Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4147 Bombshell POLL Shows Democrats CRATERING before MIDTERMS!!!

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Ep. 4147 Bombshell POLL Shows Democrats CRATERING before MIDTERMS!!! · Turley Talks

• 0:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
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  [SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
• 0:18
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
• 0:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's being called an absolute bombshell.
• 0:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: One of the single most accurate posters on the planet, just dropped a poll that has the left losing their minds.
• 0:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: As we're going into the September stretch before these midterms according to this poll,
• 0:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republicans are surging and the Democrats are literally imploding.
• 0:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: Stick them to the very end of this video.
• 0:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to show you the brutal cash advantage that the GOP is a mass and I'm going to show you the voter registration numbers and you understand precisely why Democrats strategists are openly panicking.
• 0:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Hey, gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, your Patre Professor.
• 1:01
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• 1:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: Alright, let's dive right into your gang.
• 1:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Harvard Harris just dropped a midterm bomb shell.
• 1:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: These are nightmare numbers for the Democrats.
• 1:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: Feast your eyes on this and their latest generic ballot poll for which party you plan to vote for in the midterms.
• 1:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans are in the lead among likely voters.
• 1:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're up by two at the very beginning of September.
• 2:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: When Republicans historically begin, you know, tuning back into the political scene, Republicans remember history.
• 2:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: historically tune out during the summer months.
• 2:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: They tune out of politics.
• 2:11
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's why polling tends to skew in orderly towards Democrats over the summer.
• 2:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's because Republicans actually have families and they go on vacation.
• 2:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: They have lies where as liberals have largely stopped having kids, it's known as a summer response bias.
• 2:25
  [SPEAKER_00]: And here we are at the beginning of September and the first major Harvard Harris poll drops.
• 2:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it's Republicans by two.
• 2:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's a stunning six point swing in favor of the GOP in just the last few months and get this.
• 2:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is the first time any pollster has shown Republicans ahead among likely voters since October of 2025.
• 2:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, if you want a sense of what we're dealing with here, in terms of their polling track record, here's Harvard Harris' numbers going into the 2018 midterms.
• 3:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, just to be clear, that's not Kamala Harris to your left.
• 3:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's Harvard Harris, okay?
• 3:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: These are their last set of polls going into the 2018 midterms.
• 3:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: Note that from late August, going all the way into November, they pulled the generic ballot
• 3:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: Their final poll was Democrats plus eight.
• 3:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: And as it turns out, the Democrats won the midterms by a margin.
• 3:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: of plus eight.
• 3:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: Harvard Harris was dead on as they normally are.
• 3:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were within a point if not right smack on the eight.
• 3:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're a very good, very accurate polling outlet.
• 3:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: By contrast, just you know, give you a sense of what else is out there.
• 3:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is what Reuters Ipsos polling was telling us in September of 2024.
• 3:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: They were actually publishing headlines.
• 4:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: No, these are the very same pollsters who are telling us that Trump is a single most unpopular president in the history of the universe, okay?
• 4:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're left-wing hacks.
• 4:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're propagandists who are proven wrong time and time again.
• 4:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: Whereas
• 4:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: to their credit, Harvard Harris has proven their bona fides time and time again.
• 4:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're a legit polling outlet and they're showing the Republicans with an unprecedented lead going into the midterms.
• 4:28
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, if you're new here and have so make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button.
• 4:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: But if you're new here, the party and power always, we talk about this a lot, always loses seats in the midterms almost always, I should say.
• 4:42
  [SPEAKER_00]: We saw that,
• 4:44
  [SPEAKER_00]: We saw exactly that in 2018 when the Republicans lost 40 seats.
• 4:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's only been three exceptions in the last 100 years to that pattern, 1934-1998-2002.
• 4:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Other than that, the party and power of the party, that's in the White House always loses seats by an average of 20.
• 5:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is not supposed to be happening.
• 5:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: What Harvard Harris is showing here is not supposed that Democrats should be up six seven eight points at least given what we saw back in 2018.
• 5:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: This is nothing less.
• 5:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: then a 10-point swing in the direction of the GOP since that.
• 5:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's astonishing stuff.
• 5:26
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, here's one of the reasons that the polling numbers are so good.
• 5:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: Take a look at this.
• 5:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: I know a lot of you have been nervous about the effect that Iran and the straight of Hormuz will have on the midterms.
• 5:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: What take a look at these numbers?
• 5:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, from Harvard Harris, 65% a super majority.
• 5:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: do not believe that the Iranians are serious in their negotiations are just trying to buy times 65% of voters are on to the fact they recognize that Iran is just playing politics with the midterms.
• 5:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're hoping that Trump loses control of Congress and they're just trying to run out the clock to that.
• 6:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: 69% do not believe that Iran should be allowed to control the straight of our moves.
• 6:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let that hit you 69% of likely voters are with Trump on this.
• 6:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: It gets even better.
• 6:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Look at this.
• 6:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: 72% believe that the United States should resume the use of force, sanctions, and blockades if Iran does not give up control the straight.
• 6:34
  [SPEAKER_00]: and 79% literally eight out of 10, believe that keeping the street of Hormuz open to international shipping is an important national security interest of the United States.
• 6:46
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump won.
• 6:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: If this polling is accurate, hands down Trump won.
• 6:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: There is no other way of explaining those overwhelming supermajorities.
• 6:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump won in Iran.
• 7:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: So if you were, well, we all were.
• 7:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: Uh, worried about the adverse, the possible adverse effects the Iran war would have on the midterms.
• 7:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, worry no longer, sleep sound late tonight because according to Harvard Harris, one of the single most accurate pollsters on the planet, uh, Trump Trump won the war in the arena of public opinion hands down.
• 7:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: We're talking eight out of ten voters.
• 7:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's astonishing stuff.
• 7:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: And if you could believe it,
• 7:29
  [SPEAKER_00]: it gets even better.
• 7:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: Take a look at this.
• 7:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: When asked, do you always vote in congressional midterms?
• 7:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: 57% of Republican respondents said yes, as compared to only 44% of Democrats.
• 7:45
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's what's called the enthusiasm indicator.
• 7:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans are absolutely crushing it.
• 7:51
  [SPEAKER_00]: They are significantly more likely to show up to vote than Democrats.
• 7:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: But again, it gets even better.
• 7:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: These poll numbers are just the tip of the iceberg.
• 8:02
  [SPEAKER_00]: The real mid-terms weapon is yet to come.
• 8:07
  [SPEAKER_00]: But first gang happy September.
• 8:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: Summer is officially behind us.
• 8:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: And before we charge into the fall, I want you to ask yourself one honest question.
• 8:15
  [SPEAKER_00]: What did the money sitting in your bank account actually earn this summer?
• 8:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Go ahead, check.
• 8:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now, for most Americans, it's probably about 1% all the while groceries, gas, and insurance all kept climbing, which means every month, your money sat still a quietly lost ground.
• 8:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's what your bank will never tell you.
• 8:38
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's an interest rate in America that's not set by a bank.
• 8:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's not set by Wall Street, and it's certainly not set by the Fed.
• 8:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: it's set by law written directly into state statutes secured by real American property and available to everyday Americans in counties all across this country it's called a tax lien and if you think this is some fringe idea consider this the biggest banks in America quietly by a roughly 90 percent
• 9:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: of these every single year with their own money, and that should tell you everything you need to know.
• 9:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: But here's the part that they can't hide.
• 9:19
  [SPEAKER_00]: You don't need to be a bank to do this.
• 9:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: You can get started with this little 50 bucks.
• 9:24
  [SPEAKER_00]: So next Tuesday, September 8th,
• 9:27
  [SPEAKER_00]: an APM Eastern 5 p.m. Pacific my good friend Jay is hosting a free live masterclass and he's going to buy a real tax lien live right in front of you right there on the call start to finish nothing edited nothing hidden we're heading into the final stretch of the year gang the holidays are coming up prices aren't coming down and the folks with everything parked on Wall Street are
• 9:54
  [SPEAKER_00]: no market timing, no tenants, no rehab, no leverage, just a couple of spare hours a week.
• 10:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: This happens once live in real time.
• 10:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's no replay of that live purchase when it's done.
• 10:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's done and I don't know when or if Jay's going to do it again.
• 10:09
  [SPEAKER_00]: So go to turlyclass.com to lock in your spot.
• 10:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's turlyclass.com or just text turly to 72,000 that's 7200 or even easier.
• 10:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: scan the QR code on your screen, tap send, and you're in again next Tuesday, September 8th, APM East from 5 P.M Pacific, register now at turletclass.com, text turlet to 72,000, or scan the QR code to save your spot.
• 10:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: Here's what the Legacy Media is really flipping out over.
• 10:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Republican Party is sitting on a mountain of cash that the Democrats can't even come close to matching.
• 10:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: As of the end of June, the Republican National Committee reported $128.5 million cash on hand.
• 10:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: The DNC, a measly 16 million, and they're carrying over $18 million in debt.
• 11:03
  [SPEAKER_00]: So let that sink in as Elon would say.
• 11:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: The DNC, the flagship committee of the entire Democrat party, is technically upside down.
• 11:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: Is it interesting we get rid of USAID and so on the DNC is starving for cash?
• 11:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: They literally have more debt than cash.
• 11:20
  [SPEAKER_00]: And it doesn't stop there.
• 11:21
  [SPEAKER_00]: Across the three major Republican Party committees, plus two Republican aligned super PACs, the GOP is holding upwards of $700 million.
• 11:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: in their comparable accounts, which sits at around 300 million, and that doesn't even count, President Trump's awesome super PAC MAGA Inc., which is reportedly more than $800 million sitting in the bank ready to deploy.
• 11:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: You add it all up, and you're looking at a Republican financial
• 11:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: a half a billion dollars.
• 11:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans already themselves have over a billion dollars to spend on these midterms.
• 12:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: They're already ahead of Democrats and reserve political advertising.
• 12:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: They've got a hundred and forty million dollar GOP advantage in full ad reservations, targeting conservative congressional races.
• 12:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: And the reason all of this matters for Congress,
• 12:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: is because statistically, the congressional candidate that has the most amount of money wins 90% of the time.
• 12:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: for right or for wrong, okay?
• 12:33
  [SPEAKER_00]: Money and every money is everything in congressional races, not presidential, right?
• 12:40
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump pulled off, Trump has out spent two to one, both in 2016 and in 2024, but he won easily.
• 12:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: But in congressional races, money is everything.
• 12:52
  [SPEAKER_00]: And of course, Elon is pumping in his hundreds of millions in these races as well.
• 12:56
  [SPEAKER_00]: So we've got this bombshell poll.
• 12:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: We've got this astonishing cash advantage, but we also have the voter registration numbers as well.
• 13:05
  [SPEAKER_00]: From 2020 to 2024, Democrats lost 2.1 million registered voters nationwide, while Republicans gained 2.4 million.
• 13:13
  [SPEAKER_00]: So that's a net swing.
• 13:14
  [SPEAKER_00]: of 4.5 million voters all moving in the Republican direction, in Pennsylvania alone, which is a critical swing state.
• 13:22
  [SPEAKER_00]: The Democrat vote of registration lead is collapse from over a half a million voters in 2020 down to now just 20,000.
• 13:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: They've gone from 500,000 lead to now just 20,000.
• 13:35
  [SPEAKER_00]: The bleeding has been that brutal.
• 13:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: It's even worse, of course, in Florida.
• 13:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: That was a purple state just a few years ago, and frankly, a blue state prior to that, which is just a huge Democrat registration advantage.
• 13:48
  [SPEAKER_00]: Well, that's gone.
• 13:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Republicans now hold a registration advantage of well over 1.5 million voters.
• 13:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: and it's growing every single month, even North Carolina has flipped for the first time ever Republicans now outnumber Democrats in registered voters in that state and there's no signs of that slowing down.
• 14:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: An NRCC analysis of 28 battleground congressional districts found Democrats have lost.
• 14:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: more than 275,000 registered voters in those districts alone since the last presidential election, while Republicans are gaining ground in suburban counties, mid-sized cities, and even some traditionally blue strongholds.
• 14:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this is a nationwide coast-to-coast realignment and it's happening in plain sight.
• 14:37
  [SPEAKER_00]: So this is why political analysts Henry Olsen.
• 14:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: Just published a piece in the Washington Post that's, it's just throwing cold water in the Democrats chances for taking back the house.
• 14:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: The redistricting wars alone have increasingly killed the chances of a Democrat majority.
• 14:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: Now don't get me wrong.
• 14:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: They can still pull this off.
• 15:01
  [SPEAKER_00]: A history actually favors that they will.
• 15:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: Right?
• 15:04
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, we've talked about this.
• 15:06
  [SPEAKER_00]: We have to be realistic about that.
• 15:08
  [SPEAKER_00]: If past is precedent, the Democrats are going to take control of the house.
• 15:12
  [SPEAKER_00]: Trump doesn't care, by the way, because there's nothing, the Congress is so dysfunctional.
• 15:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: There's nothing they can do.
• 15:17
  [SPEAKER_00]: But regardless, what more and more analysts are admitting is that that historical precedent with a party in power always lose seats may indeed be coming to an end with all of these factors.
• 15:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: involve.
• 15:31
  [SPEAKER_00]: So let's put them all together because when you stack these particularly three factors on top of each other, you start to see just how dire the Democrat situation really is heading into November.
• 15:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: Again, they should be running away with this thing and yet they're running into one roadblock after another after another.
• 15:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Number one, the generic congressional ballad is flipped from a four point Democrat lead in March to a two point Republican lead in August.
• 15:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's
• 16:00
  [SPEAKER_00]: Number two, Republicans have as much as a half billion dollar cash advantage over Democrats heading into the final stretch and money is everything in congressional races.
• 16:10
  [SPEAKER_00]: And number three, Republicans have flipped the voter registration battle and stayed after state, turning former Democrats strongholds like North Carolina and Florida in a Republican territory.
• 16:30
  [SPEAKER_00]: That's not a bad week for Democrats.
• 16:32
  [SPEAKER_00]: Folks, that's a five alarm fire.
• 16:36
  [SPEAKER_00]: And we're just getting into September.
• 16:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: Absolutely amazing.
• 16:39
  [SPEAKER_00]: So what do you guys think?
• 16:41
  [SPEAKER_00]: Is this the start of historic Republican wave?
• 16:43
  [SPEAKER_00]: And November, or is this the poll outlier that the left is hoping it is?
• 16:47
  [SPEAKER_00]: So I would pay no attention to it.
• 16:49
  [SPEAKER_00]: Let me know what you think in the comments down below.
• 16:50
  [SPEAKER_00]: And as always, make sure to smack that bell and subscribe button for breaking news and analysis.
• 16:55
  [SPEAKER_00]: You're not going to get anywhere else.
• 16:57
  [SPEAKER_00]: Love you guys.
• 16:58
  [SPEAKER_00]: God bless.
• 16:59
  [SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening to this episode of The Turley Talks Podcast.
• 17:03
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• 17:08
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• 17:16
  [SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.