Latest / Simply Bitcoin / How Much Bitcoin Do You Need to Retire by 2028? | EP 1111
Transcript
- 0:00Yeah, we're going to simply Bitcoin.
- 0:01How much Bitcoin do you need to retire by 2028?
- 0:05While everyone has been paying attention to the election,
- 0:08everyone's been going crazy. A couple like about a month ago,
- 0:12I showed you the open source calculator that Michael Saylor
- 0:16came up with. And essentially it allowed you
- 0:19to plug in specific data as it relates to you.
- 0:22And it will kind of give you this mental model on how much
- 0:25Bitcoin do you need to retire by, I believe it was 2030 or
- 0:302040. And just to give you guys a
- 0:33small recap before we jump into today's show, which we're going
- 0:37to be using the Wen Moon calculators, very, very famous,
- 0:41developed by Jimbo, and it allows you to plug in, you know,
- 0:44specifically how much Bitcoin do you have and what year would you
- 0:48be able to retire based on how much money you're taking out a
- 0:51year? So are you retiring off $100,000
- 0:55a year? You retiring off $50,000 a year?
- 0:57We're going to go through all that.
- 0:58You guys love this topic, so we're going to cover it.
- 1:00But anyways, when we covered this topic last time, we used
- 1:06the Michael Saylor calculator. This time we're going to use the
- 1:08Jimbo calculator. So while everyone, everyone's
- 1:11being distracted by the election, all the craziness,
- 1:13listen, Bitcoin doesn't need a politician.
- 1:16Politicians need Bitcoin. At the end of the day, you
- 1:20should really be focused on not who's going to be elected and to
- 1:24solve all your problems. The person that's going to solve
- 1:26all your problems is yourself. And you can start doing that by
- 1:30stacking Bitcoin today. So guys, we're going to talk
- 1:33about how much Bitcoin you need to retire by 20-30.
- 1:36It's going to be great. You guys love this topic and
- 1:38we're going to jump straight into it anyways, I'm going to
- 1:40bring up my legendary Co host who's always optimistic optimist
- 1:43fields. I mean pretty crazy out there.
- 1:46It's it's a it's a pretty crazy election year like all the rest
- 1:52of them. And this is the first election
- 1:55year, ladies and gentlemen, that Bitcoin and the freedom of Ross
- 1:59Ulbricht is on the ballot. It really is.
- 2:02But from a regulatory perspective, I, like I said in
- 2:04the beginning, Bitcoin doesn't need any single politician in
- 2:08order for it to succeed. Politicians need Bitcoin to
- 2:11succeed. But anyways, let's jump straight
- 2:14into it. I've done some some calculations
- 2:17and you'll see the difference between the Fiat way of thinking
- 2:21about things, then the Bitcoin way of thinking about things.
- 2:24So based on the demographics of we know roughly what age you
- 2:32guys are, the majority of people that watch this show, we're
- 2:37going to say the name is the age is 40.
- 2:40We're also going to assume that you want to spend $100,000 per
- 2:45year. So how much money would you need
- 2:48to retire by age 40, withdrawing $100,000 a year after?
- 2:54So you'll need to calculate a quote safe withdrawal rate and
- 2:58determine a retirement savings goal accordingly.
- 3:02A common rule of thumb is the 4% rule, which suggests that if you
- 3:07withdraw 4% of your retirement savings annually, your money
- 3:11should last at least 30 years. Adjusted for inflation, this
- 3:15means you need around 2.5 million to safely withdraw
- 3:20$100,000 per year. But the question that I want to
- 3:23get to is how much Bitcoin do you need to retire by 2028?
- 3:28So let's assume it's 2.5 million.
- 3:32And again, that's kind of depressing, isn't it?
- 3:35I think it's depressing to a lot of people because I would say
- 3:37the vast majority of people don't have $2.5 million laying
- 3:42around, especially by age 40. So you'd be like, you know what,
- 3:47I give up. I'm just going to go to the
- 3:49casinos and I'm just going to live my life.
- 3:51I'm going to live for the moment, baby.
- 3:53I'm going to live for the moment.
- 3:54What is this long term thinking? This long term thinking is a
- 3:57scam. I'm going to live for the here
- 3:59and now. I'm going to go to Disney World
- 4:01now because I'm never going to be able to afford a house.
- 4:04Well, that's life on a Fiat standard.
- 4:05Life on a Bitcoin standard is a whole different story.
- 4:09And it's full of hope. It's full of opportunities.
- 4:11Is is full of peace and prosperity.
- 4:14So let's jump straight into it. So first let's make a couple of
- 4:18assumptions. First, what is going to be the
- 4:22fair value of Bitcoin by the year 2028?
- 4:26Well, no one knows, but we can use the power law that's been,
- 4:30you know, the the the famous, you know, stock to flow type
- 4:35thing of this cycle. Maybe it's more accurate.
- 4:38Apparently it is. I'm not a mathematics person,
- 4:41but the mathematics guys say that this is this is the this is
- 4:45the model that you have to go by.
- 4:47So according to the power law, bitcoins fair value by 2028
- 4:54should be $302,000 and the bottom price should be 127
- 5:02thousand. So OK, 300,300 thousand bit
- 5:06300,000 dollar 300,000 Bitcoin. That's not bad.
- 5:10So I guess the math would be dividing two 2.5 million /
- 5:16300,000 and it would require 8.3 Bitcoin.
- 5:21Thing is, that's also really depressing.
- 5:23I think a lot of people don't have the ability to accumulate
- 5:278.3 Bitcoin. 8.3 Bitcoin today is roughly half $1,000,000 or
- 5:34600,000 so, but I think people underestimate the ability for
- 5:43Bitcoin to compound over time. And this is where Jimbo's
- 5:48calculator comes in and Jimbo's calculator makes all these
- 5:52calculations a lot more optimistic because most people
- 5:55like I said don't have $2.5 million laying around.
- 5:59So the way that Jimbo's calculator works, and please put
- 6:04some numbers down in the live chat so that me and Opti can
- 6:08play with this tool. First you have to decide what
- 6:12the what your stack size is. So we're going to start with the
- 6:17stack size that we put in the thumbnail, which is, oh, did it
- 6:21freeze? Yes, it did.
- 6:22Let me refresh the page. Here we go.
- 6:28Come on, Jimbo's calculator. There we go.
- 6:30It's working now. I think there it is.
- 6:38OK, so you're going to put a number .2 and then it's going to
- 6:52give you oh, here we go. What is wrong with this thing
- 6:58today man? It's when moon broken.
- 7:02When when moon has broken, man too many people are using it.
- 7:08That's not cool. All right, let's refresh it one
- 7:12more time and let's stick to the whole numbers.
- 7:15So let's start with one Bitcoin and 100,000, which I think is,
- 7:21is let's, we'll leave the defaults because this is being a
- 7:24little bit buggy today unfortunately.
- 7:26But let's decrease the inflation rate because I think it is a
- 7:30little bit high or annual Bitcoin appreciation rate.
- 7:35So I mean, what did, what did Michael Saylor said?
- 7:38Michael Saylor said it was going to be 30%.
- 7:40And then the annual USD supply inflation, I think that's get a
- 7:44little bit high as well. Let's make that 3% and then it
- 7:48kind of changes the conversation.
- 7:50So your personal moon date, if you have one Bitcoin and you
- 7:54want to pull out $100,000 and the US inflation rate is 3%.
- 8:01And the annual Bitcoin appreciation rate, which is the
- 8:04one, the one that Sailor's saying, Sailor's saying that
- 8:06this is going to be the average annual appreciation rate of
- 8:10Bitcoin to the year 2045. And it's roughly, he says
- 8:15specifically 29%. So let's go with 29.
- 8:18So if the annual Bitcoin appreciation rate is 29
- 8:22compounding year after year, if your stack is one Bitcoin, if
- 8:27you want to pull out $100,000 in income every single year and the
- 8:32inflation rate is 3%, your personal moon date would be
- 8:372033, meaning you would you would never have to work again.
- 8:42You'd be, you'd be able to pull out $100,000 every single year
- 8:46with that one Bitcoin. And it has a little chart and
- 8:49everything. But anyways, let's play around
- 8:51with it. Opti, do we have more numbers in
- 8:53we? Have change annual appreciation
- 8:56rate to 55 and I'll just add on here and let's do the USD from
- 9:03three. To.
- 9:05What was it? What have people been saying?
- 9:07Like at least 10 go 12 just because I'm an extremist over
- 9:11here and I keep everything else the same.
- 9:14So if the inflation rate is 23% and the annual annual Bitcoin
- 9:21appreciation rate is 5555%, then your personal mandate with just
- 9:29one Bitcoin would be the year, and that's 20. 23% inflation,
- 9:34that's. Crazy.
- 9:35That's what, 23% inflation? Roman said 11:50 So do 12 on the
- 9:40inflation rate. So 12 inflation rate and it
- 9:44would be 2029 with one Bitcoin with an annual appreciate, which
- 9:49an annual Bitcoin appreciation rate of 55% with inflation at
- 9:5312%. Your personal mandate would be
- 9:58the year 2029 we specifically April 11th 2029 and your stack
- 10:06would be worth 746,000 and you'd be able to withdraw roughly $479
- 10:13a day. Interesting right, But I want to
- 10:15get this to it seems like it bugs out when you do it.
- 10:18Oh, I got it working great, awesome.
- 10:20So let's address the the number in the wow.
- 10:23Now you start working. We had to troubleshoot for a
- 10:25while anyway. So let's address the number in
- 10:28the title, shall we, because it's what you guys came for So
- 10:33in the title it said look it's .25 Bitcoin enough right .25
- 10:37Bitcoin right? I think it's totally doable if
- 10:40you focus and you put your mind to it and you want to withdraw
- 10:45100,000 a year and the inflation rate is 12% but the annual
- 10:50Bitcoin appreciation rate is 55%.
- 10:53Your personal moon date would be 2033.
- 10:58That's pretty cool. Anyone else have any numbers
- 11:02that want to change over here? Let's do the annual Bitcoin
- 11:06appreciation rate. Appreciation rate to I think
- 11:09sailors been saying like 40%. Yeah.
- 11:12So let's do 40% and then what about income?
- 11:17Does income is income at 100,000?
- 11:20No, what's the average salary again?
- 11:23It's like what, 50K or something?
- 11:25So let's say it's 65,000, right? And inflation, inflation is not
- 11:32at 12%, but we'll leave it there, I guess.
- 11:35Real inflation is definitely not 2:00 to 3:00.
- 11:38Percent. So let's let's put it at 8.
- 11:40All right, so .25 you want 65,000.
- 11:47Inflation rate is 8% annual Bitcoin appreciation rate is 40.
- 11:54So your personal moon date would be 20342030 for. 10 years.
- 12:00Yeah, 10 years, 10 years. But let's say you wanted to live
- 12:04off, you want to live large and you want to take out a quarter
- 12:07million a year because you know, you live in Miami or something.
- 12:12Your moon date would be 2040. It's not bad bro, not bad at
- 12:17all. And your Bitcoin stack would be
- 12:20worth 4.24. You know what's really
- 12:23interesting too? Like this is roughly where
- 12:26sailors prediction is roughly all.
- 12:30Right. We got some new numbers here,
- 12:32Nico. Do inflation at 9 and do
- 12:38appreciation rate or as it says right here at 20?
- 12:42So appreciation rate at 20 Opti. Also, let's put this in the chat
- 12:46so everyone else could have fun with it.
- 12:48Guys, you can you feel free to use this calculator as much as
- 12:53you want. I'm going to also put it in the
- 12:54YouTube description. You guys can check the link.
- 13:00OK, So what are the numbers Opti?
- 13:03You got it, you got it. Just keep those numbers as they
- 13:05are. So, OK, so the your stack size
- 13:08would be .25 Bitcoin, your desired income in today's
- 13:12dollars would be a quarter million a year.
- 13:15You're the annual inflation rate of the US dollar to be 9 and the
- 13:19annual Bitcoin appreciation rate would be 20.
- 13:22That's pretty low. Is it is are we, are we going
- 13:24with 20? Yeah, that's, that's what
- 13:26someone asked for. That's what someone asked.
- 13:28For 2070. Six.
- 13:30Never. Oh man.
- 13:33But look, let's do 30, which I think is very conservative.
- 13:36It'd be 2049, so it's not bad. And then check this out.
- 13:42This is roughly Sailor numbers. Your Bitcoin stack would be
- 13:44worth 15,000,000, right? So OK, let's play around with
- 13:49this more. What about?
- 13:50.5 Wait wait wait. A quarter of a Bitcoin would be
- 13:53worth 15,000,000 at least to this in 2045.
- 13:56That's what it says with an annual Bitcoin appreciation
- 13:59rate. 60 million per coin. Let's go.
- 14:05All right, so let's let's play around with this more.
- 14:07So your bit, your stack size is .5, right?
- 14:11Your desired income in today's dollars would be be a little bit
- 14:16more conservative would be 100,000, right?
- 14:19The annual USD, let's leave it at 8% and the annual inflation
- 14:25rate it would be. Let's do what Sailor's saying,
- 14:27what he says 29%. So OK so your moon date would be
- 14:33with .5 just .5 Bitcoin with 100.
- 14:38You want 100,000 taken out with an annual inflation rate of 8%
- 14:43and an annual Bitcoin appreciation be 29.
- 14:46And your moon date would be May 7th 2024.
- 14:52Boom. And your Bitcoin stack would be
- 14:54worth roughly 2.31 million. OK so let's change these numbers
- 14:59more. So let's do 5 coins right?
- 15:05Annual appreciation is 8. Annual annual Bitcoin
- 15:10appreciation is 29. I, I honestly believe it's going
- 15:13to be 40 for the next, for this entire decade.
- 15:16I really believe it's going to be 40% compound year over year.
- 15:20And I don't think inflation rate is 8, but let's just leave it
- 15:24there for the sake of this. If your stock size is five
- 15:27Bitcoin and you want to take out $100,000 a year, you got to wait
- 15:32until it already happened. You're, you've already hit your
- 15:34moon date. So that's interesting.
- 15:40All right, go 6.15 for your stats. .15.
- 15:44Do inflation at 12 because that's what shadow stats is
- 15:48showing right now. That's 12% inflation and we'll
- 15:50keep that 40% annual increase. OK, so that four that.
- 15:54Already happened. That already happened.
- 15:56No, it's going to. It happens tomorrow.
- 15:58Actually, it happens tomorrow. It happens tomorrow.
- 16:04So please, guys, drop us. Drop us, drop US numbers in, in
- 16:08the chat and we'll we'll kind of plug them into the calculator.
- 16:12You guys could have fun with this.
- 16:14I think it's really, really great.
- 16:16It's called, it's called Wen Moon.
- 16:20It's by Jimbo. It's completely open source.
- 16:22So you can audit the code and all that stuff and it will kind
- 16:25of allow you to plan into the future.
- 16:28Because I know you guys loved the Sailor calculator, but this
- 16:32is the OG calculator. This is the calculator that
- 16:34we've been using for a while and you guys love these types of
- 16:36episodes. So if you guys have any other
- 16:39numbers dropping in the live chat and we'll do the
- 16:41calculations for you guys. When you have two to three, two
- 16:47or three block rewards, you've made it.
- 16:49Someone says do 3.7 Bitcoin. OK, 3.7 Bitcoin, let's plug it
- 16:56in 3.7. What about desired income?
- 16:59Do you want to keep it at 100K? OK, someone said .5 We'll do
- 17:03we'll, we'll get to you huddle, huddle her, huddle her.
- 17:07I like that. We'll we'll we'll, we'll get to
- 17:09you in a second, but let's do this 3.7 so 3.7 let's do let's
- 17:14be humble. Let's say 75 KA year.
- 17:17Let's do 12% inflation and let's use sailors number of 29.
- 17:23So your personal moon date would be.
- 17:26Five years. Five years in 2029, if you have
- 17:303.7 Bitcoin, you want to withdraw 75 KA year the
- 17:34inflation rate is 12% and the annual Bitcoin appreciation rate
- 17:38is 10% all right now let's move on to all.
- 17:41Right, so we got .5 as stack. OK, so half a.
- 17:45Coin and desired income at 75 all right so we got just keep
- 17:50that yeah. .5 Yeah, So .5 desired income, what is the
- 17:56desired income? 75K. 75 K so the annual
- 17:59appreciation rate. OK, so with .5 you want to
- 18:02withdraw 75K Inflation rate is at 12%, which I think is a
- 18:06little high but so be it. An annual Bitcoin appreciation
- 18:09rate is 29%. Your personal mandate would be
- 18:13the year 2043. So what, nine years?
- 18:182043 is a lot longer. Than that's 19 years, yeah.
- 18:23So yeah, interesting. And and and it kind of
- 18:26correlates with the Sailor one because it sailor predicts that
- 18:28Bitcoin is going to be like 13 million by the year 2045.
- 18:32And this this is saying 5.55. So it kind of kind of gets close
- 18:37to that. So any any anymore 2.1 Bitcoin
- 18:42or or here we go 2.1 Bitcoin. Let's see 2.1 Bitcoin, let's see
- 18:49withdrawing 100 KA year annual appreciation rate.
- 18:54Your moon date would be 2035 S again.
- 18:58I just want to compare and contrast right.
- 19:00So I I think you know point 5.25.
- 19:04If you're new to this thing you're new to Bitcoin.
- 19:09I think this is totally doable to get to you know your moon
- 19:14date would be 2050. So you know, if you're, if you
- 19:19are, you know, if you're 30 years old right now, 2050, you
- 19:25would be 2626 + 30 is 56. So you'd be 56, you'd be, you'd
- 19:33be retired. You could literally retire right
- 19:36now, right now by the time you get to your mid 50s.
- 19:42This is extremely conservative numbers assuming an annual
- 19:47inflation rate of 12%, which I think is a little high, assuming
- 19:51only an annual appreciation rate of 29 with only .25 Bitcoin, you
- 19:59can you can your personal moon date would be 2050 and you'd be
- 20:04able to you'd be able to withdraw 100 KA year off .25
- 20:10according to this calculator. Do you guys think we're being a
- 20:12little bit bearish, a little bit bullish?
- 20:15I think this is extreme. Look, if it was up to me, I'll
- 20:18do my, I'll do mine. So let's do the baseline of one
- 20:21Bitcoin, right? Let's go with 150K, right?
- 20:26Because I do live in Miami, right?
- 20:28And let's say the inflation rate is 5%, or let's say, yeah, like
- 20:335%. Let's say the annual
- 20:36appreciation rate is 40. The moon day is the year 2031
- 20:44right? With one Bitcoin.
- 20:45I mean that's pretty crazy bro. That's less than a decade.
- 20:49Less than a decade If you get to 1 Bitcoin.
- 20:51Let's do conservative sailors 2036.
- 20:55So 12 years from now you'll be able to retire.
- 20:58That's not bad bro. Well what what does that cost
- 21:00you? 67,000?
- 21:02Now let's compare and contrast that with the what we started
- 21:06with, which is the Fiat calculation.
- 21:09This means you'll need 2.5 million.
- 21:12Isn't that depressing like the contrasting both like you'll
- 21:17need $2.5 million in in, in normal Fiat land and in Bitcoin
- 21:24land, you can theoretically on a conservative side retire off .25
- 21:31point 5. That's pretty crazy.
- 21:33Which equates to like, you know what, 12K20K30K, 35K, like
- 21:41that's pretty gnarly dude. And This is why, This is why we
- 21:44call Bitcoin hope. This is why we call Bitcoin
- 21:46hope. And again, guys, we put this in
- 21:48the live chat and we put it in the YouTube video and Opti's
- 21:52going to put it in in the podcast description.
- 21:54So feel free to plug in your numbers and see where, where you
- 22:00know where you end up. But you know, This is why they
- 22:03call Bitcoin hope, because if you move to a Bitcoin standard,
- 22:08everything gets progressively cheaper versus a Fiat standard,
- 22:12everything gets progressively more expensive.
- 22:15And here's I'll, I'll, I'll drop this last tidbit before we get
- 22:19to the numbers. This is Arc Invest.
- 22:22Arc Arc Invest is Kathy Wood. They have one of the largest
- 22:26ETFs that are publicly traded right now on the NASDAQ.
- 22:30And here are her assumptions of Bitcoin and where Bitcoin could
- 22:34be by the year 2030. And she's basically making the
- 22:38case. She makes a bare case, a base
- 22:40case and a bull case. So her bull case by 20-30 is
- 22:451.48 million. Her base case is 682,000 and her
- 22:52bare case is 258,000. I mean, that's pretty, that's
- 22:58pretty F and fire. So I think the TLDR, if you guys
- 23:01are just tuning in, it's probably a good idea to get some
- 23:04Bitcoin just in case it catches on.
- 23:08All right everybody, let's start the show first.
- 23:11We're starting off with giving a shout out to Simply Bitcoins
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- 25:25All right everybody, let's hit the numbers.
- 25:27Lots to talk about, let's check it out.
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- 28:04your money. Throughout history this has
- 28:06proven to be the most sought after monopolistic power of man.
- 28:12It's become more sophisticated over the decades and over the
- 28:15centuries more sophisticated now and more international in scope
- 28:19than ever before. So I see the issue of power and
- 28:22the control over money as being something that we cannot ignore.
- 28:26We must address. I believe closely associated
- 28:29with this is the issue of morality as well.
- 28:32By what moral right do we have to create purchasing power out
- 28:36of thin air? Whether it's done by the
- 28:38creation of credit or Federal Reserve notes, or whether it's
- 28:41the creation of SDRS in an international scope, by what
- 28:44right do they do this? Is it any more moral to dilute
- 28:48the value of your purchasing power or the money you hold in
- 28:50your wallet than it is for the farmer to dilute the milk supply
- 28:54with water? I would say there's an issue of
- 28:56morality here just as strong as the issue of power.
- 29:02All right, everybody. So I mean, absolutely legendary
- 29:05coming from a legendary man and that name.
- 29:10That man is Ron Paul. Ron Paul really started this
- 29:13movement. He has been criticizing the
- 29:16Federal Reserve before it was popular.
- 29:19He's been criticizing the endless wars.
- 29:21He has the very famous quote that we mentioned ever so many
- 29:25times on simply, which is this quote, which is, you know, it's
- 29:30not a coincidence that the century of central banking is
- 29:34the bloodiest century in human history, right?
- 29:36So this is a man, you know, before his time, he really
- 29:39started this libertarian movement, this Austrian
- 29:43economics, making it popular, making the idea popular that no
- 29:47one, no human being, no government should have the
- 29:51ability, the God like ability of being able to create money for
- 29:54free that everyone else has to work for.
- 29:56Well, ladies and gentlemen, it seems like the Overton window
- 30:02has shifted once again. Ron Paul and the Libertarian
- 30:05Party are already a big winner in the 2024 election.
- 30:09RFK Junior. The Federal Reserve is a
- 30:11criminal agency. JD Vance.
- 30:13I've come around to the raw pawn argument on the Fed Trump
- 30:17pledged to end the Department of Education can meet Ross
- 30:20Albrecht's sentence and appoint a Libertarian to his cabinet.
- 30:24Elon Musk, Department of Government Efficiency.
- 30:27Nicole Shanahan finding Ron Paul was like finding a gatekeeper to
- 30:33wisdom that transformed my political views.
- 30:36The Overton window has shifting, has shifted.
- 30:39Now, I can't emphasize this enough.
- 30:41If Trump wins tomorrow, if we find out tomorrow, all these
- 30:48people are going to be joining the Trump administration.
- 30:52RFK, JD Bance's Vice President Elon Musk and now it has been
- 31:00announced that Ron Paul potentially is potentially being
- 31:06tapped to join this dream team administration.
- 31:11Already this news was breaking on Twitter.
- 31:15We're building a team. Ron Paul says he wants to join
- 31:18Elon Musk to gut to cut government waste in second Trump
- 31:22administration. Here's Elon Musk saying it
- 31:25himself. It would be great to have Ron
- 31:28Paul as part of the Department of Government efficiency.
- 31:32I mean, if this is not winning. Speaking of shifting the Overton
- 31:36window, here is Trump, which is a quote that we read for you
- 31:41guys last week. It was Saylor that quoted Trump.
- 31:46Here's a Forbes article mentioning it.
- 31:48Bitcoin exempt from capital gains.
- 31:50Bitcoin becomes money in the US. Here's the quote itself.
- 31:56They have they have them paying tax on crypto.
- 31:58I don't think that's right. Bitcoin is money and you have to
- 32:01pay capital gains tax if you use it to buy coffee.
- 32:04I was talking with a friend and he says it really shouldn't be
- 32:06taxed and I agree. And this was Donald Trump and
- 32:09this was Saylor quoting Donald Trump.
- 32:12Now this is the part where you get slightly uncomfortable, but
- 32:18I feel like as a as the most popular daily Bitcoin live show,
- 32:28Bitcoin only daily live show, I feel like it's a responsibility
- 32:31to at least speak up and to say something, something that you
- 32:35guys have been hearing for the last six months or so.
- 32:39Where we were, our hands were forced.
- 32:42When the Samurai wallet developers were wrongfully
- 32:46imprisoned for writing code. When the Tornado cast developers
- 32:50were imprisoned for writing code.
- 32:52When the proposed 30% The proposed 30% Bitcoin mining tax.
- 32:57When the attack on self custody, When the denial of Caitlin
- 33:01Long's federal banking charter, When the attack on the friendly
- 33:05banks, the when Elizabeth Warren used the tragedy happening in
- 33:11the Middle East to shove in hostile regulation against the
- 33:15industry. Our hand was forced.
- 33:19And I there was an episode, if you guys caught it, where I got
- 33:21a little bit upset with Opti because Opti, you know, was
- 33:25saying the quiet part out loud that I felt was a little bit
- 33:27outside of the Overton window at the time.
- 33:30But our hands was our hands was forced and we had to say
- 33:32something. And this is the last day that
- 33:35I'm going to bring this up hopefully.
- 33:37But I'm going to make the case for you guys, right?
- 33:39So you have two options tomorrow, specifically if you
- 33:43live in the US and you have an option between a candidate whose
- 33:52party is pro CBDC has been anti Bitcoin, has gone after pro
- 34:01Bitcoin banks, has arrested Bitcoiners, has arrested Bitcoin
- 34:06software developers has still not freed Ross even though she
- 34:11has the opportunity to do that and take the momentum out of the
- 34:14Trump campaign. Or the other option on the other
- 34:18side is the orange man. The orange man has brought up
- 34:23ending the federal income tax. It's already being talked about
- 34:27potentially ending the Fed protect Bitcoin self custody,
- 34:32free Ross, shrink the size of of the government and exempt
- 34:39Bitcoin from capital gains. Right.
- 34:42I think it's I think it's you know, I I I don't think it's a
- 34:45it's a hard decision in my personal opinion.
- 34:49And most importantly, while I'm bringing this up, we must not
- 34:52forget peanut. All right, peanut.
- 34:59Oh, Dad was a social media sensation that was living
- 35:04peacefully and he or she was mining her her own, you know, as
- 35:11as a very happy squirrel. And apparently New York State
- 35:20raided the the guy's house who was caring after Peanut, and
- 35:25they took the squirrel and they took her into custody and then
- 35:32they euthanized her. That is so fucked up in so many
- 35:37different ways. And I think, you know, it's an
- 35:40example of like what happens when government gets too big.
- 35:47And the reason that government is so big in the first place is
- 35:51because of the money printer. The money printer is the source
- 35:54of a lot of these problems. Endless wars, money printer,
- 35:57inefficiency of government, money printer, overbearing
- 36:00regulation, money printer, high taxes, money printer.
- 36:05It it, it all comes down to the money printer.
- 36:08This is why I'm so bullish on this man right here who's been
- 36:14talking about this for so long, potentially joining the Trump
- 36:19administration if Trump wins tomorrow.
- 36:25So I'm going to make one last case for you guys.
- 36:28Do it for the squirrels, do it for Bitcoin and do it to free
- 36:33Ross. Very uncomfortable.
- 36:36I get it, I get it. This is a Bitcoin show.
- 36:39I understand, but I hope I've made that.
- 36:42I mean, bro, isn't that like a a dream team?
- 36:45We have a crazy libertarian, all right, Our boy Rustin.
- 36:50And you know, Rustin is libertarian to the core.
- 36:53It's part of his DNA, you know, and he's even seen the light and
- 36:58he's saying, you know what? They got Ron Paul.
- 37:01We got a free Ross. It's not perfect.
- 37:05It's a two party system. There's many things about Orange
- 37:09Man that I don't like, but if you got a choice between if you
- 37:14got 2 choices and one choice is talking about ending better
- 37:19income tax, ending capital gains tax, you know, making America
- 37:24healthy again by bringing in, you know, bringing in RFK,
- 37:30bringing in Elon Musk that literally cut 80% of Twitter and
- 37:36made Twitter better than it ever has been.
- 37:39The land freaking the man lands rockets and builds self driving
- 37:43cars and then the other choice that you have is like communism
- 37:51essentially. I, I, I don't know how else to
- 37:53say it. Like I, I don't know.
- 37:56It's a pretty clear choice to me Bros.
- 37:59Hopefully after this election season is, is over, we don't, we
- 38:02never have to talk about this enough, never have to talk about
- 38:06this again. But I just got to remind
- 38:09everyone that it was Kamala, that for Harris and Biden that
- 38:15forced our hand to talk about these issues as soon as they
- 38:20started going after our industry.
- 38:23I think it's so effed up that there are no Lightning wallets
- 38:29available in the US like wallet if Satoshi pulled out, Phoenix
- 38:35wallet pull pulled out. They're arresting developers as
- 38:39much as everyone hates them as a bitcoiners.
- 38:41They arrested Roger VIR like they arrested CZ, they arrested
- 38:45Arthur Hayes like and then at the same time, wasn't it like TD
- 38:50Bank that got like handed down a record fine for money
- 38:56laundering? When the banks do it, they get a
- 38:59fine. When our industry does it, you
- 39:03go to the, you know, the meme, straight to jail, straight to
- 39:06jail. Like it it's, you know, it's a,
- 39:09it's a, it's double standards has to end.
- 39:14And This is why this election tomorrow is important, not for
- 39:20Bitcoin to succeed, but from a regulatory environment here in
- 39:26the United States. And by the way, I'm not only the
- 39:29only Bitcoiner to say this, many corners have said this as well.
- 39:34And if you hate politics and you're just not into all of
- 39:37this, do it for do it for Ross. I would just want to read this
- 39:45from Francis. Francis most toxic maxi
- 39:50bitcoiners libertarian does not believe in government
- 39:53whatsoever, but he says large part of the future of my
- 39:59business will be decided by a few 10, few 10s of thousands.
- 40:04Thousands of Americans in two to three states.
- 40:07Democracy fucking sucks and that's the truth.
- 40:10So if you live in Pennsylvania, if you live in Michigan, if you
- 40:13live in Wisconsin, if you live in Georgia, if you live in
- 40:17Arizona, if you live in Nevada, Bitcoin is on the ballot and you
- 40:24got to do what you got to do. But I I'm at peace.
- 40:28I laid my case. I don't want to talk about this
- 40:30anymore. We'll talk about it, I guess,
- 40:31when the election results come in, but I'm I'm done trying to
- 40:35convince people I've I've it's all watched the last year of
- 40:39simply Bitcoin and you'll see it.
- 40:41Opti's been wanting to RIP his shirt out and show the MAGA
- 40:45shirt underneath. And I'm like, no Opti, we got to
- 40:48be inclusive. Shut the fuck up.
- 40:50But as soon as they put one of us in in a box, that's when I
- 40:55felt I had to say something, Opti.
- 40:58Yeah, what are? Your thoughts on Peanut?
- 41:01Well, first of all, that was some crazy stuff.
- 41:04I, I, I, no joke, like obviously it's a horrible situation and I
- 41:09think is a, is a sign of the authoritarian overreach that we
- 41:14are seeing out of the state of New York and at large, you know,
- 41:17problem that's going on in the United States in general.
- 41:20A lot of people think that the federal government or any
- 41:22government should have more power.
- 41:23And we're, we're getting to the point where it's becoming very
- 41:26clear that the federal government is huge and they're
- 41:29overstepping their reach. And I think this is just an
- 41:31example of it. But man, on that note, obviously
- 41:35as an Internet person, Internet native person that doesn't take
- 41:38anything seriously on the Internet, the memes coming out
- 41:41of it were absolutely incredible.
- 41:43I was laughing and giggling like a little boy on the Internet
- 41:47just because everyone was trolling it so much and
- 41:49legitimately was lol. And just people on the Internet
- 41:53are out of control. That was that's just a crazy
- 41:55scenario. Anyways, I do want to talk about
- 41:57really Ron Paul in general because I think it's very
- 42:01fitting. And it really goes to, I know
- 42:03we've been talking about this. I've been talking about this
- 42:05constantly on the show about how it feels like the pendulum would
- 42:11do it for do it for the squirrels and the raccoons out
- 42:14there. This is about freedom.
- 42:16Oh, man. But really in particular with
- 42:20Ron Paul, I'd love to see that like Ron Paul is finally getting
- 42:25his due justice. Like he's been on this mission
- 42:28for what, like 50 years? And I saw one of the tweets that
- 42:32it was obviously a, a meme, but it was so good.
- 42:35It was like that one where it was, why do you never quit?
- 42:40It's because he never quit. And it's like just a picture of
- 42:43Ron Paul. It's like, why do you keep
- 42:44going? It's because he never quit.
- 42:46And it's Ron Paul. You know, he's been doing this
- 42:47for basically 50 years. He's been relegated as as one of
- 42:51the, you know, quote UN quote, one of the crackpots, the
- 42:53libertarian, like no one takes him seriously.
- 42:57And now it's seemingly, if you know, Musk goes in there under
- 43:01the Trump administration and does this government efficiency
- 43:04program that Ron Paul will get his fair share and finally get
- 43:09the, you know, the notification or the recognition he should
- 43:12because Ron Paul has been to go. He's obviously been, I would
- 43:17argue one of the leaders of the Bitcoin movement who denounced
- 43:20to him just because we all love what he's saying, you know, and
- 43:22the Fed and all of the things we talk about, we constantly
- 43:25reference him. So even though it may be a
- 43:29little late on Ron Paul's recognition, if there is follow
- 43:33through here, I, I'm very, very excited to see Ron Paul get the
- 43:38recognition he deserves. And hopefully we do go in there
- 43:41and clean house and I think that would be better for all of
- 43:44Americans depend irregardless of what side you are are on the
- 43:50aisle. Ron Paul, I think will make all
- 43:52of Americans lives better. So I'm I'm very interested and
- 43:55excited to see that play out. I think that would be
- 43:58incredible, incredible moment for the whole Bitcoin movement
- 44:01and the freedom movement at large.
- 44:03So hey, we'll see what happens. And actually, Nico, we are going
- 44:07to kind of talk about the election a little more on the
- 44:09culture, but you know, it's Monday.
- 44:12I figured we can do some, some, some, I don't want to say price
- 44:16speculation, but we're just going to show that capital has
- 44:19been waiting on the sidelines for the election.
- 44:21It happens all the time. We're going to cover that.
- 44:23So let's let's get into it. All right, wait, do, is this, is
- 44:26this the numbers or news? We got news.
- 44:28Holy shit, it's going to be a long day.
- 44:29All right, let's get into it. Let's get into it.
- 44:31Let's get into the news, everybody.
- 44:32Here we go. Special shout out to our sponsor
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- 46:21Of Bitcoin hi everybody we have our model for today Optimus
- 46:26fields and he's going to show you the passport by foundation
- 46:30devices guys. This thing is incredibly easy to
- 46:33use. It is the perfect gift to give
- 46:36someone that wants the benefits of taking Bitcoin into self
- 46:39custody, but perhaps is a little bit intimidated by you know,
- 46:43the, the, the technicals. The passport makes self custody
- 46:47incredibly easy. You could pair it up with the
- 46:50envoy app on your iOS or your Android device and it makes
- 46:54sending and receiving cold storage Bitcoin incredibly easy.
- 46:59It doesn't come with Opti, but if you do send me a message and
- 47:02the price is right, you might be able to get a passport and a
- 47:07picture of opti anyways everybody let's move on to the
- 47:10news for today. So I thought this was awesome.
- 47:15Let's check this out. Another name in the space to
- 47:18watch is MicroStrategy, surging in the month, up around 45% in
- 47:22October. The company also announcing it
- 47:24plans to raise $42 billion over the next three years to buy even
- 47:29more Bitcoin. That is the basically the public
- 47:33equity play on Bitcoin maximalism and has been for a
- 47:36while. Equity capital markets alive and
- 47:38well for sure. Another name in the space to
- 47:40watch is Micro, the Bitcoin maximism play if you buy
- 47:44MicroStrategy. I mean, that's pretty bad ass,
- 47:46bro Wow, OK, OK, I'll take it. I'll take it Chad Saylor doing
- 47:51his thing. Also this tweet this this came
- 47:55up to me this some original thought I had over the weekend.
- 47:58The fact that MicroStrategy holds significantly more Bitcoin
- 48:01than Coinbase is absolutely hilarious.
- 48:04And then check this out right. My strategy has officially
- 48:09flipped Coinbase check this out. So MicroStrategy has now a
- 48:15bigger market cap then Coinbase. Coinbase was found was like
- 48:212013. They had all that head start,
- 48:25but then they focused on all coins.
- 48:27I mean, Ouch. Anyways, so Saylor went on this
- 48:35lady, she's a she's an award-winning journalist and she
- 48:40hosts a show called The Trish Reagan Show.
- 48:44And I'm going to play you a clip from that show where she was
- 48:47interviewing Sailor. It's about 5 minutes long.
- 48:50I don't know if we'll have time to play the entire thing, but I
- 48:53thought it was a really interesting conversation.
- 48:54Let's check it out. Also, again, if you guys want to
- 48:57check out the full podcast, make sure to check out Trish Reagan.
- 49:02All right, let's check it out. The dollar, you know, a lot of
- 49:06people are watching their dollars just evaporate in terms
- 49:08of purchasing power. And it's one of the reasons why
- 49:09they're looking, one of the reasons why you guys were
- 49:11looking for alternatives as we go increasingly into this
- 49:15complex geopolitical situation. And, you know, you got Putin
- 49:18over there entertaining everybody saying, OK, well, you
- 49:20can't use dollars and can't use credit cards.
- 49:22And there's this jockeying for who's going to be the currency
- 49:25of the world, so to speak, and the dollar comes under pressure.
- 49:29Is Bitcoin the answer, do you think?
- 49:31Is that the currency of the world for the future, and does
- 49:35it undermine or threaten the hegemonic power of the United
- 49:39States? Yeah, I don't think Bitcoin
- 49:42threatens the USI think Bitcoin is strengthening the USI think
- 49:46that if you look at all the currencies in the world, the
- 49:49strongest currency in the world is the dollar.
- 49:51And so everybody in the world has either got a weaker currency
- 49:54which is collapsing, or they're on the dollar standard.
- 49:56Like the euro is pretty much pegged of the dollar.
- 49:58The Singapore, the, you know, the D ROM most of the quote UN
- 50:02quote good currencies, you know, the Swiss franc, ETC, they're
- 50:05pretty much pegged to the dollar.
- 50:06And then the bad currencies, you know, the weak currencies, the
- 50:08peso, the naira, Egyptian pounds, Lebanese pounds, Turkish
- 50:12lira, they're collapsing against the dollar.
- 50:15So it seems pretty clear that the dollar will continue to
- 50:18spread. But there is an inflation
- 50:21problem. The inflation rate in dollars is
- 50:23not the CPI. It's not 2 or 3%.
- 50:26The best, the best way to think about monetary debasement is to
- 50:31look at the the S&P index. If the S&P is advancing 12% a
- 50:36year, that's the rate at which the money supply is expanding in
- 50:39dollars. So your hurdle rates, the the
- 50:41rate at which you have to generate an investment gain in
- 50:44dollars in order to get not get poorer is probably the S&P
- 50:47index. That's the cost of capital.
- 50:49And that's a pretty good surrogate for the rate of
- 50:51expansion of the US dollar M2 money supply.
- 50:54So over the last 100 years, the S&P index generally expands
- 50:58about the same rate that the dollar expands in money supply.
- 51:02So if someone gives you an idea to generate 3% after tax, you
- 51:06know, buying bonds at 5% or 3% after tax, that's kind of like
- 51:10underperforming the cost of capital by 9%.
- 51:12You're getting 9% poorer every year.
- 51:14So, so anything that isn't beating the S&P index is making
- 51:17you poorer in dollar terms. What's beating it?
- 51:20Well, I mean the S&P, when you invest in the S&P and your money
- 51:22goes up 10% a year with the S&P, you think you're getting richer.
- 51:25No, you're just staying rich. You're staying as wealthy as you
- 51:27are. The magnificent Sevens beating
- 51:29it. So over the last four years,
- 51:31maybe the S and PS up 1314%, the Magnificent Sevens up 2526%.
- 51:36It's doubling it. This is not this is a no
- 51:38brainer. It's obvious, right?
- 51:39You know, NVIDIA and Apple and Google and Microsoft and Meta,
- 51:43those are monster stocks and everybody knows they're the most
- 51:45powerful companies in the world. So they outperform everybody
- 51:48else in the S&P underperforms. So 1% of the companies generate
- 51:52most of the gains. The other 9899% don't really
- 51:55generate much gain. Bitcoin's doubling the
- 51:58Magnificent 7. So in terms of what is Bitcoin
- 52:01the answer? Yeah, sure.
- 52:02If you want to beat the S&P index, you need something better
- 52:06than a typical good company. A well run company will at best
- 52:09keep up with monetary inflation. You need a monstrous digital
- 52:12monopoly like the Magnificent 7 to outdo it.
- 52:15But the greatest digital monopoly in the world, Trish, is
- 52:18the digital monopoly of money. I mean, the greatest digital
- 52:21network in the world is Bitcoin. Bitcoin is Facebook for money,
- 52:25right? It's Google for money.
- 52:26If all the smart rich people in the world decide that they want
- 52:29to store their money in a bank and cyberspace, that will never
- 52:31be debased and hold it for the next 100 years, right?
- 52:34Isn't that the best investment by definition?
- 52:37Because every other company has some kind of crack in its armor
- 52:41or some kind of a tax surface. All the other companies get
- 52:43taxed. They have employees, they have
- 52:44headquarters, they get hit with tariffs and fines and etcetera.
- 52:48So find me a big tech monopoly that is global, that that sells
- 52:52a product that everybody wants, nobody can stop.
- 52:56And. Nobody understands.
- 52:58No, it's Bitcoin Trell. Oh man, a sailor.
- 53:03Drop in, drop in the hot fire like always.
- 53:07I mean, dude, like the proof is in the work like MicroStrategy
- 53:15is outperforming everyone because they've adopted a
- 53:17Bitcoin strategy that you can even say they are outperforming
- 53:20Bitcoin even. And like it's just a matter of
- 53:25time. You you saw the news coming out.
- 53:28I believe it was last week or the week before where micro,
- 53:32sorry, Microsoft, some of these micros, Microsoft was holding a,
- 53:40a, a vote to see if they wanted to hold Bitcoin.
- 53:44And, and part of the, the press release was like, MicroStrategy
- 53:49is a, is a software company. We're a software company.
- 53:52Like we have more revenue. Why is MicroStrategy
- 53:56outperforming us? And they're like, it's probably
- 53:59because they've adopted a Bitcoin strategy and something
- 54:02that I've always kind of brought up, you know, to you guys
- 54:07personally. And we, we, we showed it to you
- 54:10guys with the retirement calculator.
- 54:12And I've seen it with Opti. I've seen it with me, my
- 54:15company, the people around me, my friends, my family that have
- 54:19adopted a Bitcoin strategy. Their life just gets better,
- 54:22man. Their life just gets better.
- 54:25Think about it. You're holding something.
- 54:27And it was, it was Jeff Booth that actually said this.
- 54:30And I found it fascinating. The, the natural how things
- 54:34naturally should be is everything should actually be
- 54:37deflationary because of the productivity increases of
- 54:41technology, right? But you're not seeing that
- 54:46deflation because of of of government intervention and
- 54:51money, but you should be seeing it.
- 54:54The thing about Bitcoin though, and to use Jeff Booth's words,
- 54:58if it stays decentralized and secure, is the only thing that
- 55:03is accurately pricing the deflation around you how the
- 55:08world should work. And if you remember the reports
- 55:14that coincidentally all this is a coincidence, of course, the
- 55:17reports that were dropped by the ECB and the Federal Reserve
- 55:23referencing Bitcoin, they were basically freaking out, saying,
- 55:27holy cow, if this thing continues, I don't think central
- 55:31banking can function because we need to be able to steal from
- 55:35people. And I'm paraphrasing here, and
- 55:36I'm telling you the TLDR. But how crazy is that, right?
- 55:42So yeah, I mean, Bitcoin is the answer.
- 55:45Bitcoin is hope. Put Bitcoin into your company,
- 55:49into your personal finances and whatever it is, I'm telling you
- 55:53it is a freaking cheat code. It is a cheat code and the
- 55:56people that are not using it and you are using it, you have a
- 56:00competitive advantage over them because you have adopted a
- 56:05Bitcoin strategy. Like someone saying in the chat
- 56:07stock market Mike, Bitcoin is the greatest cheat code that is
- 56:10in front of everybody's eyes. I have only one person in my
- 56:14circle that understands this. Yeah, I mean it.
- 56:16It's incredibly obvious. I don't.
- 56:18I don't know what else to say. Opti, let's quick two-minute bit
- 56:22before we move on to the culture because we are running a little
- 56:24bit long today. Yeah, well, I think not only was
- 56:28that a great clip, but I think a new meme was born, you know,
- 56:31like, no, it's Bitcoin. Trish.
- 56:32She Trina, she tried to glaze a little bit there on Sailor like,
- 56:35oh, MSTR is the product. He's like, no, it's it's only
- 56:38works because we're buying Bitcoin here.
- 56:40And I think this is just only going to expand.
- 56:44We're so used to complicating things that it's, it's like such
- 56:47a simple, simple thesis here. It's just saving Bitcoin store
- 56:51that Bitcoin, it's going to outperform everything.
- 56:54It, it seems too easy to believe.
- 56:56And that's why everyone's having such a hard time fighting it.
- 57:00And I think this, you know, next year is going to be an
- 57:02incredible just see the Bitcoin price start pumping and you
- 57:05know, every day it's going to be pumping.
- 57:06Hopefully, you know, and, and the most bully sense ever.
- 57:09Most likely it won't be pumping every day, but I think next
- 57:12year's going to be epic and I'm I'm here for it.
- 57:15So hey, no Trish, it's Bitcoin. Just stack Bitcoin store Bitcoin
- 57:20continue to buy Bitcoin. This is how you win.
- 57:23This is why the micro strategy strategy is winning.
- 57:26This is why most likely sailors going to be the richest man in
- 57:29the world soon. So here we are man and
- 57:32beautiful, being a bitcoiner. Absolutely 100% guys, there's
- 57:37about well, it's a good show today.
- 57:39You guys love this topic. There's roughly 2200 of you guys
- 57:43watching live between all the platforms.
- 57:46If you guys are enjoying the show so far, make sure to smash
- 57:49that like button really really helps with the algos.
- 57:52Also, Opti released a poll about an hour ago and it's quite
- 57:56concerning. Yeah, This is why we did it.
- 57:59He. Asked do you run a node and 72%
- 58:03of you guys said no. Only 27% of you guys said yes.
- 58:09What do you guys do? The reason this is quite
- 58:11concerning, ladies and gentlemen, is because if you
- 58:15don't run your own node, you're trusting someone else's copy of
- 58:19the Bitcoin blockchain. Don't trust someone else's copy
- 58:21of the Bitcoin blockchain. Run your own version of Bitcoin
- 58:25and we made it incredibly easy for you guys.
- 58:27If you check the video description, there's a link to
- 58:30start nine. Start 9 is the node that I use.
- 58:34It's pre built, it's awesome, it's open source.
- 58:37Matt Hill is the fucking GOAT of making nodes.
- 58:41OK, go check it out in the video description.
- 58:45There's pre built nodes. There's a more expensive option.
- 58:48There's a cheaper option. It literally it's like a it's
- 58:52like a box. It's like a it's right in front
- 58:53of you. I can't show it because of the
- 58:54camera. It's like literally like a box
- 58:56and you just plug it in, plug it into your router and you put in
- 59:00the power cable. That's it.
- 59:03And you can connect. You can connect to your Electrum
- 59:06wallet or your Sparrow wallet or whatever wallet you use.
- 59:09You can connect to it remotely anywhere around the world.
- 59:12How cool is that? It's the most badass thing you
- 59:14can ever imagine. So you just pull up.
- 59:16You're traveling. Like, I was just in Europe for
- 59:18about a month and I was traveling and I wanted to check
- 59:22my Bitcoin balancer. I wanted fucking payroll every
- 59:25month and I have to pay everyone else out, right?
- 59:28And I pull up my electrum wallet and instead of my electrum
- 59:32wallet connecting to a, you know, a public node and it
- 59:37doxes, you know, my balances and all that it connected.
- 59:41Think about it. It connected to my node all the
- 59:44way back home in Florida. Like it's so badass.
- 59:47So get yourself a start 9. That's the node that I recommend
- 59:50there's a discount down below if you guys want to use it.
- 59:53Highly recommend it. We got to get those numbers up
- 59:5572 percent is quite high, everyone.
- 59:58All right, everybody, let's get to the culture.
- 1:00:00Let's do this. Here we go.
- 1:00:14All right, everybody, I do want to tell you about our.
- 1:00:16Sponsor the orange pullap stock Friends who stock such join the
- 1:00:2012,233 that are currently on the app.
- 1:00:23To get started, scan the QR code or check the link in the video
- 1:00:27podcast description. The Orange Pullap is the number
- 1:00:30one Bitcoin social layer. So what does that mean?
- 1:00:33What does all this mean? The Orange Pull app is a great
- 1:00:36resource if you're traveling. If you're on the go, perhaps
- 1:00:39you've been in your city for a while and you don't know any
- 1:00:42actual bitcoiners. The Orange Pull app is for you.
- 1:00:47You pull it up has a really coverage geographical feature
- 1:00:50and it will literally show you the bitcoiners that are near you
- 1:00:53and it will give you the ability to send them a message and
- 1:00:57connect with them directly, building up that Bitcoiner
- 1:01:01network. It's probably a pretty good idea
- 1:01:02to do that. So download the Orange Pull up
- 1:01:05today. One of the best ways to reach me
- 1:01:07directly. Send me a message or reach Opti.
- 1:01:10Scan the QR code or check the link in the video slash podcast
- 1:01:14description. Anyways, Opti has a has
- 1:01:18something pulled out? Well, yeah, here, let me just
- 1:01:22take it from here and I'll I'll try to RIP through this quickly
- 1:01:24because we are running long, but this is the culture.
- 1:01:26So I'm here to kind of give you a summary of the cultural
- 1:01:30zeitgeist right now in regards to Bitcoin.
- 1:01:33Of course, it's been a long Rd. covering the elections and
- 1:01:36politics landing on our door. Well, since I have guests all
- 1:01:40week, I figured I'd, I'd, you know, give you my thoughts here
- 1:01:43on what's going to happen because of this election.
- 1:01:45But starting turning off we have, you know, we're starting
- 1:01:47off strong here. We have Bernstein who's an an
- 1:01:49analyst out there and they made their predictions here.
- 1:01:51They've actually kind of made 2 predictions.
- 1:01:53But today, this morning, they came out with this prediction is
- 1:01:56a headline. Bitcoin could hit 90K if Trump
- 1:01:59wins, it'll hold at 50K floor under a Harris administration.
- 1:02:03This is their prediction as of this morning, but they did drop
- 1:02:07one last week. And I think, you know, following
- 1:02:10this cultural zeitgeist is what I've been saying for a while on
- 1:02:13the show. Yes.
- 1:02:14You know, we think that for four more years of the Harris Biden
- 1:02:17administration would most likely be catastrophic for the Bitcoin
- 1:02:21industry, unless you're an accelerationist, then let's
- 1:02:23accelerate away. It's been very obvious that the
- 1:02:27Trump administration has been very pro Bitcoin and obviously
- 1:02:32we've been covering, you know, Ron Paul going in there, Trump
- 1:02:34with the government efficiency, what's IT department of
- 1:02:38Government efficiency and you know, Howard Lutnick on the
- 1:02:41transition team, obviously a bitcoiner.
- 1:02:43So it's looking like we have one side pro Bitcoin, one side anti
- 1:02:46Bitcoin, but it doesn't really matter in regards to Bitcoin.
- 1:02:49I think what's really been happening is elections cause a
- 1:02:52lot of uncertainty. So whether on you're on either
- 1:02:55side of the aisle, what you're doing most likely if you have a
- 1:02:58lot of capital is you're kind of waiting until the elections pass
- 1:03:01and then you're going to, you know, make your bets.
- 1:03:03But historically, after the Bitcoin price, you guys can see
- 1:03:06here on a chart that the Bitcoin bottom of that cycle was the
- 1:03:11price of the Bitcoin on the Election Day.
- 1:03:13And so it we're at what around 69 K today.
- 1:03:17So, hey, if this is the bottom of the next cycle, it looks like
- 1:03:20we're going to get a lot of pumping moving forward.
- 1:03:22But I think the real signal here is the prediction that Bernstein
- 1:03:26made last week where the Bernstein analysts predict
- 1:03:29Bitcoin to reach 200 K by end of 2025, which essentially is
- 1:03:33boiled down to it doesn't matter who gets elected, especially now
- 1:03:37that we have, you know, Larry Fink being a Bitcoiner
- 1:03:40president. Larry Fink is going to ensure he
- 1:03:42pumped our bags. And you just love to see it.
- 1:03:45But on the flip side, being a bitcoiner and someone that knows
- 1:03:50what happens with either politician, the money printer is
- 1:03:53going to most likely get turned on and it doesn't matter who the
- 1:03:57president is in the last what, 12345?
- 1:04:01Wrong day to bring this up. Trump in office, bro, what are
- 1:04:08you doing? You do your bit.
- 1:04:10My bit is all politicians are going to print money, so there
- 1:04:13is a better, better option is voting Bitcoin.
- 1:04:17Nico, do your part. This is my part.
- 1:04:20This is like bro what are you doing?
- 1:04:23What it why why why why would you do that?
- 1:04:26Why would you do that dude? Like do you not understand this
- 1:04:29election is neck and neck like like bro bring it up, bring it
- 1:04:33up again bro like God damn. I deleted it.
- 1:04:37We we got our point. We got our point.
- 1:04:39I think I still look I still think Trump's a better better
- 1:04:42pick, but either way, both politicians are going to print
- 1:04:44money, turn the money printer on to pump Bitcoin.
- 1:04:48I'm all for this they. Are but at least one isn't going
- 1:04:50to put us in a fucking gulag for holding Bitcoin, man.
- 1:04:53Oh God. OK, OK, all right, let me vote
- 1:05:05with your wallet, vote with Bitcoin, take Bitcoin into self
- 1:05:08custody. That's the most important.
- 1:05:10But this election, this Fiat election, because that's what it
- 1:05:13is, because opt Opti's absolutely right.
- 1:05:16Yes, both candidates, all they do is print money 100%.
- 1:05:21But like guys, this is this is serious.
- 1:05:24Like this is serious. The, the, the and I read, I read
- 1:05:28it from Francis and I read it from whatever.
- 1:05:31If you own a Bitcoin business in the United States or you're a
- 1:05:33Bitcoiner in the United States, from a regulatory standpoint,
- 1:05:37depending of who gets elected into office tomorrow, it will
- 1:05:41have an impact on your life. And that's not like I'm not
- 1:05:46trying to convince you otherwise.
- 1:05:48Like that's the reality of it. Opti is however 100% right.
- 1:05:54However perhaps maybe it wouldn't.
- 1:05:56It would. It isn't exactly the best status
- 1:05:58to bring it up. Opti right before the election.
- 1:06:04I'm a bitcoiner. You know, my stance, It's not
- 1:06:06Republican or Democratic or Democrat.
- 1:06:10It's Bitcoin. Vote for Bitcoin.
- 1:06:12But yeah, go out there and do your thing, you know, Hey, have
- 1:06:14fun. So Opti and I disagree on this,
- 1:06:18and that's what. This is why the show is good.
- 1:06:20We don't have to agree on everything.
- 1:06:21This is why the show is This is why the show is good exactly,
- 1:06:25but yeah, I know and and this is the exactly that someone in the
- 1:06:29chat. This election doesn't matter for
- 1:06:30the USA. It is important for the rest of
- 1:06:32the world to just for the USA. Thanks for putting my words up
- 1:06:36there. Opti 2024 fear don't get in
- 1:06:39stack holder foreigners for Trump is crazy work.
- 1:06:44I'm voting for Ron Paul or else his Hispanic deportation.
- 1:06:53No mega. I'm with Opti.
- 1:06:55We've got your vote. You can't censor Opti.
- 1:06:58Let him cook. Can I see that comment, bro?
- 1:07:04No, I mean I. I think this one is a good one.
- 1:07:07True friends can disagree. And I think this is what we're
- 1:07:10seeing right now is there has been a lot of, you know,
- 1:07:13polarity here. But either way, I think we're
- 1:07:17going to be here and keeping the, the foot to or both
- 1:07:21campaigns to the fire and make sure that they are doing what's
- 1:07:25good for Bitcoin. They are doing what's good for
- 1:07:27the industry. So, hey, if I'm in the gulags,
- 1:07:29Nico, you know, you can say you were right.
- 1:07:32And if Trump wins, I'll say you were right at least.
- 1:07:36Either way, Bitcoins going to keep winning.
- 1:07:38It's going to pump for the next 4 years.
- 1:07:40It's going to pump forever. It's going up forever, Laura.
- 1:07:43OK guys, Seriously, get out and vote and vote for Trump.
- 1:07:49If you want a positive, positive regulatory environment for
- 1:07:54Bitcoin. If you want to free Ross
- 1:07:57Ulbricht, he's been in prison way too long.
- 1:07:59If you want Ron Paul and Elon teaming up together and
- 1:08:04shrinking the size of the federal government, which it
- 1:08:07will lead to shrinking. Yeah, it will lead to shrinking
- 1:08:13tyranny. The tyranny comes from over from
- 1:08:16a government becoming bigger and bigger.
- 1:08:18Therefore it needs more and more revenue and it becomes more and
- 1:08:21more tyrannical over the populace.
- 1:08:24But you know, you could always take Opti's approach and just
- 1:08:27say, you know what? I got my Bitcoin and I I think
- 1:08:30that's, that's a correct way of seeing it.
- 1:08:32Seeing it too because at the end of the day, like buying Bitcoin,
- 1:08:37earning Bitcoin, mining Bitcoin and taking that Bitcoin into
- 1:08:39self custody, it is a vote. It's the most powerful vote you
- 1:08:43can make without a shadow of a doubt.
- 1:08:45However, both things can be true at the same time, which is like
- 1:08:49this election does matter from a regulatory perspective.
- 1:08:52Not for Bitcoin to succeed, but from a regulatory perspective
- 1:08:56and at the same time, yes, voting with your wallet is
- 1:09:00incredibly important for the peaceful Bitcoin revolution.
- 1:09:03Look God damn bro, you had to bring it up the day before the
- 1:09:06election. Like talk about timing, holy
- 1:09:09shit. At least I'm consistent here,
- 1:09:11Nico. No, you're honest man, you're
- 1:09:13authentic. That's the beauty of the show.
- 1:09:15Anyways guys, I hope you enjoyed this episode of Simply Bitcoin
- 1:09:19Live. If you're opti doesn't matter
- 1:09:22whether you vote or not from Nico, get out to vote,
- 1:09:25especially if you're in a swing state tomorrow, November 5th,
- 1:09:29and I love you guys all take Bitcoin into self custody.
- 1:09:33That's the revolution. Today is November 4th, 2024.
- 1:09:36This was simply Bitcoin live. I'm your host, Nico.
- 1:09:39This is my legendary Co host, Optimus Fields, and we'll see
- 1:09:42you tomorrow for a brand new episode of simply Bitcoin live.
- 1:09:49It's brought to you by bitcoinwell.com, a Bitcoin only
- 1:09:52platform on a mission to enable financial independence.