Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 14 Gambling Picks, Levis The Dog, Cowboys are Real, Devito Runs NY

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NFL Week 14 Gambling Picks, Levis The Dog, Cowboys are Real, Devito Runs NY · Three For The Money

0:00
Okay, okay, okay.
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We're here, we're back.
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It is three for the money and it is Thursday.
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Always release on Thursdays.
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And week 14 is done of the NFL season.
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Now we're on to week 15.
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I don't like that we're at these high numbers, but here we are.
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Yeah, it doesn't feel good, but last week went pretty well for me.
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I don't know about you all, but I ended up going five and four, ended up winning my
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surefire pick.
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Yeah, I can't complain about last week because I mean, Titans ended up winning.
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That was crazy.
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Like Titans plus 14 at the last minute.
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Of course, if you followed the Twitter, you would obviously know that.
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You probably would have wrote.
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But I did lose both those unders, which did not go well for the night, but mentally I
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was good.
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I was here.
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The Titans won, yeah, a crazy game, but I'm going to throw it to Chris.
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How did, how was last week?
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Monday wasn't good.
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Monday was nice all in all, I went five and eight, which not good, but considering I
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was three and seven on Sunday, I mean, five and eight's not good, but it could have been
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worse.
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And also just riding the emotional high of that incredible Titans when probably the
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happiest I've been as a Titans fan since we beat the Ravens and the play and the whatever
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year that was together, the FC championship.
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So yeah, record wise, not great, but morale wise, it was a great week.
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I loved it.
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But yeah, ready to get into week 15.
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I got a, I got a bunch of plays.
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So I'm pretty excited.
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Sean, how are we feeling?
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Not too bad.
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I went nine and 10.
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Yes, I had 19 bets.
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I had, I double dipped on both Monday night football bets.
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I had the Titans and the Giants to cover the spread.
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That was great.
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That was great.
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And but I also had both unders.
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So whatever you win, some you lose some, but we didn't put this out on the Twitter, but
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Will and I sprinkled the Titans money line at half a unit.
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And I'll tell you what, that helped out a lot.
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It helped out a lot at a plus 600, which was crazy off of a half unit bet.
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That was great.
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I did not end up doing that because you talked to me out of it.
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Well, I ended up doing it because you said you were thinking about doing it.
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Yeah, because then you were like, you, you shouldn't do that.
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And then you're right.
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I was like, you're right.
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I was like, you're right.
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I shouldn't do that.
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I should be really reckless of me.
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Whatever.
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Well, it was for Frank.
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Whether you lost or won your bet, just think of Frank Weitschek.
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But yeah, overall, nine and 10, I'll take it, especially with the way Monday night went.
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And also Sunday night football hit that surefire pick.
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Love it.
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Yeah.
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Not a bad week, honestly.
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Hell yeah.
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Okay.
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I just want to say one thing before we get into it.
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Okay.
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Kaderius Tony can rot in hell.
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Yeah, he should be cut.
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The worst football player I have ever seen.
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Everything he does is wrong.
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He is so bad.
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I don't know how this dumb motherfucker still has a job playing at the highest level in
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his profession.
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He is, he's atrocious, even when he's not clearly lining up off-sides, cost his team
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the game.
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He can't catch a damn pass.
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What is his value to this team?
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Other than I guess being a scapegoat.
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He's atrocious.
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So I want to like rewind a little bit about that.
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I wasn't watching that game.
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I was doing something else.
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I went on Twitter and I just said Kaderius Tony cost the chiefs this game and they didn't
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show them like lining up.
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They just showed the play and I was like, what did he do wrong?
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And like the play was fantastic.
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It was a great play.
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But if that dump and I'm like, I don't know.
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I don't.
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I mean he was called.
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Yeah, it was called correctly.
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That's what I was going to say.
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He was called correctly.
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You can't, you can't be doing that.
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Like you can't be doing that.
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But I think it's funny that the bills almost got beat twice.
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Twice in a row off of like almost the last play of the game.
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Essentially.
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I know there was like, there was like a little under two minutes after that touchdown that
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lateral that Travis threw to Tony, but that was basically the game.
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Yeah, that was that was basically the game.
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Yeah.
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So I thought it was like a little.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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So but yeah, that hurt a lot because I had chiefs minus one and a half and money line,
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which would have.
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It was nice to have.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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I mean, close to even unit wise, if he would have, if he just would have lined up correctly.
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Well, that's all he had to do.
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And I would have been cut on Monday morning.
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If he would have, like if he wouldn't have done that, then he would have been the hero
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because he scored that touchdown.
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But such a fucking.
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Well that's what I mean.
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Like the video I saw, it was like Kaderious Tony cost the chiefs the game and they just
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showed the play.
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They didn't show them like lining up or anything.
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They just showed basically.
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Patrick my home's just gun in it to.
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Trev and then Trev passed it laterally to Tony and I was like, what, what happened here?
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And I had to like do all like get on Twitter and be like, I just saw a bunch of angry comments,
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which was kind of hilarious.
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But it made me really sad at the same time.
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So but you can't be doing that shit.
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Just can't be doing that shit.
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It costs people money.
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Yeah.
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It's costed himself a job next year.
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Yeah.
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No, he'll he'll probably be like a janitor in high school somewhere.
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Oh, well, yeah.
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Yeah.
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And you look selling your used two thousands Toyota Camry's.
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Other things from last week was probably Tommy DeVito is sweeping the nation.
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He is him.
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He is him.
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I knew I should take him to Giants.
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I was so mad.
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I was that close to taking.
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I was like, nah, play it safe.
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Take the under.
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Don't get too wild.
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And once I saw that picture of him and his
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agent on the sideline.
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Oh, my God.
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I was I was like Giants plus five and a half.
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Giants plus five and a half.
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Like I have to.
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I have to.
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It's like take Tommy DeVito in your brain and then imagine what his agent would look
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like.
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And that's what it was.
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That's him.
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That's him.
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That is exactly what Tommy DeVito's agent should look like.
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Did you see that Tommy DeVito and Zach Wilson were named AFC and NFC offensive players of
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the month or the week?
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The week.
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Yeah.
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Yeah.
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I one of those I agree with.
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Yeah.
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It's just like it's just gross.
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It's like and we'll have us out of bring a game.
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He had a really good couple of minutes.
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He almost threw that game away a couple of times.
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So let's for sure.
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I mean, no, he did.
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He made up for it.
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He made up for it.
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He did.
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I love Will Leviss.
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We threw a pick six at the four and a fumble at the what 15.
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So I don't think that fumble that was 100% his fault.
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Derek can reshoulder.
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Like what was he supposed to do?
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He was going like this.
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Like, okay.
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So I mean, he more than made up for it.
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I love Will Leviss.
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He's a dog, but he definitely almost cost us the game.
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Yeah, that was that was crazy.
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But yeah, anyway, that was last week.
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Now on to week 15.
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I hate these high numbers, but we're gonna we're gonna rock with it.
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He has Saturday football.
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Yeah, the high numbers of the weeks.
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Oh, okay.
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Yeah, it's fantasy playoff season.
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So it is it's week 15 in the NFL.
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We got Saturday games.
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We got three Saturday games because all the college bowl games this week are all the school
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the blind school the deaf playing in the scrubbing bubbles, toilet bowl.
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So this is spoken by someone who hates football, apparently.
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I mean, I'll pay attention, but you're not.
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Yeah, you're right.
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I might like look at some scores, but I'll probably be over in the in the happy state
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game just because I want to bet over whenever I see that team play.
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Okay, but I don't know.
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We'll see.
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But but yeah, Saturday football, we're only talking about one Saturday game, the Saturday
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night football game, the Broncos at the Lions, the Lions are favored by four Lions lost to
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the Bears last week in embarrassing fashion in bear is seeing passion.
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I'm here all week.
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Lions are currently favored by four.
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This brand this this game kind of has my brain in a pickle because it's Lions can definitely
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score.
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They're looking fraudulent, but it is also weird to call the Lions frauds because they've
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never been this good.
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And the the Broncos need to string together some wins in order to stay in the playoff race.
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Stuff one tough one to call.
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I'm going to throw it to Chris.
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What do you think?
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I'm going to go under here.
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I know it's a Lions home game and those usually soar.
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But I mean, Jared Goff, he's fallen off a cliff.
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They scored 13 points against the Bears, I believe the Bears defense is playing very
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well, but still 13 points.
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I can't trust this Lions offensive right now at all.
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And the Broncos have good defense.
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This feels like a spot to take the Broncos, honestly, but I don't know, I feel like the
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Lions can just pull a get a get right game out of their ass.
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So I'm going to take the under it is prime time Saturday night.
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So prime time under about 47 just seems too high.
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So I'm taking the under.
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Will what do you got?
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I know you said was your brains in a pretzel.
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Let's talk to me if you want.
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Okay, Sean, what do you got?
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Well, Jared Goff is back at home and safely indoors away from the sun and the bugs and
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just the fresh air that he seems to be afraid of.
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With that being said, it is a really good thing that their next four games, including
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this one on Saturday, are being played indoors.
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They play the Vikings twice and the Cowboys at home.
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Detroit is most likely going to win this division either way, if they can just hold
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off the Vikings who have no idea what the fuck they're doing at the moment.
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But just like last week, I love this pushy underdog that is just scratching and fighting
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its way to make into the playoffs.
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Also, our friends over at Trent Center had this amazing trend called Rust is a Dog.
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And 22, 6 and 1.
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Rust is a dog against the spread.
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Like ever since I'd have to check.
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I'd have to check.
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But in the last 29 games, at least, Rust is a dog is 22, 6 and 1.
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Plus this is just it's a Saturday game.
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I think the Lions just get thrown off when they don't have their regular Sunday.
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Sunday noon game to throw the pigskin around so they don't know how to act.
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I think I'm going to lean Denver here Denver plus four.
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Lions are definitely on watch.
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I don't want to call them frauds if they're like if they're not good to begin with.
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But they were.
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They are and they aren't like they've they've honestly played nobody except like the chiefs
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week one.
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Yeah.
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I mean, it's just they had a they have a really easy schedule there in a crappy division.
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I think Denver has been clawing and biting its way through this.
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Just that rut they were in at the very beginning of the season to get into the hunt.
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They're not in the wild card spot yet, but.
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And they're tied for about six other teams at seven and six.
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So they have they have to win.
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They have to win this game.
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But I'm going to play it safe at Broncos plus four.
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I think you have convinced me and I'm also thinking of more reasons to take the Broncos.
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This is like also kind of like a hungry dog runs faster type of thing.
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They have to stay competitive in this division.
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Lions kind of have the division on lock already.
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Four is not a lot of points, but it's enough.
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It's definitely enough points for the for Dan Campbell to do something completely boneheaded
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in this game because he we know that he he's very capable of being a bonehead.
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So yeah, I am.
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I'm going to take the Broncos.
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I'm going to take the Broncos here.
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I do want to bring up the last time that Detroit was favored by four.
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They won by five.
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But that was against the New Orleans Saints in New Orleans.
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Yeah, who are just who are horrible at home.
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So I I don't want to say this line is wrong, but I don't think it should be.
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More than a field goal, if that makes sense.
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Yeah, like the Lions are more than more than capable of putting up points and scoring.
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It's just can the Broncos stop them enough and score enough to keep it maybe within a
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field goal.
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So yeah, four seems like a good a good number, a good number.
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OK, well, I'm double dipping under and Broncos plus four.
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OK, let's go.
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Let's go.
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Next game Texans at Titans will levis looking amazing Titans favored by two and a half.
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Which is CJ Stroud is in concussion protocol.
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He's questionable to be to play in this game.
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So if he doesn't, it is a Davis mills time.
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This is kind of like.
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This is why the Titans are favored, I think.
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I think if they make a call on CJ Stroud, the line will change quite drastically.
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But this also feels like a hungry dog runs faster type of game for us, because if we
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want any hope of making the playoffs.
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Then.
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You got to win your divisional games and we play them twice and they're in the they're
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in the Oilers jerseys.
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This just I'm.
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I'm a little afraid to lay the two and a half here, so I think I'm going to take Titans
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money line.
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This has definitely burned me multiple times this this year, but you know, shit happens.
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I'm playing the match up.
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I'm playing the situation playing situation of football here.
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I'm taking Titans money line.
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Sean, what do you think?
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Well, some are saying that the Tennessee Titans just completed the best comeback victory of
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all time.
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What was that stat is like 756.
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So one.
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Yeah, we're the one.
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But yeah, we are the one.
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Yeah.
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This victory may be have gotten me a little hot and have given given me a little bit of
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hope.
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But as as will often says, it's the hope that kills you is.
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Yep.
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But I don't feel like dying right now.
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So give me the Tennessee Titans minus three.
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I am I am now going to this game.
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I found out today I'm going to this game with my with my parents.
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So this should be fun.
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But this just is more than a Homer pick with CJ and concussion protocol unlikely to play.
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I don't think he will.
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I don't think the risk it.
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Why should you and but thank goodness because he would carve up the Titans like a Christmas
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ham.
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And you know, the as I just mentioned with the Broncos, the Texans are another team that
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are just scratching and fighting their way to make into the playoffs.
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And but we saw on Monday that the Titans just love to dismember those dreams, kicking teams
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out of their playoff positions.
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We kick the dolphins out of the one seed.
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And we are definitely not going to let a divisional opponent into the playoffs if we can help
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it.
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If we can help it.
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Also Tank Dell has been out and I don't really see long neck mills getting a victory in Asheville.
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So Titans minus three, I love it.
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Oilers jerseys punch it down their throat.
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We are the Oilers.
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Tennessee Titans are the Oilers.
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We own the rights.
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Let them let them show it Titans minus three.
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Chris, I would love to hear your pick.
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I mean, I'm on Titans, my three.
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I hate it.
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I hate it so much.
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Oh yeah, I hate it.
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If I were if I were a smart man, I would this is prime Texans.
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I mean, the Titans, they're not a good football team as much as like they have tricked us
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into believing so in the last two minutes of that game on Monday.
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They're not a good football team.
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No.
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If, if again, if I were a smart man, I would take the Texans, but no one's ever accused
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me of being smart.
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So Titans minus three, it's almost solely because we're wearing the oilers jerseys.
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Honestly, Davis Mills, hopefully starting helps, but Titans minus three, I'm going to
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lock it in right now actually just so in case actually, no, I'm not because if CJ
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Straub plays a number will get better for a money line.
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So never mind Titans minus three, if Mills plays if Straub plays Titans straight up.
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That is, that's it.
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Okay.
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Hell yes.
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All right.
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Game of the week.
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Cowboys at bills.
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Bills are favored by one and a half.
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I hate this line.
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Feels like a rat line.
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Just going to throw it out there.
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Cowboys seem like world beaters.
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I understand bills beat the chiefs, but not really it, I mean, they, I forget about the
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Caderius Tony factor when I am betting on the chiefs weekly.
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So I think that what am I getting at here?
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I really don't know.
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This is a rain blip.
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I am.
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It seems like Vegas is really overvaluing the cheat, the, the win against the chiefs.
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There that's, that, that's a sound point that I, that I believe I'm making.
23:56
Chris, what, what is your pick in this game?
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I know I'm going to sound like a hater.
24:05
I am, I'm not 100% solid on the Dallas Cowboys yet.
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It's bill's money line for me.
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The Cowboys have yet to be a good team on the road.
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Pretty much be a team with a pulse on the road.
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They beat the giants in week one.
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They beat the chargers who blow and they beat the someone else who else they'd be.
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They paint the Panthers, the Panthers who are like, are just the worst team.
24:35
Possibly ever.
24:36
So bills, money line, the bills like almost have to win out to make the playoffs.
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So I mean, if I'm going to sound like, like I said, I'm going to sound like hater.
24:49
If the Cowboys win this game, I will actually believe in them as a legitimate Super Bowl
24:53
contender.
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But because all they do is be in the, the Eagles are playing like share right now.
24:58
Grant, the Cowboys played a fantastic game last week, but they've yet to be a good team
25:04
on the road.
25:05
And they also lost to the Cardinals on the road in week, what, three or four or something
25:09
like that.
25:10
Three.
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Three.
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So give me the bills at home.
25:13
The bills need this one.
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They need it bad.
25:16
So pretty much just stay alive.
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So bill's money line is my play.
25:19
Sean, what are you taking?
25:22
All right.
25:24
Well, before we move on, I would like to brag about the absolute snipe that I had.
25:33
I mentioned it a little bit ago on when we were going through our weekly thing, but look,
25:39
I was 100% right.
25:44
I knew exactly what the Cowboys needed to do.
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And what they needed to do was to beat the shit out of the Eagles on Monday night on
25:53
Sunday night football.
25:55
Excuse me.
25:56
And now, now the rest of my prophecy needs to continue.
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Cowboys need to win out.
26:08
Now is the narrative that the Cowboys can't beat good teams dead?
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This is not a rhetorical question.
26:21
They beat one.
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They beat, they only beat one.
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They have beat one good team.
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So it's definitely not dead.
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If they beat the bills, I will say it is probably dead.
26:30
Are the bills a good team?
26:32
Right now, yes.
26:33
Right now?
26:34
Yes.
26:35
Yes.
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Okay.
26:37
If this game was played like three weeks ago, I'd probably say no.
26:39
But right now, yes.
26:41
Okay.
26:42
Well, they are coming off of a, some would call it controversial.
26:47
I wouldn't.
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But a certain quarterback definitely would call this a controversial win.
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Also the fact that Patrick Mahomes said that to Josh Allen, like, made like that was totally
27:03
not cool.
27:04
That was like, dude, shut the fuck up.
27:07
Fucking pussy.
27:08
God, this fucking, have you ever lost a football game before?
27:15
He's been crying a lot.
27:17
Yeah.
27:18
He's not necessarily to the media, but you can see like anytime he gets hit or there's
27:22
remotely like could be a penalty.
27:25
He's always looking the ref like, Hey man, yeah, like do your shit.
27:29
Help us out.
27:30
And but so yeah, he was being a little bitch.
27:35
So two cents.
27:37
If the, if the bills are in fact a good team, which I'm on the fence about them being good,
27:47
they are definitely not great.
27:50
They are.
27:51
I'm on the fence.
27:53
Like it's after this, I'll be like, okay, whether this game goes one way or the other,
28:02
I will have a side, but Dallas just has to keep doing what they are doing.
28:10
If it ain't broke, don't fix it.
28:13
Dallas's offense outranks the bills defense in almost every category.
28:20
Dallas has averaged over almost over 40 points a game in their last five games on their win
28:26
street while the bills are averaging just over 23.
28:34
Now the bills being favored here, it does make sense to me, but I do see why it's so
28:42
low.
28:44
So give me the hot hand.
28:46
And by the hot hand, I mean, deck in CD lamb cowboys money line straight up.
28:56
Sorry, Chris, we're going against each other.
28:58
I get it.
28:59
I mean, this is really, this is really proven one of our points.
29:04
And that's great.
29:05
Yeah.
29:06
Yeah.
29:07
But okay, well, what have you got?
29:10
I got the cowboys.
29:11
This is, I think they need a statement when I don't think, I mean, even if they win this
29:18
game, it would be a statement when, but if they want to be contenders, then they got
29:27
to get hot at the right time.
29:29
That's you got to win your games down the stretch.
29:32
You got to, you got to play some good ball.
29:36
And, you know, I mean, I think there's been, there hasn't been a team that has played good
29:44
ball every week.
29:46
I mean, obviously, like none of these teams are undefeated.
29:51
So I think that the cowboys are the play right here.
29:54
They're hot right now.
29:59
The line does worry me quite a bit.
30:01
Does feel like a rat line, but I got to take the cowboys.
30:05
This isn't, this is Cowboys role.
30:09
Whereas picking the bills here, I don't know, this doesn't feel correct.
30:15
It doesn't feel good.
30:17
So I'm going with my gut on Cowboys money line.
30:20
Next game, Sunday night football, Ravens at Jags.
30:25
Jags are home dogs by three and a half.
30:30
This isn't quite a loser leaves town game, but these two are two of the best teams in
30:39
the AFC.
30:41
This does kind of be like not a loser leaves town, but whoever is real is going to win
30:48
this game.
30:50
Do you all agree?
30:55
I mean, yeah.
30:56
Yeah.
30:57
One of them is going to win the AFC South and the other is probably going to be the
31:01
one seed in the AFC.
31:04
Yeah.
31:05
Yeah.
31:06
So they're both going to make the playoffs.
31:09
Yeah.
31:10
They're both good teams that are going to make playoffs.
31:12
I think the Ravens play the Niners next week.
31:15
That's going to be wild.
31:17
Or you know, should be just going to go ahead and throw it out there.
31:23
Just to play under 42 and a half.
31:28
Just assist to play.
31:30
I do think the over is very capable here, but Jags are dogs by three and a half.
31:40
Chris, what do you think?
31:42
I know it's your system and it's been very kind to you.
31:45
I'm going against you.
31:47
I'm taking over 42 and a half.
31:50
I think the Ravens defense right now is pretty overrated.
31:53
The Rams who are good, not great, pretty much had their way with them.
31:59
The Jags defense is terrible.
32:01
They've given up 30 plus to Joe Flacco and Jake Brown.
32:05
So I think Lamar should have his way.
32:10
I think they give up 30 plus again.
32:13
And in that case, just need a little help from the Jags.
32:16
And I think the Jags are going to score.
32:17
I think they are a good overrated, but still a good team, if that makes sense.
32:22
They're not world leaders.
32:24
They're going to go out first playoff game to play probably.
32:27
But I think in this game, they put up some points.
32:29
I like over 42 and a half.
32:31
Sean, what are you taking?
32:37
Well, I think the Titans kind of did the Ravens a solid.
32:43
Yeah.
32:44
Not going to lie.
32:47
And I think this is kind of a like, we scratch your back, you scratch ours, like kind of
32:52
kind of deal.
32:53
That'd be nice.
32:55
So I would I would really love for the Ravens just put to put a beat down on the Jags.
33:04
You know, Jags are facing another formidable AFC North defense.
33:10
I don't really see the Ravens defense acting the way that it did on Sunday, especially
33:17
with this.
33:18
Well, it's this Sunday at football is not this isn't Monday.
33:21
Yep.
33:22
Yeah, you're right.
33:23
Kyle Hamilton is questionable.
33:25
Just saying.
33:26
Okay.
33:27
Okay.
33:28
He's got an MCL spring.
33:30
I think.
33:31
Well, okay.
33:32
The Ravens are still sitting pretty at the one seed.
33:35
They don't want to give that up.
33:38
Strength of schedule, you know, all that type of type of nonsense that they take into consideration.
33:44
Yeah, give me Ravens minus three here.
33:47
I love this play.
33:50
Even on the road, I still love it.
33:53
Jacksville is not some like terrible play like it's not like, oh, you don't want to
33:58
go play in Jacksonville.
34:00
No, it's hard to play there.
34:03
Yeah, nobody care.
34:04
People you got fat asses up in the pool like on themselves.
34:08
So it's not a not a hard place to play.
34:11
Yeah.
34:12
Josh Dobbs almost won a game there.
34:14
Like let's let's relax.
34:16
Yeah.
34:17
Titans Josh Dobbs.
34:18
Yeah.
34:19
Jake Browning.
34:20
Jake Browning won a game there.
34:22
I had like an MVP caliber performance there.
34:25
Yeah.
34:26
Yeah.
34:27
So yeah, it doesn't.
34:28
They just got the shit beat out of them by Joe Flacco, who's apparently like an 80 year
34:33
old man.
34:34
Oh, elite.
34:35
The geriatric throws up perfect spiral.
34:39
He's elite.
34:40
Yeah, I'm a passer.
34:42
Yeah, it just really suck for the Jags to lose three in a row.
34:47
Hmm.
34:48
It would.
34:49
Well, let's make it happen.
34:52
Could it be a reverse of last year?
34:55
That would be hilarious.
34:56
Let's not let's not let's not do that right now.
35:02
Let's not do that right now.
35:03
But yeah, I think if we win this week, I'm doing it.
35:06
All right.
35:07
All right.
35:08
So I truth be told, I just hope the Ravens pay it forward and beat the shit out of the
35:14
Jags Ravens minus three.
35:16
I agree.
35:18
Hell yes.
35:19
Yeah, you know what?
35:21
I'll double dip.
35:22
It's Sunday night football.
35:23
I guess I will too.
35:25
Ravens minus three or three and a half or whatever.
35:28
Whatever I get it at.
35:29
That's two that I've gotten y'all on.
35:32
Yeah.
35:33
Well, that first week, that first game, I was like, I have I don't know what to pick.
35:38
So I was looking for it.
35:41
Better hope these win.
35:44
Yeah.
35:45
They go in.
35:49
No, no, no.
35:51
I guarantee it.
35:53
I didn't say that.
35:55
Okay.
35:56
Next game Monday night football Eagles at Seahawks for some reason.
36:03
We don't have multiple Monday night games.
36:05
I don't understand why we didn't have why why we had to this past week.
36:10
Because football is fun for shits and gigs.
36:13
I don't know football is fun to it the same time.
36:17
It was done.
36:18
They started the exact same time.
36:19
But yeah, I'll never say no to two football games.
36:23
Of course.
36:25
Seahawks are home dogs by three and a half.
36:30
Seahawks.
36:36
I don't know.
36:37
Man, this is I don't I hardly know what to make of this game or see how it's like and
36:43
I got it like, are they like in the playoff picture?
36:46
Yeah, technically yeah.
36:49
Okay.
36:50
They covered last week in San Francisco with Drew Lock.
36:56
They covered that game last week.
36:57
Yeah, they were like 13 and a half.
36:59
Against the Niners.
37:00
Yeah, they lost by 11.
37:04
This is tough.
37:05
Eagles are on fraud watch.
37:07
IMO.
37:08
Man, I mean, obviously I'm going to take under 47 and a half here.
37:16
But what do you think, Sean?
37:18
Well, this has get right written all over it.
37:26
The Eagles have.
37:27
Okay, Chris.
37:28
No, no, no, no.
37:30
I'm just I'm going to war with myself and my brain right now.
37:36
Eagles have not lost two straight games since week 16 and 17 of last year.
37:43
And they still went on to represent the NFC in the Super Bowl, which I think is crazy.
37:50
But however, I did find an interesting stat that I would like to point out.
37:57
But it does not reflect my view of what I will be taking in this game.
38:01
Did you guys know that the Seahawks have not lost four straight games since 2010?
38:09
No, I did not know that 13 years.
38:16
They have not lost four straight games.
38:22
But 13 is an unlucky number.
38:28
So who cares?
38:29
Give me Eagles minus four.
38:31
Okay.
38:32
All right.
38:34
That's that's respectable.
38:36
It's it's just the Eagles got to win a game.
38:40
Yeah.
38:41
I this game actually this game matters now.
38:45
Like, yeah.
38:46
Yeah.
38:47
So if the Eagles do drop this one, the Cowboys kind of especially like, well, actually,
38:57
now that I think about it, since this is Monday night, the Sunday game will are obviously
39:03
already been determined.
39:06
If the Cowboys lose, this might be a day of play game.
39:14
Really should still like, they should still try and win this game.
39:18
Yeah.
39:19
It's not like it's still trying to win this game.
39:21
If Dallas if Dallas loses and Philly loses, they're just kind of repacking their record
39:26
in the same boat.
39:27
They're back where they are.
39:28
But um, ooh, but I did want to point that out though, because that is kind of important.
39:36
Hmm.
39:37
Hmm.
39:38
Interesting.
39:39
I'm going to reflect to myself.
39:42
So Chris, what's your play?
39:44
Uh, well, I have Seahawks plus three and a half written down, but you're right.
39:50
This is classic get right spot.
39:52
I'm going to go over 47 and a half.
39:55
I just Philly's defense is terrible.
39:59
Um, Seattle is playing pretty well right now.
40:03
Obviously, they took the Giants down to the wire, uh, or the Giants, the Cowboys a couple
40:09
weeks ago, and they held their own with Drew Locke against the Niners.
40:13
Um, so I'm going to go over, Geno should be playing and like, I mean Philly, God, their
40:20
defense is so bad.
40:22
They can't stop anything.
40:24
So it is get right spot.
40:26
Oh, what's up?
40:27
I'm sorry.
40:28
I, I did look up the Geno thing.
40:31
Um, they are really uncertain.
40:34
He was warming up last week though.
40:37
Yeah.
40:38
He, they are like, they're, they're kind of being cautious about it, which makes me
40:42
suspicious.
40:43
Why would you be cautious?
40:45
You have nothing.
40:46
It's week 15.
40:47
You're in the hunt.
40:48
This is, yeah, this is the time to play.
40:50
This is due to a guy for that.
40:51
I think he'll play.
40:52
I think he will too.
40:54
If not, maybe Drew Locke will give him a couple of short fields.
40:58
So over 47 and a half, let's have some fun on Monday night, Monday night.
41:04
Monday night.
41:05
So yep, that's the play.
41:07
Okay.
41:08
Um, I'm probably going to stick with the under right now.
41:12
Uh, we'll see how Sunday and Saturday go.
41:16
Um, then I might decide if I double dip.
41:20
Um, but okay, that's our, that's our slate we're talking about.
41:24
Uh, now let's go into our surefire picks of the week.
41:29
Double unit guaranteed not to lose.
41:32
Who, who wants to go first?
41:35
You.
41:36
All right.
41:37
I'll go first.
41:38
So past two weeks, I have taken the same system.
41:45
Well rested unders if both teams are on a seven games, seven days more of rest than the under
41:55
is like 73, 30 and one.
41:59
Uh, uh, this week I'm taking chief's pets under 37.
42:06
Both of them are more than seven days of rest.
42:09
Um, I think that the only way to factor in the cadarius Tony factor is to utilize the
42:18
under bet in all of these chief's games because I hate him.
42:23
I hate him.
42:24
I wish nothing but, but, but awful things to happen to him and his career.
42:30
Um, also the Pats can't score.
42:32
Uh, under 37 is it's so I'm all, I'm calling it a lock.
42:38
I'm calling it a lock right now.
42:40
Well, sure fire.
42:41
So I'd hope it'd be a lock.
42:43
Yeah.
42:44
It's my double unit lock.
42:45
Uh, I think it's quite possible that she's scored 30 and then coast, uh, just, you know,
42:53
play around with their food.
42:54
Uh, and then that's about it.
42:56
Uh, for that, for that game.
42:59
So Chris, what do you think?
43:01
What's your sure fire pick?
43:03
I'm going to take a page out of your book.
43:05
I'm also taking an under bears, Browns under 37 and a half.
43:10
Um, to bears defense plan really good right now.
43:14
The, the Browns defense is dominant.
43:16
We know that.
43:17
Um, nothing really fancy in terms of numbers here.
43:21
Uh, only with stat I found, uh, under sitting for the bears last five, including last week,
43:28
which I believe will set, I would be a moron to have to take that under.
43:32
And I say that.
43:34
Yeah.
43:35
And no, you said you'd have to be a moron to take it.
43:38
And then I immediately said, I'm taking that under.
43:42
Well, and, uh, it hit.
43:44
So, um, and then also there's supposed to be some rain in Cleveland, which what the hell
43:48
else is new, but, uh, yeah.
43:51
So just two good defenses, stinky game.
43:54
Let's go back to the old reliable stinky game, but an under under 30.
43:57
So Sean, what is your surefire play the week?
44:02
Well, I had something else, but I found something else just as good.
44:06
And I want to stick with the, the system of unders, I guess.
44:12
Um, I've got Vikings Bengals under 40 and a half.
44:17
Um, Jake Browning, Dobbs, benched again.
44:25
And Jefferson, uh, injured again.
44:29
I think he was cleared.
44:31
I think he, uh, I thought I saw something as clear.
44:35
I might be.
44:36
I don't know.
44:37
I saw something today that said he got hurt, but, um, uh, just prepare for suck really,
44:47
um, game and Cincinnati, you know, pretty much the same weather as Cleveland.
44:54
It's all in Ohio.
44:56
So bad weather, um, just prepare to not have fun during this game.
45:04
I don't think this game matters that much.
45:06
If I'm being honest, Browns are in it.
45:10
They're very much in the playoffs race.
45:12
Bengals.
45:13
Oh, oh, my bad.
45:15
My bad.
45:16
I don't know why.
45:17
That's my fault.
45:18
Bangles and Viking.
45:20
Bangles and Vikings are both in it, but these are non, uh, divisional non-conference opponents.
45:26
So who actually like knows what playoff implications this game actually has?
45:34
Because I remember a few years ago, um, it wasn't week 17, but it was like the week 17
45:42
added, like where an NFC plays in it.
45:44
AFC team is the Titan Saints game where, uh, no matter the outcome, that game didn't matter.
45:52
Yeah.
45:53
So I remember that.
45:55
Um, this, I don't, I'd have to look more into it, but I feel like this might be one
46:03
of those games.
46:04
I mean, you take wins when you can, but I don't know this, I think this game's going
46:09
to suck, dude.
46:10
Fucking Nick Mullins and Jake Browning, a quarterback.
46:15
Yeah.
46:16
That's stinky.
46:18
Stinky.
46:19
Stinky.
46:20
Under 40 and a half is almost like, it's like charity.
46:29
Like just, you're giving them that much points to work with.
46:32
Okay.
46:33
Sure.
46:34
That's my sure fire.
46:37
Hell yeah, hell yeah.
46:40
Okay.
46:41
Well, that's a sure fire picks double unit.
46:44
Might as well.
46:45
Parlam probably, probably get away with robbery, robbing these books.
46:49
Um, this is the first time we've all, we probably in the history of the show, we've gone all
46:54
unders for our sure fires.
46:56
It's probably not, but I don't know, man.
47:00
All three.
47:03
I was going to pick something else, but I wanted to stick with the, I like it.
47:07
I would just, I can't remember the last time we've all had all unders for our sure fires.
47:12
Yeah.
47:13
I can't remember that either.
47:15
Um, okay.
47:16
That's a record books.
47:19
That is our sure fire picks.
47:22
Let's just go into the rest of our cards real quick.
47:24
Chris, I'm going to start with you since you probably have all the other games.
47:29
Almost.
47:30
Um, we'll start out as team Burmy last week.
47:34
I'm going back to him.
47:35
I'm going to call it's my two and a half against the Steelers.
47:37
Um, Steelers, different team on the road and TJ Watt is questionable.
47:42
I'm surprised, surprised.
47:43
Yeah.
47:44
I feel like he always gets hurt at some point, kind of like his brother, but, uh, just Colts
47:49
need the Colts need this Colts need this one.
47:53
Um, and they're like I said, Steelers, every team on the road calls my two and a half.
47:57
Uh, Packers, my three and a half against the bucks.
48:00
I think this is get right spot for a Packers team that I do think is.
48:05
Good.
48:06
Um, I think they just had a shit game against the Giants.
48:10
The bucks blow.
48:11
I don't care what anybody says.
48:13
I know they're probably going to win that division.
48:14
I don't care.
48:15
Um, they needed Desmond Ritter to play like shit for them to barely win.
48:21
So give me the Packers, my three and a half and get right spot.
48:25
Got a little stat for the last two games.
48:29
Well, two stats for the last two games.
48:31
Niners.
48:32
Minus 13 and a half against the Cardinals.
48:37
Since 2018, this is, by the way, brought to the good people, brought to you by the good
48:41
people over at Trent Center.
48:44
Niners or since 2018, when a team playing a division game on the road who failed to
48:49
cover the last game against a team who did cover their last game, that team is 28, six
48:56
and two against the spread, eight and two in their last 10.
49:00
Give me that.
49:02
And then the last one, this is a plug your nose and pray Vikings plus three and a half
49:08
against the Bengals.
49:09
This is a rat line.
49:10
If I've ever seen one, why the hell are the Vikings only three and a half dogs against
49:14
the Bengals who have been kind of rolling since 2020 underdogs who didn't cover the
49:21
last game versus a team who did 144, 109 and seven against the spread, seven and three
49:28
and their last 10.
49:29
That's a Vikings plus three and a half.
49:31
And that is the card.
49:33
Will, what do you got?
49:35
Okay.
49:36
So I only got two more plays.
49:38
The other two games on Saturday.
49:43
So I was going to take Pittsburgh because the overwhelming majority of the public is on
49:51
Indy.
49:52
But the the TJ Watt factor, I think is absolutely massive.
50:04
And also Indy's, I mean, real strong suit is there is there a line.
50:09
So I'm going to switch that to Indy plus two or plus one and a half or whatever.
50:16
Minus two.
50:18
Yes, minus.
50:20
It's minus.
50:23
Yeah.
50:24
Last time I checked this morning, it was, I wrote it down wrong.
50:28
Mine is one and a half now.
50:30
Let's go.
50:31
Yeah.
50:32
Pit was pit as underdogs rightfully so.
50:37
And then I'm going to take the Bengals.
50:39
I know I'm going against your pick.
50:42
I'm taking the Bengals.
50:43
I think this line is so small because they're both backup quarterbacks.
50:50
Jake Brown has been playing really well.
50:52
They have great skill position players.
50:56
It sounds like it's unclear if Justin Jefferson is going to play between, you know, just hearing
51:01
you two talk.
51:05
So I'm taking the Bengals here minus two and a half right now.
51:11
Yeah, that's the card.
51:14
Sean, what is the rest of your card?
51:19
Well, I've got the Steelers Colts over 42, bringing back Sneaky Overs.
51:27
Colts are one of the better teams on the over.
51:30
Surprisingly, I think they're eight and.
51:35
They're really good.
51:36
Yeah, they're really good.
51:40
I also have the Rams minus six and a half versus the Manders.
51:47
Cooper Cup and Puka are just going to feast on the league's worst defending past defense.
51:56
They are just going to feast.
51:58
I don't really see that being a close game at all.
52:03
Chris, I'm following in your footsteps.
52:05
I have Packers minus three and a half in my notes here.
52:09
I have it written down get right in parentheses.
52:13
So that's all you need to know.
52:15
I'm taking all two.
52:16
I'm going to take the Packers as well.
52:18
I just added that card.
52:21
I also have the Dolphins minus eight and a half against the Jets.
52:26
Yep.
52:27
Yep.
52:28
Monday Night Football Revenge, Tyreek Hill is a full go.
52:34
They're going to smoke them.
52:36
They really are.
52:37
They're going to smoke them.
52:40
And then I've got Giants plus six.
52:44
Tommy DeVito also the Saints who are horrible at home.
52:53
Awful, atrocious.
52:55
Just, oh my God.
52:57
I don't think there's a worse team at home than the New Orleans Saints.
53:03
I really don't.
53:04
I think you're right.
53:05
I think they're, I don't know what it is, but they're horrible at home.
53:12
And Tommy DeVito has stolen my heart.
53:19
So Giants plus six, that's it.
53:21
That's the card.
53:22
Yep.
53:23
I got 10 plays this week.
53:26
They're all going to be winners.
53:28
I have Giants plus six written down.
53:30
I forgot to say it.
53:31
I skipped over it.
53:33
Giants can make the playoffs.
53:36
There's a path.
53:37
Yeah.
53:38
There's, there's, I was looking at it today doing this research and I was like,
53:42
man, the Giants kind of could do it.
53:46
If they won this, yeah, they won this game.
53:50
I think they play, who else they play?
53:52
They play someone else.
53:53
I know that they play the Eagles twice, but I thought they played someone else.
54:00
I don't, I'd have to look.
54:01
But this would also very greatly help out a future that I placed early in the season
54:07
of the Saints not to make the playoffs.
54:12
So if the, if the Giants just outright win here, I will be sitting pretty on that future,
54:20
which will be great.
54:22
Giants play Saints, obviously Eagles Rams Eagles and Eagles is weak 18.
54:30
Eagles might not care about that game.
54:33
They might just roll up.
54:34
They might roll out Marcus Marriota.
54:36
So this is, this is the time of year where it's very undetermined.
54:42
I want to make the playoffs so bad.
54:46
That'd be awesome.
54:48
Well, yeah, it'd be awesome, but like they'd get fucking bounced.
54:53
So some of the bucks, who cares?
54:57
I'm going to, I'm going to add that to, I'm going to add Giants plus six to my card.
55:00
I'm going to ride with the boys.
55:01
There we go.
55:03
All right.
55:05
So, this little number, yeah, you talking to me?
55:13
So, so take, take, all right.
55:25
So take away like all of this, all this Tommy DeVito hype.
55:33
Let's just say Daniel Jones is able to go for Sunday.
55:37
If you're the Giants, no, if you're the Giants, do you start Daniel Jones after paying him
55:41
all this money?
55:43
Yeah.
55:44
Well, you start him.
55:46
No, you rest him until the start of the next season.
55:49
Well, that's what you do.
55:51
Are we assuming, are we taking his torn ACL out of this?
55:55
Yeah, like, yeah.
55:56
Okay.
55:57
I was, I mean, no, why would you know you, you were sucked.
56:03
You were sucked with him and you're great without, not great.
56:06
You're playing very well without him.
56:10
Ride the hot hand.
56:11
Daniel Jones has never won a Monday night football game.
56:14
He also sucks.
56:15
Tommy DeVito did it in his first start on Monday night.
56:21
Yup.
56:22
What are we doing?
56:24
Okay.
56:25
I just, I don't know about that today.
56:28
There was a possibility.
56:30
Oh.
56:31
It was like, if, you know, they paid Daniel Jones all this money to stay because they
56:38
made the playoffs last year.
56:39
It's like, what has changed?
56:41
Why, why do they suck now?
56:44
Is it because Daniel Jones suck or is it something else?
56:47
I don't know.
56:48
But now that Tommy DeVito's in, I mean, they're fun to watch.
56:54
I think there, I think, I think there's like two.
57:01
Softmore slumps in the NFL.
57:04
And I know that term doesn't really make sense.
57:07
But you know when like a rookie quarterback is like really good in his rookie year and
57:13
he kind of has a slump in his second year, right?
57:16
Well, I think the same thing happens in a contract year and then versus when you get
57:22
paid and you just kind of have to find the rhythm again because the team is always changing
57:30
the coaching staff is always changing.
57:33
The NFL is just a constant moving machine that you kind of just have to adjust to what
57:42
you're given.
57:44
And I certainly don't think Daniel Jones is worth all that money.
57:50
But I, I think there's a good chance he's not the starting starting quarterback next
57:56
year.
57:57
I don't know what that would be.
58:00
They only have to pay him.
58:02
They only have to pay him next year.
58:05
So after next year, I'm pretty sure the way that contract is set up after next year, I'm
58:09
pretty sure they can cut him.
58:11
Really?
58:12
Yeah.
58:13
And it wouldn't, it wouldn't like be terrible.
58:16
I don't know.
58:17
I don't know if they are only paying him for next year, but that's what I've heard.
58:21
And I mean, hell, if you were born aligned the worst team in the national football
58:27
league with him, and then you're awesome with Tommy DeVito, I mean, hell man, just write
58:33
it.
58:34
Who cares?
58:35
You're probably like, say DeVito sucks, you're not going to be any better with Jones.
58:38
That guy, he's not a good quarterback.
58:40
He's just not.
58:41
We've seen it.
58:43
I think he, but also I don't, I don't want to like, I don't want to play into like this
58:52
fun, stereotypical quarterback like, right.
58:57
Like, like with Gardner Minshew when he was with the Jags, like Minshew Mania, it was
59:03
all the rage.
59:04
Every Jags fan got a cut out mustache.
59:07
It was fun.
59:08
You know, like every New York Giants fan is like, Hey, you know, it's like, I don't want
59:15
to buy into that hype as well.
59:19
But it could also, sorry.
59:21
No, go ahead.
59:22
Go ahead.
59:23
There's a chance like they just bring in a bridge guy, honestly, because like say DeVito
59:30
is not good.
59:31
I mean, which very well, like he's probably not, he's definitely not a franchise quarterback,
59:36
probably not, but they can bring in a bridge guy and just say, Hey, neither of these guys
59:41
are too good, but we're not really like, we don't have a great draft pick this year because
59:47
we've rattled off so many wins.
59:49
We're not going to get a great quarterback.
59:51
So let's bring in a bridge guy.
59:52
Let's get a guy next year.
59:54
I think that's more likely.
59:58
For sure.
1:00:00
There is definitely like a linsanity sort of factor here.
1:00:08
It just depends on if we decide to get caught up in it as well as the rest of the National
1:00:15
Football League.
1:00:18
But okay.
1:00:21
Is that the show?
1:00:22
Yeah.
1:00:23
Any more thoughts or prayers?
1:00:27
Not for me.
1:00:30
No, I don't think so.
1:00:32
Okay.
1:00:33
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1:01:42
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1:01:52
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