Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 05 October 2026
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the insight. Andrew Dickens on
- 0:04Speaker 1: Early Edition with Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 0:09Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB.
- 0:11Speaker 2: Good morning to you and welcome to the programme. I'm
- 0:13Speaker 2: Andrew Dickens in for Ryan Bridge who's preparing for the
- 0:15Speaker 2: big election debate. It's coming up on the programme today.
- 0:19Speaker 2: Labour releases its fiscal plan, but the costings for pay
- 0:22Speaker 2: equity are suspiciously absent. Cameron Bagri will run his eye
- 0:26Speaker 2: over the numbers, and that's happening next. Inflation rises steeply
- 0:30Speaker 2: in Europe. Vicky Price brings us all the details. And
- 0:33Speaker 2: ACT has released its plans for a KiwiSaver shake-up. That
- 0:36Speaker 2: will take the tax off your investments. So we'll have
- 0:39Speaker 2: David Seymour to explain his policy just before six. That
- 0:43Speaker 2: and correspondents from overseas, Gavin Gray from the UK and
- 0:45Speaker 2: from right around New Zealand. And you can have your
- 0:48Speaker 2: say on the text. The number is 9292. It's seven
- 0:51Speaker 2: after five.
- 0:51Speaker 1: The agenda.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Well, it's Monday, the 5th of October, and Russian drone
- 0:57Speaker 2: strikes have hit major bridges in Kiev for four straight
- 1:01Speaker 2: days now. as Moscow is ramping up the attacks on
- 1:04Speaker 2: the capital's critical infrastructure. The German Chancellor, Friedrich Merz, has
- 1:09Speaker 2: made a surprise visit to Kiev in a show of
- 1:12Speaker 2: support for Ukraine.
- 1:13Speaker 3: Mr Putin, will you stop this senseless war? We're ready
- 1:17Speaker 3: to talk. We are ready to talk to each other
- 1:20Speaker 3: about the end of this war, but these barbaric attacks
- 1:23Speaker 3: on the civilian population of Ukraine must stop. These are
- 1:26Speaker 3: daily war crimes.
- 1:28Speaker 2: Now, Australian authorities are investigating links to the FlyDubai co-pilot
- 1:32Speaker 2: accused of trying to take control of a plane heading
- 1:34Speaker 2: to Israel. Now, he's alleged to have attacked the captain
- 1:38Speaker 2: with a crash axe mid-flight before passengers overpowered him and
- 1:42Speaker 2: helped take control of the plane. So authorities have identified
- 1:46Speaker 2: the attacker. Multiple media outlets have named him as Hamam al-Hammamiya.
- 1:52Speaker 4: Sources close to the matter say his visa was not
- 1:55Speaker 4: cancelled on character grounds but because he was not enrolled
- 1:59Speaker 4: in a course and so was ineligible for a student visa.
- 2:03Speaker 4: It's also understood authorities will investigate whether the man was
- 2:07Speaker 4: radicalised while in Australia.
- 2:09Speaker 2: To the UK now and a controversial motion has passed
- 2:12Speaker 2: at the Greens annual conference in Brighton. And the motion
- 2:15Speaker 2: describes Zionism as a ethno-nationalist ideology that seeks the exclusion
- 2:21Speaker 2: or domination of non-Jewish people.
- 2:24Speaker 1: This party will become, beginning today, the party that serves
- 2:30Speaker 1: the people and not the elite.
- 2:33Speaker 5: I would rather have been attacked for being a dental-eating,
- 2:36Speaker 5: sandal-wearing hippie. than perhaps what we're going to be attacked
- 2:40Speaker 5: on now, because I don't think it's a true reflection
- 2:44Speaker 5: of 220,000 members.
- 2:46Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Tory leader Kemi Baradok has been speaking at the
- 2:49Speaker 2: Reform UK's conference. That's being held in Birmingham.
- 2:52Speaker 6: While other parties hark back to the past, we are
- 2:56Speaker 6: for the future.
- 2:58Speaker 5: I meant it.
- 2:59Speaker 7: A Conservative Party that knows what it believes and knows.
- 3:03Speaker 8: Who its people are.
- 3:06Speaker 9: That.
- 3:07Speaker 7: is the Conservative Party I am bringing back.
- 3:10Speaker 2: And that is the agenda. It's ten after five.
- 3:13Speaker 1: Hear it first. Andrew Dickens on early edition with Spark
- 3:17Speaker 1: for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 3:20Speaker 2: News Talk ZB. Some great sport on last night, but boy,
- 3:23Speaker 2: tough for us early risers. I made it through the
- 3:26Speaker 2: first half of the grand final and three quarters of
- 3:28Speaker 2: the Bahrain Grand Prix held in Malaysia. So the Sydney
- 3:31Speaker 2: Roosters have won their first NRL premiership in seven years.
- 3:34Speaker 2: A courageous come from behind 1918 win over the valiant
- 3:38Speaker 2: Newcastle Knights. who of course had their own tragedy over
- 3:41Speaker 2: the course of the weekend. It was a thrilling grand final.
- 3:44Speaker 2: And look, the thing I saw was just the scale
- 3:47Speaker 2: and the spectacle of the big dance, something to behold. Meanwhile,
- 3:50Speaker 2: Liam Lawson came seventh after a good tower choice at
- 3:53Speaker 2: the beginning, saw him as high as third for a while.
- 3:55Speaker 2: But one of my great delights over the course of
- 3:56Speaker 2: the weekend in sport was the MPC. Yesterday, I watched
- 4:00Speaker 2: Taranaki versus Wellington. Great weather, great crowd. wrestling, running, rushing rugby.
- 4:06Speaker 2: I have watched one game before at Stadium Taranaki, the
- 4:09Speaker 2: old Yarrow's, and that was Russia and USA back in
- 4:12Speaker 2: the 2011 Rugby World Cup. And that day, it was horrendous.
- 4:16Speaker 2: The rain was continual. The rugby wasn't brilliant. But I'll
- 4:19Speaker 2: tell you what, the stadium was fantastic. It is a
- 4:21Speaker 2: good walk from town. And since then, it's been rebuilt
- 4:24Speaker 2: after seismic concerns. And I reckon it's one of the
- 4:26Speaker 2: best provincial stadiums in the country. And it had a
- 4:28Speaker 2: great game. And the day before, it was Counties Manukau
- 4:32Speaker 2: against Hawke's Bay, and that was held in Pukekohe. Now,
- 4:35Speaker 2: I have not seen that ground that full for ages.
- 4:38Speaker 2: And I know that ground well. I'm a boy from Turco.
- 4:41Speaker 2: And this is the power of the Ranfurly Shield. The
- 4:44Speaker 2: game was tense. The game was enjoyable. The crowd was big.
- 4:47Speaker 2: The party afterwards was huge. What an occasion. And it
- 4:50Speaker 2: made me realize, watching this great rugby from our humble
- 4:53Speaker 2: little NPC, that there's nothing wrong with the game, except
- 4:58Speaker 2: for maybe the mandarins in head office who appear to
- 5:00Speaker 2: overthink everything. So it's 12 minutes after five and we've
- 5:04Speaker 2: got Labour's fiscal plan. And what's notable in it is
- 5:07Speaker 2: a lack of line detail when it comes to pay
- 5:11Speaker 2: equity and where they're going to find the money from.
- 5:14Speaker 2: And maybe the lack of wriggle room as well. But
- 5:16Speaker 2: don't take my word for it. We'll talk to Cameron
- 5:18Speaker 2: Bagri about this next.
- 5:26Speaker 1: Before the news breaks, hear it first. Andrew Dickens on
- 5:30Speaker 1: early edition with Spark for Business, technology that keeps business moving.
- 5:35Speaker 1: News Talk ZB.
- 5:36Speaker 2: Well, a week after the preview, Labour's finally laid out
- 5:38Speaker 2: its highly anticipated fiscal plan. It's promising to return the
- 5:42Speaker 2: books to surplus in 28-29. And sticking with the Coalition's
- 5:46Speaker 2: $ 2. 4 billion a year operating allowances, there's $ 10. 5 billion left unallocated. Now,
- 5:53Speaker 2: the big thing is the pay equity, and Labour has
- 5:56Speaker 2: only costed $ 2. 5 billion of the estimated $ 11 billion total
- 6:00Speaker 2: over four years.
- 6:02Speaker 10: We're not going to negotiate pay equity settlements through the
- 6:04Speaker 10: media or during an election campaign.
- 6:06Speaker 9: All right.
- 6:07Speaker 2: So to run his eye over the numbers, Cameron Bagri
- 6:10Speaker 2: joins us now, the independent economist. Hello, Cameron. Good morning. Hey,
- 6:14Speaker 2: does it stack up or are there too many grey
- 6:16Speaker 2: areas to know?
- 6:19Speaker 11: Well, there's lots of grey areas around these things when
- 6:21Speaker 11: you pull together a set of fiscal forecasts because you've
- 6:24Speaker 11: got one big revenue number and one big expense number,
- 6:27Speaker 11: and you can see a fair bit of variation between
- 6:29Speaker 11: those two. What we know is it doesn't matter which
- 6:32Speaker 11: political party gets into power, the kitty's pretty empty. To
- 6:37Speaker 11: go from deficit to surplus, which we need to put
- 6:40Speaker 11: some money back in the tin to bend the debt curve,
- 6:42Speaker 11: it's going to involve complicated trade-offs. Both the main political
- 6:46Speaker 11: parties have committed now $ 2. 4 billion operating allowances for the
- 6:51Speaker 11: next four budgets. And by the time you whip out
- 6:53Speaker 11: about $ 1. 5 billion of that towards health, there's not a
- 6:56Speaker 11: lot of money left for the rest of the government. So,
- 6:59Speaker 11: once again, complicated trade-offs. If we're going to go from
- 7:01Speaker 11: deficit to surplus, you either need more revenue or you've
- 7:04Speaker 11: got to go pretty hard cutting expenses as a share
- 7:07Speaker 11: of GDP. And both the main political parties have had
- 7:09Speaker 11: that within their fiscal plans.
- 7:12Speaker 2: Is the lack of detail, particularly around the pay equity,
- 7:15Speaker 2: dishonest or is that a commercial reality?
- 7:19Speaker 11: I think that's more a commercial reality. But look, we're
- 7:22Speaker 11: going to get back into that infamous sort of Stephen
- 7:25Speaker 11: Joyce fiscal hold debate that we saw in 2017. And
- 7:30Speaker 11: the finger will be pointed at either side. But if
- 7:32Speaker 11: you just look at Treasury's articulation within the last few budgets,
- 7:37Speaker 11: half the economic fiscal update, the pre-food, Going from deficit
- 7:41Speaker 11: to surplus is going to involve complicated trade-offs. You either
- 7:45Speaker 11: need to get expenses down as a share of GDP,
- 7:48Speaker 11: or you need to find more revenue out there. So
- 7:51Speaker 11: braced for this election, it's going to be a trade-off,
- 7:52Speaker 11: I think, between tax versus health care.
- 7:55Speaker 2: OK, so you say tax. You basically have said any
- 7:58Speaker 2: government is either going to have to lift revenue, in
- 8:01Speaker 2: other words, lift taxes, or they're going to have to
- 8:03Speaker 2: cut spending. This is a party, Labour is a party,
- 8:06Speaker 2: with a capital gains tax. They say they've ring-fenced it.
- 8:09Speaker 2: Do you think there might be a possibility that they're
- 8:12Speaker 2: going to have to expand that?
- 8:15Speaker 11: Yeah, I think so. If you look at, they've just
- 8:18Speaker 11: updated their fiscal objectives because what they had within the
- 8:23Speaker 11: document they've released with government expenditure trending down is a
- 8:26Speaker 11: share of GDP. But their fiscal objective was to keep
- 8:29Speaker 11: government expenditure at a flat around 33% of GDP. They've
- 8:35Speaker 11: just updated that, I think. So now it's a ceiling.
- 8:38Speaker 11: So I We call it the impossible trinity, Andrew. You
- 8:43Speaker 11: want to demonstrate these things if you're finance minister. You
- 8:46Speaker 11: want to show that you're bending the debt curve, you're
- 8:47Speaker 11: getting from deficit to surplus. That's one objective. Number two,
- 8:51Speaker 11: you need to find money to invest in the economy,
- 8:54Speaker 11: invest in infrastructure. And number three is you've just got
- 8:57Speaker 11: to throw money at core government services because the likes
- 9:00Speaker 11: of health care is a pretty expensive beast to run. Well,
- 9:02Speaker 11: you can hit two out of three. You can't hit
- 9:04Speaker 11: three out of three unless you're prepared to front up
- 9:07Speaker 11: and say you're going to lift taxes.
- 9:09Speaker 2: All right, Cameron, I thank you so much for your analysis.
- 9:11Speaker 2: We'll have more of this, of course, with the Mike
- 9:13Speaker 2: Hosking Breakfast Show. And before this hour is out, we're
- 9:16Speaker 2: going to talk to David Seymour from ACT, and he's
- 9:19Speaker 2: got his new plans for KiwiSaver. I'll run you through
- 9:21Speaker 2: that a bit later on. It's News Talks FB. Inflation
- 9:23Speaker 2: is peaking everywhere. Cost of living everywhere. Now it's in Europe.
- 9:27Speaker 2: Vicky Price on this next.
- 9:29Speaker 1: The early edition full show podcast on iHeartRadio, powered by
- 9:33Speaker 1: News Talks FB. The news you need this morning and
- 9:38Speaker 1: the in-depth analysis. Early edition with Andrew Dickens and Spark
- 9:43Speaker 1: for Business. Technology that keeps business moving. News Talk ZB.
- 9:47Speaker 2: It's 20 after five. I'm here because Ryan is preparing
- 9:50Speaker 2: for the big leaders debates that are coming very soon
- 9:52Speaker 2: to herald now. But right now, let's talk business with
- 9:56Speaker 2: our correspondent, Vicky Price. Hello, Vicky.
- 9:59Speaker 5: Good morning.
- 10:00Speaker 2: Inflation has risen sharply in Europe.
- 10:04Speaker 7: I'm afraid so. I think we were expecting it to
- 10:06Speaker 7: happen at some point, given all the energy price increases
- 10:08Speaker 7: that we've all been experiencing. And then finally, inflation is
- 10:12Speaker 7: zooming up. It's now gone up to 3.8 percent in
- 10:14Speaker 7: the eurozone from 3.2 percent. So that's quite a jump.
- 10:18Speaker 7: And the expectation is it's going to be going up
- 10:20Speaker 7: even further in the next few months. So we're all
- 10:22Speaker 7: going to be worrying about interest rates again, whether they
- 10:25Speaker 7: will be going up or not in the next meetings.
- 10:27Speaker 9: That they have.
- 10:28Speaker 2: Yes, and politicians are going to be talking about the
- 10:30Speaker 2: cost of living, and we'll be talking about this very
- 10:32Speaker 2: shortly here on this show. Meanwhile, there are riots over
- 10:35Speaker 2: the high rents that are being paid in Spain.
- 10:39Speaker 7: Well, it's all linked. If you're paying quite a lot
- 10:42Speaker 7: to borrow and, of course, the housing market itself is
- 10:45Speaker 7: suffering in a number of places. But nevertheless, what is
- 10:47Speaker 7: still going on is that people, instead of buying, are
- 10:50Speaker 7: looking to rent and rent rental costs are going up
- 10:53Speaker 7: very significantly. They are simply not affordable in many cities
- 10:57Speaker 7: in particular, which also get loads of tourists who all
- 10:59Speaker 7: come and rent. go for Airbnb, which really means that
- 11:03Speaker 7: some of those flats that would have been available are not.
- 11:05Speaker 7: Prices are being pushed up. And there are indeed riots
- 11:08Speaker 7: in Madrid in particular because there have been some evictions
- 11:11Speaker 7: of people whose houses have been bought by hedge funds
- 11:17Speaker 7: or venture capital funds or private sector entities, which are trebling,
- 11:23Speaker 7: sometimes quadrupling, and even more the rents that they were charging.
- 11:26Speaker 7: So there's a real, real issue. And And I think
- 11:29Speaker 7: it's spreading across Europe because you're seeing some countries in particular.
- 11:33Speaker 7: I mean, Portugal is very bad in terms of the
- 11:35Speaker 7: affordability of rents, but so is the Netherlands. So we're
- 11:40Speaker 7: looking at sort of richer places which are also suffering
- 11:43Speaker 7: from this. And you see this spreading across. And we've
- 11:46Speaker 7: also got, of course, riots in France because... The students
- 11:51Speaker 7: and the population at large, I think, feels that not
- 11:53Speaker 7: enough is being spent on public services, despite the fact
- 11:55Speaker 7: that France spends a lot more as a percentage of
- 11:59Speaker 7: GDP by the public sector and raises more taxes. So
- 12:04Speaker 7: there is something going on. I think it all is
- 12:06Speaker 7: linked to exactly what you said at the beginning, which
- 12:09Speaker 7: is the cost of living.
- 12:09Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 12:11Speaker 9: All right.
- 12:11Speaker 2: Meanwhile, Europe has agreed to release more crude and refined
- 12:14Speaker 2: strategic stocks to release pressure on diesel prices. This is because,
- 12:17Speaker 2: of course, Donald Trump's diesel export ban. What are they doing?
- 12:22Speaker 7: Well, he hasn't actually instituted the export ban. He was
- 12:26Speaker 7: threatening it. And it's worth remembering that the UK in particular,
- 12:31Speaker 7: but also Europe, depend to a very considerable extent on
- 12:33Speaker 7: diesel exports now from the US, now that there aren't
- 12:38Speaker 7: exports coming from russia in fact russia itself has put
- 12:42Speaker 7: its own ban since july the refineries have been hit
- 12:45Speaker 7: because of the war in the middle east so what
- 12:48Speaker 7: you've got is a real shortage and the u.s is
- 12:51Speaker 7: using the threat as a weapon if you like says
- 12:54Speaker 7: you guys in europe have quite a lot of um
- 12:57Speaker 7: stocks release those and bring prices down and of course
- 13:00Speaker 7: there is political impetus in europe as well to do
- 13:04Speaker 7: so otherwise it's exactly the stuff we've been talking about
- 13:06Speaker 7: which is that cost of living issues are leading to
- 13:10Speaker 7: quite a lot of politics coming to the boil.
- 13:13Speaker 2: Absolutely. It's a battle on so many fronts and I
- 13:15Speaker 2: thank you for your time today. That is Vicky Price
- 13:17Speaker 2: and the cost of living is a big issue here
- 13:19Speaker 2: as well. Talk about that in a moment. I'm Andrew Dickens.
- 13:22Speaker 2: It is now 5.26. So the cost of living is
- 13:26Speaker 2: once again a key issue in the election. I always
- 13:28Speaker 2: find it amazing that somehow New Zealanders believe it's a
- 13:32Speaker 2: problem that only affects us but you just heard Vicky Price.
- 13:34Speaker 2: It's happening all over Europe in all sorts of different ways.
- 13:36Speaker 2: But here When we talk about the cost of living,
- 13:39Speaker 2: all the blame gets heaped on supermarkets. Our duopoly of
- 13:42Speaker 2: big old supermarkets are viewed with suspicion with many, including
- 13:45Speaker 2: politicians believing they're rorting us and every party's got some
- 13:48Speaker 2: sort of proposal to rein them in. So National and
- 13:51Speaker 2: New Zealand First want to break the duopoly up forcibly.
- 13:53Speaker 2: That's classic command economy style, normally associated with the left,
- 13:57Speaker 2: but they don't seem to mind. The Green Party want
- 13:59Speaker 2: to spend billions on a state-owned Kiwi Mart. And ACT
- 14:03Speaker 2: just wants to cut all the red tape so overseas
- 14:05Speaker 2: competitors can win. Yesterday, Chris Quinn from Foodstuffs appeared on
- 14:09Speaker 2: Q & A to defend supermarkets. And he pointed out
- 14:13Speaker 2: in his conversation with Simon Mersip that we are the
- 14:16Speaker 2: 13th cheapest grocery market in the OECD. He also pointed
- 14:20Speaker 2: out the lack of margin for supermarkets. They're not huge
- 14:23Speaker 2: money machines necessarily. They make 2.3 cents in the dollar.
- 14:27Speaker 2: And all of this are very important points. Our supermarkets
- 14:31Speaker 2: seem profitable, but purely because of the sheer volume of
- 14:35Speaker 2: sales they put through. Because the mega supermarkets we shop
- 14:38Speaker 2: at each day don't really exist for much of the world.
- 14:42Speaker 2: More intensified cities don't have the big supermarkets that we do.
- 14:45Speaker 2: We drive and we buy in bulk. In Europe, they
- 14:48Speaker 2: walk with a trundler and they shop more often. Now,
- 14:51Speaker 2: the ignorance of the economies of supermarkets is what has
- 14:54Speaker 2: driven the outrage in New Zealand, and the politicians are
- 14:57Speaker 2: just following the outrage for approval. Now, of course, like everybody,
- 15:01Speaker 2: I've got a problem with the cost of living, but
- 15:02Speaker 2: I do not have a problem with the duopoly of
- 15:05Speaker 2: supermarkets in this little country of ours. In fact, their
- 15:08Speaker 2: very size makes stuff an awful lot cheaper than it
- 15:11Speaker 2: could be. But now we have a load of politicians
- 15:14Speaker 2: of all colours sticking their noses into what I would
- 15:17Speaker 2: call our personal property rights. And that doesn't sit well
- 15:21Speaker 2: with me at all. It's 5.28. OK, so we've got
- 15:26Speaker 2: Labour's fiscal plan, but we've also got ACT's. With their
- 15:29Speaker 2: KiwiSaver plan, a major shake-up, they want to scrap tax
- 15:32Speaker 2: on investment earnings. They reckon a 25-year-old nurse could be
- 15:37Speaker 2: $ 217, 000 better off by retirement by this. The move would
- 15:40Speaker 2: in turn replace the government's contributions, which are currently in place. Now,
- 15:44Speaker 2: tax drag. has a significant impact because of the compounding
- 15:48Speaker 2: effect over time. But if you take that tax away,
- 15:51Speaker 2: that could lead to much bigger KiwiSaver returns to you
- 15:54Speaker 2: over the long term. But of course, it will cost
- 15:57Speaker 2: the government in terms of revenue from the tax on
- 15:59Speaker 2: the investments, but they'd save their contributions, which they make,
- 16:03Speaker 2: which are currently around about a billion dollars a year.
- 16:06Speaker 2: But those people with more of their own money to
- 16:09Speaker 2: put in the scheme will get the best benefit, while
- 16:13Speaker 2: the people who don't have much money and are not
- 16:16Speaker 2: contributing much, will not see the government contributions, so they'll
- 16:18Speaker 2: see less going in. And critics have already come out
- 16:21Speaker 2: and argued, well, that's the rich getting richer and the
- 16:24Speaker 2: poor getting poorer. Long term, the way I read it,
- 16:29Speaker 2: everyone will benefit, but short term, there will be losers,
- 16:34Speaker 2: including the government, who will be losing all the revenue.
- 16:37Speaker 2: So to explain, that's my thoughts on it, but to explain.
- 16:42Speaker 2: What's going to happen? We're going to be joined by
- 16:44Speaker 2: Axe leader, David Seymour, and he's going to join us
- 16:47Speaker 2: just before six. He's got a spiffy new bus. Did
- 16:49Speaker 2: you see that yesterday? They launched the party and everyone's
- 16:52Speaker 2: getting off a bus. Not only that, National have a
- 16:54Speaker 2: spiffy new bus. It's the battle of the buses in
- 16:57Speaker 2: this election right now. Meanwhile, I guess Labour and the
- 17:02Speaker 2: Greens are just riding their bicycles around the place. I'll
- 17:04Speaker 2: tell you what Labour and the Greens are doing. They're
- 17:05Speaker 2: doing corner, street corner speeches. I've got one happening down
- 17:10Speaker 2: the bottom of my street. Sam Collins is running for
- 17:13Speaker 2: Labour for North Shore. He's going to talk on the
- 17:14Speaker 2: corner of my street. I don't know if anyone's going
- 17:16Speaker 2: to turn up. We'll see. Anyway, yes, so David Seymour's
- 17:20Speaker 2: on the way. Correspondents from right around New Zealand's on
- 17:21Speaker 2: the way. Gavin Gray from the UK as well. You've
- 17:24Speaker 2: got early edition. I'm Andrew Dickens. This is Newstalk CMB.
- 17:40Speaker 1: The Early Edition Full Show Podcast on iHeartRadio, powered by
- 17:45Speaker 1: Newstalk ZB. Andrew Dickens on Early Edition with Spark for Business.
- 17:52Speaker 1: Technology that keeps business moving. Newstalk ZB.
- 17:55Speaker 2: Hey, good morning to you. Thank you so much for
- 18:04Speaker 2: joining us. If you've just woken up, no Ryan. No
- 18:06Speaker 2: Ryan this week, actually. He's preparing for the leaders debate
- 18:08Speaker 2: and we're playing Level 42. which I haven't heard in years,
- 18:11Speaker 2: and they're coming this summer to the Greenstone music tour,
- 18:17Speaker 2: playing Wanaka and Taupo. And speaking about music, we've got
- 18:19Speaker 2: another Kiwi success story in entertainment. David Higgins' Symphony is back.
- 18:23Speaker 2: It's touring Europe again. And I was watching videos over
- 18:26Speaker 2: the weekend. They're selling out indoor stadiums across the continent.
- 18:29Speaker 2: It's a big hit. And on lead vocals is Jeremy Redmore. Now,
- 18:32Speaker 2: you remember Jeremy. He's ex of Midnight Youth. You remember
- 18:36Speaker 2: Golden Love, the song played at Mike Hosking's wedding. Anyway,
- 18:39Speaker 2: this weekend, not only has he been playing in Europe
- 18:42Speaker 2: and singing with Symphony, he also released a single. And
- 18:45Speaker 2: he's collaborated with a guy called Corin Cavini. And it's
- 18:49Speaker 2: a launch of Jeremy's new persona. He's going by the
- 18:51Speaker 2: name of Down Under, with no E. So U-N-D-R, Down Under.
- 18:57Speaker 2: And guess what? I had a listen to it over
- 18:58Speaker 2: the weekend. It's actually really quite good. And while we're
- 19:00Speaker 2: on the subject of music, can I just say happy
- 19:02Speaker 2: birthday to Brian Johnson, the lead singer of ACDC, who's
- 19:05Speaker 2: 79 today and still working. On Friday, they wrapped up
- 19:08Speaker 2: their power-up tour in New York at MetLife Stadium with
- 19:11Speaker 2: the Foo Fighters as support. Dave Grohl came on and
- 19:14Speaker 2: joined Brian and Angus for Highway to Hell. Magnificent. It
- 19:19Speaker 2: is 22 to 6. Let's go right around the country
- 19:23Speaker 2: right now into Dunedin. We go, Callum Proctor, good morning
- 19:26Speaker 2: to you.
- 19:27Speaker 9: Morning, Andrew.
- 19:28Speaker 2: Otago Farmers, be warned, the council's coming. Yes, they are.
- 19:32Speaker 10: The regional council are about to get underway with their
- 19:35Speaker 10: annual council farm checks, as most farmers head towards the
- 19:39Speaker 10: end of their calving season here. Staff will visit around
- 19:42Speaker 10: 300 to 400 farms over the coming months, mostly in
- 19:46Speaker 10: Klutha and Waitaki. They'll be checking consented and permitted activities
- 19:50Speaker 10: with a focus on dairy, effluent, silage, farm rubbish and offal.
- 19:55Speaker 10: The council says a challenging spring. After what has been
- 20:00Speaker 10: a challenging spring, the visits are about working with farmers
- 20:02Speaker 10: to support compliance while also understanding the challenges they face.
- 20:07Speaker 2: How is your spring? What's the weather like?
- 20:09Speaker 10: It's good here around the south today. Another fine day,
- 20:11Speaker 10: apart from some areas of morning fog. So we'll keep
- 20:14Speaker 10: an eye on the airport. Light winds the high today, 16.
- 20:16Speaker 2: Thank you, Calum. Claire Sherwood joins us from Christchurch. Good
- 20:19Speaker 2: morning to you.
- 20:19Speaker 12: Good morning.
- 20:20Speaker 2: So are you saying ratepayers in Christchurch could be in
- 20:24Speaker 2: for smaller rates?
- 20:25Speaker 6: Yeah, well, it certainly looks like Christchurch City Council is
- 20:27Speaker 6: making headway towards these proposed government limits. The first draft
- 20:33Speaker 6: of the long-term plan has set the maximum rates increases
- 20:37Speaker 6: at 6% in 2028, 5% for 2029 and 4% by 2030. Now, this,
- 20:43Speaker 6: of course, aligns with the proposed government bill that would
- 20:46Speaker 6: require councils to keep annual rates rises low. between 2%
- 20:49Speaker 6: and 4% from July 2029. Our Finance and Performance Committee Chair,
- 20:53Speaker 6: Councillor Sam McDonald, says Christchurch is well ahead of the
- 20:56Speaker 6: game and well-placed to meet those limits after years of
- 21:00Speaker 6: very prudent financial decisions.
- 21:02Speaker 2: Yeah, 4% though. OK, now, how's your weather?
- 21:06Speaker 6: Some frost and fog about this morning, but should clear
- 21:08Speaker 6: to mainly fine. North Easterlies developing and the high will
- 21:11Speaker 6: be 15.
- 21:12Speaker 2: And I thank you. Max Toll joins us from Wellington. Hello, Max.
- 21:15Speaker 2: Good morning. Surprise, surprise. You've got another building that might
- 21:17Speaker 2: fall down if there's a quake.
- 21:19Speaker 11: Yeah.
- 21:20Speaker 12: Yeah, this is the Te Whaea Arts Centre, which is
- 21:23Speaker 12: the other side of the Basin Reserve at the top
- 21:25Speaker 12: of Newtown, roughly. Apparently now been deemed quake-prone, requiring strengthening.
- 21:30Speaker 12: Home of the wonderful New Zealand School of Dance, our
- 21:32Speaker 12: drama school, Toi Whakaari. The Post reports it's been flagged
- 21:36Speaker 12: as quake-prone last month in council documents, joining an unillustrious
- 21:41Speaker 12: list that still includes the Michael Fowler Centre, the Opera House.
- 21:44Speaker 12: The positive news is, though, for now, it can still
- 21:47Speaker 12: be occupied, so all those dancers and actors don't have
- 21:51Speaker 12: to clear out. It is an important artistic venue, no
- 21:53Speaker 12: time frame yet for strengthening. I think the To Fire
- 21:58Speaker 12: staff are still figuring out next steps.
- 22:01Speaker 2: All right, how's your weather?
- 22:03Speaker 12: A cooler start, but mostly fine today with lighter winds,
- 22:06Speaker 12: a high of 14.
- 22:07Speaker 2: And I thank you, Neva Reitman, who joins us now
- 22:09Speaker 2: from Auckland. Hello, Neva. Good morning, Andrew. So, Carlos Chung
- 22:13Speaker 2: is an MP, believe it or not. He's with National.
- 22:16Speaker 2: and someone set his billboard on fire.
- 22:19Speaker 8: Correct.
- 22:19Speaker 13: It's the old election billboard vandalism, you know, time of
- 22:24Speaker 13: this year, isn't it? So you're quite right. The national candidate,
- 22:27Speaker 13: this is in the Mount Roskill electorate, caught fire in
- 22:30Speaker 13: Three Kings shortly after midnight yesterday, believed to be deliberately set.
- 22:34Speaker 13: So Chung posted a photo of the hoarding fire on
- 22:37Speaker 13: social media, condemning the behaviour, calling it dangerous, reckless, completely unacceptable.
- 22:42Speaker 13: And You know, the National Party, obviously, they're aware of
- 22:44Speaker 13: the incident. They've reported this to police. They're not making
- 22:47Speaker 13: any comments saying, you know, it'd be inappropriate at this time. But,
- 22:50Speaker 13: you know, we're just talking about this in the newsroom.
- 22:52Speaker 13: And vandalism is right. It always is during election year,
- 22:55Speaker 13: isn't it? On all different parties, you know, like eyes
- 22:58Speaker 13: cut out, spray painting.
- 23:00Speaker 2: Well, yes.
- 23:01Speaker 6: If you drive around.
- 23:01Speaker 7: I know.
- 23:02Speaker 14: Yeah.
- 23:02Speaker 2: Some of it's quite creative. What have you seen? Well,
- 23:05Speaker 2: I've seen guys with funny old eyes. You're quite right. Crazy,
- 23:08Speaker 2: crazy eyes. See the Chris Bishop. Somebody's gone around and
- 23:10Speaker 2: cut his face out of his own billboards, which means
- 23:12Speaker 2: you have to have sort of the saw to do it,
- 23:14Speaker 2: which actually takes a lot of effort, and that's quite
- 23:16Speaker 2: creative as well.
- 23:17Speaker 13: You're quite right, though, because what time they're doing this,
- 23:19Speaker 13: and they need to have all those tools, like, you know,
- 23:22Speaker 13: what they're doing. So it'll be taking them hours.
- 23:25Speaker 2: Okay, but don't... Don't do it. Don't egg them on. Exactly. No,
- 23:28Speaker 2: quite right. I'm condemning them. Bad, bad people. How's the weather?
- 23:32Speaker 13: Isolated light showers, partly cloudy for most of the day
- 23:34Speaker 13: here in Auckland, a high of 17 degrees.
- 23:37Speaker 2: Thank you so much. It is 18 minutes to six.
- 23:40Speaker 2: And say what you like about Brazil. But I'll tell
- 23:42Speaker 2: you what, Brazil have fantastic elections. They're going to the
- 23:45Speaker 2: polls right now, the first round of a highly polarised
- 23:47Speaker 2: and high-stakes presidential election, which could change the direction of
- 23:51Speaker 2: Latin America's largest country. It's a big place. Today, we've
- 23:57Speaker 2: got the left-wing president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva. better
- 24:02Speaker 2: known as Lula, who is seeking a fourth non-consecutive term.
- 24:05Speaker 2: And he's up against the far-right Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, who
- 24:10Speaker 2: likes Donald Trump, obviously. And he's the son of the
- 24:12Speaker 2: former president, Jair Bolsonaro, who would like to run, but
- 24:16Speaker 2: unfortunately he's busy serving a 27-year sentence for attempting a
- 24:20Speaker 2: coup after he failed in 2022 to be re-elected. So
- 24:24Speaker 2: I'm looking at this today, and Flavio, the 45-year-old son
- 24:27Speaker 2: of Jair, he looks just like his old man.
- 24:31Speaker 12: Absolutely.
- 24:32Speaker 2: Lula, meanwhile, is an inspiration to Winston Peters. He is 80.
- 24:36Speaker 2: The race is extremely close. If no candidate wins more
- 24:40Speaker 2: than 50% of valid votes, a runoff election will be
- 24:42Speaker 2: held on the 25th of October. I believe that results
- 24:45Speaker 2: are about four hours away. It is 17 to six,
- 24:48Speaker 2: but just moments away. Gavin Gray out of the UK says,
- 24:51Speaker 2: and also David Seymour on his changes to KiwiSaver and more. Now,
- 24:55Speaker 2: when you think about the future, you always think about
- 24:56Speaker 2: your KiwiSaver, and we're talking about this with David Seymour
- 24:59Speaker 2: in a few moments' time. But, you know, living well
- 25:01Speaker 2: for longer is bigger than just KiwiSaver. It's about improving
- 25:05Speaker 2: your quality of life as you age and staying healthy
- 25:08Speaker 2: and staying protected. So Leading Health and Life Insurer Partners
- 25:11Speaker 2: Life brought some experts together for a business roundtable on
- 25:14Speaker 2: how New Zealand can live well for longer and build
- 25:17Speaker 2: a brighter, more secure future. They had Michael Weston and
- 25:20Speaker 2: Kate Dronn, hosting Hannah McQueen from Age Brightly, Cam Adams
- 25:24Speaker 2: from EY New Zealand, Nick Hakes from Financial Advice New Zealand,
- 25:27Speaker 2: the Retirement Commissioner David Boyle, and Brooke Roberts from Sharesies.
- 25:31Speaker 2: And so what did this super group come up with?
- 25:33Speaker 2: The takeaway, well, living well isn't something that starts at 65.
- 25:35Speaker 2: It's shaped every day while you're working, paying the mortgage,
- 25:39Speaker 2: raising the kids, and their advice to start early, connect
- 25:42Speaker 2: your savings and your health and your protection, and get
- 25:45Speaker 2: more flexibility for yourself. Partners Life. On how New Zealand
- 25:49Speaker 2: can live well for longer, there is a full story
- 25:52Speaker 2: on this roundtable in the Best of Business Desk report.
- 25:56Speaker 2: It's coming out on next Monday's Herald. Check it out.
- 25:59Speaker 1: International Correspondence with NZI Insurance. Peace of mind for New
- 26:03Speaker 1: Zealand business.
- 26:05Speaker 2: Neil writes to me on the text 9292. Good morning.
- 26:07Speaker 2: Why is it left wing but always far right? Are
- 26:10Speaker 2: you showing your covers? Well, thank you, Neil. Look, now
- 26:13Speaker 2: there's left wing and there's right wing. And then there's
- 26:15Speaker 2: the Bolsonaro's. It's 13 to 6. Gavin Gray from the UK.
- 26:22Speaker 11: Hi there, Andrew.
- 26:23Speaker 2: Hello there. So the guy who was accused of murdering
- 26:26Speaker 2: the former UK prisons minister and immigration spokesperson for Reform
- 26:30Speaker 2: UK has now been charged with preparing acts of terror.
- 26:34Speaker 8: Yes, quite a shock, really. And the 28-year-old will appear
- 26:38Speaker 8: in court on Wednesday. His name is Joshua Kerry, and
- 26:41Speaker 8: he was already charged with murdering Anne Widdicombe. Now, Anne Widdicombe,
- 26:45Speaker 8: a former prison minister under the Conservatives and was the
- 26:50Speaker 8: immigration spokesperson for Reform UK. And she was murdered at
- 26:55Speaker 8: her home. It was alleged by Hammer and alleged by
- 26:58Speaker 8: 28-year-old Joshua Kerry. Now he, too, has been charged with
- 27:04Speaker 8: one count for preparation of terrorist acts. What does that mean? Well,
- 27:10Speaker 8: In between the lines, I think we're getting a feeling
- 27:12Speaker 8: that he was also alleged to be trying to plot
- 27:16Speaker 8: to attack Nigel Farage, the leader of Reform UK and
- 27:20Speaker 8: the architect of Brexit. We don't know any more details.
- 27:24Speaker 8: As I said, we'll get those when he appears in
- 27:26Speaker 8: court on Wednesday. But it's interesting that Nigel Farage currently
- 27:30Speaker 8: under investigating for accepting some 11 million New Zealand dollars
- 27:35Speaker 8: worth as a gift before he became an MP. Now,
- 27:38Speaker 8: he's under investigation because of claims that perhaps in some
- 27:41Speaker 8: way he was given the money in order to do
- 27:44Speaker 8: something or vote a particular way. When he became an MP,
- 27:47Speaker 8: he said, no, that was a gift and it was
- 27:49Speaker 8: a gift to maintain my security. Now, others in his
- 27:53Speaker 8: party are saying, look, he needed that money because his
- 27:56Speaker 8: life is being threatened. And look at now what's being
- 27:58Speaker 8: happening in this court and exactly the future of security
- 28:02Speaker 8: for him and other MPs. So that's the argument.
- 28:04Speaker 2: OK, now to justice, of course, in the UK, you're
- 28:07Speaker 2: letting go a whole heap of prisoners because your prisons
- 28:10Speaker 2: are too full and you can't afford it. But now
- 28:12Speaker 2: we've got Andy Burnham scrapping the controversial plans to curb
- 28:15Speaker 2: jury trials that Sir Keir Starmer's government came up with.
- 28:19Speaker 8: Yes, and that was something that Keir Starmer developed because
- 28:22Speaker 8: during the pandemic, basically, the backlog of court cases absolutely rocketed.
- 28:28Speaker 8: Up to 81,000 cases were waiting to be heard. And
- 28:34Speaker 8: justice delayed is no justice at all. This government has
- 28:39Speaker 8: tried to really reduce that waiting time down, but it
- 28:42Speaker 8: is going to be difficult. And one of the ways
- 28:44Speaker 8: in which David Lambert, the former justice secretary, said, right,
- 28:48Speaker 8: we're going to get this waiting list down, is to
- 28:51Speaker 8: reduce the number of trials that would have been heard
- 28:53Speaker 8: by a jury. Much quicker to hear it by a
- 28:55Speaker 8: judge or a magistrate who can make a decision without
- 28:58Speaker 8: having to consult with the others. But being judged by
- 29:01Speaker 8: a jury is an 800-year-old right to trial here in
- 29:05Speaker 8: the UK. And surprise, surprise, many barristers weren't that amused
- 29:09Speaker 8: by those thoughts either. And that has now been scrapped.
- 29:12Speaker 8: So another example of where the new prime minister, Andy Burnham,
- 29:15Speaker 8: the same political party as his predecessor, Keir Starmer, is
- 29:19Speaker 8: making radical changes to the thoughts that were going on
- 29:22Speaker 8: earlier in government.
- 29:23Speaker 2: Thank you so much, Gavin Gray. It is 10 minutes
- 29:25Speaker 2: to six. So, to here and the election. Of course,
- 29:30Speaker 2: ACT had their campaign launch over the weekend, and now
- 29:33Speaker 2: they've announced they want to scrap tax on your kiwi
- 29:36Speaker 2: saver investment earnings but there is a catch though they
- 29:40Speaker 2: want to stop all government contributions.
- 29:42Speaker 14: Taking tax off returns on kiwi saver means the compounding
- 29:47Speaker 14: effect is multiplied to a staggering level and we end
- 29:50Speaker 14: up with hundreds of thousands of dollars more in our
- 29:53Speaker 14: kiwi saver.
- 29:54Speaker 2: So that's the voice of david seymour and here's the
- 29:56Speaker 2: man himself good morning to you david good morning So
- 30:00Speaker 2: you've obviously worked the numbers. Would everyone be better off?
- 30:05Speaker 9: Absolutely. Over time, the compounding effect of interest gives you
- 30:10Speaker 9: an enormous amount more money. In order for the effect
- 30:15Speaker 9: of this to be less because of not getting the
- 30:19Speaker 9: $ 250 from the government, you'd have to be earning, you know,
- 30:24Speaker 9: less than $ 1, 000 in returns, which means that your balance
- 30:29Speaker 9: would have to be less than $ 15, 000. So if you
- 30:32Speaker 9: had a very small balance, maybe initially you might be
- 30:37Speaker 9: worse off. But if you take an example of somebody
- 30:41Speaker 9: who's a builder, $ 60, 000 a year through their career, They
- 30:47Speaker 9: start when they're 20. By the time they retire, they
- 30:52Speaker 9: would be $ 210, 000 better off for not paying tax on
- 30:56Speaker 9: the returns. So that's not a high income, but it's
- 31:02Speaker 9: a reasonable income, and you still end up much, much
- 31:05Speaker 9: better off. Every other party wants to force you into
- 31:09Speaker 9: KiwiSaver and tax you for your troubles. the ACT Party
- 31:13Speaker 9: will let you choose, but will give you less tax
- 31:15Speaker 9: if you save in KiwiSaver.
- 31:16Speaker 2: And let's remind everybody, this is what Australia does.
- 31:20Speaker 11: Well, it's actually what, you're.
- 31:22Speaker 9: Right, and it's what most countries do. New Zealand has
- 31:26Speaker 9: been an outlier in that we tax contributions to retirement savings,
- 31:31Speaker 9: we tax your returns while you're in the scheme, and
- 31:37Speaker 9: then we exempt your money when you take it out.
- 31:40Speaker 9: They call that a TTE, a tax exempt. Most countries
- 31:46Speaker 9: are a TEE, tax your contributions, exempt your returns and
- 31:51Speaker 9: exempt your withdrawals. This will bring us into line with
- 31:55Speaker 9: Australia and most countries.
- 31:56Speaker 2: OK, now you estimate the policy would have a net
- 31:59Speaker 2: fiscal cost of about $ 2. 4 billion over four years after
- 32:02Speaker 2: accounting for the savings from removing government contributions. Now, people
- 32:06Speaker 2: might then ask, how is that revenue going to be replaced?
- 32:09Speaker 2: And will this mean bigger spending cuts?
- 32:12Speaker 9: Yeah, no, that's fair. And a lot of parties throwing
- 32:15Speaker 9: a lot of promises around. This coming Sunday, the ACT
- 32:18Speaker 9: Party will release its fully costed alternative budget. We'll show
- 32:22Speaker 9: how we pay for everything we talk about. And yes,
- 32:26Speaker 9: it will reduce the size of the bureaucracy. There will
- 32:30Speaker 9: be reductions in spending. I'm not going to go into
- 32:33Speaker 9: every one of them now. But I don't believe for
- 32:36Speaker 9: a moment. that we are getting all of the government
- 32:39Speaker 9: that we're paying for. And as a result, we're going
- 32:43Speaker 9: to have to have a smaller, more affordable government in
- 32:46Speaker 9: order to pay for just about anything in this country,
- 32:49Speaker 9: including the savings for the retirement that New Zealanders need.
- 32:54Speaker 2: David, I thank you for your time today. That's David Seymour.
- 32:56Speaker 2: It is six to six. News and views.
- 32:59Speaker 1: You trust to start your day. It's Early Edition with
- 33:03Speaker 1: Andrew Dickens and Spark for Business. Technology that keeps business moving.
- 33:08Speaker 1: News Talk ZB.
- 33:09Speaker 2: Morning, Mike. A week ago, you had a very entertaining
- 33:13Speaker 2: interview with the leader of the Labour Party, which got
- 33:15Speaker 2: quite technical, to be fair. But the base of it
- 33:18Speaker 2: was that you were saying there's not enough line detail
- 33:20Speaker 2: from this man. And he was promising line detail later on.
- 33:23Speaker 2: And apparently he released it yesterday. And I'm picking you
- 33:26Speaker 2: won't be satisfied.
- 33:27Speaker 15: I watched the whole thing yesterday. And I must say,
- 33:30Speaker 15: just on a side note, he's actually handling the media,
- 33:33Speaker 15: I thought, very well. He's short and sharp. Too aggressive.
- 33:36Speaker 15: He doesn't come across particularly well. But he's short and
- 33:39Speaker 15: sharp and to the point. But there's no... detail and
- 33:42Speaker 15: to suggest that it's all going to be there in
- 33:45Speaker 15: the fiscal plan. It simply isn't. And everybody knows it's not.
- 33:49Speaker 2: But it's commercial sensitivity. Ten and a half.
- 33:51Speaker 15: OK, so even if you argue that the ten and
- 33:53Speaker 15: a half billion they put aside, it's all gone in equity.
- 33:56Speaker 15: And there's nothing else. There's literally nothing else to be
- 34:00Speaker 15: spent on.
- 34:00Speaker 2: Who are you talking to about this?
- 34:01Speaker 15: Barb Redmonds will be on the program this morning, along
- 34:03Speaker 15: with the Prime Minister, who will be in from the campaign.
- 34:05Speaker 2: Fantastic. Lovely jacket. My thanks to producer Kenzie and the
- 34:09Speaker 2: set-up team. And my name is Andrew Dickens. Here all
- 34:12Speaker 2: week as Ryan prepares for the election debates. Have a
- 34:14Speaker 2: great day.