Latest / Bloomberg Intelligence / Bloomberg's Sweeney on Liberty Media, Niquette on Polls (Audio)
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- 0:59Speaker 1: to Taking Dock with Kathleen Box on Bloomberg Radio. To
- 1:04Speaker 1: the names Colin Chapman, Michael Schumacher or Jackie Stewart mean
- 1:08Speaker 1: anything to you. Well, they do to our next guest,
- 1:11Speaker 1: Paul Sweeney. He is US director of Research and senior
- 1:15Speaker 1: media and Internet analysts for Bloomberg Intelligence. Of course, Bloomberg
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- 1:26Speaker 1: factors that affect business. Our terminal customers can access this
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- 1:34Speaker 1: Paul Sweeney, go ahead. I didn't want to give it away.
- 1:38Speaker 1: What do all those names have in common? Formula one
- 1:41Speaker 1: race car drivers? Yes, and you're here to tell us
- 1:43Speaker 1: about the new owner of Formula one, right, it's and
- 1:47Speaker 1: I think a kind of surprising transaction. Yesterday, John Malone's
- 1:50Speaker 1: Liberty Media Companies, one of his many UH liberty media
- 1:53Speaker 1: companies tracking stocks UH announced that it's purchasing Formula one
- 1:57Speaker 1: parent company UH for about four point four billion dollars
- 2:01Speaker 1: um and really making a big, big play on a
- 2:05Speaker 1: sport that is not well known here in the US,
- 2:08Speaker 1: but it's got a major global footprint. Well, I'm so
- 2:12Speaker 1: glad to say here you say it was a surprise,
- 2:15Speaker 1: because I'm going really when I when I saw this, right,
- 2:17Speaker 1: But of course, UM liberal Media CEO Greg Maffei calling
- 2:22Speaker 1: it's a formula ones digital operations. That part of it underdeveloped.
- 2:26Speaker 1: And you know, we have seen like the tennis channel
- 2:29Speaker 1: is doing quite well. The Sinclair Broadcasting just got them there.
- 2:32Speaker 1: They want to get to what sixties seventy million households
- 2:34Speaker 1: from forty seven million. Not the tennis is a niche sport. However,
- 2:38Speaker 1: it seems that a lot of people are betting on
- 2:40Speaker 1: taking an audience that is is as my face has underdeveloped,
- 2:43Speaker 1: and you know, not trying to be broad but really
- 2:46Speaker 1: trying to make that niche be something strong and powerful
- 2:49Speaker 1: and possible. Yes, it's it's interesting. It's a it's a
- 2:51Speaker 1: really is a global uh sporting franchise, much like soccer
- 2:55Speaker 1: is on on a global basis. It really is a
- 2:57Speaker 1: global basis. And the issuing interesting thing there is they
- 3:00Speaker 1: have a you know, they have a television audience of
- 3:02Speaker 1: over four million. That's a big number globally, but it's
- 3:04Speaker 1: down from six million about uh ten, ten years ago,
- 3:07Speaker 1: so they have a big over there audience. They have
- 3:09Speaker 1: a pay TV audience, but there's a lot of markets
- 3:12Speaker 1: where they're really underpenetrated from a television perspective. The United
- 3:14Speaker 1: States market in North America being the biggest, but there
- 3:17Speaker 1: are also a lot of Asian markets where they feel
- 3:19Speaker 1: like they're underpenetrated from a television audience perspective. So I know,
- 3:22Speaker 1: listening to the Liberty folks yesterday, they think that's an
- 3:25Speaker 1: area of growth. But as you mentioned that, they highlighted
- 3:27Speaker 1: some of the digital opportunities UM, where really that they
- 3:31Speaker 1: believe that the long term growth is for this business,
- 3:34Speaker 1: i e. Let's create a digital distribution platforms, whether it's
- 3:37Speaker 1: direct Internet access UH, to allow more fans to get
- 3:41Speaker 1: access to this racing UH and to dry to monetize
- 3:44Speaker 1: those digital rights in the future, which is something that
- 3:46Speaker 1: really Formula One, by its own emission, really has not done.
- 3:49Speaker 1: What happens to Bernie Ecclestone, Well, I think there's the
- 3:53Speaker 1: current chief executive, Bernie, Yeah, Bert Bernie ecclestone really founded
- 3:58Speaker 1: Formula one Racing UM as a global business, you know,
- 4:01Speaker 1: twenty five, third third thirty years ago. But again I
- 4:05Speaker 1: think UM, I think certainly in the near term he's
- 4:07Speaker 1: gonna stay there. We'll have to see what happens of UH.
- 4:10Speaker 1: Liberty Media did bring in Chase Carry. He used to
- 4:12Speaker 1: be a senior executive at Rupert Murdoch and is an
- 4:14Speaker 1: extremely um well thought of executive, certainly in the media
- 4:19Speaker 1: and telecommunications space. So he's gonna be the chairman of
- 4:22Speaker 1: of this new company, and Bernie's gonna stay as the CEO.
- 4:24Speaker 1: But the long term, you know, there may be some
- 4:26Speaker 1: changes there. But because but clearly, I think Liberty Media
- 4:30Speaker 1: is making a big bet here. I think they really
- 4:32Speaker 1: view this as a content play. I don't think they're
- 4:34Speaker 1: necessarily big sports fans, but they necessarily I think they
- 4:36Speaker 1: recognize it as an undervalued content asset um that they
- 4:40Speaker 1: believe over the next five to ten years they can
- 4:42Speaker 1: grow the audience and then they can grow the advertising
- 4:45Speaker 1: and sponsorship revenue opportunities, because that's really what you're talking
- 4:48Speaker 1: about when you think about the business of Formula One.
- 4:50Speaker 1: It's it's global TV advertising and global sponsorship um support
- 4:55Speaker 1: around the world, and they think they can develop that. So, Dan,
- 4:58Speaker 1: are you do you think this is a sort of
- 4:59Speaker 1: a one time sort of deal for them or do
- 5:02Speaker 1: you think they could look at other franchises, other sports
- 5:05Speaker 1: that have these parts of the world that just aren't
- 5:07Speaker 1: watching that much and find a way to leverage that. Yeah,
- 5:11Speaker 1: I think typically for a John Malone type of transaction.
- 5:13Speaker 1: The first thing I saw I thought of when I
- 5:15Speaker 1: saw this cross the tape is he is going to
- 5:17Speaker 1: use this asset as a wedge to get into other
- 5:21Speaker 1: global media companies. Um if somebody wants to do uh
- 5:26Speaker 1: really partnered with Formula one, UM, I think John Malone
- 5:28Speaker 1: will be willing to give up some equity and a
- 5:30Speaker 1: Formula one business and exchange for equity in a larger
- 5:33Speaker 1: global media company. That's kind of been his m O
- 5:35Speaker 1: to use an asset as a wedge or a way
- 5:37Speaker 1: to get into an equity ownership position in another company.
- 5:42Speaker 1: So you know, whether that's a talent company like Media
- 5:44Speaker 1: Set or you know, something along those lines, one of
- 5:47Speaker 1: the sky companies potentially, UM, I could see this is
- 5:50Speaker 1: as a way for him to kind of broaden his
- 5:53Speaker 1: global distribution platform. Paul Sweeney, thanks so much for joining us.
- 5:57Speaker 1: He's director of North American Research and Media Analysts for
- 6:00Speaker 1: Bloomberg Intelligence. Well, going up from forlo and racing to
- 6:04Speaker 1: a different kind of race now. Back to back appearances
- 6:07Speaker 1: by Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump at a forum on
- 6:09Speaker 1: the military Wednesday night, exposed and during weaknesses that both
- 6:13Speaker 1: candidates had yet to overcome two months before the presidential election,
- 6:17Speaker 1: joining US now Mark mcquette, government porter for Bloomberg News,
- 6:20Speaker 1: joining us from Columbus, Ohio. So Mark, they didn't exactly
- 6:23Speaker 1: face off. They weren't debating directly at each other, but
- 6:26Speaker 1: they were debating each other from from Afar in a way, right, right,
- 6:30Speaker 1: I mean they were in appearances, Um, they were the
- 6:32Speaker 1: same venue, but didn't appear on the stage at the
- 6:35Speaker 1: same time. One went first and the other followed, UM,
- 6:37Speaker 1: and they were clearly talking about a lot of the
- 6:40Speaker 1: same issues. Donald Trump was bringing up Um. Hillary Clinton's
- 6:44Speaker 1: judgment UM she had to defend her use of a
- 6:47Speaker 1: private email server when she was Secretary of State, and
- 6:50Speaker 1: she was calling out his temperament for being commander in chief,
- 6:55Speaker 1: which was the purpose of the forum by um pointing
- 6:58Speaker 1: out that he has not had had um much to
- 7:01Speaker 1: say about what he would do with the Islamic State
- 7:04Speaker 1: or other specific plans, and that was sort of exposed
- 7:07Speaker 1: in the questioning in this forum. Hey, Mark, I just
- 7:10Speaker 1: wondered if he could speak a little bit about the
- 7:12Speaker 1: actual forum that took place and the interviewer, Matt Lauer,
- 7:16Speaker 1: because that drew a lot of criticism on the internet.
- 7:19Speaker 1: It did. This was again it was they were not together.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Was Matt Lower interviewing each candidate uh individually? And you
- 7:26Speaker 1: had questions from veterans in the audience as well, UH
- 7:29Speaker 1: and the Lauer, the host of the Today's Show and
- 7:31Speaker 1: NBC got some criticism that he wasn't treating the candidates fairly,
- 7:35Speaker 1: that he was a little more hard on Clinton with
- 7:38Speaker 1: his questioning, particularly about the emails her email problem, UM,
- 7:42Speaker 1: and also that he didn't challenge Donald Trump when he said, UH,
- 7:47Speaker 1: he was opposed to the Iraq war all along, when
- 7:51Speaker 1: in fact there's evidence that he said he was supportive
- 7:53Speaker 1: of the war. So he wasn't sort of fact checking
- 7:56Speaker 1: UH in challenging false statements when he was interviewing Ump. So,
- 8:01Speaker 1: I mean, but it also sort of underscores the difficulty
- 8:04Speaker 1: this kind of setting has, and as we look forward
- 8:06Speaker 1: to the next debate coming out the first debate actually
- 8:09Speaker 1: later this month, sort of underscores the problem of trying
- 8:12Speaker 1: to deal in particular with Trump, who you know, makes
- 8:15Speaker 1: a lot of broad statements. You know, it's sometimes hard
- 8:17Speaker 1: to pin him down on specifics of what he means.
- 8:19Speaker 1: And also, you know, this this question of being able
- 8:22Speaker 1: to challenge something that he says that might not be
- 8:24Speaker 1: accurate at the time, he says it of so much
- 8:26Speaker 1: criticism of the media being too liberal, maybe that's what
- 8:29Speaker 1: he was trying to overcompensate for. I guess we won't
- 8:32Speaker 1: know unless we get hit him on the show. But
- 8:33Speaker 1: mark the latest polls. Let's talk about those because they
- 8:38Speaker 1: they seem to show some very stark differences between Clinton
- 8:43Speaker 1: supporters and Donald Trump supporters that have been more and
- 8:47Speaker 1: more persistent throughout these campaigns. Right, we have a poll
- 8:50Speaker 1: up on our website now that it's called the Purple
- 8:53Speaker 1: Slice Online poll that's done for Boomberg Politics, and we
- 8:56Speaker 1: specifically looked at UM voters who do not have a
- 9:00Speaker 1: high school more than a high school education. These will
- 9:02Speaker 1: be sort of uneducated voters or at least voters who
- 9:05Speaker 1: don't have a college degree UM. And we looked at
- 9:07Speaker 1: that because you know, Donald Trump has made pretty strong
- 9:11Speaker 1: outreach to sort of working class voters voters in this demographic,
- 9:16Speaker 1: and the poll showed that he does have very strong
- 9:20Speaker 1: appeal among whites who have no more than a high
- 9:22Speaker 1: school degree. He's leading Clinton by like to tht in
- 9:27Speaker 1: that group. But when you look at the total group
- 9:30Speaker 1: of UH folks who just have a high school degree,
- 9:34Speaker 1: Quintin is still ahead just because she has such an
- 9:36Speaker 1: overwhelming lead among minority voters who don't have a high
- 9:40Speaker 1: school degree. It's like to ten percent. So when you
- 9:43Speaker 1: put all those groups together, Clinton still has a lead,
- 9:46Speaker 1: but it shows sort of her weakness UH in that area,
- 9:49Speaker 1: particularly white working class voters. And the poll suggests that
- 9:53Speaker 1: a lot of this could come down to turn out.
- 9:55Speaker 1: You know, whose voters get to the polls, particularly in
- 9:58Speaker 1: these key swing states like a Ohio and Pennsylvania. Are
- 10:01Speaker 1: they minority borders who are more likely support Hillary Clinton
- 10:04Speaker 1: or sort of the white working class folks who might
- 10:06Speaker 1: be more enamored of Donald Trump. What about other Republican
- 10:11Speaker 1: candidates and Hillary Clinton's call for them to disassociate themselves
- 10:15Speaker 1: from Donald Trump's comments regarding Russian President Vladimir Putin? Right,
- 10:20Speaker 1: it's kind of follow up from the forum last night
- 10:22Speaker 1: in New York. Hillary Clinton had sort of impromptu press
- 10:25Speaker 1: conference on the tarmac before she flew out to a
- 10:28Speaker 1: rally she was having in North Carolina today, where she
- 10:31Speaker 1: linked specifically comments that Donald Trump had made about general's
- 10:36Speaker 1: u S generals. He suggested they've been reduced to a
- 10:39Speaker 1: pile of rubble, or weren't effective in the Obama administration.
- 10:42Speaker 1: And praise he had for Vladimir Putin, the Russian uh
- 10:45Speaker 1: UM leader. Essentially, you know, Putin has said favorable things
- 10:49Speaker 1: about Trump, and Trump said he was glad, and Clinton
- 10:51Speaker 1: was trying to suggest that this is somehow unpatriotic to
- 10:54Speaker 1: both criticize U S generals and praise, in this case,
- 10:57Speaker 1: an adversary in Russia. Thanks very much. Mark Niquette is
- 11:02Speaker 1: a government reporter for Bloomberg News, joining us from the
- 11:05Speaker 1: battleground state of Columbus, Ohio. Thank you very much. You're
- 11:10Speaker 1: listening to taking Stock. I'm Pim Fox. This is Bloomberg