarity benefits the kind of the cream rising to the top, but
• 15:32
  those non conference favorite straight up are 30. 7 and 17.
• 15:36
  This year, 69%. They're 70% since 2020, both off
• 15:40
  a win. Take the favorite straight up,
• 15:42
  67% this year, 72% since 2022. And oh, by the way, Aaron
• 15:48
  Rodgers, he's got a banged up left wrist.
• 15:51
  I know it's not his throwing wrist, but maybe a fumble, a
• 15:53
  snap, and he's been limited in practice.
• 15:55
  I don't know. Guy who's got almost AI, don't
• 15:57
  know if it's officially broken or not, but kind of banged up
• 16:01
  here. And again, I know Pittsburgh is
• 16:03
  that Mike Tomlin dog system match, but I got a really strong
• 16:06
  rhythm, smart signal liability toward Chicago, good splits and
• 16:10
  a lot of these non conference system matches.
• 16:12
  Also Pittsburgh. They play well at home, not so
• 16:15
  good on the road. So I'm going to take the the
• 16:18
  Bears, da Bears, Deccan, the Bears to win this game -140 on
• 16:22
  the money line. Next one for you, Indy against
• 16:25
  Kansas City. I've been waiting on Kansas City
• 16:28
  to become Kansas City again. Maybe they do it this week, but
• 16:31
  I'm not banking on it. I'm taking the points with the
• 16:33
  Colts plus 3 1/2 now. It's very important here is that
• 16:36
  there's a lot of books at 3:00. For Indy, you need to.
• 16:39
  Get that hook. So ESPN bet still has.
• 16:41
  Indy plus 3 1/2 at -120 But what I like about this spot is #1 the
• 16:46
  line is move toward Indy plus 4 1/2 down to 3 1/2 or even 3.
• 16:51
  They are a dog who can score system match 32 points a game
• 16:54
  number one in the NFL. Sauce Gardner I believe playing
• 16:57
  a second game and just had a bye and that bye week is big because
• 17:01
  you have arrested Indy team off a bye.
• 17:04
  Kansas City had the bye but then just had a tough game against
• 17:06
  Denver. Daniel Jones in his career, did
• 17:08
  you know 19 and 11 against the spread as a dog, 63%.
• 17:13
  And oh by the way, I have 3 system plays on the Colts.
• 17:16
  One says they should be plus 2.71, says they should be plus
• 17:20
  1.6, and I have a Green Star play that says they should be
• 17:24
  plus 0.5. So all those recommendations are
• 17:28
  providing us an edge with the plus 3 1/2.
• 17:31
  So again, maybe the the Chiefs role.
• 17:33
  And become the Chiefs again. But it hasn't happened and the
• 17:36
  markets moving toward Indy and I have some really good rhythm
• 17:38
  system matches. So I played Indiana Jones, kind
• 17:42
  of a cringe worthy, you know, kind of a nickname there.
• 17:45
  But either way, I'll be rooting for Daniel Jones.
• 17:47
  I got Indy plus 3 1/2. Again, shop around.
• 17:49
  You got to get the hook because there's a lot of books down to
• 17:51
  three. Next one for you.
• 17:55
  Atlanta Falcons. New Orleans Saints Now this one
• 17:58
  is tough for me because I am on the Saints under 5 1/2 win
• 18:01
  total. I don't want them to win because
• 18:04
  I got the under on the win total.
• 18:05
  I think they're at two wins so I can give you 3 more but no more
• 18:08
  than that. But I'm playing New Orleans to
• 18:10
  win this game. I got to stay true to the
• 18:11
  market. Super sharp dog to fave line.
• 18:14
  Move on the Saints this game. Open Atlanta.
• 18:18
  Before Michael Pennix got hurt, they were as high as -3 1/2 on
• 18:21
  the road. We've now flipped with Pennex
• 18:23
  out and Kirk Cousins in to New Orleans -1 1/2 - 2.
• 18:28
  I even see a couple 2 and a halfs out there.
• 18:30
  So this dog to fave line move really, really jumped out to me.
• 18:33
  Tells me smart money's going Saints.
• 18:36
  Tyler shook making his fourth start coming off a bye.
• 18:39
  So rest first tired versus Atlanta who just played a
• 18:44
  against the Carolina Panthers. Panthers covered for us there.
• 18:47
  But look at the splits. 33% bets 52% dollars at Circa or sorry at
• 18:51
  DK at circa 47% bet, 64% dollars.
• 18:56
  Once again money line a short favorite.
• 18:58
  I got the Saints money line -130 at Bet MGM at Circa 44% bets 94%
• 19:05
  dollars on the Saints money line.
• 19:07
  So rested off a bye dog to fave line move.
• 19:10
  You had me a dog to fave line move.
• 19:12
  But in this spot, if you are a favorite off a bye straight up,
• 19:17
  you win 71% of the time over the last two decades.
• 19:20
  So I got to go Saints here with the with the dog to fave line,
• 19:25
  Saints funny line and then last one for you, Philly and Dallas.
• 19:29
  I'll be fully honest with you guys.
• 19:31
  I feel like when I play Dallas, they let me down when I bet
• 19:33
  against them, they win and play well.
• 19:35
  So I hope I'm not a kryptonite play here a mush, but I like
• 19:37
  Dallas plus 3 1/2 everyone and their mothers on Philly.
• 19:41
  Philly's getting upwards of 75% of tickets, but Philly actually
• 19:45
  opened this game on the road at Dallas as high as a. 4/5.
• 19:50
  Almost 6 point Rd. favorite. This line is now down to 3 1/2
• 19:54
  and it's getting down to three. So why is the line falling
• 19:57
  toward Dallas if everybody in there and their mother is on
• 19:59
  Philly tells me we've got smart money taking the points of
• 20:02
  Dallas. Maybe they lose, but can you
• 20:04
  lose by three? And can we cover with the hook
• 20:06
  the 3 1/2? So there are a lot of books down
• 20:08
  to three. You've got to get that 3 1/2 I
• 20:11
  got plus 3 1/2 -, 120 at ESPN bet.
• 20:14
  But I like the splits. Only about 1/4 of tickets, but
• 20:17
  more than 60% of the money at Circa.
• 20:20
  Divisional dog angle since 2019. Divisional dogs cover.
• 20:23
  Nearly 54. Percent of the time, non
• 20:26
  division dogs only around 50.5% of the time.
• 20:29
  If you're a divisional dog with a line move of at least one
• 20:32
  point or more in your favor. Those teams are 57.
• 20:35
  Percent against the spread since 2020.
• 20:38
  You're a dog. Who can score system match 30
• 20:41
  points per game? Second in the NFL.
• 20:43
  Another angle that would be with the Colts as a dog who can score
• 20:46
  because again, you got to either keep pace or backdoor cover.
• 20:49
  And then also, you know. Philly just added Dallas.
• 20:52
  Just added Quinn Williams. Good defensive player so.
• 20:54
  Philly's winning all these. Games, but they're not always
• 20:56
  covering. They're playing a lot of low
• 20:58
  scoring games to this total. Did fall 50 down to 47 1/2, but
• 21:02
  I jumped on the 3 1/2 with Dubois because again, everyone's
• 21:05
  playing Philly, but we got a sharp dog, divisional dog move
• 21:09
  toward the Cowboys here. So I'm going DA boys at plus 3
• 21:15
  1/2. Again, you got to get the hook
• 21:16
  -120 so Chicago money line, Saints money line, Colts plus 3
• 21:22
  1/2, Dallas plus 3 1/2. Now, one final bet for you.
• 21:26
  Again, I am going to write a sharp report tomorrow morning
• 21:28
  for visen.com. So there's going to be two more
• 21:31
  college football games I'm going to write about, but the one that
• 21:33
  I had mentioned. And again, if you're playing it,
• 21:37
  you got to get, you got to grab this before it moves even
• 21:39
  further. But Tennessee and Florida, this
• 21:42
  is for sure my play, the one that I like the most.
• 21:45
  And I got the four and a half with Florida, but everyone's
• 21:48
  playing Tennessee. This is your prime time game,
• 21:50
  7:30 PM tomorrow night, Saturday night in Gainesville in the
• 21:54
  Swamp. But at one point, you know, we
• 21:56
  had Tennessee opening 3 1/2. They got up to 4 1/2, like 80%
• 22:00
  of tickets on Tennessee. So just from a contrarian
• 22:02
  standpoint, Florida's in a great bet against the public spot.
• 22:06
  But all those four and a halfs are starting to fall, Four and a
• 22:08
  halfs getting down to four. So that 4 1/2 looks to me to be
• 22:11
  the best number. And if you want to take Florida
• 22:14
  and be contrarian here, this is kind of your last shot.
• 22:17
  So plus 4 1/2 with Florida -115 that's what I played.
• 22:21
  It looks like you can still get 4 1/2 -, 115 at Fanatics, 4 1/2
• 22:25
  - 120 at ESPN Bet. But every other book is 4.
• 22:29
  And actually FanDuel is down to 3 1/2.
• 22:32
  So looks to me like it ticked up toward Tennessee and now it's
• 22:36
  starting to come back down. Rhythm, by the way, has Florida
• 22:39
  plus 2.9. And this is your buy low on a
• 22:43
  team that's got a bad three and seven record.
• 22:45
  Sell high on a ranked team of seven and three.
• 22:48
  And again, good bet split only about 1/3 of tickets, but nearly
• 22:52
  75% of the money on the Gators. So Gators got really nothing to
• 22:56
  play for. I don't think they can make a
• 22:57
  bowl game, but they can play spoiler.
• 23:00
  And this might be a spot where hopefully we can, you know, win
• 23:02
  outright or maybe, you know, you lose by three or less, but still
• 23:06
  got to get the 4 1/2 if you're playing it.
• 23:08
  I took Florida plus 4 1/2 in the swamp.
• 23:11
  Again, rhythms got about a 2.9 there.
• 23:14
  So as I mentioned, they'll be more.
• 23:16
  But those are those are the plays as of now as we finish up
• 23:19
  on a big Friday. So that all does it for episode
• 23:22
  4 O one of the all systems Go sports betting podcast powered
• 23:26
  by rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 23:27
  where we wrap things up. And I always start first by
• 23:30
  saying thank you. Thank you for tuning in, Thank
• 23:33
  you for listening. Thank you for taking the time
• 23:35
  out of your day, out of your busy lives.
• 23:36
  Know you guys got a lot going on.
• 23:38
  Actually had a pretty busy day because I had to pick.
• 23:41
  Up my niece at school. She had 1/2 day and my wife was
• 23:45
  working, my sister-in-law was working, my mother-in-law was
• 23:48
  working, and I was the only one who could do it.
• 23:51
  So I jumped in the car, picked her up, we stopped by McDonald's
• 23:54
  afterwards. It was actually pretty fun time.
• 23:56
  But either way, I know you guys have busy lives, so the fact
• 24:00
  that you take some time out of your day is to listen to the
• 24:02
  pod. It does mean a lot to me.
• 24:05
  So that being said, if you want to help me grow the pod, please
• 24:08
  would you consider giving a five star review on Spotify or
• 24:11
  iTunes, leave a nice comment rate review, as well as maybe
• 24:16
  just recommending the pod to a friend, telling somebody, you
• 24:18
  know, hey, I got this, this pod I listen to.
• 24:20
  It's it's all data-driven, you know, check it out.
• 24:23
  You maybe you'll you'll find it interesting.
• 24:25
  But I do appreciate you guys for listening Next, if you enjoy
• 24:29
  this style of betting breakdown, data-driven, sharp contrarian
• 24:32
  betting, focusing on the numbers, not the teams, not our
• 24:35
  bias, but what the market is doing and telling us.
• 24:37
  If this style of betting has appealed to you, you want to
• 24:39
  learn more about data-driven betting or you have a friend who
• 24:42
  could use some data-driven tips or you're looking at the
• 24:45
  holidays and you have no clue what to get your grandfather,
• 24:47
  your grandson, your your cousin. You know you should do just get
• 24:51
  it out of the way. Go to Amazon.com, type in the
• 24:54
  NFL sharp betting playbook. It's my new book cost you 24
• 24:58
  bucks. You can actually get it through
• 25:00
  the Triumph books website, my publisher directly if you use
• 25:03
  the promo code. Cheers 2025 it's actually going
• 25:06
  to be half off so you should definitely get it through there.
• 25:09
  But you know what your uncle does he really want another
• 25:12
  Plaid shirt? No, get him the everything guide
• 25:13
  to sports betting or the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 25:16
  My two books and I'll sign him for you.
• 25:19
  I'll buy you a beer when we want to meet up at the book next.
• 25:23
  Have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
• 25:25
  My two favorite sports betting apps.
• 25:26
  Rhythm. Great for their AI backed models
• 25:28
  and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 25:31
  Juice Reel of course where you can tip your podcast host and
• 25:34
  sign up for the all systems Go official best bet picks for only
• 25:38
  $4.99 a week. Again, 7 days of plays for less
• 25:42
  than a dollar a day. 5 bucks overall.
• 25:44
  Not too bad, but yeah I consider it tipping your podcast host.
• 25:47
  If you go out to the BA, you know bartender takes care of
• 25:50
  you, fills your water when it's low, gets you a drink when you
• 25:53
  need another one. You give him a nice tip.
• 25:54
  So if you enjoy the insights, if you had a big Texans or K State
• 25:58
  win last night, you know to tip your cap to your boy and sign up
• 26:01
  for those official best bet picks.
• 26:03
  We're also going to get the sharp mush indicators.
• 26:05
  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best sign futures all
• 26:08
  available when you download juice reel.
• 26:10
  So download rhythm, download juice reel, give them a five
• 26:13
  star review in the App Store. Next you have a live odds page.
• 26:17
  If you don't. Have one, you need one.
• 26:18
  You got to be able to track the market, the data, get access to
• 26:21
  all the games, the start times, the live scoring, live in game
• 26:25
  wagering odds. But really for me, it's
• 26:27
  following line movement, figuring OK, this is the open
• 26:30
  column now it's moved either up or down.
• 26:32
  Then pull up the line history, shop for the best price, get the
• 26:35
  best number, identify steam. When everything gets lit up in
• 26:38
  red and the lines are moving, you can hop on a slow moving
• 26:41
  book. You can do this all with odds
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  logic. So sign up for the Odds Logic 7
• 26:46
  day free trial and you get 50% off your first month of service.
• 26:49
  Make sure you go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 26:56
  Lastly, have you given Novig a shot yet?
• 26:58
  Novig is a sports betting exchange.
• 27:01
  It's not a sports book. So instead of getting crushed
• 27:03
  with -115 -, 120 juice, you're getting juice like -1 O 5 - 1 O
• 27:08
  6 + 1 O2. Also, you won't get limited or
• 27:12
  booted if you're a winning player.
• 27:14
  So give Novig a shot. Just download the Novig app and
• 27:17
  when you fund your account, there's a little promo code put
• 27:19
  in Josh 123. They'll tack on an extra 25
• 27:22
  bucks to your account so that about dozen guys on a big
• 27:26
  Friday. I'll also mention this because
• 27:29
  it's a Friday. Have a little bit of fun.
• 27:31
  You might know this by now with me.
• 27:33
  I'm a big UFO guy, OK? I believe in UFOs.
• 27:36
  I hope one day we'll figure it out.
• 27:38
  What the heck's going on? I was very into the drone swarms
• 27:42
  over New Jersey about a year ago now.
• 27:45
  And actually last February, I went out to New Mexico with my
• 27:49
  wife who was out there for work, and we rented a van and we drove
• 27:53
  to Roswell and everyone in Roswell told me it was real.
• 27:56
  I actually took a tour of Roswell.
• 27:58
  So I'm a big UFO person. You can call me crazy if you
• 28:01
  want, that's fine. But there is a movie that came
• 28:04
  out today. I can't wait to watch it
• 28:06
  tonight. It's called the age of
• 28:08
  disclosure. And it is, I believe.
• 28:11
  On. Amazon Prime, but it is
• 28:13
  basically blowing the whistle on the fact that UF OS are real and
• 28:18
  the government's been lying to us for 80 years.
• 28:21
  So again, call me crazy or not, but I cannot wait to watch this.
• 28:26
  Maybe after all the games are ending I'll be able to put it
• 28:29
  on. But that's what I'm excited for
• 28:30
  tonight, to watch the age of disclosure and maybe one day
• 28:34
  we'll get proof that aliens are real.
• 28:38
  Anyway, guys, with that being said, two final thoughts,
• 28:40
  whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in
• 28:43
  Rhode Island, the Brooklyn, New Hampshire.
• 28:44
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun. Down in Connecticut, the Encore
• 28:47
  in Boston, Plain Ridge Park, Casino, MGM Springfield, the
• 28:50
  Nash and my neck of the woods on the border of Massachusetts and
• 28:53
  Nashville, New Hampshire, or out in the desert where the true
• 28:56
  grinders get down, where Billy Walter sends his number runners
• 28:59
  or some weird stuff at Area 51 most likely happened.
• 29:03
  Listen to Bob Lazar if you really want to get into it when
• 29:06
  he went on Joe Rogan. That's that's one you're going
• 29:07
  to like or of course, jumping in the stadium swimming pool when
• 29:11
  you cash a big ticket at Circa, you're going to walk up to me.
• 29:13
  Show me a Houston Texans baby winning outright.
• 29:17
  You love to see it. Texans coming up big +6 CLV down
• 29:22
  to 4 1/2. Show me AK state ticket Nice
• 29:25
  seen K state roll as well. The first one's on me.
• 29:27
  Next one's on you will post about the book.
• 29:29
  So sharp contrarian plays all night long.
• 29:32
  So as always guys, whether we are coming off a two and one or
• 29:35
  one and two, A3 and O or an O and three off a great night or
• 29:39
  terrible night, mediocre night, grinding and you know, barely
• 29:43
  turning a profit or grinding and doing great.
• 29:46
  Never get too high or too low. You just got to stick with it.
• 29:48
  Stick to the model, stick to the blueprint that games with our
• 29:51
  head and not our heart. Be just one of their bankroll
• 29:53
  management. If we can do that and find the
• 29:55
  games that fit our model against the public with the house, with
• 29:58
  the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays and get that.
• 30:01
  CLV if we can do that. We're going to be successful
• 30:04
  sports bettors, so have a great Friday night, everybody.
• 30:07
  Have an even better weekend. And again, stay tuned for maybe
• 30:09
  a couple more college plays for tomorrow, but I'll see you guys
• 30:13
  back on Monday for episode 4 O2. That'll be Thanksgiving week.
• 30:18
  We got some Thanksgiving Day games.
• 30:19
  I got to get my my honey baked ham.
• 30:22
  But either way, guys, have a great weekend.
• 30:23
  I'll see you back on Monday on episode 4 O two of the all
• 30:26
  systems go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 30:30
  Have a great night everybody, and good luck and reminder.
• 30:33
  The truth is out there.