Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 04/15/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: H m hmmm. All systems going clear the left.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:40Speaker 1: Shipping Nation YouTube station.
- 0:42Speaker 2: We're back here early for this week and next week
- 0:47Speaker 2: as our guy GM Risen looking to uh looking to
- 0:50Speaker 2: get that championship on the old lanes out there with
- 0:53Speaker 2: a little bowling.
- 0:55Speaker 1: Not something I've I've ever done.
- 0:57Speaker 2: I mean, I've not gotten anywhere close to I think
- 1:00Speaker 2: my highest score ever bowling is like one hundred and
- 1:02Speaker 2: fifty points, So not great, but better better than most
- 1:07Speaker 2: can say. But I'll bring you in man happy Wednesday.
- 1:10Speaker 2: We got Dave Baseball going on. We got three games
- 1:12Speaker 2: in the early window here, not going the best for
- 1:15Speaker 2: me so far, so hoping main slate's going to be
- 1:17Speaker 2: better than this early slate, and really trying to chase
- 1:20Speaker 2: some of these fifteen tickets that for the contest. I
- 1:24Speaker 2: think it's the twenty second which is next week sometime,
- 1:27Speaker 2: which is the mega Mega home run or something like
- 1:29Speaker 2: that on DraftKings. Usually that's a pretty chunk of pretty
- 1:33Speaker 2: big chunk of change up top of that contest there.
- 1:36Speaker 2: So trying to chase some of these satellites and some
- 1:39Speaker 2: of the tickets over the next couple of days to
- 1:41Speaker 2: see if.
- 1:42Speaker 1: I can't get my way into that contest there.
- 1:44Speaker 2: But man, we had a lot of good members, a
- 1:49Speaker 2: lot of success last night in the streets here. How
- 1:52Speaker 2: your night go last night with the angels smashing the
- 1:56Speaker 2: slates and anything else leading into to you want to
- 2:00Speaker 2: talk on before he pulled up and walked through ger Eisen,
- 2:03Speaker 2: what's going on, brother.
- 2:04Speaker 3: H not too much. It's a pretty good day to day.
- 2:07Speaker 4: Last night, man, Nates, we got hit with this crazy
- 2:09Speaker 4: thunderstorm here in southeast Michigan, and Man, two and thirty in.
- 2:14Speaker 3: The morning, my phone's going crazy. Get your ass in
- 2:16Speaker 3: the basement and shit, I was like, what is happening?
- 2:19Speaker 3: And I hardly even rain, but it was kind of windy.
- 2:22Speaker 3: But so that kind of got my day, kind of
- 2:25Speaker 3: started to fuck my sleep pattern up last night. But yeah,
- 2:29Speaker 3: like you said, these next couple weeks just a little early.
- 2:31Speaker 3: You got to finish up my bowling season.
- 2:33Speaker 4: I'll be glad when that shit's done, because you know,
- 2:36Speaker 4: it's just starting to get warm.
- 2:37Speaker 3: It's not fun when you're in the bowling alley. But
- 2:39Speaker 3: I both three times a week, Nate's you know, I
- 2:42Speaker 3: gotta do something up here in the winter.
- 2:43Speaker 4: But make some chat a lot of chatter, bowling too
- 2:47Speaker 4: twenty ish or so bold couple three hundred so far
- 2:49Speaker 4: this year.
- 2:50Speaker 3: Whatever, good times, good times, good times. But uh yeah,
- 2:53Speaker 3: last night not so good man. The pitching, which we
- 2:56Speaker 3: thought was kind of strong Gore didn't really come out
- 2:58Speaker 3: very well. Yam A Modo did pretty good.
- 3:00Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean, I know Matt and I talked
- 3:03Speaker 4: a little bit that we were kind of looking at
- 3:06Speaker 4: weathers and you know, it didn't work out very good.
- 3:09Speaker 3: So, I mean, you know it is what is dead.
- 3:13Speaker 4: Mers actually was the guy that looked pretty good on
- 3:16Speaker 4: the other side of that game.
- 3:18Speaker 3: But you know, it's baseball. Baseball's tough. You know, most
- 3:21Speaker 3: days you're gonna lose.
- 3:22Speaker 4: If you everybody thinks you're gonna win every stinking day
- 3:24Speaker 4: in baseball, I got something else for you. But you know, hey,
- 3:28Speaker 4: we're gonna get right back at it. The best thing
- 3:30Speaker 4: is we get to start over again today. I think
- 3:33Speaker 4: the slate today is interesting. The pitching I mean today,
- 3:36Speaker 4: like we always like to talk about, you know, like
- 3:39Speaker 4: how is all the mass is gonna get filtered? I
- 3:41Speaker 4: think today the masses are gonna get filtered, obviously, probably
- 3:43Speaker 4: toward a tany and cease so we're gonna see heavier
- 3:46Speaker 4: ownership on pitching than.
- 3:48Speaker 3: We did yesterday.
- 3:50Speaker 4: So you know, maybe we'll live a little bit, we'll
- 3:53Speaker 4: live a little bit below that radar. Maybe there's a
- 3:55Speaker 4: couple guys we can pull out, but uh yeah, let's
- 3:57Speaker 4: dig into it and figure out what we can do.
- 3:59Speaker 4: But yeah, it kind of looks like one of them
- 4:01Speaker 4: slates day Yankees are gonna be heavy chalk. It's it's
- 4:04Speaker 4: just a little bit more defined than yesterday, where it
- 4:06Speaker 4: seemed like it was a little bit more spread out.
- 4:09Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, I love Deptmar's yesterday. Det Mers I played
- 4:13Speaker 2: Kikuchi the day before that. Anytime I see the Yankees
- 4:16Speaker 2: is absolutely the highest on staff by a wide margin,
- 4:20Speaker 2: on a fuller slate, especially against the left handed pitcher
- 4:24Speaker 2: to start the year with their strikeout rate.
- 4:26Speaker 1: That they have.
- 4:26Speaker 2: Yeah, they have Johns, they have Stanton, but the rest
- 4:28Speaker 2: of those guys, I mean, guys like I mind Rosario
- 4:31Speaker 2: are hitting fifth and sixth in that lineup, like Randall
- 4:34Speaker 2: Greechik the corpse of himself. The dude was over nine
- 4:37Speaker 2: hundred and he finally got a hit yesterday. But yeah,
- 4:40Speaker 2: I love Detmer's yesterday. So that was fun there, didn't
- 4:42Speaker 2: quite get all the way home, but had myself a
- 4:44Speaker 2: really profitable night there and talking slate of the talking
- 4:48Speaker 2: point of the slate today, pitching pretty gross outside of
- 4:55Speaker 2: quote unquote three arms that everybody wants to play in
- 4:57Speaker 2: Otani cease and Arraghetty, which Spencer Arraghetty chalk seems like
- 5:02Speaker 2: just absolutely.
- 5:03Speaker 1: Ridiculous to me.
- 5:04Speaker 2: But he's seven k pitching at home. Should have run
- 5:08Speaker 2: support against the Rockies. That's not something I really want
- 5:11Speaker 2: to go down on. That's that's Letting Hill there. I
- 5:14Speaker 2: don't really feel like it's gonna be a safe landing
- 5:17Speaker 2: zone down there. I feel like there's a lot of
- 5:18Speaker 2: trees at the bottom that you might run into and
- 5:20Speaker 2: get knocked out there. So well, we'll see how we
- 5:23Speaker 2: talked through it. But yeah, definitely that game in Yankee
- 5:25Speaker 2: Stadium we're gonna have to talk about for sure, Yankees.
- 5:29Speaker 1: Heis on stack.
- 5:30Speaker 2: I'm gonna go ahead and pull up our partner over
- 5:32Speaker 2: here at Saber sim and I did do the drive
- 5:36Speaker 2: run here with an average of a couple of projection
- 5:39Speaker 2: sources just kind of get an idea of what the
- 5:42Speaker 2: projections are spitting out in terms of projected ownership and
- 5:46Speaker 2: roster construction. You see right here Otani, Spencer, Arraghetty, Dylan,
- 5:50Speaker 2: see nobody else outside of one lineup in one hundred
- 5:53Speaker 2: and fifty sets you click over here team stacks while
- 5:56Speaker 2: Yankees Texas no surprise.
- 5:57Speaker 1: So that's the that's the that's the broad slate over you.
- 6:01Speaker 2: It's Otani, Arraghetty, Cease, Yankees Rangers and hold hands with
- 6:06Speaker 2: everyone else and trying to get the way to the
- 6:07Speaker 2: top of the leader aboard. So we'll do the best
- 6:09Speaker 2: we can to talk through it and break it down
- 6:11Speaker 2: there gee Risen, like we always do.
- 6:14Speaker 1: Eight K and above. You got Brandy Vasquez.
- 6:16Speaker 2: His uh, underlying metrics and everything look absolutely atrocious. However,
- 6:21Speaker 2: last year we picked on him all season long, never
- 6:24Speaker 2: worked out.
- 6:25Speaker 1: This year he comes out the gate looking like he's
- 6:27Speaker 1: got strikeout potential.
- 6:28Speaker 2: But anytime you have a pitcher that does have six
- 6:31Speaker 2: pitches in his arsenal like of Randy Vasquez, sometimes it
- 6:35Speaker 2: takes a little little figuring out to do right on
- 6:39Speaker 2: how to navigate and utilize those pitches to your advantage
- 6:42Speaker 2: to keep these hitters off balance. He's at eight K
- 6:45Speaker 2: gets the one of the best pitching ballparks in the
- 6:47Speaker 2: league down there at the bottom obviously, got Cison Otani
- 6:51Speaker 2: up at the top. Hard to get away from them,
- 6:53Speaker 2: just in due to the pitching slate at hand right,
- 6:58Speaker 2: not many other guys on this slate, hag of the
- 7:00Speaker 2: potential ceilings that a cease in Otani do. But both
- 7:04Speaker 2: of those guys have downside. I mean, Cese, we know
- 7:07Speaker 2: what he is. Start to start. He's up and down regardless.
- 7:09Speaker 2: Right one day he's gonna come out strike out ten
- 7:11Speaker 2: twelve guys the other day.
- 7:13Speaker 1: It doesn't matter what the matchup is.
- 7:14Speaker 2: It's more of just a mindset thing with cease and
- 7:17Speaker 2: if he has it, if he doesn't. So anytime you
- 7:20Speaker 2: have that right as ownership, there's always risk there. And
- 7:23Speaker 2: then Otani hasn't looked like an ace yet to start
- 7:26Speaker 2: the year. Obviously he's very talented, he's insane. The Mets
- 7:29Speaker 2: hit a little bit last night, but young Modo still
- 7:31Speaker 2: skated through. So those two guys seem like the easiest
- 7:35Speaker 2: clicks on the board. But none of these other guys
- 7:38Speaker 2: above eight K are gonna get played at all. I mean,
- 7:40Speaker 2: you got Vasquez, Elder, Emerson, Hancock, who's looked great and
- 7:45Speaker 2: has a thirty percent k rate on the season, gets
- 7:48Speaker 2: a tough matchup in San Diego, but a good place
- 7:50Speaker 2: to pitch. And then Clay Holmes, not Nolan McLean, who
- 7:54Speaker 2: had himself a pretty good game against the Dodgers, but
- 7:57Speaker 2: at eighty seven hundred feels like a tough click, especially
- 7:59Speaker 2: with his pitch concerns there, and uh, signing up to
- 8:03Speaker 2: play a pitcher that is the third highest price on
- 8:05Speaker 2: a slate against the Dodgers never feels like a fun
- 8:07Speaker 2: thing to do.
- 8:08Speaker 1: Now, get this top tier for me? What are you
- 8:10Speaker 1: doing here?
- 8:12Speaker 4: Yeah, the top tier isn't that deep. Like you mentioned,
- 8:15Speaker 4: we got the top two guys at the top. Now,
- 8:16Speaker 4: I was trying to figure out who I like better
- 8:18Speaker 4: between Otawani and Cease, and you know, just kind of
- 8:21Speaker 4: looking at the matchups. I mean, you look at the
- 8:24Speaker 4: matchup with your Brewers. I don't want to be fooling
- 8:27Speaker 4: around with the Brewers when I'm you know, because the
- 8:29Speaker 4: Brewers don't strike out all that much.
- 8:30Speaker 3: They got they got.
- 8:31Speaker 4: Sanchez who strikes out, Mitchell strikes out, and then you
- 8:35Speaker 4: got Bauers, who's that twenty five percent.
- 8:37Speaker 3: Everybody else is in the teens.
- 8:39Speaker 4: So the other thing the Brewers are also pretty patient,
- 8:43Speaker 4: and I think what could end up getting the Dylan
- 8:45Speaker 4: Cees is his control. I mean, this dude, fourteen percent
- 8:49Speaker 4: walk right to the left side, eleven percent walk right
- 8:51Speaker 4: to the right side, including.
- 8:53Speaker 3: This including from last season.
- 8:54Speaker 4: So I mean a cease, you know, Brewers become patient,
- 8:57Speaker 4: make them pitch.
- 8:58Speaker 2: You know.
- 8:59Speaker 4: I could see for him, and when I kind of
- 9:01Speaker 4: compare him to Otani, Otani to me, it is just
- 9:05Speaker 4: the guy that I think with his even though he
- 9:07Speaker 4: has a lower strikeout rate, I'm not really all that
- 9:10Speaker 4: concerned off at this point. I think it's a better pivot.
- 9:13Speaker 4: It's just I like Otani overseas actually is what is
- 9:17Speaker 4: what I'm getting at. So it just sucks you can't
- 9:20Speaker 4: use him in your lineup. But for me, I think
- 9:22Speaker 4: I got Otani as number one. I don't fear this
- 9:25Speaker 4: Mets line up right now. This Mets lineup can't hit
- 9:27Speaker 4: for shit at all right now. So just by the
- 9:29Speaker 4: match up between the two teams, Uh, even though the
- 9:32Speaker 4: Brewers are missing Yellich and I do think that's a
- 9:34Speaker 4: that is that's a knock on him there, But uh,
- 9:38Speaker 4: I do think that Otani for me stands out Homes.
- 9:41Speaker 3: I don't really want to fool with the Dodgers out
- 9:43Speaker 3: there in LA And then when you get to the
- 9:45Speaker 3: bottom here, like Hancock and.
- 9:48Speaker 4: Vasquez an Elder, I mean they're all like, uh, I mean,
- 9:52Speaker 4: they got some good recency bias, sure, you know, but when,
- 9:55Speaker 4: like you mentioned earlier, you look under the hood, Vasquez
- 9:58Speaker 4: and Handcock, we're really strike out pitchers. They're all like
- 10:00Speaker 4: seventeen eighteen percent all last year. All of a sudden
- 10:03Speaker 4: they're up there a little high after a couple of
- 10:05Speaker 4: decent starts.
- 10:06Speaker 3: You know, you read into it a little bit.
- 10:08Speaker 4: You know, they're changing our angles and changing different things,
- 10:11Speaker 4: and you know, using their pitches in a little different
- 10:13Speaker 4: I mean, if you want to buy into all that,
- 10:15Speaker 4: then these guys are fairly cheap today, and then you
- 10:18Speaker 4: know you should look into them as pivots. I do
- 10:21Speaker 4: think of the three between Hancock, Elder, and Vasquez, I
- 10:25Speaker 4: think I'd rather play Elder, to.
- 10:27Speaker 3: Be honest with you, I think he's the guy that
- 10:29Speaker 3: I'd rather play.
- 10:30Speaker 4: I mean, I really don't even like picking on Miami
- 10:33Speaker 4: at this point, but Miami's a little better than people think.
- 10:37Speaker 4: But I just think Elder started out the season pretty
- 10:40Speaker 4: good Here, he's I think he's got less than a
- 10:42Speaker 4: one year eight strikeout seven innings.
- 10:45Speaker 3: So i'm you know, at home, I think it's decent. Here.
- 10:48Speaker 3: He's got two games with twenty four points, twenty eight points.
- 10:51Speaker 3: He did struggle last time out against the Indians, But
- 10:55Speaker 3: I think Elder would be the guy that I would
- 10:58Speaker 3: rather rely on.
- 10:59Speaker 4: The Aves have been hitting the ball really well. I
- 11:02Speaker 4: like his win equity, especially over there on FanDuel, Hancock
- 11:07Speaker 4: I think is tough. San Diego really just doesn't strike
- 11:10Speaker 4: out all that much. So you know, those guys are
- 11:13Speaker 4: tough for me. But I think I would I think
- 11:14Speaker 4: I would leave him in my player pool just because
- 11:17Speaker 4: of how well they've been pitching. I mean, if this
- 11:20Speaker 4: was last year, I'd already crossed the Mountain Aids. But
- 11:22Speaker 4: you know what, both these two guys, Hancock and Vasque,
- 11:25Speaker 4: has been pitching fairly well. So I think we got
- 11:27Speaker 4: to leave him in consideration. And then really the only
- 11:29Speaker 4: reason being is pitching is just so thin today. Like
- 11:33Speaker 4: other than Cease, you know, over in FanDuel you do
- 11:36Speaker 4: have Lizardo.
- 11:37Speaker 3: I think that helps out a little bit.
- 11:39Speaker 4: Lizardo is a guy that I'll be looking at using
- 11:41Speaker 4: over there on FanDuel. But you know, I mean today
- 11:44Speaker 4: that it's pretty slim pickings today. I mean, I think
- 11:47Speaker 4: you're gonna see heavier ownership on Otani and Cease. Then
- 11:50Speaker 4: you're gonna want and I just I'm looking to try
- 11:53Speaker 4: to be a little bit different. I'm gonna want some
- 11:55Speaker 4: bats today, Aids. So I think if I can pay
- 11:57Speaker 4: down for some pitching, I might be different all ready
- 12:00Speaker 4: right off the bat.
- 12:01Speaker 3: So I think most people are probably gonna I mean, at.
- 12:05Speaker 4: Ninety seven hundred, ninety five hundred, I'm sure you can
- 12:08Speaker 4: find some bats that you could you could build, build
- 12:10Speaker 4: you a nice stack with using those two pictures.
- 12:13Speaker 3: I don't know how.
- 12:14Speaker 4: Popular that will be using both of them, but I
- 12:16Speaker 4: do believe that you're gonna see sixty seventy percent lineups.
- 12:20Speaker 4: You're gonna at least have one of them over on
- 12:22Speaker 4: dk on. They're in their roster tonight.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Yeah, so I agree with a lot of what you said.
- 12:29Speaker 2: You can see this right here. You can play a
- 12:31Speaker 2: five man Yankee stack very easy with both Ceas and Otani.
- 12:35Speaker 2: So anytime that's the case, Yeah, it's gonna be a
- 12:37Speaker 2: popular pairing. It's gonna be the cash game Perry, if
- 12:40Speaker 2: not both of those guys, one of those guys in Arraghetty,
- 12:43Speaker 2: for sure, I prefer Otani overseas as well. I'm with
- 12:47Speaker 2: you there, not just because I'm a Brewers fan, But
- 12:49Speaker 2: the metrics tell me so, right, I mean, I mean,
- 12:52Speaker 2: you look at Cease. He's obviously has a strikeout strikeout
- 12:56Speaker 2: upside any single time or anytime he's on the slate right,
- 12:59Speaker 2: thirty one percent rate last year and this year combined.
- 13:02Speaker 2: But that walk rate, and then you look at the
- 13:04Speaker 2: Brewers this season against right handed pitching, twenty percent walk
- 13:07Speaker 2: rate for Tering eighteen, almost a twenty percent walk rate
- 13:10Speaker 2: for Hamilton Garrett Mitchell. Yeah, he strikes out a lot,
- 13:13Speaker 2: but if he doesn't strike out, he's got a good eye,
- 13:15Speaker 2: can hit for power. And he's at a fifteen percent
- 13:17Speaker 2: walk rate. Freelk fifteen percent walk rate, even Sanchez right,
- 13:21Speaker 2: fourteen percent walk rate, Contreras thirteen percent walk right. The
- 13:25Speaker 2: least guy in this lineup is Joey Ortiz, if he
- 13:27Speaker 2: if he even makes.
- 13:28Speaker 1: The or the lineup tonight.
- 13:31Speaker 2: There So I am a little worried on Dylan Cease,
- 13:34Speaker 2: especially at the ownership. I don't like either of these
- 13:37Speaker 2: guys a ton at the top, Cease or Toani. I
- 13:40Speaker 2: just think it's so easy to play them. It's probably
- 13:43Speaker 2: the right thing to do. But in tournaments here, I mean,
- 13:46Speaker 2: if you want to play the Yankees differently, just don't
- 13:48Speaker 2: use Cease Rotani with your Yankees, and you can play
- 13:51Speaker 2: the Yankees differently right there. So for me, it is
- 13:54Speaker 2: Otani overseas. I think they're both playable, They're both fine.
- 13:57Speaker 2: I'm gonna buy on Emerson Hancock here.
- 14:00Speaker 1: I get it. The Padres lineup is contact heavy.
- 14:03Speaker 2: They got to Brian Wo a little bit last night,
- 14:06Speaker 2: but still, I mean, eighty five hundred no ownership going
- 14:09Speaker 2: to him.
- 14:10Speaker 1: You look at his outsprop on this slate.
- 14:12Speaker 2: He's right there in line with guys like Otani and
- 14:16Speaker 2: Dylan Cees for a fraction of the ownership. I mean
- 14:19Speaker 2: you're talking like a tenth of the ownership potentially for
- 14:22Speaker 2: a guy like Emerson Hancock pitching.
- 14:24Speaker 1: In San Diego out there. I get it. Strikeouts aren't there,
- 14:28Speaker 1: but I don't really think.
- 14:30Speaker 2: I mean, if Otani and Ceased don't have a crazy
- 14:32Speaker 2: strikeout game because of the patients they get, Cease falls
- 14:36Speaker 2: falls behind and starts walking. Dudes, Otani just doesn't have
- 14:41Speaker 2: have his best stuff and the short leash that Dave
- 14:44Speaker 2: Roberts can have out there. I mean, you can see
- 14:46Speaker 2: these other guys that just kind of skate through the game,
- 14:49Speaker 2: maybe pick up four to five strikeouts and have six
- 14:53Speaker 2: innings pitch or seven innings pitch right and get there
- 14:55Speaker 2: on the floor that way. So for me, I don't
- 14:57Speaker 2: mind Hancock there nobody's gonna play. I think he's fine.
- 15:01Speaker 2: I prefer him more to than than Elder. I just
- 15:04Speaker 2: I don't like Elder's upside at all. I just I
- 15:07Speaker 2: don't think the dude has strike on ability. I'd much
- 15:10Speaker 2: rather play a pitcher at a similar price point, similar ownership,
- 15:13Speaker 2: everything similar in the better pitchers ballpark in San Diego
- 15:17Speaker 2: than Atlanta.
- 15:18Speaker 1: So that's reason for me.
- 15:20Speaker 2: Up top, it's really Otani my favorite, then Hancock probably
- 15:24Speaker 2: then see than Vasquez, it would be the four guys
- 15:26Speaker 2: I play, not messing with Home's not messing with Elder personally.
- 15:30Speaker 2: But I do think this is a slate where you
- 15:31Speaker 2: don't have to play any of these guys up top,
- 15:33Speaker 2: and you just get on.
- 15:34Speaker 1: A completely different roster.
- 15:37Speaker 2: Down below a k there is some guys that stand
- 15:38Speaker 2: out here to me number one obviously, Ragetty Chalk, I
- 15:42Speaker 2: don't really like it much. I'm actually more on the
- 15:44Speaker 2: Rocky side of that game. I just don't think rag
- 15:45Speaker 2: Getty is a very good pitcher in general. Yeah, the
- 15:48Speaker 2: Rockies are always going to strike out, but the Rockies
- 15:51Speaker 2: do have some of these lefties right Adding guys like
- 15:54Speaker 2: Julian into this lineup, and there were two young or
- 15:58Speaker 2: there are two guys that our everyday starters now for
- 16:01Speaker 2: them this year in runfield in Troy Johnston. Willie Castro
- 16:05Speaker 2: coming over as well helps them, so they do have
- 16:07Speaker 2: more lefties to target. Arraghetti splits. He's almost a fourteen
- 16:11Speaker 2: percent walk right pitcher to left side. So for me
- 16:14Speaker 2: as heavy ownership at that price point, it's hard for me.
- 16:17Speaker 2: So down here, I think Sean Berk's really interesting at
- 16:20Speaker 2: sixty five hundred, when we don't like the pitching slate much,
- 16:23Speaker 2: do you rise in here a guy that's sixty five
- 16:25Speaker 2: hundred dollars that does have some strike out upside. His
- 16:28Speaker 2: outs prop is solid on the slate as well. I
- 16:32Speaker 2: think he's he's interesting to me. He's got a fifteen
- 16:35Speaker 2: and a half out prop. Yeah, slightly juice to the
- 16:37Speaker 2: under there, but you look at a strike up prop
- 16:39Speaker 2: it's solid at four and a half as well. So
- 16:42Speaker 2: I think Sean Burk's fairly interesting to me. There is
- 16:45Speaker 2: some slight weather concern there in Chicago, but I'm not
- 16:49Speaker 2: too afraid.
- 16:50Speaker 1: Of this Tampa Bay lineup.
- 16:51Speaker 2: I mean, outside of the top Camoniro, Yondi Diaz, those guys,
- 16:55Speaker 2: the back half of that lineup is absolutely atrocious. So
- 16:57Speaker 2: Burke at sixty five hundred, I think he's interesting to me.
- 17:01Speaker 2: Kumar Rocker, I think is fine.
- 17:04Speaker 1: JT.
- 17:04Speaker 2: Gin is fine, Chad Patrick maybe, but yeah, I mean
- 17:08Speaker 2: it's pretty gross.
- 17:09Speaker 1: What do you seat on here?
- 17:11Speaker 3: Yeah, that's pretty ugly. I mean Arregetty, I mean people
- 17:14Speaker 3: are just looking at that. You do strikeout numbers he's
- 17:17Speaker 3: got down there in the triple A. Oh it's thirty
- 17:19Speaker 3: six percent strikeout, right, but the dude still nineteen percent strikeout.
- 17:23Speaker 3: But before you know, in his last season so and
- 17:26Speaker 3: all of a sudden, he had also lasted thirteen percent.
- 17:30Speaker 3: And the Rockies have been hitting the ball here in
- 17:32Speaker 3: recent times.
- 17:33Speaker 4: So I know, yesterday Goodman obviously was was the guy
- 17:37Speaker 4: you needed to have. But I mean when I look
- 17:39Speaker 4: down here, it's just It's just a bunch of nonsense
- 17:41Speaker 4: to me.
- 17:42Speaker 3: I just think they're dart throws. I mean, you look
- 17:44Speaker 3: at J. T. Gen. I mean I don't mind that
- 17:46Speaker 3: at all, but I mean all the strikeouts last year
- 17:49Speaker 3: basically came against righties, and I think they're gonna end
- 17:52Speaker 3: up throwing what six maybe six lefties against him, So
- 17:55Speaker 3: I mean that kind of neutralizes Gin a little bit
- 17:58Speaker 3: for me.
- 17:59Speaker 4: But you know, you look at down here and you
- 18:00Speaker 4: just look even at the win equity. You know, Arraghetty's
- 18:03Speaker 4: a minus one ninety. The Dodgers are the heaviest favorite
- 18:06Speaker 4: on his slate today at minus two ten. So if
- 18:08Speaker 4: you get Aarraghetty, you know, he's the second highest favorite.
- 18:11Speaker 4: I mean, so you're looking at possibly getting to win
- 18:14Speaker 4: if he can get you know, past the five innings there.
- 18:17Speaker 4: So if that's the case, you know, Arraghetty at seven K,
- 18:22Speaker 4: I mean, I can see why he's chalk Burke. I
- 18:24Speaker 4: think it's interesting, like you said, he's about an average
- 18:26Speaker 4: strikeout pitcher here Tampa Bay, if you just look under
- 18:29Speaker 4: the hood a little bit as far as some of
- 18:31Speaker 4: their strikeouts, you know the top of that lineup, Simpson
- 18:34Speaker 4: doesn't strike out much caman Aro League garage, Ronda goes
- 18:38Speaker 4: a little bit high, and then the bottom half of
- 18:41Speaker 4: that lineup does have some strikeouts in it that you
- 18:44Speaker 4: could be had Cedric Mullins, Walls Williamson. So yeah, I mean,
- 18:49Speaker 4: I think Burke's definitely interesting. He doesn't really walk guys
- 18:52Speaker 4: all that much, so I don't mind that at all.
- 18:55Speaker 4: I mean, to take a shot, there's no way in
- 18:56Speaker 4: hell I can play Chris Paddock. I might as well
- 18:58Speaker 4: go outside and go play in traffic and see if
- 19:01Speaker 4: I can frogger across the freeway. But yeah, no, thanks
- 19:05Speaker 4: on Paddock, Quintana, I mean, you can't play that guy anymore.
- 19:08Speaker 4: That guy might as well be playing, uh, you know,
- 19:10Speaker 4: being a pitcher at kickball and sultser.
- 19:13Speaker 3: I'm not interested in. It's just it is kind of
- 19:16Speaker 3: tough down there. But I think Arraghetty, I think you
- 19:19Speaker 3: could look at Burke, as you mentioned, I think Burke
- 19:22Speaker 3: is pretty much my favorite pivot off of Arraghetty, So
- 19:26Speaker 3: I think I would go there. But you know, then
- 19:28Speaker 3: really after you look at all that, and then I
- 19:29Speaker 3: get bounced back up to the Hancocks, the Elders in
- 19:32Speaker 3: the vasquezes Na It's like, I feel like I'd rather
- 19:34Speaker 3: just play those guys, pay up a little bit for
- 19:36Speaker 3: them to try and be a little bit different with
- 19:39Speaker 3: one of these guys, maybe paired up with like an
- 19:41Speaker 3: old Tani. So I think that's that's where i'd be looking.
- 19:44Speaker 3: But yeah, pitching shitty today.
- 19:45Speaker 4: So I'd rather pay down, I guess in pitching today
- 19:50Speaker 4: because I don't feel like there's as many land mines
- 19:52Speaker 4: that I have to avoid. But uh, yeah, I think
- 19:56Speaker 4: pitching is just terrible. I think we're we're gonna want
- 19:58Speaker 4: to spend their money on some bats today.
- 20:01Speaker 2: Yeah, it's pretty tough. I will say, yeah, I will
- 20:08Speaker 2: say rag Getty if you play him, I just wouldn't
- 20:11Speaker 2: use CiCi Otani. I'd pivot to Hancock, Vasquez or even
- 20:15Speaker 2: a Homes if you wanted to up at the top
- 20:17Speaker 2: range and just play use Arragetty differently than than what
- 20:20Speaker 2: the field's gonna because obviously, if you click this right,
- 20:23Speaker 2: one hundred and eleven out of one hundred and fifty
- 20:25Speaker 2: teams projections wise, all of those are either with CiCi Otani,
- 20:29Speaker 2: majority of them with Otani, Raghetty Otani in like the
- 20:32Speaker 2: one twenty one single entry or any single untry three
- 20:35Speaker 2: mac small small field type contest, even it doesn't even
- 20:38Speaker 2: have to be higher dollar is gonna be probably both
- 20:42Speaker 2: of them at probably sixty percent on each just because
- 20:46Speaker 2: that's just how it is, right. So I just I
- 20:51Speaker 2: just don't think that's the right way to play baseball personally.
- 20:54Speaker 2: So for me, I'm down here. I think Rockers interesting
- 20:57Speaker 2: just to bet on talent sixty seven hundred. Uh, the
- 21:00Speaker 2: A's have a lot of strikeouts. No Brett Rooker in
- 21:03Speaker 2: that lineup does help that. If Rocker can somehow can
- 21:06Speaker 2: figure out how to command the strike zone, I think
- 21:08Speaker 2: he's interesting.
- 21:09Speaker 1: And then the other guy I'll throw out is Chad Patrick.
- 21:13Speaker 2: The dude has not looked good yet to start the year,
- 21:15Speaker 2: but you look at his numbers from last season.
- 21:17Speaker 1: I mean he was a twenty six percent strike up
- 21:19Speaker 1: rate guy.
- 21:20Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not the best matchup, but none of these
- 21:22Speaker 2: guys have good matchups really outside of the chalk on
- 21:25Speaker 2: the slate.
- 21:26Speaker 1: And we just.
- 21:27Speaker 2: Poke Tols in that, or at least I just poke
- 21:28Speaker 2: Tolls in that when explaining it. So if you wanted
- 21:31Speaker 2: to take a shot in a guy like Chad Patrick,
- 21:33Speaker 2: who should have mid mid eighties in terms of pitch
- 21:35Speaker 2: count there you could, but yeah, it's it's it's gross
- 21:40Speaker 2: in general. I guess ranking them for me, I'll go
- 21:42Speaker 2: with Tani number one. I like Sean Burke quite a bit. Actually,
- 21:46Speaker 2: he's kind of a guy I'm buying on. I'll put
- 21:48Speaker 2: him to I'll put Handcap Hancock three, Vasquez four, and
- 21:53Speaker 2: then i'll put I'll put Dylan Cease five. I really
- 21:57Speaker 2: don't like Irregetty much at all personally. What's your kind
- 22:00Speaker 2: of top five here, do you?
- 22:01Speaker 1: Rysen?
- 22:03Speaker 4: Yeah, I'll go Tony one, Cease two, and then I'll
- 22:07Speaker 4: go I'll go Burke, Hancock, Elder Awesome. Yeah, that's why
- 22:16Speaker 4: I think the way I go. And you know, just
- 22:17Speaker 4: looking even more at your Burke Cows, just kind of
- 22:21Speaker 4: looking at teams that I mean, naids were getting to
- 22:24Speaker 4: be about twenty games in now, so I kind of
- 22:26Speaker 4: start like watching to pay attention, you know what teams
- 22:29Speaker 4: have been hitting, what teams are not, you know what bullpens.
- 22:32Speaker 4: We're starting to kind of get some significant numbers where
- 22:35Speaker 4: I feel I can feel comfortable about it. And I
- 22:37Speaker 4: mean you look at the Rays. I mean they got
- 22:39Speaker 4: twelve homers. They're obviously not hitting for power. They do
- 22:43Speaker 4: have a decent average, but it's just not a team
- 22:45Speaker 4: I'm gonna really fear. So I think Burke is definitely
- 22:49Speaker 4: a very good pivot off Araghetti today.
- 22:52Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you. It could burn me. It could not,
- 22:55Speaker 2: but all these guys in the slate could burn you,
- 22:56Speaker 2: and at least you're not paying to find out. Right,
- 22:59Speaker 2: he's done there in that six skate range, sixty five
- 23:01Speaker 2: hundred at home and basically a game that that Vegas
- 23:05Speaker 2: has to pick uIP. So yeah, I mean on him.
- 23:08Speaker 2: He's probably my favorite overall consider an, ownership, points, per
- 23:12Speaker 2: dollar everything, favorite pitcher on the slate, which is really
- 23:15Speaker 2: gross to say, but that's the that's the slate we
- 23:18Speaker 2: have at hand. So now we jump over and start
- 23:21Speaker 2: talking hitting where things open up. Obviously, when pitching is gross,
- 23:25Speaker 2: hitting likely seems to be much better. And the first
- 23:29Speaker 2: game to kick us off here is Yankee Stadium by
- 23:32Speaker 2: far the best hitting environment.
- 23:33Speaker 1: Is well on the slate tier.
- 23:36Speaker 2: We saw this game kind of go crazy all series
- 23:39Speaker 2: so far, at least on one side or the other.
- 23:42Speaker 2: The first game was obviously twelve to eleven last night.
- 23:44Speaker 2: The Angels did the job for me. Outside of Zach Natto.
- 23:46Speaker 2: Fuck that dude, So naturally he's gonna hit four home
- 23:49Speaker 2: runs tonight instead of strikeout four times. But man, you
- 23:54Speaker 2: look at the ownership on the slate, projections, dry runs everything,
- 23:59Speaker 2: there's not another. I mean, the Yankees are twice as
- 24:02Speaker 2: owned of any other team on this slate.
- 24:04Speaker 1: Twice is owned, and we have.
- 24:07Speaker 2: I mean, there's games on the slate, right, it's an
- 24:10Speaker 2: eight game slate. There's sixteen teams to choose from. You're
- 24:12Speaker 2: telling me the Yankees are double double is owned. Does
- 24:17Speaker 2: anyone else? I mean, it's just interesting to me. Obviously,
- 24:21Speaker 2: this is their best spot, in my opinion, of any
- 24:24Speaker 2: of them so far. The lefties, you like, this is
- 24:27Speaker 2: their best lineup right when they're facing right handed pitching.
- 24:30Speaker 1: This is when you want to play the Yankees.
- 24:31Speaker 2: It's Jack Kochanowitz, who's looked absolutely atrocious this year.
- 24:35Speaker 1: It's the Angels bullpen, which is not good. I get it.
- 24:38Speaker 2: I get the reason for the Yankees. I just it's
- 24:41Speaker 2: it's tough. I mean, it's just I don't know. I
- 24:45Speaker 2: prefer the Angels side of this game. You Louise Heal
- 24:47Speaker 2: can walk this entire team. Jorge Silaire is gonna be
- 24:50Speaker 2: out of the lineup tonight, serving his four game suspension.
- 24:52Speaker 1: There, but Zach Nette, I'll go I'll go back to
- 24:55Speaker 1: the well.
- 24:55Speaker 2: Mike Trout looks healthy, looks like one of the best
- 24:58Speaker 2: players in baseball, like he's always been is as long
- 25:00Speaker 2: as he's healthy.
- 25:00Speaker 1: I like him.
- 25:02Speaker 2: I think this game is interesting on both sides, but
- 25:05Speaker 2: in tournaments, I prefer the angel slide slightly.
- 25:07Speaker 1: Here. What do you see?
- 25:09Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean the Yankees is great out. It is
- 25:11Speaker 3: so high.
- 25:13Speaker 4: I mean, they they're the clear number one stack. But
- 25:15Speaker 4: we're not playing that way, you know, like we got
- 25:17Speaker 4: to figure out everybody else is gonna probably be rolling
- 25:19Speaker 4: out some Yankees, But I do I mean, if you
- 25:21Speaker 4: want to have a Yankee stack, I think Ben Rice
- 25:23Speaker 4: is a guy that I'd be sure to include in
- 25:25Speaker 4: my stack.
- 25:26Speaker 3: I think I actually like him more than Aaron Judge today,
- 25:29Speaker 3: to tell you the truth.
- 25:30Speaker 4: So you know, the Yankees, this fucking jack jack in
- 25:35Speaker 4: the box. He can't strike out anybody, nads a dude,
- 25:38Speaker 4: He's a mid level ground ball pitcher.
- 25:40Speaker 3: Then you look over here at these Yankees. None of
- 25:42Speaker 3: them are ground ball hitters. They're all fly ball hitters
- 25:45Speaker 3: that they're gonna see today. So Jack in the Box
- 25:48Speaker 3: is gonna be in some trouble here today, I feel.
- 25:50Speaker 3: But you know, they they can still score eight, nine,
- 25:54Speaker 3: ten runs and still not win the slate. So you know,
- 25:56Speaker 3: it doesn't mean just because they score a bunch of runs,
- 25:59Speaker 3: you know that they're gonna absolutely Nukia.
- 26:02Speaker 4: But I just think they're gonna be so popular today,
- 26:04Speaker 4: you're gonna have to nail that stack. I mean pretty much,
- 26:07Speaker 4: you're gonna have to have the four out of five
- 26:09Speaker 4: for sure too. Uh, They're gonna be so popular popular today.
- 26:12Speaker 4: As far as the Angels go, I can see your point.
- 26:15Speaker 4: The Angels have been actually been hitting pretty well. I
- 26:17Speaker 4: mean even last year, if we recall they came out
- 26:20Speaker 4: the gate. We're one of the more powerful teams, especially
- 26:23Speaker 4: you know, from the right side. So I do like
- 26:26Speaker 4: the Angels. I just don't have them ranked up as high.
- 26:29Speaker 4: You know, over on FANDOL there's a couple of games
- 26:31Speaker 4: that aren't in it. And you know I was telling
- 26:33Speaker 4: you pre show, I mean I got the Pirates ranked
- 26:35Speaker 4: actually had the Yankees over there on FanDuel.
- 26:38Speaker 3: But uh, yeah, the the Yankees for me, great out
- 26:41Speaker 3: the highest.
- 26:41Speaker 4: But we're gonna have to try to figure out, you know,
- 26:43Speaker 4: how to get a little bit different and build something
- 26:45Speaker 4: that we feel can definitely compete and beat these Yankee stacks.
- 26:49Speaker 4: I think there's a few good options as we move
- 26:51Speaker 4: along here, but I mean this game right out the gate,
- 26:53Speaker 4: highest total, I mean ten and a half, but really
- 26:57Speaker 4: good hitting conditions. We know that bullpen just absolutely sucks
- 27:01Speaker 4: for the Angels, and I was just checking here that
- 27:04Speaker 4: Yankee bullpen. Yeah, it's been mid form. It's like mid
- 27:08Speaker 4: middle of the pack. So nothing nothing, you know, nothing bad,
- 27:12Speaker 4: nothing great, But yeah, that Angel bullpen sucks.
- 27:17Speaker 2: Yeah, Angels bullpen eighth worst in terms of x FIP
- 27:20Speaker 2: on slate, Yankee sit sixteenth, so basically dead center. I'm there,
- 27:26Speaker 2: So yeah, it's just obviously on paper. Right, we could
- 27:30Speaker 2: come on here, tell you to play Otan he play Seas,
- 27:32Speaker 2: play the Yankees, and the show would be done in
- 27:34Speaker 2: five minutes. Right, That's not what we want to do.
- 27:37Speaker 2: Everyone in this Yankees lineup in single entry three max
- 27:40Speaker 2: smaller field stuff are all gonna be twenty percent or
- 27:42Speaker 2: higher outside of maybe Jose Caballero, right, which, yeah, I mean,
- 27:47Speaker 2: the dude has upside there, So I would probably make
- 27:49Speaker 2: sure if I'm stacking the Yankees to include Caballero. I
- 27:53Speaker 2: actually want the lefties first, So I'm fine stacking the Yankees.
- 27:56Speaker 2: You want to stack the Yankees differently, Leave out Judge,
- 27:59Speaker 2: leave out Stanton, play Cavallero, wrap it around at the
- 28:01Speaker 2: top played Grisham, Rice Bellinger, Jazz or Wells, Cavallero, Grisham,
- 28:07Speaker 2: Rice Bellinger, something like that. You leave out Judge, you
- 28:09Speaker 2: leave out Stanton. That that's how you stack them differently. Right,
- 28:13Speaker 2: A Judge is gonna be probably the highest on player
- 28:15Speaker 2: on the slate.
- 28:16Speaker 1: I get it.
- 28:17Speaker 2: It's Channa wetch He's not good everything there, But I
- 28:20Speaker 2: mean people are just just think because Luis Heel has
- 28:24Speaker 2: a Yankees uniform on, he's good.
- 28:25Speaker 1: I mean, look at the dude's numbers.
- 28:27Speaker 2: The dude has a fifteen percent k rate between this
- 28:29Speaker 2: year and last year to the left side, fifteen percent
- 28:31Speaker 2: walk rate the same both sides. He doesn't strike anyone out,
- 28:35Speaker 2: He allows fly balls, he allows hard to hit, he
- 28:37Speaker 2: allows barrels power. I mean, Mike Trout, Netto, Josh Lowe,
- 28:42Speaker 2: Shanuel Mancata, all of these guys right can hit the ball.
- 28:46Speaker 2: So I like the Angels quite a bit Actually in tournaments,
- 28:49Speaker 2: they're one of my top stacks on the board. Ownership
- 28:51Speaker 2: is not going to be there full nine and at
- 28:52Speaker 2: bats the exact same weather, exact same hitting positions.
- 28:55Speaker 1: It's nothing like the Yankees bullpen has.
- 28:57Speaker 2: Been shut down either, like like I talked about there,
- 28:59Speaker 2: So I'm in definitely prefer the Angels at ownership in tournaments.
- 29:03Speaker 2: Yankees best play on the slate in terms of on paper,
- 29:06Speaker 2: but we know how that always turns out. Could be
- 29:09Speaker 2: the night that they go off for twelve. You're gonna
- 29:11Speaker 2: need them, but you're gonna have to devote a lot
- 29:13Speaker 2: of your portfolio to it because there's gonna be the
- 29:16Speaker 2: bull that play seventy percent Yankee stacks right, if not
- 29:19Speaker 2: even locking Yankee stats and just plant their flag right
- 29:22Speaker 2: that they're gonna have the right combo. So takes us
- 29:24Speaker 2: in the next game here, Truce Park, Marlins, Braves, Bryce
- 29:27Speaker 2: Elder on the mound, Chris Paddock talk about one of
- 29:30Speaker 2: my top stacks on the board, hits the Braids.
- 29:32Speaker 1: The Braves have been hitting. Chris Paddock allows a ton
- 29:34Speaker 1: of home runs.
- 29:35Speaker 2: I mean, this dude straight throws fucking slow pitch softball
- 29:38Speaker 2: out there. I mean these lefties look absolutely incredible for
- 29:41Speaker 2: the Braves, and then adding the righties like Acunya.
- 29:44Speaker 1: And Austin Riley. Austin Riley at thirty seven hundred.
- 29:47Speaker 2: I know the dude's declining and this and that, but
- 29:50Speaker 2: thirty seven hundred for the power that he can have,
- 29:52Speaker 2: even regardless of if it's a lefty. Alrighty, I don't
- 29:55Speaker 2: care when Chris Paddock's on the mound. Right, So I
- 29:57Speaker 2: like this Braid's line up. A Ton dom smith, Yastremski,
- 30:01Speaker 2: Dubon and Harris Dubon's actually been hitting really really well
- 30:03Speaker 2: this year. That back half of the lineup is very
- 30:06Speaker 2: very nice. I mean, you could do a rap around
- 30:09Speaker 2: stack really easily here do six seven, eight nine two
- 30:12Speaker 2: three or two or something like that? Right, So I
- 30:16Speaker 2: really like the Braves here. A Ton Marlin's not.
- 30:19Speaker 1: So much for me.
- 30:20Speaker 2: It's just I'm not really getting to elder much. The
- 30:23Speaker 2: Marlins prices are up there. I don't love it. I
- 30:26Speaker 2: just don't love Elders upside much. But maybe that puts
- 30:29Speaker 2: him back into the pool after looking at it more,
- 30:31Speaker 2: just because pitchers are pretty hard to come by here.
- 30:33Speaker 1: What do you see on this one?
- 30:35Speaker 3: Yeah? I gotta agree with you on the Braves here.
- 30:37Speaker 3: I think the Braves are in a great spot.
- 30:39Speaker 4: I don't think they're that much further behind the Yankees
- 30:42Speaker 4: when you look at it. Paddock sucks. I mean, as
- 30:45Speaker 4: you mentioned, his isottle left, he's like two thirty seven
- 30:48Speaker 4: to Righty's. I mean, Baldwin's sitting up there and Olsen
- 30:50Speaker 4: sitting up there at top of that lineup. And I
- 30:52Speaker 4: think I saw Olson hit a home run the other day. Man,
- 30:55Speaker 4: I think he hit that shit to the moon. It
- 30:57Speaker 4: was like, damn, that boy smoked it. I think he
- 31:00Speaker 4: hit it over there like restaurant or something like that.
- 31:02Speaker 4: He just absolutely blistered one.
- 31:05Speaker 3: I think he was wearing that light blue his light
- 31:06Speaker 3: blue jersey if I remember the highlight. But man, Nazan, you.
- 31:10Speaker 4: Look at these Braves, they're top three and slugging so
- 31:12Speaker 4: far this year in baseball, there are top five in
- 31:15Speaker 4: home runs.
- 31:15Speaker 3: I mean, the Braves.
- 31:16Speaker 4: Quietly are so far running out the gate and hitting
- 31:20Speaker 4: the ball pretty well, even though Acuna only costs like
- 31:22Speaker 4: three thousand, you know on FanDuel, which is absolutely nuts
- 31:25Speaker 4: to me. But yeah, I mean Paddock is a guy
- 31:28Speaker 4: we definitely want to pick on the Lefties definitely first here.
- 31:33Speaker 3: And you know, I don't mind at all just going
- 31:38Speaker 3: pretty much. I'd rather I think.
- 31:39Speaker 4: If I was gonna, you know, I'm building one fifty,
- 31:41Speaker 4: I think I would probably double up my ownership on
- 31:44Speaker 4: the Braves and I would the Yankees.
- 31:46Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm right there with you.
- 31:47Speaker 2: I'm if my memory doesn't let me see real quick,
- 31:52Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure you can steal on Chris Paddock as well,
- 31:55Speaker 2: which does add not a lot of people talk about
- 31:58Speaker 2: bullpens are so and based upside or potential. He hasn't
- 32:03Speaker 2: allowed one. He allowed eight last year, So not the
- 32:05Speaker 2: best guy to steal on. But you can throw that
- 32:08Speaker 2: in there too. But yeah, I love love the Braves
- 32:11Speaker 2: here tonight. They'll probably let us down. Anytime people are
- 32:13Speaker 2: on the Braves, they always fall flat on their face.
- 32:15Speaker 2: But any team outside of the Yankee is gonna be
- 32:18Speaker 2: fairly low owned relative to to the slate. So Braves
- 32:22Speaker 2: flit that bill. I like Braves a lot here tonight
- 32:25Speaker 2: on the slate. Next game, Raised White Sox. This is
- 32:29Speaker 2: a game I don't love much.
- 32:30Speaker 1: Obviously.
- 32:31Speaker 2: I'm on Burke pretty heavily. This Bray, this Raised lineup
- 32:35Speaker 2: is just not good to me. I mean, look at
- 32:36Speaker 2: this lineup. I mean it's gross. Outside of the top Simpson,
- 32:39Speaker 2: cam Niro, Randa Diaz, I mean the back half is
- 32:43Speaker 2: just absolutely atrocious. You got Walls, Fiducia, Palacios, Mullins, the
- 32:48Speaker 2: Corps of Mullens that that still left Jake Freiley. Yeah,
- 32:52Speaker 2: could could they do some damage? Yeah, I'm not gonna
- 32:54Speaker 2: be on it. I don't really like it. I get
- 32:56Speaker 2: the White Sox bullpens not great as well. White So
- 33:00Speaker 2: I don't really like either. I mean, Murakami, I think
- 33:03Speaker 2: is a great play. Colson Montgomery is a great player.
- 33:05Speaker 2: Anytime they're on the slate, they get this platoon advantage.
- 33:07Speaker 2: They both mash right handed pitching. Murk Commy's gonna be
- 33:09Speaker 2: a dude that has hell of power anytime he's on
- 33:11Speaker 2: the slate, especially facing a right hander.
- 33:14Speaker 1: So I think he's an interesting one off at first base.
- 33:17Speaker 2: Right, I much prefer guy like Ben Rice, but everybody
- 33:20Speaker 2: does right, So I think he's an interesting one off
- 33:24Speaker 2: or mini stack.
- 33:25Speaker 1: Right, you can play him in Montgomery little two man
- 33:28Speaker 1: mini there. What do you see? White Sox and race.
- 33:31Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not really a fan of either side of this. Actually,
- 33:34Speaker 4: I mean it's just hard to It's hard to stack
- 33:37Speaker 4: up the Rays. I mean the White Sox. I couldn't
- 33:39Speaker 4: stack up if you paid me. The White Sox can't
- 33:42Speaker 4: hit themselves out of a damn paper bag. They got
- 33:44Speaker 4: the lowest slugging percentage in all of baseball at three
- 33:46Speaker 4: oh seven so far this year. So yeah, I mean
- 33:49Speaker 4: they're they're like in royal territory from last year. I
- 33:52Speaker 4: just they're gonna start crossing them boys off. So but
- 33:55Speaker 4: uh yeah, I mean we got a game total seven
- 33:57Speaker 4: and a half. I think there's two good of offenses
- 33:59Speaker 4: to try to get too, so I'm just gonna pass.
- 34:02Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 34:03Speaker 2: Absolutely, we see pretty close next game on the slate,
- 34:06Speaker 2: Blue Jays and the Brewers.
- 34:07Speaker 1: No ownership going to either side of this game.
- 34:09Speaker 2: I think it's fairly sneaky both sides, but definitely the
- 34:12Speaker 2: Blue Jay side.
- 34:13Speaker 1: Here.
- 34:14Speaker 2: Just a bet on Chad Patrick not being right yet.
- 34:18Speaker 2: He hasn't looked great to start the year. He looked
- 34:20Speaker 2: much better obviously. Last year was really good for the Brewers.
- 34:23Speaker 2: Last year just hasn't been the same pitcher, and blue
- 34:26Speaker 2: Jay has started hitting a little bit last night. I'd
- 34:29Speaker 2: be interested to see this lineup, but Jimenez is hitting
- 34:31Speaker 2: well right now, Hacy Sanchez, Dalton Varshall hit a bomb
- 34:35Speaker 2: last night. Again, Vlad has always got tons of power.
- 34:39Speaker 2: O Komodo always tons of power too. With this, with
- 34:41Speaker 2: the strikeouts that come with him, I think the Blue
- 34:44Speaker 2: Jays are fairly interesting. And then I will always mention
- 34:46Speaker 2: Bryce Terrang, Jake Bauers, Garrett Mitchell. Those three absolutely mashed
- 34:50Speaker 2: right handed pitching, especially Jake Bauers and Terrang.
- 34:53Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna click them.
- 34:54Speaker 2: You get massive leverage off of Dylan ce So in
- 34:56Speaker 2: a lineup where you're playing show hey Watani over Dylan Sees,
- 35:01Speaker 2: I wouldn't fault anyone for going to a Jake Bauers,
- 35:03Speaker 2: Bryce Trang something like that mini stack. They're the only
- 35:06Speaker 2: issue is Blue Jays do have the best bullpen in
- 35:08Speaker 2: baseball by a pretty wide margin, so it is tricky there.
- 35:11Speaker 2: But again Bowers, Mitchell, Terrag, those guys can get there
- 35:14Speaker 2: with stolen bases too.
- 35:15Speaker 1: Seas can blow up at times.
- 35:17Speaker 2: I don't think it's the craziest play, but definitely prefer
- 35:19Speaker 2: the blue Jay side of this game a lot more
- 35:21Speaker 2: than the Brewers.
- 35:22Speaker 1: What do you see here?
- 35:24Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean just kind of reading around looking at
- 35:27Speaker 3: you know, all the uh, all the plays today in baseball.
- 35:31Speaker 4: I mean Chad Patrick. I've seen a couple guys just
- 35:33Speaker 4: feel like he's not right. So you know, like, are
- 35:36Speaker 4: we basing it, you know, our play on the Blue
- 35:39Speaker 4: Jays on that. I mean, maybe it enhances a little bit.
- 35:42Speaker 4: But if you look at, you know, in the past
- 35:44Speaker 4: with Patrick, I mean, he gives up a lot of
- 35:46Speaker 4: fly balls to the left side, you know, So you
- 35:48Speaker 4: got a guy like Dalton Varshol sitting there in that
- 35:50Speaker 4: two hole with a thirty eight percent fly ball percentage,
- 35:54Speaker 4: is just staring at me at a home run today.
- 35:56Speaker 4: Nate So, I mean, Hayzu Sanchez, Nathan lu I do
- 36:00Speaker 4: like those lefties, and you could obviously throw in Vlad
- 36:04Speaker 4: I mean Eloy heman Is.
- 36:06Speaker 3: I mean, this guy sucks. I don't even know what
- 36:08Speaker 3: he's doing anymore.
- 36:09Speaker 4: But that's like the only spot that I don't even
- 36:12Speaker 4: really like in that lineup. I mean, Ernie Clement. That's
- 36:15Speaker 4: kind of hard to click too, but still, you know,
- 36:18Speaker 4: I think they're definitely in play. I wouldn't put him
- 36:20Speaker 4: up there in my favorites, but you know, it's definitely doable.
- 36:24Speaker 2: That's for sure, you definitely want the lefties. Venza tell
- 36:28Speaker 2: of Velenzeuela, the LEFTI catcher there. He's hit for a
- 36:33Speaker 2: lot of power actually to start the year two. So yeah,
- 36:35Speaker 2: you want the lefties against Patrick. Even if Patrick figures
- 36:37Speaker 2: it out, you look at just his long term sample,
- 36:41Speaker 2: his strikeouts are significantly lower to the left side, significantly
- 36:45Speaker 2: higher fly ball rate, hard hit rate, everything. So guys
- 36:48Speaker 2: like Dalton, Varshell, hayesus Sanchez are right up there with
- 36:52Speaker 2: some of the best plays in the slate in my opinion.
- 36:54Speaker 1: And then you got a cheap catcher to go along
- 36:56Speaker 1: with it.
- 36:56Speaker 2: You got a nine to two four stack or something
- 36:58Speaker 2: like that, depending on what that line up shakes out like.
- 37:00Speaker 2: So and then Jimenez right, so I would really like,
- 37:04Speaker 2: I want to see what this lineup looks like. But
- 37:06Speaker 2: I think a wrap around Blue Jay stack is pretty
- 37:08Speaker 2: interesting here. It's above average place to play for hitting wise, right,
- 37:13Speaker 2: it plays above average in terms of home runs and
- 37:15Speaker 2: run production, everything indoors there in Milwaukee.
- 37:18Speaker 1: So yeah, blue.
- 37:19Speaker 2: Jays are pretty interesting here. Everybody's been on them all year.
- 37:22Speaker 2: This feels like a spot. Something tells me, Gee, Risen,
- 37:26Speaker 2: this feels like a spot. Where the Blue Jays are
- 37:28Speaker 2: going to kind of explode and they let everyone down.
- 37:31Speaker 2: So far throughout the first what eighteen games or whatever
- 37:33Speaker 2: it's been, they've been chalky. Majority of the slates they've
- 37:36Speaker 2: been on. Ceased is obviously going to be the Megachalk.
- 37:39Speaker 2: I don't think how many. I don't think a lot
- 37:40Speaker 2: of people pare him up with these Blue Jays bats.
- 37:43Speaker 2: So I do think the Blue Jays are really interesting,
- 37:46Speaker 2: and like I said, those three Bluers make a lot
- 37:48Speaker 2: of sense in my eyes, mainly Terrang and Jake Bowers.
- 37:52Speaker 2: There next team in the slates Rockies and the Astros.
- 37:57Speaker 2: Spencer Aarraghetti Spaghetti over here, Jose Quintana, welcome back in
- 38:03Speaker 2: our lives. Now you're pitching for the Rockies here up
- 38:06Speaker 2: against one of the best hitting teams in UH Baseball
- 38:10Speaker 2: to start the year, especially against right hand and pitching.
- 38:13Speaker 2: Now they face a lefty which obviously they're gonna throw
- 38:15Speaker 2: eight righties at Quintana here. Astros probably one of the
- 38:20Speaker 2: top stacks of the slates.
- 38:22Speaker 1: They're gonna be significantly lower owned.
- 38:24Speaker 2: I don't ever like playing the Astros when they're owned,
- 38:27Speaker 2: But when you have the Yankees as double anyone else
- 38:31Speaker 2: on the slate the Astros, and you get that Rockies
- 38:33Speaker 2: bullpen as well, I don't think is very good at
- 38:36Speaker 2: by any means, So guys like Paridi's Christian Walker, Cam Smith, Diaz,
- 38:42Speaker 2: even Bryce Matthews, I think the Astros are are pretty interesting.
- 38:46Speaker 2: Then I don't hit these lefties for the Rockies. Here
- 38:48Speaker 2: you get direct leverage off Irrigatti. Everybody wants to play
- 38:51Speaker 2: them because of the price point. Guys like Julian Moniac Runfield,
- 38:55Speaker 2: Troy Johnston, Castro, these these lefties, and then obviously Hunter Goodman,
- 38:59Speaker 2: who's hitting BA balls right now in Tovar at thirty
- 39:02Speaker 2: nine hundred.
- 39:03Speaker 1: I think the Rockies are really interesting here too.
- 39:05Speaker 2: They're one of my favorite sneaky stacks on the slate,
- 39:08Speaker 2: if not my favorite overall. Because you you want to
- 39:11Speaker 2: talk about bullpens, the Astros have been I think the
- 39:14Speaker 2: best hitting team in the league, but have like one
- 39:17Speaker 2: of the worst records because look at their bullpen.
- 39:20Speaker 1: I mean x FIP of four point nine to five
- 39:23Speaker 1: right there with Washington, right we knew how bad Washington's
- 39:26Speaker 1: bullpen was. They're one point eight four home runs per nine.
- 39:29Speaker 2: I expected era approaching five like they just have not
- 39:33Speaker 2: been good at all. So yeah, I like this game
- 39:36Speaker 2: on both sides. For offense, here, what do you see? Yeah,
- 39:39Speaker 2: that Houston bullpen sucks.
- 39:41Speaker 3: Man.
- 39:41Speaker 4: They already walked like fifty six guys like eighty some
- 39:44Speaker 4: hit It's there.
- 39:45Speaker 3: They're they're bad. Well, you you mentioned the two that
- 39:48Speaker 3: are the absolute worst, that is for sure. But I
- 39:51Speaker 3: do like the leverage you're gonna get off the Rockies,
- 39:53Speaker 3: as you mentioned earlier with Araghetty. I mean, Arraghetty started
- 39:57Speaker 3: down in Triple A for a reason, he couldn't make
- 39:59Speaker 3: this team to be with, and now all of a
- 40:01Speaker 3: sudden he's gonna come back, and you know, all of
- 40:03Speaker 3: a sudden he's gonna be a chalk pitcher today. Get
- 40:05Speaker 3: out of here.
- 40:06Speaker 4: So I'm not I'm really I'm really not interested. I
- 40:09Speaker 4: think I do like the leverage today. Like yesterday we
- 40:12Speaker 4: were talking with some of the plays there will wasn't
- 40:14Speaker 4: enough leverage to kind of take that risk, and I
- 40:16Speaker 4: think this is a pretty good spot to obviously take
- 40:19Speaker 4: that risk. And then you look over at these astros.
- 40:22Speaker 4: I mean Quintana stinks, man, I mean he's just he
- 40:25Speaker 4: is not good. He's gonna be putting the he's not
- 40:28Speaker 4: gonna be striking anybody out. The ball is gonna be
- 40:30Speaker 4: in play quite a bit. I mean, he does have
- 40:32Speaker 4: a slight ground balling a little.
- 40:34Speaker 3: Bit more to left side, but as you mentioned, he's
- 40:36Speaker 3: gonna see eight righties except for Jordon that he'll see.
- 40:40Speaker 3: And then you look at some of these fly ball percentages.
- 40:43Speaker 4: You know, Jordon thirty eight percent, Paradi's thirty four percent,
- 40:48Speaker 4: Walker thirty eight percent. Christian Walker is a guy that
- 40:52Speaker 4: I really like today too, So Varshow and Walker two
- 40:54Speaker 4: guys I think could definitely hit some home runs today.
- 40:58Speaker 4: But uh yeah, I think that stack is definitely interesting here,
- 41:02Speaker 4: and this game could turn into a softball game pretty quick, actually,
- 41:06Speaker 4: So don't mind the don't mind either side of it.
- 41:09Speaker 4: If I had to probably pit choose, I probably just
- 41:13Speaker 4: go Astros just because I don't respect Quintana at all.
- 41:17Speaker 3: But uh yeah, give me the ass does give me
- 41:19Speaker 3: all them righties.
- 41:20Speaker 1: Yeah. I like the Rockies slightly more.
- 41:23Speaker 2: I'm assuming the Rockies bullpen is gonna kind of regress
- 41:26Speaker 2: back down, but so far they've been sitting right there,
- 41:30Speaker 2: top five in baseball in terms of bullpen metrics. I mean,
- 41:34Speaker 2: that's that's pretty interesting at least to say I mean
- 41:38Speaker 2: three point six to two x FIP home runs per
- 41:41Speaker 2: nine at point six y three, which is like one
- 41:43Speaker 2: of the lowest in the league expected d RA even
- 41:47Speaker 2: they're actual ere sitting at two point nine expected e
- 41:50Speaker 2: RA not much higher than that. So they have been good.
- 41:53Speaker 2: But I just don't think when Ton is any good either.
- 41:56Speaker 2: So yeah, it's in tournaments. I like the Rockies or
- 42:00Speaker 2: but Astros are up there too. I like both sides.
- 42:02Speaker 2: That's one of the best offensive games, if not the
- 42:04Speaker 2: best on the slate, maybe slightly behind that that Angels
- 42:09Speaker 2: Rockies game or that Angels Yankees game.
- 42:12Speaker 1: Next team in the.
- 42:13Speaker 2: Slate, Mariners, Padres, Vasquez, Hancock, two pitchers I think are good,
- 42:18Speaker 2: at least to start the year.
- 42:19Speaker 1: Bullpark sucks.
- 42:21Speaker 2: Both bullpens of these teams are good, especially that Padres.
- 42:25Speaker 2: I just I think there's an easy game just to
- 42:27Speaker 2: not even get to anyone for hitting.
- 42:28Speaker 1: Wise, what do you see here?
- 42:31Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm not really like it.
- 42:32Speaker 4: I mean, Vasqueaz is a guy you can go after
- 42:35Speaker 4: as far as you know, stealing some bags. But and
- 42:39Speaker 4: then you look at Seattle here, I don't even think
- 42:41Speaker 4: they're really They're not even stealing any bases, I don't
- 42:44Speaker 4: think at this point. So yeah, I mean that's a
- 42:46Speaker 4: guy generally. Yeah, they they've only got nine stone bases
- 42:49Speaker 4: so far this year. But yeah, I mean it's just
- 42:51Speaker 4: that's a tough run there. I don't I think there's
- 42:54Speaker 4: other better spots. As you said, I don't really like
- 42:58Speaker 4: either one of these two spots. I just don't even
- 42:59Speaker 4: really like the park.
- 43:00Speaker 3: So no, thanks. I think there's too good of offense today.
- 43:03Speaker 3: Be fooling with that.
- 43:05Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean a Rosa Reino run, Donovan'll run.
- 43:08Speaker 2: But outside of that, I mean Josh Naylor was running
- 43:12Speaker 2: last year just because I mean, you want to expect him,
- 43:14Speaker 2: but he's really good at just timing it out. It's
- 43:17Speaker 2: just I think you're chasing here. I just don't like
- 43:18Speaker 2: the park much. I respect both bullpens a lot. I
- 43:23Speaker 2: respect the starting pitchers, at least relative to the slates.
- 43:26Speaker 2: So I just think you're you're pushing there to get
- 43:28Speaker 2: to that game for offense could happen. It's baseball. Anything
- 43:31Speaker 2: can happen at the end of the day, right, talk
- 43:33Speaker 2: about it all the time. Hall of Famers seven out
- 43:35Speaker 2: of ten times they fail. Any of these guys can
- 43:37Speaker 2: fail any giving slate. Any of these guys can nuke
- 43:39Speaker 2: any given slate. We're just gonna try and put ourselves
- 43:42Speaker 2: in the best probability spot that to to make money.
- 43:47Speaker 1: Next team in the slate Rangers and the Athletics.
- 43:51Speaker 2: This is the first time this park has good weather,
- 43:54Speaker 2: at least relative to the slates.
- 43:56Speaker 1: We got some wind blowing out. We know this stadium,
- 43:59Speaker 1: the cracker Jack Park out there in Sacramento. Minor league
- 44:01Speaker 1: stadiums are much more wind affected than others due to
- 44:05Speaker 1: the obviously the stands and all of that right for
- 44:09Speaker 1: the seating, and that just isn't as built up as
- 44:13Speaker 1: normal stadiums are, because again it's it's spring training. It's
- 44:16Speaker 1: minor league.
- 44:17Speaker 2: Seventy degrees, which isn't crazy warm, but relative to the
- 44:21Speaker 2: rest of the slate, it's good. And you got double
- 44:23Speaker 2: digit wind blown straight out to left center field the
- 44:26Speaker 2: entire duration of this game. You got Kumar Rocker, who
- 44:29Speaker 2: can walk the whole lineup. You've got jg Gin who
- 44:33Speaker 2: is clear cy young against righty's but a bullpen arm
- 44:39Speaker 2: or a batting practice pitcher at best to the left side.
- 44:42Speaker 2: Both of these pitchers I mentioned a little bit in
- 44:44Speaker 2: terms of upside just because of the slates and their salaries.
- 44:50Speaker 2: But I think this is a prime spot you can
- 44:52Speaker 2: play both sides. If I had to pick a side,
- 44:55Speaker 2: I leaned on the Rangers lefties for sure. I think
- 44:58Speaker 2: the A's get more ownership, which I'm a little worried
- 45:01Speaker 2: just because of Rocker.
- 45:03Speaker 1: JT. Ginn Is is just absolutely abysmal against lefties.
- 45:06Speaker 2: So guys like Corey Seeger Brendon, Nimo, Evan Carter if
- 45:10Speaker 2: he's in there, I don't even want to say Jack Petterson,
- 45:14Speaker 2: but sure him, he's got power, Josh Smith, and then
- 45:17Speaker 2: you got guys like Jake Berger, who's had a hell
- 45:19Speaker 2: of a start to the season.
- 45:21Speaker 1: I think this game is really interesting both sides.
- 45:23Speaker 2: From an offensive perspective, I lean the Rangers side in general,
- 45:26Speaker 2: just with that extra.
- 45:27Speaker 1: Added at bat. But what do you see here Rangers
- 45:30Speaker 1: and Athletics.
- 45:31Speaker 4: Yeah, especially with the Rangers, I'm gonna want some lefties
- 45:35Speaker 4: against gen As you mentioned, he's not very good against
- 45:37Speaker 4: the lefties.
- 45:37Speaker 3: So I couldn't play Jack Peters. He's probably about the
- 45:41Speaker 3: only one.
- 45:42Speaker 1: I think.
- 45:42Speaker 3: He's pinch hit risk as well. But yeah, if you're
- 45:46Speaker 3: gonna tack in, I mean we like the park.
- 45:48Speaker 4: Obviously, we know out there in Sacramento it's a park
- 45:50Speaker 4: we want to look at. But I'd like the Texas side.
- 45:53Speaker 4: That Oakland side scares me a little bit. Kumar's got
- 45:57Speaker 4: a Harold and Kumarer over here has got little ground balling,
- 46:01Speaker 4: and these A's do pound the ball into the ground
- 46:04Speaker 4: quite a bit. Butler is at forty five percent, Solderstrom
- 46:07Speaker 4: fifty percent, Wilson fifty three percent, Clark's fifty four. You
- 46:11Speaker 4: got a handful of guys that are in the forty so,
- 46:14Speaker 4: I mean, Kumar, I guess if you want to look
- 46:16Speaker 4: at it, I guess you'd want to attack them with
- 46:19Speaker 4: the lefties Kurtz and Soderstrom. But I just think there's
- 46:22Speaker 4: too many ground balls there for me with a ground
- 46:25Speaker 4: ball pitcher on the hill. But Texas, to me, them
- 46:27Speaker 4: lefties definitely stand out. Corey Seger to me is a
- 46:29Speaker 4: great plague, but a great one.
- 46:31Speaker 1: I think all the lefties.
- 46:32Speaker 2: And the reason I say that is the A's only
- 46:34Speaker 2: have one lefty in the bullpen in Hogan Harris, who's
- 46:37Speaker 2: obviously a good arm, but he threw yesterday and he
- 46:40Speaker 2: threw two days ago, so he's at thirty thirty two
- 46:43Speaker 2: pitches in three days. I would be very, very shocked
- 46:48Speaker 2: if he pitches again tonight.
- 46:50Speaker 1: It's early in the year. I just don't think it.
- 46:53Speaker 1: And he's their only lefty to.
- 46:54Speaker 2: Have all year right in their bullpen unless they make
- 46:58Speaker 2: a trade or calls up or something like that. As
- 47:01Speaker 2: it stands right now, he's the only lefties. So I'm
- 47:04Speaker 2: gonna be interested to see what this Rangers lineup does.
- 47:07Speaker 2: They're gonna throw as many lefties, if not every lefty
- 47:09Speaker 2: they have to offer, and they're probably gonna play the
- 47:12Speaker 2: full game, right, So I definitely love the Rangers here
- 47:16Speaker 2: over the A's.
- 47:17Speaker 1: I think the a's.
- 47:19Speaker 2: A's are probably the second most popular stack on the board,
- 47:21Speaker 2: at least projected ownership wise. I mean, it's between them
- 47:24Speaker 2: and the Braves, which is a close up, and then
- 47:26Speaker 2: it's nobody even close after that, obviously behind the Yankees there.
- 47:30Speaker 2: So yeah, I lean the Rangers here. I like the
- 47:32Speaker 2: Rangers quite a bit. Brandon Nimmel, Corey Seger two of
- 47:34Speaker 2: my favorite plays there. White Langford getting back in this
- 47:37Speaker 2: lineup at yesterday, obviously it's already ready, but he's a
- 47:40Speaker 2: great player in his own right, So I do like
- 47:42Speaker 2: the Rangers quite a bit. I will call out the
- 47:45Speaker 2: lefties though for the A's butler Kurtz Soderstrom. Those three
- 47:49Speaker 2: I think are is an elite mini stack if you
- 47:51Speaker 2: want to get there in like a four to three
- 47:53Speaker 2: run or a five to three type bill. I think
- 47:56Speaker 2: those lefties for sure. And then obviously lang Lears you
- 47:58Speaker 2: can play him anytime he's on the slip last game
- 48:01Speaker 2: on the Slate Dodger Stadium show, Hey Otani going for
- 48:06Speaker 2: the Dodgers, play homes going for the Mets. Dodgers playable
- 48:11Speaker 2: for sure, They're gonna be low owned. That naturally has
- 48:15Speaker 2: interest whenever nobody's playing the Dodgers, especially nobody really ever
- 48:19Speaker 2: plays excuse me, the Dodgers when Otani's pitching, because for
- 48:23Speaker 2: some reason, nobody likes to play the Dodgers when you
- 48:25Speaker 2: can't roster Otani as a hitter, even though his points
- 48:29Speaker 2: home runs don't matter.
- 48:30Speaker 1: But what does he do? He helps the rest of
- 48:32Speaker 1: your stack.
- 48:33Speaker 2: And not only that, not having his salary makes his
- 48:35Speaker 2: stack a lot more affordable. Right, So I think the
- 48:39Speaker 2: Dodgers are are very interesting. I mean their minus two
- 48:42Speaker 2: twenty favorite with over a five implied run total and
- 48:44Speaker 2: nobody's clicking their names because play homes is on the
- 48:47Speaker 2: mound and you got you got the Dodger or the
- 48:50Speaker 2: Yankees and Yankee Stadium facing co Channelwitz Right, So Dodgers
- 48:54Speaker 2: interesting for me for sure. Freddie Freeman, Max Munsey two
- 48:56Speaker 2: of the better plays in the slate in my opinion.
- 48:58Speaker 2: Andy Pahz is absolutely mashing. I mean, this dude's like,
- 49:02Speaker 2: metrics wise up there with as one of the league leaders.
- 49:05Speaker 2: And this dude hits like seventh or eighth for the Dodgers.
- 49:07Speaker 2: That just shows you how good their lineup is. Kyle
- 49:09Speaker 2: Tucker obviously great play, even with his slow start. Met's
- 49:12Speaker 2: side much harder for me. I get the leverage on Otani.
- 49:15Speaker 2: I would just much rather leverage Dylan Cease.
- 49:19Speaker 1: Over Otani personly myself. But Lindor hit a bomb yesterday.
- 49:22Speaker 2: Maybe he keeps it rolling Polanco some of those lefties
- 49:25Speaker 2: if you wanted to. But Dodgers are busting this one
- 49:28Speaker 2: mainly for me.
- 49:28Speaker 1: What do you see here?
- 49:30Speaker 4: Yeah, the Dodgers I got pretty close to the Braves
- 49:33Speaker 4: as far as where I'd rank them. I mean, you know, Holmes,
- 49:36Speaker 4: just what we're sitting at a seventeen eighteen percent strike
- 49:40Speaker 4: our raid.
- 49:40Speaker 3: He's had control issues.
- 49:42Speaker 4: He does have a ground ball lean, but I mean
- 49:45Speaker 4: we talk about you know, when you got a ground
- 49:47Speaker 4: ball pitcher on the hill, you like to have guys
- 49:49Speaker 4: that hit fly balls. And there ain't no better team
- 49:51Speaker 4: than the Dodgers. I mean, the Dodgers are pretty much
- 49:54Speaker 4: loaded with fly ball hitters. They've been barrowing up righties
- 49:57Speaker 4: all season. So far, they got the most homer and
- 50:00Speaker 4: all of baseball the Dodgers. They got the highest lugging
- 50:02Speaker 4: percentage so far in all of baseball. I mean, they've
- 50:05Speaker 4: just been absolutely smashing the shit out of it. And
- 50:09Speaker 4: uh I mean anytime I think that you can get
- 50:11Speaker 4: the Dodgers out of a discount, especially when there's like
- 50:14Speaker 4: a heavier couple chalkier teams, I think the Dodgers for me,
- 50:18Speaker 4: are a great pivot.
- 50:19Speaker 3: I mean, on any slate, they're gonna be.
- 50:20Speaker 4: But today I don't think they're gonna get the ownership
- 50:23Speaker 4: that they probably should Aids. I mean, like you said,
- 50:26Speaker 4: people are gonna turn away from him because you can't
- 50:28Speaker 4: use Otani. But uh yeah, I think that the Dodgers
- 50:31Speaker 4: are definitely play I don't want any part of the Mets,
- 50:34Speaker 4: but as you mentioned that Dodger lineup so deep, Pa,
- 50:36Speaker 4: he is hitting way down as he is. Dude's one
- 50:38Speaker 4: of the hottest hitters in baseball. But uh yeah, give me,
- 50:42Speaker 4: give me some Dodgers. So, I mean, if I had
- 50:44Speaker 4: to rank them, Naids, FANDU, I got the Pirates ranked
- 50:47Speaker 4: really high.
- 50:48Speaker 3: I got them ranked up there with with the Yankees.
- 50:50Speaker 4: But I mean, just kind of looking at him, I
- 50:52Speaker 4: think I'd probably go Braves, Dodgers Yankees is probably the
- 50:56Speaker 4: way I would look at my my stacks here today.
- 51:00Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 51:00Speaker 2: No, excellent, there, excellent breakdown that takes us to the
- 51:03Speaker 2: end of the show where we do your favorite pitcher combination,
- 51:08Speaker 2: a chalkier arm and then a lower owned arm. I
- 51:10Speaker 2: know it's gonna be tough on this slate, and then
- 51:13Speaker 2: your favorite stack, a sneaky stack in a home run coffee.
- 51:16Speaker 1: Have it for the people? What do you see here?
- 51:18Speaker 3: All right, Well, let's roll with my favorite pictures.
- 51:22Speaker 4: I'm gonna go with Otani and then I will go with.
- 51:27Speaker 3: Let's go with Burke. We'll go Tani Burke so I
- 51:30Speaker 3: can get some bats.
- 51:32Speaker 4: But then I think the sneaky stack for me today,
- 51:37Speaker 4: I think is gonna have to be the Rangers. I
- 51:39Speaker 4: think will be my sneakier stack against Gin and then,
- 51:43Speaker 4: like I said, I got the Braves, I got the Dodgers,
- 51:45Speaker 4: and then I'd have them over the Yankees.
- 51:47Speaker 3: But I'm FanDuel.
- 51:48Speaker 4: I got the Pirates probably ranked number one actually, so
- 51:50Speaker 4: if you're over there on FanDuel, I think the Pirates
- 51:52Speaker 4: would be a great stack with like the Brazer Dodgers.
- 51:55Speaker 3: Today to get away from the Yankees.
- 51:57Speaker 4: So but yeah, I mean it's interesting, a little bit
- 52:01Speaker 4: more chalkier than yesterday. As far as home run go
- 52:03Speaker 4: with n Aid's I think I already kind of met you.
- 52:05Speaker 4: I like Christian Walker and var Show today, so I
- 52:07Speaker 4: don't want to pick one or the other, but I
- 52:09Speaker 4: really like both of them.
- 52:10Speaker 1: Awesome.
- 52:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna go with I'm go Emerson Hancock, I
- 52:16Speaker 2: think just uh, I think he's a pivot.
- 52:18Speaker 1: And then I'm gonna go with Tany I like him.
- 52:21Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Angels and the Rockies for me as
- 52:25Speaker 2: my lower owned offenses.
- 52:26Speaker 1: And then home run call.
- 52:27Speaker 2: I'm gonna go to two lefties hitting kind of in
- 52:30Speaker 2: the middle to back half of the lineup.
- 52:31Speaker 1: I'm gonna go to the Braves, Mike Yastremsky. I like
- 52:35Speaker 1: him a lot.
- 52:35Speaker 2: At three k flat, I think that's a great value
- 52:37Speaker 2: against Chris Paddock, and I'm gonna go to the rangeers.
- 52:42Speaker 2: Evan Carter forty two hundred LEFTY think he takes one
- 52:45Speaker 2: deep in that Crackerjack park out there in Sacramento. Off
- 52:48Speaker 2: of JT Gin. Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that like button,
- 52:52Speaker 2: hit that subscribe button. Helps us out a ton. If
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- 52:56Speaker 2: guess what ship a nation dot com? Click right here
- 52:59Speaker 2: join the nation. Get in single sport packages cheapest all
- 53:03Speaker 2: in rate in the industry, including an optimizer. So right here,
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- 53:10Speaker 2: optimizer with the ability to build up to one hundred
- 53:12Speaker 2: and fifty lineups and late swap plus our ownership and
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- 53:18Speaker 1: Can't beat that price anywhere else.
- 53:19Speaker 2: Sabersim dot com is over one hundred bucks just for
- 53:22Speaker 2: Sabersim alone. They do not offer single sport app packages.
- 53:25Speaker 2: If you want all of our sports with PGA, we
- 53:28Speaker 2: had an incredible Masters.
- 53:29Speaker 1: We're gonna keep it going. We got the heritage going
- 53:31Speaker 1: on this week. I believe.
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- 53:36Speaker 2: with an optimizer five hundred lineups, late swap diversification. All
- 53:40Speaker 2: of this stuff here on the screen, no better rate
- 53:43Speaker 2: than now. G Rosen, thanks for joining, appreciate the show.
- 53:48Speaker 2: Good luck tonight in the baseball streets, but more importantly,
- 53:52Speaker 2: take on that ship there. Hopefully a three hundred game
- 53:54Speaker 2: or a couple on your docket there. For g Rosen,
- 53:57Speaker 2: I'm Aid's good luck tonight. Hope to see those ship
- 54:00Speaker 2: Nation logos ftop. We're out here peace