Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Week 9 Leverage Lane | November 1, 2025 | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: All system's going clear the leftop. What's up everyone? Tyler
- 0:34Speaker 1: Tamberline here aka Totag and Tambo back for another edition
- 0:37Speaker 1: of Leverage Lane. Here on the ship at Nation YouTube Station.
- 0:40Speaker 1: Got my guy Alex Blinkel here with me as always,
- 0:43Speaker 1: gonna break down all things for this week nine slate
- 0:46Speaker 1: from a single entry GPP focused perspective, and we're gonna
- 0:49Speaker 1: do it the same way we always do. You're gonna
- 0:51Speaker 1: go down our lane. Like we said, it's not narrative street,
- 0:53Speaker 1: it's leverage Lane. We're gonna talk about ownership in a
- 0:56Speaker 1: way you probably don't hear it as often around the
- 0:58Speaker 1: Industry's gonna talk about how to leverage the common build
- 1:00Speaker 1: once we figure out how that comes together. And then
- 1:03Speaker 1: at the end we have the light at the end
- 1:04Speaker 1: of the lane and our leverage lane in the lane
- 1:07Speaker 1: that will be in this week when it comes to
- 1:08Speaker 1: single entry or somewhere close to so, Alex, I'll bring
- 1:11Speaker 1: you in man. How you doing this week? And how
- 1:13Speaker 1: was your week eight as we get into this.
- 1:15Speaker 2: Yeah, doing well? My week eight was was close to
- 1:18Speaker 2: being good. It was actually my worst PROPS week at
- 1:20Speaker 2: the last year and a half, last prop worst prop Sunday,
- 1:24Speaker 2: I should say NFL Sunday by the way, Yeah, it
- 1:28Speaker 2: got good throughout the week. We'll probably touch on that
- 1:30Speaker 2: in a bit, but it was close on the DFS
- 1:34Speaker 2: side of things. Last Sunday, my main slate, my main
- 1:37Speaker 2: slate lineup had a Daniel Jones triple that did not
- 1:40Speaker 2: have Jonathan Taylor, so it was good but not great.
- 1:42Speaker 2: Had Bjean bjon kind of killed it. My afternoon only
- 1:45Speaker 2: line it did really well, won a few tickets. It
- 1:47Speaker 2: was a Daniel Jones quad stack including Jonathan Taylor, so
- 1:51Speaker 2: that one did well. Had you Mary d kay As
- 1:53Speaker 2: to bring back. So I think that's kind of like
- 1:55Speaker 2: the the biggest takeaway that I had last week was,
- 2:00Speaker 2: you know, I had been sort of toying with this
- 2:02Speaker 2: idea of trying to be more all in on offenses
- 2:07Speaker 2: and all out on different offenses. Even that seemed like
- 2:10Speaker 2: they were in good spots and had multiple chalk pieces,
- 2:13Speaker 2: and I actually kind of went into last Sunday thinking, Okay,
- 2:16Speaker 2: that's something I want to do moving forward, but maybe
- 2:18Speaker 2: this isn't the week because they were offens, this is
- 2:20Speaker 2: in just awesome spots like think Atlanta against Miami. That
- 2:23Speaker 2: it felt really really bad if you were completely fading it.
- 2:26Speaker 2: But then man like, it turned out that was the
- 2:28Speaker 2: exact way to play last week. So it's going to
- 2:31Speaker 2: be kind of a theme of mine that I talked
- 2:33Speaker 2: about through this week. But but yeah, I also thought
- 2:36Speaker 2: last week was just a fun slate. It was an
- 2:39Speaker 2: exhausting slate from an ownership perspective. I felt like I
- 2:41Speaker 2: was uploading updates over and over and over. Hopefully we
- 2:45Speaker 2: don't get that again in the next day and a half.
- 2:48Speaker 2: But I really like this slate. I think the slate
- 2:52Speaker 2: that we have ahead of us has a lot of
- 2:53Speaker 2: really good leverage opportunities.
- 2:55Speaker 1: There's gonna be a time of talk to talk about here,
- 2:56Speaker 1: I know. So if you'll hate the slate, I'm seeing
- 2:58Speaker 1: posts Oliver x and in discords and things like that,
- 3:00Speaker 1: people not excited about having to figure it out. That
- 3:02Speaker 1: is the best part. So stick with us because that's
- 3:04Speaker 1: my favorite weeks when other people struggle to figure it out.
- 3:07Speaker 1: We all have the same puzzle, we all have the
- 3:09Speaker 1: same game. It's the best part of DFS. So let's
- 3:11Speaker 1: stick around and listen to that. If you like this show,
- 3:13Speaker 1: make sure you smash the like hit that thumbs up button,
- 3:16Speaker 1: subscribe to the channel as we continue to grow this
- 3:18Speaker 1: If you like content like this and free content in general,
- 3:21Speaker 1: this is the place for NFL dfs from people that
- 3:23Speaker 1: actually play, which is always great when you're looking at
- 3:25Speaker 1: these shows. So Alex, last week I had the the
- 3:28Speaker 1: Flacco stuff comes out right out of the gate, throws
- 3:30Speaker 1: Higgins the TD. I'm like, oh baby, here we go.
- 3:32Speaker 1: You remember at the end of the show, I was like,
- 3:34Speaker 1: I'm even adding Higgins. I'm good with this. Chase gets
- 3:36Speaker 1: a million targets in my What I ended up doing
- 3:39Speaker 1: was actually playing that with Breese Hall and Mason Taylor
- 3:42Speaker 1: and just going all in on that spot for one
- 3:44Speaker 1: hundred dollars single entry in my some of my main
- 3:46Speaker 1: stuff that I was in and it did not fully
- 3:48Speaker 1: work out, but it ended up being okay. But I
- 3:51Speaker 1: did have a story to tell you because this is
- 3:52Speaker 1: all you and I wanted to give you props live
- 3:54Speaker 1: on the show. I had a lineup on FanDuel. I
- 3:57Speaker 1: played one in the Juggernaut again the week before where
- 4:00Speaker 1: I'd come in and finished third place, and so I
- 4:03Speaker 1: brought it back. I played another lineup in it that week.
- 4:05Speaker 1: I kind of like, it's one hundred and sixty seven players.
- 4:07Speaker 1: So anyways, I overstacked the Tampa Bay New Orleans spot
- 4:11Speaker 1: with in a bit of a different way, but I
- 4:13Speaker 1: had Bijon and the Atlanta D and Barkley and Goddard,
- 4:17Speaker 1: and I kind of went in on like three spots.
- 4:19Speaker 1: Obviously Barkley and Goddard pretty good for Atlanta. For Bijon
- 4:23Speaker 1: and Atlanta nothing. It was like the lowest scores ever.
- 4:25Speaker 1: So what do I need to do? I need to
- 4:27Speaker 1: late swap. Been playing DFS a long time as have you.
- 4:31Speaker 1: What do we know when ten thousand dollars fan duel
- 4:33Speaker 1: Bijon fails, is that ten two hundred dollars Jonathan Taylor
- 4:37Speaker 1: is about to go off? So I'm like, how do
- 4:39Speaker 1: I get him into this lineup? And lo and behold
- 4:41Speaker 1: my guy Alex who talked me into this the week
- 4:43Speaker 1: before was cam Ward DK and Io Manor with the
- 4:49Speaker 1: JT runback. Just happened to land me on Troy Franklin
- 4:53Speaker 1: and it ended up having a shot, And you know,
- 4:55Speaker 1: people were teasing, oh, it wasn't that close. You only
- 4:56Speaker 1: got like seventh or fifth or whatever it was. It's
- 4:58Speaker 1: like it was actually a ke your way from one
- 5:01Speaker 1: hundred k with Tamir DK. We'll keep running the rhyme
- 5:04Speaker 1: off that I and at the end there's a picture
- 5:07Speaker 1: of it. It's like in his hands and then it's not.
- 5:10Speaker 1: And that was for He would have got the bonus,
- 5:13Speaker 1: the catch, the touchdown for both of them, and that
- 5:15Speaker 1: would have been enough to win first place. So I
- 5:17Speaker 1: appreciate you. It turned a zero dollar Tampa Bay, New
- 5:20Speaker 1: Orleans stack late swap into fifteen thousand over on FanDuel,
- 5:24Speaker 1: So it was nice week overall. Came back, had a
- 5:26Speaker 1: close call on the Monday night football slide, but we're
- 5:28Speaker 1: off and running, my man, So we've got some good
- 5:30Speaker 1: ideas here. I appreciate you, and I'm happy to get
- 5:32Speaker 1: into the this week. I think he got a ton
- 5:34Speaker 1: of good ideas. We talked a little bit pre show,
- 5:36Speaker 1: and we'll get to that throughout. But let's start as
- 5:39Speaker 1: we always do, with segment number one, which is ownership
- 5:42Speaker 1: and looking at sort of what we're seeing out there.
- 5:44Speaker 1: We've got a ton of news over the last day
- 5:46Speaker 1: or two that has brought some extremely high ownership, especially
- 5:49Speaker 1: as it retains to single entry and in the higher
- 5:52Speaker 1: dollars smaller field. However, you want to look at it
- 5:54Speaker 1: maybe both what is your thoughts and what are you
- 5:56Speaker 1: seeing as far as owners concerned? To start things off.
- 5:59Speaker 2: Here, Yeah, there's gonna be some extreme ownership this week.
- 6:03Speaker 2: I think. First of all, I think Kyle Manungai is
- 6:06Speaker 2: going to be in a tier of his own. We've
- 6:08Speaker 2: got him at fifty seven percent right now, and honestly,
- 6:10Speaker 2: it won't surprise me if I end up with him
- 6:13Speaker 2: over sixty five percent in single entries. Next is Jamar
- 6:17Speaker 2: Chase and Christian McCaffrey. So the fact that there are
- 6:20Speaker 2: two over eight thousand guys that that people are going
- 6:22Speaker 2: to flock to is actually you know, keeping them in
- 6:24Speaker 2: check a little bit. Like if there was no Jamar
- 6:26Speaker 2: Chase on the slate, McCaffrey might be right next to Manonga.
- 6:29Speaker 2: If there was no McCaffrey, Chase might be right next
- 6:31Speaker 2: to him andong guy. There's also Kuku Nakua at twenty
- 6:35Speaker 2: two and a half percent, who's holding both Chase and
- 6:37Speaker 2: McCaffrey back just a little bit. So we're I think
- 6:41Speaker 2: number one is like, we're going to see a lot
- 6:42Speaker 2: of that type of build, right It's how many of
- 6:46Speaker 2: these cheap running backs can I fit? So that I
- 6:48Speaker 2: can then spend up for whether it's Chase McCaffrey, So
- 6:53Speaker 2: we're going to try to get all the way to
- 6:54Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor. You know, there's going to be plenty on Pukah.
- 6:57Speaker 2: Well we'll see a bunch on Jamior Gibbs as well.
- 7:00Speaker 2: Like I actually think Junior gives a could push twenty
- 7:02Speaker 2: twenty five percent as the really popular, sneaky guy who
- 7:06Speaker 2: actually isn't that sneaky because everyone recognizes what crazy upside
- 7:10Speaker 2: he has at a bit of a discount compared to
- 7:12Speaker 2: those other really expensive guys. So yeah, to me, it's
- 7:15Speaker 2: it's just it's it's kind of all about these running backs,
- 7:19Speaker 2: and the only reason why guys like Tyrone Tracy Jalen
- 7:23Speaker 2: Warren aren't going to be even more popular, and we've
- 7:25Speaker 2: got Tracy, for example, twenty five percent. The only reason
- 7:28Speaker 2: why these guys aren't going to be more popular is
- 7:30Speaker 2: because there are so many of them, so it's kind
- 7:32Speaker 2: of spreading out the ownership. And it's also the position
- 7:35Speaker 2: where people want to pay up, So we're not going
- 7:37Speaker 2: to see, you know, too many lineups that are Manunguy
- 7:40Speaker 2: Tracy and Jalen Warre, Manunguy, Tracy and Kareem Hunt because
- 7:46Speaker 2: you know, some of the guys that people really want
- 7:48Speaker 2: to pay up for are running backs as well, so
- 7:50Speaker 2: you can't just pay down and running back and then
- 7:52Speaker 2: pay up elsewhere. But but yeah, it's it sets up
- 7:55Speaker 2: therefore as a as a week where you can either
- 7:57Speaker 2: get different by finding your favorite mid tier guys who
- 8:00Speaker 2: are ten percent and might slip to five percent. It's
- 8:03Speaker 2: a week where you can get different by just changing
- 8:06Speaker 2: a little bit, right, So maybe instead of uh, you know,
- 8:12Speaker 2: instead of Jamar Chase, you play Justin Jefferson or I'm
- 8:16Speaker 2: on rust Saint Brown, things of that nature. So lots
- 8:18Speaker 2: of really kind of fun, exciting ways to get different,
- 8:21Speaker 2: you know, in this week where ordinarily it wouldn't feel
- 8:24Speaker 2: like you're doing something super contrariant if you're playing a
- 8:26Speaker 2: Nico Collins, right, Like Nico Collins has gone for twenty
- 8:29Speaker 2: eight plus in twenty seven percent of his games over
- 8:32Speaker 2: the last three years, and he's going to be three
- 8:34Speaker 2: percent own something like that in single entries. So lots
- 8:37Speaker 2: lots of fun and exciting ways to build this week.
- 8:39Speaker 1: That's part of the reason I love this slight because
- 8:41Speaker 1: when you said that, it's just so hilarious to me.
- 8:43Speaker 1: It's like, yeah, you know, you talk about all those
- 8:44Speaker 1: popular running backs and you know how people want to
- 8:47Speaker 1: get to them, and literally people are rushing to go
- 8:50Speaker 1: play all these guys, to go play all the same
- 8:53Speaker 1: guys as everybody. It's like, so let me plug in
- 8:55Speaker 1: the cheap running backs, which there's definitely a guy like
- 8:57Speaker 1: Manung Guy is a special case this week where it's obviously,
- 9:00Speaker 1: you know, a high ownership an extreme, but that's the
- 9:03Speaker 1: extreme that we wait on, Like you don't get that
- 9:05Speaker 1: very often. I'm not saying just lock them everywhere, but
- 9:07Speaker 1: I'm just noting that that is a spot that you
- 9:09Speaker 1: have to recognize. Sometimes this chalk just formulates for no reason.
- 9:13Speaker 1: We talk about a ton of the times on the show,
- 9:15Speaker 1: but this is forming for a very good reason, and
- 9:17Speaker 1: that's why the ownership is landing there. People can figure
- 9:19Speaker 1: it out with plenty of time before the slate starts.
- 9:21Speaker 1: So just noting that. It's just it's the second part
- 9:24Speaker 1: where I think people mess it up. It's like, Okay,
- 9:26Speaker 1: now I feel so good about this, but then they
- 9:29Speaker 1: go jam all the stuff everybody else feels good about.
- 9:31Speaker 1: Now you just landed in the exact same spot as everyone.
- 9:34Speaker 1: I'm excited that you can find that stuff and now
- 9:36Speaker 1: go find ways to get different elsewhere. And again where
- 9:40Speaker 1: we say we talk about it differently the most and
- 9:42Speaker 1: this is something I don't see talk about a ton is.
- 9:44Speaker 1: Most people use that to say, oh, I know, let
- 9:47Speaker 1: me go run it into these different plays. But for us,
- 9:50Speaker 1: typically it's gonna not be about the plays. Those the
- 9:53Speaker 1: plays of the end result of the process. The process
- 9:56Speaker 1: is for me to go and find what's different on
- 10:00Speaker 1: this slate. And I think roster construction is gonna be
- 10:02Speaker 1: what's different. I think it's gonna end up being. And
- 10:04Speaker 1: again we're getting ahead of ourselves here. We'll get to
- 10:06Speaker 1: the common build. It kind of formulates itself, and we'll
- 10:08Speaker 1: get to our stuff at the end. But I think
- 10:10Speaker 1: it's gonna be some differences whether it's a double tight end,
- 10:13Speaker 1: because there's some extremely mid range tight ends. Yeah, but
- 10:16Speaker 1: you got those running backs, you do. But if they
- 10:18Speaker 1: get beat at thirty percent ownership to a tight end
- 10:20Speaker 1: at the same price that fits a game stack, that
- 10:22Speaker 1: could happen. Triple stacks, not not triples, quite like quadruples.
- 10:27Speaker 1: Your quarterback plus three for example, because oh I'm gonna
- 10:30Speaker 1: play Jackson, Dart and Wandale. Did you know he gets
- 10:33Speaker 1: a lot of targets when this is the case, Yes,
- 10:35Speaker 1: we did know. Everybody knows. But everyone is gonna play
- 10:37Speaker 1: Dart and Robinson and stop and then they're dead. When
- 10:41Speaker 1: a four man stack that needs THEO Johnson and Darius
- 10:44Speaker 1: Slayton and him and they all get there, and that's
- 10:46Speaker 1: a completely different build now for the type. So again
- 10:49Speaker 1: that's where I think people struggle with it all. It's
- 10:51Speaker 1: it's in single entry. Everybody only has one lineup. So
- 10:55Speaker 1: I'll kick it back to you on this and let's
- 10:56Speaker 1: talk about the quarterbacks quarterback ownership a little bit, just
- 10:59Speaker 1: so we get that at the top two where people
- 11:00Speaker 1: start often as for stacks. But remember last week we
- 11:03Speaker 1: talked about this, and I think it's still pretty true.
- 11:06Speaker 1: Is like Beijon busted, Like, yes, some chalk did, some didn't.
- 11:09Speaker 1: And that's every week, by the way, but just noting
- 11:11Speaker 1: it some weeks like that. In single entry, you kind
- 11:14Speaker 1: of want to just look for ceiling spots, you know,
- 11:18Speaker 1: like build a construction that has the ceiling where if
- 11:20Speaker 1: it really goes off and the other stuff fails, you've
- 11:23Speaker 1: got a huge opportunity where that's where when people are like,
- 11:25Speaker 1: you can get away with more in a single entry,
- 11:27Speaker 1: it's you can but versus the top score and a
- 11:30Speaker 1: twenty dollars million maker. But what you're really thinking that
- 11:33Speaker 1: the process thought actually is is that you can get
- 11:36Speaker 1: away with more in a single entry if the chalk busts,
- 11:40Speaker 1: because the chalk is so heavily condensed that it's like,
- 11:42Speaker 1: even if one or two of those spots bust, you
- 11:44Speaker 1: could be way ahead of the pack with two to
- 11:46Speaker 1: three outliers that end up hitting their ceilings. So you
- 11:49Speaker 1: got to still build and correlate. You got to still
- 11:51Speaker 1: look for opportunity. But I'll kick it back to you
- 11:53Speaker 1: on that and then let's talk about the quarterbacks after.
- 11:56Speaker 2: Yeah, I think I definitely agree there, And i'd also
- 11:59Speaker 2: say this week for quarterback ownership, I think it's kind
- 12:03Speaker 2: of hard to nail down because I see, like this
- 12:08Speaker 2: is this is always the case of some degree, but
- 12:10Speaker 2: especially this week, it feels to me like quarterback ownership
- 12:12Speaker 2: is going to be driven by where people want to
- 12:14Speaker 2: go over stacks more than the actual quarterbacks themselves. So like,
- 12:18Speaker 2: I think the two exceptions are Jackson Dart and Drake
- 12:21Speaker 2: May Dart is definitely going to get plenty of ownership.
- 12:24Speaker 2: I don't think May is going to get a lot
- 12:26Speaker 2: of ownership. But I don't think that for May because
- 12:30Speaker 2: people don't know who to stack with him. Do you
- 12:32Speaker 2: go to Booty, do you go to Diggs, go to
- 12:33Speaker 2: Hunter Henry? If you go to Hunter Henry, now you're
- 12:36Speaker 2: missing out on a lot of like really kind of
- 12:38Speaker 2: Studley tight ends at you know, a thousand dollars cheaper
- 12:41Speaker 2: than what we've been able to play them out over
- 12:43Speaker 2: the last few years. So to me, like it ends
- 12:46Speaker 2: up okay. People are people like both Dart and May
- 12:50Speaker 2: for how they project given their price, what they're sealing
- 12:54Speaker 2: is individually. But then Dart people actually like the guys
- 12:58Speaker 2: that he's throwing to. They like the Johnson, they like
- 13:00Speaker 2: Onandale Robinson, they like Tyrone Tracy. You can put him
- 13:03Speaker 2: in a stack with Dart. We've seen how many you know,
- 13:05Speaker 2: receiving touchdown Skataboo had had over the last several weeks.
- 13:08Speaker 2: So he then becomes really popular. People don't really want
- 13:12Speaker 2: to play Diggs too much. They don't want to play Booty,
- 13:15Speaker 2: they don't want to play Henry, they don't want to
- 13:17Speaker 2: play to Mario Douglas. They don't know where the production
- 13:19Speaker 2: is going from Drake May, so then he ends up
- 13:21Speaker 2: potentially five percent, even though people would love to play
- 13:25Speaker 2: May along with with Dart. So I think Dark gets ownership.
- 13:29Speaker 2: I think Caleb Williams gets ownership. The matchup with Cincinnati
- 13:33Speaker 2: is great. Trey Hendrickson also out for Cincinnati, so like
- 13:36Speaker 2: this awful defense. They're at negative twenty five percent DV away,
- 13:40Speaker 2: which is on track to be like literally one of,
- 13:43Speaker 2: if not the worst defenses of all time, and now
- 13:47Speaker 2: they're without Trey Hendrickson. So we definitely want a Bear
- 13:51Speaker 2: in some way, I think. But yeah, do you play
- 13:56Speaker 2: him with Roma Dunsa, dj Moore Lamada as a key?
- 13:59Speaker 2: Is how important is it that Luther Burden is out?
- 14:02Speaker 2: I don't really know. And then the other option you
- 14:04Speaker 2: can do is you can just flip it. You can say, okay,
- 14:06Speaker 2: I'll play Manungui and Dunsay or just mnung guy and
- 14:10Speaker 2: then use him as a bringback to Flacco stuff. So
- 14:13Speaker 2: I think that if Flacco gets that full bill of health,
- 14:15Speaker 2: he actually could end up as one of the more
- 14:18Speaker 2: popular quarterbacks. I really want to kind of watch out
- 14:20Speaker 2: for his steam I know right now I'm well over
- 14:24Speaker 2: industry on his ownership projection at just eight percent, but
- 14:27Speaker 2: that might go to twelve percent, fifteen percent. If I'm
- 14:30Speaker 2: seeing the steam on Chase and Higgins the way that
- 14:33Speaker 2: we think, the way I think we might, I don't
- 14:35Speaker 2: know if people will be okay just playing just playing
- 14:38Speaker 2: Flacco with Chase, so to me, like the big indicator
- 14:42Speaker 2: is what am I seeing on Higgins. If Higgins is
- 14:45Speaker 2: getting any kind of interest, the vast majority of an
- 14:48Speaker 2: interest is going to be double sacks with Flacco, So
- 14:50Speaker 2: that would make me bring Flaco away up as well.
- 14:52Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't see him getting a ton right now,
- 14:54Speaker 1: but I think you nailed it. If people go there,
- 14:55Speaker 1: I feel like they go there, and that's the setup.
- 14:57Speaker 1: I did see some of the stats posted about Jamar
- 15:00Speaker 1: Chase and T Higgins and the records and different things
- 15:02Speaker 1: like that, like Higgins I think needs forty five yards
- 15:05Speaker 1: or something like that for the five K, but people
- 15:07Speaker 1: forget too, Like that's first of all, it's not week
- 15:09Speaker 1: seventeen week eighteen where we're talking money incentives. But also again,
- 15:13Speaker 1: he's gonna get that at some point. I don't imagine
- 15:15Speaker 1: Higgins is not gonna catch forty five more yards in
- 15:17Speaker 1: his career in the NFL. So I don't think it's
- 15:20Speaker 1: like that type of stuff. It doesn't mean it's happening
- 15:22Speaker 1: this week. It probably does, but it's also like it
- 15:24Speaker 1: could be the last week he had a forty four
- 15:26Speaker 1: yard catch for a touchdown. That was it. That's not
- 15:28Speaker 1: enough to do anything for you in tournaments. It's helpful,
- 15:31Speaker 1: but I can promise you from my own lineup last week,
- 15:33Speaker 1: it's not enough. It was nice that brese All wanted
- 15:35Speaker 1: to add to that total at a lower ownership. But
- 15:37Speaker 1: let me just add a few more things quick, and
- 15:39Speaker 1: we'll round this up and get to the common build
- 15:40Speaker 1: and how the chalk is connected. But one thing that's interesting,
- 15:44Speaker 1: tight end pretty spread out. I think even defense. I
- 15:47Speaker 1: think on defense you could see, you know, the chargers
- 15:50Speaker 1: and the rams pop up a little bit for the
- 15:52Speaker 1: expensive ones, maybe the giants for the cheapies. But I
- 15:55Speaker 1: think we'll see that. But there was something else I
- 15:58Speaker 1: want to talk about. Oh yeah, do you think Caleb
- 16:02Speaker 1: gets some natural boost? I know you mentioned him coming
- 16:04Speaker 1: in kind of like second to Jackson Dart, but I
- 16:06Speaker 1: think that's also because you could pair him with Manung Guy,
- 16:09Speaker 1: but there will also be people that want to leverage
- 16:11Speaker 1: Mnung Guy through the passing stack and the fact that
- 16:14Speaker 1: burden's already out, and I think you can do that,
- 16:16Speaker 1: and there is different ways, Like if you have a
- 16:19Speaker 1: o'doons and a guy I like Loveland last week, I
- 16:23Speaker 1: think o Z. I know, I think he was questionable
- 16:25Speaker 1: as well, but seems to be fine now. So if
- 16:26Speaker 1: you got Zakiyas in there, there's definitely ways to go
- 16:29Speaker 1: with the Caleb stack cheap. Again, maybe it's a quadruple
- 16:32Speaker 1: stack that includes Manunguy, but I'm just saying as ways
- 16:35Speaker 1: to get different whether leveraging him or not, I think
- 16:37Speaker 1: that could boost him some. I also want to say,
- 16:39Speaker 1: and then kick him back to you for thoughts on
- 16:40Speaker 1: this running back stuff. I feel like Tracy, because of
- 16:45Speaker 1: the dart stuff, could end up actually getting held in check,
- 16:48Speaker 1: just not being the one that's boosted. Because if you
- 16:50Speaker 1: put Manong Guy with call it CMC for ease of use,
- 16:53Speaker 1: because it's most likely there's only one more spot that
- 16:55Speaker 1: you can play a running back, so it and then
- 16:57Speaker 1: you have a roulette wheel of all these different opts
- 17:00Speaker 1: that we talked about. So I feel like Tracy's more
- 17:03Speaker 1: held in check. And then the guy I think could
- 17:06Speaker 1: roll back a little bit or moonwalk as our late
- 17:08Speaker 1: friend degenerate seventy five would say, shut up to him,
- 17:10Speaker 1: he would say moonwalk back is Jalen Warren, because how
- 17:14Speaker 1: does he get in there? Like if it's you still
- 17:16Speaker 1: have Kareem Hunt in a reasonable price range where remember
- 17:19Speaker 1: if people are on Jackson Dart or Mahomes or whatever
- 17:22Speaker 1: or sorry Jackson Dart or Caleb Williams and they're not
- 17:24Speaker 1: on Mahomes, they may want a piece of that game.
- 17:27Speaker 1: And I doubt it's from the James cook side. We
- 17:29Speaker 1: saw that work last week when people didn't want him
- 17:31Speaker 1: worked out pretty well. But just noting it, I think
- 17:33Speaker 1: when you think Hunt is in the mix and you
- 17:36Speaker 1: and he's only forty seven hundred, and then you think
- 17:38Speaker 1: about Tracy at least being somewhere in that realm, I
- 17:42Speaker 1: gotta think Warren just comes back a little bit. What's
- 17:44Speaker 1: your thoughts on Jalen Warren here at fifty five hundred
- 17:47Speaker 1: and any of the other stuff I mentioned there, quarterback
- 17:48Speaker 1: and whatnot.
- 17:49Speaker 2: Yeah, very much agree. I only have Warren around fifteen percent,
- 17:52Speaker 2: and that could honestly come down even further. It's not
- 17:55Speaker 2: just that you've got Hunt down there, it's also Kamani
- 17:57Speaker 2: Vidal against Tennessee with his backups out. That's a phenomenal spot.
- 18:02Speaker 2: People are going to go there. You got James Cook
- 18:04Speaker 2: coming off a huge game. You've got Jamior Gibbs, as
- 18:07Speaker 2: I mentioned, v jon Robinson. People are going to want
- 18:10Speaker 2: to try to get to Jonathan Taylor if they can
- 18:11Speaker 2: afford him at ninety eight hundred dollars. You've got Chase
- 18:15Speaker 2: Brown in the matchup with Chicago coming off one of
- 18:17Speaker 2: his better games. There are just so many ways that
- 18:21Speaker 2: people can go at running back. And I think we're
- 18:24Speaker 2: also going to see a fair amount of double tight
- 18:27Speaker 2: end because you know, I'm above market on Kittle and
- 18:31Speaker 2: Bowers especially, but George Kittle forty eight hundred and a
- 18:37Speaker 2: good matchup brought Bowers potentially healthy at five thousand dollars
- 18:41Speaker 2: like these are not prices that we have been able
- 18:43Speaker 2: to play stud tight ends at in probably four or
- 18:47Speaker 2: five years. And you know, the stud tight ends got
- 18:50Speaker 2: to sixty five hundred dollars seven thousand dollars for reasons
- 18:53Speaker 2: because we kept playing them and we kept benefiting from them,
- 18:56Speaker 2: because they give you a ceiling that the cheap guys
- 19:00Speaker 2: just can't ever provide a position whereas you know, every
- 19:03Speaker 2: now and then you're going to find an Alec Pierce
- 19:06Speaker 2: or a Chimary DK that gets you access to a
- 19:09Speaker 2: real ceiling at the wide receiver position from down in
- 19:11Speaker 2: this cheap range, you can't usually get that from the
- 19:15Speaker 2: tight ends because even if they score twice, it's like
- 19:17Speaker 2: four for boarding in two touchdowns. That doesn't get you
- 19:20Speaker 2: that twenty five point explosion. So yeah, I think I
- 19:24Speaker 2: think we could absolutely see a lot of double tight
- 19:28Speaker 2: end this week. Whether it's Kittle and Bowers, I think
- 19:31Speaker 2: we'll see a lot of THEO Johnson paired with Jackson Dart.
- 19:34Speaker 2: The Niners, especially like they have struggled immensely over the
- 19:37Speaker 2: middle of the field. Last week it was something like
- 19:40Speaker 2: ten for ten for one hundred and forty seven yards
- 19:42Speaker 2: and two touchdowns over the middle of the field against them,
- 19:44Speaker 2: something like that. It's been all Theo Johnson and Wandale
- 19:47Speaker 2: Robinson over the middle. So it's no surprise that those
- 19:49Speaker 2: guys are getting the attention they're getting this week. But
- 19:51Speaker 2: I also think that they're in a really good spot.
- 19:54Speaker 2: So if you want to play Dart, I think you
- 19:55Speaker 2: just have to overstack it. Like for me, I'd probably
- 19:58Speaker 2: go Dart with Wandale Theo and Darius Lane. Give you that,
- 20:03Speaker 2: get yourself that access to the explosive play with Dart
- 20:06Speaker 2: and kind of just go all in. But yeah, I
- 20:09Speaker 2: think everything else I'm in agreement as well. I think
- 20:12Speaker 2: Tyler Warren could get some ownership, Travis Kelsey could get
- 20:16Speaker 2: some ownership, Tucker Craft, Aronick Gadsden. But the thing is, like,
- 20:19Speaker 2: because all of these guys are there, even if someone
- 20:23Speaker 2: steams to the most popular like, it's probably getting to
- 20:26Speaker 2: twenty maybe twenty five percent, not thirty thirty five. And
- 20:30Speaker 2: it also means anyone who does steam there are also
- 20:34Speaker 2: some really really good explosive names like Craft, Gadsdon, whoever
- 20:38Speaker 2: that's being left behind probably sub ten percent. So the
- 20:42Speaker 2: tight end position in the running back position, I think
- 20:44Speaker 2: could take the vast majority of the Flex this week. Like,
- 20:46Speaker 2: it wouldn't surprise me if we see something like sixty
- 20:49Speaker 2: percent running back in the flex, twenty five percent tight
- 20:52Speaker 2: end in the flex, and fifteen percent wide receiver in
- 20:54Speaker 2: the flex or something kind of crazy like that.
- 20:56Speaker 1: Yeah, which we'll talk about later when we you know
- 20:58Speaker 1: in segment two when we get there's what we get
- 21:00Speaker 1: to the segment two where we talk about the common build,
- 21:02Speaker 1: how it's all connected and what we've gone through here.
- 21:05Speaker 1: The last conversation we touched on just a little. So
- 21:07Speaker 1: I want to have a further piece on this one
- 21:08Speaker 1: because I know people are wondering it and you know,
- 21:11Speaker 1: and they just got smoked by it last week. In
- 21:13Speaker 1: some cases some benefited from it. But was the Jonathan
- 21:16Speaker 1: Taylor piece. He's up to ninety eight hundred. Now, you
- 21:18Speaker 1: made a good point there of like other stuff that
- 21:20Speaker 1: we do is when you play guys and they get
- 21:22Speaker 1: there and they continuously get there and crush, It's like
- 21:24Speaker 1: we need to get them to these prices we were
- 21:27Speaker 1: seeing a little bit this week. We got another boost
- 21:29Speaker 1: on Chase. We talked about it last week, where you know,
- 21:31Speaker 1: was the price right or was it corrected or was
- 21:33Speaker 1: it still wrong in some places? I mean, he got
- 21:35Speaker 1: a million targets again. So we're waiting on the Flaco
- 21:38Speaker 1: Bill of Health, like you said, but expecting it to
- 21:40Speaker 1: be there. We could see another big game for Chase.
- 21:42Speaker 1: But going back to Jonathan Taylor, and the reason I
- 21:44Speaker 1: thought of is because the Tyler Warren piece is just
- 21:47Speaker 1: interesting because he's in a good spot here again, I
- 21:49Speaker 1: think too. And also a few weeks ago when he
- 21:52Speaker 1: was getting two goal line carries, everyone's all he should
- 21:54Speaker 1: be like a seven k tight end. It's like his
- 21:56Speaker 1: price is not really that high. It's fifty five hundred,
- 21:58Speaker 1: so it's higher for the tight end range. Tucker Kraft
- 22:01Speaker 1: fifty seven who crushed last week, and guys like Dad
- 22:04Speaker 1: send up the fifty three hundred now, so they are
- 22:05Speaker 1: adjusting some of these prices, but still very fair. What
- 22:08Speaker 1: is your thoughts on Jonathan Taylor and how he looks
- 22:11Speaker 1: in these lineups? How much is you know, is it
- 22:13Speaker 1: the right price? Too expensive to play now? How does
- 22:16Speaker 1: that work for you and your mind? When it comes
- 22:18Speaker 1: to single entry.
- 22:19Speaker 2: It's hard because on the one hand, like he's doing
- 22:23Speaker 2: this week in week out, and this Indianapolis offense is
- 22:27Speaker 2: doing it week in and week out. The problem that
- 22:29Speaker 2: I have with it is you can't count on an
- 22:32Speaker 2: eighty yard touchdown every week and he's hit these like
- 22:35Speaker 2: explosive touchdowns at such a crazy high rate. Seguan did
- 22:39Speaker 2: it all year. Last year. It was literally a historically
- 22:42Speaker 2: good season, especially from an explosive rushing standpoint, and now
- 22:45Speaker 2: he comes out this year and it was until Week
- 22:49Speaker 2: eight that he had his first twenty plus yard rush
- 22:52Speaker 2: of the entire season. So it's just an incredibly difficult
- 22:55Speaker 2: thing to sustain. The flip side of that is, Okay,
- 23:00Speaker 2: that means if we're not going to Jonathan Taylor, what
- 23:02Speaker 2: should we do with the offense as a whole? And so,
- 23:04Speaker 2: to me, like the big mistake that the field seems
- 23:06Speaker 2: to be making this week is that nobody is then
- 23:10Speaker 2: going to the passing game where if Jonathan Taylor is
- 23:14Speaker 2: going to be less than ten percent own, what are
- 23:16Speaker 2: you saying. You're saying, Okay, Jonathan Taylor's not going to
- 23:18Speaker 2: repeat this one hundred and fifty plus yard three touchdown
- 23:22Speaker 2: week every single week. But if that's the case, then
- 23:25Speaker 2: think about what that leaves for this Daniel Jones offense.
- 23:28Speaker 2: Because the Colts just keep putting up points over and
- 23:31Speaker 2: over and over. They're succeeding through the air. They've been
- 23:34Speaker 2: a historically good first down offense from a yards per
- 23:38Speaker 2: play standpoint. I think they're like second best in the
- 23:40Speaker 2: last fifty years or something like that. So they're going
- 23:42Speaker 2: to continue to score Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh boosts opponent play volume
- 23:47Speaker 2: more than any other team in the league, So this
- 23:49Speaker 2: Colts offense should run a lot of plays. Fantasy production
- 23:53Speaker 2: is going to come from them. If you're saying that
- 23:54Speaker 2: Jonathan Taylor can't get there because he's just too expensive,
- 23:57Speaker 2: then I think you should be saying, or you should
- 24:00Speaker 2: at least be asking the question, what happens if Jonathan
- 24:04Speaker 2: Taylor doesn't have a multi touchdown game this week? And
- 24:07Speaker 2: to me, the answer is, all right, this could stack
- 24:08Speaker 2: goes crazy. So to me, like one of the two
- 24:12Speaker 2: is without question drastically under around. Either we should be
- 24:16Speaker 2: doing more to get Jonathan Taylor in and hoping that
- 24:19Speaker 2: he just continues it. And you make this point at
- 24:21Speaker 2: the time, like we don't need one hundred eighty yards
- 24:23Speaker 2: and three touchdowns. If he goes for one fifty and two.
- 24:26Speaker 2: It's not quite matching what he's done in the past
- 24:28Speaker 2: few weeks, but it's still great. It still could be
- 24:31Speaker 2: the best running back score of the week by you know,
- 24:34Speaker 2: five plus points. Or we should be saying, if I'm
- 24:37Speaker 2: not going to Jonathan Taylor, I'll just stack this office.
- 24:39Speaker 1: Well, that's the thing. I don't think I mean, you
- 24:41Speaker 1: nailed it, But also like, I don't think people look
- 24:43Speaker 1: at that enough. And I try and explain this all
- 24:45Speaker 1: the time to people, you know, going through it with them.
- 24:47Speaker 1: Is it's fine to say I'm not gonna get to
- 24:49Speaker 1: JT this week because he's ninety eight hundred, he doesn't
- 24:51Speaker 1: fit by bills. Think about what you always say, they'll
- 24:53Speaker 1: say to me, they'll say, Tamball. You always say, there's
- 24:55Speaker 1: like nine good options on the slate, there's tons you
- 24:57Speaker 1: can find and said, yes, all true, But then what
- 25:00Speaker 1: does that mean? So step one is that you've decided that.
- 25:02Speaker 1: That's part of staying in your lane is making a decision.
- 25:05Speaker 1: So that's your lane. That's fair, second lane, you know,
- 25:08Speaker 1: or second whatever. You're moving up in the lane. Now
- 25:10Speaker 1: towards the end of it, as we get through the show, Okay,
- 25:13Speaker 1: well let me look at the Colts. Then what's gonna
- 25:14Speaker 1: happen here? Well, they're facing a terrible passing defense. Like literally,
- 25:17Speaker 1: what would be the difference between Aaron Rodgers versus Joe
- 25:20Speaker 1: Flacco and a sixty plus point score sixty plus points
- 25:24Speaker 1: scored and Daniel Jones versus Aaron Rodgers this season, there's
- 25:28Speaker 1: tons of opportunity. You could see it go back and forth.
- 25:30Speaker 1: It's not like the Colts haven't been passed all over
- 25:33Speaker 1: and broken down in a ton of different ways, So
- 25:35Speaker 1: I mean it could be that. And then on top
- 25:37Speaker 1: of it, it's like, oh, Daniel Jones, is he hard
- 25:40Speaker 1: to stack? Well, wait a minute, He's not at all,
- 25:42Speaker 1: especially if I'm not playing Jonathan Taylor. It's I've got
- 25:44Speaker 1: Pittman downs Pierce Warren. Is there other guys? Yes? Could
- 25:48Speaker 1: there be other guys? Yes? But is it easy to
- 25:49Speaker 1: stack up? Yes? Is the past defense horrible? I'm looking
- 25:52Speaker 1: at the stone over at Shipper Nation. It's horrible for
- 25:54Speaker 1: the for the Steelers, Like, you could definitely see this
- 25:57Speaker 1: go back and forth. But it's when people decide no
- 25:59Speaker 1: to something, they don't go down the extra part of
- 26:02Speaker 1: the road the lane and say, okay, I'm not thinking
- 26:05Speaker 1: about the rest now. On the flip side of that,
- 26:09Speaker 1: you could flip it in that same game and not
- 26:12Speaker 1: changing the strategy, but just saying that's why the Warren
- 26:15Speaker 1: stuff is tricky and why we mentioned earlier, and even
- 26:17Speaker 1: on the other like, Okay, if I was going Aaron Rodgers,
- 26:20Speaker 1: is it metcalf Austin. We've seen this kid Roman Wilson
- 26:23Speaker 1: get more involved. Oh, I would have loved the tight
- 26:26Speaker 1: end against the Colts. We saw guys like Gadson just
- 26:28Speaker 1: light them up and others and then it's like, oh
- 26:30Speaker 1: but wait, Friar Muth is healthy now and they've got
- 26:32Speaker 1: john Us Smith and you know the only guy that
- 26:35Speaker 1: can break the gen Z sixty seven is Darnell Washington
- 26:39Speaker 1: at six' eight when you get into The. Enzo so
- 26:41Speaker 1: they literally have all these guys that they can use
- 26:43Speaker 1: and that's what makes. Pee so if that was your,
- 26:46Speaker 1: spot that's where Maybe alex you, say oh, man, yeah
- 26:49Speaker 1: that's you, Know i'm not doing, this But i'm also
- 26:50Speaker 1: probably not doing. That but what's hilarious is when people
- 26:53Speaker 1: aren't Doing Jonathan taylor because there's so many other running
- 26:56Speaker 1: backs that can beat. Him it doesn't seem like they're
- 26:58Speaker 1: accounting for what could be thirty thirty points The colts
- 27:01Speaker 1: put up. Here and you have to do that in
- 27:03Speaker 1: this situation because there's. Opportunity there's gonna be points, scored most,
- 27:07Speaker 1: likely and there is ways to access them that are
- 27:10Speaker 1: easier to figure out or more condensed than in some.
- 27:14Speaker 1: Ranges so like other teams in different different, Packages SO
- 27:17Speaker 1: i think that's important to remember anything else you want
- 27:19Speaker 1: to touch on before we get to the common. BUILD
- 27:21Speaker 1: i think it's going to be quite clear on how
- 27:23Speaker 1: we kind of land on, It but anything else we
- 27:25Speaker 1: missed before we get into that, NOW i think we
- 27:27Speaker 1: covered it all all, Right so let me start it.
- 27:29Speaker 1: Off then we've got manan guy for, Sure we've GOT.
- 27:33Speaker 1: CMC i think we can put at LEAST cmc in.
- 27:35Speaker 1: There we'll. See maybe you think It's Chase Jamar chase
- 27:38Speaker 1: that is, instead BUT cmc fits. It and THEN i
- 27:41Speaker 1: think it's Like Jackson dart and other you, know whatever
- 27:44Speaker 1: else you. Decide but what are you sort of seeing
- 27:46Speaker 1: putting all that together when it comes to the common
- 27:49Speaker 1: build before we start talking about how we can flip
- 27:50Speaker 1: it and get different in game stacks and combinations and
- 27:53Speaker 1: things like, that what are you?
- 27:54Speaker 2: Seeing, HONESTLY i think you could put all three in.
- 27:57Speaker 2: There you could Start, manungai McCaffrey And chase and then, say,
- 28:01Speaker 2: okay how are people doing? This and you have multiple.
- 28:03Speaker 2: Options you can do that with A Kayla williams. Stack
- 28:06Speaker 2: you can do that with A joe. Flaccostack you can
- 28:08Speaker 2: very very easily do it with The Jackson dart. Stack
- 28:12Speaker 2: SO i think from, there, like you, know it's kind
- 28:15Speaker 2: of just choose your. Fighter but that's the kind of
- 28:18Speaker 2: bill that we're all trying to beat this. Week It's
- 28:21Speaker 2: i'm going to put this this kind of you, know
- 28:24Speaker 2: foundational start in where it's a really, cheap high probability
- 28:29Speaker 2: play went on, guy and then they're going to the
- 28:31Speaker 2: really high probability expensive Plays chase, McCaffrey and then the
- 28:35Speaker 2: remaining pieces are just who's the best available to fit those,
- 28:39Speaker 2: Guys and quite, frankly like those are still good, plays
- 28:41Speaker 2: whether you're Going, tracy whether you're Going Kayla williams And
- 28:44Speaker 2: zakias And Roma, dunze whether you're Going flacco And higgins
- 28:48Speaker 2: along With, Chase, like none of those plays are.
- 28:50Speaker 1: Bad so to, me.
- 28:52Speaker 2: It's it's a it's a hard week in the sense
- 28:54Speaker 2: that what we're leveraging isn't likely to. Fail AND i
- 28:57Speaker 2: think that's the kind of complaint that people have about
- 29:00Speaker 2: this late, it's, oh if you, know everything That i'm
- 29:02Speaker 2: fading just kind of feels like it's stupid And i'm fading.
- 29:05Speaker 2: That SO i think the way to think it through
- 29:07Speaker 2: is number, one it's, like, Okay, well then where AM
- 29:10Speaker 2: i finding? Separation because let's say let's, say for, example
- 29:14Speaker 2: that you, think, Okay David montgomery is going to be
- 29:17Speaker 2: like two percent on and he can score two touchdowns
- 29:19Speaker 2: in a. Game So i'm gonna switch From Tyrone tracy
- 29:22Speaker 2: Or Jalen warren Or Kareem hunt And i'm gonna go
- 29:25Speaker 2: To David montgomery. Instead is he gonna give you separation
- 29:28Speaker 2: over those? Guys like his ceiling is what seventeen, points twenty?
- 29:32Speaker 2: Points maybe he, has you, know one of his better
- 29:35Speaker 2: games of their last few, years and it's twenty three.
- 29:36Speaker 2: Points that's still probably not giving you the separation that
- 29:40Speaker 2: you need from your. Lineup so instead going To Nico,
- 29:43Speaker 2: Collins i'm gonna Ros Saint, Brown Jamior, gibbs like just
- 29:46Speaker 2: finding that almost like second level, guy but the guy
- 29:50Speaker 2: that you know that when he, succeeds when he, hits
- 29:53Speaker 2: he's doing so with a score that is truly going
- 29:55Speaker 2: to help your lineup separate from the rest where you
- 29:58Speaker 2: can have success even if those high probability plays don't completely.
- 30:02Speaker 2: Fail McCaffrey gets twenty, Three Jonathan taylor gets thirty. Five that's, separation,
- 30:08Speaker 2: right McCaffrey gets twenty, Three gibbs gets thirty, three something like.
- 30:12Speaker 2: That that's the kind of THING i think you want
- 30:14Speaker 2: to look. For Nico collins gets you thirty, three When
- 30:17Speaker 2: chase gets twenty, one something along those. Lines, like to,
- 30:19Speaker 2: me that's how we want to approach the. Slate it's
- 30:22Speaker 2: we've got to find that separation from guys who have
- 30:24Speaker 2: very real.
- 30:25Speaker 1: Upside, yeah and you mentioned one there THAT i, like
- 30:27Speaker 1: maybe a little, later but, well we'll talk through the
- 30:29Speaker 1: rest of the slate here. First the other thing, is
- 30:32Speaker 1: you know the STACKS i think you mentioned like, earlier
- 30:35Speaker 1: if you go to The chase, stuff if people are
- 30:37Speaker 1: On Jamar, chase that's why you could see waiting on
- 30:40Speaker 1: The Joe flack when it was about at fifty six.
- 30:41Speaker 1: Hundred not much of a price, change certainly a. Spot
- 30:44Speaker 1: you could see a little bit of a back and.
- 30:45Speaker 1: Forth crazy team totals for both these, like you don't
- 30:48Speaker 1: see A bears team total up that high very, often
- 30:51Speaker 1: even when they are banged up and have some injury
- 30:53Speaker 1: stuff where they're Without, swift Without Luther burden and not
- 30:56Speaker 1: like these are the game changers in THE. Nfl BUT
- 30:58Speaker 1: i mean for a team to be down those options
- 31:00Speaker 1: and still see a chance for this back and. FORTH
- 31:01Speaker 1: i think people really like, That SO i think that
- 31:04Speaker 1: spot could pick up the steam as far as the
- 31:06Speaker 1: game stack perspective. Goes just thinking about other game stacks,
- 31:09Speaker 1: here what other? SPOT i guess the natural one to,
- 31:12Speaker 1: me just based on the common build would Be Jackson
- 31:16Speaker 1: Dart WANDALE theo WITH, Cmc like that's gonna be a
- 31:20Speaker 1: very popular starting, point and we'll talk about ways to
- 31:23Speaker 1: leverage it and get different. There but that's WHERE i
- 31:24Speaker 1: think The tracy stuff has to dial back some or
- 31:27Speaker 1: at least be kept in, check BECAUSE i think people
- 31:29Speaker 1: would more naturally Have Manung guy WITH cmc and then
- 31:33Speaker 1: The dart stuff over the, top and that just feels
- 31:35Speaker 1: good for people in their single entry and they're going
- 31:37Speaker 1: to feel like they have everything they. Need but maybe
- 31:39Speaker 1: that's not necessarily what it. Is what?
- 31:41Speaker 2: Else, well right on that, point, LIKE i think you're
- 31:45Speaker 2: right about, That but THEN i also think there are
- 31:47Speaker 2: gonna be a lot of people who, Say, okay dart
- 31:49Speaker 2: stacks are going to be really. POPULAR i don't want
- 31:51Speaker 2: to play the Popular Jackson dart, Stack so how DO
- 31:54Speaker 2: i leverage? That i'm gonna do it With Tyron. Tracy
- 31:56Speaker 2: it's kind of like the exact same thing that you
- 31:57Speaker 2: talked about With Kyle williams will get some ownership because
- 32:02Speaker 2: people are going to choose to Leverage mnungdai through With
- 32:05Speaker 2: Kayleb williams, stack same idea With. Tracy SO i do
- 32:08Speaker 2: think he's going to get his fair share of. Ownership
- 32:11Speaker 2: so the you, know we kind OF i talked about
- 32:14Speaker 2: this idea of just going all in on, Offenses so
- 32:17Speaker 2: maybe the way to Play dark is to use two
- 32:19Speaker 2: of his past catchers And Tyrone, tracy or you just, say,
- 32:22Speaker 2: LIKE i think this is kind of this applies to
- 32:25Speaker 2: any stack this. Week there are a lot of good.
- 32:27Speaker 2: Options there are a lot of, easy kind of natural
- 32:30Speaker 2: options that fit the natural lineup. Build whether it's you,
- 32:33Speaker 2: know going to That Chicago cincinnati game because you're already On,
- 32:36Speaker 2: chase whether it's going To dark because you're already on
- 32:38Speaker 2: the McCaffrey bringback And Wanda robinson something like. That but
- 32:41Speaker 2: because there are so many good options at, quarterback you
- 32:45Speaker 2: should think about. It, okay what scenario would allow my
- 32:48Speaker 2: quarterback to actually? Separate and if he, separates what does
- 32:53Speaker 2: that mean for how many guys he can bring with. Him, so,
- 32:55Speaker 2: LIKE i think the worst way to approach this slate
- 32:58Speaker 2: is to, Say, Okay i'm gonna Use, dart But i'm
- 33:00Speaker 2: only in use in With. Wandale i'm only going to
- 33:02Speaker 2: use him With wandale And, theo something like. That Or
- 33:04Speaker 2: i'm only gonna Use caleb With, rome or Only flacco With.
- 33:07Speaker 2: Chase you have to be putting these quarterbacks in a
- 33:10Speaker 2: situation where they can separate from all the other good
- 33:13Speaker 2: quarterback plays in the. Slate and when they do, that
- 33:16Speaker 2: when they, separate they're not just bringing one guy along with.
- 33:19Speaker 2: Them dark's Bringing wandale And. Theo he might Bring slayton as. Well,
- 33:23Speaker 2: Right caleb is bringing maybe a tight, end but he's
- 33:26Speaker 2: he's Bringing, Rome he's probably bringing at least one OF
- 33:29Speaker 2: Dj moore and And chase as. Well same thing With, flacco,
- 33:37Speaker 2: Right flacco's Bringing chase And. Higgins so to, me like
- 33:40Speaker 2: that's the WAY i want to approach the. SLATES i
- 33:42Speaker 2: think it's a second straight week where overstacking makes a
- 33:45Speaker 2: ton of sense and it's going to be by far
- 33:47Speaker 2: the best way to. Build AND i can almost guarantee
- 33:48Speaker 2: that the sims are going to show that as.
- 33:49Speaker 1: Well, YEAH i like that. Perspective, also shout out to
- 33:53Speaker 1: our Man darren, says let's go, boys best best you
- 33:55Speaker 1: have a show out. There if you guys think that
- 33:56Speaker 1: and appreciate, it make sure to hit the thumbs up
- 34:00Speaker 1: to the channel so you can get. This every single
- 34:02Speaker 1: week we do a ton of free shows across the,
- 34:04Speaker 1: board across all. Sports and then also leave in the.
- 34:06Speaker 1: Comments you remember we said. THIS i know right now
- 34:08Speaker 1: whoever's watching this, live you can't till it, ends but
- 34:11Speaker 1: leave in the comments your leverage lane for the. Week
- 34:14Speaker 1: we'll get the segment number three here in a little,
- 34:16Speaker 1: bit but we've got some more stuff to. COVER i
- 34:18Speaker 1: think this is important. Too shout up to our Man,
- 34:20Speaker 1: ryan appreciate you always supporting both in THE nfl and golf,
- 34:23Speaker 1: streets MISTER. Evr but we will say this is more
- 34:27Speaker 1: a product of the reverse of WHAT i talked about
- 34:30Speaker 1: earlier with the indie. Stuff so if you had have
- 34:33Speaker 1: said this same, statement, GOSH i hope bear stacks pick
- 34:36Speaker 1: up steam The bears, suck THEN i would see where
- 34:39Speaker 1: You you, know this can make some more sentence because it's, Like,
- 34:42Speaker 1: Okay i'm not seeing any world where The bears put
- 34:44Speaker 1: up twenty seven twenty eight points on the road going Into.
- 34:47Speaker 1: Sincy but you're saying it it's not coming at, you just,
- 34:50Speaker 1: noting AND i think you're. Awesome i'm just, saying Like
- 34:51Speaker 1: Heleb williams is so, Stinky, well then get Your manungai locked,
- 34:56Speaker 1: in BECAUSE i, mean how are they putting up the.
- 34:58Speaker 1: Points that's the same thing in. Reverse you have to
- 35:00Speaker 1: think about it and you have to remember that's what
- 35:02Speaker 1: you just nailed it, There. Alex with the other reverse
- 35:04Speaker 1: side of where we're gonna see some of the ownership
- 35:06Speaker 1: steam in certain spots when people don't land on. Someone
- 35:08Speaker 1: AND i had brought it up earlier with The manunguy,
- 35:10Speaker 1: stuff is if it's not coming Through, manunguy it's definitely
- 35:14Speaker 1: coming Through caleb and, somebody BECAUSE i Mean caleb could
- 35:17Speaker 1: run it in himself and steal From. Manunguy caleb could
- 35:20Speaker 1: get it someone or it doesn't happen at, all which
- 35:22Speaker 1: is LIKE i, Said that's Why i'd want that statement
- 35:24Speaker 1: to be The bears suck or Unlocking mynunguy everywhere That i'm,
- 35:27Speaker 1: playing because that's kind of how you got to think
- 35:29Speaker 1: about these. SITUATIONS i will say when you Take swift
- 35:33Speaker 1: and you Take burden out of, it and there's still
- 35:36Speaker 1: a great matchup. Here anybody going up against The bengals
- 35:38Speaker 1: event has had a ton of. Fun you talked About
- 35:39Speaker 1: hendrickson and things like, that and they're different stuff that
- 35:42Speaker 1: you can do against. Them it's kind of condensed whether
- 35:45Speaker 1: you can play manung guy With caleb and try and
- 35:47Speaker 1: double down that. Way but you also if you Take
- 35:49Speaker 1: manungui out of it and you want to leverage, him
- 35:51Speaker 1: you Have romadounza just a couple of weeks, ago he's the,
- 35:54Speaker 1: Nuts like now he. Sucks, Okay you've Got Dj, moore
- 35:58Speaker 1: he's sucked all. Season only takes one good, week that's.
- 36:00Speaker 1: Fine and then What Colston loveland Because commet could be
- 36:03Speaker 1: out as. Well, RIGHT i don't know if it was official, yet.
- 36:05Speaker 2: But prey commit.
- 36:07Speaker 1: Point oh he's. In, Yeah, OKAY i didn't see that.
- 36:10Speaker 1: Update that's ALL i was gonna. Say so you've got
- 36:12Speaker 1: either Way caleb plus two to three, guys and then
- 36:15Speaker 1: don't forget you have to factor in price if you're
- 36:18Speaker 1: again talking about leveraging The, nungai who could be sixty
- 36:20Speaker 1: percent plus in single entry fifty seven hundred Dollars, caleb
- 36:25Speaker 1: even if you go with sixty six hundred Dollars oduonza
- 36:27Speaker 1: and fifty two hundred dollars, more but you've Got zakias
- 36:31Speaker 1: at thirty, Three you've Got loveland at thirty, three who
- 36:33Speaker 1: at least fits the. Stack like there's tons of tight
- 36:35Speaker 1: ends on the, slate but just noting, IT i think
- 36:37Speaker 1: it's important to remember, again working backwards from what your
- 36:40Speaker 1: decision or thoughts, are what does that mean to your
- 36:43Speaker 1: lineup when you're building, Out, like for, Example i'm definitely
- 36:45Speaker 1: playing Some caleb this, week But i'll go down with.
- 36:48Speaker 1: That what he gets me in those lineups is a
- 36:50Speaker 1: ton of, opportunity a completely different build and a ceiling
- 36:54Speaker 1: type setup WHERE i can still get there in other
- 36:56Speaker 1: spots and have those make it, up and THEN i
- 36:59Speaker 1: only have to count On caleb coming through with the
- 37:02Speaker 1: guys THAT i put him with in those. Stacks do
- 37:04Speaker 1: you have anything else to add? Here are any of
- 37:06Speaker 1: the combinations and game stacks you're seeing that could be
- 37:08Speaker 1: sort of next level or second level that we can
- 37:11Speaker 1: get to on how to leverage the common?
- 37:12Speaker 2: Build, YEAH i mean we're Gonna we're gonna talk about
- 37:15Speaker 2: another one once we get to my leverage. Lane BUT
- 37:17Speaker 2: i want to talk About munungai for a second BECAUSE i, think,
- 37:19Speaker 2: yeah given the fact that he's going to be like
- 37:21Speaker 2: sixty seven, percent it's worth really talking about. This AND
- 37:23Speaker 2: i think the conversation kind of perfectly relates To ryan's
- 37:28Speaker 2: thoughts on On Caleb williams and that stack.
- 37:30Speaker 1: As hole and my.
- 37:31Speaker 2: Thoughts and then is WHERE i want to start is
- 37:34Speaker 2: If munundai was in this role for the next let's,
- 37:37Speaker 2: say eight to ten, weeks what do you think his
- 37:40Speaker 2: Average fantasy points per game will look? Like, fifteen, sixteen?
- 37:44Speaker 2: Thirteen what do you.
- 37:45Speaker 1: Think that's kind of The, Mediayeah, like that's Why i'll
- 37:47Speaker 1: be looking at. Someone we're putting a medium projection on
- 37:49Speaker 1: him somewhere in that. RANGE i think that's what we would. Be,
- 37:51Speaker 1: like there's a possibility for some bad, games SO i
- 37:54Speaker 1: mean to twelves or, something and then some possibility for
- 37:56Speaker 1: some ceilings from twenty to twenty, five so you, know
- 37:58Speaker 1: and maybe more maybe you can get up. Higher, yeah
- 38:00Speaker 1: this is a spot, Play.
- 38:01Speaker 2: Okay so the reason WHY i asked that is Because
- 38:05Speaker 2: dallas has been the second best matchup so far this
- 38:07Speaker 2: year for running, backs allowing six More fantasy points per
- 38:11Speaker 2: game than those running backs typically at. Produce cincinnati is
- 38:15Speaker 2: the best matchup at plus ten point. One this is
- 38:20Speaker 2: an insanely good. Matchup, now that doesn't mean that we
- 38:24Speaker 2: should expect every single running back moving forward to average
- 38:29Speaker 2: ten more than they typically. Produce it also doesn't mean
- 38:32Speaker 2: that that's going to, be you, know the number for
- 38:35Speaker 2: the rest of the. Season if this was a purely predictive,
- 38:39Speaker 2: metric we'd probably be regressing it down TO i don't,
- 38:42Speaker 2: know plus six plus, seven something like. That but that
- 38:45Speaker 2: still means if you take that baseline, UP i Think
- 38:47Speaker 2: monondai in this role is worth fourteen fifteen Sixteen DraftKings
- 38:51Speaker 2: points per, game and now you talk about this, matchup
- 38:54Speaker 2: you're just starting with like almost an expectation over twenty
- 38:58Speaker 2: because of the. Matchup now that's where projecting models are
- 39:01Speaker 2: going to put him Are, LIKE i THINK i did
- 39:03Speaker 2: a pretty conservative estimate all around for, him including getting
- 39:08Speaker 2: some other guys, involved and we still have them at
- 39:10Speaker 2: seventeen and a. Half so all of this is essentially to,
- 39:13Speaker 2: say to, Me manungai is probably the highest probability play
- 39:18Speaker 2: that we've seen all season from. ANYBODY i don't necessarily
- 39:22Speaker 2: think we need to deviate from. That and when you
- 39:25Speaker 2: look at this, matchup it's, like, yeah The cincinnati defense is,
- 39:29Speaker 2: terrible but they're terrible in such an extreme way where
- 39:32Speaker 2: all of the production is coming from running backs and tight.
- 39:35Speaker 2: Ends wide receiver ones have averaged too fewer fantasy points
- 39:39Speaker 2: per game against The bengals than they. Average Wide receivers
- 39:41Speaker 2: as a whole are down two point two fantasy points
- 39:44Speaker 2: per game against this. Team quarterbacks are only up to
- 39:46Speaker 2: three fantasy points per. Game so it's just this like
- 39:49Speaker 2: really weird dynamic, That, yeah this defense is, awful but
- 39:52Speaker 2: it's a phenomenal matchup for two positions and actually pretty
- 39:56Speaker 2: neutral for everybody. Else so to, me like just trying
- 39:59Speaker 2: to play this in a contrarian, Way you're you're trying
- 40:04Speaker 2: to leverage the highest, probability least fragile thing that the
- 40:08Speaker 2: field is. Doing that's not the way THAT i like to.
- 40:10Speaker 2: BUILD i want to attack the most. FRAGILE i want
- 40:13Speaker 2: to take the field where they're most. Vulnerable and to,
- 40:15Speaker 2: me The manungai play isn't.
- 40:17Speaker 1: That, YEAH i like that. Call And ryan sort of
- 40:20Speaker 1: circled back on his stuff and, Said i'm all in on.
- 40:22Speaker 1: Him if he, FAILS i move on to next. Week
- 40:24Speaker 1: caleb struggled versus shitty teams D Da Da da, da et.
- 40:26Speaker 1: Cetera but, yeah different caveats and that's. Good SO i
- 40:29Speaker 1: like to see. That after the previous, comment we brought
- 40:31Speaker 1: it up where it was kind of just trying to
- 40:32Speaker 1: tie them together and to show the thinking that goes behind, it,
- 40:35Speaker 1: right and you've got that, Covered so good stuff. There
- 40:37Speaker 1: love to see. That the other THING i want to
- 40:38Speaker 1: say is think about The Puka nakool week when he was,
- 40:41Speaker 1: like what was he seventy three hundred or, whatever even
- 40:44Speaker 1: if on a wide receiver week at that time against, slate,
- 40:47Speaker 1: dynamics matter and, everything for all the, perspectives that was
- 40:50Speaker 1: even a week in single. Entry we were, like, honestly
- 40:52Speaker 1: we're just gonna figure it out elsewhere and just stick with.
- 40:54Speaker 1: That that's why it's. Funny now Putting caleb With manunguy
- 40:58Speaker 1: is a way to get different still where you're add
- 41:00Speaker 1: them together because most might be trying to go one
- 41:02Speaker 1: or the, other and then it allows still for a
- 41:04Speaker 1: more balanced. Build you could still go stars and scrubs
- 41:07Speaker 1: and get a little bit different if you find someone
- 41:08Speaker 1: cheaper down low that you like and try and pick
- 41:10Speaker 1: up the whole end. Zone but trying to just completely
- 41:12Speaker 1: fade him and leverage him in single injury is obviously
- 41:14Speaker 1: not really ideal to your. Point and then also the
- 41:18Speaker 1: setup of if you look at the slate as a,
- 41:20Speaker 1: whole that's just kind of like a. Spot there's so
- 41:22Speaker 1: many ways to get, different and because of his price
- 41:24Speaker 1: match up all the the stats that you, mentioned there's
- 41:27Speaker 1: still so many ways to get different with those eight other.
- 41:29Speaker 1: Spots nobody says you have to go because you're going.
- 41:31Speaker 1: Him it's not the same argument always For Jamar, chase
- 41:35Speaker 1: a wide. Receiver we've seen tons of times where it
- 41:37Speaker 1: doesn't come through for a high end wide. Receiver the
- 41:40Speaker 1: same thing goes FOR. CMC cmc can do HIS cmc
- 41:44Speaker 1: thing and put up twenty three to twenty. Five is
- 41:46Speaker 1: that going to be enough when there is all these
- 41:48Speaker 1: other options or what if some of those other cheaper
- 41:50Speaker 1: options put up Twenty but The Justin jeffersons of the
- 41:53Speaker 1: slates and guys like that actually have a big game
- 41:56Speaker 1: in a back and, board The monra puts up, Thirty
- 41:57Speaker 1: Justin jefferson puts up thirty, One bye. Bye in some places,
- 42:00Speaker 1: right it would be a problem at that. Point it
- 42:02Speaker 1: could be a problem at that. Point, okay let's move
- 42:06Speaker 1: on one other THING i want to talk. About we're
- 42:08Speaker 1: not getting down here anytime. Soon we got a lot
- 42:09Speaker 1: to go through, still but chiefs at the bills late
- 42:13Speaker 1: swap the setup of this slide as a. WHOLE i
- 42:16Speaker 1: mean we literally put them on the, thumbnail so we
- 42:17Speaker 1: weren't not having this. Conversation really want to dig into
- 42:21Speaker 1: this one and get your thoughts on, it because it
- 42:23Speaker 1: doesn't actually look like much ownership is going to anyone
- 42:27Speaker 1: outside Of, rice which is. Interesting and then also so
- 42:31Speaker 1: why do you think that? Is and then what is
- 42:33Speaker 1: your sort of way of handling, this because this is
- 42:36Speaker 1: like the opposite of the indie, situation where if it's
- 42:39Speaker 1: not going to Be Jonathan, taylor it's still an offense
- 42:43Speaker 1: that has shown ability to score plenty of points with
- 42:45Speaker 1: a bad defense that can get some back and forth
- 42:46Speaker 1: to make it speed, up and then on top of,
- 42:48Speaker 1: it it's very condensed for the most. Part after, that
- 42:51Speaker 1: you won't always get it right And Josh downs will
- 42:53Speaker 1: beat your, peers or peers will beat Your Josh downs or.
- 42:55Speaker 1: Whatever it looks. Like, yes can. Happen but the joke
- 42:58Speaker 1: of hashtag never mahomes the joke of it's not that
- 43:01Speaker 1: different on The Josh allen side some weeks when you've
- 43:04Speaker 1: Got James, Cook shakir coleb And Kincaid knocks my name them,
- 43:08Speaker 1: all it's. Tricky is that why you think less people
- 43:11Speaker 1: are on this spot or do people just think it's
- 43:13Speaker 1: going to be more? Defensive what sort of your thoughts
- 43:15Speaker 1: on This Bill's Kansas City chiefs.
- 43:17Speaker 2: Game, YEAH i think IT'S i think it's about the
- 43:20Speaker 2: difficulty of predicting who succeeds if they do have, success
- 43:25Speaker 2: particularly on The buffalo. Side you, know it's it's just
- 43:29Speaker 2: so hard on a slate where it feels like every
- 43:32Speaker 2: play is a high probability play that the field is.
- 43:34Speaker 2: Using it's so hard to, Say, Okay i'm gonna use
- 43:36Speaker 2: Keyon coleman and risk the like one point four fantasy
- 43:39Speaker 2: point performance that he gives you every other, week it.
- 43:41Speaker 2: Seems so it's just it's really hard to get into
- 43:44Speaker 2: the game that. Way and then, also LIKE i think
- 43:49Speaker 2: you alluded to it as, well it's just these teams
- 43:51Speaker 2: are good defensively, right like they're they're not a good
- 43:55Speaker 2: matchup for. Anybody the BEST i think argument, is, okay
- 43:59Speaker 2: we have really Like Josh allen produces his huge fantasy
- 44:04Speaker 2: performances when he gets pushed when he plays The, lions
- 44:08Speaker 2: when he Plays, mahomes things of that. Nature so that
- 44:12Speaker 2: to me is the, Allure but it also means like
- 44:14Speaker 2: that's that's the side that is even harder to. Predict.
- 44:17Speaker 2: Right if you're going Through, mahomes you at least can, say,
- 44:19Speaker 2: Okay i'm playing where she, writes and then you can
- 44:22Speaker 2: probably Play worthy Or kelsey and feel decent about. It
- 44:25Speaker 2: you really can't feel good about anyone that you're pairing
- 44:29Speaker 2: With Josh. Allen AND i think the field is just
- 44:31Speaker 2: smart enough now these days to SAY i don't need
- 44:35Speaker 2: to Play Josh allen as a one off and then
- 44:37Speaker 2: figure it out from, there because now you just have
- 44:39Speaker 2: to get air for the other position, correct and it's
- 44:41Speaker 2: so much harder to do that when you're. Uncorrelated so,
- 44:44Speaker 2: yeah this it's not a game that is going to
- 44:49Speaker 2: be very high, owned but it's also not a game
- 44:51Speaker 2: THAT i therefore am very interested. IN i just think
- 44:54Speaker 2: it's way too hard to get the game. Right AND
- 44:57Speaker 2: i also think that because of the price is, like
- 45:00Speaker 2: just Because Josh allen has this enormous ceiling because of
- 45:02Speaker 2: the matchup in the Way Kansas city might push, him
- 45:05Speaker 2: doesn't mean he's a better play relative To price than
- 45:09Speaker 2: A jackson darr Or drake may Or Daniel jones so
- 45:12Speaker 2: many of these other quarterbacks who are just a lot.
- 45:14Speaker 2: Cheaper SO i JUST i don't have a ton of
- 45:16Speaker 2: interest in the. GAME i think the Place i'm most
- 45:18Speaker 2: interested in from that game Is Kareem hunt, though and just, saying,
- 45:22Speaker 2: hey you, know he's not the sexiest cheap running, back
- 45:26Speaker 2: but how many running backs in this slate have a
- 45:29Speaker 2: better chance of scoring? Twice, like he's already been the
- 45:32Speaker 2: red zone guy for this, team and now there's no
- 45:35Speaker 2: question that he's going to be on the field in
- 45:37Speaker 2: the red. ZONE i also think that because of the,
- 45:39Speaker 2: matchup Like Kansas, city they don't play running backs for.
- 45:43Speaker 2: Explosiveness they don't play running backs for who's the best.
- 45:46Speaker 2: Runner they played running backs for who do we who
- 45:50Speaker 2: do we feel is the most? Reliable who can we
- 45:52Speaker 2: count on the most back? There and That's hunt Right
- 45:55Speaker 2: Like Rishard smith is still learning the, Position i's going
- 45:58Speaker 2: to get a ton of opportunity in this. Game so
- 46:00Speaker 2: if you told me that he had sixty rushing, yards two,
- 46:04Speaker 2: touchdowns four receptions for forty receiving, YARDS i would, say,
- 46:08Speaker 2: yeah that's well within his range of, outcomes and you're
- 46:10Speaker 2: going to be very very happy with that at forty
- 46:12Speaker 2: seven hundred, dollars even if you're playing him alongside him
- 46:14Speaker 2: on that guy LIKE i wouldn't play him instead of
- 46:16Speaker 2: but with, HIM i think he's a great play and
- 46:19Speaker 2: now you're kind of freed up to do whatever you
- 46:20Speaker 2: want at the wide receiver. Position maybe it's a double
- 46:23Speaker 2: stack of you, Know Matt, stafford and you're really putting
- 46:26Speaker 2: those savings to good.
- 46:27Speaker 1: USE i think it's a good idea to think about
- 46:29Speaker 1: the defenses here. Too if you're not involved in this,
- 46:31Speaker 1: game like you definitely think there's a possibility that that
- 46:33Speaker 1: could be the way it. Goes it's a little more
- 46:35Speaker 1: grind and grind of you know. SOMEONE i think it
- 46:37Speaker 1: was our Guy ryan again in the chats that it
- 46:38Speaker 1: feels kind of like it could be a playoff game
- 46:40Speaker 1: where we actually see what people. Expect even though it's
- 46:43Speaker 1: funny because if people expect it to be like a
- 46:44Speaker 1: high powered offense back and, forth you think there'd be
- 46:47Speaker 1: more love. HERE i. Know the pricing on the quarterbacks
- 46:49Speaker 1: people are starting to catch on to that is like
- 46:51Speaker 1: it's tricky when you also don't know who to pair
- 46:53Speaker 1: them with, Fully but on top of the fact that
- 46:54Speaker 1: they're over SEVEN, k the other stuff makes it all.
- 46:57Speaker 1: Work again those the more you go to a SEVEN k,
- 46:59Speaker 1: quarterback the less you go to multiple EIGHT k wide,
- 47:02Speaker 1: receivers running, backs et. Cetera SO i get that angle
- 47:05Speaker 1: of it as. WELL i think it's pretty interesting for
- 47:07Speaker 1: late swap, Though like if you did sort of have
- 47:10Speaker 1: stuff not go your way in the morning and you
- 47:12Speaker 1: needed to go, somewhere you'd kind of want to think
- 47:14Speaker 1: about this as a potential regardless of just remember if
- 47:18Speaker 1: it can be a defensive, battle it can also be an.
- 47:20Speaker 1: Offensive we said to think about all Those thursday night football. Games,
- 47:23Speaker 1: oh this game's gonna absolutely. Suck they're not going to
- 47:25Speaker 1: even score. Points it's gonna be. Horrible oh, wait it's
- 47:27Speaker 1: thirty seven to thirty, four and these two guys just
- 47:29Speaker 1: went off and had a crazy back and. Forth it can.
- 47:31Speaker 1: Happen it's. Football so that one go.
- 47:34Speaker 2: To that, point to that late swap. Point to, me
- 47:37Speaker 2: the perfect thing is we've Got we've got a thirty
- 47:39Speaker 2: one hundred Dollars rams defense Against shook for A New
- 47:43Speaker 2: orleans who, look maybe he's better Than, ratler but he
- 47:46Speaker 2: also might be. Awful he might be just like this
- 47:49Speaker 2: phenomenal defensive. Matchup so you could start with like hunting The,
- 47:53Speaker 2: rams and then if you need to get, different you,
- 47:55Speaker 2: GO i don't, Know raiders and Rock, bowers something like,
- 47:58Speaker 2: That raiders and or you, Know jags And travis etn
- 48:02Speaker 2: something along those. Lines SO i think that's a that's
- 48:04Speaker 2: a really really good. Call and AND i think like
- 48:08Speaker 2: to that, point it's you're not just using lateswap from
- 48:10Speaker 2: within This Kinsas City buffalo, game but you're, Recognizing, okay
- 48:14Speaker 2: there are three. Games how CAN i turn how CAN
- 48:17Speaker 2: i make late swap you, know involve this last, game
- 48:20Speaker 2: but also you, know include one of the other two
- 48:23Speaker 2: four o'clock. Games SO i think that's a really kind
- 48:26Speaker 2: of just a good thing to keep in the back
- 48:28Speaker 2: of your mind as you build. Lineups, so, Oh i've
- 48:30Speaker 2: got this potential TO v two or three v three
- 48:32Speaker 2: THAT i can always come back to IF i can
- 48:34Speaker 2: find a way to fit it in all these like
- 48:36Speaker 2: various stacks and.
- 48:37Speaker 1: Such, YEAH i like the call of something like if
- 48:39Speaker 1: you Had hunt And rams in the late, game like you,
- 48:42Speaker 1: said maybe it's like A bowers And bills double. It, yeah,
- 48:46Speaker 1: right people would Have, Hunt you've got The bills, now
- 48:48Speaker 1: which could affect his, output and then on top of,
- 48:51Speaker 1: it you'd be able to pick up a big ceiling
- 48:52Speaker 1: play with a guy Like. Bowers, yes it needs to come,
- 48:54Speaker 1: through but it's, like you know what he's capable of
- 48:56Speaker 1: if he has one of those, Games so that would
- 48:58Speaker 1: be a huge difference maker in your lineups if you
- 49:00Speaker 1: needed to sort of get there from. BEHIND i think
- 49:03Speaker 1: the other thing, too is like there's only three there's
- 49:06Speaker 1: eleven games on this, light not ten like we've previously
- 49:08Speaker 1: seen these other. Weeks yet there's only three games in the,
- 49:11Speaker 1: afternoon and a lot of the decisions will be happening
- 49:14Speaker 1: in the morning based on how these certain plays like, McCaffrey,
- 49:17Speaker 1: Jamar Chase Manong, guy all the other stuff that we'll talk,
- 49:20Speaker 1: about you, know. Throughout so last thing on The hunt,
- 49:23Speaker 1: thing just before we move, ON i got one more
- 49:25Speaker 1: spot and then we'll get to our lane at the.
- 49:26Speaker 1: End just On, Hunt i'm, like even with boosting his
- 49:31Speaker 1: projection some, LIKE i don't know what you have him
- 49:32Speaker 1: at right, now but it just doesn't seem like he's
- 49:35Speaker 1: fitting the, mold even though this is a really good
- 49:37Speaker 1: matchup on. Paper if you're interested in the, spot you're
- 49:40Speaker 1: interested in The chiefs, total there's no pucheck, go there's
- 49:42Speaker 1: all these. Factors what do you think it is about
- 49:46Speaker 1: this situation where we're just not seeing the boost in,
- 49:48Speaker 1: projection which obviously then relates to the. Ownership it correlates.
- 49:51Speaker 1: Perfectly so why are you thinking that it's not as
- 49:54Speaker 1: high On hunt as it is on some of these other.
- 49:55Speaker 1: OPTIONS i, know manungay leave him. Out we've already had that.
- 49:58Speaker 2: Conversation, YEAH I i think it's two. Things Number, one
- 50:01Speaker 2: it's the fact that cut.
- 50:03Speaker 1: You, off is it you? SAID i think it's two.
- 50:06Speaker 1: Things this guy came right out of the.
- 50:07Speaker 2: GAME i don't think it's. THAT i, think, well to a,
- 50:12Speaker 2: degree to, me it's Nothing hunt. Sucked it's that he
- 50:15Speaker 2: has no explosive play potential like. Whatsoever so because of,
- 50:19Speaker 2: that you're never going to get that like super spike
- 50:23Speaker 2: efficiency week from him where he averages seven and a
- 50:27Speaker 2: half yards per, Carry because how do you guys end
- 50:29Speaker 2: up averaging seven and a half yards per. Carry it's
- 50:31Speaker 2: not by running for seven a half yards every. Play
- 50:33Speaker 2: it's running for four and then three and then twenty
- 50:36Speaker 2: nine and then sixty one things of that, nature, Right
- 50:38Speaker 2: so you're not going to get that kind of a
- 50:40Speaker 2: spike from efficiency. Standpoint but also The chiefs aren't going to, Say,
- 50:45Speaker 2: okay we don't Have, pacheco we're gonna Give hunt all
- 50:48Speaker 2: of the carries That pachecko would have had as. Well
- 50:50Speaker 2: they're gonna say we'll Give hunt a few extra but
- 50:53Speaker 2: we're also just gonna throw the. Ball More so pass
- 50:55Speaker 2: rape should go up For Kansas, city WHICH i think
- 51:00Speaker 2: which really doesn't Hurt Kuram hunt too much because, Again
- 51:04Speaker 2: hunt is not going to get there because he has
- 51:06Speaker 2: this massive rushing yard. Total hunt is he going to
- 51:09Speaker 2: get there because he instead of catching one, ball catches
- 51:13Speaker 2: four or, five so more than passing like that's. Good
- 51:16Speaker 2: but mostly it's gonna get there because they score multiple
- 51:18Speaker 2: touchdowns and he scores multiple. Touchdowns so it's one where
- 51:21Speaker 2: like the median, outcome the projection that you, see it's
- 51:26Speaker 2: not going to do as good of a job with
- 51:29Speaker 2: him as other guys of showing the way like his
- 51:32Speaker 2: full distribution, looks because the distribution is it's almost. Spiky it's,
- 51:37Speaker 2: like you, know he's going to give you a very
- 51:39Speaker 2: similar amount probably from a yardage and reception standpoint week to.
- 51:43Speaker 2: Week but then you're going to go blocks of. Six
- 51:47Speaker 2: does he score, once does he score, twice does he
- 51:49Speaker 2: score three, times or does he not? Score and that's
- 51:52Speaker 2: really kind of the deciding factor for, him whereas for
- 51:55Speaker 2: most other guys at the running back, position it's, like you,
- 51:58Speaker 2: know you don't. Know so if you're getting eight points
- 52:02Speaker 2: from yardage interceptions or twenty Five, hunt you can be
- 52:05Speaker 2: pretty confident you're getting between, LIKE i don't, know eight and,
- 52:09Speaker 2: sixteen eight and fifteen something like. That so, yeah it's
- 52:13Speaker 2: just he's so incredibly touchdown, depinion but he also happens
- 52:16Speaker 2: to play for an offense that can score a lot of,
- 52:18Speaker 2: touchdowns and therefore he does still have.
- 52:20Speaker 1: Upside that's WHAT i laugh a little bit, about, too
- 52:22Speaker 1: is BECAUSE i think part of this is also the
- 52:24Speaker 1: fact that it's the same as we usually. See, oh
- 52:26Speaker 1: there's no Way hunt can get in and score two
- 52:28Speaker 1: touchdowns again this. Week that was so. Lucky how this
- 52:31Speaker 1: happened last week was it really so lucky That Patrick
- 52:34Speaker 1: mahomes and This chiefs offense lands inside the five ten
- 52:37Speaker 1: yard line very? Often, no that's gonna happen a. Lot it's,
- 52:41Speaker 1: yes there's variance and tons of it to the fact
- 52:43Speaker 1: that it ends up Being hunt that gets. In but
- 52:45Speaker 1: it could happen, again first of all because of the
- 52:47Speaker 1: first part that we just. Said but the second part,
- 52:50Speaker 1: is now you remove one of the other options that
- 52:52Speaker 1: it could have. Been people last week begging for a
- 52:53Speaker 1: checko to get. IN i had another close call on
- 52:56Speaker 1: The monday night football. SHORT i won the thirty three
- 52:58Speaker 1: dollars and in a four way t for twenty KEN
- 53:00Speaker 1: i got the second best lineup THAT i lost on
- 53:02Speaker 1: The mariota interception with twelve seconds. Up BUT i, Said
- 53:05Speaker 1: kareem could be The kareem rises to the top tonight
- 53:08Speaker 1: because oh it's got to Be Brashard smith week and
- 53:11Speaker 1: There's pacheco. There it's like he's, back he's. Healthy he
- 53:14Speaker 1: can definitely fall in the. Box the week we said
- 53:16Speaker 1: That daubdell doesn't need to score two hundred, again get
- 53:19Speaker 1: two hundred yards the next week, again it can still do.
- 53:21Speaker 1: Good he came back and got another two hundred and
- 53:23Speaker 1: did really. Good we've said it about certain other guys
- 53:25Speaker 1: throughout this, year so it can definitely. HAPPEN i think
- 53:28Speaker 1: that's something that you need to, remember and it JUST
- 53:30Speaker 1: i think that's part of people's thought, process plus just
- 53:32Speaker 1: so many other. Options the last Thing i've got and
- 53:35Speaker 1: Then i'll kick do you have for final thoughts before
- 53:37Speaker 1: we get to leverage lane is just tight ends as a.
- 53:40Speaker 1: Whole let me just run this list real. Quick kelsey
- 53:44Speaker 1: as a potential piece in that game as well as
- 53:46Speaker 1: we've talked about the sort of the onesie position, before
- 53:48Speaker 1: where his you, know certain value wide receivers or value
- 53:52Speaker 1: running backs might not be, enough but his at a
- 53:54Speaker 1: onesie position could be more than enough to take it.
- 53:56Speaker 1: Out now this, week it's got to be probably a
- 53:58Speaker 1: decent number because there's a lot of other options. Here
- 54:00Speaker 1: but let me just name this. Quick, Kelsey, Kittle, Laporta, Tucker, Kraft, Tyler, Warren, Gadson, Bowers,
- 54:07Speaker 1: kinkaid and then the cheapies Like Theo, Johnson. Henry you
- 54:12Speaker 1: know there's others beyond. That how are you thinking about
- 54:15Speaker 1: the tight ends this? Week Because i've never had a
- 54:17Speaker 1: week WHERE i loved so, many BUT I i do
- 54:19Speaker 1: kind of love them more in their, stacks like because
- 54:22Speaker 1: we're talking sing leudry, here so you gotta be a little,
- 54:24Speaker 1: bit you, know cognizant of. That but in, general when
- 54:27Speaker 1: people are building their, PORTFOLIOS i think it's a lot
- 54:30Speaker 1: of tight ends in the mix this week that go
- 54:31Speaker 1: with their quarterbacks and stacks and run backs and different.
- 54:34Speaker 1: Things but how are you thinking about the tight end
- 54:35Speaker 1: position as a whole just around this, Out.
- 54:38Speaker 2: WELL i think you nailed it by saying kind of
- 54:39Speaker 2: attach it to the stack because our chances of, prediction
- 54:43Speaker 2: like tight end is always a fallible. Position and now
- 54:46Speaker 2: we're also talking about a collection of tight ends who
- 54:49Speaker 2: the thing we liked about them is the. Upside it's
- 54:52Speaker 2: Nothing kittle And bowers And Tucker craft have been like super.
- 54:56Speaker 2: Consistent it's that, man when they, hit they give you
- 54:58Speaker 2: a wide receiver like. Sealing so your chance of just
- 55:03Speaker 2: out of the blue picking those guys correctly picking the
- 55:05Speaker 2: right one or even the right. Two LIKE i, said
- 55:07Speaker 2: you can go double tight end this week because so
- 55:11Speaker 2: LIKE i want to talk about double tight end just
- 55:13Speaker 2: for one section.
- 55:14Speaker 1: Year, yeah that's worth it for. Sure.
- 55:15Speaker 2: Yeah the reason WHY i typically hate double tight end
- 55:18Speaker 2: and think it's an awful, strategy and you can look
- 55:21Speaker 2: at the data and see like double tight end lineups
- 55:23Speaker 2: have really performed poorly over the. Years it's because whenever
- 55:25Speaker 2: you use two tight, ends it's the same concept that
- 55:29Speaker 2: we talked. About like if you're using a wide receiver
- 55:31Speaker 2: in the, flex you have four different flex wide. Receivers
- 55:34Speaker 2: it's the same. Idea if you Have kittle in your
- 55:38Speaker 2: tight end spot And Joan johnson in your flex spot
- 55:41Speaker 2: and you, say, Therefore i'm only Asking Jowan johnson to
- 55:44Speaker 2: beat the thirty two hundred dollars wide. Receivers, no you're
- 55:47Speaker 2: also Asking kittle to beat the wide receivers and the
- 55:50Speaker 2: running backs in his price range because you could have
- 55:53Speaker 2: put him in the flex. Instead but this, week if
- 55:58Speaker 2: you compare, pricing like the tight end pricing is, crazy crazy. Low,
- 56:04Speaker 2: yeah you're Comparing kittle And bowers at forty eight and
- 56:07Speaker 2: five thousand dollars to forty eight hundred and five thousand
- 56:10Speaker 2: dollars wide receiver and running. Backs we do have the
- 56:13Speaker 2: running backs this week who really work, there but there
- 56:16Speaker 2: are not anywhere near as many wide receivers worth it
- 56:20Speaker 2: damn in that range as there are tight, Ends like
- 56:22Speaker 2: there are guys THAT i Like Alec pierce, AGAIN i really,
- 56:25Speaker 2: like but just, like think of the expectation, there who's
- 56:29Speaker 2: more likely to give you fifteen or twenty it's Clearly Kittle.
- 56:33Speaker 2: Bowers maybe you can make an argument that That pierce
- 56:36Speaker 2: is more likely it gets a twenty five Because pierce
- 56:38Speaker 2: can catch that sixty hour touchdown so. Often but but,
- 56:42Speaker 2: yeah it's Doubleton in is a lot more in play
- 56:45Speaker 2: this week because of the, pricing is putting these guys
- 56:49Speaker 2: in an actual advantageous situation over the similar place similarly
- 56:53Speaker 2: priced running backs and wide. Receivers so going back to your, point,
- 56:57Speaker 2: like because it's so hard to pick the care wrecked
- 57:00Speaker 2: one of these, guys there are so many of, THEM
- 57:02Speaker 2: i think the way to do it is you just
- 57:03Speaker 2: say which stack AM i trying to elevate with the
- 57:06Speaker 2: tight end getting? There, so whether That's Warren, KITTLE i,
- 57:10Speaker 2: think Like Mac, jones stacks are probably even an interesting
- 57:13Speaker 2: way to build this late or just kind of betting
- 57:17Speaker 2: an offense as a, Hole like if you Have Jackson,
- 57:19Speaker 2: DART i think one interesting way to do With Jackson
- 57:21Speaker 2: dart lineup would be Dark Wandale. Slayton you leave OUT Theo,
- 57:25Speaker 2: johnson and then you bring it back with Both kittle
- 57:28Speaker 2: and McCaffrey and you, say, okay one of. Them it's
- 57:30Speaker 2: if The niners put up thirty five, points McCaffrey scores
- 57:34Speaker 2: three times on the, ground so it's not gonna be mac.
- 57:36Speaker 2: Jones but Now jackson darts put in a position where
- 57:38Speaker 2: he has to throw all. Game tracy might fail in that.
- 57:41Speaker 2: Regard Now Wandale robinson might catch ten balls and Hopefully
- 57:44Speaker 2: slayton gets a big player too as. Well so like to,
- 57:47Speaker 2: me that's the kind of way we want to think
- 57:48Speaker 2: about the tight end position and also think about the
- 57:52Speaker 2: stacking as a. Hole it's just what situation puts my
- 57:56Speaker 2: quarterback in a position to separate and how does that
- 57:58Speaker 2: affect the entire?
- 57:59Speaker 1: Game, yeah And Tucker, craft somebody, said is like popping
- 58:02Speaker 1: off the. Page, sure because obviously the game he just,
- 58:04Speaker 1: had and you think about, that there's other factors to
- 58:06Speaker 1: thinking about the game that he just. Had BUT i
- 58:09Speaker 1: like this one here red Zone, Hunt, yeah like this
- 58:11Speaker 1: is the whole. Point no Way hunt could do this.
- 58:13Speaker 1: Again but you're talking about The chiefs being in the red. Zone,
- 58:17Speaker 1: now just extrapolate that, out and then you're talking about
- 58:19Speaker 1: one less option to run with in the end zone
- 58:22Speaker 1: with The. Jacko not that he did a bunch. Anyway
- 58:23Speaker 1: there's some cases they try to make it, work but
- 58:25Speaker 1: just they do go to hunt there and that's. Fine
- 58:27Speaker 1: SO i think that's something that's important to. Remember nbas,
- 58:30Speaker 1: SAYS i love the tight ends this. Week certainly agree on.
- 58:33Speaker 1: THAT i, mean this is a great. Spot firemouth healthy for,
- 58:36Speaker 1: sure definitely think this is, possible but it's it makes
- 58:39Speaker 1: it really, Tricky LIKE i, said when you've got three
- 58:40Speaker 1: other options there and then you Got metcalf And, Calvin
- 58:43Speaker 1: austin And wilson And warren, whoever it's just a trickier.
- 58:47Speaker 1: Spot but at least you could go with. It if
- 58:48Speaker 1: you're gonna go with, it go with. It that's part
- 58:50Speaker 1: of staying in your. Lane and if that's what you,
- 58:51Speaker 1: like maybe you play him instead Of warren and you
- 58:54Speaker 1: think others are getting To warren and that's your piece
- 58:57Speaker 1: that you go to instead in a onesie. POSITION i
- 58:58Speaker 1: don't hate. It anything else we Missed alex and anything
- 59:01Speaker 1: else you want to cover before we get to our
- 59:03Speaker 1: lane to end this.
- 59:03Speaker 2: Thing, NOPE i think we got it all.
- 59:06Speaker 1: Right i'm giving you the honors this week BECAUSE i
- 59:08Speaker 1: kind of am stuck on a. Couple so if you take,
- 59:10Speaker 1: One i've got, Another So i'll let you run with
- 59:12Speaker 1: it this, Week you've got the. Honors for those that don't,
- 59:15Speaker 1: know this is the final. Segment we use everything we've
- 59:17Speaker 1: taken from throughout the show that makes it a little bit.
- 59:19Speaker 1: Different we really do walk through the, slate think about
- 59:22Speaker 1: the if, this then, that the what, ifs the what
- 59:25Speaker 1: does this? Mean that leads to. That we put it all,
- 59:27Speaker 1: together make sure we've got the common build figured out
- 59:30Speaker 1: and ways to leverage, it and then at the end
- 59:32Speaker 1: we talk about what our leverage lane. Is it could
- 59:34Speaker 1: be a, stack secondary, stack a certain roster construction. Type
- 59:37Speaker 1: we hit on a lot of them throughout the show,
- 59:39Speaker 1: too So i'll recap, some but give us your leverage
- 59:41Speaker 1: lane for this.
- 59:42Speaker 2: Week, YEAH i, mean it's essentially like you, know a
- 59:45Speaker 2: lot of shows around the industry kind of end the
- 59:47Speaker 2: show with their favorite play on the. Slate but the
- 59:49Speaker 2: whole thing that we're talking about is like it's not
- 59:51Speaker 2: necessarily about the specific, place it's the way that you play.
- 59:54Speaker 2: Them it's how you approach the lineup as a. Whole
- 59:56Speaker 2: so we close out with our favorite way to kind,
- 59:59Speaker 2: of you, know start a lineup or way to think
- 1:00:01Speaker 2: through a. Lineup mine is going to BE i almost
- 1:00:04Speaker 2: could go really vague here and just say like triple
- 1:00:07Speaker 2: stacks in, general But i'm going to go specific And
- 1:00:08Speaker 2: i'm going to go To Daniel jones triple stacks once.
- 1:00:12Speaker 2: AGAIN i think the most important piece Is Alec, pierce
- 1:00:14Speaker 2: because When Daniel jones really has that ceiling, performance it's
- 1:00:18Speaker 2: likely going to be because he has at least one
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: explosive passing. Touchdown like just think last, Week Jonathan taylor
- 1:00:24Speaker 2: broke an eighty yard. Touchdown what if that was an
- 1:00:26Speaker 2: eightyard touchdown, Pass it's going To Alec. Pierce it changes the.
- 1:00:30Speaker 2: Slave but the kind of theme in general here IS
- 1:00:33Speaker 2: i already brought this, up but like what happens when
- 1:00:37Speaker 2: we finally have a week Where Jonathan taylor doesn't score multiple.
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: Touchdowns Daniel jones has been putting up low to mid
- 1:00:43Speaker 2: twenty performances all season, long even When Jonathan taylor is
- 1:00:48Speaker 2: stealing all of the. Touchdowns when they finally have a
- 1:00:51Speaker 2: game where the touchdown variance goes Entirely Daniel jones, way
- 1:00:55Speaker 2: he's probably putting up thirty to thirty. Five he's bringing
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: at least three of his guys with, him OR i
- 1:01:01Speaker 2: should say at least, two potentially, three potentially even. Four
- 1:01:05Speaker 2: but the thing about that, is like when you have
- 1:01:08Speaker 2: a triple, stack you're not necessarily asking all three of
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: them to hit in a big. Way you're just dramatically
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: improving your chances of having two hit in a big.
- 1:01:19Speaker 2: Way if you choose Just Pierson, pittman for, example And
- 1:01:23Speaker 2: Tyler warren has the huge, game you're, going, DAMN i
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: should have, had you, Know warren instead Of. Pittman if
- 1:01:28Speaker 2: you have, both you're almost you're not, Guaranteed like your
- 1:01:32Speaker 2: chances of having the right guy or two of the
- 1:01:35Speaker 2: right guys just dramatically, increases and it's unlikely the third
- 1:01:39Speaker 2: guy is going to totally kill. You you, know last,
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: week for, example if you Had Daniel, Jones, Pittman Jonathan,
- 1:01:46Speaker 2: taylor And Tyler, warren you would have done really, well
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: even With Daniel jones not quite having a ceiling performance
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: and With warren. Failing why Because taylor And pittman hit
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: in such a strong. Way SO i really like the
- 1:01:58Speaker 2: triples this WEEK i don't Think i'm Using. TAYLOR i
- 1:02:01Speaker 2: think it's going to Be Pierce Pittman warren maybe downs
- 1:02:04Speaker 2: we'll get in instead of one of those. Guys that
- 1:02:06Speaker 2: the hardest part actually for me is like picking the
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: right bring back From. PITTSBURGH i like The Friar youth
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: call a little, bit but If i'm Using, WARREN i
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: probably don't want to go To Friar. Youth so At Tyler,
- 1:02:18Speaker 2: WARREN i should say Not Jalen, warr But Jalen WARREN
- 1:02:20Speaker 2: Dk meck have both worked as. Bringbacks the only issue
- 1:02:22Speaker 2: THAT i have Is india has been a phenomenal matchup
- 1:02:25Speaker 2: for tight, ends wide receiver twos and wide receiver. THREES
- 1:02:29Speaker 2: i don't want to Play Calvin austin Or Roman. Wilson
- 1:02:32Speaker 2: and as you, Mentioned tamba, like there are three different
- 1:02:35Speaker 2: stealer tight ends that we'd have to choose. From so
- 1:02:37Speaker 2: the bringback is the hardest. Part BUT i feel really
- 1:02:40Speaker 2: really good About Daniel jones tripple.
- 1:02:41Speaker 1: Stacks and the nice thing is where many you know
- 1:02:44Speaker 1: don't talk about this, either but it's factored in and
- 1:02:46Speaker 1: you can check it in the, sims and over time
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: people have cut onto it a little bit but you
- 1:02:49Speaker 1: don't need to run it. Back that's the. Thing so
- 1:02:51Speaker 1: if you just like the spot and you want to
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: run with. It IF i was not picking, anything because
- 1:02:55Speaker 1: that was one of my, two was definitely that one.
- 1:02:58Speaker 1: THING i was going to tie a couple. Things that one.
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: IS i said it already, earlier But i'll give it.
- 1:03:01Speaker 1: Now it's sometimes it's a roster. CONSTRUCTION i think the quadrup,
- 1:03:04Speaker 1: well like the quarterback plus three is gonna be the
- 1:03:07Speaker 1: way we see it happen this. WEEK i definitely think
- 1:03:09Speaker 1: that's a way to get a little bit different than
- 1:03:10Speaker 1: what most are. DOING a lot are gonna Go Dart
- 1:03:13Speaker 1: Wan dale and MAYBE theo and. Stop they're not gonna
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: put the fourth guy in. There they're gonna go To,
- 1:03:17Speaker 1: okay If i'm not Going Jonathan, taylor I'llgo, Jones pittman
- 1:03:22Speaker 1: And warren or stop there or something like. THAT i
- 1:03:24Speaker 1: think putting these stacks together in different ways is gonna
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: be the. Spot and even on The Caleb williams SPOT
- 1:03:30Speaker 1: i brought up, Earlier Like Caleb, Williams Manung guy odoonz And,
- 1:03:34Speaker 1: oz like ole Amedes, zachi what Is olamede Al, ZAKIAS
- 1:03:40Speaker 1: i was messed up the second part of, it but
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: anyway you put it all, together my point, being the
- 1:03:44Speaker 1: quad stacks are definitely out there to be had this,
- 1:03:47Speaker 1: week and some of the pricing allows for. It So
- 1:03:50Speaker 1: i'm gonna go to another one And i'll bring it
- 1:03:52Speaker 1: up in a. Second but the last THING i was
- 1:03:53Speaker 1: gonna say is when someone, said you, Know Tucker kraft
- 1:03:55Speaker 1: by far and away the best on this slate, again
- 1:03:58Speaker 1: you can go with that and hope that he has
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: the same game that he just. Had he's very. Capable
- 1:04:02Speaker 1: grown man shit in that last game if you watched.
- 1:04:04Speaker 1: It but, wait let's go back to remember watching it
- 1:04:07Speaker 1: for a. Second and who was he playing against a
- 1:04:09Speaker 1: game and you took it with your leverage. Lane it
- 1:04:12Speaker 1: was the matchup with The. STEELERS i Think Tyler warren
- 1:04:15Speaker 1: is incredibly capable of doing the same thing. Here AND
- 1:04:18Speaker 1: i mentioned it, earlier BUT i laughed at. It that's
- 1:04:19Speaker 1: WHY i had that one sort of in the. Bag
- 1:04:21Speaker 1: is when he was like forty, five forty eight, people
- 1:04:24Speaker 1: he should be like seven, Grand it's like he should.
- 1:04:26Speaker 1: Be he's like he's getting he's getting goal line, carries
- 1:04:28Speaker 1: he's getting. Everything it's, like, okay then you must love
- 1:04:31Speaker 1: him at fifty, five but yet, no it doesn't seem
- 1:04:33Speaker 1: that way, Again SO i love the thought the whole
- 1:04:37Speaker 1: breakdown we had earlier on THE jt. Stuff if you're
- 1:04:40Speaker 1: just jumping in live now you can go back and
- 1:04:41Speaker 1: watch it on, playback but just think that in general
- 1:04:44Speaker 1: is awesome to think about where it's like if you
- 1:04:46Speaker 1: don't get to him because he's ninety eight, hundred totally
- 1:04:48Speaker 1: fair and get. That but then start thinking about the next. Level,
- 1:04:52Speaker 1: okay they're still are they gonna put up points or?
- 1:04:54Speaker 1: Not looks like they still. Are, yeah rants got. It,
- 1:04:57Speaker 1: No pittsburgh defense is. Bad, yes that's. Correct and then
- 1:05:00Speaker 1: you go from that and, say, okay now would it
- 1:05:02Speaker 1: be condensed enough THAT i could find a way to
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: get to? It and even if that is the Case
- 1:05:07Speaker 1: alex's leverage, lane is there a WAY i can get
- 1:05:10Speaker 1: to it that's different and really take on this? Slate
- 1:05:12Speaker 1: AND i think there is BECAUSE i want to elaborate
- 1:05:14Speaker 1: further on. It but obviously the said because you already
- 1:05:16Speaker 1: gave the whole slate the, Sack but obviously what does
- 1:05:19Speaker 1: that allow you to do with the rest of your?
- 1:05:20Speaker 1: Lineup there's tons of ways that you can go from,
- 1:05:22Speaker 1: THERE i had two. More i'm kind of stuck in.
- 1:05:24Speaker 1: Between So i'm actually gonna get your take on these.
- 1:05:26Speaker 1: Two i'm gonna commit to, one But i'm curious just
- 1:05:29Speaker 1: on this. One i'll add it in quickly as like a.
- 1:05:31Speaker 1: Bonus what do you think about V dal and The
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: CHARGERS d and you don't need to put The CHARGERS.
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: D i Think vidal as a hole is someone that
- 1:05:37Speaker 1: might see he might moon walk back himself because of
- 1:05:40Speaker 1: the way the running back position sets up this. Week but,
- 1:05:42Speaker 1: MAN i was sweating one hundred grand on These titans
- 1:05:45Speaker 1: due to late swap last. Week this team is phenomenally.
- 1:05:49Speaker 1: Bad holy smokes, like it is literally the worst thing to.
- 1:05:52Speaker 1: Watch and they, say, oh we want to get Cam
- 1:05:54Speaker 1: ward reps to see how he. Does i'm, like what
- 1:05:57Speaker 1: you got him in at the end of the game
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: and you're running wildcat when you get down to the
- 1:06:01Speaker 1: end zone where you could actually get a chance for
- 1:06:02Speaker 1: him to get some. Confidence so what is the thought
- 1:06:05Speaker 1: here of if you go like be doll And CHARGERS.
- 1:06:07Speaker 1: D AND i bring that up Because CHARGERS d is
- 1:06:09Speaker 1: one hundred bucks less than The, rams WHERE i, think,
- 1:06:12Speaker 1: again we'll have to wait and. See but it seems
- 1:06:14Speaker 1: like many more people want to go there against the
- 1:06:16Speaker 1: backup quarterback In New, orleans which is really the rookie.
- 1:06:19Speaker 1: Quarterback but, like just to check it, out what do
- 1:06:21Speaker 1: you think about THE vdal? Thing and Then i'll give.
- 1:06:22Speaker 2: Mine, YEAH i really like The doll. PLAY i THINK
- 1:06:26Speaker 2: i want to look at ownership there because he's one
- 1:06:29Speaker 2: of those plays like he could end up twenty five.
- 1:06:31Speaker 2: Percent you're, like, oh, MAN i used to butt all
- 1:06:32Speaker 2: twenty five percent on this loaded running back, slate but
- 1:06:35Speaker 2: he could also really kind of slip through the cracks
- 1:06:36Speaker 2: in at ten. Percent so because he has that really
- 1:06:39Speaker 2: wide range of outcomes on his, OWNERSHIP i will let
- 1:06:42Speaker 2: ownership make that. Call BUT i think if you get
- 1:06:45Speaker 2: him at fifteen or, less he's a really good. Play
- 1:06:47Speaker 2: i'm not as into The chargers defense BECAUSE i think
- 1:06:50Speaker 2: The rams are just as good AND i want the
- 1:06:54Speaker 2: option OF i IF i need to get off of
- 1:06:56Speaker 2: A chalky, DEFENSE i can't and you can do that
- 1:06:59Speaker 2: with late swap with The. Rams you can't do that
- 1:07:01Speaker 2: with late swap with The. Chargers SO i think The
- 1:07:03Speaker 2: rams just end up a better play by.
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: The Full, OKAY i like. It i'm gonna man this is.
- 1:07:10Speaker 1: Tough so there's another one THAT i just, like BUT
- 1:07:12Speaker 1: i don't really like, it But i'm Gonna i'm gonna
- 1:07:14Speaker 1: run it. Anyway SO i Think i'm very comfortable with.
- 1:07:17Speaker 1: This it just it Doesn't it's gonna go one in two,
- 1:07:20Speaker 1: ways really bad or really. Good But i'm gonna commit to.
- 1:07:22Speaker 1: It i'm gonna roll with The jared Goff, A, Monross Saint,
- 1:07:26Speaker 1: brown And Justin jefferson, Triple like if you put those three,
- 1:07:30Speaker 1: together you could overstack it. Further there's definitely other opportunities
- 1:07:33Speaker 1: and options right on The lions that make it cheap
- 1:07:35Speaker 1: enough to do a lot of the things that we've talked.
- 1:07:37Speaker 1: About but What i'm going to commit to is Goff, A,
- 1:07:40Speaker 1: Monross Saint, brown And Justin, jefferson And i'm gonna pay
- 1:07:43Speaker 1: up at those wide receiver. Positions i'm going to hope
- 1:07:47Speaker 1: that you don't NEED. Jt And i'm going to hope
- 1:07:50Speaker 1: THAT cmc DOES cmc, things which this year has been
- 1:07:53Speaker 1: twenty point games and twenty four twenty three point dk
- 1:07:56Speaker 1: point games WHERE i can get that in different. WAYS
- 1:07:59Speaker 1: i like a ton of different things about this. GAME
- 1:08:01Speaker 1: i love That detroit has almost a thirty point team
- 1:08:04Speaker 1: total at, home AND i don't know If minnesota can
- 1:08:06Speaker 1: push it, enough BUT i know that if they, DO
- 1:08:08Speaker 1: i think it's coming Through Justin jefferson getting there for you,
- 1:08:11Speaker 1: know start and have a good game finally and getting
- 1:08:13Speaker 1: something put together that's. Nice So i'm gonna roll with
- 1:08:15Speaker 1: goff a Manra Justin jefferson thoughts on that before we
- 1:08:19Speaker 1: get out of, here and anything else you want to, Mention,
- 1:08:20Speaker 1: YEAH i like.
- 1:08:21Speaker 2: It it's definitely Something i'm gonna test in the. Sims
- 1:08:24Speaker 2: i'm also gonna look at at More Drake may's stuff
- 1:08:26Speaker 2: BECAUSE i think if you can predict where that production comes,
- 1:08:30Speaker 2: FROM i think that that whole game could end up
- 1:08:33Speaker 2: being really good where maybe you Use london as a bring,
- 1:08:35Speaker 2: back maybe he Use Darnell mooney and hope that that finally.
- 1:08:37Speaker 2: Hits But Drake, may like, himself just projects so incredibly
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: well for us that if he's low on, LIKE i
- 1:08:44Speaker 2: want to take the chance THAT i can predict where
- 1:08:46Speaker 2: it comes from because he himself has such a good
- 1:08:48Speaker 2: chance to separate In and by the, way part of
- 1:08:50Speaker 2: that is No stevenson, LIKE i just don't think that
- 1:08:52Speaker 2: they're gonna Trust Trevion, henderson especially in the red. Zone
- 1:08:56Speaker 2: he's not good at running the ball, yet so you
- 1:08:59Speaker 2: know he's he's been like something like the fifth worst
- 1:09:01Speaker 2: running back in the next gen stats rushing yards. Overexpected
- 1:09:06Speaker 2: SO i think that they could have a really high
- 1:09:07Speaker 2: pass rate And drake make it of a big. Game
- 1:09:09Speaker 2: so there's other STUFF i want to, try BUT i
- 1:09:14Speaker 2: just have a really hard time believing anything is going
- 1:09:17Speaker 2: to be as good As Daniel jones. Triples so that's
- 1:09:20Speaker 2: probably Where i'm gonna end.
- 1:09:21Speaker 1: Up one Thing i'll say on that, then because we're
- 1:09:23Speaker 1: rounding it. Out Then i'll let you. Know you can
- 1:09:25Speaker 1: go tell people where they can find and everything that going.
- 1:09:27Speaker 1: On but you, know if you want to mention it.
- 1:09:28Speaker 1: Quick The bijon situation last week right obviously failed. Everybody
- 1:09:32Speaker 1: the chat's talking a lot about the The bijon flop.
- 1:09:35Speaker 1: LEG i actually have more interest In london playing and,
- 1:09:41Speaker 1: then which sounds Like i'm Going, london But i'm. Not
- 1:09:44Speaker 1: it's you mentioned it in going With mooney flop leg
- 1:09:47Speaker 1: because everyone's he was worried about the bust On. Bijon
- 1:09:51Speaker 1: mooney was Chalk man like Super. Chalk we all have
- 1:09:54Speaker 1: the thought process Of mooney was If london And mooney play,
- 1:09:57Speaker 1: TOGETHER i kind of Like mooney and we want him
- 1:10:00Speaker 1: as a. Sleeper then last Minute london's ruled. Out it
- 1:10:03Speaker 1: boosts both their. Ownership bijon failed the hardest or fell the,
- 1:10:07Speaker 1: hardest if you want to call it, that and people are, like,
- 1:10:09Speaker 1: Oh mooney's just an after, thought but you Wanted mooney's
- 1:10:11Speaker 1: ass if that was the. Situation so to, me if
- 1:10:14Speaker 1: you are leveraging The henderson, stuff who knows what even
- 1:10:16Speaker 1: actually gets to because there's so many running backs on
- 1:10:18Speaker 1: the slave but you said, it it is hard to get.
- 1:10:21Speaker 1: Right but because it could Be Pop douglas who breaks,
- 1:10:23Speaker 1: it or it could be Mac collins again or something.
- 1:10:25Speaker 1: Stupid but if you just want to stick with our
- 1:10:27Speaker 1: quad thought you could Go May, Diggs Booty henry and
- 1:10:32Speaker 1: Use mooney on the way back and do it that.
- 1:10:35Speaker 1: Way AND i don't. KNOW i had the space suit
- 1:10:39Speaker 1: on For halloween for the kids last, night and on
- 1:10:40Speaker 1: The thursday SHOW i had the full astronaut get up
- 1:10:43Speaker 1: on maybe we go to The moon With darnell this.
- 1:10:46Speaker 1: Week in that little back and, forth Because Drake may
- 1:10:48Speaker 1: has been the real, Deal i'm not sure if you
- 1:10:49Speaker 1: saw some of the. STATS i know you dig in pretty,
- 1:10:51Speaker 1: heavily but looking at some of the stuff of like
- 1:10:53Speaker 1: Bo nicks and what he's doing Versus Drake, may and
- 1:10:57Speaker 1: also How Drake may's stuff seems a lot more a
- 1:11:00Speaker 1: lot more traction there or what seems realistic for moving
- 1:11:03Speaker 1: forward versus the bonneck. Stuff but just noting it's not
- 1:11:06Speaker 1: them two verse each. OTHER i just thought that was
- 1:11:07Speaker 1: interesting to. See But Drake may has most certainly been
- 1:11:10Speaker 1: the real. Deal and sixty five hundred with receiving, corps
- 1:11:13Speaker 1: that's fifty seven hundred m below for anything you want
- 1:11:16Speaker 1: to add to it makes it pretty. Nice any final
- 1:11:18Speaker 1: thoughts on that and then let the people know where
- 1:11:20Speaker 1: they can find.
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: You, YEAH i agree. There it's been a week of
- 1:11:25Speaker 2: props for. Me So i've, had LIKE i, mentioned my
- 1:11:30Speaker 2: WORST Nfl sunday of props in a year and a,
- 1:11:33Speaker 2: half and Then monday hit on A kareem hunt to
- 1:11:36Speaker 2: kind of get back on track and hit a three
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: pick play over an underdog on THE nba side of,
- 1:11:39Speaker 2: things and Then tuesday went eight for eight ON nba,
- 1:11:43Speaker 2: props hit for twenty seven thousand, dollars my best prop,
- 1:11:47Speaker 2: day and THEN i had more hits yesterday kind of
- 1:11:49Speaker 2: setting up potentially a good week over an underdog for
- 1:11:53Speaker 2: AN nfl, Too so it's it's been an, awesome awesome
- 1:11:56Speaker 2: week over in my disco from the pick them and props.
- 1:11:58Speaker 2: Perspective if anyone is interested in that kind of, stuff
- 1:12:00Speaker 2: you can find it through My twitter at Alex blika.
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: ONE i know a lot of people have kind of
- 1:12:04Speaker 2: come over From Leverage, lane and it seems like everyone's
- 1:12:07Speaker 2: really enjoying both the discord and also everyone who is
- 1:12:10Speaker 2: already in the discord is really enjoying all of the
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: people who have come From Leverage. Lane we all very
- 1:12:14Speaker 2: clearly think about dfs in the same way we love
- 1:12:17Speaker 2: dfs and maybe we love props to pick them as.
- 1:12:19Speaker 1: Well, yeah for, sure definitely check that. Out it's a
- 1:12:22Speaker 1: nice add on. PIECE i. KNOW i don't know if
- 1:12:23Speaker 1: you saw this two ox we just did a deal.
- 1:12:25Speaker 1: Here i'm gonna throw it up, quick but we've been
- 1:12:27Speaker 1: working With, splash which has a ton of quick pick
- 1:12:29Speaker 1: stuff and things like, that and FOR nba AND, nfl
- 1:12:32Speaker 1: it'd be a great pairing to use code ship it
- 1:12:34Speaker 1: over At. Splash get your deposit, bonus get one hundred
- 1:12:37Speaker 1: percent payout boost on your first Quick picks. Entry they
- 1:12:39Speaker 1: have a ton of boosts going. On but then you
- 1:12:41Speaker 1: could go over With alex and get his prop stuff
- 1:12:44Speaker 1: and be able to apply that directly to. Splash so you,
- 1:12:47Speaker 1: Know alex would get taken care, of you'd be using ship,
- 1:12:49Speaker 1: it you'd be putting it all. Together that's really what
- 1:12:51Speaker 1: these collaborations are all. About so check Out alex over
- 1:12:54Speaker 1: on x as well as in his discord or ship.
- 1:12:56Speaker 1: It the promo right now is. Simple it's if you
- 1:12:59Speaker 1: haven't been with the so you want to check us,
- 1:13:01Speaker 1: out or you're somewhere else and you're trying to see
- 1:13:02Speaker 1: if you want to add us or jump. Over you
- 1:13:05Speaker 1: can do it for five days and that's gonna get
- 1:13:07Speaker 1: you all the Action we've GOT, Mma we've got college football,
- 1:13:10Speaker 1: Today we've got The game seven of The World, SERIES Nba,
- 1:13:13Speaker 1: classic And SHOWDOWN nfl Tomorrow monday. Night you'll get all
- 1:13:17Speaker 1: this stuff throughout this. Weekend but you get five days
- 1:13:19Speaker 1: for just nineteen. Dollars so check it. Out go to
- 1:13:21Speaker 1: shipnation dot com use code ship. Nineteen we appreciate you,
- 1:13:25Speaker 1: all thank you so much for. Watching make sure to
- 1:13:27Speaker 1: smash the thumbs up. Button subscribe to this channel for
- 1:13:30Speaker 1: all the free shows moving, forward and put your comment
- 1:13:33Speaker 1: in the leverage. Lane what's your leverage lane this? Week
- 1:13:35Speaker 1: who are you going? With thank you guys For, alex for,
- 1:13:38Speaker 1: Myself totech and tambo led ship it