Latest / The Mark Simone Show / Mark interviews John Carney, Business Editor at Breitbart News.
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Let's get back to the Mark Simone show, Im WoT
- 0:04Speaker 1: Hey with us right now. The brilliant John Carney, he writes,
- 0:07Speaker 1: he's the editor of Breitbart Business Digest, which the smartest
- 0:11Speaker 1: people in business economists. They also the first thing they
- 0:14Speaker 1: read every day, the Breitbart Business Digest. And John Karney,
- 0:18Speaker 1: you can get it for free. It's a newsletter. It'll
- 0:21Speaker 1: come right to you. Just go to Breitbart dot com
- 0:24Speaker 1: and where it says newsletters, sign up for the Business Digest.
- 0:27Speaker 1: Very important to read that every day. Breitbart Business Digest.
- 0:31Speaker 1: John Carney, how.
- 0:32Speaker 2: You doing very good, Mark, thanks for having me.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Hey, these numbers that came out today inflation, consumer price.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Of course, the fake news will make it look like
- 0:42Speaker 1: disastrous numbers. What's the real story.
- 0:45Speaker 2: So the real story is something everybody knows. Gasoline prices
- 0:48Speaker 2: went up a lot during the Iran war. We have
- 0:51Speaker 2: the shutdown of the straight or for moves pushed up
- 0:55Speaker 2: gasoline prices, pushed up oil prices. But beyond that, the
- 1:00Speaker 2: numbers are actually really good. Their grocery prices fell zero
- 1:05Speaker 2: point two percent for the month. Overall inflation was up
- 1:09Speaker 2: just zero point two percent. That's actually less than what
- 1:13Speaker 2: was expected. So This is very much confined to gasoline,
- 1:20Speaker 2: other energy products a little bit, but really a story
- 1:24Speaker 2: where you had a lot of inflation of higher prices
- 1:29Speaker 2: in gas that didn't spread to the rest of the economy.
- 1:32Speaker 2: It's not a story of well, we're paying more for gas,
- 1:35Speaker 2: so other prices are going up. No. In fact, the
- 1:38Speaker 2: opposite looks like it's happening. We're getting a better supply
- 1:42Speaker 2: story in a lot of things. Prices aren't moving up.
- 1:45Speaker 2: It's really just gas prices.
- 1:47Speaker 1: And do you have any doubt that gas will come
- 1:50Speaker 1: right back down as soon as the Iran stuff is over.
- 1:54Speaker 2: Yeah, Look, it's already oil prices have fallen dramatically because
- 1:59Speaker 2: of just the ceasefire. We're not even really getting that
- 2:03Speaker 2: much oil through the straight of her mood yet. There's
- 2:06Speaker 2: a lot of unclarity about what's going on there. But
- 2:12Speaker 2: the prices have dropped from we were up near one
- 2:14Speaker 2: hundred and ten dollars barrel down to the into the nineties.
- 2:18Speaker 2: They'll probably drop further that will be reflected in gas prices.
- 2:24Speaker 2: So yes, that's going to come off very quickly, and
- 2:27Speaker 2: I think we're going to see some very good results
- 2:31Speaker 2: in the future when it comes to these inflation numbers. Again,
- 2:35Speaker 2: this is just a gasoline story.
- 2:37Speaker 1: Yeah, so we don't get oil from the Straits or
- 2:40Speaker 1: we really don't need it. I know, are US oil
- 2:43Speaker 1: they raise the prices to match the world price. But
- 2:45Speaker 1: couldn't they not do that? Could they just keep the
- 2:48Speaker 1: price where it is based on the fact that we
- 2:50Speaker 1: have plenty of oil.
- 2:52Speaker 2: Yeah, look, we do have plenty of oil. But actually,
- 2:55Speaker 2: one of the things that is that happens when the
- 2:58Speaker 2: price of oil goes up around the world is it
- 3:01Speaker 2: increases demand from other places for US oil. So Japan
- 3:08Speaker 2: can't get oil right now from the Persian Gulf, so
- 3:13Speaker 2: they're putting in orders for US oil. So that's why
- 3:18Speaker 2: our price went up, is people are turning to US.
- 3:21Speaker 2: I actually think there may be not a permanent increase
- 3:26Speaker 2: to oil prices from this, but a permanent shift in
- 3:30Speaker 2: demand towards the US. Meaning people who were from countries,
- 3:36Speaker 2: whether it's Japan, South Korea, even China that we're getting
- 3:39Speaker 2: a lot of their oil from the Persian Golf now
- 3:42Speaker 2: realize that that's not as secure as they thought, and
- 3:45Speaker 2: they're going to start saying we need to have better
- 3:48Speaker 2: relationships with US oil producers, so that we can get
- 3:52Speaker 2: more of it from there, not be as reliant as
- 3:54Speaker 2: we have been on the Persian Gulf. We do have
- 3:58Speaker 2: a problem in that the environmentalists have basically prevented us
- 4:03Speaker 2: from building a pipeline to the West coast, which would
- 4:06Speaker 2: make it much easier to you know, take our oil
- 4:09Speaker 2: from North Dakota, from Oklahoma, from Texas and bring it
- 4:13Speaker 2: into Asia right now, believe it or not, Mark the
- 4:18Speaker 2: oil goes all the way from the Gulf of Mexico,
- 4:22Speaker 2: all the way around South America and then up to Asia.
- 4:27Speaker 2: It's basically like a nineteenth century whaling ship has to
- 4:30Speaker 2: sail all the way around South America to get all
- 4:34Speaker 2: They can't even get through the Panama Canal because these
- 4:38Speaker 2: oil tankers are so big. In the Panama Canal is
- 4:40Speaker 2: one already, you know, basically stuffed to the gills with traffic.
- 4:44Speaker 2: And number two, it can't take the giant oil tankers.
- 4:47Speaker 2: It can take smaller ones. But the oil goes all
- 4:49Speaker 2: the way around, which is sort of mind blowing that
- 4:52Speaker 2: we're still doing that.
- 4:53Speaker 1: Well, So John Connie, the left yelling and screaming, look
- 4:56Speaker 1: what Trump did to the gas prices. Look what that's
- 4:58Speaker 1: doing to your pocketbook. But didn't the left do that
- 5:02Speaker 1: to your energy bill or electric bill used to be
- 5:05Speaker 1: one hundred dollars now it's five hundred. Isn't that what
- 5:07Speaker 1: the left did because of their green schemes and all
- 5:09Speaker 1: that stuff.
- 5:11Speaker 2: Oh yeah, Look, they want energy prices to be high.
- 5:15Speaker 2: They really want oil prices to be high. If they could,
- 5:20Speaker 2: if they could get their way, oil prices and gasoline
- 5:23Speaker 2: prices would be much higher. All you have to do
- 5:24Speaker 2: is look at where oil price, where gasoline is cheaper,
- 5:28Speaker 2: and where it's more expensive. It's super expensive in states
- 5:31Speaker 2: like California that have enormous taxes on gasoline. So they
- 5:37Speaker 2: would And why do they want gasoline to be expensive.
- 5:40Speaker 2: One they want people to stop using fossil fuels. Two.
- 5:44Speaker 2: When you get it, when you get the price of
- 5:47Speaker 2: gasoline to go up, it makes the idea of getting
- 5:50Speaker 2: an electric car a little bit more attractive because you say,
- 5:53Speaker 2: I wouldn't have to pay as much for gasoline. So
- 5:57Speaker 2: they're trying they want these things to be more expensive
- 6:00Speaker 2: so that their green scheme alternatives look relatively less expensive.
- 6:06Speaker 2: It's phony. When they complain about the price of gasoline
- 6:09Speaker 2: going up, they want it higher. And if they get
- 6:12Speaker 2: elected into office. Believe me, what we've seen right now
- 6:16Speaker 2: will be nothing compared to what we will be paying
- 6:19Speaker 2: for gasoline if we have a democratic Congress and a
- 6:23Speaker 2: democratic president.
- 6:24Speaker 1: Well, hey, John Carney, right by business. I just we've
- 6:27Speaker 1: been quoting you all week. We're talking about the stock market,
- 6:30Speaker 1: you know, crashing on the beginning of Iran. It's soaring,
- 6:34Speaker 1: and you called it an overreaction machine. I think that's
- 6:37Speaker 1: the best description of it. It really is, that, isn't it?
- 6:41Speaker 2: Absolutely Look one of the things that happens is investors
- 6:46Speaker 2: basically begin to overreact and then you get a recursiveness
- 6:51Speaker 2: because they see stocks starting to fall and you know,
- 6:55Speaker 2: they sold a little, and then they say, oh, it's
- 6:57Speaker 2: going down even more, I better sell more. So you
- 7:00Speaker 2: do get this over reaction, and then it also over
- 7:03Speaker 2: corrects the other way, where you get these huge jumps.
- 7:06Speaker 2: Over time, it tends to even out. Right, it's in
- 7:10Speaker 2: the short term it can look absolutely nuts. But when
- 7:14Speaker 2: we look back on and say stocks this year or
- 7:16Speaker 2: even last year, right, stockworker did really well last year
- 7:20Speaker 2: even though we had, you know, the Liberation Day reaction
- 7:23Speaker 2: where stocks crashed. So you know, my advice to everybody
- 7:28Speaker 2: is Look, unless you're a you know, like a trader
- 7:32Speaker 2: at a Wall Street firm or a hedge fund, and
- 7:35Speaker 2: you know you're trying to trade that little that volatility
- 7:38Speaker 2: that happens, you know, look past that stuff. What's going
- 7:42Speaker 2: to happen over the year is all of these ups
- 7:44Speaker 2: and downs will look very small compared to what the
- 7:48Speaker 2: actual trend of stocks.
- 7:50Speaker 1: Yeah, we went through this with terras remember that stock
- 7:53Speaker 1: market crash, and then we hit all the time eyes
- 7:55Speaker 1: after that.
- 7:55Speaker 2: So that's right, And what the reason is because ultimately
- 8:01Speaker 2: what stocks reflect is the shape is how the economy
- 8:05Speaker 2: is doing. The economy is actually doing quite well. We
- 8:08Speaker 2: have a lot of tailwinds in the economy right now
- 8:10Speaker 2: that are actually stronger than the higher price of gasolin. Yes,
- 8:14Speaker 2: higher price of gasoline is a drag on the economy,
- 8:18Speaker 2: but all of the Trump tax cuts that are hitting
- 8:21Speaker 2: right now, all of the deregulation that's hitting right now,
- 8:25Speaker 2: that's actually propelling the economy forward even stronger than the
- 8:29Speaker 2: higher gas prices are a drag. So I think we're
- 8:32Speaker 2: actually going to see accelerating growth through the year.
- 8:35Speaker 1: Wow, all right, that's a good note to end on.
- 8:37Speaker 1: Very good. John Cornie writes the for Breitbart Business Digests.
- 8:42Speaker 1: He's the editor and love reading it every day. Now.
- 8:45Speaker 1: The best way to get it you go to Breitbart
- 8:46Speaker 1: dot com right, go to newsletters.
- 8:48Speaker 2: Yep, go to newsletters. It's totally free. It comes to
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- 8:56Speaker 2: We do a kind of lighthearted weekly wrap of everything's happened.
- 9:00Speaker 2: So today's a good day to subscribe.
- 9:02Speaker 1: Yeah, go go to brightbart dot com, go to newsletters
- 9:05Speaker 1: and sign up for the bright Bart Business Digest. It's
- 9:08Speaker 1: excellent stuff. And read John Karney every day. You'll really
- 9:11Speaker 1: really learn a lot. John Carney, thanks for being with.
- 9:14Speaker 2: Us, Thanks for having me, Mark, take care.
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