Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 120 - 9/16/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 120 - 9/16/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

0:17
Hello, and welcome to episode 120 of the All Systems Go sports
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Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
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I'm your host Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
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Happy Monday, a new week begins as we are steaming through the
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month of September. We got a lot to get to on
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today's podcast. Hope everyone had a great week.
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And I want to First off, say thank you to all of you who
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continuously TuneIn to the live stream that myself and my buddy
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James Santor from Rhythm put on each Sunday.
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If you're new or haven't heard about it, every Sunday from
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around 11:00 AM Eastern Time to noon, James and I do a live
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stream. We go over all the top plays
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from a betting perspective from kind of we talked about in all
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systems go sharp, data-driven contrarian betting, but really a
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big emphasis is on rhythm and rhythm had another great weekend
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here in terms of helping us cash some tickets, player props, game
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predictions. And really you've seen the
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numbers really grow quite a bit from Week 1.
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I think we had over 1000 people in the stream Week 1 and we're
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up to almost 2000 yesterday. So always remember on Sundays,
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you can TuneIn 11 AM to to noon. James and I'll breakdown all the
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top bets across the NFL. It's a lot of fun.
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We'll teach you how to use rhythm to your advantage.
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So as always, thank you all for tuning in.
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And if you missed it, don't worry.
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Week 3 upcoming on Sunday. What is it the 22nd?
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We'll be right back at it for another live stream.
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So that being said, how was your weekend?
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Well, pretty decent weekend. Unfortunately, the kind of the
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the biggest loss of the week was sadly no biting our biting win
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streak. As they say.
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All good things must come to an end as Alexa Grasso took the
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loss sharp his attack really just a pathetic fight.
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I really didn't have any any like, I don't know, just didn't
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really show any sign of, you know, taking advantage or making
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a move. It was just kind of a
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disappointing loss there in the UFC.
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So we had 112 straight. Finally had a loss.
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I guess we were due for one. Let's start a new win streak
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hopefully this upcoming weekend with some UFC.
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But on Saturday, couple big hits in college football.
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South Carolina in the points came through against LSU.
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Good sharp reverse line move and they were able to cover the
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number. Pittsburgh getting it done,
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winning outright, which is great to see as a short dog with a
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line move in their favor. The frustrating one was TCU
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because that could have been even bigger.
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Saturday TCU had AI think 28 to 7 lead then up losing by one
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point late. They completely imploded and
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looking on Sunday. Couple good hits with the
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Patriots getting 3 1/2. I had some late additions on the
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pod with the Cardinals. That was a team that I was kind
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of leaning on all week. Dog to fave.
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They came through. The Vikings were a blueprint
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play public. Oliver Sanfree and line went to
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Minnesota. I know some of these weren't
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maybe official bets we had on Friday, but I'll just tell you
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guys, I like to kind of set my card officially, you know,
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Saturday and going into Sunday. So all those late editions, tune
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into the live stream with the Sunday sweats through Rhythm
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Loser. There that was annoying was the
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Titans. I don't know what it is about
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Tennessee. They just cannot cover numbers.
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That's two weeks in a row banging my head against the
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Titans. But really the story of the week
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in the NFL was the return, The Empire Strikes Back and not the
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Empire. I guess the Empire in terms of
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the house contrarians. We had dogs go 10, four and one
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against the spread and there was a long list of very gross
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disgusting dogs who cover the number.
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Saints plus 6 1/2, they only got 25% of bets.
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Packers getting 2 1/2 only got 22% of bets.
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The Raiders killing a lot of people in Survivor.
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That was a shocking win by the Raiders.
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Plus 8 1/2 only at 17% bets. The Browns +3 only got 29% of
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bets. The Bengals 24% of bets covered
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the 6 1/2 again, Cardinals only at 27% and the Vikings only at
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15%. So after Week 1, when really
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didn't have the week one that I was hoping for, I think this is
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kind of a great microcosm of going contrarian and sticking to
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the data because Week 1 you had favorites actually go nine and
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seven against the spread. A lot of big public plays cashed
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and a lot of sharp line moves lost.
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So what does that do? It kind of just makes you say,
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hey, like, on the one hand, it was a bad week one.
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Do I abandoned the philosophy? Do I start to question sharp
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moves? Do I start to go with the public
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instead of going contrarian? No, you got to stick with it.
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And really it's the those of us who stuck with it who ended up
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being rewarded with a great day of of dogs and gross dogs and
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super contrarian plays coming through.
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So it's just a test case, you know, seeing all those teams
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come through, maybe that gives you the the faith to stick to
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the contrarian, sharp contrarian data-driven model.
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And again, huge day for the books, huge day for contrarians
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yesterday. Now, that being said, let's turn
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the page because we got more football tonight.
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We got Monday Night Football, big match up here in the NFC
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between the Falcons and the Philadelphia Eagles.
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I got a bet on the side with a good rhythm edge.
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I got a player prop for you. Hopefully we can catch that.
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I also have a couple early look at numbers Week 3 of the NFL
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that already caught my eye. So I'm going to give you a
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couple teams that I'm I'll be banking on or at least early on
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I'll be, I'm leaning on pretty hard and then don't want to give
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up on baseball. I got 2 bets for you in Major
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League Baseball. And then also do we clinch our
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Arizona over 83 1/2 wins? Well, guess what, they're
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sitting at 83 and 66 tonight right now.
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They win one more. Those of us who have over 83
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1/2, hopefully we'll cash tonight.
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So maybe that's some good news if you're a little butt hurt
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with Grasso not coming through. That was pathetic.
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But anyway, guys, two NFL bets, player prop and a side and two
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Major League Baseball bets that's we're talking about on
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today's podcast. So let's get right after it.
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Monday Night Football, Falcons, Eagles, What have we seen across
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the market? Well, First off, set the stage
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here. Falcons come in O and one.
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Remember they lost their season opener to the Steelers 18 to 10
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lost out right as a four point home favorite.
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You know, the Eagles one and O just took down the Packers in
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Brazil 3429. They did cover as a 2 point
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neutral site favorite. What have you seen across the
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market here? This one's really interesting in
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terms of back and forth movement and one thing that hasn't
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changed is how freaking public the Philadelphia Eagles are
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tonight. I took one look at the betting
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splits and pretty much that made my decision for me.
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But you know, develop the full handicap here.
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But the first thing you got to know is everyone is playing
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Philly tonight, everyone in their mother prime time game,
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84% of spread bets are going with Eagles.
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So right off the bat, before we even get into line movement,
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system matches, rhythm, edges, first thing you got to know is
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the public play is Philly. And therefore, as a data-driven
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contrarian, I automatically am leaning on the Atlanta Falcons
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in the points. What's interesting to me,
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though, cold things have happened in this line move.
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It opened around Philly -4 1/2. Philly got bet up all the way to
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-6 1/2 earlier in the week. And then I remember yesterday I
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was doing the live stream with my buddy James Santor.
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And James is a big Philadelphia Eagles fan.
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And he said, oh, we got some news.
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A.J. Brown is not going to play A.J.
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Brown, the stud wide receiver for Philly.
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He's out with a hamstring. So once we saw the news that
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A.J. Brown was out, a lot of movement
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back toward Atlanta. You went from Atlanta getting 6
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1/2. Now Atlanta is getting 5 1/2.
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So is that all A.J. Brown at least 1/2 point?
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Is A.J. Brown maybe the full point?
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But you have seen this buyback, whether it's the injury or smart
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money, this line is coming back toward Atlanta.
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And that's notable because Atlanta is the Super contrarian
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side. Again, Atlanta is only getting
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across the market. What would I say 16% of spread
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bets. So I think it's interesting in
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terms of where do we go next, because we're pretty much in no
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man's land, 5 1/2. Like, do we see this line tick
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back up to six? Does it fall even further down
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to 5 1/2? Well, the juice is pretty much
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-110 at a lot of shops. I saw one book juice down toward
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Atlanta. I saw one book juiced up toward
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Philly. Now I'm going with Atlanta, and
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I'll tell you why. And then I'm gonna give you kind
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of a number to to hold out for hopefully.
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But in addition to the Falcons with this buyback with no A.J.
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Brown only getting 16% of bets in a heavily back game.
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And remember, going contrarian is always the best and the most
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heavily back games of the most public bias.
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So I want to bet against all the drunk guys at the bar, the
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Eagles fans and go with Atlanta. They have the buyback as well.
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But here was where we get into some good system matches.
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Week two dogs. They went 10-4 and one ATS so
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far this week and they are now 65 and 43 against the spread 60
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percent, 16% ROI since 2018. So week 2IN general has been a
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good dog week proven again this year.
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Secondly, prime time dogs, 122 and 95 against the spread, 56%
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ATS, 8% ROI since 2020. Prime time Rd. dogs, if we just
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isolate the road dogs in prime time, 87 and 57 against the
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spread, 58 percent, 11% ROI since 2020.
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Rd. dogs in general this year are 13 and 9 against the spread,
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59% and they are 54% with a 5% ROI since 2018.
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Greg Rolstad, he's the lead ref tonight.
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He is a road ref historically 56% against the spread to the
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road team. Kirk Cousins, if you guys
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remember, year after year after year, you'd always see these
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tweets prior to a primetime game when he was on, you know, he's
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Washington and then the Vikings. But he was one in 15 in
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primetime straight up to start his career.
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But he's actually six and two his last 8 primetime game since
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2019. So maybe we can kind of buy low
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on his kind of regression to the mean here.
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If you do want to go Atlanta and you want to tease him up, I'm
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not going to argue with you. Plus 5 1/2 up to plus 11 1/2,
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you go through 7 and the 10. Those are two key numbers there.
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In terms of the total, we have seen it fall, obviously no A.J.
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Brown. I lean under nothing here.
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It open at 48, it's down to 45 1/2.
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That's notable because you're still getting nearly 60% of bets
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going over. So A.J.
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Brown and some sharp reverse line movement is on the under
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prime time unders are 60% since 2019.
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When the total falls at least a point, the under is 57% since
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2021. Rolstadt is a slight under F 53%
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forecast in Philly. Should be a good night.
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High 60s, cloudy skies, really not much in the way of wind.
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So weather shouldn't be an issue.
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So if you like, if you're making me lean one way or the other, I
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do lean under here. But my bet is going to be
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Atlanta. I'm going to take the points
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with Atlanta now. I'm holding out for a + 6.
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So a lot of books that are, you know, 5 1/2, if you see a book
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that's deuced up toward Philly, like Philly -5 1/2 at -115.
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And therefore you have Atlanta, like plus 5 1/2 at -105.
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If you're juiced up toward Philly and you want to buy
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Atlanta up to 6 + 6 at plus at -120 or less could make that
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case. You could wait it out, see if it
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naturally goes to six. Whole point being is if you're
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playing Atlanta, you really want to get that 6.
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Now, we may not get the six. This thing may trend back down
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toward 5, at which point you're not going to get the six and
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you're going to want to jump on the 5 1/2.
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So ideally, you can get Atlanta, shop around, maybe buy them up
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to six. If not, I'm going to go Atlanta
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at +5 and 1/2 and I do have a player prop for you.
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So not only the the Atlanta Falcons, but I'm going to look
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toward a running back tonight. I'm going to look toward Bijon
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Robinson over 30 1/2 receiving yards.
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Now Bijon Stud running back here, obviously for the Falcons.
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Remember, he was great in Texas back in college, but he has he
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went in Week 1. He caught 5 passes for 43 yards
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and the opener against the Steelers, he was second on the
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team and targets with five. Only Ray Ray McLeod had more, he
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had 7. Robinson has gone over this
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number in three of his last four games.
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Falcons also a dog in the spot. So maybe they got to play catch
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up. Maybe they're down.
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Maybe you get some garbage yards or dump off passes.
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And then also I'm going to liken kind of the spot for B John
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Robinson, same spot as Breece Hall.
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If you remember a week ago, Monday night we had I took the
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points with the The Jets. I didn't cover, I lost that bat,
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but we did catch our Breece Hall over and the whole thought
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process was good. Running back who's heavily
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involved in the passing game. You're a road dog.
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Maybe get some dump offs, Maybe you get garbage yards.
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It feels to me like Bijan Robinson is in the same spot as
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Breece Hall week one against San Fran.
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So I'm hoping for a little more of the same.
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Hopefully Bijan Robinson is going to go over 30 1/2
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receiving yards. That's my bet.
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And then to a little put to add a little juice to this bet.
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Pop open rhythm. Rhythm is predicting 43.3
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receiving yards, so we're going over 30 and a half and Rhythms
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at 43 and 43.3. Good angle there.
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Hopefully to go over with Bijan. I wanted to mention too, I
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popped open my Juice Reel app and Robo Jackson who puts out
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two AI driven best bets each day at noon.
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He does have Atlanta in the points.
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Atlanta spread as his best bet. And Rhythm, I wanted to mention,
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I know we talked Rhythm quite a bit with player props, but
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remember they also set game lines, whether it's the Rhythm
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AI model or you can create your own model.
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And Rhythm is predicting a spread of 5.2 for Philly.
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And I have a Rhythm model, my own model, my Josh model where
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it's 4.1. So either way, 5.24 point one,
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that's basically an advantage. If we're still getting 5 1/2,
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maybe we get lucky and get a six.
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You know, you're within the number here, so hopefully the
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Falcons can cover. So that's my MY22 bets here for
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Monday Night Football. I'm going to go Atlanta plus 5
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1/2. If you can't find the six, I'm
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going to go Bijan Robinson over 30 1/2 receiving yards.
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Now I just wanted to mention a couple games that already caught
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my eye for this upcoming weekend.
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One is Houston and Minnesota heavily bet 1:00 game should be
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a great game. Two teams that are undefeated,
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but we immediately saw a move toward the Vikings in this one.
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You open on the road, the Houston Texans around a Four
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Point Rd. favorite. Now the sign is down to 2 1/2 or
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two. So you got to remember who's
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betting, you know these games super early in the week,
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overnight Sunday into Monday. It's not the public, it's wise
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guys. So wise guys hopped on Minnesota
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in the points. What I like about this line move
13:49
toward Minnesota is it's a 5050 line move.
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Tickets are split down the middle 5050.
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Yet we've seen the line fall toward the Vikings.
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Vikings are only getting 49% of bets, but 68% of dollars.
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I do have a good system match here Week 3 when 2 undefeated
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teams play each other. The home dog is 9 and four
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against the spread over the last decade, 69% Now if you want to
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tease up Minnesota 2 1/2 to 8 1/2.
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Again, you're going through some key numbers there, but I'll be
14:15
looking toward Minnesota in the points.
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That's my early lean. Vikings in the points at home
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against Houston and then Detroit, Arizona, very similar
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situation here where we have a sharp 5050 line move toward the
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home dog. We open this game Detroit around
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a -, 4 -, 4 1/2 favorite on the road in Arizona.
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Now the line is really very quickly down to three.
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So early move was Arizona with wise guys taking Arizona in the
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points and you might be thinking, hey, can I get a hook
14:44
again? I don't know cuz a lot of these
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books are juiced up like that. Three may fall down to 2 1/2.
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You know, if it gets the 2 1/2, maybe it tease them up.
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But if you like Arizona, you may want to bet it sooner rather
14:53
than later. It's a 5050 bet split, but 66%
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of money is on Arizona and Kyler Murray as a dog in his career,
15:02
26 and 14 against the spread, 65% conference home dogs getting
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4 or less 56% ATS since 2018. So that would match play for me
15:13
at Arizona in the points as well as an early play here on
15:16
Minnesota in the points. Again, if you can't get key
15:19
numbers early, like the way I look at it is, you know, there,
15:23
let's like let's say Arizona was plus 3 1/2 -, 115 and it's
15:26
looking like it's going down to three.
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I'll bet that immediately because look at the Patriots
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game, they're plus 3 1/2. They end up closing at +3.
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We had the hook, we won because they lost by three.
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If you got a three late, you pushed.
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So I bet games and a lot of people ask me like when do you
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bet a game? You know, it's easy, it's
15:42
somewhat easy. I'm not going to say anything's
15:44
easy and betting, but it's somewhat easy to identify smart
15:46
money. But then the question becomes,
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when do I bet it? Do I bet it now because it's
15:50
going to get worse? Do I wait because it's going to
15:52
get better? I'll just tell you one thing
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someone told me a long time ago is bet favorites early and dogs
15:57
late. So I tend to like to wait later
15:59
in the week. The only exception is I'll bet a
16:01
game earlier if I feel like I'm getting the best of the number
16:04
and it's going to fall. So for example, Arizona +3,
16:08
right now it's plus three at -115 it may get down to 2 1/2.
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I'd rather bet Arizona now then wait versus Houston, Minnesota,
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where you at 2 1/2, You know, what does it take back up to
16:19
three? That's one that I'm going to
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wait on a little bit. So it's never an easy call, but
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I think you got to use a little bit of intuition and follow the
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juice movement. So early moves toward Minnesota
16:27
and Arizona. Now over to some Major League
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Baseball. I don't want to sleep on Major
16:32
League Baseball. I got 2 bets for you.
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Hopefully we can at least get one of them.
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It'd be nice if we could get both.
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The first one here, big match up.
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Is this maybe a National League Championship Series preview?
16:44
Who knows? I don't look toward the Dodgers
16:46
and the Braves. Should be a great game here to
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the better teams. Obviously, the Dodgers did.
16:51
They're doing it again. They're almost 30 games above
16:53
500, which is incredible. But they're on the road at
16:56
Atlanta. This is the final game of a
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four-game series. The Braves won the 1st 2.
17:02
You had the Dodgers come back and win yesterday and now
17:05
they're playing the series finale in Atlanta tonight.
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So pitch a match up. Before we get to the sharp line
17:10
move, we have Yoshinobu Yamamoto, remember, gave him a
17:14
ton of money in the offseason from Japan.
17:16
He was hurt quite a bit. But when he's when he's healthy
17:18
and he's back to being healthy, he's pretty good.
17:20
Six and two, 2.77 ERA. He'll be opposed by Max Freed,
17:24
the lefty who's 9:00 and 9:00 with a 3.46 ERA.
17:28
So what have we seen here? Well, good sharp steam.
17:31
And this is the direction I'm going.
17:33
Going with the Dodgers here, guys.
17:34
Feels like a good low number, low chalk number to to bet the
17:37
Dodgers this game open at pretty much a pick em.
17:40
You know -105 -, 110 both sides. Now you're up to dodgers -120 So
17:46
early move and consistent movement throughout the day.
17:49
It's all been on the Dodgers. Dodgers are getting 72% of bets,
17:53
but 87% of money. So great low bets, higher
17:56
dollars, bet split. I got a lot of system plays on
17:58
the Dodgers. 1 is a a play. I call the Dodgers value play.
18:03
So again, Dodgers are typically, you know, laying -200 or more
18:07
when they're a favorite of -150 or less.
18:09
Again, they're only -120 tonight they're 30 and 1665 percent, 17%
18:14
ROI. So just again, getting a good
18:16
team like this at such a low price, you know, obviously it's
18:19
because Atlanta is a good team and they're at Dodgers are on
18:21
the road, but value play on the Dodgers.
18:24
Rd. favorites this year are 57 percent, 1% ROI.
18:28
Nothing crazy, but it is profitable.
18:30
Non division Rd. favorites off a win are 58% with a 3% ROI.
18:34
Rd. favorites with steam $0.10 or more are 64% with a 7% ROI.
18:39
And you guys remember this one, our sweet spot short Rd.
18:42
favorite -130 or less that's 214 and one 7156% with a 4% ROI.
18:48
So those are all matching on the Dodgers.
18:50
Now Dodgers would also matches a favorite low total total on this
18:54
one is 7 1/2. Their favored -120 they're a non
18:57
division favorite. So lack of familiarity,
18:59
benefiting quote UN quote the better team.
19:01
You also look at the Dodgers offense.
19:05
They're hitting 254 on the year, two O 8 homers, 742 run scored
19:11
versus Atlanta, hitting two 41188 homers, 641 run scored.
19:16
So better offense with the Dodgers and in particular facing
19:19
Max free to lefty. Dodgers are hitting 266 against
19:22
lefties this year. That's the third best in Major
19:24
League Baseball. So like the Dodgers in the spot
19:27
guys. I also popped open juice.
19:28
Rail Robo had a play on the Atlanta Falcons in the points.
19:32
His other play was the Dodgers. So again, good team at a pretty
19:36
cheap chalk price with a good sharp steam move.
19:39
I'm going Dodgers on the money line at -120 Now to finish up
19:43
the pod, let's go out to the Colorado Rockies.
19:47
Let's go out to the rarefied air.
19:49
Let's focus on the snakes. The Arizona D backs at the
19:52
Rockies here tonight, 8:40 PM Eastern Time.
19:55
First pitch. Now going into this one.
19:58
It's a big game for those of us, as I mentioned earlier, over 83
20:01
1/2 wins, Arizona sitting at 83 wins.
20:04
One more, one more baby and we catch our over win total.
20:08
I'm going to double up here. I'm going to hope to cash our
20:10
over win total. I'm going to bet on Arizona to
20:12
win this game tonight. So first thing, let's start off
20:15
with a pitching matchup. We have Merrill Kelly going for
20:17
Arizona. He's four and O with a 4.26 ERA.
20:21
He'll be opposed by Antonio Senzatella.
20:24
He's been out all year. He's recovering from Tommy John.
20:26
He is this is his first start of the season.
20:29
Last year he was O and one of the 4.7 O ERA in the minors.
20:32
This year during his rehab O and one 5.29 ERA.
20:38
Now it's a bet for me on Arizona.
20:40
It's a bet against Colorado. But we've seen good sharp line
20:43
movement toward Arizona because this game opened Arizona around
20:46
a -, 160 Rd. favorite. Now Arizona's up to around -175
20:52
so I'm going to lay the -175 with Arizona.
20:55
They match a lot of systems here.
20:57
Rd. favorites, 57% Rd. favorites with Steam.
21:01
That was another system match that we just had on the Dodgers.
21:04
If you also look at kind of the head to heads here, big thing
21:09
I've seen is Arizona's own Colorado this season, they're
21:11
eight and two straight up against Colorado.
21:14
They're also much better on the road, 41 and 33.
21:17
Colorado versus Colorado at home is 34 and 38.
21:22
Once again, I'm banking on the offense of the snakes,
21:24
especially in the rarefied air here in Colorado.
21:26
At Mile High, they're hitting two 64192 homers, 822 runs
21:32
scored versus Colorado, hitting 242, 165 Homer, 630 runs scored.
21:38
Motivation to me, is also important because Arizona is
21:41
fighting for a playoff spot right now.
21:42
They hold the number two spot. They're up two games.
21:45
But again, any little last laps here, you could be out of the
21:48
postseason. Colorado, meanwhile, has been
21:50
eliminated. Yeah, nothing to play for.
21:52
Arizona, by the way, is 50 and 27 as a favorite this year, 65%.
21:56
That's the third best chalk team in baseball.
21:59
Last 10. Arizona is hitting 280 versus
22:02
Colorado is hitting 213. So can we get our win total and
22:05
a win tonight? I'm hoping so.
22:07
Shop around guys. I got Arizona at -175 S the
22:12
snakes and the Dodgers as well as the Falcons and the points
22:15
and Bijan over 30 1/2. That's what I'm sweating tonight
22:19
on a big Monday night. So that about does it for
22:21
episode 120 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting podcast
22:25
powered by rhythm. Of course.
22:26
This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
22:29
start by asking a favor of you. Could you please help me to grow
22:32
this podcast by doing one very simple thing?
22:35
Could you please give this podcast a five star review?
22:38
That's right. If you're listening on Spotify
22:39
or iTunes, should be an option there to rate the pod, click the
22:43
five stars. It would make my day.
22:44
Help us to grow the pod, rise up the charts, gain more
22:47
credibility, gain more. I always say eyeballs, but it's
22:49
really gaining more ears, more listeners.
22:51
If you want to recommend it to a friend, that would be great as
22:54
well. If you want to click the follow
22:56
button, if that's an option that way you get alerted as soon as
22:59
it drops, that would be awesome as well.
23:01
But seriously, help me grow this pod and if you enjoy it, hey,
23:04
give me the give me those five stars.
23:05
Maybe that'll mean a lot and we shouldn't take much of your time
23:08
to do that. Secondly, if you enjoy this pod,
23:11
the breakdowns, the data-driven approach, the thought process.
23:14
If this appeals to you, betting based on what the market is
23:17
telling us and picking up clues based on line moves, betting
23:21
split system matches, going contrarian, flat bedding.
23:25
You notice we don't parlay because parlays are hand out to
23:28
the house. But if this style of betting
23:29
appeals to you and you want to let me know you appreciate the
23:32
hard work that I put in hosting this pod.
23:33
If you want to learn more about data-driven betting, if you want
23:36
to help one of your buddies or colleagues or friend, family
23:39
members or friends who loves betting but loses a lot, then
23:43
buy my book for them or for you. Just go to Amazon.com and type
23:47
in the the Everything guide to sports betting.
23:49
That's my baby. I put everything I knew into
23:52
that. How lines are set, how and why
23:54
they move, how to read line movement, how to locate sharp
23:56
action, how to place a bet online or in person, how to go
23:59
contrarian chapters on all the major sports.
24:01
It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
24:03
Betting. So pick one up when I see at the
24:05
book, Bring my book to the book, I'll sign it for you.
24:08
I'll buy a beer or ginger ale and we'll sweat some games
24:11
together. Lastly, have you signed up yet
24:15
for Rhythm and Juice Reel? Well, I hope you've signed up
24:17
for both, but if not, now's a great time to do it so you can
24:20
use them to your advantage. Hopefully tonight for Monday
24:22
Night Football. Both rhythm and Juice Reel are
24:25
AI driven, data-driven sports betting apps that help me win
24:29
and I want them to help you win. So with Rhythm, of course,
24:31
they're fantastic setting their game predictions as well as
24:34
player props. Of course, when it comes to
24:37
juice reel, the Robo Jackson best bet picks, you can tail
24:40
those you got arbitrage opportunities each day
24:43
highlighted on the app. Make sure you sync up your
24:45
sports books to the app. That way you get a running
24:47
report card of your performance and then you also get the sharp
24:50
mush plays. A lot of great insights.
24:52
Line shopping is great as well for Juice Reel.
24:55
So I want you guys to sign up and at least give it a 7 day
24:58
free trial. Give it a shot.
24:59
I think you're going to like it, but I want you to sign up in a
25:01
particular way. Could you please sign up by
25:03
clicking the custom link that's located in the description of
25:07
this podcast. So on Spotify or iTunes, it
25:09
should have a description says something like hey, and episode
25:12
120 Josh dishes out, you know, couple bets from one Night
25:16
Football, two Major League Baseball bats.
25:17
Scroll down, there's a link to sign up for Rhythm and Juice
25:20
Reel. Click those links so that they
25:21
know I sent you and you'll be off and running with two of the
25:24
best data-driven apps on the market.
25:27
So that about does it guys. Hope everyone had a good
25:29
weekend. Definitely had some good hits.
25:32
Some games we didn't get, which was a little bit frustrating.
25:36
Just have to start a new new new win streak.
25:38
Hopefully for UFC I'll be either way guys, not a bad weekend
25:41
overall and again, thank you all for tuning into the live stream,
25:45
which is starting to pick up some some steam here, pun
25:48
intended. So I'm very, very, very proud of
25:50
that. But of course, as we end every
25:52
pod, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
25:56
River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
25:58
Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain
26:01
Rich Park Casino or MGM Springfield.
26:03
In my neck of the woods in Massachusetts.
26:05
Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
26:07
down. Where Billy Walters sends his
26:09
number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found, the
26:11
South Point or Sweat and sharp contrarian plays, jumping in the
26:14
stadium swim pool when he cashed a big ticket at Circle.
26:17
Wherever. Maybe you're going to walk up to
26:19
me and you're going to show me some of my favorite wins over
26:22
the weekend. South Carolina, the Cox baby and
26:25
the points. Pittsburgh Panthers.
26:28
How about the Patriots getting 3 1/2 covering with the hook?
26:31
And if anyone took their Andre Stevenson over rushing, I'd
26:34
mention that in the rhythm live stream.
26:36
How about the the Cardinals or the Vikings if you added them?
26:39
Either way, guys, first one's on me, next one's on you.
26:42
We'll post up and switch them Some sharp contrane plays
26:44
together at the book. So what does everybody again
26:48
hope you have a fantastic Monday night.
26:51
My parting words as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian, bet
26:54
against the public, place yourself on the side of the
26:56
house. Always be with the smart money,
26:58
never against it. Will smart money win every time?
27:01
Of course not. Smart money was disappointing
27:03
NFL week 1, but man did smart money roar back and week two of
27:07
the NFL. And that's really kind of the
27:09
the microcosm of of this style of betting in general.
27:12
Maybe have a bad night. Maybe you don't have maybe have
27:14
a bad weekend, but here's the thing, anything can happen in a
27:16
one off, but you got to stick with it.
27:18
You got to continue with it. Maybe when things don't go your
27:21
way and you want to quit or give up or you know, bet it in a
27:24
different style. No, stick with it.
27:26
You were rewarded in the NFL yesterday and that's kind of a
27:29
microcosm of this style in general.
27:31
It's always the long term approach.
27:32
And if we can bet with our heads and not our heart against the
27:35
public, with the pros, with the house flat bet, avoid parlays,
27:40
get that CLV. If we can do that long term,
27:43
we're going to be a OK guys. So have a great Monday night,
27:46
guys. Let's see if another dog can
27:47
bark in the NFL. Let's get some winners here on
27:49
the diamond. And we'll be back at it tomorrow
27:52
for episode 121 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
27:56
podcast powered by Rhythm. Have a great night everybody.
27:59
Good luck.