Latest / Pod Save America / “Well that was terrible.”
Transcript
- 0:02Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 0:20Speaker 2: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:23Speaker 3: I'm Jon Lovett. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:24Speaker 4: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:25Speaker 2: On today's pod, the gang's all here to talk about
- 0:27Speaker 2: Donald Trump's acceptance speech in the entire Republican National Convention,
- 0:30Speaker 2: which I think has been going on for about three
- 0:33Speaker 2: months now?
- 0:34Speaker 5: Four? Five?
- 0:35Speaker 6: Forever.
- 0:36Speaker 2: One quick note before we start. Vote Save America's Adopt-A-State
- 0:39Speaker 2: program is hosting a special weekend of action over the
- 0:42Speaker 2: next few days to help Democrats take back the Senate.
- 0:45Speaker 2: Sign up to Adopt-A-State at votesaveamerica.com slash adopt. And we'll
- 0:49Speaker 2: send you details about what you can do to help
- 0:50Speaker 2: from home. If you haven't adopted a state yet and
- 0:53Speaker 2: you're listening to this podcast, what the fuck is wrong
- 0:56Speaker 2: with you? Adopt a state.
- 0:59Speaker 1: It's really extraordinary, actually. Like, I actually, like, I actually
- 1:02Speaker 1: am starting to have a problem with you. Like, I'm
- 1:03Speaker 1: not even, I'm sorry to get, like, I'm actually fine
- 1:06Speaker 1: with it, sincerely, if you found another way to help.
- 1:09Speaker 3: Maybe you have. And so I apologize.
- 1:11Speaker 1: But if you haven't signed up for anything yet and
- 1:13Speaker 1: you haven't signed up for Vote Save America yet and
- 1:15Speaker 1: you listen to this, what do you do?
- 1:17Speaker 3: The fuck is wrong with you?
- 1:21Speaker 2: Now, nearly 200,000 of you, actually over 200,000 of you
- 1:25Speaker 2: have signed up. So to you, thank you. You can
- 1:28Speaker 2: keep listening.
- 1:28Speaker 1: Lovett is not telling you to fuck off. He's telling
- 1:31Speaker 1: the other people to fuck off. And by the way,
- 1:33Speaker 1: I was careful about what I said. I did not
- 1:35Speaker 1: tell anyone to stop listening.
- 1:37Speaker 3: Yes.
- 1:38Speaker 4: And I won't.
- 1:39Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:39Speaker 4: Order of operations. Download promo code.
- 1:42Speaker 2: Use that code.
- 1:43Speaker 3: Then volunteer.
- 1:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I was going to say, use that code crooked still, please.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Thank you.
- 1:48Speaker 3: Okay.
- 1:49Speaker 2: So the best news I have for all of you
- 1:52Speaker 2: today is the Republican National Convention is over. In the
- 1:56Speaker 2: middle of a pandemic and a recession, Donald Trump delivered
- 1:59Speaker 2: a fairly low energy acceptance speech on Wednesday night that
- 2:02Speaker 2: lasted well over an hour in front of about 1,500
- 2:05Speaker 2: mostly unmasked supporters who were crowded together on the South
- 2:08Speaker 2: Lawn of the White House. Here is a clip.
- 2:11Speaker 7: My fellow Americans, tonight with a heart full of gratitude
- 2:16Speaker 7: and boundless optimism, I profoundly accept this nomination for President
- 2:23Speaker 7: of the United States.
- 2:32Speaker 2: Oh, profoundly. He profoundly accepted. I want to spend most
- 2:38Speaker 2: of our time on the substance and message of the speech,
- 2:40Speaker 2: but I do think this is a case where the
- 2:43Speaker 2: setting and the optics were part of the intended message. Uh,
- 2:47Speaker 2: what did you guys think?
- 2:48Speaker 3: Did you say, say the medium is the message, John?
- 2:53Speaker 4: I can't believe I'm saying this, but the optics of
- 2:55Speaker 4: it look impressive, right?
- 2:57Speaker 6: It is.
- 2:57Speaker 4: If you are just, if you're just seeing images of it,
- 3:00Speaker 4: it looks grandiose and presidential because he's standing in front
- 3:05Speaker 4: of the president's house, which is illegal, obviously. Um, But
- 3:09Speaker 4: I want to separate sort of like the people who
- 3:11Speaker 4: just see the image of it from people who will
- 3:14Speaker 4: see coverage of the image of it, because those are
- 3:15Speaker 4: two separate things that have different impacts. If you're someone
- 3:17Speaker 4: who just happens to pick up a newspaper and you
- 3:19Speaker 4: see a picture of Trump standing before the White House
- 3:21Speaker 4: with a crowd before him, I think that evinces some
- 3:25Speaker 4: measure of strength to some number of people. If you
- 3:28Speaker 4: are reading coverage of it, I think that is a
- 3:31Speaker 4: much messier deal where you were reading about the potential illegality,
- 3:35Speaker 4: the norm breaking of it, the unprecedented nature of it,
- 3:38Speaker 4: and the huge non-socially distanced, unmasked crowd, which I think
- 3:44Speaker 4: muddled his message a little bit. He would have been
- 3:46Speaker 4: much better off doing this like Pence did somewhere other
- 3:49Speaker 4: than the White House. I don't think the optics were
- 3:51Speaker 4: worth the noise since the overwhelming majority of people will
- 3:54Speaker 4: consume coverage of the speech, not the speech itself.
- 3:58Speaker 2: Yeah, Tommy, I'm more wondering about people like most of
- 4:03Speaker 2: us who are watching the speech from their homes, which
- 4:05Speaker 2: they have not been able to leave in months, And
- 4:08Speaker 2: when they do leave them, have to wear masks and
- 4:10Speaker 2: socially distance and not see their friends and family. And
- 4:13Speaker 2: then they see the speech with just a couple thousand
- 4:16Speaker 2: people on the White House lawn, all crowded together with
- 4:18Speaker 2: no masks on.
- 4:19Speaker 8: Yeah, I mean, look, we'll get into this even more
- 4:22Speaker 8: when we talk about his message. But like last night,
- 4:24Speaker 8: the White House lawn looked like the coronavirus does not exist.
- 4:28Speaker 8: And maybe projecting normalcy makes people feel like there's light
- 4:31Speaker 8: at the end of the tunnel. But given how bad
- 4:33Speaker 8: his COVID handling numbers are, I would worry about making
- 4:36Speaker 8: that bet.
- 4:37Speaker 3: I mean, so, yeah, I don't know. I mean, look,
- 4:39Speaker 3: what I saw.
- 4:41Speaker 8: Watching him and Melania walk down the stairs in that
- 4:45Speaker 8: long boom shot, it looked to me like some fascist
- 4:49Speaker 8: leader who has used the entire power of the state
- 4:52Speaker 8: to benefit himself politically.
- 4:54Speaker 3: That was my takeaway. Yes, it's pretty. The White House
- 4:56Speaker 3: is gorgeous, but it hit me in a dark way.
- 4:59Speaker 3: Love it.
- 4:59Speaker 2: What'd you think?
- 5:00Speaker 1: Yeah, I felt the same way. I think it was
- 5:04Speaker 1: a fascist event. I think we should be very angry
- 5:07Speaker 1: and upset about the Hatch Act violation. I think we
- 5:10Speaker 1: should be angry and upset about reporters diminishing it or
- 5:13Speaker 1: dismissing it because of assumptions about.
- 5:16Speaker 3: What works and what doesn't work.
- 5:17Speaker 1: That said, I also think we live in a country
- 5:20Speaker 1: that doesn't fetishize.
- 5:21Speaker 3: The White House as much as Donald Trump thinks we do.
- 5:24Speaker 3: I think that he used the bully pulpit.
- 5:26Speaker 1: There are plenty of images of Donald Trump giving speeches
- 5:28Speaker 1: in front of, around the White House. He was denied
- 5:31Speaker 1: a big convention moment, but I don't know that being
- 5:35Speaker 1: on the South Lawn is that much more impressive or
- 5:37Speaker 1: presidential in terms of what it projects than if you
- 5:39Speaker 1: were doing it in a convention hall or to Dan's
- 5:42Speaker 1: point somewhere else. But so that was sort of my
- 5:45Speaker 1: feeling on it. I think what makes it important is that,
- 5:48Speaker 1: you know, consistently Donald Trump is, you know, he's a
- 5:50Speaker 1: raptor testing the fences and this is yet another way
- 5:53Speaker 1: he is showing that he can.
- 5:54Speaker 3: Abuse his office.
- 5:55Speaker 1: Even the language that we use around it, you know,
- 5:57Speaker 1: Trump blurring the lines between the Trump campaign and the
- 6:01Speaker 1: White House. It's not really true. He's not blurring the lines.
- 6:05Speaker 1: He's using the White House to do a campaign event.
- 6:09Speaker 1: The White House did not become part of his campaign.
- 6:12Speaker 1: He just abused the White House. If we manage to
- 6:15Speaker 1: get Trump out, we won't have to reassess whether or
- 6:18Speaker 1: not the White House continues to be part of Trump's campaign.
- 6:20Speaker 3: There's no blurred line. There's an abuse of power.
- 6:21Speaker 5: Love it.
- 6:22Speaker 4: Are you saying that we shouldn't call theft blurring the
- 6:24Speaker 4: lines of ownership? That's right.
- 6:27Speaker 3: That's exactly right. Yes. That's a great way to put it, Dan.
- 6:30Speaker 1: What a smart communication of what I was trying to say.
- 6:34Speaker 3: I'm so grateful. So grateful.
- 6:38Speaker 2: I guess what bothers me more than all the Hatch
- 6:42Speaker 2: Act problems is just like, I'm watching him at the
- 6:44Speaker 2: end of the speech. Like, look at his name be
- 6:48Speaker 2: spelled out in fireworks over the Washington Monument. There's like
- 6:52Speaker 2: tens of millions of people unemployed, millions of people sick
- 6:56Speaker 2: with the deadly virus. We've lost 180,000 people to this pandemic. Like,
- 7:01Speaker 2: it's the most out of touch thing I've ever fucking
- 7:03Speaker 2: seen a president do in the middle of a reelection.
- 7:06Speaker 8: Hugo Chavez on a balcony cheering for himself as fireworks
- 7:10Speaker 8: go off and millions of people live in poverty. It
- 7:13Speaker 8: was it was nuts. I can't believe that happened.
- 7:16Speaker 2: You know, it's like, I just, I almost, I want
- 7:18Speaker 2: us to go at it. I want more Democrats to
- 7:20Speaker 2: go at it from the, like, you are fucking over
- 7:23Speaker 2: the working people of this country who are also sick
- 7:26Speaker 2: and scared of getting sick so that you can live
- 7:28Speaker 2: in your fucking, you know, with all of your rich
- 7:30Speaker 2: friends on a lawn watching fireworks. I'd rather that be
- 7:33Speaker 2: the argument than like, you're violating the Hatch Act.
- 7:36Speaker 4: I think the COVID part is probably the most politically
- 7:39Speaker 4: significant part of it. Just in the way that the, the,
- 7:43Speaker 4: Abnormal setting in the Democratic Convention reinforced the message about
- 7:47Speaker 4: Trump's mishandling of the pandemic. Seeing all of these unmasked
- 7:51Speaker 4: people sitting together in ways no one has seen anyone
- 7:55Speaker 4: sitting anywhere, not at a Trump event for six months.
- 7:59Speaker 4: It reinforces the great critique of Trump that he is
- 8:03Speaker 4: not taking the virus seriously enough. And they did do
- 8:05Speaker 4: work over the first three days of the convention with
- 8:08Speaker 4: videos about testing and people talking about the China ban
- 8:11Speaker 4: and all of that. And they undid that and more
- 8:15Speaker 4: with the images of those events.
- 8:17Speaker 8: Yeah, just a last quick thought. I just don't think
- 8:19Speaker 8: it's either or, right? Like we're not the Biden campaign
- 8:21Speaker 8: and like picking a message. I think that yesterday, the
- 8:24Speaker 8: Washington Post reported that over the course of the first term,
- 8:27Speaker 8: Taxpayers have paid Trump $ 900, 000 at his personal resorts because
- 8:32Speaker 8: he takes trips there all the time. Like the Hatch
- 8:34Speaker 8: Act violation, that self-dealing, it all rolls into one narrative
- 8:37Speaker 8: that I think is a story we should be telling
- 8:39Speaker 8: and should be part of this coverage. On top of that,
- 8:42Speaker 8: having a fireworks display for yourself in the midst of
- 8:45Speaker 8: 30 million people unemployed is nuts for an entirely different reason.
- 8:48Speaker 3: It's completely out of.
- 8:49Speaker 6: Touch, as you said.
- 8:50Speaker 2: I think it's a very good point that it is
- 8:52Speaker 2: all one story for sure. And I do want to
- 8:54Speaker 2: note that a senior White House official also said to
- 8:57Speaker 2: CNN last night about the non-socially distanced crowd that was
- 9:01Speaker 2: sitting there, everybody is going to catch this thing eventually,
- 9:05Speaker 2: which is like- Which is the plan. This is the
- 9:10Speaker 2: White House. This is Donald Trump's plan for the coronavirus
- 9:13Speaker 2: is everyone's going to catch it eventually. It is herd immunity.
- 9:17Speaker 2: That is the policy of this country.
- 9:18Speaker 3: Goes to Herman Cain is like, oh.
- 9:25Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 9:26Speaker 2: But still tweeting. From a speech writing standpoint, from a
- 9:32Speaker 2: technical standpoint, what did you think about the overall quality
- 9:35Speaker 2: of the speech and the delivery?
- 9:37Speaker 5: Yeah, so.
- 9:39Speaker 1: So the delivery was terrible. It was very halting. He
- 9:42Speaker 1: kind of does his teleprompter voice.
- 9:44Speaker 3: He seemed tired. He seemed hot.
- 9:46Speaker 1: You know, everybody was baking. It was like, you know,
- 9:49Speaker 1: it was 90 degrees, very humid in D.C. Seemed like
- 9:51Speaker 1: he was feeling it. I've been trying to articulate this.
- 9:54Speaker 1: It's hard to get right. But, there's something about him saying,
- 9:57Speaker 1: I profoundly accept your nomination that I think captures the
- 10:00Speaker 1: reason his speeches are so terrible. And you realize, what
- 10:03Speaker 1: is that speech? Well, it's Stephen Miller, kind of a
- 10:06Speaker 1: vicious little creep, no empathy, no kind of real deep
- 10:11Speaker 1: appreciation for any sort of positive values, channeling Donald Trump,
- 10:15Speaker 1: a similar kind of person with really kind of no
- 10:17Speaker 1: ability to capture the grandeur of the presidency, the importance
- 10:20Speaker 1: of the presidency, the actual stakes, the actual profundity of
- 10:24Speaker 1: what's happening in our country and in this moment. And
- 10:26Speaker 1: so what happens when these two people try to do
- 10:28Speaker 1: an impression of big, emotional, patriotic ideas, you end up
- 10:33Speaker 1: with just actual gibberish, just big words. It's like somebody
- 10:38Speaker 1: went through the kind of history of presidential speeches, took
- 10:41Speaker 1: out the words that Lincoln and Eisenhower and Reagan, Obama
- 10:45Speaker 1: would use, and then just like, well, that's your vocabulary.
- 10:48Speaker 3: See what you come up with.
- 10:49Speaker 1: But of course, they don't have the ability to use
- 10:51Speaker 1: those words to tell any kind of moving or real
- 10:53Speaker 1: grounded story because they're terrible human beings who don't know
- 10:56Speaker 1: how to empathize with anybody.
- 10:57Speaker 3: So we're left with shit. That's what I think.
- 11:01Speaker 2: It was more than three times the length of Joe
- 11:03Speaker 2: Biden's speech. It was the second longest convention speech in history.
- 11:07Speaker 2: The longest speech in history was Donald Trump in 2016.
- 11:09Speaker 2: That's actually another thing, too.
- 11:11Speaker 1: It was actually shocking how much it bounced around, how
- 11:14Speaker 1: many times it came back.
- 11:15Speaker 3: It had a terrible, lazy structure.
- 11:17Speaker 1: He kept coming back to crime, circling back to Joe Biden,
- 11:20Speaker 1: circling back to earlier messages.
- 11:22Speaker 3: It ended three or four times. It was just a mess. Structurally,
- 11:26Speaker 3: it was not a story.
- 11:26Speaker 1: It was just a series of the hits they were
- 11:28Speaker 1: trying to deliver over what felt like an eternity.
- 11:33Speaker 2: There were two reviews that he definitely won't like. Surprisingly
- 11:36Speaker 2: flat and didn't seem to have the bite he usually
- 11:38Speaker 2: has in his speeches. That was Fox News' Chris Wallace.
- 11:41Speaker 2: And then Chris has a point. Brit Hume said the
- 11:43Speaker 2: speech was very long. It's a tough, tough two weeks
- 11:47Speaker 2: for Trump when Fox News says that Biden gave a
- 11:49Speaker 2: great speech and he gave a bad one.
- 11:50Speaker 6: Not ideal.
- 11:51Speaker 8: I mean, listen, like I thought it was boring too.
- 11:53Speaker 8: I think that my reaction to having watched the whole
- 11:55Speaker 8: speech or the whole RNC is probably much less important
- 11:58Speaker 8: than the narratives that spin out. And my takeaway was,
- 12:02Speaker 8: Trump does seem to finally have settled on a message,
- 12:04Speaker 8: which is that no one will be safe in Joe
- 12:06Speaker 8: Biden's America. And the evidence is violence currently happening in
- 12:10Speaker 8: Donald Trump's America. And time will tell if that cognitive
- 12:14Speaker 8: dissonance plays. But, you know, Kellyanne Conway admitted again that
- 12:18Speaker 8: they want more violence because they think it helps them politically.
- 12:20Speaker 8: I think that's a risky bet to prioritize crime when
- 12:24Speaker 8: polling from like this month shows that The coronavirus is
- 12:28Speaker 8: like at 35 percent the most important issue people see.
- 12:31Speaker 8: I think crime was four percent. And it's just not
- 12:34Speaker 8: the thing voters are most worried about. But like maybe
- 12:37Speaker 8: they can shift the numbers. But like, you know, my
- 12:39Speaker 8: biggest personal takeaway from his speech was just exhaustion.
- 12:44Speaker 3: Watching the Tulsa rally. Hey, that was kind of fun, right?
- 12:47Speaker 8: Like this was a brutal four day slog. Every minute
- 12:50Speaker 8: of the event was like littered with constant brazen lying.
- 12:54Speaker 8: And the big picture, very sad political takeaway is if
- 12:58Speaker 8: you lie all the time about everything, it's impossible to
- 13:01Speaker 8: hold you accountable.
- 13:01Speaker 3: So he's going to keep doing it.
- 13:02Speaker 8: And then if you break the law by violating the
- 13:05Speaker 8: Hatch Act or other ethics rules, the media will kind
- 13:08Speaker 8: of give you a pass. And that just sucks. That's
- 13:10Speaker 8: the reality we live in.
- 13:11Speaker 2: Yeah, Trump's Trump's challenge is that when he reads prompter speeches,
- 13:15Speaker 2: it's clear that he's only read them for the second
- 13:16Speaker 2: time at most, maybe the first time. And so you
- 13:20Speaker 2: can get him on message, but then his delivery is
- 13:23Speaker 2: pretty boring because he hates the speech. Or you can
- 13:25Speaker 2: get him at the Tulsa rally where he's interesting to
- 13:27Speaker 2: listen to and keeps the crowd's attention, but says 85
- 13:31Speaker 2: crazy fucking things during the speech that gets you off message.
- 13:34Speaker 2: So it is sort of a, but Tommy, you mentioned
- 13:37Speaker 2: sort of the larger takeaway. Let's talk about how Trump
- 13:40Speaker 2: attempted to frame the race as an existential choice about
- 13:43Speaker 2: the future of the country. We have a clip.
- 13:45Speaker 7: This election will decide whether we save the American dream.
- 13:49Speaker 7: or whether we allow a socialist agenda to demolish our
- 13:53Speaker 7: cherished destiny. It will decide whether we rapidly create millions
- 14:01Speaker 7: of high-paying jobs or whether we crush our industries and
- 14:06Speaker 7: send millions of these jobs overseas, as has foolishly been
- 14:11Speaker 7: done for many decades. Your vote will decide whether we
- 14:16Speaker 7: protect law-abiding Americans or whether we give free rein to
- 14:21Speaker 7: violent anarchists and agitators and criminals who threaten our citizens.
- 14:30Speaker 7: And this election will decide whether we will defend the
- 14:34Speaker 7: American way of life or whether we will allow a
- 14:37Speaker 7: radical movement to completely dismantle and destroy it.
- 14:42Speaker 4: That won't happen.
- 14:44Speaker 2: Oh, Dan. Who do you think the intended audience was
- 14:47Speaker 2: for Trump's speech and what was sort of the overall
- 14:51Speaker 2: strategy behind it?
- 14:52Speaker 4: That is a great question, John, that frankly no one
- 14:54Speaker 4: knows the answer to. I mean, there were– the Republican
- 15:00Speaker 4: convention was largely a mess, but there were some relatively
- 15:02Speaker 4: effective moments throughout the week. I don't think Trump's speech
- 15:05Speaker 4: was one of them. He seems to be speaking to–
- 15:10Speaker 4: at the same time in two different ways, the voters–
- 15:15Speaker 4: who had been with him in 2016 or were open
- 15:18Speaker 4: to him as recently as a few months ago, who
- 15:20Speaker 4: have left him to try to bring them back into
- 15:22Speaker 4: the fold and to try to fire up the base,
- 15:26Speaker 4: and particularly the non-voting or sporadic voting likely Trump voters
- 15:31Speaker 4: in the Midwest. And so it's this, it is equal parts,
- 15:36Speaker 4: I'm not as bad as you think, and I'm even
- 15:40Speaker 4: worse than they let you know. So wink, wink, come
- 15:42Speaker 4: support me, right? So, you know, it's like, For the
- 15:46Speaker 4: people in the suburbs, I'm less racist. For those other
- 15:48Speaker 4: base voters, I'm even more racist. So I'm not sure
- 15:54Speaker 4: that works. I do think, to Tommy's point, is they
- 15:56Speaker 4: have a narrative about Joe Biden now that they are
- 16:00Speaker 4: running with that I don't know if it'll work, but
- 16:04Speaker 4: it could.
- 16:04Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 16:06Speaker 8: I thought this was a suburbs message, especially suburban women,
- 16:09Speaker 8: because he's been saying for weeks on Twitter– hey, you
- 16:12Speaker 8: like that suburban neighborhood you live in with only single
- 16:15Speaker 8: family homes? It'd be a damn shame if something happened
- 16:17Speaker 8: to it when Joe Biden installs low income housing in
- 16:21Speaker 8: your neighborhood, right? I mean, the subtext has become the text.
- 16:23Speaker 8: Chris Murphy, US Senator Chris Murphy tweeted, our president is
- 16:27Speaker 8: now a proud vocal segregationist. And we know Biden is
- 16:31Speaker 8: up 16 points among registered women and 13 points with
- 16:35Speaker 8: suburban women. So I thought he was maybe trying to
- 16:37Speaker 8: close that gap.
- 16:38Speaker 6: I agree.
- 16:38Speaker 2: And I think it was more of a cohesive message
- 16:41Speaker 2: than- I even thought at first, which is like Joe
- 16:46Speaker 2: Biden and the radical left are going to destroy the suburbs.
- 16:49Speaker 2: They're going to let crime run rampant. There's not going
- 16:51Speaker 2: to be law and order. And they're going to tell
- 16:53Speaker 2: you that if you worry about that, you're racist, but
- 16:56Speaker 2: you're not racist. And neither am I, because here's all
- 16:59Speaker 2: the black people speaking at my convention.
- 17:00Speaker 4: But also here are the racist things I'm.
- 17:02Speaker 2: Going to say. But it's like, I can say these
- 17:04Speaker 2: things and they're not racist. And the proof of them
- 17:06Speaker 2: not being racist is the people I've surrounded myself with
- 17:08Speaker 2: at the convention. And the fact that I have pardoned
- 17:10Speaker 2: Alice Johnson and done other criminal justice reform stuff that
- 17:13Speaker 2: should show you that I'm not racist. And this is
- 17:16Speaker 2: just purely a law and order chaos issue, right? That
- 17:19Speaker 2: is sort of the whole thing they've been trying to
- 17:22Speaker 2: put together.
- 17:22Speaker 1: And I would just add that if they can, and
- 17:24Speaker 1: if as part of that sort of broader strategy, they
- 17:27Speaker 1: can muddy the waters enough to pick off just a
- 17:29Speaker 1: small number of Democratic-based voters, just get enough people to
- 17:33Speaker 1: stay home or come along, right? Just win just enough
- 17:36Speaker 1: of the black vote in Wisconsin, win enough of the
- 17:39Speaker 1: black vote in Pennsylvania, they could potentially, potentially eke out
- 17:42Speaker 1: a win because this is going to be potentially so close.
- 17:45Speaker 8: Yeah.
- 17:55Speaker 2: So he did have a couple different arguments about Joe
- 17:57Speaker 2: Biden in the speech. Tommy, you mentioned, you know, no
- 18:00Speaker 2: one will be safe in Joe Biden's America was sort
- 18:02Speaker 2: of the main argument. And he actually spent the majority
- 18:06Speaker 2: of the entire speech, not just his attacks on Joe Biden,
- 18:08Speaker 2: his entire speech on the issue of crime, lied again
- 18:12Speaker 2: about Biden being for defunding the police, all that kind
- 18:15Speaker 2: of stuff. And, of course, Mike Pence also had the line,
- 18:18Speaker 2: no one will be safe in Joe Biden's America in
- 18:19Speaker 2: his speech. So it was a conservative message. There were
- 18:21Speaker 2: a few other messages about Joe Biden in the speech.
- 18:24Speaker 2: He accused him of being a tool of Washington who, quote,
- 18:26Speaker 2: spent his career outsourcing the dreams of American workers, offshoring
- 18:30Speaker 2: their jobs, opening their borders and sending their sons and
- 18:32Speaker 2: daughters to fight in endless wars. He said Joe Biden's
- 18:35Speaker 2: agenda was made in China. He accused him of socialism.
- 18:39Speaker 2: What do you guys think? What do you guys think
- 18:41Speaker 2: is the most effective argument against Joe Biden? Do you
- 18:45Speaker 2: think it's the main argument about crime or do you
- 18:47Speaker 2: think it was some of these others?
- 18:49Speaker 8: I mean, I remember Robert Gibbs once taught me early
- 18:52Speaker 8: on in my career that the first rule of spin
- 18:54Speaker 8: is it has to be believable. And I would go
- 18:56Speaker 8: with the argument, hey, the economy was rocking. I'm a
- 18:59Speaker 8: business guy. I know how to do this. We got
- 19:01Speaker 8: hit with a once in a century pandemic. We're climbing
- 19:03Speaker 8: back out. Give me the keys.
- 19:04Speaker 3: I'll get us back there fast.
- 19:06Speaker 5: D.C.
- 19:07Speaker 3: Joe will give you more of the same.
- 19:09Speaker 2: I found myself the same. I thought when he was
- 19:10Speaker 2: getting to the Washington stuff that he's been there for
- 19:13Speaker 2: 47 years. I was like, well, that's an argument. It's
- 19:15Speaker 2: very hard, I think, to say Joe Biden has been
- 19:18Speaker 2: there for 47 years and he hasn't done anything. But
- 19:21Speaker 2: now he will destroy the country by partnering with the
- 19:25Speaker 2: radical left. It's just a hard message.
- 19:29Speaker 4: I don't want to over give them more credit than
- 19:31Speaker 4: they think. I think they work together because saying Joe
- 19:35Speaker 4: Biden has been there for 47 years is part that
- 19:36Speaker 4: he is part of the establishment. It's also saying he's old.
- 19:39Speaker 4: They're not trying to say that he has this vigorous
- 19:43Speaker 4: desire to make America socialist. It's just that he is
- 19:46Speaker 4: old and weak and therefore AOC, the squad, Bernie Sanders,
- 19:51Speaker 4: Nancy Pelosi, pick your Fox News bogey person du jour
- 19:56Speaker 4: will drive the agenda. And it's what they're looking at
- 19:58Speaker 4: there and it's not a crazy strategy.
- 20:00Speaker 3: Like all things– It's a little complex.
- 20:02Speaker 4: Well, I think the idea that Joe Biden is old
- 20:04Speaker 4: and weak, and therefore the people calling the shots are
- 20:08Speaker 4: the Democrats you don't like, not like Joe Biden, who
- 20:11Speaker 4: you think might be okay, who's a Democrat who might
- 20:12Speaker 4: be acceptable to you. That's not a crazy message that
- 20:17Speaker 4: can't bring some of his voters back. I don't think
- 20:19Speaker 4: it's executed particularly clearly in this speech or throughout this convention,
- 20:23Speaker 4: but it could absolutely work if it's not responded to appropriately.
- 20:30Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 20:33Speaker 2: So Trump did acknowledge the raging pandemic in his speech,
- 20:37Speaker 2: though it was mostly to say that actually his administration
- 20:40Speaker 2: has handled everything perfectly. Joe Biden has a plan to
- 20:42Speaker 2: shut down the entire country, which is not true. He
- 20:45Speaker 2: did not for much of a plan to actually control
- 20:47Speaker 2: the virus other than to say that we'll have a
- 20:48Speaker 2: safe and effective vaccine this year. Good news, everyone. And
- 20:52Speaker 2: then he said this, quote, we are focusing on the science,
- 20:55Speaker 2: the facts, and the data. We are aggressively sheltering those
- 20:58Speaker 2: at highest risk, especially the elderly, while allowing lower risk
- 21:01Speaker 2: Americans to safely return to work and school, which really
- 21:05Speaker 2: is just another way of saying everyone's going to get
- 21:07Speaker 2: it eventually. Do you guys love it? Do you think
- 21:10Speaker 2: he did anything in the speech or this week to
- 21:13Speaker 2: fix his COVID problem, knowing that it's the top concern
- 21:17Speaker 2: for voters, if not tied with the economy, and that
- 21:19Speaker 2: large majorities believe that he's handling the issue poorly.
- 21:22Speaker 1: I mean, look, that's what's so absurd about this whole
- 21:25Speaker 1: conversation about the incredible threat Joe Biden poses to the
- 21:29Speaker 1: country when we're in the midst of a massive crisis
- 21:33Speaker 1: that has leveled the country.
- 21:34Speaker 3: We're in as deep a hole as we've been in
- 21:36Speaker 3: in our lives.
- 21:37Speaker 1: I can't imagine that that super spreader event is going
- 21:40Speaker 1: to help people believe that Donald Trump is taking the
- 21:43Speaker 1: virus seriously. You know, super spreading lies, if you will,
- 21:47Speaker 1: just workshopping it. And, you know, the event itself is
- 21:54Speaker 1: like an epidemiological version of the lies that they told
- 21:58Speaker 1: throughout the campaign, which is just a kind of brazen
- 22:01Speaker 1: disregard for anybody who takes the virus seriously, takes the
- 22:05Speaker 1: truth seriously. It's, I think, one of the reasons that
- 22:08Speaker 1: it felt so painful to watch this convention. I think
- 22:10Speaker 1: to Tommy's point, like why it was so like enervating
- 22:13Speaker 1: and depleting is because it's not that they don't know
- 22:16Speaker 1: that what they're saying isn't true. And it's not that
- 22:18Speaker 1: they don't know that liberals and some in the media
- 22:20Speaker 1: will try to make them pay a price for it.
- 22:22Speaker 1: It's that they're saying to all of us, they don't care.
- 22:25Speaker 1: They don't care that you're going to call this a
- 22:27Speaker 1: super spreader event. They don't care that it's morally reprehensible.
- 22:30Speaker 1: They don't care at all because they're trying to tell
- 22:32Speaker 1: us that this is no longer a conversation. It's no
- 22:35Speaker 1: longer a conversation about the law. It's no longer a
- 22:37Speaker 1: conversation about what's best for the country. It's no longer
- 22:39Speaker 1: actual debate. about solving problems. It's about power. It's about subjugation.
- 22:44Speaker 1: It's about winning at all costs, even if they have
- 22:46Speaker 1: to do it illegally or by stealing the election. That
- 22:48Speaker 1: is what to me is so ultimately scary about this
- 22:50Speaker 1: political event. It is the combination of the law breaking
- 22:53Speaker 1: and the lack of respect for the pandemic because it's
- 22:55Speaker 1: sending everyone a message that they don't care about anything
- 22:58Speaker 1: but power.
- 22:59Speaker 8: Here's my question for you guys. So like our lives
- 23:02Speaker 8: in LA and San Francisco are they are unrecognizable to
- 23:05Speaker 8: what they were last year, right?
- 23:07Speaker 3: I'm still locked in my house. We never worked together.
- 23:09Speaker 8: I was talking to a friend yesterday who had just
- 23:11Speaker 8: gotten back from Michigan and she said, kind of felt
- 23:13Speaker 8: like things were all back open, like gyms were still closed,
- 23:17Speaker 8: but like people were acting like the world was moving
- 23:21Speaker 8: on a little bit. I can't confirm that, but I
- 23:24Speaker 8: guess my point is, I don't know how things feel
- 23:27Speaker 8: in Philadelphia or Pittsburgh or Milwaukee right now. Like the
- 23:30Speaker 8: national polling suggests that 60% of the country is worried
- 23:34Speaker 8: about social distancing ending too soon versus 30% who worry
- 23:38Speaker 8: it will go on too long. But that could change
- 23:41Speaker 8: over time. I mean, Trump's kind of rolling the dice
- 23:44Speaker 8: on one, projecting things being better through this event, through
- 23:48Speaker 8: his rhetoric, could maybe make you think it's better. And two,
- 23:51Speaker 8: that he can roll out some like snake oil miracle
- 23:54Speaker 8: cure between now and election day.
- 23:56Speaker 3: Those are big bets, but we'll see. I agree.
- 23:59Speaker 2: I think that's, I mean, I think about that more
- 24:01Speaker 2: than I even think about the effect of, you know,
- 24:04Speaker 2: some of these protests and some of the violence that
- 24:07Speaker 2: has taken place in some of the protests in some
- 24:09Speaker 2: of these cities and how that will have an effect
- 24:11Speaker 2: on the race. I think of sort of like the
- 24:12Speaker 2: shape of the pandemic and where it's going. Like, are
- 24:16Speaker 2: we in another period like we were in, in May,
- 24:19Speaker 2: in June, where it seemed like things were calming down
- 24:22Speaker 2: and everything went back to normal. And then around the
- 24:24Speaker 2: 4th of July, there were outbreaks around the South and
- 24:27Speaker 2: the Southwest and here where we live in Los Angeles,
- 24:29Speaker 2: there was one, right? So like, you're starting to see
- 24:32Speaker 2: that too with some of these schools opening, like colleges
- 24:34Speaker 2: are opening and then they're closing down again, schools are
- 24:37Speaker 2: opening and then like hundreds of people are testing positive.
- 24:39Speaker 2: Like the one thing that the virus has shown from
- 24:42Speaker 2: the beginning is that like the virus is incredibly patient
- 24:45Speaker 2: and it can wait us out. And the only thing
- 24:47Speaker 2: that's changing are policies around social distancing and closing things
- 24:51Speaker 2: down or opening them. The virus isn't changing, right? We're
- 24:55Speaker 2: getting a little better at treating the virus, right? Like
- 24:57Speaker 2: When people do, the hospitalizations are improving. When people do
- 25:00Speaker 2: go to the hospital, they're less likely to die, like
- 25:02Speaker 2: just because we're getting better at treating it. But the
- 25:05Speaker 2: virus isn't, the virus is going to keep spreading if
- 25:07Speaker 2: you give it the oxygen to spread.
- 25:09Speaker 1: Yeah, I would just also add that too, that like
- 25:11Speaker 1: it is also true that sort of the risk ebbs
- 25:13Speaker 1: and flows in the sense that, you know, there have
- 25:16Speaker 1: been outbreaks, places have opened and had to close, as
- 25:18Speaker 1: John's saying. But the aggregate is more and more people
- 25:21Speaker 1: in the country, no people who have had it, no
- 25:23Speaker 1: people who have died from it or faced serious consequences
- 25:26Speaker 1: from it. And like the order of magnitude now, like
- 25:28Speaker 1: we're not talking about something that's rare. We're talking about,
- 25:32Speaker 1: you know, places in like Arizona where like one in
- 25:35Speaker 1: 30 people have.
- 25:36Speaker 3: Had it, right?
- 25:36Speaker 1: Like that's a huge percentage of people in a population
- 25:39Speaker 1: to have had something because that means everybody knows people
- 25:42Speaker 1: that have had it. So like, I don't, you know,
- 25:44Speaker 1: I think it's a totally fair question, but like, you know,
- 25:47Speaker 1: all evidence that I have seen makes me think that
- 25:49Speaker 1: Trump is underestimating people's fears about this virus.
- 25:53Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 25:54Speaker 2: So- As far as sketching out a second term agenda,
- 25:57Speaker 2: the speech was fairly short on specifics. Trump made a
- 25:59Speaker 2: vague promise to create 10 million jobs, reduce taxes and regulations,
- 26:03Speaker 2: appoint more judges, keep out immigrants, kick the shit out
- 26:06Speaker 2: of China, battle cancel culture. One of the best lines
- 26:10Speaker 2: in the speech, in a funny way, was at the
- 26:13Speaker 2: end when he said cancel culture never created America.
- 26:15Speaker 3: So good.
- 26:17Speaker 2: Or like America wasn't built by cancel culture. It was
- 26:19Speaker 2: something ridiculous.
- 26:20Speaker 3: It kind of was, though. It kind of fucking was.
- 26:24Speaker 1: The Declaration of Independence is canceling King George III. The
- 26:28Speaker 1: Declaration of Independence is a declaration of cancellation. And it's
- 26:32Speaker 1: time we talk about it.
- 26:35Speaker 2: He also proposed putting the first woman on the moon.
- 26:38Speaker 2: That was just thrown out there.
- 26:39Speaker 1: Yeah, it's Hillary Clinton. That's who he thinks we should send.
- 26:46Speaker 2: Good one. Dan, did Trump say enough about his second
- 26:50Speaker 2: term agenda? How much do we think it matters?
- 26:52Speaker 4: I don't think it matters that much. I mean, he
- 26:54Speaker 4: gave people an impression of what a second term of
- 26:57Speaker 4: Trump would be like, which is the first term up
- 26:59Speaker 4: until six months ago. If you like that, then you
- 27:03Speaker 4: should want four more years of that. And he didn't
- 27:06Speaker 4: really have any plans when he ran the first time
- 27:08Speaker 4: other than the wall. That's still the centerpiece of his agenda.
- 27:13Speaker 4: I wish we had a president who had some desire
- 27:16Speaker 4: or idea of what he would do with the power
- 27:18Speaker 4: given to him to improve the country one way or
- 27:20Speaker 4: the other. But Trump has never been that person, and
- 27:22Speaker 4: he won despite being that person in 2016. So it's
- 27:26Speaker 4: not about necessarily, for the vast majority of voters, the
- 27:29Speaker 4: specific policies. It's about whether you have a vision of
- 27:31Speaker 4: what it looks like. And I think he did paint that.
- 27:34Speaker 4: Whether that is a broadly acceptable enough vision to win re-election,
- 27:38Speaker 4: that's a very debatable point. But he's not someone who
- 27:43Speaker 4: is known for or needs a laundry list of policies
- 27:46Speaker 4: because he's a moron, basically.
- 27:50Speaker 8: It's such a weird choice. I agree with you, Dan.
- 27:53Speaker 8: His message has always been bet on me. I alone
- 27:55Speaker 8: can fix it. That was literally the slogan. But build
- 27:59Speaker 8: the wall, lock her up, end the wars. He's delivered
- 28:02Speaker 8: on none of those specifics, but he used to say them.
- 28:04Speaker 8: But wouldn't you want to have a 10-part plan to
- 28:09Speaker 8: make America great again and again continued, like that is
- 28:12Speaker 8: full of proposals that are more popular than your 41%.
- 28:16Speaker 8: It could be simple lies like the rest of it,
- 28:18Speaker 8: like get all troops out of Afghanistan and Syria, cut
- 28:21Speaker 8: taxes for the middle class, a billion new jobs.
- 28:24Speaker 3: Why not just roll that out?
- 28:26Speaker 4: I mean, he did put out that bullet point document
- 28:31Speaker 4: last week or.
- 28:32Speaker 3: 100 years ago, whatever that was. But he never says it.
- 28:34Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 28:35Speaker 4: I mean, he's incapable of, right? I think it is
- 28:38Speaker 4: much more about painting a vision of what your second
- 28:40Speaker 4: term would look like for voters. And I think he
- 28:44Speaker 4: did accomplish that. There's definitely many better ways to run
- 28:47Speaker 4: his campaign than he is currently doing it. Like, yes,
- 28:50Speaker 4: you would certainly adopt policies. And I think this is
- 28:53Speaker 4: the one thing that is a fair– critique of him
- 28:57Speaker 4: is that in 2016, he had a bunch of rhetoric
- 29:00Speaker 4: that alluded to policies that indicated that he was a
- 29:03Speaker 4: different sort of Republican, right? That's what trade was about.
- 29:06Speaker 4: I mean, he promised not to cut entitlements. He said
- 29:11Speaker 4: publicly that he would raise taxes on the wealthy, even
- 29:14Speaker 4: though his tax plan cut taxes for them. But he
- 29:16Speaker 4: said a bunch of things that made people think he's
- 29:18Speaker 4: not like the Republicans I don't like. And the danger
- 29:21Speaker 4: for him is that he has governed much more like
- 29:23Speaker 4: the Republicans you don't like. And he could have ways
- 29:27Speaker 4: to hearken back to that that he doesn't. So I
- 29:29Speaker 4: think that's fair.
- 29:31Speaker 2: Yeah, I noticed that he did combine the message of
- 29:34Speaker 2: the whole week basically combined like traditional Republican policies and
- 29:39Speaker 2: hot topics. issues for them like abortion with Donald Trump,
- 29:44Speaker 2: sort of the outsider anti-establishment guy who's going to fight
- 29:47Speaker 2: the system with the like. more Trumpian sort of insane
- 29:53Speaker 2: Fox News cancel culture, like all the stuff that drives
- 29:58Speaker 2: the base, which is not really issues today, which drives
- 30:02Speaker 2: Trump's base. Yeah, exactly. So he put all those two
- 30:04Speaker 2: things together. Let's talk about the final night of the
- 30:06Speaker 2: convention where the two and a half hours of programming
- 30:10Speaker 2: was both heavy on Trump's message about crime and on
- 30:12Speaker 2: his criminal justice reform record. It also featured a number
- 30:15Speaker 2: of former Democrats, black Americans and Latino Americans talking about
- 30:17Speaker 2: how they're now supporting Trump. One of the big speeches
- 30:20Speaker 2: was from a woman named Alice Johnson, whose life sentence
- 30:22Speaker 2: for drug trafficking, Trump commuted. Lava, what did you think
- 30:26Speaker 2: of the final night and particularly the message from people
- 30:29Speaker 2: like Alice Johnson?
- 30:32Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, there was there was Alice Johnson. There
- 30:34Speaker 1: was also the family of Kayla Mueller, who, you know,
- 30:37Speaker 1: who was killed by ISIS in Syria. And it's like
- 30:42Speaker 1: it's harrowing and difficult to watch. You know, Alice Johnson's
- 30:44Speaker 1: story is powerful. That family story is incredibly tragic and powerful.
- 30:49Speaker 1: And I don't know what it means for this convention
- 30:51Speaker 1: to be effective. But I think what struck me is
- 30:55Speaker 1: ultimately examples, stories that are told during these events are
- 31:00Speaker 1: meant to elucidate a deeper set of policies and goals
- 31:03Speaker 1: and interests. They're not just supposed to be trying to
- 31:05Speaker 1: pick off constituencies or attack people or score points. They're
- 31:09Speaker 1: meant to tell a story, right? That Alice Johnson's story
- 31:12Speaker 1: is meant to convey the fact that Trump is somehow
- 31:16Speaker 1: sympathetic or against mass incarceration. The naturalization ceremony is meant
- 31:21Speaker 1: to convey that Donald Trump actually wants naturalization to take
- 31:25Speaker 1: place as opposed to what he's actually doing, which is
- 31:26Speaker 1: trying to stop it at every turn. And so what
- 31:28Speaker 1: I took away from it is that just inside of
- 31:31Speaker 1: the very obvious lies that have been told throughout this week,
- 31:34Speaker 1: there is a kind of deeper bit of misinformation going
- 31:36Speaker 1: on throughout the convention. which is they are using examples
- 31:39Speaker 1: not to show us who Donald Trump is, but to
- 31:41Speaker 1: hide who Donald Trump is, right? To pretend he's a
- 31:43Speaker 1: good person, to pretend he cares about these issues, to
- 31:46Speaker 1: pretend he's been some kind of a leader on foreign policy,
- 31:48Speaker 1: to pretend that he actually believes in any kind of immigration.
- 31:51Speaker 1: And so that was sort of my takeaway in what
- 31:53Speaker 1: happened last night.
- 31:55Speaker 2: Tommy, what'd you think?
- 31:57Speaker 3: I mean, there were like kind of two parts, right?
- 31:58Speaker 8: You had the weird like Rudy Giuliani sweat plus impeachment
- 32:03Speaker 8: variety show section. You had like Lou Holt's coming out
- 32:07Speaker 8: of nowhere to remind us why everyone hates Notre Dame football.
- 32:11Speaker 8: Dana White, the MMA guy, probably did a decent job.
- 32:15Speaker 8: There were those really searing emotional moments, though. Kayla's parents
- 32:20Speaker 8: offering a testimonial about how basically Trump killed Baghdadi, who
- 32:24Speaker 8: had raped their daughter.
- 32:26Speaker 3: Just a horrific story.
- 32:28Speaker 8: We think that their argument that if Trump had been president,
- 32:32Speaker 8: she would have been rescued alive. It's obviously unprovable. I
- 32:35Speaker 8: suspect it's over the top, but it's incredibly emotional. We
- 32:38Speaker 8: also heard from Deborah White, whose husband, David Dorn, was
- 32:41Speaker 8: a retired police officer who was murdered in St. Louis
- 32:44Speaker 8: when he tried to stop people from robbing a store
- 32:47Speaker 8: after a protest. That was another incredibly dark, intense law
- 32:51Speaker 8: and order moment. I think the day after coverage will
- 32:55Speaker 8: be complicated by the fact that David Dorn's daughters asked
- 32:59Speaker 8: her not– she's their stepmom– not to politicize their father's
- 33:02Speaker 8: death because they said their father didn't.
- 33:05Speaker 3: Like Trump, thought he was ruining the country, thought he
- 33:07Speaker 3: was a racist.
- 33:08Speaker 8: So it was very intense is I guess kind of
- 33:12Speaker 8: like the best way I could describe it.
- 33:14Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 33:15Speaker 2: I don't know if it's effective. I don't know if
- 33:18Speaker 2: it's smart. But I do think it was a recognition
- 33:20Speaker 2: that he is losing partly because of the view that
- 33:24Speaker 2: he is a racist asshole.
- 33:25Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 33:26Speaker 2: Like it was very it was a very defensive convention
- 33:29Speaker 2: in many ways. It was them recognizing that part of
- 33:32Speaker 2: the reason he is losing right now is because people
- 33:36Speaker 2: think there is something faulty about his character and they
- 33:39Speaker 2: think that he is xenophobic. They think he is racist,
- 33:41Speaker 2: whatever it may be. And so much of the convention,
- 33:44Speaker 2: I actually thought the convention would be heavier on anti
- 33:47Speaker 2: Biden stuff like they got. They certainly got some of
- 33:49Speaker 2: that done. But they spent most of it, they spent
- 33:52Speaker 2: most of the convention trying to build up Trump and
- 33:54Speaker 2: telling people he's not racist and you're not racist for
- 33:57Speaker 2: supporting him. That was like the main message to me.
- 34:00Speaker 1: Even the speech at the White House itself is still,
- 34:02Speaker 1: there's this implicit desire for them to be like, it's
- 34:05Speaker 1: actually not that crazy that we made him president. You know,
- 34:07Speaker 1: it's actually not that big of a deal.
- 34:10Speaker 3: It seems okay.
- 34:11Speaker 1: That's sort of, it's the same, it's him taking pictures
- 34:13Speaker 1: behind the desk as well. It's like, he belongs there.
- 34:16Speaker 3: It's fine. It's fine that he's president. Don't worry about it.
- 34:20Speaker 2: Dan, what did you think?
- 34:22Speaker 3: I mean, the whole night, like.
- 34:24Speaker 4: The rest of the convention, was sort of a mess
- 34:25Speaker 4: of very different messages that were relatively conflicting. I agree
- 34:30Speaker 4: with what Favs, what you and Lovabow said about sort
- 34:33Speaker 4: of what the message was, is that he's not a racist.
- 34:35Speaker 4: He's not as bad as you think. There is a
- 34:38Speaker 4: better version of that message that Ivanka, in her pretty
- 34:41Speaker 4: terrible speech, did do, which is one that was actually
- 34:45Speaker 4: in the very first ad of Trump's reelection, which is
- 34:48Speaker 4: that he He's kind of an asshole, but he's an
- 34:52Speaker 4: effective asshole. He's your asshole, which is a better message
- 34:56Speaker 4: than Trump is this empathetic, nice person, because that's just
- 34:59Speaker 4: not believable. Even if you convince people of that in
- 35:02Speaker 4: the moment, he is going to do something moments after
- 35:05Speaker 4: leaving that stage that will undo that work. So you
- 35:07Speaker 4: might as well just spin the benefits of his assholery
- 35:10Speaker 4: as opposed to trying to convince people he's not. Trump
- 35:12Speaker 4: is not a racist, and we're going to prove it
- 35:14Speaker 4: by finding every single black person and Latino Republican we
- 35:19Speaker 4: can possibly find and give them very prominent speaking spots
- 35:22Speaker 4: within the convention is probably pretty effective for people who
- 35:27Speaker 4: want to be Republican but are concerned about that. And
- 35:30Speaker 4: they did it with, like with all Trump things, it lacks,
- 35:33Speaker 4: it has no, there's no subtlety to it, right? It's just,
- 35:36Speaker 4: they're gonna, the brute force of it is probably actually
- 35:39Speaker 4: effective because it's so shocking because what you hear all
- 35:43Speaker 4: the time is what a racist Trump is. And all
- 35:45Speaker 4: of a sudden you have all these people from Alice
- 35:47Speaker 4: Johnson to the Attorney General of Kentucky and everyone else
- 35:50Speaker 4: out there speaking about him. And I imagine that that,
- 35:53Speaker 4: to the extent that people saw that, that probably had
- 35:56Speaker 4: some impact on some voters that Trump needs to get back.
- 36:00Speaker 2: You mentioned Ivanka's speech. I think we have that clip
- 36:03Speaker 2: that you're referring to. Can we play that?
- 36:05Speaker 6: I recognize that my dad's communication style is not to
- 36:08Speaker 6: everyone's taste. And I know that his tweets can feel
- 36:12Speaker 6: a bit unfiltered. But the results, the results speak for themselves.
- 36:22Speaker 2: What do you guys think of Ivanka's speech? She was
- 36:25Speaker 2: one of two potential presidential candidates in 2024 who spoke
- 36:29Speaker 2: last night. Tom Cotton was the other.
- 36:33Speaker 1: You know, it's funny this idea that like, he's a
- 36:35Speaker 1: little unfiltered, but he gets results. Like that would have
- 36:37Speaker 1: been the heart of their message if there hadn't been
- 36:39Speaker 1: a pandemic. Like when we were first having conversations about
- 36:41Speaker 1: what Donald Trump was gonna campaign on last year, he
- 36:44Speaker 1: said that thing of, like me or hate me, you
- 36:46Speaker 1: have to vote for me, right? That was gonna be
- 36:48Speaker 1: the core of his message. It's now though, it's like,
- 36:51Speaker 1: I'm an asshole, but look how good things are, has
- 36:53Speaker 1: been now just reduced to, I'm an asshole. It's pretty tough.
- 36:59Speaker 1: It's a pretty tough message. Yeah, the results do speak
- 37:02Speaker 1: for themselves, Ivanka.
- 37:03Speaker 3: They do, they do. We're trapped in our fucking houses.
- 37:06Speaker 8: Yeah, the Biden new theme of like, does Trump even
- 37:09Speaker 8: know he's president? I think is really- great because the
- 37:12Speaker 8: truth is he is impotent. He tweets about violence. He
- 37:15Speaker 8: tweets about COVID. He doesn't do a goddamn thing to
- 37:18Speaker 8: stop it. There is no way he is going to
- 37:20Speaker 8: turn this around. He's bad at the job. He doesn't
- 37:23Speaker 8: get shit done. He rode an Obama economy for three
- 37:25Speaker 8: months until it tanks because he couldn't deal with COVID.
- 37:28Speaker 3: That is the truth.
- 37:30Speaker 2: I'm an asshole. It's so crazy that I remember being,
- 37:37Speaker 2: we were all sort of worried about that ad, right?
- 37:39Speaker 2: Because it is a, It's, you know, he's not nice.
- 37:41Speaker 2: You don't like him, but he gets stuff done. It
- 37:44Speaker 2: doesn't work when you haven't gotten anything done. Not only
- 37:46Speaker 2: not get anything done, but the fucking, you know, the
- 37:48Speaker 2: country's falling apart.
- 37:49Speaker 4: Well, I think that's where he's betting on the normalization
- 37:53Speaker 4: in people's views of the pandemic. Either it gets better.
- 37:56Speaker 4: There is a vaccine, which seems unlikely, obviously, or people
- 38:00Speaker 4: grow more numb to it. The thing that I have,
- 38:02Speaker 4: I watched pretty carefully is in the navigator survey, they
- 38:05Speaker 4: do word clouds for the conversation and, And how big
- 38:09Speaker 4: COVID is in the word cloud has a lot to
- 38:12Speaker 4: do with where Trump's COVID approval rating is. And there
- 38:15Speaker 4: is a world where it doesn't flare up. It just
- 38:18Speaker 4: stays at this steady, terrible place where we are. And
- 38:22Speaker 4: people are a little more used to it by the
- 38:24Speaker 4: time November comes. And if that happens, that's sort of,
- 38:28Speaker 4: I think, maybe what Trump's betting on. If it's not
- 38:30Speaker 4: going to get better, it will recede slightly in people's concerns.
- 38:34Speaker 4: And then he's got a shot.
- 38:44Speaker 2: So Tom Cotton also spoke. He was one of the
- 38:46Speaker 2: other big speakers of the night. He delivered a four
- 38:48Speaker 2: minute speech that focused primarily on Trump's supposed foreign policy
- 38:51Speaker 2: wins and how Joe Biden will be weak on China.
- 38:53Speaker 2: Here is a clip.
- 38:54Speaker 5: Joe Biden would be as wrong and weak over the
- 38:57Speaker 5: next four years as he has been for the last 50.
- 39:02Speaker 5: We need a president who stands up for America, not
- 39:05Speaker 5: one who takes a knee. A strong and proud America
- 39:09Speaker 5: is a safe America, safe from our enemies and safe
- 39:13Speaker 5: from war. No one who's seen the face of war
- 39:17Speaker 5: desires to see it again. Too many of our fellow
- 39:21Speaker 5: Americans are already honored at the hallowed grounds of Arlington.
- 39:26Speaker 5: But if we want peace, we must be strong, Weakness
- 39:31Speaker 5: is provocative. Ugh.
- 39:33Speaker 2: Tommy, how much do you love Tom Cotton?
- 39:36Speaker 3: Give that guy a cup of coffee.
- 39:38Speaker 8: That was a Breitbart comment section version of a foreign
- 39:41Speaker 8: policy speech. And I expected to be really pissed at
- 39:44Speaker 8: it when I read the excerpts because it's so full
- 39:46Speaker 8: of lies. The whole bit on Biden and China Um,
- 39:50Speaker 8: is it's a absurd and B we know from John Bolton,
- 39:54Speaker 8: the former national security advisor that Trump asked Xi Jinping
- 39:57Speaker 8: to help him get reelected. We know that Trump told
- 40:00Speaker 8: Xi that building concentration camps for Uyghurs, a million of
- 40:03Speaker 8: them to be reeducated or worse is the right thing
- 40:06Speaker 8: to do. And we know that, uh, he gave China
- 40:10Speaker 8: cover as they strangle Hong Kong's democracy.
- 40:12Speaker 5: Right.
- 40:12Speaker 8: So like that policy throat clearing aside. Tom Cotton is
- 40:16Speaker 8: just a bad speaker. It was not compelling. Eric Trump
- 40:20Speaker 8: was better than Tom Cotton. And honestly, I felt better
- 40:23Speaker 8: after it was over because it made me go from
- 40:24Speaker 8: thinking this guy is like a serious threat in 2024
- 40:26Speaker 8: to like, this guy is kind of a mediocre goober.
- 40:31Speaker 2: That was my non-foreign policy expertise view of the Tom
- 40:35Speaker 2: Cotton speech too. I was just like, man, all this
- 40:37Speaker 2: time we were worried about Tom Cotton 2024. I suppose
- 40:40Speaker 2: we still should be worried, but like, that guy has
- 40:43Speaker 2: the charisma of a fucking shoe.
- 40:46Speaker 1: Yeah, I think, look, I think what we saw in
- 40:48Speaker 1: Tom Cotton's speech is the danger of what happens when
- 40:50Speaker 1: someone like Kim Guilfoyle uses up all the cocaine.
- 40:52Speaker 2: On night one.
- 40:55Speaker 1: And also it's just like, look, Tom Cotton is not
- 40:57Speaker 1: a famous speaker. He's a famous op-ed columnist. And now
- 41:00Speaker 1: we see what happens when he... Is what he tries
- 41:02Speaker 1: to translate that to a new medium.
- 41:03Speaker 2: Harvard educated New York times columnist, Tom Cotton. Um, before
- 41:07Speaker 2: we go, uh, let's talk about where the campaign goes
- 41:09Speaker 2: from here. We won't really know how, or even if
- 41:13Speaker 2: the conventions will affect the race until we see more
- 41:15Speaker 2: polling next week. Again, the polling this week is still
- 41:18Speaker 2: not got to wait till next week. Uh, we also
- 41:20Speaker 2: know the convention bounces usually fade away, but I do
- 41:24Speaker 2: think conventions are a good indicator of where each campaign
- 41:27Speaker 2: is going and how they think about the final homestretch. Um,
- 41:30Speaker 2: We've talked about how Trump's all in on the message
- 41:32Speaker 2: that Biden will make America unsafe. Kellyanne Conway told reporters
- 41:35Speaker 2: that more violence helps their campaign. So the question now
- 41:38Speaker 2: is how does the Biden campaign respond to this going forward?
- 41:42Speaker 2: George Packer has a much-talked-about, tweeted-about piece in The Atlantic
- 41:46Speaker 2: today saying that Biden should immediately go to Kenosha and
- 41:48Speaker 2: give a speech about bringing the country together. There is
- 41:51Speaker 2: a lot of angst in Democratic circles, a lot of
- 41:55Speaker 2: discussion in media circles about what the Biden campaign will
- 41:58Speaker 2: do in response to this. Dan, what do you think
- 42:01Speaker 2: about how the Biden campaign should respond to the RNC
- 42:04Speaker 2: and Trump's latest line of attack here?
- 42:06Speaker 4: I'm somewhat mystified by the entire conversation around this. And look,
- 42:10Speaker 4: I obviously come at this from the perspective of worry
- 42:12Speaker 4: about everything. So people are definitely worried about this. But
- 42:15Speaker 4: we had this exact conversation two months ago. Is it
- 42:19Speaker 4: possible for Joe Biden to speak out against violent protests
- 42:22Speaker 4: and keep his base? Yeah, he did it after George Floyd.
- 42:28Speaker 4: Is it possible for Joe Biden to say he's not
- 42:30Speaker 4: for defund the police and keep his base?
- 42:33Speaker 3: Yes, we know that because.
- 42:34Speaker 4: He did that two months ago. Of course, images of
- 42:39Speaker 4: chaos have potential to be weaponized by Trump and the Republicans.
- 42:44Speaker 4: This is one place where there are a lot of
- 42:46Speaker 4: unknowns in this campaign, but how Biden responds to this
- 42:48Speaker 4: is something we know because he has done it once
- 42:50Speaker 4: before and he has done it successfully. And so I
- 42:53Speaker 4: think everyone is looking for things to worry about. And
- 42:56Speaker 4: if we find a well or overwritten piece in The
- 43:00Speaker 4: Atlantic that speaks to those deep concerns, maybe people will
- 43:04Speaker 4: freak out about it. But I think Biden has demonstrated
- 43:07Speaker 4: how to handle this. And we saw a member of
- 43:10Speaker 4: Jacob Blake's family say either last night or today that
- 43:14Speaker 4: Biden called and spoke to them for an hour. Donald
- 43:16Speaker 4: Trump did not mention them.
- 43:19Speaker 3: Where Biden has.
- 43:19Speaker 4: The ability to demonstrate his empathy and decency and the
- 43:25Speaker 4: part of his story that is about dealing with grief
- 43:27Speaker 4: and helping others deal with grief, that is a place
- 43:30Speaker 4: of strength for him. It's a place, a huge comparative
- 43:33Speaker 4: avenge against Trump. And so I think he has been
- 43:36Speaker 4: doing that and will continue to do that. And I
- 43:37Speaker 4: think we know how that will play out.
- 43:40Speaker 2: Tommy, what do you think?
- 43:42Speaker 8: Yeah, I was a little surprised by the George Packer
- 43:46Speaker 8: freak out this morning. I mean, I think we all
- 43:48Speaker 8: need to remember that as yo-yoed as we feel by
- 43:51Speaker 8: the presidency and by the campaign and the news cycle,
- 43:54Speaker 8: because we watch it obsessively, Donald Trump's numbers have been
- 43:57Speaker 8: the most stable of like any president ever in recorded history, right?
- 44:01Speaker 3: He's always in the same place.
- 44:03Speaker 8: And I think the Biden people, are presumably have polls
- 44:08Speaker 8: in key swing states like on a daily or weekly basis.
- 44:11Speaker 8: And they're tracking these number and they can closely watch
- 44:14Speaker 8: these law and order attacks. And if those numbers move,
- 44:17Speaker 8: they will need to respond in some way. But I
- 44:19Speaker 8: would wait before I take the bait on bad faith
- 44:22Speaker 8: attacks from Donald Trump. Biden should speak about racial justice
- 44:27Speaker 8: and police reform in his own way, on his own
- 44:30Speaker 8: terms at the time that he sees fit. In the interim,
- 44:34Speaker 8: I think that the entire country is incredibly worried about COVID.
- 44:37Speaker 8: They're really worried about the economy. I would not let
- 44:40Speaker 8: Donald Trump suck me away from talking about those core,
- 44:44Speaker 8: far more important issues to people in polling.
- 44:48Speaker 3: Love it. Yeah, no, I agree with all that.
- 44:54Speaker 1: Fundamentally, what Donald Trump is saying and trying to imply
- 44:57Speaker 1: is that that the people protesting, fighting for equality, fighting
- 45:02Speaker 1: for dignity for black people is a threat to you, right?
- 45:05Speaker 1: That's what he's basically saying, that if these people succeed,
- 45:08Speaker 1: if they're able to achieve any kind of victory in
- 45:12Speaker 1: this fight against racial injustice and racial injustice in policing,
- 45:16Speaker 1: that will cost you.
- 45:17Speaker 3: It'll affect you. It'll hurt you.
- 45:19Speaker 1: And I think Biden can be much bigger and he
- 45:20Speaker 1: can talk about the fact that equality doesn't hurt anybody.
- 45:23Speaker 1: It's not going to hurt you. It's not going to
- 45:24Speaker 1: hurt you to allow everybody to have dignity, that there's
- 45:27Speaker 1: enough dignity to go around. There's enough America to go around, right?
- 45:30Speaker 1: Like that's been a kind of core part of what
- 45:32Speaker 1: he's been saying. And I think he can make that
- 45:35Speaker 1: a big part.
- 45:35Speaker 3: Of what he's saying.
- 45:36Speaker 1: He can speak to the protests. He can speak to
- 45:37Speaker 1: what's happening in Kenosha without giving in or taking the
- 45:41Speaker 1: bait from Trump.
- 45:42Speaker 2: Yeah, I've been trying to think of what happened to
- 45:45Speaker 2: public opinion between the protests after George Floyd's murder in
- 45:49Speaker 2: June and today. And what you can see in the
- 45:52Speaker 2: numbers is that opinion around the protests and specifically around
- 45:58Speaker 2: instances of looting and violence has begun to polarize around
- 46:04Speaker 2: on party lines. And so most of the decrease in
- 46:07Speaker 2: support comes from Republicans, Republican-leaning independents, people who watch Fox News,
- 46:14Speaker 2: which since June has been running footage on loop of
- 46:18Speaker 2: fires and violence and everything else. So it's not terribly
- 46:21Speaker 2: surprising that the public opinion would change a bit. And so,
- 46:25Speaker 2: you know, you see some evidence in some focus groups
- 46:28Speaker 2: already that people have been talking about where there's people
- 46:31Speaker 2: who voted for Trump in 2016 who say they're undecided now,
- 46:34Speaker 2: who are now tending to think maybe they'll go back
- 46:36Speaker 2: to Trump because of some of the things they've seen
- 46:38Speaker 2: in Kenosha or Portland or elsewhere. You're hearing anecdotal evidence
- 46:42Speaker 2: of this. We may see it in polling in the
- 46:45Speaker 2: next couple weeks. But it is on the margins and
- 46:48Speaker 2: it is sort of like Trump voters who were thinking
- 46:50Speaker 2: about leaving and maybe coming back and you would almost
- 46:53Speaker 2: expect polls to tighten as things become polarized closer to
- 46:57Speaker 2: election day anyway, regardless as like some Republicans come home.
- 47:01Speaker 2: I think the question is to what extent that happens.
- 47:04Speaker 2: I think in terms of what Joe Biden should do, he,
- 47:07Speaker 2: he's been doing the right thing so far. He, you know,
- 47:09Speaker 2: like you said, he's, he's called Jacob Blake's family. He
- 47:12Speaker 2: has stood on the side of the, of the protests
- 47:15Speaker 2: and racial justice and police reform while still saying, obviously,
- 47:19Speaker 2: you know, uh, burning down a city is bad.
- 47:22Speaker 3: Right.
- 47:22Speaker 2: Like, and I'm sure he will continue to say that,
- 47:24Speaker 2: but I tend to agree with Tommy, which is he can't,
- 47:27Speaker 2: he can't let the conversation get away from the pandemic and, and,
- 47:32Speaker 2: and fixing the economy. And the more he talks, the
- 47:36Speaker 2: more he's like wraps himself in an axle, trying to
- 47:37Speaker 2: figure out exactly how to comment on every instance of violence.
- 47:41Speaker 2: The more that the media conversation will be about Trump
- 47:44Speaker 2: versus Biden and on crime and violence as opposed to
- 47:47Speaker 2: Trump versus Biden on the pandemic, which is where the
- 47:50Speaker 2: Biden campaign wants to be. And you can tell that
- 47:53Speaker 2: with all of their statements and all of their responses
- 47:55Speaker 2: to the convention. They keep bringing it back to COVID
- 47:57Speaker 2: because they know that's the best fight to have with
- 48:00Speaker 2: Donald Trump.
- 48:00Speaker 4: I mean, ultimately, the trick with Trump is always to
- 48:04Speaker 4: call out his game. Don't play his game, right? And
- 48:07Speaker 4: so explain what he is trying to distract from. Explain
- 48:10Speaker 4: why he is trying to divide people and who benefits
- 48:11Speaker 4: from that is the best way to handle it because
- 48:13Speaker 4: that gives you the ability to bring.
- 48:15Speaker 3: It back to home base.
- 48:16Speaker 2: Well, I mean, like this morning, Trump tweeted about how
- 48:19Speaker 2: Governor Evers in Wisconsin sent in the National Guard. And
- 48:23Speaker 2: he's like, and Wednesday was a perfectly peaceful night. It's like, well,
- 48:26Speaker 2: you know what? Governor Evers, the Democratic governor of Wisconsin,
- 48:29Speaker 2: made that decision on his own. You didn't do shit.
- 48:32Speaker 2: Your top advisor went out and said that the violence
- 48:34Speaker 2: helps your campaign. That's what you did. He continues to
- 48:37Speaker 2: pour gas on the fire. And Joe Biden needs to
- 48:40Speaker 2: say that. You want four more years of this guy
- 48:43Speaker 2: putting gas on the fire and screwing up the pandemic
- 48:45Speaker 2: and everything else. that's go for it. If you want
- 48:48Speaker 2: to change, if you want to go, if you want
- 48:50Speaker 2: things to be calm again, you want competent government, let
- 48:54Speaker 2: me know.
- 48:55Speaker 1: The other way to make the connection to me is
- 48:56Speaker 1: that they're going out there and saying, oh, they're burning businesses,
- 48:59Speaker 1: they're destroying businesses. And if COVID were arson, right, you know,
- 49:02Speaker 1: Donald Trump has lit 20 million jobs on fire, right?
- 49:05Speaker 1: Like the damage that he has done to the economy
- 49:08Speaker 1: is so much so far beyond at a scale so
- 49:10Speaker 1: much greater than anything anybody can point to with these protests.
- 49:13Speaker 1: If you are worried, about this kind of destruction. Look
- 49:15Speaker 1: at the destruction Donald Trump has wreaked.
- 49:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, like, safe in Joe Biden's America? Do
- 49:19Speaker 2: you feel safe? safe in Donald Trump's America right now?
- 49:21Speaker 2: We can't fucking leave our houses. We're not safe in
- 49:24Speaker 2: Donald Trump's America.
- 49:26Speaker 3: This isn't crazy. It's crazy.
- 49:27Speaker 4: I mean, that's the way to flip all of this
- 49:29Speaker 4: messaging on Trump is Trump. Like in Tommy point this
- 49:32Speaker 4: out earlier is that Trump is saying that look at
- 49:35Speaker 4: all of this, these horrible things that are happening under
- 49:37Speaker 4: my presidency in the first term. I will stop them
- 49:40Speaker 4: in the second term.
- 49:42Speaker 3: But all the.
- 49:43Speaker 4: Imagery about the White House, the fireworks, the safe in
- 49:49Speaker 4: Joe Biden's name, that's all about Trump the strongman. He's
- 49:51Speaker 4: trying to say that I am the one who can
- 49:53Speaker 4: protect you.
- 49:54Speaker 3: I alone can fix me.
- 49:56Speaker 4: Yes. And it is a not very subtle message to
- 49:59Speaker 4: white people that I'm the one who can protect you
- 50:00Speaker 4: from black protesters, brown immigrants, terrorism, all the things. It's
- 50:05Speaker 4: all about driving up white fear, the classic Republican strategy
- 50:07Speaker 4: of the year is But there's a way that Biden
- 50:09Speaker 4: can take all of this and use it to undermine
- 50:12Speaker 4: Trump's strength. And when you undermine Trump's strength, all of
- 50:15Speaker 4: his argument falls at the bottom.
- 50:17Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree.
- 50:19Speaker 2: All right, guys, we did it. We're at the end
- 50:21Speaker 2: of the two convention weeks.
- 50:23Speaker 3: Thank God.
- 50:24Speaker 2: The takes have all been offered. The conventions are over
- 50:27Speaker 2: and now 68 days, I believe.
- 50:30Speaker 5: 67?
- 50:30Speaker 2: I think we're at 67. 67 days until the election.
- 50:34Speaker 2: So go to votesaveamerica.com slash adopt. Pick a state. Let's
- 50:39Speaker 2: get to work. And we'll see you guys next week. Bye, everyone.
- 50:43Speaker 3: Bye, everybody.
- 50:49Speaker 2: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
- 50:52Speaker 2: producer is Michael Martinez. Our associate producer is Jordan Waller.
- 50:56Speaker 2: It's mixed and edited by Andrew Chadwick. Kyle Seglin is
- 50:59Speaker 2: our sound engineer. Thanks to Tanya Sominator, Katie Long, Roman Papadimitriou,
- 51:04Speaker 2: Caroline Reston, and Elisa Gutierrez for production support. Into our
- 51:08Speaker 2: digital team, Elijah Cohn, Nar Melkonian, Yale Freed, and Milo Kim,
- 51:12Speaker 2: who film and upload these episodes as videos every week.